Tudor
Tudor
nance
Constantin Tudor: University of Bucharest
(Pitesti, May 2008)
CONTENTS
The fractional Brownian motion (fBm for short) is the best known and most used
process with long-dependence property for models in telecommunication, turbu-
lence, nance, etc. This process was rst introduced by Kolmogorov (1940) and
later studied by Mandelbrot and his coworkers (1968). The fBm is a continuous
centered Gaussian process Btk , starting from zero, with covariance
t2R
1
CB k (s; t) := E Btk Bsk = jsj2k+1 + jtj2k+1 jt sj2k+1 ; s; t 2 R;
2
(1.1)
1 1
where k 2 ;
2 2
(H = k + 12 is called Hurst parameter). The case k = 0
corresponds to the Brownian motion.
The self-similarity and stationarity of the increments are two main properties for
which fBm enjoyed success as a modeling tool. The fBm is the only continuous
Gaussian process which is self-similar and has stationary increments.
An extension of Bm which preserves many properties of the fBm, but not the
stationarity of the increments, is so called sub-fractional Brownian motion (sfBm
for short), i.e.,a continuous Gaussian process Stk , starting from zero, with
t 0
covariance
1h i
CS k (s; t) := E Stk Ssk = s2k+1 + t2k+1 (s + t)2k+1 + jt sj2k+1 ; s; t 0:
2
(1.2)
Next we assume k 6= 0:
The sfBm has properties analogous to those of fBm (see Bojdecki, Gorostiza and
Talarczyk, 2004, Dzaparidze-Van Zanten, 2004 and Tudor, 2007):
k
(i1 ) Self-similarity: For each a > 0 the processes Sat has the same distribution
t 0
k+ 21
as a Stk:
t 0
(i2 ) Covariance: For all s; t 0;
CS k (s; t) > 0;
1
CS k (s; t) > CB k (s; t) if k 2 ;0 ;
2
2
1
CS k (s; t) < CB k (s; t) if k 2 0; :
2
(i3 ) Non-stationarity of increments: For all s t;
2
E Stk Ssk = 22k (t2k+1 + s2k+1 ) + (t + s)2k+1 + (t s)2k+1 ;
2
E Stk = (2 22k )t2k+1 ;
2 1
(t s)2k+1 E Stk Ssk (2 22k ) (t
;0 ; s)2k+1 if k 2
2
2 1
(2 22k ) (t s)2k+1 E Stk Ssk (t s)2k+1 if k 2 0; :
2
(i4 ) Correlation of increments and long-range dependence: For 0 u < v s<
t; de ne h i
k
Ru;v;s;t = E Bvk Buk Btk Bsk ;
h i
k
Cu;v;s;t =E Svk Suk Stk Ssk :
Then
1h
k
Cu;v;s;t = (t + u)2k+1 + (t u)2k+1 + (s + v)2k+1 + (s v)2k+1
2
i
(t + v)2k+1 (t v)2k+1 (s + u)2k+1 (s u)2k+1 ;
k k 1
Ru;v;s;t < Cu;v;s;t < 0 if k 2
;0 ;
2
k k 1
0 < Cu;v;s;t < Ru;v;s;t if k 2 0; :
2
For u 0; r > 0 let B k (u; r) and S k (u; r) denote the correlation coe cients of
k
Bu+r Buk ; Bu+2r
k k
Bu+r and Su+r k
Suk ; Su+2r
k k
Su+r .
Then
j S k (u; r)j j B k (u; r)j :
and we have the long-range dependence
k 2k 1
Ru;v;s+ ;t+ k(2k + 1) (t s) (v u) as ! 1;
k
Cu;v;s+ ;t+ k(2k + 1)(1 2k) v 2 u2 2(k 1)
as ! 1:
3
Therefore the covariance of increments of sfBm over non-overlapping intervals
have the same sign but are smaller in absolute value than those of fBm and the
increments on the intervals [u; u + r] ; [u + r; u + 2r] are more weakly correlated
than those of fBm. Moreover the long-range dependence decays at a higher rate
for sfBm than for fBm (these properties justi es the name sfBm).
