Sample 1
Sample 1
Sample 1
Abstract
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directory
Abstract .................................................................................................................... I
1 Introduction ...........................................................................................................1
1.1 Research background ............................................................................1
1.2 Research significance ...........................................................................2
1.3 Research content ...................................................................................4
2Literature review ....................................................................................................6
2.1 Explanation of the concept of digital economy ....................................6
2.2 Digital economy measurement .............................................................7
2.3 Measurement of the development degree of low-carbon economy ......8
2.4 Literature review ...................................................................................9
3 Measurement of digital economy development level ......................................... 11
3.1 Research methods ............................................................................... 11
3.1.1 Entropy method................................................................................ 11
3.1.2 CRITC Law Empowerment ............................................................. 11
3.1.3 Multiplicative weighted combination weighting .............................12
3.2 Sample selection and data sources ......................................................13
3.3 Comprehensive weight calculation and measurement results ............14
3.3.1 Combination weight.........................................................................14
3.3.2 WSA comprehensive score of national digital economy level ........16
4 Measurement of low-carbon development of the steel industry .........................17
4.1 Sample selection and data sources ......................................................17
4.2 Comprehensive weight calculation and measurement results ............17
4.2.1 Combination weight.........................................................................17
4.2.2 Analysis of low-carbon level of WSA national steel industry .........18
5 Empirical research on digital economy empowering low-carbon development of
the steel industry ....................................................................................................20
5.1 Panel vector autoregressive model .....................................................20
5.2 LLC stationarity test ...........................................................................20
5.3 Analysis of empirical results ...............................................................21
5.3.1 Selection of lag order .......................................................................22
5.3.2 System generalized moment estimation ..........................................22
5.3.3 Granger causality test.......................................................................23
5.3.4 Impulse response analysis................................................................23
5.3.5 Variance decomposition ...................................................................25
5.4 The driving effect of digital infrastructure on the low-carbon
development of the steel industry .............................................................26
5.4.1 Optimal lag order selection ..............................................................26
5.4.2 System generalized moment estimation ..........................................26
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5.4.3 Granger causality test ...................................................................... 27
5.4.4 Impulse response analysis ............................................................... 27
5.4.5 Variance decomposition .................................................................. 28
5.5 The driving effect of technological innovation on the low-carbon
development of the steel industry............................................................. 29
5.5.1 Determination of the optimal lag order ........................................... 29
5.5.2 System generalized moment estimation .......................................... 29
5.5.3 Impulse response analysis ............................................................... 30
5.5.4 Variance decomposition .................................................................. 31
5.6 The driving effect of digital environment on the low-carbon
development of the steel industry............................................................. 32
5.6.1 Determination of the optimal lag order ........................................... 32
5.6.2 System generalized moment estimation .......................................... 32
5.6.3 Impulse response analysis ............................................................... 33
5.6.4 Variance decomposition .................................................................. 34
5.7 Summary of this chapter .................................................................... 35
6Conclusion and outlook ....................................................................................... 36
6.1 Research conclusion ........................................................................... 36
6.2 Research prospects ............................................................................. 36
references ............................................................................................................... 39
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1 Introduction
In March 2024, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released the "2023
Carbon Emissions Report." The report mentioned that in 2023, global energy
carbon dioxide emissions increased by 1.1%, an absolute increase of 410 million
tons, reaching a record high of 37.4 billion tons, of which coal carbon emissions
accounted for more than 65% of the increase. In 2023, my country's carbon
emissions will increase by about 565 million tons, continuing my country's high-
carbon emissions economic model, with the largest increase among countries in the
world. At present, my country's per capita carbon emissions are 15% higher than
those of developed economies. Greenhouse gas emissions have led to rising global
temperatures. As the world's second largest economy and the largest carbon emitter,
my country must assume its emission reduction responsibilities and promote low-
carbon development.
Among industrial categories, the carbon emissions of the steel industry
account for 15% of the country's total carbon emissions, ranking first among the 31
industry categories in my country's manufacturing industry; my country's crude
steel output has always accounted for more than half of the world, and the steel
industry's carbon emissions account for 15% of the total. More than 60% of the total
carbon emissions of the global steel industry are the largest source of carbon
emissions in the global steel industry. As a traditional high-energy-consuming
industry, the steel industry needs to gradually transform into high-tech, low-carbon
and environmentally friendly industries.
In the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, General
Secretary Xi Jinping proposed the concepts of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality,
which raised new requirements and challenges for my country's steel industry. In
January 2024, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other
departments jointly issued the "Implementation Guidelines for Digital
Transformation of the Steel Industry", pointing out that the digital economy needs
to empower the development of the steel industry, and proposed that by 2026, the
overall level of digitalization of the steel industry will be significantly improved,
requiring emerging information Technology is deeply integrated into the steel
industry, continuing to improve the industry's digital ecosystem, and basically
realizing a systematic and global digital steel industry.
