0% found this document useful (0 votes)

28 views505 pages

Statics P1

Uploaded by

jumbo prints

We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.

Available Formats

Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

0% found this document useful (0 votes)

28 views505 pages

Statics P1

Uploaded by

jumbo prints

We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.

Available Formats

Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

You are on page 1/ 505

UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE INTERNATIONAL EXAMINATIONS

General Certificate of Education Ordinary Level

*4555331710*

STATISTICS 4040/01
Paper 1 October/November 2009
2 hours 15 minutes
Candidates answer on the question paper.
Additional Materials: Mathematical tables
Pair of compasses
Protractor

READ THESE INSTRUCTIONS FIRST

Write your Centre number, candidate number and name on all the work you hand in.
Write in dark blue or black pen.
You may use a soft pencil for any diagrams or graphs.
Do not use staples, paper clips, highlighters, glue or correction fluid.
DO NOT WRITE IN ANY BARCODES.

Answer all questions in Section A and not more than four questions from Section B.
If working is needed for any question it must be shown below that question.
The use of an electronic calculator is expected in this paper.

At the end of the examination, fasten all your work securely together.
The number of marks is given in brackets [ ] at the end of each question or part question.

This document consists of 17 printed pages and 3 blank pages.

DC (SC/SLM) 11521/8
© UCLES 2009 [Turn over

www.xtremepapers.net
2

Section A [36 marks]

Answer all of the questions 1 to 6.

1 A small boatyard makes canoes. The pictogram below shows the number of canoes made in the
years 2002 and 2005.

Year Number of canoes

2002

2005

represents 10 canoes.

(i) State how many canoes were made in

(a) the year 2002,

............................................................[1]

(b) the year 2005.

............................................................[1]

(ii) Draw a pictogram to represent the 33 canoes which the boatyard made in the year 2008.

[2]

© UCLES 2009 4040/01/O/N/09

www.xtremepapers.net
3

2 A large-scale survey is to be carried out, with the required information being collected by means of
a questionnaire.

(i) Give two purposes of firstly conducting a small-scale survey using a pilot questionnaire.

Purpose 1 .................................................................................................................................

...................................................................................................................................................

Purpose 2 .................................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................................................................[2]

(ii) Give one advantage and one disadvantage of sending the questionnaire to respondents
through the post, rather than using interviewers to ask the questions on it.

Advantage ................................................................................................................................

...................................................................................................................................................

Disadvantage ...........................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................................................................[2]

3 In a large school a daily record was kept, from the start of each month, of the total number of
absences up to and including that day.
The totals recorded for the first 11 school days of one month were as follows.

12 23 34 43 51 65 77 94 111 123 140

(i) Write the data in a form showing the number of absences on each individual day.

...............................................................................................................................................[2]

(ii) Obtain the mean and the median of the data you have written in (i).

Mean ...............................................................

Median ............................................................[3]

(iii) Explain why there is a problem with stating a value for the mode of the data you have written
in (i).

...................................................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................................................................[1]

© UCLES 2009 4040/01/O/N/09 [Turn over

www.xtremepapers.net
4

4 Five competitors in a quiz are isolated from each other. They are asked, in a random order, the
same question, until one of them gives the correct answer.
At this point the questioning stops. Two of them know the correct answer, and three do not.

(i) State the maximum number of times the question would have to be asked.

............................................................[1]

(ii) If N is the number of times the question is asked,

(a) state the possible values of N,

........................................................... [1]

(b) calculate the probability of each value, presenting your results in a suitable table.

[4]

© UCLES 2009 4040/01/O/N/09

www.xtremepapers.net
5

5 In a large factory the number of repair jobs reported during each of the three daily shifts (Early,
Late and Night) was recorded over a three week period. The following table shows some of the
results.

Shift
Week Early Late Night Total
1 34

2 34 18

3 32 84

Total 44 250

(i) The total number of repair jobs reported during the Early and Late shifts was the same. Use
this information to insert two values into the table above. [1]

(ii) In week 1 and week 3 there were equal numbers of repair jobs reported during the Night shift.
Use this information to insert a further two values into the table above. [1]

(iii) Showing all your working, calculate the remaining five values and insert them into the table
above.

[5]

© UCLES 2009 4040/01/O/N/09 [Turn over

www.xtremepapers.net
6

6 The table below gives, by category of employment in the year 2007, the number of employees,
and the number of accidents they suffered, at a particular factory. It also shows the standard
population for the whole industry of which the factory is part.

Category of Number of Number of Standard

employment accidents employees population (%)
Management 3 20 4

Technical 9 75 17

Skilled 18 230 41

Unskilled 25 115 38

Total 55 440 100

(i) Calculate the crude accident rate per thousand for the factory.

............................................................[3]

(ii) Showing your full working for at least one of the categories, calculate the standardised
accident rate per thousand for the factory.

............................................................[5]

(iii) Explain briefly why the answers you have obtained to (i) and (ii) are not equal.

...................................................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................................................................[1]

© UCLES 2009 4040/01/O/N/09

www.xtremepapers.net
7

BLANK PAGE

Section B starts on page 8

4040/01/O/N/09 [Turn over

www.xtremepapers.net
8

Section B [64 marks]

Answer not more than four of the questions 7 to 11.

Each question in this section carries 16 marks.

7 The lengths of a certain engineering component coming off a production line are measured.

(i) State whether the variable ‘length’ is

(a) qualitative or quantitative,

............................................................[1]

(b) discrete or continuous.

............................................................[1]

The length of each component is intended to be exactly 5.008 cm. Accurate measurements of a
sample of 80 of these components from the production line produced the following cumulative
frequency curve.

Cumulative
frequency 40

0
5.000 5.002 5.004 5.006 5.008 5.010 5.012 5.014 5.016
Length of component (cm)

© UCLES 2009 4040/01/O/N/09

www.xtremepapers.net
9

(ii) The graph is much steeper close to the intended length than it is at either end.

What does this tell you about the precision of the components produced?

...................................................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................................................................[2]

(iii) Use the graph to estimate, to 4 decimal places,

(a) the median of the lengths,

...................................................... cm [1]

(b) the lower quartile of the lengths,

...................................................... cm [1]

(c) the 90th percentile of the lengths.

...................................................... cm [2]

(iv) Estimate the number of components which have a length of more than 5.0084 cm.

............................................................[2]

Components shorter than 5.004 cm, or with length 5.012 cm or more, are rejected.

(v) Estimate from the graph how many components in this sample are accepted.

............................................................[3]

(vi) Use the graph to estimate, to 4 decimal places, for the accepted components only,

(a) the median of the lengths,

...................................................... cm [2]

(b) the lower quartile of the lengths.

