Strategic Conspiracy Narratives - A Semiotic Approach-Routledge (Madisson, Ventsel2021)
Strategic Conspiracy Narratives - A Semiotic Approach-Routledge (Madisson, Ventsel2021)
Strategic Conspiracy Narratives - A Semiotic Approach-Routledge (Madisson, Ventsel2021)
spective. They relevantly add to the existing literature and spur further
debate. Deeply grounded in semiotic theory (the “School of Tartu”), their
book makes an effort to keep distance and balance in relation to a thorny
subject. Semiotics provides a more equilibrate understanding about the
nature of conspiracy theories, concentrating more on the discursive aspect
than on the political one. Conspiracy theories will be, unfortunately, more
and more present in the public debate, as well as in cyberwarfare; Madisson
and Ventsel praiseworthily pave the way to the academic study of this
urgency.
— Professor Massimo Leone, University of Turin, Italy
Mari-Liis
Madisson and Andreas Ventsel have produced an excellent and
timely book. This will be required reading for anyone wanting to under-
stand conspiracy narratives and to develop innovative ways to analyse how
they circulate online. Drawing on semiotics and strategic narrative theory,
Madisson and Ventsel present a compelling analytical framework which
they apply to their empirical analysis of strategic conspiracy narratives
involving investor and philanthropist George Soros. Highly recommended.
— Professor Alister Miskimmon, Queen’s University Belfast, UK
Strategic Conspiracy Narratives
Mari-Liis Madisson received her PhD in Semiotics and Culture Studies from the University
of Tartu, Estonia in 2016. She is a Research Fellow at the Department of Semiotics at the
University of Tartu and a visiting Research Fellow at School of History, Anthropology, Philo-
sophy and Politics at the Queen´s University Belfast, UK. Her research combines cultural
semiotics, political semiotics, communication and media studies. Her research interests lie in
online culture, conspiracy theories, information influence activities and extreme right
communication. She is the author of The Semiotic Construction of Identities in Hypermedia
Environments: The Analysis of Online Communication of the Estonian Extreme Right (2016).
Conspiracy theories have a long history and exist in all modern societies.
However, their visibility and significance are increasing today. Conspiracy the-
ories can no longer be simply dismissed as the product of a pathological mindset
located on the political margins.
This series provides a nuanced and scholarly approach to this most
contentious of subjects. It draws on a range of disciplinary perspectives
including political science, sociology, history, media and cultural studies, area
studies and behavioural sciences. Issues covered include the psychology of
conspiracy theories, changes in conspiratorial thinking over time, the role of the
Internet, regional and political variations, and the social and political impact of
conspiracy theories.
The series will include edited collections, single-authored
monographs and
short-form books.
Acknowledgementsix
Introduction 1
Determining the theoretical framework 2
The structure of the book 4
PART I
Theoretical framework 7
PART II
Semiotic analysis of strategic Soros-themed
conspiracy narratives 49
Bibliography114
Index129
Acknowledgements
We would like to express our sincere gratitude to all who have contributed into
developing our ideas on conspiracy theories and publishing this book.
Special thanks go to all members of COST 15101 and especially Michael
Butter and Peter Knight for leading this inspiring and thought-provoking project.
Many thanks also to our comrades from the East -
European picnic club:
Anastasiya Astapova, Onoriu Colăcel, Corneliu Pintilescu, Ivan Brlić, Franciszek
Czech, and its French and Swedish “correspondence members” Julien Giry and
Andreas Önnerfors for their support and friendship which made all our
conferences unforgettable events.
We are indebted to many of our colleagues from Tartu University who have
supported and inspired our academic endeavours in several ways. We would
especially like to thank Lauri Linask for his insightful feedback to the draft of
our manuscript and Ene-Reet Soovik for translating our book into English.
This work was supported by the research grants PRG314 “Semiotic fitting as
a mechanism of biocultural diversity: instability and sustainability in novel
environments”, PUTJD804 “Semiotic perspective on the analysis of strategic
conspiracy narratives” and SHVFI19127 “Strategic Narrative as a Model for
Reshaping the Security Dilemma”.
Last, but not least thanks go to our cat Werner – the greatest and most
powerful conspirator and an endless source of inspiration.
Introduction
Note
1 On syntesis of cultural semiotics and Laclau’s theory of hegemony see also Ventsel
(2009a, 2011, 2014) and Selg and Ventsel (2008, 2010, 2020).
Part I
Theoretical framework
1 emiotic conflicts in strategic
S
communication
We have all probably met conspiracy theories that try to provide explanations to
different social, cultural or economic problems. Usually this is accompanied by
the reduction of a complex problem to a simple scheme. Such simplifying clarity
that is characteristic of conspiracy theories can be better understood in the
framework of the concept of conflict, for conspiracy theories are commonly
characterised by a simple explanatory scheme: someone has been deprived of
something or it has been taken from them. What is important is the existence of
at least two parties – the victims and the perpetrators who cause their suffering.
This work conceptualises such conflicts first and foremost as semiotic ones,
i.e. conflicts on the level of meaning-making, and discusses them in the frame-
work of information conflicts and strategic communication.
The following chapters introduce the key notions in our study: semiotic
conflict, information conflict and strategic narrative. We position and define
these from the point of view of (cultural) semiotics. We also explain methodo-
logical difficulties arising in social media research in connection with how to
analyse and differentiate the potentially strategically motivated discourse from
strategically non-motivated discourse in social media communication.
Strategic narrative
The concept of the strategic narrative was first introduced in Lawrence
Freedman’s (2006) paper, which observes how narrative can be used
strategically to challenge opponents in military conflict. Freedman treated
the strategic narrative as a tool with which to problematise the legitimacy of the
powers of the (military) enemy. Yet strategic narratives may include also the
justification of policy objectives or policy responses to economic or security
crises, the formation of international alliances, or the rallying of domestic
public opinion (Antoniades et al. 2010, 5–6). The expansion of the field of
usage of the strategic narrative concept is closely related to the
reconceptualisation of one of its basic categories – the actor – in which it is not
treated as a term belonging strictly to the military field. It is now open to those
beyond the state (Miskimmon et al. 2013, 30–59) and avoids valorising any
particular actor: “the concern with who narrates and who is perceived to be
narrating and what difference this makes to processes of power and influence in
international relation” (O’Loughlin et al. 2017, 52). Therefore, several authors
have been developing the conception of the strategic narrative further in the
framework of international relations and foreign policy analysis (Miskimmon
et al. 2013, 2017; Ringsmose, Børgesen 2011; Dimitriu, De Graaf 2016), info
warfare (Nissen 2015; Ventsel et al. 2019), as well as in conflict studies
(Wetoszka 2016). In this book we attempt to broaden the field in which this
term can be applied to marketing communication and the sphere of alternative
knowledge. In our opinion this is relevant primarily due to the growth of the
22 Theoretical framework
role of social media in shaping public opinion and the frequent participation of
several actors beyond the state in shaping and magnifying the narratives
circulating on social media.
