Proceedings AMS
Proceedings AMS
Introduction
In recent years, a new type of financial instruments (among them, the so-called
“insurance derivatives”) has appeared on financial markets. Even though they
have all the features of financial contracts, they are very different from the classical
structures. Their underlying risk is indeed related to a non-financial risk (natural
catastrophe, weather event...), which may somehow be connected to more tradi-
tional financial risks. Their high level of illiquidity, deriving partly from the fact
that the underlying asset is not traded on financial markets, makes them difficult
to evaluate and to use. Several authors (see, for instance, D. Becherer [Be1], M.
Davis [Da2] or M. Musiela and T. Zariphopoulou [MuZ]) have been interested in
these new products, especially in their pricing. However, neither their impact on
“classical” investments nor their optimal design are mentioned in the literature.
On the other hand, this accrued complexity of financial products has naturally lead
to an increasing interest in quantitative methods of assessing the risk related to a
given financial position.
This paper focuses on these problems in a framework where economic agents may
take positions on two types of risk: a purely financial risk (or market risk) and a
(non-financial) non-tradable risk. The optimal structure of a contract depending
on the non-tradable risk and its price are determined.
Since the structure represents a new diversification instrument for any investor,
1991 Mathematics Subject Classification. Primary 60Gxx, 91B28, 91B90; Secondary 46N10,
90C39.
Key words and phrases. Static and dynamic risk measure, non-tradable risk, optimal design,
illiquidity, inf-convolution, BSDE.
1
2 PAULINE BARRIEU AND NICOLE EL KAROUI
optimal wealth allocation becomes a more complex question and the question of
an efficient quantitative risk assessment becomes crucial. Different authors have
recently been interested in defining and constructing a coherent, in some sense, risk
measure (see, for instance, Artzner et al. [ADEH] or Föllmer and Schied [FS1]),
using a systematic axiomatic approach. The framework developed by these authors
will be that of this study.
This paper is structured as follows: in the first section, after having recalled
some basic properties of convex risk measures, we generate new risk measures as
the inf-convolution of convex risk measures. Then, in the second section, we solve
the problem of an optimal non-tradable risk transfer. In the third section, we
introduce dynamic risk measures defined through their local specifications with the
help of Backward Stochastic Differential Equations in order to propose a method
to characterize completely the optimal structure.
or equivalently
(1.4) ∀Q ∈M1,f α (Q) = sup EQ (−Ψ)
Ψ∈Aρ
1.1.3. Inf-convolution of risk measures. Rockafellar ([Ro]) has given some sta-
bility properties of the inf-convolution of convex functions. The following Theorem
extends these results to the inf-convolution of convex functionals:
Theorem 1.5. Let ρ1 and ρ2 be two convex risk measures with respective
penalty functions α1 and α2 . Let ρ1,2 be the inf-convolution of ρ1 and ρ2 defined as
Ψ → ρ1,2 (Ψ) ≡ ρ1 ρ2 (Ψ) = inf {ρ1 (Ψ − H) + ρ2 (H)}
H∈X
and assume that ρ1,2 (0) > −∞. Then ρ1,2 is a convex risk measure, which is finite
for all Ψ ∈ X . The associated penalty function is given by
∀Q ∈M1,f α1,2 (Q) = α1 (Q) + α2 (Q)
Note that the convex risk measure ρ1,2 may also be defined as the value func-
tional of the program
ρ1,2 (Ψ) = inf {ρ1 (Ψ − H) , H ∈ Aρ2 }
where
S 1 S
Ψ ≡ −γ ln EP exp − Ψ /=T
γ
is the opposite of the conditional entropic risk measure of Ψ given FTS , assessing
the cost of partial information.
In the so-called “filtering framework”, the financial assets’ prices S are associated
with a risk premium depending on the non-tradable risk. Different authors (see
for instance Lakner [La1] [La2], Lefèvre [Le], Pham-Quenez [PhQ]) have shown
however that there exists a “risk-neutral” probability measure Q b T such that the
S H
= -market is complete. The set Q is then the set of all probability measures on
6 PAULINE BARRIEU AND NICOLE EL KAROUI
the considered measurable space (Ω, =) such that their restriction to =S is the risk-
neutral probability measure Qb T . In particular, the market modified risk measure
may be written as
m,S 1 S
e (γ, Ψ) = γEQb T ln EP exp − Ψ /=T
γ
For more details, please refer to Barrieu-El Karoui [BEK4].