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In the "14th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development
of the People's Republic of China and the Outline of Long-term Goals for 2035"
and the "14th Five-Year Plan for Digital Economy Development", my country has
proposed the combination of digital economy and low-carbon development. , to
determine my country’s carbon peak and carbon-neutral development path. With
the high degree of policy support in my country, the steel industry urgently needs
to accelerate the digitalization process, promote the optimization of industrial
structure, and develop a low-carbon economy intelligently and efficiently[1].
The digital economy can provide new impetus for industrial structure
upgrading for traditional industries. It can use and integrate digital information
technologies such as big data, cloud computing, and the Internet of Things to
monitor and intelligently manage the production processes of traditional industries
in real time, and track specific energy consumption and emissions in real time.
situation, simplify the production process, and reduce unnecessary energy
consumption and production costs[2].
In terms of comprehensive utilization of resources, the digital economy
provides a digital platform for raw material procurement, manufacturing and
product sales in the steel industry, enabling refined management. For example, an
intelligent logistics system can be established to optimize the transportation routes
of raw materials and finished products, reducing unnecessary waste of resources
and energy consumption emissions; intelligent management of warehousing can
improve management efficiency and reduce resource waste.
In summary, the traditional steel industry can control energy consumption and
emission levels, improve internal resource utilization efficiency, and promote the
low-carbon and sustainable development of the steel industry by using information
technology in the digital economy.
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As a leading country in global Internet applications, our country's digital
market and technology are developing at an alarming rate. With the widespread
application of digital technology in resource allocation, energy utilization,
environmental protection and innovation activities, its role in achieving the "double
carbon" goal has attracted increasing attention. The digital economy built by the
new generation of information technology is providing momentum for the
development of high-quality manufacturing and promoting the development of
industries in the direction of advanced and low-carbon development. The core
competitiveness of the digital economy is to improve the efficiency of social
resource allocation, which makes it have broad application prospects in multiple
industrial fields.
In view of the shortcomings of existing research and the strong momentum of
my country's digital economy and the urgent need for digital transformation of the
steel industry, this study focuses on the enabling role of the digital economy in the
low-carbon development of the steel industry and enriches related research on the
role of the digital economy in the real economy. This research has certain practical
significance for responding to the current global carbon emissions problem and for
my country to actively promote social emission reduction measures and promote
the prosperity and development of the regional digital economy in the new era.
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2Literature review
The integration of the digital economy and the real economy has only been
proposed in recent years, so scholars have not done much research on this concept.
At the same time, integration involves different aspects, levels, and contents, and it
is an extremely abstract and broad concept. Among them, Yu Le and Pan
Xinxing[3]believe that: in a narrow sense, it refers to the process of integrating
digital information technology with industry, agriculture, construction and
commerce, and related material production; in a broad sense, it refers to the
industrialized society. process and the social process of digitization.
Yan Deli[4]believes that the product of the integration of the digital economy
and the real economy is the "digital real economy", which is the main component
of the digital economy and its main body belongs to the real economy; Wu
Hequan[5]Based on the understanding that the digital economy is the digital
industrial economy and the digital agricultural economy, it is believed that the
digital economy is the real economy.
The above scholars basically have the same view on the digital economy. They
believe that the digital economy can drive the development of the real economy and
is the driving force and source of the real economy. Wang Yanan[6]Based on the
development status of my country's manufacturing industry, combined with the
advantages and disadvantages of the manufacturing industry, Wang Yanan
proposed that the integration of the digital economy and the real economy can not
only change the original growth model of the manufacturing industry, but also
enhance the competitiveness of the manufacturing industry. , and can find new
growth points in the manufacturing industry through the development of producer
services.
Liu Jichao and Pang Yang[7]proposed that based on information technology,
promoting the digital revolution of manufacturing and the distributed energy
Internet can enable large-scale customization, socialization, and networking of
production methods, and gradually Form an open, cooperative and decentralized
business model and business structure. The use of informatization to transform the
production, manufacturing and operation management of the entire link is the main
way to promote the traditional manufacturing industry to gradually move towards
green and low-carbon development, and to enhance the competitiveness of the
manufacturing industry. Chen Yangcai[8]pointed out that driven by the integration
of industrialization and industrialization, the transformation and upgrading of the
industrial structure of the coal industry has achieved obvious results. The upgrading
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of industrial technology has achieved efficient utilization of coal resources,
allowing the coal industry to gradually develop low-carbon Economy and improve
the manufacturing level of coal machinery equipment.