To put it broadly, the interpretive structure or narrative helps the audiences
attribute a meaning to what is going on. Lotman has noted that narrating about
an event presupposes the articulation of logical and causal relations – subsidiary
events are arranged into a fixed storyline; simultaneous events that need not
even be connected are reorganised into a consistent and cohesive chain. Telling
a story entails segmentation of the flow of experience, which has been perceived
as continuous, into many concrete units which are thereafter ordered in a
definite way: temporal and causal relations are created with other elements of
the story, and meaningfulness is attributed to the whole story (see Lotman
2000, 170). Narratives are inextricably accompanied by interpretation. There are
no “true stories”, as events are identified and stories are told from specific
perspectives linked to specific interests; they are not found in the world in a
ready-made form (White 2003, 9). But what characteristics make a narrative a
strategic narrative?
Strategic narratives are characterised by their function and intentionality; that
is, they are accompanied by a deliberate intention to shape the meanings of
conflicts in a way desired. As a rule, via their strategic narratives, actors attempt
to justify their action to audiences and influence the latter’s behaviour
(O’Loughlin et al. 2017, 50). Strategic narratives can be described as “means by
which political actors attempt to construct a shared meaning of the past, present,
and future of international politics to shape the behaviour of domestic and inter-
national actors” (Miskimmon et al. 2017, 6). Strategic narratives usually estab-
lish the identity of the active actor (who we are?), a desired destination (what
we want to achieve?), the obstacles related to it and the recommended way of
overcoming these obstacles (Miskimmon et al. 2013, 3).
One of the primary functions of strategic narratives is it offer “a framework
through which conflicts’ past, present and future can be structured in order to
help establish and maintain power in the international system and shape the
context and the system itself” (Nissen 2015, 45). They create a context that
organises various information fragments and guides the meaning-making of the
(social) media audience. “Strategic narratives may be designed to elicit par-
ticular behavior by referring to historical stories in a complicated sort of
interplay and entanglement” (Miskimmon et al. 2017, 1). Thus, strategic narrat-
ives have to take into account the target group’s views and expectations at the
moment, while being aware of topics that are sensitive from the perspective of
the audience’s identity. It is also important to be familiar with the meaning-
making practices of the audience, e.g. whether it has rather adopted an image-
based or a verbal logic of framing messages; what types of communication
styles are usual, etc. Knowing the target audience and the particular
communication context helps to activate the meaning-making mechanisms in
the audience’s memory, if required, that can be used to shape and direct the
interpretation paths of the targeted audience. Thus, influencing often employs
Semiotic conflicts in communication 23
very emotional and/or contradictory themes, combining events that the target
group knows (or, actually, interpretations of these) with others that have been
orchestrated or even fabricated.
From the perspective of the semiotic conflict and the influence of the stra-
tegic narrative, the question of which symbols, texts and other discursive
phenomena known to the target audience have been used to construct the nar-
rative appears to be as important. According to O’Loughlin et al. (2017, 33)
strategic narratives are not so much characterised by an exchange of rational
claims but they rather are an unpredictable, textured and recursive set of over-
lapping ecologies in which history can be mobilised through visuals, symbols
and appeals to emotion. Much of this may be unintentional. As James Liu and
Denis Hilton point out, symbols in cultural memory function as mediators that
create links between the important socio-political events of today and earlier
generations and history (Liu, Hilton 2010). As a significant memory mech-
anism, “symbols carry texts, plot schemas and other semiotic formations from
one stratum of culture to another” (Ventsel 2009b, 19). Two aspects are rel-
evant for us here: a symbol retains its invariant nature in the flow of time, yet
on the other hand, a symbol correlates actively with its cultural context, is
transformed by its influence and transforms it itself (Lotman 2019, 163–164).
Thus, symbols and texts important for the audience3 here fulfil the function of
collective cultural memory. In this role, they exhibit, on the one hand, the
ability of continuous completion and, on the other, of actualising some
aspects of the information saved there, while other aspects are temporarily or
fully forgotten (Lotman, Uspenskij 1975; Lotman 2000, 104). This is why
texts and symbols that are important from the point of view of particular
audience’s common memory serve as a powerful and emotional discursive
device in strengthening in-group ties, often accompanied by “the exclusion of
another cultural group” (Philips DeZalia, Moeschberger 2014, 4). In the
framework of conflict theory Rebekah Phillips DeZalia and Scott
Moeschberger emphasise the function of symbols as cognitive filters and
anchor points for individuals to assimilate and interpret new information in
relation to culture. This filter ultimately helps to shape cognitive attributions
related to group membership and categorisation. In this way, symbols serve to
both enhance and inform social identities strengthening “us/them” and
“in-group/out-group” perspectives (Phillips DeZalia, Moeschberger 2014,
4–5). In the case of accelerated communication mediated by social media, the
use of such symbols is even more relevant; they function like anchor points
whose cognitive reception is based not so much on reflective information
processing, but on emotional and often affective identification (Ventsel,
Madisson 2017).
Of course, strategic uses of narratives and symbols may not always elicit
those results in the audience that the author of the narrative desired. The effect of
strategic inducement may greatly depend on the preliminary attunement of the
audience to the addresser’s intentions, the perceived reliability of the media
channel and other contextual variables (Ventsel et al. 2019).
