Monocentric City Lecture HANDOUT
Monocentric City Lecture HANDOUT
Nathan Schiff
Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
Introduction
One of the biggest questions in urban economics–and urban
studies generally–is what forces drive the spatial distribution of
a city’s population
1. Are there any general distribution patterns that seem to
hold across cities and countries
2. What is the relationship between housing prices, land
rents, and density?
3. What determines which types of people (ex: income, job
type) live where?
4. Can we predict the effect of policy changes?
To get a better idea of these questions let’s look at some maps
Source: Gilles Duranton November 7, 2015 presentation and
Alain Bertaud, Feb 2002 presentation
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
Multi-family residential
Single-family residential
Commercial
Transport
Open space
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
Open space
Transport
75%
Share of land by use
50%
25% Built−up
0%
−30 −20 −10 0 10 20 30
Distance to Notre Dame (km.) 5 / 53
Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
Commercial
Share of built−up land by use
75%
50%
Single−family
residential
25%
Multi−family residential
0%
−30 −20 −10 0 10 20 30
Distance to Notre Dame (km.)
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
Spatial
distribution
of population
in 7 major
metropolis
represented at
the same
scale
10
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
Common Patterns
There are very different densities across these cities–do you
see any common patterns?
One thing we generally see is a pattern of declining density
radiating from one center, or sometimes multiple centers
From the Berlin map we saw a similar pattern with land prices
What are the main forces that could generate this pattern?
What happens when these change?
Specific questions we could ask:
1. What should happen to the spatial distribution of
population as Shanghai builds more subway lines
extending into far districts?
2. What should happen to Shanghai residents’ quality of life
as transportation infrastructure improves? Does it depend
on the hukou system?
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
Model Framework
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
v (y − τ ∗ x − p(x)q(x), q) = u (3)
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
∂v (y−τ ∗x−p(x)q(x),q)
∂q p
∂v (y−τ ∗x−p(x)q(x),q)
= (2)
1
∂z
v (y − τ ∗ x − p(x)q(x), q) = u (3)
If we totally differentiate eq. 3 wrt x:
∂v ∂p(x) ∂q(x) ∂v ∂q(x)
∗ −τ − q(x) − p(x) + ∗ = 0 (4)
∂z ∂x ∂x ∂q ∂x
∂p(x) −τ
= (5)
∂x q(x)
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
∂p(x) −τ
= (5)
∂x q(x)
Price declines with distance from the center as a function of
transportation costs and housing
If we forced all residents to consume equal amounts of housing
q(x) = q̄ then the gradient (slope wrt distance) is constant:
prices must decrease linearly so that all consumers have equal
income (since they have equal consumption)
If housing increases with dist from CBD gradient is convex:
consumers substitute cheaper housing consumption for
numeraire consumption, so prices don’t have to decline as
quickly to compensate consumers
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
Housing Production
The housing construction industry is perfectly competitive with
a concave CRS production function
Input to construction is land L and capital K : H(K , L)
The important part of concavity is that HKK < 0; building higher
is more expensive
The price of capital is i, price of land at x is r (x)
It will turn out to be easier to work with the capital-to-land ratio:
S = K /L
Then, because we assume CRS we can write
L ∗ H(KL ,L) = L ∗ H(S, 1)
Define h(S) ≡ H(S, 1) as housing-per-unit-land
Profit: Π(x) = L ∗ (p(x) ∗ h(S) − i ∗ S − r (x))
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
∂h(S)
p(x) ∗ =i (11)
∂S
p(x) ∗ h(S) − i ∗ S(x) − r (x) = 0 (12)