The term "low carbon economy" appeared in articles in the late 1990s, but in
2003 the UK government published an energy report on creating a low carbon
economy. To make the UK a truly low-carbon economy by providing energy and
reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The report first proposed the concept of "low-
carbon economy", which can reduce energy consumption and environmental
pollution. Although this report does not clearly define "low-carbon economy", since
the term "low-carbon economy" was proposed, many scholars at home and abroad
have conducted in-depth discussions on it and put forward many new perspectives.
Different scholars' research on low-carbon development mainly conducts in-
depth analysis from the aspects of policies and regulations, influencing factors, and
development paths. Mulugetta and Urban[20]pointed out that countries should learn
from the climate change policies of other countries and incorporate low-carbon
development measures into development policies based on their own realities.
Xin[21]et al. conducted an in-depth discussion on the connotation and influencing
factors of inclusive low-carbon development on the basis of research on low-carbon
development. The study found that my country’s inclusive low-carbon development
level has grown steadily, and urbanization and Human factors have a significant
impact on inclusive low-carbon development.
Gupta[22]explored the macroeconomic consequences of India's existing low-
carbon path through energy and economic modeling. The research results show that
the low-carbon path can enable the Indian economy to achieve inclusive and rapid
growth. Barron[23]believes that publicizing and popularizing carbon neutrality from
higher education institutions can help change policies and markets on a larger scale,
which is beneficial to the United States' achievement of carbon neutrality goals.
Zhou Li[24]et al. sorted out the existing results in the field of low-carbon
development research, and the research results show that measures to control
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greenhouse gases can bring better environmental and economic benefits.
Research on low-carbon development evaluation is mainly reflected in the
differences in evaluation objects, evaluation methods and evaluation index systems.
The low-carbon development level evaluation system selects environmental
protection and low-carbon indicators. Different scholars have different priorities in
constructing the evaluation index system, and use different methods for
comprehensive evaluation, such as the analytic hierarchy process, the entropy
weight method, and the gray correlation method. and data envelopment analysis
methods to evaluate the low-carbon development levels of different industries or
regions. Some scholars study low-carbon development from the regional level.
Jiang Jinhe[25]By evaluating the low-carbon development of 30 provinces and
municipalities across the country, he concluded that economy and energy are the
main factors driving the increase in carbon emissions in each region. Wu Yiqing
and Yao Lianxiao[26]evaluated the low-carbon development level of the Beijing-
Tianjin-Hebei region by measuring carbon total factor productivity. The analysis
results showed that the low-carbon development level of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei
region has a large gap, and it should start from energy, industry , Promote low-
carbon development from a digital perspective.
Through the above literature, the measurement of low-carbon development
levels at home and abroad is basically limited to a certain area. An indicator system
is constructed from relevant environmental protection and low-carbon indicators
such as carbon emission levels and carbon emission technologies, and different
regions are analyzed through different methods.
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3 Measurement of digital economy development level
(2) Calculate the characteristic proportion of the i-th evaluation sample in the
j-th indicator𝑃𝑖𝑗
𝑥
𝑃𝑖𝑗 = ∑𝑚 𝑖𝑗𝑋 (3-3)
𝑖=1 𝑖𝑗
If𝜌 ∈ (0,1], the two weighting methods are considered consistent and can be
combined for weighting.
