WEF AI in Manufacturing 2022
WEF AI in Manufacturing 2022
Contents
3 Foreword
4 Executive summary
5 Introduction
21 Conclusion
22 Contributors
25 Endnotes
Disclaimer
This document is published by the World
Economic Forum as a contribution to a
project, insight area or interaction. The
findings, interpretations and conclusions
expressed herein are a result of a
collaborative process facilitated and
endorsed by the World Economic Forum
but whose results do not necessarily
represent the views of the World Economic
Forum, nor the entirety of its Members,
Partners or other stakeholders.
Foreword
Türkiye has established itself as a key global player Ministry of Industry and Technology and established
in advanced manufacturing and aims to boost by the Turkish Employers’ Association of Metal
its position through Fourth Industrial Revolution Industries (MESS) – joined the World Economic
technologies. In recent decades, the country has Forum’s Centre for the Fourth Industrial Revolution
made significant efforts to position itself as a global Network, the foremost platform helping leaders
innovation hub, excelling in developing state-of-the- anticipate emerging technologies and drive their
art technologies in ground-breaking companies in inclusive and sustainable adoption. The network links
various fields. Artificial intelligence (AI) technology on-the-ground experience and action with global
applications are part of this effort. In principle, AI network-based collaboration, learning and scaling.
could unlock more than $13 trillion in the global
economy and boost GDP by 2% per year.1 This white paper is an output of the ongoing
However, companies struggle to tap into the value partnership between the Forum’s Platform for
that AI applications can create. Shaping the Future of Advanced Manufacturing and
Value Chains and Platform for Shaping the Future
This paper seeks to uncover the hidden potential of of Technology Governance: Artificial Intelligence
AI in the manufacturing sector and the respective and Machine Learning, the Centre for the Fourth
end-to-end systems by providing practical use Industrial Revolution Affiliate in Türkiye and MESS.
cases and critical enablers to help harness its It highlights case studies from organizations
potential. Coupled with the energy crisis and on the impact, feasibility and scalability of AI in
material shortages facing the world, manufacturing manufacturing. It identifies several opportunities and
players need to go beyond traditional operating lessons from the community on how to increase
methods to drive efficiency and sustainability. operational efficiency, sustainability and workforce
engagement in manufacturing and value chains by
The twin challenges of technological progress using AI.
and socio-political distress call for new forms
of cooperation that respond to heightened We hope this report will provide decision-makers
demand for localization while recognizing the with a better understanding of how to unlock the
drivers of connectivity that shape global impact. untapped potential of industrial artificial intelligence
Acknowledging this, the Centre for the Fourth (AI). We look forward to collaborating with you to
Industrial Revolution in Türkiye – mandated by the deploy these technologies responsibly.
1. A mismatch between AI capabilities and Phase 3: Feasibility to complete all required tests
operational needs and studies
2. The absence of a strategic approach and Phase 4: Implementation, which requires iteration
leadership communication and piloting using agile project management
3. Insufficient skills at the intersection of AI and Moving forward, the World Economic Forum and
operations the Centre for the Fourth Industrial Revolution
Türkiye will continue to work closely with
4. Data availability and the absence of a data stakeholders in the Centre for the Fourth Industrial
governance structure Revolution Network and across industries to
accelerate the journey to capture value from AI
5. A lack of explainable AI models in manufacturing in manufacturing globally. It will offer the Turkish
Employers’ Association of Metal Industries (MESS)
6. Significant customization efforts across Technology Centre as a unique testing and
manufacturing use cases collaboration system for businesses to pilot new
AI applications and foster a collaborative approach
among a diverse group of stakeholders to ensure
the right AI capabilities are built in manufacturing
and rolled out worldwide.
The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution allows the Türkiye, find that AI can help drive a step-change in
conversion of large amounts of data into actionable manufacturing, yielding significant benefits in three
insights and predictions that can provide impetus to categories (figure 1):
data-driven processes. Manufacturing companies
capture value from AI using different mechanisms, – Operational performance by automating
the most common being eliminating redundant and optimizing routine processes and tasks,
work, solving existing problems and revealing increasing productivity and operational
hidden value by analysing and recognizing patterns efficiencies, improving quality (e.g. reducing
in data. AI is applied to augment tasks such as defects, forecasting unwanted failures) and
classification, continuous estimation, clustering, optimizing production parameters
optimization, anomaly detection, rankings,
recommendations and data generation to solve – Sustainability by optimizing material and
industrial problems.5 energy usage, increasing energy efficiencies,
reducing scrap rates and extending machine
Consultations with senior executives from the World lifespans
Economic Forum’s Platform for Shaping the Future
of Advanced Manufacturing and Value Chains and – Workforce augmentation by guiding the
Platform for Shaping the Future of Technology decision-making process and parameter
Governance: Artificial Intelligence and Machine setting, enhancing the accuracy of predictions
Learning, as well as members and partners of and forecasting, reducing repetitive tasks and
the Centre for the Fourth Industrial Revolution increasing human-robot interactions
Operational performance
Workforce augmentation
Collaboration
Task automation
Sustainability
Material efficiency
Machine lifetime
Despite this potential, companies have not yet fully components, understanding them will help identify a
realized the vision of AI-powered manufacturing pathway to implement scalable AI applications.