2.1. General framework. Both agents assess the risk associated with their
respective positions by a convex risk measure, denoted respectively ρA and ρB , with
associated penalty functions αA and αB .
The issuer, agent A, wants to determine the structure (F, π) as to minimize her
global risk measure
min ρA (X − F + π)
F ∈X ,π
while the issuer’s constraint related to the buyer’s interest in doing the transaction
may be written as
ρB (F − π) ≤ ρB (0)
This constraint now imposes a maximum threshold to the risk the buyer accepts to
bear.
We now consider a more general framework where both agents may also invest
in the financial market in order to reduce their respective exposure. They choose
(A) (B)
optimally their financial investments via two cones VT and VT , characterizing
the terminal gains associated with their respective admissible financial strategies.
This opportunity to invest optimally in a financial market has a direct impact on the
risk measure of both agents as previously mentioned. As a consequence, provided
the condition inf ξB ∈V (B) ρB (ξB ) > −∞ and inf ξA ∈V (A) ρA (ξA ) > −∞
T T
we are exactly in the framework of Corollary 1.6 and both agents simply assess their
non-tradable exposure using a market modified risk measure, denoted respectively
by ρm m
A and ρB . The optimization program related to the F -transaction simply
becomes
inf ρm
A (X − F + π) subject to ρm m
B (F − π) ≤ ρB (0)
F ∈X ,π
Using the cash translation invariance property and binding the constraint at the
optimum, the pricing rule of the F -structure is fully determined by the buyer as
(2.1) π ∗ (F ) = ρm m
B (0) − ρB (F )
It corresponds to an “indifference” pricing rule from the point of view of agent B’s
market modified risk measure.
OPTIMAL DERIVATIVES DESIGN UNDER DYNAMIC RISK MEASURES 7
Using again the cash translation invariance property, the optimization program
simply becomes
inf (ρm m m
A (X − F ) + ρB (F ) − ρB (0))
F ∈X
We are almost in the framework of Theorem 1.5, apart from the constant ρm
B (0).
To deal with it, we consider the reduced program3
m
(2.2) RAB (X) = inf (ρm m m m
A (X − F ) + ρB (F )) = (ρA ρB ) (X)
F ∈X
m
The value functional RAB of this program may be interpreted as a measure of the
residual risk after all transactions.
A direct consequence of Theorem 1.5 is now given:
Proposition 2.1. The inf-convolution of the risk measures ρm m m
A and ρB , RAB (X),
4
is a convex risk measure with the penalty function given for any Q in Q ∩ Q(B)
(A)
by
m
αAB (Q) = αA (Q) + αB (Q) , +∞ otherwise
2.2. Characterization of the optimal structure.
2.2.1. Generalized entropic framework. In the case of the entropic risk measure
eγ defined by Equation (1.5), we easily obtain the following semi-group property
eγ eγ 0 = eγ+γ 0
More generally, let ρ be a convex risk measure with penalty function α. The risk
measure ργ with penalty function γα, is equal to the “right scalar multiplication”
of ρ defined by Rockafellar ([Ro]), more precisely:
1
(2.3) ∀Ψ ∈ X ργ (Ψ) = γρ Ψ
γ
In this family of convex risk measures, by duality, the inf-convolution defines a new
convex risk measure of the same family: for any (γ, γ 0 ), strictly positive, indeed,
the following stability property holds
ργ ργ 0 = ργ+γ 0
In this case, the optimal structure F ∗ realizing the inf-convolution (2.2) may be
explicitely obtained:
Proposition 2.2. When both agents have the same access to the financial
market and have market modified risk measures of the type described above by (2.3),
the optimal structure F ∗ is given by:
γB
F∗ = X P a.s.
γA + γB
Proof. The result is immediately obtained by checking that:
∗ ∗
ρm m
A (X − F ) + ρB (F ) = γA ρm ( γAX m X
+γB ) + γB ρ ( γA +γB )
m X
= (γA + γB )ρ ( γA +γB )
= (ρm m
A ρB ) (X)
Hence, the optimality of F ∗ is deduced.
3The value functional obtained in this case should be translated by the constant −ρm (0) in
B
order to obtain the value function of the previous program.
4Note that Q(A) ∩ Q(B) is the set of all additive measures Q such that ∀ξ ∈ V (A) ∩V (B) ,
T T
EQ (ξ) ≥ 0.