...................................................... cm [1]

© UCLES 2009 4040/01/O/N/09 [Turn over

www.xtremepapers.net
10

8 (a) A turn in a game consists of rolling an unbiased six-sided dice, with faces numbered 1 to 6.
If the face landing uppermost is 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5, then that number is the score for the turn.
If the 6-face lands uppermost, the dice is rolled again, and the score for the turn is the sum of
6 and the number which lands uppermost on the second roll.

(i) List the scores which it is possible to obtain in a turn.

.........................................................................................[1]

(ii) Calculate, as a fraction, the probability of obtaining the lowest possible score in a turn.

............................................................[1]

(iii) Calculate, as a fraction, the probability of obtaining the highest possible score in a turn.

............................................................[1]

(iv) Calculate the probability that, in two consecutive turns, a player will obtain the lowest
possible score and the highest possible score, in either order.

............................................................[2]

© UCLES 2009 4040/01/O/N/09

www.xtremepapers.net
11

(b) You are one of a class of 10 students. A bag contains one blue disc and 9 red discs.
The students take it in turn to draw a disc at random from the bag without replacement.
The student who draws the blue disc will win a prize.
You have been given the choice of drawing a disc first, fourth or last.

Calculate the probability of winning the prize for each of these three alternatives, and hence
state which one you would choose.

...............................................................................................................................................[5]

A ball is selected at random from Box A and placed in Box B. A ball is then selected at
random from Box B and placed in Box A.

Calculate the probability that, after these two operations, the numbers of green and white
balls in Box A and in Box B are the same as at the start.

............................................................[6]

© UCLES 2009 4040/01/O/N/09 [Turn over

www.xtremepapers.net
12

9 A new pressure gauge has been fitted onto a piece of equipment in a chemical plant.
Past experience has shown that such gauges may need to have their calibration (scale of
measurement) adjusted.
To determine whether any adjustments are necessary on the new gauge, several pressure
readings are taken using both it and a standard gauge which is known to be accurate. All readings
are in units of megapascals (MPa).

Pressure (MPa)
Reading
Standard gauge (x) New gauge (y)
A 4 7
B 38 41
C 7 13
D 11 16
E 15 21
F 27 33
G 31 36
H 35 41

(i) Briefly explain why the standard gauge readings, rather than the new gauge readings, are
plotted on the x-axis.

...................................................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................................................................[1]

(ii) Draw a scatter diagram of the data on the grid below.

New 25
Gauge
Pressure
20
(MPa)
15

0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Standard Gauge Pressure (MPa)
[3]

© UCLES 2009 4040/01/O/N/09

www.xtremepapers.net
13

(iii) Explain why you should use readings A, C, D and E to calculate one semi-average, and B, F,
G and H to calculate the other semi-average.

...................................................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................................................................[1]

(iv) Calculate the overall mean and the two semi-averages, and plot them on your graph.

[5]

(v) Draw a line of best fit through your plotted averages. [1]

(vi) Either by calculation, or by using your graph, find the equation of the line of best fit, and write
it in the form y = mx + c.

y = ...........................................................[3]

(vii) Explain what the values of m and c in your equation tell you about any necessary adjustments
to the new gauge.

...................................................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................................................................[2]

© UCLES 2009 4040/01/O/N/09 [Turn over

www.xtremepapers.net
14

10 A random sample of 200 customers leaving a supermarket during one day was asked how much
money (in $) and how much time (in minutes) they had spent during their visit.

(i) The following table summarises the amounts spent.

Amount spent ($) Number of customers

0 – under 30 18
30 – under 50 36
50 – under 60 32
60 – under 70 37
70 – under 80 21
80 – under 100 41
100 – under 150 15
Total 200

(a) Complete the histogram, which illustrates the amounts spent during each visit, on the
grid below. The rectangle representing the 30 – under 50 class has been drawn.

25
Number of
customers
per $10
20

0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
Amount spent ($)
[5]
© UCLES 2009 4040/01/O/N/09

www.xtremepapers.net
15

(b) State the modal class.

.......................................................................................................................................[1]

(c) If the 80 – under 100 and 100 – under 150 classes were merged to form a single class,
80 – under 150, calculate the value on the vertical axis of the height of the rectangle
which would be drawn to represent the merged class.

............................................................[2]

(ii) (a) The following table summarises the times spent by the customers in the supermarket.

Number of
Time (minutes)
customers
0 – under 20 10
20 – under 40 49
40 – under 50 54
50 – under 60 45
60 – under 90 31
90 – under 120 11
Total 200

Estimate, to 3 significant figures, the mean and the standard deviation of the times spent
in the supermarket by these customers.

Mean ................................................. minutes

Standard deviation ............................................ minutes [6]

(b) If the 60 – under 90 and 90 – under 120 classes are merged, the mean will increase.
Explain why this is so.

...........................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................[2]
© UCLES 2009 4040/01/O/N/09 [Turn over

www.xtremepapers.net
16

11 (a) At the start of the school year, all 125 girls at a school had to choose to play at least one
of the sports hockey, netball and tennis. The following diagram illustrates the numbers who
chose to play the different sports.

Hockey Netball

8 30 36

7
9 x

Tennis

(i) Calculate the value of x.

............................................................[2]

(ii) Explain what the value of x represents.

...........................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................[1]

(iii) Showing all your working, determine which sport was chosen by the greatest number of
girls.

............................................................[2]

© UCLES 2009 4040/01/O/N/09

www.xtremepapers.net
17

One month after the start of the year, girls were allowed to change their choice, as long as they
still played at least one of the sports.

The following changes were made:

Two girls who had chosen to play only hockey decided to play both tennis and hockey.
Three girls who had chosen to play only tennis decided to play only netball instead.
Four girls who had chosen to play all three sports decided to stop playing tennis, but to continue
playing both hockey and netball.

(iv) Insert, on the diagram below, the number of girls who have chosen to play the different
sports after these changes have been made.

Hockey Netball

Tennis

. [3]

© UCLES 2009 4040/01/O/N/09 [Turn over

www.xtremepapers.net
18

(b) In this part of the question, you are NOT required to DRAW any pie charts.

The following table gives the number of different models of car sold by a large company
in the year 2005.

Model Number sold

Two-door saloon 491

Four-door saloon 646

Hatchback 542

Estate 521

(i) If these figures were to be illustrated by a pie chart, calculate, to the nearest degree, the
angle of the sector representing sales of Estate cars.

°
......................................................... [2]

(ii) In the year 2008, the company sold, in total, 26% more cars than it had sold in 2005.
If the sales in 2005 were illustrated by a pie chart of radius 5 cm, calculate the radius of a
pie chart illustrating the sales in 2008.

...................................................... cm [3]

(iii) In a pie chart illustrating the sales in 2008, the angles of the sectors representing sales of
two-door saloons, four-door saloons and hatchbacks are 72°, 103° and 85° respectively.
Calculate the number of estate cars which were sold in 2008.

