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MA 20205 Probability and Statistics

Assignment No. 4

1. Under a certain complicated birth situation, the mortality rate of a new born child
is given by Z  t   0.5+2 t , t  0. If the baby survives to age one, find the
probability that he/she will survive to age 2.

2. In an examination, a student is considered to have failed, secured second class,


first class and distinction, according as he scores less than 45%, between 45% and
60%, between 60% and 75% and above 75% respectively. In a particular year
10% of students failed in the examination and 5% students got distinction.
Assuming the marks to be normally distributed, find the percentage of students
who get first class and second class respectively.

3. In an industrial process the diameter of a ball bearing is an important component.


The buyer sets specifications on the diameter to be 3.0  0.01 cm. The diameter
has a normal distribution with mean 3 cm. and s.d. 0.005 cm. On the average how
many manufactured balls will be scrapped?

4. The width of a duralumin forging is (in inches) normally distributed with  = 0.9
and  = 0.003. The specification limits were given as 0.9  0.005. What
percentage of forgings will be defective? What is the maximum allowable value of
 that will permit no more than 1 defective in 100 when the widths are
N(0.9, 2 )?

5. The height a university high jumper will clear, each time he jumps, is a normal
r.v. with mean 2 meters and s.d. 10 cm. What is the greatest height that he will
jump with probability 0.95? What is the height that he will clear only 10% of the
time?

6. If a set of marks on a Statistics exam is approximately𝑁 74, 62.41 , find


a) the lowest passing grade if the lowest 10% of the students are given F’s;
b) the highest B if the top 5% of the students are given A’s;
c) the lowest B if the top 10% of the students are given A’s and the next 25% are
given B’s.

7. The diameters 𝑋 of a ball-bearing are distributed normally with mean 𝜇 and


standard deviation unity, If 𝑋 lies in the specification limits of 6 to 8 inches, a
profit of Rs. 𝐶 is gained. However, in case 𝑋 6 or 𝑋 8, there is a loss of Rs.
𝐶 or Rs. 𝐶 respectively. Find the value of 𝜇 that maximizes the expected profit.

8. IQ levels of the candidates for a particular job selection are normally distributed
with mean 90 and standard deviation 5. Find the approximate probability that a
randomly selected candidate has IQ level between 85 and 95. Suppose four
candidates are randomly selected. Find the probability that at least two of them
have IQ levels between 85 and 95.

9. A production company has 200 machines and they operate independently. The
time to failure for each machine is given by a random variable X , measured in
years with pdf given as

2
 , if x  1
f ( x)   x3
 0, if x  1

Use binomial approximation to normal to find the probability that at least 60


machines will be working for more than two years. (Use continuity corrections).

10. In a probability and statistics class, the total number of students is 200. A
professor gives a question to the students as a surprise test. The probability that a
randomly selected student can solve the question is 0.5. What is the probability
that at least 110 students in the class cannot solve the Question? Use normal
approximation to binomial. (Use continuity corrections).

11. Trains arrive and depart at Kanpur railway station according to a Poisson process
at a rate one per three minutes. What is the probability that between 2:00 p.m. to
3:00 p.m. the number of trains arriving or departing is at least 17 and not more
than 25? Use normal approximation with continuity corrections.

12. Let 𝑌 denote the diameter in mm. of certain type of nuts. Assume that 𝑌 has a log-
normal distribution with parameters 𝜇 0.8 and 𝜎 0.1. Find the probability
that a randomly selected nut has diameter more than 2.7 mm. Between what two
values will 𝑌 fall with probability 0.95?

13. A random variable 𝑋 has a beta distribution with mean and the variance is .
Find 𝑃 0.2 𝑋 0.5 .

14. Let 𝑋 follow a zero truncated Poisson distribution with the probability mass
function given by
1 𝑒 𝜆
𝑃 𝑋 𝑥 , 𝑥 1,2 ,3, …
1 𝑒 𝑥!

Find 𝐸 .

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