24 Theoretical framework
Methodological challenges
Differently from the artistic narratives presented in particular works of literature,
non-fictional narratives (including strategic narratives) are often scattered and
intertwined. For example, they can pass through different communication
channels and texts, varying from news and press releases to social media post-
ings and comments. A single media text can contain several, sometimes contra-
dictory, narratives. Similarly, the real aim is scattered and the actor of the
strategic narrative is often hidden in different texts because the success of
discursive power (in the current case, of strategic narratives) greatly depends on
how its direct aim can be disguised from the audience (Foucault 1977).
Therefore, to a certain extent, the unity of the narrative and its aim are always a
mental construction created during the analysis.
According to Miskimmon et.al three levels should be differentiated between
when analysing strategic narratives: formation, which addresses how narratives
are formed by actors; projection, which addresses how narratives are projected
(or narrated) and contested in (social) media, by different spokespersons, etc.;
and reception, which addresses how narratives are received by targeted audi-
ence and how they shape the future actions of the audience (Miskimmon et al.
2017, 9). The present work primarily focuses on the levels of formation and
projection. The main methodological problems on these levels mostly
concentrate around the deliberate quality of the strategic narratives – how to
detect a certain shaper or actor of strategic narratives and approach the
intentional (and sometimes manipulative) formation and projection of narrat-
ives circulating on social media, and how to analyse the targeting of the audi-
ence? In the context of social media, it is more difficult to make claims about
the intention of policymakers, journalists and others involved. Critical
statements about “malevolent intent or supportive claims about goodwill both
appear weak without actual firsthand contact [who is forming strategic
narratives – authors’ comment M-L.M, A.V]” (O’Loughlin et al. 2017, 51). The
same problem has been pointed out by Jantunen, according to whom the asym-
metry of means of influencing suggests that the agents and their motives will
often remain increasingly more unclear in the future. The difficulty in their
attribution has been inscribed in the asymmetric means of influencing (Jantunen
2018, 49).
This is why O’Loughlin et al. recommend that we “think imaginatively about
constructing extremely systematic analysis of those actors’ statements, actions,
and reactions and about how inferences about strategic intention can be
validated” (2017, 51). We are aware of the difficulties of identifying the
intentionality which drives the creation of certain social media content, and
elaborate Eco’s (2005) concept of Model Reader/Model Author and Lotman’s
concept of the structure of audience (1982) in the context of strategic narrative
analysis to explain the techniques of targeting an audience that are always
related with audience memory, and the problem of intentionality of the actor in
social media communication.
Semiotic conflicts in communication 25
The Model Reader and the image of the audience
The basis for influencing via a strategic narrative is the communication between
the author, the text and the recipient, and, as was mentioned earlier, (successful)
communication presumes that the communication partners have a common com-
ponent in their memories. For the message to meet the aims desired by the
sender, its interpretational aspect has to be “part of its generation mechanism: to
generate a text means to trigger a strategy a component of which is foreseeing
the other party’s moves” (Eco 2005, 61). In the eyes of Eco, the recipient is
always postulated as an operator who in a real situation of text interpretation
actualises semantic, syntactic, etc., codes, uses meanings known to them earlier,
creates links between different parts of the text and intertextual links with other
texts. Activity on the part of the reader is added by the author who consciously
writes into the text “the unsaid” in addition to what is said (Eco 2005, 57–58).
The “unsaid” can consist of what is culturally taken for granted, but also, the
other way round, in codes known only to a limited group that make it possible
for the members of that group to uncover the text’s full meaning potential, while
the text remains incomprehensible to those not familiar with the code. In this
context, phatic communication of conspiracy theories will be discussed below. It
is of considerable importance in communicating on social media, for often the
semiotic units that trigger the readers’ activity are given as excerpts, not as a
clear narrative.
From the point of view of the actor (the term used by Miskimmon et al.) or
author (the term used by Eco)4 of a strategic narrative, taking into consideration
such predicting of the possible interpretative moves of the reader and the
directing of these is, on the one hand, caused by pragmatic goals. The author
wishes that his or her message be understood in a way that suits him or her. On
the other hand, another reason lies in the optimisation of communicative
activity, for in a situation in which each constituent part of the message has to be
defined for the reader, the message would become too extensive and lose the
audience’s attention. In this connection, Lotman (1982) speaks of two types of
text construction that proceed from the image of the audience and are different in
principle. First, there are texts that are addressed to any addressee in which the
scope of the addressee’s memory is constructed as an essential minimum for
each speaker of the language (other than that communication and understanding
would prove impossible, i.e. speaking would occur in a private language). The
memory scope here is impersonal, abstract and only contains a condensed
minimum. It is natural that the poorer the memory, the more detailed and
expanded the message must be and the less appreciated are ellipses and
omissions, the blanks to be filled in, as it were (Lotman 1982). Speaking in the
context of the strategic narrative, encoding of the blanks is an indispensable step
by the former, for otherwise the reader might detect the manipulation. The other
text type, on the other hand, considers the audience as a particular addressee
known to the speaker personally (Lotman 1982).5 In case of both text types it is
important that the author of the message form the scope of the memory of the
26 Theoretical framework
reader, as, after receiving the text of the message, the audience can, thanks to the
structure of human memory, recall what was previously unknown to them
(Lotman 1982). Thus, on the one hand the author presses on the audience the
nature of their memory (helps the reader remember via using certain signs); on
the other hand the text still retains an image of the audience (that is potentially
hidden in the reader).
In the strategy of text creation, as in any other strategy, the idea of the
receiver’s (in this case conceived of as the potential audience, the reader of the
message) capability of reading the text is crucial. Yet it is important to
emphasise that the competence of the receiver does not necessarily equal the
competence of the sender. In order to guarantee a decoding that would be as
accurate as possible, the author constructs a Model Reader while creating the
text, who in decoding the text would depart from a strategy that would be as
similar as possible to that of the author of the narrative when creating it. Ideally,
the Model Reader should be able to actualise the same competences (codes,
context, etc.) as those which the author desires should be actualised when
reading the text. Although, on the one hand, the authors presume competence
from the Model Reader, on the other hand they establish it themselves. In a
typical situation the members of the audience have different and fragmentary
bits of memory concerning an event and its possible reasons, which means that
the reader lacks sufficient competence regarding some connotations. If the
author of the strategic narrative is capable of uniting these bits of memory with
an explanation scheme related to a strategic narrative (e.g. conspiracy theory),
they can activate a coherent interpretative horizon in the audience, which in its
unity has the potential to guide the readers’ future interpretative paths. Thus,
each text also builds its readers itself (Eco 2005, 63), first by shaping the target
audience in a strategic narrative, which will later make it possible to achieve the
desired aims via using this narrative.
