Assignment No. 1: Waqar Ali Book Code 5405
Assignment No. 1: Waqar Ali Book Code 5405
1
WAQAR ALI
BOOK CODE 5405
Q.1 (a) The probability that an applicant for pilot school will be admitted is 0.5. If three
applicants are selected at random, what is the probability that;
(b) What is the probability of drawing three cards, without replacement, from a deck
of cards and getting three kings?
ANS; I'll solve both parts of the problem.
(a) Pilot School Admissions
Given: Probability of admission = 0.5
We'll use the binomial probability formula: P(X = k) = (nCk) × (p^k) × (q^(n-k))
where n = 3 (number of applicants), p = 0.5 (probability of admission), q = 0.5 (probability of
non-admission), and nCk is the number of combinations.
(i) All three will be admitted
P(X = 3) = (3C3) × (0.5^3) × (0.5^0)
= 1 × 0.125 × 1
= 0.125
(ii) None will be admitted
P(X = 0) = (3C0) × (0.5^0) × (0.5^3)
= 1 × 1 × 0.125
= 0.125
(iii) Only one will be admitted
P(X = 1) = (3C1) × (0.5^1) × (0.5^2)
= 3 × 0.5 × 0.25
= 0.375
(b) Drawing Three Kings
Given: 52 cards in a deck, 4 kings
We'll use the hypergeometric probability formula, but since we're drawing without replacement,
we can also consider this as a sequence of dependent events.
P(3 kings) = P(1st king) × P(2nd king | 1st king) × P(3rd king | 1st, 2nd king)
= (4/52) × (3/51) × (2/50)
= (4/52) × (3/51) × (2/50)
= 0.000154 (or 1 in 6,497)
Alternatively, using combinations:
Number of ways to choose 3 kings = 4C3
Number of ways to choose 3 cards = 52C3
P(3 kings) = (4C3) / (52C3)
= 4 / (52 × 51 × 50 / 6)
= 0.000154 (or 1 in 6,497)
Q.2 (a) The fire chief for a small volunteer fire department has compiled data on the
number of false alarms called in each day for the past 360 days. The data in the
table shows a frequency distribution summarizing the findings. Construct the
probability distribution for this study.
Number of False Alarm Frequency
0 75
1 80
2 77
3 40
4 28
5 24
6 20
7 16
Total 360
(b) A fair die is rolled 5 times. Let X represents the number of times the face 3 turns up.
Obtain a probability distribution of X.
0 75 0.208 (75/360)
1 80 0.222 (80/360)
2 77 0.214 (77/360)
3 40 0.111 (40/360)
4 28 0.078 (28/360)
5 24 0.067 (24/360)
6 20 0.056 (20/360)
Number of False Alarms Frequency Probability
7 16 0.044 (16/360)
The probability distribution represents the likelihood of each number of false alarms occurring
on a given day.
(b) Probability Distribution of Rolling 3 on a Die
This is a binomial distribution problem, where:
n = 5 (number of rolls)
p = 1/6 (probability of rolling 3 on a fair die)
q = 5/6 (probability of not rolling 3)
We'll calculate the probability for each possible value of X (0 to 5).
X (Number of 3s) Probability
(b) Find the length of the line segment connecting points C and D located at (2, 4) and
(4, 8), respectively.
0 75 0.208 (75/360)
1 80 0.222 (80/360)
2 77 0.214 (77/360)
3 40 0.111 (40/360)
4 28 0.078 (28/360)
5 24 0.067 (24/360)
6 20 0.056 (20/360)
7 16 0.044 (16/360)
The probability distribution represents the likelihood of each number of false alarms occurring
on a given day.
(b) Probability Distribution of Rolling 3 on a Die
This is a binomial distribution problem, where:
n = 5 (number of rolls)
p = 1/6 (probability of rolling 3 on a fair die)
q = 5/6 (probability of not rolling 3)
We'll calculate the probability for each possible value of X (0 to 5).
X (Number of 3s) Probability
2x + 3 > 5
x^2 - 4x - 3 ≤ 0
|x - 2| < 3
(x + 1)/(x - 2) ≥ 0
Q. 5 Find the equation of aline that has the indicated properties and sketch the line passing
through (–5, 4) and perpendicular to the line 2y = x + 1.
2x + 3 > 5
x^2 - 4x - 3 ≤ 0
|x - 2| < 3
(x + 1)/(x - 2) ≥ 0