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ERM CH 1-5

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ERM CH 1-5

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RISK ➢ Risk in an organizational context is usually defined as anything that can impact the

1. Risk is used to signify negative consequences; fulfillment of corporate objectives.


2. Risk can also result in a positive outcome; or ➢ For a risk to materialize, an event must occur.
3. Risk is related to uncertainty of outcome. ➢ Risks may be considered to be related to an opportunity or a loss or the presence of
uncertainty for an organization.
DEFINITION OF RISK
➢ An organization adopts the risk classification system that is most suitable for its own
• Oxford English Dictionary
circumstances.
- a chance or possibility of danger, loss, injury or other adverse consequences
TYPES OF RISKS
• ISO Guide 73 / ISO 31000 1. Compliance (Mandatory) Risks – minimize
- Effect of uncertainty on objectives. Effect may be:
o positive, 2. Hazard (Pure) Risks – mitigate
o negative, or - risk events that can only result in negative outcomes
o a deviation from the expected - may be thought of as operational or insurable risks
- Risk is often described by an: - are associated with a source of potential harm or a situation with the potential to
o event, undermine objectives in a negative way
o a change in circumstances or - is concerned with mitigating the potential impact.
o a consequence - are the most common risks associated with operational risk management, including
occupational health and safety programmes
• Institute of Risk Management (IRM)
- Risk is the combination of the probability of an event and its consequence. 3. Control (Uncertainty) Risks – manage
o Consequences can range from positive to negative - risks that give rise to uncertainty about the outcome of a situation
- associated with project management
• Orange Book from HM Treasury - uncertainties can be associated with the:
- Uncertainty of outcome, within a range of exposure, arising from a combination of the o benefits that the project produces,
impact and the probability of potential events o uncertainty about the delivery of the project on time, within budget and to
specification
• Institute of Internal Auditors - The management of control risks will often be undertaken in order to ensure that the
- The uncertainty of an event occurring that could have an impact on the achievement outcome from the business activities falls within the desired range.
of the objectives. - The purpose is to reduce the variance between anticipated outcomes and actual
o Risk is measured in terms of consequences and likelihood. results

• Author 4. Opportunity (Speculative) Risks – embrace


- An event with the ability to impact (inhibit, enhance or cause doubt about) the - organizations deliberately take risks in order to achieve a positive return
effectiveness and efficiency of the core processes of an organization - Opportunity risks relate to the relationship between risk and return.
o The purpose is to take action that involves risk to achieve positive gains.
o The focus of opportunity risks will be towards investment
- are associated with unknown and unexpected events. Risk Classification Systems
- sometimes referred to as uncertainty risks Risks can be classified according to:
- can be extremely difficult to quantify • the nature of the attributes of the risk – e.g. such as timescale for impact, and
- are often associated with project management and the implementation of tactics. • the nature of the impact and/or likely magnitude of the risk
- the approach is based on managing the uncertainty about the potential impacts and - Some risks can cause detriment to the finances of the organization, whereas others will
consequences of these events have an impact on the activities or the infrastructure
- risks may have an impact on the reputation of the organization, or on its status and the
Two Main Aspects Associated with Opportunity Risks
way it is perceived in the marketplace
1. There are risks/dangers associated with taking an opportunity, but
2. There are also risks associated with not taking the opportunity
• the timescale of impact after the event occurs
RISK DESCRIPTION • the source of the risk can also be used as the basis of classification
• Name or title of risk • a risk may be classified according to its origin
• Nature of risk, including details of the risk classification and timescale of potential impact • according to the component or feature of the organization that will be impacted - risks can
Stakeholders in the risk, both internal and external be classified according to whether they will impact people, premises, processes or
• Risk attitude, appetite, tolerance, limits for the risk and/or risk criteria Likelihood and products
magnitude of event and consequences should the risk materialize at current/residual
An important consideration for organizations when deciding their risk classification system is
level
to determine whether the risks will be classified according to the source of the risk, the
• Control standard required, target level of risk or risk criteria Incident and loss experience
component impacted or of the consequences of the risk materializing.
• Existing control mechanisms and activities
• Responsibility for developing risk strategy and policy RISK LIKELIHOOD AND MAGNITUDE
• Potential for risk improvement and level of confidence in existing controls • Simple Risk Matrix (Risk/Heat Map)
• Risk improvement recommendations and deadlines for implementation - commonly used method of illustrating risk likelihood and the magnitude (or severity)
• Responsibility for implementing improvements of the event should the risk materialize
• Responsibility for auditing risk compliance - can be used to plot the nature of individual risks, so that the organization can decide
whether the risk is acceptable and within the risk appetite and/or risk capacity of the
Inherent Level of Risk (Absolute/Gross Risk) organization
- This is the level of the risk before any actions have been taken to change the likelihood
or magnitude of the risk
- Identifying the inherent level of the risk makes it possible to identify the importance of
the control measures in place

Risk Matrix - used to show the inherent level of the risk in terms of likelihood and magnitude

Purpose of Any Risk Assessment - to identify what is believed to be the current level of the
risk and identify the key controls that are in place to ensure that the current level is actually
achieved
- The risk matrix can also be used to record the inherent, current (or residual) and target
levels of the risk

As risks move towards the top right-hand corner of the risk matrix, they become more likely
and have a greater impact. Therefore, the risk becomes more important and immediate and
effective risk control measures need to be in place.