............................................................[3]

© UCLES 2009 4040/01/O/N/09

www.xtremepapers.net
19

BLANK PAGE

4040/01/O/N/09

www.xtremepapers.net
20

BLANK PAGE

Permission to reproduce items where third-party owned material protected by copyright is included has been sought and cleared where possible. Every
reasonable effort has been made by the publisher (UCLES) to trace copyright holders, but if any items requiring clearance have unwittingly been included, the
publisher will be pleased to make amends at the earliest possible opportunity.

University of Cambridge International Examinations is part of the Cambridge Assessment Group. Cambridge Assessment is the brand name of University of
Cambridge Local Examinations Syndicate (UCLES), which is itself a department of the University of Cambridge.
4040/01/O/N/09

www.xtremepapers.net
UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE INTERNATIONAL EXAMINATIONS
GCE Ordinary Level

MARK SCHEME for the October/November 2009 question paper

for the guidance of teachers

4040 STATISTICS
4040/01 Paper 1, maximum raw mark 100

This mark scheme is published as an aid to teachers and candidates, to indicate the requirements of
the examination. It shows the basis on which Examiners were instructed to award marks. It does not
indicate the details of the discussions that took place at an Examiners’ meeting before marking began,
which would have considered the acceptability of alternative answers.

Mark schemes must be read in conjunction with the question papers and the report on the
examination.

• CIE will not enter into discussions or correspondence in connection with these mark schemes.

CIE is publishing the mark schemes for the October/November 2009 question papers for most IGCSE,
GCE Advanced Level and Advanced Subsidiary Level syllabuses and some Ordinary Level
syllabuses.

www.xtremepapers.net
Page 2 Mark Scheme: Teachers’ version Syllabus Paper
GCE O LEVEL – October/November 2009 4040 01

1 (i) (a) 20 B1

(b) 45 (allow 44–46) B1

(ii) For three 'whole canoes' and 'something' M1

For an accurate portrayal of 33 A1

[4]

2 (i) To test whether respondents clearly understand the questions. B1

To test whether the responses to the questions provide the information required. B1

(ii) Advantage. Cheap, compared to interviewing costs. B1

Disadvantage. Likely low response rate. B1
[4]

3 (i) Any appreciation of the need to 'un–cumulate' the figures M1

Correct values (either ordered or unordered)
12 11 11 9 8 14 12 17 17 12 17 A1
(8 9 11 11 12 12 12 14 17 17 17)

(ii) Mean = 140/11 (indication of a correct method) M1

= 12.7(272... ) A1
Median = 12 (ft provided the M1 in (i) has scored) B1ft

(iii) Because the data are bi-modal B1

[6]

4 (i) 4 B1

(ii) (a) 1, 2, 3, 4 (ft 1 up to 'their N') B1ft

(b) Correct method (can be implied by two correct results) M1

N P(N)

1 0.4

2 0.3

3 0.2

4 0.1

Any three correct (with or without others) A1

All four correct (and no others) A1
Their values of N and P(N) presented in a suitable table B1
[6]

www.xtremepapers.net
Page 3 Mark Scheme: Teachers’ version Syllabus Paper
GCE O LEVEL – October/November 2009 4040 01

5 (i) Both 103s in the correct places B1

(ii) Both 13s in the correct places B1

(iii) 37 correct (ft 'their 103' – 66) B1ft

39 correct (ft 52 – 'their 13') B1ft
89 correct (ft 52 + 'their 37') B1ft
77 correct (ft 166 – 'their 89') B1ft
30 correct (ft provided both row and column totals tally) B1
[7]

6 (i) Any attempt to use 55 and 440 M1

(55/440) × 1000 M1
= 125 (per thousand) A1

(ii) Management 3/20 × 1000 × 0.04 = 6

Technical 9/75 × 1000 × 0.17 = 20.4
Skilled 18/230 × 1000 × 0.41 = 32.1
Unskilled 25/115 × 1000 × 0.38 =82.6

Correct method used in any one category M1*

One correct value or expression seen A1
All other correct values or expressions seen A1
Summing the rates for the four categories dep M1*
141.10 (per thousand) (AWRT 141.1) A1

(iii) The category of employment structure in the factory is not the same as in the standard
population. B1
[9]

7 (i) (a) Quantitative B1

(b) Continuous B1

(ii) Most of the lengths are close to that intended M1

and so the process is quite precise. A1

(iii) (a) Median = 5.0074 or 5.0075 B1

(b) LQ = 5.0055 B1

(c) 90th percentile = value in the range 5.0105 to 5.0108 inclusive B2

(iv) Sight of an attempt at the cum. freq. at 5.0084 M1

26 A1

(v) cf’s 11 and 77 seen or implied B1

Indication of (higher tolerance limit cf minus lower tolerance limit cf) M1
77 – 11 = 66 A1ft

www.xtremepapers.net
Page 4 Mark Scheme: Teachers’ version Syllabus Paper
GCE O LEVEL – October/November 2009 4040 01

(vi) (a) Correct method for either measure seen, or implied by a correct result M1
Median item is [11 + (66/2)] =44th on graph
5.0077 A1

(b) LQ item is [11 + (66/4)] =27.5th on graph

5.0064 A1
[16]

8 (a) (i) 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 9 10 11 12 B1

(ii) 1/6 B1

(iii) 1/36 B1

(iv) Correct probability expression using their answers to (ii) and (iii) M1
1/108 A1

(b) P(first) = 1/10 B1

P(fourth) = 9/10 × 8/9 × 7/8 × 1/7 =1/10
P(last) = 9/10 × 8/9 × ……….× 2/3 × ½ × 1 = 1/10
Indication of correct method for either fourth or last M1
P(fourth) = 1/10 A1
P(last) = 1/10 A1
Valid conclusion from their probabilities B1ft

(c) Any appreciation of the fact that the two operations must involve discs of the same
colour B1
P(green discs moved) = 7/10 × 6/15 = 7/25
P(white discs moved) = 3/10 × 10/15 = 1/5
Correct method for either, including seeing 15 (or 14) as the second denominator M1
P(G) = 7/25 A1
P(W) = 1/5 A1
Attempt to sum their probabilities for the two sequences M1
7/25 + 1/5 = 12/25 (= 0.48) A1
[16]

9 (i) Any comment which states or implies that the standard gauge is the independent
variable. B1

(ii) Correctly plotted points (–1 each error or omission) B3

(iii) Because A, C, D and E have the four lowest x-values (or equivalent) B1

(iv) Method for calculating overall mean M1

Plot of (21, 26) A1
Method for calculating either semi-average M1
Plot of (9.25, 14.25) A1
Plot of (32.75, 37.75) A1

