Fifth Five Year Plan
Fifth Five Year Plan
Fifth Five Year Plan
Table 1.1
Plan Size Actual Expenditure and GDP Growth Rate of Past Plans
(at respective base year prices)
(in million Taka)
Plan Plan Size Estimated Actual Expenditure Growth Realised
Target Growth
Total Public Private Total Public Private (%) (%)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
First Five Year Plan 44,550 39,520 5,030 20,740 16,350 4,390 5.50 4.00
Two Year Plan 38,610 32,610 6,000 33,590 24,020 9,570 5.60 3.50
Second Five Year Plan 172,000 111,000 61,000 152,970 103,280 49,690 5.40 3.80
Third Five Year Plan 386,000 250,000 136,000 270,110 171,290 98,820 5.40 3.80
Fourth Five Year Plan 620,000 347,000 273,000 598,480 274,083 324,397 5.00 4.15
Table 1.2
GDP Composition and Growth Rate During Fourth Plan Period
(at 1984/85 prices)
(in million Taka)
Sector 1989/90 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 Annual Growth Rate (%)
Target Achievement
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Agriculture 190,354 193,421 197,662 201,230 201,915 199,822 3.42 0.98
Industry 49,322 50,503 54,211 59,140 63,786 69302 9.02 7.05
Electricity, Gas and Natural Resources 5,561 6,704 7,876 8,933 10,184 11,339 9.28 15.31
Construction 29,749 31,087 32,471 34,032 36,074 38,593 5.86 5.34
Transport and Communication 59,024 60,840 63,349 66,416 70,089 74,203 5.39 4.68
Trade and Other Services 105,124 110,237 115,780 122,041 129,516 140,115 5.00 5.92
Housing 38,030 39,316 40,656 42,187 43,792 45,457 3.62 3.63
Public Services 20,363 22,334 24,184 26,240 28,484 30,962 10.65 8.74
Total GDP 497,527 514,442 536,189 560,219 583,840 609,793 5.00 4.15
Table 1.3
Structural Change in Economy (1984-95)
(in per cent)
Sector Composition of GDP Contribution to
(at 1984/85 prices) Incremental GDP
1984/85 1989/90 1994/95 Third Plan Fourth Plan
1 2 3 4 5 6
Agriculture 41.77 38.27 32.77 22.50 8.43
Industry 9.86 9.91 11.36 10.16 17.80
Electricity, Gas and Natural Resources 0.58 1.12 1.86 3.55 5.15
Construction 5.53 5.98 6.33 7.98 7.88
Transport and Communication 11.22 11.86 12.17 14.76 13.51
Trade and Other Services 19.82 21.13 22.98 27.01 31.17
Housing Services 7.97 7.64 7.45 6.17 6.62
Public services 3.25 4.09 5.08 7.87 9.44
Total 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
Source: BBS
1.2.5 Savings and investment: Historically, the levels of aggregate savings and investment
have been very low in Bangladesh. However, there have been some improvements in
domestic savings and investment rates during the Fourth Plan period. Domestic savings as a
ratio of GDP increased from 2.72 per cent in 1989/90 to 8.31 per cent in 1994/95. The
increased savings rate was due to higher savings by the government as well as by the private
sector.
1.2.6 The level of investment in the economy of Bangladesh is low compared to that in many
developing countries. The rate of aggregate investment in 1990/91 was 11.50 per cent which
rose to 16.63 per cent in 1994/95. This exceeded the Plan target of 14.80 per cent. This rising
trend is a positive development in resource mobilisation for faster economic growth and
socio-economic upliftment. In this period, the relative share of private investment rose while
that of the public sector declined. This reflects the reorientation of the Bangladesh economy
towards the private sector.
1.2.7 Public sector outlay: Annual phasing of public sector outlay at 1989/90 prices and
ADP allocation and achievement during the Fourth Plan are given in Table 1.4. The increase
in ADP size was due to the inclusion of certain lumpy projects such as the Bangabandhu
(Jamuna) Bridge, Madhyapara Hard-rock and Barapukuria Coal Development projects.
4
Increased investment in education, particularly in primary and mass education, stipend for
female students, food for education and rapidly enhanced investment in rural roads,
electrification, water supply etc., also necessitated significantly higher resource deployment in
the public sector.
Table 1.4
Public Sector Outlay and Realisation During Fourth Plan
(at 1989/90 prices)
(in million Taka)
Year Plan Allocation ADP Size % Realisation over
Revised Realised RADP Allocation Plan Allocation
1 2 3 4 5 6
1990/91 48,390 56,954 49,042 86 101
1991/92 55,070 63,475 53,480 84 97
1992/93 70,110 69,642 56,170 81 80
1993/94 82,700 81,175 75,976 94 98
1994/95 90,730 94,998 87,772 92 97
Total 347,000 366,244 322,440 88 93
Note: Used Investment Deflator
1.2.8 Sectoral allocation: The sectoral allocations of the public sector outlay of Tk.347
billion at 1989/90 prices and expenditures are given in Table 1.5. Total financial achievement
was 92.93 percent of the Plan allocation. The transport sector including Bangabandhu
Table 1.5
Public Sector Allocation and Expenditure During Fourth Plan
(at 1989/90 prices)
(in million Taka)
Sector Allocation % Realised % Financial
Share Expenditure Share Achievement as %
of Plan Allocation
1 2 3 4 5 6
Agriculture 23,260 6.70 18,820 5.84 80.91
Rural Development and Institutions 16,500 4.76 17,930 5.56 108.67
Water Resources 38,290 11.03 26,730 8.29 69.81
Industry 16,840 4.85 5,030 1.56 29.87
Power 45,360 13.07 41,880 12.99 92.33
Oil, Gas and Natural Resources 23,980 6.91 15,320 4.75 63.89
Transport 46,530 13.41 51,260 15.90 110.17
Communication 6,520 1.88 12,130 3.76 186.04
Physical Planning and Water Supply 18,420 5.31 13,780 4.27 74.81
Education and Religious Affairs 26,580 7.66 29,050 9.00 109.29
Sports and Culture 1,460 0.42 1,510 0.47 103.42
Health 10,600 3.05 9,830 3.05 92.73
Family Welfare 15,980 4.61 15,160 4.70 94.87
Mass Media 1,230 0.36 1,190 0.37 96.75
Social Welfare, Women Affairs and Youth 2,350 0.68 2,020 0.63 85.96
Development
Public Administration 2,010 0.58 710 0.22 35.32
Science and Technology 540 0.16 490 0.15 90.74
Labour and Manpower 850 0.24 180 0.06 21.18
Others 49,700 14.32 59,420 18.43 119.58
Total 347,000 100.00 322,440 100.00 92.93
(Jamuna) Bridge accounted for the largest chunk (15.90%) of the expenditure which exceeded
the share envisaged in the Fourth Plan. The power sector was the second highest recipient
claiming 13 per cent of the expenditure. The social sector received higher emphasis
5
compared to the original allocation. The education sector's share in the ADP expenditure
appreciably increased to about 9 per cent as against 7.66 per cent earmarked in the Plan.
Other social sectors (except Labour and Manpower) also showed higher realised expenditure
compared to the planned outlay.
1.2.9 Public sector financing: As regards financing of the planned public sector outlay of
Tk.347 billion, an amount of Tk.119 billion (34.29%) was to come from domestic resources
and Tk.228 billion (65.71%) from external resources. Table 1.6 shows the actual amount of
expenditure at current prices during 1990/91-94/95 made through the ADPs and the
contribution of the government thereto.
Table 1.6
ADP Allocation and Government Contribution During Fourth Plan
(at current prices)
(in million Taka)
Fiscal Total ADP Government % of
Year Allocation Contribution Total Allocation
1 2 3 4
1990/91 61,210 12,980 21.21
1991/92 71,500 17,870 25.00
1992/93 81,210 20,530 25.28
1993/94 96,000 34,400 35.83
1994/95 111,500 47,980 43.03
1.2.10 The domestic resource share in public sector financing was below the planned
projection (34.29%) during the first three years of the Plan. The share picked up during the
last two years of the Plan rising to 35.83 per cent in 1993/94 and to about 43 per cent in
1994/95, but on average, there was a shortfall; together with lower aid inflow, it resulted in a
lower development expenditure in the public sector than planned.
1.2.11 There was a significant improvement in tax collection due to the introduction of VAT
during the Fourth Plan period. Domestic resource generation amounted to Tk.158.92 billion
at 1989/90 prices. This exceeded the Plan target of Tk.119 billion by 33.55 per cent. Total
revenue receipts during the Fourth Plan period was Tk.471.57 billion against the target of
Tk.457.9 billion. Out of the total revenue receipts, tax revenue was Tk.379.48 billion and
non-tax revenue was Tk.92.09 billion. Total revenue receipts increased at an average annual
rate of about 10.00 per cent at 1989/90 prices. Tax revenue and non-tax revenue grew at the
average annual rates of about 8.76 per cent and 16.15 per cent respectively. Tax/GDP ratio
increased to 9.71 per cent in 1994/95 exceeding the Plan target of 9.30 per cent. In spite of
this, there was shortfall in public development outlay as revenue expenditures were more than
planned.
1.2.12 Implementation: During the early years of the Fourth Plan, implementation of ADP
posed to be a major challenge as development programmes/projects involving large
expenditures for the rapid socio-economic development of the country were launched. Over
the Plan period, shortfall in ADP implementation was a matter of grave concern for the
government. Reforms of project execution process in terms of delegation of authority to the
project directors, reinforcement of the review and monitoring process, reallocation of
developmental resources from the slow-moving to the fast-moving projects through objective
review exercises and gearing up of the project approval process were identified as necessary
steps for improvement of implementation of ADP. Through adoption of some of these
6
corrective measures, the rate of ADP utilisation picked up appreciably from 1993/94 and the
process of improvement was more or less sustained during the remaining period of the Fourth
Plan.
1.2.13 Private investment: An amount of Tk.273 billion was earmarked for the private
sector in the Fourth Plan. This was about 44 per cent of the total Plan allocation. The annual
phasing of the Fourth Plan projection by sectors is shown in Table 1.7.
Table 1.7
Projected Private Investment During Fourth Plan
(at 1989/90 prices)
(in million Taka)
Sector/Year 1989/90 1990/ 91 1991/ 92 1992/ 93 1993/ 94 1994/ 95 Total
(Benchmark) (1990-95)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Agriculture 6,500 6,150 6,130 6,950 8,050 9,500 36,780
Industry 4,500 5,360 6,340 7,900 10,500 14,100 44,200
Housing and Construction 7,000 9,560 6,810 7,500 8,440 9,750 42,060
Transport and Communication 5,300 5,910 5,880 7,150 8,750 11,400 39,090
Trade and Other Services 7,000 7,160 16,210 21,450 28,400 37,650 110,870
Total 30,300 34,140 41,370 50,950 64,140 82,400 273,000
1.2.14 A significant acceleration of private investment was envisaged during the Plan period
(1990-95). Private investment was expected to rise from Tk.30.30 billion in 1989/90 to
Tk.82.40 billion in 1994/95 giving an average annual growth of 22.20 per cent. The estimate
of realised private investment at current prices is shown in Table 1.8.
Table 1.8
Realised Private Investment During Fourth Plan
(at current prices)
1.2.15 At the sectoral level, the performance of industry was affected in the closing years of
the Plan due to political unrests; yet its share in total private investment rose from 14.85 per
cent in 1989/90 to 29.92 per cent in 1994/95. In real terms (at 1989/90 prices), industrial
investment (private) was more than double the planned target (Table 1.9).
7
Table 1.9
Realised Private Investment During Fourth Plan
(at 1989/90 Prices )
(in million Taka)
Sector/Year 1989/ 90 1990/ 91 1991/ 92 1992/ 93 1993/ 94 1994/ 95 Total Plan Percentage
(Actual) (1990-95) Allocation Attainment
over Plan
Allocation
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Agriculture 6,500 3,902 6,630 7,131 8,131 8,887 34,681 36,780 94
Industry 4,500 14,035 17,188 19,792 19,915 28,092 99,022 44,200 224
Housing and Construction 7,000 6,299 7,252 9,196 10,873 15,897 49,517 42,060 118
Transport and Communication 5,300 5,131 5,203 5,653 5,846 10,451 32,284 39,090 83
Trade and Other Services 7,000 15,818 17,049 22,035 23,452 30,539 108,893 110,870 98
Total 30,300 45,185 53,322 63,807 68,217 93,866 324,397 273,000 119
1.2.16 It can be seen from Tables 1.7 and 1.9 that realised total private investment in the
successive years from 1990/91 through 1994/95 during the Fourth Plan period was higher
than the targeted private investment. It grew at an annual average rate of 25.40 percent. There
were, however, some shortfalls in agriculture, transport and communication, and in trade and
service sectors.
1.2.17 Balance of payments and external resources: The country enjoyed a relatively
comfortable balance of payments position during the first four years of the Fourth Plan. A
continued higher growth of exports and remittances vis-a-vis a sharp decline in imports
during 1990/91 and 1991/92 and a slow growth during the following two years helped contain
the balances of trade and payments and keep them below their benchmark levels during the
period. The balance of payments situation, however, worsened in the terminal year of the
Plan, largely because imports recovered substantially from the unusually low levels.
1.2.18 Preliminary estimates indicate that aggregate imports, exports and remittances during
the Plan period were 99.34 per cent, 96.29 per cent and 99.31 per cent of their projected totals
respectively. The share of imports financed through exports was 53.85 per cent in 1994/95
compared with 55.21 per cent expected in the Plan. As a result, the current account deficit
overshot the target by 10.12 per cent. There was a shortfall of around 10 per cent in aid
disbursements also.
1.2.19 Imports: Total imports grew at an annual rate of 6.14 per cent which exceeded the
Plan target of 5.11 per cent. However, merchandise imports during the Plan period was still
$130 million less than $19.81 billion projected in the Plan. Imports started to pick up after
the first two years of the Plan and reached a peak of $5.05 billion in the terminal year.
Foodgrain imports rose sharply to $622 million in 1994/95 against the Plan expectation of a
fall to $100 million. Imports of non-food and intermediate goods grew slowly at the rates of
5.4 per cent and 5.5 per cent respectively compared with 6.6 per cent and 9.8 per cent
projected in the Plan indicating a depressed domestic demand. Imports of capital goods which
declined by 2.20 per cent rather than rising at 1.70 per cent as projected in the Plan similarly
manifested a depressed demand.
1.2.20 Exports: Total exports during the Plan period fell short of the target by $400 million
and amounted to $ 10.39 billion. However, exports picked up by the close of the Plan
reaching a level of $ 2.72 billion in 1994/95. The average annual growth rate of exports was a
little higher (12.20 per cent) than that (11.60 per cent) envisaged in the Plan. Non-traditional
8
exports grew at a higher annual rate of 17.20 per cent than the Plan's projection of 16 per
cent; this offset the shortfall in traditional exports.
1.2.21 Terms of trade: The terms of trade which suffered a deterioration of 2.60 per cent in
1989/90 improved between 1990/91 and 1993/94 but an 8.90 per cent appreciation in the
import price index against a 6.60 per cent rise in the export price index resulted in a small
deterioration of 2.20 per cent in the country's terms of trade in 1994/95.
1.2.22 Remittances: Total home remittances during the Plan period amounted to $4.30
billion, lower by only 0.69 per cent than the target of $ 4.33 billion. The annual growth of
private transfer was slow, 4.80 per cent against the projection of 5.10 per cent. Annual
manpower export reached its peak of 238 thousand approximately in 1992/93 from 110
thousand in 1989/90 but thereafter fell below 205 thousand and was about 200 thousand in
1994/95. Annual remittances increased from $761 million in 1989/90 to $1.09 billion in
1994/95. Total foreign employment was 0.95 million in the terminal year of the Plan.
1.2.23 Foreign aid: The global recession after the Gulf war, the emergence of independent
states in the former Soviet Union, and above all, newly emerging donor priorities adversely
affected the availability of external assistance and caused a decline in the flow of foreign aid
to Bangladesh. Implementation problems also adversely affected aid disbursement. During
the Plan period, the total aid disbursement fell short of the target by 9.28 per cent to $7.56
billion and accounted for 47.64 per cent of development expenditure at 1989/90 prices.
1.2.24 Debt service: The country's debt obligation consists mainly of the public sector debt
which increased in nominal terms from $10.61 billion in 1989/90 to $16.77 billion in 1994/95
showing a growth rate of 9.60 per cent a year. Debt service payments for the public sector
MLT debt rose at the rate of 9.20 per cent from $302 million in 1989/90 to $ 468 million in
1994/95. Against this burden, export earning grew at the annual rate of 17.50 per cent in
nominal terms. As a result the debt service burden declined to 13.48 per cent of export
earnings in 1994/95 compared with 19.75 per cent in 1989/90.
1.2.25 Exchange rate management: Bangladesh has been pursuing a flexible exchange rate
policy to ensure its competitiveness in international trade. The Bangladesh Bank fixes its
buying and selling rates of US dollar for the banks on a daily basis. While setting the buying
and selling rates, changes in exchange rates and price levels of major trading partners are
taken into account after due adjustments for trade weights. In other words, buying and selling
rates of US dollar in terms of taka are changed with due regard to the nominal as well as real
effective exchange rate (REER) index and levels of trade with its important trading partners.
Bangladesh Bank has been progressively liberalising the foreign exchange restrictions in
tandem with the government's reform policies for trade liberalisation, export promotion and
deregulation with a view to creating an environment conducive to growth in investment and
productivity. Taka has been made convertible for all transactions in the current account. In
addition, several steps have been taken to activate the inter-bank foreign exchange market.
The exchange rate in the secondary exchange market and the official rate have been unified
since January 1, 1992. On the other hand, exporters retention rate has been increased from 20
per cent to 40 per cent since FY96. These liberalisations have strengthened the unification of
the two rates. Taka was depreciated by 22.10 per cent during the Fourth Plan period which
stimulated both export and workers' remittances and helped reduce Current Account gap in
the external sector.
9
1.2.26 Money and prices: The Consumer Price Index for the middle income families in
Dhaka increased roughly at an annual average rate of 4.50 per cent during the Fourth Plan
period compared with the average rate of 9.80 per cent during the preceding 5 years. The
inflation rate came down to as low as 1.40 per cent in 1992/93; thereafter, it began to rise and
was 5.20 per cent in 1994/95. The lower inflation rate could be attributed to two major
factors: the availability of consumer items including foodgrains was adequate and stable, and
the money supply was contained, particularly during the first three years of the Plan period.
However, the money supply (M1) during the last two years of the Plan rose significantly
which resulted in a higher inflation rate in 1994/95.
1.2.27 Employment situation: The Fourth Plan (1990-95) laid specific emphasis on
employment generation to alleviate poverty. The trend in employment is shown in Table 1.10.
Table 1.10
Labour Force Employment and Unemployment During 1972 to 1997
(million person-years)
Year Labour Employment Unemployment Unemployment
Force Domestic Foreign Total Rate (%)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1972/73 21.38 13.09 - 13.09 8.29 38.78
1977/78 24.10 16.04 0.05 16.09 8.01 33.24
1979/80 25.29 16.09 0.05 16.14 9.15 36.18
1984/85 29.50 18.97 0.32 19.29 10.21 34.61
1989/90 34.80 22.82 0.43 23.25 11.55 33.19
1994/95 40.47 26.88 0.95 27.83 12.64 31.23
1995/96 41.70 28.18 1.14 29.32 12.38 29.69
1996/97 42.97 29.62 1.34 30.96 12.01 27.95
Note: i. Underemployment counted on the basis of duration of work.
ii. LFS 's usual definition used,
iii. Estimation of labour force for 1972/73 and 1977/78 based on 1974 and 1981 census population
growth respectively and for 1979/80, manpower survey of 1980 adjusted; similarly, for 1989/90
LFS 1989 adjusted.
iv. The rate of unemployment covers underemployment also; employment and unemployment
calculated on person year basis.
v. Foreign employment figure shows cumulative net employment.
The labour force has almost doubled since independence growing at a rate faster than the
population. Against this, employment on man-year basis has more than doubled resulting in a
reduction of unemployment rate (including underemployment) from 38.78 per cent in
1972/73 to 31.23 per cent in 1994/95. During all the Five Year Plans, unemployment rate
showed a decline, faster during the First Plan than during the others. However, it suffered a
setback during the Two Year Plan (1978-80) when unemployment rate increased. As the
domestic employment increased at an annual rate of 3.30 per cent, GDP grew at 3.90 per cent
a year there was some marginal gain in the overall average productivity of labour.
1.2.28 Sectoral employment during Fourth Plan: Sectoral employment situation at the
beginning and end of the Fourth Plan and the volume of employment generated during the
Plan period is shown in Table 1.11. In 1989/90 agriculture accounted for 56 per cent of total
domestic employment. Agriculture continued to absorb over half of the employment in
1994/95 in absence of alternative employment opportunities but its share in GDP declined to
less than one-third indicating a much lower productivity of labour in agriculture than in the
non-agricultural sector.
10
Table 1.11
Sectoral Employment During Fourth Plan Period
(million persons)
Sector Employment in 1989/90 Employment in Employment Generation
1994/95 during Plan period
1 2 3 4
Agriculture 12.85 13.97 1.12
(56.3) (52.0) (27.6)
Industry 2.52 3.84 1.32
(11.0) (14.3) (32.5)
Construction 0.92 1.34 0.42
Power and Gas 0.05 0.09 0.04
Transport and 2.18 2.54 0.36
Communication (9.6) (9.4)
Education 2.63 3.28 0.65
(11.5) (12.2) (16.0)
Trade and Other Services 1.67 1.82 0.15
Sub-Total (domestic) 22.82 26.88 4.06
Foreign Employment 0.43 0.95 0.52
Total 23.25 27.83 4.58
Note: Figures in parentheses indicate percentage share of domestic employment.
1.2.29 Reform measures: A comprehensive programme for structural reforms which was
progressing in piece-meal earlier was started in the second half of the 1980s under the
Structural Adjustment Facilities (SAF) loan. This was further strengthened in 1990s and
aimed at liberalising the foreign trade and exchange rate regimes, restructuring the industrial
sector, strengthening fiscal and monetary management, encouraging private sector
participation in development and privatising the state owned enterprises (SOEs). As a result,
macro economic stability was brought about with lower inflation rates, smaller fiscal and
current account deficits and higher foreign exchange reserves. In 1986/87, the first year of the
programme of structural adjustment with growth, the overall budget deficit was 8.40 per cent
of GDP (Tk. 45.03 billion) and by the end of the decade, it was 7.70 per cent of GDP
(Tk.58.10 billion). This eased somewhat the inflationary pressure of the budget. The deficit
declined further during the next two years to reach around 6 per cent of GDP. It was displaced
in 1994/95 to 6.80 per cent as a result of a sudden spurt in public expenditure. In 1994/95,
public expenditure (revenue) grew by 18.57 per cent when revenue receipt rose by 13.16 per
cent only. Net foreign financing covered the budgetary gap to a large extent (72.18 per cent),
and public borrowing doubled to Tk. 22.17 billion compared to the previous year. Fiscal
imbalance had been creeping back after 1992/93 when fiscal deficit in both absolute and
relative terms as percentage of GDP was the lowest. As a result of fiscal operation and
increased public borrowing in 1993/94 and 1994/95, there was expansion in monetary
aggregates and total liquidity increased by 33.87 per cent over those years. This fuelled
inflation, and the CPI (Dhaka Middle Class) began to rise in 1993/94 after falling to the
lowest level (1.40 per cent) in 1992/93, partly due to fiscal and monetary restraints but mainly
due to good harvest. The inflation rate rose to 5.22 per cent in 1994/95, marginally exceeding
what it was in 1991/92 (5.10 per cent). Domestic imbalances (over-expenditure and inflation)
had their logical effect on the external sector also; current account deficit crept up to 3.54 per
cent of GDP in 1994/95, exceeding that of 1991/92 (2.43 per cent) even though export
earning was about double during this period and wage earners' remittances rose by about 50
per cent. Rising imbalance in the external sector led to exchange rate depreciation.
11
remittances, narrowed the current account deficit to an estimated amount of $ 860 million
(3.40 per cent of GDP) compared with $ 1.64 billion (5 per cent of GDP) in 1995/96. With
the rise in foodgrain output in 1996/97, the import demand for foodgrain was estimated to
decline substantially- by more than 67 per cent to $ 212 million. Therefore, total imports were
estimated to grow at a slower rate of 1.70 per cent and reach $ 7.0 billion. On the other hand,
estimated higher export earnings from garments, knitwear, frozen food, tea and raw jute led to
a 13.30 per cent rise in export earnings to $ 4.40 billion in 1996/97.
1.4 Overall Macroeconomic and Social Development Trend
1.4.1 Macroeconomic trend: Recent macroeconomic management has achieved successes
in infusing stability in the economy (Table 1.12). A number of features are noteworthy here.
Firstly, GDP growth has improved in recent years. Secondly, dependence on foreign aid has
been significantly reduced; foreign aid financing is less than one-sixth of investment against
about two-thirds a decade ago. Thirdly, inflation has been contained. Fourthly, external
sector's imbalance has been brought down to a manageable limit of available external
resources due to the growth of exports and remittances. Finally, fiscal deficit has been
contained and dependence on foreign aid has been reduced as a result of greater domestic
resource mobilisation through tax efforts and reforms.
Table 1.12
Macroeconomic Indicators
(in million Taka)
Items 1972/73 1977/78 1979/80 1984/85 1989/90 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 (P)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
GDP (at 1984/85 prices) 264,555 323,015 341,298 406,,933 497,527 609,793 642,441 678,753
GDP (at current prices) 49,853 145,194 196,050 406,933 737,571 1170,261 1301,600 1402,580
External Resources Balance 2,459 14,650 25,572 43,172 74,329 97,428 126,554 116,027
Import 5,484 22,855 39,588 74,361 135,751 263,133 310,913 329,328
Export 3,025 8,205 14,016 31,189 61,422 165,705 184,359 213,301
National Resources 52,312 159,844 221,622 450,105 811,900 1267,689 1428,154 1538,218
Consumption 50,811 142,674 191,646 397,438 717,473 1073,038 1206,954 1294,532
Investment 1,501 17,170 29,976 52,667 94,427 194,651 221,200 243,686
Domestic Saving -958 2,520 4,404 9,495 20,098 97,223 94,646 108,048
National Saving -1,383 5,407 7,755 18,414 42,628 153,245 154,288 205,171
Current Account Balance 2,884 11,763 22,221 34,253 51,799 41,406 66,912 38,515
Tax Revenue 1,866 9,842 14,363 28,070 57,120 113,640 122,330 140,740
Overall Fiscal Deficit 4,656 10,436 19,412 29,960 58,100 79,700 74,500 74,800
Rate of Inflation (% change in CPI) 47.40 12.74 18.85 11.20 9.33 5.22 4.07 3.91
Real GDP growth rate - 7.03 1.50 3.93 6.63 4.44 5.35 5.65
Exchange Rate (Taka/US$) 7.7808 15.1215 15.4777 26.0600 32.9323 40.2005 40.8400 42.7008
As % of GDP (at current Prices)
External Resources Balance 4.93 10.09 13.04 10.61 10.08 8.33 9.72 8.27
Import 11.00 15.74 20.19 18.27 18.40 22.48 23.89 23.48
Export 6.07 5.65 7.15 7.66 8.32 14.15 14.17 15.21
Consumption 101.92 98.26 97.75 97.67 97.28 91.69 92.73 92.30
Investment 3.01 11.82 15.29 12.94 12.80 16.63 16.99 17.37
Domestic Saving -1.92 1.74 2.25 2.33 2.72 8.31 7.27 7.70
National Saving -2.77 3.72 3.96 4.52 5.78 13.09 11.85 14.63
Current Account Balance 5.78 8.10 11.33 8.42 7.02 3.54 5.14 2.75
Tax Revenue 3.74 6.78 7.33 6.90 7.74 9.71 9.40 10.03
Overall Fiscal Deficit 9.34 7.19 9.90 7.36 7.88 6.81 5.72 5.33
Note : P = Preliminary, World Bank's definition of tax differs from that of the Ministry of Finance.
Source : BBS
13
Table 1.13
Social Development Indicators
Area/Indicators 1970 1974 1975 1981 1985 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996
Demographic Indicators
Population (million persons) 71.8 76.4 80.1 89.9 99.9 111.5 113.2 115.5 117.7 120.8 122..0
Population density (persons/sq. km) 486 518 543 609 677 755 767 782 798 818 832
Population growth rate (%) 2.60 2.48 2.57 2.35 2.07 1.98 1.92 1.88 1.87 1.85 1.80
Crude birth rate (per 1000 persons) - 42 46 35 35 32 31 29 27 28 27
Crude death rate (per 1000 persons) - 19.4 18.0 12 12 13 11 10 9 9 9
Total fertility rate (birth per woman) - 6.3 6.3 5.04 4.7 4.3 4.2 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.4
Net reproduction rate - - 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.5
Contraceptive prevalence rate (% of married
couple between 15-49 yrs) - 4.7 7.7 21.8 25 40 - 44.6 46.3 48.0 48.0
Maternal mortality rate (per 1000 live births) - - - 6.2 6.3 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4
Infant mortality rate (per 1000 live births) 150 140 140 111 112 92 88 84 77 78 78
Life expectancy (National) 45 50.7 46 55 55 56.1 56.3 57.2 57.9 58.0 58.0
Male - 51.6 47 55 56 56.5 56.8 57.8 58.1 58.1 58.1
Female - 49.7 45 54 55 55.7 55.9 56.6 57.5 57.6 57.6
Contd.
15
Area/Indicators 1970 1974 1975 1981 1985 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996
Education Indicators
Adult literacy
National 25.8 - 29.2 33.0 35.3 39.7 41.5 42.0 47.3 47.3
Male 37.2 - 39.7 39.7 44.3 46.8 48.1 49.4 55.6 55.6
13.2 - 18.8 18.0 25.8 25.0 33.9 34.3 38.1 38.1
Female
Gross primary enrolment ratio (6-10 years)
National - 76.0 - 80.0 86.0 92.0 95.0
Male 56.2 81.0 - 82.0 88.0 93.0 96.0
43.8 70.0 - 78.0 84.0 91.0 94.0
Female
Primary school completion rate (%) - - - - - 41 53 60 61 - -
Female labour force (as % of total labour) - 4.1 4.5 5.8 4.1 13.6 14.5 - - - 18.2
Share of women in Public Service (in percentage) - - - - 6.3 8.0 8.5 8.6 9.1 - -
Share of women in the total primary school teachers - - - 9.0 12.9 20.4 21.4 23.8 25.0 26.9 27.5
Share of female members in the parliament (MPs) - - - - - 10.3 - - - - 11.2
Percentage of women participating in the national election - - - - - 1.7 - - - - 1.9
Daily newspaper in circulation (copies per 1000 persons) - -- - - - - - 14.9 17.3 18.5 19.0
T.V. Receivers (sets per 1000 persons) - - - - - 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.7 5.2 5.3
1.5.2 The target of foodgrain production in the First Plan was set at 15.14 million metric
tons (mt) against the benchmark of 10.02 million mt in 1972/73. However, production in the
terminal year, 1977/78 was 13.11 million mt which was 15 per cent less than the target. The
shortfall in crop production is mainly attributed to natural calamities and slow expansion of
the modern technology. Only 2.87 million acres of cultivable land could be covered under
mechanised irrigation by the terminal year of the First Plan against the target of 4.92 million
acres.
1.5.3 During the Second Plan, the target of food production was 17.5 million mt. The
growth of foodgrain production was modest and reached the level of 15.8 million mt against
13.5 million mt in 1979/80 though an input-based medium term food production plan was
undertaken in 1981 for accelerated production of foodgrain. The shortfall in production was
mainly due to frequent floods and droughts, inadequate irrigation facilities and shortfalls in
fertiliser distribution. The area under irrigation reached 6.12 million acres only against the
target of 7.21 million acres and fertiliser distribution was 1.26 million mt only against a
target of 1.6 million mt. The performance of the cash crops was also not satisfactory.
1.5.4 The Third Plan accorded priority to agriculture as the strategy for development of
domestic resources and accordingly, allocated about 30 per cent of the total Plan outlay to
the sector, including development of water resources and rural institutions. Moderate growth
was achieved in the sector with foodgrain production increasing to 18.75 million mt against
the benchmark of 15.8 million mt. The target of 20.6 million mt could not be attained because
of two consecutive severe floods in 1987 and 1988 though privatisation of fertiliser
distribution and liberalisation of import of minor irrigation equipment helped raise their use.
The annual growth rate of the agriculture sector was 2.5 per cent only as against a target of 4
per cent.
1.5.5 Agriculture accounted for 38 per cent of GDP in 1989/90. Of this, crop sub-sector
contributed 30 per cent to GDP, forestry 2.50 per cent, livestock 2.80 per cent and fisheries
2.60 per cent. At the end of the Fourth Plan, agriculture still accounted for about one-third of
GDP. Forestry, fisheries and livestock, each contributed about 3 per cent of GDP, while crop
sector’s share declined to about 24 per cent. Inadequate quality seeds, irrigation facilities and
extension services coupled with natural calamities like floods, droughts, salinity, etc.,
contributed largely to the sluggish growth of agriculture during the Fourth Plan period.
1.5.6 Food and crops: One of the prime goals of the Fourth Plan was to attain self-
sufficiency in foodgrain along with increased production of other nutritional crops. The
foodgrain production target of the Plan was set at 21.98 million mt against the benchmark
production of 18.85 million mt in 1989/90. The annual target of growth of the agriculture
sector was set at 3.60 per cent for the Plan period. The strategy for achieving the crop
production target put more emphasis on increasing yield per acre rather than increasing crop
acreage.
1.5.7 Foodgrain production however progressed slowly to reach the peak level of the Plan of
19.60 million mt in 1992/93- an increase of less than a million mt over 3 years. The
increased foodgrain production largely came from aman crop.This resulted from increase in
HYV acreage from 4.86 million acres in 1991/92 to 5.76 million acres in 1992/93. The flood
in 1993 and severe drought in 1994 along with depressed harvest prices, however, affected
foodgrain production in 1993/94 and 1994/95. Foodgrain production declined to 19.25
million mt in 1993/94 and to 18.17 million mt in 1994/95. Acreage under rice also declined
17
from 25.88 million acres in 1989/90 to 24.52 million acres in 1994/95. Acreage under wheat
marginally increased from 1.46 million acres in 1989/90 to 1.58 million acres in 1994/95 but
production of wheat increased by 40 per cent to 1.25 million mt in 1994/95 from the
benchmark production of 0.89 million mt. Table 1.14 shows production of rice and wheat
during the Fourth Plan period.
Table 1.14
Production of Foodgrain During Fourth Plan
(in million m.ton)
Crops 1989/90 Plan Target 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95
(Benchmark) (Terminal
Year)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Aus 2.49 2.42 2.33 2.18 2.08 1.85 1.79
Aman 9.20 11.00 9.17 9.27 9.68 9.42 8.50
Boro 6.17 7.20 6.36 6.80 6.59 6.77 6.54
Wheat 0.89 1.20 1.00 1.07 1.17 1.13 1.25
Total (Rice and Wheat) 18.75 21.82 18.86 19.32 19.52 19.17 18.08
Other Coarse grain 0.10 0.16 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09
Total Foodgrain 18.85 21.98 18.94 19.40 19.60 19.25 18.17
Source : Ministry of Agriculture
1.5.8 The failure to achieve production targets was due to shortfalls in both area and yield.
Yield levels continued to reflect past trends rather than the accelerated improvements
envisaged in the Plan. The production of aus, aman and boro rice — all fell short of their
respective targets.
1.5.9 The growth of the agriculture sector as a whole during the Fourth Plan fell short of the
rate envisaged. Annual average growth rate attained was 0.98 per cent against the target of
3.60 per cent. It declined through the Plan period and suffered a serious setback during
1993/94 (0.30 per cent) and 1994/95 (-1 per cent). The crop sector declined in both the years.
Although the adoption of modern varieties increased, their yields have fallen in recent years.
The main reasons for this were inadequate supply of high quality seeds and loss of vigour of
the HYV seeds. The expansion of minor irrigation also slowed down. Non-availability of
fertilisers at the farm level in time also emerged as a vexing problem. The unbalanced use of
fertilisers and depletion of organic matter affected soil fertility and yield. Increasing land
erosion, soil degradation, water logging and salinity, frequent floods and droughts and
declining ground water level in several areas remained as the main problems for increasing
production.
1.5.10 The thrust on foodgrain self-sufficiency was maintained during 1995/96 and 1996/97
and crop diversification programme of the Fourth Plan was continued. Total foodgrain
production during 1995/96 was somewhat better than that in the previous two years though
still below the 1992/93 peak of 19.6 million mt. Aus crop suffered from inadequate rainfall
and was 1.68 million mt — 0.11 million mt less than that of the terminal year of the Fourth
Plan. This shortfall was made up by aman harvest of about 8.8 million mt Production of
boro rice was 7.2 million mt. Total rice production was 17.69 million mt. With the wheat
production of 1.37 million mt, total foodgrain production was 19.14 million mt in 1995/96,
but still below the 1992/93 level. The estimate for total cereal production during the year
1996/97 was at 20.43 million mt, the highest ever production of cereals. The aman production
rose to 9.59 million mt while aus, boro and wheat gained marginally only to 1.87 million mt,
7.42 million mt and 1.45 million mt respectively.
18
1.5.11 Food management: The main objective of the “Food Policy” is to ensure food
security to all the households. During the Fourth Plan, food management underwent major
changes. With the growth in foodgrain production as well as development of infrastructure,
marketing of foodgrain improved. Growth in private foodgrain trade enabled the government
to moderate its intervention in the foodgrain markets. All restrictions and obstacles to
participation of the private sector in foodgrain trade and management were removed. The
level of commercial operation of the Public Food Distribution System (PFDS) declined.
Simultaneously, foodgrain distribution through various safety net programmes was intensified
along with some improvements and enlargements of targeted intervention programmes such
as the Food for Education.
1.5.12 During the Fourth Plan period, the year-end stock of foodgrain with the PFDS was
maintained at around 0.8 million mt. Procurement of foodgrain from the farmers decreased
from 0.78 million mt in 1990/91 to 0.28 million mt in 1994/95 as the production remained
below the record level of 1992/93. During the same period, off-take of foodgrain through
PFDS also declined from 2.37 million mt in 1990/91 to 1.57 million mt in 1994/95.
1.5.13 The foodgrain storage capacity increased from 1.02 million mt to 1.86 million mt at
the end of the Third Plan. The same level of storage capacity was maintained upto the end of
the Fourth Plan. In order to retain foodgrain storage capacity at the level of around 1.86
million mt and to ensure quality of stock, the government undertook various projects for
rehabilitation and reconstruction of food godowns and modernisation of the food management
system.
1.5.14 While rehabilitation and reconstruction of food godowns and modernisation of food
management system were continued, some policy oriented projects for efficient monitoring
and forecasting of the country’s food situation were also undertaken to cope with unexpected
price and supply situations.
1.5.15 Forestry : Forest is ecologically important and plays an important role in the
economy of Bangladesh. The forestry activities contribute nearly 3 per cent of the GDP and
about 2 per cent of the total labour force is employed in this sub-sector. An estimated 2.45
million ha (17 per cent) of the total land of the country is under forests or potential forests.
Out of this, 2.18 million ha is owned by the government as classified and unclassified forests
and the rest 0.27 million ha is controlled privately, e.g. by homesteads, tea gardens, rubber
plantations, etc.
1.5.16 The major emphasis during the earlier Plans was quantitative expansion of forests for
providing increased supplies of wood and wood products and qualitative improvement of the
natural forests through afforestation. During the Fourth Plan, extraction of forest resources
was discouraged for environmental conservation and afforestation of newly accreted land
received priority. However, the major thrust during the Fourth Plan was people’s participation
and private sector investment in the management and development of forests.
1.5.17 The physical target for forest plantation during the Fourth Plan was 46,947.5 ha;
against this 43,619.84 ha were brought under actual plantation. Coastal afforestation was
more or less fully achieved (19,565 ha). Similarly, the Plan target of 16,158 km. of strip
plantation was achieved by almost 100 per cent by the end of the Fourth Plan. Rubber
plantation covered 1,261.78 ha of land under BFIDC and production of rubber was 7.83
million kg. against the target of 11.03 million kg.
19
1.5.18 The main objective of the forestry sub-sector during 1995/96 and 1996/97 was to
expand forest resources, make the forests adequately productive, develop institutional
capabilities including human resource and involve local people as much as possible in
forestry activities. People oriented programmes covering forestry on marginal lands, char
lands, road sides, etc. got momentum during these years.
1.5.19 The coastal afforestation programme covered about 2,730 ha against the target of
3,010 ha. Targets for industrial and strip plantations during 1995/96 were to cover 4,239 ha
and 1,778 km respectively. The former target was fully realised but the latter covered 1,665
km. During 1996/97, targets for coastal afforestation, industrial plantation and strip plantation
were set at 2800 ha, 3895 ha and 3295 km respectively.
1.5.20 Livestock: The contribution of the livestock sub-sector to the country’s GDP is
around 3 per cent and to agricultural GDP around 9 per cent. The latter share has been rising
steadily in recent years. Livestock contributes 95 per cent of draught power to agriculture and
provides full-time employment to about 20 per cent of the rural population generating cash
income for the rural poor with a small amount of investment. This sub-sector earns also
significant amount of foreign exchange through export of hides and skins, leather products,
bones, horns, etc.
1.5.21 Keeping these in view, the programmes undertaken during the Fourth Plan period
were: (a) feed and fodder development for poultry and cattle, (b) animal health and disease
control by treatment and vaccination, (c) improving breed and breed multiplication, (d)
marketing, (e) credit, (f) research, and (g) extension services, training and education.
1.5.22 Targets and achievements in some of the areas of the livestock sub-sector during the
Fourth Plan are shown in Table 1.15. Production of dairy and poultry remained below their
respective planned targets.
Table 1.15
Targets and Achievements of Livestock Sub-sector During Fourth Plan
1.5.23 The livestock sub-sector continued the programmes during these two years following
the objectives and strategies of the Fourth Plan like genetic upgradation of livestock,
development of dairy and poultry enterprises and expansion of employment opportunities.
During 1995/96, livestock sub-sector provided 1,472 million doses of liquid semen, 0.35
million doses of frozen semen, 1.32 million artificial inseminations, 4.1 million day-old
chicks and 19.58 million doses of vaccines. Dairy and poultry outputs were 1.07 million litres
of milk and 2.6 billion eggs. Production during 1996/97 were 1.54 million litres of milk, 3.25
billion eggs and 8.36 million day-old chicks.
1.5.24 Fisheries : Fisheries accounts for about 9 per cent of agricultural GDP and
contributes about 60 per cent of the nation’s protein intake. It provides full time employment
20
to about 1.2 million people and also generates part time employment for some 11 million
people. About 10 per cent of total export earnings come from fisheries. Increased production,
export and creation of employment opportunities have been the main focus of development
activities in the sub-sector over the years.
1.5.25 The Fourth Plan laid emphasis on the development of fisheries sub-sector with major
objectives such as (a) increasing fish production for domestic consumption; (b) improving the
socio-economic conditions of the fishing community; (c) enhancing the fisheries resource
base; (d) improving management technology; and (e) increasing foreign exchange earnings
through export of fish and fish products.
1.5.26 The Fourth Plan envisaged fish production of 1.20 million mt in 1994/95 as against
the actual production of 0.85 million mt in 1989/90. Total fish production at the terminal year
of the Plan was 1.17 million mt (inland fish production 0.91 m.mt and marine, 0.26 m.mt) as
against the target of 1.20 million mt (inland, 0.94 m.mt and marine, 0.26 m.mt).
1.5.27 The total export earnings from fisheries during 1994/95 stood at $315.69 million (at
current dollars). Export earnings from frozen food was $226 million exceeding the Plan
target of $158 million by 43 per cent (at constant $ of 1989/90).
1.5.28 Fisheries sub-sector continued to get priority during 1995/96 and 1996/97.
Aquaculture was given high priority because of shortfall in inland fishing during the Fourth
Plan as well as its potential. This included fish culture in derelict fish ponds, paddy fields ,
open water areas and other water bodies.
1.5.29 In 1995/96, 1.24 million mt of fish was produced against a target of 1.26 million mt.
The target of fish production for 1996/97 was set at 1.37 million mt. The hatching in 1995/96
was 3,500 kg as against the target of 3,000 kg from the government fish seed multiplication
farms and hatcheries. In 1996/97, the hatching rose to 3,800 kg. Export earnings during
1995/96 was Tk.13.41 billion from the export of 38,929 mt of fish and fish products. The
target of export earnings in 1996/97 was set at Tk.16 billion.
1.6 Water Resources
1.6.1 The key strategy for the water resources development was the expansion of irrigation
coverage through water conservation measures, conjunctive use of both surface and ground
water resources along with optimum utilisation of available flows of major/minor rivers in a
phased manner.
1.6.2 In order to achieve a sustained growth of 3.60 per cent in the agriculture sector, it was
planned to bring about 4.8 million ha of land under irrigation by the terminal year of the
Fourth Plan. To achieve this target, BWDB undertook gravity irrigation mainly under flood
control, drainage and irrigation (FCDI) projects in order to cover 0.5 million ha, while the
remaining areas were to be covered by minor irrigation equipment and traditional methods.
Schemes were drawn up to bring about 3.64 million ha of land under flood control and
drainage during the Plan period.
1.6.3 Surface water irrigation: The surface water irrigation consisting of gravity flow, LLP,
floating pumps, etc. was carried out during the Plan period by both the public and the private
sectors. The cumulative target for surface water irrigation coverage in 1990-95 was estimated
at 1.79 million ha against which 1.14 million ha was covered at the end of the Plan period.
21
1.6.4 Ground water irrigation: Ground water irrigation programmes through DTW, STW,
HTW and other technologies were under implementation mainly by the private sector since
late 1980s. Subsidies on DTW were withdrawn and minor irrigation was entirely privatised.
The cumulative target for ground water irrigation during 1990-95 was set at 3.02 million ha.
As against this target, the cumulative achievement at the end of June, 1995 was 2.17
million ha.
1.6.5 Minor irrigation development programmes were also carried out by LGED and other
concerned organisations. Taking into account all these activities, the cumulative irrigation
target for the Fourth Plan was 4.81 million ha. Against this target, actual achievement at the
end of the Plan period was estimated to be 3.33 million ha. Shortfall occurred mainly due to
poor command area development, lack of motivation and people’s participation, shortage of
water in the dry season, damage to irrigation infrastructure by floods, cyclones and natural
calamities, etc. Other major problems that hindered the achievement of irrigation target were
the threat from saline water intrusion and a lack of effective water-sharing of the common
rivers, particularly of the Ganges.
1.6.6 Flood control and drainage: BWDB constructed 7,900 km. of embankments to
protect valuable crops, lives and properties in different areas. The flood control and drainage
targets for the Fourth Plan was to cover an area of 3.64 million ha. Against this, about 3.84
million ha. was brought under flood control and drainage facilities by the terminal year of the
Plan. Irrigation, flood control and drainage coverage during the Fourth Plan against their
targets are shown in Table 1.16.
Table 1.16
Targets and Achievements of Irrigation and Flood Control
During Fourth Plan
(in million hectare)
Programme 1989/90 1994/95 (Terminal Year)
(Benchmark) Target Achievement
1 2 3 4
I. Irrigation
A. Surface Water Irrigation
i) Gravity Flow 0.21 0.50 0.35
ii) LLP 0.78 1.09 0.54
iii) Traditional 0.30 0.20 0.25
Sub-Total A 1.29 1.79 1.14
B. Ground Water Irrigation
i) STW 1.25 2.20 1.64
ii) DTW 0.50 0.76 0.50
iii) HTW 0.05 0.05 0.02
Sub-Total B 1.80 3.01 2.16
C. Others - - 0.02
Total (A+B+C) 3.09 4.80 3.32
II. Flood Control and Drainage 3.24 3.64 3.84
Source: i. National Minor Irrigation Census, 1995/96
ii. Bangladesh Water Development Board.
1.6.7 Flood Action Plan (FAP) : The unprecedented floods of 1987 and 1988 caused a major
setback to the economy. A number of countries offered help for finding ways to mitigate the
effects of natural disasters. At the request of the Government of Bangladesh, the World Bank
22
co-ordinated various efforts and prepared a programme of studies and pilot projects in order
to get a better understanding of the flood problem. The Flood Action Plan started with 11
main components and 15 supporting studies and pilot projects for implementation during
1990-95.
1.6.8 Most of the original programmes of studies under FAP have been completed. The
regional studies identified and evaluated a number of projects at prefeasibility stage, and
some possible flood mitigation projects have been identified in the regional context. A few
priority projects such as the protection of Dhaka city and a number of secondary towns,
erosion protection on the Brahmaputra right bank and the rehabilitation of the coastal
embankments are currently under implementation. Work on a number of important long-term
studies and pilot projects are still going on.
1.6.9 The sectoral development activities were continued in 1995/96 and 1996/97 on the basis
of the Three Year Rolling Investment Programme and Annual Development Programmes
(ADPs). During these two years, most of the Flood Action Plan (FAP) studies were
completed and the Second Phase of Bangladesh Water and Flood Management Strategy was
approved to prepare a Water Sector Master Plan and implement selected projects to follow-up
earlier FAP studies. As regards sectoral performance in 1995-97, irrigation coverage at the
end of June, 1997 was about 4.0 million ha. On the other hand, area coverage under flood
control and drainage improvement was 4.20 million ha upto June, 1997.
1.7 Rural Development and Institutions
1.7.1 Although alleviation of poverty was the principal objective of all successive plans, no
appreciable improvement could be achieved; consequently, poverty in Bangladesh still
remains pervasive, and particularly conspicuous in rural areas. Keeping the overall
perspective of the poverty situation in view, the main objectives and targets in the RDI sector
for the Fourth Plan were:
a. generating employment for the poor by 0.53 million by the year 1995, mostly self-
employment through co-operatives;
b. development of physical infrastructure such as rural roads, culverts, hats and bazars to
create necessary infrastructural facilities and at the same time, generate employment
opportunities to the tune of 133.1 million man-days during the Plan period; and
c. development of irrigated agriculture, drainage and minor flood control schemes.
1.7.2 The important programmes envisaged for achievement of these objectives included
production and employment programmes for the poor and development of rural physical
infrastructure. The strategy was adopted to cover a minimum of one full district with one or
more of these components.
1.7.3 Poverty alleviation and employment generation: During the Plan period,
mobilisation of the rural poor, training for awareness raising, skill development, leadership,
management capability, i.e., human resources development and access to credit were provided
through co-operative activities, particularly by BRDB. About 0.79 million members were
enrolled in various newly formed co-operatives out of which 60 per cent were women. The
activities under RDI made a good impact on human resources development, particularly
among women with focus on environmental problems, sanitation and safe drinking water,
and nutritional situation. The Ministry of Land established some 384 self-reliant ideal villages
to rehabilitate 17,315 landless and rootless families.
1.7.4 Infrastructure : Under LGED 3,709 kms. of roads were constructed against the target
of 2,399 kms. About 42,000 metres of bridges and culverts were either constructed or
23
rehabilitated against the target of 30,000 metres. Against the target of development of 316
growth centres, 277 were developed through construction of sheds, internal roads, trading
areas, etc. In the course of implementation of infrastructure programmes, LGED generated
over 112.00 million person-days of seasonal employment which was 84 per cent of the target.
1.7.5 Rural Development sub-sector continued its focus on poverty alleviation through
production and employment programmes (PEP) and development of physical infrastructures
along with irrigated agriculture. Under the PEP, 0.39 million persons were targeted to be
employed by the end of 1996/97 through self-employment of the members of the co-
operatives, and formal and informal groups formed for self-employment. Under the
infrastructure programme, 2,856 kms of pucca roads and 20,800 metres of bridges and
culverts were to be constructed. Apart from these, 163 growth centres were planned to be
developed.
1.8 Industry
1.8.1 Review of past performance: Industries sector plays a pivotal role for accelerated
economic growth as well as productive employment generation. As the agricultural sector is
constrained by land and under- employment situation resulting in a relatively low output -
labour ratio, industry will have to become the engine of development. A breakthrough in
industrial development is also called for to achieve the desired structural change in the
economy in order to reduce its dependence on nature.
1.8.2 The growth rate of the manufacturing sector fluctuated largely during the past Plan
periods. The annual average growth rates of the manufacturing sector during the First Plan,
the Two Year Plan, the Second Plan and the Third Plan were 7.35, 6.21, 0.93 and 4.22 per
cent respectively.
1.8.3 Development policies and programmes in the initial years after independence
concentrated on repairs, rehabilitation and consolidation to restore the sector at the pre-
independence level with some new investments in priority areas. The First Plan mainly aimed
at better utilisation of the existing capital stock. These yielded good results. In both the
Second and Third Plans, the primary objectives of industrialisation were to support the
agricultural sector, meet basic needs of people and strengthen the balance of payments
position.
1.8.4 With the introduction of the New Industrial Policy (NIP) of 1982 and the Revised
Industrial Policy (RIP) of 1986, a number of changes and improvements were made in various
procedures and incentive structures to promote private investment in industry. As a result,
non-traditional export industries, viz. ready-made garments, frozen food, etc. became
important sources of industrial growth. Export earnings from manufacturing rose from a
level of US$ 617.81 million in 1984/85 to US$ 1.2 billion in 1989/90. The share of export of
non-traditional items increased from 35.8 per cent in 1984/85 to 67.74 per cent in 1989/90.
1.8.5 During the Third Plan, a total of 39 public enterprises were disinvested and transferred
to the private sector in order to create more confidence among the private entrepreneurs about
the industrial policy and to boost up private investment. However, the payment of purchase
price instalments by the privatised enterprises has been very poor.
1.8.6 Performance during Fourth Plan: During the Fourth Plan period, the annual growth
rate of industry was 7.05 per cent. This was below the targeted growth rate of 9.02 per cent.
During this period, the industrial sector provided employment to 1.32 million persons against
the benchmark of 2.52 million persons. The private sector largely provided the new
24
employment opportunities. During the Plan period, production of jute goods, fertiliser,
cement, paper and newsprint and sugar was more or less close to their respective targets. Due
to various reasons like mismanagement, obsolete machinery, lack of fund and proper
planning, industrial unrest, power failure, etc. growth in this sector was impeded. In current
prices, foreign exchange earnings from major industrial products increased continuously
though slowly. During the Plan period, the aggregate level of private investment was about
Tk.99 billion against the public sector investment of Tk.5.03 billion at 1989/90 prices. Most
of the public corporations of this sector incurred losses during the Plan period; hence, the
government emphasised the policy of privatisation.
1.8.7 Reforms and privatisation: A number of reform measures in the industrial, financial
and trade sectors were undertaken during the Plan period in pursuit of a more open and
competitive economy. In the industrial sector, the reform measures may be categorised as
under :
a. Reorganisation of public sector
b. Privatisation
c. Liberalisation
1.8.8 In order to improve operational efficiency and economic viability of the state owned
enterprises (SOE), a number of measures were undertaken. The issue of conversion of
enterprises into public limited companies and holding companies was a very widely discussed
subject. However, the policy could not be implemented. The pace of other reform measures
including performance evaluation of the corporations against set targets, operation of the
enterprises in accordance with company laws, induction of experienced personnel in the
board of directors, etc., were either slow or at a stand-still.
1.8.9 There was a stiff resistance particularly from the workers against privatisation. There
was also no clear policy as to whether the losing enterprises or the profitable ones would
come first for privatisation. Decision was taken to privatise 22 jute mills and 20 textile mills.
So far, one jute mill and 3 textile mills have been privatised and 3 units of the Chemical
Industries Corporation were sold to the private sector.
1.8.10 Jute: The jute industry is the most important sub-sector of the economy of
Bangladesh. But due to unfavourable international demand, the industry has been incurring
losses facing severe liquidity crisis. The Fourth Plan set the production target of jute goods at
715 thousand mt — 410 thousand mt in the public sector and 305 thousand mt in the private
sector in the terminal year of the Plan. Bangladesh Jute Mills Corporation (BJMC) produced
272 thousand mt of jute goods and the private sector produced 150 thousand mt.
1.8.11 A total of 154,933 persons were employed by BJMC in 1989/90. The size of
manpower was reduced to 121,338 persons at the end of the Fourth Plan, following
government policy for reduction of manpower in public enterprises. The total export earnings
of BJMC during the Fourth Plan were Tk.26.28 billion from exports of 1,285 thousand mt of
jute goods. On the other hand, member mills of the Bangladesh Jute Mills Association
(BJMA) exported about 614 thousand mt of jute goods.
1.8.12 Textiles: The main focus of the textile sector during the Fourth Plan period was on
generation of employment, private investment, export, rationalisation of tariffs, providing
monetary and fiscal incentives, product diversification and horizontal market expansion, etc.
Production targets were 204 million kg. of yarn and 1.93 billion meters of cloth. Actual
production during 1994/95 was 96.50 million kg. of yarn and 1.04 billion metres of cloth.
25
1.8.13 During the Fourth Plan the Ministry of Textiles and its agencies focused their
programmes on balancing, modernisation, replacement and expansion of the selected old
mills. Private investment was given preference in the field of spinning, weaving, knitting,
dyeing and finishing and garments making.
1.8.14 The target set for employment generation in the textile sector was 1.79 million
numbers. As against this target, only 0.80 million people were employed. High prices of
inputs, stiff external competition in yarn and fabric markets and weak institutional back-up
were responsible for the slow response of the textile sector excluding garments. As a result,
textile sub-sector was not able to generate the targeted employment.
1.8.15 Chemical industries: The most important entities of this industrial sector are the
urea factories of the Bangladesh Chemical Industries Corporation (BCIC). Out of such six
factories, five are in the public sector. During the Fourth Plan, fertiliser output grew at an
annual rate of 5.75 per cent and the overall growth of chemical industries including
pharmaceuticals was 9.92 per cent. During the Plan period, the Corporation was however
financially strained due to official regulation of their product prices such as for urea and
newsprint.
1.8.16 Small and cottage industries (SCI): Promotion of small, cottage and rural industries
was given high priority during the Fourth Plan period. The public sector programmes of this
sub-sector were focused on promotional measures like development of industrial estates,
training, extension and research, market promotion, supply of institutional credit, equity
support, etc.
1.8.17 In order to achieve the objectives and targets set forth in the Plan, a comprehensive
programme both for the public and private sectors was undertaken with an allocation of
Tk.2.54 billion to the public sector and Tk.13.6 billion to the private sector. Allocation was
subsequently revised to Tk.2.02 billion to the public sector and Tk.17.55 billion to the private
sector.
1.8.18 The public sector spent Tk.1,391.7 million. Estimated private investments in small
and cottage industries during the Plan period were Tk.17.91 billion and Tk.582.2 million
respectively. During the Fourth Plan period 47,982 units of small and cottage industries were
established against the target of 50,723 units.
1.8.19 At the end of the Plan, actual contribution of the SCI sector to GDP was 5 per cent
against a target of 7.5 per cent. Target for employment generation was 0.4 million against
which about 0.30 million employment opportunities were created.
1.9 Power and Gas
1.9.1 The Fourth Plan had an investment allocation of Tk.64.5 billion at 1989/90 prices for
the power sector. This allocation was inadequate compared to the production targets. Due to
the shortage of both local and external resources the Plan allocation as well as Plan targets
had to be revised downward. The revised allocation for the power sub-sector was Tk.45.36
billion at 1989/90 prices against which Tk.67.48 billion was spent at current prices. Major
physical targets as well as achievements during the Plan period are shown in Table 1.17.
26
Table 1.17
Targets and Achievements of Power Sector During Fourth Plan
Agency Particulars 1989/90 1994/95
(Benchmark) (Terminal Year)
Target Achievement
New Cumulative
addition position
1 2 3 4 5 6
BPDB Installed capacity (MW) 2,352 2,878 581 2,908*
Capabilities (MW) 1,834 2,743 581 2,133**
Transmission line (km) 230 KV, 2,652 3,151 507 3,159
132 KV, and 66 KV (including
DESA)
Grid Substation capacity (MVA) 4,750 2,621 2,369 7,119
230 KV, 132 KV and 66 KV
Distribution line (km) 33 KV and below 33,441 36,734 1,252 34,693
(excluding DESA)
Consumer connection (No.) 850,438 1050,000 225,296 1075,734
REB Distribution line (km) 35,333 64,333 29,853 65,186
Electrified village (No.) 8,545 14,530 7,939 16,484
Consumer connection (No.) 495,565 978,565 679,006 1174,571
DESA Transmission line (km) 132 KV 403 - 45 448
Distribution line (km) 3,465 6,765 1,995 5,460
Consumer connection (No.) 324,134 570,000 192,326 516,460
Note: * 2352 MW+581 MW new - 25 MW retired/standby = 2908 MW
** 1834 MW+581 MW new - 11 MW retired - 271 MW derated/decrease for maintenance and
rehabilitation = 2133 MW
1.9.2 The forecast peak demand of 2,485 MWs for the terminal year of the Fourth Plan
could not be met due to shortage of available generation capacity. The peak demand served by
the end of the Plan period was 1,970 MWs. This gave an annual growth of 4.80 per cent. The
targeted generation in the Plan period was 55,735 GWh and achievement was 46,962 GWh.
As a result, there followed load shedding.
1.9.3 The system loss in BPDB, REB and DESA was 41.11 per cent, 16.27 per cent and
35.55 per cent respectively in the first year (1990/91) of the Fourth Plan. The combined
system loss envisaged in the Fourth Plan was 25 per cent. To reduce the system loss, some
measures were taken such as creation of DESA and introduction of incentive/punishment
scheme to improve overall performance as well as introduction of a new commercial
operation system.
1.9.4 During the Fourth Plan period, total ADP allocation for Bangladesh Oil, Gas and
Mineral Corporation was Tk.23.98 billion. The actual utilisation against the financial target
was Tk.15.32 billion. Petrobangla produced 247 BCF of natural gas in 1994/95 as against the
target of producing 275 BCF but consumer connections (631,710 customers) exceeded the
Fourth Plan target. BOGMC continued its exploration, appraisal, seismic survey activities,
etc., as per their programmes.
1.10 Transport and Communication
1.10.1 Transport and communication play a vital role in facilitating the growth of the
economy as they provide the essential services for movement of people and goods and help
exchange business information.
1.10.2 Transport : During the First Plan, rehabilitation was the main focus of the transport
sector programme to regain the pre-liberation operational efficiency as well as to meet the
rising traffic demand of the economy. Tk.5.28 billion was allocated for this sector during the
27
Plan period. Major physical achievements were reconstruction and rehabilitation of war-
damaged bridges and roads and construction of 8 new major road bridges, pavement of about
500 miles of new roads, construction of two new airports (Dhaka International Airport and
Saidpur Airport), reconstruction of 6 old jetties of the Chittagong sea port, procurement of
locomotives, coaches and wagons for the Bangladesh Railways and procurement of over 500
new buses by the Bangladesh Road Transport Corporation to augment urban transport.
1.10.3 Due to shortage of funds, a large number of on-going projects spilled over to the
Two Year Plan (TYP) and the major objective of the TYP was to complete those on-going
projects.
1.10.4 During the Second Plan period, the allocation to the transport sector was Tk.12.86
billion (1980 prices). In Railway sub-sector, 684 km of tracks were renewed. Railways have
been persistently incurring losses since liberation except in the years 1973/74, 1975/76 and
1978/79, which affected maintenance programme adversely as well as efficiency. The most
important development in the road sub-sector was the construction of Khulna-Mongla Road
and upgrading of the Dhaka-Chittagong and Dhaka-Aricha Road. Out of 19 war-damaged
bridges, 11 were rehabilitated.
1.10.5 During the Third Plan period, a total of Tk.30.02 billion was allocated to the
transport sector (at 1984/85 prices). The share of various sub-sectors were: Railway Tk.8.36
billion (27.85%); roads Tk.11.85 billion (39.48%); water transport Tk.5.71 billion (21.65%)
and air transport Tk.2.10 billion (6.99%). The salient feature of the road sector programme
was undertaking the Bangabandhu Bridge. Some 744 km of paved road and 10,249 metres of
bridges and culverts were constructed.
1.10.6 Under the Fourth Plan, the total allocation to the transport sector was Tk.63.73 billion
(including the Bangabandhu Bridge). An allocation of Tk.10.0 billion in 1989-90 prices was
earmarked for the Bangabandhu Bridge. Some 4,650 km of paved roads and 29,000 metres of
bridges and culverts were constructed/reconstructed. Most importantly, 3 bridges on major
rivers were completed. Under Railway sub-sector, 693 km Metre Gauge (MG) and 287 km
Broad Gauge (BG) railway track were rehabilitated, 84 Narrow Gauge (NG) and 24 BG
bridges were completed and a new railway station was constructed at Tarakandi in 1992 for
transportation of fertiliser from the Jamuna Fertiliser Factory. A modern workshop for heavy
repair and major overhauling services with an annual target of 120 locomotives was set up at
Parbatipur in 1992. During the Plan period, 21 BG passenger carriages, 3 (2 MG and 1 BG)
cranes and 9 MG locomotives were procured.
1.10.7 In the Fourth Plan period, the Civil Aviation Authority of Bangladesh took up projects
for strengthening of runways, extension of international passenger terminal, construction of
cargo complex, installation of boarding bridge and construction and development of airports
and related facilities.
1.10.8 The sectoral allocation during 1995/96 was Tk.21.53 billion. Against this allocation,
utilisation during this year was Tk.20.10 billion. In 1996/97, allocation was Tk.23.32 billion,
against which utilisation up to January 1997 was Tk.9.68 billion.
1.10.9 Communication: During the First Plan, the total allocation for the communication
sector was Tk.1.18 billion out of which Tk.1.07 billion was utilised. The targets could not be
achieved due to fund shortages.
28
1.10.10 During the Two Year Plan period, the total allocation for the communication sub-
sector was Tk.1.3 billion and the expenditure was Tk 940 million. The task of the Two Year
Plan was mainly to complete the unfinished works of the First Plan.
1.10.11 During the Second Plan, the allocation for this sector was Tk.3.41 billion but the
actual expenditure was Tk.3.47 billion. A sum of Tk.390 million was provided for the Thanas
and Chittagong Hill Tracts development.
1.10.12 The total allocation during the Third Plan period was Tk.3.88 billion and the actual
total expenditure was Tk.6.38 billion. During the period, 59,190 telephone lines were
installed against the target of 75,000 lines. Automatic telephone exchanges were established
in 28 important Thana towns as against the target of 42 exchanges. In the post-office sub-
sector, Tk.370 million was spent against the allocation of Tk.380 million. Three hundred and
fifty eight new post-offices were set up against the target of 500.
1.10.13 The total allocation for the Fourth Plan period was Tk.6.52 billion of which Tk.12.13
billion was utilised. During the Plan period, the objectives of the communication sector were
expansion of services including that in the rural areas and modernisation of the
telecommunication system. A total of 72,507 telephone lines against the target of 103,658
was installed. But the services expanded mainly in the urban areas although 4,706 manual
lines against the target of 2,758 were installed in the rural areas.
1.10.14 The sectoral allocation during 1995/96 was Tk.3.52 billion, against which utilisation
was Tk.2.90 billion. In 1996/97, the allocation was Tk.2.25 billion; against this allocation
utilisation up to January 1997 was about Tk.1.05 billion.
1.11 Physical Planning Water Supply and Housing
1.11.1 In order to provide different services to the growing urban population an amount of
Tk. 2.72 billion was allocated for the physical infrastructures during the First Plan, out of
which Tk. 2.7 billion was spent. During the Two Year Plan, the amount allocated was Tk.2.5
billion against which Tk.2.41 billion was spent. The expenditure was mainly for construction
of public servants housing, office buildings, etc. However, about 1,50,000 squatters were
relocated; 3,00,000 shallow drinking tube-wells were sunk and 8,456 housing units and 2000
plots were developed till 1979/80.
1.11.2 During the Second Plan, Tk.8.2 billion was allocated against which Tk.7.39 billion
was utilised. In addition, Tk.3.19 billion was spent for development of infrastructure facilities
like construction of offices and residential buildings at the thana centres for supporting
administrative reform.
1.11.3 Third Plan allocation for this sector was Tk.5.5 billion. Actual allocation through
ADPs was Tk.9.27 billion at current prices and the amount spent was Tk.8.6 billion. In
addition, Tk.6.96 billion was provided for the development of Zilla and Thana infrastructure
from the bloc allocation. The entire amount was spent.
1.11.4 An amount of Tk.18.42 billion (at 1989/90 prices) was allocated in the Fourth Plan,
but Tk.20.58 billion (at current prices) was allocated through ADPs and Tk. 20.94 billion (at
current prices) was spent. Land Use Master Plan for 398 thanas and 60 district towns were
completed. Core house for 1000 squatter families was provided and 5000 service plots in
Dhaka and 4100 in Chittagong were developed. In addition, 3000 government quarters and 44
circuit houses in 44 newly created districts and 3000 quarters in Dhaka were constructed.
Installation of water supply and sanitation facilities were taken up in different thanas.
Sanitation coverage in rural Bangladesh went up to 36 per cent. Against the target of 105
29
MGD water production in the district towns, the achievement was 65 MGD. In case of rural
water supply, the coverage of person per tubewell was improved to 107 in 1995 against 125
in 1990.
1.12 Education
1.12.1 Education is one of the basic needs for developing human capabilities. In Bangladesh,
educational development was not adequate in the past to meet this human need. In 1981, only
19.70 per cent of the population was counted as literate against 17.00 per cent in 1961. The
gap of literacy rate between the urban and rural areas was also striking - 35 per cent in urban
and 17 per cent in rural areas in 1981. Gender difference in attaining literacy also was no less
striking. The female literacy rate was 13.20 per cent in 1981 while that among men was 26
per cent.
1.12.2 Past performance: The Plan allocation for education during the First Plan and the
Two Year Plan (TYP) periods together was Tk.4.54 billion but because of resource shortfall,
allocation was later on reduced to Tk.2.59 billion.
1.12.3 The Second Plan accorded top-most priority to the introduction of the Universal
Primary Education (UPE) programme. The outcome was not satisfactory. Against a target of
13 million primary enrolment, actual achievement was 8.92 million. This was mainly due to
the inability to create adequate physical facilities. The Mass Education Programme also
suffered due to lack of motivation as well as weak supervision. Only 0.7 million people in the
age group 10-45 could be made literate while the target was 4.0 million. Community schools
were run to impart vocational and technical training to the adult population.
1.12.4 During the Third Plan, the major objective of the primary education sub-sector was to
enrol 11.60 million school age children by 1990. Against an estimated primary age-group
population of 14.9 million in June, 1990, schools enrolled 80.54 per cent compared with 52
per cent in June, 1985. A total of 1000 non-government primary schools were nationalised to
add to the 36,881 government primary schools existing upto June, 1985. The floods of 1987
and 1988 caused serious damage to the educational institutions, particularly in rural areas. In
1987-90, two major rehabilitation programmes were implemented covering about 1,430
educational institutions. The number of secondary education institutions increased to 10,448
in 1990 from 9,440 in 1985. The enrolment in schools also increased from 2,583,311 in 1985
to 2,993,730 in 1990. In the course of the Third Plan, 13 new departments/institutes were
established in different universities of the country with an added enrolment of 2,253. Two
new universities, one each at Sylhet and Khulna, were also established to provide higher
education.
1.12.5 Primary and mass education: The Fourth Plan objectives for expanding primary
and mass education were to introduce compulsory primary education, reduce mass illiteracy ,
ensure optimum use of existing facilities, maintain regional balance in respect of the growth
of educational facilities, ensure enhanced participation of women and inculcate ethical values
in the society.
1.12.6 The major strategy in the field of primary education was the introduction of
compulsory primary education (CPE). In order to provide effective administrative and policy
support to primary and mass education, the Primary and Mass Education Division started
operation in September 1992. The enrolment in primary schools increased from around 12.0
million in 1990 to 17.3 million in 1995. Completion rate of primary education cycle increased
from 41 per cent in 1991 to 60 per cent in 1995. Food for Education was an important
programme to increase enrolment and reduce drop-out among the poor children.
30
1.12.7 Two major projects in the primary education sub-sector, namely, 'Development of
Primary Education in Dhaka, Rajshahi and Khulna Divisions' and 'Development of Primary
Education in Chittagong Division' were taken up. Under these two projects, a total of 1,134
low cost schools were constructed, 5,082 government primary schools were reconstructed and
3,932 schools were repaired, 39 District Primary Education Office (DPEO) and 52 Primary
Teachers Training Institutes (PTI) were developed. Besides, under the flood rehabilitation
projects, 1,620 flood-affected government primary schools were reconstructed and 4,152
schools were repaired during 1991-95. Under the cyclone rehabilitation projects,
reconstruction work of 897 and repair work of 1,695 government primary schools were
completed till June 1995. In addition 20 government primary schools in flood-free areas were
completed under the Government Primary School Rehabilitation Project during the Plan
period.
1.12.8 In order to meet the growing demand for universalisation of primary education, a
development programme for the reconstruction of 7,832 and repair of 998 registered non-
government primary schools was under implementation with domestic resources. Up to June
1995, reconstruction of 7,232 and repair of 580 registered non-government primary schools
were completed while the work on 718 registered schools remained at various stages of
development. Besides, 689 government primary schools were reconstructed and 1,518
primary schools were repaired.
1.12.9 Due to the introduction of CPE, social mobilisation programmes and 'Food for
Education Programme' coupled with infrastructural development and improvement of school
management and supervision system, the enrolment rate at the primary level increased to 92
per cent (17.3 million) in 1995 while the rate was 70 per cent (12.1 million) in 1990.
Participation of girl students at all levels increased. The girls' enrolment at the primary and
secondary levels increased particularly due to the introduction of free education for girls up to
grade 10 and provision of stipends for girls in the rural areas. In primary education, the
number of girl students increased from 5.4 million to 8.2 million while in the secondary level,
the number increased from 1.05 million to 2.40 million . The percentage of female teachers
increased from 21 per cent in 1990 to 27 per cent in 1995 as a result of the amendment of the
recruitment rule requiring 60 per cent of the posts of the primary school teachers to be filled
up with the female teachers. Under the mass/non-formal education programme, projects were
undertaken for 1.6 million targeted beneficiaries.
1.12.10 Secondary and higher education: The government had taken up expansion
programmes at the secondary and higher secondary levels in order to accommodate
increased number of students. As such, the allocation for educational programmes through
ADPs also increased to Tk.14.45 billion which was 31 per cent higher than the Plan
allocation. Enrolment at the secondary level increased from around 3.0 million in 1990 to
4.4 million in 1995 and that at the college level from 0.9 million to 1.46 million. In technical
education, enrolment nominally increased from 6,685 to 7,255. Though there had been a
quantitative expansion in different areas of secondary and higher education, qualitative
improvement of education could not reach a satisfactory level.
1.12.11 Enrolment at the university level increased from 34,902 in 1990 to 60,000 in 1995.
An amount of Tk. 2.29 billion was spent mostly for civil works in 11 public universities, but
important programmes such as curricula development/reform, modernisation of laboratories/
equipment, training of teachers, development of libraries etc., fell short of their targets.
However,a number of private universities were permitted to start their activities.
31
1.13.6 In 1995/96, a total of 44 projects spilled over from the Fourth Plan. The number of
projects in 1996/97 stood at 46 of which 35 projects will spill over to the Fifth Plan. During
1995-97, allocation was Tk.9.69 billion (at current prices) and the estimated expenditure was
Tk.8.33 billion (at current prices).
32
1.14 Health
1.14.1 Health is one of the basic requirements to improve the quality of life. Since
Independence, the government has been consistently attempting to formulate policies for
providing essential/minimum health care to all, particularly to the underprivileged.
1.14.2 During the Second Plan, the government adopted the goal of "health for all by 2000
AD". At the beginning of the Plan, only 30 percent of the population was covered by
essential health care services. However, some major epidemics and endemic diseases were
eradicated (e.g., small pox) or were virtually brought under control (e.g. cholera). The Second
Plan emphasised the development of health infrastructures in rural areas. A drug policy was
adopted in 1982 to make drug supply cheaper.
1.14.3 Health sector programme in the Third Plan was based essentially on Primary Health
Care (PHC) for providing a minimal level of health care to all. In order to achieve this, 374
Thana Health Complexes (THC) against the target of 397 were made functional. To increase
availability of health facilities the number of hospital beds in the country were increased to
34,488 (24,501 in the public sector) giving a bed-population ratio of 1:3200. Under the
immunisation programme, the coverage achieved was 75 per cent for BCG, 68 per cent for
DPT, 50 per cent for measles, 68 per cent for polio and 45 per cent for TT (pregnancy).
1.14.4 In the absence of a comprehensive national health policy, the development
programmes of the health sector during the Fourth Plan was guided by the policies pursued in
the previous Five Year Plans. The review of the Fourth Plan revealed both progress and
shortfalls in achievements compared to the targets. Infant mortality rate per thousand live
births declined from 94 in 1990 to 78 in 1995; the maternal mortality rate declined from 4.7
in 1992 to 4.5 in 1995 and life expectancy at birth increased from 56.1 in 1991 to 58 years in
1995. There were however shortfalls in achievements compared to the targets in
immunisation coverage, primary health care, delivery services by trained medical persons,
ante-natal care, development and deployment of trained manpower, infrastructure building
construction (Thana Health Complex, FWC), etc.
1.14.5 During the Fourth Plan, allocation for the health sector was Tk. 10.6 billion. Against
this allocation, a total of Tk.12.10 billion (at 1989/90 prices) was made available through the
ADPs of which Tk.9.83 billion was utilised .
1.14.6 On completion of the Fourth Plan, 76 projects spilled over to 1995/96 and the major
programmes continued with an allocation of Tk.4.17 billion. The amount spent during the
year was Tk.2.76 billion. In 1996/97, the allocation was Tk.5.85 billion and the expenditure
was Tk.5.0 billion.
1.15 Sports and Culture
1.15.1 Sports: Sports is considered as one of the major elements needed for developing sense
of discipline, good physical and mental health and character of the citizens.
1.15.2 The First Plan laid the foundation for development of essential elements of physical
education. During the Plan period, a number of development projects were undertaken mostly
for repair and renovation of existing sports facilities to make them functional and creation of
new physical facilities in the country. During the Second Plan some measures were adopted
for qualitative improvement as well as for quantitative expansion of sport facilities. During
this period, 14 gymnasium-cum - coaching centres at District Headquarters and a National
Tennis Complex at Dhaka were built. In addition 33 sub-divisional stadia were made
33
functional and the construction of stadia at Chittagong, Rajshahi and Khulna Divisional
Headquarters and Bangladesh Krira Shikkha Protisthan (BKSP) was started.
1.15.3 During the Third Plan, construction of 6 gymnasium-cum-coaching centres at District
Headquarters, National Stadium-2 with flood light and shifting of 7 clubs from National
Stadium-1 area to other places were completed. In addition, two physical colleges at Dhaka
and Rajshahi were completed. Bangladesh Krira Shikha Protisthan (BKSP) started its krira
college.
1.15.4 During the Fourth Plan, an allocation of Tk.760.0 million was made for this sub-sector
and measures were taken for further qualitative improvement and quantitative development of
sports and games. Projects taken included further development of 52 district stadia,
construction of one International Standard Swimming Pool and Indoor Stadium, vertical
extension of Hockey Stadium with synthetic turf, laying of synthetic athletic tracks in
National Stadium-2, modernisation of Gulshan shooting range in Dhaka and development of
tennis complexes in Dhaka and Rajshahi. During the Plan period, the third phase of
Bangladesh Krira Shikkha Prothisthan (BKSP) was completed at a cost of Tk.150.0 million.
The most important event was the 6th SAF games organised successfully in Dhaka during this
Plan period.
1.15.5 During 1995-97, a total of 21 projects were under implementation of which 13
projects spilled over from the Fourth Plan and an amount of Tk.192.31 million was spent upto
June 1996. In 1996/97, the total number of projects included were 21 and the allocation
during the period was Tk.373.90 million.
1.15.6 Culture: Cultural development is one of the indicators of overall development of a
nation. Development programmes for this sub-sector were first initiated from the period of
the Second Plan. During that period, some infrastructure facilities were developed and some
publications of Bengali text books for higher education were made. Besides, research work on
Bengali language and literature was emphasised. During the Third Plan period, some more
infrastructural facilities were provided.
1.15.7 An amount of Tk.700.0 million was allocated for this sub-sector during the Fourth
Plan period and Tk. 533.11 million was utilised. Programmes emphasised: (a) research and
publication on Bangla language and literature, and use of Bangla for higher education, (b)
library development; (c) promotion of fine and performing arts; and (d) conservation,
preservation and presentation of folklore, history and heritage, etc.
1.15.8 During 1995-97 an amount of Tk.347 million was allocated out of which Tk.298.70
million was spent upto June, 1997. During the period 1995-97, major programmes of the
Fourth Five Year Plan continued and a total of 5 projects were completed.
1.16 Social Welfare Women Affairs and Youth Development
1.16.1 Social welfare: Social service programmes assist and empower socio-economically
disadvantaged people like the poor, the landless, the unemployed, children in especially
difficult circumstances, the disabled and distressed people and the vagrants and orphans.
Attempts were made during the First Plan to give due emphasis on the role of the social
welfare sector in the overall socio-economic development of the country and to adopt
programmes for the benefit of those who were unable to find a place for themselves in the
society. Forty rural thanas were covered under rural community development programmes to
make the disadvantaged groups and the landless people more productive through skill training
and production-oriented programmes. Under the urban community development programmes,
34
68 centres were established to render vocational training to slum dwellers. During the First
Plan period, Tk.122.8 million was allocated which was almost fully utilised. During the Two
Year Plan, an allocation of Tk.136.0 million was made to complete the on-going projects
against which Tk.112.98 million was utilised. During the Second Plan, an amount of
Tk.590.0 million was allocated and Tk.391.0 million was utilised. During this Plan period, a
rural community development programme was undertaken with the focus on disadvantaged
groups including women for skill training and education. The programme covered 104 thanas
and established 196 community centres.
1.16.2 A total of Tk. 750.0 million was allocated for the social welfare programmes in the
Third Plan. The expenditure was Tk. 630.0 million. The programmes undertaken during the
Third Plan period emphasised provision of institutional services for the rehabilitation of the
orphans and the physically handicapped. A total of 18,000 handicapped persons and 12,000
orphans were provided with institutional services during the Plan period.
1.16.3 In the social welfare sector, the major theme of the Fourth Plan was poverty alleviation
and human resources development. A total of Tk.1.32 billion was allocated through ADPs to
the social welfare programmes during the Plan period and the expenditure was Tk.1.15
billion. The most important project of social welfare sector was "Rural Social Service" which
included group organisation, skill development training, income and employment generation
through various financial support in the form of interest free loans, promotion of self-
supporting funds, motivational programmes for family development and population planning,
social forestry, social education, etc. Approximately, 1.5 million people benefited as a result.
In many urban areas, a programme for welfare of children in specially difficult circumstances
was initiated through which about 15,000 children were benefited. Under institutional
services, projects covered the welfare of 4,000 orphans, 400 disabled, 150 juvenile
delinquents, 2,700 vagrants and destitutes. Joint programmes with NGOs benefited about 1
million distressed and disabled people.
1.16.4 During 1995-97, a total of 30 projects including 13 spillover projects were financed
and an amount of Tk.973.0 million was allocated. The expenditure during the period was
Tk.899.54 million. During the period of 1995-97, implementation of major programmes of
the Fourth Plan continued.
1.16.5 Women and children affairs: During the First Plan, a programme, entitled
"Rehabilitation of War Affected Destitute Women and Children" was undertaken under the
social welfare sector . In the Two Year Plan, women's development received special priority
and Tk.105.6 million was allocated. The Second Plan emphasised training and creation of
employment opportunities for women. An amount of Tk.310.0 million was allocated.
1.16.6 During the Third Plan, the programmes on women's affairs aimed at promoting
activities for overall development of women and children. To increase female employment in
the public and private sectors, a number of measures were taken by the government which
included reservation of 15 per cent jobs for women in the public sector and raising the age
limit for entry into public service up to 30 years. Under the women's affairs sub-sector,
around 60,000 women were trained in different vocational skills and other human resources
development activities; about 0.2 million women were given non-formal education and
20,000 women were provided with credit facilities for self-employment.
1.16.7 To help increase women's participation in development activities and to realise the
ultimate goal of equality, development and peace of the UN Decade the Fourth Plan
attempted to integrate women's development into the macro framework for multi-sectoral
35
1.16.14 During 1995-97, a total of 10 projects were included in the ADP of which 5 projects
spilled over from the Fourth Five Year Plan and an amount of Tk.907.79 million was spent
upto June,1997 at current prices against an allocation of TK.1.34 billion.
1.17 Mass Media
1.17.1 A total of Tk.500.00 million was allocated in the Third Plan of which an amount of
Tk.342.4 million was spent during the Plan period. A project entitled "Establishment of 3
Low Power Transmitters" was undertaken to establish 3 radio stations at Comilla, Rangpur
and Thakurgaon. The project "Establishment of 100 kw Transmitter in the Northern Zone,
Bogra" was commissioned during this period. Besides, the project entitled "Further
Development of BTV including construction of office building/ Garrage-cum-Workshop"
was completed.
1.17.2 During the Fourth Plan, an amount of Tk.1230 million was allocated for the sub-
sector and 21 projects were undertaken. The amount spent was Tk.1.36 billion at current
prices. For various reasons, only two projects of Bangladesh Betar could be completed.
1.17.3 In 1995-97, a total of 29 projects were included in the ADP of which 13 projects were
spilled-over from the Fourth Plan. The expenditure during the period was Tk.506.0 million at
current prices. During the period 1995-97, major programmes of the Fourth Five Year Plan
continued and only 5 projects were completed.
1.18 Science and Technology
1.18.1 Breakthrough in science and technology is the key to rapid economic development in
modern world. As such, the government has consistently tried to formulate appropriate
science and technology related policies. One of the basic elements of these policies is to
encourage research and development. Main institutional facilities were built up during the
Second Plan for these purposes, while the Third Plan focused on research activities.
1.18.2 During the Fourth Plan period, an amount of Tk.540 million was allocated for this
sub-sector out of which Tk.518.70 million was spent. Bangladesh Atomic Energy
Commission (BAEC) established 4 Nuclear Medicine Centres (NMC) at Khulna,
Mymensingh, Rangpur and Barisal. It also continued its research activities in different fields
like food irradiation and preservation, isotope production, etc. The other important project on
which BAEC started work was "Renovation of Beach Sand Exploitation Centre at Cox's
Bazar and Balancing, Modernisation, Rehabilitation and Extension of Pilot Plant". Research
activities carried out by the Bangladesh Council of Scientific and Industrial Research
(BCSIR) during the period were on fuel, herbal medicine, foodgrains, etc.
1.18.3 During the Fourth Plan period, Bangladesh Computer Council (BCC) provided
computers to one hundred secondary schools for conducting training on computer.
1.18.4 During 1995/96, an allocation of Tk.275.0 million was made available for 33 projects
of which 25 were spill over from the Fourth Plan. A total of 4 projects were completed and
the expenditure during the period was Tk.159.50 million. In 1996/97, an allocation of
Tk.380.20 million was made available for 34 projects.
1.19 Labour and Manpower
1.19.1 Development of skill and its optimum utilisation constitute one of the basic elements
of economic growth and income generation. Increasing productive employment is an
important goal of development. However, in the process of growth, such opportunities will
increasingly depend on both deepening and widening of human skills.
37
1.19.2 Prior to the First Plan, Bangladesh had only a small institutional network consisting
of one Industrial Relations Institute (IRI), 18 Labour Welfare Centres, 5 Employment
Exchanges, 4 Vocational Guidance and Youth Employment Units, one Management
Development Centre and 5 Technical Training Centres. These facilities and institutional
arrangements were equipped, managed and run under severe constraints of both financial and
human resources. Against this background, the First Plan allocated Tk.276.90 million with
the objectives of expanding facilities for training engineering craftsmen, raising the volume of
employment, enhancing labour welfare facilities and cultivating healthy labour relations.
Subsequently, due to financial constraints, the allocation was reduced to Tk.120.00 million in
the Hard-core Programme and still further through the revised ADPs.
1.19.3 As financial performances had severe shortfall, the physical progress also remained
unsatisfactory. During the Second Plan, Tk.1.12 billion was allocated for strengthening the
institutional network for skill development, expansion of the institutional infrastructure for
overseas as well as in-country employment promotion including self-employment,
enhancement of labour welfare, improvement of industrial relations and manpower research
and evaluation. During the Third Plan, priority was given to training programmes for skill
development through the institutional network of 12 Technical Training Centres (TTC)
including the Bangladesh Institute of Marine Technology (BIMT). By the end of the Third
Plan, the country had a network of 21 District Employment and Manpower Offices (DEMO)
to operate as facility centres for promotion of employment both at home and abroad.
1.19.4 Skill development training, promotion of self-employment and foreign employment,
sound labour/industrial relations, labour welfare and maintenance of industrial peace were the
major activities in the labour and manpower sector during the Fourth Plan period.
1.19.5 During Fourth Plan, BMET imparted institutional training to 14,396 persons,
apprenticeship training to 1,731 persons and language training to 479 nurses. During the same
period, BMET, under its employment services programme, provided self-employment
opportunities to 9,450 persons and foreign employment to 911,836 persons. Department of
Labour took programmes to promote sound industrial relations and labour welfare and to
maintain industrial peace in order to attract foreign and domestic private investment.
1.19.6 During 1995/96, an allocation of Tk.74.60 million was made to 16 projects of which
10 were spill-over projects from the Fourth Plan. The expenditure during the year was Tk.
50.31 million, and only 2 projects were completed. In 1996/97, a total of 15 projects were
included in ADP with an allocation of Tk.90.0 million. The estimated expenditure during the
year was Tk.71.10 million approximately.
1.20 Public Administration
1.20.1 As a developing country Bangladesh has given serious attention to rationalise its
administrative organisations, financial and personnel systems and rules and procedures for
achieving efficiency and transparency in public service commensurate with the country's
socio-political and economic aspirations. In the First Plan, public administration sub-sector
had a modest allocation of Tk.131.20 million. Out of the above allocation, only an amount of
Tk.40.60 million was spent. In the Two Year Plan an allocation of Tk.111.20 million was
made of which Tk.89.80 million was utilised. Sectoral programmes during the period
concentrated mostly on training, research and related activities.
1.20.2 The Second Plan envisaged a much wider scope of development covering the entire
spectrum of administration and management. During the Third Plan, creation of an efficient
38
public administration system was one of the major objectives. Enhancement of job related
knowledge and skills of the public officials through systematic training, establishment of
training institutes for such purposes, improvements of personnel administration in the
government, semi-government and autonomous bodies, streamlining of administration
through simplification of accounts, budgeting and financial and administrative procedures and
restructuring of government offices and agencies were some of the major efforts undertaken
towards improving efficiency in administration.
1.20.3 Projects taken up in the public administration sector during the Fourth Plan were
broadly in the fields of (a) development of administration and management training; (b)
project planning, implementation and monitoring; (c) organisational development; (d) system
improvement; and (e) administration and financial reforms. These could not yield better
administration as the system was abused by the power that be.
1.20.4 Several institutes are functioning in the country for imparting training in public
administration and management. Notable of them are Public Administration Training Centre
(PATC), Regional Public Administration Training Centres (RPATC), Bangladesh Civil
Service Academy, Institute of Chartered Accountants of Bangladesh (ICAB), Institute of
Cost and Management Accountants of Bangladesh (ICMAB), Institute of Bank Management
(IBM) and Academy for Planning and Development (APD). The projects during the Fourth
Plan were mostly meant for strengthening the training efforts of these institutes. Projects were
also undertaken during the Fourth Plan for institutional development of BCS (Admn.)
Academy and establishment of a Statistical Training Institute. Bangladesh Institute of
Administration and Management (BIAM) was established during this Plan period.
1.20.5 During the Plan period, the mechanism of collection of household expenditure survey
and local level data system was modernised and the examination system of the Public Service
Commission (PSC) was improved. Disaster Management Bureau (DMB) was established.
Besides, a number of studies were undertaken on administrative reforms and a committee was
formed to look into the study reports. The studies were undertaken by UNDP, ODA, World
Bank and USAID.
1.20.6 During the Fourth Plan, 71 projects were taken up, out of which 21 were completed.
During the same period, the sector was provided with an allocation of Tk. 2.01 billion out of
which Tk.710.0 million was utilised.
1.20.7 During 1995/96, an allocation of Tk.1.76 billion was made available for 61 projects of
which 50 were spill-over projects from the Fourth Plan. A total of 14 projects were completed
and an amount of Tk.1.55 billion was spent. In 1996/97, an allocation of Tk.956.20 million
was made to 50 projects including 3 new projects; out of these 16 projects were likely to be
completed. The expenditure during the year 1996/97 was Tk.698.30 million.
39
CHAPTER II
and within broad areas of concern such as economic, social and environmental issues. Now,
these compartments have begun to dissolve. Today, all have come to realise that
impoverishing the local resource base can impoverish wider areas, even beyond the borders of
countries. Deforestation in the highland causes destructive flooding in the lowland and
adversely affects downstream nations. Fertilisers used for boosting agricultural production,
pesticides used for protecting plants and crops and pollution from factories destroy fishery
and rob fishermen of their means of livelihood. Degradation of agricultural land drives
millions from their rural homesteads not only towards urban centres but also across national
boundaries, thus turning them into economic refugees. Sustainable long-term development
must address these environmental and social concerns.
2.1.5 Over the past few decades, life threatening environmental concerns have surfaced.
Rural arable lands are coming under pressure from increasing number of farmers and the
landless. Cities are being increasingly crowded with people, automobiles and factories. A
significant part of GDP is derived from agriculture, forestry, energy production and mining
as well as export of natural resources. There is, thus, enormous economic pressure, both
domestic and international, to overexploit the natural resource base.
2.1.6 New technology is the mainspring of higher economic growth through increases in
productivity and income. Access to it not only improves the efficiency and shifts the
competitive edge of a nation but also offers the potential to economise the consumption of
rapidly depleting resources. However, at the same time, it also contains risks, including new
forms of pollution. Introduction of genetic engineering could have far reaching effects on the
mankind. Time has come to revisit the conventional ‘green-revolution’ technologies that
depend upon the intensive use of energy, chemicals such as fertilizers and pesticides, for
boosting agricultural production which, experience has shown, cannot be sustained at high
level indefinitely. Progressively increased recourse to organic input-based bio-technologies,
which will have the advantage of being ecologically sound and sustainable over a longer
period of time, is the imperative of the hour.
2.1.7 For women, it is still an unequal world. This inequality varies from country to country
as it does from society to society. It is true that after centuries of neglect, the past two
decades, as part of an integrated approach to human development, have witnessed the
demonstration of great awareness and considerable concern for closing the gender gap
through building women’s capabilities. Despite this, disparity between women and men
persists - in their access to education, health and nutrition, in their right to life and property
and protection by their societies and legal systems. This determines the pace of progress of a
nation and how much women can contribute to and benefit out of this progress.
2.1.8 The Constitution of the Republic provides clear directives which the government has
to take into account while formulating development goals, objectives and strategies.
Fundamental Principles of State Policy, as embodied in the Constitution, while addressing
the issue of meeting the basic needs of the people, vest on the state the responsibility to attain,
through planned economic growth, a constant increase of productive forces and a steady
improvement in the material and cultural standard of living of the people, with a view to
securing to its citizens:
a. the provision of the basic necessities of life, including food, clothing, shelter,
education and medical care;
b. the right to work, that is the right to guaranteed employment at a reasonable wage
having regard to the quantity and quality of work;
41
Notes: Paragraphs with subscripts 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7 correspond to Articles 15, 19, 16, 9 and 10,
20(2) and 22 and 21(2) of the Constitution of the People’s Republic of Bangladesh, respectively.
42
2.4.4 The modernisation of agriculture will be sought through the provision of extension
services, training, requisite inputs and credit to farmers. Such a change of agriculture requires
high cash investment, as producing more for market involves risk which small farmers and
share - croppers cannot generally afford to undertake. Optimum use of modern inputs, along
with land, water and labour, is difficult to attain because land is owned in small plots by the
majority of the farmers; a large proportion of farmers are landless, while some land is owned
also by those who are not farmers. A land use plan for various crops and purposes is
envisaged in the long run, with focus on sustained increases in yield. It may not, however, be
necessary to interfere with the ownership of land beyond what is envisaged by the Land
Reform Act of 1984; what is intended is to influence land use and production plans at the
village level indirectly through information, extension and an appropriate package of
incentives.
2.4.5 Agricultural production strategy has to be improved to implement institutional changes
to cope with market forces. Appropriate policy relating to pricing, input supply, support
services and infrastructure development will have to be put in place.
2.4.6 The main thrust of the agricultural production programme will be increased irrigation
coverage, better water management and variety improvement of rice and wheat. Irrigation
coverage will be increased further during the Plan period with emphasis on minor irrigation
projects and full capacity utilisation of irrigation facilities including supplementary irrigation
during Aus and Aman seasons. Area under HYVs of rice and wheat will be expanded through
extension of water management and fertilizer use will be further increased during the Plan
period. Availability of fertilizer will be ensured not only by making better capacity utilisation
of existing fertilizer plants through implementation of necessary BMREs, but also by setting
up new plants at an early date. Market mechanism will be used to ensure timely import and
efficient distribution of different agro-inputs. Greater use of organic manure will also be
encouraged. Seed multiplication and storage facilities, both in public and private sectors, will
be part of the agricultural development strategy. Credit facilities will be increased through
greater allocation and better management of funds. A major effort will be made to put in
place adequate marketing, transport, and storage facilities as well as necessary price support.
Efforts will be made to increase domestic production of most inputs required for agriculture
and rural development, including fertilizer, agricultural implements and tools.
2.4.7 Efforts will be made to maintain appropriate incentive prices for important agricultural
commodities through market mechanism and policy instruments. Procurement and storage
efforts will have to be greatly improved. Adequate buffer stock will be built up to tide over
the difficulties of lean periods and natural hazards and a marketable surplus will be sought by
gearing up production of essential items. Subsidies on fertilizer and other inputs, if needed,
will be selectively provided with due regard to economy and efficiency of such subsidisation.
Prices of major food items such as rice, wheat, edible oil, sugar, baby food, pulses, fish,
poultry, etc., may also have to be stabilised on social development considerations through
appropriate pricing, distribution and production policies. Food policy will be properly
integrated with the agricultural programme, as output of food and its price influence the
production of jute, sugarcane, pulses, oil seeds and other cash crops.
2.4.8 To sum up, the strategy for attaining the projected increase in agricultural production
will consist of strengthening the policy environment and the technological base, establishing
grass-root level organisations for planning and implementation as well as provision of
necessary support services.
46
development. To satisfy this, the literacy rate has to be raised significantly through measures
stated in the Fifth Plan. A bottom-up participatory process with emphasis on local level
initiative will constitute the cornerstone of socio-economic development in Bangladesh under
the Fifth Plan.
2.5.6 Land is the most scarce resource in Bangladesh. Its proper utilisation is a necessity for
the success of the Plan, as it ensures effective employment of the rural labour force and higher
output. Positive steps will be taken to provide an institutional framework for production and
employment planning at the local level and ensuring better use of land, water and human
resources. It is recognised that local level institutions for promotion of production,
employment, voluntary consolidation of holdings, etc., cannot perform readily without
adequate policy support and necessary changes in the legal system.
2.5.7 The local institutions will also encourage and organise fish, poultry and livestock
development. Employment of the rural landless will receive particular attention of the local
organisations. Such organisations will face initial problems and can be perfected through a
gradual process to encompass the rural life, concerned not only with production but also
community services like health, education, population planning and human resources
development.
2.5.8 In the Fifth Plan period, concrete steps will be taken to strengthen the local
government institutions in three hilly districts and to set up a co-ordinating body for three
Zilla Parishads of this area in accordance with the Peace Treaty concluded on December 2,
1997.