LEVEL OF RISK
By taking a proactive approach to risk and risk management, organizations will be able to
achieve the following four areas of improvement:
a. Strategy, because the risks associated with different strategic options will be fully
analyzed and better strategic decisions will be reached.
b. Tactics, because consideration will have been given to selection of the tactics and the
risks involved in the alternatives that may be available.
c. Operations, because events that can cause disruption will be identified in advance and
• Likelihood actions taken to reduce the likelihood of these events occurring, limit the damage
- includes frequency, caused by these events and contain the cost of the events.
- refers to the chances of an unlikely event happening d. Compliance will be enhanced because the risks associated with failure to achieve
- word ‘probability’ will often be used to describe the likelihood of a risk materializing compliance with statutory and customer obligations will be recognized.

• Magnitude The exposure presented by an individual risk can be defined in terms of:
- same style of risk matrix can be used to illustrate compliance, hazard, control and - the likelihood of the risk materializing and
opportunity risks - the impact of the risk when it does materialize
- The magnitude of the risk may be considered to be its gross or inherent level before As risk exposure increases, the likely impact will also increase.
controls are applied
- The magnitude of an event may be considered to be the inherent level of the event Current Level of Risk (Residual/Net/Managed)
and the impact can be considered to be the risk-managed level Impact
o the impact (and the associated consequences) of an event is usually more - used to define how the event affects the finances, infrastructure, reputation and/or
important than its magnitude (or severity) marketplace (FIRM) of the organization
- indicate the size of the event that has occurred or might occur
Consequences - the extent to which the event results in failure to achieve effective and
• Severity - implies that the event is undesirable and is, therefore, related to compliance and efficient strategy, tactics, operations and compliance (STOC).
hazard risks
IMPACT OF HAZARD RISKS
- Hazard risks undermine objectives, and the level of impact of such risks is a measure of
• Risk Matrix their significance
- The basic style of risk matrix plots the likelihood of an event against the magnitude or - a hazard (or pure) risk can only have a negative outcome.
impact should the event materialize - Hazard risk management is concerned with issues such as:
- can also be used to indicate the likely risk control mechanisms that can be applied.
o health and safety at work, - In some cases, compliance with mandatory requirements, represents a ‘license to
o fire prevention, operate’ and failure to achieve the level of compliance activities required by the relevant
o avoiding damage to property and regulator can have a significant impact on the reputation of the organization and
o the consequences of defective products. substantial consequences for routine business activities
- Hazard risks can cause disruption to normal operations, as well as resulting in increased
costs and poor publicity associated with disruptive events.
- Hazard risks are related to business dependencies, including IT and other supporting ATTACHMENT OF RISKS
services.
o There is increasing dependence on the IT infrastructure of most organizations and IT Risks are shown in the diagram as being capable of impacting the key dependencies that
systems can be disrupted by computer breakdown or fire in server rooms, as well as deliver the core processes of the organization.
virus infection and deliberate hacking or computer attacks

- Theft and fraud can also be significant hazard risks for many organizations.
o This is especially true for organizations handling cash or managing a significant
number of financial transactions.
o Techniques relevant to the avoidance of theft and fraud include:
▪ adequate security procedures,
▪ segregation of financial duties, and
▪ authorization and delegation procedures, as well as
▪ the vetting of staff prior to employment

If a hazard risk materializes, it may have a very large magnitude, such as the destruction of
the main distribution warehouse of an organization. Corporate objectives and stakeholder expectations help define the core processes of the
- This large magnitude event will have an impact on the organization related to potential organization.
financial costs, destruction of infrastructure, damage to reputation and the inability to - These core processes are key components of the existing nature and future enhancement
function in the marketplace. of the business model and can relate to operations, tactics and corporate strategy (STOC),
- Magnitude represents the gross or inherent level of the risk. as well as compliance activities
- Significant risks can be attached to features of the organization other than corporate
However, the impact of the event will be reduced because of the controls that are in place. objectives.
- Impact represents the net, residual or current level of the risk. o Significant risks can be identified by considering the key dependencies of the
- These controls reduce the financial impact, the extent of destruction of infrastructure, as organization, the corporate objectives and/or the stakeholder expectations, as well
well as controls designed to protect reputation and marketplace activities as by analysis of the core processes of the organization.
Compliance risks can be substantial for many organizations, especially those business sectors - Risks are greater in circumstances of change.
that are heavily regulated. - To be useful to the organization, the corporate objectives should be presented as a full
statement of the short-, medium-and long-term aims of the organization.
o Internal, annual, change objectives are usually inadequate, because they may fail - The value at risk represents the risk appetite of the organization with respect to the
to fully identify the operational (or efficiency), change (or competition) and strategic activity that it is undertaking.
(or leadership) requirements of the organization
When an organization puts value at risk in this way, it should do so with the full knowledge of
The most important disadvantage associated with the ‘objectives-driven’ approach to risk the risk exposure and it should be satisfied that the risk exposure is within the appetite of the
and risk management is the danger of considering risks out of the context that gave rise to organization.
them. - Even more important, it should ensure that it has sufficient resources to cover the risk
- Risks that are analysed in a way that is separated from the situation that led to them will exposure.
not be capable of rigorous and informed evaluation - The risk exposure should be quantified, the appetite to take that level of risk should be
confirmed, and the capacity of the organization to withstand any foreseeable adverse
Many organizations continue to use an analysis of corporate objectives as a means of
consequences should be clearly established.
identifying risks, because some benefits do arise from this approach.
- using the ‘objectives-driven’ approach facilitates the analysis of risks in relation to the
positive and uncertain aspects of the events that may occur, as well as facilitating the
analysis of the negative and compliance aspects.

