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Question Answer Marks Guidance

1(a)  4 7 1  16384 B1 Evaluated, final answer.

  =  or 0∙0419[43…]
 5  5  390625

1(b) 5 2 3 4 M1 1 – pn n = 5,6
 4 1 4 1 4 1  4 1  4 1
1−   or + ×   × +   × +   × or p + pq + pq2+pq3+ pq4 (+ pq5)
 5 5 5 5 5  5  5  5  5  5 0 < p < 1, p + q = 1,
Sum of a geometric series may be used.

2101 A1 Final answer.

or 0∙672[32]
3125

Alternative method for question 1(b)

[P(at least 1 three scored in 5 throws) =] M1 ( p )5 + 5 C 4 ( p ) 4 ( q ) + 5 C3 ( p )3 ( q ) 2 + 5 C 2 ( p ) 2 ( q )3 + 5 C1 ( p )( q ) 4

5 4 3 2 2 3 4
 1  5  1   4  5  1   4  5  1   4  5  1  4  or
  + C4     + C3     + C2     + C4    ( p ) 6 + 6 C 5 ( p )5 ( q ) + 6 C 4 ( p ) 4 ( q ) 2 + 6 C 3 ( p )3 ( q )3
5 5  5 5  5 5  5  5  5 
+ 6 C 2 ( p ) 2 ( q ) 4 + 6 C1 ( p )( q )5 , 0 < p < 1, p + q = 1
At least first, last and one intermediate term is required to
show pattern of terms if not all terms stated.

2101 A1 Final answer.

or 0∙672[32]
3125

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1(a) 6 B1 WWW

1(b) 3 4
5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1
5 6 M1 p3(1 – p) + p4(1 – p) + p5(1 – p) + p6(1 – p), 0 < p < 1
  +  +  + 
6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

0.300 (0.2996…) A1 At least 3s.f. Award at most accurate value.

Alternative method for Question 1(b)

3
5 5
7 M1 p3 – p7, 0 < p < 1
  − 
6 6

0.300 (0.2996…) A1 At least 3s.f. Award at most accurate value.

1(c) 5
9 M1 1 – pn, 0 < p < 1, n = 9, 10
1−  
6

0.806 A1

Alternative method for Question 1(c)

1 15 15 15

2 8 M1 p + p(1 – p) + p(1 – p)2 + p(1 – p)3 + p(1 – p)4 + p(1 – p)5 + p(1
+   +   + +   – p)6 + p(1 – p)7 + p(1 – p)8 (+ p(1 – p)9), 0 < p < 1
6 66 66 66
As per answer for minimum terms shown

0.806 A1

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5(a) [( 0.7 ) =] 0.343

3 B1 Evaluated WWW

Alternative method for Question 5(a)

[(0.15)3 + 3C1(0.15)2(0.55) + 3C2(0.15)(0.55)2 + (0.55)3 =] 0.343 B1 Evaluated WWW

5(b) 1 – (0.859 + 9C1 0.151 0.858 + 9C2 0.152 0.857) M1 One term: 9Cx px (1 – p)9-x for 0 < x < 9, any 0 < p < 1
[1 – (0.231617 + 0.367862 + 0.259667)]
A1 Correct expression, accept unsimplified.

0.141 A1 0.1408 ⩽ ans ⩽ 0.141, award at most accurate value.

Alternative method for Question 5(b)

9
C3 0.153 0.856 + 9C4 0.154 0.855 + 9C5 0.155 0.854 + 9C6 0.156 0.853 + M1 One term: 9Cx px (1 – p)9-x for 0 < x < 9, any 0 < p < 1
9
C7 0.157 0.852 + 9C8 0.158 0.85 + 0.159
A1 Correct expression, accept unsimplified.

0.141 A1 0.1408 ⩽ ans ⩽ 0.141, award at most accurate value.

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5(c) Mean = [ 60 × 0.15 =] 9 B1 Correct mean and variance, allow unsimplified.

(2.765 ≤ σ ≤ 2.77 imply correct variance)
Variance = [ 60 × 0.15 × 0.85 = ] 7.65

 11.5 − 9  M1 Substituting their mean and variance into ±standardisation

( X ≥ 12 ) = P  Z >  formula (any number for 11.5), not σ2 or √ σ
 7.65 
M1 Using continuity correction 11.5 or 12.5 in their standardisation
formula.

1 − Φ ( 0.9039 ) = 1 − 0.8169 M1 Appropriate area Φ, from final process, must be probability.