2.6 Population
2.6.1 Despite efforts in the past to contain the growth rate, the population is still growing at
the rate of 1.75 per cent, adding almost 2.2 million people every year. Even if NRR-1 is
achieved by the year 2005, about 1.2 to 1.3 million people per year will be added, increasing
man/land ratio, aggravating the unemployment problem and consequently thwarting the
prospects of socio-economic development of the country. Due to the young age structure of
Bangladesh’s population, more effective efforts will be called for to arrest the demographic
momentum.
2.6.2 Till now, the focus of population control programmes has been on the delivery system.
However, a breakthrough cannot be achieved without a large increase in mass literacy and
development of institutions such as women’s co-operatives and mother’s centres. In addition,
vocational training programmes and skill-development will also have a bearing on population
and development parameters. The local government institutions will have to be oriented to the
goal.
2.6.3 In the Fifth Plan period, the Union Health and Family Welfare Centres (HFWC) and
Mother and Child Welfare Centre (MCWC) will be focal point of Mother and Child Health
(MCH). The providers of both health and family welfare services at the village level will have
greater co-ordination to provide unified services under the overall supervision of the Medical
Assistant/M.O in charge of the HFWC/MCWC. He/she will be responsible for both health
and family planning/MCH service delivery and report for activities to the THA and TFPO,
respectively. This integrated service structure will ensure economies of scale and better
utilisation of HFWC/MCWCs. To enable it to play a more effective role, the National
Population Council will have to be suitably strengthened.
48
2.8.2 Along with spread of primary education, removing illiteracy is considered an important
strategy for social and economic development of the masses. Since resources are limited,
there cannot be a simultaneous increase of investment of public funds at all levels of
education. It is necessary to economise the use of resources with greater emphasis on efficient
use of facilities, devoting more resources to primary education prioritising higher education
to the meritorious students and inducing the private sector to play a more effective role in
making the nation literate. Thus, expansion of primary and mid-level technical education in
the public sector, along with increased participation of the private sector in all tiers of
education, particularly in rural Bangladesh, will be pursued as a central strategy in the
education sector during the Fifth Plan period.
2.9 Private Sector - Dominant Player
2.9.1 In tune with the current global trend, the government has committed itself to the
market economy and has been pursuing polices through which the private sector will play the
dominant role in the country’s development efforts. In all cases where public ownership is
retained, efficiency must be increased through improving management, decentralising the
decision making process, ensuring commercially viable operations and following economic
pricing of all goods and services produced by the parastatals. Success in management is to be
rewarded through appropriate incentives, while inefficiency and poor performance will bring
punitive actions. Professionalism in management will be an important element of the public
sector strategy. Public sector monopolies will be progressively brought into the competitive
areas and the parastatals will be gradually disengaged from those activities in which the
private sector is well suited to perform efficiently.
2.9.2 While social direction of private enterprise in certain fields may be necessary to
safeguard the people’s interest, private enterprise will continue to be the main lever for
development in all areas where they have demonstrated satisfactory performance or are likely
to be more efficient. In particular, entrepreneurship will be encouraged through training,
extension services, input supply, credit and marketing facilities. Emphasis will be placed on
strengthening the financial and capital markets through appropriate policy measures so that
there can be a better mobilisation of resources, in particular private resources from abroad, for
productive investments.
2.10 Export-led Industrialisation
2.10.1 Bangladesh has placed huge emphasis on export-led industrialisation strategy. In order
to bring about sustained growth in exports, conscious policy shifts have been initiated to
transform a regulated economy into a market economy and a wide range of policy reforms
have been implemented. The major elements of these reforms, among other things, include
liberalisation of imports and streamlining of import procedures, rationalisation of tariffs and
reduction of tariff levels and elimination of quantitative restrictions to the extent possible,
adoption of a market-oriented flexible exchange rate policy and provision of more effective
and transparent export promotion measures.
2.10.2 An important prerequisite for development of export industries is the availability of
well-developed infrastructure. Export Processing Zones (EPZs) provide this infrastructure
and other incentives, under a single package and thus have been able to attract foreign direct
investment (FDI). In extending this approach further so as to attract substantial FDI, the
government has adopted the policy of entrusting the private sector with the responsibility of
developing private export processing zones as well.
50
2.10.3 An enabling policy environment as well as further promotional measures, along with
simplification and minimisation of the regulatory and legal frameworks will be put in place to
encourage entrepreneurial initiative and foreign direct investment for the development of
export-oriented industries during the Fifth Plan.
2.11 Employment and Income Generation
2.11.1 A strategy of production for meeting basic needs of the people must be matched by a
viable strategy of employment generation and human resources development so that the poor
may have access to income. There is huge unemployment and under-employment in the
country. The growth of employment in the past did not keep pace with the growth of the
labour force and unemployment and under-employment remain very high. In the past,
employment goals were generally derived as a by-product of investment strategy; thus, it did
not receive as much priority as it should have, as a national problem. A comprehensive
employment strategy will be the corner-stone of the Fifth Plan, with productive employment
generation, particularly in the rural area, as an overriding objective reflected in all
programmes and projects.
2.11.2 A large increase in employment in the Fifth Plan period is envisaged in agriculture.
This will materialise partly through increasing the cropping intensity and expansion of high
yielding varieties of crops which require substantially more labour inputs than traditional
varieties. Fisheries, livestock and forestry will also contribute to a significant increase in
employment. Infrastructure building, especially in the rural areas, through the sectoral
programmes, in addition to the rural works programme and the food for works programme
will result in a sizeable increase in employment. Rain-fed agriculture, intercropping, and
farming system development will be given particular attention.
2.11.3 As a part of the strategy for productive employment, rapid industrialisation will be
pursued. There will be a selective promotion of appropriate technology in directly productive
sectors, through research, adaptations and diffusion of efficient technologies. Emphasis will
be given on productivity enhancement simultaneously with employment generation.
2.12 Microcredit
2.12.1 Empowerment of the poor is contingent on their access to resources, which in turn,
enhances the productive capacity of the poor and helps alleviate poverty. This is the vision
on which the Grameen Bank launched its innovative microcredit banking system to reach the
poor, who have nothing to offer as collateral for borrowing from the conventional banking
system. The success of the Grameen Bank has created optimism about the viability and
vitality of the innovative approach of reaching the poor with credit they desperately need.
NGOs like BRAC, PROSHIKA, ASA and others also reach the poor with microcredits. The
delivery of microcredit is assisted by appropriate training and motivation, formation of
associations, arrangements for supply of inputs and provision of market outlets for the sale of
products produced by the small entrepreneurs. In the Fifth Plan, every effort will be made to
extend microcredit and related activities.
2.13 Good Governance
2.13.1 Accountability to the people, transparency, efficiency and incorruptibility in
conducting the business of government and, above all, non-discriminatory application of the
laws of the land are some of the major features of a good government. The present
51
CHAPTER III
PLAN SIZE SECTORAL ALLOCATION AND PROJECTIONS
3.1 Introduction
3.1.1 The Fifth Five Year Plan aims to put Bangladesh on a path of self-sustaining growth for
the improvement of socio-economic condition of the people. Acceleration of GDP growth will
allow the economy to break through the continuing poverty syndrome. While there has been
substantial improvement in recent years in macroeconomic management, the Plan recognises
the need for massive investment, with private sector playing the major role for rapid growth and
efficiency.
3.1.2 Total outlay of the Fifth Plan is projected to be Tk.1,959.52 billion. Of this, the major
share (56 per cent) is anticipated from the private sector (Tk.1,100.58 billion), exceeding its
share in all the previous Plans. Table 3.1 shows the sizes of the successive Plans and relative
shares of the public and private sectors.
Table 3.1
Plan Sizes and Relative Shares of Public and Private Sectors
(in million Taka)
Plans At Respective Base Year Prices At 1996/97 Prices
Plan Size Public Private Plan Size Public Private
Sector Sector Sector Sector
First Five Year Plan 44,550 39,520 5,030 569,448 505,153 64,295
(1973-78) (100.00) (88.71) (11.29)
Two Year Plan 38,610 32,610 6,000 156,121 131,860 24,261
(1978-80) (100.00) (84.46) (15.54)
Second Five Year Plan 172,000 111,000 61,000 554,562 357,886 196,676
(1980-85) (100.00) (64.53) (35.47)
Third Five Year Plan 386,000 250,000 136,000 749,958 485,724 264,234
(1985-90) (100.00) (64.77) (35.23)
Fourth Five Year Plan 620,000 347,000 273,000 784,040 438,809 345,231
(1990-95) (100.00) (55.97) (44.03)
Two Year Plan Holiday 508,760 217,160 291,600 515,700 220,100 295,600
(1995-97) (100.00) (42.68) (57.32)
Fifth Five Year Plan 1959,521 858,939 1100,582 1959,521 858,939 1100,582
(1997-2002) (100.00) (43.83) (56.17)
Note : a. Plan sizes and shares of the public and private sectors at respective base year prices are adjusted to
1996/97 (Fifth Plan base year) price level by using BBS investment deflator.
b. Figures in the parentheses are sectoral shares in percentages. Percentage shares of the public and
private sectors at 1996/97 prices are same as at respective base year prices, because of the use of
uniform investment deflator for both the public and private sectors.
3.1.4 Private sector will be the main agent of growth during the Fifth Plan. Commitment to
a free market economy, privatisation of public enterprises, deregulation and liberalisation of
public control, reforms and structural adjustments will create an enabling environment for
expansion of the private sector. Private sector will be encouraged through proper incentives
and facilities to establish an export-led industrial base. For this, foreign direct investment
(FDI) will act as the lever for inflow of new technology, management skill and market
promotion. Priority will be given to the creation of a transparent and conducive environment
where a dynamic private sector can flourish. Private investment is projected to be Tk.1,100.58
billion in the Plan. This is, however, an indicative figure but will guide public policies during
the Plan period. Given the GDP growth rate of 7 per cent and estimated incremental capital
value added ratios(ICVRs), total investment has been estimated at Tk.1,867.49 billion.
Within the resource envelope, a feasible quantum of public investment has been worked out
to be Tk.766.91 billion and private investment followed residually. It gives the minimum
level of investment which the private sector can undertake. Chapter VI elucidates the fiscal,
monetary and industrial policies which will be necessary to bring forth a higher level of
private investment. With the accelerated growth, savings is expected to rise faster,
particularly at the household level. To transform such savings into investment, the
government will step in to mobilise household savings for private investment through
minimisation of investment risk. The Plan envisages mobilisation of private savings also
through issuing various kinds of bonds. It is envisaged that the surplus funds so generated in
the public sector will be transferred to specialised banks or development financing institutions
for financing private investment, particularly in those thrust sectors where private investment
may be shy.
3.2 Investment Profile
3.2.1 Sluggish growth of the economy in the past may be attributed largely to the low rate of
investment obtaining in the country. Severe natural calamities and adverse international
environment also contributed to this unsatisfactory performance. GDP growth rate staggered
around 4 per cent over the last twenty years. The level of investment was generally low from
the mid 1970s to 1980s, fluctuating from year to year. However, the investment rate started
rising steadily from the beginning of 1990s. The investment/GDP ratio, which declined to
11.5 per cent in 1990/91 from 12.9 per cent in 1988/89, increased to 17 per cent in 1995/96.
Various reform programmes undertaken to encourage the private sector, as parts of the
Structural Adjustment Programme, started to pay off in the early 1990s leading to a rise in
the level of investment.
3.2.2 The Fifth Plan aims at raising the GDP growth rate to a level that will take Bangladesh
to the threshold of take-off in the shortest possible time and allow an efficient and effective
pursuit of poverty alleviation programme through generation of high level of productive
employment opportunities. It projects GDP growth at an average annual compound rate of 7
per cent but the growth of the economy will be accelerated over the years. In the first year,
the rate is estimated at 6 per cent and in the terminal year at 8.3 per cent. Higher growth rate
will be brought about through higher rate of investment and greater efficiency by pursuing
productivity enhancing policies and skill development. Even at this GDP growth rate, against
an expected average population growth rate of about 1.37 per cent per annum, it will take
about 10 years for an average poor person to cross the poverty line.
3.2.3 ICVRs for various years of the Fifth Plan reflect the gain in productivity. Estimated
average ICVR for the Plan period is 2.85, reflecting the government's determination to reach
54
a level of efficiency higher than now existing in the economy. Investment in this Plan
represents addition to fixed capital stock(net of depreciation), and as such does not include
wages and salaries. The Fifth Plan aims to achieve a higher efficiency in capital use with a
suitable technology-mix, greater utilisation of existing capacity, higher labour productivity
and improved management in a competitive market environment. GDP growth rates, ICVRs
and investment rates are shown in Table 3.2. In the first year, investment/GDP ratio will be
18.21 per cent and in the terminal year 25.1 per cent.
Table 3.2
Investment Profile for Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices)
(in million Taka)
1
Year GDP GDP Growth ICVR Investment Investment as
Rate (%) Percentage of GDP
1996/97 1,402,580 5.70 2.90 243,686 17.37
(Base Year)
1997/98 1,486,735 6.00 2.89 270,690 18.21
1998/99 1,580,399 6.30 2.87 308,430 19.52
1999/2000 1,687,866 6.80 2.85 365,592 21.66
2000/2001 1,816,144 7.60 2.84 428,973 23.62
2001/2002 1,967,191 8.32 2.83 493,806 25.10
Total/Average - 7.00 2.85 1,867,491 -
(Fifth Plan)
1
ICVR has been estimated econometrically. The estimation period for the regression has been the post-flood
years from 1988/89 to 1995/96. The regression gives an excellent fit with R2 higher than 0.9 and both t and F
statistics are significant. ICVR so estimated was found to be 2.88. This estimate shows the level of capital
productivity in the recent past.
3.3.2 Domestic savings is projected to rise from 7.7 per cent of GDP in 1996/97 to 16.5
per cent in the terminal year of the Plan. National savings is estimated at about 15 per cent of
GDP in the base year of the Plan. It is projected to rise to 20.14 per cent in the terminal year
of the Plan. To this end, appropriate fiscal and monetary measures will be undertaken.
Remittances of Bangladeshi workers abroad is projected to increase by 5 per cent annually
55
over the Plan period. Annual phasing of the Plan outlay for the public and private sectors
alongwith their sources of financing is shown in Tables 3.4 and 3.5.
Table 3.4
Phasing of Public Outlay in Fifth Plan
( at 1996/97 prices )
(in million Taka)
Items 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 Total
(Base Year)
ADP 117,000 121,905 138,534 167,308 199,279 231,913 858,939
External Resource 59,750 64,200 64,181 66,309 67,325 69,205 331,220
Domestic Resource 57,250 57,705 74,353 100,999 131,954 162,708 527,719
Domestic Resource Share(%) 48.93 47.34 53.67 60.37 66.22 70.16 61.44
Table 3.5
Phasing of Private Investment in Fifth Plan
( at 1996/97 prices )
(in million Taka)
Items 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 Total
(Base Year)
Private Investment 139,222 161,846 184,740 216,210 251,045 286,741 1100,582
External Resource 13,730 15,961 18,219 21,323 24,758 28,279 108,540
Domestic Resource 125,492 145,885 166,521 194,887 226,287 258,462 992,042
Domestic Resource Share(%) 90.14 90.14 90.14 90.14 90.14 90.14 90.14
3.3.3 FDI is, at present, not very significant. This, however, is envisaged to be a prospective
rich source of financing of private investment in Bangladesh. During the Fifth Plan, FDI will
be attracted in substantial volume through incentives, deregulation and promotion of the
market economy and above all, maintaining macroeconomic stability.
3.3.4 Mobilisation of domestic savings is dependent on the implementation of several
policies, viz., (a) increase in revenue surplus through extension of tax base, effective tax
administration and budgetary discipline, (b) minimisation of government losses through
privatisation of the losing public enterprises and replacing administered prices by market
prices for goods and services produced in the public sector, (c) reduction of losses of retained
state owned enterprises and corporations through proper reforms and structural
reorganisation, (d) adoption of diversified savings schemes and introduction of new financial
instruments, (e) initiation of proper fiscal and monetary policies to curb inflation, (f)
collection of dues on privatised units, (g) increase in net capital receipts of the government,
(h) minimisation of food budget deficit by appropriate pricing for public food distribution and
(i) promotion of local development activities.
3.3.5 The financial sector reform, conversion of nationalised commercial banks (NCBs) into
private banks and establishment of new banks and financial institutions following
deregulation and liberalisation polices will play an important role in promoting financial
intermediation and private investment. Reforms of capital market, introduction of new
financial instruments and savings schemes and development of financial markets will lead to
increased mobilisation of domestic savings. As there is, at present, very little information
regarding the savings behaviour of different sectors and classes, such information will be
collected and savings mobilisation strategy will be devised during the early stages of the Fifth
Plan.
56
Table 3.6
Projected Sectoral GDP Respective Shares and Growth Rates for Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices)
(in million Taka)
Items 1996/97 2001 / 2002 Growth
Value Added Share (%) Value Added Share (%) Rate (%)
Agriculture 418,306 29.82 508,945 25.87 4.00
Industry 130,111 9.28 249,852 12.70 13.94
Construction 82,346 5.87 119,322 6.07 7.70
Power and Gas 30,834 2.20 86,808 4.41 23.00
Transport 158,040 11.27 227,000 11.54 7.51
Housing 134,117 9.56 173,660 8.83 5.30
Public Administration 79,048 5.64 95,254 4.84 3.80
Health 19,184 1.37 26,041 1.32 6.30
Education 58,685 4.18 80,566 4.10 6.54
Trade 125,799 8.97 177,173 9.01 7.09
Banking and Insurance 28,084 2.00 37,583 1.91 6.00
Other Services 138,026 9.84 184,987 9.40 6.03
Total 1,402,580 100.00 1,967,191 100.00 7.00
3.4.5 Manufacturing sector showed mixed performances in the past. Production of jute
goods, textile products, sugar, paper and cement fluctuated widely. Garments and leather
goods sub-sectors, however, expanded significantly. The government provided various
incentives and facilities to encourage private investment in the industrial sector. Opportunities
for foreign private investment have been opened up in all the areas except few nationally
strategic ones. It is expected that with the expansion of market economy, private investment
will increase substantially during the Fifth Plan and growth rate of the industrial sector will be
accelerated. Main thrust in this sector will be on diversification of its structure focusing
particularly on export oriented sectors such as garments, leather goods, computer data entry,
software and electronics. Establishment of backward linkage industries will be encouraged to
complement this process.
3.4.6 Critical importance of the energy sector for the overall development of Bangladesh is
recognised. In the past, the sector depended wholly on government fund to ensure adequate
supply of energy for industrial as well as agricultural development. In recent years the
government has formulated appropriate policies to encourage private investment, especially
foreign direct participation for large investment. There has developed significant shortfall in
power supply in meeting its growing demand. Therefore, investment for the energy sector is
proposed to be increased substantially in the Fifth Plan and higher growth rate is projected
for the sector. Inefficiency in power generation, transmission and distribution as indicated by
large system loss will significantly be reduced during the Plan period through appropriate
policy measures, organisational development and privatisation of the critical phases of the
power system.
3.5 Structure of GDP
3.5.1 Structure of GDP has been changing over the period of the previous Plans. There will
be a marked change in the structure of GDP during the Fifth Plan. Share of agriculture is
projected to fall from 29.82 per cent in the base year to 25.87 per cent in the terminal year of
58
the Plan. The shares of industry and energy sectors will increase. The projected structural
changes are shown in Table 3.6.
3.5.2 Contribution of agriculture will decline over the Plan period due to faster growth of
the non-agricultural sectors, particularly industry and energy. High growth of industry (about
14 per cent) and energy (23 per cent) sectors as projected are required to support the overall
growth of GDP at the rate of 7 per cent.
3.6 Projection of Major Physical and Social Indicators
3.6.1 Growth rate of population, which has declined, is expected to fall further significantly
during the Fifth Plan. Population is projected to increase at an average annual growth rate of
around 1.37 per cent from 123.8 million in 1996/97 to 132.5 million in the terminal year of
the Plan. Per capita income will thus increase at an annual rate of around 5.6 per cent and per
capita consumption will significantly increase to bring about visible improvement in the
standard of living of the people. Besides raising per capita income, the Plan proposes to
further strengthen target group approach for implementation of poverty alleviation
programmes effectively in collaboration with the local governments and NGOs. In the light of
recent experiences in societal change, reduction of poverty will be taken as synonymous with
socio-economic development of the country. With this end in view, adequate resources will
be directed to the expansion of employment and income generating activities, rural
development, women and youth development and provision of basic needs for the target
groups. For a rapid expansion of employment opportunities, the Plan expects a greater role
for the private sector than ever before. Public sector will also create substantial employment
opportunities through its poverty alleviation and infrastructure development programmes.
3.6.2 Major physical and social indicators are given in Table 3.7. Such achievement will
depend not only on the flow of new investment but also on efficient use of existing capacities
through development of management capability in both the public and private sectors.
Appropriate macroeconomic policies and strategies will be implemented to achieve these
targets.
59
Table 3.7
Projection of Major Physical and Social Indicators of Fifth Plan
3.7.2 Labour force ( age 15+ years) is projected to grow at the rate of 2.5 per cent per
annum over the Fifth Plan period and rise to 58.33 million, according to the extended
definition2 in the terminal year. Total employment is likely to increase from about 50 million
persons in 1996/97 to 56.35 million persons in the terminal year. Thus, an additional
employment for 6.35 million persons will be created during the Plan period. Employment
generation in different sectors of the economy is presented in Table 3.8.
Table 3.8
Employment Projection for Fifth Plan
(thousand persons)
Sectors 1996/97* 2001/2002
Agriculture 31,500 33,382
Industry 3,700 5,847
Power, Gas and Natural Resources 105 215
Physical Planning, Housing and Construction 1,034 1,196
Transport and Communication 2,238 2,626
Trade and Other Services 11,423 13,079
Total 50,000 56,345
Bangladesh will be of no exception. During the Fifth Plan, total outlay in the transport and
communication sectors will almost be evenly split between the public and private sectors.
The role of the private sector is also envisaged to grow in the power and gas sector. Already,
some Memoranda of Understanding have been signed between the government and foreign
investors. A quarter of total investment in this sector is expected to be made by the private
sector.
Table 3.9
Sectoral Distribution of Plan Outlay
(at 1996/97 prices)
(in million Taka)
Sectors Public Sector* Private Sector Total
Agriculture 202,674.68 119,864.31 322,538.99
(23.60) (10.89) (16.46)
Industry 11,793.70 298,776.16 310,569.86
(1.37) (27.15) (15.85)
Housing and Construction 49,816.00 180,017.61 229,833.61
(5.80) (16.35) (11.73)
Power and Gas 114,400.60 37,726.07 152,126.67
(13.32) (3.43) (7.76)
Transport and Communication 145,540.11 118,876.80 264,416.91
( 16.94) (10.80) (13.50)
Trade and Others 334,713.91 345,321.15 680,035.06
(38.97) (31.38) (34.70)
Total 858,939.00 1100,582.10 1959,521.10
(100.00) (100.00) (100.00)
* Includes non-investment expenditures. Figures in parentheses are percentage share in total outlay. Of the total
public sector allocation, about Tk. 256 billion (30%) will be in the social services sectors.
Compared to the Fourth Plan where rural development was allocated 4.76 per cent of the total
public outlay, this sector will receive more than 10 per cent of the Fifth Plan public outlay.
This reflects the importance given to rural poverty alleviation through overall rural
development.
Table 3.10
Public Sector Outlay for Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices)
(in million Taka)
Sectors 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 Total
(Base Year) (FFYP)
Agriculture 6,407.00 5,956.00 6,719.28 8,910.27 9981.28 10,732.25 42,299.08
Rural Development 10,264.00 9,192.00 10,000.75 16,961.75 22,745.75 28,102.23 87,002.48
Water Resources 10,580.00 10,155.00 10,509.91 10,961.91 12,000.91 12,569.89 56,197.62
Ganges Barrage - - 555.63 4,830.62 5,608.62 6,180.63 17,175.50
Industry 1,867.00 1,179.00 1,596.17 2,409.18 3,032.17 3,577.18 11,793.70
Energy 14,083.00 13,831.00 15,859.50 19,109.50 19,800.50 19,760.50 88,361.00
Oil, Gas and Natural Resources 4,858.00 4,767.00 4,902.90 5,210.90 5,443.90 5,714.90 26,039.60
Transport 13,938.00 14,621.00 17,147.88 20,774.88 25,976.88 31,434.87 109,955.51
Bangabandhu Bridge 9,380.00 6,611.00 5,189.00 - - - 11,800.00
Communication 2,247.00 2,714.00 4,307.90 4,943.90 5,629.90 6,188.90 23,784.60
Physical Planning and Housing 6,804.00 7,907.00 8,170.75 8,926.75 10,949.75 13,861.75 49,816.00
Education 15,837.00 16,078.00 19,848.88 26,023.88 30,898.88 36,081.86 128,931.50
Health 5,849.00 5,607.00 7,721.35 12,274.35 15,796.35 20,873.35 62,272.40
Population and Family Welfare 4,938.00 5,190.00 5,238.00 5,644.00 6,073.00 6,445.00 28,590.00
Sports and Culture 596.00 764.00 962.62 1,139.63 1,342.63 1,529.62 5,738.50
Social Welfare, Women and 1,866.00 1,592.00 1,914.17 2,776.17 3,574.18 4,457.18 14,313.70
Youth Development
Mass Media 420.00 482.00 688.17 913.18 1,211.17 1,551.18 4,845.70
Science and Technology 380.00 429.00 780.03 994.03 1,269.02 1,579.02 5,051.10
Labour and Manpower 90.00 97.00 170.55 266.55 385.55 470.55 1,390.20
Public Administration 956.00 1,050.00 1,371.58 1,886.57 2,396.58 2,969.57 9,674.30
Sub-total 111,360.00 108,222.00 123,655.02 154,958.02 184,117.02 214,080.43 785,032.49
Bloc 5,640.00 13,683.00 14,878.98 12,349.98 15,161.98 17,832.57 73,906.51
Total 117,000.00 121,905.00 138,534.00 167,308.00 199,279.00 231,913.00 858,939.00
3.8.6 In order to accelerate the agricultural growth of the west zone which has a
comparative advantage in agriculture, a project for the construction of a barrage on the river
Padma will be undertaken during the Fifth Plan for optimum utilisation of the water flow for
flood management, irrigation and river basin development. The Fifth Plan allocation for the
project (Ganges Barrage) is shown separately under the water resources sector in Table 3.10.
The project will provide irrigation facilities to an area of about 1.35 million hectares. The
right bank intake canals from the barrage will feed water into the Gorai, the Kumar, the
Nabaganga, the Chitra, the Kobadak, the Modhumati and other rivers. This will also serve the
area to the west of the Ganges-Kobadak project areas. The total cost of this project has been
estimated at Tk. 140.82 billion. It includes costs of barrage, main canals, drainage canals as
well as feasibility study and detailed engineering. During the Plan period, Tk.17.18 billion
will be spent. The project will increase agricultural production through creating irrigation,
drainage and flood control facilities. It will also serve as a road bridge over the Padma.
Besides, the barrage will provide the required quantum of flows through the Gorai in the dry
64
season to check the salinity intrusion in the south-west region of Bangladesh, maintain
ecological balance and protect environment of the region.
3.8.7 As of now, the power and gas sector is almost entirely in the public sector. As it is
highly capital intensive and lumpy, the development of this sector will receive public sector
priority, receiving more than 13 per cent of total ADP allocation. In order to meet the
existing power gap, larger allocation of fund has been made than in the previous Plans to
increase the generation capacity of the power sector. The government's present energy policy
provides for participation of local and expatriate private entrepreneurs in generation and
distribution of power. Private sector participation will get priority to ensure adequate energy
supply to industry and agriculture and rural development. Side by side, the transport and
communication sectors have also been given due priority in fostering the private sector
growth, receiving about 17 per cent of ADP allocation. The transport sector will implement
some lumpy projects like Bangabandhu Bridge to remove long haul transport bottlenecks and
integrate the rural and regional economies into the national markets.
3.8.8 The social sectors such as education, health, population and family welfare, social
welfare, women and youth development have been given high priority in the Fifth Plan. Over
30 per cent of the public outlay is earmarked for the social sectors. During the Fourth Plan,
education and health were allocated 10.7 per cent of the public outlay, while the Fifth Plan
has allocated over 22 per cent of the public outlay to these sectors. Compulsory primary
education , health for all, population control and supply of safe drinking water will get larger
shares of resources. Emphasis will be given on the quality of projects in social sectors. NGOs
and private sector participation will be encouraged in these areas.
3.9 Private Investment During Fifth Plan
3.9.1 Private investment has been projected on the basis of the investment trend of the
recent past, as well as the potential and prospects of the sector in a market economy. The
allocation of private investment is indicative only and has been made taking into account the
estimated benchmark of 1996/97. The broad sectoral allocation of expected private
investment for the Plan period has been given in Table 3.9.
3.9.2 Private sector investment will depend on profitability. However, care will be taken so
that profit motive does not infringe on social considerations for equity and environment.
Public sector investment will encourage private investment through its infrastructure
development programme and ensuring a stable macroeconomic environment. Incentives will
be given to the private sector to foster growth in an environment of a free market economy
and the society, in turn, will expect the private sector to pursue enlightened sef-interest within
the system of moral values.
3.10 Policies for Facilitating Private Investment
3.10.1 In order to facilitate private investment, existing structural adjustment policies will be
strengthened and further enabling policies will be put in place. The critical factors in
achieving the projected private investment will be improvement in (a) domestic resource
mobilisation and (b) inflows of FDI. Given the interest shown by various development
partners and multinational companies (MNCs), substantial FDI will flow in during the Fifth
Plan. In order to encourage the flow of FDI, further physical facilities will be developed and
investment friendly legal and administrative services will be created and sustained.
65
the integration of the Rajshahi Division with the industrially more advanced south-east
region. To mitigate underdevelopment of the region, special investment programmes are
envisaged under the Fifth Plan. These programmes will encompass 5 sectors/sub-sectors,
namely, agriculture, fisheries, industries and finance, transportation and urban development
and have at least 25 specific projects - 5 for each sector. Besides these, special attention will
be given to social sectors also.
3.11.5 Currently two massive projects, namely, Barapukaria Coal Mine (cost: Tk. 8.87
billion) and Madhayapara Hardrock Mine (cost: Tk. 8.95 billion) are under implementation in
the division. Direct benefits (value addition) from these two projects have been projected to
be Tk. 3.38 billion a year when completed by around 2000 AD. These will also enhance
opportunities for secondary and tertiary activities in the area. The coal mine will particularly
help to overcome its energy problem. A 300 mw power plant based on coal will be
undertaken and completed during the Fifth Plan period. In addition, projects will be drawn
up for mining coal at Jamalgonj and Khalispir and limestone at Joypurhat.
3.11.6 Special attention to Rajshahi Division will call for (a) extensive road network, (b)
enhanced telecommunication facilities, (c) appropriate development of surface and ground
water irrigation, (d) setting up 3 universities of science and technology, (e) extension of gas
pipe line, (f) establishment of an export processing zone, (g) setting up 3 more industrial
estates, (h) increasing regional co-operation with Bhutan, Nepal and Asam, (i) reaching water
sharing treaties on the Teesta and the Jamuna and (j) setting up a development finance
institution for giving term credit support to private industrial entrepreneurs.
3.11.7 Coastal area: Coastal area of Bangladesh is ecologically sensitive and climatically
vulnerable. It is ecologically sensitive because of the continuous process of land accretion
which needs to be protected for natural vegetative growth and afforestation. It also contains
one (5,000 sq. km) of the largest mangrove forests in the world. But the area has also been
subject to severe cyclonic storms originating in the Bay of Bengal, causing some of the
greatest disasters of the world. The area covers over 1.8 million of households (1991) in 133
thanas along the coastal belt and is considered as risk prone. In spite of the cyclonic risk, there
has been growing population pressure on the area, particularly since the beginning of the
construction of 5,000 km of coastal embankments. Such embankments have helped to bring
land under rice cultivation as salinity reduced. In recent years, the area has also taken up
extensive shrimp culture which needs saline water. This development has created conflict of
interests between small farmers and relatively wealthy shrimp farm owners. Besides this,
shrimp culture has also adversely affected the mangrove forest. Under these circumstances
there is a need for careful planning for the development of the area without irreparably
damaging the eco-system of the area.
3.11.8 The area is resourceful in many ways. It contains one of the two rich forest belts of
the country and provides fuelwood and raw material for the newsprint mill. Its flora and fauna
contribute to other production also. Indeed, with the loss of inland flood plains, the area
including its offshore belt has grown in importance for fisheries. Above all, continuous silting
of the area by rivers and channels has enriched the soil within the embankments for paddy
cultivation. In spite of these potentials, no concerted efforts has been made to secure the
development of the area against its natural risk and ecological sensitivity except for shelter of
people and livestock. Even in this respect, existing facilities are inadequate and in derelict
condition. After the cyclone of 1991 in which about 139 thousand people perished,
multipurpose cyclone shelter programme (MCSP) was developed with focus on the
67
schools per 100 thousand population in the area against about 46 on average in the country.
Thus, it seems that the isolation of the communities continues to affect efficient use of
facilities as the literacy rate shows. The isolation of the communities spread out in small
settlements is also reflected in the fact that there are 22 thana health complexes for a million
population in the area, while for the country as a whole there is 1 thana health complex for the
same size of population. Ethnic disturbances that pervaded the area since 1975 stood on the
way of full utilisation of all these facilities and realisation of the high development potential.
This problem has now been resolved.
3.11.14 Special attention to the development of these tracts in the Fifth Plan period will
manifest in (a) extensive road connection and telecommunication facilities, (b) intensive
geological survey for mineral resources, (c) horticultural development, (d) provision of safe
drinking water, (e) prevention of soil erosion, (f) intensive agricultural extension, (g) setting
up fruit processing industries, (h) extending agricultural extension services and (i)
encouraging creation of tourist facilities. Following signing of the Peace Treaty on December
2, 1997, the government has initiated a dialogue with the donors for the development of the
region.
3.12 Integration of Regional Development Programme with ADP
3.12.1 As regional development will receive high priority during the Fifth Plan, each ministry
will need to take up projects from their sectoral allocation under ADP addressing issues
related to development of various regions. The maintenance of these projects, as discussed
elsewhere in the Plan, will be the responsibility of the relevant local governments. Local
governments will also need to get involved in the implementation of that part of the central
project which falls under their jurisdiction. As these projects, in most cases, will address
directly the problems the local people face, the efficiency of implementation will be higher.
69
70
CHAPTER IV
DOMESTIC RESOURCES
4.1 Introduction
4.1.1 The Fifth Plan considers the generation of resources not as a static process, but as a
dynamic one. Efficient utilisation of resources, which is one of the key themes of the Fifth
Plan, will initiate a growth process which itself will produce additional resources. Part of
this, in turn, will be mobilised for development through innovative financial instruments and
strengthening of financial intermediation. These steps will also activate the national savings
for development purposes. The Fifth Plan will make an all-out effort to mobilise people for
development. Initiative of the people will bring into use even the non-monetised resources
as evidenced by many rural development experiments in Bangladesh.
4.1.2 Given the expected level of foreign aid, about 78 per cent of the total Plan outlay will
require to be financed from domestic resources (including remittances from abroad). Out of
the Plan outlay of Tk.1,959.52 billion, only Tk.439.76 billion is expected to be foreign
financed. The balance Tk.1,519.76 billion will need to be mobilised from domestic sources.
Both the public and private savings will have to be increased substantially to finance the Fifth
Plan. It will have to be ensured that resource mobilisation for the public sector does not
impinge on the savings required for financing private investment. Much of the success of the
Fifth Plan to mobilise domestic resources will depend on the proper use of fiscal and
monetary measures. The Fifth Plan projects that about Tk.527.72 billion (35 per cent) of the
domestic resources will be mobilised in the public sector and rest Tk.992.04 billion (65 per
cent ) will be in the private sector. Therefore, the private sector is expected to play a major
role in the domestic resource generation. In view of the recent dynamism of the private
sector, especially expansion of investment and acceleration of growth in the export-oriented
industries, it is expected that the private sector will be able to mobilise the required domestic
resources as the financial deepening of the economy continues.
4.2 Review of Fourth Plan
4.2.1 A major objective of the Fourth Plan was to improve domestic resource mobilisation
in both the public and private sectors. Because of strong reform measures, both tax and non-
tax revenues exceeded their respective Plan projections. As a result, total revenue receipts
during the Plan period was Tk.471.57 billion at 1989/90 prices exceeding the Plan projection
of Tk.457.9 billion. However, current expenditure overshot its target by about 3.7 per cent so
that revenue surplus barely exceeded the Plan expectation by 0.7 per cent. While there was a
food budget deficit, it was offset by higher net capital receipts. As a result, domestic resource
generation in the public sector exceeded the planned amount by more than 33 per cent.
4.3 Public Sector Development Expenditure During Fourth Plan Period
4.3.1 The Fourth Plan provided Tk.347 billion at 1989/90 prices for the public sector
development outlay. Total development expenditure in the public sector during the Plan
period was estimated at Tk.322.44 billion realising about 93 per cent of the target. Sector-
wise distribution of development expenditure is presented in Table 4.1. Sectoral
performance during the Fourth Plan has been discussed in details in the respective sectoral
chapters as a prelude to the Fifth Plan. The table shows that there was under-spending in
some sectors. In industry, actual development expenditure stood at Tk.5.03 billion as against
Tk.16.84 billion earmarked for the sector. The shortfall was attributed to the government
71
were at 12.8 per cent, 15.8 per cent and 15.5 per cent respectively during the Fourth Plan
period.
4.5.2 Total domestic credit grew at an annual average rate of 9.4 per cent during the Fourth
Plan period. However, net credit to the government increased by an annual average rate of 18
per cent, while credit to the rest of the public sector declined by 0.42 per cent and that to the
private sector increased by 10.7 per cent. Thus the growth of credit to the government sector
was mainly responsible for the expansion of credit during the Plan period. Assumption of a
substantial amount of liability of the banking sector by the government, financial sector
reform, jute sector reform, exemption of agricultural credit coupled with higher public
expenditures on salaries and wages due to implementation of the new pay scale, etc. resulted
in such a high growth rate of credit in the government sector. Denial of new credit to the
defaulting borrowers and cautious attitude in the face of large loan defaults were the major
causes of slow growth of credit to the private sector in the first four years of the Plan period.
The economy also moved sluggishly as was reflected in the lower growth of import which
went down in 1990/91 and picked up gradually to 15.5 per cent in 1992/93 but only to
decline sharply to a mere 2.9 per cent in 1993/94. During the last 3 years of the Plan period,
measures were taken to increase liquidity of banks but private demand for credit was lacking.
It was in the last year of the Plan that substantial growth of private sector credit by 26.7 per
cent appeared to signal the picking-up of economic activities. Larger expansion of credit to
agricultural, industrial and foreign trade sectors contributed largely to the higher growth of
credit. Measures such as allowing bank credit against share/debenture, expansion of the scope
of export credit and withdrawal of restriction on personal loan contributed to the
augmentation of credit to the private sector.
4.5.3 Price situation showed improvement over the Fourth Plan period. Inflation came down
from 9.3 per cent in 1989/90 to 8.9 per cent in 1990/91 and to 5.1 per cent in 1991/92 and
dropped to 1.3 per cent in 1992/93, but increased to 1.8 per cent in 1993/94 (Table 4.4).
Because of increased food prices, as a result of decline in foodgrain production for two
consecutive years after the record harvest of 1992/93 and expansion of credit raised inflation
rate over 5 per cent in 1994/95. Annual average rate of inflation during the Fourth Plan period
was 4.5 per cent as compared to a rate of around 10 per cent during the Third Plan period.
Table 4.4
Dhaka City Middle Class Cost of Living Index
(Base: 1973/74=100)
Period Annual Average
General Index Percentage Change
1990/91 689 8.85
1991/92 724 5.08
1992/93 734 1.38
1993/94 747 1.77
1994/95 786 5.22
Source : Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics.
there was no Plan during these two years, they provided an opportunity to the present
government to start a new Plan according to its programmes reflected in the election
manifesto and to adjust the economy in 1996/97 smoothly towards a new socio-economic
direction.
4.7 Domestic Resource Mobilisation in Public Sector
4.7.1 Domestic resource mobilisation in the public sector during the Plan Holiday period for
financing ADPs is shown in Table 4.5. In the original development budget of 1995/96, the
ADP size was Tk.121 billion, of which domestic resource was estimated at Tk.48.77 billion
(40.3 per cent) and the rest Tk.72.23 billion (59.7 per cent) was expected from official
development assistance (ODA). However, the revised estimate of domestic resource was only
Tk.44.14 billion, which was nearly 9 per cent less than the original estimate. This was due
mainly to the revenue expenditure overrun from Tk.110.7 billion to Tk.118.14 billion, which
was 6.7 per cent higher than the original budget, even though revenue receipts were slightly
higher than the original budget. As a result, revenue surplus declined by 15.6 per cent from
Tk.43.8 billion to Tk.36.98 billion. Domestic resource shortfall was also due to higher
negative impact of the food budget. Shortfall in revenue surplus was, however, somewhat
compensated by an increase of Tk.4.92 billion in net capital receipts which was 106 per cent
higher than the original budget estimate. Resource shortfall compelled the government to
reduce the ADP size from Tk.121 billion to Tk.104.47 billion. In 1996/97, Tk.59.26 billion
was expected to be generated as domestic resources, which was 47.4 per cent of the ADP size
of Tk.125 billion and the rest Tk.65.74 billion was expected to come from external sources.
Table 4.5
Resource Generation in Public Sector During Plan Holiday
(at current prices)
( in billion Taka)
Sources 1995/96 1996/97
Budget Revised Budget Budget Revised Budget
Domestic Resource (c+d+e+f+g) 48.77 44.14 59.26 57.25
a) Revenue Receipts 154.50 155.12 171.20 171.45
Tax 122.05 122.33 140.25 140.74
Non-tax 32.45 32.79 30.95 30.71
b) Revenue Expenditure 110.70 118.14 121.03 125.35
c) Revenue Surplus (a-b) 43.80 36.98 50.17 46.10
d) Net Capital Receipts 4.64 9.56 9.00 13.09
e) Self-financing by Parastatals 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.55
f) T & T Bond 4.35 3.25 1.45 1.85
g) Impact of Food Budget (-)5.52 (-) 7.15 (-) 2.86 (-)5.34
External Resource 72.23 60.33 65.74 59.75
Total Resource 121.00 104.47 125.00 117.00
ADP 121.00 104.47 125.00 117.00
Source : Ministry of Finance.
4.8 Tax Revenue
4.8.1 Tax revenue performance during the Plan Holiday period is shown in Table 4.6. It
appears from the table that an amount of Tk.122.05 billion was expected to be generated as
tax revenue in 1995/96 budget. In the revised budget, tax revenue was raised a little higher to
Tk.122.33 billion. In 1996/97 budget, tax revenue figured at Tk.140.25 billion which was
14.65 per cent higher than the revised budget of 1995/96. The revised budget estimate for
1996/97 was slightly higher at Tk.140.74 billion.
75
Table 4.6
Performance of Tax Revenues During Plan Holiday
(at current prices)
( in billion Taka)
Taxes 1995/96 1996/97
Budget Revised Budget Budget Revised Budget
Customs Duty 39.79 38.50 44.10 42.52
Excise Duty 2.00 1.80 2.07 2.07
Value Added Tax 36.29 37.90 43.90 44.40
Supplementary Duty 16.76 17.12 19.73 21.73
Income Tax 16.35 15.83 18.50 17.35
Land Revenue 1.80 1.70 1.85 1.85
Stamps (Non-judicial) 4.50 4.77 5.03 5.27
Others 4.56 4.71 5.07 5.55
Total 122.05 122.33 140.25 140.74
Source : Ministry of Finance.
4.9 Revenue Expenditure
4.9.1 Revenue expenditure performance during the Plan Holiday period is shown in Table
4.7. In 1995/96 revised budget, revenue expenditure exceeded the budget estimate in all its
components. Expenditure for general services overran by 3.5 per cent and debt services by
35.1 per cent. Budgeted revenue expenditure in 1996/97 was Tk.121.03 billion, 2.5 per cent
higher than the revised estimate of 1995/96, but the revised expenditure for 1996/97 figured
at 6.1 per cent above that of 1995/96.
Table 4.7
Performance of Revenue Expenditures During Plan Holiday
(at current prices)
( in billion Taka)
Services 1995/96 1996/97
Budget Revised Budget Budget Revised Budget
General Services * 44.23 45.80 49.23 49.00
Economic Services * 13.81 14.49 14.18 14.42
Social Services * 37.22 37.60 39.95 39.54
Subsidies 2.56 2.85 3.22 4.83
Debt Services 12.88 17.40 14.45 17.56
Total 110.70 118.14 121.03 125.35
Source : Ministry of Finance.
* Includes the share of unexpected expenditure.
4.10 Implementation of Annual Development Programmes
4.10.1 The Plan Holiday period forms a part of the TYRIP (FY 96-98). The TYRIP (96-98)
bears a special significance because the last year (97-98) of it will be the first year of the
Fifth Plan. There were a large number of unfinished projects at the end of the Fourth Plan.
The on-going programmes and projects carried over from the Fourth Plan in areas of poverty
alleviation , generation of productive employment, integration of disadvantaged groups of the
society including women in the mainstream of national development process, and
development of human resources were included in the revised ADP for 1995/96. In addition,
quite a good number of new projects and programmes were included in the ADP which were
76
considered necessary for overall sectoral development activities. ADP for 1996/97 estimated
an expenditure of Tk. 125 billion.
4.10.2 Implementation performance of the ADPs during the Plan Holiday period is shown in
Table 4.8. It shows 96 per cent utilisation of the allocated fund of 1995/96 revised ADP. ADP
size of 1996/97 was Tk.125 billion which was 24.8 per cent higher than the actual ADP
expenditure of 1995/96.
Table 4.8
Performance of Annual Development Programmes During Plan Holiday
(at current prices)
( in billion Taka)
1995/96 1996/97
Sectors Revised Actual Actual Budget Revised Revised
Expenditure Expenditure as % of
as % of Budget
Revised
Agriculture 5.59 4.55 81 7.49 6.40 86
Rural Development and Institutions 7.43 6.81 92 9.75 10.26 105
Water Resources 8.51 5.63 66 10.21 10.58 104
Industries 1.72 1.47 85 1.85 1.86 101
Power 12.50 13.74 110 13.08 14.08 108
Oil, Gas and Natural Resources 4.53 4.08 90 4.80 4.86 101
Transport 11.45 10.11 88 13.80 13.94 101
Bangabandhu Bridge 10.08 9.99 99 10.60 9.38 88
Communication 3.52 2.90 82 3.93 2.25 57
Physical Planning, Water supply 5.87 4.58 78 7.58 6.80 90
and Housing
Education 14.02 13.05 93 17.69 15.84 90
Sports and Culture 0.31 0.28 90 0.84 0.60 71
Health 4.17 2.76 66 6.12 5.85 96
Family Welfare 4.75 4.12 87 3.92 4.94 126
Mass Media 0.23 0.15 65 0.60 0.42 70
Social Welfare, Women and Youth 1.13 0.95 84 1.85 1.87 101
Development
Public Administration 1.76 1.14 65 1.28 0.96 75
Science, Technology and Research 0.28 0.16 57 0.60 0.38 63
Labour and Manpower 0.07 0.06 86 0.20 0.09 45
Sub-total 97.92 86.53 88 116.19 111.36 96
Others 6.55 13.63 208 8.81 5.64 64
Total 104.47 100.16 96 125.00 117.00 94
Source : Ministry of Finance and IMED.
4.11 Development in Monetary Sector During Plan Holiday
4.11.1 Monetary policy was geared in co-ordination with fiscal and other policies towards
maintaining macroeconomic stability and longrun economic growth alongwith the stability of
the external and internal values of the national currency.
4.11.2 During 1995/96, broad money (M2) increased by 8.2 per cent to Tk.456.9 billion
compared with the rise of 15.96 per cent in 1994/95 (Table 4.9). Of the components of broad
money, time deposits rose by 7.6 per cent, demand deposits by 10.9 per cent, and currency
outside banks by 8.5 per cent. During 1995/96, expansion of credit to the government and
private sectors were Tk.16.96 billion (36.8 per cent) and Tk.50.95 billion (19.2 per cent)
respectively. Credit to the private sector during 1995/96 was due to increased import demand.
77
On the other hand, credit to the government sector during 1995/96 was due to the expansion
of government expenditure in the face of lower domestic resource mobilisation and also lower
inflow of foreign resources.
4.11.3 Reserve money increased by Tk.1.99 billion (1.95 per cent) during 1995/96 as
compared to the decrease of Tk.7.53 billion (6.87 per cent) during 1994/95. An analysis of
the causative factors of the change in reserve money reveals that the increase in Bangladesh
Bank's credit to the government sector by Tk.17.83 billion and that to the scheduled banks
and other financial institutions by Tk.21.43 billion exerted expansionary influence. On the
other hand, the contractionary impact of Tk.37.27 billion in net foreign assets largely
neutralised the expansionary impact of these sectors.
Table 4.9
Causative Factors of Changes in Money Supply
(at current prices)
(in billion Taka)
Period Credit to Credit to Credit to Total Time Net Net Net Money Broad
Govern- Other Private Domestic Deposits Foreign Other Domestic Supply Money
ment Public Sector Credit Assets Assets Assets (M1) (M2)
(Net) Sector
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
1994/95 46.14 49.07 265.65 360.86 290.33 104.63 -43.37 317.49 131.79 422.12
1995/96 63.10 54.82 316.60 434.52 312.31 67.36 -44.98 389.54 144.59 456.90
1996/97 80.17 58.75 355.05 493.97 354.61 65.45 -53.14 440.83 151.67 506.28
Source : Bangladesh Bank (Economic Trends, December, 1997).
4.11.4 Rate of inflation came down to 4.1 per cent in 1995/96 compared with 5.2 per cent in
1994/95 mainly due to lower money supply and low foodgrain prices as a result of higher
production of foodgrains during the year. Inflation declined further to 3.9 per cent in 1996/97.
This was due to lower foodgrain prices.
4.11.5 A comprehensive package of the financial sector reforms has been carried out in this
period. Steps, including improvement in banking regulations and bank supervision, have been
undertaken. A new capital adequacy requirement, based on risk-weighted measurement of
bank's portfolios has been introduced. A five phase programme has been undertaken to
strengthen credit discipline and bring loan classification provisioning regulation in line with
the international standard. Measures have been strengthened for improved recovery of bank
loans. Apart from enforcement of stricter discipline for sanction of new loans to defaulters,
administrative and legal measures have been taken to improve the legal environment through
amendment/enactment of laws. Steps have been taken to make the financial loan courts more
effective.
4.12 Domestic Resource Projection for Fifth Plan
4.12.1 Financial outlay of the Fifth Plan amounting Tk.1,959.52 billion is proposed to be
financed by Tk.1,519.76 billion in domestic resources and Tk.439.76 billion in net foreign
capital inflow- both ODA and foreign direct investment (FDI). Thus about 78 per cent of Plan
outlay will be financed by domestic resources. This will require relentless effort for domestic
resource mobilisation. The Plan outlay, its breakdown between the public and private sectors
and their broad financing sources are shown in Table 4.10.
78
Table 4.10
Financing of Fifth Plan Outlay
(at 1996/97 prices)
( in billion Taka)
Items Total Share (%) Public Share (%) Private Share (%)
Plan Size 1,959.52 100.00 858.94 100.00 1,100.58 100.00
Domestic Resource 1,519.76 77.56 527.72 61.44 992.04 90.14
External Resource 439.76 22.44 331.22 38.56 108.54 9.86
4.13 Financing of Public Sector Outlay During Fifth Plan
4.13.1 Public sector outlay during the Fifth Plan period is projected to be Tk. 858.94 billion
or 44 per cent of the total outlay. Of the total public sector outlay, Tk. 527.72 billion (61.4 per
cent) will be financed from domestic sources i.e., revenue surplus, capital receipts, self-
financing by the parastatals, etc. Rest of the public sector outlay Tk. 331.22 billion (38.6 per
cent) will be financed by ODA. Public investment for the development of physical and social
infrastructure will mainly be financed through increasing revenue, particularly tax revenue.
Use of foreign savings or debt for financing these outlays generates certain fundamental
weaknesses which make the economy vulnerable. Recent experience of the miracle
economies of East and South East Asia testifies to this apprehension.
4.13.2 Proposed financing of public sector outlay is presented in Table 4.11. The Plan
projects a revenue surplus of Tk. 377.26 billion. The underlying assumptions are that total tax
revenue will increase at an annual average rate of around 10.9 per cent and non-tax receipts at
around 8.6 per cent while revenue expenditure will grow at an average annual rate of around
6.5 per cent. The government will make a determined effort to increase other domestic
resources. The Plan, however, recognises that given the exogenous events, actual
performance may deviate from that of the projected. Under such circumstances, projection
will be revised based on assumption about future trend of exogenous variables.
Table 4.11
Financing of Public Sector Outlay* During Fifth Plan
( at 1996/97 prices)
( in billion Taka)
Sources Amount
Domestic Resources (c+d) 580.87
a) Revenue Receipts 1,159.73
Tax 957.82
Non-tax 201.91
b) Revenue Expenditure 782.47
c) Revenue Surplus (a-b) 377.26
d) Other Domestic Resources 203.61
External Resources 331.22
Total Resources 912.09
* Includes transfer to private sector.
Note : Other Domestic Resources include net capital receipts, self-financing of the parastatals, net resources
generated by food budget and public borrowing (net).
4.13.3 Present tax/GDP ratio in Bangladesh is one of the lowest among the developing
countries. The Fifth Plan projects that tax revenue will increase from Tk.140.74 billion in
1996/97 to Tk.235.63 billion in 2001/2002 (Table 4.12). This will raise tax/GDP ratio from
around 10 per cent in 1996/97 to 11.98 per cent in the terminal year of the Plan. This will
still be lower than that in other neighbouring South Asian countries. Since early 1990s, there
79
have been some erosion and weakening of the tax base as well as tax efforts, resulting in
stagnation and sometimes decline in tax/GDP ratio. A Commission will be appointed to
examine the tax system and make recommendations for improvement of tax system and tax
administration.
Table 4.12
Projection of Tax Revenues During Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices)
(in million Taka)
Items 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 Total
(Benchmark) (Fifth Plan)
Customs Duty 42520.00 47714.29 48281.29 49253.18 53614.79 58658.57 257522.12
VAT 44400.00 48095.24 63061.96 76347.80 87490.42 99705.38 374700.80
Income Tax 17350.00 18571.43 20163.57 22447.49 25128.46 28262.33 114573.28
Non-judicial Stamp 5270.00 5380.95 5436.78 5583.39 5758.80 6088.73 28248.65
Land Revenue 1850.00 1857.14 1873.17 2005.87 2170.56 2352.03 10258.77
Electricity Duty 1053.00 1121.91 1215.76 1422.34 1678.94 1991.64 7430.59
Registration Fee 1650.00 1714.29 1593.99 1732.34 1883.01 2058.03 8981.66
Motor Vehicles Tax 1300.00 1761.90 1788.81 1862.27 2085.54 2389.97 9888.49
Others 3617.00 3716.19 3701.31 4102.91 4591.58 5187.75 21299.74
Supplementary Duty 21730.00 23904.76 22874.45 23592.51 25608.29 28937.18 124917.19
Total Tax 140740.00 153838.10 169991.09 188350.10 210010.39 235631.61 957821.29
Note: Above projection is based on a conservative estimate of import growth. However, it is anticipated that
the acceleration of growth during the Plan will lead to a somewhat higher level of import.
4.13.4 Adequate reform measures will be undertaken to bring about desirable changes and
improvement in the tax structure and tax administration. The main objectives will be to : (a)
attain a steady increase in tax/GDP ratio, (b) make major taxes elastic, (c) ensure
progressivity in incidence and (d) provide incentives for income, savings, exports and
production. Reform measures in tax administration will aim at strengthening its functioning
in order to cope adequately with tax evasion. It will be undertaken in view of the fact that an
increasing degree of tax evasion is the major factor behind inelasticity of revenue rather than
the tax structure itself.
4.13.5 The Fifth Plan recognises that tax evasion is a function of complexity of the tax
collection machinery and the reported corruption within the system. However, if the system
is simplified, the tax level is reasonable and public accountability is instituted with enough
checks and balances, the evasion is likely to decrease substantially in future. This issue will
be accorded priority during the Fifth Plan. If this issue is resolved expeditiously, the amount
of time spent on controlling tax evasion can be used more productively. This, in turn, will
lead to higher profitability and further tax collection.
4.13.6 Technical and management capacity of the National Board of Revenue (NBR) will be
improved substantially. Tax administration, both income and commodity taxation, which
aims at reduced contact between tax officials and the public will develop indirect methods
for determination of tax base and tax yield. These include audit, standardised production
coefficients, etc. These institutional deficiencies will be addressed on an urgent basis.
4.13.7 Given the policies of export led growth, flexible exchange rate and trade
liberalisation, it is expected that the importance of import-related taxes will predictably
decline. To offset that, emphasis will be shifted to domestic value added tax (VAT) and
income taxation. In order to increase tax revenue, emphasis will be laid on expansion of VAT
80
network extending it to the retail level, and broadening the income tax base. In order to make
VAT system efficient, collection procedure of VAT will be simplified and evasion will be
reduced and VAT administration will be strengthened. At the same time VAT collection
procedure will be carefully monitored in order to control evasion and corruption.
Supplementary duties will be rationalised and brought under normal tax system as a potential
tax instrument so that it can address both revenue and equity concerns in tariff reforms. Both
income as well as corporate tax rates will be reduced. This, in turn, will increase profitability
of enterprises leading to improvement in tax discipline and subsequent larger collection.
4.13.8 In order to make the tax system more equitable, measures will be taken to increase the
share of direct taxes in revenues. Collection of direct taxes will be increased through
increasing tax bases and strengthening tax administration and reducing tax rates, where
appropriate. Numerous exemptions that erode the base of personal income taxation will be
eliminated gradually. Use of tax holiday for companies will be discouraged. The scope of
wealth and capital gains tax will be extended to cover other sources of wealth and property.
4.13.9 Policies will be undertaken during the Plan period to increase the contribution of non-
tax revenue. Narrow base of non-tax revenue and deficits in railway and postal departments
are responsible for low contribution of non-tax sources to the total revenue receipts. To
extend the base, cost recovery will be sought from rendering public services in such fields as
education, health, irrigation and water-supply. The Plan projection has been made on the
assumption that deficits in railway and postal departments will decline over the years and they
will make positive contribution at the end of Plan period. Non-tax revenue is projected to
increase at the rate of around 8.6 per cent annually from Tk.30.71 billion in 1996/97 to Tk.
46.35 billion in 2001/2002 (Table 4.13).
Table 4.13
Projection of Non-tax Revenues During Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices)
(in million Taka)
Items 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 Total
(Benchmark) (Fifth Plan)
Interest Income 5300.00 5238.10 4685.95 5263.36 5925.16 6386.96 27499.53
Dividend and Profit 7410.10 7756.00 7614.67 8707.76 9426.39 10211.71 43716.53
Public Financial Institutions 5245.50 5047.62 4685.95 5418.16 5771.26 5941.36 26864.35
Public Enterprises 2164.60 2708.38 2928.72 3289.60 3655.13 4270.35 16852.18
Water Charges 20.00 21.43 93.72 108.36 123.12 133.68 480.31
Ferry Receipts 100.00 114.29 62.48 61.92 61.56 59.41 359.66
Tolls 470.00 485.71 468.60 541.82 615.60 742.67 2854.40
Railway -893.70 -609.52 -585.74 -193.51 192.38 557.00 -639.39
Postal Services -256.00 -198.29 -78.10 38.70 76.95 111.40 -49.34
Telegraph and Telephone 6300.00 7142.86 7419.42 7740.23 8464.52 8912.03 39679.06
Disinvested Industrial Units 650.00 1304.76 2342.98 2322.07 1539.00 742.67 8251.48
Rents from Government 600.00 609.52 2967.77 3096.09 3231.91 3267.75 13173.04
Housing
Passport and Visa Fee 1750.00 1714.29 1522.93 1586.75 1654.43 1671.01 8149.41
Others 9259.60 9480.29 11285.33 11726.45 12388.98 13553.67 58434.72
Total 30710.00 33059.44 37800.01 41000.00 43700.00 46349.96 201909.41
4.13.10 Non-tax revenues are going to increase significantly during the Fifth Plan because of
strong policy measures to be taken by the government. These are described below, under
different heads of non-tax revenue collection:
81
Commission was considered in this calculation. It is estimated that the increase in pay will be
accompanied by substantial rationalisation of the government workforce and considerable
improvement in productivity in the government service. The government will take all
necessary steps so that incentive effect of this pay increase turns to be positive and several
human resource development programmes in the public sector contribute to efficiency.
Projection of major components of revenue expenditures during the Plan period is shown in
Table 4.14. Revenue expenditure in real terms will increase at an average annual rate of 6.5
per cent from Tk. 125.35 billion in 1996/97 to Tk. 171.34 billion in 2001/2002. The growth
of revenue expenditure at this rate assumes that expenditure on public administration
including law and order and defence will be kept to the indispensable minimum level. Debt
services will vary between 12 to 15 per cent of the total revenue expenditure. Transfer of
personnel required for maintenance and operation of completed projects to revenue budget
will be rigorously scrutinised.
4.13.12 Required mobilisation of domestic resources on the scale projected will call for a
strong political will to make tax administration efficient and effective. Measures will have to
be undertaken for eliminating losses of SOEs, withdrawing of public investment from the loss
making manufacturing SOEs, rationalising prices of goods and services produced by the
public utilities, avoiding low priority investment projects and restricting public consumption.
The macro policy framework will be tailored appropriately to achieve these objectives.
Table 4.14
Projection of Major Components of Revenue Expenditures During Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices)
(in billion Taka)
Components 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 Total
(Benchmark) (Fifth Plan)
General Services 49.17 51.56 52.53 54.63 56.82 59.09 274.63
Economic Services 13.40 14.19 14.99 15.07 15.87 16.67 76.79
Social Services 40.25 39.86 41.89 43.23 45.80 48.08 218.86
Subsidies 4.83 6.48 3.39 2.78 2.58 2.20 17.43
Debt Services 17.70 19.76 18.68 20.92 22.57 23.91 105.84
Others - 6.67 19.75 20.61 20.50 21.39 88.92
Total 125.35 138.52 151.23 157.24 164.14 171.34 782.47
4.13.13 During the Plan period, projected domestic resource generation through increasing
revenue surplus and capital receipts, containing self-financing of autonomous organisations
and controlling revenue expenditures will reduce Bangladesh's dependence on external aid for
its public sector development outlay from 51.1 per cent in the base year to 29.8 per cent in the
terminal year. Of the total domestic resources, contribution of revenue surplus will be 47.7
per cent to ADP in the terminal year.
4.13.14 Recent trends in revised allocation of the ADPs show that self-financing by the
parastatals is declining in nominal terms. The trend is likely to continue in the future. Under
the macroeconomic stabilisation programme, the government has the commitment to reduce
the budget deficit. To this end, one of the important issues to be addressed is the collection of
debt service liability (DSL) payments from the parastatals. With the improvement in financial
performance of the parastatals, they will be obliged to fulfil their debt service payment to the
government. This can impose a limit on the liberty to transfer resources by themselves
towards their self-financed projects. Besides, no self-financed new public projects will be
83
encouraged in the future. To complete the on-going projects, an amount of Tk.11.42 billion
has been allocated in the Fifth Plan.
4.13.15 Food budget operations have become a major source of instability for domestic
resource mobilisation. The impact of food budget, which has emerged as a large deficit since
late 1980s, causes a huge drain on domestic resources. Elements of the food budget are so
unpredictable and volatile in nature that no attempt can be made to estimate the net impact of
food budget for a period of 5 years in future. In the near future, the scope for reducing the
size of deficits substantially is very limited. On the other hand, there are reasons to believe
that the deficits may increase. The projection of external resources indicates that food aid is
going to decline by sizeable amount during the Fifth Plan. This will lead to increase in
commercial import and domestic food procurement at higher prices. Without commensurate
adjustments in ration prices, such excess expenditure is likely to increase deficits in food
account. Further, since price support will be given to agriculture during the Plan period, the
food procurement will increase. At the same time Food for Works and Food for Education
programmes are going to be expanded. As a result, not much will be received from the food
budget. Since 1991/92, the deficits, on an average, amounted to more than Tk. 3 billion per
annum at current prices. In order to increase the contribution from the food budget the
government will resort, in lean season, to open market sales at prices higher than procurement
prices.
4.13.16 Net capital receipt, which has been positive in recent years, is expected to improve
on account of increase in collection from various bonds, growth in the deposits in national
savings and provident fund and better recovery of cash loans from the parastatals. During the
Fifth Plan extensive efforts will be made to introduce innovative financial instruments which
will be tax free. This is going to increase revenue from this head substantially. Contribution
of net capital receipts to the ADP was more than 9 per cent in 1995/96 and estimated at over
11 per cent in 1996/97. Against this backdrop, it is estimated that the net capital receipts are
going to make significant contribution during the Plan period. Table 4.15 presents financing
of the ADPs during the Fifth Plan.
4.13.17 Given the imperfection in the financial market and superior position of the
government in risk diversification, the government will undertake borrowing from the public
with the objective of transferring the major part of this along with resources generated in the
energy sector to the private sector. Government will institute various kinds of funds. Such
funds will include Industrial and Export Development Funds through which funds will be
channelised to the private sector, particularly in those thrust sectors where private investment
is shy. Public sector will generate a surplus of more than Tk.50 billion for transfer to the
private sector. Inspite of additional borrowing, the new domestic debt to GDP ratio will be
hardly 2.8 per cent in the terminal year of the Plan.
4.13.18 One of the important areas where additional resources will be generated is through
pruning of unproductive projects and projects which are taking unduly long time to complete.
Public accounting of investment projects with questionable quality will be instituted.
Thorough public accounting of the development projects will bring in additional dividend.
4.13.19 Emphasis will be given on improving the financial position of the local governments.
More revenue will be generated through broadening the base of taxes and fees. Tax
administration will be strengthened further to reduce tax defaults and evasion. Tax rates will
be revised and taxes will be imposed/extended in certain areas which have potentials for
raising revenues at the local levels. Emphasis will be given to make Zilla, Thana and Union
Parishads financially solvent to enable them to finance development activities of their own.
84
4.13.20 Besides financing the development outlays, elimination of poverty will continue to
be one of the primary objectives of domestic resource mobilisation in the public sector. To
improve the quality of and access to educational and health services, social services have
received priority in the projection of expenditures. This will enhance the earning capacity of
the poor and reduce direct demand on public resources. Public Foodgrain Distribution System
will be adjusted adequately to favour the non-monetised channels, such as, FFW, VGD, etc.
This will transfer income to the poor.
Table 4.15
Financing Annual Development Programmes During Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices )
(in million Taka)
Items 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 Total
(Benchmark) (Fifth Plan)
Domestic Resource 62030.0 60339.5 87794.8 108709.8 144218.8 179800.8 580863.7
Tax 140740.0 153838.1 169991.1 188350.1 210010.4 235631.6 957821.3
Non-tax 30710.0 33059.4 37800.0 41000.0 43700.0 46350.0 201909.4
Total Revenue 171450.0 186897.5 207791.1 229350.1 253710.4 281981.6 1159730.7
Revenue Expenditure 125350.0 138520.0 151227.3 157240.3 164149.6 171337.8 782475.0
Revenue Surplus 46100.0 48377.5 56563.8 72109.8 89560.8 110643.8 377255.7
Net Food Budget -560.0 466.7 -500.0 -500.0 -500.0 -500.0 -1533.3
Self-financing 1550.0 1666.7 1950.0 2100.0 2600.0 3100.0 11416.7
Net Capital 13090.0 5400.0 6500.0 7000.0 7500.0 8000.0 34400.0
T & T Bond 1850.0 1428.6 3000.0 3500.0 3500.0 3500.0 14928.6
Biman Bond - - 650.0 700.0 750.0 800.0 2900.0
New Debt - 3000.0 19631.0 23800.0 40808.0 54257.0 141496.0
Extenal Resource 59750.0 64200.0 64181.0 66309.0 67325.0 69205.0 331220.0
Total Resources 121780.0 124539.5 151975.8 175018.8 211543.8 249005.8 912083.7
ADP 117000.0 121905.0 138534.0 167308.0 199279.0 231913.0 858939.0
Resource Surplus **4780.0 2634.5 13441.8 7710.8 12264.8 17092.8 53144.7
As Percentage of GDP
Tax 10.03 10.35 10.76 11.16 11.56 11.98 -
Non-tax 2.19 2.22 2.39 2.43 2.41 2.36 -
Total Revenue 12.22 12.57 13.15 13.59 13.97 14.34 -
Revenue Expenditure 8.94 9.32 9.57 9.32 9.04 8.71 -
Revenue Surplus 3.28 3.25 3.58 4.27 4.93 5.63 -
Net Food Budget -0.04 0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -
Self-financing 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.16 -
Net Capital 0.94 0.36 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 -
T & T Bond 0.13 0.10 0.19 0.21 0.19 0.18 -
Biman Bond - - 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 -
New Debt - 0.20 1.24 1.41 2.25 2.76 -
Total Debt 1.07 0.66 1.88 2.07 2.89 3.39 -
Other Domestic Resource 1.14 0.81 1.98 2.17 3.01 3.51 -
Domestic Resource 4.42 4.06 5.56 6.44 7.94 9.14 -
External Resource 4.26 4.32 4.06 3.93 3.71 3.52 -
Total Resources 8.68 8.38 9.62 10.37 11.65 12.66 -
ADP 8.34 8.20 8.77 9.91 10.97 11.79 -
Resource Surplus 0.34 0.18 0.85 0.46 0.68 0.87 -
As Percentage of ADP -
External Resource 51.07 52.66 46.33 39.63 33.78 29.84 -
Revenue Surplus 39.40 39.68 40.83 43.10 44.94 47.71 -
** Transfer of non-ADP FFW programme. Resource surplus in other years ( 1997/98-2001/2) will be transferred
to the private sector.
85
for better supervision and enforcement to improve the functioning and accountability of the
NCBs and DFIs as well as the private banks. It is anticipated that such reform programme
will strengthen the capability of the financial sector to finance private investment more
effectively.
Table 4.16
Projection of Broad Money (M2) During Fifth Plan
(in billion Taka)
1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002
Money Supply (M2) 456.90 506.28 582.12 671.71 779.65 913.44 1079.13
Percentage Change - 10.81 14.98 15.39 16.07 17.16 18.14
Note: 1. Years are on end June basis.
2. Income elasticity of demand for Broad Money (M2) = 1.362.
3. Growth in M2 is based on income elasticity of demand for Broad Money, implicit inflation of 5 per
cent and growth of GDP.
4.16.3 Interest rate policy will play the key role in overall monetary management. Substantial
progress has been achieved in the liberalisation of interest rates and making them more
market-oriented. Proper interest rate policy will not only create incentive for savings, but will
also channel the generated savings towards productive investment. Persistence of wide
difference between deposit and lending rate has had negative impact on both savings and
investment. This issue will be addressed during the Fifth Plan and further liberalisation of
interest rate will be considered.
4.16.4 Maintenance of a sustainable external balance has implication for domestic resource
mobilisation effort of the government. During the Fifth Plan, Bangladesh will follow an
exchange rate policy which is sufficiently flexible to deal with macroeconomic environment
and to maintain sustainable external balance. This will require adjustment of the exchange
rate in line with the movement of the real effective exchange rate (REER) of Taka.
Bangladesh is, at present, adjusting its Taka in terms of a basket of foreign currencies.
Imports have been liberalised and with the exception of few items, the quantitative
restrictions have been removed from all importables. The liberalised trade policy will be
pursued during the Fifth Plan which will make exports more competitive and induce setting
up of competitive industries. The balance of payments policy will be managed in such a way
that the foreign savings is maximised which is vital for acceleration of the growth process.
4.17 Domestic Resource Mobilisation and Macroeconomic Stabilisation
4.17.1 The basic resource mobilisation strategy will be to limit the size of the budget deficits
by stronger revenue initiatives and restraints on revenue expenditures. If these measures are
implemented effectively, they will, in the medium term, achieve three things - first, the
attainment of macroeconomic stability; second, improvement in public savings; and third,
lessening of the burden of public debt.
4.17.2 Since the mid 1980s Bangladesh has been following a package of macroeconomic
policies under the Structural Adjustment Programme. The basic objective of such a
programme has been the attainment of macroeconomic stability. The Fifth Plan will,
however, institute an efficient and dynamic macro policy regime which will play an
important role in economic growth and development. Such a macro policy regime will
increase savings and will channel savings into productive uses, encourage productive
consumption and discourage unproductive consumption, lower inefficiency and wastage,
remove bottlenecks of various kinds, eliminate growth-retarding distortions in the tax system
89
and other distortions in the relative prices of factors of production due to public policies, and
at the same time maintain overall macroeconomic stability.
90
CHAPTER V
TRADE AND EXTERNAL RESOURCES
5.2 Imports
5.2.1 Import of goods at 1989/90 prices grew at an annual rate of 6.14 per cent which was
higher than 5.11 per cent envisaged in the Plan. Total import during the Plan period was,
however, $130 million (0.66 per cent) less than $19,811 million projected in the Plan due to
low imports during the early years. Imports started picking up after declining during the first
two years of the Plan and spurred to a peak of $ 5,051 million in the terminal year. Foodgrain
imports rose sharply to $622 million in 1994/95, as opposed to the expectation of a fall to
$100 million. Non-food imports and imports of intermediate goods grew at a lower rate of
5.4 per cent and 5.5 per cent respectively compared to 6.6 per cent and 9.8 per cent projected
in the Plan. Capital goods import actually declined by 2.2 per cent against the expectation of a
1.7 per cent growth during the Plan. Import of textile goods grew at about 30 per cent in
response to higher foreign demand for ready-made garments(RMG) against an average
growth of 20.7 per cent as envisaged in the Plan. The commodity structure of imports in the
base year (1989/90) of the Plan and that in its terminal year (1994/95) are shown in Table 5.2.
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Table 5.2
Merchandise Imports During Fourth Plan Period
( at 1989/90 c. i. f. prices )
( in million US$)
Sl. Commodity Unit 1989/90 1994/95
No (Benchmark)
Qty. Value Projection Actual
Qty. Value Qty. Value
FOODGRAINS mill. tons 1.523 343 0.51 100 2.567 622
1. Rice -do- 0.300 102 … … 0.813 276
2. Wheat -do- 1.223 241 0.51 100 1.754 346
NON-FOOD … … 3,407 … 4,700 … 4,429
1. Edible oil & 0il ‘000’ tons 294 131 570 268 548 241
seeds
2. Crude petroleum -do- 904 125 1,400 193 1,364 188
3. Petroleum -do- 983 197 1,000 200 1,181 236
products
4. Cotton & staple ‘000’ 371 137 420 156 381 142
fibre bales
5. Yarn mill. lbs. 20 37 35 64 53 98
6. Textiles … … 288 … 735 … 1,028
7. Fertiliser ‘000’mt. 375 74 775 153 710 140
8. Cement -do- 1,606 95 1,800 106 2,200 130
9. Chemicals … … 87 … 150 … 158
10. Iron & Steel … … 177 … 250 … 230
11. Milk & Cream ‘000’ tons 63 88 80 113 22 31
12. Sugar -do- 91 44 100 48 147 70
13. Spices -do- 11 13 35 41 10 12
14. Cocoanut oil -do- 30 22 40 29 4 3
15. Pharmaceutical products … … 28 … 40 … 30
16. Dyeing, Tanning, … … 29 … 40 … 43
etc. extracts
17. Capital goods … … 1,296 … 1,410 … 1,160
18. Others … … 539 … 704 … 489
TOTAL … … 3,750 … 4,800 … 5,051
5.3 Exports
5.3.1 Total exports during the Plan period fell short of the projection by $400 million (3.71
per cent) and amounted to $ 10,392 million. In contrast, the average annual rate of growth of
exports was a bit higher at 12.2 per cent than 11.6 per cent envisaged in the Plan as export
picked up slowly during the early years. Non-traditional exports grew at a higher rate of 17.2
per cent against the Plan projection of an average annual growth of 16.0 per cent thereby
offsetting the shortfall in traditional exports. Ready-made garments fell short of the target
which was more than compensated by the knitwear export. Export earning by commodities
may be seen in Table 5.3. It may be pointed out that the Fourth Plan experienced some
healthy developments in the shares of ready-made garments and frozen food. These two
items together grew at an annual rate of 16.79 per cent. However, their share declined from
72.67 per cent of non-traditional export earnings in 1989/90 to 71.28 per cent in 1994/95.
Non-traditional exports thus underwent further diversification which reduced the overall risk
of price fluctuations. Knitwear, leather goods and the specialised textiles added to this
diversification.
92
Table 5.3
Merchandise Exports During Fourth Plan Period
(at 1989/90 f.o.b. prices)
( in million US$)
Sl. Commodity Unit 1989/90 1994/95
No. (Benchmark) Projection Actual
Qty. Value Qty. Value Qty. Value
TRADITIONAL … … 501 … 487 … 443
01. Raw jute mill. bales 2.06 125 1.80 108 1.72 103
02. Jute goods ‘000’tons 545 337 525 325 474 294
03. Tea mill. kgs. 22.6 39 31 54 27 46
NON-TRADITIONAL … … 1,028 … 2,163 … 2,277
01. Leather mill. sft. 157 179 160 182 162 184
02. Frozen food mill.lbs. 48 138 55 158 78 226
03. Readymade garments … … 609 … 1,480 … 1,397
04. Fertilisers ‘000’ tons 144 21 500 74 438 64
05. Naphtha -do- 59 8 50 7 28 4
06. Furnace oil -do- 130 11 0 0 129 10
07. Newsprint -do- 5 3 1.5 1 0.15 negligible
08. Paper -do- 0.6 1 1 2 0 0
09. Handicrafts … … 5 … 8 … 5
10. Specialised textiles & … … 4 … 25 … 26
household linen
11. Knitwear … … 15 … 155 … 237
12. Vegetables ‘000’tons 5.6 8 10 14 8 12
13. Tobacco -do- 0.5 1 4 2 0.1 negligible
14. Betel leaves -do- 0.2 negligible 2 3 1.2 2
15. Others … … 25 … 52 … 110
TOTAL : … … 1,529 … 2,650 … 2,720
private transfers was 4.8 per cent against the projected 5.1 per cent. This compares with a 9.6
per cent annual growth during the Third Plan period. Main reasons for lower growth of
private transfers were political unrest and administrative hurdles. Manpower export was
91.18 thousand persons during the Plan period against 40.93 thousands during the previous
Plan period giving an annual rate of growth of 17.37 per cent on an average.
5.6 Foreign Aid
5.6.1 The global recession after the Gulf war, the emergence of independent states in the
former Soviet Union and the donors’ constraints adversely affected the availability of external
assistance and caused a decline in the flow of foreign aid to Bangladesh. During the Plan
period, the total aid disbursement which was also affected by implementation problems fell
short of the target by 9.28 per cent and reached $7,564 million.
Table 5.5
Disbursement of Foreign Aid 1990-95
(at 1989/90 prices)
( in million US$)
Category of Aid Projection Actual Achievement (%)
overseas workers levelled off at $ 1,217 million. The strains experienced in the external
balance in FY96 are likely to ease, although marginally, in FY97. An estimated faster growth
of exports than imports, aided and strengthened by an expected turnaround in the flow of
worker’s remittances, could narrow the current account deficit to an estimated 3.4 per cent of
GDP compared to 5.0 per cent in FY96.
5.8.2 During the year 1996/97, overall export receipts are expected to rise by 13.3 per cent
to $ 4,400 million while total import payments are likely to grow by 1.7 per cent to $ 7,000
million leaving a trade deficit of $2,600 million. The current account deficit is estimated to be
limited to $ 860 million, 47.5 per cent below the level of $ 1,637 million a year back
(1995/96), with the help of an estimated 20.7 per cent rise in private transfers.
5.8.3 Total exports are estimated to grow by 13.3 per cent to $4,400 million in FY97
compared to a growth of 11.8 per cent in FY96. Export earnings from jute, jute goods,
garments, knitwear, frozen food, and tea - the leading export items of the country, are all
estimated to register higher growth during the year. Total export growth would have been
even higher if it was not constrained by short supply of fertilisers, newsprint, paper and
bitumen, and weak performance of the leather sector.
5.8.4 In FY 96, there was a sharp fall in aid commitments compared to the previous year.
Aid commitments declined from $ 1,612 million in FY 95 by about 20 per cent and amounted
to $ 1,284 million in FY 96; project aid commitments declined by about 12 per cent while
commodity aid commitment declined by about 54 per cent in FY 96. There was also a sharp
fall in the actual aid disbursement. Despite attempts to improve the rate of aid utilisation,
disbursement performance continued to reflect the inherent weakness of development
administration and aid modality. It is estimated that disbursement position of foreign aid may
not improve appreciably in the short run.
5.8.5 The terms of trade remained more or less static in FY96 because of almost equal
increases in both the export and import price indices during the year. The terms are, however,
likely to decline slightly in FY97 under the combined effect of an estimated higher increase in
import price index of 5.0 per cent and a lower increase in export price index of 3.5 per cent.
5.9 Fifth Five Year Plan (1997-2002)
5.9.1 The projected balance of payments for the Fifth Plan is shown in Table 5.7. It shows
balance of payments gap declining from $1.3 billion in 1996/97 to $0.9 billion in 2001/2002.
95
Table 5.7
Projection of Balance of Payments During Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices)
( in million US$)
Category 1996/97 (Benchmark) 2001/02 1997-2002
Import Payments (c.i.f) (-)7000 (-)10525 (-)45395
Export Receipts (f.o.b) 4400 7750 31300
Trade Balance (-)2600 (-)2775 (-)14095
Invisibles(net) (-)40 (-)65 (-)275
Inflows 712 1145 4770
Outflows (-)752 (-)1210 (-)5045
Private Transfers 1780 2270 10350
(Of which Remittances) (1500) (1915) (8705)
Current Account Balance (-)860 (-)570 (-)4020
MLT Debt Amortisations (-)330 (-)310 (-)1598
IMF Repurchases (-)114 (-)34 (-)357
Balance of Payments Gap (-)1304 (-)914 (-)5975
Disbursement of Aid 1450 1617 7745
a. Food 110 62 413
b. Commodity 161 137 761
c. Project 1179 1418 6571
5.10 Imports
5.10.1 During the Fifth Plan, the total import bill is estimated to grow at an annual rate of 8.5
per cent from $ 7,000 million in the base year to $10,525 million in 2001/02. The total import
bill for the Plan period will be about $45.40 billion. Given that domestic production of
foodgrains will reach 25 million metric tons in 2001/02 as planned, food import bill will
marginally increase to a level of $242 million in 2001/02 to import 1.21 million tons of
wheat only. A single item of import that will dominate during the period will be textiles
which is projected to rise from $1,960 million in 1996/97 to $3,155 million in 2001/02 in
order to support RMG exports. Other import items which will grow fast to meet domestic
demand are edible oil and oil seeds, cotton and cotton yarn, staple fibres, fertilisers, POL, etc.
Details of projected imports are shown in Table 5.8.
96
Table 5.8
Projection of Merchandise Imports During
Fifth Plan (at 1996/97 prices )
( in million US$)
Commodity Unit 1996 / 97(Benchmark) 2001/02
Quantity Value Quantity Value
01. Foodgrains million tons 1.070 220 1.21 242
(a) Rice -do- 0.069 20 0 0
(b) Wheat -do- 1.001 200 1.21 242
02. Edible oil ‘000’ tons 300 180 550 330
03. Oil seeds -do- 140 45 275 88
04. Crude petroleum -do- 1,200 205 1,300 222
05. POL ‘000’ tons 1,596 361 2,515 568
(a) Petroleum -do- 1,545 345 2,440 544
products
(b) Lubricating oil -do- 51 16 75 24
06. Cotton ‘000’ bales 400 190 550 261
07. Staple fibre -do- 75 30 150 60
08. Yarn million lbs 95 166 200 350
09. Textiles … … 1,960 … 3,155
10. Fertilisers ‘000’ tons 750 169 1,500 338
11. Cement -do- 2,200 165 3,000 225
12. Chemicals … … 165 … 250
13. Iron & steel … … 200 … 250
14. Milk & cream ‘000’ tons 25 52 30 62
15. Sugar -do- 150 56 133 49
16. Spices -do- 5.5 11 18 35
17. Cocoanut oil -do- 5 5 10 10
18 Pharmaceutical … … 20 … 30
products
19. Dyeing, Tanning … … 50 … 60
etc. extracts
20. Capital goods … … 1,650 … 2,150
21. Others … … 1,100 … 1,790
TOTAL : … … 7,000 … 10,525
5.11 Exports
5.11.1 During the Fifth Plan, export earning is expected to grow at an annual rate of 12.0 per
cent from $4,400 million in 1996/97 to $7,750 million in 2001/02. The share of non-
traditional exports will rise from 90.1 per cent in 1996/97 to 92.5 per cent in 2001/02 (Table
5.9). Traditional exports are envisaged to rise by 6.1 per cent only over the Plan period from
$434 million in 1996/97 to $585 million in 2001/02. Export of raw jute is projected to grow
at an annual rate of 9.3 per cent to a level of $162 million compared to $104 million in
1996/97. Frozen food export is envisaged to increase to $595 million in the terminal year
from $ 332 million in the base year reflecting an annual growth of 12.4 per cent. RMG export
excluding knitwear is expected to rise from $2,200 million in 1996/97 to $3,850 million in
2001/02, at an annual growth rate of about 11.8 per cent. Knitwear export will increase by
17.5 per cent annually during the Plan period.
97
Table 5.9
Projection of Merchandise Exports During
Fifth Plan (at 1996/97 prices)
( in million US$)
Commodity Unit 1996/97 (Benchmark) 2001/02
Quantity Value Quantity Value
1 2 3 4 5 6
01.Frozen Food million lbs 80 332 140 595
(a) Frozen shrimps 60 292 110 535
(b) Frozen fish 20 40 30 60
02. Fish ‘000’ tons 1.3 7 4.05 19
(a) Dried Fish 0.5 2 3.00 13
(b) Salted & dehydrated fish 0.8 5 1.05 6
03.Vegetables ‘000’ tons 20 23 30 35
04.Fruits ‘000’ tons 1.3 2 1.8 3
05.Betel leaves ‘000’ tons 1.1 1 1.6 2
06.Tobacco ‘000’ tons 2.5 3 3.0 3
07.Tea million kgs 27 32 32 38
08.Crude fertiliser ‘000’ tons 0.3 Negligible 2.5 1
09.Raw jute million bales 1.6 104 2.5 162
10.Jute goods ‘000’ tons 425 298 550 385
11.Tortoise & turtles ‘000’ tons 6.0 14 8.5 20
and crabs
12.Pharmaceuticals … … 3 … 5.5
13.Fertiliser ‘000’ tons 655 123 750 140
(a) Urea 549 104 175 31
(b) Ammonia 106 19 575 109
14.Leather million sft. 145 203 200 280
15.Handicrafts … … 6 … 8.5
16.Specialised textiles and … … 56 … 112
household linen
(a) Terry towel million dozens 5 46 10 92
good results for this sector in exporting to the niche markets in the Middle East.
Execution of a few orders of jewellery for the Middle Eastern markets has proved
highly promising. The government has already adopted some effective measures for
product development of jewellery for export. Future needs are being assessed for
continued support.
5.13 Trade Policy
5.13.1 Reforms: In the past decade, Bangladesh’s trade regime had undergone substantial
transformation with gradual unfolding of an environment conducive to export-oriented
development. There has been progress in several aspects of the trade regime. Average
nominal protection which was above 100 per cent in 1985 dropped to a mere 22 per cent in
FY 96. The coverage of QRs (for trade reasons) was reduced from 42 per cent in 1985 to only
2 per cent of imports in 1996. The exchange rate regime has been unified and is more market-
based than ever. Export incentive schemes, which were barely developed in 1985, have been
streamlined and made more effective. It is also expected that policies recently introduced in
fields of trade, commerce and industry will stimulate investment response and bolster up
manufacturing production.
5.13.2 More specifically, trade and exchange rate liberalisation has been the cornerstone of
the government’s policy to promote competitive efficiency in production and achieve
neutrality of incentives between production for exports and import substitutes, while
gradually making trade facilitation the centrepiece of customs administration. The specific
policies undertaken to achieve these goals are:
a. liberalisation of imports through removal or significant reduction of tariff and
non-tariff barriers and gearing up customs administration for speedy clearance of
goods;
b. rationalisation of the tariff structure to remove disincentives to domestic
production arising from tariff anomalies; this involves lowering of duties,
particularly on industrial inputs and capital machinery ; and
c. promotion of exports through simplification of procedures for importation of
duty-free inputs, introduction of export incentive schemes like special bonded
warehouse scheme, back-to-back L/C scheme, duty-drawback scheme, gearing
up customs administration for speedy clearance of export cargo and making
foreign exchange convertible in the current account.
5.13.3 A key objective of tariff rationalisation was to create a neutral trade regime by
eliminating anti-export bias resulting from high tariffs and QRs. Any residual anti-export bias
will have to be compensated by other broadly applicable and well functioning mechanism that
ensures duty/tax-free access to inputs used in exports. The government is committed to the
reduction of tariffs as part of its liberalisation programme commensurate with reasonable
protection to local industries. The Bangladesh Tariff Commission will play an important role
in providing policy advice to the government based on professional analysis.
5.13.4 The rationale for using tariff values is to reduce incentive for mis-invoicing and to
simplify the administrative process of valuation. The government recognises the need to
eventually conform to the WTO Agreement of Custom Valuation which requires that dutiable
value of imported goods should be determined on the basis of “transaction value” i.e. the
price paid or payable by the importer in a particular transaction. Pre-shipment inspection
(PSI) has been used on a voluntary basis as an alternative revenue-safeguard instrument
against under-invoicing. Importers using off-shore PSI services have the advantage of getting
100
quick clearance through customs. The coverage of PSI was extended in FY95 to tariff value
imports as well and improved monitoring has reduced potential abuse of the system. While
compulsory PSI is an option to be considered, it must be recognised that it is not a substitute
for further streamlining and strengthening of the customs administration which can only be
accomplished through modernisation, computerisation and proper administrative measures.
5.13.5 Like tariff rationalisation, significant progress has been made in removing QRs to the
point where a short list of sensitive items remains. Whereas almost 25 per cent of all items
under 4-digit headings were subject to QRs in 1990, now only 119 items covering only 2 per
cent of imports are so disposed. Of these , only 27 items are restricted for trade reasons.
5.13.6 New Policy: In tune with the prevailing world trend, the government is committed to a
liberal trade policy in a market economy. Bangladesh has embarked on an export-led
industrialisation strategy to take the advantage of free trade in order to achieve a faster
economic growth. In bringing about a desired level of export growth, a shift of emphasis from
a regulated economy to a market economy is significant. The major elements of the policy
reforms to adjust to a free trade regime include, among others, (a) liberalisation of import
including simplification of procedures, (b) rationalisation of the tariff structure, (c) reduction
in tariff rates and quantitative restrictions, (d) pursuing a flexible exchange rate policy, (e)
allowing IMF-consistent counter trade and (f) provisions of specific and transparent export
promotion measures. To provide continuity and long-term direction to the trade sector, the
government has decided to formulate a Five Year Trade Policy (Import and Export Policy)
instead of the hitherto followed annual/biannual ones. The trade policy announced eventually
is subject to annual review to adjust them with emerging requirements.
5.13.7 An accelerated development of the country’s export is an over-riding need, not only
for easing the growing pressure on the balance of payments, but also equally and more
importantly for the growth of viable and efficient agricultural and industrial sectors for
sustained economic development. This is only possible by making greater and determined
efforts for increased export.
5.13.8 In this context, the government has adopted an export-led growth policy and decided to
follow a long term strategy to implement the same. This long term strategy is embodied in the
Export Development Strategy of the government. Within the broad framework of the Export
Development Strategy, the main objectives of the export policy during the Plan period will
be to:
a. develop marketability of exportables through product diversification and quality
improvements;
b. establish backward linkages with export-oriented industry and service sectors for
utilisation of more of local inputs;
c. attract increased number of entrepreneurs for setting up export-oriented industries
and encourage them through the provision of suitable incentive mechanism; and
d. expand and consolidate existing markets and also develop new markets for
Bangladeshi exportables.
5.13.9 The salient elements of the strategy to reach these objectives will be to:
a. remove procedural and regulatory bottlenecks incompatible with the stated objectives
of the Export Development Strategy;
b. provide progressively updated policy support comparable with those of other countries
to enable Bangladeshi exporters to be on a sound footing in the international market;
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c. strengthen and improve the institutional framework for providing better services to
the exporters and export-oriented industries;
d. recognise that supportive infrastructural services can play an important role to
improve the exporters’ capability to perform efficiently and accordingly give priority
to the development of such infrastructural facilities;
e. remove the entrepreneurial and managerial inadequacies in the context of the
international competitive environment through appropriate resource development
programmes;
f. formulate and implement an export development programme to broaden and diversify
the range of exportable products through backward linkages;
g. participate in international trade fairs, both general and specialised, organise single-
country exhibitions abroad and field business delegations for creating new markets
and consolidating existing ones; and
h. formulate policy for quality improvement and encourage export enterprises to adopt
international standards such as ISO - 9,000 and ISO -14,000.
5.13.10 Expansion of the country’s supply base is important to any export strategy. Removal
of constraints to supplies and improvement in the incentive structure will enhance export
performance of the country in the short to medium term. At the same time, expansion of
production across the industries along with adaptation and development of products to
compete in the overseas market constitutes a medium to long-term priority. The strategy thus
intends to turn the drive for export-led growth into an economic movement.
5.13.11 In line with the above objectives and strategies, an incentive package has been
worked out. Facility for duty free import of raw materials for export-oriented industries under
bonded warehouse has been extended and more and more items are being continuously
brought under flat-rate of duty-draw-back system. In addition, facilities such as cash
compensatory support, market development cash assistance and duty-free import of capital
machinery have been extended to the exporters. These incentives are, however, subject to
continuous review with a view to rationalising and expanding their application and also
making them comparable with those of the competing countries. The main incentives in this
package may be summarised as follows:
a. Fiscal incentives
i. Continuance of duty-free import of capital machinery for export-oriented
industries outside Export Processing Zones;
ii. Provision for bonded warehouse to facilitate duty-free import of raw materials
for export production;
iii. Provision for duty-drawback, if the bonded warehouse facilities are not availed
of;
iv. Provision for sale of 20 per cent of the products by the cent per cent export-
oriented industries in the local market on payment of duties and taxes;
v. Exemption to the extent of 50 per cent of income arising out of export
business from income tax;
vi. Provision for tax holidays; and
vii. Provision for duty-free import of samples.
b. Financial incentives
i. Provision for local currency export-credit at a concessional rate of interest
within a band (present band is 8-10 per cent );
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ii. Provision for foreign currency export-credit under Export Development Fund
at a concessional rate of interest (rate of interest applicable is LIBOR+1 per
cent);
iii. Provision for back-to-back letters of credit for import of raw materials for
export production on deferred payments basis;
iv. Retention of export earnings by the exporters in their own foreign currency
accounts to the extent of 40 per cent in general cases and 7.5 per cent in lower
value-added items like ready-made garments ;
v. Facility for use of $25 million credit line for the markets of Commonwealth
of Independent States (CIS) ;
vi. 25 per cent compensatory cash benefit to the producers and suppliers of
fabrics and other textile products for the ultimate purposes of export in lieu of
bonded warehouse and duty draw-back facilities;
vii. Provision for 10 per cent Market Development Assistance for export of jute
yarn and twine;
viii. Banking facility for consignment sale and BMRE projects; and
ix. Export Credit Guarantee facility.
c. General incentives
i. Recognition of leather industries exporting at least 80 per cent of their
products as 100 per cent export oriented industries;
ii. Banning the export of crust leather;
iii. Giving facility of entrepot for export;
iv. Enhancing the financial limit for despatch of export samples abroad;
v. Provision for product and market development support under Export
Promotion Fund; and
vi. Awarding national trophy for export performance.
5.13.12 Following establishment of the WTO, every member country is committed to
liberalise the economy in such a way that there will be no artificial barrier on the way of free
movement of goods and services between nations. This has, on the one hand, thrown
challenges of severe competition and, on the other hand, provided opportunities to expand
trade for the developing countries.
5.13.13 The objective of the multilateral trading system is to encourage and enable countries
to pursue open and liberal trade policies. The Uruguay Round furthered and consolidated the
process of trade liberalisation through improvements in market access and more stringent
disciplines over trade measures. In addition to trade in goods, the Round has brought trade in
services and trade-related aspects of intellectual rights within the purview of the WTO trading
system. It recognises that countries which are at a lower stage of development, particularly the
least developed countries, may have to maintain, both in trade in goods and services,
reasonable protection or support. The rules, therefore, provided for special and differential
treatment in the form of total exemption from, or far lesser level of obligations and longer
time period between five to ten years, to accept the obligations by the least developed
countries in the various agreements.
5.13.14 Globalisation and liberalisation have increased the potential for international trade to
become an unprecedented engine of growth and an important mechanism for integrating
countries into the global economy. Bangladesh has adopted an export-oriented growth
strategy and recognises that in the effective operation of the multilateral trading system lies its
vital interest. Since the middle of the last decade, Bangladesh has, therefore, been making
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systematic efforts to liberalise trade by reducing tariffs and removing quantitative restrictions.
Simultaneously, attention is being given to improving and strengthening the capacity of the
administration to build up the regulatory framework that would ensure efficient performance
of the market economy. During the Plan period, efforts will be made to make the domestic
laws and regulations covering trade in goods and services as well as intellectual property
rights compatible with its commitments under the Uruguay Round Agreements and new laws
will be enacted where and when necessary.
5.13.15 The full benefit of globalisation and liberalisation can materialise only if countries
can increase their share in the world trade. However, many developing countries, particularly
the least developed countries, risk being left behind and marginalised as a result of more
intense global competition in the post Uruguay Round period in the world trade and
investment. Bangladesh has been taking up the issues on marginalisation in various
international forums including WTO and UNCTAD. The first WTO Ministerial Conference
held in Singapore has adopted the Integrated Programme of Action for the LDCs which
promises joint action by multilateral organisations including the financial institutions and the
developed countries to enhance the trading opportunities of the LDCs through capacity
building in them and increasing access for their products in the markets of developed and
developing countries. During the Fifth Plan period, Bangladesh will intensify its efforts to
enhance its international competitiveness and attain a larger share of the global market for its
exports through infrastructural development, capacity building, institutional and legal,
economic and trade policy reforms, privatisation and more investment in social sectors for
human resources development. Attempts, co-ordinated with other countries, will be made to
withstand the after effects of opening trade in agricultural commodities and services to global
competition and constraints imposed in relation to trade related investment measures
(TRIMS) and trade related aspects of intellectual properties (TRIPS). At the regional level,
efforts to enhance access to the markets of the neighbouring countries will continue through
intensification of regional and sub-regional co-operation. In particular, steps will be taken for
transition from the SAPTA to the SAFTA and closer co-operation with neighbouring India,
Nepal and Bhutan in a sub-regional framework within the ambit of the SAARC. Further,
efforts for greater integration with the Islamic countries, countries of the South East Asia and
of the Asia Pacific region will be strengthened taking advantage of various regional
integration schemes.
5.13.16 At the same time, proper attention will be given for the development of the
infrastructure and speeding up the implementation process of the reform measures so that a
real investment and export friendly environment is created within the country. Fortunately for
the country, market access lobby is getting strengthened externally and macro-economic
reforms are reflecting a better and more stable situation internally. An export development
strategy is in place and the government’s firm commitment to pursue an export-led growth
policy has been reaffirmed. After the success of RMG, attention is being focused on knitwear,
frozen food and leather. In these sectors, trade creating investments are being encouraged,
particularly for composite textiles, finished leather, leather footwear and jackets as well as
scientific culture and processing of shrimps. Some more high potential products have also
been identified and brought under the crash programmes for development. More prominent
among these products are leather goods, toys, cut and artificial flowers, luggage items and
computer data entry and software. Other items which need attention for development include
jewellery and diamond cutting, electronic products and components, mechanised poultry and
dairy farming, terry towel and specialised textiles, telephone and electric cables, ceramic
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kitchen and tablewares, engineering products, pharmaceutical products, packet tea and
diversified jute items. In order to boost production and promote export of the crash
programme items, assistance will be provided by way of product and market development and
credit on easy terms, duty-drawback or bonded warehouse facility, market exploration and
joint venture tie-up. Besides, more and more items will be included in the crash programme
list keeping in view the export potential of those items.