Core Processes are the high-level processes that drive the organization.
- Risks may be attached to this core process, as well as being attached to objectives and/or
key dependencies.
- Core processes can be classified as strategic, tactical, operational and compliance (STOC).
- Mature (or sophisticated) risk management activities can then be designed to enhance
the effectiveness and efficiency of core processes.

Attachment of risks to key dependencies and, especially, stakeholder expectations is becoming


more common.
• Start-up operations are usually high risk and the initial expected return may be low.
- The organization will need to ask what are the features or components of the organization o The activity will commence in the bottom right-hand corner as a start-up operation,
and its external context that are key to success. which is high risk and low return.
o This will result in the identification of the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and • Growth phase for the business or product - As the business develops, it is likely to move to
threats (SWOT Analysis) facing the organization. a higher return for the same level of risk
- Having identified the key dependencies, the organization can then consider the risks that • As the investment matures, the reward may remain high, but the risks should reduce.
will impact these dependencies. • Eventually, an organization will become fully mature and move towards the low risk and low-
return quadrant.
RISK AND REWARD
o The normal expectation in very mature markets is that the organization or product will
Many risks are taken by organizations in order to achieve a reward.
be in decline.
- A business will launch a new product because it believes that greater profit is available
from the successful marketing of that product. In the case of hazard risks, it is likely that the reward for increased risk management effort will
- In launching a new product, the organization will put resources at risk because it has be fewer disruptive events.
decided that a certain amount of risk taking is appropriate.
In the case of project risks, the reward for increased risk management effort will be that the RISK AND TRIGGERS
project is more likely to be delivered on time, within budget and to specification/quality.
Risk is sometimes defined as uncertainty of outcomes.
For opportunity risks, the risk versus reward analysis should result in fewer unsuccessful new
Control risks are the most difficult to identify and define, but are often associated with
products and a higher level of profit or (at worst) a lower level of loss for all new activities or
projects.
new products.
- The overall intention of a project is to deliver the desired outcomes on time, within
In all cases, profit or enhanced level of service is the reward for taking risk. budget and to specification, quality or performance.
- Because control risks cause uncertainty, it may be considered that an organization will
ATTITUDES TO RISK
have an aversion to them - the potential variability in outcomes that then need to be
Different organizations will have different attitudes to risk.
managed.
- Some organizations may be considered to be risk averse, whilst others will be risk
- Tolerance in relation to control risks can be considered to have the same meaning as in
aggressive.
the manufacture of engineering components, where the components must be of a
- To some extent, the attitude of the organization to risk will depend on the sector and the
certain size, within acceptable tolerance limits
nature and maturity of the marketplace within which it operates, as well as the attitude
of the individual board members.
- One of the major contributions from successful risk management is to ensure that
strategic decisions that appear to be high risk are actually taken with all of the
information available.
o Improvement in the robustness of decision-making activities is one of the key
benefits of risk management.

