Assign 4 2021 Autumn
Assign 4 2021 Autumn
Assign 4 2021 Autumn
Assignment No. 4
1. Under a certain complicated birth situation, the mortality rate of a new born child
is given by Z t 0.5+2 t , t 0. If the baby survives to age one, find the
probability that he/she will survive to age 2.
4. The width of a duralumin forging is (in inches) normally distributed with = 0.9
and = 0.003. The specification limits were given as 0.9 0.005. What
percentage of forgings will be defective? What is the maximum allowable value of
that will permit no more than 1 defective in 100 when the widths are
N(0.9, 2 )?
5. The height a university high jumper will clear, each time he jumps, is a normal
r.v. with mean 2 meters and s.d. 10 cm. What is the greatest height that he will
jump with probability 0.95? What is the height that he will clear only 10% of the
time?
8. IQ levels of the candidates for a particular job selection are normally distributed
with mean 90 and standard deviation 5. Find the approximate probability that a
randomly selected candidate has IQ level between 85 and 95. Suppose four
candidates are randomly selected. Find the probability that at least two of them
have IQ levels between 85 and 95.
9. A production company has 200 machines and they operate independently. The
time to failure for each machine is given by a random variable X , measured in
years with pdf given as
2
, if x 1
f ( x) x3
0, if x 1
10. In a probability and statistics class, the total number of students is 200. A
professor gives a question to the students as a surprise test. The probability that a
randomly selected student can solve the question is 0.5. What is the probability
that at least 110 students in the class cannot solve the Question? Use normal
approximation to binomial. (Use continuity corrections).
11. Trains arrive and depart at Kanpur railway station according to a Poisson process
at a rate one per three minutes. What is the probability that between 2:00 p.m. to
3:00 p.m. the number of trains arriving or departing is at least 17 and not more
than 25? Use normal approximation with continuity corrections.
12. Let 𝑌 denote the diameter in mm. of certain type of nuts. Assume that 𝑌 has a log-
normal distribution with parameters 𝜇 0.8 and 𝜎 0.1. Find the probability
that a randomly selected nut has diameter more than 2.7 mm. Between what two
values will 𝑌 fall with probability 0.95?
13. A random variable 𝑋 has a beta distribution with mean and the variance is .
Find 𝑃 0.2 𝑋 0.5 .
14. Let 𝑋 follow a zero truncated Poisson distribution with the probability mass
function given by
1 𝑒 𝜆
𝑃 𝑋 𝑥 , 𝑥 1,2 ,3, …
1 𝑒 𝑥!
Find 𝐸 .