Institution Chapter 1-2
Institution Chapter 1-2
Asamnew T
Financial assets:
- are claims to the output of the production process. In other
Markets
Intermediarie
s
Financial Markets
In a market economy, the allocation of economic resources
is driven by the outcome of many private decisions
Prices are signals that direct economic resources to their best use
Financial Markets…
Two types of markets in an economy:
1. The market for products (manufactured goods
and services)
2. The market for factors of production( labor and
capital)
Our focus is one part of the factor market, the
market for financial assets……financial market
Financial Markets….
Outline
Cont‘
d
I. Stocksare not the most important source offinance for
businesses.
II. Issuing marketable securities is not the primary funding source for
businesses.
III. Indirect finance (financial intermediation) is far more important
than direct finance.
IV. Banks are the most important source of external finance.
V. The financial sector is among the most heavily regulated.
VI. Only large, well established firms have access tosecurities
markets.
VII. Collateral is a prevalent feature of debt contracts.
VIII. Debt contracts are typically extremely complicated legal
documents with restrictive covenants.
Services of Financial Institutions
Cont‘
d
Reducing Asymmetric Information
• Asymmetric information occurs when one party to a
transaction has more information than the other. We focus
on two specific forms:
• Adverse selection
• Moral hazard
• The analysis of how asymmetric information problems
affect behavior is known as agency theory.
7
Cont‘
d
Adverse Selection
• Occurs when one party in a transaction has better information
than the other party
• Before transaction occurs
• Potential borrowers most likely toproduceadverse outcome
are ones most likely to seek loan and be selected
Moral Hazard
• Occurs when one party has an incentive to behave differently
once an agreement is made between parties
• After transaction occurs
• Hazard that borrower has incentives to engage in undesirable
(immoral) activities making it more likely that won't pay
loan back.
8
Cont‘
d
• Collateral and Net Worth
• If a borrower defaults on a loan, the lender can sell the collateral
and use the proceeds to make up for the losses on the loan.
• Net worth (also called equity capital), the difference between a
firm‘s assets (what it owns or is owed) and its liabilities (what it owes)
, can perform a similar role to collateral.
1
1
Cont‘
d
• Government Regulation to Increase Information
• Laws to force firms to adhere to standard accounting principles that
make profit verification easier. They also pass laws to impose stiff
criminal penalties on people who commit the fraud of hiding and
stealing profits.
• Fraudulent managers have the incentive to make it very hard for
government agencies to find or prove fraud.
• Financial Intermediation (e.g., venture capital)
• Venture capital firms pool the resources of their partners and use the
funds to help budding entrepreneurs start new businesses. In
exchange for the use of the venture capital, the firm receives an equity
share in the new business. Another reason why indirect finance is so
important (Fact 3).
• Debt Contracts
• The borrower pay the lender fixed dollar amounts at periodic intervals
– the lender doesn‘t care If the managers are hiding profits.
• Explains Fact # 1 Why debt is used more than equity
13
Cont‘
d
How Moral Hazard Influences Financial Structure in Debt Markets
• Even with the advantages just described, debt is still
subject to moral hazard.
• In fact, debt may create an incentive to take on very risky
projects.
• Most debt contracts require the borrower to pay a fixed
amount (interest) and keep any cash flow above this
amount.
• For example, what if a firm owes $100 in interest, but only
has $90? It is essentially bankrupt. The firm ―has nothing
to lose by looking for ―risky projects to raise the needed
cash.
14
Cont‘
d
Tools to Help Solve Moral Hazard in Debt Contracts
• Net Worth and Collateral
• When borrowers have more at stake because their net worth is high or
the collateral they have pledged to the lender is valuable, the risk of
moral hazard will be greatly reduced.
• Monitoring and Enforcement of Restrictive Covenants
• Restrictive covenants are directed at reducing moral hazard either by
ruling out undesirable behavior or by encouraging desirable behavior.
• Financial Intermediation
• Borrowers may be clever enough to find loopholes in restrictive
covenants that make them ineffective.