systems. To unlock the untapped value of industrial
AI, pinpointing the source of a company’s struggles Consultations with the community of over 35 senior
and defining the roadblocks open a new path operations executives, technology experts and
to think through and derive the right solutions to academics have identified six challenges hindering
overcome them. As the barriers to AI adoption stem the adoption of AI in manufacturing and value
mainly from organizational, strategic and technical chains (figure 2).
Manufacturers have often selected AI projects operations. This causes a mismatch of expectations
based on existing technical capabilities instead of and hinders their wider adoption in manufacturing.
focusing on the impact on business operations. Building a solid business case with a problem-
The match between business pain points and AI oriented approach that clearly defines business
technologies is not always thoroughly considered. needs and evaluating the value of an AI solution
Therefore, AI solutions may be technically feasible compared to alternative solutions are the first steps
but fail to solve a relevant, impactful problem in in overcoming that barrier to adoption and scale.
A clear company-wide AI strategy and communication to workforce reluctance. As AI is changing the ways
plan are often ignored. Without the right sponsors of working, communicating the strategic approach,
and committed leaders to start the dialogue and benefits and new processes can help increase end-
collect the buy-in from end-users, the onboarding of users’ willingness to embrace it in their routines.
AI applications across the company can’t occur due
Applying machine learning models requires training Creating a single source of information ensures
on large amounts of data to recognize patterns and that businesses operate based on standardized,
relationships.6 However, manufacturing companies relevant data across the organization. To overcome
often rely on small data sets and fragmented data, this challenge, sharing data across companies’
hindering the accuracy of the resulting insights. boundaries can support joint efforts to adopt
Even when available, these data sets may not artificial intelligence techniques in the manufacturing
represent appropriate failure cases or relevant sector and rely, in turn, on a set of organizational
process situations and are mostly not interoperable. and technological success factors.7
The perception of AI models as complex, non- and accurate and have a warning mechanism in
transparent and uninterpretable systems hinders place to minimize risks. Explainable AI tools and
their deployment. Manufacturers need AI models techniques allow experts to obtain justifications for
that are either open and transparent to build trust in their results in a format that manufacturing users
the predictions and specific results or interpretable can understand. The greater the confidence in the
for domain experts to accept them. AI-provided AI-powered output, the faster and more widely AI
predictions need to be meaningful, explainable deployment can happen.
Factories are complex engineered systems and AI testing of AI models still need manual intervention
models need configuration to be adapted to each for customization, which is not yet fully automated.
process and conform to its constraints. Hence, it Additionally, industrial companies struggle to find
is not possible to simply apply trained AI models commercially available hardware and software
or pipelines from one manufacturing use case with off-the-shelf AI features that require minor
to another. The design of the machine learning customization.
pipeline and the pre-processing, training and
Shedding light on these challenges and understanding them can help identify the right solutions and
approaches to overcome them.
Consultations with over 35 senior operations To illustrate the potential and feasibility of AI in
executives and technology experts find that leading manufacturing, the creation of an industrial AI
manufacturing companies have successfully use case library with input from the community
managed to approach and overcome the has started. The 23 use cases collected across
challenges mentioned above by starting with their different industries cover six main application areas:
business needs, outlining a clear strategy, building health and safety, quality, maintenance, production
cross-functional capabilities and putting a stronger process, supply chains, and energy management
focus on data governance, and selecting AI models (figure 3).
that meet their needs.
1
Health and safety
– Employee health & safety:
AI in
incident prevention
– Process safety:
2 advanced alarm analytics
manufacturing
use cases
Quality
– Quality inspection in assembly
– Quality assurance/
3 defect inspection
– Quality testing
– Quality prediction
Maintenance
4
– Machine health monitoring:
predictive maintenance
5 – Maintenance planning
Source: Company interviews
The use cases collected provide valuable insights investments is usually tangible within 1-2 years.
indicating the business need, the solution After piloting the AI applications in one division,
implemented and the impact achieved. The manufacturing companies either have already
applications show that the return on investment deployed to multiple divisions or have the vision
(ROI) is positive and the payback period of the to scale.
