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P ROBABILITY
by
A N K I TA R O Y Introduction
• Probability is the level of possibility that something will happen or is
true.
• Probability was originated from Latin word meaning approval.
• It is a branch of mathematics that deals with the occurrence of a
random event.
• Probability can be defined as the ratio of the number of favorable
outcomes to the total number of outcomes of an event. Examples of probability Some common terms related to probability
• An experiment • The set of all
in which all possible • An operation outcomes in a possible which can random outcomes are produce some experiment is known and the some well- called a sample exact outcome defined space and it cannot be outcomes is denoted by S. predicted in called an advance is • Each element of experiment called a random a sample space experiment is called a sample point Examples
Random Experiment Space Sample
• To s s i n g a f a i r c o i n • In tossing a fair coin, there
are t wo possible outcomes, • Rolling an unbiased die n a m e l y, h e a d ( H ) a n d t a i l ( T ) . • Drawing a card from a pack of S = { H ,T } well- shuff led cards • Pickling up a ball from a bag of balls of different colours Event Every subset of a sample space is called event.
For examples : In a single throw of a dies, we have S={1,2,3,4,5,6}, The
event of getting a prime number is given by E={2,3,5).
Probability of an event :
P(E)=number of outcomes favourable to occurrence of E/ number of all possible
outcomes
P(E) = n(E)/n(S) Example Suppose we throw a die once.
What is the probability of getting a number greater than 4?