(2) Multiplicative weighted combination weighting
In order to integrate the advantages of the two weight calculations and make up
for their shortcomings, the weights obtained by the entropy weight method and the
CRITIC method are combined and empowered. Common combination weighting
includes multiplicative combination weighting and additive average combination
weighting[31], etc. Since the selection of the additive average combination weighting
preference coefficient is subjective[32], This paper adopts multiplicative
combination weighting method for weighting;
The combination weight determined by multiplicative weighting is to multiply
the weights of the indicators and then normalize them. The specific formula is as
follows:
𝑝 𝑞
𝑊𝑗 = ∑𝑚 𝑗 𝑝𝑗 𝑞 (3-15)
𝑖=1 𝑗 𝑗
Table 3-1 WSA national digital economy level measurement indicator system
First level Secondary
Level three indicators source variable direction
indicator indicators
Number of mobile network users WDI X1 +
Landline penetration rate WDI X2 +
Fixed broadband penetration WDI X3 +
digital
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per
infrastructure WDI X4 +
100 people)
Digital
Secure Internet Servers (per million
economy level WDI X5 +
people)
Scientific and technical journal
WDI X6 +
Technological articles
innovation R&D expenditure as a share of
WDI X7 +
GDP
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Share of labor force with higher
WDI X9 +
education
Higher education enrollment rate WDI X10 +
ICT cutting-edge technology
UNCTAD X11 +
readiness
Proportion of total education
WDI X12 +
expenditure
Availability of latest technology WEF X13 +
Number of ICT-related papers
SJR X14 +
published
Ease of doing business score WDI X15 +
Ease of starting a business score WDI X16 +
Transparency in government
digital WEF X17 +
decision-making
environment
Telecom services revenue (USD) ITU X18 +
Mobile network revenue (USD) ITU X19 +
ICT service export WDI X20 +
Table 3-1 WSA national digital economy level measurement indicator system
This article uses stata17.0 to calculate the entropy weight method weights of
the following indicators, and uses excel to calculate the CRTIC method weights of
the following indicators. After testing the data stability, multiplicative combination
weighting is used to calculate the final combination weight. The results are as
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shown in Table 3- 2 shown:
Table 3-2 WSA national digital economy level entropy weight method and
CRITIC method combination weight results
Table 3-2 WSA national digital economy level entropy weight method and
CRITIC method combination weight results
Telecom services revenue in US$ X18 0.1108
Mobile Network Revenue USD X19 0.1095
ICT service export X20 0.0488
Information and communication services
X21 0.0161
export
Venture Capital Availability X22 0.0396
government efficiency X23 0.0064
Logistics Performance Index X24 0.0620
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3.3.2 WSA comprehensive score of national digital economy level
Based on the weight of the entropy method and the multiplicative weighted
combination of the CRITIC method, the digital economy-related data of WSA
member countries from 2010 to 2022 can be calculated to calculate the
comprehensive score of the digital economy level of each country. From a national
perspective, vertically, The top five are the United States, my country, Japan,
Germany and South Korea, with comprehensive scores of 10.971, 10.538, 10.410,
9.906 and 9.905 respectively; the bottom five are North Macedonia, Moldova,
Turkey, Iran and Cuba, with comprehensive scores of 7.767 and 7.708 respectively. ,
3.563, 3.536, 2.146, the data showed a cliff-like decline, and the difference between
the highest and lowest scores was about 5 times. It can be seen that the development
of the digital economy in WSA countries is uneven and there is a trend of
polarization.
In order to further analyze the scores of countries with different levels of
development and their digital economy development levels, WSA countries were
divided into developed and developing countries, and their digital economy
comprehensive average values from 2010 to 2022 were plotted.
As can be seen from the figure, the overall development level of the digital
economy is relatively stable. There is always a large gap between developed
countries and developing countries. Developed countries have stabilized at a level
of around 9.3, while developing countries have stabilized at a level of around 8.4.
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4 Measurement of low-carbon development of the steel
industry
Based on the research of scholars such as Ding Tao et al[35]and Ding Yumei et
al[36], this article takes the low-carbon development of the steel industry as the main
indicator, from the energy consumption level, emission level and Starting from
three secondary indicators of green technology, five third-level indicators were
selected to measure the low-carbon development level of the steel industry. The
specific indicators are shown in Table 4-1.
This article uses stata17.0 to calculate the entropy weight method of the five
indicators, and uses excel to calculate the weight of the CRTIC method of the five
indicators. After testing the data stability, multiplicative combination weighting is
used to calculate the final combination weight. The results are shown in the table
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As shown in 4-2;
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Figure 4-1 WSA national steel industry low-carbon development level
scores
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5 Empirical research on digital economy empowering low-
carbon development of the steel industry
This article constructs a PVAR model between the digital economy and the
low-carbon level of the steel industry, and analyzes the relationship between the
digital economy and the low-carbon level of the steel industry.