• Risk attitude indicates the long-term view of the organization to risk


• Risk appetite indicates the short-term willingness to take risk.
- This is similar to the difference between the long-term or established attitude of an
individual towards the food they eat and their appetite for food at a particular moment
in time. • The left-hand side of the bow-tie represents the source of a particular hazard and will
indicate the classification system used by the organization for sources of risk.
Other key factors that will determine the attitude of the organization to risk include the stage o these sources of risk used are the high-level sources of strategic, tactical,
in the maturity cycle: operational and compliance (STOC) risks.
- For an organization that is in the start-up phase, a more aggressive attitude to risk is • The right-hand side of the bow-tie sets out the impact should the risk events occur,
required than for an organization that is enjoying growth or one that is a mature and uses the high-level components of financial, infrastructure, reputational and
organization in a mature marketplace. marketplace (FIRM) impact of a risk materializing.
- Where an organization is operating in a mature marketplace and is suffering from decline,
• In the centre of the bow-tie is the risk event. It indicates the categories of disruption
the attitude to risk will be much more risk averse.
that can affect organizations, and the same categories of people, premises, processes
The attitude to risk has to be different when an organization is a start-up operation rather than and products are used here.
a mature organization, that it is often said that certain high-profile businessmen are very good
at entrepreneurial start-up but are not as successful in running mature businesses.
• The purpose of using the bowtie illustration is to demonstrate the risk classification o Accidents at work, traffic accidents, fire and theft are all short-term risks that
systems used by the organization and the potential range of impacts should a risk have an immediate impact and immediate consequences as soon as the event
materialize. has occurred.
• Controls can be put in place to prevent the event occurring and these can be - These short-term risks cause immediate disruption to normal efficient operations and
represented by vertical lines on the left-hand side of the bow-tie. are probably the easiest types of risks to identify and manage or mitigate.
• In a similar manner, recovery controls can be represented on the right-hand side of
Insurable risks are quite often short-term risks, although the exact timing and
the bowtie.
magnitude/impact of the insured events is uncertain.
• A BOW-TIE is a simple way of analysing a risk to gain a greater understanding.
o The first stage is to put the risk description into the middle box. - insurance is designed to provide protection against risks that have immediate
o The causes of the risk then need to be recorded along with the preventive consequences
controls to stop the risk occurring. - the nature and consequences of the event may be understood, but the timing of the
o The impact of the risk is also considered. This enables the identification of event is unpredictable
response controls to lessen the impact of the risk should it occur.
An increasingly important consideration for organizations is what will be the trigger
TIMESCALE OF RISK IMPACT mechanism that causes a risk to materialize.
Risks can be classified in many ways: a very useful means of analysing the risk exposure of an - The challenge for management is then based on recognition of the circumstances in
organization. which one or more of the significant risk events may be triggered.
- These risks will be related to the strategy, tactics and operations of the organization - The question of what would trigger such an event requires as much consideration as the
- risks may be considered as related to events, changes in circumstances, actions or source of the risk and the nature of the event if it was to happen
decisions
FOUR TYPES OF RISK
1. Long-Term Risks A common language of risk is required throughout an organization if the contribution of risk
- will impact several years, perhaps up to five years, after the event occurs or the management is to be maximized - enable the organization to develop an agreed perception of
decision is taken. risk and attitude to risk.
- relate to strategic decisions.
a. Compliance Risks
- When a decision is taken to launch a new product, the result of that decision (and the
- often considered a separate category of risk and they are often managed or minimized
success of the product itself) may not be fully apparent for some time
differently
2. Medium-Term Risks
b. Hazard Risks
- have their impact sometime after the event occurs or the decision is taken, and
- risks that can only inhibit achievement of the corporate mission.
typically this will be about a year later.
- these are insurable-type risks or perils, and will include fire, storm, flood, injury and
- are often associated with projects or programmes of work.
so on.
- The discipline of risk management has strong origins in the control and mitigation of
3. Short-Term Risks
hazard risks.
- have their impact immediately after the event occurs.
- Normal efficient operations may be disrupted by loss, damage, breakdown, theft and
other threats associated with a wide range of dependencies
4Ps Disruption - These risks arise because the organization is seeking to enhance the achievement of
1. People the mission, although they might inhibit the organization if the outcome is adverse.
- Lack of people skills and/or resources - This is the most important type of risk for the future long-term success of any
- Inappropriate behaviour by a senior manager organization.
- Unexpected absence of key personnel
EMBRACE OPPORTUNITY RISKS
- Ill-health, accident or injury to people
2. Premises Opportunity Risks (Commercial, Speculative Or Business Risks)
- Inadequate, insufficient or denial of access to premises - the type of risk with potential to enhance (although they can also inhibit) the achievement
- Damage to or contamination of premises of the mission of the organization.
- Damage to and breakdown of physical assets - These risks are the ones associated with embracing business opportunities.
- Theft or loss of physical assets - normally associated with the development of new or amended strategies, although
3. Processes opportunities can also arise from enhancing the efficiency of operations and implementing
- Failure of IT hardware or software systems change initiatives
- Disruption by hacker or computer virus
- Inadequate management of information Opportunity management is the approach that seeks to maximize the benefits of taking
- Failure of communication or transport systems entrepreneurial risks.
4. Products - The desire is to maximize the likelihood of a significant positive outcome from investments
- Poor product or service quality in business opportunities
- Disruption caused by failure of supplier MANAGE UNCERTAINTY RISKS
- Delivery of defective goods or components Uncertainty or control risks are an inevitable part of undertaking a project.
- Failure of outsourced services and facilities - A contingency fund to allow for the unexpected will need to be part of a project budget, as
well as contingent time built into project schedules.
c. Control Risks - When looking to develop appropriate responses to control risks, the organization must
- risks that cause doubt about the ability to achieve the organization’s mission. make the necessary resources available to identify the controls, implement the controls
o Internal financial control protocols are a good example of a response to a and respond to the consequences of any control risk materializing.
control risk.
o If the control protocols are removed, there is no way of being certain about The nature of control risks and the appropriate responses depend on the level of uncertainty
what will happen. and the nature of the risk.
- Control risks are the most difficult type of risk to describe • Uncertainty represents a deviation from the required or expected outcome.
- are associated with uncertainty o When an organization is undertaking a project, such as a process enhancement, the
o examples include the potential for failure to achieve legal compliance and losses project has to be delivered on time, within budget and to specification.
caused by fraud. o Also, the enhancement has to deliver the benefits that were required.
- usually dependent on the successful management of people and effective
• Deviation from the anticipated benefits of a project represents uncertainties that can only
implementation of control protocols.
be accepted within a certain range.

