ERM CH 1-5
ERM CH 1-5
Risk Matrix - used to show the inherent level of the risk in terms of likelihood and magnitude
Purpose of Any Risk Assessment - to identify what is believed to be the current level of the
risk and identify the key controls that are in place to ensure that the current level is actually
achieved
- The risk matrix can also be used to record the inherent, current (or residual) and target
levels of the risk
As risks move towards the top right-hand corner of the risk matrix, they become more likely
and have a greater impact. Therefore, the risk becomes more important and immediate and
effective risk control measures need to be in place.
LEVEL OF RISK
By taking a proactive approach to risk and risk management, organizations will be able to
achieve the following four areas of improvement:
a. Strategy, because the risks associated with different strategic options will be fully
analyzed and better strategic decisions will be reached.
b. Tactics, because consideration will have been given to selection of the tactics and the
risks involved in the alternatives that may be available.
c. Operations, because events that can cause disruption will be identified in advance and
• Likelihood actions taken to reduce the likelihood of these events occurring, limit the damage
- includes frequency, caused by these events and contain the cost of the events.
- refers to the chances of an unlikely event happening d. Compliance will be enhanced because the risks associated with failure to achieve
- word ‘probability’ will often be used to describe the likelihood of a risk materializing compliance with statutory and customer obligations will be recognized.
• Magnitude The exposure presented by an individual risk can be defined in terms of:
- same style of risk matrix can be used to illustrate compliance, hazard, control and - the likelihood of the risk materializing and
opportunity risks - the impact of the risk when it does materialize
- The magnitude of the risk may be considered to be its gross or inherent level before As risk exposure increases, the likely impact will also increase.
controls are applied
- The magnitude of an event may be considered to be the inherent level of the event Current Level of Risk (Residual/Net/Managed)
and the impact can be considered to be the risk-managed level Impact
o the impact (and the associated consequences) of an event is usually more - used to define how the event affects the finances, infrastructure, reputation and/or
important than its magnitude (or severity) marketplace (FIRM) of the organization
- indicate the size of the event that has occurred or might occur
Consequences - the extent to which the event results in failure to achieve effective and
• Severity - implies that the event is undesirable and is, therefore, related to compliance and efficient strategy, tactics, operations and compliance (STOC).
hazard risks
IMPACT OF HAZARD RISKS
- Hazard risks undermine objectives, and the level of impact of such risks is a measure of
• Risk Matrix their significance
- The basic style of risk matrix plots the likelihood of an event against the magnitude or - a hazard (or pure) risk can only have a negative outcome.
impact should the event materialize - Hazard risk management is concerned with issues such as:
- can also be used to indicate the likely risk control mechanisms that can be applied.
o health and safety at work, - In some cases, compliance with mandatory requirements, represents a ‘license to
o fire prevention, operate’ and failure to achieve the level of compliance activities required by the relevant
o avoiding damage to property and regulator can have a significant impact on the reputation of the organization and
o the consequences of defective products. substantial consequences for routine business activities
- Hazard risks can cause disruption to normal operations, as well as resulting in increased
costs and poor publicity associated with disruptive events.
- Hazard risks are related to business dependencies, including IT and other supporting ATTACHMENT OF RISKS
services.
o There is increasing dependence on the IT infrastructure of most organizations and IT Risks are shown in the diagram as being capable of impacting the key dependencies that
systems can be disrupted by computer breakdown or fire in server rooms, as well as deliver the core processes of the organization.
virus infection and deliberate hacking or computer attacks
- Theft and fraud can also be significant hazard risks for many organizations.
o This is especially true for organizations handling cash or managing a significant
number of financial transactions.
o Techniques relevant to the avoidance of theft and fraud include:
▪ adequate security procedures,
▪ segregation of financial duties, and
▪ authorization and delegation procedures, as well as
▪ the vetting of staff prior to employment
If a hazard risk materializes, it may have a very large magnitude, such as the destruction of
the main distribution warehouse of an organization. Corporate objectives and stakeholder expectations help define the core processes of the
- This large magnitude event will have an impact on the organization related to potential organization.
financial costs, destruction of infrastructure, damage to reputation and the inability to - These core processes are key components of the existing nature and future enhancement
function in the marketplace. of the business model and can relate to operations, tactics and corporate strategy (STOC),
- Magnitude represents the gross or inherent level of the risk. as well as compliance activities
- Significant risks can be attached to features of the organization other than corporate
However, the impact of the event will be reduced because of the controls that are in place. objectives.