0.183 A1 Final AWRT

Question Answer Marks Guidance

6(a) 8! M1 8!
k = 1 or 2, m = 1 or 3, not k = m = 1
2!3! k !× m!
no additional terms

3360 A1

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3(b) Σx 2 + Σy 2 193700 + 366400 M1 Use of appropriate formula with values substituted,

= accept unsimplified.
6 + 11 6 + 11

560100 M1 Appropriate variance formula using their mean2,

Sd 2 = − their 178.882 [ = 948.289] accept unsimplified expression.
17

Standard deviation = 30.8 A1 Accept 30.7

Question Answer Marks Guidance

4(a) [Possible cases: 1 1 2, 1 2 1, 2 1 1] M1 3

1
1
3
  × k , where k is an integer.
Probability =   × 3 6
6
M1 Multiply a probability by 3, not +, – or ÷

1 A1 3
Accept or 0.0138 or 0.0139
72 216

4(b) 3 B1
1  1 
P(18) =    = 216 
6
4 M1 (1 – p)4p, 0 < their p < 1
 215  1
P(18 on 5th throw) =   ×
 216  216

0.00454 A1

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1(a) 3 1
6 M1 (1 − p )
6
p, 0 < p < 1
 
4 4

729 A1
0.0445,
16384

1(b) 3
9 M1  3
n
n
    or p , 0 < p < 1, n = 8, 9,10
4  4

19683 A1
0.0751,
262144

Question Answer Marks Guidance

2(a)  x (x − k ) M1 Forms an equation involving Σx, Σ(x-k) and k.

 −k =  Accept at a numeric stage with k.
 40 40 
40 × 34 520
−k =
40 40

k [ = 34 − 13] = 21 A1 Evaluated.

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4(b) Alternative method for question 4(b)

7! M1 7!
× 4P2 × k seen, k an integer > 0.
3! 3!

M1 5!
t × 4P2 or 12, t an integer ⩾ 20, .
3!

M1 m!
× 4P2 7 ⩽ m ⩽ 9, 1 ⩽ n ⩽ 3 all integers.
n!

10 008 A1 Exact value.

Question Answer Marks Guidance

5(a) [P(0, 1, 2) =] 10C0 0.160 0.8410 + 10C1 0.161 0.849 + 10C2 0.162 0.848 M1 One term: 10Cx px (1 – p)10–x for 0 < x < 10, any p.
[= 0.17490 + 0.333145 + 0.28555]
A1 Correct unsimplified expression, or better.

0.794 A1 0.7935 < p ⩽ 0.794, mark at most accurate.

If M0 scored, SC B1 for final answer 0.794.

5(b) ( 0.84 )
7
0.16 M1 (1 – p)7p, 0 < p < 1

0.0472 A1 0.0472144 to at least 3sf.

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5(c) 4 × 0.0472 × (1 – 0.0472)3 M1 4 × q(1 – q)3, q = their (b) or correct.

0.163 A1 0.163 ⩽ p ⩽ 0.1634, mark at most accurate from their probability to at

least 3sf.

Question Answer Marks Guidance

6(a)  28.6 − 32.2  M1 28.6, 32.2 and 9.6 substituted appropriately in ± Standardisation
 P ( X > 28.6 ) = P  Z >  formula once, allow continuity correction of ± 0.05, no σ2, √σ.
 9.6 
 P ( Z > −0.375) 
=

[Φ ( their 0.375 ) = ] their 0.6462 M1 Appropriate numerical area, from final process, must be probability,
expect > 0.5.

0.646 A1 AWRT

6(b) z = ±0.842 B1 0.841 < z ⩽ 0.842 or -0.842 ⩽ z < –0.841 seen.

t − 32.2 M1 Substituting 32.2 and 9.6 into ± standardisation formula, no continuity

= 0.842 correction, allow σ2, √σ, must be equated to a z-value.
9.6

t = 40.3 A1 40.28 ⩽ t ⩽ 40.3 WWW

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38
1 Cr or nC34 M1 Either expression seen OE, no other terms, condone x1
38
C34 A1 Correct unsimplified OE

73815 A1 If M0, SCB1 38C34 x k, k an integer

Question Answer Marks Guidance

2(a) 2 3
 1  2   1  2   1  2 
4 M1 One correct term with 0 < p < 1
   +    +   
 3  3   3  3   3  3 

4 8 16  2432  A1 Correct expression, accept unsimplified

= + + = 
27 81 243  7776 

76 A1
= or 0.313
243

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2(b) B1 Probability distribution table with correct values of x, no

x 0 1 2 3
additional values unless with probability of 0 stated, at least
one non-zero probability included
8 12 6 1
P(x)
27 27 27 27

2
3 B1 1 correct probability seen (may not be in table)
P(0) =   or 3 or 4 non-zero probabilities summing to 1
3
2
 1  2 
P(1) =    × 3 B1 All probabilities correct
 3  3 
2
 2  1 
P(2) =    × 3
 3  3 
3
1
P(3) =  
3

2(c)  8 12 6 1 M1 Correct method from their probability distribution table with at

E(X) = 0 ×  + 1 × + 2× + 3× least 3 terms, 0 ⩽ their P(x) ⩽ 1, accept unsimplified
 27  27 27 27
 0  12 12 3
=  + + +
 27  27 27 27

=1 A1

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4(a) R^^^^^^^^^R M1 9! Alone on numerator,

9! 3! × k or 6! × k on denominator
3!6!

= 84 A1

4(b) ^ (B B B) ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ M1 7!
× k or 7k seen, k an integer > 0
6!

