SCF-The Power of EMAs
SCF-The Power of EMAs
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The Power of EMAs: How to Use Exponential Moving Averages to Aid in your Trading
The main function of using moving averages is to recognize trends in the price of a financial
instrument based on its historical price points. As a result, moving averages are considered to
be lagging indicators. While moving averages are unable to forecast future price movements,
they can confirm whether there have been any changes in the trend of a stock.
Formula for EMA: (You don’t necessarily need this, it’s just good to know)
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II. Trading Using EMAs and the Advantages of It
Moving average trading is a systematic strategy that uses a technical analysis tool called a
moving average to help traders identify trends and potential trading opportunities. The concept
behind this strategy is that prices tend to move in trends and are either in an uptrend or
downtrend at any given point in time. An uptrend is characterized by a consistent increase in
prices, while a downtrend is characterized by a consistent decrease in prices.
A moving average is a line that represents the average price of a cryptocurrency over a specific
period of time, such as 50 days or 200 days. The line moves up and down depending on the
price fluctuations of the cryptocurrency. The moving average is called "moving" because it
constantly updates with the latest price data, smoothing out the price movements to make the
trend more visible.
Moving average trading involves two key signals: the buy signal and the sell signal. The buy
signal is generated when the price crosses above its moving average, indicating an uptrend.
This means that the price is moving up and the trend is likely to continue. The sell signal is
generated when the price crosses below its moving average, indicating a downtrend. This
means that the price is moving down and the trend is likely to continue.
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Advantages:
One of the primary functions of EMA is to identify market trends by analyzing the
direction of its line. If the EMA line is moving upwards, it indicates an uptrend, while a
downward movement indicates a downtrend. Moreover, if the price of the asset is
below the EMA line, it is likely to decrease, and if the price level is above the EMA
line, it is an indicator that the asset's value will continue to rise. This way, traders can
utilize the EMA as a chart indicator to identify buy and sell signals.
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2. It can act as a Level (i.e., Support and Resistance)
Just like other types of moving averages, the exponential moving average can act as
both a support and resistance for the prices of a financial instrument. Think of
support levels like floors, they're pre-set prices that act as a safety net, preventing
the prices from falling below that level. Resistance levels, on the other hand, act like
ceilings for the financial instrument's price. These pre-determined price limits prevent
the asset's price from rising above that level, acting like a barrier for the price
movement.
Examples:
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3. EMA is considerably faster to react to price than a regular SMA
SMA calculates the average by adding up the prices of the financial instrument over a
specific period and dividing it by the number of periods. In contrast, EMA puts more
weight on recent prices, giving more importance to the current price levels.
Because EMA is more responsive to the current prices, it can react more quickly to
sudden changes in the market compared to SMA. This means that EMA can identify
trends faster than SMA. In other words, EMA can provide traders with more timely
signals to enter or exit a trade, making it a popular choice for short-term traders.
In my experience as a trader, I have intermittently (on and off) used EMAs. However, I
also have the expertise to recommend the most widely used and effective EMAs that I have
either used in the past or considered using.
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2. “The Golden Cross”
This is characterized when the 50 EMA crosses above the 200 EMA on the Daily
Chart. It means more moves up is expected and likely to be the Long-Term
Trend.
a. 200 EMA
b. 50 EMA
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3. “The Death Cross”
This is just the opposite of the “Golden Cross”. It is simply the 50 EMA moving
below the 200 EMA which likely results a Long-Term trend of down moves.
a. 200 EMA
b. 50 EMA
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4. AGGRESSIVE Strategy on the 15 Minute Timeframe
For this strategy you can use the 13 EMA as some sort of Support and
Resistance level and use the 13 EMA and 34 EMA cross as another confluence
or idea for a trade.
a. 13 EMA
b. 34 EMA
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5. Investor’s EMA Strategy:
For this strategy, open your Weekly Chart, buy everything whenever Price is
above the 50 EMA and Sell everything below the 50 EMA.
a. 50 EMA
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6. Classic 13, 21 EMA on the Daily
These classic EMAs can be used to plan your trade by finding out the Trend of
the coin/asset, or you can trade it after the EMA Crossovers.
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7. 200 EMA as Support/Resistance on the 4 Hour
More often the 200 EMA tends to act as support or resistance on the 4 Hour
chart. We can utilize that with other confluences like volume to plan our trade.
a. 200 EMA
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IV. How to Actually Use EMAs
Part I: As a Level
Trading EMAs as some sort of level is widely known in the trading community,
while this is not the best-case use for them (in my opinion), we can still utilize this strategy as IT
DOES happen and occur in the charts. As always, we’ll need confluences with using EMAs as a
Level such as Volume, Classic S/R, Candlestick Patterns, Recognizing Price Action and reliable
Indicators.