The panel vector autoregression model can analyze the inherent influence
relationship between variables, estimate the degree of influence of variables by time
series and random interference[37], reduce the error impact of the model, and make
the empirical results more robust and The accuracy has been improved. The text
refers to the practices of scholars such as Wu Jiaxu[38]and Zuo Pengfei[39]to obtain
the general form of the panel vector autoregressive model:
𝑌𝑖,𝑡 = Γ𝑋𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛾𝑡 + 𝜇𝑖 + 𝜀𝑖𝑡 (5-1)
The total number of observation periods is T,𝑋𝑖,𝑡 is the explained variable,𝑌𝑖,𝑡 is
the explanatory variable, and the parametersΓis the k*1-dimensional coefficient
vector of𝑋𝑖,𝑡 ,𝑋𝑖,𝑡 is the explanatory variable of the T*K order of the lag term Matrix,
k is the number of explanatory variables,𝜇𝑖 is the individual effect,𝛾𝑡 is the time
effect,𝜀𝑖𝑡 is a distractor;
(1) Average data of each section
𝑌̅𝑖,𝑡 = Γ𝑋̅𝑖,𝑡 + 𝜇̅𝑖 + 𝛾̅𝑡 + 𝜀̅𝑖𝑡 (5-2)
(2) After eliminating the time effect
𝑌̃𝑖,𝑡 = Γ𝑋̃𝑖,𝑡 + 𝜇̃𝑖 + 𝛾̃𝑡 + 𝜀𝑖 (5-3)
Among them, 𝑌̃𝑖𝑡 = 𝑌𝑖𝑡 − 𝑌̅𝑖𝑡 , 𝑋̃𝑖𝑡 = 𝑋𝑖𝑡 − 𝑋̅𝑖𝑡 , 𝜇̃𝑖𝑡 = 𝜇𝑖𝑡 − 𝜇̅𝑖𝑡 , 𝛾̃𝑖𝑡 = 𝛾𝑖𝑡 −
𝛾̅𝑖𝑡 , 𝜀̃𝑖𝑡 = 𝜀𝑖𝑡 − 𝜀̅𝑖𝑡 .
(3) After eliminating individual effects
𝑌̅𝑖𝑡 = 𝑋̅𝑖𝑡 + 𝜇̅̅𝑖 + 𝜀̅𝑖𝑡̅ (5-4)
Available:
𝑌̌𝑖𝑡 = Γ𝑋̌𝑖𝑡 + 𝜀̌𝑖𝑡 (5-5)
This paper establishes a panel vector autoregressive model between the digital
economy and the low-carbon level of the steel industry to analyze the dynamic
impact of the digital economy on the low-carbon development of the steel industry.
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5.3.1 Selection of lag order
Blundell and Bond proposed system GMM, which mainly combines the
advantages of differential GMM and horizontal GMM estimation[41]. When the
number of moment conditions is greater than the number of parameters, the distance
function (moment two) is solved. subtype), this method can effectively overcome
the endogenous problem caused by the lag term and the weak instrumental variable
problem[42]. The results of generalized moment estimation of the digital economy
and low-carbon development of the steel industry are shown in Table 5-3:
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significant at the 5% and 1% levels of significance respectively. From the
coefficient point of view, the digital economy coefficient of 0.256 lagged four
periods is greater than the coefficient 0.043 of the low-carbon level of the steel
industry lagged four periods, indicating that the impact of the digital economy
lagged four periods on the low-carbon economy of the current steel industry is
greater than that of steel lagged four periods. The impact of industrial low-carbon
economy on the current low-carbon economy of the steel industry.
In terms of the digital economy of the current period, only the digital economy
lagged one period is significant at the 1% level, and its coefficient is 0.490,
indicating that the digital economy lagged one period has an impact on the digital
economy of the current period. As the number of periods increases, Its influence on
itself gradually weakens and is no longer trusted.
To sum up, it can be seen from the system generalized moment estimation
results that the digital economy has a promoting effect on the low-carbon economy
of the steel industry, which is greater than the promoting effect of the low-carbon
development of the steel industry itself; while the impact of the steel industry on
the digital economy is not significant; Among them, the steel industry and the
digital economy both promote their own development.
The left picture in the first row shows the impact of the digital economy's
disturbance on itself. It can be seen from this figure that the digital economy will
have a significant positive impact on itself. However, as the number of periods
increases, the impact gradually weakens. And it converges to 0, indicating that the
digital economy alignment itself has a significant positive promotion effect.
The picture on the right of the first row shows the impact of the low-carbon
level of the steel industry on the digital economy. The impact of the steel industry
on the digital economy in the first period is 0. The value of the impact of the steel
industry on the digital economy in periods 1-6 is distributed around 0, which cannot
explain the low carbon level of the steel industry. Regarding the impact of carbon
development on the digital economy, this result is mutually verified with the results
obtained by GMM estimation;
The left picture in the second row shows the impact of the disturbance of the
digital economy on the low-carbon level of the steel industry. From the pulse chart,
it can be seen that in the first two periods, the digital economy had a greater impact
on the low-carbon development of the steel industry, but in 0 The value fluctuates
up and down, and gradually converges to zero in about 6 periods;
The right picture in the second row shows the impact of perturbations on the
low-carbon level of the steel industry on itself. It can be seen from the impulse
response diagram that the impact from the outside will first have a significant
impact on its own low-carbon level, but then the effect gradually weakens.
Convergence to zero at approximately period 6;
In summary, through impulse response analysis, it can be seen that the digital
economy has an empowering effect on the low-carbon development of the steel
industry. It will have a greater impact in the early stage, and in the long term the
effect will weaken and converge to zero; the level of low-carbon development of
the steel industry has an impact on The impact of the digital economy is not
significant. The digital economy and the low-carbon development level of the steel
industry have a certain promoting effect on themselves.
