El Niño
El Niño
El Niño
El Niño is a weather phenomenon that occurs when sea surface temperatures over the Central and
Eastern Pacific Oceans warm up and affect air and sea currents. It happens once every two to
seven years.
The Philippines is one of the countries that is affected by El Niño. According to the Philippine
Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), El Niño
increases the likelihood of below-normal rainfall conditions, which could lead to dry spells and
droughts in some areas.
PAGASA has declared that a weak El Niño began in July 2023 and may get stronger in the coming
months. The weather bureau has projected that most parts of the country, including the Calabarzon
region, will face reduced rainfall due to the current moderate El Niño in the tropical Pacific.
PAGASA has also issued an El Niño/La Niña monitoring alert system status, which states that a
strong El Niño is expected to continue through Dec-Jan 2024. Majority of global climate models
suggest that El Niño will likely persist until March-April-May 2024 season with a transition to ENSO-
neutral in April-May-June 2024 season.