• Banks and other intermediaries have special advantages in monitoring
15
Cont‘
d
16
Cont‘
d
• An investment bank acting as both a researcher and
underwriter securities for companies clearly has a
of the interest of the issuing firm or the
conflict—serv
e public?the tech boom, research reports were clearly
• During
distorted to please issuers. Firms with no hope of ever
earning a profit received favorable research.
• This also lead to spinning, where underpriced equity was
allocated to executives who would promise future
business to the investment bank.
19
Cont‘
d
• Rating agencies, such as Moody‘s and Standard and
Poor, were caught in this game during the housing
bubble.
• Firms asked the rater to help structure debt offering to
attain the highest rating possible. When the debt
subsequently defaulted, it was difficult for the agency to
justify the original high rating.
• Perhaps it was just error. But few believe that—most see
the rating agencies as being blinded by high consulting
fees.
22
Remedies – US context
Cont‘
d
• Global Legal Settlement of 2002
• Required investment banks to sever links between research and
underwriting
• Spinning is explicitly banned
• Added additional requirements toensure independence and
objectivity of research reports
24
Cont‘
d
• Will these work?
• There is much criticism over the cost involved with these
separations. In other words, financial institutions can no longer take
advantage of the economies of scope gained from relationships.
• Some have argued that Sarbanes-Oxley has negatively impacted the
value of U.S. Capital Markets.
25
Cont’d
Cont’d
Basics of
Banking
• Asset transformation is, for example, when a bank takes
your savings deposits and uses the funds to make, say, a
mortgage loan. Banks tend to ―borrow short and lend
long(in terms of maturity).
• T-account Analysis:
• Deposit of $100 cash into First National Bank
32
Cont’d
• The First National Bank deposits the check in its account at the Fed/
NBE, and the Fed collects the funds from the Second National Bank.
Cont’d
Cont’d
Liquidity management
• Let us see how a typical bank, the First National Bank, can
deal with deposit outflows that occur when its
depositors withdraw cash from checking or savings
accounts or write checks that are deposited in other
banks.
• In the example that follows, we assume that the bank has
ample excess reserves and that all deposits have the
same required reserve ratio of 10% (the bank is required to
keep 10% of its time and checkable deposits as
reserves).
37
Cont’d
Liquidity management
39
Cont’d
Cont’d
41
Cont’d
• After $10 million has been withdrawn from deposits and hence
reserves, the bank has a problem: It has a reserve requirement
of 10% of $90 million, or $9 million, but it has no reserves!
• To eliminate this shortfall, the bank has four basic options.
• One is to acquire reserves to meet a deposit outflow by
borrowing them from other banks in the federal funds market
or by borrowing from corporations.
• The cost of this activity is the interest rate on these borrowings,
such as the federal funds rate.
• A second alternative is for the bank to sell some of its
securities
to help cover the deposit outflow.
• The bank incurs some brokerage and other transaction costs
when it sells these securities.
42
Cont’d
43
Cont’d
Cont’d
45
Asset Management
Liability Management
Cont’d
Cont’d
Cont’d
• Capital , EM , ROE
51
Cont’d
Cont’d
Off-Balance-Sheet Activities
Cont’d
Cont’d
• Other lines of credit for which banks get fees include standby letters of
credit to back up issues of commercial paper and other securities and credit
linesunder writing Euronotes, which are medium-term Eurobonds.
• Creating SIVs (structured investment vehicles), which can potentially
expose banks to risk, as it happened in the global financial crisis.
• Off-balance-sheet activities involving guarantees of securities and backup
credit lines increase the risk a bank faces. Even though a guaranteed security
does not appear on a bank balance sheet, it still exposes the bank to default
risk: If the issuer of the security defaults, the bank is left holding the bag and
must pay off the security‘s owner.
58
Cont’d
Cont’d
• Given the ability to place large bets, a trader (the agent), whether she
trades in bond markets, in foreign exchange markets, or in financial
derivatives, has an incentive to take on excessive risks: If her trading
strategy leads to large profits, she is likely to receive a high salary and
bonuses, but if she takes large losses, the financial institution (the
principal) will have to cover them.