In addition to the Model Reader, the methodology offered by Eco also makes it
possible to analyse the self-images
of the sender, i.e. the Model Author. This
becomes particularly relevant in cases when the author’s position has not been
presented explicitly (e.g. deictically, using the first person singular), but is revealed
through mediated discourses. In strategic narratives, the author’s position is often
hidden for its excessive explication could reveal the intentions of the author of the
narrative and possible manipulation. In the context of information war, the media
texts often refer to “experts” and “former insiders” who confirm the positions of
the main narrative. The audience is more likely to trust a critical claim, comment
or even media content based on erroneous information if it comes from several
sources or if it is being mediated via an authoritative source. Therefore, we can
often hear in Russia’s English-language
media channels such as RT and Sputnik
comments critical of the West coming from “a famous German economist”,
“a recognised member of the European Parliament”, “a popular politician, former
Foreign Minister” or “a well-known
British political analyst”. The Model Author
of the strategic narrative appears as an in-text
role that is pointed at in various
ways: through language usage, the function, the role adopted, etc.
Semiotic conflicts in communication 27
According to Eco, the Model Reader and the Model Author are thus types of
textual strategy, or a set of succeeding conditions that are textually determined
and can thus be studied at the textual level. The conditions of the strategy have
to be met for the text to be able to actualise in its potential content (Eco
2005, 69), which is even more important when we speak of the difficulties of
attributing intentionality in the case of social media texts, which was discussed
earlier. In organising the textual strategy, the question thus arises how the author
can presume the competence on part of the audience, which would help the
reader to build the text in a way that suits its author. To actualise the discursive
strategies of the Model Reader and the Model Author, the reader has to relate to
the system of codes and subcodes6 or other semiotic conditions, some which we
are pointing out below:
The list of codes and subcodes is certainly not exhaustive and has been
presented in a fairly general manner in this subchapter. Part II will explain them
in the context of strategic conspiracy narratives and show their function in the
discursive shaping of the conflict, the Model Reader and the Model Author.
Notes
1 Information warfare can be seen to encompass various other concepts; in this book the
following concepts outlined by Brazzoli (2007) are considered: Network warfare (or
Semiotic conflicts in communication 31
cyberwarfare) – offensive and defensive actions in relation to information,
communications, and computer networks and infrastructure; Command and control
warfare – actions taken to manage, direct, and coordinate the movement and actions of
various forces; seeks to protect this ability in friendly forces and disrupt the ability for
an adversary; Intelligence-based warfare – actions to degrade an adversary’s
intelligence cycle while protecting one’s own; Psychological operations – intended to
alter the perceptions of a target audience to be favorable to one’s objectives.
2 “Agitprop” is a word for the (communist) political propaganda applied in the Soviet
Union that was spread among audiences mostly via popular media, such as literature,
games, pamphlets, poems, films, etc. The concept was adopted in Soviet Russia as an
abbreviation of the Department of Agitation and Propaganda (отдел агитации и
пропаганды).
3 The word “symbol” has several different meanings within the humanities, including
semiotics (see Todorov 1977; Lotman 2000). In this book we denote by “symbol”,
content that is in its turn an expression plane for some other content that as a rule is
culturally more valuable (Lotman 2000, 104–105). An important characteristic of a
symbol is its delimitation, i.e. on the content plane a symbol always is a text that can
be differentiated from the surrounding semiotic context (ibid.). Thus, a single sign
(e.g. a tricolour flag as a group’s identification mechanism), as well as a text (the Bible
as a symbol of the Christian religion) can function as a symbol.
4 In this book the concept of actor of strategic narrative and Umberto Eco’s term
empirical author are treated as functionally synonymical.
5 Provisionally, we can label the types as text construction types oriented either towards
the internal or the external audiences.
6 In a most general way, the code can be defined as a regular correspondence between
the content and the expression.
7 The address of a notorious troll factory in St. Petersburg.
2 A semiotic approach to
conspiracy theories
Notes
1 In the context of information influence activities, Thomas Elkjær Nissen explains a
sock puppet as, “a fake identity created to promote someone or something through
blogs, wikis, forums or social networking sites such as Facebook or Twitter. Sock
puppets are often created to improve the status of some entity or to promote a par-
ticular viewpoint that is expected to be helpful to that entity.” (Nissen 2015: 87).
2 Joseph E. Uscinski and Joseph M. Parent are famous for the statement that conspiracy
theories tend to resonate when groups are suffering from loss, weakness or disunity
(see Uscinski, Parent 2014).
Part II
Semiotic analysis of
strategic Soros-themed
conspiracy narratives
3 Strategic Soros-themed
conspiracy narratives in
politics, marketing and
alternative knowledge
The first part of the book treated the semiotic conflict from the point of view of
the strategic narrative and proposed a semiotic discussion of the conspiracy nar-
rative. The second part points at concrete textual devices through which conflicts
and participants in conflicts – their protagonists and antagonists – can be shaped
in strategic conspiracy narratives seen as special cases of the strategic narrative.
In our opinion, the nature of the audiences forming around conspiracy narratives
mostly depends on the specificity of modelling the conflict and its prevailing
meaning-making mechanisms. In the first half of this chapter we complement
the model of the conspiracy narrative with treating the topic (Eco 2005). This
will enable us to understand better how the code-textual
meaning-making, that
serves as the basis of conspiracy narratives, is directed by conflict as the specific
centre of organising interpretations. In the second half of the chapter, we provide
examples of conspiracy narratives from the fields of politics, alternative know-
ledge and marketing, and analyse how the character of conflict constitutes the
relationships between the characters and events featuring in them.
The goal of the US is to create chaos, so that the Orthodox would kill one
another – Ukrainians would kill Ukrainians, Georgians would kill Georgians,
they are also working in Armenia. It is the Antichrist that came into our
home. It is the network of Soros, which does not care about nations, reli-
gions, God or the devil – they are sowing chaos in post-Soviet space.