d. Opportunity Risks
- the risks that are (usually) deliberately sought or embraced by the organization.
Control Management is the basis of the approach to risk management adopted by internal In the insurance industry, if an insurance policy is issued in one country to protect the assets
auditors and accountants. It also is the basis of the approach to risk management adopted and/or cover the liabilities in other countries, compliance issues present particular difficulties.
by internal auditors and accountants - Failure to comply with all obligations may result in insurance claims not being paid or, in
the extreme, being illegal in a particular country, if an unauthorized type of insurance or
MITIGATE HAZARD RISKS
illegal insurance policies have been issued.
Organizations face exposure to a wide range of risks. These risks will be hazard risks, control
risks and opportunity risks. Organizations need to tolerate a hazard risk exposure, accept For organizations that do not have regulators dedicated to that industry or business sector,
exposure to control risks and invest in opportunity risks. there are still a wide range of regulatory requirements that must be fulfilled.

• Hazard risks can result in unplanned disruption for the organization. Generally speaking, organizations will work towards ensuring full compliance with all
• Disruptive events cause inefficiency and are to be avoided, unless they are part of, for applicable rules and regulations and, thereby, minimize the compliance risks.
example, planned maintenance or testing of emergency procedures - It is also important to ensure that the various areas of risk management expertise
within the company co-operate with each other, so that an organized and/or
For each category of hazard risks, the organization needs to evaluate the types of incidents coordinated approach to compliance is achieved.
that could occur, the sources of those incidents and their likely impact on normal efficient
operations.

• Management of hazard risks involves analysis and management of three aspects of


the hazard risk
ORIGINS OF RISK MANAGEMENT
- the organization should look at the necessary actions to prevent the loss
occurring, limit the damage that the event could cause and contain the cost of a. One of the early developments in risk management emerged in the United States out of
recovering from the event the insurance management function.
- Hazard management is traditionally the approach adopted by the insurance - The practice of risk management became more widespread and better coordinated
world. because the cost of insurance in the 1950s had become prohibitive and the extent of
- The approach should be based on reducing the likelihood and magnitude/impact coverage limited.
of hazard losses. - Organizations realized that purchasing insurance was insufficient if there was
• Insurance represents the mechanism for limiting the financial cost of losses. inadequate attention to the protection of property and people.
- Insurance buyers therefore became concerned with the quality of property
MINIMIZE COMPLIANCE RISKS
protection, the standards of health and safety, product liability issues and other risk
Compliance requirements vary considerably between business sectors, and many sectors are
control concerns.
highly regulated with their own dedicated regulator for the industry or sector.
- Failure to comply with regulatory requirements may result in the ‘license to operate’ being
b. Risk financing and risk control developed in Europe during the 1970s and the concept of
withdrawn by the regulator.
total cost of risk became important
- If a regulator were to take this extreme action, the organization could ultimately cease to
exist. DEFINITION OF RISK MANAGEMENT