(i5 ) Short memory: For each a > 0;
X
k
cov Sa+1 Sak ; Sn+1
k
Snk < 1:
n a+1
The above mentioned properties make sfBm a possible candidate for models which
involve long-dependence, self-similarity and non-stationarity of the increments.
(i6 ) S k is not a Markov process.
(i7 ) H•older paths: For each " < k + 12 and each T > 0 there exists a random
variable K";T such that
1
Stk Ssk K";T jt sjk+ 2 "
; s; t 2 [0; T ] ; a:s:
4
2. Pathwise integral with respect to sfBm
R
For functions of one variable the Riemann-Stieltjes integral 0T f (t)dg(t) was ex-
tended to functions with unbounded variation, essentially by using fractional inte-
grals or p-variation (Dudley and Norvaisa, Feyel and Pradelle, Kondurar, Mikosch
and Norvaisa, Young and Z•ahle).
For a function f : [0; T ] ! R a partition : 0 = t0 < ::: < tN = T and p 1 we
de ne the p-variation associated to by
X
vp (f; ) = jf (ti ) f (ti 1 )jp ;
i
Denote
vp0 (f ) = lim vp (f; n ); vp (f ) = sup vp (f; );
j n j!0
jf (u) f (v)j
kf k[0;T ]; = sup :
u6=v;0 u<v T (v u)
5
In particular
Rt
if f is -H•older, g is -H•older with + > 1; then the Stieltjes
integral 0 f (s)dg(s) exists and is -H•older. Moreover for every 0 < " < + 1;
Z T
f (s)dg(s) C( ; ) kf k[0;T ]; kgk[0;T ]; T 1+" ; (2.1)
0
(Feyel-Pradelle).
Concerning the variation of sfBm we have the following result.
Proposition 2.3.
2
vp0 (S k ) = 0; vp (S k ) < 1 if p > ; (2.2)
2k + 1
v 0 2 (S k ) = v 2 (S k ) = 2 ; (2.3)
2k+1 2k+1 2k+1
2
vp0 (S k ) = vp (S k ) = 1 if p < : (2.4)
2k + 1
Remark 2.4. From the above proposition it follows that a.s. S k 2 Wp if and
2
only if p > 2k+1 :
Moreover; for every process (ut )t2[0;T ] with paths a.s. in Wq with q < 1 22k ; the
R
Riemann-Stieltjes integral 0t ur dSrk is well de ned a.s. In particular ifR u has -
H•older paths for some > 1 22k ; then the Riemann-Stieltjes integral 0t ur dSrk is
well de ned and has {H•older paths, for every < k + 21 :
Z t Z t
@F @F
F (t; Stk ) F (s; Ssk )
= k k
(r; Sr )dSr + (r; Srk )dr: (2.5)
s @x s @t
Remark 2.6. (a) The pathwise integral may not exist : for example for k 2
R
1
2
; 0 the integral 0T Stk dStk does not exists. Indeed if we assume that the
integral exists, then using (2.4) we obtain
X 2 X
1 = v20 (S k ) = lim S kiT S k(i 1)T = n!1
lim S kiT S kiT S k(i 1)T
n!1 n n n n n
i i
6
X Z T Z T
lim
n!1
S k(i 1)T S kiT S k(i 1)T = Stk dStk Stk dStk = 0:
n n n 0 0
i
(b) If the pathwise integral exists, then it may have not zero expectation: for
example if k 2 0; 12 ; by using (2.5) we obtain
Z !
T 1 2
E Stk dStk = E STk = (1 22k 1 )T 2k+1 :
0 2
The closure of the step functions with respect to the above inner product (denoted
by sf
k;T ) is called the domain of the Wiener integral.