This may be the most comprehensive example of Soros’s heinous actions, but
a similar conspiracy narrative can be found on different media channels
financed by the Russian state. An article published by the RT on 5 July 2019,
“The government bears full responsibility: The Soros Foundation urging
Tbilisi authorities to fight against the Russian Federation’s ‘hybrid war’
against Georgia” points at the activities of the Soros foundation as the main
escalator of protests against Russia.6 Among the foundation’s activities in
2019, the article mentions other projects, costing hundreds of thousands of
dollars, whose goal is to counter “Russian disinformation” and the negative
reconceptualisation of the Soviet past (Gureeva, Lužnikova 2019). This
66 Soros-themed conspiracy narratives
conspiracy theory contains intertextual references to other, similar conspiracy
theories that hold George Soros responsible for secretly organising and
sponsoring anti-government protest actions in several post-Soviet states. The
use of inverted commas (“”) attributes the status of ridiculous statements to
“Russian disinformation” and Russia’s “hybrid war” against Georgia. The use
of inverted commas is a device that was employed already by Soviet press
when it was necessary to direct the readers’ attention to the legitimacy of the
opponent’s claims (see Papernyi 1996).
We provide a couple of additional examples about the Soros -
themed
conspiracy theories spreading in the post-Soviet
space, an aim of which is to
construct an external enemy. The RT programme “CrossTalk Bullhorns: Crazy
world” with Dmitry Babich, John Laughland, and Alex Christoforou on 13 May
2019 spoke, regarding the connections between Ukraine’s new president
Volodymyr Zelensky and Soros, that the President and numerous members of
his team are stooges of George Soros and the Liberals (CrossTalk … 2019). The
Italian-language Sputnik, that disseminates a similar, in principle pro-Kremlin,
agenda continued the narrative and claimed at the beginning of July 2019 that
George Soros destabilises states in order to provoke civil wars like Euromaidan
in the Ukraine (Statello 2018). In the case of both examples linked with the
Ukraine, Soros is represented as the main puppet master whose influence on the
new president could escalate the political climate within Ukraine into a war.
An article from Sputnik Armenia (Dispute between … 2019) tells us that the
Soros Foundation is plotting the destruction of Armenia. In addition, the Soros
Foundation is organising confrontations in Armenia as Soros’s accomplices
encourage the Armenians to come out against the people of Artsakh (Nagorno-
Karabakh): “They want civil war and blood.”
Functions
Dissemination of the conspiracy narrative that is constructed on the basis of the
ordinary war scenario, religious intertextual scenarios, and ideological
hypercodings bears several interconnected functions. First, it helps to shape the
targeted audience and the horizon of interpretation prevailing there, which is
characterised by an interpretation frame that models the world in a black and
white manner. Creating an interpretative community contains references to
certain historical events (in this case, hints at war events) that start to guide the
reader’s further interpretations and the logic of creating a possible chain of
events in the capacity of subtopics. The code-textual
logic of conspiracy theories
helps the strategic actor create a Model Reader who has a unified enemy in
Soros. Recognising Soros as the cause of different events and subconflicts makes
it possible to treat the readers who identify with these events as a potentially
unified targeted audience, or one of the political-strategic characteristics of such
a narrative is the expansion of the target audience.
Second, from the perspective of strategic communication it is equally
important to mark the position of us that makes it possible for the author of the
narrative, in addition to targeting the audience, to achieve goals related to the
political agenda. The actions and aims of the Model Author, i.e. the discursive
position of us, need not always be explicit in strategic narrative as this may
diminish the credibility of the forwarded information and create a feeling of
being manipulated in the audience. Thus, the justified question arises as to how it
is possible to construct a unified Model Author, a strategic actor, proceeding
from all these examples? Taking into consideration that the Model Author
appears as a result of the text’s interpretative cooperation, we as researchers will
be able to detect signs pointing at the strategic goals of the narratives on the level
of discourse. In discourses this is indicated, on the one hand, by the actions taken
Strategic Soros-themed conspiracies 69
by us in the solving of the conflict. The Sputnik Armenia article saw banning of
the foundations as a key to conflict solving: “The foundation workers and people
cooperating with them are foreign agents. Therefore, the foundation’s office
in Armenia must be closed. Their activities should be prohibited” (Dispute
between … 2019). Such counteractions suggested as solutions to subconflicts can
help the researcher to construct the Model Author and his or her political aims to
which the audience’s support is sought with the help of narratives. We can see
that, in addition to constructing the external enemy, one of the narrative’s aims is
directed at the delegitimisation of internal political opponents: the unrest may be
initiated externally, but its actualisation is being helped by Soros’s minions.
Another possibility is to derive the goals, using antithetical mirror-projective
logic: Soros’s villainous plans go counter to the position of us or the Model
Author. In a situation where the strategic actor cannot openly reveal his or her
goals such an indirect reading can offer a key to detecting the text’s real goals
and the position of the possible real actor (see also Ventsel et al. 2019). Although
in constructing the Model Reader the specific socio-cultural background of the
target audience is taken into account, a surprising unity emerges in the
narrative’s main agenda in case of our examples: all of these connect Soros with
organising pro -
Western demonstrations and question the legitimacy of such
meetings. At times there are direct indications of this: “the Soros Foundation
serves foreign interests in Armenia” points at Soros as the arch-enemy. As the
mutual enemy is taking shape, so is its opposite part – the common us.
According to the logic of antithetical reading, an enemy of Soros’s should be our
friend. Thus, Russia, against whom Soros is also waging war in Georgia (“Soros
foundation called for Tbilisi’s [i.e. Georgian authorities – authors’ comment A.V,
M -
L.M] opposition to Russia’s ‘hybrid war’ against Georgia” (Gureeva,
Lužnikova 2019)), can clearly be positioned as belonging to the us represented
in the Model Author. There are also other signs that allow us to see Russia’s
foreign political agenda behind these examples. In the Armenian case, referring
to Nagorno-Karabakh functions as an indirect hint at Russian foreign politics
whose support has helped Armenia to maintain an autonomous enclave with an
Armenian population within Azerbaijan.
With such a frame of analysis we are able to detect a certain unity in different
aims that are being sought via these narratives. A common aim makes it possible
to construct a Model Author behind these texts for, as we identified in the
subchapter “Information conflicts and strategic narratives”, the Model Author is
formed in strategic communication through the unity of the aims set by the nar-
ratives. These must not be in conflict with one another. In this case the indirect
signs used in reflecting the events in Ukraine, Georgia and Armenia point at
Russia as a strategic actor.