7! 8 × 7 M1 n ( n –1   
m ×   ) or m × nC2 or m × n P2 , n=7, 8 or 9, m an integer > 0
×
6! 2

M1 n = 8 used in above expression

= 196 A1

Alternative for question 4(b)

[Arrangements, blues together – Arrangements with blues M1 9! Seen alone or as numerator with subtraction
together and reds together =]
9! 8!
−
2!6! 6!

= [252 – 56] M1 8! Seen alone or as numerator in a second term and no other

terms

M1 All terms divided by 6! x k, k an integer

= 196 A1

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5(a) 1 – P(6, 7, 8) M1 One term 8Cx p x (1 − p )

8− x
,   0 < p < 1, x ≠ 0
= 1 – (8C6 0.76 0.32 + 8C7 0.77 0.31 + 0.78 )

= 1 – 0.55177 A1 Correct unsimplified expression, or better

= 0.448 A1

Alternative method for question 5(a)

P(0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5) M1 One term 8Cx p x (1 − p )

8− x
,   0 < p < 1, x ≠ 0
= 0.38 + 8C1 0.710.37 +8C2 0.720.36 + 8C3 0.730.35 +
8
C40.740.34 + 8C5 0.750.33

A1 Correct unsimplified expression, or better

= 0.448 A1

5(b) Mean = 120 × 0.7 = 84 B1 Correct mean and variance, allow unsimplified
Var = 120 × 0.7 × 0.3 =
25.2

 75.5 − 84  M1 Substituting their µ and σ into the ±standardising formula (any

P( more than 75) = P  z >  number), not σ2, not √σ
 25.2 

M1 Using continuity correction 75.5 or 74.5

P( z > −1.693) M1 Appropriate area Φ , from final process, must be a probability

= 0.955 A1 Allow 0.9545 < p ⩽ 0.955

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1(a) 3 1 B1
Prob of 4 (from 1,3, 3,1 or 2,2) = = AG
36 12

1(b) 1 B1
Mean = = 12
1
12

1(c) 5
 11  1 161051 B1
  × = 0.0539 or
 12  12 2985984

1(d)  11 
7 M1
1−  
 12 

16344637 A1
0.456 or
35831808

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2(a) 6! M1

720 A1

2(b) 9! M1
Total number: ( 30240 )
3!2!

8! M1
Number with Ls together = ( 6720 )
3!

9! 8! M1
Number with Ls not together = −
3!2! 3!
= 30 240 – 6720

23 520 A1

Alternative method for question 2(b)

7! 8 × 7
×
3! 2

7! × k in numerator, k integer ≥ 1 M1

8 × 7 × m in numerator or 8C2 × m, m integer ≥ 1 M1

3! in denominator M1

23 520 A1

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5(c) 2 + 12 + 21 35 7 B1
E(X) = = =
15 15 3

12 × 2 + 22 × 6 + 32 × 7  7 
2 M1
Var(X) = − 
15  3

22 A1
( 0.489 )
45

Question Answer Marks

6(a) 8! M1
3!

6720 A1

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Question Answer Marks

6(b) 10! B1
Total number = ( 302400 ) (A)
2!3!

9! B1
With Es together = ( 60480 ) ( B)
3!

Es not together = their (A) – their (B) M1

241920 A1

Alternative method for question 6(b)

_^_^_^_^_^_^_^_^_
8! 9 × 8
×
3! 2

8! × k in numerator, k integer ≥ 1, denominator ≥ 1 B1

3! × m in denominator, m integer ≥ 1 B1

8! M1
Their Multiplied by 9C2 (OE) only (no additional terms)
3!

241920 A1

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6(c) Scenarios: M1
5
EMMM C0 = 1
5
EMM_ C1 = 5
5
EM__ C2 = 10

Summing the number of ways for 2 or 3 correct scenarios M1

Total = 16 A1

Question Answer Marks

7(a) 1 – P(10, 11, 12) M1

= 1 – [12C10 0.72100.282 + 12C11 0.72110.281+0.7212]

1 – (0.19372 + 0.09057 + 0.01941) A1

0.696 A1

7(b) 0.283 × 0.72 = 0.0158 B1

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Question Answer Marks

6(c) Sum of given 11 numbers is 433 000 M1

Sum of 12 numbers, including new = 38 500 × 12 = 462 000 M1

Difference = new salary = [$]29 000 A1

Question Answer Marks

7(a) 9! B1
= 90 720
2!2!

7(b) 6! M1
2!

360 A1

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Question Answer Marks

7(c) 8! M1
2 Es together = ( = 20160 )
2!

Es not together = 90720 – 20160 = 70560 M1

70560 M1
Probability =
90720

7 A1
or 0.778
9

Alternative method for question 7(c)

_^_^_^_^_^_^_^_

7! 8 × 7
× = 70560
2! 2

7! × k in numerator, k integer ⩾ 1, denominator ⩾ 1 M1

Multiplying by 8C2 OE M1

70560 M1
Probability =
90720

7 A1
or 0.778
9

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Question Answer Marks

7(d) Scenarios are: M1

E L _ _ _ 5C3 10
E E L _ _ 5C2 10
E _ _ _ _ 5C4 5
E E _ _ _ 5C3 10

Summing the number of ways for 3 or 4 correct scenarios M1

Total = 35 A1

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