- Impact represents the net, residual or current level of the risk. o Significant risks can be identified by considering the key dependencies of the
- These controls reduce the financial impact, the extent of destruction of infrastructure, as organization, the corporate objectives and/or the stakeholder expectations, as well
well as controls designed to protect reputation and marketplace activities as by analysis of the core processes of the organization.
Compliance risks can be substantial for many organizations, especially those business sectors - Risks are greater in circumstances of change.
that are heavily regulated. - To be useful to the organization, the corporate objectives should be presented as a full
statement of the short-, medium-and long-term aims of the organization.
o Internal, annual, change objectives are usually inadequate, because they may fail - The value at risk represents the risk appetite of the organization with respect to the
to fully identify the operational (or efficiency), change (or competition) and strategic activity that it is undertaking.
(or leadership) requirements of the organization
When an organization puts value at risk in this way, it should do so with the full knowledge of
The most important disadvantage associated with the ‘objectives-driven’ approach to risk the risk exposure and it should be satisfied that the risk exposure is within the appetite of the
and risk management is the danger of considering risks out of the context that gave rise to organization.
them. - Even more important, it should ensure that it has sufficient resources to cover the risk
- Risks that are analysed in a way that is separated from the situation that led to them will exposure.
not be capable of rigorous and informed evaluation - The risk exposure should be quantified, the appetite to take that level of risk should be
confirmed, and the capacity of the organization to withstand any foreseeable adverse
Many organizations continue to use an analysis of corporate objectives as a means of
consequences should be clearly established.
identifying risks, because some benefits do arise from this approach.
- using the ‘objectives-driven’ approach facilitates the analysis of risks in relation to the
positive and uncertain aspects of the events that may occur, as well as facilitating the
analysis of the negative and compliance aspects.
Core Processes are the high-level processes that drive the organization.
- Risks may be attached to this core process, as well as being attached to objectives and/or
key dependencies.
- Core processes can be classified as strategic, tactical, operational and compliance (STOC).
- Mature (or sophisticated) risk management activities can then be designed to enhance
the effectiveness and efficiency of core processes.
d. Opportunity Risks
- the risks that are (usually) deliberately sought or embraced by the organization.
Control Management is the basis of the approach to risk management adopted by internal In the insurance industry, if an insurance policy is issued in one country to protect the assets
auditors and accountants. It also is the basis of the approach to risk management adopted and/or cover the liabilities in other countries, compliance issues present particular difficulties.
by internal auditors and accountants - Failure to comply with all obligations may result in insurance claims not being paid or, in
the extreme, being illegal in a particular country, if an unauthorized type of insurance or
MITIGATE HAZARD RISKS
illegal insurance policies have been issued.
Organizations face exposure to a wide range of risks. These risks will be hazard risks, control
risks and opportunity risks. Organizations need to tolerate a hazard risk exposure, accept For organizations that do not have regulators dedicated to that industry or business sector,
exposure to control risks and invest in opportunity risks. there are still a wide range of regulatory requirements that must be fulfilled.
• Hazard risks can result in unplanned disruption for the organization. Generally speaking, organizations will work towards ensuring full compliance with all
• Disruptive events cause inefficiency and are to be avoided, unless they are part of, for applicable rules and regulations and, thereby, minimize the compliance risks.
example, planned maintenance or testing of emergency procedures - It is also important to ensure that the various areas of risk management expertise
within the company co-operate with each other, so that an organized and/or
For each category of hazard risks, the organization needs to evaluate the types of incidents coordinated approach to compliance is achieved.
that could occur, the sources of those incidents and their likely impact on normal efficient
operations.