(v) Straight line through at least two of their points plotted in (iv) B1

www.xtremepapers.net
Page 5 Mark Scheme: Teachers’ version Syllabus Paper
GCE O LEVEL – October/November 2009 4040 01

(vi) m = AWRT 1.0 B1

c = AWRT 5.0 B1
y = x + 5 (for substituting their stated values of m and c in an equation of the
required form) B1ft

(vii) The equation shows that the new gauge will give a reading 5MPa greater than the
accurate reading given by the standard gauge.
For any correct comment about their equation in context M1
The new gauge calibration therefore needs to be adjusted 5 MPa downwards.
For correct description of required change to calibration cao A1
[16]

10 (i) (a) Any appreciation of area being proportional to frequency M1

Correct heights 6, 20.5, 3 (provided working seen can score even if not drawn)
(one mark each) A3
Correct heights 32, 37, 21 (must be drawn) B1

(b) Allow either 60 – under 70 (tallest rectangle) or 80 – under 100 (highest frequency)
B1

(c) Attempt to sum 41 and 15 and divide by 7 M1

8 A1

(ii) (a) Use of correct class mid-points, seen or implied B1

Sight of a correct method for the mean M1
Mean = 49.8 (cao and must be 3sf) A1
Sight of any correct method for s.d. or variance M1
Standard deviation = AWRT 21.3 or Variance = AWRT 453.6 A1
21.3 (cao and must be 3sf) A1

(b) Any use of the values 90 and 42 M1

A convincing explanation (can imply M1 even if 90 and 42 not mentioned) A1
[16]

11 (a) (i) Attempt to sum values and subtract from 125 M1

x = 15 A1

(ii) x represents the number who chose to play netball and tennis, but not hockey. B1

(iii) Showing all working necessary for a valid comparison to be made. M1

Netball WWW A1

(iv) 6 and 11 seen in correct places. B1

17 and 39 seen in correct places. B1
34 and 3 seen in correct places. B1

(b) (i) 521/'their total' × 360 M1

(ii) Any appreciation of the need to use r2 or √1.26 M1

r2 = 25 × (126/100) or 25 × (2772/2200) A1
r = AWRT 5.6 cm A1

www.xtremepapers.net
Page 6 Mark Scheme: Teachers’ version Syllabus Paper
GCE O LEVEL – October/November 2009 4040 01

(iii) Attempt to obtain total sales for 2008 (may be seen as part of (ii)) M1
Attempt to multiply 2008 total sales by (360 – sum of angles)/360 M1
2772 × (100/360) = 770 A1
[16]

www.xtremepapers.net
UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE INTERNATIONAL EXAMINATIONS
General Certificate of Education Ordinary Level
* 4 7 9 6 8 2 4 0 5 0 *

STATISTICS 4040/13
Paper 1 October/November 2010
2 hours 15 minutes
Candidates answer on the question paper.
Additional Materials: Mathematical tables
Pair of compasses
Protractor

READ THESE INSTRUCTIONS FIRST

At the end of the examination, fasten all your work securely together.
The number of marks is given in brackets [ ] at the end of each question or part question.

This document consists of 21 printed pages and 3 blank pages.

DC (NF/SW) 24563/4
© UCLES 2010 [Turn over
2

Section A [36 marks] For

Examiner’s
Answer all of the questions 1 to 6. Use

1 Four methods of sampling are:

simple random;

stratified random;

quota;

systematic.

State

(i) the method which does not require the use of any form of random numbers,

...................................................................................................................................... [1]

(ii) the method which does not require a sampling frame,

...................................................................................................................................... [1]

(iii) the method in which the choice of which individual items are selected is left to the
interviewer/researcher,

...................................................................................................................................... [1]

(iv) the method which is most prone to bias if there is a pattern in the sampling frame which
repeats at regular intervals,

...................................................................................................................................... [1]

(v) the two methods which require the use of random numbers to select every item in a
sample,

..........................................................................................................................................

...................................................................................................................................... [1]

(vi) the two methods which require the population to be subdivided into appropriate
categories.

..........................................................................................................................................

...................................................................................................................................... [1]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10

2 Twenty men were asked in which sports they participated regularly. The results are given in For
the diagram below. Examiner’s
Use

Athletics
Badminton
Cricket
Football
Jogging
Rugby
Swimming
Tennis

represents 1 man.

(i) State the name of this form of representation.

...................................................................................................................................... [1]

(ii) Give one disadvantage of this form of representing data.

..........................................................................................................................................

...................................................................................................................................... [1]

(iii) Name the most popular sport among these men.

...................................................................................................................................... [1]

(iv) Explain why the number of symbols in the diagram is greater than 20.

..........................................................................................................................................

...................................................................................................................................... [1]

(v) Calculate the percentage of these men who played rugby regularly.

................................................... [2]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10 [Turn over

3 In a dancing competition, couples were judged on their performance in three dances. Each For
couple chose their dances from a list. Three of the dances on the list were the Foxtrot (F ), the Examiner’s
Paso Doble (P) and the Tango (T ). The following diagram gives information on the choices of Use
the couples entered in the competition.

F P

7 6 5

2
4 3

In total, there were 50 couples entered in the competition.

(i) Write, in the appropriate place in the diagram, the number of couples who did not choose
any of these three dances.

[2]

(ii) State what the value 6 in the diagram represents.

..........................................................................................................................................

...................................................................................................................................... [1]

(iii) Find which of these three dances was chosen by the most couples, and state the number
of couples who chose it.

Dance ......................................................

Number of couples .................................................. [3]

4 The date in the table below relates to the inhabitants of two streets, S and T. For
Examiner’s
Use
Interquartile range of
Street Median age (years)
ages (years)

S 27.5 18.0

T 58.3 4.2

(i) Possible descriptions of the ages of the inhabitants are:

C ages vary, generally old;

D ages vary, generally young;
E ages about the same, generally old;
F ages about the same, generally young.

Select which of these descriptions is most appropriate for the inhabitants of

(a) street S,

.............................................................................................................................. [1]

(b) street T.

.............................................................................................................................. [1]

25% of the population of street S is above 34.3 years old.

(ii) State the percentage of the population of street S which is between 27.5 and 34.3 years
old.

................................................... [1]

(iii) Find the lower quartile age of the population of street S.

....................................... years [1]

(iv) For each of the following, state whether it is definitely true, possibly true, or definitely
false.

(a) The lower and upper quartile ages of the population of street T are 56.2 and 60.4
years respectively.

.............................................................................................................................. [1]

(b) The oldest inhabitant of street T is older than the oldest inhabitant of street S.

.............................................................................................................................. [1]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10 [Turn over

5 A frequency distribution is given by the table below. For

Examiner’s
Use
Variable Frequency

4 7

7 10

10 6

13 3

The arithmetic mean and the standard deviation of this distribution are 7.58 and 2.88
respectively, each correct to 3 significant figures.