s Z T t (1 ) 1
f (t)
IT ; ; f (s) = 1 dt; s 2 [0; T ] ; > 0;
( ) s (t s ) (3.1)
!n
d (n )
IT ; ; f (s) = s 1 ds
s IT +n; ; nf (s); s 2 [0; T ] ; > n;
s
(3.2)
( + ) Z + 1
s s t f (t)
I0+; ; f (s) = dt; s 2 [0; T ] ; > 0;
( ) 0 (s t )1 (3.3)
7
!n
( + ) d ( +n+ ) +n
I0+; ; f (s) = s 1 ds
s I0+; ; f (s); s 2 [0; T ] ; > n:
s
(3.4)
Z
sk k t k
(t; s) = tk 1 2
t s 2
(k 1) u2 s2 uk 1 du 1(0;t) (s) :
(1 k) s
(3.6)
sf
Remark 3.1. The function (t; :) 2 k;T and satis es (uniquely) the equality
p
ITk ;2; 1 2 k
uk (t; :) (s) = 1(0;t) : (3.7)
2k
Theorem 3.2 (Dzhaparidze-Van Zanten, 2004, Tudor, 2007). The process
Z t
Wtk = (t; s)dSsk ;
0
1
(2k + 2) sin k+ 2
c2k = : (3.9)
( ! )
2 k 2k
f : [0; T ] ! R : 9'f 2 L ([0; T ]) ; IT ;2; k+1
p 'f (t) = tk f (t) ;
2
(3.10)
8
Z T
hf; gi sf = c2k 'f (t)'g (t)dt; (3.11)
k;T 0
Z T Z T
f (t)dStk = ck 'f (t)dWtk : (3.12)
0 0
sf
(ii) If 0 < k < 21 ; then the space k;T ; h:; :i sf ; where
k;T
n
sf
k;T = f 2 D (0; T )0 : 9f 2 S 0 ; f odd; supp(f ) [ T; T ]
Z
2
f j[0;T ] = f; fc (x) jxj 2k
dx < 1 ; (3.13)
R
c2k Z c c 2k
hf; gi sf = f (x)g (x) jxj dx; (3.14)
k;T 2 R
is the domain of the Wiener integral:
If we de ne
j jsf k
k;T = f : [0; T ] ! R : IT ;2; 1 2 k
uk jf j 2 L2 ([0; T ]) ;
(3.15)
Moreover, if k 2 0; 21 ; f 2 j jsf
k;T ;
* p ! p !+
hf; gi sf = c2k ITk ;2; 1 k k
u f ; ITk ;2; 1 k k
u g
k;T 2 2k 2 2k L2 ([0;T ])
Z T Z T
= f (u)g(v)'k (u; v)dudv: (3.17)
0 0
9
h i
'k (u; v) = k(2k + 1) ju vj2k 1
(u + v)2k 1
:
Theorem 3.4 (Prediction). For every 0 t T;
h i Z t
k
S^Tk jt := E STk j FtS = Stk + k k
t;T (u)dSu
0
Z t
= ck n(T; u)dWuk ; (3.18)
0
Z k
k 2 sin k T (z 2 t2 ) k
t;T (u) = u(t2 u2 ) k
z dz: (3.19)
t z2 u2
k ^k
In particular (since n(T; u) > 0 on (0; T )) we have the equality FtS = FtS :
Denote
2k
dk = p ;
ck (1 k)
The process
Z t
Mtk = dk s k dWsk ; (3.20)
0
Z !
t d2k Z t 2
= exp f (s)dMsk f (s)s 2k
ds ; (3.21)
0 2 0
and denote
1 k
( k f ) (s) = I0+;2; k f (s): (3.22)
(1 k)
10
Theorem 3.6 (Girsanov). For f as above, the process
Z t
Stk ( k f ) (s) ds; t 2 [0; T ] ;
0
is a Qf sfBm.
In particular if f a 2 R it follows that the process Stk at is Qa sfBm.
t2[0;T ]
Z Z (1 ) 1
T T Q
n tj
:: 1 f (t1 ; ::; tn )dt1 ::dtn ; sj 2 [0; T ] ; > 0:
s1 sn j=1 tj sj (4.1)
!n
;n Q
n ( + )
I0+; ; f (s) = sj
( ) j=1
Z Z + 1
s1 sn Q
n tj f ((t1 ; ::; tn )
:: 1 dt1 ::dtn ; sj 2 [0; T ] ; > 0: (4.2)
0 0 j=1 sj tj
1
We shall denote by In2 (f ) the multiple Wiener-It^o integral with respect to W k
and we introduce the space
( ! )
n s;f n Q
n
n
j jk;T = f : [0; T ] ! R : ITk;n;2; 1 k ukj 2
jf j 2 L ([0; T ] ) :
2 j=1
11
De nition 4.2. If f 2 j n jsf k;T ; f symmetric, then we de ne the multiple sub-
fractionar integral of f with respect to S k by
p !n !!