All organizations that handle financial transactions are required to introduce procedures to ISO Guide 73 / BS 31100 - Coordinated activities to direct and control an organization with
reduce the chances of money-laundering activities being undertaken. regard to risk.
Institute of Risk Management (IRM) - Process which aims to help organizations understand, - More volatile markets with less customer loyalty
evaluate and take action on all their risks with a view to increasing the probability of success - Diversification leads to working in unfamiliar areas
and reducing the likelihood of failure. - Constant need to make bold strategic decisions
- Short-term success required, without long-term detriment
HM Treasury - All the processes involved in identifying, assessing and judging risks, assigning
- Product innovation and continuous improvements
ownership, taking actions to mitigate or anticipate them, and monitoring and reviewing
- Rapid changes in (consumer) product technology
progress.
- Threats to world/national economy
London School of Economics - Selection of those risks a business should take and those - Threat of influenza or other pandemics
which should be avoided or mitigated, followed by action to avoid or reduce risk. - Potential for international organized crime
- Increasing occurrences of civil unrest/political risks
Author - Risk management is the set of activities within an organization undertaken to - Extreme weather events resulting in population shift
deliver the most favou.rable outcome and reduce the volatility or variability of that outcome.
DEVELOPMENT OF RISK MANAGEMENT
IMPORTANCE OF RISK MANAGEMENT Risk management as a formalized discipline has been around for at least 100 years.
• Managing the organization • It has its early origins in the specialist activity of insurance, which can trace its history back
- Variable cost or availability of raw materials for several centuries.
- Cost of retirement/pension/social benefits - As insurance became more formalized and structured, the need for risk control
- Desire to deliver greater shareholder value standards increased, especially in relation to the insurance of cargo being transported
- Greater transparency required from organizations by ships around the world.
- Pace of change in business ever increases - Perhaps one of the earliest developments in this field was the introduction of the
- Impact of e-commerce on all aspects of business life ‘Plimsoll Line’ to indicate the level of cargo that a ship could safely transport without
- Increased reliance on information technology (IT) systems being dangerously overloaded.
- Increasing importance of intellectual property (IP) • Education programmes emerged to support the development of risk management as a
- Greater supply chain complexity/dependency
profession.
- Reputation becomes more and more important
- Risk management regulations associated with corporate governance began to develop
- Reputational damage – especially to worldwide brands and various regulators were given more authority in relation to specific hazards (such
- High-profile losses and failures ruin reputations
as health and safety), and also in relation to particular business sectors (such as financial
- Regulatory pressures continue to increase
institutions).
- Changes/variation in national legislative requirements
- The development of risk management qualifications became increasingly more
- Joint ventures becoming more common
formalized during the 1980s.
• Risk management standard AS/NZS 4360:1995 was one of the early examples of a
• Changes in the marketplace
comprehensive approach to the management of risk.
- Changing commercial and marketplace environment - As well as the generic risk management standards applicable to all industries, specific
- Globalization of customers, suppliers and products risk management approaches also emerged in particular sectors, including the finance
- Increased competition in the marketplace sector.
- Greater customer expectations, often led by competitors
- Need to respond more rapidly to stakeholder expectations
- The emergence of regulated capital requirements for banks and insurance companies SPECIALIST AREAS OF RISK MANAGEMENT
indicated the increased level of risk management maturity required of financial
Many functions within large organizations will have a significant risk management component
institutions.
to their activities, such as tax, treasury, human resources, procurement and logistics.
• The corporate risk management role in the United States during the 1950s became an
extension of insurance purchasing decisions. • One of the best known and specialist areas of risk management is that of health and safety
• During the 1960s, contingency planning became more important to organizations. at work
- There was also an emphasis beyond risk financing on loss prevention and safety • Another specialist area is that of disaster recovery planning and business continuity
management. planning.
• During the 1970s, self-insurance and risk retention practices developed within • Other specialist areas of risk management have developed over the past decades,
organizations. including:
- Captive insurance companies also started to develop. a. Project Risk Management
- Contingency plans then developed into business continuity planning and disaster - Project risk management is an area where the application of risk management
recovery plans. tools and techniques is particularly well developed.