Below I’ll provide you examples (with annotations). Learn and take note of it.
EXAMPLE #1:
See how I only used the EMA as a confluence? That’s how I typically use it and how you should
use it too! We will only use EMA as some sort of confluence as a level when price is telling us
what side to buy (long or short). If you bought that 200 EMA retest you would’ve gained a clean
80% to 90%.
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Result: +80% to 90%
Backtest this strategy, buy or sell any 200 EMA touch with clean Confluence. Look at previous
data and how it performed when touching the 200 EMA.
Do not forget to have CONFLUENCE with other triggers/indicators when taking a trade.
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EXAMPLE #2:
See how in this one, we used the EMA as level we were coming off from. With multiple
confluences, we would have a very good trade as annotated on the picture above.
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Part II: For Trends
Now, let’s discuss on how we can use EMAs for Trend confirmations and knowing what
is the trend of the coin/asset is. This is the simplest and easiest use case of EMAs and can
probably be summarized and taught to you really easily.
1. Price above EMA = expect bullish prices in the mid to long term
2. Price below EMA = expect bearish prices in the mid to long term
3. Price crosses EMA = shift of trends (bearish to bullish, bullish to bearish)
1. Lowest length (13) of EMA above Highest Length (21) of EMA = bullish
2. Lowest length (13) of EMA below Highest Length (21) of EMA = bearish
3. Lowest length (13) of EMA crosses Highest Length (21) of EMA = shift of
trend
Now, go to your charts and look at the things I’ve talked listed and talked about. See and take
note of how price is when an EMA is below, above or crosses. This way you can see which
trend the coin is most likely to go and when to expect shift of trends.
Another thing you’ve got to understand is that PRICE CAN CONSOLIDATE and price can cross
your EMA multiple times. With this case, you can just sit on the sidelines and wait for better
price action or you can have a plan in mind with multiple confluences as I’ve show before. You
need to know what you will do when price does things. My best advice is to sit in the sidelines
when you do not know what to do and how to react, trust me, it will save you money.
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Part III: The Cross
As mentioned above, we can utilize the cross to see a shift in trend. But we have
another use case for this as well. We can use EMA crosses to plan our trade and use them as
confluence on when price will likely reverse to the other side. While riskier, with proper
confluence and analysis it is definitely (in my opinion) the most profitable.
Again, we will use EMA crosses as confluence ONLY in our trades. For this one we will use the
13 and 34 EMA on the 15 Minute Timeframe.
I’ll provide an example with annotations. Learn, take note and do it on your charts.
EXAMPLE:
Notice how with only a few confluences we have can more confidence in our trade. For this one,
we waited for the EMA cross even after MACD has already show a cross. That is because we
want to wait for the confluence to happen to execute our trade, without waiting for the cross, this
trade could’ve totally happened or went the other way and hit our Stop Loss. That’s why it is
important to have patience.
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Result: A clean +2% on BTC, with an RR tool that’s at least 2R to 3R
Conclusion:
Now that I’ve shown you 3 things on how to utilize the EMA to your trading and
advantage with examples, it is now time for your part to back test this and look at past data.
When starting, just use one of the 3 for your trades, whether you will use EMAs as levels, for
trends and for crosses as confluence is totally up to you. But I do recommend only using only
one as a beginner trader. Gradually, you will notice these occurrences on your charts as you
progress and eventually you will most likely use and look for all of them in the future.
The following is the best (in my opinion) and simplest use of EMAs with high probabilities. I
personally do not use above 3 EMAs, I rarely even use 3. Most I do is a Single EMA and 2
EMAs.
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Recap and Final Thoughts:
This will be a short one, but I’ve just wanted to thank you all for the support
on the PDFs. I truly hope I provide you with knowledge in trading. What I’ve
given you in this PDF is something valuable and will most likely cost dollars
to other people. Use them wisely, utilize and execute it properly. Do your
due diligence to learn and back test this. Do not forget to have confluence
and patience when trading, it is the utmost thing you need second to Risk
Management which we will tackle probably soon. That is all for this PDF,
again I sincerely hope I’ve provided you with something.
If it isn’t much please follow and retweet the original tweet. Also join the
Discord, I’m always active there so shoot your questions and I’ll answer
them!
-Soulz
Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoulzBTC
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Sign Up for Mentorship: https://soulzcourse.com/
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