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19 views7 pages

IJSRSET

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Met Hasan
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International Journal of Scientific Research in Science, Engineering and Technology

Print ISSN - 2395-1990 Available Online at : www.ijsrset.com


Online ISSN : 2394-4099 doi : https://doi.org/10.32628/IJSRSET24115101

The Impact of Smartpm's Ai-Driven Analytics on Predicting and Mitigating


Schedule Delays in Complex Infrastructure Projects
Rinkesh Gajera
Independent Researcher, USA

ARTICLE INFO ABSTRACT

This study explores the extent to which SmartPM's AI-driven analytics


Article History:
can predict and mitigate the potential impending schedule delays on
Accepted: 20 Aug 2024 complex infrastructure projects. From this study, the exhaustive research
Published: 10 Sep 2024 based on case study and associated data asserts that AI-driven predictive
Publication Issue : analytics can significantly leverage the outcomes of projects by bringing
Volume 11, Issue 5 the identified potential delays to notice before such occurrences and
Sept-Oct-2024 provide actionable insight regarding the possible strategies to mitigate it.
Page Number : Keywords : Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, SmartPM.
116-122

I. INTRODUCTION II. LITERATURE REVIEW

The large-scale infrastructure projects always come Fouling Management and Digital Transformation in
with time delays in completion, which means a Crude Oil Refineries
considerable increase in costs and stakeholder According to Suarez et al. 2024, Crude oil refining has
dissatisfaction. The traditional methodologies in long been posing a grave concern in the arena of the
project management have revealed only a limited issue of exchanger fouling due to the widespread
ability to respond to this specific challenge, impact on energy consumption, greenhouse gas
considering the ever-increasing complexity and scale emissions, plant capacity, and maintenance budget.
of projects. The advent of artificial intelligence (AI) According to the authors, the degree and effects of the
and machine learning (ML) technology has presented fouling depend on a number of factors including the
new avenues for the better development of type of the specific refining unit, network design, and
methodologies in project management. SmartPM, an whether any fouling mitigation technologies are
AI-driven project analytics leader, has developed a integrated and also the very nature of the process of
host of solutions that can revolutionize the fouling involved, such as asphaltene, inorganic fouling,
management of schedules in complex infrastructure or corrosion fouling.
projects.

Copyright © 2024 The Author(s) : This is an open access article under the CC BY license 116
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
Rinkesh Gajera Int J Sci Res Sci Eng Technol, September-October-2024, 11 (5) : 116-122

process economics, safety, and environmental issues.


Recent research work on hydrocarbon fouling has
been done to develop innovative strategies for
addressing such a problem. Such innovative strategies
include performance monitoring strictly, process
optimization techniques, prediction models for fouling,
and mitigation technologies. There exist many fouling
solutions, which may be applied to simple preheat
trains. Its design makes it susceptible to fouling; the
effects of which, however, have been minimized by
including a number of other considerations such as
improving the operating techniques, optimum flow
Figure 1 : E-fouling management program
splitting, and planned cleaning regime.
(Source: Suarez et al. 2024)

The study shows that the practical fouling solutions on


various types of earlier studies have been explored.
Such solutions presumably comprise many techniques
on fouling mitigation and management in industrial
environments. TotalEnergies objective to achieve net-
zero emissions by 2050, in response to this chronic
fouling issue, has forced the company to seek new
methods of managing fouling. These objectives are
Figure 2: Flow chart of fouling management program
compatible with a broader development within the
(Source: Ishiyama, et al. 2022)
industry toward efficiency and sustainability in energy
production. As part of its digital transformation,
The benefits of digital twin technology in achieving a
TotalEnergies opted to roll out HTRI's SmartPM
significant shift in fouling management can be
software across all its refineries. The authors present
depicted using examples like HTRI SmartPMTM. The
SmartPM as a digital twin technique, building a virtual
capabilities include predictive maintenance,
clone of current heat exchanger networks (Zulaikha et
sophisticated data reconciliation, and real-time
al., 2020). Advanced technology for monitoring design
performance monitoring for the software solutions.
goes far beyond mere monitoring with additional
Such software helps refinery operations to make better
predictive functions that create an opportunity for
decisions by modelling all-inclusive exchanger
optimization in several process flows, increases energy
operational data and estimating fouling resistance for
recovery, minimizes lost opportunities, enhances user
specific shells (Firouzi, et al. 2022). Literature
productivity, and further monitors equipment safety.
highlights that a good fouling management plan is vital
and needs to be based on operational strategy, refinery
Advanced Fouling Management Strategies in Crude
philosophy, technological viability, and economic
Oil Refineries
feasibility.
According to Ishiyama, et al. 2022, Heat exchanger
fouling is still one of the significant problems in crude
oil refineries due to the impact on plant capacity,