Totally differentiating these conditions will allow us to derive the
land-rent gradient and capital-to-land ratio gradient
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
∂h(S)
p(x) ∗ =i (11)
∂S
p(x) ∗ h(S) − i ∗ S(x) − r (x) = 0 (12)
Define φ as the set of parameters φ = x, τ, y, u
Totally differentiating gives:
∂p ∂h ∂2h ∂S
∗ +p∗ 2
∗ =0 (13)
∂φ ∂S (∂S) ∂φ
∂h ∂S ∂p ∂r
(p ∗ − i) ∗ + h= (14)
∂S ∂φ ∂φ ∂φ
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
∂r ∂p
=h∗ (15)
∂φ ∂φ
∂S ∂h ∂ 2 h −1 ∂p
=− ∗ (p ∗ ) ∗ (16)
∂φ ∂S (∂S)2 ∂φ
∂2h
Our earlier concavity assumption implies that (∂S)2
<0
This gives us:
∂r ∂S
< 0, and , <0 (17)
∂x ∂x
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
Population Density
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
Summary of Results
∂p −τ
= <0 (r1)
∂x q(x)
dq ∂q(p, u) ∂p
= ∗ >0 (r2)
dx ∂x ∂x
∂r ∂p
= h(S) ∗ <0 (r3)
∂x ∂x
∂S ∂h ∂ 2 h −1 ∂p
=− ∗ (p ∗ ) ∗ <0 (r4)
∂x ∂S (∂S)2 ∂x
∂D(x) ∂h(S) ∂S(x) 1 h(S) dq
= ∗ ∗ − ∗ <0 (r5)
∂x ∂S ∂x q(x) q(x) dx
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
Comparative Statics
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
Equilibrium Conditions
To cut down on algebra and still maintain intuition we assume:
1) All land can be developed L(x) = 1, and 2) City is on a line
instead of area of circle (1 dimension instead of 2)
Two equilibrium conditions we use to close model:
1) Residents out-bid farmers for use of land, which means city
ends at some x̄ where land rent is equal to agricultural land rent
r (x̄, y, τ, u) = rA (18)
x̄ x̄
R(x̄) − R(0)
Z Z
1 ∂R
D(x)dx = =− ∗ = =N (1)
0 0 τ ∂x −τ
Land rent differential—rent at CBD vs fringe—is thus
proportional to population and transportation cost:
r (0) − rA = τ ∗ N
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
Price PHxL
50
40
30
rA_1
20
rA_0
10
rA_0
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
rA_1
1.0
0.5
Density
1000
800
600
400
rA_1
200
rA_0
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
Price PHxL
60
50
40
N_1
30
N_0
20
10
N_0
3.0
2.5 N_1
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
Density
1500
1000
N_1
500 N_0
Price PHxL
y_1
40
30
y_0
20
10
Density
800
600 y_0
400
y_1
200
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
Price PHxL
40
30
20
Τ_0
10 Τ_1
Density
800
600
Τ_0
400
200
Τ_1
Price PHxL
40
30
20
Density
800
600
Τ_0
400
200
Τ_1 Open Τ_1
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
200
Density (Persons per hectare)
Density (Persons per hectare)
200
150
150
100
100
50
50
5 10 15 5 10 15
Distance(km) Distance(km)
Bangalore Bangkok
300
300
Density (Persons per hectare)
Density (Persons per hectare)
250
250
200
200
150
150
100
100
50
2 4 6 8 10 12 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Distance(km) Distance(km)
Barcelona Beijing
300
300
250
250
200
200
150
150
100
100
50
50
5 10 15 20 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Distance(km) Distance(km)
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
300
300
250
200
200
100
150
100
0
5 10 15 0 10 20 30
Distance(km) Distance(km)
Shanghai Singapore
250
1000
200
800
150
600
100
400
50
200
0
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 5 10 15 20
Distance(km) Distance(km)
200
150
100
100
50
50
2 4 6 8 10 12 5 10 15
Distance(km) Distance(km)
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
120
Density (Persons per hectare)
60
Density (Persons per hectare)
100
50
80
40
60
30
40
20
20
10
0
0 20 40 60 80 5 10 15
Distance(km) Distance(km)
Curitiba Guangzhou
120
Density (Persons per hectare)
400
80
200
60
0
5 10 15 2 4 6 8
Distance(km) Distance(km)
Hongkong 25 Houston
1000
20
800
15
600
400
10
200
5
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 0 20 40 60
Distance(km) Distance(km)
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Motivation and Introduction Residents Housing Sector Equilibrium Comparative Statics Some Empirical Evidence Concluding T
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