• At the same time during the 1960s and 1970s, there were considerable developments in
the risk management approach adopted by occupational health and safety practitioners. b. Clinical/Medical Risk Management
• During the 1980s, the application of risk management techniques to project management - This area of risk management is primarily concerned with patient care, especially
developed substantially. during surgical operations.
- Financial institutions continued to develop the application of risk management tools - The cost of medical malpractice claims and the inevitable delay in making
and techniques to market risk and credit risk during the 1980s. insurance payments has resulted in risk management systems being introduced.
• Also, during the 1980s, treasury departments began to develop the financial approach to - Particular aspects of clinical risk management include greater attention to making
risk management. patients aware of the risks that may be associated with the procedure they are
- There was recognition by finance directors that insurance risk management and about to undertake
financial risk management policies should be better co-ordinated. - Considerable emphasis has been placed in clinical risk management on the need
• During the 1990s, the financial institutions further broadened their risk management to report, in an accurate and timely manner, details of any incidents that occur in
initiatives to include structured consideration of operational risks. the operating theatre.
• During the 1990s, risk financing products emerged that combined insurance with
derivatives. c. Energy Risk Management
- At the same time, corporate governance and listing requirements encouraged - For some organizations in the energy sector, risk management is mainly concerned
directors to place greater emphasis on enterprise risk management (ERM) and with the future price of energy and with exploration risk.
- the first appointment of a chief risk officer (CRO) occurred at that time. - Therefore, the risk management approach is similar to the activities of the treasury
• During the 2000s, financial services firms have been encouraged to develop internal risk function, where hedging and other sophisticated financial techniques form the
management systems and capital models. basis of the risk management effort.
• The financial crisis of 2008 called into question the contribution that risk management can
make to corporate success, especially in financial institutions. d. Financial Risk Management;
- The application of risk management tools and techniques failed to prevent the global - Banks and other financial institutions will be concerned with the credit risk and
financial crisis market risk, as well as operational risk.
- Finance and insurance are highly regulated business sectors, governed by • recognition of risks;
international standards such as Basel III and Solvency II. • rating of risks;
• ranking against risk criteria;
e. It Risk Management • responding to significant risks;
- The increasing importance of information to organizations, in terms of the • resourcing controls;
management of and security of data, has resulted in the development of specific • reaction (and event) planning;
standards applicable to IT risk management. • reporting of risk performance;
- Amongst the best established of these risk management standards is COBIT, which • reviewing the risk management system.
is similar in many regards to the COSO standard
Risk management can improve the management of the core processes of an organization by
SIMPLE REPRESENTATION OF RISK MANAGEMENT ensuring that key dependencies are analysed, monitored and reviewed.
These stages build into valuable risk management activities, each of which makes an
important contribution. The 8R's of the risk management process are a framework that helps organizations effectively
manage risks.
8 Rs of Risk Management
Recognize: Identify and acknowledge potential risks that could impact the organization's
1. Recognition or identification of risks and identification of the nature of the risk and the objectives. This involves understanding the internal and external factors that may contribute
circumstances in which it could materialize. to risk.
2. Rating or evaluation of risks in terms of magnitude and likelihood to produce the ‘risk
profile’ that is recorded in a risk register. Research: Gather information and data about the identified risks. This includes analyzing
3. Ranking or analysing the current or residual level of risk against the established risk historical data, conducting risk assessments, and seeking expert opinions to gain a deeper
criteria or risk appetite. understanding of the risks.
4. Responding to significant risks, including decisions on the appropriate action regarding
Rank: Prioritize the identified risks based on their potential impact and likelihood of
the following options (4 Ts of RM):
occurrence. This step helps allocate resources and focus on the most critical risks.
● tolerate;
● treat; Respond: Develop and implement risk mitigation strategies to reduce the likelihood or impact
● transfer; of the identified risks. This may involve implementing controls, creating contingency plans, or
● terminate. transferring the risk through insurance or contracts.