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5.3.5 Variance decomposition
In order to study the impact of the digital economy on the low-carbon level of
the steel industry, five-period variance decomposition was used. The results are
shown in Table 5-5:
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5.4 The driving effect of digital infrastructure on the low-carbon
development of the steel industry
Establish a panel vector autoregressive model for digital infrastructure and the
low-carbon development of the steel industry, conduct optimal order selection,
system generalized moment estimation, Granger test, impulse response analysis and
variance test, and analyze in detail the impact of digital infrastructure on the low-
carbon development of the steel industry. The driving effect of carbon development.
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To sum up, digital infrastructure has a significant positive impact on the steel
industry, while the impact of low-carbon development of the steel industry on
digital infrastructure is not significant.
The left figure in the first row shows the impact of digital infrastructure's
disturbance alignment on itself. It can be seen from this figure that digital
infrastructure will have a significant positive impact on itself and will last for a
longer period. The impact gradually weakens and converges to 0 around the eighth
period, indicating that digital infrastructure has a significant and long-term positive
promoting effect on itself.
The right picture in the first row shows the impact of the low-carbon level of
the steel industry on digital infrastructure. The impact of the steel industry on digital
infrastructure in the first period 1-6 is distributed around 0, which cannot explain
the low-carbon level of the steel industry. Regarding the impact of development on
digital infrastructure, this result is also mutually verified with the results obtained
by GMM estimation;
The left picture in the second row shows the impact of digital infrastructure
disturbance on the low-carbon level of the steel industry. In periods 0-1, the impact
of digital infrastructure on the low-carbon development of the steel industry
gradually increased, reaching a peak in the first period, and It gradually fell back in
periods 2-6 and gradually converged to zero in about period 6, indicating that digital
infrastructure has a significant positive effect on the low-carbon development of the
steel industry;
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The right picture in the second row shows the impact of perturbations on the
low-carbon level of the steel industry on itself. It can be seen from the impulse
response diagram that the impact from the outside will first have a significant
impact on its own low-carbon level, but then the effect gradually weakens.
Convergence to zero at approximately period 6;
In summary, through impulse response analysis, it can be seen that digital
infrastructure has an enabling effect on the low-carbon development of the steel
industry, reaching a peak in the first period, and the effect weakens but is still
significant in the long term; the low-carbon development level of the steel industry
has an impact on the digital The impact of infrastructure is not significant. Both
digital infrastructure and the low-carbon development level of the steel industry
have a certain promoting effect on itself.
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in the initial period to 41.1% in the fifth period, indicating that the low-carbon
development of the steel industry has a certain impact on digital infrastructure.
In summary, through variance decomposition, it can be seen that the impact of
digital infrastructure on the low-carbon development of the steel industry has a time
lag effect, and can provide a relatively stable boost to low-carbon development in
the later stages of development. The low-carbon development of the steel industry
also has an impact on the digital infrastructure. Have a certain impact. The
explanation rates of digital infrastructure and the low-carbon level of the steel
industry are higher than other variables, indicating that both have strong self-
reinforcing mechanisms.
The results in Table 5-10 are calculated using three criteria: AIC, BIC, and
HQIC. The three criteria all achieve minimum values at one lag period. According
to the test results, this article constructs a panel vector autoregression of
technological innovation on the low-carbon level of the steel industry. The model
is lagged one order.
The left figure in the first row shows the impact of the disturbance alignment
of technological innovation on itself. It can be seen from this figure that
technological innovation will have a significant positive impact on itself in the
initial stage, and the impact will gradually weaken in the second period. And it
converged to 0 in the eighth period, indicating that digital infrastructure has a
significant positive promotion effect on itself.
The right picture in the first row shows the impact of the low-carbon level of
the steel industry on technological innovation. The impact of the steel industry on
technological innovation in the first period is 0, and periods 1-6 are distributed
around the 0 value, which cannot explain the steel industry. Regarding the impact
of low-carbon development on technological innovation, this result is also mutually
verified with the results obtained by GMM estimation;
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The left figure in the second row shows the impact of technological innovation
disturbances on the low-carbon level of the steel industry. The impact of digital
infrastructure on the low-carbon development of the steel industry gradually
increased in periods 0-1, reaching a peak in the first period, and peaking in the
second period. -It gradually fell back in period 6 and gradually converged to zero
in about period 6, indicating that technological innovation has a significant positive
effect on the low-carbon development of the steel industry;
The right picture in the second row shows the impact of perturbations on the
low-carbon level of the steel industry on itself. It can be seen from the impulse
response diagram that the impact from the outside will first have a significant
impact on its own low-carbon level in the initial stage, but the subsequent effects It
gradually weakens and converges to zero in about the 6th period;
In summary, through impulse response analysis, it can be seen that
technological innovation has an empowering effect on the low-carbon development
of the steel industry, reaching a peak in the first period, indicating that technological
innovation can promote the low-carbon development of the steel industry; and the
low-carbon development level of the steel industry has an impact on the low-carbon
development of the steel industry. The impact of technological innovation is not
significant; both digital infrastructure and the low-carbon development level of the
steel industry have a certain promoting effect on themselves.