5.13.17 The government has formed a National Committee for Export with the Prime
Minister as the Chairperson. Besides, a Task Force and an Export Promotion Council under
the Chairmanship of the Minister for Commerce are also working. Now, what is needed is the
consolidation and sustaining of the momentum that has already been gained in the export
sector and to sustain it over time. For this, more intense, concentrated and special efforts are
required to be undertaken in the fields of product development, product diversification,
market promotion and market expansion. It is necessary at this stage for both the government
and the entrepreneurs to commit themselves to this task and do what is possible to materialise
the avowed objectives.
5.14 Private Transfers
5.14.1 Barring any adverse international development, especially in the Middle East where
the concentration of workers has taken place, it is expected that during the Fifth Plan, private
unrequited transfers including worker’s remittances will grow at the rate of 5 per cent per
annum. The government will maintain a flexible and competitive exchange rate to encourage
the flow of remittances through official rather than the informal channels and will streamline
the mechanisms and encourage diversification of instruments for investment of remittances.
5.15 Official Development Assistance (ODA)
5.15.1 Commitment and disbursement of ODA in the form of project and commodity
assistance are projected to remain below the benchmark throughout the Fifth Plan period.
However, despite a projected decline in commitment, project aid disbursement is planned to
pick up during the Plan period following an expected proportionately higher disbursement
from the huge opening pipeline at the beginning of the Plan. The government policies towards
turning into a private sector-led economy and privatisation of the State Owned Enterprises
(SOEs) are the main reasons for the declining trend of ODA. Rigorous conditionalities of the
development partners are also liable for slow utilisation of ODA. However, it must be noted
that inflow of foreign capital will be sustained and encouraged through foreign direct
investment. Projected foreign aid commitment and disbursement for the Fifth Plan is shown
in Table 5.10.
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Table 5.10
Foreign Aid Projection During Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices)
( in million US$)
Year Food Commodity Project Total
1996/97 (Estimate)
Fresh commitment 105 120 1200 1425
Disbursement 110 161 1179 1450
2001/2002 (Projection)
Fresh commitment 47 43 945 1035
Disbursement 62 137 1418 1617
1997-2002 (Projection)
Opening pipeline 117 360 4929 5406
Fresh commitment 442 541 6137 7120
Total available 559 901 11066 12526
Disbursement 413 761 6571 7745
Closing pipeline 146 140 4495 4781
Source : Economic Relations Division
5.15.2 Aid utilisation will be facilitated if the projects are formulated prior to aid negotiation.
Procedures stipulated by the development partners sometimes complicate the utilisation of
project aid. Therefore, conditions under project aid should be flexible enough to ensure
smooth utilisation.
5.15.3 Food Aid : Bangladesh is expected to attain self-sufficiency in production of foodgrain
in the Fifth Plan period. However, food aid in the form of wheat will continue as the scarcity
of land will not permit increasing acreage for wheat cultivation. Food aid in recent years has
become an important instrument for agricultural development, poverty alleviation, education,
environment protection and gender equality. Food aid will continue to play a critical role over
the Fifth Plan period for its poverty alleviation programmes. Sale proceeds of food aid will
also be utilised for various agricultural, water management and rural development projects to
be implemented through the Annual Development Programmes. A part of food aid will also
be used for rural infrastructure development through the Rural Road Maintenance
Programme, the Food for Education and the Food for Works Programmes.
5.15.4 Commodity Aid : Flow of commodity aid will slowdown in the coming years owing
to various reasons like changes in development partners’ aid policy, transformation into open
market economy, etc. The disbursement of commodity aid is, therefore, projected to fall from
$ 161 million in 1996/97 to $ 137 million in 2001/02. This will sharply slow down the
formation of counterpart funds. Consequently, the government will have to mobilise larger
domestic resources to implement infrastructure development projects, particularly in the rural
areas.
5.15.5 Project Aid : A higher absorption capacity of project aid is essential for the steady
growth of the economy. However, utilisation of project aid in the past suffered due to a
shortfall in matching funds and other implementation problems. Slow utilisation of project
aid is more or less persistent, while there is a positive improvement in the domestic resource
mobilisation. Therefore, a quick utilisation of project aid in the pipeline will be given priority.
Disbursement of project aid is estimated to be $ 6,571 million which is 85 per cent of the total
aid expected for the Plan period while a fresh commitment of $6,137 million is expected
during the Fifth Plan period.
5.15.6 Technical Assistance : Technical Assistance for both macro-planning and sectoral
investment programme is very crucial. Flow of technical assistance can play a major role in
strengthening the development process by way of transferring technology and skill. Technical
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assistance should be demand-oriented rather than supply-based and it should aim at the
gradual upgradation of skill-base of the recipient country. Technical assistance should be
untied as far as possible and promote technical co-operation among developing countries.
One of the most difficult problems associated with technical assistance is the synthesis
between donor preference and the priority of the recipient country. The problems of divergent
priorities, time frames, attitudes and preferences on many occasions may turn out to be of
critical significance and cause delay.
5.16 External Debt
5.16.1 It is assumed that all foreign financing during the Fifth Plan, especially from ODA
countries, will be concessional and the main terms of borrowing will remain broadly
unchanged as in recent years. Analysis indicates that under the projected 7 per cent average
GDP growth during the Plan period, Bangladesh will be able to service its external debt
obligation . In addition, it is expected to contribute to a decline in the country’s debt/GDP
ratio. Debt sustainability will, however, be at stake should there be hardening in the terms of
external borrowing as to both interest rate and term structures.
5.16.2 The debt-burden will go up in the long run as soon as the share of highly concessional
loans in the total aid package begins to decline. It implies that Bangladesh must improve
performance of the export sector in future to keep debt-servicing liabilities within manageable
limits in terms of export and foreign exchange reserve, while satisfying current import need.
5.17 Foreign Direct Investment
5.17.1 Given the current aid scenario, Bangladesh will have to look for other sources of
foreign exchange to support its current account balance as well as rising investment level as
envisaged in the Plan. The most promising source of foreign exchange for the developing
countries in recent years has been foreign direct investment (FDI). However, only a handful
of developing countries have been able to attract foreign direct investment to any significant
extent. Bangladesh has not yet been able to attract much foreign direct investment which
brings additional resources - technology, management know-how and access to export
markets. The government has, however, made good progress in reforming policies and
programmes to encourage FDI in the country; but other constraints remain which make the
flow of FDI into the country less than its potential. The government will take necessary
measures to remove these constraints, e.g., shortage of power, inadequate infrastructures, low
level of human resources, etc. and to promote the image of the country as a safe and profitable
destination of FDI. In this regard, parliamentary democracy and political stability of the
country are the important elements which need to be realised and provided by both the party
in power and the parties in opposition.
5.17.2 The benefits accruable from FDIs are inclusive of (a) transfer of technology to
individual firms and technological spill-over to the wider economy, (b) increased productive
efficiency due to competition from multinational subsidiaries, (c) improvement in the quality
of the factors of production including management in other firms, not just the host firm, (d)
benefits to the balance of payments through inflow of investment funds, (e) increase in
exports, (f) increase in savings and investment and (g) faster growth and employment. The
possible negative effects may be enumerated in terms of (a) negative effects on balance of
payments owing to increase in the import of inputs and payments of dividends and royalties
abroad, (b) distortion in competitive environment because of large size of multinationals, (c)
discouragement of home-spun technical know-how, (d) relatively more capital intensiveness
of investment and (e) financial and currency speculation. Weighed simultaneously, it is
apparent that FDI promises more than it delivers. In the process, the need for selectivity and
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strategic approach to FDI in the context of a well-charted national policy to encourage socio-
economic development and technological change comes under focus. In this context, it may
be noted as well that a conscious development orientation framework does not necessarily
limit FDI.
5.17.3 Bangladesh Export Processing Zones Authority (BEPZA): It was established in 1980
with a view to improving the environment of private foreign investment for export. At
present, in two EPZs, namely, Chittagong EPZ and Dhaka EPZ, 73 and 23 industries are in
operation and, 34 and 46 industrial units are under implementation in CEPZ and DEPZ
respectively. In the operational units of Chittagong and Dhaka EPZs, total investment, export
and employment are $ 180 million, $1,120 million and 31,724 persons and $56.56 million,
$179 million and 14,783 persons respectively.
5.17.4 During the Plan period, it is expected that the existing and the projected EPZs will be
fully operational and their targets for investment, employment and exports will be as follows:
EPZ Number of Investment Employment Export (Yearly)
Industries (in million US$) (persons) (in million US$)
1. Chittagong 110 350 50,000 600
2. Dhaka 90 300 40,000 500
3. Comilla 150 400 60,000 700
4. Mongla 100 300 40,000 500
5. Ishurdi 90 300 40,000 700
Thus, at the end of the Fifth Plan period, 540 industrial units with a total investment of
$1,650 million and employment of 230,000 persons are expected to be set up. The yearly
export after the Plan period is expected to be $ 3 billion. In addition, another exclusive EPZ at
Chittagong is being developed by the Korean investors. The government will also allow the
private sector to establish their own EPZs as it has done in case of the Koreans.
5.18 Capital Market Development
5.18.1 Systematic development of capital market in Bangladesh has become indispensable to
broaden the scope for domestic resource mobilisation raising the low savings and investment
rates and attracting portfolio investment from abroad .
5.18.2 Measures will be designed to improve domestic resource mobilisation and attracting
portfolio investment from abroad by expanding the market capacity to raise debt and equity
capital, increase the current limited resources available through the banking system and
enhance the efficiency of the market by strengthening and modernising the market
infrastructure. This will manifest in steps aimed at (i) facilitating market access for security
issues to increase the limited supply of securities in the market; (ii) developing institutional
sources of medium to long-term funds to raise demand for securities; (iii) reinforcing
market regulation and supervision; (iv) strengthening the market infrastructure and
modernising the support infrastructure; and (v) improving policy co-ordination.
5.19 Foreign Exchange Reserves
5.19.1 An economy maintains a certain level of foreign exchange reserves primarily to bridge
the gap between foreign exchange receipts and payments. While foreign exchange reserves
are used to earn interest income, keeping reserves means tying up valuable resources
alternative which have more productive uses. These resources can be used to import
intermediate or capital goods which will expand production and employment, given fiscal and
monetary incentives. Keeping these in mind, Bangladesh will maintain foreign exchange
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reserves equivalent to 4-6 months’ imports through a combination of fiscal, monetary and
exchange policies.
5.19.2 The balance of payments position as projected over the Fifth Plan period shows a net
surplus of $1,770 million in reserve in the country’s external account. This amount will add
to the country’s foreign exchange reserve which by 2002 will figure at $ 3,489 million. This
is equivalent to about four months’ import bill of that year. This projection of external
account does not, however, include the foreign direct investment (FDI) which is very likely to
flow in by a substantial amount ( the estimate is $ 3.6 billion for the entire Plan period). If this
amount is realised, the foreign exchange reserve will figure at $6.2 billion after allowing for
outflow of a part of it in short-term account. The net gain from FDIs will be about half of the
gross inflow. Total reserve will be expected to be equivalent to seven months’ import bill by
2001/02. Foreign exchange position will thus emerge at a quite comfortable level.
5.20 Exchange Rate Policy
5.20.1 Bangladesh is pursuing a managed flexible exchange rate system. The nominal
exchange rate is maintained at a level which is consistent with keeping the real effective
exchange rate (REER) stable or slightly depreciating over time on the basis of estimated
REER indices using trade weights of a 15-country currency basket. Taka was devalued in
relation to US Dollar seven times between July, 1996 and the 6th April, 1997. However, these
reduced the exchange rate by Tk. 1.90 altogether.
5.20.2 An analysis of the exchange rate behaviour and export performance does not, however,
support the hypothesis that a strong correlation existed between the exchange rate of taka and
Bangladesh’s export performance. Bangladesh’s export demand is highly sensitive to the
income growth and trade policy of its trading partners and remains relatively insensitive to
price changes. Bangladesh’s export growth is determined more by the volume of world trade
and exchange rate volatility than by changes in domestic and foreign export prices. It will be
noted that when devaluation is accompanied by trade liberalisation and exports have a high
import content, then devaluation will in fact lead to inflation leading to ultimate appreciation
of the exchange rate. In such circumstances, management of inflation along with improved
productivity rather than devaluation may be an appropriate instrument to enhance
Bangladesh’s competitive strength. The real effective exchange rate will be maintained at a
stable level to influence choices not only between tradables of Bangladesh vis-a-vis its
trading partners but also between tradables and non-tradables within Bangladesh. The real
effective exchange rate will be closely monitored by the Bangladesh Bank.
5.21 Southeast Asian Currency Crisis
5.21.1 The Asian economic crisis began in Thailand where the economy had become
overheated in 1995 and 1996. The current account deficit widened rapidly and there was an
increase in short-term overseas borrowing in dollars. This borrowing, which was largely
unhedged, was facilitated through an offshore banking facility. The baht, which had been
linked closely to the US dollar for over a decade, became overvalued. This hurt international
competitiveness and was exacerbated by the appreciation of the US dollar against the yen and
other currencies. The effect of these factors was not immediately apparent. Thailand’s exports
were very strong in 1995 and there was very little inflationary pressure. However, export
growth fell very dramatically in 1996. While the collapse in export growth was partially offset
by a commensurate fall in imports, slower export growth combined with the rapid growth in
external debt was enough to spook investors and to attract currency speculation. Combined
with over-leveraged equity and property markets, and a weak financial sector having many
bad loans in its books, the economy was unable to easily withstand the pressure on the
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currency. There was an attack on the currency by various international fund managers
accompanied by domestic players in bringing about further capital flight. The central bank
defence was unsuccessful. Reserves were run down and eventually the country was forced to
devalue in mid 1997. A crisis in the banking sector ensued as a result of the bursting financial
bubble and a falling exchange rate. Bad loans surfaced and interest rates were raised to keep
the exchange rate from falling further. Eventually, the government went to the IMF for the
rescue and received a large package of financial assistance and advice, particularly for
restructuring the ailing financial system.
5.21.2 The financial distress spread rapidly to the other Southeast Asian economies. The
boom mentality in Southeast Asia had led to over enthusiastic investment and over-leveraging
in property and real state markets. Stocks were used to collateralise further borrowing in all
countries, particularly so in Malaysia. Furthermore, Indonesia and the Philippines also
suffered from being lumped into the same group as Thailand by the foreign investors. It was
true that they had similar problems to that of Thailand but initially they were of a lower order
of magnitude. There were large current account deficits in case of Malaysia and to a lesser
extent in Indonesia and the Philippines. However, the size of the increase in external short
term debt was not nearly as rapid as it was in Thailand, or was the collapse in exports as
dramatic. On the contrary, the Philippines had sustained rapid growth in 1996 which the other
countries did not achieve. But these subtle differences did not seem to matter to foreign
investors, who were joined by domestic market participants as the herd instinct to move out
of these emerging markets and into a safe abode of dollar based assets gained strength. The
macroeconomic fallout in Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines has been similar in broad
summary to that of Thailand - currency depreciation, financial difficulties because of bad
loans, collapse of the stock market and of the property market bubble. However, the extent
and severity of macroeconomic problems vary widely.
5.21.3 The Southeast Asian currency crisis warrants us to be cautious in our approach
towards convertibility of currency and flexibility of exchange rate. In addition, coupled with
the recent South Korean experience, this episode calls for going deep into macro-economic
fundamentals so that stylised interpretation does not bypass the actual situational context.
5.22 South Asian Development Triangle
5.22.1 Large scale of production with less unit cost will lead to large markets. So, it is a
better proposition to create a large common market, wherever it is possible, instead of
remaining closeted in a separate national market. The question of size of a country is
immaterial as to the benefits of the individual country out of such regional co-operation. In
the European Union, a large country like Germany with a population of over 80 million and a
small country like Luxembourg with a population of less than a million are members deriving
benefits without economic discrimination.
5.22.2 Trade and investment will benefit big and small countries alike. Economic co-
operation through unhindered trade and investment, in particular free flow of goods and
services through each other’s territories involving a group of adjoining countries or segments
thereof - is considered to be a big passage, if not the main gateway, to economic growth.
However, the passage to such trade and investment cannot be opened unless the economic
grouping among the neighbouring countries is initiated and constituted.
5.22.3 Now the South East Asian countries are in a move to set up growth triangles to
promote trade and investment, particularly in areas which are lagging behind. For example,
northern Thailand, north-eastern Myanmar, Laos and Yunnan Province of China are being
linked together to form such a co-operation. Countries or provinces thereof along Mekong
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river have started to implement common river basin development projects and have decided
to promote a growth quadrangle. Similarly, there are plans to form such a trade and
investment co-operation covering Mindanao province of the Philippines, Sabah and Sarawak
provinces of Malaysia and parts of Indonesian island of Sumatra. Furthermore, the North
American Free Trade Area (NAFTA) also aspires to achieve the same purpose of trade and
investment growth among Canada, Mexico and the United States.
5.22.4 South Asia Development Triangle encompassing Bangladesh, Bhutan, Nepal and
eastern and the north-eastern parts of India may follow the trends which have already been
well developed elsewhere in the world. Bangladesh being the only partner and having access
to the seaports, its gains are likely to be much more than the others.
5.22.5 The proposed growth quadrangle aims at creating an enabling environment for
rapid economic development through identification and implementation of specific projects
for co-operation in the core economic sectors. The sectors are multi-modal transportation,
communication, energy, trade and investment facilities/promotion, tourism and optimal and
sustainable utilisation of natural resources.
5.22.6 These projects will serve as ‘building blocks’ for sub-regional co-operation which will
accelerate regional co-operation. These should be supportive of and complementary to
national plans of the countries in the growth quadrangle and result in tangible benefits to the
people of the sub-region in poverty eradication, employment and income generation, social
welfare and improvement in the quality of life.
5.22.7 Development of a deep sea port around Chittagong will facilitate handling of
export/import cargo of Bhutan, Nepal and eastern and north-eastern parts of India. It will
create a good number of new jobs along with substantial foreign exchange earnings for the
nation as port handling charges.
5.23 Border Trade Arrangement
5.23.1 Border Trade Arrangement helps formalise informal trade and thereby generate
revenue for the government. The traders are also benefited from the relaxed travel restrictions
and simplified trust housed transactions outside the procedures of L/Cs. In early 1996,
Bangladesh and Myanmar established a border trade arrangement in the Teknaf side of
Bangladesh and the Maungdu side of Myanmar. This arrangement, if appropriately nurtured,
will benefit both the economies. Similar arrangements may be considered with other
neighbouring countries as well.
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CHAPTER VI
PRIVATE SECTOR
6.1 Introduction
6.1.1 There is now a growing realisation that a vibrant and dynamic private sector is the key
to economic progress and sustained growth. The East Asian miracle exemplifies as to how the
government can accelerate progress as a partner and as a facilitator. Developing countries,
including Bangladesh, have come to increasingly rely on market forces to guide their
development strategy. Efforts are being focused on the promotion and supporting of the
private sector and creation of an enabling environment for it to flourish and maximise its
contribution to economic progress within a business friendly and equitable framework.
Bangladesh has been increasingly relying on this philosophy as a strategy for growth. As a
consequence of this, the share of the private sector in total investment has risen. Public sector
reforms will continue to be undertaken as a complement to the private sector so that it can
function more effectively and upto its potential.
6.1.2 Stable political climate, continuity of policy and conducive social environment being
essential ingredients for development, it will be the endeavour of the government to enlist
social and political support for replicating concerns in the policies being formulated. There
will be a continuous dialogue between the government and the business community as well as
those associated with the process of development to identify the impediments that hampered
the way of proper and fuller participation of the private sector. Issues such as those relating to
simplification of procedures for credit, import and export, labour, infrastructure, energy etc.
will be reviewed regularly and where necessary, policy re-adjustments will be made or
appropriate decisions taken. While it will be the responsibility of the government to undertake
supportive measures and develop infrastructure facilities such as that relating to
communication, energy etc. which influence business decisions, the private sector will be
encouraged to venture into such fields which hitherto have been the realm of the public
sector.
6.2 Past Performance
6.2.1 Bangladesh inherited a mixed economic system at the time of liberation. But the
economy was in shambles as a result of displacement of people, destruction of physical
infrastructures and disruption and abandonment of industries. As a natural consequence as
well as on account of the government policy, the public sector acquired a commanding role.
The Government of Bangladesh nationalised various industries, business enterprises, banks
and financial institutions exceeding Tk. 15 million in assets in order to reactivate the
economy. The nationalisation policy covered a total of 725 industrial units under the
management of 10 newly created public sector corporations. But owing to the growing
pressure from such nationalised units on the financial and management resources of the
public sector, 155 small enterprises earlier taken over by the government were gradually
disinvested with the objective of fostering industrial growth and lessening the government's
burden. The policy of disinvestment initiated the process of gradual expansion of the private
sector. As cost continued to escalate, the ceiling on the private investment was raised
gradually from Tk. 2.50 million under the first industrial policy of 1973 to Tk. 30 million in
1974. It was further raised to Tk. 100 million in 1975 and totally withdrawn in 1978. The
government has been implementing structural adjustment and liberalisation policies since the
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1980s, which enhanced the role of the private sector and created an environment conducive
to its accelerated growth.
6.2.2 The growing emphasis on the private sector is reflected in the fact that the share of the
private sector investment increased from 11 per cent in the First Plan to 44 per cent in the
Fourth Plan (Table 6.1). The performance of the private sector was better than what was
planned for in the Fourth Plan. In fact, the share of the private sector in the total realised
investment was 54 per cent of the total investment in FY95.
Table 6.1
Projected and Realised Private Investment During Past Plans
( in million Taka)
Projected Percentage Realised Investment Realised
Investment of total Plan Annual Average
(at base year Outlay Investment
Plan prices) at base at 1996/97 (at 1996/97
year prices prices prices)
1 2 3 4 5 6
First Plan (1973-78) 5,030 11 4,390 56,114 11,223
Two Year Plan (1978-80) 6,000 16 9,570 38,697 19,348
Second Plan (1980-85) 61,000 35 49,690 160,209 32,042
Third Plan (1985-90) 136,000 35 98,820 191,997 38,399
Fourth Plan (1990-95) 273,000 44 324,397 410,226 82,045
Plan Holiday Period (1995-97) 291,600 57 291,600 295,600 147,800
Note : Realised investment based on investment deflators of BBS.
6.2.3 The investment rate of the private sector in FY91 was 5.82 per cent of GDP which rose
to 10.71 per cent in FY96. On the other hand, the investment rate of the public sector rose
from 5.65 per cent of GDP in FY91 to 6.29 per cent only in FY96. During FY97, the
investment rates of the private and public sectors were 10.86 per cent and 6.52 per cent
respectively. The estimate of private saving rate in FY94 was 11.70 per cent which increased
to 12.30 per cent in FY95. This rate declined in FY96 though it remained above 11 per cent.
This was partly due to the large interest rate spread between advances and deposits with
inflationary expectation continuing low. While total private investment has grown in recent
years, its performance in different sectors has been rather mixed (Table 6.2.).
Table 6.2
Realised Private Investment During Fourth Plan Period
(at 1989/90 prices)
(in million Taka)
Sector/ 1989/90 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 Average Annual
Year (Benchmark) Compound
Growth Rate
Agriculture 6,500 3,902 6,630 7,131 81,31 8,887 6.46
Manufacturing 4,500 14,035 17,188 19,792 19,915 28,092 44.24
Housing and Construction 7,000 6,299 7,252 9,196 10,873 15,897 17.83
Transport and Communication 5,300 5,131 5,203 5,653 5,846 10,451 14.55
Trade and Other Services 7,000 15,818 17,049 22,035 23,452 30,539 34.26
Total 30,300 45,185 53,322 63,807 68,217 93,866 25.38
Source: BBS
6.2.4 The private investment in agriculture has grown at a rate of 6.46 per cent per annum
during the Fourth Plan. Agriculture has always been dominated by the private sector as farms
are operated and managed by private individuals. The public sector in agriculture is
responsible for the creation of infrastructure for gravity flow irrigation, barrages, etc. On the
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other hand, the private sector has been involved in land development and small irrigation
facilities. The distribution and sale of agricultural inputs like fertiliser, irrigation equipment,
seeds, pesticides, etc., is also being handled by the private sector. The growth of livestock,
fisheries and forestry has been faster than the growth of the crop sub-sector. These sub-sectors
have grown at rates between 4 to 9 per cent annually during the 1990s while the highest
growth rate achieved in recent years in crop sub-sector has been around 2 per cent in FY96.
The growth of these sub-sectors has been largely possible due to the dynamism of the small
entrepreneurs of the private sector involved in non-crop activities.
6.2.5 The private sector activities in manufacturing have been expanding rapidly and there
has been perceptible diversification involving the emergence of ready-made garments
industries. During the Fourth Plan, private investment in the manufacturing sector grew at an
annual average rate of 44.24 per cent leading to an increase in the share of the sector. The
emergence of RMG is a very significant phenomenon in the development of the
manufacturing sector and has been made possible primarily by the dynamism of private
entrepreneurs. As a result of the growing private sector involvement, the growth of the
manufacturing sector has picked up in recent years. The annual growth of manufacturing
during FY90 and FY97 has been in the range of 7 to 9 per cent.
6.2.6 The growth of services sector has been high in recent years. This sector now contributes
more than half of Bangladesh's GDP. Because of the ongoing liberalisation policy, including
the privatisation policy of the government, activities covering transport, trade, housing,
health, education, banking and insurance and professional services are increasingly being
managed by the private entrepreneurs. Private investment in trade and other services grew at
an annual average rate of 34.26 per cent, while total investment in the private sector grew at a
rate of around 25 per cent during this period. The public sector involvement continues to be
there but at the same time the role of the private sector has accelerated and privatisation of the
service sector is encouraging.
6.3 Review of Reforms
6.3.1 In pursuance of the government objective of developing a market economy with the
private sector as the key player, several structural adjustment policies have been undertaken.
These include reforms in fiscal and monetary management, banking, trade policy,
privatisation, etc.
6.3.2 Macro policy reforms: Experiences of developing countries show that the performance
of the private sector is significantly dependent on macro economic stability. Prudent fiscal
and monetary management is an essential instrument for bringing about this change. Since the
late 1980s, efforts have been made to improve the content and effectiveness of both these
macro policies.
6.3.3 The main features of the fiscal policy during the last few years have been the, (a)
containment of current expenditure and (b) earning of more revenues through rational tax
measures. Major tax reforms included expansion of coverage of income tax and VAT instead
of customs and sales tax. The tax/GDP ratio increased from 7.90 per cent in FY91 to 9.40 per
cent in FY96 while current expenditure to GDP ratio remained almost constant (Table 6.3).
The overall budget deficit to GDP ratio has declined during this period minimising the impact
of fiscal operations on inflation. In fact, the inflation rate came down from 9.33 per cent in
FY90 and 8.85 per cent in FY91 to 5.22 per cent and 4.07 per cent in FY95 and FY96,
respectively.
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Table 6.3
Fiscal Indicators FY 90-96
(as per cent of GDP)
FY90 FY91 FY92 FY93 FY94 FY95 FY96
Total Revenue 9.30 9.59 10.84 11.91 12.04 12.08 12.00
Tax Revenue 7.80 7.90 8.73 9.67 9.45 9.71 9.40
Non-tax Revenue 1.50 1.69 2.11 2.24 2.59 2.37 2.60
Total Expenditure 15.20 14.98 15.25 15.98 17.72 17.62 16.80
Current Expenditure 8.80 8.66 8.60 9.07 9.00 8.82 9.10
ADP Expenditure 6.40 6.32 6.65 6.91 8.72 8.80 7.70
Revenue Surplus 0.50 1.10 2.10 2.80 3.00 3.90 2.90
Overall Budget Deficit* 7.90 7.20 5.90 5.90 6.00 6.80 4.80
Net Foreign Financing 6.60 6.20 4.90 5.60 4.90 4.90 4.10
Net Domestic Financing 1.30 1.00 1.00 0.30 1.10 1.90 2.10
Inflation Rate (% change in CPI) 9.33 8.85 5.07 1.38 1.77 5.22 4.07
Source: Ministries of Finance and Planning and World Bank.
* Fiscal deficits are higher than the difference between total revenue and total expenditure due to inclusion of
expenditure items like non-ADP projects, FFW, miscellaneous investment (non-development), net loans and
advances and food deficits.
6.3.4 The monetary policy has also been used prudently and money supply has been kept
within targeted limits. Partly as a result, prices have been more or less stable during the last
few years. However, supply of credit has fluctuated over the period. Generally, the interaction
between monetary and fiscal policies was meaningful and mutually supportive.
6.3.5 Financial sector reform programme (FSRP) : A sound financial system is crucial for
the functioning of a dynamic private sector and with this end in view, the FSRP was initiated
in 1990. The objective of the programme was to create an environment in which banks and
financial institutions could operate within the frame-work of relevant rules, regulations and
guidelines. Bangladesh Bank, as the Central Bank of the country, monitored the observance
of such rules in order to ensure monetary stability. The banks and financial institutions now
function on a flexible system wherein interest rates are set on the basis of economic indicators
in consultation with the Bangladesh Bank. A new system for loan classification and
provisions for risks has been introduced in line with international standards from January,
1995. Recently, a bankruptcy law has been enacted to deal with the problem of recovery of
overdue loans and to bring back discipline in the banking sector. Such steps are expected to
increase the volume of bank finance as well as to ensure greater efficiency in the allocation of
bank resources to the private sector, particularly for increasing export.
6.3.6 Trade policy reforms: Trade is an engine of rapid growth and development. Liberal
trade policy, in fact, has been a major feature of development strategy of the high performing
economies of the East Asia. Until recently, the trade policy in Bangladesh has been
characterised by import restrictions, insufficient export incentives and wide array of
regulations constricting private investment. Both tariff and non-tariff barriers contributed to
the high effective rate of protection of the domestic industries and created an anti-export bias
in the system.
6.3.7 In the course of past decade, Bangladesh's trade regime has undergone substantial
transformation. The government has been steadily liberalising the foreign trade regime by
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reducing direct controls and tariffs. The custom duty has largely been rationalised and duty on
import of capital machinery for export-oriented industries has been withdrawn to make such
industries more competitive. The average nominal tariff rate which was 89 per cent in FY91
has been reduced to 22 per cent in FY96, the highest rate having been brought down to 42.5
per cent in FY98 budget. The protection levels in Bangladesh have been lowered making it
among the lowest in South Asia. According to an estimate made by NBR, the nominal
protection has come down significantly during the post-reforms period (Table 6.4). As a
result of reforms, difference between the lowest and highest nominal protection rates,
reflected in coefficients of variation (CV), has declined in the case of agriculture. Even
though the CV have not declined in other sectors, steps are being taken to bring them down.
The policy of the government will be to simplify the tariff schedule and discourage tariff
concessions based on end-use. Other reforms have steadily dismantled a complicated
structure of import controls. At the same time to protect the domestic industries from unfair
foreign competition the Tariff Commission has been empowered to investigate and initiate
anti-dumping and countervailing action.
Table 6.4
Trends in Nominal Protection 1990/91 to 1995/96
(percentage of assessed value)
Agriculture Mining Manufactures All Tradables
Pre-reform, 1990/91
Unweighted 90.5 54.1 89.0 88.6
Import-weighted 20.9 24.0 51.8 42.1
Dispersion (CV) 63.3 51.7 58.6 59.0
Post Reform, 1995/96
Unweighted 26.0 13.6 24.6 24.6
Import-weighted 10.1 38.8 21.9 21.0
Dispersion(CV) 56.7 82.2 73.5 72.7
Source : NBR.
a. Import-weighted nominal protection rates for 1990/91 are weighted by import data for the corresponding
year; for 1995/96 they are weighted by 1994/95 imports.
b. CV is the coefficient of variation for the unweighted average.
6.3.8 There has been a significant progress on the reduction of quantitative restrictions
(Table 6.5). Existing restrictions will be reviewed and where necessary reduced.
Table 6.5
Phased Removal of Quantitative Restrictions
Fiscal Year Total Trade Reasons Non-trade
Reasons
No. of No. of Banned No. of No. of Partly No. of Banned
Commodities Commodities Restricted Banned and Partly Commodities
Commodities Restricted
Commodities
1989/90 315 135 66 52 62
1990/91 239 93 47 39 60
1995/97 115 5 6 12 92
Source: Ministry of Commerce.
6.3.9 As a result of reforms, the effective rates of protection has decreased (as estimated by
NBR) for most industries. However, analysis of the observed effective rates of protection
shows that even though the level of protection has declined, the anti export bias in the
incentive system has not yet been completely eliminated. The impressive growth of exports
from Bangladesh has largely been due to factors such as liberalisation of the economy, supply
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of inputs at world prices, GSP facilities and simpler administrative requirements and credit
supports.
6.3.10 International comparison of trade policy reforms shows that Bangladesh has been
quite successful in implementing these reforms. Bangladesh brought down its maximum tariff
from 509 per cent in 1990 to 50 per cent in 1995. During the same period, India brought its
maximum tariff from 400 per cent to 50 per cent. In 1994, the maximum tariff rates in Nepal
and Pakistan were 100 per cent and 70 per cent respectively.
6.3.11 A competitive real exchange rate is essential to achieve the desired structural change
which will ensure greater share of exports to GDP. As such, the government along with the
policy of import liberalisation is following a flexible exchange rate policy in order to make
exports more competitive. It may be recalled however, that in the early 1990s, a substantial
reduction of external deficit was achieved without significant real devaluation of Taka
although the real effective exchange rate computed by the IMF showed a secular depreciation
in its value since the beginning of the 1990s (Table 6.6). The real effective exchange rate fell
during the period while in nominal terms the official exchange rate continued to increase.
Table 6.6
Indices of Real Effective Exchange Rates and Official Exchange Rates
(base 1980=100)
Year 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995
REER 95.47 88.78 86.96 82.12 82.10 78.53 75.10
OER 207.49 212.52 230.34 246.29 252.68 258.23 259.52
Source : World Bank and Bangladesh Bank.
Note : REER = Real Effective Exchange Rate; OER = Official Exchange Rate.
6.3.12 Besides a flexible exchange rate policy, functional convertibility of Taka has also been
made operational to enhance competitiveness of the economy. This is evident from the rising
share of export to GDP. The export / GDP ratio has gone up from 8.33 per cent in FY90 to
14.16 per cent in FY95 and to 15.21 per cent in FY97.
6.3.13 Privatisation: The policy of privatisation, if properly conceived and implemented,
can ensure substantial benefits including higher productivity, growth of output and
employment, besides, lesser stress on governmental resources. Such a policy also enables the
government to focus more on policy making to create an enabling environment. Because of
such gains, privatisation has been on the rise all over the world. According to a World Bank
estimate, more than 8500 SOEs have been privatised in over 80 countries during the last 12
years. The Bangladesh Government is committed to the process of privatisation, and with this
end in view, the Privatisation Board was established in March, 1993. The major functions of
the Privatisation Board are- formulation and implementation of a privatisation policy, sale of
identified SOEs with a view to reducing the burden and drainage of government resources
and to ensure timely recovery of sale prices. Since 1993, a number of SOEs identified for
sale/disinvestment stood at 217 of which 21 were transferred to the private owners by April
1997. Privatisation efforts, however, have been hampered as purchasers have defaulted in the
payment of instalments/ dues.
6.4 Deregulation of Private Investment and Provision of Incentives
6.4.1 In tune with the spirit of deregulation, the last vestige of "investment sanctioning" has
been abolished in Bangladesh and the Board of Investment (BOI) has been re-organised to
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function under a fresh mandate emphasising its role in promotion and facilitation rather than
regulation.
6.4.2 Most of the restrictions and barriers to private investment including foreign investment
have been removed. Even registration of investment units by the BOI has been made optional.
6.4.3 The government facilitates the growth of an enterprise through (a) provision of
incentives and services available from BOI, BEPZA and BSCIC; (b) supply of utilities such
as gas, power, water supply and telephone; and (c) administering of industrial regulations
linked to environmental protection, health or public safety.
6.4.4 Schemes like special bonded warehouses and export processing zones, complemented
by factors such as quota under the Multi Fibre Arrangement (MFA), GSP and an innovative
financing scheme (back-to-back LC), facilitated the growth of RMG exports, currently the
principal commodity export of Bangladesh for foreign exchange earnings in gross terms.
However, the failure of backward-linkage industries to grow limits its potential contribution
to foreign exchange earnings as well as to value added.
6.4.5 Several Export Processing Zones (EPZs) have been established and more are being set
up. Law for the establishment of private export processing zone has been enacted. Specific
incentives for foreign private investment have been provided to increase the inflow of such
investment.
6.4.6 Legal reforms: Judicial and legal reforms are necessary to support the emergence of a
liberalised economy. Such reforms are essential for the creation of an enabling environment
for the private sector to flourish and maximise its contribution to sustained growth. The
present legal system can not adequately support the efficient growth of the private sector and
several laws need to be redrafted and modified to make them more supportive of the present
development strategy. Further, the judicial process is observed as cumbersome and time-
consuming. Steps have already been taken to rectify the situation. Bankruptcy law has already
been enacted, A Law Reforms Commission has been constituted which will identify the
anomalies and weaknesses in the existing laws and legal system and will recommend
necessary reforms. A Judicial Training Institute has been set up for manpower development in
the judiciary. Objective of such legal reform will be to ensure settlement of trade and
industrial disputes through speedier disposal of cases and to simplify the cumbersome legal
procedures as is observed at times and which impose cost on private business.
6.4.7 Impact of reforms: The reforms undertaken, so far, show that the overall impact has
been marginally positive. These reforms have raised the rates of savings and investment in the
economy in general, though recent experiences show some fragility in the growth of savings.
The scope of private sector has widened significantly by raising its share in investment
though the scope for rapid increase in private investment remained quite wide and unfilled.
The economy now seems to be on the threshold of breaking out of the low growth situation.
The average growth rate of GDP went up to 5.65 per cent in FY97 from 5.35 per cent in
FY96 and 3.40 per cent in FY91. Similarly, the investment rate went up to 17.37 per cent in
FY97 from 12.80 per cent in FY90. The export/GDP ratio also grew from 8.33 per cent in
FY90 to 14.16 per cent in FY95 and 15.21 per cent in FY97. The inflation rate of 5.22 per
cent in FY95 declined to 4.07 per cent in FY96 and 3.91 per cent in FY97, compared to the
high inflationary period (average rates of 13.38 per cent during 1980-84) before the
government's structural adjustment policies were initiated.
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6.4.8 The progress of privatisation has been slow on account of various factors, the primary
ones being low response from the private sector with respect to abiding by the contractual
obligations, poor co-operation from the labour unions and opposition by vested interests, non-
payment of instalments by the new owners and delay in disposal of legal disputes. This has
also been inhibited by the too cautious an approach taken by the banks and financial
institutions to provide financial accommodation in case of overdue loans. Efforts are being
made to strengthen and speed up the process of privatisation with the appointment of a
Chairman with the rank and status of a State Minister and revamping the board with
membership of elected public representatives at the national level.
6.4.9 In the financial sector, reform measures aimed at (a) deregulation by the government;
(b) supervision and monitoring of banks and financial institutions by the Bangladesh Bank;
(c) widening scope for competitive determination of interest rate; and (d) deepening the
finance in terms of institutions and instruments.
6.4.10 The spread between advance and deposit rates has grown significantly since 1988/89
(Table 6.7). The high level of spread continues to reflect inefficiency of the banking sector
in terms of risk management which, in turn, discourages both savings and investment. This
incompatibility of savings and investment is a serious impediment to acceleration of private
investment and GDP growth.
Table 6.7
Interest Rates on Deposits and Advances 1989-95
Years Interest Rates Interest Rates on Growth Rates of Spread between Real Rates of
on Deposits Advances CPI Advances and Interest on
Deposits Advances
1988/89 8.88 14.68 8.02 5.80 6.66
1989/90 9.06 14.99 9.33 5.93 5.66
1990/91 9.11 15.12 8.85 6.01 6.27
1991/92 8.11 15.12 5.08 7.01 10.04
1992/93 6.51 14.39 1.38 7.88 13.01
1993/94 5.34 12.78 1.77 7.44 11.01
1994/95 4.86 12.22 5.22 7.36 7.00
Source : Bangladesh Bank and BBS.
6.4.11 The issue of tariff reduction and rationalisation will be reviewed from time to time
keeping in view the international trade scenario, balance of payments position, international
commitments and national interest. The introduction of full convertibility of Taka will also
depend on necessary supportive macro economic measures which will be undertaken during
the Fifth Plan.
6.5 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
6.5.1 Foreign Direct Investment has played an important role in accelerating the pace of
development in developing countries as evidenced in the Newly Industrialised Economies
(NIEs). Role of foreign private investment has assumed greater importance in recent years in
this region as the level of ODA has been declining. In fact, the share of ODA received by the
developing countries as a whole has also been declining in recent years. The prospect of ODA
in the future is also becoming uncertain. There is a general consensus on the need for larger
flow of FDI to help reach the desired level.
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6.5.2 With a view to improving the environment for private foreign investment, several EPZs
have been established under the Bangladesh Export Processing Zones Authority (BEPZA)
which was created in 1980. The BEPZA has already established two EPZs, the first one in
Chittagong and the second at Savar near Dhaka. The third one is being established at Comilla.
The EPZs at Chittagong and Dhaka have 96 operational enterprises. Two more EPZs will be
established, one each at Mongla and Pakshey. Besides, the areas under EPZ at Savar and
Chittagong are being expanded. Laws have been enacted enabling the setting up of private
EPZs under which a Korean company has been given permission to set up an EPZ in
Chittagong.
6.5.3 Investment totalling US $ 236.56 million has been made in the two operational EPZs
upto 1996. These zones employed 46,507 persons in their enterprises and the cumulative
exports till 1996 amounted to around US $ 1.30 billion.
6.5.4 The Board of Investment (BOI) is promoting private domestic as well as foreign
investment with support services. Potential investors, both Bangladeshi and foreign, may
register their project proposals with the BOI for facilitating provision of utilities. Previously,
prior permission was required from the government for setting up industrial units in the
private sector. From FY90 through FY96, the BOI registered 597 units for foreign investment
involving a sum of Tk.175.94 billion. Foreign investment has been showing a rising trend.
6.5.5 The Government of Bangladesh, in principle, has approved the creation of Special
Economic Zones (SEZs) in Bangladesh on the basis of a study report. The first SEZ will be
established at Chittagong and three more SEZs in Dhaka, Khulna and Sylhet respectively in
phases.
6.5.6 Foreign investment is being encouraged in almost all sectors of the economy, with
special emphasis on the following areas:
a. export-oriented industries (textiles, leather, chemicals, gems-cutting and polishing,
jewellery, etc.);
b. industries of high technology (engineering, electronics, computer software and data
entry, etc.);
c. industries based on natural resources (chemicals, power generation and distribution,
exploration of oil and gas, etc.);
d. industries based on local raw materials and agro-based food processing industries,
etc.; and
e. infrastructural facilities.
6.5.7 Important incentives for the foreign investors have been identified and will be
provided in terms of:
a. protection of foreign investment from nationalisation and expropriation;
b. abolition of ceiling on investment and equity share-holding by foreigners;
c. tax holiday of 5-10 years depending on location of industries and 15 years tax holiday
for private power generation companies;
d. avoidance of double taxation with different countries on the basis of bilateral
agreements;
e. tax exemption and duty free importation of capital equipment and spares for 100 per
cent export-oriented industries;
f. facilities for easy repatriation of invested capital, profit, dividend, royalty, technical
fees, etc. by the foreign investors;
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g. tax exemption on royalty, technical know-how and technical assistance fees and
salaries of foreign personnel working in Bangladesh;
h. provision of banking facilities and other utility services on equal footing with local
investors;
i. keeping taka freely convertible for international payments in the current account ; and
j. treatment of re-investment of repatriable dividend as new investment entitled to all
these incentives.
6.5.8 The level of foreign private investment which was rather insignificant in the past has
been rising these days. The volume of FDI registered with BOI rose from US $25 million in
FY91 to around US $1.05 billion in FY96.
6.5.9 Since 1996, enormous interest has been shown by the foreign investors in power
generation as well as in oil and gas exploration sector. Large investment is expected in these
sectors and other areas of infrastructure development in the Fifth Plan period.
6.6 Financing of Private Investment
6.6.1 Both commercial and development financing institutions (DFIs) are involved in
providing both short and long term credit to finance private investment (Table 6.8).
Table 6.8
Term Loan and Working Capital Financing by Scheduled Banks and DFIs
(in million Taka)
Year Term Loan Working Capital Disbursed Term
Loan as % of
Sanction Disburse- Disburse- Sanction Disburse- Disburse- Disbursed
ment ment as % ment ment as % of Working Capital
of Sanction Sanction
1990-91 3,965.30 3,580.10 90.29 19,393.00 19,051.40 98.24 18.79
1991-92 3,453.10 3,282.40 95.05 23,053.80 22,913.30 99.39 14.33
1992-93 10,746.70 7,191.90 66.92 28,837.30 28,310.20 98.17 31.39
1993-94 22,123.70 13,881.70 62.76 41,942.40 40,711.80 97.07 34.10
1994-95 34,906.70 22,140.30 63.42 43,712.00 42,251.30 96.66 52.40
1995-96 16,212.00 11,338.10 69.95 39,528.70 41,320.30 114.58 27.44
Growth 32.53 25.93 - 15.31 16.75 -
Rate
Source : Bangladesh Bank.
6.6.2 Over the period 1990/91 to 1995/96, disbursement of term loans increased at 25.93
per cent per annum, while that of the working capital grew at a rate of about 16.75 per cent. In
fact, since 1992/93 the term loans sanctioned and disbursed annually doubled and tripled
respectively. Credit (both term loan and working capital) boom reached its peak in 1994/95
but subsequently subsided dramatically. Such a decline may be attributed to measures to
combat inflationary pressure arising out of an over extension of credit. Despite rise in
disbursement of institutional credit to the private sector in the early 1990s, conflict of
interests stood in the way of efficient allocation of resources. The weakness in financial
system precluded it from playing its due role efficiently allocating credit for a healthier
private sector growth and investment. Along with the growth of institutional term loan, the
capital market did not grow. Actual cost of term credit turned out to be quite high. Term
credit more often than not was not matched by credit for working capital. Because of these
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inadequacies and lopsidedness of the financial system the need of the private sector could not
be met adequately.
6.6.3 During the 1990s, the share of credit to the private sector has ranged between 66 and
73 per cent of the total credit. The total quantum of credit appears to be adequate but because
of the aberrations in the functioning of the financial sector, the credit was not always
channelled to the deserving investors.
6.6.4 The banking system has occasionally suffered from periods of excess liquidity and
shortages which are symptoms of response weaknesses and fundamental imbalance in the
financial system. Non-payment of loans turned out as a serious problem affecting the sector.
The amount of overdue loan in the banking sector as on 31 February 1997 was Tk.140 billion
of which about 8 per cent of defaulters accounted for about one-third (Tk. 50 billion) of the
liability. About 90 per cent of the over-due loan (Tk.126.28 billion) amounted to 41 per cent
of the total loan and advances by the commercial banks implying a locked-in-rigidity of the
system as a whole. A continuance of such a situation has come to threaten recycling of funds
and has become an enormous impediment to resource mobilisation. Besides, the issue is
latent with serious equity implications having elements social destabilisation.
6.6.5 Efforts are being made to introduce financial discipline in the banking sector since
1996. Tk.15.92 billion was recovered from the defaulters during January-March, 1997. The
government has constituted a Bank Reform Committee for streamlining the operation of the
banking sector. A Bankruptcy Law has been enacted and Financial Loan Courts strengthened
to recover overdue loans from the defaulters. The Bangladesh Bank is monitoring the
recovery programme. A task force has been set up in the Bangladesh Bank as well as for each
nationalised commercial bank to oversee collection of overdue loans. It appears that loan
recovery rates are higher amongst the small borrowers in contrast to rates accounted by the
large borrowers.
6.6.6 Financing of private investment in rural areas has been a major focus of lending policy
in recent years. Historically, the financial sector has failed to provide adequate credit to the
private enterprises in both farming and non-farming sectors of the rural areas. In recent years,
the rural credit disbursement has picked up with the Grameen Bank playing a pioneering role
in the area of collateral free banking in the rural area.
6.6.7 Capital market : Funds are mobilised through the capital market through floatation
and trading of listed shares, debentures and mutual fund certificates. Historically, the stock
market has not played a significant role in the mobilisation of resources for financing
investment in Bangladesh. The bulk of financing for long term investment has been provided
by the commercial banks and DFIs as term loans. Raising resources through floating of
shares, however, is usually cheaper than borrowing from banks because such floatation saves
the cost of intermediation. In practice, this is available only to very large scale enterprises.
The smaller or green field enterprises usually do not find the capital market, as it is now, a
cost effective source of capital.
6.6.8 There are at present two stock markets in Bangladesh, one in Dhaka and the other one
in Chittagong. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) was established under the
SEC Act, 1993. It is a central regulatory agency overseeing the activities of the entire capital
market including issue of capital, monitoring the issue of stocks and operation of the stock
markets. The SEC has also a mandate to protect the interest of investors in order to speed up
the industrialisation process, and to this end, new measures are underway to strengthen the
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role and capability of the SEC. The Commission constituted to investigate the activities and
irregularities of the SEC during 1997 has submitted its report. Such actions including steps
taken to inject professionalism and transparency into the working of the SEC will build up
trust and confidence of the investors and help raise funds for investment.
6.6.9 Steps have been taken to set-up a National Stock Exchange (NSE) recently. Provision
will be made to integrate the operation of two stock exchanges with NSE. Riding in a bullish
wave in 1996, the stock markets turned fairly bearish at the end of 1997.
6.7 Development of Private Sector During Fifth Five Year Plan
6.7.1 Introduction: During the Fifth Plan, the private sector will be the main engine of
growth. The public sector will act both as a promoter and as a partner rather than just as a
regulator and will facilitate the growth of the private sector by providing improved physical
and socio-economic infrastructure through regulatory and effective policy support measures.
6.7.2 Basic approach to private sector development: The Fifth Plan provides a broad
canvas and a framework in which the private sector can play an effective role in the
development process for which an indicative guideline is given. The government will take
steps to ensure the creation of an enabling environment through legal and administrative
measures and infrastructure support so that the private sector can function and contribute
according to its potential. The impressive growth registered by many high performing
economies including that of East Asian ones has brought into focus some essential
ingredients for development, namely the need to have a liberal market oriented export led
strategy along with the involvement of the government to provide necessary catalytic and
effective support. The government may, where it is considered necessary, also participate in
investment projects along with the private sector. Such ventures will normally be limited to
areas where private sector is not forthcoming or where the government's presence is desirable
as a support to the private sector.
6.7.3 Efforts will be made through adoption of a comprehensive and meaningful training
programme to increase the level of efficiency in management, marketing and operation.
Public awareness of this important ingredient of development will be generated through
intensive public campaign and involvement of educational institutions. In potential export
areas, special programmes for technology development and diffusion will be undertaken by
technical institutes like textile, leather and ceramics, jointly supported by the government and
the private sector.
6.7.4 The process of reform will be further intensified with the focus being sharpened on
essential aspects. Since continuity of reforms along with adjustment of policies, is essential
prerequisites for development and investment, the government will endeavour to forge
consensus on basic and contentious issues. The process will involve meaningful interaction
with the various chambers of commerce and industries and associations including FBCCI and
public representatives. This will provide confidence and help businessmen and investors to
plan for a longer period.
6.7.5 Steps will be taken to ensure that goods and services which are marketed conform to
certain acceptable standards so as to protect consumer interests. To this end, the technical
capability of the Standard Institute will be raised and the role of the regulatory bodies
strengthened.
6.8 Agenda for Action for Development of Private Sector
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6.8.1 During the Fifth Plan, provision of stable macro environment for efficient operation of
the private sector will be high on the agenda. Monetary and fiscal policies will be so moulded
and reformed as to maximise incentives to the private sector. Financial sector reforms will be
accelerated to establish a viable financial sector. Trade policy will aim at reducing protective
barriers for exports and enchancing incentives to exporters. The government will increase
infrastructural support to the private sector.
6.8.2 Domestic market distortions will be removed to promote competition in both
commodity and factor markets. For this, process of privatisation will be accelerated. Reforms
of various macro and trade policies, industrial regulations, labour laws, institutions (such as
trade unions) etc. will be undertaken to bring about flexible commodity and factor markets so
necessary for growth of the private sector.
6.9 Macro Policy Reforms During Fifth Plan
6.9.1 Policies during the Fifth Plan will be designed to ensure a stable macro economic
environment conducive to the development of the private sector. The fiscal regime will be
further reformed keeping in view the twin objectives of reduction in government current
consumption and increasing efficiency of resource allocation. Evidence from the
neighbouring countries shows that appropriate resource allocation policy can also ensure
resource mobilisation. As such, during the Plan period, the objectives of the fiscal policy will
be to involve, through dialogue, the private sector so as to improve the efficiency of resource
allocation and in the process, contribute to the mobilisation of domestic resources.
6.9.2 During the Fifth Plan, improvement in tax administration will be accelerated.
Research oriented technical assistance for the NBR will be provided and improvements will
be monitored using performance indicators. In particular, the corporate income tax rates will
be lowered in order to maximise incentives to private investment, functioning of Duty
Exemption and Drawback Office(DEDO) will be improved and tariff regime fully
rationalised to remove anti-export bias.
6.9.3 A system of overall low tax rate will be complemented by specific investment
incentives such as accelerated depreciation or tax holidays. Tax administration will be
reformed to increase the confidence of investors. Extension of the coverage and improvement
of collection of taxes will also be made so that further trade liberalisation and tariff
rationalisation may not reduce the contribution to the exchequer. The coverage of VAT will
be expanded after due study and anomalies will be removed to avoid any cascading effect.
6.9.4 Monetary, fiscal and trade policies are interlinked and need to be co-ordinated in order
to ensure that targeted rate of growth is reached. Improved interaction and co-ordination of
these policies amongst the Ministries of Finance, Commerce, Industries, NBR, Planning
Commission etc. will be a definite steps to this end. This will also give a objectives as well as
to positive signal to the private sector. The monetary policy will be reviewed to ensure
supportive role in terms of investment facilitative monetary aggregates in reaching the
targeted objectives. Bangladesh Bank will foster the development of secondary capital
market, improve auction mechanism for its bills and also take measures to ensure efficient
management of reserves.
6.9.5 With a view to encouraging private enterprise the government will provide
infrastructural facilities. To attract more private investments in infrastructures, their
operational problems will be reviewed and steps taken to mitigate them. More specifically,
during the Plan period. the government will:
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elimination of transaction costs which increases the actual cost of funds and to free bank
management from the stigma of such allegations.
6.9.8 The issue of privatisation of nationalised commercial banks will be reviewed during
the Plan period. Specialised institutions such as the Grameen Bank and Palli Karma Shahayak
Foundation (PKSF) will expand their scope of operation during the Plan period for which
government will provide adequate support.
6.9.9 Microcredit: The Fifth Plan recognised that the poor are assets rather than liabilities
and, if ensured access to vital inputs like credit, they can contribute substantially to the
growth process. As such, there is a necessity for implementing the philosophy of microcredit
concept. The importance of micro lending has now been recognised world wide leading to
World Microcredit Summit in February 1997. The declaration of the Summit called for the
creation of an institutional capacity to reach the very poor in the developing countries by
strengthening existing microcredit, savings and business development institutions through
networking and exchange of experience. The Summit estimated that 21.6 billion dollars will
be required to meet the needs of the poor all over the world upto the year 2005. Microcredit is
a major means of financing private sector investment in the rural areas in Bangladesh.
Grameen Bank, Government institutions such as BRDB, PKSF etc. and several NGOs such as
BRAC, PROSHIKA, ASA and MIDAS are involved in this process. The recovery rate for
institutions such as Grameen Bank and BRAC are commendable. However, the impact of
these institutions on the economy as a whole is still limited. Grameen Bank has been able to
develop a successful delivery mechanism for provision of microcredit, mainly for the
development of non-crop farming and off-farm activities. Bangladesh Krishi Bank is another
specialised financial institution delivering credit for farming activities. Several other
parastatals are also involved in extending credit mostly to the agricultural sector.
6.9.10 In the Microcredit Programme during the Fifth Plan, one of the major priorities of the
government will be to reinforce its efforts to generate employment opportunities and self-
employment at the grassroot level, particularly in the rural areas through nation wide
campaign and provision of support services for development of small and micro enterprises.
The Plan envisages to develop a productive micro-enterprise sub-sector to provide profitable
self-employment to the rural people supported by public and private sector institutions.To
attain these objectives in the Plan period steps will be taken to:
a. establish a separate credit line in the banks and financial institutions for the micro
enterprises and entrepreneurs and to develop sustainable programme of services to
meet the credit needs of micro entrepreneurs and to facilitate their access to
financial resources for investment in micro enterprises;
b. establish viable micro enterprises through rural family entrepreneurs by providing
counselling and other advisory services from the relevant government and non
government institutions and organisations;
c. undertake programmes for skill development through training and dissemination
of technologies at the grassroot level;
d. establish private sector financial intermediation services to develop the market for
credit to micro entrepreneurs; and
e. develop replicable models for micro enterprises which can be disseminated for
adoption throughout rural Bangladesh.
6.9.11 The Fifth Plan seeks to create enterprise ownership and employment opportunities to
enable the rural and urban poor and the unemployed to break through the vicious circle of
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poverty. The target group for ownership/operation of micro enterprises will cover, but not be
limited to, the following:
a. Owners/operators of existing micro-enterprises who have proven managerial and
technical skills in self-employment and who wish to expand, upgrade or diversify
their business;
b. Family entrepreneurs interested in starting a micro enterprises;
c. Persons who have acquired the capacity to operate micro enterprises through
apprenticeship or working as skilled labourers and who will like to start their own
business;
d. Persons capable of running poverty alleviation schemes like those supported by
different institutions including NGOs in related sectors and interested to expand
their ongoing small income generating activities; and
e. Unemployed graduates of universities, polytechnics, and monotechnics, or of the
youth training institutions seeking self-employment in preference to wage
employment and who are interested and capable of starting commercially viable
micro enterprises.
6.9.12 Trade policy reforms: The Fifth Plan will follow an outward looking development
strategy with export as an engine of growth. Import liberalisation will continue within an well
defined time-frame in order to accelerate economic growth. For this purpose, the reforms in
the trade policy, which have boosted exports in the recent past, will be further intensified
during the Plan period. Protection will be provided through tariff adjustment rather than
import control which will be phased out within a practicable time-frame. The tariff schedule
will be reviewed and the rate and structure determined by government’s overall objectives
including the need to generate resources, encourage competitiveness and efficiency and to
ensure supply of raw materials at world prices to promote local industries. The Import and
Export Policies will henceforth be formulated for five years instead of two years with
provisions for annual review to provide stable long term perspective for investors and the
business community.
6.9.13 The government will create an enabling atmosphere for the growth of local industries
by rationalising the tariff structure, encouraging their adoption of quality control measures
such as ISO 9000 and ISO 14000, safeguarding them from unfair foreign competition through
actions compatible with WTO trade regime and providing incentives to raise overall
efficiency and productivity in the industrial sector. Measures will also be taken to protect
consumer interests by maintaining adequate supply through import of goods.
6.9.14 Export credit will continue to be provided and steps will be taken to increase its
coverage and intensity. The need to set up an EXIM bank along with facilities to disseminate
information pertaining to trade will be examined. The support given for the export sector will
be reviewed periodically and further measures consistent with WTO regulations will be
adopted. These will include a variety of concessions including simpler duty drawback system
so as to provide exporters with imports at world prices.
6.9.15 An appropriate policy regime will be created for exchange rate management with the
objective of maintaining adequate reserves and competitiveness under the flexible exchange
rate policy.
6.9.16 Privatisation of SOEs : The process of privatisation will be accelerated during the
Plan period and will involve the main stakeholders so as to realistically determine the goals
and strategies for privatisation including various options (e.g. open tender, worker buy out,
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sale to strategic investors, liquidation, etc.) and arrangements for protection of labourer’s
interest and severance payment. Institutional reforms such as revision of the mandate and
improvement of technical capabilities of the Privatisation Board will ensure achievement of
such objective. A comprehensive privatisation law, taking care of the legal rights and
obligations in so far as they relate to the privatisation process including indemnification of
personnel for acts carried out in pursuit of their assigned responsibilities, will be enacted. The
process will be completed by the year 2000 with intermediate annual targets. A special
cabinet sub-committee will be set up to deal with and decide on privatisation issues. The
policies will be adopted to ensure that the units to be privatised are sold outright rather than
under instalment system. There will be progressive unloading of shares of the SOEs on the
stock market and the workers of the privatised enterprises will be given the option to own and
manage such units. The intensification of reforms relating to macroeconomic stability, legal
system etc. during the Plan period is expected to contribute to the privatisation programme.
6.9.17 Provision of incentives to private sector: In addition to the supportive measures
indicated the government will continue and provide and also examine the possibility of
strengthening the incentive package for the development of the private sector during the Plan
period taking into account facilities and incentives provided by other countries in the region.
Steps will be taken to speed up establishment of special bonded warehouse facilities and to
develop the existing export processing zones, which eventually will be integrated into the
economy of the country. Improvements will be made in the functioning of the DEDO and
new and revised flat rates will be introduced in response to demand. Further, such duty
drawback will also be made available for those who supply inputs to exporters. No tax will
have to be paid on amount which is reinvested from income of earlier investment. Any
investment in manufacturing and investment in R&D will be made tax free. The export
diversification will be encouraged through a professionally managed scheme for product and
market development. The Export Promotion Bureau (EPB) will be streamlined so as to make
it less regulatory and to increase its supportive role. In this context, formation of an Apparel
Board will also be considered.
6.9.18 Legal reforms: The Fifth Plan recognises that an important pre-condition for greater
private sector involvement will be the maintenance of the law and order. Creation of national
awareness of this precondition and adoption of appropriate measures to fulfil this will be
given priority by the government during the Fifth Plan. Law enforcing agencies will be geared
up and strengthened during the Fifth Plan so as to create a safe and conducive environment
for the private sector.
6.9.19 For development of an effective private sector, the legal system has to ensure the
private property rights and enforcement of contractual obligations. For this, the adjudication
process of commercial disputes will be quickened and bilateral settlement and arbitration
rather than court based adjudication will be encouraged. Small causes courts will be set up to
facilitate quick disposal of cases of small investors and traders. The work of the Law
Commission will be expedited during the Plan period. The Commission will be asked to
expedite recommendations, amongst others, on strengthening the legal and regulatory
framework including improvement in business related laws, improving the alternate dispute
resolution mechanism and drafting and vetting capacity of the relevant Ministries.
6.10 Projection of Private Investment During Fifth Plan
6.10.1 In view of the intensification of private sector oriented reforms, it is anticipated that
the private investment will increase substantially during the Plan period. An amount of
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Tk.1100.58 billion (56 per cent of the Plan outlay) has been projected as private investment in
the Fifth Plan (Table 6.9).
Table 6.9
Projected Private Investment During Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices)
(in million Taka)
Sector 1996/97 Plan Projection Percentage Share
(Bench mark)
Agriculture 16,029 119,864.31 10.89
Manufacturing 33,431 298,776.16 27.15
Power, Gas and Natural Resources 2,749 37,726.07 3.43
Housing and Construction 23,814 180,017.61 16.35
Transport and Communication 18,777 118,876.80 10.80
Trade and Others 44,422 345,321.15 31.38
Total of All Sectors 139,222 1100,582.10 100.00
Note: The projection of private investment is indicative only. Sector wise private investment has been made
on the basis of past trend of investment and its prospect during the Plan period
and feed, streamlining marketing, increasing credit and strengthening disease control, etc. will
also be given to the private sector so that the growth of agriculture can be raised significantly.
The technology packages so far developed will be implemented during the Fifth Plan. About
10,000 entrepreneurs will be trained in the Plan period. Some productive livestock farms set
up in public sector will be transferred to the private sector. In the area of forestry, investment
in agro as well as in social forestry will be encouraged.
6.11.4 Particular attention will be given to the improvement of the delivery system for
distribution of strategic inputs, especially micro credit. Of the support services, government
will particularly focus on provision of marketing assistance to the farmers. Building of
storage facilities will considerably benefit those, particularly the poor farmers, who are
involved in the crop sub-sector. Participatory approach will be followed during he Plan period
in the implementation of the public programmes with full participation of local government
bodies. Unemployed youths will be trained in installation and maintenance of small irrigation
equipment.
6.11.5 Co-operatives have been working in rural development drawing inspiration from the
success of the Comilla Academy approach. While there are many success stories, the co-
operative system has, however, not expanded to the desirable extent nor the objectives have
been reached. Failure to give due priority to such institutions as well as their management are
the major reasons for such shortfall in performance. The present government intends to focus
substantially on the development of co-operatives during the Plan period. The strengthening
of such institutions will enable them to spur the growth of private investment in the rural
economy and help attain poverty alleviation.
6.11.6 Several NGOs are also working in the field of agriculture, specifically in the areas of
livestock, fishery and forestry. Many NGOs- such as BRAC, PROSHIKA, ASA, IIRD and
GSS are at present providing microcredit to the people in the remote areas of the country for
investing in income generating activities. These NGOs have achieved commendable success
in service delivery. During the Plan period, attempt will be made to co-ordinate the activities
of the government, NGOs, and co-operatives in order to minimise overlap of efforts of the
various relevant institutions. Comprehensive participatory local level plan will take into
account the linkages between these programmes.
6.11.7 The poor and the disadvantaged groups who are to be organised by the local
government bodies, co-operatives and NGOs are going to be the main agents as well as the
main beneficiaries in the local level participatory planning process. In order to assist the poor
and the landless to benefit from such programme aimed to integrate them with the market
process, government resources like khas land and jal-mahal will be distributed among them.
6.11.8 The issue of falling profitability (as revealed in the IBRD Report of 1995) in the crop
sector will be addressed during the Plan period. An Agricultural Price Commission will be
formed to formulate price policies. At the same time, the feasibility of agricultural insurance
will be explored in order to minimise the impact of natural calamities in the volatility of
income in the agriculture sector and welfare of rural households. Such measures are expected
to contribute to the growth of private investment in the sector and reduce the risk of the
banking sector as well.
6.11.9 In view of the success of the privatisation of agricultural input distribution during the
past plan periods, efforts will continue in the same direction during the Fifth Plan. While
privatising any activity or enterprise, special attention will be given to the workers/employees.
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They may be involved in management and ownership of the privatised enterprises. Proper
studies will also be undertaken in order to determine the time-frame for the implementation of
privatisation in the sector. As a result of government policies, private investment in
agriculture is projected to be around Tk.120 billion during the Plan period.
been signed with the private sector for the exploration of gas and for expanding power
generation. Although activities of the local investors in this field will be limited and be
mainly in distribution, they will gain experience during the period. In view of the government
efforts, it is anticipated that private investment, particularly foreign private investment, will
increase substantially during the Plan period and it is projected that in this sector such
investment will be around Tk. 38 billion.
6.13.2 South Asian Triangle has huge potential for development of power and natural
resources. However, collective efforts are needed to harness this potential. The leaders of all
the neighbouring countries have already recognised the role of sub-regional cooperation in the
development of this sector. Efforts will be made to undertake joint venture projects in this
context.
6.14 Housing and Construction
6.14.1 In view of large population, intensification of growth process and growth of
population, the pace of private investment in housing and construction is going to increase
during the Fifth Plan. During the Plan period, the involvement of the private sector/NGOs
will be expanded to include slum improvement, waste management, sanitation, roads, water
supply, flood control, development of markets for district towns and thana centres. Private
sector participation in both the urban and rural housing. particularly low cost housing, will be
encouraged through incentives, targeted loans and infrastructural support. Private investment
will be encouraged in the production of construction equipment and materials, sanitary
fittings including latrines by providing credit and technological support. Private sector/NGOs
will be encouraged to develop and run tourist sites and other facilities.
6.14.2 The role of the commercial banks and financial institutions including House Building
Finance Corporation(HBFC) has been quite significant in the past. The HBFC has provided
considerable amount of credit in urban areas. Its programme in this direction will be
continued during the Plan period. These institutions will be further strengthened so as to
facilitate private investment. In view of the Plan's objective of maximisation of social
welfare, low cost housing will receive priority in credit disbursement by such institutions.
Private sector will be encouraged to invest in housing estates to ease housing shortages.
Greater investment in turn, will enable families with modest means to purchase such dwelling
units. Improvement of quality through technological improvements without increasing cost
will be the prime objective of governmental efforts in this sector. Private investment in
research on building technology will be encouraged. The government is going to evolve and
enforce a uniform code for house building in the Plan period.
6.14.3 In view of expected high growth of the economy during the Fifth Plan and successful
involvement of the private sector in housing in the recent past, it is anticipated that the private
investment in this sector will be around Tk. 180 billion during the Plan period.
6.15 Transport and Communications
6.15.1 Although the transport sector is dominated by the private investors, adequate
investment has not been forthcoming except in the road and water transport sectors. During
the Plan period, steps will be taken to remove the obstacles to such investment in road and
water transportation.These steps will cover militant labour groups, shortage of credit and
inefficiency and corruption in traffic administration. An inter-ministerial task force will be
formed and steps will be taken on a priority basis to eliminate the negative impact of these
forces on private investments in this sector.
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6.15.2 In the past, air transportation was in the public sector. The government has now
opened up domestic and international routes to the private investors and deregulated the air
freight so that domestic private companies can compete with international ones. This is vitally
linked to the growth of export.
6.15.3 During the Fifth Plan, amongst others, the private sector will be involved in the
development of appropriate regulatory framework and incentive packages for its increased
participation in port development, establishment of container terminals, setting up ferry
services and procurement of container feeder vessels and mother tankers. Use of private
equipment for handling cargo will also be allowed. The possibility of forming a joint venture
between Chittagong Port Authority and a private company for operation and maintenance of a
Dredger Authority will be explored. Besides, private sector participation will be encouraged
in the following areas :
a. construction and operation of container terminals as well as bulk, break-bulk,
multipurpose berth and specialised cargo berth out-side the port protected area;
b. leasing of equipment for private handling ; and
c. construction of a deep-sea port.
6.15.4 Private sector will be encouraged to set up inland container depots(ICD). Besides, the
transportation of containers from sea ports to Dhaka will be opened to the private sector and
private investment will be encouraged.
6.15.5 At present, there are no restrictions for private companies to own and operate ocean-
going ships. Moreover, 12.5 per cent share of BSC is now owned by the private sector. There
is a programme for divesting 49 per cent shares of BSC to the private investors.
6.15.6 In the inland water transport, private sector will be involved in the following areas :
a. operation and maintenance of ferry ghats;
b. development of rural launch stations/landing stages; and
c. providing aid to navigation in inland water ways.
6.15.7 In the road transport sector, the private sector will be encouraged to invest in the
construction of road and other related infrastructures also.
6.15.8 Historically, communication has been an area dominated by the public sector and the
role of private sector in development and operation of communication has been negligible.
Since mid-eighties, initiatives were undertaken to bring private sector participation in the
telecommunications services. First private operator licence was issued in July, 1989. During
the last couple of years, the telecommunication sub-sector has been opened up for increased
private sector participation . As a result, three more private telecommunication operators were
given licenses for providing digital cellular mobile telephone services all over the country. In
November 1996, licenses for digital mobile cellular radio telephone services were issued to
three private operators in addition to the only existing cellular mobile telephone operator, to
increase competition in the sector. All these are joint venture companies between Bangladesh
and foreign partners. In addition, six private companies have started providing internet and
electronic mail (e-mail) services in the country. During the Plan period, a telecommunication
policy will be designed and formulated so as to attract more direct foreign and local
investments for building a fully digital telecommunication infrastructure in the country and
providing competitive and cost-effective services. This will include value added services like
high speed transmission cellular mobile phones, internet, e-mail, cable TV, etc. Necessary
programmes and policies will be undertaken to facilitate the development of export oriented
data entry/data processing and software industry in the private sector.
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6.15.9 Further steps will be taken to encourage private investment in the communication sub-
sector in terms of (a) competition for services among private cellular operators and between
the private cellular operators and the Bangladesh Telegraph and Telephone Board (BTTB);
(b) new investments creating competition between wired and private radio-based net-work.
6.15.10 In view of the privatisation efforts as well as other polices to be undertaken by the
government, the private investment in transport and communication sector is projected to be
around Tk.119 billion during the Plan period.
6.16 Private Investment in Trade and Others
6.16.1 Investment activities in these sectors include investment in trade and commerce,
educational services, health services and professional services, etc. In line with the overall
strategy to follow a private sector led-growth during the Fifth Plan, and in tune with the
tradition of the private sector's involvement in such sub-sectors, efforts will be intensified to
encourage private investment in these sectors.
6.16.2 The government will, amongst other areas, encourage private sector involvement in
trade, education and health. Further, some activities including food procurement will be
shared with the private sector. However, where welfare considerations are involved, it will be
ensured that certain acceptable standards are met through framing of appropriate rules and
regulations and their enforcement.
6.16.3 Steps will be taken during the Plan period to encourage institutes of higher learning
such as universities, medical colleges, etc. in the private sector. These institutions must
conform to acceptable standards and provide access to the poor but meritorious students.
Academicians will be encouraged to set up educational institutions in order to ensure quality
of education. To encourage private investment in education services, incentives such as
credit, land, etc. will be provided through the credit guarantee scheme currently being
operated by the Bangladesh Bank and allocation of appropriate government land by the
Ministry of Housing and Public Works and urban development organisations like Rajuk.
6.16.4 In the area of health, establishment of private hospitals, clinics, diagnostic centres, etc.
will be encouraged through deregulation and provision of incentives including reduction of
tariff on imports of medical equipment, appliances, essential medicines and chemicals for
surgery and complicated diseases. In the area of sports and culture, the involvement of the
private bodies and individuals will be encouraged through financial grants and awards and
other incentives. The affluent citizens will be encouraged to sponsor sports and cultural
activities. In the area of mass media, private activities will be further expanded through
opening such activities for investment and operation by the private sector.
6.16.5 In order to encourage tourism, development of hotels and other physical facilities in
the private sector will be given high priority. Establishment of more investment banks and
insurance companies in the private sector will be encouraged.
6.16.6 It is anticipated that due to intensification of efforts to encourage private investment in
trade and others service sectors, the total investment will be around Tk. 345 billion during the
Plan period.
6.17 Institutional Issues
6.17.1 To increase the efficiency of the labour force appropriate policies will be framed to
develop necessary skill and knowledge. The government will take the lead in initiating a
proper programme and will encourage greater participation by the private sector, as this is
expected to reflect the demand for such training more effectively. Such training programme
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6.18.2 Each ministry will prepare a plan delineating the role of the private sector in
implementing the plan objectives in its relevant sectors and will also draw up, in consultation
with the private sector representatives, the nature of government support needed to harness
resources and to enable the private entrepreneurs to play their expected roles.
6.18.3 A Council of Private Enterprises will be constituted under the chairmanship of the
Prime Minister with representatives from the private and public sectors. Minister of
Commerce and Industries will be the alternate chairman of this council. The council at the
highest level will advise the government to take such measures as will be needed over time to
bloom out private enterprise and its creativity.
6.18.4 Skill development in the private sector is a sine-qua-non for speedy development and
along with governmental efforts the private sector will also be supported to expand its
activities in this area keeping in view international and national needs. Policies will be framed
for proper certification of training received reflecting the standard of acquired proficiency and
for helping the expansion and strengthening of such institutions. Attention on adoption of
standards and quality control measures so as to keep pace with international requirements will
be given.
6.18.5 The transformation of the role of the state from one of a regulator to that of a partner
and facilitator will necessitate changes in the nature and content of the training of the civil
servants. Such changes will reflect the new dimensions that have emerged as a result of the
sharper focus on the private sector and adoption of market economy. Representatives of
private sector should regularly participate in such courses both as resource persons and as
participants.
6.18.6 The government, as a partner as well as promoter of the private sector, will reorganise
its foreign missions so that they can assist the local private investors in marketing their
products abroad. They will also provide information about market and opportunities in
Bangladesh to the prospective foreign investors.
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CHAPTER VII
Village Development" (CVD) programme. Under it, the village is considered as an integral
whole and all its inhabitants are brought under one umbrella co-operative for comprehensive
bottom up development. Since 1984, it has spread into 40 villages (15 in Comilla, 10 in Sylhet,
7 in Sonargaon and 8 in Burichang Thana) as an experiment of local level planning.
7.2.3 In the late 1970s, the "Swanirvar movement", like the Comilla approach, attempted (a)
to organise different interest groups at the village level; (b) represent them in an informal village
based organisation; and (c) then link them informally with the union parishad on the one hand
and the thana officials of the various ministries/agencies, on the other. Its differences with the
Comilla approach was that (a) while Comilla approach paid more attention on the small and
marginal farmers, the Swanirvar movement tried to bring all the interest-cum-functional groups
(large farmers, small and marginal farmers, the landless labourers, the women, the youth, etc.)
first under their own informal organisation and then bring them together under a village
development committee with approximately two representatives from each group. It had two
varieties: under the Sadullahpur model, the local ward member of the union parishad would
become the head of this village development committee; under the Kushtia model, the villagers
would select (on the basis of consensus) the chairman of this committee. As a model in its two
variants, it did not survive beyond early 1980s.
7.2.4 A more successful experiment in poverty alleviation that attracted attention of all in the
1980s was the Grameen Bank. Its main hypothesis was that the poor were bankable. If credit
could be advanced to them through an innovative process, they would not only repay the credit
fully as per schedule, but also simultaneously generate a dynamic process of production savings
and investment that could eventually lead them to graduate to self-reliance. More important, 95
per cent of the clientele of the Grameen Bank turned out to be women.
7.2.5 Role of NGOs at Grassroot Level Development: During this period, the number of
non-government organisations (NGOs) also increased throughout the country. The process was
helped by easy availability of donor funds for NGOs. The donors supported the NGOs to
supplement the government’s delivery system to reach the poor and to play a more creative role
to consciencetise them. This argument created an indirect pressure on the government to make
its delivery system to be more efficient. The resultant competition between the GOs and NGOs
to reach the poor brought the questions of cost-effectiveness, transparency and accountability of
using public fund under sharper focus.
7.2.6 The major activities of the main NGOs in Bangladesh can be enumerated as follows:
a. rural physical infrastructure building (food for works, canal digging): mainly by
CARE;
b. agricultural development by CARE, CARITAS, CCDB, BRAC, PROSHIKHA;
c. non-agricultural development programmes for promoting employment by the local
level organisations;
d. health, population control and family welfare programmes of FPAB, BAVS, BRAC,
Swanirvar Bangladesh, National Youth Federation and a number of women
organisations; and
e. training and education and consciencetisation programmes of BRAC, FPAB, BAVS,
IIRD, etc.
7.3 Main Constraints to Rural Development
7.3.1 In the light of experience gained in the past, the main constraints to rural development
seem to be the following:
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a. Although "village" was the basic geographic unit and constituted the bottom-most entity
for identification of development needs in rural areas, there was hardly any "effective
development organisation" in it. Frequently, it was held that an average village in
Bangladesh was too small to be regarded as a formal organisational unit. On the other
hand, without such an organisation, the villagers, particularly the rural poor, found it
difficult to effectively participate in the development process.
b. There are a number of government agencies for service delivery at various tiers of local
government (district, upazila and union) but, in the absence of effective "clientele"
organisations, the delivery structure had remained somewhat inaccessible and
inefficient. In particular, this system did not reach the poor and the disadvantaged in all
cases.
c. The various efforts to organise the people at the grassroot level through local
government bodies also did not succeed, as in the absence of democratically elected
government, these bodies were used to serve political interest of the power that was in
the central government. As a result, local government bodies in Bangladesh proved to be
more of an extended arm of the Ministry of Local Government and Rural Development
and Co-operative and, as such, they could not grow on their own. In particular, they
remained heavily dependent on the government for their resources and initiative.
d. The government personnel who were sent to the rural areas to work for the poor, largely
proved to be inadequately motivated for participatory local level development (for
various reasons such as inadequate training, incentive structure, logistics, etc.)
e. No effective mechanism could be developed for co-operation and co-ordination at
various tiers of administration (district, upazila and union). The need for effective co-
ordination increased overtime in response to the expansion of development activities in
the rural areas.
f. The understanding of the decision makers of the need for and effectiveness of
"participatory local level planning" was rather poor. Most development planners
(including bureaucrats and technocrats) thought that such participation was unnecessary
mainly because of ignorance and illiteracy of the poor. The usual emphasis was on the
need for educating the poor before they could effectively participate. For the intervening
period, therefore, the preference was for a top down decision making process.
g. Although there was a broad consensus that Bangladesh being a labour abundant country
should convert its surplus labour into productive capital, in practice, the decision makers
could not clearly prescribe the process through which this goal could be achieved.
h. The banking system expanded in the rural areas quite rapidly in the 1970s and 1980s, yet
heavy dependence of the rural poor on the informal sector (e.g. money lenders who
charge high interest rates) continued strangulating their creative potential to contribute
more to the national growth.
7.3.2 The inability to clearly formulate effective strategies to overcome the constraints made
the provisions of "safety net" (e.g. food for works programmes, vulnerable group development
programme, rural maintenance programme, etc.) a necessity rather than taking effective
measures for income generating activities as the main vehicle for poverty alleviation. In the
1980s, however, the poverty alleviation efforts through income generating activities of some
government agencies and NGOs multiplied but in most cases, their coverage and cost
effectiveness remained low.
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7.4.5 Genuine devolution must vest in various tiers/spheres of local government clearly
following delineated administrative, judicial, financial and developmental roles as envisaged in
Article 59 of the Constitution. Such devolution will not only contribute to good governance
through rational sharing of powers and responsibilities between the central government and the
local government bodies, but also lead to greater success in the management of development
programmes/projects and better delivery of services through more efficient discharge of
respective functions. Moreover, people's vote will be seen to be bearing fruits and democracy
will be seen to be functioning at the door steps of the voters when they will witness that the
representatives elected by them to the various tiers of local government are in fact contributing
to the upliftment of their lot. Needless to say, such visibility is very vital for democratic culture
to take desirably deep roots.
7.4.6 Enhanced Developmental role of Municipalities and City Corporations: In the
context of its new vision of local government, the present government will entrust the
municipalities and city corporations with enhanced developmental roles in their respective areas
of jurisdiction. In providing civic amenities to citizens, these bodies, more often than not,
depend on other agencies for building up infrastructural facilities and generation of utilities and
other services. In a departure from this age-old practice, the present government will encourage
and empower the municipalities and city corporations to undertake increasingly more
development programmes/projects for catering to the needs of citizens. They will be called upon
to monitor and oversee educational institutions as well as health and family welfare services
facilities. To enable them to meet their increasing financing needs, these bodies will be
empowered to mobilise and raise additional resources through broadening the existing base of
taxation and issue of innovative saving instruments, including bonds and debentures. They will
also be given the role of co-ordinators to co-ordinate amongst different service producers and
service providers. Towards these objectives, a substantial share of powers and authorities of
relevant ministries/divisions of the government will be delegated to the municipalities and city
corporations.
Following the decisions, Zilla Parishad or Upazila Parishad will assume responsibilities
for preparing local level development plans spreading over time as well as drawing up
annual resource use plans in line with the exercise done at the national level during the
preparation of annual development programmes. One approach which may merit
consideration is to take Zilla as the planning unit, Upazila as the key implementing
agency for local level development programmes/projects and union parishads as the
local operational and supervisory agency for projects implemented at local ambits.
Functionaries of relevant government ministries/divisions/departments posted at the local
levels will be placed at the disposal of Zilla Parishad/Upazila Parishad to provide
necessary support and assistance in these exercises.
b. Standing committees of local bodies formed at the relevant levels will be made
operational. These committees will represent the various functional-cum-interest groups
in village, union, upazila and zilla levels. They will be given the responsibility to initiate
local level plans and programmes. The outline of the village plan will be prepared by the
villagers themselves with focus on eradication of poverty among the hard core poor and
generation of employment including self-employment. The members of the village
committee may divide responsibilities of different sectors of development (education,
agriculture, tree plantation, family planning and population control, etc.) among
themselves according to the skills and clientele representations.
c. The development actors, belonging to the four spheres of local government, may be
suitably trained by academicians as well as development practitioners. The Academy for
Rural Development at Comilla, the Academy for Rural Development at Bogra, the
National Institute of Local Government (NILG), the Academy for Planning and
Development of the Ministry of Planning as well as the Planning Commission can be
pressed in to this end.
d. The process of integration of the village, union, upazila and zilla plans will be as
follows:
i. by December, Union Parishad will collect from Zilla and Upazila Parishads the
list of expected projects/programmes of the central government and of NGOs
which are relevant for the concerned areas;
ii. by March next, Union Parishads will integrate their own programmes and
projects, based on the needs and priorities of the villages under the respective
unions, with the projects and programmes of the central government and the
NGOs through a series of consultative meetings with the local functionaries of
the government and other concerned persons;
iii. at the upazila and zilla levels, these projects/programmes will be further
scrutinised to fill up the gaps in both plan formulation and implementation
strategies; and
iv. the actual implementation of these projects/programmes will start with a
participatory process from July which is the beginning of the financial year.
e. The process of organising the rural people and training them for development
activities will be reinforced by legislative support where necessary (an example of
such legislative action for development was embodied in the debt settlement
legislation in the late 1930's that substantially freed the poor peasants from the
clutches of the money lenders). For this purpose, the members of the Parliament can
take initiative on their own or Gram Parishads, through respective Union Parishads,
can give them a list for such actions.
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period; a reorientation of financial institutions and credit agencies will (i) make the
monetary sector more responsive to societal needs ; (ii) ease the present excessive
reliance on fiscal measures for resource mobilisation; (iii) motivate and activate the
informal sector for greater contribution to development; and (iv) raise the growth rate
through additional capital formation in the economy. Promotion of local level
planning is expected to facilitate the process of this orientation of financial institutions
and agency in a mutually reinforcing manner.
f. Undertake massive training of government officials, peoples' representatives and other
social workers in participatory bottom up planning.
g. Institutionalise the process of conflict resolution particularly in important fields of (i)
top down versus bottom up processes of planning; (ii) deconcentration versus
devolution of power in favour of the local government bodies; (iii) allocation of
development funds through sectoral plans versus district plans; (iv) incentive
structures favouring the relatively more efficient versus inefficient groups and sectors;
and (v) promotion of growth through structural adjustment reform programme without
disregarding social responsibility. The most optimistic element in the field of conflict
resolution is expected to be the "strategy of popular participation" because if it is
allowed to find its own course, it is expected to generate its own dynamics of conflict
resolution through a continuous process of dialogue and consensus.
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CHAPTER VIII
POVERTY ALLEVIATION EMPLOYMENT AND
HUMAN RESOURCES DEVELOPMENT
8.1 Introduction
8.1.1 The economy of Bangladesh with a large and rapidly growing population and low per
capita income reveals conditions of abject poverty for the majority of the people. The task
of poverty alleviation with the ultimate aim of its eradication is a challenging one.
urban poor who move up the income ladder after migrating to urban areas may actually
experience deterioration in other dimensions of poverty such as lack of adequate shelter,
sanitation, personal security, active community life, etc. Third, after every statistical
adjustment has been made, the challenge of poverty in Bangladesh remains a monumental
one with nearly 50 per cent of the rural population living in poverty of which approximately
half are in extreme poverty . The sheer magnitude of poverty, particularly extreme poverty is
staggering. More concerted efforts need to be undertaken in this regard involving direct
capability-raising programmes through public education and health as well as safety net
programmes, particularly for the poorest.
8.3 Movement In and Out of Poverty
8.3.1 All poverty alleviation efforts have been singularly concerned with the poor over time.
The dynamic process of impoverisation is however more complex than caring for the poor.
There are movements across the poverty lines (BIDS: 1996). In fact, relatively more people
moved into the extreme poverty level from above than from the latter group, apparently
resulting in polarisation of the non-poor and the extreme poor in the rural areas. In 1989/90,
BIDS sample shows that the extreme poor group constituted 16.7 per cent, excluding
households (18.3 per cent) who fluctuated between moderate poverty and extreme poverty,
while 44.6 per cent were non-poor. In 1994, 17.6 per cent were in extreme poverty
(excluding fluctuating group). The corresponding percentage of the non-poor was 45.6 per
cent. Relatively more people also crossed into the group of the non-poor with the moderate
poor being proportionately less (20.4 per cent in 1989/90 to 18.3 per cent in 1994). This
movement from the moderate group is indicative of improvement in absolute poverty, while
extreme poverty seems to be growing.
8.3.2 This movement has been caused by unredeemed pressure on land due to inadequate
non-farm employment opportunities, consequent increase in marginal farming, frequent
natural calamities and above all, fluctuations in sluggish economic growth.
8.4 Causes of Poverty
8.4.1 The major causes of poverty in Bangladesh are low economic growth, inequitable
distribution of income, unequal distribution of productive assets, unemployment and under-
employment, high rate of population growth, low level of human resources development,
natural disasters and limited access to public services.
8.4.2 Low economic growth: High growth rate is conducive to efficiency and poverty
alleviation, as is evident from the experience of the high performing Asian economies which
have consistently achieved annual growth rates of 7 to 8 per cent. In contrast, during the past
two decades, Bangladesh economy has suffered from low GDP growth of 4 to 5 per cent.
This was too low a growth to lift the population, particularly the poor, to a higher level of
living. According to a 1996 CPD (Centre For Policy Dialogue) study if per capita income
were to grow at a rate of 4 per cent per year then it would take an average poor person 13
years to be lifted out of poverty. For an extremely poor person the time will be 23 years.
Many may hasten to add that growth per se is not poverty-reducing. But it is a necessary
condition though not sufficient. Growth, poverty and inequality are consequences of public
policies. If growth is based on appropriate policies inclined towards poverty alleviation, it has
the potential to reduce poverty. Participating in and contributing to such development/growth
processes, the poor may improve their situation.
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8.4.3 Inequitable distribution of income: The pattern of income distribution in the rural
areas of Bangladesh reflects deteriorating economic situation of the poor. It indicates that the
share of income accruing to the bottom 40 per cent of the rural households deteriorated
slightly in 1991/92 (18.96 per cent) compared to 1983/84 (19.24 per cent). The income
distribution pattern also indicates that the top 5 per cent of rural households enjoyed 17.8 per
cent of the income in 1991/92. The income distribution is presented in Table 8.1.
Table 8.1
Bangladesh: Income Distribution
Residence 1983/84 1985/86 1988/89 1991/92
1 2 3 4 5
Income accruing (per cent) to bottom 40 per cent households
Bangladesh 18.95 19.35 17.53 18.44
Rural 19.24 19.95 18.02 18.96
Urban 17.87 19.20 17.52 18.68
Income accruing (per cent) to top 5 per cent households
Bangladesh 18.30 21.36 20.51 18.85
Rural 18.14 21.36 19.81 17.80
Urban 16.93 18.04 20.02 19.42
Gini ratio
Bangladesh 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.39
Rural 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.36
Urban 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.40
Source : BBS, 1993
8.4.4 Unequal distribution of productive assets: Since land constitutes the main
component of the physical capital of the economy, particularly in the rural areas, and is one of
the major determinants of rural income, unequal ownership of, and access to land is of
particular relevance to analysing rural poverty. Available data (BBS) indicate the presence of
considerable inequality in the distribution of rural land ownership. In 1983/84 according to
the Agricultural Census, 79.88 per cent of the rural households were in the group of small
farms (0.05 - 2.49 acres of land), 16.27 per cent in the medium group (2.5 - 7.49 acres) and
3.85 per cent in the large group (7.5 + acres). In 1991/92 according to HES (BBS) the figures
for these groups were 66.64 per cent, 12.66 per cent and 3.13 per cent respectively. These
show some improvement in land ownership distribution. About access to land which is
defined in terms of operating size of farms, in 1983/84, 70.34 per cent of the total farm
households were in the small farm group covering 28.98 per cent of the total farm area; 24.72
per cent, in the medium farm group covering 45.09 per cent of the total farm area; and 4.94
per cent, in the large farm group with 25.93 per cent of the total farm area. Thus while less
than one-third of the farm households (medium and large farms) operated more than two-
thirds of the farm area, more than two-thirds of the farm households (small farms) operated
less than one-third of the total farm area. But access to land through tenancy arrangement was
very limited in 1983/84. Only 8.26 per cent of operating farm households were accounted by
households who owned no land, but most of them operated very small farms. About 86.24 per
cent of them operated less than half an acre and 91.7 per cent less than one acre. Though land
is the most valuable physical capital for the rural economy, non-land resources like
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technologies, skills and credit are gaining importance. But the poor have limited access to
these for lack of education.
8.4.5 Unemployment and under-employment: Unemployment and under-employment are
essentially at the root of poverty. The unemployment and under-employment situation is
presented in Tables 8.2 and 8.3.
Table 8.2
Unemployed Population Aged 10 Years and Over
Locality Both Sex Male Female
No. of Unemployment No. of Unemployment No. of Unemployment
unemployed* rate unemployed rate unemployed rate
population (‘000) population population
(‘000) (‘000)
Bangladesh 1417 2.5 931 2.7 486 2.3
Urban 455 4.5 324 4.4 131 4.6
Rural 962 2.1 607 2.2 355 1.9
Source : BBS, Labour Force Survey (LFS) 1995/96
*A person of age 10 years and over is considered as unemployed if he/ she did not work at all during the
preceding week of survey and was actively looking for work or was available for work but did not work due to
temporary illness or because there was no work available.
Table 8.3
Under-employed Population Aged 10 Years and Over
(million)
Category Bangladesh Urban Rural
Both Male Female Both Male Female Both Male Female
Sex Sex Sex
Employed persons* 54.5 33.7 20.8 9.7 7.0 2.7 44.8 26.7 18.1
Employed persons (<35 hrs/week) 18.9 4.2 14.7 1.9 0.7 1.2 17.0 3.5 13.5
Under-employment rate** 34.6 12.4 70.7 19.6 10.0 44.4 37.9 13.1 74.6
Source : BBS, Labour Force Survey (LFS) 1995/96
* Employed person is a person who was either working one or more hours for pay or profit or working without
pay in a family farm or enterprise or organisation during the reference period or found not working but had a
job or business from which he/she was temporarily absent during the reference period.
** Those who worked less than 35 hours per week as percentage of the total number of employed population.
8.4.6 The total civilian labour force (10 years and over) in Bangladesh was 56 million in
1995/96 (male 34.7 million, female 21.3 million; rural 45.8 million, urban 10.2 million).
Considering the size of the labour force, the number of unemployed population vis-a-vis
unemployment rate may not appear significant. What is significant is that more than one-third
of the employed persons both at the national and rural levels are under-employed. It is also
highly significant that under-employment is much higher in the female population than that
in the male population at both the national and rural levels.
8.4.7 Unemployment among the educated youth is one of the major problems in Bangladesh.
The educated labour force in 1995/96 was 24.7 million and educated unemployment rate
about 4.4 per cent (LFS, 1995/96).
8.4.8 Besides unemployment and under-employment, an understanding about the employment
and wage situation is necessary for formulation of a strategy for improving the situation of the
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Table 8.4
Improvements in Human Resources Development
Indicator Year
1991* 1995
1 2 3
Total fertility rate per woman 4.3 3.4
Crude birth rate per thousand population 32 27.5
Crude death rate per thousand population 13 9
Infant mortality rate per thousand live births 92 78
Maternal mortality rate per thousand live births 4.7 4.5
Contraceptive prevalence rate (%) 40 48
Life expectancy at birth (National) 56.1 58
Access to safe drinking water (% of population) 80 96
Population per hospital bed 3205 3453
Population per physician 4526 4870
Access to sanitary system of latrines (% of population) 9 35.3
Adult literacy rate (National) 35.3 47.3
Gross primary enrolment ratio (6-10 years, National) 76 92
*BBS
8.4.14 There still remains a great necessity for substantial improvements in various aspects
of social/human resources development which will provide substantial economic benefits
over the long term by improving labour productivity and accelerating the adoption of
improved technologies. Achieving these objectives, however, requires a long term
commitment to allocate more funds to human resources development programmes to make
them sustainable.
8.4.15 Natural disasters: Natural disasters like floods, cyclones and droughts aggravate
poverty in two ways : through destruction of food stocks and whatever meagre assets the
households on the margin of poverty have and by making employment opportunities scarce.
While natural disasters of a moderate proportion in limited areas tend to cause or aggravate
impoverishment, disasters of severe magnitude covering larger areas may cause famine.
Furthermore, diseases, injuries and afflictions immediately after disasters drastically reduce
the capacity of the poor to cope with adverse circumstances. The frequency and magnitude of
natural disasters in Bangladesh have been more unfavourable to the economically
disadvantaged than to others. In the absence of safeguards against these sudden shocks, rural
households above the threshold poverty line are prone to be pulled down and those who are
already below it experience further slippage. Cyclone in Bangladesh is almost a regular
feature. The entire coastal belt as well as inland areas experienced cyclones, which often
produced surges or high tidal waves causing severe loss of lives, standing crops and other
properties.
8.4.16 Access to public services: One of the major reasons of poverty is limited access to
public services. There are a number of government agencies for service delivery at various
tiers of administration and local governments (divisions, districts, thanas and unions). The
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public service delivery system suffers from inadequate allocation and supplies, lack of
accountability, lack of motivation on the part of the service providers, on the one hand and
from the absence of effective ''clientele'' organisations on the other. As a result the public
service delivery structure has remained largely ineffective and inefficient. The World Bank
Study on Poverty and Public Expenditure shows that benefit of expenditures in social sectors
largely accrue to the poor people but since the level of expenditure is not high, benefit is
limited. The recent trend for higher allocation for health and education will definitely help the
poor. Access to public services can increase on a sustained basis through properly functioning
representative government. The basis for this was laid through setting up the democratically
elected government in June 1996.
provides income generating employment opportunities, particularly for the rural poor women.
PKSF disbursed total loan amounting to Tk. 1099.59 million covering 9229 villages in 51
districts of the country upto June 1996. Besides these, wide ranging packages funded from
ADP include credit programmes, training, counselling, infrastructure development, health
services, etc. Also specific programmes on rural poverty and urban poverty have been taken
up in ADPs.
8.5.5 Safety Net Programme of Food for Works (FFW) provides employment to the rural
poor during lean periods through construction of rural infrastructure. Six thousands FFW
schemes generating employment of over 70 million man days were implemented since late
seventies. More recently, a Food for Education Programme was launched with the aim to
encourage the distressed families to keep their wards in primary schools. Vulnerable Group
Development Programme (VGDP) which is predominantly a relief operation was also
introduced. This programme is designed to reach over 85,000 beneficiaries exclusively
headed by destitute females. In recent times this programme for destitute women is trying to
move from its role of relief provider to a larger development role like providing agriculture
and health care training to women beneficiaries. However, the volume of foodgrains
channelled through FFW and VGD declined in absolute terms from 716 to 640 thousand tons
during the period between 1991/92 and 1995/96. This had a negative impact on the extreme
poor. Another important poverty alleviation project named Rural Maintenance Programme
(RMP) is being implemented through the monetisation of Canadian food aid since 1983.
RMP (phase-III) is now being implemented by LGED, Ministry of Local Government, in
collaboration with CARE. Under this programme approximately 82,000 kms. of rural earthen
roads will receive year round routine maintenance in 4,100 unions and provide employment
to approximately 41,000 destitute women.