All organizations that handle financial transactions are required to introduce procedures to ISO Guide 73 / BS 31100 - Coordinated activities to direct and control an organization with
reduce the chances of money-laundering activities being undertaken. regard to risk.
Institute of Risk Management (IRM) - Process which aims to help organizations understand, - More volatile markets with less customer loyalty
evaluate and take action on all their risks with a view to increasing the probability of success - Diversification leads to working in unfamiliar areas
and reducing the likelihood of failure. - Constant need to make bold strategic decisions
- Short-term success required, without long-term detriment
HM Treasury - All the processes involved in identifying, assessing and judging risks, assigning
- Product innovation and continuous improvements
ownership, taking actions to mitigate or anticipate them, and monitoring and reviewing
- Rapid changes in (consumer) product technology
progress.
- Threats to world/national economy
London School of Economics - Selection of those risks a business should take and those - Threat of influenza or other pandemics
which should be avoided or mitigated, followed by action to avoid or reduce risk. - Potential for international organized crime
- Increasing occurrences of civil unrest/political risks
Author - Risk management is the set of activities within an organization undertaken to - Extreme weather events resulting in population shift
deliver the most favou.rable outcome and reduce the volatility or variability of that outcome.
DEVELOPMENT OF RISK MANAGEMENT
IMPORTANCE OF RISK MANAGEMENT Risk management as a formalized discipline has been around for at least 100 years.
• Managing the organization • It has its early origins in the specialist activity of insurance, which can trace its history back
- Variable cost or availability of raw materials for several centuries.
- Cost of retirement/pension/social benefits - As insurance became more formalized and structured, the need for risk control
- Desire to deliver greater shareholder value standards increased, especially in relation to the insurance of cargo being transported
- Greater transparency required from organizations by ships around the world.
- Pace of change in business ever increases - Perhaps one of the earliest developments in this field was the introduction of the
- Impact of e-commerce on all aspects of business life ‘Plimsoll Line’ to indicate the level of cargo that a ship could safely transport without
- Increased reliance on information technology (IT) systems being dangerously overloaded.
- Increasing importance of intellectual property (IP) • Education programmes emerged to support the development of risk management as a
- Greater supply chain complexity/dependency
profession.
- Reputation becomes more and more important
- Risk management regulations associated with corporate governance began to develop
- Reputational damage – especially to worldwide brands and various regulators were given more authority in relation to specific hazards (such
- High-profile losses and failures ruin reputations
as health and safety), and also in relation to particular business sectors (such as financial
- Regulatory pressures continue to increase
institutions).
- Changes/variation in national legislative requirements
- The development of risk management qualifications became increasingly more
- Joint ventures becoming more common
formalized during the 1980s.
• Risk management standard AS/NZS 4360:1995 was one of the early examples of a
• Changes in the marketplace
comprehensive approach to the management of risk.
- Changing commercial and marketplace environment - As well as the generic risk management standards applicable to all industries, specific
- Globalization of customers, suppliers and products risk management approaches also emerged in particular sectors, including the finance
- Increased competition in the marketplace sector.
- Greater customer expectations, often led by competitors
- Need to respond more rapidly to stakeholder expectations
- The emergence of regulated capital requirements for banks and insurance companies SPECIALIST AREAS OF RISK MANAGEMENT
indicated the increased level of risk management maturity required of financial
Many functions within large organizations will have a significant risk management component
institutions.
to their activities, such as tax, treasury, human resources, procurement and logistics.
• The corporate risk management role in the United States during the 1950s became an
extension of insurance purchasing decisions. • One of the best known and specialist areas of risk management is that of health and safety
• During the 1960s, contingency planning became more important to organizations. at work
- There was also an emphasis beyond risk financing on loss prevention and safety • Another specialist area is that of disaster recovery planning and business continuity
management. planning.
• During the 1970s, self-insurance and risk retention practices developed within • Other specialist areas of risk management have developed over the past decades,
organizations. including:
- Captive insurance companies also started to develop. a. Project Risk Management
- Contingency plans then developed into business continuity planning and disaster - Project risk management is an area where the application of risk management
recovery plans. tools and techniques is particularly well developed.
• At the same time during the 1960s and 1970s, there were considerable developments in
the risk management approach adopted by occupational health and safety practitioners. b. Clinical/Medical Risk Management
• During the 1980s, the application of risk management techniques to project management - This area of risk management is primarily concerned with patient care, especially
developed substantially. during surgical operations.
- Financial institutions continued to develop the application of risk management tools - The cost of medical malpractice claims and the inevitable delay in making
and techniques to market risk and credit risk during the 1980s. insurance payments has resulted in risk management systems being introduced.
• Also, during the 1980s, treasury departments began to develop the financial approach to - Particular aspects of clinical risk management include greater attention to making
risk management. patients aware of the risks that may be associated with the procedure they are
- There was recognition by finance directors that insurance risk management and about to undertake
financial risk management policies should be better co-ordinated. - Considerable emphasis has been placed in clinical risk management on the need
• During the 1990s, the financial institutions further broadened their risk management to report, in an accurate and timely manner, details of any incidents that occur in
initiatives to include structured consideration of operational risks. the operating theatre.
• During the 1990s, risk financing products emerged that combined insurance with
derivatives. c. Energy Risk Management
- At the same time, corporate governance and listing requirements encouraged - For some organizations in the energy sector, risk management is mainly concerned
directors to place greater emphasis on enterprise risk management (ERM) and with the future price of energy and with exploration risk.
- the first appointment of a chief risk officer (CRO) occurred at that time. - Therefore, the risk management approach is similar to the activities of the treasury
• During the 2000s, financial services firms have been encouraged to develop internal risk function, where hedging and other sophisticated financial techniques form the
management systems and capital models. basis of the risk management effort.
• The financial crisis of 2008 called into question the contribution that risk management can
make to corporate success, especially in financial institutions. d. Financial Risk Management;
- The application of risk management tools and techniques failed to prevent the global - Banks and other financial institutions will be concerned with the credit risk and
financial crisis market risk, as well as operational risk.
- Finance and insurance are highly regulated business sectors, governed by • recognition of risks;
international standards such as Basel III and Solvency II. • rating of risks;
• ranking against risk criteria;
e. It Risk Management • responding to significant risks;
- The increasing importance of information to organizations, in terms of the • resourcing controls;
management of and security of data, has resulted in the development of specific • reaction (and event) planning;
standards applicable to IT risk management. • reporting of risk performance;
- Amongst the best established of these risk management standards is COBIT, which • reviewing the risk management system.
is similar in many regards to the COSO standard
Risk management can improve the management of the core processes of an organization by
SIMPLE REPRESENTATION OF RISK MANAGEMENT ensuring that key dependencies are analysed, monitored and reviewed.
These stages build into valuable risk management activities, each of which makes an
important contribution. The 8R's of the risk management process are a framework that helps organizations effectively
manage risks.
8 Rs of Risk Management
Recognize: Identify and acknowledge potential risks that could impact the organization's
1. Recognition or identification of risks and identification of the nature of the risk and the objectives. This involves understanding the internal and external factors that may contribute
circumstances in which it could materialize. to risk.
2. Rating or evaluation of risks in terms of magnitude and likelihood to produce the ‘risk
profile’ that is recorded in a risk register. Research: Gather information and data about the identified risks. This includes analyzing
3. Ranking or analysing the current or residual level of risk against the established risk historical data, conducting risk assessments, and seeking expert opinions to gain a deeper
criteria or risk appetite. understanding of the risks.
4. Responding to significant risks, including decisions on the appropriate action regarding
Rank: Prioritize the identified risks based on their potential impact and likelihood of
the following options (4 Ts of RM):
occurrence. This step helps allocate resources and focus on the most critical risks.
● tolerate;
● treat; Respond: Develop and implement risk mitigation strategies to reduce the likelihood or impact
● transfer; of the identified risks. This may involve implementing controls, creating contingency plans, or
● terminate. transferring the risk through insurance or contracts.