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Judging from the variance explanation rate of technological innovation on the
low-carbon development of the steel industry, it increased from 30.4% in the second
period to 96% in the fifth period. The explanation rate was low in the early period
and grew rapidly in the later period, indicating that technological innovation has a
low impact on the steel industry. Carbon development has a time lag effect.
Judging from the variance explanation rate of the low-carbon level of the steel
industry on technological innovation, the explanation rate has remained stable at
around 0.1% in these five periods, indicating that the low-carbon development of
the steel industry has a small impact on technological innovation.
In summary, through variance decomposition, it can be seen that the impact of
technological innovation on the low-carbon development of the steel industry has a
time lag effect, and it can provide relatively stable assistance for low-carbon
development in the later stages of development. The explanation rates of
technological innovation and the low-carbon level of the steel industry are higher
than other variables, indicating that both have strong self-reinforcing mechanisms.
Construct a panel vector autoregressive model for the digital environment and
low-carbon development of the steel industry, conduct optimal order selection,
system generalized moment estimation, and analyze in detail the role of the digital
environment in promoting the low-carbon development of the steel industry.
The results in Table 5-13 are calculated using three criteria: AIC, BIC, and
HQIC. All three criteria achieve minimum values at one lag period. According to
the test results, the digital environment constructed in this article has a panel vector
autoregression on the low-carbon level of the steel industry. The model is lagged
one order.
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Table 5-14 GMM estimation results of digital environment and low-carbon
development of the steel industry
Taking the digital environment of the current period as the explained variable,
the influence of the digital environment lagged one period on itself is significant at
a p-value of 1%, and the coefficient is 0.757, indicating that the digital environment
can have a significant impact on itself in a relatively short period of time. It has a
positive promotion effect; while the low-carbon development of the steel industry
that lags one period has no significant impact on the digital environment, and there
is no significant impact from the coefficient point of view, indicating that the low-
carbon development of the steel industry has no significant impact on the digital
environment in the short term.
Taking the low-carbon level of the steel industry in the current period as the
explained variable and the digital environment lagged one period as the explanatory
variable, from the p-value point of view, it is significant at the 5% level, but its
coefficient is 0.027, indicating that the digital environment has a significant impact
on the steel industry. The low-carbon level has a small impact; taking the one-period
lagged low-carbon development of the steel industry as an explanatory variable,
from the p-value point of view, it is significant at the 1% level, with a coefficient
of 0.971, indicating that it has an impact on the low-carbon development of the steel
industry itself. Development has a significant positive impact.
To sum up, from the systematic generalized moment estimation of the low-
carbon level of the steel industry by the digital environment, it can be seen that the
digital environment has a small promotion effect on the low-carbon development
of the steel industry. Both the digital environment and the low-carbon development
of the steel industry have their own effects. It has a more obvious promoting effect.
The left picture in the first row shows the impact of the digital environment's
disturbance on itself. It can be seen from this figure that the digital environment
will have a significant positive impact on itself in the initial stage, and the impact
will gradually weaken in the second period. And it converged to 0 in the fifth period,
indicating that the digital environment has a significant positive promoting effect
on itself.
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The right picture in the first row shows the impact of the low-carbon level of
the steel industry on the digital environment. The impact of the steel industry on
technological innovation in the first period is 0, and periods 1-6 are distributed
around the 0 value, which cannot explain the steel industry. Regarding the impact
of low-carbon development on the digital environment, this result is also mutually
verified with the results obtained by GMM estimation;
The left picture in the second row shows the impact of the disturbance of the
digital environment on the low-carbon level of the steel industry. In period 0-1, the
digital environment has a certain impact on the low-carbon development of the steel
industry, but it fluctuates around the 0 value. It gradually fell back in periods 2-6
and gradually converged to zero in about period 6, indicating that technological
innovation has a greater impact on the low-carbon development of the steel industry;
The right picture in the second row shows the impact of the perturbation of the
low-carbon level of the steel industry on itself. It can be seen from the impulse
response diagram that it has a significant impact on its own low-carbon level in the
initial stage, but then the effect weakens rapidly. Convergence to zero in period 6;
In summary, through impulse response analysis, it can be seen that the digital
environment has a certain impact on the low-carbon development of the steel
industry, while the low-carbon development level of the steel industry has no
significant impact on the digital environment; both the digital environment and the
low-carbon development level of the steel industry have an impact on the low-
carbon development of the steel industry. It has a certain promoting effect in itself.