• Internal controls to reduce the principal-agent problem:
• Complete separation of the people in charge of trading activities from
those in charge of the bookkeeping for trades.
• Managers must set limits on the total amount of traders‘ transactions
and on the institution‘s risk exposure.
• Managers must also scrutinize risk assessment procedures using the
latest computer technology.
• One such method involves the value-at-risk approach.
• In this approach, the institution develops a statistical model with which
it can calculate the maximum loss that its portfolio is likely to sustain
over a given time interval, dubbed the value at risk, or VAR.
60
Cont’d
63
Cont’d
64
Cont’d
65
Financial Innovation
Financial Innovation: E-
Money
• Electronic money, or stored cash, only exists in electronic
form. It is accessed via a stored-value card or a smart card.
• E-cash refers to an account on the internet used to make
purchases.
74
Cont’d
.
81
Cont’d
Cont’d
Cont’d
Cont’d
12-90
Liquidity Risk
• Liquidity risk is the risk of a sudden
demand for liquid funds.
• Banks face liquidity risk on both sides of
their balance sheets.
• Deposit withdrawal is a liability-side risk.
• Things like lines of credit are an asset-side risk.
• Even if a bank has a positive net worth,
illiquidity can still drive it out of business.
12-91
Liquidity Risk
• In the past, the common way to manage
liquidity risk was to hold excess reserves.
• This is a passive way to manage liquidity risk.
• Holding excess reserves is expensive, because it
means forgoing higher rates of interest than
can be earned with loans or securities.
• There are two other ways to manage
liquidity risk.
• The bank can adjust its assets or its liabilities.
12-92
Liquidity Risk
On the asset side a bank has several options.
1. The easiest option is to sell a portion of its
securities portfolio.
• Most are U.S. treasuries and can be sold
quickly at relatively low cost.
• Banks that are particularly concerned about
liquidity risk can structure their securities
holdings to facilitate such sales.
12-93
Liquidity Risk
2. A second possibility is for the bank to sell
some of its loans to another banks.
• Banks generally make sure that a portion of
the loans they hold are marketable for this
purpose.
3. Another way is to refuse to renew a
customer loan that has come due.
• However this is bad for business.
• The bank can lose a good customer.
• Reducing assets lowers profitability.
12-94
Liquidity Risk
Bankers prefer to use liability management
to address liquidity risk.
1. Banks can borrow to meet any shortfall
either from the Fed or from another bank.
2. The bank can attract additional deposits.
• This is where large certificates of deposits are
valuable:
• They allow banks to manage their liquidity
risk without changing the asset side of
their balance sheet.
12-95
Liquidity Risk
• In the financial crisis of 2007-2009, banks
could neither sell their illiquid assets nor
obtain funding at a reasonable cost to hold
those assets.
• When the interbank lending market dried
up, many banks faced a threat to their
survival.
12-96
Credit Risk
• The risk that a bank’s loans will not be
repaid is called credit risk.
• To manage credit risk, banks use a variety
of tools.
1. Diversification is where banks make a
variety of different loans to spread the
risk.
2. Credit risk analysis is where the bank
examines the borrower’s credit history to
determine the appropriate interest rate
to change.
12-97
Credit Risk
• Diversification can be difficult for banks,
especially if they focus on a certain type of
lending.
• If a bank lends in only one geographic area or
one industry, it is exposed to economic
downturns that are local or industry-specific.
• It is important that banks find a way to hedge
these risks.
12-98
Credit Risk
• Credit risk analysis produces information
that is very similar to the bond rating
systems in Chapter 7.
• Banks do this for small firms wishing to borrow,
and credit rating agencies perform the service
for individual borrowers.
• The result is an assessment of the likelihood
that a particular borrower will default.
• In the financial crisis of 2007-2009, banks
underestimated the risks associated with
mortgage and other household credit.
12-99
• A bank’s capital is its net worth - a cushion
against many risks, including market risk.