5. Resourcing controls to ensure that adequate arrangements are made to introduce and Review: Regularly monitor and evaluate the effectiveness of the implemented risk mitigation
sustain necessary control activities. strategies. This step ensures that the risk management process remains dynamic and
6. Reaction planning and/or event management. For hazard risks, this will include disaster responsive to changing circumstances.
recovery or business continuity planning.
Report: Communicate the identified risks, mitigation strategies, and their status to relevant
7. Reporting and monitoring of risk performance, actions and events and communicating
stakeholders. This promotes transparency and enables informed decision-making.
on risk issues, via the risk architecture of the organization.
8. Reviewing the risk management system, including internal audit procedures and Record: Maintain comprehensive documentation of the risk management process, including
arrangements for the review and updating of the risk architecture, strategy and protocols. risk assessments, mitigation plans, and monitoring activities. This documentation serves as a
reference for future risk management efforts and audits.
The activities associated with risk management are as follows:
Revisit: Continuously review and update the risk management process to adapt to new risks,
changes in the organization's objectives, or external factors. This step ensures that the risk
management process remains relevant and effective over time.

ENTERPRISE RISK MANAGEMENT


Enterprise Risk Management (‘ERM’) is a strategic business discipline that supports the
achievement of an organization’s objectives by addressing the full spectrum of its risks and
managing the combined impact of those risks as an interrelated risk portfolio (US Risk
Management Association, the Risk and Insurance Managers Society (RIMS).
- When an organization considers all of the risks that it faces and how these risks could
impact its strategy, projects and operations, then the organization is embarking on an
enterprise risk management approach.

LEVELS OF RISK MANAGEMENT SOPHISTICATION

1. Inform
At first, an organization may be unaware of the legal and contractual obligations that it
faces. In that case, it will be necessary to inform the organization of its obligations in
relation to the risk.
2. Reform
As the level of sophistication develops, the organization will become aware of the need
to comply with obligations and the more general need for improved risk management.
Once it is aware of obligations, there will be a need for the organization to reform in
response to the hazard risks
5. Deform
3. Conform
A danger that organizations will become obsessed with risk management to the point that
As the organization responds to the risk, it will seek to conform to the appropriate risk
important decisions are not taken. At this point, it may be said that too much attention and
control standards.
concern about risk and risk management will cause the organization to deform its
operations.
4. Perform
• unaware of obligations – INFORM;
After this stage, the organization may realize that there are benefits to be obtained from
• awareness of non-compliance – REFORM;
the risk. The organization will then have the ability to perform and view the risk as an
• actions to ensure compliance – CONFORM;
opportunity risk
• achieve business opportunities – PERFORM;
• inactivity caused by obsession – DEFORM.

As the level of sophistication increases and risk management professionals become aware of
the alternative approaches to risk management, they should value the contribution that can
be made by other approaches.
The development in risk management approach can be summarized as follows:
● Compliance management must not be undertaken in a fragmented manner, even if
excellent standards of compliance are achieved.

● Hazard management specialists may find that there has been a trend towards a desire to
retain more insurable risks (and buy less insurance) as a result of a more holistic approach
to risk management.

● Control management specialists must not squeeze entrepreneurial spirit and effort out of
the organization.

● Strategic planners must recognize that risk management tools and techniques can
contribute to better strategic decisions and the successful exploitation of business
opportunities.

An alternative approach to increasing levels of risk management sophistication or risk


What RM should do or deliver: MADE2
management maturity is the fragmented, organized, influential, leading (FOIL) approach.
● mandatory obligations placed on the organization;
● assurance regarding the management of significant risks;
● decisions that pay full regard to risk considerations;
PRINCIPLES OF RISK MANAGEMENT
● effective and efficient core processes.
The main principle of risk management is that it delivers value to the organization.
If organizations are to get maximum benefit out of their risk management activities, the above
In other words, risk management activities are designed to achieve the best possible outcome principles should be implemented when the risk management initiative is planned and the risk
and reduce volatility or uncertainty of outcomes. management framework is developed.

A successful risk management initiative (and framework) will be: PACED Core processes represent the activities of the organization and can be strategic, tactical,
operational or compliance (STOC) in nature.
● Proportionate to the level of risk within the organization;
● Aligned with other business activities; The objectives for risk management (MADE2) confirms that outputs from risk management
● Comprehensive, systematic and structured; will lead to:
● Embedded within business procedures and protocols; • less disruption to normal efficient operations,
● Dynamic, iterative and responsive to change. • a reduction of uncertainty in relation to tactics and
• improved decisions in relation to evaluation and selection of alternative strategies.
PACED provides a very good set of principles that are the foundations of a successful approach
to risk management within any organization. In other words, a key part of risk management is improved organizational decision making.
- The approach to risk management is based on the idea that risk is something that can be
identified and controlled.
- These principles describe what risk management should be in practice.
When deciding the importance of risk management in the organization, the design of the risk
management initiative and the risk management framework must reflect the reasons why risk
management is being undertaken in the organization (MADE2).