(i) Using these results, and showing your method, find the mean and the variance of the
frequency distribution in the following table.

Variable Frequency

8 7

14 10

20 6

26 3

Mean = ......................................................

Variance = .................................................. [3]

(ii) The table below gives the grouped frequency distribution of a discrete variable.

Variable Frequency

4, 5, 6 7

7, 8, 9 10

10, 11, 12 6

13, 14, 15 3

(a) State the class mid-points of this distribution.

................ , ............... , .............. , ................ [1]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10

(b) Estimate, to 2 significant figures, the mean and the standard deviation of this For
distribution. Examiner’s
Use

Mean = ......................................................

Standard deviation = .................................................. [2]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10 [Turn over

6 The following table summarises the age and marital status of the female members of a sports For
club. Examiner’s
Use

Marital Status
Age TOTAL
Single Married Widowed Divorced

Under 20 18 2 0 0 20

20–24 9 13 4 7 33

25–29 7 89 7 11 114

30–39 5 4 4 2 15

40 and over 1 2 1 6 10

TOTAL 40 110 16 26 192

(i) A woman is chosen at random from the club.

(a) State the probability that she is single.

.............................................................................................................................. [1]

(b) Given that she is in the 30–39 age group, find the probability that she is single.

................................................... [2]

(ii) By considering divorced women aged 25–29, show that age and marital status are not
independent for female members of this club.

[3]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10

BLANK PAGE

[Section B starts on page 10]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10 [Turn over

Section B [64 marks] For

Examiner’s
Answer not more than four of the questions 7 to 11. Use

Each question in this section carries 16 marks.

7 The table below gives the percentages in different age groups of anglers (people whose
hobby is fishing) in the United Kingdom.

Age (years) Percentage of anglers

15–under 25 28

25–under 30 20

30–under 35 22

35–under 45 16

45–under 65 14

On the grid below a histogram representing these ages is to be drawn. The rectangle for the
30–under 35 group is given.

Frequency
density 3

0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Age (years)

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10

(i) By considering the height of the given rectangle, state, on the answer line below, the For
units of the vertical axis. Examiner’s
Use

................................................... [2]

(ii) Draw the rectangles representing the other four age groups.

[4]

(iii) Briefly explain why it is not possible to obtain an accurate value for the mode from this
histogram.

..........................................................................................................................................

...................................................................................................................................... [1]

(iv) Write down the mid-points of the five age groups.

...................................................................................................................................... [1]

(v) Estimate, to 3 significant figures, the mean and the standard deviation of the anglers’ ages.

Mean = ............................................ years

Standard deviation = ...................................... years [6]

(vi) State, giving a reason, which of the mean and median ages you would expect to be
higher for this distribution.

..........................................................................................................................................

...................................................................................................................................... [2]
© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10 [Turn over
12

8 The lengths, in mm, of a sample of 160 rods produced on a machine are represented by the For
following cumulative frequency curve. Examiner’s
Use

160

140

120

100

Cumulative
frequency
80

0
0 40 50 60 70 80 90
Length (mm)

(i) State which feature of the graph shows that the majority of rods had lengths in the
middle of this range.

..........................................................................................................................................

...................................................................................................................................... [1]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10

(ii) Use the graph to estimate For

Examiner’s
(a) the lower quartile length, Use

.......................................... mm [2]

(b) the 80th percentile length.

.......................................... mm [3]

The rods cost $5 each to produce.

Rods can only be used for their intended purpose if their lengths are in the range 55 mm to
75 mm inclusive.

Rods which are longer than 75 mm are shortened to be within the accepted limits, at a cost
of $3 each.

Rods which are shorter than 55 mm cannot be used, and are sold for recycling at $2 each.

(iii) Estimate the number of rods in this sample which

(a) will have to be sold for recycling,

................................................... [1]

(b) can be used after having been shortened,

................................................... [2]

(c) can be used immediately after production.

................................................... [2]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10 [Turn over

(iv) By considering the cost of manufacturing all 160 rods in the sample, estimate the mean For
cost per rod of those rods which can be used. Examiner’s
Use

Mean = $ .................................................. [5]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10

BLANK PAGE

[Question 9 is printed on the next page]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10 [Turn over

9 (a) The information below relates to a city in the year 2008. For
Examiner’s
The total population at the start of the year was 420 000. Use

The crude death rate for the city was 9.6 per 1000.

There were 5250 births in the city.

(i) Calculate the number of deaths in the city in the year 2008.

................................................... [2]

(ii) State, giving a reason, whether subtracting your answer to (i) from 5250 would give
the increase in the city’s population in 2008.

..................................................................................................................................

.............................................................................................................................. [2]

(b) The data in the table below relates to a town in the year 2009.

Number of Death rate per Standard

Age Population
deaths 1000 population

0–24 10 000 70 7 3500

25–49 80 10 3000

50 and over 1500

TOTAL 25 000 262 8000

(i) Fill in the four values which are missing from the table.

[5]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10

(ii) Calculate, to 1 decimal place, and stating the units, the crude death rate and the For
standardised death rate of the town. Examiner’s
Use

Crude death rate = ......................................................

Standardised death rate = .................................................. [5]

It was subsequently discovered that the overall population of the region in which the town
was situated was younger than had been thought, and that a more appropriate standard
population for the three age groups would be 4000, 3000 and 1000 respectively.

(iii) Without carrying out any further calculations, state what effect using this new
standard population would have on the crude death rate and on the standardised
death rate of the town.

..................................................................................................................................

.............................................................................................................................. [2]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10 [Turn over

10 Zaheer only buys petrol when the tank of his car is almost empty, except that if he passes a For
garage selling cheap petrol he will buy some, however much is still in the tank. Examiner’s
Use

Whenever he buys petrol he always fills the tank and records the details in his log book, and
usually re-sets the trip recorder to 0.

The following table is an extract from Zaheer’s log book. The odometer records the total
distance in km travelled by the car since its manufacture. The trip recorder records the
distance in km travelled by the car since the trip recorder was last re-set to 0.

Odometer Trip recorder Petrol bought

Date
reading (km) reading (km) (litres)

July 5 16319 510 38.5

July 11 16824 505 39.5

July 15 17099 275 20.5

July 18 17584 485 37

July 22 17789 690 15

July 24 18084 295 23.5

July 25 18579 495 38.5

July 26 18799 220 18

(i) Estimate the capacity of the car’s petrol tank to the nearest 5 litres.

........................................ litres [1]

(ii) State the four dates on which Zaheer bought cheap petrol.

...................................................................................................................................... [1]

(iii) On one occasion when Zaheer bought petrol he forgot to re-set the trip recorder.

(a) State the date on which this happened.