8.5.6 Besides government programmes, a large number of NGOs are also engaged in
activities for socio-economic upliftment of the rural poor. Some of these NGOs, in terms of
both beneficiary coverage as well as investment, have the ability to reach the poor and address
the issues of poverty alleviation effectively. Among the NGOs major ones are BRAC,
PROSHIKA, ASA, GSS, RDRS, etc. A number of commercial banks (Sonali Bank, Janata
Bank, Agrani Bank, Bangladesh Krishi Bank, Rajshahi Krishi Unnayan Bank) have also
participated in poverty alleviation programmes through providing micro-credit to the landless
and small farmers. Grameen Bank has so far disbursed Tk.72.45 billion (as in Feb. 1997)
inclusive of general and collective loan of Tk. 66.87 billion and housing loan of Tk.5.58
billion. As in March 1997, total number of beneficiaries of Grameen Bank figured at over 2
million people.
8.6 SAARC and Poverty Alleviation in Bangladesh
8.6.1 The Dhaka Declaration for Poverty Eradication under the Seventh SAARC Summit
Meeting of the Heads of State/Government of SAARC countries held in April, 1993,
stipulated that each SAARC country would prepare a pro-poor plan and an action programme
for implementing it for eradicating hard-core poverty by the year 2002 A.D.
8.6.2 In the light of Dhaka Declaration (1993), a Task Force for Preparation of a National
Pro-poor Plan and Action Programme was set up by the Government of Bangladesh.
8.6.3 The Task Force started its work with the following directions embodied in the Dhaka
Declaration :
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a. Each SAARC Country should produce a national poverty eradication plan to eradicate
poverty in the country, preferably by the year 2002.
b. The main agenda of action under the national poverty eradication are :
i. the strategy of social mobilisation involving the organisation of the poor and
their empowerment through appropriate national support mechanism;
ii. a policy of decentralised agricultural development and sharply focused
household level food security for meeting the basic nutritional needs;
iii. a policy of decentralised small scale labour intensive industrialisation with the
choice of efficient and cost-effective technology; and
iv. a policy of human development directed towards the enhancement of social
role and status of the poor women, protection of children, provision of
universal primary education and primary health care and shelter for the poor.
c. The above endeavours are to be supported by adequate financial resources.
d. Finally, the national pro-poor plan has to be harmonised with the open economy and
structural adjustment strategies.
8.6.4 The Task Force held a series of meetings and critically examined a number of poverty
alleviation activities and found that there are at present 36 projects under different
Ministries/Agencies specifically for poverty alleviation and human development which can
reach the poor, particularly the hard-core poor.
8.6.5 The pro-poor development effort was re-inforced subsequently by the
recommendations of the Eighth SAARC Summit Meeting at New Delhi in May 1996. The
Delhi Declaration provided opportunity to link the efforts for poverty eradication through
social mobilisation with the experiences of different SAARC countries. Bangladesh
responded positively to the challenge of organising the poor through a process of social
mobilisation as the poor were accepted to be efficient and creative. In this process it accepted
private organisations as desirable partners in such efforts that bring creativity of the poor in
the mainstream of development planning.
8.7 Social Summit
8.7.1 Poverty alleviation was also the main issue of the Social Summit held in Copenhagen
in March, 1995. As a follow-up to the Summit, the Government of Bangladesh established a
37 member national committee to provide leadership in the formulation and implementation
of the National Programme of Action aiming at fulfilling government's commitment towards
the Declaration of the Summit within the framework of the country's next Five Year Plan
(1997-2002). The committee chaired by the Secretary, Planning Division, has drawn
representatives from all sectors of society including representatives from relevant ministries,
departments, directorates, NGOs, research organisations, women organisations and
Federation of Bangladesh Chambers of Commerce and Industry. This committee has been
charged with the responsibilities to formulate a co-ordinated National Programme of Action
in line with the Copenhagen Declaration and to monitor the implementation thereof.
institutional lending to the poor for creating self-employment opportunities, the financial
resources required to fund the micro-credit programmes on a large-scale need to be raised
through joint efforts at both the national and international levels. Bangladesh has conceived
the idea of micro-credit as an efficacious instrument of poverty alleviation and has
successfully implemented the scheme through Grameen Bank, BRAC, PROSHIKA and a
number of other NGOs and government organisations recognising that the poor are not
liabilities but assets; they can save and contribute creatively even with their low income
when organised. Grameen Bank concept developed in Bangladesh has been replicated in as
many as 45 countries including the United States. The commitment announced in the micro-
credit summit for international co-operation in this field can make significant contribution to
further strengthening and sustaining the ongoing programmes of Bangladesh by augmenting
the required credit fund.
l. promote participation and development of the poor and disadvantaged women and
female- headed households alongwith males;
m. empower the poor through affirmative activities and participation in the local
government institutions;
n. maximise impact of the pro-poor plan through an efficient delivery system minimising
administrative and organisational expenditure; and
o. review policies and regulations that affect the poor and reform the same, if necessary,
based on the review.
8.10 An Indicative Strategy for Poverty Alleviation During Fifth Plan
8.10.1 Growing reliance on the market in resource allocation is the main characteristic of the
Fifth Plan. The Plan, however, recognises that because of market failures there is a need for
government intervention in the area of poverty alleviation.
8.10.2 Human resources development: In the Fifth Plan period allocation to social sectors
will be adequately increased, while maintaining the necessary financial and fiscal discipline.
Programme coverage will be increased through expansion of existing successful projects and
launching new projects in education, health, family planning, family welfare, social services,
women development, youth development, drinking water supply, sanitation, etc. Measures
will be taken to improve the quality of services in these sectors so that additional expenditure
will be utilised in a cost-effective manner. Alongwith general education, there will be
emphasis on technical education and skill training to produce a greater number of skilled
workers. Export oriented industries such as electronics, garments, dolls, computer data entry,
etc. will be set up in rural areas to provide large scale employment opportunities.
8.10.3 Economic development of the poor: The basic element in the programme towards
poverty alleviation is creation of employment opportunities. One of the major objectives of
the Fifth Plan will be generation of substantial gainful employment opportunities with
increase in productivity through an optimal choice of traditional labour intensive and new
generation technologies. The Fifth Five Year Plan envisages to increase total employment
from about 50 million persons in 1996/97 to 56.3 million persons. The employment
projection of the Fifth Five Year Plan is given in Table 8.5.
Table 8.5
Employment Projection for Fifth Plan
(thousand persons)
Sector 1996/97 2001/2002
Agriculture 31,500 33,382
Industry 3,700 5,847
Power, Gas, Natural Resources 105 215
Physical Planning, Housing and Construction 1,034 1,196
Transport & Communication 2,238 2,626
Trade & Other Services 11,423 13,079
Total 50,000 56,345
8.10.4 The pro-poor plan will create self-employment opportunity for the rural poor, mainly
through targeted production and employment programmes and increase in wage employment
opportunities through rural infrastructure building and maintenance.
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8.10.5 In the Fifth Plan rural development has been accorded priority (more than 10 per cent
of the total public sector outlay) for reduction of rural poverty. The major objectives of the
production and employment programme for the rural poor will be (a) increase in production
in both farm and non-farm sectors; (b) generation of self-employment opportunities;
(c) increase in income through productive income-generating activities; and (d) human
resources development, mainly through training.
8.10.6 The production and employment programme will be developed as a package
consisting of (a) organisation/social mobilisation of the targeted poor into formal and/or
informal groups; (b) dissemination of technology and training; (c) micro-credit for income-
generating activities; (d) capital formation through shares/savings; and (e) market information
and promotional activities.
8.10.7 The assetless/landless and functionally landless, owning not more than 0.5 acre of
land and small farmers owning land upto 1.5 acres will be the target groups under the
production and employment programme. Both men and women will be covered at an
approximately equal ratio. Besides them, the non-poor who are marginally above the poverty
line with the risk of sliding down the line as a result of any sudden economic pressure will
also be included in the production and employment programme for enhancement of their
economic conditions.
8.10.8 The major focus of poverty alleviation programme in the urban areas will be as
follows: (a) education, as studies show that it has a positive impact on income generation,
particularly in the case of non-slum households; in the case of permanent migrants, skill
training will be a major means of income generation; (b) access of the urban poor to non- land
assets will be improved through targeted public/NGO programmes as well as through
generation of self-employment opportunities; and (c) improvement of living conditions in the
slums by providing facilities for pure drinking water, electricity, gas, etc.
8.10.9 During the Fourth Plan the average GDP growth rate was 4.1 per cent. This was too
low a growth to lift the population, particularly the poor, to a higher level of living. A higher
growth has, therefore, been targeted for the Fifth Five Year Plan. To achieve the target there
is a necessity to make the growth process broad-based. In view of this, more resources will be
diverted to the poor. The past experiences in Bangladesh have established that the poor are
efficient and relative to their income they have a higher rate of savings; if they are organised
into functional groups and are given financial supports through simplified procedures, they
will generate a dynamic process of capital accumulation ( e.g. Grameen Bank’s experience).
The diversion of more resources to the poor will facilitate their active participation as agents
of growth.
8.10.10 Existing successful targeted poverty alleviation programmes/projects will be
continued and expanded. Coverage will be quantitative as well as qualitative. At the same
time in the expanded phases care will be taken for corrective measures in their institutional
arrangements, if warranted, for more effective implementation.
8.10.11 Among major programmes, safety net programme of FFW will need to be reformed.
Besides, its focus on lean season survey results show that economically poor areas still do
not get preferential access to these programmes. Such programmes will need to be adjusted to
make their operation sensitive to special needs of the poor areas.
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8.10.12 Evidences suggest that safety net programmes do not reach the poor during period of
most acute need i.e. September-October period which is the wet post-monsoon season. The
current portfolio of FFW projects will need to be changed in favour of a mix that allows
greater flexibility in selecting projects during this season. A shift towards maintenance project
and environment protection are feasible options. It may also be useful to move from
providing Food for Works to Cash for Work, to provide greater flexibility over both the
choice of projects and commodities for consumption .
8.10.13 In addition to the successful existing projects, new targeted pro-poor production and
employment projects based on social mobilisation will be taken up. The new projects will
pay particular attention to the hard-core poor. The new projects will aim at poverty reduction
of the rural poor by sustained increase in productive employment, particularly self-
employment opportunities in nutrition-oriented activities like animal husbandry, fisheries,
poultry, horticulture and in various non-farm activities having potentials of better economic
returns.
8.10.14 The pro-poor projects will create linkages/accessibility for the target group members
with various social and economic facilities and services locally available under various nation
building agencies.
8.10.15 Local resources such as government khas land, jal mahals and khas ponds, land by
the side of embankments, railways and roads, deforested areas/land, etc. will be made
accessible to the poor for productive purposes/activities by them on long term lease through
adequate institutional means decided upon by the government in consultation with the
relevant stakeholders.
8.10.16 Some new pro-poor projects will specially address the poverty of vulnerable groups
with additional allocation of resources, with particular reference to: (a) nutrition supplement
for malnourished children and women in distressed areas, (b) development of areas which are
prone to flood , drought and salinity experiencing seasonal or periodical food scarcity, (c)
credit, housing, schooling, health and sanitation for people in the distressed areas, including
the urban slums, and (d) provision of old age allowance.
8.10.17 Some of the new projects will have to address the issue of risk insurance (with
respect to natural disaster, health hazard, etc). Aggregate burden of various risk events has
been estimated as 16 per cent of household income. For the extreme poor it is as high as 27
per cent. For minimising risk, effective risk pooling, risk sharing institutions (including
market institutions) will be developed. In the case of health related risk key responsibility lies
with public health intervention.
8.10.18 Adequate funds for the pro-poor production and employment programmes/ projects
will be channelled from the government, donors and other sources, e.g., the commercial
banks. The bulk of the funds will be given to the poor as micro-credit to enable them take up
productive income generating activities in both farm and non-farm micro enterprises.
8.10.19 Generating savings by the group members will be stressed in the pro-poor production
and employment projects. The savings deposit will be channelled into the investment
stream/fund for income generating activities of the respective groups when they decide to do
so. This will gradually reduce their dependence on institutional credit.
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8.10.20 Over time a wide range of technologies with different applications have reached
Bangladesh; their dissemination however has been poor. Arrangement will be made for
dissemination of available technologies with necessary training.
8.10.21 As the poor are efficient in most cases, it is unlikely that any major conflict between
the structural adjustment programme and the social mobilisation movement will take place
provided that the market is sufficiently responsive and friendly to the poor. This however, is
not the case at present. The production and employment programmes/projects will therefore
put adequate thrust on promotion of better accessibility of the poor to market and fair prices
for their products. Market promotion cells will be constituted in relevant agencies. The
activities of these cells will include, among others, publicity through mass-media for
popularising the products of the poor, establishment of display and sales centres in important
places, motivation of the businessmen through chambers of commerce and industry and
various organisations of the business community to promote and purchase the products of the
poor and liase with the Export Promotion Bureau to create foreign markets for the quality
products of the poor. The products of the poor and the self- employed may carry a seal of
pride and honesty.
8.10.22 The basic elements of the sustainability of pro-poor projects will be self-reliant
groups. The project activities will continue over a sufficient length of time to permit the
groups/beneficiaries to successfully graduate from the poverty level. On graduation, the
groups/beneficiaries may remain linked to the agencies sponsoring the projects for minimum
support, if required, but the bulk of the credit support to them will be ensured through
linkages with institutional sources of credit like the commercial banks, the PKSF and the self-
generated fund, if any, created in the project.
8.10.23 Under the production and employment programme each project must cover an area,
compact but as large as is necessary to ensure the economy of scale.
8.10.24 The NGOs will continue to expand their pro-poor and rural development projects.
An effective government and NGO collaboration will be necessary. The fields in which such
collaboration is feasible will be determined by mutual consultations.
8.10.25 Gainful wage employment for the rural poor will be generated through rural
infrastructure development and maintenance programmes of the government and local bodies.
They will be implemented with financial resources and food-aid. The infrastructure
development work will comprise construction of rural roads, embankments, bridges, culverts,
development of growth centres and markets, re-excavation of ponds and canals, repair and
maintenance of roads, construction of community buildings and cyclone shelters, etc. These
projects will be implemented through involvement of the landless groups or individuals
including women as workers. Labour-intensive construction methods will be followed. These
schemes will include awareness-raising and skill development training. The local government
bodies will implement the infrastructure development and maintenance projects with
technical and financial support from the central government.
8.10.26 From the view point of productivity enhancement as well as poverty alleviation,
establishment of the right of the sharecroppers and fixation of minimum wages of agricultural
labour are important issues that still await a determined action of the government. The Land
Reforms Ordinance, 1984 provides, among others, the right of the sharecroppers (Bargadars)
and the Agricultural Labour (Minimum Wages) Ordinance, 1984 calls for immediate action
161
as insecurity over occupancy and tenancy rights and exploitation of labour by the landed
gentry in respect of wages to the labour not only adversely affect the poor tenants but they are
also inimical to efficient use of land. The Land Reform Ordinance, 1984 provides that every
land owner who intends to give land to another for cultivation will have to execute a 'barga
contract' for 5 years during which the bargadar or his able heir will have continuous and
undisturbed possession on the land. The produce or crop will be divided into 3 shares--one
third will go to the land owner, one-third to the bargadar for his labour and one-third to the
owner or the bargadar or to both in proportion to the cost of cultivation borne by them. The
bargadar will have a prior right to purchase land under barga cultivation provided that he will
negotiate the price of land with the owner and purchase the land on such terms as may be
agreed upon between them. A ceiling of 15 bighas has been provided for barga cultivation by
a single bargadar. The above ordinance also (a) prohibits acquisition of new agricultural land
by an owner or his family over sixty standard bighas by transfer, inheritance, gift or any other
means, (b) prohibits benami transactions of immovable property, (c) prohibits eviction from
homestead land in the rural areas, and (d) gives preferences to landless farmers and labourers
in settling khas land fit for use as homestead in the rural areas. The Agricultural Labour
(Minimum Wages) Ordinance provides that the minimum daily wage of agricultural labour
should be 3.27 kg of rice or its equivalent market price. It should be stated here that
alongwith implementation action the above ordinances/laws will be reviewed by the
government to see if they can be made more friendly to the poor in the light of the efforts for
poverty alleviation.
8.10.27 The land record and revenue system in Bangladesh is vast and complex with over 30
million land holdings which must be mapped, recorded, verified and updated. The
conventional system prevailing in the country is not adequate for the task. Litigations and
violences due to back-dated and erroneous records of rights, holding demarcations, etc. are of
great social concerns. For poverty alleviation the most important implication of land record is
that due to erroneous/bad records the legal right of the poor is not always protected. This is
one of the reasons for dispossession of a poor farmer from his land. Modernisation of land
administration and management system for an efficient and responsive land surveying,
documentation and recording system will provide a rapid and transparent land administration
service. Towards this end, measures will be taken to (a) modernise the printing system for
printing and updating Mouza maps and Khatians by using computer technology, (b) introduce
modern equipment in land survey for maximum precision/accuracy in survey output, (c)
modernise record maintenance system by using modern technology like micro
filming/computer recording which will create quick access of the people to land records and
prevent tempering with records, and (d) develop human resources for technical and other
services for land administration and management. These measures will be first taken at the
central level and will gradually be followed up with a comprehensive modernisation
programme covering different land administration units in the country.
-- Nutrition awareness-raising
-- Education on nutrition, specially on low cost food
nutrition, preservation of food value and quantum of
intake for the well-being of mother as well as the
expected baby
Natal cycle
Safe delivery, immediate post -- Trained birth attendants
delivery care for the mother -- Local level medical institutions
and her baby, registration of -- Higher level medical institutions
birth and death. -- Supply of medicines from the above institutional sources
Infancy cycle
Medical care (including -- Baby health education and health care at the
immunisation/vaccination), community/local level through trained personnel and
nutrition, safe drinking water. mass-media
-- Local level medical institutions
-- Higher level medical institutions
-- Immunisation and vaccination
-- Supply of medicines from institutional sources
-- Nutrition awareness-raising
-- Education on nutrition, specially on breast feed-milk and
other low cost food nutrition, preservation of food value,
quantum of necessary intake and water purification
-- Tube-wells at the neighbourhood/ community level for
safe drinking water
Childhood
Health and medical care, -- Trained health workers
nutrition, clothing, safe -- Health education
drinking water, schooling, -- Local level medical institutions
recreation. -- Higher level medical institutions
-- Supply of medicines from the institutional sources
-- Immunisation and vaccination
-- Nutrition awareness-raising
-- Education on nutrition, specially on breast feed-milk and
other low cost food nutrition, preservation of food value,
quantum of necessary intake and water purification
-- Installation of tube-wells at the neighbourhood
/community level for safe drinking water
-- Primary school at the village level
-- Secondary schools
-- Playground, parks etc. provided by the community
-- Orphanages
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Adulthood
Education, employment, -- High schools
housing, food security, -- Colleges and universities (for those who would pursue
clothing, transport and higher education)
communication, health -- Technical and vocational educational institutions
services, family planning and -- Non-formal education
family welfare, safe drinking -- Free studentships, compensation for lost working hours
water, community facilities, in the cases of family unpaid labour, subsidies, stipends,
social security, relief and scholarships, free books, free school dresses, etc.
rehabilitation (after severe -- Long term lease of government khas land and ponds, jal-
natural calamities), local mahal, road side land, etc.
government institutions. -- Creation of employment opportunities for self-
employment and wage-employment both in the farm and
non-farm sectors
-- Motivation and organisation into groups (social
mobilisation)
-- Legal provision for minimum wage
-- Extension services for improved methods of production.
-- Supply of different production input and equipment etc.
at fair prices
-- Training for skill/human resources development
-- Micro-credit for productive income-generating activities
-- Grant of government khas land (in small pieces) for
house building purposes to the rootless/assetless
-- Consumption and house-building loan alongwith micro-
credit for productive activities
-- Development of appropriate technology and diffusion
-- Product marketing facilities both domestic and
international
-- Product development for better return
-- Foodstuff price support
-- Regular flow of foodstuff in the market at fair prices
-- Effective enforcement of law against artificially created
scarcity of foodstuff
-- Food support during the lean agricultural season
-- Procurement of foodstuffs at fair prices during the peak
season
-- Development of roads and navigable water ways
-- Development of rural transport
-- Health and family planning education and supply of
contraceptives
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8.12.2 This list is indicative of various fields of programmes and actions needed to help the
poor. For alleviation of poverty and blooming out of the poor programmes and actions in all
these fields will have to be co-ordinated and cohesed. For the needed social planning and
engineering stipulated in the Fifth Plan period, this will remain a challenge as this will be an
area of opportunity for application of creativity.
CHAPTER IX
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women is 20.0 while that of men is 27.6. Early marriage, repeated pregnancy, and long child
bearing spans have serious implications for women's low nutritional status and high maternal
mortality rate (4.4 per 1000 live births).Violence against women is alarmingly on the
increase. The Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics, in a special report in 1993, revealed that death
due to unnatural causes (suicide, murder, burn, snake bite, poisoning, accident and drowning)
is almost three times higher for women than pregnancy related causes.
9.3.2 Despite the Constitutional mandate that women cannot be discriminated in respect of
any employment or office of the State (Article 29), women's visibility in the public service
has been negligible. Their participation in institutional development and decision making is
also minimal. Wage differentials between men and women are very high in case of wage
employment. The incidence of divorce, desertion and widowhood has been growing; 15 per
cent of all rural households are female-headed and 25 per cent of all landless households are
headed by women showing strong links between gender disadvantage and poverty. Female-
headed households earn 40 per cent less income than male-headed households.
9.3.3 As per LFS 1995/96, of the total 56 million labour force, 34.7 million are males and
21.3 million are females. However, women are generally pushed into the unskilled labour
force, primarily because of the obstacles women and girls face in acquiring marketable skills.
The climate is still adverse for accelerated entry into the formal labour force by women with
vocational and management skills.
9.4 Women in Development Plans
9.4.1 Women have been considered as a distinct target group in the development plans of
the country. The First Plan (1973-1978) emphasised a welfare oriented approach and focused
on rehabilitation of war-affected women and children. The Two Year Plan (1978-1980) was
characterised by a shift from welfare to development efforts. The Second Plan (1980-1985)
emphasised creating a congenial atmosphere for women's increased participation in
development through expanding opportunities for skill development, credit and
entrepreneurship development programmes. The Third Plan (1985-1990) had specific
objectives to reduce disparity between development of men and women. The Fourth Plan
(1990-1995) placed women within the context of a macro framework with multi-sectoral
thrust and focused more on the development of poor and disadvantaged women. However,
women's development issues were not made an integral part of the process of formulating,
implementing and evaluating development programmes across all sectors. Some sectoral
projects incorporated an understanding of differences between women and men in situations
and opportunities as a means of seeking a fair distribution of project benefits and a reduction
of gender disparities, while some projects included specific targets or objectives for women's
development.
9.4.2 During this long period, no significant shift has been visible in terms of addressing
women's needs and interests. No tangible progress was made due to lack of a comprehensive
integration of WID aspects in development planning and inadequate co-ordination and
monitoring in various sectors. The need for coherence in the government's thrust on WID
among different sectoral agencies, as well as between government and NGOs was not clearly
perceived.
9.6.1 Both the institutional review and the NAP have focused on institutionalisation and
implementation of sectoral gender-accounting system by setting time-bound and quantifiable
targets to achieve gender parity in all the development sectors. Necessary co-ordination will
be maintained through various institutional arrangements. The Fifth Plan will establish a
national monitoring mechanism to review the status of women at regular intervals.
9.7 Macro Framework of Women’s Development
9.7.1 The Fifth Plan will be people-centred, with equitably distributed allocations and
environmentally and socially sustainable projects. No meaningful development can be made
without equal and equitable progress of women who constitute nearly half the population.
Left to themselves, market forces will not be able to remove the gender disparity; government
intervention will be necessary. Attainment of a reasonable growth rate, reduction of poverty
through generation of production, self-employment opportunities, especially in non-formal
sector energised with micro credit input and increased self-reliance are inextricably linked
with increasing participation of women in the development activities during the Fifth Plan
period. The main aim of the Plan is to integrate women's development into the macro-
framework and to reduce gender disparity in all sectors through integration of women into the
mainstream development efforts. This may be achieved through the adoption of a multi-
sectoral thrust targeting women's increased participation in all sectors, at all levels.
9.7.2 A major thrust of the Fifth Plan will be on developing skills of women with the aim to
yield substantial increase in productivity of existing women labour force and opening up new
windows of opportunities for future entrants into the labour force. This will be supportive of
the Fifth Plan macro-objective of poverty reduction and human resource development.
Gender perspective will be integrated within the context of the macro-economic framework.
Women's needs and interests will be incorporated with quantifiable, time-bound targets for all
the major social and economic development programmes.
9.8 Goals and Objectives
9.8.1 In the Fifth Plan period, the set goals and objectives for development of women and
children will be to:
a. promote equality between women and men in the sharing of power and decision
making at all levels;
b. bring about changes in attitudes, structures, policies, laws and practices in order to
remove obstacles to achievement of human dignity and equality in society, including
the family, the community and the state;
c. ensure equal rights of women and men in all spheres of development, including access
to information, skills, resources and opportunities;
d. enhance the participation of women in political, civil, economic, social and cultural
life;
e. promote economic self-reliance for women and generate economic policies that have
positive impact on employment and income of women workers in both formal and
informal sectors;
f. establish and transform state structures and practices to enhance gender equality and
improve the status of women;
g. create appropriate institutional arrangements with necessary financial and human
resources and authorities at all levels to mainstream women's concerns in all aspects
and sectors of development;
h. identify obstacles faced by members of disadvantaged groups in availing opportunities
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the Prevention of Violence Against Women, chaired by the Minister, MWCA will
continue to review reports on violence against women and monitor the functioning
of the district, upazila and union level committees, set up under the Central
Nari Nirjatan Protirodh Cell in MWCA.
The National Council for Women's Development (NCWD), chaired by the Prime
Minister, has been set up to provide overall policy guidance, oversee inter-
ministerial co-ordination and promotion of WID and monitor WID activities across
the sectors.
WID focal points have been established in 32 ministries and agencies to co-ordinate and
take care of gender aspects in respective sectors. A focal point mechanism within
the Ministry of Planning/Planning Commission, especially in the Implementation,
Monitoring and Evaluation Division, and the General Economics Division will be
evolved in order to develop a common approach and to specify a strategy for more
consistent action on women’s development. Training of WID focal points to
increase specific competence on gender analysis will be undertaken.
A Parliamentary Standing Committee for Women's Development may be constituted to
advise the government on necessary steps for effective implementation of the
National Policy for Women's Advancement. Legal reforms such as inheritance,
parental responsibility may be the main areas of attention of this Committee.
l. Administrative measures : The government will attach priority to gender analysis,
training and sensitisation of key personnel in public and private sectors. A
comprehensive training programme on gender issues will be set up through major
government training institutions. Measures will be adopted to expedite quota (for
jobs) fulfilment by women, including adoption of affirmative action in recruitment.
Service conditions and working environment for women in the public sector will be
improved. Positive measures will be adopted to expedite the increase in the number
of qualified nurses and the number of women school teachers at all levels, especially
at primary, secondary and higher secondary levels.
m. Participation in development planning : Recognising the critical role of women in
development planning, conscious efforts will be made to facilitate women's
participation in the planning and formulation of sectoral programmes/projects at all
levels (union, thana, district and national). Necessary attention will be paid to the
enhancement of skills of planners and implementors in incorporating participation
of women at all stages of the planning cycle.
n. Awareness/public education : A massive programme will be undertaken to create
public awareness of women's legal rights, and where necessary, legal support will
be provided to women survivors and victims of violence. The government
will undertake programmes for political education and awareness among women.
o. Allocation of public resources : Steps will be taken to integrate gender issues into
the budgetary process and to evolve a methodology whereby all budgetary actions
and related policies are desegregated to ensure that the government's distribution of
resources contributes to the reduction of gender disparity and to the advancement of
women. Women's priorities in public investment programmes for economic
infrastructure, such as, water and sanitation, transport, markets, etc., will be
included. Poor, assetless and homeless families, specially female-headed families,
will be allotted government lands, ponds and other water bodies to assist them in
securing a sustainable livelihood. In case of married couples, allocations will be
made in names of both husband and wife.
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9.10.3 The Government of Bangladesh has demonstrated its support for human development
by signing the CRC in 1990 with reservation in respect of children’s religious rights and right
for adoption making it one of the first 22 countries to do so. Decisions on these 2 reservations
are slated for revision soon. The ratification of the Convention and the commitment to achieve
the goals of the World Summit were critical steps towards recognising the importance of
placing the well-being of children at the forefront of the social and economic development
agenda in Bangladesh. The National Plan of Action (NPA) for the children (1990-1995) was
prepared by the government to accelerate progress on children's issues. The NPA set 1990 as
the benchmark year to measure and achieve World Summit goals.
9.10.4 According to the Constitution of Bangladesh, "Nothing shall prevent the State for
making special provision in favour of women and children, or for the advancement of any
backward sections of citizens" [Article 28(40)]. In pursuance of the fundamental principles of
the Constitution and the Convention on the Rights of the Child, and in order to
harmonise government actions, a National Policy on Children (NPC) was formulated. Under the
policy, all children of Bangladesh, irrespective of caste, creed, colour, sex, language, religion or
opinion, social and economic status, wealth or birth, shall enjoy equal rights and opportunities.
As envisaged in the NPC, a National Children Council (NCC) was set up as the highest policy
making body under the chair of the Minister-in-charge of the Ministry of Women and Children
Affairs. High level representatives from concerned ministries, as well as NGO representatives
and child welfare activists from civil society are members of the NCC which is expected to
give a real inter-sectoral thrust on the children's programme. As the supreme body in the
country, it is responsible for monitoring enforcement of the legislation towards protection of
child rights and all sectoral social development activities for the benefit of the children. The
Ministry of Women and Children Affairs (MWCA) acts as the secretariat of the NCC.
9.10.5 The Ministry of Women Affairs has been re-designated by the government as the
Ministry of Women and Children Affairs to emphasise the special focus on children. Therefore,
the MOWCA is the lead agency to co-ordinate and monitor the progress on child development
programmes implemented through various sectors. Bangladesh Shishu Academy was founded
with the aim of undertaking special programmes for moral, psychological, cultural and
recreational upliftment of the children and to imbibe a spirit of self-confidence among them
towards blooming up their talents.
9.10.6 There has been a steady decline in the infant mortality rate from 110 per 1000 live births
in 1988 to around 78 per 1000 in 1995, and under-5 mortality rate per 1000 from 162 in 1988 to
128 in 1995. Much of this has been due to tremendous success in immunisation coverage and
oral rehydration therapy. There have also been some forward strides in nutrition, water supply,
sanitation and primary education. Various legislations related to issues concerning children have
been enacted and revised.
9.10.7 Some other actions initiated by the government, both at the policy and implementation
level, include: (a) increased budget allocation for the development of social sectors, including
primary education and adoption of a comprehensive non-formal education policy; (b) free
education for girls upto class X and a policy announcement to make education free for girls upto
Class XII; (c) observance of Child Rights Week annually with participation from all concerned
as a sign of corporate social commitment under the leadership of the government; (d)
institutionalisation of Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS) methodology within the
Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics to monitor progress towards achievement of the World Summit
goals and an annual publication of Progotir Pathey that includes national and sub-national data
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on each major child development indicator, allowing implementors to track progress and take
corrective measures; (e) support to private sector and NGOs to develop a model for phased
elimination of child labour in the garment sector by providing educational opportunities; (f)
launching of Bangladesh Integrated Nutrition Project to address children's nutrition needs; and
(g) examination of existing laws to identify inconsistencies with CRC and revision and
enforcement of existing legislations.
9.10.8 To implement the Fifth Plan objectives within the overall framework of CRC and the
National Policy on children, a National Plan of Action (1997-2002) will be formulated by the
Ministry of Women and Children Affairs.
9.11 Situation of Children in Bangladesh
9.11.1 The actions taken so far are still inadequate in terms of needs and concern. Children in
Bangladesh continue to lack basic amenities and opportunities of life. One-third of the babies
are born with low birth weight. Infant and under-5 mortality rates are still very high, 78 and 128
respectively per 1000 live births. About 70 per cent of all children under five years of age are
malnourished and 11 per cent children are severely malnourished. One in every seven children
born in Bangladesh dies before their fifth birthday. Although sanitation coverage has increased
significantly, only 40 per cent of the children have access to sanitary latrines. Over 80 per cent
of the school-going age group children enrol in the formal schooling system, about half of them
attend regularly and almost 40 per cent of them drop out. From this precious fifty per cent,
approximately 60 per cent reach completion level of primary education and a mere 5 per cent are
able to pass the Higher Secondary School Certificate examination. In every social indicator,
the female child fares worse than the male child. Child labour has been a major
concern for Bangladesh. Laws regulating child labour exist but implementation is not
adequate. Around 11.7 per cent of the total civilian labour force constitute child labour in the
age-group of 5-14 years. Although the mean age at marriage is rising, almost half of all girls are
married before the age of 18, leading to early and frequent pregnancies. With the fast growing
urban population, 20 per cent of the total population now live in the urban areas. Of them, about
one-third belongs to the hard-core poor group. A considerable proportion of children of these
families is hard-to-reach and grow up uncared for, deprived of the basic needs and opportunities.
These children hardly have any family support. Urban poor children are generally victims of
neglect and exploitation; girl street children are particularly vulnerable to coercion and
exploitation.
9.12 Goals and Objectives
9.12.1 Giving due emphasis on the World Summit goals, Convention on the Rights of the Child,
SAARC (1996) and the declared National Children Policy, the Fifth Plan will make a co-
ordinated approach towards overall development of the children. This will be complementary to
the Fifth Plan macro objective of the human resource development. Considering the situation of
children in Bangladesh, availability of resources and national commitment to enable them to
grow to their full physical, mental and social potential, the following goals and objectives will be
pursued to :
a. make conscious efforts for ensuring children's rights to basic services such as education,
health and nutrition, water and sanitation and social services;
b. adopt appropriate measures for providing equal opportunities to all children for
development of their personality, talent and mental and physical abilities to the fullest
potential through the local government structure at various levels as well as other
institutional arrangements including NGOs;
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and programme communication with NGOs, private sector and the civil society's involvement.
Declaration of Bangabandhu’s birthday (March 17) as children’s day will be acted upon to carry
the advocacy of children’s rights and potentials.
9.13.3 Decentralisation : With the active participation of concerned departments, particularly
the local government at city/town, district, thana, union and village levels, a decentralised
planning and programming for child development and welfare will be initiated. An effort will be
made to intensify child development activities and allocate more resources in the low performing
areas. Efforts will be made to build up a harmonised mechanism for decentralised programme,
planning and implementation.
9.13.4 Capacity Building : Capacity strengthening for the child development programmes at
national, sub-national and community levels will be emphasised through all the programme
sectors. Strengthening the government's institutional capacity and the creation of new
opportunities in the private and NGO sectors, particularly in the areas of training, research,
product development and social innovative technologies, will be emphasised.
9.13.5 Community Participation : Demands for children's basic services will be generated at
the community level by empowering social groups, particularly parents, with necessary
information on child survival, protection, participation and other related development issues.
This will have positive impact, both directly and indirectly on consumer behaviour that will lead
to increase beneficiary participation in terms of leadership development. NGOs will be
encouraged to work in co-operation with the government towards providing basic services,
particularly in reaching the under-served children.
9.13.6 Co-ordination and Monitoring : Co-ordination among the participating ministries will
be strengthened through the National Children Council. The forum of the Joint Government-
UNICEF Advisory Group will also continue to be used for this purpose. Effective field level
co-ordination will be enhanced by strengthening professional capacity of the local government
institutions, delegation of responsibility to the field level government functionaries and
involvement of NGOs and local communities. National and local planning and monitoring
mechanism will be strengthened through various government institutions. The NCC will provide
overall supervision in terms of monitoring child development goals. As the lead agency,
MWCA will monitor the progress on the child development programmes implemented by the
line ministries.
9.14 Major Strategic Interventions
9.14.1 For achieving the objectives and the goals, the following major strategic interventions
will be made:
a. Time-bound, quantifiable targets will be set and monitored for child development
activities, and these will be made explicit within the key sectoral social development
plans and programmes, particularly in education, health, nutrition, water and sanitation;
b. Convergence of essential services (e.g. health, nutrition, safe water, hygiene and
sanitation) will be promoted and strengthened at the community level through the local
government structures and partnership with NGO and private sectors;
c. A co-ordinated information campaign will be undertaken to apprise people about child
survival, protection, participation, development and child right issues to enhance
awareness and commitment, and to create a broad partnership;
d. Data-base on children's issues will be improved: registration of birth, death and other
important events will be acted upon;
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CHAPTER X
10.1 Introduction
10.1.1 The Constitution of Bangladesh asserts that ‘it shall be a fundamental responsibility of
the state to attain, through planned economic growth, a constant increase of productive forces
and a steady improvement in the material and cultural standard of living of the
people’(Article-15). In pursuit of this goal of prosperity of the people through planned
development, the individual and the society come to interact with the environment and have
to take care of it, lest not to speak of global warming, excessive use of natural resources like
land, water and forest turn this land into a ‘dust bowl’ with ‘individuals scratching a living
like a scrawny hen’.
10.1.2 With the awareness of the above potential threat, Bangladesh has so far signed, ratified
and acceded to 22 international conventions, treaties and protocols related to environment.
The important ones, among them, signed at the UN Conference on Environment and
Development (UNCED), held at Rio de Janeiro, Brazil in 1992, are the Agenda 21, Climate
Change Convention and Biodiversity Convention. The Agenda 21 is a basis to attain
sustainable development through policies initiated and co-ordinated at the national level. The
second phase of the Bangladesh National Conservancy Strategy (BNCS), the Forestry Master
Plan and the National Environment Management Action Plan (NEMAP) all reiterate
Bangladesh’s commitment to implement the international conventions and treaties signed
from time to time.
10.1.3 As a signatory of these international and regional treaties/conventions/protocols, and in
fulfilling the constitutional obligation, further efforts will be continued to chart the course to
prosperity ensuring that no irreparable damage is inflicted on the environment and prosperity
is sustained in the long run.
10.2 Major Environmental Issues in Bangladesh
10.2.1 Environment, as per the Environment Protection Act, 1995 includes water, air, land
and physical properties and the inter-relationships which exist among and between them and
human beings, other living creatures, plants and micro-organisms. The environment is thus
the sum total of all social, physical, biological and ecological factors. Social environment is
centred round human beings. It is their institutions, group behaviour, habitation and
interaction in production and consumption of their wealth. The human activities entail using
natural resources and interfering with natural environment, increasingly with the increase in
growth. Environmental concerns have, therefore, assumed vital importance. It is now widely
accepted that there must be an integrated approach between environment and development.
As such, there is a need for integration of environment into development planning and
activities. Environment is where we live and development is what we all do in attempting to
improve our standard of living. Bangladesh has many environmental problems, natural or
man-made, such as frequent natural disasters, industrial pollution, poor health and sanitation,
deforestation, desertification, changes in climatic conditions, salinity, deteriorating habitat of
flora and fauna, etc. which we have to face, solve or compensate for.
10.2.2 Agricultural resource base : The vast majority of the population depend on
agricultural and natural resources for a large part of their food and income. Thus, a more
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dynamic agricultural sector, better use of natural resources and increased concern for
environment are essential. No growth or poverty alleviation strategy can bring success
without a healthy agricultural sector. Land and water are the two natural resources for
agricultural development. One of the difficult strategic issues is how to allocate limited
supplies of water to its uses for agriculture, salinity control, fisheries, navigation and a
growing urban population for sustained development. There is also competing demand on
land from non-agricultural uses of land. As a result, agricultural resources in Bangladesh are
already under severe pressure and environmental strain. It is essential to reverse this trend and
rebuild, and where possible, augment the productive capability of scarce and essential
agricultural resource base. To produce enough food for an increasing population, it is
necessary to maximise the benefits that can be derived from the existing technologies and to
maintain the sustainability of the food production system beyond the medium term of the
Fifth Plan, it is essential that Bangladesh continues to make all out efforts to bring about a
major breakthrough in agricultural technology.
10.2.3 Biodiversity : In making a breakthrough in agricultural technology, it is necessary to
preserve the variety of life, i.e. biodeversity. The preservation of biodiversity is both a matter
of insurance and investment, necessary to sustain and improve agriculture, forestry, livestock
and fisheries production systems in order to keep future options open as a buffer against
harmful environmental changes and as a raw material for scientific and industrial innovations.
Moreover, we must conserve biodiversity as a matter of survival. The variety of life helps
make the earth fit for balanced enjoyment of life. It plays an important role in all major life-
support services, from maintaining the chemical balance of the earth and stabilising climate to
protecting the watershed and renewing soil. Maintaining a nation’s biodiversity is integral to
maintaining its wealth. The Plan, therefore, attaches due weight to the development of our
biological resources. The importance of species and ecosystems will be considered in the
formulation of development policies and programmes. Institutions assigned responsibility for
conserving biodiversity will be supported by necessary financial and organisational resources.
The species and ecosystems on which our survival depends will be clearly identified and
appropriate technology applied to make our survival worthy of human beings.
10.2.4 Biomass: In Bangladesh, especially in the rural areas, where about 80 per cent of
people live, biomass plays an important and complex role. The problem is not merely the
supply of wood or of fuel or of food. These products are linked by competition for land and
by different product’s end uses that may compete with, or complement one another. Thus
shortage of any form of biomass will affect the quantity and composition of different end-
uses. At the moment, there is an acute crisis of biomass fuel, which constitutes 73 per cent of
total energy consumed. The per capita supply of biomass fuel is declining. There is an
increased use of crop residues and dung as fuel which is depriving soil of valuable nutrient
and organic matter.
10.2.5 Impact of chemicals : Modernisation of agriculture has led to an extensive use of
fertilisers and pesticides. Although production of foodgrain and other crops has increased
significantly by the use of fertilisers and pesticides, quality of land has suffered due to
indiscriminate use of chemicals. Farmers spraying pesticides and using fertilisers, in many
cases, are suffering from heart and skin diseases. Cows, goats and other domestic animals
eating fertiliser-fed and pesticides-affected grasses are also suffering from diseases. Fish
population in the rivers and other water bodies have drastically decreased due to water
pollution by chemicals including fertilisers and pesticides.
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10.2.6 Industrial pollution: The growth of industries in the country has generally been
unplanned without keeping the issue of environmental protection in careful consideration.
There are many industries in the residential areas causing air and water pollution through
smoke emission and dumping of untreated effluent. Industrial wastes have polluted the water
of the Buriganga, the Shitalakhya, the Karnafuli and the Rupsha rivers. Effluents from
tanneries are extremely harmful to human beings since they contain high concentration of
chromium compounds. About 250 tanneries in Hazaribagh area within the Dhaka city are
causing serious environmental pollution and health hazard making the area unsuitable for
human habitation.
10.2.7 Deforestation: Bangladesh has a classified natural forest area of around 6-8 per cent
of the total land area which is far below the desired level. According to a study, 50 per cent of
destruction of forests took place during the last 20 years affecting top soil and causing land
erosion. Such deforestation could not yet be compensated by social forestry and backyard
plantations.
10.2.8 Wetland and fisheries: Bangladesh has a high proportion of wetland area, which has,
of late, been declining. Rivers, canals, beels, lakes and haors are the open wetlands while
baors, dighis, ponds and ditches constitute the closed ones. They are significant sources of
sweet water fishes. The decline in fish production has been attributed to a general
deterioration of the wetlands, characterised by silting up of bed levels, water logging as well
as water pollution.
10.2.9 Mangrove ecosystem: The Sundarbans, located in the south-western part of
Bangladesh is the largest single expanse of mangrove forest in the world. It is a dynamic,
fragile and complex ecosystem in delicate balance with land and water. It is a good habitat for
offshore fisheries and onshore shrimp cultivation, a natural coastal protection, a highly
valuable forest resource and a recreational resort. But a gradual degradation of environment in
the Sundarbans has been taking place due to rapid deforestation, top-drying, saline water
intrusion, killing of wild lives, inadequate reforestation and lack of efficient conservation
programmes.
10.2.10 Coastal and marine water: Disposal of chemical fertilisers, insecticides and
industrial effluent into water are leading to a severe pollution of the coastal and marine
environment. Rare species living in these areas will disappear if they are not preserved.
10.2.11 Salinity: Diversion of the Ganges water has thus far drastically reduced the down
stream flow of its distributaries. Consequently, saline sea water entered into the mainland
rivers. It has adverse effects on agriculture and sweet-water shrimp cultivation and also on
availability of sweet water for domestic and other uses. Following signing of the long term
treaty on sharing of water of the Ganges with India on December 12,1996, there has been an
improved inflow of water down the Ganges in Bangladesh. This seems to be having an
improving effect, which needs to be further improved through building a barrage across the
Ganges.
10.2.12 Sanitation: In order to benefit from the increased coverage of water supply, the
vicious cycle of bacterial contamination has to be broken by introducing some form of safe
disposal of domestic waste including human excreta. The present state of affairs in this area is
quite unsatisfactory particularly in the rural areas. Only 36.9 per cent of the population have
acceptable sanitary system for safe disposal of excreta.
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civil society and groups. The flow must, however, be within an interactive and dynamic
framework which has the promotion of sustainable environment for all the people as its goal.
10.4.2 Sustainability is based on decision making which reflects a balance among long term
economic growth and efficiency, ecological unity and human well-being including equity.
More specifically, the concept seeks to offer an alternative approach to redress the failures of
the past development strategies to contain growing inequality and deprivation of decent
living. It builds on the lessons learnt in ‘delivering development’ and the challenges of
today’s world due to changing nature of work and its multiplicity and the desire for
sustainable well-being and environmental security. The sustainable environment management
concept allows the integration of social, gender and environmental equity issues in the search
of a better living in a sustainable state.
10.4.3 National Environment Management Action Plan (NEMAP) of Bangladesh provides
the policy framework of an action plan for environmental development in combination with a
set of broad sectoral guidelines which emphasise, inter alia, the following:
a. maintenance of the ecological balance and overall progress and development of the
country through protection and improvement of the environment;
b. protection of the country against natural disasters;
c. identification and control of all types of activities related to pollution and degradation
of environment;
d. undertaking environmentally sound development programmes in all sectors;
e. sustainable long-term and environmentally congenial utilisation of all natural
resources; and
f. active association with all environment related national and international initiatives.
10.4.4 Government has its forestry policy and the 20-year Forestry Master Plan in operation.
National Conservation Strategy (NCS) is in its final stage of approval. National Environment
Management Action Plan (NEMAP), finalised recently, is a government plan prepared by the
Ministry of Environment and Forest in consultation with people from all walks of life.
NEMAP is the product of a pro-active public consultation process, where the concernd people
had the opportunity to define the environmental concerns, priorities and problems and
suggest solutions. It is a synthesis of perceptions of the government, NGOs and the people on
environmental issues and actions required to address them.
10.4.5 There are other sectoral plans and policies with emphasis on environment and its
conservation. They are: Flood Action Plan, Bangladesh Water and Flood Management
Strategy and National Energy Policy.
10.4.6 A range of parallel/sequential interventions will be necessary to help promote
sustainable environment. The actual range, combination, sequencing and methods of
implementation will be determined in the local contexts. The interventions will include:
a. policy: eco-tax reforms, subsidy shifts, land tenure, licensing arrangements, credit,
incentive schemes, education, health, macro-micro linkage, especially a bottom-up
feed-back for policy-making;
b. governance: strength of the democratic process and institutions, accountability and
transparency of the government, local government autonomy and capacity, people’s
democratic institutions, participatory decision-making, independent judiciary and law
enforcement;
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10.7.2 The increased involvement of NGOs in forestry and fisheries programmes is a step in
the right direction. GO-NGO co-operation at local levels in project formulation and
implementation has a high potential for conservation of environment.
10.8 Disaster Management
10.8.1 Bangladesh faces many natural hazards. The environment in Bangladesh is adversely
affected by severe floods which erode lands and by cyclones which destroy natural
vegetation. Bangladesh is also in the seismic zone. Man-made hazards like over-use of land
and over-exploitation of forests and unrestricted burning of fossil fuel by industries are no
less important to be aware of in securing national well-being by averting environmental
degradation.
10.8.2 Previously, people reacted to the situation after a disaster had taken place. The
concept has changed in recent years. People need to be prepared in advance to face a disaster
through information and motivation and by adequate structural and nonstructural measures, to
mitigate the impacts of a natural disaster. Advance preparedness which reduced the loss of
life to the barest minimum during the devastating cyclone of 19th May,1997 is a success story
that might be cited here. In the light of experience gained from this success disaster
management committees have been formed at national, district, thana and union levels. A
national programme in line with International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction
(IDNDR) objectives and resolution is being implemented to minimise the adverse impacts of
disaster on population and environment in Bangladesh. The government has undertaken a
massive programme to train people living in the disaster prone areas in order to improve their
capability to cope with natural disasters. Development partners and NGOs are also working in
this field. The government has issued a new set of standing orders for disaster management
and necessary legislation are being processed. A National Disaster Management Plan is also
being prepared.
10.8.3 The impact of cyclone can be reduced by massive afforestation and construction of
appropriate housing and cyclone shelters in the coastal belt. Afforestation also helps diminish
chances of drought and desertification. Strong embankments in the coasts and islands can
reduce devastation by tidal bores and salinity. An effective early warning system may alert
people against natural disasters and help them take precautionary measures in time. Cyclone
shelters in the coastal areas and raised earthen platforms in the flood prone areas can save
lives and properties. Incentives and awareness creation at the grassroots level can help
develop coping mechanisms of disaster victims. Strongly built structure (houses in cluster
having low heights, roads, bridges, culverts, sluice gates, etc.) can better withstand onslaught
of disasters.
10.8.4 The Fifth Plan will accord priority to disaster preparedness, warning system, response
and rehabilitation. Appropriate resource allocation will be made for measures to mitigate
impact of disasters and prevent environmental degradation.
10.9 Implementation
10.9.1 Major thrusts for environment protection will include the following:
a. training of technical personnel for control of pollution;
b. environment education in schools, colleges and universities, and creation of
environmental awareness among people;
c. land use planning;
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where public and private sector co-operation in industrial and urban pollution management is
possible:
a. Policies and guidelines : New policy initiatives will be duly introduced to curb the
current levels of industrial pollution and to bring it to a satisfactory level. This
package of new policy initiatives will contain a blend of improved guidelines and
standards; improved monitoring and enforcement of those guidelines and standards;
and the introduction of newer market-based policies such as changes in relative
prices; tax swaps and tradable discharge rights. The private sector will be vigorously
persuaded for its strenuous involvement in the shaping of these guidelines and
policies.
b. Information, technology and financial programmes to support pollution
abatement : Under the possible umbrella of the public and private sector co-
operation, encouragement will be given for unhindered dissemination of new
technologies to enterprises of all sizes. This may involve specific programmes to
promote clean technologies, improved energy efficiency through access to
information, and training and credit. Also, in the international arena, increasing
pressure to comply will be exerted on firms through inspection of quality standards,
since export companies who do not abide by the environmental standards will be
exempted from large export markets. Some form of cushion such as concessionary
credit requiring public funds may be needed for smooth adaptation of the change to
market solutions of pollution abatement.
c. Privatisation: Increased managerial and technical efficiencies as well as increased
environmental accountability to the public can possibly be obtained by the
privatisation of SOEs. This is likely as this will end the conflict of interest inherent in
SOEs in relation to their self-assumed regulatory roles. In turn, these changes will
provide incentives for SOEs to lower pollution intensities.
d. Municipal service delivery: Through the possible commercialisation, or even
privatisation of the concerned sector, more efficiency will be ensured in the delivery
of municipal services such as solid waste disposal, water supply and sanitation.
Across Asia, contractual use of the private sector services is becoming wide-spread in
all of these municipal service areas. Also in Bangladesh, new management approaches
involving the private sector will be scrutinised. However, in general, relevant policy
and legal issues will be within the realm of the public sector, whereas the actual
service delivery can increasingly be procured under competition.
10.10.2 The tools to achieve increased public-private sector co-operation are briefly
mentioned below with an eight-fold modality of programme implementation:
a. Environmental standards and guidelines: From 1995, series of consultations took
place among the Department of Environment (DOE), and representatives of public
and private sector firms. Consequently, a forum for dialogue was initiated.
Continuation of this mode of work is vital, and hopefully, this attitude can further be
strengthened during the elaboration of the remaining set of sector-wise rules and
regulations. Moreover, the role of the Bangladesh Standard and Testing Institute
(BSTI) will be enhanced commensurate with its capacity to provide necessary
certification.
b. Incentive-based policies: A review of the present environmental policy framework
should be undertaken. This is to be done to see how a system of incentives, operating
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through the price and tax system, can be designed to expedite compliance with the
Environmental Protection Act and NEMAP. The government will establish close
contacts with its counterparts in other Asian countries to compile examples of
effective and efficient market-based policies. A framework for a joint government and
private sector review will be set up to lay out feasible solutions to distribute the cost
of pollution abatement and adoption of cleaner technologies in a rational way.
c. Access to information: While a more incentive-based environmental policy will be
developed, the government will emphasise to ensure continuous updating of basic data
on pollution levels, and perhaps, even firm-specific compliance, and that information
on these are available to the people. In this regard, close studies of recent experiences
from Indonesia, the Philippines and China will be undertaken for applicable lessons.
d. Awareness: For productive discussions on the industrial pollution issues, the
prerequisite for the private sector is to educate itself in replicable, common and
international practices on the subject. To achieve this, the private sector should spring
up a set of internal activities on environmental topics. These activities should be
designed to prepare the private sector for its role as a partner with the government in
policy formulation and implementation. Some of the issues to be studied and
discussed are : (i) the net financial implications of pollution abatement and improved
waste management; (ii) the need for information and incentives regarding investments
in cleaner technology; (iii) ways to introduce ISO 9000/9001/14000 into Bangladesh
ensuring compliance, and (iv) new business opportunities emerging from improved
environmental management. More concretely, since many firms will be required to
invest in cleaner technologies, both general awareness of the issues and specific
information on available options will be required. The Federation of Chambers of
Commerce and Industry and the other business groups should consult with their
international counterparts to establish a data-base in environment-related actions and
investments, including the following :
i. ways to conduct environmental audits;
ii. improving factory house-keeping;
iii. models for process modification;
iv. examples of smart product design and its adaptation in Bangladesh;
v. consolidation of inefficient units;
vi. methods for conservation and recycling of inputs; and
vii. methods for upgrading of energy systems.
Companies that want to get access to updated information on the international agenda
can also establish links with various green business networks such as ‘The Natural
Step’ and similar groups. The government assistance will be mobilised for work in
this area.
e. Voluntary compliance: Once firms become more aware of international efforts at
voluntary compliance, the process of modernisation should begin. Any company can,
and usually should, start with a simple EMS which reflects the character and
sophistication of that enterprise in relation to environment. As an enterprise gains
experience and upgrades its operations, it can seek ISO 14000 certification to
demonstrate that it has a high quality EMS in place. In many cases, this issue of
certification is critical or controversial and is at the very heart of discussions on trade
implications. It is possible that ISO 14000 certification may eventually become a
practical requirement for success in trading in a small number of sectors and markets,
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and it may also be a useful marketing tool for companies to demonstrate their
commitment to environmentally sound behaviour.
f. Financial incentives: Both large and small companies will need financial concessions
to afford necessary pollution abatement or process-change technology. Even access to
capital, whether or not at subsidised interest rates, may help some firms as commercial
banks may not be willing to lend for investments in pollution control equipment. In
these cases, the government will facilitate investment in clean technology through the
establishment of a ‘Green Fund’. The fund may ideally be handled through the
existing banking system, whereas, the screening of applications should be shared
between the public and the private sector. The screening criteria should seek to ensure
that the funding goes to companies that will have difficulty in finding regular bank
credit for environmental investments. The financing facility should be for a limited
time, say for five years. Several examples for such schemes can be found in SAARC
countries, drawing on both the World Bank and the Japanese support.
g. New business opportunities : Environmental concern does not only incur costs for
the private sector, it also opens up new business ideas. In the short run, various types
of environment-related services to manufacturing companies such as environmental
audits, engineering, import/export of environmental technology, environmental
assessment, and ISO certification are all expanding. In case of urban pollution,
possibilities for municipal service provision such as through the privatisation of
collection and management of solid waste can be promoted. The case of increasing the
application of renewable and more energy-efficient resources has a strong
environmental impact, but is generally unexplored in Bangladesh. In this backdrop, at
least five areas may be suggested for further studies and actions:
This is another area where constructive co-operation between the public and private
sectors may yield important results. A public-private and donor cost-sharing approach
to technology demonstration and dissemination may be explored.
i. The government
a. acknowledges the importance and relevancy of leather industry;
b. condemns the existing pollution levels i.e. leather industry;
c. directs the concerned ministries to produce a feasible solution to the problem;
d. ensures that, possibly through the Green Fund, part of the investment for a common
treatment plant will be financed;
e. recommends a practical financing arrangement defining public and private sector
burden-sharing in conjunction with the main stakeholders in the leather industry.
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iii. Media:
shed light on the present situation, its health impact and ways to improve the
situation;
mobilise the local community (residents, workers) to take active part in the
process to clean up the area.
Steps along these lines will encourage collaboration, prove both political and private
intentions and provide valuable experience for tackling other important, although perhaps less
urgent, pollution management issues in Bangladesh.
10.11 Areas of Special Concern
10.11.1 A special note has to be taken of the environmental damage caused recently at
Magurchara while exploring gas. Attention needs to be intensified on drilling for gas and oil
in offshore areas. Following ensuing exploitation of coal deposits in Barapukuria, Jamalgonj
in Khalispir, hardrock in Madhyapara, and limestone at Joypurhat, special attention will have
to be given to avoid environmental loss or degradation. Similar attention should be there right
from now while extending roads and highways into the remote areas of the hill tracts
following establishment of peace in the area and setting up of tourist resorts in places like
Kuakata, Mujibnagar, Madhabkundu and Teknaf. Conscious preventive steps in all these
areas and cases will be in order in stead of mitigation of degradation after it takes place
because of implementation of projects prima facie designed in public interest.
10.12.1 There is feeding frenzy in the present global economy to ascertain higher exploitation
of resources, superior technological innovation, bigger markets and exponential profits.
Monetary and psychological pressures are pushing people in the developing and developed
parts of the world alike towards a blind profitability bereft of social costs or consideration.
10.12.2 There is a little opposition to a unified global economy but a little realisation about
its social and environmental disadvantages. The concept of unity has a symbolic. The ideals
of universal harmony and coming together have been accepted by all countries and have
come to fleet high goal of humanity. ‘One market’ implies community of mutual exchange
and co-operation and the ‘global village’ sounds like a healthy place of tolerance and living in
prosperity.
10.12.4 Information about the long-term effects of everything from uses of antibiotics to
dependence on fossil fuels tend not to reach the least developed areas. And the alluring
images in the media and advertising that are not accompanied by warnings about toxic
wastes, erosion of grove lands, acid rain, or global warming, nor do they secure rights to
choose - between the beneficial and the harmful.
10.12.5 As things stand now, we need to regain a balance between the local and the global
positions. Even though the phrase ‘think globally, act locally’ is uttered frequently these
days, the thrust of modernisation is mostly in the direction of globalization. Local cultures
and economies are disappearing at faster rate, taking animal and plant species with them.
Finding a sustainable middle path will necessarily involve active steps toward realisation of
these effects and decentralised production and decision making.
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CHAPTER XI
11.1 Introduction
11.1.1 Like any other Plan, the success of the Fifth Five Year Plan will depend on the proper
implementation of its programmes and projects, implementation monitoring and post-
implementation evaluation. This is particularly important in view of the fact that it is a
flexible plan and plan projections will be revised based on evaluation of actual performance.
Annual Development Programme (ADP) is the operational document of a Five Year Plan in
respect of the public sector. It is basically a list of all public sector development projects
undertaken during a fiscal year. While ideally, it should be a list of approved projects duly
appraised by appropriate authorities, the list in reality consists of projects at different stages of
approval including unapproved ones. The implementation of the public sector part of a plan
involves the implementation of these projects in ADPs and policies supporting them. While
for all practical purposes, plan implementation was essentially viewed as the implementation
of the public sector projects, monitoring and evaluation of the projects, policy planning and
policy implementation have received less attention. But with the reorientation of the economy
towards a free market, the private sector will assume greater role and public policies, greater
significance. So monitoring of their impact on the private sector and on the economy as a
whole will demand greater attention.
11.2 Implementation of Plan/Projects
11.2.1 In the project cycle, project implementation is the most critical phase as it is
determined by realities and contingencies. It is further determined by the initial conditions
such as project approval status and timely commitment of fund. As mentioned above, ADP is
traditionally composed of many unapproved schemes which affect project implementation.
Project implementation consists of the following main stages which may overlap with one
another:
a. Feasibility study;
b. Appraisal of project and acceptance by development partner
(for aided project);
c. Approval of projects and assigning responsibility of implementation
to an agency;
d. Appointment of project director (PD) and project staff;
e. Setting up of project office (where applicable);
f. Appointment of consultants (where applicable);
g. Allocation and release of fund;
h. Land acquisition (where applicable);
i. Procurement of goods and services;
j. Execution of projects;
k. Evaluation of completed projects; and
l. Impact evaluation.
11.2.2 Project approval : Strictly speaking, approval of projects should pre-date its
implementation. However, due to delays in processing of projects or exigencies, sometimes
implementation of a project begins even prior to its formal approval. In the recent past, there
has been a marked improvement in the process of approval of projects. The government is
also seriously considering delegating more power of approval to administrative ministries in
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order to expedite implementation. This will, however, require further strengthening of the
planning wings of some of the ministries for ensuring quality of project formulation and
evolving an alternative institutional procedure for co-ordination.
11.2.3 Assigning responsibility of implementation to an agency : While there is no bar
against ministries directly implementing projects, this is generally left to their subordinate
agencies like autonomous bodies (e.g. Water Development Board for irrigation projects),
directorates and departments. Usually, project formulation and preparation are also the
responsibility of the implementing agencies in so much as they conceptualise most of the
projects in line with the policy parameters given by the relevant ministries.
11.2.4 Appointment of project director and project staff : Once a project is approved, the
relevant agency appoints a Project Director with the concurrence of the administrative
ministry. The PD then has to appoint the project staff some of whom may be seconded from
the ministry and/or the agency. The selection of a suitable PD is crucial to the project's
success. Project implementation suffers frequently due to the selection of a wrong type of
PD. Project implementation also suffers from frequent transfer of PDs and absence of PDs at
project sites during implementation. Forward planning to complete the preparatory works of a
project may help in partly resolving this problem. This issue needs serious attention of
implementing agencies.
11.2.5 Allocation/Release of fund : The procedure for release of fund has become simpler
than before. Yet it still remains one of the major causes of slow utilisation of financial
resources for project implementation. Every year a new circular detailing procedures for fund
release is issued by the Finance Division. The delay in its circulation along with occasional
changes in the provisions make it difficult to get early release of funds. Release procedures
for approved and unapproved projects are different and are more stringent in case of the
latter. Financial powers delegated at different levels need to be re-examined and where
necessary, may be enhanced. Standard procedures of fund release will also be put in place.
11.2.6 Land acquisition : Land acquisition, particularly in case of infrastructure projects has
remained a sore point in project implementation. The legal procedures are cumbersome and
delay the implementation of projects. The social cost due to displacement of people from the
project land is sometimes high. Recently, however, large development projects like the
Bangabandhu Bridge Project has put in operation the resettlement/rehabilitation of people
affected by land acquisition. The government is also considering a set of guidelines for land
acquisition and resettlement for private sector infrastructure development. All these
procedures need to be made uniform and a clear legal and institutional framework will be
introduced during the Fifth Five Year Plan. An important way to minimise social cost of land
acquisition is to involve the beneficiaries of a project at the project formulation stage through
formation of advisory committee. Quantum of land will be determined judiciously so that no
land is acquired which will remain unutilised.
11.2.7 Procurement of goods and services : Delay in procurement of equipment and hiring
of consultancy services are major problems affecting project implementation. The problem is
particularly intractable in case of aided projects because the multi-lateral and bi-lateral
development partners tend to pursue their own standards for procurement of goods and
services. Such diversities compound the problems of procurement at the users end. The
problem may be further confusing in case of co-financing (from more than one sources). To
overcome these problems, after a careful study in the late 1980s, new procurement guidelines
were issued by the Economic Relations Division (ERD) in 1992. Project directors and agency
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officials need to be trained in the use of these guidelines. The effectiveness of the new system
should also be reviewed and problems which may still persist should be resolved.
11.2.8 Construction management : Most investment projects entail construction of physical
facilities like buildings, roads and embankments. But weather condition of Bangladesh tends
to limit the construction season and so the pace of physical work varies over seasons. This
together with the programme of mobilising financial and physical resources need to be
spelt out in a time-bound critical path. Some components may be time-specific while others
may float. A critical path analysis must identify both, while some flexible work may be
delayed. In the sphere of physical works building codes are needed in order to speed up
implementation. More importantly, in construction of public buildings, the role of the Public
Works Department should be one of providing technical support to the project authorities in
respect of design, tender evaluation and verification of work quality and the project authority
should get the work done through private contractors. When a Ministry has a large number of
building works like the Ministry of Education it may contract out designing works in a time-
bound frame.
11.2.9 Execution of projects : Project implementation means strict adherence to design
specification, approved cost, time-schedule and quality. Project authority should prepare a
work plan for project implementation including a bar chart, critical path analysis,
synchronisation/programming of various activities, identify milestone decisions,
implementation procedures and techniques, review and monitoring mechanism. A project
launching workshop, particularly in big and complex projects, should be held before the
project starts and all rules, procedures and systems for implementation and monitoring should
be discussed and agreed upon.
11.2.10 Evaluation of completed projects : In a real sense project implementation cannot
be deemed to have been completed without its evaluation. The executing agencies are
required to furnish to Implementation Monitoring and Evaluation Division (IMED) in a given
proforma certain information. On the basis of such information and also field verification,
project completion reports are prepared and submitted to NEC. At present a very limited
number of projects are taken up by IMED for ex-post evaluation. Some ministries/agencies
carry out impact evaluation of some of their activities through consulting firms. Efforts
should be mounted to get an increased number of programmes/projects evaluated about their
impact on the society at large.
11.3 Monitoring of Projects
11.3.1 Monitoring implementation of development projects is a relatively new idea. Many
developing countries undertook large number of projects under their development
programmes since the middle of the century. But no institution was created to monitor the
implementation and evaluate the results of those development projects until recent years.
Bangladesh experienced monitoring problems after independence and new institutions had to
be built up. The primary responsibility of monitoring of projects rests with the sponsoring
ministry/agency itself. Along with the officials of the executing agencies officers of the
ministry, particularly in the development and/or planning wing, should undertake regular field
visits to keep abreast of the progress of work and to help resolve bottlenecks of
implementation. Monitoring by Implementation Monitoring and Evaluation Division in its
present form cannot be all-embracing. This Division has neither the resources, nor the time to
look into the details of some 1200 projects being implemented annually. In fact IMED was
initially conceived to monitor critical projects in order to expedite their execution, not to
obviate sectoral responsibilities.
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11.3.2 For the purpose of effectively carrying out monitoring and evaluation activities several
institutions and practices have developed in Bangladesh. From the government side these
have emerged both at the central level as well as at the levels of corporations and
departments. The development partners in Bangladesh also introduced their own monitoring
and evaluation system. Although both of these systems operate fairly independently in the
country, institutional linkages are often set up and used.
11.3.3 Besides, IMED and the planning wings of the administrative ministries, monitoring
cells of some executing agencies, project implementation units (PIU) of some large projects,
etc. Planning Commission, Statistics Division, Economic Relations Division, etc. also
undertake some sectoral reviews of performance.
11.3.4 Monitoring arrangements
a. Planning wings in administrative ministries : Planning wings of the administrative
ministries were created to strengthen their project planning and monitoring
capabilities. Except for the planning wings of the Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries
and Livestock, Irrigation and Flood Control and Education, most of the other
planning wings in other ministries are understaffed and ill-equipped to carry out the
planning, monitoring and evaluation functions effectively. Monitoring is carried out
mainly through obtaining progress reports from the project management, field
inspections and monthly review meetings in the ministries. Representatives from
Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Establishment, Planning Commission, ERD and
IMED attend these meetings.
b. Economic Relations Division of Finance Ministry : ERD is responsible for aid
mobilisation and also for programming of external resources for projects. They
undertake quarterly and annual reviews of fund utilisation, especially foreign aid.
Development partners also maintain constant liaison with ERD and inform them of
disbursement situations from time to time. A cell to keep track of the issues related to
aid line-up and utilisation is functioning in the ERD. The information collected and
collated by this cell provide important inputs for the policy makers.
c. Finance Division : With the assistance from UNDP, the System for Autonomous
Bodies Reporting and Evaluation (SABRE), as a computerised database is in
operation at the Autonomous Bodies Wing of the Finance Division. The objective of
the system is to provide standardised financial information on autonomous and semi-
autonomous bodies which are regularly required for budgetary and financial control,
economic planning and performance evaluation. SABRE envisages to cover all
autonomous and semi-autonomous bodies as well as their units or enterprises falling
under the budgetary control of the Finance Ministry. The Development Wing monitors
progress of claims and disbursement of Reimbursable Project Aid (RPA).
d. Development Partners : Most of the development partners have developed their own
system of progress monitoring, namely Tri-partite Review Meetings (TRM mainly by
UNDP), Review Meetings, Review Mission Reports, Consultants' Progress Reports
and Local Mission Reports, etc. Except for UNDP, the World Bank and the Asian
Development Bank who pursue intensive monitoring techniques, the other
development partners rely more on consultant's progress reports and review meetings
with the government.
11.3.5 Monitoring by IMED : IMED is involved in the entire life cycle of a project - pre-
project appraisal, monitoring during implementation and reporting on completion of projects
as well as ex-post evaluation as discussed below.
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sectors facing implementation problems. ECNEC and the Planning Commission sometimes
ask IMED for undertaking on-going evaluation. In addition, agencies also request IMED for
undertaking such evaluation. Data collection is done through field visits, discussions with
project implementation authorities and study of the project document, previous reports,
inspection reports. review papers, etc. These data are compiled and analysed and the
evaluation report is prepared. A simple format for such evaluation is used. It contains
information on objective of the project, approval status, date of actual commencement,
expected date of completion, original and latest implementation period, original and latest
estimated/approved cost, cumulative and component-wise latest physical and financial target
and progress, existing implementation problems, general observations with suggested
solutions/recommendations etc. These reports are published as a part of the Annual Report
prepared for review by the National Economic Council. The NEC directs all concerned to
implement the recommendations made in these evaluation reports. IMED follows up the
implementation of the recommendations. Some agencies also undertake on-going evaluation
of their respective projects, e.g., Population Control & Family Planning Department, Rural
Electrification Board, Bangladesh Rural Development Board, etc.
11.4.2 Summative or terminal evaluation : Since 1983/84 IMED started evaluation of
completed projects on a limited basis immediately after its implementation is declared
complete by the executing agency. Subsequently, from 1986/87, all the projects declared
complete during a particular FY are being evaluated. Evaluation of projects immediately after
its implementation is complete, is termed as "terminal evaluation". Data collection procedure
for terminal evaluation is similar to that of on-going evaluation. Collected data are collated,
compiled and analysed for preparation of the evaluation reports. A simple format for terminal
evaluation is used which contains mainly information on project's latest approved estimated
cost and implementation period, actual expenditure and implementation period, cost and time
over-run analysis, component-wise planned physical target and actual achievement, planned
objective and actual achievement, etc. Measurement of "outputs" as against the PP targets is
mainly emphasised in these evaluation reports including the reasons for non-completion or
partial completion, if any, of any component as per project document. Problems faced during
implementation of the projects are analysed and possible measures for avoiding such
problems during planning and implementation of similar future projects are identified and
incorporated in these evaluation reports. These reports are also prepared as a part of the
Annual Report for review by the National Economic Council. Ministries/ divisions/ agencies
prepare a project completion report (PCR), designed by IMED, for each of the projects
declared complete by them. These reports contain information on seven major areas : (a)
Project Description; (b) Implementation Position; (c) Financial and Physical Program (d)
Achievement of Objectives of the Project; (e) Benefit Analysis; (f) Monitoring and Auditing;
and (g) Descriptive Report.
11.4.3 Ex-Post or impact evaluation :
a. Impact evaluation studies are comparatively a new activity in Bangladesh. As per
the current monitoring and evaluation practices, the lead agency in this area is
IMED though the basic responsibility of such evaluation lies with the respective
administrative agency of projects.
b. The IMED could not take the function of ex-post/impact evaluation on a systematic
and regular basis owing to lack of well-trained manpower in the techniques of ex-
post evaluation and other logistic support. However, since 1983/84, IMED started
ex-post evaluation of selected projects and incorporated them in the Annual
Reports. In the recent past IMED also implemented a pilot project with the
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a. Capacity building
i. There must be increased capacity building in executing agencies, planning wings
of ministries and IMED on project preparation, cost analysis and implementation
techniques.
ii. Monitoring and evaluation capability at agency/ministry level as well as at IMED
will be strengthened by providing specialised training to the relevant officers both
at home and abroad. Training institutions like the Planning and Development
Academy, Bangladesh Institute of Administration and Management, Bangladesh
Institute of Management, etc., may be conveniently used for this purpose.
iii. Planning wings in the ministries/divisions will be strengthened with appropriate
officers from the economic cadre so as to make them well equipped to handle
monitoring and in-house evaluation of projects.
iv. The administrative ministries/executing agencies will carry out close monitoring of
projects under their jurisdiction so that IMED can concentrate more on selected
priority projects.
b. Project preparation
i. Project preparation with correct identification of components, appropriate design
and specification, cost analysis, site selection, implementing agency,
implementation strategy/mechanism including review, monitoring and evaluation
procedure will be ensured.
ii. Donor and the government requirements for project preparation need to be
synchronised.
iii. Strategic objectives will guide development planning.
iv. Manpower requirement after completion of a project will be standardised and
incorporated in the P.P. In cases where fresh decision is required as to the actual
number of manpower to be retained it will be resolved jointly by Ministry of
Establishment and Ministry of Finance within 3 months of project completion.
c. Approval of projects/Revised projects
i. All unapproved projects in the ADP will be approved by September every year.
ii. ECNEC decisions will be communicated immediately and preferably within a
week after the ECNEC meeting for their speedy implementation.
iii. Approval of revised projects : More authority will be delegated to the
implementing Ministries to approve revised projects involving :
• cost increase up to 25 per cent without exceeding sectoral/sub-sectoral
allocation;
• In case of approved projects, inter-project reallocation (upto 25%) without
exceeding sectoral allocation;
• however, project revision involving additional sectoral allocation, change of
site, change of objectives, impact on environment, large-scale displacement of
people will need Planning Commission's/ ENCEC's approval irrespective of
cost involved; and
• In case of aided investment projects decision on implementation issues arrived
at tri-partite meetings will be considered as the basis for future project
revision, if necessary.
iv. A maximum time-limit of 3 months for approval of revised projects by competent
authority will be adhered to.
d. Execution of projects
i. Manual for procurement of goods, works and services for non-aided projects will
be prepared by the Cabinet Division.
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f. Monitoring
i. Monthly project implementation review meetings in all the ministries/division will
be held regularly and chaired by Minister/Secretary. Regular stock-taking of assets
and level of utilisation will also be carried out.
ii. Recommendations made in the IMED inspection/evaluation reports will be
regularly reviewed in the monthly meetings of the ministry/division concerned and
corrective actions taken.
iii. Head of executing agency and PD when not resident at site will regularly visit
project site and thoroughly supervise the work of consultants and contractors to
ensure adherence to design/specification, cost, time-schedule and quality of work.
iv. Joint field visits by the Planning Commission, IMED, concerned Ministry and PD
will be undertaken from time to time, particularly in respect of important projects/
programmes.
v. Planning wing officers will inspect projects as per government decision regularly.
vi. There will be frequent interaction with donors as soon as problems are identified.
Donors' review missions may coincide with the quarterly co-ordination meetings
of concerned ministries/division.
vii. Micro-management of projects/programmes by any second agency other than the
relevant one should be avoided. Donors also will be discouraged from micro-
management of individual projects/programmes.
viii. General Economic Division of the Planning Commission and Bangladesh Bank
and BOI will develop a working mechanism for monitoring implementation of
private sector projects : a Private Enterprise Council of the Prime Minister
composed of businessmen may be appointed to this end.
ix. There will be a standing liaison committee between the government and private
sector to resolve problems encountered by the private sector investors as practised
in the Ministry of Agriculture; BOI will be revamped and strengthened to this end.
x. An effective system for penalisation of consultants/contractors for bad performance
will be reviewed for either continuation or cancellation.
xi. Small projects, within Tk. 100 million, if not started within 3 months of approval
will be reviewed for either continuation or cancellation.
xii. Seminars on monitoring and evaluation for senior managers and decision-makers
will be arranged for effective functioning of the system.
11.8.2 Other measures : The Planning Commission will continue to oversee the
implementation process and to co-ordinate with the relevant ministries and agencies to
solve any problem that may arise. Special attention in this context will be given for
delegation of implementation responsibility to local government bodies and to devise
an institutional procedure to co-ordinate implementation in relevant administrative
units of the country.
11.8.3 Operations and maintenance : Following implementation adequate attention will be
given to operate and maintain the project. Needless to say, ICVR of the project will
suffer if operation and maintenance are not proper. Involvement of beneficiaries and
local government institutions will be the cornerstone of measures directed to this end.
Besides, adequate funds will be made available and contracts to the private enterprise
given in suitable cases for operation and maintenance.
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CHAPTER XII
RESOLUTION OF CONFLICTS
12.1 Introduction
12.1.1 Development or growth implies change in the relevant field. Any such change affects
the status quo in terms of position, entitlement, benefit or loss and expectation of the relevant
people. The relevance is connotive of their roles or ambits of work as producers, consumers,
change-agents or interested citizenry. In addition, change initiates, carries and at times
completes transformation of the environment and the eco-system. Control of river flow, use of
ground water, mining of hard rock and coal, building roads through hills and forests, use of
insecticides and pesticides, and other manifestations and ramifications of the development drive
transform the natural backdrop and the environment hitherto untouched, unexploited,
unmoulded out of quiet serenity and stately tranquillity acquired over years of motivational and
technological stasis and so much adored by the naturalists.
12.2.1 The resulting change in the status quo, the environment and the eco-system has to be
accepted and supported by those who are affected or benefited, touched or hurt. As the theory
has it, a change is justifiable when benefits emanating out of it are socially assessed to be more
than costs or hurts it imposes. In the process those who benefit may do well by carrying with
them those who may be adversely affected or are indifferent. Non-acceptance of, and opposition
to changes yield conflict, which may ,at times and on occasions, lead to rebellion. The process
of acceptance and gaining support is a process of resolution of conflicts. If conflicts are not
resolved yielding acceptance of, and support for the change, the scope of the latter does not
widen desirably, and its rate immerses back into the status quo, the unchanged environment and
the undisturbed nature or even worse. On the other hand, if conflicts are resolved institutionally
and without disruptive societal abrasions, stability in socio-economic management is attained
and sustained, the role players in all relevant fields of production and consumption are provided
with an enabling environment and motivation to contribute their best and the desired change
takes place to the end of socio-economic development of the society. All these contribute to
increase of capital accumulation or creation of productive capacity and increase in efficiency of
resource use. In the context of participatory planning, resolution of conflicts, around the
planned change in the status quo, the environment and the nature is important in as much it
defines, lays out, widens and sustains the conduit of change or development. Indeed, resolution
of conflicts is the spirit of participatory planning.
with the insurgent tribals in hill tracts, connecting the offshore islands with regular water
transports, and out reaching tribal communities in Mymensingh and Rajshahi regions through
spread of education and communication facilities will have definite contributions in removing
conflicts latent in some regional differences and disparities. The opening of the Bangabandhu
Multipurpose Bridge in June ’98 will serve as the single most unifying bond between the
southern and the northern regions of the country. Despite these well identified positive
elements, in a number of areas, especially in the process of formulating and implementing
planned socio- economic change, possibilities of conflict need to be recognised and steps
delineated to resolve them over time.
12.4.1 To start with, by way of enumeration, there may be conflicts while determining the Plan
objectives. Conflicts on this count may arise in terms of both vision and mechanics. The vision
of the society 15 or 20 years hence is likely to be different to different persons or groups. The
enterprising and the rich may like to work for a society different from the one aspired by the
labour or the poor. The expectations of the landless are likely to be different from that of the
land-rich. The consumer's views of societal interest may be different from that of the producer's
seeking protection. The difference in mechanics may centre round relative emphasis to be given
on relevant indicators as well as variables of growth: this may demand answers to questions like
those pertaining to, for example, employment creation or productivity generation, protection or
liberalisation, generation of surplus in agriculture for financing investment in industrial
development and others.
parliament may serve as the apex deliberative body taking into account deliberations and
discourses in other bodies. Deliberations in the parliament will yield legislative decisions on
policies, projects and programmes and manifest as contributions of the relevant political parties
to the national strive at planned economic growth for meeting the basic needs of the people as
mandated by the constitution.
12.7.1 There are two main components of mechanics for attaining the set objectives of planned
development. In the first place, the constitution has laid down a set of premises. These are: (a)
affirmation of the national will to prosper in freedom (preamble); (b) recognition of the people
as the source of all powers of the Republic (article-7) and owners and controllers of all
instruments and means of production and distribution (article-3); (c) meeting basic needs of the
citizenry through attaining a constant increase of productive forces' (article-15); (d) return to
individuals on the principle of `from each according to his abilities to each according to his
work'; and (e) taxation and authorisation of expenditures under the authority of the parliament
(articles-83 and 90). Secondly, subject to the conditions set by the constitution, causative
process of change in one sector because of changes in the inter-related ones is to be taken into
account. Elsewhere, aggregatively these intersectoral relations have been spelt out in their
composition and effects, changes and ramifications. In the present context, these, in turn, are
implicative of gains or losses for individuals and groups and thus need to be understood,
evaluated and accepted. The question centring round distributive justice vis-a-vis incentives for
productive investment, or increase in defence expenditure vis-a-vis investment in education, for
example, will have to be answered in this context.
of the people through planned economic growth based on 'a constant increase in productive
forces', choice between public and private sectors as a conduit for attaining productivity should
centre around considerations of relative capability and efficiency in production and equity in
distribution. If for building infrastructure facilities in certain areas or sectors, private enterprise
lacks in capacity, the public sector may be deployed. If following setting up a public utility by
the public sector, inefficiency in operation creeps in, a case for privatisation is built-up. For
directly productive investment in agriculture, industry and in services, if the private sector has
built-up capacity, generally public sector has no reason for deployment of additional resources
or for interference unless social circumstances warrant it in the interest of both producers like
small farmers and poor consumers. A consensus built on these principles will definitely
contribute to constrain as well as to rationalise roles of public and private sectors to the societal
benefit. Such a consensus will facilitate expeditious privatisation of the bloated and unprofitable
state owned enterprises. The process, in its all constituent parts will contribute to shape up ethos
involving market-orientation of the economy in support of democratisation of the political
system.
12.10.1 Related to the choice between public and private sectors, general questions centring
round market as well as government failures in the economic realm need to be answered. As the
recent theory has it, the market may fail in cases of (a) externalities, (b) public goods, (c) poor
information and (d) monopoly. Failure in this context in all these cases is connotive of inability
or incapacity to attain the desired allocative efficiency. Each case of market failure provides a
potential opportunity for government action garnering benefits in excess of costs. Consequences
of market failure in case of poor information and monopoly are well understood; inherent
conflict of interests that remain to be resolved through reformative measures in these two cases
are also well-articulated, though each requires public interventions of its own kind more
involved when information on market of future goods are non-existent. Such resolution may
not, however, call for supplementation of the market mechanism. Externalities, in terms of
costs, manifests in harmful effects of an individual's or a group's action on the welfare of
non-involved secondary persons. In such an event, social costs exceeds private costs. In terms of
benefits, externalities manifest in beneficial effects of group or individual action on the welfare
of non-paying secondary parties. In such a case private return is less than the social return
resulting in lower investment in the relevant ambit of production and consequent missed
opportunities if left to the private enterprise alone. In the situation involving externalities the
policy makers may carefully consider (a) the magnitude of external costs/benefits relative to the
cost of government action; (b) the ability of the market to devise means of dealing with the
problem without government intervention; and (c) the possibility that the political majority may
take the intervention too far if the external costs imposed on the minority are not fully
considered. Consumption of public goods result in spill-over benefits to secondary parties. It is
costly or impossible to withhold such a good (e.g. national defence) from persons who do not
pay for it. In such a case the market system breaks down as everyone gets an incentive to
become a free rider. And when everyone tries to get a free ride, production of public good
dwindles calling at times for intervention by the government. Private sector philanthropic and
entrepreneurial solutions to certain public goods problems show us that the government action is
not the only corrective way. In resolution of conflicts in such a field this limitation has to be
considered.
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12.11.1 At least four factors weakening the case for public sector intervention or operation may
be identified. First, possibility of voter ignorance and inability to recognise costs and benefits of
public sector operation fully is quite high. In a representative democratic system, voters are the
originators of public sector intervention and operation. The applicable self-interest postulate of
free enterprise based democracy assumes propensity of voters to elect representatives offering
greatest personal gains relative to personal costs. The group decision - making delinks outcome
of an issue to the choice of the individual. Voters, as a result, are likely to remain uninformed on
many such issues. They may make their evaluation of representatives on the basis of subset of
issues that are of greatest importance at personal levels. In such a situation, legislative decisions
are not always expected to pass the economic tests of productivity or efficiency. Second,
working in the aforesaid backdrop, the politicians find it profitable to support special interests
reflective of rent seeking and individual or group advantage at the expense of others. This
follows from a postulate of public choice theory that pursuit of votes is the primary stimulus
shaping the behaviour of politicians. More often than not, interests of bureaucrats may
complement those of the interest groups in such cases. Bureaus may have propensities to expand
their programmes to deliver benefits to special interest groups who in turn may work with the
politicians to expand their bureau budgets and ambits and career prospects and pursuits.
Constitutional provisions in respect of equal treatment of all under law, removal of exploitation
and regional disparity, ensuring religious, racial and gender equality and their strict adherence is
one definite way to limit the power of special interests in using the political process at the
expense of others. Third, in the public sector, where decision-makers do not have private
property rights over the resources they control, the short-sightedness is another source of
conflict between good politics and sound economics. In the public sector, voters, politicians and
bureaucrats may support projects and programmes that promise eye-catching short-run benefits
at the expense of not easily-identifiable future costs. In such a situation, there is always a bias
against legislation that involves projects with immediate and easily identifiable costs and high
future returns. Finally, economic incentive for operational efficiency in public sector enterprises
is small. This does not indicate that employees in the public sector are necessarily incapable. It
means that in public sector operation there is no direct relation between work and creativity on
the one hand and public compensation on the other. No individual or group of individuals can
capture relatively small profits yielded by improved operational efficiency in the public sector.
Research over the last several years have shown that private enterprise, compared to public
ones, has provided goods and services in the same field more economically or efficiently.
better by the political parties and various interest groups through adequate awareness and
dialogues across the relevant income classes and voters.
12.16.1 In Bangladesh context elements of conflict are existent in the relationship between the
central and the local governments. Despite a clear constitutional mandate to promote local
government institutions with special representation of peasants, workers and women (article -9),
no consistent programme has thus far been undertaken to this end. As of now, zilla parishads at
district level are without elected heads; union parishads so far formally delinked from political
affiliations at national levels are still not adequately heard and attended to; co-ordinating roles of
elected representatives at thana level are yet to be defined in legal and functional terms; and
local government bodies in three hill districts need to be organised to give shape and meaning
to the recently concluded peace treaty with the insurgent tribals. The local government as a
system have inadequate sources of locally raisable resources. As a result, responsibility,
responsiveness and accountability to the local people cannot be cherished very much as uniform
principles of administration and management at various levels and throughout the country. This
inadequacy has placed a limitation on the process of participatory development as is envisaged
now.
12.17.1 Promotion of local government institutions, in the present context, may call for reform
in at least four areas. The process of reform in these areas, in turn, will require resolution of
conflicts, explicit and implicit, amongst the relevant role players. In the first place, appropriate
organisations headed by elected public representatives capable of management as well as
development at thana and district levels have to be set up. These bodies along with union
parishads and pourashavas should be given more functions (e.g. in fields of primary health care
and education and local irrigation infrastructure) and adequate co-ordinative and cohesive
authorities. Action along these lines may be conflictive with the current situation wherein local
MPs and officers of the central government tend to interfere and dominate. Secondly, all local
bodies should be made responsible to the local people. To this end, the relevant law should
provide for recall or removal of chairmen or members following passing of no-confidence
motions against them by the local constituents or other members of the local bodies. As of now,
even if a no- confidence motion is passed, chairman of a local body is removable only by or
under the authority of the central government. In such a situation, the representatives elected to
the local bodies tend to forge allegiance to the power that be at the central government vitiating
the principles of responsibility, responsiveness and accountability to the local constituents.
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Reform along these lines may not be implicative of erosion of the authority of the central
government; on the contrary, such reforms will yield desired societal gains for the local people
and in the process reinforce the central government in the mechanics of development. Thirdly,
all these bodies excluding city corporations and pourashavas may be given wider fields of
taxation or alternatively keeping their current fields of taxation unchanged, a pre-determined
percentage share, say 12% of all revenues raised by the central government. If decision to share
the revenues of the central government with the local bodies is taken, a principle for their
equitable distribution on the basis of, inter-alia, (a) population, (b) development needs, and (c)
level of local resource raising may be adopted to stave off exogenous considerations in
distributing the pie. Also, periodic finance commission may be set up and used in a
continuously changing context for determining the over all share of the local bodies in the
central government's revenue and its distribution amongst the relevant local bodies in
accordance with appropriate principles. This may imply a transient erosion of power and
authority at various levels of the central government. This is likely to be more than made up
through strengthening realistically the local government bodies for providing more and better
civic services and higher utilisation of physical and social capital in their respective areas. An
overriding adherence to the constitutional mandate by the legislators together with a strong
commitment of the executive organ of the state for obtaining the maximum yield out of a given
investment in physical infrastructure and social investment is likely to result in actions in right
directions and resolution of conflicts in this regard. The recently completed report of the Local
Government Commission has delineated actions and steps to these ends, which needs
expeditious consideration by the government and the parliament.
12.18.1 Finally, following the tradition built up in Japan, the central government may do well
by delegating responsibility for implementing selected local projects planned and funded by it to
the local government bodies. Primary schools within an union, health centres or bridges within a
district, for example, may be given to the relevant union parishad or zilla parishad for
implementing out of project specific grants made by the central government. This way the
technical capability of the local bodies may be enhanced as well as local participation and more
efficient use of resources ensured. In some cases, established facilities in fields of health care,
education, relief or welfare funded and implemented by the central government may be given to
the relevant local bodies for operation and maintenance. This way the delivery mode of services
may be desirably improved.
12.19.1 In recent years, quite a number of NGOs -private voluntary development organisations-
based largely on grants and assistances from external sources - have come up to cover almost
the entire country. Management of all these NGOs, excepting a few set-up by religious orders, is
in the hands of Bangladeshi nationals. They have come to cover disaster relief, education,
health, children's welfare, care of the old and infirm, afforestation, environment improvement,
consciencetisation and even election monitoring and voter's education. Most of them are
registered under the Society's Act; a few have been incorporated as non-profit making
companies under the Company Act as well. In all cases responsibility for management and
accounting are well defined and laid out under the relevant laws and by-laws as conditions for
receipt of external support. Given the traditionally weak functioning of the local government
bodies vis-a-vis rather resourceful operation of NGOs and their relative success in the fields of
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education, health care and consciencetisation in a few local areas, some seem like having an
idea that NGOs may over years make the need for local government bodies minimal or even
unfelt. In some local areas, seething conflicts as between the relevant local government body
and operating NGO apparatus have also been noticed.
12.20.1 In the future course of development such perception of conflict may not have a room
for serious consideration. NGOs in their resourceful and innovative operation in local areas may
supplement efforts of the central and the local government in the relevant fields; they cannot,
however, be projected or prepared for supplanting or substituting the formal bodies of the
central and the local governments. In fields of health care and education, innovative processes
and procedures developed by some NGOs may as well call for emulation and replication by the
relevant bodies of both central and local governments. Consensus, based on assessment of
needs, performance and resources need to be built up on canalising the efforts of NGOs and
vamping up the roles of local government bodies in this backdrop. Discussions and
deliberations across various fora and relevant organisations for example, in the recently formed
government-NGO Consultative Committee will be called for to fine tune the calling from time
to time in this regard.
12.21.1 Use of the private enterprise as the main vehicle for development demands delineation
and enforcement of (a) private property rights and (b) contractual rights and obligations
expeditiously, firmly and at minimum costs to the parties or the disputants. As experience has it,
scope and span of economic transactions amongst multitudes of private producers, suppliers and
consumers cannot widen smoothly till these demands are met institutionally. The institutional
components in this field are: (a) the laws defining property rights and contractual obligations
and prescribing penal measures for their violations and (b) the administrative-judicial system
enforcing these rights and obligations and awarding penalties for their violations.
Knowledgeable observers in this field opine that the set of laws enacted till date and in force
now, despite their need for some marginal modifications, is adequate. The major problem,
however, lies in their enforcement. The administrative - judicial system seems to have wide
scope to improve upon its present level of performance in this regard. The procedure followed
and the pace maintained in enforcing this set of laws adjudicating disputes that arise in relation
to them are cumbersome, time consuming and costly. Shortfall in enforcement is perceived as a
weakness of the system and erodes public confidence on the system. This perception limits the
span of suo moto acceptance of legal rights and obligations by a large number of economic
transactors. It will remain yet another challenge for the leadership to reform the system and to
account for speedier, firmer and economic enforcement and adjudication to limit if not, to
remove, conflicts in the transaction process pursued by multitude of producers, suppliers and
consumers. Commitment at highest levels of the executive and judicial organs of the state
together with close monitoring and periodic target-oriented training of the relevant personnel
seem to be in order to this end. For supporting newer and smaller producers, suppliers and users
in this regard, setting up of small causes courts in selected urban centres is likely to be helpful
also. Adjudication of small disputes among small but budding entrepreneurs expeditiously and
economically makes the business environment beautiful for spurring small activists into larger
ambits of innovation and production. Obviously, the magnitude of the problem of enforcement
as a whole may appear somewhat awesome at the start. Initial success in this field, however,
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will make the relevant role players to take their rights as granted and obligations invariably
dischargable by the society. Following initial steps in a time-bound frame this realisation by the
majority is likely to lessen down conflicts and extend the scope and the span of economic
transactions in the free and primarily private enterprise system.
12.22.1 The laws on property rights that need modifications, in order to meet the changed
circumstances, call for an in-depth examination and delineation. This will be undertaken by the
recently constituted law commission composed of legal experts and practitioners in the field.
The work of the commission and implementative actions on its recommendations will be a
continuous process.. In the interim period, a number of areas, however, may be identified for
immediate attention and correction for exuding confidence all around and spurring economic
activities across various classes of producers and entrepreneurs spearheading the free enterprise.
These areas are:
a. land tenancy and tenure, particularly in respect of definition of family/household,
agricultural use and agriculturist, subsoil or subterranean rights of 'maliks' (owners),
cognisance of offences and penal provision for violation;
b. vested lands and properties in the plains and common land in hill districts and tribal
areas;
c. copy rights, particularly in relation to the Berne Convention 1954, patent rights vis-a-vis
the Agreement on Trade Related Aspects of Intellectual Properties (TRIPs),
administered by the WTO and penal provisions for violations;
d. insolvency and liquidation of business firms and industries, particularly, in relation to
jurisdiction, cognisance, and expeditious processing and disposal;
e. execution of decrees in relation to money suits;
f. protection of minority shareholders of public limited companies and employer-employee
relations in formal or organised sectors;
g. strikes and lockouts and civil commotions; and
h. unfair or inequitable access to or treatment by public utilities.
12.23.1 Earlier, in the heat of the drive at development based primarily on collective efforts and
the public sector, the emphasis, clearly unexpressed though, was on the control of private
properties. Recognition of the people as owners and controllers of the instruments and means of
production as in the constitution, in the current context of marketisation should be understood as
an enabling provision for using private property rights as an effective spurrer of production and
commerce i.e. promoter of `constant increase of productive forces' throughout the country for
the benefit of people as mandated by the constitution. This understanding seems to have already
converged out of deliberation within major political parties. The labour in the organised sector,
however, still seems to remain largely outside this understanding.
12.24.1 Apart from the laws relating to property rights and contracts, administration of criminal
justice is another conduit for resolution of conflicts amongst individuals. In recent years as a
litany of the neglect and partisan administration in the past crimes did not decline. The crime
combating machinery of the government has definite scope for improving upon their present
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12.25.1 In the interim period, however, a number of steps seem to be in order for attaining and
sustaining equal opportunity and social mobility. These are :
a. quickest possible spread of primary education and health care;
b. relatively more emphasis on scientific and technological education and training;
c. merit-based and need-blind admission into higher educational and training institutions
followed by need-based extensive and full financial support by central and local
governments and private bodies and endowments;
d. depoliticised merit-based affirmative recruitment, and performance-based promotion
and deployment in government and parastatals and other organisations receiving public
financial support or lawful recognition;
e. equitable access to public utilities and credit institutions; and
f. enactments enjoining, promoting, and compelling non-discrimination on grounds of
gender, religion, race or political affiliation in all public and private organisations.
12.27.1 Impartial and fair dispensation by the administrative and judicial systems without fear
or favour is a major building-block of public confidence. An apprehension of partial or unfair
dispensation may make an accused, even if he is innocent, flee off as a fugitive or drive him out
of the society as a rebel. Similar apprehension will encourage people at various levels or local
areas to dispense out immediate justice as perceived by them without taking resort to the
institutional course. The other important building-block is expeditious dispensation.
Inexpeditious and cumbersome dispensation tantamounts to denial of decision or service desired
by the people from the establishment. This makes them avoid and ignore the establishment and,
at times, to take law in their own hands, thus undermining the establishment. Making
dispensations and decisions expeditiously at all levels need, therefore, be aimed at as a conflict-
preventive measure.
12.27.2 Three Needed Steps: At least three steps seem to be in order in transforming the
administrative-judicial system in the right direction. First, as mandated by the constitution
(article-77), the office of ombudsman should be set up. With powers to investigate any action
taken by executive organs of the state, this will provide an important input to make the decision-
making in the government appropriately transparent and create ethos cherishing accountability
and responsibility in public service by all public servants and authorities. Second, parliament
may expeditiously enact laws regulating service conditions of persons in the service of the
republic as mandated by the constitution (article-133). Till such time an appropriate legislation
follows, the constitutional recognition of the traditional government servants as persons in the
service of the republic, dispensation of services and decisions by them may not be as impartial
and fair as desired. Needless to mention, partiality and unfairness in this process are likely to
generate discontents, protests and other manifestations of social conflict. Third, the most
important conduit for resolving inter-personal and inter-body conflicts is an independent judicial
system. At levels where adjudication by the judicial system touches, affects and benefits the
multitudes, constituents of its independence, at times and on occassions may be lacking. To
obviate discontents and conflicts arising as such, the founding fathers enjoined in the
constitution separation of the judiciary from the executive organs of the state (article-22).
Despite rhetorics over years, this has not been done in relation to the lower judiciary. The task of
separating the judiciary from the executive organs of the state warrants completion for
sustaining amity and consequent stability of the societal frame.
12.28 Corruption
12.28.1 The administrative and judicial systems are usually perceived as responsible for
combating corruption. Corruption is a crime committing of which results through collusive
arrangement between committing persons and persons legally and morally responsible for
combating such crimes. When persons legally responsible for combating the relevant crime
abets such committing they also commit the same or similar crime. Viewed as such, prevalence
of corruption is indicative of not only scale commission of crimes but also erosion of the state
apparatus legally and morally responsible for combating crimes and punishing the criminals.
Corruption, as of now, is generally believed to be quite widespread. It is perceived as a societal
disease impairing the vitals of the society. This, in turn, is ramifiable in obfuscating and
limiting the process of socio-economic development of the country. Such an impairment and
obfuscation make people lose confidence in the system and breed conflicts as between those
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who are parties to and gainers from corruption and those who are not and as such stand to
suffer or lose from corruption.