Some days ago, the Voice of Europe wrote about the Soros Express or the
migration crisis financed by the scandalous billionaire and destroyer of
nation states George Soros which is wholly artificial. Namely, both the
Balkan and the Mediterranean migration routes have been set in motion
deliberately, while a Central American route has been added to these as well
that is intended for putting pressure on Donald Trump’s administration.
In 1998 the political cream of Estonia, whose fawning upon the powerful of
this world was nigh unfathomable, in the person of President (Lennart Meri)
awarded George Soros with the Order of the Cross of Terra Mariana,
apparently for furthering democracy. In case of Soros, however, this is
expressed as violent merging of nations, destroying of classic human morals
and national cultures, eradicating humanity and a natural atmosphere for life
and natural human relationships, and other activities detrimental to the
nation state.
(Tiit Madisson 2018)
Functions
In the case of these examples it is important on the strategic level that readers
should become used to the explanatory model that sees the local (political)
elite of Estonia, which purportedly supports Soros’s agenda and has been
bribed by him, as a destructive force that represents a danger to Estonians as
well as to Estonia as a nation state. This became obvious before the parlia-
mentary elections of 2019: “Soros’s troll factory aka the Open Estonia
Foundation has started meddling in the elections for the Riigikogu, attempts
to dictate election topics and to influence the election results by libelling
those forces that defend national and traditional values” (Rahvusriikide
lammutaja … 2019).
In addition to sketching the figure of the enemy, the analysed examples also
contain clear-cut hints at a world that helps the researchers detect the possible
strategic aims present in the examples. It appeared above that, on the one hand,
the position of us is characterised by an agenda of the nation state corresponding
to “the natural order of things” that Soros’s malignant actions attempt to destroy.
Via an antithetical reading the researcher can in principle derive the
characteristics of both parties. We have been describing this when also studying
other Estonian alt-right
conspiracy theories that present their values through
binary oppositions as moral, natural, rational and traditional, while the oppon-
ents are described as amoral, unnatural, irrational and loose forces led by
unbridled hedonism, selfishness and a desire to do evil (see Madisson, Ventsel
2016a, 333; Madisson 2016a).
From time to time concrete steps are proposed that should be taken against
Soros’s actions, i.e. serve as means to solve the conflict: “The first step would be
to make clear to the European public how, why and what exactly the open
society funds and Soros are doing so that the attempts to turn his destructive
fantasy into a political consensus or normality for the masses could be hindered
in course of an informed debate” (George Soros … 2016). Concrete proposals,
and countermeasures against Soros’s actions that are being referred to in the nar-
ratives, also function as references to the boundaries of the position and identity
of us.
On the other hand, the position of the Model Author can be detected from
the “fellow sufferers” – our allies are the US led by Donald Trump and,
within Europe, first and foremost Orbán’s Hungary whose political value
world is similar to ours. We learn from the alternative media channel
Objektiiv, which is popular with the Estonian national conservative and even
extreme right circles, that Soros “keeps visiting Brussels to bargain for a
punishment for Orbán” (Soros saalib Brüsseli vahet … 2018) and from the
Strategic Soros-themed conspiracies 73
Tiit Madisson article “This activity [sanction against Hungary – authors’
comment M-L.M, A.V] is unfortunately supported also by Estonia’s power
elite, a loyal poodle of the leaders of the European Union” (Tiit Madisson
2018). We can see that two opposing sides are taking shape: on the one side
there is Soros, the European Union, the local Estonian elite; and on the other
side there are local right-wing populist political forces and (ultra)nationally-
minded target audiences as well as Hungary, Orbán and Trump who are being
added together as victims of Soros’s malicious actions by the conspiracy
theory’s code text.
Functions
The main strategic aims of the narratives shaped by Orbán’s supporters include
shaping a conflict that would channel party-political differences of opinion into
an opposition of cultural identity between Hungarians and their opponents who
are manipulated by Soros. On the one hand, it can be said that the fight against
Soros as a person does not serve as the main aim of the strategic narratives
because Soros does not participate directly in a Hungarian internal political
election campaign. However, connections with Soros and his supposed plans
that endanger the cultural and historical heritage of Hungary make it possible to
delegitimise the forces that oppose Orbán’s political agenda and justify his own
particular activities that serve as attempts to solve the conflict (e.g. prohibiting
of NGOs, passing an anti-migration act, etc.). On the other hand, first and fore-
most considering the textual strategic aims, the discourse shapes a Model
Author (supporters of Orbán and his agenda) that unites in itself events
important from the perspective of the national narrative. This makes it possible
to expand the potential interpretative community as the Model Reader is led
towards identifying not so much with Orbán and his Fidesz Party but rather
with events and actors important from the perspective of communal cultural
memory.
On the level of discourse the code-textual logic of such conspiracy narrative
allows viewing different discrete activities as justified constituent parts of a
larger whole. The “Stop Soros” package, that was first and foremost directed at
silencing the forces opposing Orbán’s politics, was rhetorically constructed as a
revolutionary and nationalistic protest of Hungarians against Soros’s criminal
machinations that bring about cultural destruction. The narrative of an
endangered nation that has found a central place in Orbán’s rhetoric will make it
possible to legitimise means taken to hinder the opponents’ actions even in the
future, as the code-textual logic of the Soros-themed conspiracy theory allows
classification under its label of different actions that can be shown as
endangering the Hungarian cultural identity.
As was already said at the beginning of this analysis, conspiracy narratives
can bear different functions and the issue here is rather the domination of a
function. This is so also in the case in which the main target audience of
Orbán’s rhetoric is domestic. Yet the larger the segment of the potential target
audience that can be discursively addressed with the help of the Model Reader,
the more wide-reaching should be the represented conflict with which the audi-
ence should be able to identify. Thus, the fight for Christian values makes it
possible to create connections with other political forces using similar rhetoric
in both internal as well as foreign politics. For many anti-EU forces, Orbán’s
Hungary serves as a model due to its anti-Brussels rhetoric. This is why the
forming of such a camp clearly is one of the aims of the strategic author, as it
Strategic Soros-themed conspiracies 77
makes it possible to get positive feedback to its actions from international actors
who emphasise similar values.