................................................... [1]

(b) Find the actual distance travelled between this purchase and the next one.

........................................... km [1]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10

The grid below gives petrol bought, in litres, on the x-axis, and distance travelled since For
previous purchase of petrol, in km, on the y-axis. Examiner’s
Use

700

600

500
Distance travelled (km)

400

300

200

100

0
0 10 20 30 40
Petrol bought (litres)

(iv) Plot on the grid the eight points corresponding to the occasions on which Zaheer
purchased petrol. [2]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10 [Turn over

(v) Calculate the overall mean and the two semi-averages, and plot them on the grid. For
Examiner’s
Use

[6]

(vi) Draw a line of best fit through your plotted averages. [1]
(vii) Use your line of best fit to estimate

(a) the distance, to the nearest 10 km, which Zaheer could travel using 30 litres of
petrol,

........................................... km [1]

(b) the petrol consumption of Zaheer’s car, stating the units.

................................................... [2]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10

BLANK PAGE

[Question 11 is printed on the next page]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10 [Turn over

11 (a) Research organisations in the United Kingdom often divide the population into six For
categories, called social classes, denoted by A, B, C1, C2, D and E. The percentages of Examiner’s
the population in the different social classes in the year 1987 are given in the following Use

table.

Class A and B C1 C2 D and E

Percentage 13 21 38 28

(i) Draw and label a pie-chart of radius 4 cm to represent these percentages.

[4]

(ii) By the year 2001, the population of the U.K. was 7% larger than it had been in 1987.
Calculate, to 2 decimal places, the radius of a corresponding pie chart representing
the 2001 population.

(You are not required to draw this chart.)

........................................... cm [4]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10

(b) The following table gives, for each gender separately, the percentage of the U.K. For
population of working age in different occupational groups in the year 2002. Examiner’s
Use

Males (%) Females (%)

Professional 8 3

Managerial and Technical 27 24

Skilled (non-manual) 11 31

Skilled (manual) 27 7

Partly skilled and Unskilled 17 21

Others 10 14

‘Others’ included those in the Armed Forces, those who did not state their current or last
occupation, and those who had not worked in the previous eight years.

(i) Draw, on the grid below, fully-labelled percentage component bar charts for males
and females to illustrate the data in the table.

[4]

[Question 11 continues on the next page]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10 [Turn over

(ii) Describe two differences between the occupations of males and females illustrated For
by the charts. Examiner’s
Use

..................................................................................................................................

.............................................................................................................................. [2]

(iii) State, with a reason, whether you would regard pie charts or bar charts as more
appropriate to compare these two sets of percentages.

..................................................................................................................................

.............................................................................................................................. [2]

© UCLES 2010 4040/13/O/N/10

UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE INTERNATIONAL EXAMINATIONS
General Certificate of Education Ordinary Level
* 2 1 3 7 9 7 3 6 3 4 *

STATISTICS 4040/12
Paper 1 October/November 2010
2 hours 15 minutes
Candidates answer on the question paper.
Additional Materials: Mathematical tables
Pair of compasses
Protractor

READ THESE INSTRUCTIONS FIRST

At the end of the examination, fasten all your work securely together.
The number of marks is given in brackets [ ] at the end of each question or part question.

This document consists of 19 printed pages and 1 blank page.

DC (NF/SW) 34298
© UCLES 2010 [Turn over
2

Section A [36 marks]

Answer all of the questions 1 to 6.

1 In a class test, the marks of eleven pupils were as follows.

4 25 7 8 4 4 8 9 6 5 19

(i) For these marks, find

(a) the mode,

............................................................[1]

(b) the median,

............................................................[1]

(c) the mean.

............................................................[1]

(ii) State which one of these three quantities you would choose as the most appropriate measure
of central tendency (average) to represent these figures, and give a reason for rejecting one
of the other two.

...................................................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................................................................[2]

(iii) State (but do not calculate) which measure of dispersion (spread) you would use as the most
appropriate to represent these marks.

............................................................[1]

© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10

2 There are 34 pupils in a school class. Their method of travel to school is given in the following
table.

Method of travel Number of pupils

Car 7
Bus 10
Walk 7
Train 10

The data is to be illustrated by a pie chart of radius 4 cm.

(i) Calculate, to the nearest degree, the angles of the sectors representing Car and Bus.

Car ....................................................... °

Bus ....................................................... ° [2]

(ii) Draw and label the pie chart.

[2]

(iii) In another class there are 27 pupils. Calculate, correct to 1 decimal place, the radius of a
comparable pie chart to illustrate this class. You are NOT required to draw this pie chart.

.................................................... cm [2]
© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10 [Turn over
4

3 The diagram below shows how many pets (cat, dog, rabbit) are owned by each of 100 households.
No household owns more than one of each different animal.

Cat Dog

33
z 31

y
z z

x
2

Rabbit

(i) Interpret the value 31 in the diagram.

...............................................................................................................................................[1]

(ii) 72 households own only one pet. Find the value of x.

x = ...........................................................[1]

(iii) Three times as many households own only a cat as own all three types of pet. Find the value
of y.

y = ...........................................................[1]

© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10

(iv) Of the 100 households, 2 own no pet. Find the value of z.

z = ...........................................................[2]

(v) Find the number of households owning a dog.

............................................................[1]

© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10 [Turn over

4 The heights of the girls in a village were measured and are represented in the histogram below.

Frequency
density
5

0
0 145 150 155 160 165 170 175 180
Height (cm)

There are 24 girls in the 155 – under 165 cm class.

(i) Complete the table below.

Height (cm) Number of girls

145 – under 150

150 – under 155

155 – under 165 24

165 – under 180

[4]

(ii) Use the histogram to estimate the modal height of the girls.

..................................................... cm [2]

© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10

5 Before an examination, teachers were required to predict the grades which their pupils would
obtain, from A (highest) to D (lowest). The following table shows the numbers of pupils for whom
the predicted grade was accurate.

Teacher’s predicted Grade obtained

grade A B C D

A 132

B 284

C 203

D 68

(i) Complete the table using the following information:

(a) Among pupils for whom grade C was predicted, 33 obtained grade B and 4 obtained
grade D.

[1]

(b) There were no pupils for whom the predicted grade and the grade obtained were more
than one grade apart.

[1]

(d) Of the candidates for whom grade A was predicted, eleven times as many obtained
grade A as obtained grade B.

[1]

(e) There were 50 candidates for whom grade B was predicted but who obtained another
grade. Nine times as many obtained grade A as obtained grade C.

[1]

(ii) For all those pupils whose predicted grade was not accurate, state, with a reason, whether
the grade obtained was likely to be higher or lower than the predicted grade.