12.28.3 Corruption at High Levels: Of all these, corruption of the first category i.e. state
corruption seems to be the most destructive. Corruption of this type, as already indicated,
manifests in taking basic or vital decisions of the state on considerations other than public
interest. Constitutionally, all powers of the republic belong to the people and their exercise on
behalf of the people has to be effected only under and by the authority of the constitution
(article-7). Exercise of these powers has to be thus in, and in furtherance of public interest by
constitutionally defined authorities following constitutionally laid down procedures.
Considerations other than public interest in decision making in such cases or levels may centre
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round personal or group interest. Serving personal interest may yield pecuniary benefits to the
decision-maker; serving group interest may strengthen the position of the decision-maker in the
group to the detriment of others outside the group. The basic decisions emanate out of the well-
defined organs of the state: the executive, the legislature and the judiciary. In case of
Bangladesh, a sudden announcement of an erstwhile Minister for Foreign Affairs recognising
the government of an intermittent rebel group in Cyprus or appointment of a junior officer as the
head of our permanent mission in New York on the basis of his relationship with the head of
the government in the 1980s or giving away unaccounted amounts to MPs of the ruling party
out of the Prime Minister’s Relief Fund as was done in the past may be cited as examples of
state corruption originating from the executive organ; legislation providing for tax-exempt
import of automobiles for the law makers themselves borders on being an example of not a
very good law originating from the law makers themselves. Formation of a special tribunal
outside the normal courts for trying persons allegedly committing offences under the ordinary
law of the land as was done for the so-called Agartala conspiracy case and willing association of
judges at the highest level of the judiciary in such a kangaroo court in the late 1960s may be
cited as the other example of state corruption pertaining to or involving a few members of the
judiciary. If basic decisions of the state by the executive, the judiciary or the legislature are taken
on personal or group considerations, or sold to the highest bidders, then the very social contracts
underlying the formation of the state are violated and the public trust reposed on state authorities
or organs, betrayed and eroded. Entrenched behind the power of the state and its resources,
corruption of this category is the most difficult to combat and contain. Despite the difficulty,
given its serious destructibility, this type of corruption calls for utmost attention of all
concerned.
under well publicised programmes. Admission into publicly supported better colleges may be
made contingent on merit alone encouraging the gifted students to converge to centres of
excellence as a matter of course as is the case in Singapore.
12.28.7 Syndication of Corruption: As ardent observers in the field have it, corruptions in all
these areas tend to acquire elements of syndication. Syndication in collusive crime committing
yields benefits, pecuniary or otherwise, across hierarchies of relevant organisations responsible
for providing services or enforcing cleansing in accordance with law. Needless to say when
syndication covers the relevant segments of such an organisation, corruption becomes an
inseparable procedural element in it in-as-much as it is supported and encouraged across the
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relevant hierarchies. This makes it very difficult to combat. In such a situation, the sincere and
honest in their minuscule minority fades out as nonconforming and inefficient. This means, in
other words, corruption needs to be confronted at the beginning and, in the inherited situational
context, right now.
12.28.8 Public Awareness and Vigilance Against Corruption: Ultimately, public awareness
and vigilance turn out to be the price of a clean and corruption-free state. While building up
public awareness and vigilance as components of a tradition sustaining and promoting
democratic governance may take time beyond a life time, freedom of information and media and
independent judiciary have much to contribute in the interim span of time. Fortunately for
Bangladesh, the supreme court seems to have come up with effective guardianship in this
respect. The recent justifiability of judicial proceedings against a former president and a number
of ministers on charges of corruption irrespective of their future outcome in terms of innocence
or guilt, as upheld by the higher judiciary of the country has set up a tradition of adjudicatible
public accountability at highest levels. Freedom of press, following recent amendments of laws
relating to press and publications and special powers of the government and setting in of an
environment of tolerance for views have also come as important bases of vigilance against such
corruption. These need to be followed up by an enactment for and in favour of freedom of
information entitling and enabling the citizenry to obtain information on matters relating to
personal or public interest. Additionally, in the light of experience of other countries, full
verbatim recording of deliberations and decisions of meetings of the cabinet, its subcommittees
including the purchase committee and taking these outside the cover of secrecy or
confidentiality (except in case of security matters) will be helpful. Such procedural reform will
impart justifiability of executive decisions following the principle of open adjudication pursued
by the judiciary. Formation and operation of an ethics committee in the parliament along with
continuous functioning of standing and adhoc committees and open public hearings and
deliberations in them will provide restraining elements against possible corrupt conduct at all
levels. In addition to the public accounts and public undertakings committees, there should be a
standing committee on finance and budget in the parliament. Arrangement should be made for
holding more frequent sessions of the public accounts committee and providing adequate staff
support for investigation and analysis. All budgetary measures comprising revisions in budget
passed and supplementary appropriation should be processed through the committee on finance
and budget deliberating and deciding through hearings open to the public. Needless to say, the
legislative control over the budgetary expenditures of the executive may become meaningless in
functional terms if statements of such expenditures are placed before the parliament after these
have already been incurred as has been the inherited practice. To an extent these measures will
desirably limit perceived interference of the legislators into executive actions and decisions at
national, regional, and local levels vitiating the lawful procedure based on the principle of
separation of powers for discharge of executive responsibilities at various levels of the
government.
12.28.9 Two Other Steps: In addition to the measures specific to the type, at least two other
steps of general nature and to an extent, overlapping with others already mentioned, need to be
delineated to combat corruption. First, the political leaderships at various levels may provide
cues to the bureaucracy and the society for discharging duties and responsibilities honestly and
legally. Such cues should also encourage the political activists and the people to adopt the
desired values sustaining and cherishing legal and moral incorruptibility. In this context one
may cite examples of political leaderships in Singapore and Malaysia. It needs to be noted,
corruption in its various categories will be impossible to combat successfully unless the political
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leaderships at various levels of the government can and actually give cues in the right directions.
Second, following provision of conducive cues from the political leaderships, the risk of the
parties involved in corruption has to be demonastratively made higher than the pecuniary or
other benefits accruing to them from the collusive arrangement. This is largely the
responsibility of the administrative and judicial systems of the country-having a large scope to
improve upon the current level of performance.
12.29.1 In recent years, questions centring round gender equality have become important and
demand to be answered expeditiously. Women comprise 48 percent of the population of the
country. Of this, 86 percent live in rural areas. The average age of women at marriage is less
than 18 years; on average a woman produces four children in her life time. Social norm against
remarriage of widows coupled with an average age gap of 10 years between men and women in
wedlock result in 90 percent of widowed population being females. Likewise, women comprise
94 percent of the divorced population of which 54 percent are below 24 years of age. As of now,
participation of females in labour force amounts to over 12 percent; in the manufacturing,
female participation is over 34 percent; and over 20 percent of all households of the country are
functionally female headed. Constitutionally, women in Bangladesh have equal rights with men
in all spheres of the state and of public life; they cannot be discriminated against or subjected to
any disability or restriction with regard to access to any place of public entertainment or resort
or admission to any educational institution on grounds of being women; they are entitled to
special provisions in their favour to be made by the state (article 28); they cannot be
discriminated against in respect of any employment or office of the state (article-29). In addition
to these fundamental rights, prevention of prostitution (article-18) and ensuring participation of
women in national life (article-10) are constitutionally accepted as two fundamental principles
of state policy. Further, guaranteeing of fundamental human rights and freedom and respect for
the dignity and worth of the human person is adopted as a principle fundamental to the
governance of the country (article-11).
uphold the norm need to be assessed and understood; as is perceived such a breaking
down has its class dimension; for the poor material or economic circumstances may
make men encourage women to break the norm and come out of chains of isolation and
protection.
c. As women come out of isolation, veils and chains into a working and pulsating lives,
they are likely to confront the 'double day' and consequently even 'double exploitation'
through the interplay of gender and class relations; the prevailing gender relations do not
usually release them from the primary responsibility for homestead chores even when
and after they enter the formal work place or the job market. Thus an extension of
female participation in male dominated work-world needs to be accompanied by
changes in traditional codes of household duties enjoining amongst others, cooking of
meals and rearing of children on females alone.
d. Evidently, there is male bias in the set of family laws in force; women across both
classes and religions have to struggle over their (i) inheritance rights in natal family; (ii)
rights to choose husbands; (iii) sexuality and pregnancies in marriage; (iv) rights to the
dowry which usually accompanies her at marriage; (v) property rights in the event of
husbands' death; (vi) rights over property and to subsistence in the event of divorce or
desertion; (vii) custody rights over children, their subsistence and education; and (viii)
procedure of separation and divorce. The laws relating to nationality in marriage,
equality of pay, maternity leave, protection against sexual harassment at work places,
etc., are either absent or unenforced.
e. Equality apart, research across countries in recent years shows that female education has
marked negative relation with fertility and infant mortality and strong positive relation
with life expectancy; likewise schooling is found to have important influence on choice
of number and quality of children; these are effects that influence long term growth of a
society. Specific to Bangladesh, equality of women with men is likely to have positive
effects on poverty alleviation. The female headed households constituting over 20
percent of all rural households are about the poorest reflecting widowhood, divorce and
abandonment, all virtually uncared for by the society.
12.29.3 Policy Measures: These five considerations point out as many mutually reinforcive
policy measures fraught with elements of social and economic conflicts:
a. Breaking the cultural norm centred round high valuation and consequent protection of
female sexuality: this is likely to create and even intensify conflict with the
fundamentalists and uneducated male chauvinists; widespread liberal arts education,
female literacy and collective effort by conscious and educated women to break the
traditional gender codes are likely to limit such conflict down to its ultimate winning
over by the forces favouring gender equality;
b. Providing women access to power through access to material resources: to this end some
definite ways are: (i) credit support following the principles developed by the Grameen
Bank and some NGOs working in the field; (ii) adopting a system or norm for joint
registration of properties by married couples during marriage; (iii) reform towards
equitable inheritance law; (iv) affirmative female employment policy; and (v) election of
women members of the parliament and local government bodies (against seats reserved
for women) by universal adult franchise of the relevant constituencies;
c. Changing the traditional gender code of division of duties of males and females: this can
be done through education, orientation and consciencetisation; NGOs working in the
field have already shown ways following which an initial and widespread break-through
can be made; public debates, open dialogues and affirmative actions by women
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organisations are likely to have positive effects; opening up all modes of employment in
the government and parastatals to women is likely to provide the needed pilotage in this
regard;
d. Making appropriate reforms in laws relating to family, inheritance, parental
responsibility, work place equality and nationality in marriage; these have to be taken up
by the parliament in conformity with the constitutional provisions and mandates; and
e. Extending education and health facilities with an effective and affirmative bias towards
women: to this end, the recently adopted subventions and supports to female education
in secondary schools and physically extended health care and family planning facilities
are steps in the right direction; these steps need to be strengthened through curricular
reform and improvement of the health and related service delivery system.
12.30.1 In the economic realm, Bangladesh has already set its course on structural adjustment.
The starting point on this course - macro-economic disequilibrium - has largely been corrected
and already been almost passed. At this time, restructuring calls for (a) expeditious deregulation
and privatisation in keeping pace with trade liberalisation and reform in the financial sector; (b)
increasing savings and investments by linking them to high returns and profits; (c) decreasing
the bloated size of government and parastatals and state owned enterprises and (d) increasing
exports through more efficient use of labour. These are fully consistent with broad based growth
sharable across all income groups and capable of reducing poverty over time. In the short run,
programmes aiming at these objectives have elements of conflict; existing distortions and
privileges are likely to be defended by politically powerful groups, e.g. protected industries and
organised and politicised labour; domestic demand-reducing measures like withdrawal of
subventions and subsides are likely to hurt the poor; cuts in public spending at least in the short
run may limit down social services, transfer payments and safety nets. Given the commitment
for adjustment, these elements of conflicts may be sized down in terms of adverse effects, by
carefully designing the adjustment programmes in the light of poverty profile and its short term
indicators. These profile and indicators may be used to establish a base line for monitoring
poverty so as to associate the structural adjustment programmes with the socially corrective
measures aimed at target groups directly and by widening access to the relevant public services.
12.31.1 Specifically, three major areas call for attention in this context. First, reduction in the
size of the government will call for shaking off redundant employees, mostly at lower levels and
freezing the size of organisations in areas where marginal productivity is low or zero (e.g.,
defence and regulatory areas after some points). The pains in the process may be turned into
gains by encouraging and attracting the thrownouts and fresh employment seekers into directly
productive self-employment through opening up access to technology and credit and cherishing
higher productivity through increasing the size of return envelope for the remaining productive
ones. This can be facilitated through reaching an understanding among major political parties
and labour groups accepting structural adjustment as an economic sine qua non in the present
situational context. Second, the problem of landlessness and assetlessness has to be addressed in
the short and medium terms. The long term growth potential may not be justification enough to
postpone ameliorative measures at the initial stages. At these stages, extensive investment in
flood control and irrigation is likely to increase the labour component of agricultural production.
In the process, intensity of land utilisation coupled with the spread of water-seed-fertilizer
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technology will increase farm employment. Added to that will be required firmer enforcement
of the provisions of Land Reform Act, 1984, prescribing the shares of the landlord and the
sharecropper. At the same time, opening up opportunities for off-farm employment and
providing access to credit and technology to this end will have to be targeted in order to obviate
discontinuity in the social frame in the country side. And third, investment in social sectors will
have to be increased. To an extent this will be possible through reduction in or freezing of
unproductive expenditures in the government and parastatals. But even then, it needs to be
noted, investment in social sectors can be increased sizeably only on the basis of deep political
commitment of, and firm consensus amongst major political parties and interest groups.
CHAPTER XIII
Agriculture
13.1 Introduction
13.1.1 Agriculture plays a vital role in the growth and stability of the country’s economy as is
indicated by its share in GDP, employment and export earnings. At present, it accounts for
about one-third of GDP and employs about two-thirds of the labour force. Exports of
agricultural primary products accounted for about 12 per cent of total exports in 1996/97 and
if exports of agriculture based intermediate and industrial products (leather, jute) are taken
into account, its contribution comes to nearly 24 per cent. If the newly emerged ready-made
garments which contribute as much as 51 per cent of export earnings is viewed in domestic
value added terms, agriculture is the main source of export earnings of the country. Apart
from these, the role of agriculture is unique for food security and nutritional status of people.
However, as industrialisation proceeds, the output of agriculture will represent a declining
share of the gross output of the economy while the share of manufacturing and services
sectors will increase. Although the contribution of agriculture to the economy is likely to
decline, it will continue to be the single largest contributor to income and employment of the
rural population in the foreseeable future.
13.1.2 Crop agriculture represented a share of about 24 per cent in total GDP and about 73
per cent in agricultural GDP during 1996/97. Within crop sub-sector, foodgrain, particularly
the rice crop dominated the country’s agricultural scenario in respect of both cropped area and
production claiming a share of 74 per cent and 54 per cent respectively in 1996/97. Thus,
development of rice crop has substantial impact on the sector’s performance. There has,
however, been shift in the composition of agriculture over the past few years as indicated by
gradual decline in the share of crop agriculture and increase in the share of non-crop
agriculture (NCA) which consists of livestock, fisheries and forestry. The NCA, particularly
the livestock and fisheries, have, of late, taken off largely through private sector initiatives
showing robust growth of 7.98 per cent and 8.60 per cent respectively in 1996/97. Hence, it
is envisaged in the Plan to develop an integrated agriculture including crops, along with food
management, livestock, fisheries, forestry and environment through more efficient utilisation
of available land and water resources for sustainable agricultural growth.
A. Crops
13.2.2 In 1993/94 and 1994/95, foodgrain production declined as a result of depressed prices
and natural disasters, particularly floods and droughts in the north-west, which is the
country’s surplus grain production region. The average foodgrain production during these two
years dropped to 18.71 million metric ton (mt) from the average of 19.31 million mt during
the preceding three years from 1990/91 to 1992/93. While drought conditions prevailed
during these years, the decline in rice production in 1993/94 also was due to both damages by
floods and the farmers’ response to the fall in the price of rice in the preceding year as
evidenced by more than 4 per cent decline in fertiliser consumption, more than 2 per cent
reduction in area sown and similar decline in irrigation command area. In 1994/95, total
foodgrain production was only 18.17 million mt as against the expected production of 20
million mt. This trend started improving from 1995/96 with a foodgrain production of 19.14
million mt. The year 1996/97 witnessed an all time high foodgrain production of about 20.43
million mt. Foodgrain production, though continues to depend on the vagaries of nature,
increased substantially over the years, following the introduction of high yielding varieties
(HYV) and application of modern inputs like fertilisers and pesticides; but its dependence on
weather continues resulting in fluctuations in production. Wide fluctuations in production
leads to large instability in foodgrain prices having serious implications for household food
security and also for the welfare of the people.
13.2.3 Production of jute fibre reached as high as 8.66 million bales in 1985/86. The
production level declined to 4.92 million bales in 1992/93 and hovered around this level since
then. Sugarcane production has remained more or less around 7.50 million mt since 1987/88.
Production of potatoes has shown a steady increase. It increased from 0.89 million mt in
1975/76 to 1.47 million mt in 1994/95. Other crops like pulses and oil seeds have shown only
marginal improvement nationwide. However, implementation of a crop diversification
programme (CDP) during 1990-95 in 125 thanas gave promising results in terms of yield per
hectare of maize, pulses, oilseeds, potatoes, vegetables, etc.
13.2.4 As regards performance of modern inputs, the irrigated area increased to about 4.00
million hectares in 1996/97 from the level of 2.65 million hectares in 1990/91. Ground water
irrigation covered 68.5 per cent of the total irrigated area while the surface water irrigation
was only 31.5 per cent in 1996/97. The ground water irrigation witnessed significant
expansion during the last two decades. Use of chemical fertilisers increased from 2 million mt
in 1990/91 to 3.02 million mt in 1995/96. Public sector seed distribution (mainly rice and
wheat) occupies only about 5 per cent of the total requirements. The large part of the seed
requirement is met by the private sector.
13.2.5 The reforms of the agriculture sector have been quite pronounced and visible. For over
a decade, a wide range of policy reforms have been implemented in the agricultural sector.
Few of these are privatisation of input distribution, withdrawal of input and food subsidy,
import liberalisation and a broadening of the scope of private investment in agriculture. In
recent years, the coverage of policy reforms in the agriculture sector has substantially
expanded to include minor irrigation equipment, agricultural machinery, seeds and
agricultural trade.
13.3 Fifth Five Year Plan
13.3.1 Sustainability of high yield and environmental protection remain the principal concern
in recent years. Loss of soil fertility followed by unbalanced use of chemical fertilisers, lack
of adequate quantity of water in some areas as well as their appropriate conservation and
management are the major factors causing divergence between potential and actual output of
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major agricultural commodities. Various studies indicate that the yield potential of the
existing HYVs of rice is more than 4 mt/ha, whereas the average yield of most of the other
varieties of rice is around 2 mt/ha. Major tasks during the Fifth Five Year Plan will be to
address these issues. The specific objectives of the Plan will be to:
a. increase productivity and real income of farming families in rural areas on a
sustainable basis;
b. attain self-sufficiency in foodgrain production along with increased production of
other nutritional crops;
c. encourage export of agricultural commodities, particularly vegetables and fruits
keeping in view domestic production and need;
d. promote adoption of modern agricultural practices in dry land, wetland and coastal
areas;
e. ensure sustained agricultural growth through more efficient and balanced utilisation of
land, water and other resources; and
f. encourage comparatively large farm to graduate into commercial farming.
13.3.2 Policies and Strategies : In order to achieve the objectives, the strategies/policies will
be evolved and adopted to bring about necessary technical change. The following will be the
specific policies and strategies:
a. improvement of the quality of seeds, particularly HYV and hybrid seeds and
increasing their quantity;
b. development of modern, irrigated and least-risk agriculture with greater reliance on
competitive markets through supply of agricultural inputs at low cost; making public
investment more effective and keeping it limited to key areas as required to
supplement private initiatives;
c. strengthening of the agricultural research and extension systems in order to develop
new technologies relating to crop varieties, integrated farming system, organic
farming, improved agronomic and agro-processing technologies, and for diffusion of
the proven technologies;
d. development and dissemination of ecologically sound and sustainable technologies
such as integrated pest management (IPM) techniques, and organic and bio-fertiliser
use;
e. increasing profitable production of minor crops and thereby maintaining a balanced
crop production and improving the nutritional status of the people;
f. development of suitable technologies in rain-fed, dry land and wetland farming system
to enhance the productivity;
g. restoration/improvement of soil fertility through better management of the organic
matter of soil to improve yields of crops; towards this end, production and use of
bio-manure will be encouraged;
h. assistance to small and marginal farmers in forming groups and associations which
can (i) enhance production and productivity, (ii) sustain agro-business enterprises on
their own, (iii) absorb more credit fund and (iv) adopt/disseminate technologies;
i. participation of NGOs in the agricultural development process;
j. improvement and conservation of plant and genetic resources through collection and
conservation of germ plasm;
k. facilitation of access to markets and the promotion of efficient marketing system;
l. formulation of integrated land use policy conducive to optimum use of agricultural
resources;
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13.4.4 Fruits and vegetables are important sources of minerals and vitamins and provide a
part of calorie requirement in the daily diet of the people. They also provide most of the food
roughage which contributes to prevention of disorder of digestive system. Besides, vegetables
protein appear to be superior to animal protein. The nutrition status of the Bangladeshi diet is
on a declining trend due to low intake of vegetables, fruits and spices. The increased
production and intake of vegetables by the people will help compensate for debilitating
nutritional deficiencies.
13.4.5 The foodgrain production in the terminal year of the Fifth Plan has been projected to
be 25.12 million mt. Out of this, rice production is expected to be 23.40 million mt as against
the production of 18.88 million mt in 1996/97. The estimates of wheat and other coarse grain
production have been made at 1.60 million mt and 0.12 million mt respectively in the
terminal year of the Plan. The projected production of important crops have been shown in
Table 13.1
Table 13.1
Projection of Important Crop Production During Fifth Plan
(area in million hectare
and production in million m. tons unless otherwise noted)
Crops 1996/97 (Benchmark) 2001/2002 (Projection)
Area Production Area Production
1 2 3 4 5
Rice 10.40 18.88 10.11 23.40
Wheat 0.71 1.45 0.70 1.60
Sub-Total 11.11 20.33 10.81 25.00
Other coarse grain 0.10 0.10 0.12 0.12
Total Foodgrain 11.21 20.43 10.93 25.12
Potato 0.15 1.85 0.16 2.43
Sweet Potato 0.05 0.50 0.05 0.66
Oilseeds 0.50 0.37 0.70 0.76
Pulses 0.65 0.53 0.78 0.85
Spices 0.15 0.33 0.22 0.50
Vegetables 0.25 1.45 0.30 1.82
Fruits 0.19 2.14 0.26 3.54
Jute (million bales) 0.51 4.87 0.57 7.24
Cotton (million bales) 0.04 0.10 0.11 0.26
Sugarcane 0.18 8.10 0.18 12.37
Tea (million kg) 0.05 54.00 0.05 60.00
Tobacco 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.04
13.4.6 Maize and other coarse grains: Maize is now considered as a substitute for both
rice and wheat since it can be grown in all seasons. From maize one may get food, oil, fuel,
and fodder and feed. The present yield potential is too low. It can be increased to the level of
HYV wheat provided adequate demand is created and fair prices to the growers can be
ensured. The genetic yield potential of maize is very high. Bangladesh Agricultural Research
Institute (BARI) has already developed five high yielding medium duration maize varieties
with grain yield potential of 5-7 mt/hectare, suitable for flood prone areas. The maize
production is planned to increase by 250 per cent to 12,500 mt in 2001/2002 from the
benchmark production of about 5,000 mt. Besides maize, other coarse grains consisting of
barley, sorghum, bajra, and millets have considerable importance from the point of use of
water resource and development of agro-industries. Considering the increased importance of
these minor crops as supplementary food, cattle feed and industrial raw materials, increased
production programme for these crops will be taken up during the Fifth Plan period.
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13.4.10 Pulses: The pulses of Bangladesh comprise of six major crops, namely, lentil,
khesari, blackgram, mungbean, chick-pea and pigeon pea. Cowpea occupies an important
place in the Chittagong area. The cropped area and production of these pulses have been on
the decline over the past few years mainly because of the increased emphasis on HYV rice
and wheat. But pulses are very important because of protein supply to the human diet and
nitrogen fixation for soil nutrition. Since improved technology can increase per hectare yield
of pulses substantially, pulse production is projected to grow to 0.85 million mt in the
terminal year of the Plan as against the benchmark production of 0.53 million mt.
13.4.11 Oilseeds: Vegetable oil from oilseeds are the main sources of fats in the average
Bangladeshi diet. Its present level of consumption is only 25 per cent of FAO/WHO
recommended level. Efforts will be made to increase oilseeds production to 0.76 million mt
by the terminal year of the Fifth Plan. Groundnut, sunflower and soyabean have been included
in this projected production. New seed varieties are being used in the defined area to avoid
cross-pollination. Production of foundation and certified seeds of improved varieties and
demonstrations of modern technology are important strategies to increase oilseeds production
of the country.
encourage farmers to further intensify jute production in order to satisfy domestic and export
demand. To enable jute to compete with synthetics, emphasis will be given to related
agricultural and technological research efforts. The raw jute production is projected to go up
to 7.24 million bales in 2001/2002 as against 4.87 million bales in 1996/97 through per
hectare yield increase, availability of better quality seeds, improved provision of extension
and credit support to growers.
13.5.2 Tea: Tea is one of the most dynamic agro-based, labour intensive, export oriented
industries of Bangladesh. It plays a vital role in the national economy in both export earnings
as well as in employment generation. Plantation and production of processed tea are the two
main activities in the private sector. In the public sector, green leaf production was promoted
through development projects implemented by the Bangladesh Tea Board. With the
introduction of high yielding varieties, quality planting materials, timely application of
production inputs and installation of modern machinery, tea has undergone further
improvement and enabled Bangladesh to compete more effectively with other exporting
countries. Increased production is expected to come from higher yields and by reducing tea
vacancies now existing in the garden.
13.5.3 Tobacco: Tobacco is one of the important cash crops of the country. The crop grows
well in sandy, well-aerated, well-drained soils and cool climate. Hence, it is grown as a rabi
crop and most of the area is concentrated in the greater districts of Kushtia and Rangpur.
Due efforts to expand tobacco cultivation since 1973/74, through support from big cigarette
manufacturing firms, made it possible to achieve self-sufficiency in tobacco production by
1980/81. However, recognising tobacco’s adverse effects on health, policies will be adopted
to limit its production with gradual reduction of cropped area in favour of cotton and pulses.
The production of tobacco has been projected to be 0.04 million mt by the terminal year of
the Fifth Plan.
13.5.4 Cotton: Cotton has played a very important role in improving the socio-economic
conditions of the farmers during the previous Plan period. The production has gone up from
45,800 bales in 1983/84 to about 1,00,000 bales in 1996/97. The yield of seed cotton per
hectare has reached a reasonably high level; yet the yield of cotton in the country is low
compared to world standards. The major constraints to increased production are inadequate
ginning capacity and seed multiplication programme, insufficient expertise and material
resources, inefficient system of management and ineffective extension and marketing
organisation. Textile mills should encourage commercial plantation through co-operatives in
suitable cotton belts. During the Plan period, efforts will be made to provide loans to farmers
to ensure supply of improved seeds, fertilisers, plant protection measures, irrigation and credit
facilities to the growers along with the practising of improved technologies in the cotton
fields. The cotton production has been projected to be 0.26 million bales by the terminal year
of the Fifth Plan as against 0.10 million bales in 1996/97.
13.5.5 Sugarcane : Sugar is the country’s most important agro-industry and sugarcane is
one of the important cash crops. Sugarcane is grown as a 12/15 month crop in a two year
rotation with aus rice crop during the monsoon season followed in the dry months by oilseeds,
wheat, or vegetables. Sugarcane yields in the country are low by world standards and the
quality is poor. The average yield of sugarcane is about 6.1 mt per hectare with a sugar
recovery rate of 8-10 per cent. Sugarcane is grown on about 0.18 million hectares of land. Of
this, about 0.95 million hectares are in the sugar mill zone areas and the rest in the non-mill
zone areas which produces sugarcanes mostly for making gur consumed by the rural people.
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Research efforts will be strengthened to raise yield per hectare through varietal improvement,
better management of water resources, fertilisers and other inputs, improved cropping
systems and development of sugarcane delivery system from farms to mills. Considering the
past consumption trend, milling capacity and possible growth rate of production, sugarcane
production is projected to be 12.37 million mt in the terminal year of the Fifth Plan as against
the benchmark production of 8.10 million mt.
13.5.6 Crop diversification : Bangladesh is endowed with a favourable climate and soil for
the production of a variety of crops all the year round. Thus, ample opportunities exist for
crop diversification balancing the production of major crops with that of minor crops. The
minor crop production has substantial potential, if seasonal fallow land is brought under
cultivation with seed-fertiliser-irrigation technology packages. Crop rotation, i.e., exhausting
crops followed by recuperative ones, shallow rooted crops by deep rooted ones, legumes
followed by non-legumes, etc., is envisaged to enrich and maintain soil fertility. Besides,
diversification of cropping pattern, particularly towards the production of high value crops,
will contribute to enhance farmers’ income and to help maintain a better soil structure for
long term sustainability. Efforts will be made to explore the possibility of introducing a non-
rice crop in between aman and boro through adoption of shorter duration rice varieties and
shifting of the timing of crop establishment and harvesting. Lack of technological
advancement is the main constraint to diversification of crops. In order to accelerate
technological advancement, possible strategies will be to:
a. develop HYVs and use hybrid technology and genetic upgradation of non-cereal crops
and strengthen seed production programmes, particularly in the private sector;
b. introduce diversified cropping systems in order to free upland areas in winter season
for non-rice crops so as to facilitate introduction of third crop on the land and under
irrigated condition; short duration mustard can be introduced in between boro and
aman seasons; and
c. introduce extensive extension services, improve drainage and water management,
ensure timely planting and soil fertility management, develop infrastructure and post-
harvest processing and provide marketing facilities.
13.6 Special Agricultural Zones
13.6.1 Apart from plain land agriculture, there are special agro-ecological zones which have
quite high growth potentials. Specific development policy, strategy and programmes for
these zones are needed to exploit the existing potentials of the areas: (a) the upland in the
hilly areas of Chittagong, Chittagong Hill Tracts and Sylhet, (b) the wetland in greater
Mymensingh, Sylhet, Jessore, Pabna, Rajshahi, etc., and (c) the coastal areas of southern part
of Bangladesh. Each requires distinct set of policies, strategies and programmes because of
differences in agro-ecological environment. Research, extension and input delivery will be so
designed as to meet the specific requirement of these special agro-ecological zones.
13.6.2 Rainfed farming: Crop production in Bangladesh is predominantly monsoon
dependent. Of the total rainfed areas, about 3 million ha is estimated to be prone to severe
drought. The entire Barind and Modhupur Tracts constituting about 12 per cent of the total
arable areas are characterised by shallow soil depth having low moisture holding capacity and
heavy sub-surface clay. Crop production in these areas and in the Gangetic flood plains is
mainly dependent on rainfall and on the inundation from the Ganges river and its tributaries.
However, for the whole of the Ganges belt, including the Barind and Modhupur Tracts, no
rainfed farming practice specially suited to the prevailing soil and agro-climatic condition has
239
yet been developed. There is, thus, an urgent need to develop drought tolerant crop varieties
and drought mitigating technologies that will make maximum use of the land resources of the
rainfed farming systems. Rainfed farming practices will also include supplementary irrigation
which will help increase crop production during the kharif season.
13.6.3 Wetland farming: Large areas of wetland commonly known as beels, baors and
haors in the greater districts of Sylhet, Mymensingh, Jessore, Rajshahi and Pabna hold quite
high potentials for the development of crop agriculture and fisheries, in particular. Crop
agriculture and fish production can grow simultaneously. Besides, preservation of bio-
diversity of the wetland will be given high priority. Greater attention will be given during the
Fifth Five Year Plan to exploit the potentials of crop agriculture and fisheries through
provision of situation specific package of development programmes for research, extension,
input supply, etc.
13.6.4 Coastal farming: Coastal areas in the southern part of Bangladesh constitutes a
specific ecological zone having its specific problems and possibilities. Cyclones, tidal bores,
salinity, etc., visit these areas frequently affecting agricultural output. Therefore, there is need
for developing salinity resistant variety of rice, for example, for these areas. Coconut, betel
nut, palm and mangrove are major cash crops in these areas. Location specific research,
extension and other programmes will be developed and provided for the purpose of exploiting
the potentials.
13.6.5 Hill farming: The upland in the hilly areas of the greater Chittagong district,
Chittagong hill tracts and Sylhet district constitute a special agricultural zone requiring
location specific services and programmes. High potentials exist for production of fruits and
vegetables in these areas. Agricultural development potentials in these areas are quite
substantial. Resources will be provided to develop appropriate technology that are suitable for
upland agriculture.
13.6.6 Cropping intensity : Bangladesh has, by 1996/97, achieved an estimated cropping
intensity of about 185 per cent. Out of the net cropped area of 7.60 million hectare, about 55
per cent is double cropped and approximately 15 per cent triple cropped. However, about 30
per cent is still single cropped. Since all the suitable land is already under cultivation, raising
the intensity of land use is needed. It is expected that cropping intensity will reach 192 per
cent by the terminal year of the Fifth Plan. Cropping intensity from 1992/93 to 2001/2002 is
shown in Table 13.2.
Table 13.2
Cropping Intensity From 1992/93 to 2001/2002
(area in million hectare)
Net Land Area Total Cropped Area Cropping Intensity
1992/93 7.64 13.70 179
1996/97 7.60 14.08 185
2001/2002 (Projection) 7.50 14.41 192
SSP 1.00 million mt (22%) and MOP 0.60 million mt (13%) by the end of the Fifth Plan.
Actual application of various types of fertilisers is disproportionate to standard NPK ratio of
1 : 0.5 : 0.5. Fertiliser use at farmer level is dominated by urea (about 70%) followed by TSP
and SSP (20%) and MOP (10%) causing damage to soil structure and thereby constraining
per hectare production of various crops. Following withdrawal of explicit subsidy from
phosphatic and potash fertilisers and also transfer of its trade to private hands, relative prices
of these items have gone up, while urea is reported to be sold at below the cost of production.
The price of urea was reduced in July, 1994 and early, 1995. This distortion of relative price
of urea is said to have aggravated unbalanced use of fertilisers in favour of nitrogenous
fertilisers or inadequate application of non-nitrogenous fertilisers such as TSP and MOP.
Therefore, in view of actual field position and experiences gained so far, it is realised that the
public sector interventions might be required in case of market failure for (a) ensuring
balanced use of fertilisers, (b) maintaining a buffer stock of fertilisers to meet emergency
needs, (c) distribution of fertilisers in the remote areas, (d) encouraging increased use of
organic and bio-fertilisers, and (e) training the farmers by the extension people in using
appropriate doses and combination of fertilisers.
13.7.2 Seeds: Quality seeds in right quantity are recognised to be one of the key elements
for enhancing agricultural production. At present, BADC, as per seed policy 1992,
concentrates its efforts on the production of HYV seeds of paddy, wheat, potato, jute and
sugarcane in the seed farms and also uses farmers to multiply seed on contract basis.
Production programme of all other crops beyond foundation seed will be done by contract
growers. With the introduction of seed policy, emphasis has been given to private seed
growers development. However, the public sector will conduct basic scientific research,
support or conduct breeding work for self-pollinated and minor crops for greater suitability to
divergent agro-ecological zone. Public sector will also carry out programmes for training and
support services for private research and development, variety testing and registration, plant
material inspection and maintaining germplasm, supporting seed associations and promotion
of farmer or community-based seed programme. The concerned agencies under the MOA will
be further strengthened in order to ensure quality of seed at all stages of its production —
breeder, foundation and certified seed. Emphasis will be given on creating facilities and
infrastructure support for hybrid seed research, marketing and development. Farmers will be
given training and technical assistance to extend improved methods of seed production,
testing and storage. Total production of all types of certified and foundation seeds has been
around 45,000 mt during 1996/97. This is expected to reach 62,000 mt by 2002. At present,
only about 5 per cent of total certified seed requirement is met from BADC sources. This
needs to be raised to at least 10 per cent to match 25.12 million mt of foodgrain production
as projected in the Fifth Plan. To this end, BADC seed wing will be strengthened and
restructured. Agricultural Research Institutes (ARIs) along with other research organisations
under National Agricultural Research System (NARS) will upgrade and strengthen research
in order to give full support to augmenting breeder seeds of new varieties. Seed development
accounts for about 28 per cent of total financial provision for the agriculture sector during the
Fifth Plan.
13.7.3 Irrigation: Availability of appropriate quantity of irrigated water from (a) surface
water through gravity flow and LLP, (b) ground water through DTW, STW, HTW FMTW,
DSSTW and VDSSTW, etc., and (c) other sources will be the main factors behind the
growth of agriculture during the Fifth Plan. Total coverage of irrigation through all these
sources in 1996/97 is estimated to have been around 4.00 million ha which is projected to
increase to 5.04 million ha in 2001/2002. This is about 67 per cent of total potential irrigable
241
areas of 7.56 million hectare. In addition, flood control and drainage facilities are projected to
cover 4.90 million ha during 2001/2002 as against the estimated coverage of 4.20 million ha
in 1996/97. Flood control and drainage programmes will support and assist increased
agricultural production during the Fifth Plan.
13.7.4 Plant protection: Actual plant protection activities are in the private hands. However,
the public sector programmes are confined to qualitative and quantitative aspects of plant
protection: pests surveillance, monitoring and early warning against pest attacks, advisory
service to farmers, traders and others dealing with pesticides and quality control of pesticides
marketed by the private sector. In the Fifth Plan period, the integrated pest management
(IPM) programme will be intensified and expanded in order to safeguard crops from pest and
combat environmental degradation due to pesticide uses. Agricultural extension workers are
responsible for providing advice to the farmers on appropriate plant protection measures.
Collaboration among the local government representatives, extension workers and the NGOs
will be sought to expand IPM programme. Farmers will be given training in the use of
different pesticides through demonstration.
13.7.5 Agricultural credit: Till recently, the major part of agricultural credit to farmers has
been channelled by informal sources catering to the needs of short term credit. Semi-formal
institutions, NGOs, Grameen Bank, etc., also provide target groups credit in the rural areas.
The third source in terms of credit volume is the formal sources comprising the nationalised
commercial banks and agricultural and specialised banks, i.e., Bangladesh Krishi Bank
(BKB), Rajshahi Krishi Unnayan Bank (RAKUB) and Bangladesh Samabaya Bank (BSB).
During the Fourth Plan, the total volume of agricultural credit increased by 150.20 per cent;
the highest increase being for fishery (831.50%) followed by livestock (341.30%), crop sub-
sector (214.30%) and others (93.40%). However, in recent years, there has been a significant
cut in the share of crop sub-sector in the total credit delivery to the agriculture sector from
formal sources. The share declined from 46.38 per cent in 1994/95 to 42.29 per cent in
1996/97. A major reason for this is the serious problem of low repayment due to weak
lending and recovery operations, inappropriate use of loans, frequent occurrence of natural
calamities and loss of crops and weakening of the public price support policy. The low
interest rate to this priority sector dissuades financial institutions from further lending to
agriculture. Moreover, since 1991/92, central bank discontinued its refinance facility for
extending agricultural credit except for the BKB, RAKUB and the Sonali Bank. These factors
dampened the expansion of agricultural credit. In the Plan period, agricultural credit,
especially for marginal and small farmers will be geared up in order to encourage steady
expansion of agricultural output supported by appropriate public policies to ensure fair prices
to farmers. Otherwise, over 6 million farm households will be exposed to uncertainty. In
addition to the existing programme, special credit programme will be launched aiming at
providing credit, particularly to the small and medium farmers. The commercial banks will be
encouraged to provide funds to large farms to enable these to operate on a commercial basis.
Keeping this in view, the Fifth Plan envisages to increase yearly agricultural credit
disbursement. An amount of Tk.30,000 million is projected to be delivered as credit to
agriculture in the terminal year of the Plan.
13.7.6 Mechanisation of agriculture: There is a serious dearth of animal draft power to
cater for the growing needs of an expanding modern agriculture. The available animal draft
power is inefficient and unreliable. As against this, agriculture mechanisation can help in
improving productivity, reducing cost of production, increasing efficiency, increasing inputs
use (water, seed, fertiliser, labour) and achieving timeliness of crop production operations.
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Agricultural mechanisation is needed for quick turn-over time and high input use efficiency.
Land preparation, irrigation, insecticides spraying, threshing, crushing and shelling, husking
and milling have been partially mechanised and their magnitudes are expanding gradually
throughout the country. There is a need for continuous development of more efficient and less
costly equipment so that farmers can benefit. Since agriculture is still the mainstay of the
economy, promotion and development of agro-related metal working industries to provide
support to agricultural production is a major concern. Selective mechanisation based on the
traditional devices conducive to productivity will be adopted. In the context of market
economy, emphasis will be given to the collaborative role of public and private sectors in
technology development and its diffusion. An appropriate policy framework for sustainable
development of farm machinery manufacturing will be pursued in the Fifth Plan period.
13.7.7 Agricultural Insurance: Agricultural insurance has been recognised as an important
component of agricultural development strategy. It seeks to protect farm investment through
indemnification of losses to crops, forestry, livestock, fisheries and other farm resources that
are vulnerable to natural hazards and other insurable perils and thereby provides security to
farm income. It can also be significant to the agricultural credit agencies in times of natural
calamities with insurance policies standing as collaterals for loans. With this end in view,
crop insurance programme was at first launched in Bangladesh in 1977. Being entrusted with
it, Sadharan Bima Corporation (SBC) carried out a pilot project to provide multi-peril
coverage to major cereal crops (aus, aman, boro and wheat) as well as to major cash crops of
jute and sugarcane for stabilising farm income. Livestock component was included in 1981.
But, for various reasons, the performance of the project, particularly in respect of crop
insurance was quite poor. Due to weak loss assessment system, indemnity payments far
outstripping premium incomes resulted in mounting losses to SBC. In the absence of any new
initiative to revamp the crop insurance programme, it was discontinued with effect from mid
1995. Livestock insurance has, however, been retained as it has continued to perform
relatively well. During the Fifth Plan, efforts will be made for the development of a
comprehensive agricultural insurance programme.
13.7.8 Agricultural marketing and prices: With a more intensive system of crop
production and the increasing emphasis on diversification, marketing problems, particularly
with perishable crops, have already multiplied and are likely to multiply further unless the
needed remedies are introduced. Marketing costs are already high because of inadequate
infrastructure, high price risks and the lack of credit to traders for marketing activities.
13.7.9 Among the vast number of primary and secondary markets in the country (about
7,800), the Department of Agricultural Marketing (DAM) is responsible for fixing market
charges in 393 markets only. The market centres are under the control of the Ministry of Land
which owns the land and collects marketing fees from sellers. The DAM, during the Fifth
Plan period, will be strengthened to provide improved marketing services with a view to
ensuring fair returns to the growers for their produces and adequate supply to the consumers
at reasonable prices through the improvement of market conditions, reduction of marketing
costs, regulation of market practices and market promotion for agricultural crops like maize,
soyabean, potato, sunflower, etc. Wholesale market development, promotion of agro-
processing industries, market management, creation of MIS in DAM, classification, grading
and standardisation of agricultural products, improvement of storage facilities, particularly for
marginal and small farmers, setting up an Agricultural Price Commission to make price
forecast, production estimate and to make recommendations on the economics of productions
and marketing are some of the specific programmes that will be undertaken during the Fifth
243
Plan in order to ensure (a) fair price, (b) quality of agricultural products both for domestic
consumption and export and (c) increased production with stable price.
13.8 Agro-processing
13.8.1 Bangladesh experiences seasonal surpluses in several agricultural commodities of
perishable nature. Development of agro-processing facilities can prevent post-harvest losses
and enhance farmers' income. The agro-processing industries are at present in their nascent
stage of development . Most of the technologies and facilities for handling, storage,
processing and packaging of farm products and by-products are substandard and outdated as
they cater primarily to the domestic market. There is considerable under-utilisation of
capacity also.
13.8.2 The scope for the privatisation of support services such as research and extension is
likely to remain limited. However, agricultural research institutes like BARI and BRRI will
carry out research on technology development for agro-processing. Meanwhile, some
technologies are already available with these institutes for the development and growth of
agro-processing industries in the country. Nevertheless, some specialised extension activities
could be delegated to the private sector such as those related to fruits and vegetables
enterprises.
13.8.3 This process of supporting agrobusiness will be continued and strengthened during
the Fifth Plan period. In this regard, two institutional developments in recent years are
noteworthy: the establishment of HORTEX, a private board for horticulture promotion and
the Agro-based Technology Development Project (ATDP) which conducts regular monitoring
of the country's agrobusiness markets and provides information about the development in
foreign markets and opportunities for agro-industries. These projects also support
entrepreneurs with credit facilities.
13.9 Agricultural Research
13.9.1 Autonomous research institutes like BRRI, BARI, BJRI, BINA and BSRI were
established with specific mandates for crop agricultural research in order to make the research
system more service oriented and dynamic. National Agricultural Research System (NARS)
with all the agriculture related research institutes under the co-ordinated leadership of
Bangladesh Agriculture Research Council (BARC) has been established.
13.9.2 The research system needs to re-examine its focus and re-order its priorities, avoid
fragmenting and duplicating its efforts, orient its approach from commodity based to farming
system or integrated production system and strengthen its planning, programme monitoring
and co-ordination. The research system should also strengthen its linkages with extension in
the Plan period. Agro-ecological zone-based research will be undertaken. The criteria for
evaluation of research programmes towards rates of adoption of research output by end- users
and the system of accountability of individual research institution, research administration
and personnel will be reviewed and made consistent with actual needs. Problem-solving
researches will be given priority. Criteria for identification and selection of contract research
programmes by the private sector and NGOs will also be developed in response to the
changing environment at farm level. In the same way, priority list will be evaluated annually
to accommodate changed needs and circumstances. Keeping in view these objectives and
strategies, the following tentative research priority areas have been identified:
a. improvement of foodgrain quality with more digestible protein;
b. increase in efficiency in water use in rice cultivation;
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and farming community also. Agricultural extension together with nutritional awareness
programme will receive about 8 per cent of the agricultural development Plan outlay .
13.10.2 Strategies to develop extension services: The following will be constituents of
strategies to develop extension services:
a. development of qualitative demonstration, field days, agricultural exhibition;
b. farming system approach to extension system;
c. non-commodity approach, i.e., irrigation technology, seed technology, on-farm water
management technology and uses, IPM;
d. strengthening of field level activities through proper delegation of authority from
headquarters to field level;
e. priority to marginal and small farmers;
f. development and promotion of environmentally sound farming practices; and
g. involving local government bodies, especially union and thana parishads in the
process;
13.10.3 Local government bodies will co-ordinate, monitor and supervise the activities of
agricultural extension service at the grassroots level. The NGOs, local government
institutions and the extension personnel will work jointly for extension services. The role of
BADC will be re-structured in accordance with the findings and recommendations of the
recently formed Agriculture Commission.
13.10.4 Agricultural and rural training: In addition to higher education at agricultural
colleges and the University, several other training institutions teach and train personnel who
serve the agricultural sector. These institutions are Central Extension Resources Development
Institute (CERDI) at Joydebpur, Graduate Training Institute (GTI) attached to Agricultural
University at Mymensingh and 12 Agricultural Training Institutes (ATIs) located throughout
the country; although the training facilities vary considerably among institutes, they are
generally inadequate and need support for overall improvement. The curricula equally
emphasise both academic and field trainings. During the Fifth Plan period, two ATIs will be
established to meet the growing needs of extension personnel including women extension
agents. Besides, Academy for Rural Development at Comilla and that at Bogra will train
agriculture personnel of the Ministry of Local Government, Rural Development and Co-
operatives in addition to pursuing their training programme for model farmers and managers
of village co-operative societies on various aspects of agricultural development. To make the
agricultural extension service efficient and effective, the training and communication support
of extension system needs to be reorganised, strengthened and improved. The ATIs and
CERDI will emphasise the qualitative aspects of training in agricultural management,
instruction in the production of training materials, training of trainers and of extension agents.
Training institutes will be given responsibilities for extension work in the nearby villages of
their locations with the objective of achieving better organised extension work in the rural
communities which will, in turn, result in an improvement in the quality of training. In
support of the agricultural extension services, agricultural information service will
concentrate on the systematic planning of multi-media communication activities to assist crop
production and on taking initiatives in other relevant areas and fields.
13.11 Agricultural Education
13.11.1 The objectives of agricultural development can be realised through the effective
spread of education and application of science and technology. The improvement in the
prevailing educational system is essential, if progress and development are to occur in
246
agriculture. Increased levels of literacy and education among rural people are important
factors conditioning the rate of adoption of improved technologies.
13.11.2 Recognising the need for development of scientific base for modernising agriculture,
the country requires a continuing flow of efficient and qualified human capital to upgrade,
maintain and implement development programmes and projects in a wide variety of public
and private institutions serving agriculture. The responsibility of training these people lies
mainly with the system of higher agricultural education. There is already a base of physical
facilities at Bangladesh Agricultural University (BAU) at Mymensingh, Bangabandhu
Agricultural University at Joydebpur and in agricultural colleges at Dhaka, Patuakhali and
Dinajpur. The existing infrastructural base for higher agricultural education at Mymensingh
and Joydebpur is under-utilised, though broad enough to meet the requirements of the
country for various levels of agricultural experts and extension personnel.
13.11.3 Agricultural education system will be reorganised and strengthened and will be
brought in line with the country's agricultural needs. Teaching will be linked to actual farming
practices in specific farming conditions. Syllabi for agricultural education will be suitably
modified so as to contribute effectively to the requirements of a dynamic agricultural sector.
The major attention will be given to improve the quality of teaching and training and related
student output so that the overall response of the system of agricultural education is sufficient
to underpin the development of human capital and the science and technology base for
agricultural modernisation.
13.11.4 Setting up of agricultural colleges in the private sector will be encouraged in the
Fifth Plan period. Agricultural education has already been introduced at the secondary and
higher secondary levels which will be further improved in years to come. Special emphasis
will be given to the training of the teachers.
13.12 Private Sector
13.12.1 During the Fifth Plan, private sector investment in agriculture will be encouraged,
particularly in areas of manufacturing of farm machinery and implements, irrigation
equipment, fertilisers and pesticides, development of quality seeds, processing and storing of
food, vegetables, fruits and others agricultural products. Adequate fund is likely to be
available for these purposes. For a sustainable growth of the agricultural sector, appropriate
fiscal and monetary measures will be framed taking into account the economy-wide and
transboundary circumstances and issues. The public sector will provide public goods and
services (research, extension, agricultural education, etc.), which may not be efficiently and
adequately supplied by the private sector, support development of technical know-how and
promote access to foreign markets, technology and capital.
13.13 Land Use
13.13.1 The Bangladesh National Conservation Strategy identified six important areas of
conflicting land uses in rural areas. These are: crop agriculture vs. shrimp and capture
fisheries, forest land vs. shrimp and capture fisheries; crop agriculture vs. livestock;
agriculture vs. settlements; agriculture vs. brick fields; and agriculture vs. newly accreted
char lands. Traditional systems found ways to make these various land uses compatible.These
manifested in traditional seasonal shrimp culture and rice cropping, fallow periods and
community grazing land for livestock. Due to population pressure on land, however, these
traditional approaches are breaking down; available agricultural land per capita is roughly
half of what it was 25 years ago. As a result, more intensified uses such as intensified mono-
247
cropping, intensified shrimp cultivation, and extensive brick fields are degrading soil fertility.
Cropping on fragile char land before it has stabilised invites rapid erosion. Flood control and
drainage structure have altered land and water use pattern and led to the decline of fish stocks
and production by more than 25 per cent in recent years.
13.13.2 To replace traditional land use systems, more careful attention will be given to the
impacts of current land uses. More can be done to maximise land productivity in order to
continue to maintain per capita level of agricultural output. Bangladesh can functionally
expand its 'land' base by more intensive cropping, better use of water and coastal resources,
rational forest management, more attention to integrated land use and development of mixed
cropping systems.
13.13.3 Resolving land use conflicts will be given special attention for sustainable
agricultural development. Formulation of appropriate land use/zoning policy to ensure
optimum use of land, prevent the use of prime agricultural land for brick making and
industrial production, protect land from degradation, reclaim unutilised or degraded land for
suitable use and improve the land resources for future generation will be taken up.
13.13.4 Priority of use of land between competing sectors is to be fixed in consideration of
different physiographic units and sub-units which have different use potentials. While
agriculture will receive a high priority in allocation of all the naturally fertile land, other
sectors of production of renewable resources like forestry, fishery and livestock should also
receive due importance. Forestry will have additional consideration in the policy due to its
importance in environmental protection. The land use policy will clearly enunciate that good
agricultural land is not allotted for or converted to non-agricultural uses like indiscriminate
urban and industrial development.
13.14 Agricultural Development and Poverty Alleviation
13.14.1 Crop agriculture and minor irrigation served as the prime generators of income and
employment in the rural Bangladesh over the past two decades. There is no doubt that the
modern HYV seed-fertiliser-irrigation technology has made a significant impact on rural
poverty alleviation. Modern agricultural technology has also helped generate employment in
the rural areas, particularly for the landless. The diffusion of agricultural technology has also
helped changing the nature and terms of the tenancy market impacting on income distribution
and poverty. Some possible technology interventions with reference to the asset status of
households in the Fifth Five Year Plan period will be the following:
a. assetless: Value adding activities utilising the biomass available within the village,
raising plant nursery, seedlings, compost making, processing fruits and vegetables,
feed preparation for poultry and livestock, mushroom production, silk worm rearing,
etc. and development of common property resources including utilisation of
wastelands, road sides, embankments and derelict ponds for fisheries;
b. marginal and small farmers: Labour intensive production activities such as dairy
and poultry raising, vegetable growing, flower production, hybrid seed production,
integrated resource management systems including recycling and value added
agricultural products;
c. medium and large farmers: Technology interventions including those which will
save farm inputs, e.g., bio-fertiliser, bio-pesticides including integrated pest
management system and inter multiple and relay-cropping systems;
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13.15.2 Following actions will be pursued for creating awareness and increasing
consumption of nutritious food during the Fifth Plan period:
a. nutritional consideration and objective will be incorporated in development projects
and programmes of agriculture as one of the themes of International Conference on
Nutrition (ICN);
b. the nutritional problems in all the agro-ecological zones (AEZ) will be identified as a
basis for developing crop production plan to improve nutrition situation in the
country;
c. short term nutrition training programmes for the personnel of the Department of
Agriculture Extension (DAE), Department of Livestock and Department of Fisheries
and informal training for social workers, religious leaders, farmers and consumers will
be organised;
d. workshops and seminars at thana level will be arranged and farmers rally and field-
days at farm level will be held;
e. incorporation of nutrition into curriculum of agricultural education and training will
be made;
f. training on nutrition and food demonstration for wider dissemination of nutrition rich
practices will be organised;
g. nutritional motivation through mass media campaign and school and mosque based
campaign in collaboration with extension workers/agencies and NGOs will be
organised;
h. food and nutrition fair to create increased nutrition awareness through demonstration
of proper cooking and food preservation methods will be undertaken;
i. all actions and programmes identified in the National Plan of Action for Nutrition
(NPAN) for the agriculture sector will be implemented through government
organisations, NGOs, and other relevant agencies; and
249
for the disadvantaged people. There will be three strategic thrusts in such programmes during
the Fifth Plan:
a. an integrated farming and resource systems approach to area development;
b. special consideration of the major disadvantaged groups in all programmes; and
c. increased co-ordination with, and contracting out to, the Grameen Bank and NGOs.
13.19 Financial Outlay During Fifth Plan
13.19.1 The public sector financial outlay for crop agriculture has been estimated at
Tk. 21,425.38 million. The programme wise financial outlay is presented in Table 13.3.
Table 13.3
Financial Outlay for Crop Agriculture During Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices)
(in million Taka)
Programme Total Percent
1 2 3
Agricultural Extension 1,650.00 7.70
Applied Nutrition 50.00 0.23
Agricultural Research 2,500.00 11.67
Crop Diversification 1,900.00 8.87
Seed Development 6,000.00 28.00
Fertiliser and Soil Improvement 550.00 2.57
Agricultural Marketing 500.00 2.33
Women in Agricultural Development 50.00 0.23
Environmental Protection 500.00 2.33
Human Resources Development 250.00 1.17
Other Essential Agricultural Sector Investment
Programmes/Projects
(a) Area Development Programmes 3,860.00 18.02
(b) Agro-business Development, Mechanisation and 2,600.00 12.14
Private Sector Development
(c) Agricultural Rehabilitation Programmes 950.00 4.43
(d) Agricultural Insurance Programmes 5.00 0.02
Agricultural Statistics and Others 60.38 0.29
Total 21,425.38 100.00
13.19.2 In addition to the public sector outlay, an amount of Tk. 65,038.91 million is
expected to be invested for the development of crop agriculture in the private sector.
B. Food Management
13.20 Past Performance
13.20.1 Vulnerability of domestic production of foodgrain necessitated the building up of an
elaborate public food distribution system (PFDS) over the years. PFDS aimed at both meeting
emergency needs as well as normal demand of the poor households in addition to meeting
institutional demand originating in hostels, hospitals, jails, etc. While the distribution of
public foodgrain continued to expand, it acquired a new emphasis through domestic
procurement on a voluntary basis as a tool for stimulating foodgrain production with price
support and open market sales (OMS) for price stabilisation at consumers level. Thus, it has
both consumption and production objectives and in respect of both, of late, it has undergone
changes with the growth of domestic output and greater availability of foodgrain in markets.
13.20.2 During the Fourth Plan period, sale of foodgrain through the statutory rationing
channel of the PFDS was almost withdrawn. As a result, there was a significant change in the
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Private sector will be encouraged to own food storage facilities at strategic places
such as food deficit/surplus areas. This will enable the traders to augment market
supply in response to rise in prices, reducing thereby both seasonal and regional
price spreads.
d. Targeted support for vulnerable groups: National level foodgrain availability
does not necessarily mean household food security. In spite of increasing foodgrain
production and falling real prices of rice, over half of the country's population
cannot afford an adequate diet. Hence, the case for public intervention remains
strong and clear. Consequently, targeting the poor for supply of food remains
squarely within the public domain. Vulnerable Group Development, Food for Work
Programme and Food for Education in wider ambits will be some of the specific
programmes of public interventions.
e. Government role: To meet any shortfall in the flow of required quantum of food,
the public sector may have to intervene for:
i. preservation and maintenance of security stock;
ii. development of a safety net programme by improvement and enlargement of
targeted food distribution;
iii. providing incentive to growers through procurement of foodgrain at
remunerative prices;
iv. stabilisation of price of foodgrain in relation to production cost and purchasing
power of the consumers; and
v. modernising and maintaining existing storage capacity by renovating old food
godowns and, if necessary, constructing new godowns in strategic areas of the
country.
f. WTO and measures for food security: Members of the World Trade Organisation
(WTO) are currently implementing various reforms agreed upon in the area of
agriculture during the Uruguay Round of multilateral trade negotiations. The central
element of these reforms which will vitally affect the foodgrain price and food
security of net food importing countries like Bangladesh is substantial progressive
reduction in agricultural protection so as to establish a fair and market-oriented
agricultural trading system. This measure, though expected to eliminate protections
and to correct distortions in world agricultural markets, is likely to push domestic
prices of agricultural products up, at least in the short and medium terms. As a
result, Bangladesh, a least developed and net food importing country, may
experience negative effects in terms of availability of adequate supplies of imported
food-stuff on reasonable terms and conditions, and short term difficulties in
financing normal level of commercial imports of basic food-stuff. To offset these
adverse effects and, thus strengthen food security, Bangladesh will have to initiate
negotiations in appropriate forums to establish a level of food aid commitment
sufficient to meet its needs and to adopt measures to ensure that an increasing
proportion of food-stuff be provided as grants for meeting needs of the target
groups. Bangladesh will also pursue the case for increased quantum of technical and
financial assistance to improve its agricultural production/productivity as well as
relevant infrastructure. Besides, Bangladesh will work out with its development
partners an arrangement under food aid for domestic procurement of foodgrain from
the surplus regions and for distribution to deficit regions.
13.21.3 Food balance: The necessity of food budgeting and management in Bangladesh
arise due to a variety of factors. The country is densely populated having a small area and
bulk of the population suffers from malnutrition. The food crops are often affected by
vagaries of nature such as drought, flood and cyclone. Thus, there is continued insecurity in
domestic food supply which remains one of the major concerns for the country. In spite of
efforts to reach food self-sufficiency, the country remains food deficit mainly because the
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population growth could not be controlled as desired and the growth of food production could
not be achieved to a level as required for feeding the additional population. However, the
situation is projected to improve during the Fifth Plan period. The projected food balance
during the terminal year of the Plan vis-a-vis the base year is shown in Table 13.4.
Table 13.4
Projected Food Balance in Fifth Plan
(in million mt)
1996/97 2001/2002
(Base Year) (Terminal Year)
Population (million) 123.80 132.50
Food Requirement * 20.50 21.94
Production of Foodgrain 20.43 25.12
Seed and Wastage (10%) 2.04 2.51
Net Production 18.39 22.61
Food Balance (-) 2.11 + 0.67
*Total foodgrain requirement has been calculated on the basis of per capita per day requirement of 453.59 grams (16.0 Oz).
13.21.4 During the terminal year (2001/2002) of the Fifth Plan, the total size of the
population is estimated to reach at 132.50 million. In order to feed them, the country will
need 21.94 million mt of foodgrain. Foodgrain production has been projected to be 25.12
million mt in 2001/2002. After deducting 10 per cent for seed and wastage from the gross
production, 22.61 million mt of foodgrain will be available for consumption. Thus, the
country is likely to attain food self-sufficiency and may have a surplus of 0.67 million mt by
the terminal year (2001/2002) of the Fifth Plan. But since this estimate is based on a
normative demand at the rate of 453.59 gm a day per capita, while effective demand will be
lower due to lack of purchasing power from income and employment, actual surplus will be
correspondingly higher. Lest this causes a slump in domestic price level and consequently,
discourages farmers to increase production, public intervention will be necessary to ensure a
remunerative price to farmers. On the other hand, shortfall in effective demand will need
income transfer to the poor households till income and employment generation can raise
purchasing power adequately.
13.21.5 Financial outlay: The programme-wise financial outlay in the public sector for the
Fifth Plan is given in Table 13.5.
Table 13.5
Financial Outlay for Food Management Facilities in Public Sector During Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices )
(in million Taka)
Programme 1997/98 1998/99 1999/ 2000 2000/ 2001 2001/ 2002 Total
(1997/98-
2001/2002)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Repair and rehabilitation of existing
silos, CSDs, LSDs etc. 195.00 214.00 214.00 220.00 225.00 1,068.00
Construction of silos/new storage
capacity at strategic places and the 140.00 140.00 140.00 150.00 186.00 756.00
related infrastructural facilities.
Establishment of food testing
laboratories throughout the country. 1.00 24.00 25.00 - - 50.00
Research/Monitoring/ Training on
food management /operation and 100.00 100.00 100.00 20.20 - 320.20
strategy/ computer network.
_Total 436.00 478.00 479.00 390.20 411.00 2,194.20
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C. Fisheries
13.22 Past Performance
13.22.1 Fisheries play a major role in nutrition, employment and foreign exchange earnings.
About 60 per cent of animal protein is supplied by fish alone and about 1.2 million people are
directly employed by this sub-sector. Another 11 million people indirectly earn their
livelihood out of activities related to fisheries. The production of fish was estimated to be
1,373 thousand mt during 1996/97 as against 847 thousand mt in 1989/90. It is estimated that
production of inland fish was 1,079 thousand mt and that of marine fish about 294 thousand
mt. The growth rate of fish production during the last seven years averaged at 6.5 per cent
which fell short of increase in demand; however, the present rate of fish production has
increased to 8 per cent per year. Over the last decade, price of fish increased at an annual rate
of 2.5 per cent.
13.22.2 There are various impediments to fisheries development, some of which are
particular to sources of fisheries. In case of capture fishery, inadequate knowledge, over-
fishing and indiscriminate killing of juveniles and destruction of spawning grounds,
obstruction of migration routes due to unplanned construction of dams and embankments
under the flood control, drainage and irrigation projects, degradation of water quality,
breakout of fish diseases, defective fish conservation laws and inadequacy of processing,
marketing and other facilities are some of the major factors affecting the desired rate of
development. The major constraints limiting fish culture relate to problems of property rights,
competing water uses and related conflicts, lack of equipment and credit, lack of trained
manpower and quality fish feed, etc. In case of marine fishery, inadequate knowledge and
information of fisheries resources, lack of proper management policy and modern fishing
know-how, use of inefficient fishing equipment and inadequacy of harbour and landing
facilities as well as credit are important impediments.
13.23 Fifth Five Year Plan
13.23.1 Objectives: The major thrust for fisheries development will be on culture and capture
fisheries, promotion of rice-fish farming system in the vast flood plains and conservation and
management along with institutional and manpower development for equitable distribution of
benefits from common property water resources through research on social engineering. The
major objectives of fisheries sub-sector development during the Fifth Plan are to:
a. generate additional employment opportunities in fisheries and ancillary industries to
help poverty alleviation;
b. increase fish production and improve nutritional level;
c. improve the socio-economic conditions of the fishermen, fish farmers and others
engaged in the fishery sub-sector;
d. increase export earnings from shrimp, fish and fish products;
e. improve environmental conditions;
f. improve the biological and institutional management mechanisms for judicious use of
fisheries resources; and
g. strengthen research, extension, management and co-ordination in order to transfer
technology and encourage production activities in the private sector and to ensure
sustainable development of fisheries resources, particularly utilising water resources
of the vast flood plains.
13.23.2 Policies/Strategies: Keeping in view the objectives stated above, the
policies/strategies to be taken up for the development of fisheries are as follows:
255
a. semi-intensive poly-culture of fish will be ensured in all ponds, dighis and other
closed and semi-closed water bodies;
b. stocking of fish fry in flood plains and semi-closed water and flood control, drainage
and irrigation (FCDI) project areas will be continued to halt the declining trend of
open water capture fisheries;
c. sanctuaries will be established to conserve fish spawning grounds at different areas of
the country; measures will be taken to stop indiscriminate fishing of gravid female
and undersized fish; spawning grounds of the main fish species like Rui, Katla, Hilsa,
Pangas, Golda Chingri, etc. will be identified to establish fish sanctuaries;
d. adequate credit facilities for the fish farmers will be created and credit guarantee
scheme will be introduced for marginal farmers; import of machinery and equipment
for private sector hatchery, feeds and feed ingredients will be further liberalised and
duties and taxes thereon will be reduced;
e. training facilities for development of suitable manpower and entrepreneur groups will
be extended both in the public and private sectors and multi-sectoral development
approach will be followed;
f. bio-technological elements will be applied in conservation of fisheries resources in all
large water bodies, viz., baors , haors, beels, rivers, canals, and lakes;
g. fisheries management policy will be implemented to improve the socio-economic
conditions of fishermen;
h. all precautionary and mitigatory measures will be taken so that fishing grounds may
not be affected during the development works of other sectors like flood control,
drainage and irrigation projects, agriculture, industries and urban development
programmes;
i. physical facilities like electricity, roads, transports, fresh water, etc., will be created
and made available to develop brackish water fish and shrimp resources;
j. traditional methods of shrimp culture will be improved by introducing modern
technology for increased production; shrimp culture extension service will be
strengthened to take necessary steps for the establishment of shrimp hatchery at
private level;
k. marine fisheries resources survey will be strengthened to ascertain the exact stock of
resources in the interest of fish harvest at maximum sustainable yields;
l. programmes will be undertaken to improve the socio-economic conditions of the
coastal fishermen communities;
m. quality of fish and shrimps will be ensured for the export of fish and shrimps through
creation of facilities and modern quality certification system; and
n. khas ponds, dighis, canals, road-side ditches, etc., will be excavated/re-excavated/
developed for fish culture through participation of the rural unemployed youth,
marginal farmers and distressed women;
13.24 Major Programme Areas
13.24.1 Open water capture fisheries: A 2.8 million ha fish habitats in the flood plains
remain as unutilised resources of fish production. In order to increase production in open
water fisheries, programmes will be undertaken to (i) conserve resources through rigorous
implementation of the laws on fish protection and motivation of fishermen, (ii) establish fish
sanctuaries, (iii) increase production by massive stocking of fast growing carp fingerlings in
the natural depressions and flood plains, and (iv) develop fish culture in paddy fields through
protective measures against adverse effects of flood control, drainage and irrigation projects,
roads and high ways projects and township and housing projects. Observing the declining
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trend of the stock of open water fisheries in the recent past, efforts were made to augment the
stock through release of fish fries in the flood plains. But these programmes did not yield
good results. Appropriate procedural and management systems will be evolved to ensure
accountability and transparency in the execution of programmes for open water fisheries in
the Plan period.
13.24.2 Closed water culture fisheries: There are over 1.3 million ponds covering an
estimated area of 147,000 ha, some 6,000 ha of ox-bow lakes and over 130,000 ha of shrimps
farms. Currently, the average production in fresh water ponds is 1.4 mt./ha. and that of
brackish water shrimp farms only 160 kg/ha. Programmes will be undertaken to bring all of
1.3 million ponds under extension programmes of DOF, BFDC, FRI and NGOs during the
Plan period to raise the present total production of 331,900 mt to at least 450,000 mt of fish.
13.24.3 Brackish water aquaculture: An estimated 0.143 million ha of coastal land is
under brackish water shrimp farming. The method is largely traditional where an average
production of 160 kg/ha is currently obtained. Recently, farmers, especially in Bagerhat and
Perojpur areas, have started shrimp farming in their paddy fields. Farming area is rapidly
expanding. Development of brackish water fisheries will be contingent upon the provision of
infrastructures, supply of seed, feed and other inputs, security, technical advice, disease
control and training of the farmers on improved scientific farming system. With more support
from DOF, BFDC, FRI and other extension agencies, it will be possible to raise production in
shrimp farms to a level of 400 kg/ha which will yield an additional production of at least
60,000 mt by the terminal year of the Plan. Semi-intensive farming is currently practised in
5,000 ha area by a number of entrepreneurs where production of 3-5 mt/ha has been achieved.
The DOF is currently identifying suitable areas for semi-intensive farming and suitable sites
for establishment of shrimp hatcheries. Private entrepreneurs will be encouraged to invest in
hatchery operation. The government will support development of suitable land with road,
electricity and other infrastructures. Private sector joint venture investment including foreign
investments in hatchery operation, feed production and other related activities will be
encouraged .
13.25 Marine Fisheries
13.25.1 With the extension of exclusive economic zone (EEZ) upto 200 nautical miles
beyond our shore lines in 1974, Bangladesh resumed the responsibility for exploitation and
management of living and non-living resources within its 1,64,000 sq. km. sea area. Since
unlike the mineral resources, fish is a renewable living resource, only judicious exploitation
and scientific management and development can ensure maximum benefit out of it. Over the
last two decades, the share of marine fisheries in the total national landing rose from 10.6% in
1970 to about 22% in 1996. If appropriate technology can be adopted, this can be increased
manifold.
13.25.2 The increasing pressure on the coastal resources in Bangladesh has caused decline of
many marine fishes and shell fishes in the Bay of Bengal. The artisanal fishing which
contributes about 95% of the total marine landing is largely composed of post larvae and
juveniles which are seriously damaging the stock due to use of crude traditional technology.
The number of artisanal fishing gears including estuarine set bag nets, beach seine nets and
shrimp seed push nets are increasing alarmingly causing serious over exploitation of stocks.
So, the following measures/programmes will be undertaken to improve the marine fisheries
resources during the Fifth Plan period:
a. assessment of pelagic, demersal and other marine resources and their development;
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proposed to commission a comprehensive study to analyse the sources and causes of fish and
shrimp diseases and find out remedial measures.
13.27 Production and Export Projection During Fifth Five Year Plan
13.27.1 The current level of per capita daily fish consumption is about 25.6 gm. In order to
raise the level of consumption to about 34.43 gm per capita per day at the end of the Plan
period, the required production of fish will be 1.67 million mt. This is based on estimated
projection of 132.5 million population by the terminal year of the Plan. In addition, it is
assumed that during 2001/2002, the export of shrimp and fish and fish products will be
95,000 mt and another 15,000 mt of fish will be required for industrial and other uses. In view
of this demand, the fish production target at the terminal year of the Fifth Plan has been set at
2.075 million mt. Table 13.6 gives the details of projection of fish production in the terminal
year of the Fifth Plan.
Table 13.6
Projection of Fish Production During Fifth Plan
(in '000' metric Tons)
Source of production 1996/97 2001/2002
(Benchmark) (Projection)
1 2 3
1. Inland Fisheries 1,079.00 1,675.00
Ponds 331.90 450.00
Baors 3.50 27.00
Coastal aquaculture 85.00 100.00
Rivers and estuaries 165.00 180.00
Beels and haors 70.00 95.00
Kaptai lake 7.60 9.00
Flood plain 395.00 751.00
Irrigation canals, road side ditches, 21.00 63.00
fresh water polders and enclosures, etc.
2. Marine Fisheries 294.00 400.00
Total (1+2) : 1,373.00 2,075.00
13.27.2 Export earnings from shrimp, fish and fish products and other aquatic organisms
during 2001/2002 are expected to be Tk.38,045.00 million as against estimated earnings of
Tk.16,000.00 million in 1996/97. The export projection for the Fifth Plan is shown in Table
13.7.
Table 13.7
Export Projection of Fish and Fish Products in Fifth Plan Period
(Qty in ‘000’ m tons, Value in million Taka.)
Items 1996/97 2001/2002
(Benchmark) (Projection)
1 2 3 4 5
Qty. Value Qty. Value
Shrimp 28.00 13,150.00 70.00 32,900.00
Fish and fish products 9.80 2,250.00 20.00 4,600.00
Others 5.50 600.00 5.00 545.00
Total : 43.30 16,000.00 95.00 38,045.00
Table 13.8
Financial Outlay for Fisheries Development in Public Sector
During Fifth Plan (at 1996/97 prices)
(in million Taka)
Programme Financial
Outlay
Survey, investigation, feasibility study, research, etc. 400.00
Fisheries education, training, extension and community development 890.00
Culture and capture fisheries development (including inputs and waterbodies development) 4,360.00
Fish landing, storage, processing, marketing, transportation, distribution, etc. 211.80
Total : 5,861.80
13.27.4 Private sector: Appropriate programmes and projects will be promoted for
implementation in the private sector with support services from the public sector in such areas
as fish hatchery, feed mill, culture of fish and other aquatic organisms, fish processing, fish
preservation, fish production, domestic sale and export. An amount of Tk.21,847.00 million
is expected to be invested by the private entrepreneurs--local and foreign, for implementation
of these programmes/projects. Expectedly, investment by the private entrepreneurs will be
much more than what is envisaged for the public sector.
D. Livestock
13.28 Past Performance
13.28.1 Livestock sector has the makings of a highly viable sector for generation of
employment and income for the landless, unemployed youths and destitute women. Little
attention was given to livestock sub-sector until the recent past. In spite of that, about 50,000
private poultry farms, 26,000 duck farms and 26,000 dairy farms have been set up in the
country in the private sector. Consequently, there has been a 60 per cent fall in the import of
milk powder. Implementation of various development programmes as well as changes in
fiscal and commercial policies resulted in the establishment of 26 thousand dairy farms in the
private sector. The production of milk, meat and eggs between 1991 and 1995 as against their
requirements are shown in Table 13.9.
Table 13.9
Requirement and Production of Livestock Products During Fourth Plan
Year Population Milk Meat Egg
(million number) (million mt) (million mt) (million number)
Requirement Production Requirement Production Requirement Production
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1991 108 9.86 1.34 4.26 0.45 8,985.60 2,046.60
(13.59%) (10.56%) (22.78%)
1995 121 11.04 1.41 4.77 0.51 10,067.20 2,539.00
(12.77%) (10.69%) (25.22%)
13.28.2 The production of milk and meat increased by an annual compound growth rate of
1.3 per cent and 3.2 per cent respectively. The growth rate of egg production was, however,
satisfactory which was 6.5 per cent between 1990/91 and 1994/95. There are ample potentials
for increasing production of milk, meat and eggs in the country. The main problems of this
sector are inadequate supply of vaccine, medicine, equipment, feed, health care facilities,
quality breed, parent stock, credit facilities and other inputs.
260
m. training of the target groups like the landless, destitute women, unemployed youth and
poor farmers in livestock management, inputs production, product processing and
marketing for poverty alleviation and income generation.
n. pricing of vaccines for cost recovery and commercialisation of Veterinary Vaccine
Productions Laboratory under the Department of Livestock Services.
13.30 Major Programmes
13.30.1 Feed and fodder development: Feed mill will be established in the private sector at
important places of the country. The government will provide support services in the form of
credit and technologies. Fodder production will be encouraged through crop diversification,
inter-cropping and plantation of fodder trees with timber trees.
13.30.2 Animal health and disease control: The programme consists of diagnosis,
prevention and treatment, vaccine and medicine production and distribution. Qualitative and
quantitative improvement will be made in disease control. Facilities will be expanded and
number of veterinary surgeons will be increased by 350 during the Plan period. About 10,000
youths will be trained as veterinary health workers.
13.30.3 Animal breeding and breeder multiplication: Programmes will be directed
towards multiplication of breeding of cattle, buffalo, goat, sheep, fowl and duck. Increase in
milk, meat and egg production will be achieved mainly through quality improvement of local
cattle by cross-breeding with deep frozen semen through artificial insemination and
improvement of poultry through introduction of high breed commercial birds for eggs and
meat production. The poultry population is expected to increase significantly during the Plan
period.
13.30.4 Extension training and education: In order to increase livestock productivity,
improved production technologies will be spread all over the country. Training of farmers,
farm owners and NGOs for all kinds of related activities of this sector will be given through
extension services and formal and informal education. Number of veterinary colleges and
veterinary training institutes will be increased from 2 and 3 to 6 and 21 respectively which
will be located in 6 divisions and 21 former larger districts.
13.30.5 Input production: Input production like production of vaccine, semen, day old
chick, duckling and eggs through different projects included in the Plan will increase
significantly. Vaccine production will increase from 350 million doses in 1996/97 to 400
million doses in 2001/2002, semen production from 1.8 million doses to 4.5 million doses,
day-old chick production from 4 million to 6 million, duckling production from 0.5 million to
1.0 million and egg production from 2,815 million to 4,730 million during the Plan period.
Limited input production still in the public sector will be gradually transferred to the private
sector. Meanwhile, existing input supply programmes in the public sector will be run on full-
cost recovery basis.
13.30.6 Employment creation and poverty alleviation: Programmes undertaken during the
Fifth Plan will create positive impact on self and wage employment in livestock farming,
chick and goat rearing, feed selling, and other income generating activities under different
package programmes of the Department of Livestock. Credit programmes of various NGOs
are supporting women’s involvement in livestock production around homesteads using
surplus labour and agricultural by-products. The government encourages these programmes.
The total number of man days involved in the livestock development activities is likely to
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increase from 12.50 million in 1996/97 to 16.00 million in 2001/2002. The beneficiaries like
poultry workers will increase from 22,600 to 45,000, chick rearers from 8,000 to 12,000, key
rearers from 5,00,000 to 14,00,000, feed sellers from 1,000 to 3,000, egg collectors from
2,600 to 6,500 and mini hatcheries from 200 to 1,000.
13.30.7 Projection of livestock products for Fifth Plan: The production of milk, meat and
eggs will show a significant increase during the Fifth Plan period. Details may be seen in
Table 13.10.
Table 13.10
Projection of Milk Meat and Egg Production During Fifth Plan
13.30.8 Marketing: Marketing of livestock products and by- products in our country is not
properly organised. Livestock market places are under-developed and unhygienic. As
marketing network of livestock products and by- products is not properly maintained, the
producers are being deprived of their benefits. During the Fifth Plan, programmes will be
taken up for improving marketing channel to ensure quality and equitable distribution of
benefits at different stages of production process.
13.30.9 Research: Adaptive research on breeding, feeding, disease control, etc., will be
undertaken by BLRI and appropriate technologies will be transferred to the users. Research
result on fodder production, processing and preservation and vaccine production already
tested and certified will be released shortly, while on going programmes in these areas will
receive priority. Particular emphasis will be given to different aspects of poultry. Locally
suitable poultry and cattle breed will be developed. Attempt for poultry parent and grand
parent stock development will be made. Technology transfer through collaboration with
international and advanced research institutions abroad will be promoted.
13.30.10 Role of NGOs: NGOs will perform major role in group formation, training,
extension services, credit disbursement, supervision and recovery and conducting socio-
economic studies related to development projects. Government-NGO co-operation will be
more extensive for development of this sector.
13.30.11 Private sector: In the Fifth Plan period, one of the major and most important
thrust of the public sector programme will be to support the private sector for the
development of livestock and poultry. Towards this end, adequate technical, material and
financial support, training on breeding, feed production, marketing, credit management,
adoption of new technologies, disease control, etc., will be given to the private entrepreneurs.
Some 23 technology packages have been developed and are being implemented on
experimental basis since 1996/97. About 10,000 entrepreneurs will be trained up in different
trades in the next five years. Major trainees will be poultry farmers, egg collectors, chick
producers, chick rearers, feed producers, feed sellers, dairy farmers, goat rearers, etc.
Integrated approach of developing livestock and fisheries will be encouraged. Fiscal supports
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for importing quality breeds, feeds, feed-ingredients, equipment and medicine will be
continued and further expanded, if necessary. Some productive units of the public sector will
be transferred to the private sector to increase efficiency and for reduction of government
subsidy for this sector.
13.30.12 Financial outlay during Fifth Plan: In order to implement the livestock
development programmes during the Fifth Five Year Plan, an estimated amount of
Tk.5,435.60 million will be spent in the public sector. Year wise break up is given in
Table 13.11.
Table 13.11
Public Sector Financial Outlay for Livestock Development During Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices)
(in million Taka)
Year Financial Outlay
1996/97 690.00
1997/98 1,000.00
1998/99 1,000.00
1999/2000 1,012.00
2000/2001 1,164.00
2001/2002 1,259.60
Total (1997-2002) 5,435.60
target of 46,947.50 ha showing 93 per cent achievement. The plan target of 16,158 km. of
strip plantation was achieved by almost 100 per cent. Rubber plantation covered 1,261.78 ha
of land and 7.83 million kg. of rubber was produced. Moreover, the coastal afforestation
programme, bamboo, cane and murta plantation and industrial and strip plantation showed
good performance.
(SRF) is the largest single natural mangrove forest in the globe. However, SRF is
presently engulfed with severe ecological problems. The most important species of
this forest, Sundari is affected with top dying. Other aquatic, floral and faunal
diversity are fast disappearing or on the verge of extinction. Following the integrated
development approach for the forest sub-sector, an Integrated Resource Management
Plan has been prepared. Another programme for bio-diversity conservation in SRF is
in the pipeline. Extraction of top-dying Sundari trees and enrichment plantation is also
a priority issue of the forestry sub-sector. During the Plan period, 2.5 million cft. of
Sundari will be extracted and enrichment planting of 2000 ha will be carried out in the
Sundarbans. The sal forests of the country has been degraded and deforested for many
years. The programme to rehabilitate the sal forests will gradually be taken up as
before. A total of 32,000 ha of agro-forestry and woodlot plantations will be raised
under different projects in the sal forest regions.
d. To prevent the extent of damage by cyclones and tidal surges, a programme will be
undertaken under which 24,500 km. of strip forests will be raised during the Plan
period.
e. The reedlands of Sylhet has long been lying unutilised. In addition to the existing
reedland development project under implementation in these areas, some more
programmes will be taken up in future. Under the Fifth Plan, 7,000 ha of reedlands
and 1,000 ha of wetlands will be planted by local government bodies with people’s
participation at grassroots level. In addition to this, 7,000 ha of char land will also be
planted under the Forestry Sector Project.
13.33.2 Farmland forestry: Potentials for increasing productivity of the farmlands which
are degraded due to drought condition and in the gully areas especially in the north west,
exist. A project will be undertaken to afforest the farm lands/farm land ridges. Agro-forestry
will be made popular gradually. About 8,000 ha of farm land plantations will be raised during
the Plan period.
13.33.3 Social forestry: Social forestry has now become a social movement in Bangladesh.
The programme includes expansion and strengthening of 335 thana nurseries, establishment
of 2,000 union level nurseries, expansion and strengthening of 80 forest extension and
nursery training centres, distribution of 40 million seedlings and raising of 19,000 km. of strip
plantations. The local government bodies will co-ordinate the afforestation programmes at the
grassroot level under this programme. During the Fifth Plan, NGOs will be more directly
involved in afforestation programmes. They will be motivating people through informal
training and other extension sources and will help the Forest Department to implement its
programmes. In some cases, they will be co-sharers of benefits of the plantation projects.
13.33.4 Rubber plantation: Three hill districts and parts of greater Mymensingh, Sylhet and
Tangail are specially suitable for rubber cultivation. Rubber plantation in Bangladesh was
started on a pilot scale in 1961 by BFIDC. So far an area of 31,118 ha (1995) has been
planted which yields 7.83 million kg raw rubber in the public sector. A total of 16,527 ha has,
of late, come under rubber plantation in the private sector with a production of 0.25 million
kg. Taken together, these account for about 35 per cent of the country's requirement for raw
rubber. The yield rate, however, is not satisfactory. This is mainly because of poor seed and
management, inadequate technical knowledge, lack of infrastructural facilities like access to
roads and electricity, support services and credit. These problems will be addressed properly
266
in the Plan period. Inter-cropping with fruits and vegetables will be attempted. Joint
participation of local and foreign investors will be explored.
13.33.5 Wood energy development : Wood energy contributes 13 per cent of the total fuel
consumption of the country. Wood fuel is the most important form of energy for domestic use
in rural areas. In Bangladesh, domestic cooking consumes 65 per cent of fuel wood and the
rest 35 per cent is consumed by the industrial and commercial sectors. There is a wide gap
between supply and demand of fuel wood in the country. To meet high demand relative to
supply, recently through social forestry, short/medium rotation fast growing tree species have
been planted along the roads and embankments, and on marginal and fallow lands with active
participation of local people. BCSIR has developed efficient wood burning oven. Further
research programmes on development of wood fuel, efficient use of wood, etc., will be
undertaken in the Plan period to reduce strain on wood supply. Technical assistance may be
required for this purpose.
13.33.7 Forestry survey and research: Emphasis will be given to homestead private forests
in terms of genetic research (tissue culture) to improve productivity. Supply of inputs will be
made cheaper and easier. Emphasis will be given for maximum utilisation and multiple use of
land. Research on non-wood forest products, especially for rural use, will be conducted. The
forest soil survey will be completed so that site-species matching can be ensured. In addition,
detailed inventory of forest resources will be carried out to prepare specific forest
management prescriptions. Moreover, detailed survey of about 400,000 ha forest lands will be
conducted and forest areas will be demarcated to avoid unlawful encroachments.
13.33.8 Forest institutions, policies/legislation: The responsibility of development of
forestry in the country rests largely with the Forest Department (FD). But the FD has long
been constrained by shortage of skilled manpower, logistics and legal backing. Development
of forestry to a large extends will be contingent on the institutional development/reforms of
FD and other allied institutions. Future actions during the Fifth Plan will be in accordance
with the new Forest Policy and the Master Plan. New laws pertaining to the conservation of
forests and wildlife will be introduced. FD will be reorganised and participation of local
people will be emphasised. The role of BFIDC as a public sector corporation will be
reviewed, especially considering the declining scope of mechanical extraction from
Chittagong Hill Tracts and opening up of rubber plantations to the private sector.
13.33.9 Extension and training: Recently, high emphasis is being given to participatory
approach for development. Involving local people in implementing and maintaining
development programmes is the cardinal principle of such approach. Thus, during the Fifth
Plan, people-oriented programmes will receive special attention. There is a need for vigorous
forestry extension activities and training to implement these programmes. The Fifth Plan
projects to train about 100,000 persons, especially in social forestry at the grassroots level.
Besides, as mentioned earlier, to develop the skills of manpower in the forestry sector, a total
of 1,550 persons will be trained in professional, sub-professional and bottom level of the
Forest Department and allied agencies.
267
13.33.10 Conservation: Presently, about 1.5 per cent of the total land area falls under
protected land area category which is about 10 per cent of the total forest land. The protected
area will be increased to 15 per cent during the Plan period. Effective management plan for
all the protected areas will be prepared with the introduction of zoning system. People’s
participation will be effectively utilised in conserving resources in the respective zones.
Along with this, eco-tourism will be introduced in a selective way based on the carrying
capacity of the eco-system. Use of alternatives to forest products like steel/plastic furniture
and aluminium structures will be encouraged. This will ease the pressure on forest products.
Ban on the use of fuelwood in brick fields will continue and be made more effective and
other modes of efficient use of energy will be promoted, e.g., improved cooking stove.
Moreover, programmes will be developed and implemented to protect the
threatened/endangered species of flora and fauna and the fragile eco-system. Wildlife farming
of deer and reptile like crocodiles, iguana, snakes and frogs, etc., will be encouraged and
promoted on a commercial basis through private initiatives.
13.33.11 Financial outlay: An amount of Tk.6,982.10 million has been provided for
development of forestry in the public sector during the Fifth Plan. Details are given in
Table 13.12.
Table 13.12
Physical Programme and Financial Outlay for Development of Forestry in Public Sector
During Fifth Plan
(in million Taka)
Item Physical Activities Financial Outlay
FORESTRY SUB-SECTOR
1. Plantation and Maintenance (hectare) 209,938 2,729.20
a. Hill forests (RF, PF, USF) (ha.) 105,000 1,365.00
b. Coastal afforestation and enrichment 20,000 260.00
plantation in the SRF (ha.)
c. Reed land, wetland and charland plantation (ha.) 15,000 195.00
d. Agroforestry, woodlot and farmland afforestation (ha) 40,000 520.00
e. Strip plantation (24500 km) equivalent to (ha.) 19,000 247.00
f. Bamboo, cane and medicinal plants (ha.) 8,000 104.00
g. Vacant land in tea garden, around pond banks and in 2,938 38.20
Barind tract gullys (ha.)
2. Seed orchard establishment (Seed orchard division) 4 129.74
3. Seedlings distribution (million number) 56.6 468.00
4. Jhumia Rehabilitation (family no.) 3,000 233.00
5. Development of Wildlife Conservation, Environment, - 996.66
Education, Recreation etc.
6. Physical Infrastructure - 650.00
7. Vehicles/Equipment - 191.00
8. Survey, Demarcation, Inventory and Work Plan Preparation - 203.00
9. Manpower 3,000 708.20
10. Extension and Training - 203.20
11. Research - 270.00
12. Miscellaneous - 200.10
TOTAL 6,982.10
268
and other necessary facilities of local government at old districts of the country during
this Five Year Plan period;
b. Skilled manpower is essential for better environmental management and co-
ordination. In this regard, DOE will undertake training programmes on different
subjects concerning environment;
c. Survey, research and development activities in different fields and subjects will be
taken up to combat environmental degradation and other environmental problems. A
research and training centre will be set up during this Plan period;
d. Facility of data-base and documentation of different environmental subjects and fields
will be created to help decision makers, other professional groups, institutions and
government departments and ministries to formulate an appropriate plan of action to
protect environment. United Nations Environmental Programme (UNEP) is going to
establish electronic information network in DOE shortly;
e. Public awareness is a key to achieve success in any national programme. With the
help of electronic and other media, it has now become very easy to reach all the
people within a short time. DOE is trying to use all kinds of modern media in order to
disseminate information on environmental issues and encourage entrepreneurs to
come up with more investment;
f. DOE will formulate projects and undertake activities to the end of environment
protection of Bangladesh, Agenda-21 and NEMAP and take initiative to implement
international protocols and agreements on environment;
g. "Environmental Court" may be established to resolve all cases of violation against
any clause under the Environment Protection Act, '95 and other rules, regulations and
policies meant for preserving and protecting the environment;
h. Establishing treatment plants for industries (e.g., cement, fertiliser, paper, textiles,
handloom, leather, etc.) and making their use mandatory;
i. Introducing self-monitoring system in Export Processing Zones and other industrial
areas; and
j. Strengthening drinking water quality surveillance.
13.37.3 Physical programme and financial outlay of the public sector for development of
environment during the Fifth Plan are shown in Table 13.13.
Table 13.13
Physical Programme and Financial Outlay for Development of Environment
in Public Sector During Fifth Plan
(in million Taka)
Programme Physical Activities Financial Outlay
Strengthening of DOE at regional and sub- 18 offices 120.00
regional levels.
Phasing-out of ozone depleting substances - 20.00
Biodiversity management 11 Centres 110.00
Environmental quality control, monitoring and 19 Air Monitoring 120.00
management. Stations and 6
Treatment Plants.
Public awareness on environmental standards - 10.00
Alternative energy development. - 10.00
Agenda-21: Implementation follow up. - 10.00
Total 400.00
271
Water Resources
13.38 Introduction
13.38.1 The twin problems of shortage of water during the dry season and its abundance in
the rainy season are critical to the development and management of water resources in
Bangladesh. During the winter months, optimum use of available water resources will have to
be made taking into consideration the multifarious demand for use of water for domestic
need, irrigation, navigation, fisheries, livestock, forestry, environment, etc. On the other
hand, in the wet months, the main tasks, in addition to provision of supplementary irrigation,
are controlling, regulating and managing of floods to protect human lives, properties, crops,
etc. It is estimated that 7.56 million ha could be developed for irrigation as against the current
irrigated area of 4.00 million ha while 5.76 million ha will require flood control and drainage
(FCD) facilities as against 4.2 million ha covered in 1996/97. Bangladesh, being in the lower
riparian areas of three major rivers of the world, the Ganges, the Brahmaputra and the
Meghna, could not since long undertake any meaningful water resources development
programme to harness the water flows of these rivers for the benefit of its people. Now,
following the treaty for sharing the Ganges water with India, vista of opportunities have been
opened up for regional, sub-regional, basin and sub-basin wise development and management
of water resources for the benefit of all peoples of the region. It is in this backdrop that the
Ganges Barrage is being taken up for implementation during the Fifth Plan period.
of every 10 years. The record was in 1988 when almost 60 per cent of the country was
inundated.
ii. Certain parts of Bangladesh are also subjected to drought during the monsoon season
which adversely affects the cultivation of kharif crops. The upstream withdrawal of
water from some rivers by the upper riparian during the dry season has aggravated the
situation, giving rise to need for supplementary irrigation and combating salinity and
other ecological problems.
b. Siltation: The combined annual average sediment load entering Bangladesh and conveyed
to the Bay of Bengal via the main rivers is estimated to be about 0.77 billion mt, varying over
a range of 0.45-1.84 billion mt during the period 1956-88. A part of this sediment load is
deposited on the floodplains during the flood season, gradually changing its topography and
drainage conditions. Bangladesh has an estimated total of 25,000 km of drainage channels
and their water conveyance capacity and navigability have been seriously threatened by
continuous morphological change of river beds. The problem has not been properly attended
to in the past on the ground that dredging is expensive. However, such generalised assertions
must be tested against specific cases where very selective dredging and desiltation
programme, combined with developing raised platform could provide cost-effective solution
of the problem and also assist in poverty alleviation and environmental upgradation.
c. River bank erosion
i. The floodplains and coastal delta are in a constant state of slow morphological change.
The large seasonal variation in river flow results in a varying sediment transportation
capacity and causes river-bank erosion, migration of river-banks and meandering river
channels. Recent satellite image studies of the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna rivers
show that 106,300 ha were lost to erosion, while only 19,300 ha were accreted over the
period 1982-92. The net area of 87,000 ha lost to erosion is equivalent to an annual
erosion rate of 8,700 ha. Most of it is agricultural land.
ii. River bank erosion has significant economic and social impacts. The loss of land, crops
and property has led to landlessness and impoverishment of thousands of households.
A study showed that out of the total population of 1.88 million living in the
Brahmaputra floodplains, 450,000 live within the banklines or reverine chars and the
remainder within a kilometre of the river. Over the period 1980-92, land capable of
supporting 405,000 people was eroded and new char land created from the eroded
sediment could only support 55,000 people causing a net displacement of 350,000
people.
iii. Since river training and river bank protection work involve huge sum of money, major
investment in these areas was not encouraged in the past by our development partners.
But lately, there has been a growing concern and reassessment of the economic and
socio-political benefits of protecting important towns, infrastructure, hats and bazars as
well as agricultural land.
d. Cyclonic storm surges: Natural calamities are recurring phenomena in Bangladesh, the
most severe ones occurring in the form of cyclonic storms which mainly affect the coastal
districts. The country has over 700 kms of coastline on the mainland and several offshore
islands in the Bay of Bengal. Vulnerable areas include the important port towns of
Chittagong and Khulna and heavily populated islands of Sandwip, Kutubdia and Hatiya.
During the last 125 years, over 42 cyclones hit the coastal belt; 14 occurred during the last
25 years. Cyclones often take a heavy toll of human life, livestock, crops, properties, and
physical infrastructure. Such cyclones also tax the country's institutional and financial
273
capabilities, since resources have to be diverted to provide immediate relief to the affected
population and to restore damaged or destroyed physical facilities.
e. Salinity intrusion: Since the Farakka Barrage in West Bengal went into operation, the net
availability of surface water to Bangladesh via the Ganges during the dry season was
reduced below critical level. The impact of this reduction is demonstrated by a marked
increase in salinity in southwestern Bangladesh. The southern part of this affected region
is subject to tidal action from the Bay of Bengal and saline intrusion from the tides is
normally pushed back by upland flows of fresh water from the Ganges through its
tributaries in which the Gorai plays a vital role. Due to flow reduction since 1975, tidal
limits and the salinity front have moved northward. Around Khulna, some 146 km.
upstream from the Bay, the salinity (in terms of electric conductivity) has increased from
380 micro-mhos/cm in the pre-diversion period to 29,000 micro-mhos/cm. This is a major
problem in over 25,900 sq. km of the Ganges dependent area and is causing both short
and long-term problems in crop production, fishery, forestry, power generation, industrial
development, health care and domestic water supply. Following the ganges water sharing
treaty with India signed on December 12, 1996, the situation seems to be improving; the
desired improvement will not take place till the proposed Ganges barrage is constructed
and water flowing down the Gorai and other relevant distributaries is augmented.
13.40 Water Resources Potential
13.40.1 The net cultivable area of the country is estimated at 9.03 million ha of which 7.56
million ha is suitable for irrigation. The primary mode for increasing agricultural production
for the last two decades has been an expansion of irrigation coverage during the rabi season.
Irrigated land in Bangladesh comprises approximately 3.99 million ha. Of this, large
irrigation systems currently service about 0.40 million ha; shallow tubewells, about 2.23
million ha; low-lift pumps, 0.58 million ha; deep tubewells, 0.52 million ha and traditional
and other methods, about 0.26 million ha.
13.40.2 Investment in barrages, reservoirs, pumps and canals is likely to provide adequate
access to fresh water supply in the future. The Ganges water sharing treaty has removed some
degree of uncertainty in the quantum of surface water available to south west Bangladesh
during the dry season. However, with increasing use of water by a growing population and
increasing industrial and agricultural uses, there may be a need for surface water storage and
additional ground water augmentation. In this context, reaching agreement with the upper
riparian in respect of sharing of water of other common rivers is of vital importance. Both for
intermediate and long term planning accurate assessment of surface and ground water
availability throughout the year will be necessary as only then conjunctive use could follow.
13.40.3 Proper drainage planning is also necessary for removing excess water during the wet
season. Development in drainage infrastructure, both on public and private accounts, will
have to be carefully thought out and the enabling environment created for public
participation.