k
1
k;n Q
n
k
In (f ) = ck k In2 IT ;2; 1 k uj f ; (4.3)
2 2 j=1
Z
Q
n
= 2n
f (u1 ; :::; un )f (v1 ; :::; vn ) 'k (uj ; vj )duj dvj : (4.4)
[0;T ] j=1
Remark 4.5. Te see the di erence between conditional expectation and quasi-
conditional expectation note that for t 2 (0; T ) ;
h k
i
E~ STk j FtS = Stk ;
12
h i Z t
k
E STk j FtS = Stk + k
t;T (u)dSu :
0
The sub-fractional quasi-conditional expectation need not exist.
P1 k
De nition 4.6. The random variable F = n=1 In (fn ) 2 jL2k j is sub-fractional
Malliavin di erentiable if
1
X
Dtk F = nInk 1 (fn (:; t)) ; (4.7)
n=1
sf
with fn (:; t) 2 j n jsf
k;T ; fn 2 j
n+1
jk;T :
(b) The following series is convergent
1
X
(n + 1)! kjsym (fn )jk2j n+1 jsf < 1:
k;T
n=1
13
sf
De nition 4.8. For a process u 2 S ch de ne the chaos sub-fractional Skoro-
k;T
k
hod integral o of u with respect to S by
1
X
ch k
k;T (u) := In+1 (sym (fn )) :
n=0
Remark 4.9. Note that the chaos sub-fractional Skorohod integral has zero ex-
pectation (in contrast with the pathwise integral).
P1
De ne Dk1;2 as the family of all F = k
n=1 In (fn ) 2 jL2k j such that
1
X
nn! kjfn jk2j n jsf < 1: (4.12)
k;T
n=1
Z
E rks F rkt F 'k (s; t)dsdt < 1: (4.14)
[0;T ]2
14
2
STk = ch
k;T 2S:k + (2 22k )T 2k+1 :
Proposition 4.12. A representation of the form (4.16) with u adapted is unique.
Remark 4.13. In (4.15) the integrand is adapted.
If f 2 j jsf
k;T ; (a; b) [0; T ] and 1(a;b) f sf < kf k sf ; then for every F 2
k;T k;T
h i
E~ F I1k (f ) j Stk : a t b = GFkf k ;k1(a;b) f k
I1k 1(a;b) f :
sf sf
k;T k;T (4.18)
so that Bt = exp(rt) and the price of the risky asset has sub-fractional log normal
dynamics
15
If we interpret the stochastic integral in (5.2) as Riemann-Stieltjes, then by the
change of variable formula (2.5) the solution of (5.2) is
An alternative which works in the case of pathwise cost is to restrict the class of
admissible portfolios, but to remain stil big enough to cover hedges for relevant
options and also to consider mixed cost models.
In this respect we consider the mixed model with the stock price given by
1 2
Stk;a = s0 exp Stk + aWt + t (1 22k 1 ) 2 t2k+1 at ; (5.6)
2
16
Remark 5.1. The mixed process Stk + aWt is a semimartingale equivalent
t
with (aWt )t if k 2 14 ; 12 and is not a semimartingale if 0 < k 14 :
The following class of restringed class of self- nancing portfolios is considered: a
self- nancing portfolio = (u; v) is nds-admissible (no-doubling strategy) if there
exists a 0 such that Vt a for all 0 t T P-a.s.
A nds-admissible portfolio = (u; v) is regular if there exists a di erentiable
4
function ' : [0; T ] R+ ! R such that
Z t
vt = ' t; Stk;a ; max Ssk;a ; min Ssk;a ; Ssk;a ds :
0 s t 0 s t 0
17
2 L2 ( ; F; P ) and a0 ; b0 ; a; b : [0; T ] ! R are measurable and bounded func-
tions.