• Market risk is the decline in the market value of
assets.
• The larger a bank’s capital cushion, the less
likely it will be made insolvent by an
adverse surprise.
• In the financial crisis of 2007-2009, banks
were too leveraged - they had too many
assets for each unit of capital.
12-100
• Mark-to-market accounting rules require
banks to adjust the recorded value of the
assets on their balance sheets when the
market value changes.
• When the price falls, the value is “written down”
and writedowns reduce a bank’s capital.
• Banks don’t like to hold a large capital
cushion because capital is costly.
• The more leverage the greater the possible
reward for each unit of capital and the
greater the risk.
12-101
Interest-Rate Risk
• A bank’s liabilities tend to be short-term,
while assets tend to be long term.
• The mismatch between the two sides of the
balance sheet create interest-rate risk.
• When interest rates rise, banks face the
risk that the value of their assets will fall
more than the value of their liabilities,
reducing the bank’s capital.
• Rising interest rates reduce revenues relative
to expenses, directly lowering a bank’s profits.
12-102
Interest-Rate Risk
• The term interest-rate sensitive means
that a change in interest rates will change
the revenue produced by an asset.
• For a bank to make a profit, the interest
rate on its liabilities must be lower than
the interest rate on its assets.
• The difference in the two rates is the bank’s net
interest margin.
• When a bank’s liabilities are more interest-
rate sensitive than its assets, an increase in
interest rates will cut into the bank’s
profits.
12-103
Interest-Rate Risk
• The first step in managing interest-rate
risk is to determine how sensitive the
bank’s balance sheet is to a change in
interest rates.
• Managers must compute an estimate of
the change in the bank’s profit for each
one-percentage-point change in the
interest rate.
• This procedure is called gap analysis.
• This can be refined to take account of
differences in the maturity of assets and
liabilities, but it gets complicated. 12-104
Interest-Rate Risk
• Bank managers can use a number of tools
to manage interest-rate risk.
1. They can match the interest-rate
sensitivity of assets with that of liabilities.
• Although this decreases interest-rate risk, it
increases credit risk.
2. Alternatives include the use of
derivatives, specifically interest-rate
swaps.
12-105
Trading Risk
• Today banks hire traders to actively buy
and sell securities, loans, and derivatives
using a portion of the bank’s capital.
• Risk that the instrument may go down in
value rather than up is called trading risk,
or market risk.
• Traders normally share in the profits from
good investments, but the bank pays for
the losses.
• This creates moral hazard - traders take more
risk than the banks would like.
12-106
Trading Risk
• The solution to the moral hazard problem
is to compute the risk the traders generate.
• Use standard deviation and value at risk.
• The bank’s risk manager limits the amount
of risk any individual trader is allowed to
assume and monitors closely.
• The higher the inherent risk in the bank’s
portfolio, the more capital the bank will
need to hold.
12-107
• Traders are gambling with someone else’s money,
sharing the gains but no the losses from their risk
taking.
• Traders are prone to taking too much risk, and in
the cases here, hiding their losses when trades
turn sour.
• The moral hazard presents a challenge to bank
owners, who must try to rein in traders’ tendencies.
• Odds are that someone who is making large
profits on some days will register big losses on
other days.
12-108
Other Risks
• Foreign exchange risk comes from holding
assets denominated in one currency and
liabilities denominated in another.
• Banks manage this in two ways:
• They work to attract deposits that are
denominated in the same currency as their
loans, matching assets to liabilities.
• They use foreign exchange futures and swaps
to hedge the risk.
12-109
Other Risks
• Sovereign risk arises from the fact that
some foreign borrowers may not repay
their loans because their government
prohibits them from doing so.
• If a foreign country is experiencing a financial
crisis, the government may decide to restrict
dollar-denominated payments.
• Banks have three options:
• Diversification,
• Refuse loans to certain countries, or
• Use derivatives to hedge the risk.
12-110
Other Risks
• Operational risk is when computer systems
fail or buildings burn down.
• This was an issue for some banks when the
World Trade Center was destroyed.