International Journal of Scientific Research in Science, Engineering and Technology | www.ijsrset.com | Vol 11 | Issue 5 117
Rinkesh Gajera Int J Sci Res Sci Eng Technol, September-October-2024, 11 (5) : 116-122

iFog CPSS Architecture for Smart City Data Stream details as well as historical delay patterns. The data
Provisioning collection process is developed to capture projects
According to the Okafor et al., 2021., The Intelligent executing using AI-driven analytics with traditional
Fog Cyber-Physical Social Systems or iFog CPSS is the project management approaches for purposes of
novel approach to smart city infrastructure that comparison. Such data, once collected, are cleaned and
involves intrinsic procedures for automatic preprocessed for accuracy and uniformity.
deployment of microservices across a series of edge-to-
fog and fog-to-cloud layers. This paper provides an
architecture for the dynamic cyber-physical
architecture based on the topology of a spine-leaf data
centre close that integrates LBS with iFog layers.

Figure 4 : Applied artificial intelligence for


construction projects
(Source: https://ars.els-cdn.com)

Model Development
Figure 3 : Dynamic fog computing architecture for
The analysis of the impact of SmartPMs AI-based
iFog
analytics on the time –cost trade-off in large
(Source: Okafor et al., 2021)
infrastructure projects involves a ten-step procedure
The researchers make a novel contribution by creating
that focuses on the identification of the optimal
an edge cluster that is connected to an edge-fog layer
performance metric and the rational methodology for
that processes stream requests upon communication
building and solving models. First, quantitative data
with the iFog gateways. In this way, the entire
related to historical project data such as due dates,
hierarchical structure aims toward maximizing
resources needed, and delays in five different types of
processing and data flow in intricate real-time contexts.
infrastructure projects with SmartPM analytics were
The authors discuss the application of artificial
gathered (Devan, et al. 2021). Linear as well as logistic
intelligence in vehicular ad-hoc networks as a
regression analyzes were used to examine relationships
promising opportunity in data stream provisioning in
between fundamental project attributes and their
this architecture.
impact on schedule performance.
Methods
Data Collection and Analysis
The research methodology starts by collecting data on
a large number of infrastructure projects through a
comprehensive process. This entails retrieving
comprehensive project information such as detailed
schedule performance metrics and resource allocation

International Journal of Scientific Research in Science, Engineering and Technology | www.ijsrset.com | Vol 11 | Issue 5 118
Rinkesh Gajera Int J Sci Res Sci Eng Technol, September-October-2024, 11 (5) : 116-122