De ne
Z t
U (t; s) = exp a(r)dr
(Zs Z )
t t 1 2
(t; s) = exp a(u)du + b(u)dBuH b1[s;t] sf :
s s 2 k;T
Then (5.9) has a unique strong solution X with the chaos decomposition
1
X
Xt = Ipk (fpt ); (5.11)
p=0
Z t
f0t = U (t; t0 ) 0+ U (t; s)a0 (s)ds; (5.12)
t0
f1t (t1 ) = U (t; t0 ) 1 (t1 ) + 1[t0 ;t] (t1 )U (t; t1 )b0 (t1 )+
Z t1
1[t0 ;t] (t1 )U (t; t0 )b(t1 ) 0 + 1[t0 ;t] (t1 )b(t1 ) U (t; s)a0 (s)ds; (5.13)
t0
and for p 2;
p
1X t
fpt (t1 ; :::; tp ) = U (t; t0 ) p (t1 ; :::; tp ) + 1[t0 ;t] (tj )U (t; tj )b(tj )fpj 1 (t^j );
p j=1
(5.14)
18
or in an explicit form
Z t1 ^:::^tp
1
1[t ;t] (t1 ; :::; tp )b(t1 ):::b(tp )
p U (t; s)a0 (s)ds: (5.15)
p! 0 t0
Remark 5.6. The standard Black-Scholes model is markovian and the log-returns
Rt;t+s = log SSt+s
s
are stationary independent Gaussian random variables.
The fractional Black-Scholes model is nonmarkovian and the log-returns are sta-
tionary non-independent Gaussian random variables.
The sub-fractional Black-Scholes model di ers from fractional Black-Scholes model
by the non stationarity of the log-returns
h i
Rt;t+s = s 1 22k 1 2
(t + s)2k+1 t2k+1 + k
St+s Stk :
EQ (St Bt 1 ) = s0 : (5.19)
19
Remark 5.8. It is clear that if Q is a quasi-martingale measure then Q is uniquely
k
determined on FTS = FTS :
De ne the probability measure Q by
( )
dQ r r 2 d2k
j Sk = exp Mtk t 1 2k
: (5.20)
dP Ft 2(1 2k)
is a sfBm under Q.
(b) The relation (5.17) becomes in terms of Z k
n o
St = exp Ztk (1 22k 1 )t2k+1 ; (5.21)
V0 = v0 ; VT = F P a.s.
where Z t
K(T; t) = exp dk (r ) ITk ;2; k+1
1(0;t) t;T (s) s k ds
0 2
Z t Z t
2 2 2 k 2
ck n (T; s)ds + t;T (s)dSs + (1 22k 1 )t2k+1 :
0 0
(5.24)
20
Remark 5.11. The price CT (F ) of the contigent claim F is given by
CT (F ) = EQ BT 1 F : (5.25)
Z n o
1 y2
f s0 exp T k+ 2 y + rT 2
1 22k 1
T 2k+1 exp( )dy
R 2
(5.26)
log sK0 + rT + 2
1 22k 1
T 2k+1
y1 = p 1 ;
2 22k T k+ 2
log sK0 + rT 2
1 22k 1
T 2k+1
y1 = p 1 :
2 22k T k+ 2
Comments. (a) In the mixed sub-fractional model the class of regular portfolios
is a abitrage-free class that is su ciently large to cover hedges for most known
relevant options.
A recent result by Bender, Sottinen and Valkeila (2006) extends no-arbitrage
property and robust hedges to a class of non-semimartingale models larger than
the mixed processes and a larger class of portfolios.
It should be noted that the quadratic variation is the main property which is
necessary for pricing in non-semimartingale models.
(b) The use of chaos form of the Skorohod integral in the sub-fractional Black-
Scholes model does not have a nice economic interpretation (Bjork-Hult, 2005
for fBm case) and also this is problematic from the mathematical point of view
21
(Nualart-Taqqu, 2006). It happens that di erent Gaussian processes with the
same variation as S k give the same price for European call options.
Therefore in above mentioned both cases it is not the distribution of the process
which determines uniquely the prices, but the variation of the process.
(c) An alternative to rescue the sub-fractional Black-Scholes model is to use so
called market observers according to an idea by ksendal (Bender, 2003)
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