13.40.4 Managing the supply of water has been addressed in piecemeal fashion in the past.
Flood management has been a top priority for decades, but an environment-friendly
mechanism for doing so is yet to be designed for protecting the interest of navigation and
fisheries. However, once the total resource picture is clear, the upcoming water management
plan will address the issue properly.
274
drainage improvement to the required direction. Necessary policy measures have been taken
to reduce the capacity gap between big and small farmers through formation of water users
groups and by providing technical support services and credit to small farmers.
13.42.2 At the end of Fourth Plan period (June '95), surface water irrigation covered an area
of 1.14 million ha. On the other hand, cumulative achievement of ground water irrigation at
the end of June '95 was 2.17 million ha as against the target of 3.02 million ha.
13.42.3 During the past plans, BWDB constructed about 8,515 km of embankment, 4,774 km
irrigation canal and 3,462 km of drainage channel to protect valuable crops, lives and
properties. It was estimated that an area of about 4,084 million ha was brought under flood
control and drainage facilities at the terminal year of the Plan period.
13.43 Fifth Five Year Plan
13.43.1 Objectives: The objectives of the Plan in the water sector stretching over the period
from 1997 to 2002 will be to:
a. alleviate poverty and generate employment opportunities;
b. ensure ecological balance;
c. promote water conservation for irrigation and other uses;
d. enhance conveyance capacity of water courses through desiltation;
e. protect towns, commercial centres, agricultural lands, etc., from erosion of inland and
border rivers;
f. promote culture fisheries in the completed projects;
g. promote optimum use of available flows of the common rivers in domestic,
agricultural, fisheries, navigation and industrial sectors;
h. fulfil the need of irrigation for achieving foodgrain self-sufficiency by ensuring year-
round sustainable irrigation through conjunctive use of surface and ground-water thus
avoiding over-extraction of sub-surface water;
i. control floods to protect crops, lives and properties and promote both HYV rice and
fish cultivation through controlled flooding;
j. prevent saline water intrusion;
k. ensure people's active participation in planning, implementation and maintenance of
water sector projects; and,
l. carry out studies on future water resources development projects.
13.43.3 Strategies: In order to achieve the Plan objectives, the following short and long
term strategies will be adopted:
a. short term strategy will lay stress on maximum utilisation of existing facilities
through command area development, effective operation and maintenance and
rehabilitation of existing projects, quick completion of carry-over projects and
balanced use of surface and ground water and desiltation of rivers and channels. In
case of new projects, an integrated basin/sub-basin planning approach will be
followed. Avoidance of conflicts between in -stream and off-stream users of water,
delineation of coastal areas for shrimp culture on a scientific basis and zoning of areas
for shrimp cultivation and paddy cultivation, development of data base and
encouraging local participation in project planning, implementation and operation and
maintenance, protection of towns, commercial centres and agricultural lands from
erosion of inland and border rivers including repair and maintenance of existing river
bank protection works will be pursued;
276
b. the long term strategy envisages major interventions. Ultimate solution to water
resource problems lies in the development and utilisation of the major river waters.
Investigations, surveys and studies must, therefore, start for a balanced long term
development utilising major river waters through a system of barrages. The recently
concluded the Ganges water sharing treaty has unveiled a new vista for a wide range
of possibilities in this direction;
c. comprehensive flood control/management measures will be undertaken to protect
lives, properties, and crops keeping in view open water fishery production needs and
requirements. Cropping patterns will be changed and improved varieties will be
introduced in the protected areas for increased foodgrain and fish production;
d. needs and programmes to sustain open water fish resources will be included in the
irrigation and flood control and drainage projects for long term development; and
e. As IWTA Master Plan for navigation is under implementation, its effectiveness will
gainfully be used in the long term water resources planning, where applicable.
13.43.4 The core strategy: The following proposed measures will carry the water resource
management strategy to the year 2010:
a. Increasing efficiency of completed projects: In the previous section, it was noted that,
in the past FCDI projects concentrated on irrigation, neglecting other competing needs
for water. In addition, these facilities, for a variety of reasons, have not been able to
perform to their optimal capacity. Given the need for irrigation expansion, it makes
good sense to try to rehabilitate these completed projects through redesign and suitable
modifications to remove, as far as practicable, their negative impact on other sectors
such as navigation, fisheries and environment. There has to be another parallel effort to
organise the beneficiaries for command area development and its long term
sustainability.
b. River bank protection and environmental upgrading
i. The havoc created by continued erosion by all the rivers in Bangladesh has been
highlighted in the previous section. Unfortunately, this problem so far has not been
systematically handled. For long, the government has been spending quite a
substantial amount on river bank protection. But its impact has been marginal for the
reason that the resources are distributed over too many projects covering innumerable
sections without completing any section. This type of piecemeal work does not lead to
any permanent solution but, more often than not, results in wastage of scarce
resources. There is a need for massive investment, and since everybody cannot be
satisfied all at once there will be need for prioritisation.
ii. Towns, river ports and markets have traditionally been developed by the side of rivers
for obvious reasons. These are the growth centres of Bangladesh and they constitute
life-line of the economy. Scarcity of resources and larger claim of agricultural needs
have so long prevented reasonable allocation for their protection. Out of 240 identified
town protection schemes, only 75 have been completed upto June 1996, 96 are at
various stages of implementation and the rest are yet to be taken up.
iii. Side by side with protection work, there is need for reasonable investment on
upgradation of environment. Water supply, improved road network, sewerage
disposal, drainage system and other municipal services will be developed fast. With
donor support, a modest beginning has been made. This will be intensified and carried
out further.
277
immediate harnessing and use of main river water to augment the supply in smaller rivers and
channels.
13.44.2 Small early implementation projects implemented in the past and currently under
implementation by BWDB have created water conservation facilities by way of regulating the
post monsoon outflow of the drainage system. Development of such facilities by way of
command area development of completed projects will receive priority during the Plan
period.
13.44.3 Gravity flow, Low Lift Pump (LLP) and other methods of surface irrigation are, at
present irrigating about 1.15 million ha of land. This area is projected to increase to 1.32
million ha (about 15 per cent increase) by the terminal year of the Fifth Plan. Double lifting
will be necessary to augment water availability in secondary channels for irrigation purpose.
13.45 Flood Control and Drainage
13.45.1 During the Plan period, small flood control and drainage projects will be continued
in addition to phased implementation of specific river bank protection programmes. It is
expected that drainage programmes may extend further to cover an area of about 4.9 million
ha by the terminal year of the Plan period as against the actual coverage of 3.8 million ha
achieved by the end of the Fourth Plan. Comprehensive flood control and management
measures will be undertaken to protect lives, properties and crops keeping in view the needs
of fisheries, environmental and navigational requirements, etc. For augmenting flows of the
Gorai river and other selected rivers and canals, re-excavation of river-beds under Food for
Works Programme and also by capital dredging will be carried out during the Plan period.
13.45.2 A prioritised portfolio of strategic vulnerable location of river banks will be
identified for phased implementation of river bank protection programme. FAP studies have
so far identified a number of hard points along the Brahmaputra and the Meghna rivers. A
number of hard points along the Padma banks have also been proposed for protective works.
The protective works of other minor rivers proposed to be implemented will be studied
carefully before making any investment on these projects.
13.46 A Special Note on Construction of Ganges Barrage
13.46.1 The signing of the historic treaty on the sharing of the Ganges Water at Farakka on
December 12, 1996 between Bangladesh and India has added a new dimension to the water
management strategy.
13.46.2 Background: The Ganges has been flowing through Bangladesh from time
immemorial; the life and livelihood of its people, along with the flora and fauna, have been
shaped by this great river. The well-being of more than 40 million people in the south-
western region of the country is entirely dependent upon the Ganges. The river provides
drinking water, sustains agriculture, forestry and fisheries, helps operate a quarter of the
country's industrial activities, prevents salinity intrusion from the Bay of Bengal and plays a
determining role in maintaining the ecological balance of the country. The balance between
man and nature in the Ganges dependent area (GDA) in Bangladesh rests essentially on the
Ganges water as this is the only major source of water in the area and all other rivers receive
water directly or indirectly from it.
13.46.3 Past studies: Ever since the preparation of the Master Plan in 1964, the importance
of development of the surface water resources has been stressed time and again and the
barrage over the river Ganges in Bangladesh has been envisaged for more than three decades
279
for an overall integrated water resources development in the GDA in Bangladesh as well as
for overcoming the adverse effects of large scale diversion of the Ganges water at Farakka.
Studies conducted thus far have identified the tentative location of the barrage from the point
view of optimal water use and various other engineering and environmental considerations.
13.46.4 Objectives: The proposed Ganges barrage will be constructed at a location near
Pangsha about 64.40 km downstream of Hardinge Bridge on the Ganges River. The main
purpose of the barrage will be to supply irrigation water to the south-west region of
Bangladesh. The project will provide irrigation to an area of 1.35 million ha from the Ganges.
The net benefited area of the project will be 1.31 million ha. The time for construction of the
Ganges barrage is estimated to be about eight years and the full benefit will be achieved after
nearly 18 years.
13.46.5 Salient features: The following are the salient features of the Ganges barrage;
a. the Ganges barrage, a 1,940 metre long structure is proposed to be constructed
incorporating a road and rail bridge and gas, power and other services lines as
required to be connected to either bank by the structure;
b. a right bank main command canal, 74 km long, running south-west from the barrage
to feed water into the Gorai, the Kumar, the Nabaganga, the Chitra and the Kobadak
Rivers, with a headwork's capacity of 26,500 cusec will be one integral part of the
project ;
c. a second right bank main command canal, 43 km long, running south-east from the
barrage to feed water into the Chandana, the Old Kumar and the Sitalakhya rivers,
with a headworks capacity of 10,600 cusec will be the second integral part of the
project ;
d. a third right bank canal of 10 km long from the barrage pond near the Hardinge Bridge
to serve the area to the west of the Ganges-Kobadak Scheme with headworks capacity
of 3,000 cusec will be the third integral part of the project ;
e. irrigation development by a combination of surface water gravity supplies, low lift
pumps and shallow tubewells, which will serve an area of 100,000 ha will be the main
components of operational ambits ; and
f. drainage and flood control by embankments and sluices in low-lying areas covering
1.44 million ha within the command area will be the related objective in addition to
irrigation.
13.46.6 Benefits: On its completion, the Ganges Barrage Project will:
a. restore the basic resource (land) to its original position and safeguard it from further
degradation;
b. increase agricultural production through intensive use of modern techniques;
increase in agricultural production following the introduction of irrigation, drainage
and flood control will be from 2.20 mt/ha/year to 7.41 mt/ha/year, an increase of 5.21
mt/ha/year. The net economic benefit out of the increased agricultural production
only will be about US $1020 million a year;
c. provide the required quantum of flows through the Gorai in the dry season to check
the salinity intrusion in the south-west region of Bangladesh to maintain ecological
balance and protect environment of the region;
d. restore the natural bio-mass (including the Sunderbans) and safeguarding further
destruction;
e. safeguard the industries in the area;
f. restore livestock and fisheries resources;
280
Tubewell (HTW) is projected to decline from the estimated 2.81 million ha in 1996/97 to
1.31 million ha by the terminal year of the Plan. Continuation of policy changes in terms of
withdrawal of site restriction and subsidy, non-availability of water at required depth, etc.,
resulting in higher cost, particularly of DTW, are likely to lead to a decline in the use of these
equipment by the poor farmers. However, reduction in irrigation area through these traditional
methods is expected to be compensated by additional irrigation coverage of 2.23 million ha
under relatively new technologies of Forced Mode Tubewell (FMTW), Deep Set Tubewell
(DSTW) and Very Deep Set Shallow Tubewell (VDSSTW). It is expected that private sector
investment in irrigation development during the Fifth Five Year Plan will be about Tk.5,010
million.
13.49 Involvement of Women in Development
13.49.1 Participation of women in the development and construction of irrigation and flood
control infrastructure was found to be insignificant in the past. Presently, local women are
working along with men as construction workers in the Food for Works Programme,
embankment construction, tree plantation and other projects implemented by the Water
Development Board (BWDB). Under the Fifth Plan, steps will be taken to involve distressed
and unemployed women in such projects/programmes implemented by the BWDB. In
addition, more avenues for employment of women are expected to be created in O & M
activities of flood control projects and tree plantation and fish culture activities of BWDB
projects. It has been estimated that 0.92 million person-days of incremental employment will
be generated by the terminal year of the Fifth Plan which will include a sizable share for
women.
13.50 Private Sector Participation
13.50.1 The government is fully committed to promoting the participation of the private
sector in increasing irrigation coverage and command area development. As per existing
policy measures, sales, marketing, distribution of fertilisers, irrigation equipment, farm
machinery, etc., have been entirely transferred to the private sector.
13.50.2 It is noted that irrigation need by farmers is closely linked to rice and commodity
prices. For example, if the rice price is low, farmers will be discouraged to spend more for
irrigation to produce more agricultural commodities and as such, the expected command area
is likely to be diminished. It is, therefore, necessary to evolve mechanisms for price
stabilisation. Import of irrigation equipment and machinery will be further liberalised and
fiscal policy turned in favour of private sector's participation. At the same time, necessary
measures will also be taken to encourage efficient domestic manufacture of irrigation
equipment and farm machinery as well as maintenance spares.
13.51 Cost Recovery from Irrigation Projects
13.51.1 Presently, BWDB is collecting irrigation tax from 12 irrigation projects out of 22
completed projects as per Water Rate Irrigation Ordinance of 1963. BWDB started collection
of water rate since 1976/77. During 1995/96, the target of collection of water rate was
estimated at Tk. 25.00 million against which the amount realised was Tk. 8.77 million.
During 1996/97, the revenue collection target was estimated at Tk.30.00 million against
which the amount realised till April/97 was Tk.8.59 million. The reasons for low collection
was due to evading practices, power failure for which timely irrigation was not possible and
lack of proper legislation and punitive measures against the defaulters.
282
13.51.2 Water pricing will be such as to convey the scarcity value of this resource to the
users and beneficiaries to foster their motivation in the economic and social context. The
water rate/charge will be adequate to cover the recurrent O & M cost and part of the capital
cost. The objective of pricing policies will be to improve efficiency in water use. The users
will have incentives to use only the amount of water they need and additional quantities will
entail higher cost per unit. The present system of collection of water rate from the irrigation
projects is not satisfactory due to procedural reasons and as such revenue generation from the
irrigation projects is much lower than expectations. The collection of water rate will be
initiated from all irrigation projects as soon as irrigation infrastructure/facilities are created
and the beneficiaries will be motivated to pay the price for irrigation soon after they start
getting benefits from construction of irrigation infrastructure. The water pricing for surface
and ground water irrigation will be rationalised and collection mechanism improved through
legislation and improvement of procedural practices.
13.52 Physical and Financial Programmes
13.52.1 Physical: Benchmark position of irrigation, flood control and drainage as of 1996/97
and projection for the terminal year of the Fifth Plan are provided in Table 13.14.
Table 13.14
Irrigation Flood Control and Drainage Projections During Fifth Plan
(area in million hectare)
Programme 1996/97 2001/2002
(Benchmark) (Projection)
1 2 3
I. Irrigation :
A. Surface Water Irrigation
i. Gravity Flow 0.40 0.59
ii. LLP 0.58 0.66
iii. Traditional 0.17 0.07
Sub -Total (A) : 1.15 1.32
B. Ground Water Irrigation
i. DTW 0.52 0.51
ii. STW 2.23 0.73
iii. HTW 0.05 0.07
iv. FMTW - 0.01
v. DSSTW - 2.10
vi. VDSSTW - 0.12
Sub-Total (B) : 2.81 3.54
C. Others 0.04 0.18
(Minor Irrigation)
Sub-Total (C) : 0.04 0.18
Total (A+B+C) : 4.00 5.04
II. Flood Control and Drainage 4.20 4.90
Sources : i National Minor Irrigation Census (1995-96)
ii National Minor Irrigation Development Project
iii Bangladesh Water Development Board.
13.52.2 Financial: The projection for public sector financial outlay for the development of
water resources during Fifth Plan is Tk.73,373.13 million. The detail break-up is shown in
Table 13.15. In addition, an amount of Tk.5,500 million is likely to be invested in water
resources development by the private sector.
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Table 13.15
Public Sector Financial Outlay for Development of Water
Resources for Fifth Plan (1997/98-2001/02)
( in million Taka)
Programme Financial Outlay
1. Surface Water Irrigation 12,961.00
2. Ground Water Irrigation 3,600.00
3. The Ganges Barrage 17,175.51
4. Flood Control and Drainage including River and Town Protection 34,131.00
5. Surveys, Studies and Investigation 4,640.00
6. Others (Satellite Imagery, Mapping, Char Development etc.) 865.62
Total 73,373.13
13.52.3 Private sector's investment in development of water resources is estimated at about
10 per cent of the public sector's. The nature of investment required for development of water
resources limits the scope for an enlarged role for the private sector in the continuing
situational context.
employed on receipt of certain amount of credits. The credit disbursed to various formal and
informal groups amounted to Tk. 3,019.00 million under BRDB.
13.54.3 Under LGED, the targets for construction of feeder roads seem to have been largely
exceeded. Over 3,709 km of roads were constructed against the target of 2,399 km. Similar
was the case with construction and rehabilitation of bridges and culverts. Around 42,000
metres of bridges and culverts were either constructed or rehabilitated against the target of
over 30,000 metres. Tree plantation on the slopes of the feeder roads, rural roads and
embankments were inbuilt in the construction programmes. LGED created over 112.0 million
person-days of employment against the target of 133.1 million.
13.54.4 Ministry of Land established some 384 self-reliant ideal villages to rehabilitate
17,315 landless and rootless families. Chittagong Hill Tracts Development Board undertook
some programmes for development of the hilly areas, particularly in the field of community
development. BARD, Comilla and RDA, Bogra implemented some small projects, mostly
experimental and pilot ones. The targets and achievements under the various programmes
during the Plan period are shown in Table 13.16.
Table 13.16
Targets and Achievements of Major Programmes for Rural Development and
Institutions During Fourth Plan (1990-95)
A. Production and Employment Programme (PEP)
Programme Units Targets Achievements
Formation of primary societies/group number 23,581 16,882
Enrolment of members number 529,621 777,660
Skill training number 166,695 616,800
Shares/savings million taka 159.6 449.33
Credit million taka 330.3 3,019.00
Realisation of credit million taka - 2,559.15
Small Farmers Development Programme (SFDP)
Formation of groups number 1,982 5,625
Enrolment of members number 12,145 35,597
Share/savings million taka 7.3 30.4
Disbursement of credit million taka 60.7 166.4
B. Development of Physical Infrastructure
Development of growth centres number 316 277
Development of feeder road Type -B km 2,399 3,709
Construction of bridges and culverts metre 15,039
41,987
Rehabilitation of flood/cyclone metre 15,057
damaged bridges and culverts
Rehabilitation of flood/cyclone km 2,929 2,574
damaged pucca roads
C. Irrigated Agriculture and Irrigation Management Programme (IMP)
IMP coverage (DTW) number 1,556 1,499
(LLP) number 207 156
IMP training persons 8,555 6,215
D. Other Minor Programmes
Settlement of families in Adarsha Gram number 35,140 17,315
E. Employment Generation
Infrastructural programme million person-days 133.1 112.0
Self-employment under PEP million persons 0.53 0.78
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13.54.5 The allocation for the RDI sector during the Fourth Five Year Plan was
Tk. 16,500.00 million at 1989/90 prices. In the revised ADPs during the plan period, an
allocation of Tk. 25,622.20 million was given to this sector against which an amount of Tk.
21,823.5 million was utilised. ADP allocations and expenditures incurred during the period
are shown in Table 13.17.
Table 13.17
Revised ADP Allocations and Expenditures for Rural Development and Institutions
During Fourth Plan (at current prices)
(in million Taka)
RDI Agencies Revised ADP Allocations Expenditure
1. BRDB 2,845.97 2,460.00
2. BARD 133.45 75.20
3. RDA 21.78 17.60
4. Co-operatives 578.41 123.70
5. Ministry of Land 937.40 509.60
6. LGED 20,028.37 17,682.90
7. NILG 3.64 3.60
8. Ministry of Relief 112.04 108.70
9. Special Affairs Division 646.14 537.20
10. Ministry of Finance (Ag. Bank) 10.00 -
11. Ministry of Agriculture 5.00 5.00
12. Planning Division 300.00 300.00
Total 25,622.20 21,823.50
13.54.6 Performances during 1995/96 and 1996/97: All the three major programme
components, i.e., production and employment programme, infrastructural development
programme and irrigation related infrastructure were under implementation during 1995/96
and 1996/97. Under the production and employment programmes, employment for 0.39
million persons was created. These were mostly self-employed members of the various formal
and informal groups. Under the infrastructure construction programme, some 2,856 km of
metalled roads were constructed in addition to 20,800 metres of bridges and culverts. Apart
from these, 163 growth centres were developed by constructing sheds, internal roads and
lanes in the hats and bazars. An amount of Tk. 17,689.9 million was provided in the Revised
ADPs for 1995/96 and 1996/97.
13.55 Fifth Five Year Plan (1997-2002)
13.55.1 Objectives: The following are the objectives of the Fifth Five Year Plan for the RDI
Sector:
a. reduction of poverty in the rural areas;
b. productive employment generation in the rural areas;
c. self-employment creation for the rural poor ;
d. development of rural infrastructure; and
e. development of small and landless farmers.
13.55.2 Strategies: The elements of the strategy for achievement of the above objectives
will include, among others, the following:
a. provision of skill training mostly for self-employment in non-farm sectors;
b. formal and informal group formation and group development for co-operative
activities;
c. resource mobilisation through individual/group savings;
286
13.56.4 Women in development: Since women are the most disadvantaged group in the
society and the victims of extreme poverty, special attention will be given to reduction of
poverty among women. In appropriate cases, separate programmes for the women will be
taken up.
13.56.5 Environment protection: Environmental concern is an important element in any
programme of rural development. RDI programme will have elements of environment
protection, environment conservation and re-generation, social mobilisation and input supply.
Environment -friendly activities will remain in-built in all programmes of rural development.
13.57 Programmes
13.57.1 Poverty alleviation will be one of the major concerns of the RDI programmes during
the Plan period, and conscious and deliberate attempts will be made to substantially reduce
poverty, particularly of the hard-core rural poor. The programmes will include the following:
287
a. Production and employment programme: Under this programme various projects will
be undertaken for skill training, awareness creation, human resource development and
empowerment of the poor. Credits will be disbursed for undertaking income generation and
for self-employment activities. There will be separate projects for rehabilitation of the
landless and assetless people, particularly women. Specific projects will be undertaken for
the bittaheens and the people of the special areas. Poverty alleviation programmes will be
designed and suited to the need and creativity of the people and be financed with local
resources as far as possible.
b. Rural infrastructure development programme: Under the rural infrastructure
development programme, projects will be taken up for development of growth centres and
growth centre connecting roads, bridges and culverts on the one hand and small-scale
irrigation and flood control related infrastructure projects on the other. Road maintenance
programmes, mostly rural roads, will be implemented through the rural destitute women and
eventually they will accumulate savings to undertake income generating activities by
themselves.
13.58 Projections for development of RDI in the public sector during the Fifth Plan are
shown in Table 13.18.
Table 13.18
Projection for Development of RDI in Public Sector During Fifth Plan
13.59.3 Against this backdrop, effective implementation of the ongoing land reform activities
including Adarsha Gram, Khas Land distribution, ideal village programmes and providing
rights to bargadars will get priority in the Fifth Plan period. Further, improving land records,
distribution of appropriate land titles and speedy settlement of disputes on land will create
opportunities for small farmers to avail of credit facilities.
13.60 Area Development Approach
13.60.1 Rural Development during the Fifth Five Year Plan will be undertaken following
Area Development Approach which is commonly understood as comprehensive development
or integrated multi-sectoral development. This approach conforms to the over all national
sectoral development strategy. Under the Area Development Approach, programme for the
total development of a particular geographical area covering development activities in various
fields such as education, human resources, family planning, agriculture, water resources,
infrastructure, housing, etc. will be undertaken. Projects will be drawn up by the concerned
sectors and will be integrated and co-ordinated at some convenient administrative units.
Considering the complexity of integration and efficiency at the operational level, one at
administrative district, for example, may be considered as the point of co-ordination and
integration of the projects which conform with the rural development strategy, presently being
pursued under the RDI Sector.
13.60.2 Under the Area Development Approach, there will be one area development
programme covering the projects of different sectors which will be co-ordinated at the
district level for which appropriate mechanism will be developed as soon as the new local
government structure becomes operational. The area development programme will essentially
involve the local government authorities and will be co-ordinated by such authorities at the
district level. The programmes of all development agencies including government,
parastatals, NGOs and private organisations will be co-ordinated with a view to avoiding both
duplication of efforts and unbalanced allocation of resources. The area development
programme drawn for the comprehensive and multi-sectoral development of the entire
geographical area of a particular district will be decomposed at the upazila level and further
down to union parishad.
13.61 Financial Outlay During Fifth Plan
13.61.1 An amount of Tk.87,002.48 million has been projected for the development of RDI
in the Public Sector. The programme wise breakup of the outlay is shown in Table 13.19.
Table 13.19
Public Sector Financial Outlay for Development of RDI During Fifth Plan
(in million Taka)
Programme Financial Outlay
Production and employment programme (PEP) 20,000.00
Infrastructural development programme 56,000.00
(including irrigation related infrastructure)
Other programmes 11,002.48
(including special programmes and action research)
Total 87,002.48
13.62 Given the nature of social investment, private investment for rural development and
institutions will be very limited. Some investment outside the public sector will be based on
savings mobilised and institutional investment by NGOs. A tentative amount of Tk. 2,000
million is likely to be invested for the development of RDI in the private sector during the
289
Plan period. The return against such investment is expected to be more per unit than what is
projected to be in the public sector.
CHAPTER XIV
INDUSTRIES
14.1 Introduction
14.1.1 Manufacturing combines human ingenuity - science, technology and innovations with
natural endowments of a nation. The fountain of the wealth of today's developed nations
receives the perennial flow from trade in manufactures which lie at the back of their highly
remunerative employment, high level of income and the high standard of living. This is why
international trade is dominated by manufactures which accounted for around 75 per cent of
the world merchandise exports of US$ 4,880 billion in 1995. Primary products comprised the
rest in which the shares of food, fuel, minerals and metals and agricultural raw materials were
9.1 per cent, 7.1 per cent, 6.3 per cent and 2.8 per cent, respectively. It is, therefore, no
wonder that the demolition of the tariff wall against trade in manufactures had been at the top
of the agenda of all multilateral and plurilateral trade negotiations conducted under the
auspices of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), the predecessor institution
of the present World Trade Organisation (WTO), and that the developed countries, who are
the greatest beneficiaries of trade in manufactures, have brought down the tariffs on
manufactured goods traded amongst themselves to a level as low as 4 per cent only.
14.1.2 Failure of most of the developing economies, excepting the newly industrialised
countries, to generate adequate purchasing power in their respective domestic market led
them to look for purchasing power outside the national boundaries and pursue the export-led
growth strategy. The bulk of exports from these countries, however, still comprises of
primary commodities and historically, world prices of primary commodities have been
volatile, unstable and least rewarding. Besides, these countries, more often than not, suffer
from adverse terms of trade. As a result, trade has been neither a source of resource flow nor
an 'engine of growth' for these countries. These stark realities, combined with the
overwhelming weight of manufactures in the global export trade, make the success of the
export-led development strategy contingent on the development of a viable manufacturing
sector.
14.2 Past Industrial Development
14.2.1 Bangladesh is a late starter in the process of industrialisation. Before liberation, some
simple process industries like jute, textiles and sugar mills, two pulp and paper mills, a small
urea fertiliser plant, a cement factory, a 'mini' steel making plant with imbalanced
downstream rolling facilities for making mild steel bars, sheets and plates, a few
pharmaceutical units with capacities for formulation, bottling and packaging and several
minor dockyards and light engineering workshops comprised the industrial base of the
country. After liberation, within the overall objective of attaining a self-reliant economy, the
First Five Year Plan (1973-78) of the country adopted an import-substitution strategy for
industrialisation with emphasis on domestic production of basic needs and investment goods.
However, with the unfortunate change in the government that was brought about in August
1975 a perceptible shift in the self-reliant economic goals and objectives occurred, making
the country increasingly dependent on foreign aid and aid-financed imports covering all types
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14.2.5 The crucial and logical transformation of the Bangladesh economy that is needed for
an accelerated pace of industrialisation, is yet to take place. Over the last quarter of a century,
the economy of Bangladesh has gone through a slow and rather erratic structural
transformation. It defied the classical relationship between the structural composition of an
economy and its stage of development. The share of her agricultural sector, though dropped
from about 58 per cent in 1972 to about 33 per cent in 1995, the share of the manufacturing
sector limped from 9.0 per cent in 1973 to a mere 11.4 per cent in 1994/95. The services
sector, on the other hand, jumped from 26 per cent to about 48 per cent over the same period.
To bring about a visible improvement in the quality of life of the people, the pivotal role that
the manufacturing sector has to play in the desired transformation of the economy, still
remains to be displayed.
14.2.6 The sector's share in GDP for some selected years, including benchmark years of the
past Plans, and its growth over the periods under discussion are shown in the Table 14.1.
Table 14.1
Manufacturing Sector's Share in GDP and Past Growth Rates
(at constant prices)
Year Share in GDP Period Annual Compound
(per cent) Growth Rate Over
Period (per cent)
1972/73 9.00 1973 - 1978 7.35
1979/80 11.22 1978 - 1980 6.21
1984/85 9.86 1973 - 1980 7.02
1989/90 9.91 1980 - 1985 0.93
1994/95 11.36 1985 - 1990 4.22
1995/96 11.37 1990 - 1995 7.00
1996/97 11.08 1995/96 5.33
1996/97 3.31
Source: BBS
14.2.7 Despite its potential for growth, the manufacturing sector in the past failed to meet
expectations. In 1994/95 this sector achieved a growth rate of 8.6 per cent compared to 7.2
per cent in 1989/90. Over the period from 1990/91 to 1995/96, the manufacturing sector grew
at an average annual rate of 6.3 per cent and there have been fluctuations also. The first year
of the Fourth Plan registered the lowest growth rate (2.39 per cent), while the highest growth
rate (9.1 percent) was achieved during the year 1992/93. The growth rates during 1995/96 and
1996/97 were 5.3 per cent and 3.3 per cent, respectively. Among the industrial sub-sectors,
ready-made garments (RMG) and pharmaceuticals recorded the highest growth performances
(greater than 10 percent), while growth rates of jute and cotton textiles declined.
14.2.8 The total investment during the period 1990/91-1994/95 stood at Tk.131,457 million,
at current prices, in which the share of the private sector was 85.89 per cent, including foreign
direct investment (FDI) of 10.54 per cent. Investment in the years 1995/96 and 1996/97 stood
at Tk.34,919 million and Tk.34,513 million, in which the share of the private sector was 95
per cent and 97 per cent, respectively. Major portion of the investment went into fertiliser
and pharmaceuticals as well as export production. Ready-made garments and knitwears
jointly accounted for over 70 per cent of the total investment in the manufacturing sector.
Details of year wise total investment as well as agency wise public sector expenditure in the
manufacturing sector for the period under review are given in Tables 14.2 and 14.3.
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Table 14.2
Investment in Manufacturing Sector1
(at current prices)
(in million Taka)
Year 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 Total
Total Investment 23415 22699 24319 25825 35199 34919 34513 200889
Public Sector Investment 8331 3338 1240 2273 2227 1718 1082 20209
Private Sector Investment 15084 19361 23079 23552 32972 33201 33431 180680
Domestic Private 12579 17927 21248 20595 19053 16346 15003 122751
Investment
Foreign Direct 1568 428 894 1367 12392 15555 15506 47710
Investment
Investment in the EPZs 937 1006 937 1590 1527 1300 2922 10219
Percentage Share
Public Sector 35.58 14.71 5.10 8.80 6.33 4.92 3.14 10.06
Private Sector 64.42 85.29 94.90 91.20 93.67 95.08 96.86 89.94
Domestic Private Sector 53.72 78.98 87.37 79.75 54.13 46.81 43.47 61.10
Foreign Direct Investment 6.70 1.88 3.68 5.29 35.20 44.55 44.93 23.75
Investment in the EPZs 4.00 4.43 3.85 6.16 4.34 3.72 8.46 5.09
Table 14.3
ADP Expenditures by Major Ministries and Parastatals During Fourth Plan Period
(1990-95), 1995/96 and 1996/97
(in million current Taka)
Sl. Name of Agencies 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 Total 1995/96 1996/97
No. 1990-95
01. Bangladesh Chemical 7,694.47 2,575.94 465.939 1,046.41 851.927 12,634.69 666.40 105.811
Industries Corporation. (92.36) (77.15) (0.38) (46.04) (38.22) (72.89) (38.79) (9.78)
02. Bangladesh Steel & 16.20 24.70 - - - 40.90 2.50 -
Engineering Corporation (0.18) (0.15)
(0.19) (0.74)
03. Bangladesh Textile - - - 35.00 43.58 78.58 76.50 60.00
Mills Corporation. (1.54) (1.69) (0.45) (4.45) (5.54)
04. Bangladesh Jute Mills 57.77 - - - - 57.77 4.00 -
Corporation (BJMC) (0.69) (0.33) (0.23)
05. Bangladesh Sugar & 189.25 74.90 214.70 301.22 107.13 887.20 68.00 20.10
Food Industries (2.27) (2.24) (17.32) (13.25) (4.81) (5.08) (3.96) (1.86)
Corporation (BSFIC)
06. Bangladesh Forest - - - - - - - -
Industries Development
Corporation (BFIDC)
07. Bangladesh Small & 178.50 312.80 217.30 333.80 349.30 1391.70 287.50 118.40
Cottage Industries Corp. (2.14) (9.37) (0.18) (14.69) (15.69) (8.03) (16.73) (10.94)
08. Bangladesh Handloom 92.50 37.40 20.00 10.35 180.40 340.65 22.15 35.10
Board. (1.11) (1.12) (0.02) (0.46) (8.10) (1.97) (1.29) (3.24)
continued to next page
1
Private sector investment figure has been taken from GED, Planning Commission (Table- 1.8, Chapter -1). Investment in EPZs has been Collected from BEPZA. Foreign Direct
Investment has been estimated to be 40% of registered FDI with Board of Investment and it is based upon a survey conducted by BOI in 1993/94. Domestic private sector investment has
been derived as residuary after deducting investment in EPZ and FDI.
293
14.2.9 Over the same period, manufactured exports grew at an average rate of 16 per cent per
annum, reflecting a significant rise in the sector's share in the country's total export earnings,
from 67 per cent in 1989/90 to 84 per cent 1996/97. In terms of value, export on account of
manufactures increased over the period by US$ 2,554 million, from US$ 1,150 million in
1989/90 to US$ 3,704 million in 1996/97. Share of the ready-made garments and knitwear
was the largest (about 67 per cent) in this increase.
14.2.10 The share of the manufacturing sector in country's total employment is 7.4 per cent
only. It provides employment to about 3.63 million people (of ages 15 years and over) in
which the share of the private sector is just over 95 per cent. Women folk accounts for some
37 per cent of the sector's employment. About 62 per cent of this employment is in the rural
area in which the share of women is about 39 per cent. Informal sector accounts for about 52
per cent of the sector's total employment. The large, medium and small industries account for
one-third of this employment while cottage industries employ one-third and the remaining
one-third is in the handloom sub-sector.
14.2.11 Production of major consumer goods, however, remained low partly due to closure
of a large number of medium and small manufacturing industries and partly due to the
depressed demand for domestic manufactured goods in the context of liberalisation of
imports. In their place, non-traditional exports such as garments and frozen food have become
important sources of industrial growth. In recent years, major source of industrial growth has
been textiles, with ready-made garments manufacture expanding from an insignificant level in
the early 1980’s to the present position of the country's leading export earner. Leather exports
have also grown modestly.
14.3 Objectives and Strategies for Industrialisation
14.3.1 The government has clearly enunciated its industrialisation objectives and strategies.
These are: industrial development with emphasis on optimum utilisation of indigenous
endowments, promotion of employment and catalysing the growth of production and exports.
14.3.2 In the above context, the specific objective of the industries sector during the Fifth
Plan will be to bring about a structural change in the economy to make it conducive to
accelerated growth of overall GDP and to face boldly the challenge of a free market economy
in the twenty first century. This will be brought about, within the overall context of poverty
alleviation, through maximisation of its contribution to:
a. Gross Domestic Product : The sector will not only contribute to the growth of the
total value added directly but also will facilitate the growth of overall economy
indirectly through forward and backward linkages.
b. Balance of Payments : This will be strengthened through efficient import substitution
and export orientation. The key aspect of this will be to attain international
competitiveness through efficient allocation and use of resources and enhancement of
total factor productivity.
c. Strengthening of Technological Base : This will be achieved through building of
indigenous capacity in science and technology as well as enhanced access to the
frontier of international technology shelf by way of adoption and adaptation. Such
access to modern technology will be both an end as well as a means to industrial
development during the Fifth Plan.
d. Generation of Productive Employment and Poverty Alleviation : Skill
development will be a hallmark of the Fifth Plan in order to exploit the country's
comparative advantage in the international market. At the same time, development of
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self employment with particular focus on the poor and the disadvantaged especially
women, will be a major thrust of the industrial development during the Fifth Plan. As
such entrepreneurship development with easy access to complementary resources and
inputs will receive high priority.
14.3.3 For modernisation and expansion of the sector, necessary steps will be taken to gear
up production and distribution system for supplying necessary inputs to the sector. Practical
steps will be taken for skill development of people engaged in various vocations. Principles
of free market economy will be pursued and all assistance and encouragement will be given to
the private entrepreneurs. All laws, regulations and procedures related to industries, trade and
investment will be reformed and simplified. For balanced industrial growth and spatial
dispersal, appropriate policies will be designed and implemented for establishing industries at
District and Thana levels. For the unemployed youth, employment opportunities will be
created through the establishment of labour-intensive medium, small and cottage industries.
Efficiency and productivity of the parastatals will be improved by bringing about radical
change in their operation and management so as to enable them to be competitive and
commercially viable. While pursuing the free-trade policy, adequate measures will be taken to
remedy the imbalance between the import and export trade as well as to prevent unfair trade
practices. Necessary reforms of the economy will be implemented at a faster pace. Specific
strategies to achieve the overall objectives of the Fifth Plan will be to:
a. promote the private sector as the main agent for industrial development, while at the
same time undertaking public investment in some strategic industries as well as in
those areas where the private sector is not forthcoming; public-private joint ventures
will particularly be encouraged in all areas as may be expedient for industrial growth;
b. strengthen the enabling policies and remove all distortions to the extent possible in
order to achieve efficient operation of the market and at the same time uphold the
interest of the consumers;
c. undertake massive efforts to develop efficiency culture in all walks of life particularly
in industrial premises; particular attention will be given to improve the efficiency of
the public sector;
d. pursue and accelerate the process of privatisation of state-owned enterprises in an
efficient manner;
e. encourage domestic and foreign investment for overall industrial development;
f. develop export-oriented, export-linkage and efficient import-substitution industries;
g. promote diversification of markets as well as products; such efforts will include, but
not limited to, marketing assistance to the exporters and implementation of
appropriate package of incentives including flexible exchange rate;
h. exploit the opportunities opened up by the General Agreement on Trade in Services of
WTO, and to develop, with an eye to the export market, those service sectors in which
Bangladesh enjoys comparative advantage;
i. develop data base at the frontiers of international technology shelf and disseminate the
same to the users in both private and public sectors; in particular, modern technologies
will be required in areas such as electronics, biotechnology, cybernetics (both hard
and software); R&D facilities will be developed in these and other modern technology
areas. To facilitate this, research in basic science will be encouraged;
j. develop skill, extend vocational training;
k. develop entrepreneurship in general, particularly in rural areas through extensive
training, both formal and informal and easy availability of complementary resources
and inputs;
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14.4.10 Chemicals and Gas-based Industries : Bangladesh has a sizable demand for
chemical products to meet local needs in industries such as food and agro-processing,
pharmaceuticals, tanneries, cosmetics, paints and varnishes, printing, packaging and textile
processing. At present, most chemicals are imported. There is also vast potential for gas-
based down stream linkage industries and petro-chemical industries.
14.4.11 Garments Linkage Industries : To meet the challenge of time all out efforts will be
made to develop garments-linkage industries and adequate promotional support will be
provided in the Fifth Plan period.
14.4.12 Grameen Check and Dhaka Check : Handloom industry at present shares 61 per
cent of the total cloth production of the country, meeting 36 per cent of the local demand.
About 52 million metres of different types of cloth in the form of saree, lungi, bed sheet,
curtain, shirting, grey cloth, etc. in intricate designs and texture are woven in handlooms.
RMG-industries export a large quantity of handloom fabrics, in the form of different sorts of
dresses and costumes. Different types, design and colourful match of check fabrics are used
in making these dresses and costumes. Currently, Bangladesh imports about 120 million
metres of check fabrics from neighbouring countries in order to meet the demand for check
fabrics for the garment industries. It is expected that demand for check fabrics will exceed
300 million metres by the end of the Fifth Plan period. The same quality check fabrics can be
produced in Bangladesh. Indeed, it is already being produced in the country by Grameen
Uddog - a subsidiary organisation of Grameen Bank. Grameen Bank has succeeded in
penetrating into the international market by exporting this item and also in generating sizable
employment for the handloom weavers. At present, Bangladesh Handloom Board has given
special attention for boosting up production of check fabrics. For easy identification,
Bangladesh Hand Loom Board also developed Dhaka Check similar to Grameen Check. To
fulfil the future demand for check fabrics about 125 thousand handlooms will be engaged
exclusively for production of check fabrics generating employment opportunity for some 365
thousand people.
14.4.13 Hotel and Tourism Industries : With growing international interest in travelling
through Asia, tourism has taken roots in Bangladesh. Attractive places like Sylhet’s tea
gardens, water-falls at Baralekha, sea-beaches of the Cox’s Bazar and Kuakata provide
attractive scenery and seclusion for the tourists. A glimpse of the Royal Bengal Tiger might
be exciting on a trip to the Sundarbans, the largest mangrove forest in the world with unique
bio-diversity. Historical relics and monuments, ancient mosques, Buddhist monasteries,
Hindu temples, and other landmarks are witnesses to the country’s glorious past. Most of all,
in its tribal areas, Bangladesh harbours a history and culture which is still untouched by much
of the changes occurring elsewhere. To cater to the increasing need of services in this sector,
additional hotels and tourists resort facilities in the Cox’s Bazar, Dhaka, Chittagong and
elsewhere will be developed and necessary support services will be provided in terms of
physical infrastructure and utility services.
14.5 Policy Issues
14.5.1 Achieving an average annual economic growth rate of about 7 per cent during the
Fifth Plan period depends heavily on considerably faster growth in manufacturing, energy and
services sectors. Amongst these, the share of the manufacturing sector is projected to rise
from 9.28 per cent of GDP in 1996/97 to 12.70 per cent in the year 2002. Such a rise is
expected to occur mainly through private sector investments. With 96 per cent of the total
manufacturing sector outlay earmarked for investment by the private sector, the Fifth Plan
300
relies heavily on the private entrepreneurs-both local and foreign for investment in
industries. Generally, the public sector will be more visible through policy and institutional
support rather than investment in the industries sector through the ADPs. The public sector
inputs will be provided mainly through right policies, institutional and infrastructural support,
legal reforms and good governance. The public sector investment will be limited only to the
BMREs of strategic and essential industries such as jute, steel, chemical, fertiliser, paper,
newsprint, etc. The government does not intend to invest in new industrial capacity creation
except in such areas where the private sector will not be forthcoming. Divestiture of existing
industrial units will be accelerated. Private enterprises and joint ventures in Export Processing
Zones will be encouraged. Special economic zones will also be set up.
14.5.2 Bangladesh enjoys Most Favoured Nation (MFN) status with the leading economies
of the world. Besides, the country is a signatory to MIGA and International Centre for
Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID). The Export Promotion Bureau (EPB) is
facilitating country’s exports in every possible manner. Fiscal and monetary policies have
been tuned to faster growth in the manufacturing, export and services sectors. Bangladesh
also enjoys GSP facilities. However, as the MFN tariffs will progressively be lowered in
pursuance of the relevant WTO Agreements leading to increasing erosion in the margin of
preference, the benefits out of the GSP schemes will soon become insignificant and the
comparative edge of Bangladesh over others will disappear.
i. Industrial Policy
14.5.3 The policy environment surrounding the private sector started improving with the
liberalisation of the industrial policy in July, 1974 and subsequent introduction of a series of
promotional measures. These included virtual elimination of the investment ceiling, extended
tax holidays, concessional rate of import duty on machinery, curtailing the reserved list of
industries for public sector investments, introduction of a free list of industries for which no
prior approval is required, enactment of a law for promotion and protection of foreign private
investment, activation of the National Stock Exchange, and revival of the Investment
Corporation of Bangladesh for underwriting public issues of shares and for providing bridge
finance to private industrial units, etc. Perhaps, the most salutory effect had been the
government decision for progressive disinvestment of the industrial units which, following
Independence, had to be taken over by the government for management. During the period
1973-80, a total of 199 industrial units were disinvested by the government at a total sales
price of Tk.115.8 million.
14.5.4 The industrial policy of 1982 was revised in 1986 providing further relaxation and
changes in which all industries, except seven strategic industries, were opened up for private
investment. No approval for investment was then required if the investors imported
machinery and equipment using their own resources and/or through Secondary Exchange
Market (SEM) provided imported raw-materials constituted less than 50 percent of total
requirement. The public sector enterprises were intended to be converted into public limited
companies in order to make up to 49 per cent of their shares available for pubic subscriptions
and to facilitate their operation in a competitive market. They were given operational
autonomy in pricing, procurement, etc. Under the Revised Industrial Policy (RIP) a large
number of fiscal and other incentives were also introduced/expanded in order to promote
rapid industrial development of the country. A number of import bans and quota restrictions
were relaxed to promote industrial efficiency. During the Third Five Year Plan there was
considerable investment in power loom and ready-made garments industry. The export of
ready-made garments increased substantially.
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14.5.5 The industrial policy of 1991 which was formulated in the light of promoting a
competitive market economy and which was further revised in 1992 laid down basic
strategies required for industrial development of the country. All industries have now been
opened up for private investment, both local and foreign, except a selected few related to
national security like arms and ammunition, nuclear energy, minting and security printing,
mechanised extraction in the reserved forests and the railways. Under the policy, the
government has been pursuing privatisation of selected public sector enterprises. A number of
public sector units have already been privatised or downsized/closed down and others slated
for privatisation. Main policy objectives under the Industrial Policy are to:
a. develop industrial sector in order to increase its contribution to gross domestic
product, income, resource mobilisation and employment;
b. expand industries by putting more emphasis on development of the private sector and
in this respect to make the role of the government more promotional rather than
regulatory;
c. encourage domestic and foreign investment in overall industrial development;
d. develop export-oriented, export-linkage and efficient import-substitution industries;
e. especially encourage the development of small and cottage industries;
f. expedite development of the labour intensive industries through acquisition and
improvement of appropriate technology;
g. attain self-sufficiency in essential consumer goods through efficient and cost-effective
production;
h. encourage development of agro-based and agro-support industries;
i. encourage development of industries based on indigenous raw-materials and
indigenous technology;
j. encourage balanced industrial growth in different regions of the country;
k. encourage investment in the intermediate and basic industries;
l. limit the role of the government generally to establishing strategic and heavy
industries and to improve efficiency of the public sector;
m. put special emphasis on the increase of productivity in industries and to ensure
optimum utilisation of the existing industrial capacities;
n. create possible opportunities for revitalising and rehabilitating sick industries;
o. make effective arrangements for improving standards and controlling quality of
products; and
p. take appropriate measures for preventing environmental pollution and maintaining
ecological balance.
ii. Fiscal and Monetary Policies for Industrialisation
14.5.6 Some important changes were made in the monetary management including interest
rates to revive economic activities by increasing the flow of credit to the productive sectors
of the economy including trade and industry. New interest rate bands were refixed for loans
and advances by reducing floor and ceiling by different degrees effective from December 1,
1991. In order to make interest rate more market oriented and competitive, interest rate bands
for all lending categories except agriculture, jute and jute goods exports, other export and
small and cottage industries, were withdrawn and in these cases banks were given freedom to
determine their own interest rates effective from April, 1992. In April, 1994 interest rate
bands for priority sectors such as agriculture, export and small and cottage industries were
fixed within 10-14 per cent, 8-10 per cent and 9-12 per cent respectively. The policy of
liberalisation of interest rate, which was introduced for moving towards market oriented
302
j. Provision will be made for accelerated depreciation allowance, in lieu of tax holiday, if
entrepreneurs so opt for; and
k. Special financial incentives for small and cottage industries, particularly those located in
the backward areas, will be provided.
iii. Sick Industries
14.5.8 A large number of industries, over years, have turned into sick ones. The main reasons
for their sickness may be enumerated in terms of :
a. depreciation of Taka in relation to dollar or yen or pound in which loan capital was
obtained for setting up the relevant industries; this resulted in sizable increase in taka-
burden of the repayable loan capital;
b. technological obsolescence of the process or the product;
c. withdrawal or lowering of protective tariff wall;
d. management inefficiency;
e. inadequate working capital support by the banking system; and
f. pilferages by the sponsors, in collusion with the personnel of the lending bank or
financial institution.
14.5.9 In the Fifth Plan period concrete steps will be afoot to remove the relevant causes of
sickness. Ways and means will be found out to draw up realistic schemes for getting out of
sickness through joint effort of owners, management, labour and the funding agencies, i.e. all
the stakeholders.
iv. Some Specific Promotional Measures
14.5.10 In recent years, considerable reforms and positive changes have been brought about to
promote the manufacturing, trade and services sectors. Tariff rates have been considerably
lowered and rationalised generally in line with the trade liberalisation approach pursued by
the government. The Board of Investment (BOI) is playing a positive role in facilitating
private investment with focus on foreign direct investment (FDI). Some of the fiscal and other
specific incentives that the government is offering to attract private investments, in general,
and foreign direct investments, in particular, include but not limited to the following:
a. Cent per cent ownership of enterprises by expatriates;
b. Generous tax holiday for 5 to 7 years, depending on the industrial subsectors, and
10 years for all types of units established in the export processing zones; tax
holiday for power generation plant will be 15 years;
c. No import duty on capital machinery for 100 per cent export-oriented industries;
for other industries, import duty on machinery and spares will be levied at the rate
of 7.5 per cent ad valorem only;
d. Facilities for easy repatriation of profits, invested capital, royalties, technical fees
etc. for foreign investors;
e. Exemption of taxes on wages/salaries of expatriates working in industries as well
as on royalties and technical fees;
f. Bilateral arrangements with different countries concerned for avoiding double
taxation;
g. Granting of citizenship to foreign investors who will invest in Bangladesh at least
US$ 500,000 or to those expatriates who will deposit at least US$ 1 million in a
non-repatriable account with a recognised financial institution, and granting of
permanent residentship to those foreign nationals who will invest at least US$
100,000 in Bangladesh;
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cost production areas, Bangladesh with its hard working, intelligent, and cheap labour force,
should not miss the opportunity of making the best use of its EPZs to attract foreign direct
investments. In order to attract foreign investment, besides development of infrastructure and
support services, such as warehouses, communication network, gas and water supply,
electricity, telephone and modern electronic links, etc. the government will also continue to
provide the following incentives:
a. income tax exemption for ten years and proportional income tax rebate between 30
and 100 per cent on export earning after this period;
b. duty free import of raw-materials, machinery, construction materials and other
materials used in manufacturing process;
c. income tax exemption on salaries for foreign executives and technicians for three
years;
d. tax exemption on interest on foreign loans;
e. tax exemption on royalties, technical know-how and technical assistance fees;
f. tax exemption on the profits on account of transfer of shares by foreign companies;
g. permitting export linkage inputs to be imported through back-to-back L/Cs by
recognised export-oriented/export-linkage industries which will be provided with
necessary bonded warehouse facilities, even if they are located outside the EPZ areas;
and
h. offshore banking facilities.
14.5.16 b. Board of Investment (BOI) : In order to boost up and promote private
investment during the Fifth Plan, the Board of Investment will continue to perform its
following mandated functions:
a. promotion of investment;
b. providing facilities for capital investment and rapid industrialisation;
c. registration of industrial projects, foreign loan agreements, royalty, technical know-
how and technical assistance agreement wherever required;
d. providing assistance to provide infrastructural facilities for industries;
e. issuing work permits to expatriate personnel working in the private sector industrial
enterprises;
f. providing import facilities to industrial units in the private sector;
g. approval of the payment of royalty, technical know-how and technical assistance fee
to foreign nationals/organisations beyond the prescribed limits; and
h. recommendations for acquisition and allotment of land in the industrial areas/estates
for industrial purpose.
14.5.17 The government has recently embarked upon a policy initiative for private
participation in areas of infrastructure development and provision of utility services. Already
a few economic sectors such as gas exploration and exploitation, power generation and
telecommunication have been opened up for local and foreign private investment. Some
projects in the areas of ports and shipping as well as roads and highways have already been
identified by the concerned ministries/agencies for implementation by the private sector. In
the Plan period, public sector areas of operation will be progressively reduced and private
investors will be induced to take up the place.
14.5.18 One key element for the success of export-led growth is the availability of abundant
skilled manpower. Skill development at all levels, therefore, will be given top priority in the
Plan period. Environment will be created to attract more private entrepreneurs in the field of
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training, research and development. In order to boost-up the private sector, the following
additional measures will be taken:
a. higher level of investment will be encouraged in manufacturing, infrastructure and
service industries by the private sector;
b. the existing list of reserved sectors will be reviewed to further widen the areas for
private sector investment; and
c. the pace of privatisation or denationalisation process will be accelerated.
14.5.19 c. Privatisation Board : The Privatisation Board was established by a resolution of
the government in March, 1993. It is entrusted with the overall responsibilities of privatising
state-owned enterprises (SOE) identified for privatisation. Ministries having state-owned
enterprises under their control have set up privatisation cells for assisting the Privatisation
Board in identifying, preparing, processing, implementing and monitoring SOEs for
privatisation. The process of privatisation till the end of 1996 was not very satisfactory.
During the Fifth Plan, the Privatisation Board will be reinvigorated to hasten the process of
privatisation of industrial, commercial and state owned enterprises. With this end in view the
Privatisation Board will take-up the following measures to:
a. develop selection criteria, prepare list of enterprise for sale/transfer, and subsequently
implement or arrange for the transfer of such enterprises to the private sector;
b. determine the priority and sequencing of such privatisation, including a detailed work
plan and time table for the various enterprises proposed to be transferred;
c. identify the optimal methods such as public offering, private placement, sale of assets,
management contracts, leasing or management/employee buy outs by which the process
of privatisation will be implemented in particular cases;
d. co-ordinate among and recommend to the Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Jute,
Ministry of Textiles and other relevant ministries and agencies steps which may be
necessary for the successful privatisation of the enterprises, such as revaluation of the
enterprises, restructuring of debt in accordance with sound financial principle,
retrenchment of redundant workers, closure of obsolete facilities of the enterprises;
e. formulate policies for and advise the government with regard to private sector
development, investment and participation in previously reserved sectors such as
telecommunications, energy and power etc.;
f. organise public information campaign about the merits and benefits of privatisation; and
g. undertake any other activities connected with privatisation.
14.5.20 With a view to attracting private buyers, capital restructuring has been carried out in
several manufacturing units like jute mills under the Bangladesh Jute Mills Corporation.
Overdue loans of both private and government sector jute mills have been restructured
through waiving one-third and rescheduling the remaining two-third. Around 39,000 workers
were released from the jute sector between June 1990 and June 1995 under the normal
‘severance benefit scheme’. Four jute mills have been closed down and one mill has been
downsized. The Bangladesh Jute Corporation which was previously dealing in trade of raw
jute was wound up, but its assets are yet to be disposed off. Non performing loans of the
Nationalised Commercial Banks (NCB), due to public sector manufacturing corporations like
the Bangladesh Textile Mills Corporation (BTMC), the Bangladesh Jute Mills Corporation
(BJMC) etc. have been settled and process is under way for settling overdue loans of other
public sector manufacturing units. Collection of debt service liabilities (DSL) and settlement
of arrear dues among corporations have also been strengthened. Sale of 21 public
manufacturing sector units have so far been finalised. The process has been stalled due to
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growth target. To prevent unfair trade practices, in particular, circumvention of domestic and
foreign laws, rules and regulations, these bodies will be encouraged to put in place
appropriate code of conduct for their members to observe. With this end in view necessary
promotional and support services will be provided to FBCCI and other chambers to improve
their institutional capability so that they can discharge their functions for promotion of trade,
investment and industry.
14.5.26 e. Export Promotion Bureau : In the wake of the establishment of the World Trade
Organisation to administer GATT 1994, GATS (General Agreement on Trade in Services)
and TRIPS (Trade Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights) under an integrated
Dispute Settlement Mechanism, the Bangladesh Export Promotion Bureau (EPB) will have to
play a dynamic role to achieve the following objectives: (i) to identify obligations of the
government to the business and industrial community of the country, to customers abroad as
well as under contracts, agreements, arrangements, conventions, etc. of WTO and other
relevant international/regional organisations and take all necessary steps towards meeting
these obligations; (ii) to remove existing regulatory constraints; (iii) to provide policy support
comparable with those of other competing countries; (iv) to provide improved services for
export promotion activities; (v) to provide access to supportive infrastructure services; (vi) to
improve entrepreneural and managerial capabilities through human resources development
and (vii) to implement export development programme to help expand and diversify the range
of exportable products. Towards the fulfilment of the above objectives, EPB will be required
to be revamped in conjunction with effective private sector co-operation and collaboration,
including establishment of a joint institute of foreign trade involving representatives of both
public and private sectors.
14.5.27 f. Bangladesh Tariff Commission (BTC) : The Tariff Commission will carryout in-
depth studies and formulate policies for further tariff rationalisation, liberalisation of the
import regime and evolving an incentive structure for strengthening the domestic production
and export base. It will review, on a continuing basis, the tariffs on imported inputs - raw
materials and intermediate inputs - as well as on capital goods. While rationalising the tariff
structure, adequate attention will be given to ensure that inputs for any domestic product are
not subjected to rates of duties and taxes higher than those on competing finished imports
and that the domestic industries do not suffer loss because of dumping on the one hand and
denial of access to foreign market on the other. The BTC will establish effective co-
ordination with the National Board of Revenue (NBR), the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics
(BBS), the Bangladesh Bank (BB), the Ministry of Planning/Planning Commission and the
Ministry of Commerce for establishment of a rational and dynamic tariff structure consistent
with existing government policy of pursuing free market economy. For discharging its
functions more effectively, BTC will build up its capacity further through necessary
strengthening and upgradation as well as human resources development.
14.5.28 g. Bangladesh Standard Testing Institute : Standardisation is the gateway to trade
and industrialisation. A well conceived standardisation programme lays the foundation for
growth of domestic production, protection of consumer interest through ensuring requisite
product quality and progressive assimilation of imported technology through adoption and
adaptation. Standardisation of products as well as of inputs minimises wastage of resources
and ensures compatibility of manufacturing processes and practices. In view of these factors,
during the Fifth Plan period, the performance of the Bangladesh Standard Testing Institute
will be reviewed and effective measures will be introduced to enhance its functional
capability through necessary expansion and modernisation. Some vital components of
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modernising the Institute will be strengthening its methodology, quality control and testing
sections and induction of sufficient number of quality professionals into it.
14.5.29 h. Bangladesh Institute of Management : In the Fifth Plan period, BIM will
conduct research on management development and will impart training on socio-economic
and other functional areas of management. The main objectives of the institute will be to : (i)
upgrade the existing centre to a self-sustained higher institute of training , research and
learning, (ii) train and develop managers at all levels of the economy, (iii) assist, develop and
maintain higher productivity in business and industry through adoption of technological and
engineering innovation and services, (iv) give consultancy services for solving management
and related problems faced by various sectors of the economy, and (v) carry out research in
different fields of management, economics and business. Activities and courses will be
designed and implemented to support private sector industrial and business units.
14.5.30 i. Bangladesh Industrial Technical Assistance Centre (BITAC) : The Bangladesh
Industrial and Technical Assistance Centre (BITAC) has been providing technical and
advisory services to the entrepreneurs. Presently BITAC Dhaka, Chittagong, Chandpur and
Khulna are in operation. During the Fifth Plan the performance of existing centres will be
duly evaluated and new centres will be established keeping in view the needs of the industrial
areas. BITAC will assist the private sector entrepreneurs, particularly the small entrepreneurs,
to solve their technical problems as well as in adopting/adapting new technologies in their
production practices.
14.5.31 j. National Productivity Organisation (NPO) : The National Productivity
Organisation (NPO) was established in 1989 under the Ministry of Industries. The
institutional capability of this organisation will be further developed to create productivity
consciousness and awareness to the people for launching productivity as a national objective
to be pursued by a national movement in the country, undertake programme for human
resource development for productivity improvement, build productivity infrastructure and
convert industrial enterprises into an efficient and profitable organisation, work as a catalyst
to promote plant-level productivity through consultancy services, conduct survey, study and
research work on productivity, and assist the government in formulating productivity policy.
14.5.32 One of the major issues in the industrialisation of a country is to use trade and
industrial policies in a co-ordinated manner so as to accelerate the pace of industrialisation.
This was done in Japan and the Newly Industrialised Countries. For this purpose, a Trade and
Industrial Policy Co-ordination Council will be set up during the Fifth Plan period.
14.5.33 Other General Measures : Other major institutional supports to the growth of
private enterprises and industrialisation by the private sector will have to come through
reforms in under-performing public administration, backlogged judiciary, costly banking
system and also from reduction in transaction costs in getting services from the public
utilities. These are monumental works and will be undertaken for completion with
determination. As a general principle the government will support institution of the civil
society, and rule of law and the private sector to help build constituencies that will in turn
support accountable, responsible and responsive and performing public institution. Of the
public utilities, power will be the major determinant of industrial investment. Concrete
programmes in both private and public sectors have been drawn up to meet this need.
14.6 Development Programmes and Targets
14.6.1 Textiles and Clothing Sub-sector : Domestic supply of fabrics from the existing
capacity was 1,129 million metres in 1995/96, including 200 million metres for the RMG
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industry. Corresponding estimates for 1996/97 are 1,163 and 210 million metres respectively,
while the supply from the existing mills in the terminal year (2001/2002) of the Fifth Plan is
projected at 1,348 million metres, including 268 million metres for the RMG industries. On
the other hand, the total demand for fabrics in the year 2001/2002 is projected to be 5,265
million metres, including 3,228 million metres for export. Consequently, the total demand-
supply gap of fabrics will increase from 2,633 million metres in 1996/97 to 3,917 million
metres in the year 2001/2002, out of which 2,960 million metres will be on account of RMG
industries, unless more fabric manufacturing capacities are established, in the mean time, as
backward linkage industries. The actual and estimated/projected demand for and supply of
fabrics for the local and export market for the years 1995/96, 1996/97 and 2001/2002 and the
corresponding supply-demand gaps are shown in Table 14.4.
Table 14.4
Demand-Supply Gap of Fabrics : 1997-2002
(in million metres)
Sl. Fabrics Actual Benchmark 2001/ 2002
No. 1995/96 (Estimated) (Projected)
1996/97
i. Demand for Fabrics 3,520 3,796 5,265
a. For domestic consumption 1,520 1,596 2,037
b. For export (for RMG and other forms of export) 2,000 2,200 3,228
ii. Supply of Fabrics From Existing Facilities 1,129 1,163 1,348
a. For domestic consumption 929 953 1,080
b. For export 200 210 268
iii. Demand-Supply Gap of Fabrics 2,391 2,633 3,917
a. On account of domestic consumption 591 643 957
b. On account of export 1,800 1,990 2,960
14.6.2 The excess demand for yarn over the local production in 1995/96 was 390 million kg.
which is expected to increase to 639 million kg. in 2001/2002. About 67 per cent of this total
demand will be for cotton yarn, while the rest 33 per cent will be on account of yarn from
man-made fibres. The projected demand for yarn by 2001/2002 and the demand-supply gap of
all types of yarn for the same years are given in Table 14.5.
Table 14.5
Demand-Supply Gap of Yarn: 1996-2002
(in million kg.)
Particulars 1995/96 1996/97 2001/2002
Actual Estimated Projected
Demand of yarn 503 542 752
Production of yarn 113 113 113
Demand-Supply Gap 390 429 639
14.6.3 The demand-supply gaps of raw cotton and man-made fibres were 369 million kg. and
169 million kg. respectively in 1995/96 which are projected to reach 555 million kg. and 254
million kg. respectively by 2001/2002 assuming wastage for raw cotton at the rate of 10 per
cent and for man-made fibres at the rate of 3 per cent. The existing and projected requirement,
domestic production, and demand gaps of raw cotton and man-made fibres are shown in
Table-14.6.
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Table 14.6
Demand-Supply Gap of Raw Cotton and Man-made Fibres : 1996-2002
(in million kg.)
Items of Raw Materials 1995/96 1996/97 2001/2002 (Projected)
(Benchmark)
a. Raw-Cotton
Demand 374 403 560
Production 5 5 5
Demand Gap 369 398 555
b. Man-made fibres
Demand 171 184 256
Production 2 2 2
Demand Gap 169 182 254
14.6.4 With a view to progressively increasing domestic production of yarn and cloth the
Fifth Plan envisages to overcome the shortage of manpower through human resource
development, creation of an investment friendly environment, reforming the textile sector
through fine tuning of policy objectives, creation of new capacity in spinning and weaving
and BMRE of un-economic units in the private sector and some selected public sector mills.
The private sector will be at the cutting edge of investment and technological advancement
keeping in view the global and domestic opportunities. The following strategies will be
pursued for the overall development of the textiles and clothing sub-sector:
a. New capacity will be created to cater to the needs of the export-oriented RMG
industries as well as the domestic markets. To this end market response will determine
the nature of investment to allow horizontal and vertical expansion. Investment fund
will be sought from domestic banking sources, joint-ventures, foreign direct investment
and relocation of units by foreign entrepreneurs either independently or through joint
venture arrangement with local sponsors;
b. BMRE of the old and uneconomic existing units in the private sector and in selected
cases in the public sector will be undertaken to ensure their financial and commercial
viability through increased productivity;
c. The existing specialised textile mills and power looms will be organised into groups on
area basis and around 200 looms in each area will be taken as a package for intra and
inter-unit balancing;
d. Till adequate domestic supply capacity is created, grey fabrics will be allowed to be
imported under extended bonded warehousing facilities for dyeing and finishing
locally; and
e. Tariffs on all imported inputs for the textiles and clothing subsector will be rationalised
on a continuing basis; raw cotton and synthetic chips/fibre will be treated at par while
levying duties and taxes on them.
14.6.5 Handlooms : The growth of the traditional sector comprising handlooms and
sericulture will promote rural employment, import-substitution and export industries. The
handloom industry plays an important role in the economy of Bangladesh. Next to agriculture,
it is the second largest source of rural employment and income. About 5 million people are
directly or indirectly engaged in this industry. The Handloom Census 1990 recorded
1,027,407 weavers in the country and 501,834 handlooms out of which 317,026 were
operable. Handlooms produce some 757 million yards of cloth. Monthly demand of yarn for
handloom is 12.7 million kg. Fixed capital and credit demand per loom was Tk.10,008 and
Tk.8,904, respectively. The Handloom Board has undertaken different programmes/projects
for implementation in order to improve the handloom industry to a satisfactory level in
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producing quality products. To address the problems of the handloom industry, well identified
strategies will be undertaken during the Fifth Plan period.
14.6.6 The strategies for development of handloom sub-sector will include:
a. strengthening of the Bangladesh Handloom Board (BHB) to perform promotional
activities for boosting up production at competitive prices;
b. revitalisation of idle looms and linking up demand sources through organising the
supply sources of handloom products;
c. improvement of loom technology and changing of traditional handlooms into power
looms in phases;
d. activating the institutional credit sources for financing the working capital
requirements of the handloom weavers and mobilising banking institutions to meet
their credit needs as well as to do profitable banking business;
e. ensuring availability of yarn, dyes and chemicals at competitive prices to the
handloom weavers and to make appropriate arrangements for marketing their products
locally;
f. establishment of export-linkages through more concerted efforts to market handloom
products abroad and also to feed the export-oriented RMG industry by encouraging
non-traditional product base to produce handloom woven shirting, suiting and
furnishing fabrics of upgraded quality;
g. improvement of technology of handloom through research and adaptation;
h. reaping the productive potential of handloom weavers through re-organisation of co-
operative societies as well as through development of skill and improvement of
designs; and
i. promotion of export of Grameen Check and Dhaka Check to overseas markets.
14.6.7 Sericulture: Sericulture is an important sector which can play an important role in
generating employment and alleviation of poverty. About 8-9 hundred thousand families are
engaged in this occupation directly or indirectly. It is not a primary occupation in Bangladesh.
It is more or less a subsidiary occupation providing part time jobs for women at family level.
This sub-sector is labour intensive and its value addition is high. But it is lagging behind due
to some problems, such as scarcity of disease free layings, lack of capital or loan, traditional
technology of rearing and reeling, low quality of cocoons, poor marketing facilities, shortage
of trained and skilled manpower and slow expansion of mulberry cultivation. As sericulture
farmers are unskilled and they do not have appropriate rearing house, about 25 per cent to 30
per cent disease-free layings and cocoons are damaged in the rearing process. This in turn
makes sericulture farming uneconomic. Farmers lose their interest and leave the occupation.
There is a strong need for increasing the number of skilled bosnis (small sericulture farmer)
and skilled reelers. Therefore, the Fifth Plan envisages to set up chaki rearing-cum-
minifiliature centres where intensive training will be imparted for development of skilled
bosnis and reelers.
14.6.8 The strategies for development of the sericulture sector will include:
a. restructuring and strengthening of sericulture activities to perform research and
provide extension services, supply disease free layings, disseminate high yielding
variety of mulberry cultivation and silk worm rearing technology and help increase of
income of silk farmers through qualitative and quantitative improvement of products;
b. encouragement of NGOs for greater participation in different stages of production and
marketing activities;
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c. ensuring access of bosnis (small sericulture farmers) to various inputs and facilities
conducive to production of quality cocoons through adopting appropriate policy
measures;
d. extension of mulberry plantation, production of cocoons, and local marketing of silk
products of bosnis and large farmers by a combination of efforts by entities involved
in sericulture sub-sector;
e. development of export-linkage to market sericulture products abroad and to feed the
export-oriented RMG industry;
f. improvement of technology in the silk sector and design of silk products; and
g. setting-up chaki rearing cum minifiliature centres where intensive training will be
given for development of skilled bosnis and reelers.
14.6.9 To over come the problems of this sub-sector the Fifth Plan envisages to undertake the
following programmes to promote:
a. expansion of mulberry plantation in all possible places;
b. expansion of extension services;
c. production of quality cocoon;
d. new reeling technology for improvement of quality silk yarn;
e. marketing and credit;
f. establishment of chaki rearing and minifiliature centre (CRC) under the zonal or
regional offices of Bangladesh Sericulture Board (BSB); and
g. strengthening Bangladesh Sericulture Research and Training Institute (BSRTI) to
enhance the skill of manpower engaged in sericulture farming and silk reeling.
14.6.10 In order to bring about sustainable development of the silk sector, the Fifth Plan
seeks to undertake a long term multi-faceted programme for introducing improved technology
through strengthening institutional arrangement and policy improvements. This programme
envisages establishment of a non-profit private sector institution- Bangladesh Silk
Foundation. It will be established to provide necessary support and training activities in silk
sector as well as to co-ordinate the efforts and initiatives of the NGOs and private
entrepreneurs. The main objective of Bangladesh Silk Foundation will be to assist in
increasing the income of small scale silk producers, most of whom are poor women, through
introducing improved technology and to develop institutional and policy support for
sustainable development of silk and sericulture sub-sector. During the Plan period
Bangladesh Silk Foundation will undertake programmes to (a) enhance productivity of silk
worm through dissemination of improved technology and undertaking adaptive research
through BSRTI, (b) develop Germ Plasm Maintenance Centre, (c) improve management of
grainages, (d) disseminate silk worm rearing and reeling technologies to the farmers, NGOs,
rearers and reelers, and (e) undertake product development, design improvement and market
promotion of silk yarn and fabrics. These programmes envisage to enhance the volume of
production of silk yarn from the present level of 29 tons in 1996-97 to 181 tons by 2002 and
to raise silk farmers’ income and create employment opportunities. Besides, appropriate steps
will be taken towards rationalisation of tariff rate on the imported silk yarn to enable local
production stand the competition of imported silk yarn.
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14.6.11 Other strategies for overall development of the textile sub-sector will be as under:
a. For development of human resources for the textile sector, the existing training
institutions under the Ministry of Textiles (MOT), Department of Textiles (DOT),
Bangladesh Handloom Board (BHB) and Bangladesh Sericulture Board (BSB) will be
strengthened and some new training facilities will be created- to stay with time,
additional trade courses will be designed and offered to the trainees;
b. A central testing and quality control laboratory will be established in the public sector
to serve both the public and private sector units;
c. The facilities being created in the National Institute of Textile Training Research and
Design (NITTRAD) will be utilised for product testing and adoption of market
sensitive design enabling sophisticated marketing and merchandising high value added
garments in the process of transforming fashion business into an economically viable
proposition;
d. Dependence on imported machinery and spares will be reduced through transfer,
adoption and adaptation of technology and development of cost-effective indigenous
technology;
e. Currently women's participation in the export-oriented RMG industry of Bangladesh is
more than 85 percent of total employment; but in other modern textile sub-sectors, it is
very negligible compared to 50-60 per cent in developed countries; keeping in view the
national objective of poverty alleviation of the socially disadvantaged groups
particularly distressed women, adequate measures will be taken for greater
participation of women labour force in the modern textile sector.
14.6.12 Projected Productions: The projected production of fabrics has been estimated at
3,651 million metres out of which fabrics for domestic consumption will be 2,037 million
metres. If the projected production is achieved, per capita consumption of cloth will be 15.37
metres in 2001/2002.The estimated production for yarn and fabrics during the Fifth Plan
period is shown in Table 14.7.
Table 14.7
Projected Production of Yarn and Fabrics 1997-2002
Textile Products Benchmark Projections
(estimated) 1996/97 2001/2002
Yarn production1 (million kg.) 113 522
Fabric for domestic consumption (million metres) 953 2037
Fabric for RMG production 210 1614
Total fabrics 2 production (million metres) 1163 3651
Population (million) 123.8 132.50
Per capita demand for fabrics (metres) 12.9 3 15.37
Notes :
1
Of total yarn requirement for projected production of fabrics, 100 per cent will be produced by 2001-2002.
2
Cent per cent of domestic fabric requirement and 50 per cent RMG fabric requirement will be domestically
met by 2001/2002.
3
Demand for domestic market in 1996/97 is estimated at 1596 million metres.
14.6.13 Fabrics from the modern sub-sector (which includes composite textile mills,
specialised textiles and power looms and knitting and hosiery units), handloom, sericulture
and others (tents, soft luggages, gloves, socks, tarpaulins, inter-linings, under-garments,
umbrella-cloth etc.) is projected to increase from 564 million metres in 1996/97 to 2953
million metres in 2001/2002. The benchmark production and projected production in these
sub-sectors during the Fifth Plan period are given in Table 14.8.
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Table 14.8
Projected Production of Fabrics During 1997-2002
(in million metres)
Textile Sub-sectors Benchmark (estimated) 1996/97 Projected Production
(2001/2002)
Modern Sector 564 2,953
Handloom 595 690
Sericulture and others 4 8
Total 1,163 3,651
14.6.14 While fabric production in handloom is assumed to grow at an annual compound
growth rate of about 3 per cent, in sericulture it is assumed to grow at the rate of about 15 per
cent per annum, that in modern sub-sector at the annual rate of 39 per cent during 1997-2002.
The overall annual growth rate of fabrics in the textile sub-sector is envisaged to be 25.7 per
cent during 1997-2002. A comprehensive programme for the creation of new capacity in
spinning, weaving, dyeing and finishing and export-oriented garments will be launched in
order to attain self-reliance in fabric for domestic market by the year 2002 and to meet 50 per
cent of the fabric requirements of export-oriented RMG industries. Table 14.9 shows the
number of units proposed to be set up during the Fifth Plan.
Table 14.9
Number of New Units Proposed to be Established in Different Subsectors
During Fifth Plan
Sub-sectors 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 1997-2002
Spinning 42 42 42 42 45 213
(Each unit of 25,000 Spindles)
Weaving 46 46 46 46 46 230
(Each unit of 120 Shuttleless Loom)
Dyeing and finishing 49 49 49 49 53 249
(Each unit of 10 million metres per annum)
RMG 153 153 153 153 153 765
(Each unit of 0.6 million pieces per annum)
14.6.15 Employment Generation in the Textile Sub sector: In the textile sub-sector it is
estimated that a total of 1,779,560 persons will be employed during the Plan period, of which
8,40,760 will be in the public sector and 938,800 will be in the private sector. In the private
sector 130,800 persons will be employed in spinning, 46,000 in weaving and knitting,
373,500 in dyeing and finishing, 382,500 in RMG, 6,000 in specialised textiles and 6,000 in
miscellaneous industries. In the public sector 1,500 persons in BTMC, 3,260 in Department
of Textiles, 670,000 in sericulture and 166,000 in handloom will be employed.
14.6.16 Jute Industries: Jute is a vital sector of the economy from agricultural, industrial
and commercial points of view. About 5 million bales of raw jute is produced in the country
every year of which about 1.5 to 2 million bales are exported, 3 million bales are consumed
by local mills and about 0.5 million bales are used for domestic consumption and kept as
carry over stocks. About 50 per cent of world import demand for jute goods (approx. 0.90
million metric ton) annually is met by Bangladesh. Jute is the third biggest export earner
(Tk.15,960 million annually) of the country.
14.6.17 As this sector provides large scale employment and earns substantial foreign
exchange, the government continued to provide hidden subsidies and financial assistance to
jute mills from the very beginning. Consequently the sector's debts to the banks stood at about
Tk. 40 billion in 1993 when the government launched Jute Sector Reforms Programme
(JSRP) with financial and technical assistance from IDA. The Programme envisaged to create
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effects. New techniques for retting of jute will be explored. The government policy on
banning the production of polythene bags as substitutes for jute bags will be enforced
and towards this end, polythene bag factories may be converted into jute bag
manufacturing factories. Setting up of more polythene industries in the country will not
be allowed. To reduce the acreage under jute and at the same time maintain a higher
volume of supply for its diversified end uses, including use of green jute for pulp
making and thus to ease the burden on insufficient forest resources of the country,
efforts will be made to produce jute throughout the year through necessary
augmentation of soil nutrition.
h. Social Safety-net Programme: Programmes will be undertaken to provide
retrenchment benefits and retraining for self employment to support affected workers.
i. Planning and Implementation of Development Programmes Through Local Level
Institutions: With the introduction of proposed institutional structure at Zilla, Thana
and Union levels, small and cottage industries planning activities could be included in
the functions of such local government bodies. During the Fifth Plan, BSCIC will
provide necessary services for industrial development including industry based on jute
and will maintain effective liaison with the development programmes of such
institutions. The process of interaction between BSCIC and the local level institutions
will ensure effective local level participation in such industrial planning and
development. Moreover, the NGOs who have emerged as a new force for development
in the rural areas are expected to play an effective role in the skill development of the
poor and disadvantaged groups through motivation and training and help them in
producing varieties of industrial goods including jute goods.
j. Employment Generation and Poverty Alleviation: The jute and jute manufacturing
sub-sector has immense potential for employment generation and poverty alleviation in
Bangladesh. Jute production, jute industry and trade and the related services employ
about 10 per cent of our labour force and jute industry is the second largest industrial
employer after textiles. The new and diversified use of jute plants and fibres for pulp
and paper, textile yarn blended with cotton and wool, geotextiles, jute reinforced plastic
materials, luggages, shopping bags, handicrafts, accessories, etc. will open new horizon
for employment opportunities. The women will find job opportunities in the rural areas
by utilising finer jute yarn in cottage industries. In the agricultural sector, increased
yield per unit area will bring down the production cost of jute which will help growers
to alleviate their economic hardship by raising their income.
14.6.22 Chemical Industry: In the Fifth Plan, the objectives of the chemical sub-sector will
be as follows:
a. to increase the contribution of chemical industries sub-sector (fertiliser, paper,
newsprint, etc.) to GDP;
b. to meet the needs of the country in respect of fertiliser, paper, news print, etc.;
c. to identify and exploit the comparative advantages of the economy in different sub-
sectors and to direct public sector investment in those desirable sectors where private
investment is still shy;
d. to identify and give emphasis on thrust sectors;
e. to develop human resources for efficient management and operation of enterprises;
f. to develop a sound technological base in the country; and
g. to provide facilities and services to attract private investment, including foreign direct
investment.
319
14.6.23 In order to achieve the objectives and targets set for the chemical industries sub-
sector, the following strategies will be pursued for accelerating the contributions of this sub-
sector towards a self sustained economy:
a. Public sector dominance in this sub-sector will be gradually reduced and the private
sector will be encouraged to set up new industries either alone or jointly with the
public sector. All the sub-sectors under chemical sector are open to the private sector.
But the private sector has not come forward to take up the challenge except
participating in a joint venture with a foreign company (KAFCO). The investment
size, technological complexities and the mandatory price structure may be attributed
as main reasons standing in the way of private sector participation in the fertiliser
sector, particularly in urea manufacturing. A private company has recently come to set
up a joint venture SSP fertiliser with BCIC. There are great prospects for participation
by private sector in all areas of chemical sector. Necessary technical support such as
project analysis, project preparation, demand and supply analysis, sourcing and
pricing of machinery, market information, etc. will be provided to the private sector in
setting up joint ventures and/or new enterprises in the private sector.
b. Excess manpower in the corporations/enterprises will be rationalised to economise
revenue expenditure. At the same time necessary power/authority will be delegated to
the corporations/enterprises and they will be made accountable for failure and
rewarded for success.
c. One of the major problems and impediments to the growth of this sub-sector is the
dearth of finance, technical know-how and skilled manpower. In this context, besides
local currency support through ADP, the following source of financing will be
vigorously explored:
i. alternate sources of financing for projects from the capital market will be
explored. BCIC will be given freedom in exploring and arranging alternate sources
of finance outside the country;
ii. more emphasis will be given on building projects on BOT/BOO/BOOT model; the
public sector will identify viable projects, process them for approval and
implementation; after implementation they will operate the projects for some time
and subsequently transfer them to private entrepreneurs; and
iii. local currency financing, inter-alia, public subscriptions of shares through the
capital market will be explored; joint venture companies, with participation of
BCIC, will be encouraged to issue shares/debentures.
d. In case of sick industries, viability where possible will be restored inter-alia, through
screening out inefficient manpower and replacing them by efficient, dependable,
sincere and committed manpower. Necessary training, both local and foreign, will be
imparted for building up efficient management for restoring their viability. Technical
support in the form of studies, equipment and machinery will be provided to put the
industries/enterprises on a viable footing. All stakeholders - owners, management,
labour and the concerned lending institution will be asked to bear out rehabilitation.
14.6.24 Projected production for some major chemical products during the Fifth Plan are as
follows:
a. Urea Fertiliser: Bangladesh is a major producer of Urea Fertiliser in the region having
6(six) factories with annual installed capacity of 2,500 thousand metric tons of urea. In
1995/96 BCIC produced 2,134 thousand metric tons of urea. According to the projection
made by BCIC the actual demand of urea fertiliser during 1995/96 was approximately
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2,300 thousand metric tons. The projected urea production was 2,110 thousand metric tons.
The demand of urea is rising by 10 per cent per annum. In 1996/97 the government has taken
action to import 200 thousand metric tons of urea to meet the local demand. A recent study
indicated that future demand of urea will further increase as shown in the Table 14.10 .
Table 14.10
Demand Projection of Urea Fertiliser (1997-2002)
(in million metric ton)
Year Urea Demand Local Production Net Import Requirement
1996/97 Benchmark 2.40 2.05 0.35
1997/98 2.45 2.10 0.35
1998/99 2.67 2.10 0.57
1999/00 2.92 2.10 0.82
2000/01 3.19 2.49 0.70
2001/02 3.49 2.55 0.94
This leaves room for setting up more urea fertiliser factories in the country. For this
purpose NGFF will be replaced by Shahjalal Fertiliser Co. Ltd. increasing annual
production capacity from 106,000 metric tons to 330,000 metric tons and another new
urea fertiliser factory will be set up in northern/southern part of the country by the year
1999/2000. There is a plan to increase capacity of urea production in JFCL and
ammonia production in CUFL by 1999/2000 to 2000/2001.
b. TSP: The present annual demand of TSP in the country is about 700 thousand metric
tons. TSP Complex produces about 150 thousand metric tons of TSP/SSP (TSP-
50,000 metric tons and SSP 100,000 metric tons). The rest of the demand is met
through import. In order to meet a big chunk of the demand the annual production
capacity of TSP Complex will be increased to 275 thousand metric tons (TSP-75,000
metric tons and SSP-200 thousand metric tons) through balancing and full capacity
utilisation. There is a plan for setting up a three hundred thousand metric ton SSP
Factory by a foreign sponsor in collaboration with BCIC. There is also a plan for
setting up a DAP factory with a capacity of 360 thousand metric tons in the country.
c. Paper: The present demand for writing and printing paper is 80,000 metric tons. The
demand for various grades of paper has been increasing. In 1995/96 BCIC produced
41,889 metric tons of paper and the rest of the demand was met from the supplies of
private sector and import. The projected production of paper in 1996/97 is 44,000
metric tons. The growth rate of demand for different grades of paper has been
assumed to be 6 per cent to 10 per cent. In order to cater to the future demand the
present capacity of producing paper and pulp in public sector including joint ventures
will be increased through BMRE of the existing mills and setting up of new mills
preferably under joint venture/private sector.
d. Newsprint: The demand for newsprint has increased rapidly during the last few years
because of its use as writing paper and the government policy of cherishing the
freedom of the press. The present demand for newsprint is about 60,000 metric tons
per annum. The lone newsprint producer in the country, Khulna Newsprint Mill
(KNM) having installed capacity of 48,000 metric tons per annum is no longer in a
position to meet the domestic demand. In 1994/95 and 1995/96 KNM produced
43,061 and 40,479 metric tons newsprint respectively. A large quantity of newsprint is
being imported into the country to meet the short-fall. To meet the demand for
newsprint BCIC will undertake BMRE of KNM in the Fifth Plan period.
321
e. Cement: The present annual demand for cement in the country is 0.28 million metric
tons. In 1994/95 and 1995/96 BCIC produced 0.147 million and 0.153 million metric
tons cement respectively. The only integrated plant Chhatak Cement Factory having a
capacity of 0.233 million metric tons is under BCIC. There are about 6-7 cement mills
in the private sector and based on imported clinker.
14.6.25 Under chemical industries sub-sector the major programmes/projects will include
inter alia Shahjalal Fertiliser Factory, capacity increase of urea in Jamuna Fertiliser Factory,
capacity increase of amonia in Chittagong Fertiliser Factory, Di-Amonium Phosphate Plant
(DAP) at CUFL, setting up of a paper machine in SPPM, BMRE of Karnaphully Paper Mills,
BMR of Khulna Newsprint Mill (KNM) and one Urea Fertiliser Factory in the northern or
the southern zone. Projected production for different chemical products is summarised in the
Table 14.11.
Table 14.11
Projected Production for Chemical Industries
(in metric ton)
Items 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002
Urea 2,049,810 2,150,000 2,150,000 2,150,000 2,330,000 2,363,000
TSP/SSP/DAP 104,181 150,000 176,000 209,000 220,000 220,000
Newsprint 23,903 45,000 45,000 45,000 45,000 45,000
Paper 23,239 45,000 45,000 53,400 72,600 79,200
Cement 107,300 150,000 186,000 221,000 221,000 233,000
Source : BCIC
14.6.26 Sugar Industry: Objectives of the sub-sector during the Fifth Plan is to increase
the contribution of sugar sector to GDP, create new job opportunities specially in rural areas
and reduce sugar import by increasing the domestic sugar production.
14.6.27 In the current industrial policy additional investment in sugar industry by the public
sector has been discouraged and the private sector has been given preference with various
incentives. But so far, response from the private sector in sugar industry has been
disappointing. So the public sector will continue to play some role. BMRE programmes of
existing sugar mills will continue to be implemented for their progressive unloading to the
private sector.
14.6.28 Dry and low rain-fall belt in the north, north-west and western regions of Bangladesh
comprising the greater districts of Rajshahi, Dinajpur, Bogra, Rangpur, Pabna, Kushtia,
Jessore and Faridpur are considered as the best sugarcane growing areas of the country. In
fact, almost all of the existing sugar mills are located in these regions where sugarcane has
emerged as the main cash crop over the years. There is ample scope for capacity expansion of
some existing sugar mills as well as establishment of new sugar mills in different locations of
the cane growing regions.
14.6.29 Demand for sugar in the country is estimated to be about 371 thousand tons in
1996/97 for a population of 123.8 million based on per capita sugar consumption of 3.0 kg. a
year. Assuming the consumption rate remains constant, demand for sugar will increase to
about 400 thousand tons in 2001/2002 for an estimated population of 132.5 million. If per
capita sugar consumption increases due to growing urbanisation and change of food habit,
total demand of sugar will increase further. Against this demand, total sugar production
capacity of the 15 operating sugar mills is now 215 thousand tons per annum based on total
322
cane crushing capacity of 21,044 tons per day, 120 effective crushing days and 8.5 per cent
sugar recovery. However, depending on the availability and quality of sugarcane, actual sugar
production may vary from 200 thousand tons to 225 thousand tons per annum. Thus, at
present there is an annual deficit of about 150 thousand tons of sugar which is met through
import at the cost of Tk.2,500 million in hard earned foreign currency. The deficit will
increase nearly to 200 thousand tons in 2001/2002, unless additional sugar production
capacity is created at suitable locations of cane growing regions of the country.
14.6.30 Estimated demand, domestic production and import of sugar up to 2002 are given
in the Table 14.12.
Table 14.12
Estimated Demand for Production and Import of Sugar
Year Population Demand @ 3.0 kg. Local Production Deficit/ Import
(million) (million ton) (million ton) (million ton)
1996/97 123.80 0.37 0.14 0.23
2001/2002 132.50 0.40 0.200-0.23 0.17-0.20
mills. This will increase the cane crushing capacity by another 6,000 TCD. On completion of
the development programme proposed above, total cane crushing capacity of the country will
increase from 21,044 TCD in 1996/97 to 35,294 TCD and sugar production capacity will
increase from 215 thousand tons to nearly 400 thousand tons per annum by 2001/2002. This
will help reduce sugar import. In addition, the proposed three new sugar mills will create
direct employment opportunity for 3,225 persons (1,075 persons in each) and will also bring
about benefits to a large number of people including marginal farmers in areas surrounding
the mills.
14.7.4 Besides the sugar mills, there is a bright prospect for setting up an export oriented
molasses-based distillery having a capacity of 5-6 million litres per annum. This project may
be set up as a joint venture with foreign entrepreneurs who will ensure export of the same.
This will increase the value-addition of molasses which is obtained as a by-product from the
sugar mills and will also create job opportunity for about 200 persons.
14.7.5 Steel and Engineering: The engineering industries produce investment goods which
determine the technological capability and consequently the production level and efficiency
of an economy. The engineering industries are also suppliers of important consumer durables.
This is particularly so in the electrical and transport equipment industries. In the developed
economies, the growth of the subsector generally exceeds that of the manufacturing as a
whole. In the developing economies, on the other hand, the sub-sector lags behind.
14.7.6 Bangladesh has a 'mini' steel plant at Chittagong which has been out of operation for
quite sometime. Its engineering base is very weak despite the fact that the country has a
machine tools factory, a diesel engine manufacturing plant as well as a plant for
manufacturing general electrical equipment. The performance of the sector has not been
satisfactory for various reasons though this is the basic sub-sector for industrial development.
During the first four years of the Fourth Plan (1990-95), the production volume of this sub-
sector showed downward trend because of the low capacity utilisation, low productivity, lack
of investment fund in the public sector, major constraints in the private sector consisting of
demand constraints, inefficient operation of existing units both in the private and public
sectors, dearth of skilled and trained personnel, inadequate R&D, inadequate infrastructures,
inconsistent tariff policies etc.
14.7.7 Under the current industrial policy, the growth of this sub-sector has come to depend
on private sector initiative. In pursuance of the government's privatisation policies, BSEC is
endeavouring to increase the efficiency of the enterprises under its control. Proposals for
financial re-structuring of some of the enterprises are under consideration by the government.
In the meantime BSEC has already issued public shares to the extent of 49 per cent in four of
its enterprises. Again, the remaining 51 per cent shares (held by the government) of the two
enterprises out of the above mentioned four enterprises have been earmarked for sale to the
public. Dhaka Steel Works Ltd. along with two other enterprises (i.e. Quality Iron & Prantik
Traders Ltd.) is under the process of handing over to one of the previous Bangladeshi
shareholders. Besides, seven more enterprises namely, Bangladesh Machine Tools Factory
(BMTF), Bangladesh Diesel Plant, Bangladesh Blade Factory, Bangladesh Can Co. Ltd.
General Electric Mfg. Co. Ltd., Mehar Industries (B) Ltd. and Chittagong Steel Mills Ltd. are
earmarked for outright sale. However, the disinvestment of SOEs is a continuous process and
to be implemented in phases. Keeping in view the importance and prospect of steel,
engineering, ship-building, electrical will be and electronic products, the objectives for the
Fifth Plan of the steel and engineering sub-sector will be to:
324
a. support the agricultural sector with the ultimate objective of transforming the age-old
agricultural practice into a semi-mechanised one;
b. supply capital goods and spares to various sectors of the economy, e.g., agriculture,
power, gas, natural resources, transport, communication, construction as well as
manufacturing sector itself;
c. substantially reduce dependence on import of machinery and essential spares and
components for jute, textile, sugar mills and electronic industries, thereby improving
the balance of payments of the country;
d. strengthen and diversify the existing export structure through production and export of
engineering goods;
e. maximise capacity utilisation of the existing capital intensive industries through
necessary balancing, modernisation, replacement and expansion;
f. provide linkage, through sub-contracting, to light engineering industries throughout
the country and thus create gainful employment opportunities with special emphasis
on rural employment through promotion and development of industries in rural areas;
g. create employment opportunities through development of skills in major sectors like
steel, engineering, ship-building and electronics;
h. accelerate transfer of appropriate technology through establishment of project design
and engineering company and thereby reducing dependence on expatriate
consultants/experts with regard to undertaking feasibility study, project design,
engineering services, etc.; and
i. accelerate research and development activities for consolidating the industrial base as
well as for the development of indigenous technology.
14.7.8 The general development strategies for the steel and engineering sub-sector as a whole
are outlined as follows:
a. consolidation and effective utilisation of existing capacities will be achieved through
planned capacity expansion, product diversification, BMREs and introduction of
additional working shifts;
b. with a view to improving the balance of payments position, reducing dependence on
imports and promoting self reliance, necessary programmes will be undertaken to
diversify the industrial base and to set up import substitute industries for the
progressive manufacture of agricultural equipment, jute textile, sugar, electrical
machinery and equipment as well as their spares and accessories;
c. measures will be taken to develop viable products which are high technology based
and require venture capital for which private investment is not forth coming;
d. a significant feature of the strategy for industrial development in general and for steel
and engineering industries in particular will be to set up projects under joint-venture
with the reputed local/foreign manufacturer mainly to create strong export base and
thereby to improve country’s balance of payments position;
e. new capacity will be created in the areas of steel making, electrical cables and
conductors and basic electronic components manufacturing; and
f. viability of sick projects like Bangladesh Machine Tools Factory, Bangladesh Diesel
Plant and other projects will be restored through improvement of management
capability of the enterprises and also through phasing out of inefficient manpower for
progressive transfer to the private sector.
325
14.8.4 Small and Cottage Industries: Small and cottage industries occupy a unique
position in the economy of Bangladesh. Its contribution to poverty alleviation cannot be
underestimated. During the Fourth Plan, against the projection of 0.4 million employment
generation, 0.35 million job opportunities were created. The contribution of the sub-sector to
the GDP is about 5 per cent. The SCI sector now employs 5 million people directly and
indirectly which accounts for 82 per cent of the total industrial labour force. The agriculture
sector is not likely to provide the required employment opportunity in the long run. The
establishment of large scale industry to offer large scale employment is not considered to be a
feasible option at the moment because of resource constraint. It is, therefore, imperative to
develop means outside the agricultural sector for creation of employment opportunities. The
SCI is an area where large scale employment opportunities exist. Compared to large and
medium industries, the SCI has some inherent advantages; these are:
a. lower capital investment;
326
14.8.7 In view of the objectives and strategies set forth the following projections have been
made for the SCI sector in the Fifth Plan:
a. to increase the SCI sector’s contribution to GDP from 5 per cent to 7.5 per cent; and
b. to create employment opportunities for 0.478 million people.
14.8.8 Programmes: In order to achieve the above objectives a comprehensive programme
for development of small and cottage industries has been proposed. This programme can be
classified into two types - public sector programme and private sector programme. An outlay
of Tk.1,089.89 million has been envisaged for the public sector, while Tk. 125,246.97 million
is earmarked for private sector investment. Of this, credit requirement has been estimated at
Tk.12,800 million including a foreign exchange component of Tk.6,144.4 million during the
Fifth Plan period for setting up small and cottage industries in the private sector.
a. Public Sector Programme: In the public sector a number of projects will be
implemented during the Plan period through investment of Tk.1,089.89 million. Out of
these investment projects, 12 are spill-over projects and the rest will be new projects.
Under technical assistance one project is a spill-over project. Public sector programme
aims at providing infrastructure facilities including common facilities, dyes and
chemicals, credit facilities, training to the entrepreneurs, extension services and
research, market promotion and also self employment facilities for the people. Besides,
some new projects such as development of salt industry in Khulna-Satkhira region,
Women Entrepreneurship Development (4th phase), Skill Development Centre at
Gopalgonj will be established during the Plan period. Bangladesh Small and Cottage
Industries Corporation (BSCIC) has been constantly monitoring the utilisation position
of developed industrial plots in the existing industrial estates. It also takes appropriate
measures to expedite allotment process whenever there is a genuine need. Construction
of any new industrial estate will be undertaken only in response to a clearly
demonstrated demand for it.
b. Private Sector Programme: In the private sector a programme of Tk.125,246.97
million is proposed for investment. The objective of the private sector programme is to
encourage establishment of small and cottage industries in various important areas.
These are: agricultural tools and equipment, affixation pumps, motors and other
equipment, fertiliser and insecticides, dyes and chemicals, leather and rubber products,
rural transport and transportation equipment, sports good and toys, food, fruits and
vegetables, preservation and processing of semi-intensive shrimp culture, fish, poultry
and cattle feed, cotton spinning, textiles, handloom, hosiery and silk products, machine
tools, electrical and electronics equipment and goods, spares and accessories,
intermediate products, dairy supplies and services etc. Also priority will be given to the
development of rural, cottage and handicrafts industries.
14.9 Benchmark Production and Terminal Year Projection for Major Manufactures
14.9.1 Benchmark production of major manufactures and projection of production for the
terminal year of the Fifth Plan are presented in Table 14.14.