RISK MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES

Risk management is a process that can be divided into several stages.

ISO Guide 73 and British Standard BS 31100 describe the risk management process as the
systematic application of management policies, procedures and practices to the tasks of
communicating, consulting, establishing the context, identifying, analysing, evaluating,
treating, monitoring and reviewing risk.

The risk management process is described as:


• identifying,
• analysing,
• evaluating,
Risk is unavoidable and every organization needs to take action to manage it in a way that it
• treating,
can justify to a level that is acceptable.
• monitoring and
The appropriate range of responses will depend on the nature, size and complexity of the • reviewing risk.
organization and the risks it faces.
4Ts of Hazard Risk Management
IMPORTANCE OF RISK MANAGEMENT ● tolerate;
● treat;
Risk management has taken on an increasingly high profile in recent times, because of the
● transfer;
global financial crisis and the number of high-profile corporate failures across the world that
● terminate.
preceded it.

Also, risk management has become more important because of increasing stakeholder
expectations and the ever-increasing ease of communication.

Assurance to stakeholders: EFFECTIVE AND EFFICIENT CORE PROCESSES


a. The directors of any organization need to be confident that risks have been identified and
As risk management has developed, emphasis has been placed on project management and
that appropriate steps have been taken to manage risk to an appropriate level.
the delivery of programmes to provide enhancements to core business processes.
b. Greater emphasis on accurate reporting of information by organizations, including risk
- Processes must be effective in that they deliver the results that are required, as well as
information.
being efficient.
• The Sarbanes–Oxley Act of 2002 (SOX) in the United States has accuracy of financial
- Risk management delivers improved information so that strategic decisions can be made
reporting as its main requirement. It brings the issue of the accurate reporting of
with greater confidence.
results to a higher priority, whilst also requiring full and accurate disclosure of all
- The strategy that is decided by an organization must be capable of delivering the results
information about the organization
that are required.
o There are many examples of organizations that selected an incorrect strategy or failed
to successfully implement the selected strategy. ● Opportunity management makes outcomes more positive
o Many of these organizations suffered corporate failure - Opportunity management seeks to make positive outcomes more likely and more
substantial.
- Strategic decisions are often most difficult when changes in technology or in customer - As part of the opportunity management approach, the organization should also look at
expectations emerge possibilities for increasing the revenue from the product or service.
- Strategy should be designed to take advantage of opportunities. - In not-for-profit organizations, opportunity management should facilitate the delivery
- Incorrect strategy has resulted in more corporate failures than ineffective or inefficient of better value for money
operations and tactics.
ACHIEVING BENEFITS
o Organizations that have effective and efficient tactics, operations and compliance, but
an incorrect overall strategy will fail. The most important point to make is that the support of senior management and (ideally) the
o This will be the case, however good the risk management activities are at operational sponsorship of a board member are essential.
and project level.
Also, an implementation plan to address the concerns of employees and other stakeholders is
IMPLEMENTING RISK MANAGEMENT needed.
The integrative approach to risk management accepts that the organization must tolerate
certain hazard risks and must have an appropriate appetite for investment in opportunity risks. In order to achieve the maximum benefit from risk management input in operations,
organizations need instead, however, to focus on loss control.
Risk management tools and techniques should be used to achieve the following:
● Compliance management provides risk governance • Loss control is a combination of loss prevention, damage limitation and cost containment.
o Projects should be completed on time, to budget and to specification, performance or
● Hazard management makes outcomes less negative quality
- Within the context of hazard management, insurance represents the mechanism for o Inevitably, there will be a considerable amount of uncertainty associated with all
restricting the financial cost of losses when a risk materializes. projects.
- Risk control and loss management techniques will reduce the expected losses and o The contribution of risk management is to minimize these uncertainties.
should ensure that the overall cost is contained.
- The combination of insurance and risk control/loss management will reduce the actual The contribution of risk management to successful strategy is, therefore, focused on the
cost of hazard losses and this will inevitably (and correctly) cause the hazard tolerance decision-making activities.
of the organization to decline.
- More of the risk capacity of the organization will then be available for opportunity
investment The overall benefits of risk management can be summarized in a number of ways:
• By undertaking a risk management initiative, less disruption to operations, successful
● Control management reduces the range of possible outcomes from any event delivery of projects and better strategic decisions are the expectations.
- Control management is based on the established techniques of internal financial control • Also underpinning risk management initiatives (MADE2) will be the desire for adequate risk
- The main intention is to reduce losses associated with inadequate control management assurance.
at the same time as reducing the range of possible outcomes.
Using the structure of the FIRM risk scorecard, an organization will be able to demonstrate the
o This is the contribution that internal control should make to the overall approach
benefits that it has obtained from a risk management initiative.
to risk management within an organization.

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