5. Resourcing controls to ensure that adequate arrangements are made to introduce and Review: Regularly monitor and evaluate the effectiveness of the implemented risk mitigation
sustain necessary control activities. strategies. This step ensures that the risk management process remains dynamic and
6. Reaction planning and/or event management. For hazard risks, this will include disaster responsive to changing circumstances.
recovery or business continuity planning.
Report: Communicate the identified risks, mitigation strategies, and their status to relevant
7. Reporting and monitoring of risk performance, actions and events and communicating
stakeholders. This promotes transparency and enables informed decision-making.
on risk issues, via the risk architecture of the organization.
8. Reviewing the risk management system, including internal audit procedures and Record: Maintain comprehensive documentation of the risk management process, including
arrangements for the review and updating of the risk architecture, strategy and protocols. risk assessments, mitigation plans, and monitoring activities. This documentation serves as a
reference for future risk management efforts and audits.
The activities associated with risk management are as follows:
Revisit: Continuously review and update the risk management process to adapt to new risks,
changes in the organization's objectives, or external factors. This step ensures that the risk
management process remains relevant and effective over time.
1. Inform
At first, an organization may be unaware of the legal and contractual obligations that it
faces. In that case, it will be necessary to inform the organization of its obligations in
relation to the risk.
2. Reform
As the level of sophistication develops, the organization will become aware of the need
to comply with obligations and the more general need for improved risk management.
Once it is aware of obligations, there will be a need for the organization to reform in
response to the hazard risks
5. Deform
3. Conform
A danger that organizations will become obsessed with risk management to the point that
As the organization responds to the risk, it will seek to conform to the appropriate risk
important decisions are not taken. At this point, it may be said that too much attention and
control standards.
concern about risk and risk management will cause the organization to deform its
operations.
4. Perform
• unaware of obligations – INFORM;
After this stage, the organization may realize that there are benefits to be obtained from
• awareness of non-compliance – REFORM;
the risk. The organization will then have the ability to perform and view the risk as an
• actions to ensure compliance – CONFORM;
opportunity risk
• achieve business opportunities – PERFORM;
• inactivity caused by obsession – DEFORM.
As the level of sophistication increases and risk management professionals become aware of
the alternative approaches to risk management, they should value the contribution that can
be made by other approaches.
The development in risk management approach can be summarized as follows:
● Compliance management must not be undertaken in a fragmented manner, even if
excellent standards of compliance are achieved.
● Hazard management specialists may find that there has been a trend towards a desire to
retain more insurable risks (and buy less insurance) as a result of a more holistic approach
to risk management.
● Control management specialists must not squeeze entrepreneurial spirit and effort out of
the organization.
● Strategic planners must recognize that risk management tools and techniques can
contribute to better strategic decisions and the successful exploitation of business
opportunities.
A successful risk management initiative (and framework) will be: PACED Core processes represent the activities of the organization and can be strategic, tactical,
operational or compliance (STOC) in nature.
● Proportionate to the level of risk within the organization;
● Aligned with other business activities; The objectives for risk management (MADE2) confirms that outputs from risk management
● Comprehensive, systematic and structured; will lead to:
● Embedded within business procedures and protocols; • less disruption to normal efficient operations,
● Dynamic, iterative and responsive to change. • a reduction of uncertainty in relation to tactics and
• improved decisions in relation to evaluation and selection of alternative strategies.
PACED provides a very good set of principles that are the foundations of a successful approach
to risk management within any organization. In other words, a key part of risk management is improved organizational decision making.
- The approach to risk management is based on the idea that risk is something that can be
identified and controlled.
- These principles describe what risk management should be in practice.
When deciding the importance of risk management in the organization, the design of the risk
management initiative and the risk management framework must reflect the reasons why risk
management is being undertaken in the organization (MADE2).
ISO Guide 73 and British Standard BS 31100 describe the risk management process as the
systematic application of management policies, procedures and practices to the tasks of
communicating, consulting, establishing the context, identifying, analysing, evaluating,
treating, monitoring and reviewing risk.
Also, risk management has become more important because of increasing stakeholder
expectations and the ever-increasing ease of communication.