328
Table 14.14
Projected Production of Major Industrial Output During
Fifth Plan Period
Items Unit 1996/97 2001/2002
(Base Year) (Terminal Year)
Urea 000 M.T. 2,049.81 2,363.00
T.S.P/S.S.P 000 M.T. 104.18 220.00
Paper, Pulp and Newsprint 000 M.T. 70.00 124.20
Cement 000 M.T. 107.30 233.00
Yarn Production Million KG 113.00 522.00
Cotton Yarn Million KG 75.71 349.74
T.C.& Others Million KG 37.29 172.26
Fabrics Production Million Metre 1,163.00 3,651.00
Cotton Cloth Million Metre 779.21 2,446.17
T.C. & Others Million Metre 383.79 1,204.83
Fabrics for Garments Million Metre 210.00 1,614.00
Cotton Fabrics Million Metre 140.70 1,081.38
T.C. & Others Million Metre 69.30 538.62
Jute Textiles 000 M.T. 435.00 500.00
Hessian 000 M.T. 139.20 160.00
Sacking 000 M.T. 252.30 290.00
C.B.C. 000 M.T. 43.50 50.00
Sugar Million M.T. 0.14 0.23
Spirit 000 Litre 2,500.00 4,000.00
Bus, Truck & Car Nos. 1200 1350
Motor Cycle Nos. 7000 8000
Diesel Engine Nos. 750 4000
Steel Ingot 000 M.T. 21.90 75.00
Table 14.15
Public Sector Investment Outlay for Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices)
(in million Taka)
Agency/sub-sector Spill-over New Projects Total Investment
projects
A. Investment Amount Amount Amount %
Bangladesh Chemical Ind. Corpn. 1,040.00 3,883.37 4,923.37 41.75
Bangladesh Steel & Engg. Ind. Corpn. 150.00 212.00 362.00 3.07
Patent, Design & Trademark - 4.00 4.00 0.03
National Productivity Organisation (NPO) - 6.70 6.70 0.06
Bangladesh Sugar & Food Ind. Corpn. - 297.00 297.00 2.52
BEPZA 500.00 560.48 1,060.48 8.99
BFIDC - 6.26 6.26 0.05
Bangladesh Small & Cottage Ind. Corp. 1,000.00 89.89 1,089.89 9.24
BITAC - 31.79 31.79 0.27
BFDC (Bangladesh Film Dev. Corpn.) - 6.26 6.26 0.05
BIM 10.00 4.85 14.85 0.13
Department of Printing & Stationery 20.00 15.67 35.67 0.30
BJMC 30.00 121.20 151.20 1.28
Department of Jute 150.00 31.30 181.30 1.54
Bangladesh Jute Research Institute - 40.58 40.58 0.34
BTMC 150.00 138.76 288.76 2.45
BHB (Bangladesh Handloom Board) 500.00 34.85 534.85 4.54
Bangladesh Sericulture Board 27.00 58.10 85.10 0.72
Department of Textiles 1,060.00 255.00 1315.00 11.15
Sub-total (A) : 4,637.00 5,798.06 10,435.06 88.48
B. Other Outlay: 115.80 1,242.84 1358.64 11.52
Total (A+B) 4,752.80 7,040.90 11,793.70 100
Table 14.16
Private Sector Investment Outlay During Fifth Plan Period
(at 1996/97 prices)
(in million Taka)
Sl. Sub-sector/Group Outlay
No. Large & Med. Small Cottage Total
Allocation % Allocation % Allocation % Allocation %
1. Food & Allied Industies. 11,544.07 6.65 16,461.44 14.12 1,274.55 14.71 29,280.06 9.80
2. Textile Products. 51,199.23 29.50 40,302.55 34.57 2,463.32 28.43 93,965.10 31.45
3. Jute Products and Allied Industries. 1,903.11 1.10 641.20 0.55 84.92 0.98 2,629.23 0.88
4. Forest Products and other Agro-based 3,804.97 2.19 2,867.93 2.46 1,274.55 14.71 7,947.45 2.66
Industries.
5. Paper, Board, Printing & Publishing 7,673.89 4.42 4,196.97 3.60 169.82 1.96 12,040.68 4.03
and Paper Converting & Packaging.
6. Tannery, Leather and Rubber Products 9,502.85 5.53 3,427.52 2.94 424.56 4.90 13,444.93 4.50
7. Chemical, Pharmaceutical & Allied 40,332.93 23.24 13,162.16 11.29 254.74 2.94 53,749.83 17.99
Industries.
8. Glass, Ceramic & other Non-metallic 5,129.52 2.96 1,014.27 0.87 339.65 3.92 6,483.44 2.17
Mineral Products.
9. Engineering, Electrical & Electronics 14,403.36 8.30 15,890.19 13.63 2,123.67 24.51 32,417.22 10.85
Industries.
10. Service Industries (Warehousing, 15,354.75 8.85 11,564.98 9.92 - - 26,919.73 9.01
Transportation, Construction, etc.)
11. Trade & Industries Promotion: 209.14 0.12 - - - - 209.14 0.07
12. Misc. Industries 12,381.37 7.14 7,053.24 6.05 254.74 2.94 19,689.35 6.59
Total 173,529.19 100 116,582.45 100 8,664.52 100 298,776.16 100
and finishing, export-oriented RMG sub-sector and other textile industry is estimated at
Tk.93,965.10 million and shown in the Table 14.17.
Table 14.17
Projected Investment in Private Sector Textile Industry During Fifth Plan Period
(in million Taka)
Textile Sub-sector 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 1997-02
A. New Capacity Creation
Spinning 9,105.55 9,195.25 9,305.10 9,129.80 8,913.57 45,649.27
Weaving 5,625.10 5,205.35 4,923.20 4,712.20 4,410.52 24,876.37
Dyeing & Finishing 2,712.85 2,203.15 2,512.85 2,610.15 3,056.03 13,695.03
RMG 776.33 785.25 809.25 710.40 623.00 3,704.23
Others * 717.35 718.55 683.85 732.10 588.35 3,440.20
Total (A) 18,937.18 18,707.55 18,234.25 17,894.65 17,591.47 91,365.10
B. BMRE
10 Textile Mills 200.00 150.00 - - - 350.00
Specialised Textiles 350.00 325.00 325.00 325.00 325.00 1,650.00
Total (B) : 550.00 475.00 325.00 325.00 325.00 2,000.00
C. Handloom & Sericulture
Handloom 120.00 120.00 120.00 120.00 120.00 600.00
Total (C) : 120.00 120.00 120.00 120.00 120.00 600.00
Total (A+B+C) 19,607.18 19,302.55 18,679.25 18,339.65 18,036.47 93,965.10
14.11.3 At present there are 31 textile mills in the public sector. Most of them are very old
and technically out-dated to produce good quality yarn and grey fabrics. All the public sector
textile mills are running at loss due to some inherent problems like low capacity utilisation,
irregular repair and maintenance, lack of managerial efficiency, excess manpower, high cost
of production, etc. Thus replacement of machinery to increase production and meet needs for
the export quality fabrics is essential for increased value addition and employment generation
for RMG.
14.11.4 Investment Outlay for Jute Industry: In order to achieve the objectives and goals
of the Fifth Five Year Plan for jute manufacturing industries under the purview of the
Ministry of Jute, an investment outlay of Tk.3,064.57 million at 1996/97 prices has been
provided for; of this Tk.435.34 million has been projected for the public sector and
Tk.2,629.23 million for the private sector. Agency wise financial outlay for public and private
sectors in jute industry including spill-over and new programmes has been shown in
Table14.19.
Table 14.19
Projected Outlay of Jute Industry During Fifth Plan Period
(in million Taka)
Agency On-going New Total Jute Industry
Projects Projects/Programmes
Amount Amount Amount
A. Public Sector
1. Ministry of Jute 56.00 6.26 62.26
2. Bangladesh Jute Mills Corporation 30.00 121.20 151.20
3. Department of Jute 150.00 31.30 181.30
4. Bangladesh Jute Research Institute - 40.58 40.58
Sub-Total (A) 236.00 199.34 435.34
B. PRIVATE SECTOR
1. Bangladesh Jute Mills Association - 1,200.00 1,200.00
2. Bangladesh Jute Spinners Association - 717.77 717.77
Sub-total (B) - 1,917.77 1,917.77
C. Small & Cottage Industries. - 711.46 711.46
Total (A+B+C) 236.00 2,828.57 3,064.57
14.13 Investment and Employment Target of EPZs: During the Fifth Plan
implementation of the policy packages will be closely reviewed and monitored and necessary
support services will be provided to attract investors with the ultimate objective of generating
more employment opportunities in EPZ areas and also to boost up export. The projections
that have been made for the Fifth Plan, with this end in view, are shown in Table 14.21.
Table 14.21
Expected Investment and Employment in EPZs by 2001/2002
Zones No. of Investment Employment Yearly Export
Industries (million US (nos.) (million US dollar)
dollar)
Chittagong EPZ 110 350 50,000 600
Dhaka EPZ 90 300 40,000 500
Gazipur EPZ 150 400 60,000 700
Mongla EPZ 100 300 40,000 500
North Bengal EPZ 90 300 40,000 700
Total 540 1,650 230,000 3,000
Source : Bangladesh Export Promotion Zone Authority (BEPZA)
14.13.1 At the end of Fifth Plan 540 industrial units with a total investment of $ 1,650
million are expected to be established and 230,000 jobs are expected to be created. The yearly
expected export at the terminal year of the Plan is estimated to be $ 3 billion.
14.14 Investment Outlay: An outlay of Tk. 1060.48 million including Tk. 500.00 million
for spill over projects and Tk. 560.48 million for new projects has been provided in the Fifth
Plan for the EPZ sub-sector.
14.15 Trade and Export Promotion: Within the broad framework of the export
development strategy, the main objectives of the export sub-sector are as follows :
a. to develop marketability of exportables through product diversification and
quality improvement;
b. to establish backward linkage with export oriented industries and service sectors
towards utilisation of more local materials;
c. to attract increased number of entrepreneurs for setting up of export oriented
industries and encourage them through incentive packages;
d. to expand and consolidate existing markets and also create new markets for
Bangladeshi exportables; and
e. to further narrow down the gap between export earning and import expenditure
through achievement of export targets.
14.15.1 In order to achieve the aforementioned objectives, the following strategies will be
pursued:
a. remove procedural and regulatory bottlenecks incompatible with the promotion
of exports;
b. provide progressive policy support comparable with those in other competing
countries to enable Bangladeshi exporters to be on a sound footing in
international trade;
c. strengthen and improve institutional framework for providing better services to
the exporters and the export oriented industries;
d. improve supportive infrastructure services to improve efficiency and for smooth
functioning of export related activities;
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14.16.1 Development of industries in the Fifth Plan will be a challenge for the private sector.
If this challenge is successfully met, in the Fifth Plan period, the private enterprise will be the
trail blazer in lifting the economy from the syndrome of poverty and unemployment in the
next two plan periods.
334
335
CHAPTER XV
ENERGY
15.1 Introduction
15.1.1 Energy is essential for promoting living standards. It is a pre-requisite for economic
growth and technological progress. In Bangladesh, per capita generation of electricity in 1995
was only 92 kwh which is lower in comparison to that in neighbouring countries. In view of
the prevailing low generation and consumption of energy, efforts should be made to develop
this sector in such a way that the needs of all sectors can be met adequately, efficiently and
economically.
15.1.2 Electricity demand grew at an average rate of 11 per cent per annum during 1972-94;
per capita generation increased from 15.6 kwh in 1973 to 92 kwh in 1995. Notwithstanding,
the progress made to date, only about 15 per cent population have access to electricity.
15.2 Review of Past Development
15.2.1 During the War of Liberation, power installations suffered extensive damage. As a
result, at the worst case, peak demand dropped to 30 MW from the pre-liberation level of 225
MW (1970). So, after independence the immediate problem was rehabilitation of power
supply. By the end of 1972-73, a rehabilitation and development programme was undertaken
in the First Five Year Plan (1973-78). However, because of the shortage of fund the
programme was carried over to the Two Year Plan (1978-80). Several projects, initiated
before the Liberation War were completed and a number of new projects were undertaken
during the periods. As a result, installed generation capacity increased to 822 MW from 545
MW, while the peak demand rose to 462 MW from 222 MW.
Table 15.1
Power Development During 1972-96
(year ending June)
Items 1972 1973 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 1996
Installed Capacity (MW) 550 608 752 822 1,141 2,352 2,908 2,908
Effective Generation (MW) 469 455 557 625 1,018 1,834 2,133 2,105
Maximum Demand (MW) 183 222 396 462 887 1,509 1,970 2,087
230 kV Transmission Line (Km) - - - - 179 250 419 419
132 kV Transmission Line (Km) 828 828 1,395 1596 1,971 2,235 2,469 3,017
66 kV Transmission Line (Km) 167 167 167 167 167 167 167 167
Distribution Line(Km) (33 kv & below) 9,010 9,686 17,003 20,256 34,796 69,731 103,540 121,817
No. of Consumers 254,584 277,884 403,518 529,660 848,152 1,670,137 2,766,765 3,090,829
Per Capita Generation (kwh) 15.6 22.9 27 46 70 92 95
15.2.2 To reduce the gap between demand and generation capacity, the Second Plan (1980-
85) undertook a rapid expansion programme. The most important achievement during this
period was the construction of the East-West electrical inter-connector which enabled the
transfer of gas-based low cost power from the east to the west. Five power generation plants
having a total installed capacity of 330 MW were completed during this period. But
generation capacity still lagged behind the demand. The main constraint to the expansion of
power supply was shortfall of resources coupled with a huge system loss and a slow response
to tariff adjustment against rising fuel cost. By the end of the Second Plan, the system loss
stood at 37.5 per cent. An investment programme of Tk. 14,370 million at 1979/80 prices was
undertaken. The actual investment was Tk. 20,970 million at current prices. The Second Plan
also pursued a policy of substituting imported fuel by natural gas. A significant progress was
made in this direction. By the end of 1984/85, total number of electricity consumers stood at
about 964,000 compared with 522,000 in 1979/80. Table 15.1 shows the progress of power
development in the country during 1972-96.
336
Table 15.2
Targets and Achievements of Power Sector During Fourth Plan
measures brought some improvement, but not up to the expectation. The system loss of
BPDB, REB and DESA came down to 22.54 per cent, 15.04 per cent and 30.00 per cent
respectively in June 1995. These figures are based on generation/purchase and sale of energy
by individual entities. In June 1995, BPDB's gross generation was 10,806 million units and
sale was 8,371 million units. Purchase and sale by DESA in the same period were 4,162 and
2,913 million units respectively, and by REB 1,199 and 1,018 million units respectively. This
warrants considerable improvement in this area.
15.5.5 System imbalance : System balance could not be ensured during the Fourth Plan.
Because of non-availability of loan from development partners, the on-going projects
suffered. No new power projects (except those under suppliers’ credit) could also be started
and the scheduled rehabilitation programme of some existing power stations could not be
undertaken. The expansion and distribution system as envisaged in the original Plan
document also slowed down. Some surplus generation capacity could not be utilised fruitfully
due to bottlenecks in the grid-stations/sub-stations and shortage of gas supply.
15.5.6 System reliability : Five Power stations with a total generation capacity of 581 MW
were put into operation during the Plan period. A few units were also put into operation after
rehabilitation in the terminal year. Still there was shortage of generation capacity.
Consequently, load-shedding was resorted to. The annual load-shedding duration ranged
from 113 hours in 1991 to 763 hours in 1995. The total load-shedding over the Plan period
was 2,844 hours (6.49 per cent of total duration of the Plan period), i.e., on an average about
24 days per year. The reason for load shed of DESA was tremendous load growth in the
industrial and commercial sectors. As a result, the system reliability during the Plan period
was not satisfactory.
15.6 Power Sector Reforms
15.6.1 An inter-ministerial working group was constituted on the 3rd February, 1993 to
review the necessity and feasibility of private investment (along with public sector) in the
power sector. It transpired to the working group that mere private investment in power
generation is not the solution for the power sector to come out of the whole gamut of
problems and deficiencies in the sector. Given the magnitude of the inefficiencies and the
sector's large capital requirement, the working group felt that there was a need to undertake
basic reforms to address fundamental problems in the sector. The working group reviewed
operational, structural and other deficiencies of the sector, examined various options with
regard to reforms and emphasised the necessity for private investment and participation on an
equal footing in the power sector and finally recommended the reform programme to be
undertaken.
15.6.2 Institutional issues : Power generation and its supply have remained a state
monopoly. The government owns, operates and regulates the power sector entities. This has
sometimes resulted in overlapping and undemarcated responsibilities with lack of
accountability in terms of sector entities, operational performance and service standards. As a
result, the performance of the utilities remained far from satisfactory.
15.6.3 The responsibilities for generation, transmission and a large part of distribution of
electricity are integrated and vested in the same authority. This makes it difficult to identify
the areas of poor performance. All policy decisions/approvals involving planning and
installation of additional plants, recruitment of personnel, pay and allowances, major
procurement and rehabilitation are taken by the administrative ministry. Both BPDB and
339
DESA carryout execution. Opening up generation for the private sector, keeping transmission
and distribution facilities in the public sector does not really attract private investment.
15.6.4 Management issues : Major impediments to BPDB's and DESA's efficient operations
include lack of management and commercial independence and an unclear definition of the
corporate structure and responsibilities.
15.6.5 Lack of accountability and discipline among the employees of BPDB and DESA are
major constraints. Rivalry of trade unions affiliated to different political parties makes the
environment even more difficult in BPDB and DESA. Incentive/punishment schemes have
been introduced in both the entities to improve the situation but the results remain yet to be
seen and marked.
15.6.6 The performance of management of PBS(REB) has been better. This can be partly
attributed to transparent operating procedures that were designed before the formation of the
organisation. There is no labour union in REB/PBSs. There is no incentive for good
performance and also no punishment for the poor performers as the PBS is based on
cooperatives.
15.6.7 Financial and economic issues : The present tariff level is low in relation to the
financial requirements of the operating entities. BPDB's present average tariff is only about
61 per cent of the long run marginal cost (LRMC). Further, both PDB and DESA provide
implicit subsidies to the PBSs through a bulk supply tariff which is about 52 per cent of
LRMC. All these adversely affect the financial viability of the utilities. Some categories of
consumers enjoy low tariff at the cost of those in the productive sector.
15.6.8 Since the power supplying entities have turned to be financially non-profitable
because of inadequate tariffs, high system loss and low collections, investment from own
resources as well as from the development partners has become insignificant. The fund
requirements in the power sector are large but there are competing demands on government
resources constraining public investment in this sector. During the Fourth Plan period, the
estimated investment need was Tk. 69 billion at 1990 constant prices, against which the
allocation was only Tk. 45 billion. The investment requirement in power sector (both public
and private) during the Fifth Plan period is estimated at Tk. 117.36 billion at 1996/97
constant prices.
15.6.9 Technical issues : Power supply is constrained by shortage in generation capacity and
inadequate transmission and distribution system. The problem has been compounded by the
shortage of gas supply. As a result, BPDB has to shed loads during peak hours through out
the country.
15.6.10 REB was created to extend distribution of electricity to the rural areas through PBSs.
However, in absence of a clear-cut demarcation of service areas, problems have arisen in the
transfer of 33/11 kv sub-station lines and consumers from BPDB and DESA to the PBSs.
Further, in areas served by PBSs, there are still 'pockets' of urban centres that are still served
by BPDB/DESA.
15.7 Operational Performance During 1995/96 and 1996/97
15.7.1 During the period of July ’95 to June ’97 no new generation capacity was added to the
system, that is the installed capacity remained at 2908 MW, the same as of 1994/95. The
Barisal- Patuakhali 132 kv line (37 km) was energised during this period. A total of 2366 km
distribution line (33 kv, 11 kv & below ) was added to the system raising the length of the
340
portions of the utility's assets (e.g., a generating plant, a portion of the distribution network,
etc.). It is essential that regardless of ownership (public or private), the utility has complete,
detailed and up-to-date information on the cost of owning and operating the various parts of
its business. No reform is possible without the establishment of separate cost centres for all
identifiable and separable parts of the utility.
15.9.2 Unbundling : Once a decision is taken on the establishment of the cost centres, the
next set of options to look at will be the structure of the utility (also known as unbundling).
The utilities can be restructured (or unbundled) along functional lines with generation,
transmission and distribution being operated by separate entities. For example, BPDB can be
restructured into separate entities - one handling generation, another operating the
transmission system, and a separate and independent company responsible only for
distribution. This has recently been introduced in the UK. Only in high state of development,
this system can work. Alternatively, distribution can be handled by four zones within the
BPDB while DESA and REB/PBSs can continue to operate the distribution system in their
respective areas. In this event, rationalisation of distribution entities will be needed. PBSs
may operate as they are doing now under their area boards. A further alternative will be to
separate the generation and transmission functions from distribution and operated by a single
company (eg; Thailand). The principal advantage of restructuring along functional lines will
be in appraising cost of generation, transmission and distribution separately which can be
reflected in contracts between the functional entities. In addition, if the power sector is
structured around functional areas, it will attract private capital to one or more of these
functions where the expected returns will be high or the risks relatively low. For instance,
while the private entrepreneurs may not like to invest in the existing utilities as a whole, they
may wish to invest in new generation facilities. It is assumed, however, that an enabling
investment environment which includes a detailed and transparent legal and regulatory
framework will be in place to encourage and attract private investment. Investments by the
private sector will allow the government to divert funds to meet other socially pressing
objectives.
15.9.3 Following the decision to establish cost/profit centres and restructuring the entities
along functional lines, the logical next step will be to corporatise the new entities. For each
new functional entity, a company can be formed as a public limited company with a clear
demarcation of the roles and responsibilities of the government (ownership), the board of
directors (policy and monitoring), and the management of the company (operations). The
board members should be appointed for fixed terms (with a possibility for renewal). Some of
the Board members, including the chairman, should be from the private sector and
compensated properly in accordance with private sector practices. The board should appoint
the senior managers of the company and delegate to them full managerial autonomy for their
day-to-day operations. Through performance contracts, the board (and through them the
managers) should be held accountable for efficient operations.
15.9.4 Corporatisation is normally a preparatory step for increased private participation.
While there are many ways to achieve this, the most common one can be through the sale of
shares in the company. The advantage of this, at least from the government's standpoint, is
that while the government continues to retain control of the companies, private capital is
mobilised to support the government's development objectives for the sector. However, in
order to attract private capital in this manner, it is essential that a capital market exists and
that these companies are properly managed and earn a reasonable return on their investments.
Another frequently used method for increasing private participation is to contract out specific
342
activities of the utility to private entrepreneurs or to offer long-term franchises to manage and
operate some portions of the utility's assets.
15.9.5 With successful corporatisation and gradual increase in private participation, the final
step to be considered in the reform process is the full privatisation. For an existing utility, this
will mean an outright sale of its assets. For expansion of the system, this can take several
forms such as build-own-operate (BOO) scheme, hire/purchase agreements, etc.
15.9.6 An important point to consider, prior to starting the reform process, is the need to
create an appropriate and transparent regulatory system. It should preferably be in place prior
to the unbundling exercise so that the system grows along with the implementation of the
reform process, while facilitating the same.
15.10 Recommended Reform Programme
15.10.1 In order to overcome the constraints encountered in the viable/desirable operation of
the power sector and to achieve the objectives enumerated above, various options to reforms
can be considered. Options for reform will be concentrated on the following areas:
15.10.2 Restructuring of DESA : The corporatised entity should be endowed with
appropriate management and financial autonomy and commercial independence so that
accountability and monitoring of performance can be ensured and improved.
15.10.3 The new company should have its own terms and conditions of employment and
have the right to select employees. The present employees of DESA who do not get employed
in this restructured company should be provided with appropriate severance package.
15.10.4 Restructuring of BPDB : BPDB should be restructured along the functional lines.
In the first phase, the functions of generation and transmission should be separated from those
of distribution of electricity and two separate corporatised entities, one for carrying out
generation and transmission functions and the other for carrying out distribution functions in
those areas that are now being served by BPDB, should be established. These two (new)
public limited companies should be formed under the existing Company Act and the
ownership should remain with the government. These new companies will have the same
features as those of the company to be created out of DESA as described above. In the longer
term, generation and transmission functions may also be needed to be separated.
15.10.5 Rural electrification : The rural electrification programme through the co-
operatives has been fairly successful and, therefore, should continue without changing the
structure. However, its area of operation should be rationalised with that of the proposed
distribution companies so that duplication of investment can be avoided, services can be
improved and the utilities may become viable. The recent government decisions on the
demarcation of service areas of BPDB, REB and DESA should be reviewed and the following
criteria may be considered for rationalisation of distribution areas:
a. The supply area should be continuous and one utility should not have pockets of
supply areas within another utility, so that optimum utilisation of distribution
facilities may be ensured and manpower for operation and maintenance may be
reduced.
b. The supply area should be of sufficient size to facilitate planning of efficient
distribution network.
c. The utilities/distribution units should have a good consumer mix.
343
15.10.6 Regulatory framework and change of laws : With the present undifferentiated role
of the government as owner, operator and regulator, there is a little regulation with respect to
sector entities performance standards and service codes. On the other hand, the tariffs are not
adequately related to economic and financial requirements. Recommendations have been
made to separate the operation on commercial basis and to attract private investment. In order
that the consumers are ensured of an adequate supply of electricity at a reasonable cost, the
operational safety is ensured and the power utilities remain economically and financially
viable, an independent regulatory body should be established. To begin with, the regulatory
body may be attached with the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (MEMR). The
regulatory tasks should include, among others, the following :
a. framing of rules and codes of practice for operation and maintenance;
b. establishment of performance standards and uniform system of accounts;
c. approval of construction standards for safe installation;
d. approval of tariffs;
e. ensuring enforcement of industry standards, public safety, as set forth under (a),
(b) and (c) as well as demand management; and
f. issuing exclusive service franchises to the distribution companies, either public
or private, and license to private generators.
This will require the existing laws creating the BPDB and DESA as well as the Electricity Act
to be amended.
15.10.7 Tariff regulation : Tariffs are inadequately related to economic and financial
criteria. BPDB/DESA are financially burdened with the cost of providing subsidised
electricity supply to PBSs, the size of lifeline block is excessive, and their tariff adjustment
process is ad hoc and non-transparent.
15.10.8 To support the development of a viable and self-sustaining power industry in
Bangladesh, tariff setting needs to be rationalised, which can be achieved by having a
regulatory body with the clear terms of reference. This regulatory body (initially attached to
MEMR) will set tariffs in accord with explicit economic and financial criteria. Specifically,
the following aspects will need to be addressed :
a. Tariffs : In view of the possible formation of separate generation, transmission and
distribution companies, a tariff study should be carried out on long run marginal cost
basis to find out the cost of supply at different voltage levels, at various geographical
locations and consumer classes. The tariff study will also design the structure
including retail tariffs considering social aspects but avoiding distortion as much as
possible. The size of the present lifeline block is too large. It should be either reduced
to restrict its application to poor consumers or totally abolished.
b. Transparency : To improve financial discipline, transparency in financial relations
and to measure the true financial relationships between the generation/ transmission/
distribution companies, subsidies between various categories of utility companies
should be made more explicit. Eventually, any such subsidy to PBSs or for meeting
public service obligations, if justified, should be funded by the government.
c. Indexation : To reduce uncertainty and ensure predictability, the regulatory body may
consider indexed rate regulation. One major advantage of indexed regulation is that,
after the initial or base prices are established, adjustments occur virtually
automatically in accordance with some defined index (e.g., fuel prices, currency
values, discounted inflation rate, etc.) that have been approved by the regulatory body.
344
15.10.9 Private participation : In view of the large capital requirement in the power sector
and limitations of government fund, private sector investment will be necessary for rapid
development of the power sector. In order to attract private sector participation, actions on the
following fronts should be taken:
a. Generation : Specific power generation projects identified at the national level
will be offered for private investment. Competitive tenders on the basis of Build-
Own-Operate (BOO) or Build, Operate and Transfer (BOT) will be invited. The
government may also negotiate with the private parties who will express interest in
investing in generation projects.
b. Distribution : The government will invite private parties, including co-operative
societies of the utility sector employees, to participate in the distribution of power
in one or more localities on an experimental basis. In doing so, careful evaluation
of various proven modalities for participation (e.g., franchise, contract, etc.) will
have to be made.
c. Contracting of services : The government will consider contracting out some
functions currently performed by BPDB and DESA, particularly meter reading,
billing and collections.
d. Wheeling arrangement : The electricity generated by private generators may be
supplied to the grid system of the Generation and Transmission Company on
agreed terms and conditions. The private/public generators may also sell directly to
large consumers through the transmission and distribution facilities of other
distribution companies provided the facilities are adequate and the commercial
terms and conditions of such wheeling arrangements are acceptable to all
concerned.
15.10.10 Some of the steps already initiated/implemented towards privatisation and reform
programmes are briefly outlined below:
a. Implementation of power sector reform : Power sector reform programmes are
being implemented. Some of the proposed reform programmes have already been
initiated by the utilities. Power Cell has already prepared the Private Sector Power
Generation Policy of Bangladesh which was approved by the government. The Cell
has also prepared standard security package document, that is, Implementation
Agreement (IA), Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) and Fuel Supply Agreement
(FSA) for Independent Power Projects. A study on re-structuring of the power
sector has also been completed and a final report with recommendation of reforms
proposed to be undertaken has been prepared. A new tariff structure based on long
run marginal cost of supply in the restructured electricity industry has been
proposed to be implemented.
b. Power grid company of Bangladesh : PGCB, a subsidiary company under BPDB
has been set up. Initially, it will build, own and operate the Comilla-Meghnaghat-
Rampura and Meghnaghat-Haripur 230 kV transmission line and related grid
substations. In course of time, all transmission assets of BPDB will be transferred
to PGCB.
c. Dhaka electric supply company : DESC, a new distribution company has been
set up under Dhaka Electric Supply Authority. DESC will own and operate assets
for the distribution network initially at Mirpur and in course of time all of DESA's
distribution assets will be transferred to DESC.
345
projected peak demand, generation capability and reserve margin up to FY 2002 are shown in
the Table 15.4.
Table 15.4
Projected Maximum Demand for Power During Fifth Plan
Year Maximum Generation Firm Reserve Reserve Margin as
Demand Capability Capacity Margin per cent of Max.
(MW) (MW) (MW) (MW) Demand (%)
1997/1998 2806 2813 2352 7 -
1998/1999 3109 3464 2983 355 11.42
1999/2000 3447 4342 3681 895 25.96
2000/2001 3736 5156 4196 1420 38.00
2001/2002 4051 5739 4779 1688 41.67
15.17.2 This projected maximum demand of 4051 MW will call for total generating
capability of 5739 MW including reserve margin of 1688 MW by 2001/2002. A total of 3319
MW generation capacity is planned to be added to the system raising the installed capacity to
5875 MW. This will need an investment of around Tk. 100,000 million which can only be
possible if the private sector power investors participate in power generation. Following
completion of 8 projects already undertaken by the public sector ( SL. 1-5, Table 15.5),
capacity addition in the public sector during the Plan period will be 1389 MW only. This will
leave a capacity gap of 1930 MW. This gap is expected to be filled up by private sector/ joint
venture investments. In case, the private sector does not come forward in time, alternative
ways and means will be devised in the shortest possible time to meet the anticipated demand.
Table 15.5
Projected Capacity Addition to Power Generation During Fifth Plan
Sl. Name of the Power Plant Fuel Capacity Expected date
No. MW of
commissioning
A PUBLIC SECTOR
1. 210 MW Ghorasal Thermal Power Station Extension (6th Gas 210 March, 1998
unit)
2. 210 MW Siddhirganj Thermal Power Station Gas 210 March, 2000
3. 109 MW Haripur Combined Cycle Power Plant Gas 109 March, 2000
4. 60 MW Shahjibazar Gas Turbine Gas 60 FY 2000
5. 210MW Chittagong Thermal Power Station (2nd unit) Gas 210 September
1997
6. Sylhet 90 MW Combined Cycle Power Plant ( 2nd unit) Gas 90 FY 2001
7. Barapukuria 300 MW Coal Based Thermal Power Station Coal 300 FY 2001-2002
8. East Zone 2×100 MW Gas Turbine Gas 200 FY 2001-2002
Sub total : A 1389
B. PRIVATE SECTOR/ JT. VENTURE
1. 4×100 MW Barge Mounted Power Plant Oil/Gas 400 FY 1999
2. Mymensingh 60 MW Gas Turbine Gas 60 FY 1999
3. 100 MW Baghabari Gas Turbine Oil/Gas 100 FY 2000
4. Meghnaghat 450 MW Combined Cycle Power Station Gas 450 FY 2001
5. Haripur 360 MW Combined Cycle Power Station Gas 360 FY 2000
6. 210 MW Khulna Thermal Power Station F. Oil/Gas 210 FY 2002
7. 350 MW Power plants in west zone Gas 350 FY 2000-2002
Sub total : B 1930
Grand total : (A+B) 3319
350
15.18.4 Like the transmission sub-sector, thrust has been given to the distribution sub-sector
in the Fifth Plan. Importance has been given to town distribution projects as well as the rural
electrification projects. The secondary town distribution projects aim at meeting the fast
growing demand in the urban areas, improving reliability and quality of supply and reducing
system loss. In the distribution programme 7 on-going projects and 3 new projects of BPDB,
11 on-going and 7 new projects of REB, and 5 on-going and 2 new projects of DESA have
been included in the Plan period.
15.18.5 The physical programme for the Fifth Plan aims at achieving a transmission line of
1408 km under BPDB and 66 km under DESA, and distribution line of 5,377 km under
BPDB, 50,000 km under REB and 3714 km under DESA. The details of physical projections
are shown in Table 15.7.
Table 15.7
Summary of Physical Projections for Power Sector During Fifth Plan Period
Agency Particulars Bench Mark Projection (1998-2002)
Position (Additional) Cumulative
(1996/97) Position
BPDB Capability (MW) 2,148 3,319 5,739 *
Transmission line (km)
230 kv 419 627 1,046
132 kv 2,506 781 3,287
Substation capacity (MVA) 6,505 1,940 8,445
Distribution line (kv) 33 kv and 37,059 5,377 42,436
below
Consumer connection (No.) 1,250,000 3,00,000 1,550,000
Table 15.8
Agency-wise Public Sector Financial Outlay For Power Development
(at 1996/97 prices)
( in million Taka)
Name of Agency Local Currency Project Aid Total
A: Spill over projects
BPDB 7290 17648 24938
REB 2891 6505 9396
DESA 3466 5080 8546
Sub-total 13647 29233 42880
B: New projects
BPDB 7555 17683 25238
REB 6731 8410 15141
DESA 2153 2949 5102
Sub-total 16439 29042 45481
Total (A+B) 30086 58275 88361
15.19.2 In addition to ADP financing, resources will be raised through bonds to finance
implementation of projects by PDB, DESA and REB.
15.19.3 The private sector is also expected to make substantial investment (to the tune of Tk.
29,000.00 million) both in generation and distribution of power during the Fifth Plan period.
Of this amount, about 80 per cent is expected to be in generation and 20 per cent in
transmission and distribution.
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CHAPTER XVI
16.1 Introduction
16.1.1 Indigenous energy resources consist of known reserves of natural gas, limited hydro-
electric power and traditional fuels coming from fuelwood, crop residuals and animal dung.
About 55 per cent of the country's overall energy supply is in the form of traditional fuels
with the balance being met by natural gas (24 per cent), imported oil and coal (19 per cent)
and hydro-electricity (2 per cent).
16.1.2 The present per-capita consumption of non-renewable energy resources in Bangladesh
is about 64 Kilogram of Oil Equivalent (KGOE) which is one of the lowest in the world. Per-
capita energy use in KGOE is 123 in Sri Lanka, 236 in India and 267 in Pakistan. Of the total
non-renewable energy consumption, about 60 per cent is derived at present from indigenous
resources and the rest is met from imported petroleum and coal. Moreover, the entire reserves
of exploitable indigenous primary energy resources are located in the east zone, thereby
resulting in a gap in energy supply between the east and west zones. Mining of newly found
coal in the west zone is expected to start by the turn of the century which will help reduce the
gap partially. Of the various natural resources available, natural gas in particular :
a. supplies primary commercial energy for electricity generation to accelerate the pace of
agricultural and industrial development and reduces the kitchen drudgery at the level
of individual households;
b. helps in narrowing the deficit in the balance of payments by reducing import bill for
oil, coal, etc.;
c. mobilises resources for the national exchequer; and
d. provides raw materials for the production of urea fertiliser and fuel for electricity
generation.
16.1.3 The development of the oil and gas sector is vital for further strengthening of the
national economy. Expansion of the energy sector since the 1980's is mainly attributed to
increased natural gas production. Currently, natural gas accounts for about 70 per cent of the
commercial energy consumption compared to about 35 per cent in 1980. The development of
Bangladesh's natural gas resources has also contributed to the reduction in deforestation and
to an increase in tax revenue for the government through the levies on gas sales. During
1985-1992, gas production increased at an average annual rate of about 10 per cent. It is
estimated that minimum growth rate of about 10 per cent per annum in gas production will be
required to meet the average GDP growth target of 7 per cent per annum during the Fifth
Plan period. However, the existing gas infrastructure has limited capacity and needs to be
expanded as per requirement. Additional investment is, therefore, required to enable
Bangladesh to utilise its available gas reserves and to increase exploration activities for new
gas and oil fields. For further long-term gas supply commitments, particularly for the planned
power plants, the government is encouraging private sector participation in the oil and gas
exploration activities through the Production Sharing Contract (PSC) with the International
Oil Companies.
354
Patharia well was spudded in 1989. The well was designed to be drilled down to a depth of
5,000 metres. However, due to several changes in casing points and hole deviation, it could
reach only down to 3,438 metres. Then the drilling was terminated for deterioration of casing
due to frequent reaming, slow drilling rate and risk factor in continuation of drilling.
16.2.6 Oil : Exploration activities carried out so far could not discover any significant oil
deposit. The only oil deposit so far discovered in the country is in Haripur which produced a
total of about 0.65 million barrels of crude oil till 1994. The oil production has since ceased
because of reduction of pressure and influx of water in the oil zone. Comprehensive
exploration efforts need to be mounted in this field.
16.2.7 Coal : Discovery of coal dates back to late fifties, when an exploratory oil well was
drilled through coal beds in Bogra. Subsequent explorations resulted in the discovery of the
Jamalgonj coal deposit at a depth of about 1,000 metres from the ground level and having an
estimated reserve of more than 1,000 million tons of coal. Feasibility studies have indicated
that the development of this deposit is not yet feasible under the prevailing international
market price. However, with the increase in gas price, these deposits may become
competitive. After evaluation of a detailed geological and geophysical survey, Geological
Survey of Bangladesh (GSB) identified 13 locations in the region of greater Rangpur and
Dinajpur districts as the prospective basins for coal exploration. Exploratory wells were
drilled in 5 basins out of which high quality bituminous coal deposits were found in 3 basins.
In addition, BHP, a foreign company, also discovered a coal reserve in one basin. In 1984/85,
Geological Survey of Bangladesh located another coal deposit at Khalashpir (Pirgonj) of
Rangpur district at a shallower depth (150 metres), with an estimated reserve of 450 million
tons of coal. This deposit requires to be appraised in respect of its potential.
16.2.8 Besides, minable coal deposit was also discovered in Barapukuria area of Parbatipur,
Dinajpur at a reasonably shallow depth (240 metres) with an estimated reserve of about 300
million tons. Based on this, a project for construction of an underground mine has been
undertaken at an estimated investment of Tk. 8,873.60 million to produce an annual output of
1 million tons commencing from 2000/01. Recently, another coal deposit has been discovered
by Geological Survey of Bangladesh in Dighirpara area of Dinajpur district covering an area
of about 15 sq. km. As only one well has been drilled, the actual deposit of coal could not yet
be determined.
16.2.9 The GSB has planned to conduct comprehensive exploration activities by the year
2000 in the following seven basins :
a. Badargonj-II (Rangpur)
b. Basudevpur (Rangpur)
c. Barapukuria-I (Dinajpur)
d. Barapukuria-II (Dinajpur)
e. Daudpur (Dinajpur)
f. Dongapara (Dinajpur)
g. Shamnagar (Dinajpur).
16.2.10 Peat : Deposits of peat occur at shallow depths in different low lying areas of
Bangladesh. According to the Geological Survey of Bangladesh, the reserve of dry peat is
about 170 million tons. The major deposits are in greater districts of Faridpur (150 million
tons), Khulna (8 million tons) and Sylhet (13 million tons). Peat requires drying before
making briquettes for use as fuel. A pilot project for extraction of peat and making briquettes
356
was implemented by Petrobangla, but the results were not encouraging and extraction was
assessed as economically not viable. However, in future, this resource may be viable as and
when prices of other fuels rise.
16.2.11 Hardrock and Limestone : Hardrock was discovered by GSB in Madhyapara area
of Dinajpur District in 1964 at a depth of 285 metres from surface. An agreement was signed
with North Korea in 1993 for the opening of an underground hardrock mine with a target
production of 1.6 million tons per annum. The hardrock mine is expected to come into
operation by the year 2000/01. Madhyapara hardrock will be used for river training , heavy
construction work, railway ballast, highway, etc. The granite slabs excavated from this mine
can also be used as polished tiles and pavings. Presently these are imported. Considerable
import substitution and increased revenue earning may, therefore, be expected from this rock.
Limestone has been found at Joypurhat and some other places of Sylhet district. The
production of sub-surface limestone of Joypurhat is yet to materialise.
important developments during the period were the activation of Bakhrabad gas field to
supply gas to Chittagong area and connection of this field with the Titas system by a new
transmission line near Dhaka. Transmission system was expanded by 307 km altogether
which enabled gas supply to rise from 44.5 BCF in 1979/80 to 94.6 BCF in 1984/85. The
share of gas in commercial energy rose from 37 per cent in 1979/80 to 56 per cent in 1984/85.
At the end of the Plan period, 240,000 customers were given gas connection against the target
of 258,000 customers which raised the total gas connection to 359,400 customers in the year
1984/85.
16.3.5 The country continued to be entirely dependent on imported POL. The total quantum
of POL product consumed during the Second Plan was 6.8 million tons at an average rate of
about 1.4 million tons per year. Of this, about 70 per cent was derived from imported crude
oil refined at the Eastern Refinery Ltd. (ERL) and the rest, the middle distillates like diesel
and kerosene were imported. ERL also set up an LPG recovery plant with a designed capacity
of 17,000 tons per annum. Production of LPG was 7,000 tons in the year 1984/85. At the end
of the period, the economics of ERL were upset by the fall in world oil price. As spot
purchases of POL products became cheaper, refining of crude through ERL was reduced to
below 1 million tons against its capacity of 1.5 million tons. Moreover, naphtha was exported
at a cheap price when some middle distillates were being imported at a higher cost. So a study
was undertaken for ascertaining the feasibility of secondary conversion of some of the ERL
products into more needed middle distillates. The drop in world prices, however, helped BPC
to improve its financial position as the domestic prices of POL products remained unchanged
and BPC was able to make up its past losses.
16.3.6 During this period, about 1,025 sq. km of geological mapping, 2,560 sq. km of
geological surveys, 1,520 km of drilling and 3,000 geochemical analyses were completed. A
new shallow depth coal deposit at Dinajpur was discovered as a result of geological survey
during this period.
16.3.7 An amount of Tk.6,150 million (at 1979/80 prices) was allocated to the sector in the
Plan while the actual expenditure amounted to Tk. 9,550 million. The excess expenditure
was met from Petrobangla's own resources.
Third Five Year Plan (1985-90)
16.3.8 The Third Plan envisaged to maximise the use of natural gas to reduce pressure from
fuel import bill, explore the major gas fields to assess the proven reserves, conduct
exploration for oil and gas, construct transmission and distribution lines to provide additional
gas to various customers, improve product-mix of Eastern Refinery and conduct survey for
mineral discoveries. In order to achieve these objectives, the Plan set a target to drill 18
development/appraisal wells and 5 exploration wells for hydrocarbon and construct 3,760 km
of transmission and distribution lines. It was planned that the oil consumption would be
contained within 1.6 million tons in 1989/90. GSB envisaged to continue extensive
geological mapping and survey works including drilling of 6 more boreholes to delineate the
Barapukuria coal deposit during the Plan period .
16.3.9 During the Third Plan, 16 out of 18 planned development/appraisal wells were drilled,
2,700 km transmission and distribution lines out of planned 3,760 kms were constructed and
only 2 out of 5 exploration wells were completed. During the Plan period, additional gas
connections were given to 165,600 customers as against the target of 160,000. Gas supply
was raised from 94.6 BCF in 1984/85 to 165 BCF in 1989/90. Oil consumption and hence the
358
import bill could not be contained on account of underestimation in demand projections and
lagging behind of the expected substitution of diesel and kerosene through rural
electrification and other programmes. The addition of a secondary conversion plant to Eastern
Refinery could not even be initiated. Physical activities of GSB were almost completed
which included drilling of 6 boreholes for coal exploration. Training courses to 500
professionals and technicians of BOGMC, GSB etc. were provided by Bangladesh Petroleum
Institute under the Plan . The discovery of oil in sylhet gas field in December, 1986 and the
discovery of a large coal field at Khalashpir, Rangpur at a depth of 250 meters in April, 1989
were two remarkable achievements during the Plan period.
16.3.10 Out of the total allocation of Tk. 13,150 million, the amount utilised was about Tk.
12,000 million during the Plan period in the public sector. Besides the public sector, Tk.
1,250 million was spent for hydrocarbon exploration by two IOCs.
that the total figured at 7,950 km. Concomitant with the growth of the network, customer
connections also grew rapidly. The Plan envisaged an addition of 195,000 new connections to
bring the total to 600,000. Actual number of connection to customers reached 631,710 by the
end of the Plan period.
16.3.17 Development Projects : During the Plan period, a total of 16 projects were
completed, of which 10 were investment projects and 6 were technical assistance projects.
These projects together created employment opportunity for about 800 persons during
implementation and about 650 persons during operation. The oil and gas sub-sector
contributed Tk. 36,000 million to the government in the form of CD/VAT, corporate tax,
dividend, etc. during the Plan period.
16.3.18 Plan Allocation : Against a Plan allocation of Tk.23,980 million the actual
utilisation was Tk. 15,320 million which was about 64 per cent of the Plan allocation and 80
per cent of RADP allocation.
on various aspects of exploration, production and development of oil and gas fields, safety
and management. BPI also sent abroad 7 of its professionals on short courses and on the job
training (4 to 8 weeks) and 3 of its professionals on long term courses including post
graduation. It also procured books, a number of training aides and class room tools to
facilitate its training activities. BPI was allocated Tk. 154.60 million out of which Tk. 113.90
million (73.69 per cent) was utilised.
16.3.24 Sectoral Allocation and Utilisation During Fourth Plan : A total of Tk. 30,250.00
million at current prices was allocated to the oil, gas and mineral resources sector, out of
which Tk. 22,800 million was released through RADP. The actual utilisation was Tk.
18,936.30 million during the Plan period which was 62.6 per cent of the Plan allocation and
83 per cent of RADP allocation.
16.4 Performance During 1995/96 and 1996/97
16.4.1 The OGNR sector is highly important in determining the growth prospect of the
economy. Over the two year period, the major objectives in this sector were to ensure a
reliable and uninterrupted supply of commercial energy, mostly natural gas. During this
period, emphasis was given on the development of the private sector in the oil and gas
exploration activities mainly through Production Sharing Contract (PSC). Activities
undertaken during this period related to the seismic survey, exploration, expansion of gas
transmission and distribution network, development of coal and hardrock mine, etc. During
this period, 564 Lkm of seismic survey was conducted and 2 exploration wells were drilled by
BAPEX. Both exploration wells (Shahbazpur and Saldanadi) led to discovery of gas. During
1995/96, 15 km transmission pipelines and 575 km distribution and other pipelines were
constructed. During 1996/97 fiscal year, 326 km distribution and other pipelines were laid
until December,1996. The Ashugonj-Bakhrabad pipeline (30" dia 59 km) connecting Surma
basin production area and Bakhrabad franchise area was completed. Gas production during
1995/96 reached 265 BCF increasing from 247 BCF in 1994/95. Production of the same was
261 BCF in 1996/97. Remarkable achievement of these two years were the discovery of three
new gas fields among which two were on-shore and one off-shore. The off-shore field was
discovered by one international oil company under PSC and two on-shore fields were
discovered by BAPEX.
16.4.2 An allocation of Tk. 4,534.90 million was provided through ADP for 43 projects of the
sector in 1995/96. Actual expenditure during the year was Tk.4,080 million. In 1996/97
Tk.4,858.20 million was allocated to 37 development projects of the sector.
16.5 An Overview (1973-1996)
Oil and Gas Exploration
16.5.1 During the period 1973-96, drilling of 24 exploratory wells including 7 off-shore wells
was completed. Individual depth of wells varied from 1,560 metre to 4,977 metre. The
number of wells drilled by national organisations were 14, while ten wells were drilled by the
foreign companies. National organisations discovered 7 gas fields, and one oil field. Foreign
companies discovered 2 gas fields including one in the off-shore area. It may be stated that oil
and gas exploration activities had been very limited. Only one well per year, on an average,
was drilled in the last 23 years.
16.5.2 As far as gas fields are concerned, the exploration/discovery ratio in Bangladesh till
now is 3:1 i. e. 17 gas fields were discovered out of 54 exploration wells since 1910, which is
361
one of the highest in the world. Reserves were estimated at 22.90 TCF of which 13.60 TCF
are recoverable. Out of 17 discovered gas fields, 8 were brought into production. It is
important to note that almost all the exploration activities were undertaken in the shelf area in
the north eastern part of Bangladesh .
16.5.3 To expedite petroleum exploration, a new Model Production Sharing Contract (PSC)
was formulated in 1988. In 1989, the area of the country was divided into 23 blocks of which
17 blocks including 6 off-shore blocks were offered to the international oil companies (IOCs)
for competitive bidding. In 1993, the government announced a new petroleum policy to seek
participation of IOCs in hydrocarbon exploration and production through PSC.
exploration and drilling company, two production companies, three distribution companies
and one liquid natural gas company. In 1993, the government approved the establishment of
the Gas Transmission Company Ltd. (GTCL) to operate the national gas grid.
16.6.2 Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation : BPC was set up in 1976 with the objective of
importing, refining and marketing of petroleum oil and lubricant products. It operates through
seven subsidiary companies.
16.6.3 Geological Survey of Bangladesh : GSB, the national geoscientific organisation,
established in 1962, is responsible for geological, geophysical, geochemical mapping and
drilling activities related to finding out solid mineral resources in the country. It evaluates the
known mineral resources, conducts studies, renders advisory services and supplies relevant
information regarding hydrogeology, engineering geology, urban and environmental geology,
etc.
16.6.4 Bangladesh Petroleum Institute : BPI was established in 1992 as a research and
training institute with the objective of imparting training to professionals and technicians in
the oil and gas sector and carrying out research works.
16.6.5 Hydrocarbon Unit : A hydrocarbon unit was established in 1994 in the Ministry of
Energy and Mineral Resources to perform the activities relating to state control over
government owned corporations and companies, monitoring exploration/production licences,
approval of PSCs, monitoring crude oil refining, petroleum products distribution policy,
fixing of price of petroleum products, preparation of budgets, all administrative matters and
control of financial matters.
16.7 Major Constraints
16.7.1 The gas sector in Bangladesh is wholly dominated by Petrobangla. The sector has a
large potential for increased contribution to the country's economic growth. However, a
number of constraints restrict the appropriate development of the sector. The country is
dependent on foreign aid. Lack of necessary capital is limiting the development of the sector.
Exploration, gas field development, transmission and distribution activities are highly
technical and capital intensive activities. The problem of the sector is accentuated by the
dependence on expatriate consultants. In spite of providing a large number of short and long-
term training, both local and foreign, to a number of technical, professional and
administrative personnel in different fields of gas sector activities in the last one decade,
substitution of foreign consultants by the local consultants has not been effective in sectoral
planning, designing and implementation of programmes/projects. Also, there has been
inadequate transfer of technology through technical assistance projects. The deficiency in the
development of manpower has also been caused by inappropriate selection of trainee
clientele. These have to be overcome through appropriate sectoral manpower planning.
Considerable delays in project implementation occur due to the following :
a. too many stages of approval at different levels for appointment of consultants/
contractors and procuring machinery/equipment/materials both within the government
and the development partners;
b. imposition of too many conditionalities by the donors at different stages of credit
negotiation, signing of agreement and effectiveness of credit; and
c. change in the scope of works and linking the implementation of priority projects with
the conditionalities of low priority projects.
363
j. extraction of hardrock and other solid minerals including thorium, uranium and beach
sand minerals will be geared up;
k. special incentive package for oil and gas exploration in the west zone will be given;
l. efforts will be made to encourage establishment of privately owned and managed
distribution companies for marketing of natural gas available from transmission
pipelines to unserved urban centres;
m. measures will be taken to establish a regulatory authority which will be manned by
competent persons for licensing energy utilities, setting prices and consideration of
related issues;
n. environmental impact assessment will be made mandatory for energy development
projects;
o. dependence on external assistance will be reduced gradually by internal financing to
the extent possible;
p. a comprehensive programme of training linked with career development of
professionals will be implemented;
q. research and development activities will be increased for productivity and cost-
effective advances in the energy sector;
r. geological and geophysical activities will be geared up;
s. measures will be taken to provide tax incentives to those entrepreneurs who will come
forward to set up natural gas based industries; and
t. international oil companies with whom PSCs have been signed for exploration of oil
and gas will be encouraged to invest downstream in power generation activities,
fertiliser factories, petro-chemical complex, etc.
16.9 National Programmes
16.9.1 The demand for primary commercial energy is expected to increase from 10 million
ton oil equivalent (MTOE) in 1997 to 15 MTOE by 2002 showing an average growth rate of
8.57 per cent. At this growth rate, per capita primary commercial energy consumption will
rise from 81 KGOE in 1996/97 to 109 KGOE in 2001/02. This increased demand will mostly
be met by indigenous natural gas raising its share to 70 per cent of the total primary
commercial energy consumption. The peak demand of natural gas is expected to increase
from 1,100 MMCFD in 1996/97 to about 1,700 MMCFD in 2001/02 and average demand
from 900 MMCFD in 1996/97 to about 1,360 MMCFD in 2001/02 giving an annual average
growth rate of about 10 per cent. Endeavours will be made to put coal to use so that partial
energy demand can be met from this alternate indigenous resource. To augment gas supply,
both intensive and extensive exploration for hydrocarbon will be carried out aiming at adding
new reserves during the period 1997-2002 in both public and private sectors and under PSCs.
16.9.2 To contain the import of oil more or less at the present level, all efforts will be made to
substitute this with indigenous natural gas and coal to the extent possible and extract LPG
from natural gas to reduce the import of kerosene. The import of diesel and kerosene will be
further reduced by expanding rural electrification programme for irrigation and lighting. In
spite of all these efforts, the import of POL is estimated to grow at an average rate of 9 per
cent annually. It is expected that the consumption of POL in 2001/02 will be about 3.49
million tons compared with the consumption of 2.38 million tons in 1996/97.
determine the extent and potential of existing gas fields. It is expected that a total of 3,000
lkm of seismic survey and about 1,200 lkm of geological survey will be undertaken during
this period. At the same time, programme of drilling 7 exploration wells will be implemented
during the Plan period in the public sector. For exploration of hydrocarbon, in the private
sector, particularly the multinational companies will be encouraged to invest under PSCs.
16.10.2 Production/appraisal wells : Drilling of production wells in Rashidpur/Habiganj
gas fields and drilling of appraisal-cum development and workover wells in Titas fields have
been planned for 1997-2002. The major work in this respect will include the drilling of
appraisal and production wells in Saldanadi and Shahbajpur (2+2=4), Rashidpur (4 wells),
Habiganj (4 wells), Titas (3 wells), and workover of about 10 wells together with the drilling
and establishment of 480 MMCFD process plant.
16.10.3 Transmission and distribution line : A number of on-going lines will be completed
and new ones taken up during 1997-2002. The major ones will include Monohardi-
Narshingdi-Shiddhirgonj pipeline (59 km), Rashidpur-Ashugonj loop line (82 km),
Beanibazar-Kailashtilla pipeline (23 km) and pipeline over Bangabandhu Bridge and on the
west bank (80 km). In total, more than 350 km of transmission line is expected to be
completed. Besides, about 2,000 lkm distribution line will be constructed in three franchise
areas to supply gas to users.
16.10.4 Coal : At the present rate of growth in energy demand, partial energy demand
mostly for thermal power plants beyond 2000 will be met by coal. Development of the
Barapukuria coal mine is under implementation projecting a production of 1 million tons of
coal per year from 2000 for 65 years. In addition, Khalashpir (Rangpur) coal deposit is being
studied for possible extraction. Studies will also be undertaken to extract coal bed methane
from the Jamalgonj coal deposit.
16.10.5 Hardrock : The present annual demand of hardrock is 1.5 million tons. The
hardrock project is projected to yield of 1.65 million tons per annum.
16.10.6 Development of LPG / NGL : Necessary arrangements will be made for production
of LPG/NGL from the wet gas fields of Sylhet region. It is expected that about 125,000 tons
of additional LPG/NGL/ condensate will be produced annually by the end of the Plan period.
16.10.7 Major programmes of petrobangla : The following will be the major programmes
of Petrobangla in the Fifth Plan period :
In addition to these, contingent on negotiations with the relevant oil exploration companies,
additional exploration may be undertaken.
16.10.8 Bangladesh petroleum corporation : BPC's main activities will be concentrated on
the completion of BMRE of the existing refinery, construction of lighterage and dolphin
jetties, second crude oil distribution unit at ERL, Mongla Oil Installation and LPG import,
storage, receiving, bottling and distribution facilities. In addition, a second refinery will be set
up during the Plan period to meet the rising demand for POL products.
366
16.10.10 Gas Demand Forecast and Other Proposals : Gas demand forecast and other
proposals for 1997-2002 period are given in Tables 16.1, 16.2 and 16.3 . Gas demand forecast
for power generation and fertiliser production has been made on the basis of already
committed projects and future demand estimated from power sector master plan (PSMP).
Demand forecast for other sectors has been estimated considering historical trend of
consumption (around 10 per cent per annum) by the sectors over the last ten years.
Table 16.1
Gas Demand Forecast During 1997-2002
Items 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002
(Benchmark)
Peak demand (MMCFD) 1100 1240 1380 1470 1550 1700
Average demand (MMCFD) 900 1000 1120 1200 1250 1360
Annual production capacity (BCF) 292 350 495 506 500 500
Annual gas supply (BCF) 285 350 410 438 455 495
Source : Petrobangla.
16.10.11 As stipulated in the energy policy, gas supply will be required to be limited to a
maximum of 1,000 MMCFD or 365 BCF/Year provided significant increase in the natural
gas reserve does not take place. If remarkable addition to reserve occurs, the situation may
significantly improve in the coming years and the production capacity shown above may well
be attainable. It is expected that from 1998/99 there will be no supply constraint and gas
supply will be based on available demand.
Table 16.2
Customer-wise Average Gas Demand During 1997-2002
(in MMCFD)
Sector 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/01 2001/02
Power * 540 638 680 712 766
Fertiliser 280 285 305 305 305
Domestic 70 79 84 92 102
Commercial 17 17 18 21 24
Industrial + B.F+ T.E* 95 101 113 120 163
Total 1002 1120 1200 1250 1360
(365 BCF) (410 BCF) (438 BCF) (455 BCF) (495 BCF)
Source : PSMP/GSMP * Brick Fields + Tea Estates
367
Table 16.3
Field-wise Appraisal/Production Wells During 1997-2002
Table 16.4
Public Sector Outlay for Development of Oil Gas and Natural Resources in Fifth Plan
(in million Taka)
Agency Allocation
Petrobangla 19,990.60
BPC 5,978.70
GSB 70.30
Total 26,039.60
368
Table 16.5
Projected Physical Attainments in Oil Gas and Natural Resources in Fifth Plan
Sl. Description Base Year Proposed Addition Remark
No. 1996/97 2001/02
1. Peak Demand for Gas (mmcfd) 1,100 1,700 --
2. Annual Supply of Natural Gas 285 365/400 115 Subject to gas reserve
(bcf)
3. Customer (Nos) 650,000 790,000 140,000 --
4. Exploration wells for Hydrocarbon 55 77-82 22-27 Subject to new PSC
operations
5. Production wells (Operation) 36 64 28 Both Public & PSC
6. Transmission lines (km) 1,600 1,975 375 --
7. Distribution lines (km) 8,000 10,000 2,000 --
8. Geological & seismic survey (lkm) 7,000 7,000 3000 public sector,
4000 in PSC
9. Production of Cond/NGL (tons/yr) 50,000 175,000 125,000 Jalalabad, Beanibazar
& Kailashtila fields to
be commissioned
10. Production of Coal (100,000 tons) nil 10 10 --
11. Production of LPG (tons/yr) nil 15,000 15,000 NGL plant needed to
be commissioned
CHAPTER XI
11.1 Introduction
11.1.1 Like any other Plan, the success of the Fifth Five Year Plan will depend on the proper
implementation of its programmes and projects, implementation monitoring and post-
implementation evaluation. This is particularly important in view of the fact that it is a
flexible plan and plan projections will be revised based on evaluation of actual performance.
Annual Development Programme (ADP) is the operational document of a Five Year Plan in
respect of the public sector. It is basically a list of all public sector development projects
undertaken during a fiscal year. While ideally, it should be a list of approved projects duly
appraised by appropriate authorities, the list in reality consists of projects at different stages of
approval including unapproved ones. The implementation of the public sector part of a plan
involves the implementation of these projects in ADPs and policies supporting them. While
for all practical purposes, plan implementation was essentially viewed as the implementation
of the public sector projects, monitoring and evaluation of the projects, policy planning and
policy implementation have received less attention. But with the reorientation of the economy
towards a free market, the private sector will assume greater role and public policies, greater
significance. So monitoring of their impact on the private sector and on the economy as a
whole will demand greater attention.
11.2 Implementation of Plan/Projects
11.2.1 In the project cycle, project implementation is the most critical phase as it is
determined by realities and contingencies. It is further determined by the initial conditions
such as project approval status and timely commitment of fund. As mentioned above, ADP is
traditionally composed of many unapproved schemes which affect project implementation.
Project implementation consists of the following main stages which may overlap with one
another:
a. Feasibility study;
b. Appraisal of project and acceptance by development partner
(for aided project);
c. Approval of projects and assigning responsibility of implementation
to an agency;
d. Appointment of project director (PD) and project staff;
e. Setting up of project office (where applicable);
f. Appointment of consultants (where applicable);
g. Allocation and release of fund;
h. Land acquisition (where applicable);
i. Procurement of goods and services;
j. Execution of projects;
k. Evaluation of completed projects; and
l. Impact evaluation.
11.2.2 Project approval : Strictly speaking, approval of projects should pre-date its
implementation. However, due to delays in processing of projects or exigencies, sometimes
implementation of a project begins even prior to its formal approval. In the recent past, there
has been a marked improvement in the process of approval of projects. The government is
also seriously considering delegating more power of approval to administrative ministries in
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order to expedite implementation. This will, however, require further strengthening of the
planning wings of some of the ministries for ensuring quality of project formulation and
evolving an alternative institutional procedure for co-ordination.
11.2.3 Assigning responsibility of implementation to an agency : While there is no bar
against ministries directly implementing projects, this is generally left to their subordinate
agencies like autonomous bodies (e.g. Water Development Board for irrigation projects),
directorates and departments. Usually, project formulation and preparation are also the
responsibility of the implementing agencies in so much as they conceptualise most of the
projects in line with the policy parameters given by the relevant ministries.
11.2.4 Appointment of project director and project staff : Once a project is approved, the
relevant agency appoints a Project Director with the concurrence of the administrative
ministry. The PD then has to appoint the project staff some of whom may be seconded from
the ministry and/or the agency. The selection of a suitable PD is crucial to the project's
success. Project implementation suffers frequently due to the selection of a wrong type of
PD. Project implementation also suffers from frequent transfer of PDs and absence of PDs at
project sites during implementation. Forward planning to complete the preparatory works of a
project may help in partly resolving this problem. This issue needs serious attention of
implementing agencies.
11.2.5 Allocation/Release of fund : The procedure for release of fund has become simpler
than before. Yet it still remains one of the major causes of slow utilisation of financial
resources for project implementation. Every year a new circular detailing procedures for fund
release is issued by the Finance Division. The delay in its circulation along with occasional
changes in the provisions make it difficult to get early release of funds. Release procedures
for approved and unapproved projects are different and are more stringent in case of the
latter. Financial powers delegated at different levels need to be re-examined and where
necessary, may be enhanced. Standard procedures of fund release will also be put in place.
11.2.6 Land acquisition : Land acquisition, particularly in case of infrastructure projects has
remained a sore point in project implementation. The legal procedures are cumbersome and
delay the implementation of projects. The social cost due to displacement of people from the
project land is sometimes high. Recently, however, large development projects like the
Bangabandhu Bridge Project has put in operation the resettlement/rehabilitation of people
affected by land acquisition. The government is also considering a set of guidelines for land
acquisition and resettlement for private sector infrastructure development. All these
procedures need to be made uniform and a clear legal and institutional framework will be
introduced during the Fifth Five Year Plan. An important way to minimise social cost of land
acquisition is to involve the beneficiaries of a project at the project formulation stage through
formation of advisory committee. Quantum of land will be determined judiciously so that no
land is acquired which will remain unutilised.
11.2.7 Procurement of goods and services : Delay in procurement of equipment and hiring
of consultancy services are major problems affecting project implementation. The problem is
particularly intractable in case of aided projects because the multi-lateral and bi-lateral
development partners tend to pursue their own standards for procurement of goods and
services. Such diversities compound the problems of procurement at the users end. The
problem may be further confusing in case of co-financing (from more than one sources). To
overcome these problems, after a careful study in the late 1980s, new procurement guidelines
were issued by the Economic Relations Division (ERD) in 1992. Project directors and agency
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officials need to be trained in the use of these guidelines. The effectiveness of the new system
should also be reviewed and problems which may still persist should be resolved.
11.2.8 Construction management : Most investment projects entail construction of physical
facilities like buildings, roads and embankments. But weather condition of Bangladesh tends
to limit the construction season and so the pace of physical work varies over seasons. This
together with the programme of mobilising financial and physical resources need to be
spelt out in a time-bound critical path. Some components may be time-specific while others
may float. A critical path analysis must identify both, while some flexible work may be
delayed. In the sphere of physical works building codes are needed in order to speed up
implementation. More importantly, in construction of public buildings, the role of the Public
Works Department should be one of providing technical support to the project authorities in
respect of design, tender evaluation and verification of work quality and the project authority
should get the work done through private contractors. When a Ministry has a large number of
building works like the Ministry of Education it may contract out designing works in a time-
bound frame.
11.2.9 Execution of projects : Project implementation means strict adherence to design
specification, approved cost, time-schedule and quality. Project authority should prepare a
work plan for project implementation including a bar chart, critical path analysis,
synchronisation/programming of various activities, identify milestone decisions,
implementation procedures and techniques, review and monitoring mechanism. A project
launching workshop, particularly in big and complex projects, should be held before the
project starts and all rules, procedures and systems for implementation and monitoring should
be discussed and agreed upon.
11.2.10 Evaluation of completed projects : In a real sense project implementation cannot
be deemed to have been completed without its evaluation. The executing agencies are
required to furnish to Implementation Monitoring and Evaluation Division (IMED) in a given
proforma certain information. On the basis of such information and also field verification,
project completion reports are prepared and submitted to NEC. At present a very limited
number of projects are taken up by IMED for ex-post evaluation. Some ministries/agencies
carry out impact evaluation of some of their activities through consulting firms. Efforts
should be mounted to get an increased number of programmes/projects evaluated about their
impact on the society at large.
11.3 Monitoring of Projects
11.3.1 Monitoring implementation of development projects is a relatively new idea. Many
developing countries undertook large number of projects under their development
programmes since the middle of the century. But no institution was created to monitor the
implementation and evaluate the results of those development projects until recent years.
Bangladesh experienced monitoring problems after independence and new institutions had to
be built up. The primary responsibility of monitoring of projects rests with the sponsoring
ministry/agency itself. Along with the officials of the executing agencies officers of the
ministry, particularly in the development and/or planning wing, should undertake regular field
visits to keep abreast of the progress of work and to help resolve bottlenecks of
implementation. Monitoring by Implementation Monitoring and Evaluation Division in its
present form cannot be all-embracing. This Division has neither the resources, nor the time to
look into the details of some 1200 projects being implemented annually. In fact IMED was
initially conceived to monitor critical projects in order to expedite their execution, not to
obviate sectoral responsibilities.
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11.3.2 For the purpose of effectively carrying out monitoring and evaluation activities several
institutions and practices have developed in Bangladesh. From the government side these
have emerged both at the central level as well as at the levels of corporations and
departments. The development partners in Bangladesh also introduced their own monitoring
and evaluation system. Although both of these systems operate fairly independently in the
country, institutional linkages are often set up and used.
11.3.3 Besides, IMED and the planning wings of the administrative ministries, monitoring
cells of some executing agencies, project implementation units (PIU) of some large projects,
etc. Planning Commission, Statistics Division, Economic Relations Division, etc. also
undertake some sectoral reviews of performance.
11.3.4 Monitoring arrangements
a. Planning wings in administrative ministries : Planning wings of the administrative
ministries were created to strengthen their project planning and monitoring
capabilities. Except for the planning wings of the Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries
and Livestock, Irrigation and Flood Control and Education, most of the other
planning wings in other ministries are understaffed and ill-equipped to carry out the
planning, monitoring and evaluation functions effectively. Monitoring is carried out
mainly through obtaining progress reports from the project management, field
inspections and monthly review meetings in the ministries. Representatives from
Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Establishment, Planning Commission, ERD and
IMED attend these meetings.
b. Economic Relations Division of Finance Ministry : ERD is responsible for aid
mobilisation and also for programming of external resources for projects. They
undertake quarterly and annual reviews of fund utilisation, especially foreign aid.
Development partners also maintain constant liaison with ERD and inform them of
disbursement situations from time to time. A cell to keep track of the issues related to
aid line-up and utilisation is functioning in the ERD. The information collected and
collated by this cell provide important inputs for the policy makers.
c. Finance Division : With the assistance from UNDP, the System for Autonomous
Bodies Reporting and Evaluation (SABRE), as a computerised database is in
operation at the Autonomous Bodies Wing of the Finance Division. The objective of
the system is to provide standardised financial information on autonomous and semi-
autonomous bodies which are regularly required for budgetary and financial control,
economic planning and performance evaluation. SABRE envisages to cover all
autonomous and semi-autonomous bodies as well as their units or enterprises falling
under the budgetary control of the Finance Ministry. The Development Wing monitors
progress of claims and disbursement of Reimbursable Project Aid (RPA).
d. Development Partners : Most of the development partners have developed their own
system of progress monitoring, namely Tri-partite Review Meetings (TRM mainly by
UNDP), Review Meetings, Review Mission Reports, Consultants' Progress Reports
and Local Mission Reports, etc. Except for UNDP, the World Bank and the Asian
Development Bank who pursue intensive monitoring techniques, the other
development partners rely more on consultant's progress reports and review meetings
with the government.
11.3.5 Monitoring by IMED : IMED is involved in the entire life cycle of a project - pre-
project appraisal, monitoring during implementation and reporting on completion of projects
as well as ex-post evaluation as discussed below.
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sectors facing implementation problems. ECNEC and the Planning Commission sometimes
ask IMED for undertaking on-going evaluation. In addition, agencies also request IMED for
undertaking such evaluation. Data collection is done through field visits, discussions with
project implementation authorities and study of the project document, previous reports,
inspection reports. review papers, etc. These data are compiled and analysed and the
evaluation report is prepared. A simple format for such evaluation is used. It contains
information on objective of the project, approval status, date of actual commencement,
expected date of completion, original and latest implementation period, original and latest
estimated/approved cost, cumulative and component-wise latest physical and financial target
and progress, existing implementation problems, general observations with suggested
solutions/recommendations etc. These reports are published as a part of the Annual Report
prepared for review by the National Economic Council. The NEC directs all concerned to
implement the recommendations made in these evaluation reports. IMED follows up the
implementation of the recommendations. Some agencies also undertake on-going evaluation
of their respective projects, e.g., Population Control & Family Planning Department, Rural
Electrification Board, Bangladesh Rural Development Board, etc.
11.4.2 Summative or terminal evaluation : Since 1983/84 IMED started evaluation of
completed projects on a limited basis immediately after its implementation is declared
complete by the executing agency. Subsequently, from 1986/87, all the projects declared
complete during a particular FY are being evaluated. Evaluation of projects immediately after
its implementation is complete, is termed as "terminal evaluation". Data collection procedure
for terminal evaluation is similar to that of on-going evaluation. Collected data are collated,
compiled and analysed for preparation of the evaluation reports. A simple format for terminal
evaluation is used which contains mainly information on project's latest approved estimated
cost and implementation period, actual expenditure and implementation period, cost and time
over-run analysis, component-wise planned physical target and actual achievement, planned
objective and actual achievement, etc. Measurement of "outputs" as against the PP targets is
mainly emphasised in these evaluation reports including the reasons for non-completion or
partial completion, if any, of any component as per project document. Problems faced during
implementation of the projects are analysed and possible measures for avoiding such
problems during planning and implementation of similar future projects are identified and
incorporated in these evaluation reports. These reports are also prepared as a part of the
Annual Report for review by the National Economic Council. Ministries/ divisions/ agencies
prepare a project completion report (PCR), designed by IMED, for each of the projects
declared complete by them. These reports contain information on seven major areas : (a)
Project Description; (b) Implementation Position; (c) Financial and Physical Program (d)
Achievement of Objectives of the Project; (e) Benefit Analysis; (f) Monitoring and Auditing;
and (g) Descriptive Report.
11.4.3 Ex-Post or impact evaluation :
a. Impact evaluation studies are comparatively a new activity in Bangladesh. As per
the current monitoring and evaluation practices, the lead agency in this area is
IMED though the basic responsibility of such evaluation lies with the respective
administrative agency of projects.
b. The IMED could not take the function of ex-post/impact evaluation on a systematic
and regular basis owing to lack of well-trained manpower in the techniques of ex-
post evaluation and other logistic support. However, since 1983/84, IMED started
ex-post evaluation of selected projects and incorporated them in the Annual
Reports. In the recent past IMED also implemented a pilot project with the
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a. Capacity building
i. There must be increased capacity building in executing agencies, planning wings
of ministries and IMED on project preparation, cost analysis and implementation
techniques.
ii. Monitoring and evaluation capability at agency/ministry level as well as at IMED
will be strengthened by providing specialised training to the relevant officers both
at home and abroad. Training institutions like the Planning and Development
Academy, Bangladesh Institute of Administration and Management, Bangladesh
Institute of Management, etc., may be conveniently used for this purpose.
iii. Planning wings in the ministries/divisions will be strengthened with appropriate
officers from the economic cadre so as to make them well equipped to handle
monitoring and in-house evaluation of projects.
iv. The administrative ministries/executing agencies will carry out close monitoring of
projects under their jurisdiction so that IMED can concentrate more on selected
priority projects.
b. Project preparation
i. Project preparation with correct identification of components, appropriate design
and specification, cost analysis, site selection, implementing agency,
implementation strategy/mechanism including review, monitoring and evaluation
procedure will be ensured.
ii. Donor and the government requirements for project preparation need to be
synchronised.
iii. Strategic objectives will guide development planning.
iv. Manpower requirement after completion of a project will be standardised and
incorporated in the P.P. In cases where fresh decision is required as to the actual
number of manpower to be retained it will be resolved jointly by Ministry of
Establishment and Ministry of Finance within 3 months of project completion.
c. Approval of projects/Revised projects
i. All unapproved projects in the ADP will be approved by September every year.
ii. ECNEC decisions will be communicated immediately and preferably within a
week after the ECNEC meeting for their speedy implementation.
iii. Approval of revised projects : More authority will be delegated to the
implementing Ministries to approve revised projects involving :
• cost increase up to 25 per cent without exceeding sectoral/sub-sectoral
allocation;
• In case of approved projects, inter-project reallocation (upto 25%) without
exceeding sectoral allocation;
• however, project revision involving additional sectoral allocation, change of
site, change of objectives, impact on environment, large-scale displacement of
people will need Planning Commission's/ ENCEC's approval irrespective of
cost involved; and
• In case of aided investment projects decision on implementation issues arrived
at tri-partite meetings will be considered as the basis for future project
revision, if necessary.
iv. A maximum time-limit of 3 months for approval of revised projects by competent
authority will be adhered to.
d. Execution of projects
i. Manual for procurement of goods, works and services for non-aided projects will
be prepared by the Cabinet Division.
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f. Monitoring
i. Monthly project implementation review meetings in all the ministries/division will
be held regularly and chaired by Minister/Secretary. Regular stock-taking of assets
and level of utilisation will also be carried out.
ii. Recommendations made in the IMED inspection/evaluation reports will be
regularly reviewed in the monthly meetings of the ministry/division concerned and
corrective actions taken.
iii. Head of executing agency and PD when not resident at site will regularly visit
project site and thoroughly supervise the work of consultants and contractors to
ensure adherence to design/specification, cost, time-schedule and quality of work.
iv. Joint field visits by the Planning Commission, IMED, concerned Ministry and PD
will be undertaken from time to time, particularly in respect of important projects/
programmes.
v. Planning wing officers will inspect projects as per government decision regularly.
vi. There will be frequent interaction with donors as soon as problems are identified.
Donors' review missions may coincide with the quarterly co-ordination meetings
of concerned ministries/division.
vii. Micro-management of projects/programmes by any second agency other than the
relevant one should be avoided. Donors also will be discouraged from micro-
management of individual projects/programmes.
viii. General Economic Division of the Planning Commission and Bangladesh Bank
and BOI will develop a working mechanism for monitoring implementation of
private sector projects : a Private Enterprise Council of the Prime Minister
composed of businessmen may be appointed to this end.
ix. There will be a standing liaison committee between the government and private
sector to resolve problems encountered by the private sector investors as practised
in the Ministry of Agriculture; BOI will be revamped and strengthened to this end.
x. An effective system for penalisation of consultants/contractors for bad performance
will be reviewed for either continuation or cancellation.
xi. Small projects, within Tk. 100 million, if not started within 3 months of approval
will be reviewed for either continuation or cancellation.
xii. Seminars on monitoring and evaluation for senior managers and decision-makers
will be arranged for effective functioning of the system.
11.8.2 Other measures : The Planning Commission will continue to oversee the
implementation process and to co-ordinate with the relevant ministries and agencies to
solve any problem that may arise. Special attention in this context will be given for
delegation of implementation responsibility to local government bodies and to devise
an institutional procedure to co-ordinate implementation in relevant administrative
units of the country.
11.8.3 Operations and maintenance : Following implementation adequate attention will be
given to operate and maintain the project. Needless to say, ICVR of the project will
suffer if operation and maintenance are not proper. Involvement of beneficiaries and
local government institutions will be the cornerstone of measures directed to this end.
Besides, adequate funds will be made available and contracts to the private enterprise
given in suitable cases for operation and maintenance.
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CHAPTER XII
RESOLUTION OF CONFLICTS
12.1 Introduction
12.1.1 Development or growth implies change in the relevant field. Any such change affects
the status quo in terms of position, entitlement, benefit or loss and expectation of the relevant
people. The relevance is connotive of their roles or ambits of work as producers, consumers,
change-agents or interested citizenry. In addition, change initiates, carries and at times
completes transformation of the environment and the eco-system. Control of river flow, use of
ground water, mining of hard rock and coal, building roads through hills and forests, use of
insecticides and pesticides, and other manifestations and ramifications of the development drive
transform the natural backdrop and the environment hitherto untouched, unexploited,
unmoulded out of quiet serenity and stately tranquillity acquired over years of motivational and
technological stasis and so much adored by the naturalists.
12.2.1 The resulting change in the status quo, the environment and the eco-system has to be
accepted and supported by those who are affected or benefited, touched or hurt. As the theory
has it, a change is justifiable when benefits emanating out of it are socially assessed to be more
than costs or hurts it imposes. In the process those who benefit may do well by carrying with
them those who may be adversely affected or are indifferent. Non-acceptance of, and opposition
to changes yield conflict, which may ,at times and on occasions, lead to rebellion. The process
of acceptance and gaining support is a process of resolution of conflicts. If conflicts are not
resolved yielding acceptance of, and support for the change, the scope of the latter does not
widen desirably, and its rate immerses back into the status quo, the unchanged environment and
the undisturbed nature or even worse. On the other hand, if conflicts are resolved institutionally
and without disruptive societal abrasions, stability in socio-economic management is attained
and sustained, the role players in all relevant fields of production and consumption are provided
with an enabling environment and motivation to contribute their best and the desired change
takes place to the end of socio-economic development of the society. All these contribute to
increase of capital accumulation or creation of productive capacity and increase in efficiency of
resource use. In the context of participatory planning, resolution of conflicts, around the
planned change in the status quo, the environment and the nature is important in as much it
defines, lays out, widens and sustains the conduit of change or development. Indeed, resolution
of conflicts is the spirit of participatory planning.
with the insurgent tribals in hill tracts, connecting the offshore islands with regular water
transports, and out reaching tribal communities in Mymensingh and Rajshahi regions through
spread of education and communication facilities will have definite contributions in removing
conflicts latent in some regional differences and disparities. The opening of the Bangabandhu
Multipurpose Bridge in June ’98 will serve as the single most unifying bond between the
southern and the northern regions of the country. Despite these well identified positive
elements, in a number of areas, especially in the process of formulating and implementing
planned socio- economic change, possibilities of conflict need to be recognised and steps
delineated to resolve them over time.
12.4.1 To start with, by way of enumeration, there may be conflicts while determining the Plan
objectives. Conflicts on this count may arise in terms of both vision and mechanics. The vision
of the society 15 or 20 years hence is likely to be different to different persons or groups. The
enterprising and the rich may like to work for a society different from the one aspired by the
labour or the poor. The expectations of the landless are likely to be different from that of the
land-rich. The consumer's views of societal interest may be different from that of the producer's
seeking protection. The difference in mechanics may centre round relative emphasis to be given
on relevant indicators as well as variables of growth: this may demand answers to questions like
those pertaining to, for example, employment creation or productivity generation, protection or
liberalisation, generation of surplus in agriculture for financing investment in industrial
development and others.
parliament may serve as the apex deliberative body taking into account deliberations and
discourses in other bodies. Deliberations in the parliament will yield legislative decisions on
policies, projects and programmes and manifest as contributions of the relevant political parties
to the national strive at planned economic growth for meeting the basic needs of the people as
mandated by the constitution.
12.7.1 There are two main components of mechanics for attaining the set objectives of planned
development. In the first place, the constitution has laid down a set of premises. These are: (a)
affirmation of the national will to prosper in freedom (preamble); (b) recognition of the people
as the source of all powers of the Republic (article-7) and owners and controllers of all
instruments and means of production and distribution (article-3); (c) meeting basic needs of the
citizenry through attaining a constant increase of productive forces' (article-15); (d) return to
individuals on the principle of `from each according to his abilities to each according to his
work'; and (e) taxation and authorisation of expenditures under the authority of the parliament
(articles-83 and 90). Secondly, subject to the conditions set by the constitution, causative
process of change in one sector because of changes in the inter-related ones is to be taken into
account. Elsewhere, aggregatively these intersectoral relations have been spelt out in their
composition and effects, changes and ramifications. In the present context, these, in turn, are
implicative of gains or losses for individuals and groups and thus need to be understood,
evaluated and accepted. The question centring round distributive justice vis-a-vis incentives for
productive investment, or increase in defence expenditure vis-a-vis investment in education, for
example, will have to be answered in this context.
of the people through planned economic growth based on 'a constant increase in productive
forces', choice between public and private sectors as a conduit for attaining productivity should
centre around considerations of relative capability and efficiency in production and equity in
distribution. If for building infrastructure facilities in certain areas or sectors, private enterprise
lacks in capacity, the public sector may be deployed. If following setting up a public utility by
the public sector, inefficiency in operation creeps in, a case for privatisation is built-up. For
directly productive investment in agriculture, industry and in services, if the private sector has
built-up capacity, generally public sector has no reason for deployment of additional resources
or for interference unless social circumstances warrant it in the interest of both producers like
small farmers and poor consumers. A consensus built on these principles will definitely
contribute to constrain as well as to rationalise roles of public and private sectors to the societal
benefit. Such a consensus will facilitate expeditious privatisation of the bloated and unprofitable
state owned enterprises. The process, in its all constituent parts will contribute to shape up ethos
involving market-orientation of the economy in support of democratisation of the political
system.
12.10.1 Related to the choice between public and private sectors, general questions centring
round market as well as government failures in the economic realm need to be answered. As the
recent theory has it, the market may fail in cases of (a) externalities, (b) public goods, (c) poor
information and (d) monopoly. Failure in this context in all these cases is connotive of inability
or incapacity to attain the desired allocative efficiency. Each case of market failure provides a
potential opportunity for government action garnering benefits in excess of costs. Consequences
of market failure in case of poor information and monopoly are well understood; inherent
conflict of interests that remain to be resolved through reformative measures in these two cases
are also well-articulated, though each requires public interventions of its own kind more
involved when information on market of future goods are non-existent. Such resolution may
not, however, call for supplementation of the market mechanism. Externalities, in terms of
costs, manifests in harmful effects of an individual's or a group's action on the welfare of
non-involved secondary persons. In such an event, social costs exceeds private costs. In terms of
benefits, externalities manifest in beneficial effects of group or individual action on the welfare
of non-paying secondary parties. In such a case private return is less than the social return
resulting in lower investment in the relevant ambit of production and consequent missed
opportunities if left to the private enterprise alone. In the situation involving externalities the
policy makers may carefully consider (a) the magnitude of external costs/benefits relative to the
cost of government action; (b) the ability of the market to devise means of dealing with the
problem without government intervention; and (c) the possibility that the political majority may
take the intervention too far if the external costs imposed on the minority are not fully
considered. Consumption of public goods result in spill-over benefits to secondary parties. It is
costly or impossible to withhold such a good (e.g. national defence) from persons who do not
pay for it. In such a case the market system breaks down as everyone gets an incentive to
become a free rider. And when everyone tries to get a free ride, production of public good
dwindles calling at times for intervention by the government. Private sector philanthropic and
entrepreneurial solutions to certain public goods problems show us that the government action is
not the only corrective way. In resolution of conflicts in such a field this limitation has to be
considered.
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12.11.1 At least four factors weakening the case for public sector intervention or operation may
be identified. First, possibility of voter ignorance and inability to recognise costs and benefits of
public sector operation fully is quite high. In a representative democratic system, voters are the
originators of public sector intervention and operation. The applicable self-interest postulate of
free enterprise based democracy assumes propensity of voters to elect representatives offering
greatest personal gains relative to personal costs. The group decision - making delinks outcome
of an issue to the choice of the individual. Voters, as a result, are likely to remain uninformed on
many such issues. They may make their evaluation of representatives on the basis of subset of
issues that are of greatest importance at personal levels. In such a situation, legislative decisions
are not always expected to pass the economic tests of productivity or efficiency. Second,
working in the aforesaid backdrop, the politicians find it profitable to support special interests
reflective of rent seeking and individual or group advantage at the expense of others. This
follows from a postulate of public choice theory that pursuit of votes is the primary stimulus
shaping the behaviour of politicians. More often than not, interests of bureaucrats may
complement those of the interest groups in such cases. Bureaus may have propensities to expand
their programmes to deliver benefits to special interest groups who in turn may work with the
politicians to expand their bureau budgets and ambits and career prospects and pursuits.
Constitutional provisions in respect of equal treatment of all under law, removal of exploitation
and regional disparity, ensuring religious, racial and gender equality and their strict adherence is
one definite way to limit the power of special interests in using the political process at the
expense of others. Third, in the public sector, where decision-makers do not have private
property rights over the resources they control, the short-sightedness is another source of
conflict between good politics and sound economics. In the public sector, voters, politicians and
bureaucrats may support projects and programmes that promise eye-catching short-run benefits
at the expense of not easily-identifiable future costs. In such a situation, there is always a bias
against legislation that involves projects with immediate and easily identifiable costs and high
future returns. Finally, economic incentive for operational efficiency in public sector enterprises
is small. This does not indicate that employees in the public sector are necessarily incapable. It
means that in public sector operation there is no direct relation between work and creativity on
the one hand and public compensation on the other. No individual or group of individuals can
capture relatively small profits yielded by improved operational efficiency in the public sector.
Research over the last several years have shown that private enterprise, compared to public
ones, has provided goods and services in the same field more economically or efficiently.
better by the political parties and various interest groups through adequate awareness and
dialogues across the relevant income classes and voters.
12.16.1 In Bangladesh context elements of conflict are existent in the relationship between the
central and the local governments. Despite a clear constitutional mandate to promote local
government institutions with special representation of peasants, workers and women (article -9),
no consistent programme has thus far been undertaken to this end. As of now, zilla parishads at
district level are without elected heads; union parishads so far formally delinked from political
affiliations at national levels are still not adequately heard and attended to; co-ordinating roles of
elected representatives at thana level are yet to be defined in legal and functional terms; and
local government bodies in three hill districts need to be organised to give shape and meaning
to the recently concluded peace treaty with the insurgent tribals. The local government as a
system have inadequate sources of locally raisable resources. As a result, responsibility,
responsiveness and accountability to the local people cannot be cherished very much as uniform
principles of administration and management at various levels and throughout the country. This
inadequacy has placed a limitation on the process of participatory development as is envisaged
now.
12.17.1 Promotion of local government institutions, in the present context, may call for reform
in at least four areas. The process of reform in these areas, in turn, will require resolution of
conflicts, explicit and implicit, amongst the relevant role players. In the first place, appropriate
organisations headed by elected public representatives capable of management as well as
development at thana and district levels have to be set up. These bodies along with union
parishads and pourashavas should be given more functions (e.g. in fields of primary health care
and education and local irrigation infrastructure) and adequate co-ordinative and cohesive
authorities. Action along these lines may be conflictive with the current situation wherein local
MPs and officers of the central government tend to interfere and dominate. Secondly, all local
bodies should be made responsible to the local people. To this end, the relevant law should
provide for recall or removal of chairmen or members following passing of no-confidence
motions against them by the local constituents or other members of the local bodies. As of now,
even if a no- confidence motion is passed, chairman of a local body is removable only by or
under the authority of the central government. In such a situation, the representatives elected to
the local bodies tend to forge allegiance to the power that be at the central government vitiating
the principles of responsibility, responsiveness and accountability to the local constituents.
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Reform along these lines may not be implicative of erosion of the authority of the central
government; on the contrary, such reforms will yield desired societal gains for the local people
and in the process reinforce the central government in the mechanics of development. Thirdly,
all these bodies excluding city corporations and pourashavas may be given wider fields of
taxation or alternatively keeping their current fields of taxation unchanged, a pre-determined
percentage share, say 12% of all revenues raised by the central government. If decision to share
the revenues of the central government with the local bodies is taken, a principle for their
equitable distribution on the basis of, inter-alia, (a) population, (b) development needs, and (c)
level of local resource raising may be adopted to stave off exogenous considerations in
distributing the pie. Also, periodic finance commission may be set up and used in a
continuously changing context for determining the over all share of the local bodies in the
central government's revenue and its distribution amongst the relevant local bodies in
accordance with appropriate principles. This may imply a transient erosion of power and
authority at various levels of the central government. This is likely to be more than made up
through strengthening realistically the local government bodies for providing more and better
civic services and higher utilisation of physical and social capital in their respective areas. An
overriding adherence to the constitutional mandate by the legislators together with a strong
commitment of the executive organ of the state for obtaining the maximum yield out of a given
investment in physical infrastructure and social investment is likely to result in actions in right
directions and resolution of conflicts in this regard. The recently completed report of the Local
Government Commission has delineated actions and steps to these ends, which needs
expeditious consideration by the government and the parliament.
12.18.1 Finally, following the tradition built up in Japan, the central government may do well
by delegating responsibility for implementing selected local projects planned and funded by it to
the local government bodies. Primary schools within an union, health centres or bridges within a
district, for example, may be given to the relevant union parishad or zilla parishad for
implementing out of project specific grants made by the central government. This way the
technical capability of the local bodies may be enhanced as well as local participation and more
efficient use of resources ensured. In some cases, established facilities in fields of health care,
education, relief or welfare funded and implemented by the central government may be given to
the relevant local bodies for operation and maintenance. This way the delivery mode of services
may be desirably improved.
12.19.1 In recent years, quite a number of NGOs -private voluntary development organisations-
based largely on grants and assistances from external sources - have come up to cover almost
the entire country. Management of all these NGOs, excepting a few set-up by religious orders, is
in the hands of Bangladeshi nationals. They have come to cover disaster relief, education,
health, children's welfare, care of the old and infirm, afforestation, environment improvement,
consciencetisation and even election monitoring and voter's education. Most of them are
registered under the Society's Act; a few have been incorporated as non-profit making
companies under the Company Act as well. In all cases responsibility for management and
accounting are well defined and laid out under the relevant laws and by-laws as conditions for
receipt of external support. Given the traditionally weak functioning of the local government
bodies vis-a-vis rather resourceful operation of NGOs and their relative success in the fields of
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education, health care and consciencetisation in a few local areas, some seem like having an
idea that NGOs may over years make the need for local government bodies minimal or even
unfelt. In some local areas, seething conflicts as between the relevant local government body
and operating NGO apparatus have also been noticed.
12.20.1 In the future course of development such perception of conflict may not have a room
for serious consideration. NGOs in their resourceful and innovative operation in local areas may
supplement efforts of the central and the local government in the relevant fields; they cannot,
however, be projected or prepared for supplanting or substituting the formal bodies of the
central and the local governments. In fields of health care and education, innovative processes
and procedures developed by some NGOs may as well call for emulation and replication by the
relevant bodies of both central and local governments. Consensus, based on assessment of
needs, performance and resources need to be built up on canalising the efforts of NGOs and
vamping up the roles of local government bodies in this backdrop. Discussions and
deliberations across various fora and relevant organisations for example, in the recently formed
government-NGO Consultative Committee will be called for to fine tune the calling from time
to time in this regard.
12.21.1 Use of the private enterprise as the main vehicle for development demands delineation
and enforcement of (a) private property rights and (b) contractual rights and obligations
expeditiously, firmly and at minimum costs to the parties or the disputants. As experience has it,
scope and span of economic transactions amongst multitudes of private producers, suppliers and
consumers cannot widen smoothly till these demands are met institutionally. The institutional
components in this field are: (a) the laws defining property rights and contractual obligations
and prescribing penal measures for their violations and (b) the administrative-judicial system
enforcing these rights and obligations and awarding penalties for their violations.
Knowledgeable observers in this field opine that the set of laws enacted till date and in force
now, despite their need for some marginal modifications, is adequate. The major problem,
however, lies in their enforcement. The administrative - judicial system seems to have wide
scope to improve upon its present level of performance in this regard. The procedure followed
and the pace maintained in enforcing this set of laws adjudicating disputes that arise in relation
to them are cumbersome, time consuming and costly. Shortfall in enforcement is perceived as a
weakness of the system and erodes public confidence on the system. This perception limits the
span of suo moto acceptance of legal rights and obligations by a large number of economic
transactors. It will remain yet another challenge for the leadership to reform the system and to
account for speedier, firmer and economic enforcement and adjudication to limit if not, to
remove, conflicts in the transaction process pursued by multitude of producers, suppliers and
consumers. Commitment at highest levels of the executive and judicial organs of the state
together with close monitoring and periodic target-oriented training of the relevant personnel
seem to be in order to this end. For supporting newer and smaller producers, suppliers and users
in this regard, setting up of small causes courts in selected urban centres is likely to be helpful
also. Adjudication of small disputes among small but budding entrepreneurs expeditiously and
economically makes the business environment beautiful for spurring small activists into larger
ambits of innovation and production. Obviously, the magnitude of the problem of enforcement
as a whole may appear somewhat awesome at the start. Initial success in this field, however,
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will make the relevant role players to take their rights as granted and obligations invariably
dischargable by the society. Following initial steps in a time-bound frame this realisation by the
majority is likely to lessen down conflicts and extend the scope and the span of economic
transactions in the free and primarily private enterprise system.
12.22.1 The laws on property rights that need modifications, in order to meet the changed
circumstances, call for an in-depth examination and delineation. This will be undertaken by the
recently constituted law commission composed of legal experts and practitioners in the field.
The work of the commission and implementative actions on its recommendations will be a
continuous process.. In the interim period, a number of areas, however, may be identified for
immediate attention and correction for exuding confidence all around and spurring economic
activities across various classes of producers and entrepreneurs spearheading the free enterprise.
These areas are:
a. land tenancy and tenure, particularly in respect of definition of family/household,
agricultural use and agriculturist, subsoil or subterranean rights of 'maliks' (owners),
cognisance of offences and penal provision for violation;
b. vested lands and properties in the plains and common land in hill districts and tribal
areas;
c. copy rights, particularly in relation to the Berne Convention 1954, patent rights vis-a-vis
the Agreement on Trade Related Aspects of Intellectual Properties (TRIPs),
administered by the WTO and penal provisions for violations;
d. insolvency and liquidation of business firms and industries, particularly, in relation to
jurisdiction, cognisance, and expeditious processing and disposal;
e. execution of decrees in relation to money suits;
f. protection of minority shareholders of public limited companies and employer-employee
relations in formal or organised sectors;
g. strikes and lockouts and civil commotions; and
h. unfair or inequitable access to or treatment by public utilities.
12.23.1 Earlier, in the heat of the drive at development based primarily on collective efforts and
the public sector, the emphasis, clearly unexpressed though, was on the control of private
properties. Recognition of the people as owners and controllers of the instruments and means of
production as in the constitution, in the current context of marketisation should be understood as
an enabling provision for using private property rights as an effective spurrer of production and
commerce i.e. promoter of `constant increase of productive forces' throughout the country for
the benefit of people as mandated by the constitution. This understanding seems to have already
converged out of deliberation within major political parties. The labour in the organised sector,
however, still seems to remain largely outside this understanding.
12.24.1 Apart from the laws relating to property rights and contracts, administration of criminal
justice is another conduit for resolution of conflicts amongst individuals. In recent years as a
litany of the neglect and partisan administration in the past crimes did not decline. The crime
combating machinery of the government has definite scope for improving upon their present
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12.25.1 In the interim period, however, a number of steps seem to be in order for attaining and
sustaining equal opportunity and social mobility. These are :
a. quickest possible spread of primary education and health care;
b. relatively more emphasis on scientific and technological education and training;
c. merit-based and need-blind admission into higher educational and training institutions
followed by need-based extensive and full financial support by central and local
governments and private bodies and endowments;
d. depoliticised merit-based affirmative recruitment, and performance-based promotion
and deployment in government and parastatals and other organisations receiving public
financial support or lawful recognition;
e. equitable access to public utilities and credit institutions; and
f. enactments enjoining, promoting, and compelling non-discrimination on grounds of
gender, religion, race or political affiliation in all public and private organisations.
12.27.1 Impartial and fair dispensation by the administrative and judicial systems without fear
or favour is a major building-block of public confidence. An apprehension of partial or unfair
dispensation may make an accused, even if he is innocent, flee off as a fugitive or drive him out
of the society as a rebel. Similar apprehension will encourage people at various levels or local
areas to dispense out immediate justice as perceived by them without taking resort to the
institutional course. The other important building-block is expeditious dispensation.
Inexpeditious and cumbersome dispensation tantamounts to denial of decision or service desired
by the people from the establishment. This makes them avoid and ignore the establishment and,
at times, to take law in their own hands, thus undermining the establishment. Making
dispensations and decisions expeditiously at all levels need, therefore, be aimed at as a conflict-
preventive measure.
12.27.2 Three Needed Steps: At least three steps seem to be in order in transforming the
administrative-judicial system in the right direction. First, as mandated by the constitution
(article-77), the office of ombudsman should be set up. With powers to investigate any action
taken by executive organs of the state, this will provide an important input to make the decision-
making in the government appropriately transparent and create ethos cherishing accountability
and responsibility in public service by all public servants and authorities. Second, parliament
may expeditiously enact laws regulating service conditions of persons in the service of the
republic as mandated by the constitution (article-133). Till such time an appropriate legislation
follows, the constitutional recognition of the traditional government servants as persons in the
service of the republic, dispensation of services and decisions by them may not be as impartial
and fair as desired. Needless to mention, partiality and unfairness in this process are likely to
generate discontents, protests and other manifestations of social conflict. Third, the most
important conduit for resolving inter-personal and inter-body conflicts is an independent judicial
system. At levels where adjudication by the judicial system touches, affects and benefits the
multitudes, constituents of its independence, at times and on occassions may be lacking. To
obviate discontents and conflicts arising as such, the founding fathers enjoined in the
constitution separation of the judiciary from the executive organs of the state (article-22).