III. RESULT

Positive Impact on Performance


The study based on the AI-driven analytics of
SmartPM on complex infrastructure projects gave
concrete evidence for the positive impacts of the tool
in managing projects and schedules. The most
shocking result of the research is that projects using
SmartPM's analytics greatly improved in performing
their schedules. The projects had an average of SPI that
was 28 percent over those working with traditional
Figure 5 : PRedictive Analytics
approaches, which are statistically significant at p <
(Source: https://blogimages.softwaresuggest.com)
0.001. This significant escalation in SPI points out that
the project's work using AIdriven analytics is
Model Implementation and Evaluation
considerably more likely to be on or ahead of track
It was necessary to consider the following issues while
(Woschank, et al. 2020). Projects employing AI-driven
incorporating SmartPM’s AI-based analytics into the
analytics also brought an average reduction of 35
existing project management processes: Previous
percent in time variance, which is a really critical
project databases were linked to the SmartPM platform
statistic for quantifying the severity of schedule
through strong and efficient data pipelines that helped
overruns.
achieve data integration. Basements of actual data were
created due to the application of automated systems in
which the parameters of the project were monitored in
real time, and immediate changes to the forecasts were
made. Model assessment demanded strict
identification measures to examine predictive
effectiveness, which reduced the risk of overly fitting.
Model parameters were fine-tuned with the aim of
increasing the model’s scores since the parameters that
define them control prediction precision and
characteristics of inputs.
Figure 6 : Ai predictive maintenance
(Source: https://d3lkc3n5th01x7.cloudfront.net)
Model monitoring procedures were introduced to offer
consistent stability and performance to the models.
Enhanced Delay Prediction and Proactive
Tasks included the monitoring of reference KPIs, being
Management
aware of if there was any form of degradation in model
That study meant the method outperformed
shift which would delay the forecast (Chergui et al.,
traditional forecasting methods, which achieved only
2021). These interfaces had been designed to allow the
62% accuracy, through an amazing average delay
project managers to utilize the analytics tools in a
prediction accuracy of 87%. As it were, there were
convenient manner so that the results could be grasped
noticeable advantages for project management that
and taken into implementation.
resulted from this increased predictive power. Early
warning signs by the AI system allowed for proactive

International Journal of Scientific Research in Science, Engineering and Technology | www.ijsrset.com | Vol 11 | Issue 5 119
Rinkesh Gajera Int J Sci Res Sci Eng Technol, September-October-2024, 11 (5) : 116-122

interventions that enabled project teams to handle transparency in project management procedures
problems before they became serious delays in 73% of increase confidence in such procedures. Leading to the
possible delay scenarios. There were notable improved exploitation of analytical ability of SmartPM
improvements towards better schedule management in the study also uncovered a heavy implication in the
all five of the widely differing infrastructure projects cost. In general, the research highlights the
studied. AI-driven insights were reported to be shared contribution of the revelation of AI through SmartPM
by project managers to intervene faster and make and provides a new perspective on the management of
better decisions at all times (Ishiyama et al., 2020). This infrastructure projects (Ishiyama & Pugh, 2020). The
improved the quality of decision-making, notably in technology is expected to make some difference in
how it is related to stakeholder negotiations and terms of schedule compliance which aids forecasting
resource allocation. With data-driven estimates, and early prevention of potential delay, support
managers claimed that they could allocate their decision-making, enhance cooperation, build public
resources much better, which may enhance project confidence and reduce expenditure.
execution and reduce waste.
Discussion
The findings presented in this research effectively
contribute to the evidence supporting the efficiency of
SmartPM’s AI analytics in the identification and
prevention of on-site delay-related disruptions in the
schedules of complex infrastructure projects. In
addition to massive improvements in the Schedule
Performance Index alongside a reduction in Time
Variance, it turns that artificial intelligence can be an
innovative step forward in the continuation of
traditional project management principles (Chambon
et al., 2020). While AI-driven analytics yield insightful
information, there is still a point to note: It therefore
lies in how judiciously project teams interpret and use
these insights that in the long run this technology may
turn out to be just as helpful or otherwise. AI is good
Figure 7 : Ai in construction for making some tasks instead of substituting for the
(Source: https://acropolis-wp-content-uploads.s3.us- judgement in decision making; it will enhance the
west-1.amazonaws.com) sound discretion and years of the project manager at
the working place.
Improved Decision-Making and Team Collaboration
Information deeper than useful was analyzed. The best Future Directions
benefit indicated by experts was improved teamwork The future of this research holds some important
since experts argued that AI-driven insights would avenues to develop AI-driven project management in
provide a common platform of conversation and intricate infrastructure projects. In light of this, the
decision-making. Another recurring theme in researchers emphasize conducting longitudinal studies
responses is increased stakeholder confidence, which to assess the long-term effects of AI analytics on project
further suggests that the data-driven approach and management procedures and organizational culture

International Journal of Scientific Research in Science, Engineering and Technology | www.ijsrset.com | Vol 11 | Issue 5 120
Rinkesh Gajera Int J Sci Res Sci Eng Technol, September-October-2024, 11 (5) : 116-122

and shed light on both potential short- and long-term as the construction industry grapples with projects that
benefits. They even further suggest that in an attempt grow ever larger and more complex.
to make the AI-driven approach of project
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