2-Time Value of Money
2-Time Value of Money
2-Time Value of Money
Gonzalo Maturana
Topic 2: Time Value of Money 1
• Outline
– Future value and compounding
– Present value and discounting
– Implied Interest Rate
– Time Periods
Key Concepts and Skills
• Later
3. People prefer certainty to uncertainty (risk aversion)
Cash flows
• The cash flows into an account are called cash inflows and
those out of an account are called cash outflows
Timing of Cash Flows
0 1 2 3 4 Time
r% Period
0 1 2 3 4 Year
8%
A:
80
0 1 2 3 4
1% Month
B:
100 100 100
0 1 2 3 4 Year
r1 r2 r3
C:
-60 80 80 -20
How to value Cash Flows?
Discounting
Interest
Today’s value Future value
Rate
Compounding
Basic Definitions of Valuation
0 1 2 3 4 Year
10 %
130 (Total)
Future Value with Compounding Interest
Simple Interest
FVt = PV(1+rt)
Compound Interest
FVt = PV(1+r)t
Why Compounding?
• Assume your great-grand parents put aside $100 for you 100
years ago, and it earned 10% compound interest rate over the
years. How much is it worth now? What if it earned a 20%
simple interest rate?
• Compounding Interest
FV = 100(1+0.1)100 = $1,380,000
• Simple Interest
FV = 100(1+0.2*100) = $2,100
Example 2: FV as a Growth Formula
• Future value
Present Value
FVt = PV(1+r)t
PV = FVt / (1+r)t
Divide by (1+r)t =
“Discounting”
FVt = PV (1+r)t
Multiply by (1+r)t =
“Compounding”
Discount Factor (DF)
• PV = FVt * DFt
• FVt = PV / DFt
Discount Factor (DF)
• Implication of DF
– Each dollar in year t is worth DFt now
– DFt relates to how time-inpatient an investor is
• Your parents set up a trust fund for you 10 years ago that is
now worth $19,671.51. If the fund earned 7% per year, how
much did your parents invest?
Alternatively,
DF10 = 1/(1.07)10 = 0.508,
PV=FV*DF=19,671.51*.508=10,000
Example 4: Comparing Cash Flows
Security E Security F
•Present Value: ??? •Present Value: ???
• Compounding interest rate • Compounding interest rate
(Annually): 10% (Annually): 10%
• Time period: 2 yrs • Time period: 3 yrs
• Future value: $100 • Future value: $108
Example 4: Comparing Cash Flows (Sol’n)
Method 1: Compare Present Value
0 1 2 3 Years
10 %
Hence, E is preferred.
Example 4: Comparing Cash Flows (Sol’n)
• No!
0 1 2 3 Years
10 %
E 100
Hence, E is preferred.
Example 4: Comparing Cash Flows (Sol’n)
Method 3: Compare cash flows at time 3
0 1 2 3 Years
10 %
Hence, E is preferred.
Quick Quiz - PV
FVt = PV(1+r)t
• By simple algebra,
r = (FVt/PV)1/t - 1
Implied Interest Rate (Discount Rate)
0 1 2 … 5 Years
r =?
0 1 2 … 17 Years
r =?
r =(75000/5000)1/17 -1 = 17.27%
Quick Quiz – Interest Rate
FVt = PV(1+r)t
t = ln(FVt/PV) / ln(1+r)
Time Periods
• Assume the interest rate is 10% per year, how long do you
need to invest before you double your money?
• Present Value: $X
• Compounding interest rate
(Annually): 10%
• Time period: ???
• Future value: $2X
Example 7: Time to Accumulate Funds (Sol’n)
0
r =10%
1 … t=? Years
0
r =7.5%
1 … t=? Years
• Suppose you want to buy some new furniture for your family
room. You currently have $500 and the furniture you want
costs $600. If you can earn 6%, how long will you have to wait
if you don’t add any additional money?
Comprehensive Problem
• FVt = PV(1+r)t
• Valuation Applications
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