• The banks must make sure their computer
systems and buildings are sufficiently
robust to withstand potential disasters.
• This means anticipating what might happen
and testing to ensure a system’s readiness.
12-111
Summary of Sources and
Management of Bank Risk
12-112
Nondepository
Financial Institutions
Chapter 2
79
Non-Depository (Non-Bank)
Financial Institutions
• Non-depository institutions serve as the intermediary
between the savers and the borrowers, but they do not
accept deposits.
• Such institutions perform their activities of lending to the
public either by way of selling securities or through the
insurance policies.
• Non-depository institutions include investment companies,
insurance companies, brokerage firms, and pension
funds.
Life Insurance Companies
■ One of the oldest type of intermediary.
■ Invest funds obtained through the sale of policies.
■ Primary investments: Long term taxable, not highly
marketable securities: corporate bonds and
commercial mortgages.
■ Insure against dying too soon and living too long.
Life Insurance Companies
■ Regulation of life insurance companies
includes:
■ Sales practices
■ Premium rates
■ Allowable investments
Types of Life Insurance Policies
■ Whole Life Insurance
■ Constant premium that is paid through
entire life of policy
■ Build up cash reserves or savings which can
be withdrawn as borrowing or outright by
canceling the policy
■ Savings component pays a money market
rate of interest that changes with market
conditions
Types of Life Insurance Policies
■ Term Life Insurance
■ Pure insurance with no cash reserve or savings element
■ Premiums are relatively low at first but increase with the age of
the insured individual
■ Universal {variable) Life
■ Variation on whole life policy
■ "Unbundle" the term insurance and tax-deferred savings
component
■ Owner can elect how to allocate the savings component among a
menu of investment options, thereby potentially earning above
money market rates
Life Insurance Companies
■ Based on actuarial tables, life insurance
companies have ability to predict cash flow
■ Typically insurance companies use excess
funds to buy long-term corporate bonds and
commercial mortgages
■ Higher yields
■ Unlikely of having to sell prior to maturity
■ However, lately they have branched out into
riskier ventures such as common stock and
real estate
Life Insurance Basics
■ Public makes payments in exchange for
protection
■ Companies lend out the funds collected.
Investment Companies
• Investment companies are financial intermediaries that sell
shares to the public and invest the proceeds in a diversified
portfolio of securities.
• Each share sold represents a proportional interest in the portfolio
of securities managed by the investment company on behalf
of its shareholders.
• The type of securities purchased depends on the company's
investment objective.
.
81
Cont’d
• When investors decide to invest in a particular
asset class, such as equities, there are two ways they
can do it: direct investment or indirect investment.
• Direct investment is when an individual personally buys shares in a company,
such as buying shares in Apple, the technology giant.
• Indirect investment is when an individual buys a stake in an investment fund, such
as a mutual fund that invests in the shares of a range of different types of
companies, perhaps including Apple.
• Achieving an adequate spread of investments
through holding direct investments can require a
significant amount of money and, as a result, many
investors find indirect investment very attractive.
Mutual Funds
Investment
• Investment funds pool the resources of a large number of
investors, with the aim of pursuing a common investment
objective.
• This pooling of funds brings a number of benefits, including:
• Economies of scale - commission as a proportion of the fund is very small.
• Diversification - risk is lessened when the investor holds a diversified
portfolio of investments (in many different sectors).
• Access to professional investment management – however, entry fees, exit
charges and annual management fees applies, these are needed to cover
the fund managers‘ salaries, technology, research, their dealing,
settlement and risk management systems, and to provide a profit.
• Access to geographical markets, asset classes or investment strategies
which might otherwise be inaccessible to the individual investor
• In some cases, the benefit of regulatory oversight
• In some cases, tax deferral.
Finance Companies
■ Consumer Finance Companies
■ Make consumer loans
■ Specialty Finance Companies-specialize in credit
card financing
■ Commercial finance Companies
■ Make commercial loans usually on a secured
(collateralized) basis
■ Loans not as risky as consumer loans