Model designed as an
experienced operator/engineer – Total time of alarm floods
in continuous estimation and decreased by 40%
classification of alarms, detection
– Number of alarms
of nuisance alarms, alarm flood
Process safety: decreased by 50%
Tüpraş, analysis and recommendation
advanced Energy – Time efficiency: Alarm
Türkiye of better configurations. Root
alarm analytics rationalization meetings
causes, next-best actions and
set points extracted from the shortened from 4 hours
Health & safety
– Up to 40% savings
Examining the effective achieved in energy use
parameters on the frames – Scrap rate reduced while
Real-time spot Martur being welded in robotic spot
ensuring sustainability in
weld quality Fompak, Automotive weld stations (weld quality)
production
prediction Türkiye and predicting the spot nugget
diameter realized in line in real – Costs reduced by 60%
time by preventing the use of
excess welding materials
– Reduction of false-reject
Visual inspection of the quality rate by an average of 88%
Quality of pharmaceuticals while AI – Detection rate increased
Körber
inspection recognizes patterns instead of by an average of 38%
Digital, Pharmaceuticals
in drug-and measuring physical image values, – Approximately 2x faster
Germany
patient safety which decreases the false-reject time-to-market achieved
of products
Quality
(transferability) in vision
setup
– Productivity increased
AI-based video analytics to label by 25%
Production process
– Downtime reduced by
Predictive Detecting the machinery 90%
maintenance: failure mode by collecting the – Maintenance cost
machine health Sensemore, continuous vibration data through reduced by 25%
Cement
monitoring and Türkiye fault estimation, early warning – Machine life increased
maintenance and maintenance planning with by 20%
planning AI on fans and electric motors – Operation productivity
improved by 25%
– Prediction accuracy
Predicting electricity usage score varies between
with changing periods in the 12
Energy management
Digital and AI can power a new era for continuous step approach and the required toolset, the
improvement in manufacturing beyond the traditional manufacturing sector can gain new perspectives to
means of driving productivity, thereby unlocking overcome the most pressing challenges.
additional value. Although leading manufacturers
have already captured significant benefits from AI To do so, the INC Invention Center has developed
applications, some are still trying to get started and the AI Navigator,8 a structured toolset to help
are looking for a common framework that paves the companies reach the untapped potential of AI and
way for the deployment of AI in manufacturing with identify use cases with the strongest chance of
a positive return on investment. successful implementation. The step-by-step guide
presented here (figure 4) – based on the AI Navigator
This study has demonstrated that it is possible and consultations from the initiative community –
to uncover AI’s untapped potential with a provides an example of how to develop application-
holistic approach. The development of AI-based specific roadmaps and companywide actions, from
applications starts by laying the groundwork idea generation through evaluation and feasibility
and some fundamental steps. With a step-by- analysis to successful implementation.
Phase 0
Initiation
Kick-off preparation
Use case pre-selection Use case prioritization Use case decision Use case validation
Phase 0: Initiation
AI projects have the greatest probability of success define the main pain points and thus develop the
when businesses conduct a critical early analysis relevant requirements for the solutions needs to
of potential use cases resulting from a problem- be involved.
oriented approach. After setting the stage in Phase
0, this first phase of the AI Navigator enables Close communication and collaboration with
the early prioritization of use cases based on a relevant colleagues and end-users at an early stage
problem-solution-fit analysis. help ensure the developed solution meets their
needs and allows them to adapt progressively to
To discover a set of potential value-adding use the introduced change. Ultimately, this will increase
cases, a cross-functional team that can analyse and the acceptance of the deployed application’s use.9
Phase 2: Assessment
The second phase of the AI Navigator methodology be formulated. Later implementation can only be
focuses on a much more precise assessment made possible after all to-dos have been processed
of the maturity level of the company-specific and the resulting gap between the maturity
AI use case preselected in phase 1 in order to levels has been closed. Consequently, based on
establish the current status quo.10 This phase the assessment results, a statement about the
aims to determine whether the use case can be expected implementation effort can be made with a
successfully integrated with the existing data set, high degree of accuracy.
process perspective, infrastructure and culture/
mindset. Subsequently, a rough solution hypothesis The completion of phase 2 further narrows down or
is to be defined, whereby the target maturity can focuses on the use cases that offer comparatively
be specified. Usually, there is a gap between the high added value and fulfil the necessary
current and target maturity levels. To close this gap, prerequisites for later implementation.
well-founded recommendations for action must
Phase 3: Feasibility
The third phase of the AI Navigator focuses on available on the market or at the research and
business and technical feasibility. In addition to ROI development stage are analysed, considering
estimations, critical elements of this phase include: the company’s individual tech stack. In the best
case, existing solutions can be used directly or
– Data testing: This ensures that enough at least built upon.