Functions
Examples introduced in this chapter demonstrated that strategic conspiracy the-
ories spread with marketing purposes can fulfil various functions, while often a
broader creation of the image of us has merged with more particular
communicative aims. The Soros hints launched in the PR collaboration of
Facebook and Definers served the classic rhetorical aim – projecting a set of
problems on a single scapegoat. The main function of such communication was
to activate conspiracy stereotypes connected with Soros and delegitimise
criticism of Facebook made by this allegedly wicked person. There was an
attempt to create a feeling of doubt and confusion that would corroborate that
something suspicious was afoot in the financing of counter-Facebook
movements, so that even if no concrete evidence could be produced, it was still
worth approaching the theme through a sceptical filter. The narratives
disseminated by Definers also involved the subnarrative of attributing the image
of a positive, unjustly persecuted active agent to Facebook.
The main aim of the marketing discourse cultivating associations with the
pop star conspiracy is to cultivate in the audience a general excitement and
interpretative enthusiasm in connection with certain personal brands. Virally
spreading conspiracy threads has a high value in the contemporary attention
economy, as they are equally useful to click -hungry
tabloids as well as to
stars who need a permanent presence in the media spectacle to maintain
their popularity. Audience attention is admittedly a limited resource and, as
was demonstrated above, the partly funny, yet partly extremely alarming,
infotainment-style conspiracy theories that involve famous (anti-)heroes
efficiently attract that attention. A secondary function of such conspiracy theories
90 Soros-themed conspiracy narratives
is creating a heroic self-description in the target audience. As the conspirators
are depicted as acting hidden from the audience, those aware of conspiracy the-
ories can position themselves as a privileged perceptive minority in the know.
The marketing discourse saturated with references to conspiracies offers the
target audience the possibilities of a certain flattering of the ego in addition to
excitement – doing what teenagers would want to do anyway, that is, consuming
popular culture they can also contribute to playfully exposing hidden/forbidden
knowledge and invite others to open their eyes. What is undoubtedly important
about the marketing strategy relying on conspiracy theories is the aspect of com-
munity creation: members of an active audience like to share the results of their
interpretative detective work with others. Belonging to a wicked secret network
of stars can be a fascinating shared subject and can serve as the foundation of a
specific niche of fandom.
Notes
1 A psychoanalytical approach to text generation in semiotics has been offered by Julia
Kristeva (1969) who differentiates between the genotext and the fenotext and Roland
Barthes (1980) who discusses the differentiation between the concepts of the work
and the text.
2 Propastop is a blog of volunteers from the Estonian Defence League. It uses media
monitoring and data analysis for comprehending disinformation campaigns that target
Estonia. Propastop’s goal is to increase public awareness of the Kremlin’s
disinformation campaigns and promote critical media literacy.
3 Fidesz, or the Hungarian Civic Alliance, has been the main political party in power in
Hungary starting from 2010, and has been led by the current Prime Minister Viktor
Orbán through those years. The party is known for its anti-immigration, Eurosceptical
and populist right-wing politics.
4 EUvsDisinfo is the flagship project of the European External Action Service’s East
StratCom Task Force. It was established in 2015 to better forecast, address and
respond to the Russian Federation’s ongoing disinformation campaigns affecting the
European Union, its Member States, and countries in the shared neighbourhood.
5 The quotation is a loose translation from a television programme 60 Minutes on the
channel Rossiya 1 (21 June 2019), where he was an invited guest as an expert on the
politics of the Middle East and the Caucasus (24:10–24:39).
6 Protests in Georgia started on the night of 21 June; discontent in Georgia was pro-
voked by the visit of a Russian delegation to Tbilisi to participate in the Inter-
Parliamentary Assembly of Orthodoxy.
7 Starting from 2014, hostilities are continuing in Ukraine between the separatist parts
of Eastern Ukraine (Lugatsk, Donetsk) and the central power led from Kiev. For
Ukraine and the West, one of the parties represented in the conflict is Russia who
provides support to the separatists. Russia has been denying its activities there, which
is why pro-Kremlin information channels represent the conflict as a civil war.
Georgia saw a civil war in 1991–1994.
8 What is hinted at is the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh between the Azerbaijani and
the Armenians living in South Caucasus. The conflict, with long-lasting historical and
cultural roots, escalated during the perestroika years in the Soviet Union (1987–1988)
and burst out in hostilities between Armenia and Azerbaijan in 1991–1994 for the
control of Nagorno-Karabakh and some surrounding regions. Today, the Republic of
Artsakh (that declared independence on 2 September 1991) is a disputed territory in
Nagorno-Karabakh and a continuous source of conflict in the relations between
Strategic Soros-themed conspiracies 91
Azerbaijan and Armenia, as after the ceasefire in the war of Nagorno-Karabakh the
Armenian-majority Republic of Artsakh controls a part of the Azerbaijani territory.
9 The Conservative People’s Party of Estonia (EKRE) is a national-conservative and
right-wing populist political party in Estonia. Since 2013, the leader of the party has
been Mart Helme (Estonian Minister for the Interior starting from 29 April 2019),
among its leading figures is also his son Martin Helme (Minister of Finance starting
from 29 April 2019).
10 In Romanian political rhetoric, the governing party has also employed Soros-themed
conspiracy theories to undermine the reputation of its opponents. First and foremost,
he has been accused of financing various demonstrations. The accusation that Soros
paid for the protests against Donald Trump, after the latter had won the US presi-
dency, only adds to the picture of the so-called bleak future of Eastern European
nations in the age of globalisation. Possibly for the first time, a conspiracy theory that
originated in this part of the world became common knowledge in the West
(Nazaryan 2017). Likewise, Soros serves as the embodiment of both Jewish and
Hungarian conspiracy theories in Romanian far-right politics (Colăcel, Pintilescu
2017, 35).
4 The main meaning-making
mechanisms of strategic
conspiracy narratives
The further we move into the East, the more evil Soros’s intentions become.
In Ukraine his establishments considerably contributed to the revolutions of
2004 and 2014 and thus to political instability. […] Leaked e-mail messages
demonstrate that Soros has been issuing direct orders to the new
government of Ukraine. […] Also elsewhere in Central and Eastern Europe
we can see Soros and the Open Society Institute provoking unrest and
instigating wars. They openly participated in Georgia’s Revolution of the
Roses in 2003 as well as in Serbia’s “Bulldozer revolution” in 2000.