8 PAULINE BARRIEU AND NICOLE EL KAROUI
Interpretation: when both agents have the same access to the financial market,
the underlying logic of this new asset class is that of insurance and is far away from
that of speculation. The issuer has an interest to sell a structure if and only if she
is initially exposed (or, more precisely, if her initial exposure differs from that of
the buyer). The underlying logic is that of insurance and hedging. It is by no way a
speculative logic and the sale of this type of contract aims to hedge a real exposure
towards a non-financial risk.
2.2.2. Characterization of the optimal structure in a general framework. We
now consider a more general case and find some conditions to have an optimal
structure F ∗ realizing inf-convolution RAB
m
(X) for a given X. First let us give two
definitions of optimality and precise the dual relationship between exposure and
additive measure:
Definition 2.3. Given a convex risk measure ρ and its associated penalty
function α, we say
i) that the measure QΨρ is optimal for (Ψ, ρ) if ρ (Ψ) = EQΨ
ρ
(−Ψ) − α QΨ ρ .
ii) that the exposure Ψ is optimal for (Q, α) if α (Q) = EQ (−Ψ) − ρ (Ψ).
Let QX m
AB be the optimal measure for for (X, RAB ), the existence of which has
been mentioned in Subsection 1.1.1.
The following Theorem presents a necessary and sufficient condition to have an
optimal structure F ∗ in terms of this optimal measure QX
AB .
0 0
∗
Then F is an optimal solution for the inf-convolution problem (3.2) of the dynamic
risk measures.
Proof. i) By definition of inf-convolution,
f 1 f 2 (t, z) ≤ f 1 (t, z − y) + f 2 (t, y)
∀ (t, z, y)
On the other hand, for any F ∈ X , ρ1t (X − F ) + ρ2t (F ) satisfies
−d ρ1t (X − F ) + ρ2t (F ) = f 1 (t, zt1 ) + f 2 (t, zt2 ) dt − hzt1 + zt2 , dWt i
= f 1 (t, zt − zt2 ) + f 2 (t, zt2 ) dt − hzt , dWt i
with terminal condition −X.
The second formulation expresses that ρ1t (X − F ) + ρ2t (F ) is solution of a BSDE
with terminal condition −X and a driver written as f 1 (t, zt − zt2 ) + f 2 (t, zt2 ) where
zt2 is fixed as the solution of the BSDE (2) with terminal condition −F .
This driver is always greater than that of the BSDE (3.3) and their respective
terminal conditions are identical. Thanks to the Comparison Theorem 3.1, the
result is obtained.
ii) and iii) Let us assume that there exists an admissible zbt2 such that
f 1 f 2 (t, zt ) = f 1 t, zt − zbt2 + f 2 t, zbt2
∀t ≥ 0
OPTIMAL DERIVATIVES DESIGN UNDER DYNAMIC RISK MEASURES 11
holds
ρ1,2 1 2
∀t ≥ 0 t (X) = ρ ρ t (X) P a.s
The proof also gives the optimality for the Problem (3.2) of the structure
ZT ZT
∗ 2
t, zbt2 zbt2 , dWt
F = f dt −
0 0
Given the results of Proposition 2.2, it is natural to study which assumptions
on the driver of such dynamic risk measures lead to a non-speculative logic6.
To simplify the arguments, we now consider normalized risk measures, i.e.
∀t ρ1t (0) = ρ2t (0) = 0
Corollary 3.4. Assume that f 1 (t, 0) = f 2 (t, 0) = 0 and ∂z f 1 (t, 0) = ∂z f 2 (t, 0) =
0, then:
i) The inf-convolution f 1 f 2 (t, 0) and that of the associated risk measure (ρ1 ρ2 ) (t, 0)
are identically null.
Moreover, F ∗ ≡ 0 is an optimal solution for the inf-convolution problem (3.2).
ii) If both drivers f 1 and f 2 are strictly convex, then F ∗ ≡ 0 is the unique optimal
solution for the inf-convolution problem (3.2).
Proof. i) Since f 1 (t, 0) = f 2 (t, 0) = 0, we have
f 1 f 2 (t, 0) = inf {f 1 (t, −y) + f 2 (t, y)} ≤ 0
y
4. Conclusion
Standard diversification will occur in exchange economies as soon as agents
have non-speculative risk measures. The regulator has to impose very different
rules on agents as to generate risk measures, which are not non-speculative, if she
wants to increase the diversification in the market. In other words, diversification
occurs when agents are very different one from the other. This result supports for
instance the intervention of reinsurance companies on financial markets in order to
increase the diversification on the reinsurance market.
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