...................................................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................................................................[1]

© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10 [Turn over

6 (a) On the grids below sketch the frequency curve of

(i) a distribution in which the mode is greater than the mean,

Frequency

Variable

[2]

(ii) a distribution in which the mean, median and mode are all equal.

Frequency

Variable

[2]

© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10

(b) A variable has the following frequency curve.

Frequency

1 2 3 4 5 6
Variable

On the grid below sketch the corresponding cumulative frequency curve.

Cumulative
frequency

1 2 3 4 5 6
Variable

[2]

© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10 [Turn over

Section B [64 marks]

Answer not more than four of the questions 7 to 11.

Each question in this section carries 16 marks.

7 (a) A man has three unbiased coins, one gold, one silver and one bronze.
In an experiment, the gold coin is tossed. If a head lands uppermost the experiment stops,
otherwise the silver coin is tossed. If a head on the silver coin lands uppermost the experiment
stops, otherwise the bronze coin is tossed.
On each toss of a coin, if a head lands uppermost, H is recorded, and if a tail lands uppermost,
T is recorded.

(i) State each of the possible sequences of outcome in the experiment together with its
probability.

[4]

(ii) The experiment is carried out twice. Calculate the probability that both experiments stop
with H being recorded.

............................................................[2]

(b) John and Zaheer play a game in which the player who starts the game has an advantage.
When John starts, the probability that he will win is 0.7. When Zaheer starts, the probability
that he will win is 0.8. All games end in a win for one player or the other.
They agree to play a number of games until one of them has won 3 games. Except for the first
game, each game is started by the loser of the previous game.

(i) State the maximum number of games which have to be played for one player to win three
games.

............................................................[1]

© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10

(ii) Calculate the probability that John will win by 3 games to 0 when

(a) John starts the first game,

............................................................[2]

(b) Zaheer starts the first game.

............................................................[2]

(iii) Denoting the event ‘John wins’ by J, and ‘Zaheer wins’ by Z

(a) write down the three different sequences of four results which lead to Zaheer winning
by 3 games to 1,

[2]

(b) calculate the probability that Zaheer wins by 3 games to 1, if John starts the first
game.

[3]

© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10 [Turn over

8 The table below gives certain information about the population and deaths in town X for the year
2008, together with the standard population of the area in which town X is situated.

Population in age Standard

Age group Deaths
group population (%)
0 – under 20 11 2600 25

20 – under 40 d 4500 30

40 – under 60 11 4400 25

60 and over 65 1300 20

(i) The death rate for the 20 – under 40 age group was 2 per thousand. Show that d = 9.

[1]

(ii) Calculate the death rates per thousand for the other three age groups.

................................................................

............................................................[2]

(iii) Calculate the crude death rate per thousand for town X.

............................................................[4]

(iv) Using the given rate for the 20 – under 40 age group, and the rates you have calculated
in (ii), calculate, correct to 2 decimal places, the standardised death rate per thousand for
town X.

............................................................[4]
© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10
13

The table below gives information about town Y, another town in the same area as town X, for the
year 2008. The crude death rate for town Y in 2008 was 7.97 per thousand.

Death rate Population in age

Age group
per thousand group (%)
0 – under 20 4 35

20 – under 40 3 24

40 – under 60 5 22

60 and over 25 19

(v) Calculate the standardised death rate per thousand for town Y in the year 2008, using the
same standard population as for town X.

............................................................[2]

(vi) State, with a reason, which of the two towns would appear to have a healthier environment.

...................................................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................................................................[2]

For both town X and town Y, the standardised death rate is higher than the crude death rate.

(vii) State what this tells you about how their populations compare with the standard population.

...................................................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................................................................[1]

© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10 [Turn over

9 A man travels to and from work by car. The following table shows the cost (in $) over a period of
160 working days.

Number of working days (x) 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

Cost ($) (y) 230 290 340 390 445 500 560 610

(i) Plot a scatter diagram of cost against number of working days on the grid below.

y
800

700

600

500

Cost
($) 400

300

200

100

0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 x
Number of working days
[2]

© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10

(ii) Calculate three appropriate averages using the data, plot them on the grid, and use them to
draw the line of best fit.

................................................................

............................................................[6]

(iii) Obtain the equation of your line of best fit, giving the equation in the form y = mx + c.

............................................................[4]

(iv) Estimate the cost of travelling to and from work for 110 days.

$ ............................................................[1]

(v) If the man used public transport, the journey to and from work would cost him $5 per day.
On the grid, draw a line representing public transport cost against the number of working
days.

[1]

(vi) State the number of days after which the man would have spent the same amount whether
travelling by car or public transport.

............................................................[1]

(vii) Explain briefly why one of your lines passes through the origin, but the other does not.

...................................................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................................................................[1]
© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10 [Turn over
16

10 The owner of a travelling shop noted how many kilometres he travelled on each of the 300 days on
which he worked during one particular year. He grouped his results as given in the following table.

Kilometres Number Class (m–25)

x=
travelled of days mid-points (m) 5

under 10 6

10 – under 20 13

20 – under 30 62

30 – under 40 96

40 – under 60 65

60 and over 58

The lowest and highest classes in the above table are ‘open-ended’.

(i) State, in each case with a reason, what you would regard as a suitable value to use for

(a) the lower limit of the lowest class,

...........................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................[2]

(b) the upper limit of the highest class.

...........................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................[2]

(ii) Using your answers to (i), write in the above table the class mid-points (m) of the six classes.
[2]

© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10

(iii) The values of m are scaled, by subtracting 25 and dividing by 5, to give values of x.

(a) Write the values of x in the table. [2]

(b) Estimate, to 3 significant figures, the mean and the standard deviation of the values of x.

Mean = ...............................................................

Standard deviation = ...........................................................[5]

(c) Use your results in (iii)(b) to estimate, to 3 significant figures, the mean and the standard
deviation of the number of kilometres travelled per day by the owner of the shop.

Mean = .................................................... km

Standard deviation = .................................................... km [3]

© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10 [Turn over

11 A company designed an aptitude test to gauge the suitability of people applying to join its workforce.
The following table summarises the time taken (in minutes) to complete the test by 88 applicants.

Time to complete test Number of Cumulative

(minutes) applicants frequency
10 – under 30 8

30 – under 40 12

40 – under 45 14

45 – under 50 13

50 – under 60 16

60 – under 80 16

80 – under 110 9

(i) Complete the cumulative frequency column in the above table. [2]

(ii) Plot the cumulative frequencies on the grid below, joining the points by a smooth curve.

100

Cumulative
frequency
40

0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Time (minutes)
[3]

© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10

(iii) Use your graph to estimate the median of the times taken to complete the test.

............................................ minutes [2]

Applicants who complete the test in under 37 minutes are invited to attend an interview.

(iv) Use your graph to estimate the percentage of these 88 applicants who were not invited for an
interview.