In order to study the impact of the digital environment on the low-carbon level
of the steel industry, five-period variance decomposition was used. The results are
shown in Table 5-15:
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carbon development of the steel industry is itself, and it has always remained
relatively stable. stable impact magnitude;
Judging from the variance explanation rate of the digital environment for the
low-carbon development of the steel industry, it increased from 34% in the second
period to 81.5% in the fifth period. The explanation rate was low in the early stage
and gradually increased in the later period, indicating that the digital environment
has an important impact on the low-carbon development of the steel industry.
Development has a time lag effect, and it relatively quickly promotes the low-
carbon development of the steel industry.
Judging from the variance explanation rate of the low-carbon level of the steel
industry on the digital environment, the explanation rate gradually increased from
0.1% in the second period to 0.6% in the fifth period. The explanation rate was low
and grew slowly, indicating the low-carbon development of the steel industry. It
has a certain impact on the digital environment.
In summary, through variance decomposition, it can be seen that the impact of
the digital environment on the low-carbon development of the steel industry has a
time lag effect. It can develop rapidly in the later stages of development and provide
higher assistance to low-carbon development. The low-carbon development of the
steel industry also has a positive impact on the industry. The digital environment
has certain impacts. The digital environment and the low-carbon level of the steel
industry have higher explanation rates for themselves than other variables,
indicating that both have strong self-reinforcing mechanisms.
This article constructs a panel vector autoregressive model between the digital
economy and the low-carbon level of the steel industry, and analyzes the dynamic
relationship between the subsystems of the digital economy and the low-carbon
development of the steel industry. Three conclusions can be drawn: 1. Digital
economy It can empower the low-carbon development of the steel industry, and this
impact has a time lag effect. Its promotion effect on the steel industry will reach the
maximum in the early stage, and then the impact will gradually weaken over time;
2. Digital infrastructure, technological innovation, and digital environment It has a
significant impact on the low-carbon development of the steel industry; third,
digital infrastructure, technological innovation, digital environment and low-carbon
development all have a significant positive effect on itself.
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6Conclusion and outlook
Based on previous literature, this article measures the level of the digital
economy and selects 3 secondary indicators, namely digital infrastructure,
technological innovation and digital environment. A total of 24 third-level
indicators are used to measure the WSA from 2010 to 2022. Digital economy-
related data were measured, and the entropy method and CRITIC combination
weighting method were used to obtain the digital economy scores of a total of 56
countries among WSA member states. Based on the data obtained from the
measurement, the numbers were analyzed based on the panel vector autoregressive
model. The relationship between the economy and low-carbon development of the
steel industry. Through a quantitative analysis of the dynamic relationship between
the digital economy and the low-carbon development of steel, and between the
digital economy subsystem and the steel industry, the following three conclusions
can be drawn:
(1) The digital economy can empower the low-carbon development of the steel
industry, and this impact has a time lag effect. Its promotion effect on the steel
industry will reach its maximum value in the early stage, and then the impact will
gradually weaken over time;
(2) Digital infrastructure, technological innovation, and digital environment
all have a significant impact on the low-carbon development of the steel industry;
(3) Digital infrastructure, technological innovation, digital environment and
low-carbon development all have significant positive effects on themselves.
This article uses WSA countries, selects relevant data from 2010 to 2022 for
analysis, measures the digital economy and the low-carbon development of the steel
industry, and studies the dynamic relationship between the two. However, this
article still has more room for enrichment, specifically See the following three
points:
(1) Since some data have not been updated yet, the research data range of this
article is from 2010 to 2022, and the research scope is WSA countries. Future
research can expand the data scope and analyze the digital economy and low-carbon
level of the steel industry through time series data. Dynamic relationship.
(2) This article only measures the digital economy from three secondary
indicators, including digital infrastructure, technological innovation, and digital
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environment. For the construction of digital economic indicators, we can consider
the scale of the digital industry, the scale of the digital market, etc. other aspects.
(3) This article considers three aspects: energy consumption level, emission
level, and green technology when measuring the low-carbon development of the
steel industry. Among them, green technology only considers one direction of
continuous casting ratio, and the construction of green technology indicators can be
supplemented in the future.
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Graduation project for undergraduates of University of Science and Technology Beijing
(thesis)
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