structured and labelled data sets of the right
quality are available to produce the required – Competence analysis: If the company requires
results. This provides initial insights into the or desires in-house development, a well-
general feasibility of the use case in preparation founded competence analysis of the employees’
for implementation. This is essential to the skills is necessary to decide which cooperation
development of the specific technology partners are needed externally and which skills
concept.11 can be covered or built up internally.12
– Technology scouting: To check whether the During this phase, the solution hypothesis
previously established solution hypothesis might becomes increasingly concrete. If the resulting
be developed or purchased, it is recommended implementation concept deviates from the original
to carry out the technology scouting as a solution hypothesis, it may be necessary to perform
next step. In technology scouting, solutions the individual steps in phase 3 again.
Phase 4: Implementation
The focus of the fourth phase is to clearly define the the process, ensure the implemented application
implementation roadmap. Industrial AI applications addresses the need of the end-user, and provide a
need modification, testing and validation of models space for innovation and co-creation.
with iterations, which takes time. Using agile
project management methodologies across an It is not enough to pilot an AI use case to leverage
open, collaborative environment, including internal the potential of existing data. Scaling the solutions
and external team members, can help streamline developed is critical to success. For this, it is also
CASE STUDY
Pilot
implementation at
MEXT Technology
Center
The Turkish Employers’ Association of Metal Industries solution to serve as a testbed for new technologies,
(MESS), one of Türkiye’s largest and most active employer minimize integration efforts and manage all data flows.
associations, has built the MEXT Technology and Capability This approach has shortened the time to value for AI studies
Building Center to help its members and companies leverage due to the availability of clean data with real-time automated
digital transformation and technologies. The digital factory contextualization.
uses cutting-edge 5G technology on two production lines – a
discrete production line (end-to-end connected manufacturing) To accelerate the pace of the implementation of AI solutions,
and a continuous production line (digital twin of integrated steel an agile team was built comprising digital transformation and
production) – on which it has implemented over 160 use cases. business strategy professionals, data governance experts and
AI experts from member companies. Additionally, the in-house
MEXT is a real-world demonstration of the initiation phase of team has received training on artificial intelligence (AI)-specific
the guide. knowledge.
With a strategy to have a state-of-the-art digital model factory, MEXT has completed more than 150 smart industry readiness
leadership has prioritized AI-related initiatives and use case index (SIRI) assessments in the automotive, machinery and
development with a clear vision. The AI Lab for Manufacturing equipment producers, steel, textile, cement, chemical and food
is now being built and jointly works on various AI technology processing industries. Based on the SIRI insights, industry-
governance initiatives with the World Economic Forum’s Platform specific pain points have been defined with the structured
for Shaping the Future of Technology Governance: Artificial pathway of the AI Navigator. The AI use cases prioritized
Intelligence and Machine Learning and with public authorities. for implementation are workplace safety, AI-based machine
health monitoring and forecasting, quality inspection, process
MEXT is an openly available space to work with academics, optimization and predictive maintenance use cases. With in-house
manufacturing companies, technology providers and start- experts and upstream and downstream partners, additional AI
ups. It uses a Maestro smart data layer as a data governance use cases are being added and continuously updated.
Memia Fendri
Initiatives and Community Lead, Advanced Manufacturing and Value Chains, World Economic Forum
Francisco Betti
Head, Shaping the Future of Advanced Manufacturing & Value Chains; Member of the Executive Committee
Felipe Bezamat
Head of Advanced Manufacturing Industry
Kay Firth-Butterfield
Head of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning; Member of the Executive Committee
Hubert Halopé
Platform Curator, Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning
Vandana Menon
Engagement Lead, Centre for the Fourth Industrial Revolution Network and Partnerships
Tunç Acarkan
Director, Technology Governance
Efe Erdem
Executive Director, MEXT Technology Center and Centre for the Fourth Industrial Revolution Türkiye
Orkun Seçer
Additive Manufacturing Manager
Uğur Üresin
Fellow, Centre for the Fourth Industrial Revolution Türkiye
Benny Drescher
Technical Director, Artificial Intelligence
Toni Drescher
Chief Executive Officer
Patrick Kabasci
Director, Digital Operations Business Unit
Anne Loos
Executive Director, Artificial Intelligence
The World Economic Forum and Centre for the Fourth Industrial Revolution Türkiye thank the following individuals
for their contributions through interviews, use cases and community discussions.
The World Economic Forum and Centre for the Fourth Industrial Revolution Türkiye would also like to thank the
following individuals for their contributions to the initiative and report.