(George Soros … 2016)
Notes
1 Crossmedia and transmedia are often used as parallel concepts in academic discourse
(Saldre, Torop 2012, 25); the former is mostly associated with studies of the marketing
and entertainment industry, while the latter more frequently appears in studies of art-
istic texts and the adaptation of concrete textual motifs. Semioticians of culture Maarja
Ojamaa and Peeter Torop emphasise that crossmedia allows them to establish a
narrower focus on studying receiver-centred and intentional communication strategies,
while the concept of transmedia makes it possible to treat the audience’s content cre-
ation and broader processes of cultural signification, including those connected with
cultural memory and dynamics of culture (Ojamaa 2015, 9; Ojamaa, Torop 2015, 11).
In our book we are using the term transmedia throughout as it has been widely
employed in studies dedicated to strategic narratives and as we are interested in both
strategic communication of the code text of conspiracy theory on different platforms
and their spontaneous emergence in the audience’s interpretative activities and content
creation.
2 An image becomes iconic if it frequently appears across media channels and audiences
associate it with a certain news event (Perlmutter 1998).
5 Conclusion and future directions
In the past decade, various online platforms, especially social media, have
developed into a central information and communication space in which the col-
lective meaning of conflicts is strategically constructed, and people’s decision-
making processes are influenced. Thus, in the context of the techniques of
informational influencing activities, analysis of the so-called soft manifestations
of power that are discursive and take into consideration the special
characteristics of social media have become ever more important: how to attract
attention? How to shape narratives that would address the audience on the back-
ground of a general abundance of information? How to construct texts so that
the targeted audience will share them and thus contribute to the dissemination of
strategic narratives?
Attribution, or challenges that are connected with detecting the author or
formulator of a particular narrative, has been pointed out as one of the signi-
ficant research problems in analysing strategic narratives circulating on the
Internet. The subchapter “Information conflicts and information warfare”
identified that the contemporary information war which embraces hybrid media
spheres, has led to important shifts in the meaning of war, as differentiation
between actions coordinated by state/non-state
institutions and those belonging
to the civil sphere of ordinary citizens is ever more difficult. Our study did not
focus on the attribution of the primary authorship of the narrative or the
detection of the central instance coordinating its dissemination, but we directed
our main attention at textual strategies through which the audience’s
interpretation paths are being guided on the discursive level. This approach pro-
ceeds from the premise that we can speak of a strategic narrative when it is pos-
sible to detect an aim presented in it. The unified aim can become manifested
both in narratives disseminated by state as well as non-state actors; thus we
made no clear differentiation between the level of the strategic author or the
formation level, and the level of dissemination of narratives or the projection
level.
In this book we mostly proceeded from the treatment of the strategic nar-
rative, and the theory and method of cultural semiotics. The book’s central focus
of analysis is the discursive shaping of a conflict between the own and the alien
in strategic narratives. We conceptualised the conflict as a gap between different
110 Conclusion and future directions
systems of meaning constructed and mediated in informational influencing
activities via different semiotic means. In Part II we analysed conspiracy narrat-
ives that represented the world-famous figure of George Soros as the main
puppet master of any number of conspiracies. On the level of discourse, the
Soros-themed conspiracy narrative functions as a code text that helps to embrace
social groups that at first glance seem to be totally separate, yet are represented
either as the billionaire’s minions or victims of the conspiracy organised by him.
In order to guide the audience’s interpretation process, the Model Reader, or the
ideal receiver, as it were, is shaped in the narratives by the author or
disseminator of strategic narratives. The role of Model Reader is to actualises
the codes and intertextual references that have been strategically planned into
narratives in order to guide the audience’s interpretation process. In the
examples we have analysed, the Model Reader’s interpretation paths were most
clearly guided by the topic – the conflict – between Soros and those suffering
due to his actions. Its antithetical-antagonistic or agonistic character in many
ways determined the textual strategies employed in constructing the conspiracy
narrative.
In the analysis section of the book, we exemplified the textual strategies
through which it is possible to construct narrative unity. One of the main textual
strategic devices in the conspiracy narratives connected with Soros is the war
scenario. It first and foremost characterises our political narratives, but also
alternative knowledge ones in which our value world is constructed via an
antithetical opposition to the value worlds of the conspirators. Political narrat-
ives are often constructed as endangering our existence. Often they are based on
the textual strategy of creating analogies with historical events, for instance, it is
indicated that Soros’s activities display the same signs that can be detected in
the unleashing of wars that have taken place recently. Conspiracy narratives of
alternative knowledge, however, present the financier as an instigator of pro-
cesses of a long duration that have led to moral decline. Marketing conspiracy
narratives are based on a more ambivalent and playful conflict in which the
opposing force is represented as an omnipotent, yet at the same time glamorous,
villain. The aim of marketing the cultivation of conspiracy associations is prim-
arily to catch the audience’s attention and keep it on the meaning world linked
with their brand for as long as possible through mysteriousness and the effect of
infotainment.
The fourth chapter explained the role of affective semiosis and transmedial
narrating in amplifying the potential of strategic narratives for attention grabbing
and viral spread. We showed which discursive means (e.g. signs connected with
fear) can trigger affective semiosis that serves as an important precondition for
the emergence of connective -
action -
based audiences. As regards strategic
transmedia storytelling, we highlighted devices that help make the storyworld
more nuanced both on emotional as well as informational planes, and also those
devices that create cohesion between different fragments of the story.
Due to the setup of the problem, the framework we are offering will cover
only a single stretch in studying strategic communication that involves several
Conclusion and future directions 111
parties and versatile dissemination channels. The scope of the book does not
allow the conducting of a deep analysis of different aspects of complex trans-
platform storytelling; rather, we concentrate on some representative examples
that reveal the potential of transmedia storytelling and illustrate the basic textual
strategies. Neither did we treat in detail the sign-typological basic mechanism of
affective meaning-making that causes intense reactions in the interpreter. In this
book we have only pointed at the discourse of fear and happiness as a necessary
context, and signs expressing this that trigger specific semiosis in the audience.
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