...................................................... % [4]

In addition to the 88 applicants referred to in the table, 11 others had failed to complete the test
after 110 minutes and were stopped from continuing with it.

(v) (a) Explain why, if these 11 applicants are included in the data, it is still possible to estimate
the interquartile range of the times taken to complete the test by all 99 applicants.

...........................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................[2]

(b) Use your graph to estimate this interquartile range.

............................................ minutes [3]

© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10

BLANK PAGE

© UCLES 2010 4040/12/O/N/10

UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE INTERNATIONAL EXAMINATIONS
General Certificate of Education Ordinary Level
*7043613633*

STATISTICS 4040/11
Paper 1 October/November 2010
2 hours 15 minutes
Candidates answer on the question paper.
Additional Materials: Mathematical tables
Pair of compasses
Protractor

READ THESE INSTRUCTIONS FIRST

At the end of the examination, fasten all your work securely together.
The number of marks is given in brackets [ ] at the end of each question or part question.

This document consists of 19 printed pages and 1 blank page.

DC (LEO/SW) 15799/6
© UCLES 2010 [Turn over
2

Section A [36 marks]

Answer all of the questions 1 to 6.

1 In a class test, the marks of eleven pupils were as follows.

4 25 7 8 4 4 8 9 6 5 19

(i) For these marks, find

(a) the mode,

............................................................[1]

(b) the median,

............................................................[1]

(c) the mean.

............................................................[1]

...................................................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................................................................[2]

(iii) State (but do not calculate) which measure of dispersion (spread) you would use as the most
appropriate to represent these marks.

............................................................[1]

© UCLES 2010 4040/11/O/N/10

2 There are 34 pupils in a school class. Their method of travel to school is given in the following
table.

Method of travel Number of pupils

Car 7
Bus 10
Walk 7
Train 10

The data is to be illustrated by a pie chart of radius 4 cm.

(i) Calculate, to the nearest degree, the angles of the sectors representing Car and Bus.

Car ....................................................... °

Bus ....................................................... ° [2]

(ii) Draw and label the pie chart.

[2]

(iii) In another class there are 27 pupils. Calculate, correct to 1 decimal place, the radius of a
comparable pie chart to illustrate this class. You are NOT required to draw this pie chart.

.................................................... cm [2]
© UCLES 2010 4040/11/O/N/10 [Turn over
4

3 The diagram below shows how many pets (cat, dog, rabbit) are owned by each of 100 households.
No household owns more than one of each different animal.

Cat Dog

33
z 31

y
z z

x
2

Rabbit

(i) Interpret the value 31 in the diagram.

...............................................................................................................................................[1]

(ii) 72 households own only one pet. Find the value of x.

x = ...........................................................[1]

(iii) Three times as many households own only a cat as own all three types of pet. Find the value
of y.

y = ...........................................................[1]

© UCLES 2010 4040/11/O/N/10

(iv) Of the 100 households, 2 own no pet. Find the value of z.

z = ...........................................................[2]

(v) Find the number of households owning a dog.

............................................................[1]

© UCLES 2010 4040/11/O/N/10 [Turn over

4 The heights of the girls in a village were measured and are represented in the histogram below.

Frequency
density
5

0
0 145 150 155 160 165 170 175 180
Height (cm)

There are 24 girls in the 155 – under 165 cm class.

(i) Complete the table below.

Height (cm) Number of girls

145 – under 150

150 – under 155

155 – under 165 24

165 – under 180

[4]

(ii) Use the histogram to estimate the modal height of the girls.

..................................................... cm [2]

© UCLES 2010 4040/11/O/N/10

Teacher’s predicted Grade obtained

grade A B C D

A 132

B 284

C 203

D 68

(i) Complete the table using the following information:

(a) Among pupils for whom grade C was predicted, 33 obtained grade B and 4 obtained
grade D.

[1]

(b) There were no pupils for whom the predicted grade and the grade obtained were more
than one grade apart.

[1]

(d) Of the candidates for whom grade A was predicted, eleven times as many obtained
grade A as obtained grade B.

[1]

(e) There were 50 candidates for whom grade B was predicted but who obtained another
grade. Nine times as many obtained grade A as obtained grade C.

[1]

(ii) For all those pupils whose predicted grade was not accurate, state, with a reason, whether
the grade obtained was likely to be higher or lower than the predicted grade.

...................................................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................................................................[1]

© UCLES 2010 4040/11/O/N/10 [Turn over

6 (a) On the grids below sketch the frequency curve of

(i) a distribution in which the mode is greater than the mean,

Frequency

Variable

[2]

(ii) a distribution in which the mean, median and mode are all equal.

Frequency

Variable

[2]

© UCLES 2010 4040/11/O/N/10

(b) A variable has the following frequency curve.

Frequency

1 2 3 4 5 6
Variable

On the grid below sketch the corresponding cumulative frequency curve.

Cumulative
frequency

1 2 3 4 5 6
Variable

[2]

© UCLES 2010 4040/11/O/N/10 [Turn over

Section B [64 marks]

Answer not more than four of the questions 7 to 11.

Each question in this section carries 16 marks.

(i) State each of the possible sequences of outcome in the experiment together with its
probability.

[4]

(ii) The experiment is carried out twice. Calculate the probability that both experiments stop
with H being recorded.

............................................................[2]

(i) State the maximum number of games which have to be played for one player to win three
games.

............................................................[1]

© UCLES 2010 4040/11/O/N/10

(ii) Calculate the probability that John will win by 3 games to 0 when

(a) John starts the first game,

............................................................[2]

(b) Zaheer starts the first game.

............................................................[2]

(iii) Denoting the event ‘John wins’ by J, and ‘Zaheer wins’ by Z

(a) write down the three different sequences of four results which lead to Zaheer winning
by 3 games to 1,

[2]

(b) calculate the probability that Zaheer wins by 3 games to 1, if John starts the first
game.

[3]

© UCLES 2010 4040/11/O/N/10 [Turn over

8 The table below gives certain information about the population and deaths in town X for the year
2008, together with the standard population of the area in which town X is situated.

Population in age Standard

Age group Deaths
group population (%)
0 – under 20 11 2600 25

20 – under 40 d 4500 30

40 – under 60 11 4400 25

60 and over 65 1300 20

(i) The death rate for the 20 – under 40 age group was 2 per thousand. Show that d = 9.

[1]

(ii) Calculate the death rates per thousand for the other three age groups.

................................................................

............................................................[2]

(iii) Calculate the crude death rate per thousand for town X.

............................................................[4]

(iv) Using the given rate for the 20 – under 40 age group, and the rates you have calculated
in (ii), calculate, correct to 2 decimal places, the standardised death rate per thousand for
town X.

............................................................[4]
© UCLES 2010 4040/11/O/N/10
13