Despite rhetorics over years, this has not been done in relation to the lower judiciary. The task of
separating the judiciary from the executive organs of the state warrants completion for
sustaining amity and consequent stability of the societal frame.
12.28 Corruption
12.28.1 The administrative and judicial systems are usually perceived as responsible for
combating corruption. Corruption is a crime committing of which results through collusive
arrangement between committing persons and persons legally and morally responsible for
combating such crimes. When persons legally responsible for combating the relevant crime
abets such committing they also commit the same or similar crime. Viewed as such, prevalence
of corruption is indicative of not only scale commission of crimes but also erosion of the state
apparatus legally and morally responsible for combating crimes and punishing the criminals.
Corruption, as of now, is generally believed to be quite widespread. It is perceived as a societal
disease impairing the vitals of the society. This, in turn, is ramifiable in obfuscating and
limiting the process of socio-economic development of the country. Such an impairment and
obfuscation make people lose confidence in the system and breed conflicts as between those
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who are parties to and gainers from corruption and those who are not and as such stand to
suffer or lose from corruption.
12.28.3 Corruption at High Levels: Of all these, corruption of the first category i.e. state
corruption seems to be the most destructive. Corruption of this type, as already indicated,
manifests in taking basic or vital decisions of the state on considerations other than public
interest. Constitutionally, all powers of the republic belong to the people and their exercise on
behalf of the people has to be effected only under and by the authority of the constitution
(article-7). Exercise of these powers has to be thus in, and in furtherance of public interest by
constitutionally defined authorities following constitutionally laid down procedures.
Considerations other than public interest in decision making in such cases or levels may centre
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round personal or group interest. Serving personal interest may yield pecuniary benefits to the
decision-maker; serving group interest may strengthen the position of the decision-maker in the
group to the detriment of others outside the group. The basic decisions emanate out of the well-
defined organs of the state: the executive, the legislature and the judiciary. In case of
Bangladesh, a sudden announcement of an erstwhile Minister for Foreign Affairs recognising
the government of an intermittent rebel group in Cyprus or appointment of a junior officer as the
head of our permanent mission in New York on the basis of his relationship with the head of
the government in the 1980s or giving away unaccounted amounts to MPs of the ruling party
out of the Prime Minister’s Relief Fund as was done in the past may be cited as examples of
state corruption originating from the executive organ; legislation providing for tax-exempt
import of automobiles for the law makers themselves borders on being an example of not a
very good law originating from the law makers themselves. Formation of a special tribunal
outside the normal courts for trying persons allegedly committing offences under the ordinary
law of the land as was done for the so-called Agartala conspiracy case and willing association of
judges at the highest level of the judiciary in such a kangaroo court in the late 1960s may be
cited as the other example of state corruption pertaining to or involving a few members of the
judiciary. If basic decisions of the state by the executive, the judiciary or the legislature are taken
on personal or group considerations, or sold to the highest bidders, then the very social contracts
underlying the formation of the state are violated and the public trust reposed on state authorities
or organs, betrayed and eroded. Entrenched behind the power of the state and its resources,
corruption of this category is the most difficult to combat and contain. Despite the difficulty,
given its serious destructibility, this type of corruption calls for utmost attention of all
concerned.
under well publicised programmes. Admission into publicly supported better colleges may be
made contingent on merit alone encouraging the gifted students to converge to centres of
excellence as a matter of course as is the case in Singapore.
12.28.7 Syndication of Corruption: As ardent observers in the field have it, corruptions in all
these areas tend to acquire elements of syndication. Syndication in collusive crime committing
yields benefits, pecuniary or otherwise, across hierarchies of relevant organisations responsible
for providing services or enforcing cleansing in accordance with law. Needless to say when
syndication covers the relevant segments of such an organisation, corruption becomes an
inseparable procedural element in it in-as-much as it is supported and encouraged across the
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relevant hierarchies. This makes it very difficult to combat. In such a situation, the sincere and
honest in their minuscule minority fades out as nonconforming and inefficient. This means, in
other words, corruption needs to be confronted at the beginning and, in the inherited situational
context, right now.
12.28.8 Public Awareness and Vigilance Against Corruption: Ultimately, public awareness
and vigilance turn out to be the price of a clean and corruption-free state. While building up
public awareness and vigilance as components of a tradition sustaining and promoting
democratic governance may take time beyond a life time, freedom of information and media and
independent judiciary have much to contribute in the interim span of time. Fortunately for
Bangladesh, the supreme court seems to have come up with effective guardianship in this
respect. The recent justifiability of judicial proceedings against a former president and a number
of ministers on charges of corruption irrespective of their future outcome in terms of innocence
or guilt, as upheld by the higher judiciary of the country has set up a tradition of adjudicatible
public accountability at highest levels. Freedom of press, following recent amendments of laws
relating to press and publications and special powers of the government and setting in of an
environment of tolerance for views have also come as important bases of vigilance against such
corruption. These need to be followed up by an enactment for and in favour of freedom of
information entitling and enabling the citizenry to obtain information on matters relating to
personal or public interest. Additionally, in the light of experience of other countries, full
verbatim recording of deliberations and decisions of meetings of the cabinet, its subcommittees
including the purchase committee and taking these outside the cover of secrecy or
confidentiality (except in case of security matters) will be helpful. Such procedural reform will
impart justifiability of executive decisions following the principle of open adjudication pursued
by the judiciary. Formation and operation of an ethics committee in the parliament along with
continuous functioning of standing and adhoc committees and open public hearings and
deliberations in them will provide restraining elements against possible corrupt conduct at all
levels. In addition to the public accounts and public undertakings committees, there should be a
standing committee on finance and budget in the parliament. Arrangement should be made for
holding more frequent sessions of the public accounts committee and providing adequate staff
support for investigation and analysis. All budgetary measures comprising revisions in budget
passed and supplementary appropriation should be processed through the committee on finance
and budget deliberating and deciding through hearings open to the public. Needless to say, the
legislative control over the budgetary expenditures of the executive may become meaningless in
functional terms if statements of such expenditures are placed before the parliament after these
have already been incurred as has been the inherited practice. To an extent these measures will
desirably limit perceived interference of the legislators into executive actions and decisions at
national, regional, and local levels vitiating the lawful procedure based on the principle of
separation of powers for discharge of executive responsibilities at various levels of the
government.
12.28.9 Two Other Steps: In addition to the measures specific to the type, at least two other
steps of general nature and to an extent, overlapping with others already mentioned, need to be
delineated to combat corruption. First, the political leaderships at various levels may provide
cues to the bureaucracy and the society for discharging duties and responsibilities honestly and
legally. Such cues should also encourage the political activists and the people to adopt the
desired values sustaining and cherishing legal and moral incorruptibility. In this context one
may cite examples of political leaderships in Singapore and Malaysia. It needs to be noted,
corruption in its various categories will be impossible to combat successfully unless the political
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leaderships at various levels of the government can and actually give cues in the right directions.
Second, following provision of conducive cues from the political leaderships, the risk of the
parties involved in corruption has to be demonastratively made higher than the pecuniary or
other benefits accruing to them from the collusive arrangement. This is largely the
responsibility of the administrative and judicial systems of the country-having a large scope to
improve upon the current level of performance.
12.29.1 In recent years, questions centring round gender equality have become important and
demand to be answered expeditiously. Women comprise 48 percent of the population of the
country. Of this, 86 percent live in rural areas. The average age of women at marriage is less
than 18 years; on average a woman produces four children in her life time. Social norm against
remarriage of widows coupled with an average age gap of 10 years between men and women in
wedlock result in 90 percent of widowed population being females. Likewise, women comprise
94 percent of the divorced population of which 54 percent are below 24 years of age. As of now,
participation of females in labour force amounts to over 12 percent; in the manufacturing,
female participation is over 34 percent; and over 20 percent of all households of the country are
functionally female headed. Constitutionally, women in Bangladesh have equal rights with men
in all spheres of the state and of public life; they cannot be discriminated against or subjected to
any disability or restriction with regard to access to any place of public entertainment or resort
or admission to any educational institution on grounds of being women; they are entitled to
special provisions in their favour to be made by the state (article 28); they cannot be
discriminated against in respect of any employment or office of the state (article-29). In addition
to these fundamental rights, prevention of prostitution (article-18) and ensuring participation of
women in national life (article-10) are constitutionally accepted as two fundamental principles
of state policy. Further, guaranteeing of fundamental human rights and freedom and respect for
the dignity and worth of the human person is adopted as a principle fundamental to the
governance of the country (article-11).
uphold the norm need to be assessed and understood; as is perceived such a breaking
down has its class dimension; for the poor material or economic circumstances may
make men encourage women to break the norm and come out of chains of isolation and
protection.
c. As women come out of isolation, veils and chains into a working and pulsating lives,
they are likely to confront the 'double day' and consequently even 'double exploitation'
through the interplay of gender and class relations; the prevailing gender relations do not
usually release them from the primary responsibility for homestead chores even when
and after they enter the formal work place or the job market. Thus an extension of
female participation in male dominated work-world needs to be accompanied by
changes in traditional codes of household duties enjoining amongst others, cooking of
meals and rearing of children on females alone.
d. Evidently, there is male bias in the set of family laws in force; women across both
classes and religions have to struggle over their (i) inheritance rights in natal family; (ii)
rights to choose husbands; (iii) sexuality and pregnancies in marriage; (iv) rights to the
dowry which usually accompanies her at marriage; (v) property rights in the event of
husbands' death; (vi) rights over property and to subsistence in the event of divorce or
desertion; (vii) custody rights over children, their subsistence and education; and (viii)
procedure of separation and divorce. The laws relating to nationality in marriage,
equality of pay, maternity leave, protection against sexual harassment at work places,
etc., are either absent or unenforced.
e. Equality apart, research across countries in recent years shows that female education has
marked negative relation with fertility and infant mortality and strong positive relation
with life expectancy; likewise schooling is found to have important influence on choice
of number and quality of children; these are effects that influence long term growth of a
society. Specific to Bangladesh, equality of women with men is likely to have positive
effects on poverty alleviation. The female headed households constituting over 20
percent of all rural households are about the poorest reflecting widowhood, divorce and
abandonment, all virtually uncared for by the society.
12.29.3 Policy Measures: These five considerations point out as many mutually reinforcive
policy measures fraught with elements of social and economic conflicts:
a. Breaking the cultural norm centred round high valuation and consequent protection of
female sexuality: this is likely to create and even intensify conflict with the
fundamentalists and uneducated male chauvinists; widespread liberal arts education,
female literacy and collective effort by conscious and educated women to break the
traditional gender codes are likely to limit such conflict down to its ultimate winning
over by the forces favouring gender equality;
b. Providing women access to power through access to material resources: to this end some
definite ways are: (i) credit support following the principles developed by the Grameen
Bank and some NGOs working in the field; (ii) adopting a system or norm for joint
registration of properties by married couples during marriage; (iii) reform towards
equitable inheritance law; (iv) affirmative female employment policy; and (v) election of
women members of the parliament and local government bodies (against seats reserved
for women) by universal adult franchise of the relevant constituencies;
c. Changing the traditional gender code of division of duties of males and females: this can
be done through education, orientation and consciencetisation; NGOs working in the
field have already shown ways following which an initial and widespread break-through
can be made; public debates, open dialogues and affirmative actions by women
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organisations are likely to have positive effects; opening up all modes of employment in
the government and parastatals to women is likely to provide the needed pilotage in this
regard;
d. Making appropriate reforms in laws relating to family, inheritance, parental
responsibility, work place equality and nationality in marriage; these have to be taken up
by the parliament in conformity with the constitutional provisions and mandates; and
e. Extending education and health facilities with an effective and affirmative bias towards
women: to this end, the recently adopted subventions and supports to female education
in secondary schools and physically extended health care and family planning facilities
are steps in the right direction; these steps need to be strengthened through curricular
reform and improvement of the health and related service delivery system.
12.30.1 In the economic realm, Bangladesh has already set its course on structural adjustment.
The starting point on this course - macro-economic disequilibrium - has largely been corrected
and already been almost passed. At this time, restructuring calls for (a) expeditious deregulation
and privatisation in keeping pace with trade liberalisation and reform in the financial sector; (b)
increasing savings and investments by linking them to high returns and profits; (c) decreasing
the bloated size of government and parastatals and state owned enterprises and (d) increasing
exports through more efficient use of labour. These are fully consistent with broad based growth
sharable across all income groups and capable of reducing poverty over time. In the short run,
programmes aiming at these objectives have elements of conflict; existing distortions and
privileges are likely to be defended by politically powerful groups, e.g. protected industries and
organised and politicised labour; domestic demand-reducing measures like withdrawal of
subventions and subsides are likely to hurt the poor; cuts in public spending at least in the short
run may limit down social services, transfer payments and safety nets. Given the commitment
for adjustment, these elements of conflicts may be sized down in terms of adverse effects, by
carefully designing the adjustment programmes in the light of poverty profile and its short term
indicators. These profile and indicators may be used to establish a base line for monitoring
poverty so as to associate the structural adjustment programmes with the socially corrective
measures aimed at target groups directly and by widening access to the relevant public services.
12.31.1 Specifically, three major areas call for attention in this context. First, reduction in the
size of the government will call for shaking off redundant employees, mostly at lower levels and
freezing the size of organisations in areas where marginal productivity is low or zero (e.g.,
defence and regulatory areas after some points). The pains in the process may be turned into
gains by encouraging and attracting the thrownouts and fresh employment seekers into directly
productive self-employment through opening up access to technology and credit and cherishing
higher productivity through increasing the size of return envelope for the remaining productive
ones. This can be facilitated through reaching an understanding among major political parties
and labour groups accepting structural adjustment as an economic sine qua non in the present
situational context. Second, the problem of landlessness and assetlessness has to be addressed in
the short and medium terms. The long term growth potential may not be justification enough to
postpone ameliorative measures at the initial stages. At these stages, extensive investment in
flood control and irrigation is likely to increase the labour component of agricultural production.
In the process, intensity of land utilisation coupled with the spread of water-seed-fertilizer
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technology will increase farm employment. Added to that will be required firmer enforcement
of the provisions of Land Reform Act, 1984, prescribing the shares of the landlord and the
sharecropper. At the same time, opening up opportunities for off-farm employment and
providing access to credit and technology to this end will have to be targeted in order to obviate
discontinuity in the social frame in the country side. And third, investment in social sectors will
have to be increased. To an extent this will be possible through reduction in or freezing of
unproductive expenditures in the government and parastatals. But even then, it needs to be
noted, investment in social sectors can be increased sizeably only on the basis of deep political
commitment of, and firm consensus amongst major political parties and interest groups.
CHAPTER XIII
Agriculture
13.1 Introduction
13.1.1 Agriculture plays a vital role in the growth and stability of the country’s economy as is
indicated by its share in GDP, employment and export earnings. At present, it accounts for
about one-third of GDP and employs about two-thirds of the labour force. Exports of
agricultural primary products accounted for about 12 per cent of total exports in 1996/97 and
if exports of agriculture based intermediate and industrial products (leather, jute) are taken
into account, its contribution comes to nearly 24 per cent. If the newly emerged ready-made
garments which contribute as much as 51 per cent of export earnings is viewed in domestic
value added terms, agriculture is the main source of export earnings of the country. Apart
from these, the role of agriculture is unique for food security and nutritional status of people.
However, as industrialisation proceeds, the output of agriculture will represent a declining
share of the gross output of the economy while the share of manufacturing and services
sectors will increase. Although the contribution of agriculture to the economy is likely to
decline, it will continue to be the single largest contributor to income and employment of the
rural population in the foreseeable future.
13.1.2 Crop agriculture represented a share of about 24 per cent in total GDP and about 73
per cent in agricultural GDP during 1996/97. Within crop sub-sector, foodgrain, particularly
the rice crop dominated the country’s agricultural scenario in respect of both cropped area and
production claiming a share of 74 per cent and 54 per cent respectively in 1996/97. Thus,
development of rice crop has substantial impact on the sector’s performance. There has,
however, been shift in the composition of agriculture over the past few years as indicated by
gradual decline in the share of crop agriculture and increase in the share of non-crop
agriculture (NCA) which consists of livestock, fisheries and forestry. The NCA, particularly
the livestock and fisheries, have, of late, taken off largely through private sector initiatives
showing robust growth of 7.98 per cent and 8.60 per cent respectively in 1996/97. Hence, it
is envisaged in the Plan to develop an integrated agriculture including crops, along with food
management, livestock, fisheries, forestry and environment through more efficient utilisation
of available land and water resources for sustainable agricultural growth.
A. Crops
13.2.2 In 1993/94 and 1994/95, foodgrain production declined as a result of depressed prices
and natural disasters, particularly floods and droughts in the north-west, which is the
country’s surplus grain production region. The average foodgrain production during these two
years dropped to 18.71 million metric ton (mt) from the average of 19.31 million mt during
the preceding three years from 1990/91 to 1992/93. While drought conditions prevailed
during these years, the decline in rice production in 1993/94 also was due to both damages by
floods and the farmers’ response to the fall in the price of rice in the preceding year as
evidenced by more than 4 per cent decline in fertiliser consumption, more than 2 per cent
reduction in area sown and similar decline in irrigation command area. In 1994/95, total
foodgrain production was only 18.17 million mt as against the expected production of 20
million mt. This trend started improving from 1995/96 with a foodgrain production of 19.14
million mt. The year 1996/97 witnessed an all time high foodgrain production of about 20.43
million mt. Foodgrain production, though continues to depend on the vagaries of nature,
increased substantially over the years, following the introduction of high yielding varieties
(HYV) and application of modern inputs like fertilisers and pesticides; but its dependence on
weather continues resulting in fluctuations in production. Wide fluctuations in production
leads to large instability in foodgrain prices having serious implications for household food
security and also for the welfare of the people.
13.2.3 Production of jute fibre reached as high as 8.66 million bales in 1985/86. The
production level declined to 4.92 million bales in 1992/93 and hovered around this level since
then. Sugarcane production has remained more or less around 7.50 million mt since 1987/88.
Production of potatoes has shown a steady increase. It increased from 0.89 million mt in
1975/76 to 1.47 million mt in 1994/95. Other crops like pulses and oil seeds have shown only
marginal improvement nationwide. However, implementation of a crop diversification
programme (CDP) during 1990-95 in 125 thanas gave promising results in terms of yield per
hectare of maize, pulses, oilseeds, potatoes, vegetables, etc.
13.2.4 As regards performance of modern inputs, the irrigated area increased to about 4.00
million hectares in 1996/97 from the level of 2.65 million hectares in 1990/91. Ground water
irrigation covered 68.5 per cent of the total irrigated area while the surface water irrigation
was only 31.5 per cent in 1996/97. The ground water irrigation witnessed significant
expansion during the last two decades. Use of chemical fertilisers increased from 2 million mt
in 1990/91 to 3.02 million mt in 1995/96. Public sector seed distribution (mainly rice and
wheat) occupies only about 5 per cent of the total requirements. The large part of the seed
requirement is met by the private sector.
13.2.5 The reforms of the agriculture sector have been quite pronounced and visible. For over
a decade, a wide range of policy reforms have been implemented in the agricultural sector.
Few of these are privatisation of input distribution, withdrawal of input and food subsidy,
import liberalisation and a broadening of the scope of private investment in agriculture. In
recent years, the coverage of policy reforms in the agriculture sector has substantially
expanded to include minor irrigation equipment, agricultural machinery, seeds and
agricultural trade.
13.3 Fifth Five Year Plan
13.3.1 Sustainability of high yield and environmental protection remain the principal concern
in recent years. Loss of soil fertility followed by unbalanced use of chemical fertilisers, lack
of adequate quantity of water in some areas as well as their appropriate conservation and
management are the major factors causing divergence between potential and actual output of
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major agricultural commodities. Various studies indicate that the yield potential of the
existing HYVs of rice is more than 4 mt/ha, whereas the average yield of most of the other
varieties of rice is around 2 mt/ha. Major tasks during the Fifth Five Year Plan will be to
address these issues. The specific objectives of the Plan will be to:
a. increase productivity and real income of farming families in rural areas on a
sustainable basis;
b. attain self-sufficiency in foodgrain production along with increased production of
other nutritional crops;
c. encourage export of agricultural commodities, particularly vegetables and fruits
keeping in view domestic production and need;
d. promote adoption of modern agricultural practices in dry land, wetland and coastal
areas;
e. ensure sustained agricultural growth through more efficient and balanced utilisation of
land, water and other resources; and
f. encourage comparatively large farm to graduate into commercial farming.
13.3.2 Policies and Strategies : In order to achieve the objectives, the strategies/policies will
be evolved and adopted to bring about necessary technical change. The following will be the
specific policies and strategies:
a. improvement of the quality of seeds, particularly HYV and hybrid seeds and
increasing their quantity;
b. development of modern, irrigated and least-risk agriculture with greater reliance on
competitive markets through supply of agricultural inputs at low cost; making public
investment more effective and keeping it limited to key areas as required to
supplement private initiatives;
c. strengthening of the agricultural research and extension systems in order to develop
new technologies relating to crop varieties, integrated farming system, organic
farming, improved agronomic and agro-processing technologies, and for diffusion of
the proven technologies;
d. development and dissemination of ecologically sound and sustainable technologies
such as integrated pest management (IPM) techniques, and organic and bio-fertiliser
use;
e. increasing profitable production of minor crops and thereby maintaining a balanced
crop production and improving the nutritional status of the people;
f. development of suitable technologies in rain-fed, dry land and wetland farming system
to enhance the productivity;
g. restoration/improvement of soil fertility through better management of the organic
matter of soil to improve yields of crops; towards this end, production and use of
bio-manure will be encouraged;
h. assistance to small and marginal farmers in forming groups and associations which
can (i) enhance production and productivity, (ii) sustain agro-business enterprises on
their own, (iii) absorb more credit fund and (iv) adopt/disseminate technologies;
i. participation of NGOs in the agricultural development process;
j. improvement and conservation of plant and genetic resources through collection and
conservation of germ plasm;
k. facilitation of access to markets and the promotion of efficient marketing system;
l. formulation of integrated land use policy conducive to optimum use of agricultural
resources;
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13.4.4 Fruits and vegetables are important sources of minerals and vitamins and provide a
part of calorie requirement in the daily diet of the people. They also provide most of the food
roughage which contributes to prevention of disorder of digestive system. Besides, vegetables
protein appear to be superior to animal protein. The nutrition status of the Bangladeshi diet is
on a declining trend due to low intake of vegetables, fruits and spices. The increased
production and intake of vegetables by the people will help compensate for debilitating
nutritional deficiencies.
13.4.5 The foodgrain production in the terminal year of the Fifth Plan has been projected to
be 25.12 million mt. Out of this, rice production is expected to be 23.40 million mt as against
the production of 18.88 million mt in 1996/97. The estimates of wheat and other coarse grain
production have been made at 1.60 million mt and 0.12 million mt respectively in the
terminal year of the Plan. The projected production of important crops have been shown in
Table 13.1
Table 13.1
Projection of Important Crop Production During Fifth Plan
(area in million hectare
and production in million m. tons unless otherwise noted)
Crops 1996/97 (Benchmark) 2001/2002 (Projection)
Area Production Area Production
1 2 3 4 5
Rice 10.40 18.88 10.11 23.40
Wheat 0.71 1.45 0.70 1.60
Sub-Total 11.11 20.33 10.81 25.00
Other coarse grain 0.10 0.10 0.12 0.12
Total Foodgrain 11.21 20.43 10.93 25.12
Potato 0.15 1.85 0.16 2.43
Sweet Potato 0.05 0.50 0.05 0.66
Oilseeds 0.50 0.37 0.70 0.76
Pulses 0.65 0.53 0.78 0.85
Spices 0.15 0.33 0.22 0.50
Vegetables 0.25 1.45 0.30 1.82
Fruits 0.19 2.14 0.26 3.54
Jute (million bales) 0.51 4.87 0.57 7.24
Cotton (million bales) 0.04 0.10 0.11 0.26
Sugarcane 0.18 8.10 0.18 12.37
Tea (million kg) 0.05 54.00 0.05 60.00
Tobacco 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.04
13.4.6 Maize and other coarse grains: Maize is now considered as a substitute for both
rice and wheat since it can be grown in all seasons. From maize one may get food, oil, fuel,
and fodder and feed. The present yield potential is too low. It can be increased to the level of
HYV wheat provided adequate demand is created and fair prices to the growers can be
ensured. The genetic yield potential of maize is very high. Bangladesh Agricultural Research
Institute (BARI) has already developed five high yielding medium duration maize varieties
with grain yield potential of 5-7 mt/hectare, suitable for flood prone areas. The maize
production is planned to increase by 250 per cent to 12,500 mt in 2001/2002 from the
benchmark production of about 5,000 mt. Besides maize, other coarse grains consisting of
barley, sorghum, bajra, and millets have considerable importance from the point of use of
water resource and development of agro-industries. Considering the increased importance of
these minor crops as supplementary food, cattle feed and industrial raw materials, increased
production programme for these crops will be taken up during the Fifth Plan period.
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13.4.10 Pulses: The pulses of Bangladesh comprise of six major crops, namely, lentil,
khesari, blackgram, mungbean, chick-pea and pigeon pea. Cowpea occupies an important
place in the Chittagong area. The cropped area and production of these pulses have been on
the decline over the past few years mainly because of the increased emphasis on HYV rice
and wheat. But pulses are very important because of protein supply to the human diet and
nitrogen fixation for soil nutrition. Since improved technology can increase per hectare yield
of pulses substantially, pulse production is projected to grow to 0.85 million mt in the
terminal year of the Plan as against the benchmark production of 0.53 million mt.
13.4.11 Oilseeds: Vegetable oil from oilseeds are the main sources of fats in the average
Bangladeshi diet. Its present level of consumption is only 25 per cent of FAO/WHO
recommended level. Efforts will be made to increase oilseeds production to 0.76 million mt
by the terminal year of the Fifth Plan. Groundnut, sunflower and soyabean have been included
in this projected production. New seed varieties are being used in the defined area to avoid
cross-pollination. Production of foundation and certified seeds of improved varieties and
demonstrations of modern technology are important strategies to increase oilseeds production
of the country.
encourage farmers to further intensify jute production in order to satisfy domestic and export
demand. To enable jute to compete with synthetics, emphasis will be given to related
agricultural and technological research efforts. The raw jute production is projected to go up
to 7.24 million bales in 2001/2002 as against 4.87 million bales in 1996/97 through per
hectare yield increase, availability of better quality seeds, improved provision of extension
and credit support to growers.
13.5.2 Tea: Tea is one of the most dynamic agro-based, labour intensive, export oriented
industries of Bangladesh. It plays a vital role in the national economy in both export earnings
as well as in employment generation. Plantation and production of processed tea are the two
main activities in the private sector. In the public sector, green leaf production was promoted
through development projects implemented by the Bangladesh Tea Board. With the
introduction of high yielding varieties, quality planting materials, timely application of
production inputs and installation of modern machinery, tea has undergone further
improvement and enabled Bangladesh to compete more effectively with other exporting
countries. Increased production is expected to come from higher yields and by reducing tea
vacancies now existing in the garden.
13.5.3 Tobacco: Tobacco is one of the important cash crops of the country. The crop grows
well in sandy, well-aerated, well-drained soils and cool climate. Hence, it is grown as a rabi
crop and most of the area is concentrated in the greater districts of Kushtia and Rangpur.
Due efforts to expand tobacco cultivation since 1973/74, through support from big cigarette
manufacturing firms, made it possible to achieve self-sufficiency in tobacco production by
1980/81. However, recognising tobacco’s adverse effects on health, policies will be adopted
to limit its production with gradual reduction of cropped area in favour of cotton and pulses.
The production of tobacco has been projected to be 0.04 million mt by the terminal year of
the Fifth Plan.
13.5.4 Cotton: Cotton has played a very important role in improving the socio-economic
conditions of the farmers during the previous Plan period. The production has gone up from
45,800 bales in 1983/84 to about 1,00,000 bales in 1996/97. The yield of seed cotton per
hectare has reached a reasonably high level; yet the yield of cotton in the country is low
compared to world standards. The major constraints to increased production are inadequate
ginning capacity and seed multiplication programme, insufficient expertise and material
resources, inefficient system of management and ineffective extension and marketing
organisation. Textile mills should encourage commercial plantation through co-operatives in
suitable cotton belts. During the Plan period, efforts will be made to provide loans to farmers
to ensure supply of improved seeds, fertilisers, plant protection measures, irrigation and credit
facilities to the growers along with the practising of improved technologies in the cotton
fields. The cotton production has been projected to be 0.26 million bales by the terminal year
of the Fifth Plan as against 0.10 million bales in 1996/97.
13.5.5 Sugarcane : Sugar is the country’s most important agro-industry and sugarcane is
one of the important cash crops. Sugarcane is grown as a 12/15 month crop in a two year
rotation with aus rice crop during the monsoon season followed in the dry months by oilseeds,
wheat, or vegetables. Sugarcane yields in the country are low by world standards and the
quality is poor. The average yield of sugarcane is about 6.1 mt per hectare with a sugar
recovery rate of 8-10 per cent. Sugarcane is grown on about 0.18 million hectares of land. Of
this, about 0.95 million hectares are in the sugar mill zone areas and the rest in the non-mill
zone areas which produces sugarcanes mostly for making gur consumed by the rural people.
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Research efforts will be strengthened to raise yield per hectare through varietal improvement,
better management of water resources, fertilisers and other inputs, improved cropping
systems and development of sugarcane delivery system from farms to mills. Considering the
past consumption trend, milling capacity and possible growth rate of production, sugarcane
production is projected to be 12.37 million mt in the terminal year of the Fifth Plan as against
the benchmark production of 8.10 million mt.
13.5.6 Crop diversification : Bangladesh is endowed with a favourable climate and soil for
the production of a variety of crops all the year round. Thus, ample opportunities exist for
crop diversification balancing the production of major crops with that of minor crops. The
minor crop production has substantial potential, if seasonal fallow land is brought under
cultivation with seed-fertiliser-irrigation technology packages. Crop rotation, i.e., exhausting
crops followed by recuperative ones, shallow rooted crops by deep rooted ones, legumes
followed by non-legumes, etc., is envisaged to enrich and maintain soil fertility. Besides,
diversification of cropping pattern, particularly towards the production of high value crops,
will contribute to enhance farmers’ income and to help maintain a better soil structure for
long term sustainability. Efforts will be made to explore the possibility of introducing a non-
rice crop in between aman and boro through adoption of shorter duration rice varieties and
shifting of the timing of crop establishment and harvesting. Lack of technological
advancement is the main constraint to diversification of crops. In order to accelerate
technological advancement, possible strategies will be to:
a. develop HYVs and use hybrid technology and genetic upgradation of non-cereal crops
and strengthen seed production programmes, particularly in the private sector;
b. introduce diversified cropping systems in order to free upland areas in winter season
for non-rice crops so as to facilitate introduction of third crop on the land and under
irrigated condition; short duration mustard can be introduced in between boro and
aman seasons; and
c. introduce extensive extension services, improve drainage and water management,
ensure timely planting and soil fertility management, develop infrastructure and post-
harvest processing and provide marketing facilities.
13.6 Special Agricultural Zones
13.6.1 Apart from plain land agriculture, there are special agro-ecological zones which have
quite high growth potentials. Specific development policy, strategy and programmes for
these zones are needed to exploit the existing potentials of the areas: (a) the upland in the
hilly areas of Chittagong, Chittagong Hill Tracts and Sylhet, (b) the wetland in greater
Mymensingh, Sylhet, Jessore, Pabna, Rajshahi, etc., and (c) the coastal areas of southern part
of Bangladesh. Each requires distinct set of policies, strategies and programmes because of
differences in agro-ecological environment. Research, extension and input delivery will be so
designed as to meet the specific requirement of these special agro-ecological zones.
13.6.2 Rainfed farming: Crop production in Bangladesh is predominantly monsoon
dependent. Of the total rainfed areas, about 3 million ha is estimated to be prone to severe
drought. The entire Barind and Modhupur Tracts constituting about 12 per cent of the total
arable areas are characterised by shallow soil depth having low moisture holding capacity and
heavy sub-surface clay. Crop production in these areas and in the Gangetic flood plains is
mainly dependent on rainfall and on the inundation from the Ganges river and its tributaries.
However, for the whole of the Ganges belt, including the Barind and Modhupur Tracts, no
rainfed farming practice specially suited to the prevailing soil and agro-climatic condition has
239
yet been developed. There is, thus, an urgent need to develop drought tolerant crop varieties
and drought mitigating technologies that will make maximum use of the land resources of the
rainfed farming systems. Rainfed farming practices will also include supplementary irrigation
which will help increase crop production during the kharif season.
13.6.3 Wetland farming: Large areas of wetland commonly known as beels, baors and
haors in the greater districts of Sylhet, Mymensingh, Jessore, Rajshahi and Pabna hold quite
high potentials for the development of crop agriculture and fisheries, in particular. Crop
agriculture and fish production can grow simultaneously. Besides, preservation of bio-
diversity of the wetland will be given high priority. Greater attention will be given during the
Fifth Five Year Plan to exploit the potentials of crop agriculture and fisheries through
provision of situation specific package of development programmes for research, extension,
input supply, etc.
13.6.4 Coastal farming: Coastal areas in the southern part of Bangladesh constitutes a
specific ecological zone having its specific problems and possibilities. Cyclones, tidal bores,
salinity, etc., visit these areas frequently affecting agricultural output. Therefore, there is need
for developing salinity resistant variety of rice, for example, for these areas. Coconut, betel
nut, palm and mangrove are major cash crops in these areas. Location specific research,
extension and other programmes will be developed and provided for the purpose of exploiting
the potentials.
13.6.5 Hill farming: The upland in the hilly areas of the greater Chittagong district,
Chittagong hill tracts and Sylhet district constitute a special agricultural zone requiring
location specific services and programmes. High potentials exist for production of fruits and
vegetables in these areas. Agricultural development potentials in these areas are quite
substantial. Resources will be provided to develop appropriate technology that are suitable for
upland agriculture.
13.6.6 Cropping intensity : Bangladesh has, by 1996/97, achieved an estimated cropping
intensity of about 185 per cent. Out of the net cropped area of 7.60 million hectare, about 55
per cent is double cropped and approximately 15 per cent triple cropped. However, about 30
per cent is still single cropped. Since all the suitable land is already under cultivation, raising
the intensity of land use is needed. It is expected that cropping intensity will reach 192 per
cent by the terminal year of the Fifth Plan. Cropping intensity from 1992/93 to 2001/2002 is
shown in Table 13.2.
Table 13.2
Cropping Intensity From 1992/93 to 2001/2002
(area in million hectare)
Net Land Area Total Cropped Area Cropping Intensity
1992/93 7.64 13.70 179
1996/97 7.60 14.08 185
2001/2002 (Projection) 7.50 14.41 192
SSP 1.00 million mt (22%) and MOP 0.60 million mt (13%) by the end of the Fifth Plan.
Actual application of various types of fertilisers is disproportionate to standard NPK ratio of
1 : 0.5 : 0.5. Fertiliser use at farmer level is dominated by urea (about 70%) followed by TSP
and SSP (20%) and MOP (10%) causing damage to soil structure and thereby constraining
per hectare production of various crops. Following withdrawal of explicit subsidy from
phosphatic and potash fertilisers and also transfer of its trade to private hands, relative prices
of these items have gone up, while urea is reported to be sold at below the cost of production.
The price of urea was reduced in July, 1994 and early, 1995. This distortion of relative price
of urea is said to have aggravated unbalanced use of fertilisers in favour of nitrogenous
fertilisers or inadequate application of non-nitrogenous fertilisers such as TSP and MOP.
Therefore, in view of actual field position and experiences gained so far, it is realised that the
public sector interventions might be required in case of market failure for (a) ensuring
balanced use of fertilisers, (b) maintaining a buffer stock of fertilisers to meet emergency
needs, (c) distribution of fertilisers in the remote areas, (d) encouraging increased use of
organic and bio-fertilisers, and (e) training the farmers by the extension people in using
appropriate doses and combination of fertilisers.
13.7.2 Seeds: Quality seeds in right quantity are recognised to be one of the key elements
for enhancing agricultural production. At present, BADC, as per seed policy 1992,
concentrates its efforts on the production of HYV seeds of paddy, wheat, potato, jute and
sugarcane in the seed farms and also uses farmers to multiply seed on contract basis.
Production programme of all other crops beyond foundation seed will be done by contract
growers. With the introduction of seed policy, emphasis has been given to private seed
growers development. However, the public sector will conduct basic scientific research,
support or conduct breeding work for self-pollinated and minor crops for greater suitability to
divergent agro-ecological zone. Public sector will also carry out programmes for training and
support services for private research and development, variety testing and registration, plant
material inspection and maintaining germplasm, supporting seed associations and promotion
of farmer or community-based seed programme. The concerned agencies under the MOA will
be further strengthened in order to ensure quality of seed at all stages of its production —
breeder, foundation and certified seed. Emphasis will be given on creating facilities and
infrastructure support for hybrid seed research, marketing and development. Farmers will be
given training and technical assistance to extend improved methods of seed production,
testing and storage. Total production of all types of certified and foundation seeds has been
around 45,000 mt during 1996/97. This is expected to reach 62,000 mt by 2002. At present,
only about 5 per cent of total certified seed requirement is met from BADC sources. This
needs to be raised to at least 10 per cent to match 25.12 million mt of foodgrain production
as projected in the Fifth Plan. To this end, BADC seed wing will be strengthened and
restructured. Agricultural Research Institutes (ARIs) along with other research organisations
under National Agricultural Research System (NARS) will upgrade and strengthen research
in order to give full support to augmenting breeder seeds of new varieties. Seed development
accounts for about 28 per cent of total financial provision for the agriculture sector during the
Fifth Plan.
13.7.3 Irrigation: Availability of appropriate quantity of irrigated water from (a) surface
water through gravity flow and LLP, (b) ground water through DTW, STW, HTW FMTW,
DSSTW and VDSSTW, etc., and (c) other sources will be the main factors behind the
growth of agriculture during the Fifth Plan. Total coverage of irrigation through all these
sources in 1996/97 is estimated to have been around 4.00 million ha which is projected to
increase to 5.04 million ha in 2001/2002. This is about 67 per cent of total potential irrigable
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areas of 7.56 million hectare. In addition, flood control and drainage facilities are projected to
cover 4.90 million ha during 2001/2002 as against the estimated coverage of 4.20 million ha
in 1996/97. Flood control and drainage programmes will support and assist increased
agricultural production during the Fifth Plan.
13.7.4 Plant protection: Actual plant protection activities are in the private hands. However,
the public sector programmes are confined to qualitative and quantitative aspects of plant
protection: pests surveillance, monitoring and early warning against pest attacks, advisory
service to farmers, traders and others dealing with pesticides and quality control of pesticides
marketed by the private sector. In the Fifth Plan period, the integrated pest management
(IPM) programme will be intensified and expanded in order to safeguard crops from pest and
combat environmental degradation due to pesticide uses. Agricultural extension workers are
responsible for providing advice to the farmers on appropriate plant protection measures.
Collaboration among the local government representatives, extension workers and the NGOs
will be sought to expand IPM programme. Farmers will be given training in the use of
different pesticides through demonstration.
13.7.5 Agricultural credit: Till recently, the major part of agricultural credit to farmers has
been channelled by informal sources catering to the needs of short term credit. Semi-formal
institutions, NGOs, Grameen Bank, etc., also provide target groups credit in the rural areas.
The third source in terms of credit volume is the formal sources comprising the nationalised
commercial banks and agricultural and specialised banks, i.e., Bangladesh Krishi Bank
(BKB), Rajshahi Krishi Unnayan Bank (RAKUB) and Bangladesh Samabaya Bank (BSB).
During the Fourth Plan, the total volume of agricultural credit increased by 150.20 per cent;
the highest increase being for fishery (831.50%) followed by livestock (341.30%), crop sub-
sector (214.30%) and others (93.40%). However, in recent years, there has been a significant
cut in the share of crop sub-sector in the total credit delivery to the agriculture sector from
formal sources. The share declined from 46.38 per cent in 1994/95 to 42.29 per cent in
1996/97. A major reason for this is the serious problem of low repayment due to weak
lending and recovery operations, inappropriate use of loans, frequent occurrence of natural
calamities and loss of crops and weakening of the public price support policy. The low
interest rate to this priority sector dissuades financial institutions from further lending to
agriculture. Moreover, since 1991/92, central bank discontinued its refinance facility for
extending agricultural credit except for the BKB, RAKUB and the Sonali Bank. These factors
dampened the expansion of agricultural credit. In the Plan period, agricultural credit,
especially for marginal and small farmers will be geared up in order to encourage steady
expansion of agricultural output supported by appropriate public policies to ensure fair prices
to farmers. Otherwise, over 6 million farm households will be exposed to uncertainty. In
addition to the existing programme, special credit programme will be launched aiming at
providing credit, particularly to the small and medium farmers. The commercial banks will be
encouraged to provide funds to large farms to enable these to operate on a commercial basis.
Keeping this in view, the Fifth Plan envisages to increase yearly agricultural credit
disbursement. An amount of Tk.30,000 million is projected to be delivered as credit to
agriculture in the terminal year of the Plan.
13.7.6 Mechanisation of agriculture: There is a serious dearth of animal draft power to
cater for the growing needs of an expanding modern agriculture. The available animal draft
power is inefficient and unreliable. As against this, agriculture mechanisation can help in
improving productivity, reducing cost of production, increasing efficiency, increasing inputs
use (water, seed, fertiliser, labour) and achieving timeliness of crop production operations.
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Agricultural mechanisation is needed for quick turn-over time and high input use efficiency.
Land preparation, irrigation, insecticides spraying, threshing, crushing and shelling, husking
and milling have been partially mechanised and their magnitudes are expanding gradually
throughout the country. There is a need for continuous development of more efficient and less
costly equipment so that farmers can benefit. Since agriculture is still the mainstay of the
economy, promotion and development of agro-related metal working industries to provide
support to agricultural production is a major concern. Selective mechanisation based on the
traditional devices conducive to productivity will be adopted. In the context of market
economy, emphasis will be given to the collaborative role of public and private sectors in
technology development and its diffusion. An appropriate policy framework for sustainable
development of farm machinery manufacturing will be pursued in the Fifth Plan period.
13.7.7 Agricultural Insurance: Agricultural insurance has been recognised as an important
component of agricultural development strategy. It seeks to protect farm investment through
indemnification of losses to crops, forestry, livestock, fisheries and other farm resources that
are vulnerable to natural hazards and other insurable perils and thereby provides security to
farm income. It can also be significant to the agricultural credit agencies in times of natural
calamities with insurance policies standing as collaterals for loans. With this end in view,
crop insurance programme was at first launched in Bangladesh in 1977. Being entrusted with
it, Sadharan Bima Corporation (SBC) carried out a pilot project to provide multi-peril
coverage to major cereal crops (aus, aman, boro and wheat) as well as to major cash crops of
jute and sugarcane for stabilising farm income. Livestock component was included in 1981.
But, for various reasons, the performance of the project, particularly in respect of crop
insurance was quite poor. Due to weak loss assessment system, indemnity payments far
outstripping premium incomes resulted in mounting losses to SBC. In the absence of any new
initiative to revamp the crop insurance programme, it was discontinued with effect from mid
1995. Livestock insurance has, however, been retained as it has continued to perform
relatively well. During the Fifth Plan, efforts will be made for the development of a
comprehensive agricultural insurance programme.
13.7.8 Agricultural marketing and prices: With a more intensive system of crop
production and the increasing emphasis on diversification, marketing problems, particularly
with perishable crops, have already multiplied and are likely to multiply further unless the
needed remedies are introduced. Marketing costs are already high because of inadequate
infrastructure, high price risks and the lack of credit to traders for marketing activities.
13.7.9 Among the vast number of primary and secondary markets in the country (about
7,800), the Department of Agricultural Marketing (DAM) is responsible for fixing market
charges in 393 markets only. The market centres are under the control of the Ministry of Land
which owns the land and collects marketing fees from sellers. The DAM, during the Fifth
Plan period, will be strengthened to provide improved marketing services with a view to
ensuring fair returns to the growers for their produces and adequate supply to the consumers
at reasonable prices through the improvement of market conditions, reduction of marketing
costs, regulation of market practices and market promotion for agricultural crops like maize,
soyabean, potato, sunflower, etc. Wholesale market development, promotion of agro-
processing industries, market management, creation of MIS in DAM, classification, grading
and standardisation of agricultural products, improvement of storage facilities, particularly for
marginal and small farmers, setting up an Agricultural Price Commission to make price
forecast, production estimate and to make recommendations on the economics of productions
and marketing are some of the specific programmes that will be undertaken during the Fifth
243
Plan in order to ensure (a) fair price, (b) quality of agricultural products both for domestic
consumption and export and (c) increased production with stable price.
13.8 Agro-processing
13.8.1 Bangladesh experiences seasonal surpluses in several agricultural commodities of
perishable nature. Development of agro-processing facilities can prevent post-harvest losses
and enhance farmers' income. The agro-processing industries are at present in their nascent
stage of development . Most of the technologies and facilities for handling, storage,
processing and packaging of farm products and by-products are substandard and outdated as
they cater primarily to the domestic market. There is considerable under-utilisation of
capacity also.
13.8.2 The scope for the privatisation of support services such as research and extension is
likely to remain limited. However, agricultural research institutes like BARI and BRRI will
carry out research on technology development for agro-processing. Meanwhile, some
technologies are already available with these institutes for the development and growth of
agro-processing industries in the country. Nevertheless, some specialised extension activities
could be delegated to the private sector such as those related to fruits and vegetables
enterprises.
13.8.3 This process of supporting agrobusiness will be continued and strengthened during
the Fifth Plan period. In this regard, two institutional developments in recent years are
noteworthy: the establishment of HORTEX, a private board for horticulture promotion and
the Agro-based Technology Development Project (ATDP) which conducts regular monitoring
of the country's agrobusiness markets and provides information about the development in
foreign markets and opportunities for agro-industries. These projects also support
entrepreneurs with credit facilities.
13.9 Agricultural Research
13.9.1 Autonomous research institutes like BRRI, BARI, BJRI, BINA and BSRI were
established with specific mandates for crop agricultural research in order to make the research
system more service oriented and dynamic. National Agricultural Research System (NARS)
with all the agriculture related research institutes under the co-ordinated leadership of
Bangladesh Agriculture Research Council (BARC) has been established.
13.9.2 The research system needs to re-examine its focus and re-order its priorities, avoid
fragmenting and duplicating its efforts, orient its approach from commodity based to farming
system or integrated production system and strengthen its planning, programme monitoring
and co-ordination. The research system should also strengthen its linkages with extension in
the Plan period. Agro-ecological zone-based research will be undertaken. The criteria for
evaluation of research programmes towards rates of adoption of research output by end- users
and the system of accountability of individual research institution, research administration
and personnel will be reviewed and made consistent with actual needs. Problem-solving
researches will be given priority. Criteria for identification and selection of contract research
programmes by the private sector and NGOs will also be developed in response to the
changing environment at farm level. In the same way, priority list will be evaluated annually
to accommodate changed needs and circumstances. Keeping in view these objectives and
strategies, the following tentative research priority areas have been identified:
a. improvement of foodgrain quality with more digestible protein;
b. increase in efficiency in water use in rice cultivation;
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and farming community also. Agricultural extension together with nutritional awareness
programme will receive about 8 per cent of the agricultural development Plan outlay .
13.10.2 Strategies to develop extension services: The following will be constituents of
strategies to develop extension services:
a. development of qualitative demonstration, field days, agricultural exhibition;
b. farming system approach to extension system;
c. non-commodity approach, i.e., irrigation technology, seed technology, on-farm water
management technology and uses, IPM;
d. strengthening of field level activities through proper delegation of authority from
headquarters to field level;
e. priority to marginal and small farmers;
f. development and promotion of environmentally sound farming practices; and
g. involving local government bodies, especially union and thana parishads in the
process;
13.10.3 Local government bodies will co-ordinate, monitor and supervise the activities of
agricultural extension service at the grassroots level. The NGOs, local government
institutions and the extension personnel will work jointly for extension services. The role of
BADC will be re-structured in accordance with the findings and recommendations of the
recently formed Agriculture Commission.
13.10.4 Agricultural and rural training: In addition to higher education at agricultural
colleges and the University, several other training institutions teach and train personnel who
serve the agricultural sector. These institutions are Central Extension Resources Development
Institute (CERDI) at Joydebpur, Graduate Training Institute (GTI) attached to Agricultural
University at Mymensingh and 12 Agricultural Training Institutes (ATIs) located throughout
the country; although the training facilities vary considerably among institutes, they are
generally inadequate and need support for overall improvement. The curricula equally
emphasise both academic and field trainings. During the Fifth Plan period, two ATIs will be
established to meet the growing needs of extension personnel including women extension
agents. Besides, Academy for Rural Development at Comilla and that at Bogra will train
agriculture personnel of the Ministry of Local Government, Rural Development and Co-
operatives in addition to pursuing their training programme for model farmers and managers
of village co-operative societies on various aspects of agricultural development. To make the
agricultural extension service efficient and effective, the training and communication support
of extension system needs to be reorganised, strengthened and improved. The ATIs and
CERDI will emphasise the qualitative aspects of training in agricultural management,
instruction in the production of training materials, training of trainers and of extension agents.
Training institutes will be given responsibilities for extension work in the nearby villages of
their locations with the objective of achieving better organised extension work in the rural
communities which will, in turn, result in an improvement in the quality of training. In
support of the agricultural extension services, agricultural information service will
concentrate on the systematic planning of multi-media communication activities to assist crop
production and on taking initiatives in other relevant areas and fields.
13.11 Agricultural Education
13.11.1 The objectives of agricultural development can be realised through the effective
spread of education and application of science and technology. The improvement in the
prevailing educational system is essential, if progress and development are to occur in
246
agriculture. Increased levels of literacy and education among rural people are important
factors conditioning the rate of adoption of improved technologies.
13.11.2 Recognising the need for development of scientific base for modernising agriculture,
the country requires a continuing flow of efficient and qualified human capital to upgrade,
maintain and implement development programmes and projects in a wide variety of public
and private institutions serving agriculture. The responsibility of training these people lies
mainly with the system of higher agricultural education. There is already a base of physical
facilities at Bangladesh Agricultural University (BAU) at Mymensingh, Bangabandhu
Agricultural University at Joydebpur and in agricultural colleges at Dhaka, Patuakhali and
Dinajpur. The existing infrastructural base for higher agricultural education at Mymensingh
and Joydebpur is under-utilised, though broad enough to meet the requirements of the
country for various levels of agricultural experts and extension personnel.
13.11.3 Agricultural education system will be reorganised and strengthened and will be
brought in line with the country's agricultural needs. Teaching will be linked to actual farming
practices in specific farming conditions. Syllabi for agricultural education will be suitably
modified so as to contribute effectively to the requirements of a dynamic agricultural sector.
The major attention will be given to improve the quality of teaching and training and related
student output so that the overall response of the system of agricultural education is sufficient
to underpin the development of human capital and the science and technology base for
agricultural modernisation.
13.11.4 Setting up of agricultural colleges in the private sector will be encouraged in the
Fifth Plan period. Agricultural education has already been introduced at the secondary and
higher secondary levels which will be further improved in years to come. Special emphasis
will be given to the training of the teachers.
13.12 Private Sector
13.12.1 During the Fifth Plan, private sector investment in agriculture will be encouraged,
particularly in areas of manufacturing of farm machinery and implements, irrigation
equipment, fertilisers and pesticides, development of quality seeds, processing and storing of
food, vegetables, fruits and others agricultural products. Adequate fund is likely to be
available for these purposes. For a sustainable growth of the agricultural sector, appropriate
fiscal and monetary measures will be framed taking into account the economy-wide and
transboundary circumstances and issues. The public sector will provide public goods and
services (research, extension, agricultural education, etc.), which may not be efficiently and
adequately supplied by the private sector, support development of technical know-how and
promote access to foreign markets, technology and capital.
13.13 Land Use
13.13.1 The Bangladesh National Conservation Strategy identified six important areas of
conflicting land uses in rural areas. These are: crop agriculture vs. shrimp and capture
fisheries, forest land vs. shrimp and capture fisheries; crop agriculture vs. livestock;
agriculture vs. settlements; agriculture vs. brick fields; and agriculture vs. newly accreted
char lands. Traditional systems found ways to make these various land uses compatible.These
manifested in traditional seasonal shrimp culture and rice cropping, fallow periods and
community grazing land for livestock. Due to population pressure on land, however, these
traditional approaches are breaking down; available agricultural land per capita is roughly
half of what it was 25 years ago. As a result, more intensified uses such as intensified mono-
247
cropping, intensified shrimp cultivation, and extensive brick fields are degrading soil fertility.
Cropping on fragile char land before it has stabilised invites rapid erosion. Flood control and
drainage structure have altered land and water use pattern and led to the decline of fish stocks
and production by more than 25 per cent in recent years.
13.13.2 To replace traditional land use systems, more careful attention will be given to the
impacts of current land uses. More can be done to maximise land productivity in order to
continue to maintain per capita level of agricultural output. Bangladesh can functionally
expand its 'land' base by more intensive cropping, better use of water and coastal resources,
rational forest management, more attention to integrated land use and development of mixed
cropping systems.
13.13.3 Resolving land use conflicts will be given special attention for sustainable
agricultural development. Formulation of appropriate land use/zoning policy to ensure
optimum use of land, prevent the use of prime agricultural land for brick making and
industrial production, protect land from degradation, reclaim unutilised or degraded land for
suitable use and improve the land resources for future generation will be taken up.
13.13.4 Priority of use of land between competing sectors is to be fixed in consideration of
different physiographic units and sub-units which have different use potentials. While
agriculture will receive a high priority in allocation of all the naturally fertile land, other
sectors of production of renewable resources like forestry, fishery and livestock should also
receive due importance. Forestry will have additional consideration in the policy due to its
importance in environmental protection. The land use policy will clearly enunciate that good
agricultural land is not allotted for or converted to non-agricultural uses like indiscriminate
urban and industrial development.
13.14 Agricultural Development and Poverty Alleviation
13.14.1 Crop agriculture and minor irrigation served as the prime generators of income and
employment in the rural Bangladesh over the past two decades. There is no doubt that the
modern HYV seed-fertiliser-irrigation technology has made a significant impact on rural
poverty alleviation. Modern agricultural technology has also helped generate employment in
the rural areas, particularly for the landless. The diffusion of agricultural technology has also
helped changing the nature and terms of the tenancy market impacting on income distribution
and poverty. Some possible technology interventions with reference to the asset status of
households in the Fifth Five Year Plan period will be the following:
a. assetless: Value adding activities utilising the biomass available within the village,
raising plant nursery, seedlings, compost making, processing fruits and vegetables,
feed preparation for poultry and livestock, mushroom production, silk worm rearing,
etc. and development of common property resources including utilisation of
wastelands, road sides, embankments and derelict ponds for fisheries;
b. marginal and small farmers: Labour intensive production activities such as dairy
and poultry raising, vegetable growing, flower production, hybrid seed production,
integrated resource management systems including recycling and value added
agricultural products;
c. medium and large farmers: Technology interventions including those which will
save farm inputs, e.g., bio-fertiliser, bio-pesticides including integrated pest
management system and inter multiple and relay-cropping systems;
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13.15.2 Following actions will be pursued for creating awareness and increasing
consumption of nutritious food during the Fifth Plan period:
a. nutritional consideration and objective will be incorporated in development projects
and programmes of agriculture as one of the themes of International Conference on
Nutrition (ICN);
b. the nutritional problems in all the agro-ecological zones (AEZ) will be identified as a
basis for developing crop production plan to improve nutrition situation in the
country;
c. short term nutrition training programmes for the personnel of the Department of
Agriculture Extension (DAE), Department of Livestock and Department of Fisheries
and informal training for social workers, religious leaders, farmers and consumers will
be organised;
d. workshops and seminars at thana level will be arranged and farmers rally and field-
days at farm level will be held;
e. incorporation of nutrition into curriculum of agricultural education and training will
be made;
f. training on nutrition and food demonstration for wider dissemination of nutrition rich
practices will be organised;
g. nutritional motivation through mass media campaign and school and mosque based
campaign in collaboration with extension workers/agencies and NGOs will be
organised;
h. food and nutrition fair to create increased nutrition awareness through demonstration
of proper cooking and food preservation methods will be undertaken;
i. all actions and programmes identified in the National Plan of Action for Nutrition
(NPAN) for the agriculture sector will be implemented through government
organisations, NGOs, and other relevant agencies; and
249
for the disadvantaged people. There will be three strategic thrusts in such programmes during
the Fifth Plan:
a. an integrated farming and resource systems approach to area development;
b. special consideration of the major disadvantaged groups in all programmes; and
c. increased co-ordination with, and contracting out to, the Grameen Bank and NGOs.
13.19 Financial Outlay During Fifth Plan
13.19.1 The public sector financial outlay for crop agriculture has been estimated at
Tk. 21,425.38 million. The programme wise financial outlay is presented in Table 13.3.
Table 13.3
Financial Outlay for Crop Agriculture During Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices)
(in million Taka)
Programme Total Percent
1 2 3
Agricultural Extension 1,650.00 7.70
Applied Nutrition 50.00 0.23
Agricultural Research 2,500.00 11.67
Crop Diversification 1,900.00 8.87
Seed Development 6,000.00 28.00
Fertiliser and Soil Improvement 550.00 2.57
Agricultural Marketing 500.00 2.33
Women in Agricultural Development 50.00 0.23
Environmental Protection 500.00 2.33
Human Resources Development 250.00 1.17
Other Essential Agricultural Sector Investment
Programmes/Projects
(a) Area Development Programmes 3,860.00 18.02
(b) Agro-business Development, Mechanisation and 2,600.00 12.14
Private Sector Development
(c) Agricultural Rehabilitation Programmes 950.00 4.43
(d) Agricultural Insurance Programmes 5.00 0.02
Agricultural Statistics and Others 60.38 0.29
Total 21,425.38 100.00
13.19.2 In addition to the public sector outlay, an amount of Tk. 65,038.91 million is
expected to be invested for the development of crop agriculture in the private sector.
B. Food Management
13.20 Past Performance
13.20.1 Vulnerability of domestic production of foodgrain necessitated the building up of an
elaborate public food distribution system (PFDS) over the years. PFDS aimed at both meeting
emergency needs as well as normal demand of the poor households in addition to meeting
institutional demand originating in hostels, hospitals, jails, etc. While the distribution of
public foodgrain continued to expand, it acquired a new emphasis through domestic
procurement on a voluntary basis as a tool for stimulating foodgrain production with price
support and open market sales (OMS) for price stabilisation at consumers level. Thus, it has
both consumption and production objectives and in respect of both, of late, it has undergone
changes with the growth of domestic output and greater availability of foodgrain in markets.
13.20.2 During the Fourth Plan period, sale of foodgrain through the statutory rationing
channel of the PFDS was almost withdrawn. As a result, there was a significant change in the
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Private sector will be encouraged to own food storage facilities at strategic places
such as food deficit/surplus areas. This will enable the traders to augment market
supply in response to rise in prices, reducing thereby both seasonal and regional
price spreads.
d. Targeted support for vulnerable groups: National level foodgrain availability
does not necessarily mean household food security. In spite of increasing foodgrain
production and falling real prices of rice, over half of the country's population
cannot afford an adequate diet. Hence, the case for public intervention remains
strong and clear. Consequently, targeting the poor for supply of food remains
squarely within the public domain. Vulnerable Group Development, Food for Work
Programme and Food for Education in wider ambits will be some of the specific
programmes of public interventions.
e. Government role: To meet any shortfall in the flow of required quantum of food,
the public sector may have to intervene for:
i. preservation and maintenance of security stock;
ii. development of a safety net programme by improvement and enlargement of
targeted food distribution;
iii. providing incentive to growers through procurement of foodgrain at
remunerative prices;
iv. stabilisation of price of foodgrain in relation to production cost and purchasing
power of the consumers; and
v. modernising and maintaining existing storage capacity by renovating old food
godowns and, if necessary, constructing new godowns in strategic areas of the
country.
f. WTO and measures for food security: Members of the World Trade Organisation
(WTO) are currently implementing various reforms agreed upon in the area of
agriculture during the Uruguay Round of multilateral trade negotiations. The central
element of these reforms which will vitally affect the foodgrain price and food
security of net food importing countries like Bangladesh is substantial progressive
reduction in agricultural protection so as to establish a fair and market-oriented
agricultural trading system. This measure, though expected to eliminate protections
and to correct distortions in world agricultural markets, is likely to push domestic
prices of agricultural products up, at least in the short and medium terms. As a
result, Bangladesh, a least developed and net food importing country, may
experience negative effects in terms of availability of adequate supplies of imported
food-stuff on reasonable terms and conditions, and short term difficulties in
financing normal level of commercial imports of basic food-stuff. To offset these
adverse effects and, thus strengthen food security, Bangladesh will have to initiate
negotiations in appropriate forums to establish a level of food aid commitment
sufficient to meet its needs and to adopt measures to ensure that an increasing
proportion of food-stuff be provided as grants for meeting needs of the target
groups. Bangladesh will also pursue the case for increased quantum of technical and
financial assistance to improve its agricultural production/productivity as well as
relevant infrastructure. Besides, Bangladesh will work out with its development
partners an arrangement under food aid for domestic procurement of foodgrain from
the surplus regions and for distribution to deficit regions.
13.21.3 Food balance: The necessity of food budgeting and management in Bangladesh
arise due to a variety of factors. The country is densely populated having a small area and
bulk of the population suffers from malnutrition. The food crops are often affected by
vagaries of nature such as drought, flood and cyclone. Thus, there is continued insecurity in
domestic food supply which remains one of the major concerns for the country. In spite of
efforts to reach food self-sufficiency, the country remains food deficit mainly because the
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population growth could not be controlled as desired and the growth of food production could
not be achieved to a level as required for feeding the additional population. However, the
situation is projected to improve during the Fifth Plan period. The projected food balance
during the terminal year of the Plan vis-a-vis the base year is shown in Table 13.4.
Table 13.4
Projected Food Balance in Fifth Plan
(in million mt)
1996/97 2001/2002
(Base Year) (Terminal Year)
Population (million) 123.80 132.50
Food Requirement * 20.50 21.94
Production of Foodgrain 20.43 25.12
Seed and Wastage (10%) 2.04 2.51
Net Production 18.39 22.61
Food Balance (-) 2.11 + 0.67
*Total foodgrain requirement has been calculated on the basis of per capita per day requirement of 453.59 grams (16.0 Oz).
13.21.4 During the terminal year (2001/2002) of the Fifth Plan, the total size of the
population is estimated to reach at 132.50 million. In order to feed them, the country will
need 21.94 million mt of foodgrain. Foodgrain production has been projected to be 25.12
million mt in 2001/2002. After deducting 10 per cent for seed and wastage from the gross
production, 22.61 million mt of foodgrain will be available for consumption. Thus, the
country is likely to attain food self-sufficiency and may have a surplus of 0.67 million mt by
the terminal year (2001/2002) of the Fifth Plan. But since this estimate is based on a
normative demand at the rate of 453.59 gm a day per capita, while effective demand will be
lower due to lack of purchasing power from income and employment, actual surplus will be
correspondingly higher. Lest this causes a slump in domestic price level and consequently,
discourages farmers to increase production, public intervention will be necessary to ensure a
remunerative price to farmers. On the other hand, shortfall in effective demand will need
income transfer to the poor households till income and employment generation can raise
purchasing power adequately.
13.21.5 Financial outlay: The programme-wise financial outlay in the public sector for the
Fifth Plan is given in Table 13.5.
Table 13.5
Financial Outlay for Food Management Facilities in Public Sector During Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices )
(in million Taka)
Programme 1997/98 1998/99 1999/ 2000 2000/ 2001 2001/ 2002 Total
(1997/98-
2001/2002)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Repair and rehabilitation of existing
silos, CSDs, LSDs etc. 195.00 214.00 214.00 220.00 225.00 1,068.00
Construction of silos/new storage
capacity at strategic places and the 140.00 140.00 140.00 150.00 186.00 756.00
related infrastructural facilities.
Establishment of food testing
laboratories throughout the country. 1.00 24.00 25.00 - - 50.00
Research/Monitoring/ Training on
food management /operation and 100.00 100.00 100.00 20.20 - 320.20
strategy/ computer network.
_Total 436.00 478.00 479.00 390.20 411.00 2,194.20
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C. Fisheries
13.22 Past Performance
13.22.1 Fisheries play a major role in nutrition, employment and foreign exchange earnings.
About 60 per cent of animal protein is supplied by fish alone and about 1.2 million people are
directly employed by this sub-sector. Another 11 million people indirectly earn their
livelihood out of activities related to fisheries. The production of fish was estimated to be
1,373 thousand mt during 1996/97 as against 847 thousand mt in 1989/90. It is estimated that
production of inland fish was 1,079 thousand mt and that of marine fish about 294 thousand
mt. The growth rate of fish production during the last seven years averaged at 6.5 per cent
which fell short of increase in demand; however, the present rate of fish production has
increased to 8 per cent per year. Over the last decade, price of fish increased at an annual rate
of 2.5 per cent.
13.22.2 There are various impediments to fisheries development, some of which are
particular to sources of fisheries. In case of capture fishery, inadequate knowledge, over-
fishing and indiscriminate killing of juveniles and destruction of spawning grounds,
obstruction of migration routes due to unplanned construction of dams and embankments
under the flood control, drainage and irrigation projects, degradation of water quality,
breakout of fish diseases, defective fish conservation laws and inadequacy of processing,
marketing and other facilities are some of the major factors affecting the desired rate of
development. The major constraints limiting fish culture relate to problems of property rights,
competing water uses and related conflicts, lack of equipment and credit, lack of trained
manpower and quality fish feed, etc. In case of marine fishery, inadequate knowledge and
information of fisheries resources, lack of proper management policy and modern fishing
know-how, use of inefficient fishing equipment and inadequacy of harbour and landing
facilities as well as credit are important impediments.
13.23 Fifth Five Year Plan
13.23.1 Objectives: The major thrust for fisheries development will be on culture and capture
fisheries, promotion of rice-fish farming system in the vast flood plains and conservation and
management along with institutional and manpower development for equitable distribution of
benefits from common property water resources through research on social engineering. The
major objectives of fisheries sub-sector development during the Fifth Plan are to:
a. generate additional employment opportunities in fisheries and ancillary industries to
help poverty alleviation;
b. increase fish production and improve nutritional level;
c. improve the socio-economic conditions of the fishermen, fish farmers and others
engaged in the fishery sub-sector;
d. increase export earnings from shrimp, fish and fish products;
e. improve environmental conditions;
f. improve the biological and institutional management mechanisms for judicious use of
fisheries resources; and
g. strengthen research, extension, management and co-ordination in order to transfer
technology and encourage production activities in the private sector and to ensure
sustainable development of fisheries resources, particularly utilising water resources
of the vast flood plains.
13.23.2 Policies/Strategies: Keeping in view the objectives stated above, the
policies/strategies to be taken up for the development of fisheries are as follows:
255
a. semi-intensive poly-culture of fish will be ensured in all ponds, dighis and other
closed and semi-closed water bodies;
b. stocking of fish fry in flood plains and semi-closed water and flood control, drainage
and irrigation (FCDI) project areas will be continued to halt the declining trend of
open water capture fisheries;
c. sanctuaries will be established to conserve fish spawning grounds at different areas of
the country; measures will be taken to stop indiscriminate fishing of gravid female
and undersized fish; spawning grounds of the main fish species like Rui, Katla, Hilsa,
Pangas, Golda Chingri, etc. will be identified to establish fish sanctuaries;
d. adequate credit facilities for the fish farmers will be created and credit guarantee
scheme will be introduced for marginal farmers; import of machinery and equipment
for private sector hatchery, feeds and feed ingredients will be further liberalised and
duties and taxes thereon will be reduced;
e. training facilities for development of suitable manpower and entrepreneur groups will
be extended both in the public and private sectors and multi-sectoral development
approach will be followed;
f. bio-technological elements will be applied in conservation of fisheries resources in all
large water bodies, viz., baors , haors, beels, rivers, canals, and lakes;
g. fisheries management policy will be implemented to improve the socio-economic
conditions of fishermen;
h. all precautionary and mitigatory measures will be taken so that fishing grounds may
not be affected during the development works of other sectors like flood control,
drainage and irrigation projects, agriculture, industries and urban development
programmes;
i. physical facilities like electricity, roads, transports, fresh water, etc., will be created
and made available to develop brackish water fish and shrimp resources;
j. traditional methods of shrimp culture will be improved by introducing modern
technology for increased production; shrimp culture extension service will be
strengthened to take necessary steps for the establishment of shrimp hatchery at
private level;
k. marine fisheries resources survey will be strengthened to ascertain the exact stock of
resources in the interest of fish harvest at maximum sustainable yields;
l. programmes will be undertaken to improve the socio-economic conditions of the
coastal fishermen communities;
m. quality of fish and shrimps will be ensured for the export of fish and shrimps through
creation of facilities and modern quality certification system; and
n. khas ponds, dighis, canals, road-side ditches, etc., will be excavated/re-excavated/
developed for fish culture through participation of the rural unemployed youth,
marginal farmers and distressed women;
13.24 Major Programme Areas
13.24.1 Open water capture fisheries: A 2.8 million ha fish habitats in the flood plains
remain as unutilised resources of fish production. In order to increase production in open
water fisheries, programmes will be undertaken to (i) conserve resources through rigorous
implementation of the laws on fish protection and motivation of fishermen, (ii) establish fish
sanctuaries, (iii) increase production by massive stocking of fast growing carp fingerlings in
the natural depressions and flood plains, and (iv) develop fish culture in paddy fields through
protective measures against adverse effects of flood control, drainage and irrigation projects,
roads and high ways projects and township and housing projects. Observing the declining
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trend of the stock of open water fisheries in the recent past, efforts were made to augment the
stock through release of fish fries in the flood plains. But these programmes did not yield
good results. Appropriate procedural and management systems will be evolved to ensure
accountability and transparency in the execution of programmes for open water fisheries in
the Plan period.
13.24.2 Closed water culture fisheries: There are over 1.3 million ponds covering an
estimated area of 147,000 ha, some 6,000 ha of ox-bow lakes and over 130,000 ha of shrimps
farms. Currently, the average production in fresh water ponds is 1.4 mt./ha. and that of
brackish water shrimp farms only 160 kg/ha. Programmes will be undertaken to bring all of
1.3 million ponds under extension programmes of DOF, BFDC, FRI and NGOs during the
Plan period to raise the present total production of 331,900 mt to at least 450,000 mt of fish.
13.24.3 Brackish water aquaculture: An estimated 0.143 million ha of coastal land is
under brackish water shrimp farming. The method is largely traditional where an average
production of 160 kg/ha is currently obtained. Recently, farmers, especially in Bagerhat and
Perojpur areas, have started shrimp farming in their paddy fields. Farming area is rapidly
expanding. Development of brackish water fisheries will be contingent upon the provision of
infrastructures, supply of seed, feed and other inputs, security, technical advice, disease
control and training of the farmers on improved scientific farming system. With more support
from DOF, BFDC, FRI and other extension agencies, it will be possible to raise production in
shrimp farms to a level of 400 kg/ha which will yield an additional production of at least
60,000 mt by the terminal year of the Plan. Semi-intensive farming is currently practised in
5,000 ha area by a number of entrepreneurs where production of 3-5 mt/ha has been achieved.
The DOF is currently identifying suitable areas for semi-intensive farming and suitable sites
for establishment of shrimp hatcheries. Private entrepreneurs will be encouraged to invest in
hatchery operation. The government will support development of suitable land with road,
electricity and other infrastructures. Private sector joint venture investment including foreign
investments in hatchery operation, feed production and other related activities will be
encouraged .
13.25 Marine Fisheries
13.25.1 With the extension of exclusive economic zone (EEZ) upto 200 nautical miles
beyond our shore lines in 1974, Bangladesh resumed the responsibility for exploitation and
management of living and non-living resources within its 1,64,000 sq. km. sea area. Since
unlike the mineral resources, fish is a renewable living resource, only judicious exploitation
and scientific management and development can ensure maximum benefit out of it. Over the
last two decades, the share of marine fisheries in the total national landing rose from 10.6% in
1970 to about 22% in 1996. If appropriate technology can be adopted, this can be increased
manifold.
13.25.2 The increasing pressure on the coastal resources in Bangladesh has caused decline of
many marine fishes and shell fishes in the Bay of Bengal. The artisanal fishing which
contributes about 95% of the total marine landing is largely composed of post larvae and
juveniles which are seriously damaging the stock due to use of crude traditional technology.
The number of artisanal fishing gears including estuarine set bag nets, beach seine nets and
shrimp seed push nets are increasing alarmingly causing serious over exploitation of stocks.
So, the following measures/programmes will be undertaken to improve the marine fisheries
resources during the Fifth Plan period:
a. assessment of pelagic, demersal and other marine resources and their development;
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proposed to commission a comprehensive study to analyse the sources and causes of fish and
shrimp diseases and find out remedial measures.
13.27 Production and Export Projection During Fifth Five Year Plan
13.27.1 The current level of per capita daily fish consumption is about 25.6 gm. In order to
raise the level of consumption to about 34.43 gm per capita per day at the end of the Plan
period, the required production of fish will be 1.67 million mt. This is based on estimated
projection of 132.5 million population by the terminal year of the Plan. In addition, it is
assumed that during 2001/2002, the export of shrimp and fish and fish products will be
95,000 mt and another 15,000 mt of fish will be required for industrial and other uses. In view
of this demand, the fish production target at the terminal year of the Fifth Plan has been set at
2.075 million mt. Table 13.6 gives the details of projection of fish production in the terminal
year of the Fifth Plan.
Table 13.6
Projection of Fish Production During Fifth Plan
(in '000' metric Tons)
Source of production 1996/97 2001/2002
(Benchmark) (Projection)
1 2 3
1. Inland Fisheries 1,079.00 1,675.00
Ponds 331.90 450.00
Baors 3.50 27.00
Coastal aquaculture 85.00 100.00
Rivers and estuaries 165.00 180.00
Beels and haors 70.00 95.00
Kaptai lake 7.60 9.00
Flood plain 395.00 751.00
Irrigation canals, road side ditches, 21.00 63.00
fresh water polders and enclosures, etc.
2. Marine Fisheries 294.00 400.00
Total (1+2) : 1,373.00 2,075.00
13.27.2 Export earnings from shrimp, fish and fish products and other aquatic organisms
during 2001/2002 are expected to be Tk.38,045.00 million as against estimated earnings of
Tk.16,000.00 million in 1996/97. The export projection for the Fifth Plan is shown in Table
13.7.
Table 13.7
Export Projection of Fish and Fish Products in Fifth Plan Period
(Qty in ‘000’ m tons, Value in million Taka.)
Items 1996/97 2001/2002
(Benchmark) (Projection)
1 2 3 4 5
Qty. Value Qty. Value
Shrimp 28.00 13,150.00 70.00 32,900.00
Fish and fish products 9.80 2,250.00 20.00 4,600.00
Others 5.50 600.00 5.00 545.00
Total : 43.30 16,000.00 95.00 38,045.00
Table 13.8
Financial Outlay for Fisheries Development in Public Sector
During Fifth Plan (at 1996/97 prices)
(in million Taka)
Programme Financial
Outlay
Survey, investigation, feasibility study, research, etc. 400.00
Fisheries education, training, extension and community development 890.00
Culture and capture fisheries development (including inputs and waterbodies development) 4,360.00
Fish landing, storage, processing, marketing, transportation, distribution, etc. 211.80
Total : 5,861.80
13.27.4 Private sector: Appropriate programmes and projects will be promoted for
implementation in the private sector with support services from the public sector in such areas
as fish hatchery, feed mill, culture of fish and other aquatic organisms, fish processing, fish
preservation, fish production, domestic sale and export. An amount of Tk.21,847.00 million
is expected to be invested by the private entrepreneurs--local and foreign, for implementation
of these programmes/projects. Expectedly, investment by the private entrepreneurs will be
much more than what is envisaged for the public sector.
D. Livestock
13.28 Past Performance
13.28.1 Livestock sector has the makings of a highly viable sector for generation of
employment and income for the landless, unemployed youths and destitute women. Little
attention was given to livestock sub-sector until the recent past. In spite of that, about 50,000
private poultry farms, 26,000 duck farms and 26,000 dairy farms have been set up in the
country in the private sector. Consequently, there has been a 60 per cent fall in the import of
milk powder. Implementation of various development programmes as well as changes in
fiscal and commercial policies resulted in the establishment of 26 thousand dairy farms in the
private sector. The production of milk, meat and eggs between 1991 and 1995 as against their
requirements are shown in Table 13.9.
Table 13.9
Requirement and Production of Livestock Products During Fourth Plan
Year Population Milk Meat Egg
(million number) (million mt) (million mt) (million number)
Requirement Production Requirement Production Requirement Production
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1991 108 9.86 1.34 4.26 0.45 8,985.60 2,046.60
(13.59%) (10.56%) (22.78%)
1995 121 11.04 1.41 4.77 0.51 10,067.20 2,539.00
(12.77%) (10.69%) (25.22%)
13.28.2 The production of milk and meat increased by an annual compound growth rate of
1.3 per cent and 3.2 per cent respectively. The growth rate of egg production was, however,
satisfactory which was 6.5 per cent between 1990/91 and 1994/95. There are ample potentials
for increasing production of milk, meat and eggs in the country. The main problems of this
sector are inadequate supply of vaccine, medicine, equipment, feed, health care facilities,
quality breed, parent stock, credit facilities and other inputs.
260
m. training of the target groups like the landless, destitute women, unemployed youth and
poor farmers in livestock management, inputs production, product processing and
marketing for poverty alleviation and income generation.
n. pricing of vaccines for cost recovery and commercialisation of Veterinary Vaccine
Productions Laboratory under the Department of Livestock Services.
13.30 Major Programmes
13.30.1 Feed and fodder development: Feed mill will be established in the private sector at
important places of the country. The government will provide support services in the form of
credit and technologies. Fodder production will be encouraged through crop diversification,
inter-cropping and plantation of fodder trees with timber trees.
13.30.2 Animal health and disease control: The programme consists of diagnosis,
prevention and treatment, vaccine and medicine production and distribution. Qualitative and
quantitative improvement will be made in disease control. Facilities will be expanded and
number of veterinary surgeons will be increased by 350 during the Plan period. About 10,000
youths will be trained as veterinary health workers.
13.30.3 Animal breeding and breeder multiplication: Programmes will be directed
towards multiplication of breeding of cattle, buffalo, goat, sheep, fowl and duck. Increase in
milk, meat and egg production will be achieved mainly through quality improvement of local
cattle by cross-breeding with deep frozen semen through artificial insemination and
improvement of poultry through introduction of high breed commercial birds for eggs and
meat production. The poultry population is expected to increase significantly during the Plan
period.
13.30.4 Extension training and education: In order to increase livestock productivity,
improved production technologies will be spread all over the country. Training of farmers,
farm owners and NGOs for all kinds of related activities of this sector will be given through
extension services and formal and informal education. Number of veterinary colleges and
veterinary training institutes will be increased from 2 and 3 to 6 and 21 respectively which
will be located in 6 divisions and 21 former larger districts.
13.30.5 Input production: Input production like production of vaccine, semen, day old
chick, duckling and eggs through different projects included in the Plan will increase
significantly. Vaccine production will increase from 350 million doses in 1996/97 to 400
million doses in 2001/2002, semen production from 1.8 million doses to 4.5 million doses,
day-old chick production from 4 million to 6 million, duckling production from 0.5 million to
1.0 million and egg production from 2,815 million to 4,730 million during the Plan period.
Limited input production still in the public sector will be gradually transferred to the private
sector. Meanwhile, existing input supply programmes in the public sector will be run on full-
cost recovery basis.
13.30.6 Employment creation and poverty alleviation: Programmes undertaken during the
Fifth Plan will create positive impact on self and wage employment in livestock farming,
chick and goat rearing, feed selling, and other income generating activities under different
package programmes of the Department of Livestock. Credit programmes of various NGOs
are supporting women’s involvement in livestock production around homesteads using
surplus labour and agricultural by-products. The government encourages these programmes.
The total number of man days involved in the livestock development activities is likely to
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increase from 12.50 million in 1996/97 to 16.00 million in 2001/2002. The beneficiaries like
poultry workers will increase from 22,600 to 45,000, chick rearers from 8,000 to 12,000, key
rearers from 5,00,000 to 14,00,000, feed sellers from 1,000 to 3,000, egg collectors from
2,600 to 6,500 and mini hatcheries from 200 to 1,000.
13.30.7 Projection of livestock products for Fifth Plan: The production of milk, meat and
eggs will show a significant increase during the Fifth Plan period. Details may be seen in
Table 13.10.
Table 13.10
Projection of Milk Meat and Egg Production During Fifth Plan
13.30.8 Marketing: Marketing of livestock products and by- products in our country is not
properly organised. Livestock market places are under-developed and unhygienic. As
marketing network of livestock products and by- products is not properly maintained, the
producers are being deprived of their benefits. During the Fifth Plan, programmes will be
taken up for improving marketing channel to ensure quality and equitable distribution of
benefits at different stages of production process.
13.30.9 Research: Adaptive research on breeding, feeding, disease control, etc., will be
undertaken by BLRI and appropriate technologies will be transferred to the users. Research
result on fodder production, processing and preservation and vaccine production already
tested and certified will be released shortly, while on going programmes in these areas will
receive priority. Particular emphasis will be given to different aspects of poultry. Locally
suitable poultry and cattle breed will be developed. Attempt for poultry parent and grand
parent stock development will be made. Technology transfer through collaboration with
international and advanced research institutions abroad will be promoted.
13.30.10 Role of NGOs: NGOs will perform major role in group formation, training,
extension services, credit disbursement, supervision and recovery and conducting socio-
economic studies related to development projects. Government-NGO co-operation will be
more extensive for development of this sector.
13.30.11 Private sector: In the Fifth Plan period, one of the major and most important
thrust of the public sector programme will be to support the private sector for the
development of livestock and poultry. Towards this end, adequate technical, material and
financial support, training on breeding, feed production, marketing, credit management,
adoption of new technologies, disease control, etc., will be given to the private entrepreneurs.
Some 23 technology packages have been developed and are being implemented on
experimental basis since 1996/97. About 10,000 entrepreneurs will be trained up in different
trades in the next five years. Major trainees will be poultry farmers, egg collectors, chick
producers, chick rearers, feed producers, feed sellers, dairy farmers, goat rearers, etc.
Integrated approach of developing livestock and fisheries will be encouraged. Fiscal supports
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for importing quality breeds, feeds, feed-ingredients, equipment and medicine will be
continued and further expanded, if necessary. Some productive units of the public sector will
be transferred to the private sector to increase efficiency and for reduction of government
subsidy for this sector.
13.30.12 Financial outlay during Fifth Plan: In order to implement the livestock
development programmes during the Fifth Five Year Plan, an estimated amount of
Tk.5,435.60 million will be spent in the public sector. Year wise break up is given in
Table 13.11.
Table 13.11
Public Sector Financial Outlay for Livestock Development During Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices)
(in million Taka)
Year Financial Outlay
1996/97 690.00
1997/98 1,000.00
1998/99 1,000.00
1999/2000 1,012.00
2000/2001 1,164.00
2001/2002 1,259.60
Total (1997-2002) 5,435.60
target of 46,947.50 ha showing 93 per cent achievement. The plan target of 16,158 km. of
strip plantation was achieved by almost 100 per cent. Rubber plantation covered 1,261.78 ha
of land and 7.83 million kg. of rubber was produced. Moreover, the coastal afforestation
programme, bamboo, cane and murta plantation and industrial and strip plantation showed
good performance.
(SRF) is the largest single natural mangrove forest in the globe. However, SRF is
presently engulfed with severe ecological problems. The most important species of
this forest, Sundari is affected with top dying. Other aquatic, floral and faunal
diversity are fast disappearing or on the verge of extinction. Following the integrated
development approach for the forest sub-sector, an Integrated Resource Management
Plan has been prepared. Another programme for bio-diversity conservation in SRF is
in the pipeline. Extraction of top-dying Sundari trees and enrichment plantation is also
a priority issue of the forestry sub-sector. During the Plan period, 2.5 million cft. of
Sundari will be extracted and enrichment planting of 2000 ha will be carried out in the
Sundarbans. The sal forests of the country has been degraded and deforested for many
years. The programme to rehabilitate the sal forests will gradually be taken up as
before. A total of 32,000 ha of agro-forestry and woodlot plantations will be raised
under different projects in the sal forest regions.
d. To prevent the extent of damage by cyclones and tidal surges, a programme will be
undertaken under which 24,500 km. of strip forests will be raised during the Plan
period.
e. The reedlands of Sylhet has long been lying unutilised. In addition to the existing
reedland development project under implementation in these areas, some more
programmes will be taken up in future. Under the Fifth Plan, 7,000 ha of reedlands
and 1,000 ha of wetlands will be planted by local government bodies with people’s
participation at grassroots level. In addition to this, 7,000 ha of char land will also be
planted under the Forestry Sector Project.
13.33.2 Farmland forestry: Potentials for increasing productivity of the farmlands which
are degraded due to drought condition and in the gully areas especially in the north west,
exist. A project will be undertaken to afforest the farm lands/farm land ridges. Agro-forestry
will be made popular gradually. About 8,000 ha of farm land plantations will be raised during
the Plan period.
13.33.3 Social forestry: Social forestry has now become a social movement in Bangladesh.
The programme includes expansion and strengthening of 335 thana nurseries, establishment
of 2,000 union level nurseries, expansion and strengthening of 80 forest extension and
nursery training centres, distribution of 40 million seedlings and raising of 19,000 km. of strip
plantations. The local government bodies will co-ordinate the afforestation programmes at the
grassroot level under this programme. During the Fifth Plan, NGOs will be more directly
involved in afforestation programmes. They will be motivating people through informal
training and other extension sources and will help the Forest Department to implement its
programmes. In some cases, they will be co-sharers of benefits of the plantation projects.
13.33.4 Rubber plantation: Three hill districts and parts of greater Mymensingh, Sylhet and
Tangail are specially suitable for rubber cultivation. Rubber plantation in Bangladesh was
started on a pilot scale in 1961 by BFIDC. So far an area of 31,118 ha (1995) has been
planted which yields 7.83 million kg raw rubber in the public sector. A total of 16,527 ha has,
of late, come under rubber plantation in the private sector with a production of 0.25 million
kg. Taken together, these account for about 35 per cent of the country's requirement for raw
rubber. The yield rate, however, is not satisfactory. This is mainly because of poor seed and
management, inadequate technical knowledge, lack of infrastructural facilities like access to
roads and electricity, support services and credit. These problems will be addressed properly
266
in the Plan period. Inter-cropping with fruits and vegetables will be attempted. Joint
participation of local and foreign investors will be explored.
13.33.5 Wood energy development : Wood energy contributes 13 per cent of the total fuel
consumption of the country. Wood fuel is the most important form of energy for domestic use
in rural areas. In Bangladesh, domestic cooking consumes 65 per cent of fuel wood and the
rest 35 per cent is consumed by the industrial and commercial sectors. There is a wide gap
between supply and demand of fuel wood in the country. To meet high demand relative to
supply, recently through social forestry, short/medium rotation fast growing tree species have
been planted along the roads and embankments, and on marginal and fallow lands with active
participation of local people. BCSIR has developed efficient wood burning oven. Further
research programmes on development of wood fuel, efficient use of wood, etc., will be
undertaken in the Plan period to reduce strain on wood supply. Technical assistance may be
required for this purpose.
13.33.7 Forestry survey and research: Emphasis will be given to homestead private forests
in terms of genetic research (tissue culture) to improve productivity. Supply of inputs will be
made cheaper and easier. Emphasis will be given for maximum utilisation and multiple use of
land. Research on non-wood forest products, especially for rural use, will be conducted. The
forest soil survey will be completed so that site-species matching can be ensured. In addition,
detailed inventory of forest resources will be carried out to prepare specific forest
management prescriptions. Moreover, detailed survey of about 400,000 ha forest lands will be
conducted and forest areas will be demarcated to avoid unlawful encroachments.
13.33.8 Forest institutions, policies/legislation: The responsibility of development of
forestry in the country rests largely with the Forest Department (FD). But the FD has long
been constrained by shortage of skilled manpower, logistics and legal backing. Development
of forestry to a large extends will be contingent on the institutional development/reforms of
FD and other allied institutions. Future actions during the Fifth Plan will be in accordance
with the new Forest Policy and the Master Plan. New laws pertaining to the conservation of
forests and wildlife will be introduced. FD will be reorganised and participation of local
people will be emphasised. The role of BFIDC as a public sector corporation will be
reviewed, especially considering the declining scope of mechanical extraction from
Chittagong Hill Tracts and opening up of rubber plantations to the private sector.
13.33.9 Extension and training: Recently, high emphasis is being given to participatory
approach for development. Involving local people in implementing and maintaining
development programmes is the cardinal principle of such approach. Thus, during the Fifth
Plan, people-oriented programmes will receive special attention. There is a need for vigorous
forestry extension activities and training to implement these programmes. The Fifth Plan
projects to train about 100,000 persons, especially in social forestry at the grassroots level.
Besides, as mentioned earlier, to develop the skills of manpower in the forestry sector, a total
of 1,550 persons will be trained in professional, sub-professional and bottom level of the
Forest Department and allied agencies.
267
13.33.10 Conservation: Presently, about 1.5 per cent of the total land area falls under
protected land area category which is about 10 per cent of the total forest land. The protected
area will be increased to 15 per cent during the Plan period. Effective management plan for
all the protected areas will be prepared with the introduction of zoning system. People’s
participation will be effectively utilised in conserving resources in the respective zones.
Along with this, eco-tourism will be introduced in a selective way based on the carrying
capacity of the eco-system. Use of alternatives to forest products like steel/plastic furniture
and aluminium structures will be encouraged. This will ease the pressure on forest products.
Ban on the use of fuelwood in brick fields will continue and be made more effective and
other modes of efficient use of energy will be promoted, e.g., improved cooking stove.
Moreover, programmes will be developed and implemented to protect the
threatened/endangered species of flora and fauna and the fragile eco-system. Wildlife farming
of deer and reptile like crocodiles, iguana, snakes and frogs, etc., will be encouraged and
promoted on a commercial basis through private initiatives.
13.33.11 Financial outlay: An amount of Tk.6,982.10 million has been provided for
development of forestry in the public sector during the Fifth Plan. Details are given in
Table 13.12.
Table 13.12
Physical Programme and Financial Outlay for Development of Forestry in Public Sector
During Fifth Plan
(in million Taka)
Item Physical Activities Financial Outlay
FORESTRY SUB-SECTOR
1. Plantation and Maintenance (hectare) 209,938 2,729.20
a. Hill forests (RF, PF, USF) (ha.) 105,000 1,365.00
b. Coastal afforestation and enrichment 20,000 260.00
plantation in the SRF (ha.)
c. Reed land, wetland and charland plantation (ha.) 15,000 195.00
d. Agroforestry, woodlot and farmland afforestation (ha) 40,000 520.00
e. Strip plantation (24500 km) equivalent to (ha.) 19,000 247.00
f. Bamboo, cane and medicinal plants (ha.) 8,000 104.00
g. Vacant land in tea garden, around pond banks and in 2,938 38.20
Barind tract gullys (ha.)
2. Seed orchard establishment (Seed orchard division) 4 129.74
3. Seedlings distribution (million number) 56.6 468.00
4. Jhumia Rehabilitation (family no.) 3,000 233.00
5. Development of Wildlife Conservation, Environment, - 996.66
Education, Recreation etc.
6. Physical Infrastructure - 650.00
7. Vehicles/Equipment - 191.00
8. Survey, Demarcation, Inventory and Work Plan Preparation - 203.00
9. Manpower 3,000 708.20
10. Extension and Training - 203.20
11. Research - 270.00
12. Miscellaneous - 200.10
TOTAL 6,982.10
268
and other necessary facilities of local government at old districts of the country during
this Five Year Plan period;
b. Skilled manpower is essential for better environmental management and co-
ordination. In this regard, DOE will undertake training programmes on different
subjects concerning environment;
c. Survey, research and development activities in different fields and subjects will be
taken up to combat environmental degradation and other environmental problems. A
research and training centre will be set up during this Plan period;
d. Facility of data-base and documentation of different environmental subjects and fields
will be created to help decision makers, other professional groups, institutions and
government departments and ministries to formulate an appropriate plan of action to
protect environment. United Nations Environmental Programme (UNEP) is going to
establish electronic information network in DOE shortly;
e. Public awareness is a key to achieve success in any national programme. With the
help of electronic and other media, it has now become very easy to reach all the
people within a short time. DOE is trying to use all kinds of modern media in order to
disseminate information on environmental issues and encourage entrepreneurs to
come up with more investment;
f. DOE will formulate projects and undertake activities to the end of environment
protection of Bangladesh, Agenda-21 and NEMAP and take initiative to implement
international protocols and agreements on environment;
g. "Environmental Court" may be established to resolve all cases of violation against
any clause under the Environment Protection Act, '95 and other rules, regulations and
policies meant for preserving and protecting the environment;
h. Establishing treatment plants for industries (e.g., cement, fertiliser, paper, textiles,
handloom, leather, etc.) and making their use mandatory;
i. Introducing self-monitoring system in Export Processing Zones and other industrial
areas; and
j. Strengthening drinking water quality surveillance.
13.37.3 Physical programme and financial outlay of the public sector for development of
environment during the Fifth Plan are shown in Table 13.13.
Table 13.13
Physical Programme and Financial Outlay for Development of Environment
in Public Sector During Fifth Plan
(in million Taka)
Programme Physical Activities Financial Outlay
Strengthening of DOE at regional and sub- 18 offices 120.00
regional levels.
Phasing-out of ozone depleting substances - 20.00
Biodiversity management 11 Centres 110.00
Environmental quality control, monitoring and 19 Air Monitoring 120.00
management. Stations and 6
Treatment Plants.
Public awareness on environmental standards - 10.00
Alternative energy development. - 10.00
Agenda-21: Implementation follow up. - 10.00
Total 400.00
271
Water Resources
13.38 Introduction
13.38.1 The twin problems of shortage of water during the dry season and its abundance in
the rainy season are critical to the development and management of water resources in
Bangladesh. During the winter months, optimum use of available water resources will have to
be made taking into consideration the multifarious demand for use of water for domestic
need, irrigation, navigation, fisheries, livestock, forestry, environment, etc. On the other
hand, in the wet months, the main tasks, in addition to provision of supplementary irrigation,
are controlling, regulating and managing of floods to protect human lives, properties, crops,
etc. It is estimated that 7.56 million ha could be developed for irrigation as against the current
irrigated area of 4.00 million ha while 5.76 million ha will require flood control and drainage
(FCD) facilities as against 4.2 million ha covered in 1996/97. Bangladesh, being in the lower
riparian areas of three major rivers of the world, the Ganges, the Brahmaputra and the
Meghna, could not since long undertake any meaningful water resources development
programme to harness the water flows of these rivers for the benefit of its people. Now,
following the treaty for sharing the Ganges water with India, vista of opportunities have been
opened up for regional, sub-regional, basin and sub-basin wise development and management
of water resources for the benefit of all peoples of the region. It is in this backdrop that the
Ganges Barrage is being taken up for implementation during the Fifth Plan period.
of every 10 years. The record was in 1988 when almost 60 per cent of the country was
inundated.
ii. Certain parts of Bangladesh are also subjected to drought during the monsoon season
which adversely affects the cultivation of kharif crops. The upstream withdrawal of
water from some rivers by the upper riparian during the dry season has aggravated the
situation, giving rise to need for supplementary irrigation and combating salinity and
other ecological problems.
b. Siltation: The combined annual average sediment load entering Bangladesh and conveyed
to the Bay of Bengal via the main rivers is estimated to be about 0.77 billion mt, varying over
a range of 0.45-1.84 billion mt during the period 1956-88. A part of this sediment load is
deposited on the floodplains during the flood season, gradually changing its topography and
drainage conditions. Bangladesh has an estimated total of 25,000 km of drainage channels
and their water conveyance capacity and navigability have been seriously threatened by
continuous morphological change of river beds. The problem has not been properly attended
to in the past on the ground that dredging is expensive. However, such generalised assertions
must be tested against specific cases where very selective dredging and desiltation
programme, combined with developing raised platform could provide cost-effective solution
of the problem and also assist in poverty alleviation and environmental upgradation.
c. River bank erosion
i. The floodplains and coastal delta are in a constant state of slow morphological change.
The large seasonal variation in river flow results in a varying sediment transportation
capacity and causes river-bank erosion, migration of river-banks and meandering river
channels. Recent satellite image studies of the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna rivers
show that 106,300 ha were lost to erosion, while only 19,300 ha were accreted over the
period 1982-92. The net area of 87,000 ha lost to erosion is equivalent to an annual
erosion rate of 8,700 ha. Most of it is agricultural land.
ii. River bank erosion has significant economic and social impacts. The loss of land, crops
and property has led to landlessness and impoverishment of thousands of households.
A study showed that out of the total population of 1.88 million living in the
Brahmaputra floodplains, 450,000 live within the banklines or reverine chars and the
remainder within a kilometre of the river. Over the period 1980-92, land capable of
supporting 405,000 people was eroded and new char land created from the eroded
sediment could only support 55,000 people causing a net displacement of 350,000
people.
iii. Since river training and river bank protection work involve huge sum of money, major
investment in these areas was not encouraged in the past by our development partners.
But lately, there has been a growing concern and reassessment of the economic and
socio-political benefits of protecting important towns, infrastructure, hats and bazars as
well as agricultural land.
d. Cyclonic storm surges: Natural calamities are recurring phenomena in Bangladesh, the
most severe ones occurring in the form of cyclonic storms which mainly affect the coastal
districts. The country has over 700 kms of coastline on the mainland and several offshore
islands in the Bay of Bengal. Vulnerable areas include the important port towns of
Chittagong and Khulna and heavily populated islands of Sandwip, Kutubdia and Hatiya.
During the last 125 years, over 42 cyclones hit the coastal belt; 14 occurred during the last
25 years. Cyclones often take a heavy toll of human life, livestock, crops, properties, and
physical infrastructure. Such cyclones also tax the country's institutional and financial
273
capabilities, since resources have to be diverted to provide immediate relief to the affected
population and to restore damaged or destroyed physical facilities.
e. Salinity intrusion: Since the Farakka Barrage in West Bengal went into operation, the net
availability of surface water to Bangladesh via the Ganges during the dry season was
reduced below critical level. The impact of this reduction is demonstrated by a marked
increase in salinity in southwestern Bangladesh. The southern part of this affected region
is subject to tidal action from the Bay of Bengal and saline intrusion from the tides is
normally pushed back by upland flows of fresh water from the Ganges through its
tributaries in which the Gorai plays a vital role. Due to flow reduction since 1975, tidal
limits and the salinity front have moved northward. Around Khulna, some 146 km.
upstream from the Bay, the salinity (in terms of electric conductivity) has increased from
380 micro-mhos/cm in the pre-diversion period to 29,000 micro-mhos/cm. This is a major
problem in over 25,900 sq. km of the Ganges dependent area and is causing both short
and long-term problems in crop production, fishery, forestry, power generation, industrial
development, health care and domestic water supply. Following the ganges water sharing
treaty with India signed on December 12, 1996, the situation seems to be improving; the
desired improvement will not take place till the proposed Ganges barrage is constructed
and water flowing down the Gorai and other relevant distributaries is augmented.
13.40 Water Resources Potential
13.40.1 The net cultivable area of the country is estimated at 9.03 million ha of which 7.56
million ha is suitable for irrigation. The primary mode for increasing agricultural production
for the last two decades has been an expansion of irrigation coverage during the rabi season.
Irrigated land in Bangladesh comprises approximately 3.99 million ha. Of this, large
irrigation systems currently service about 0.40 million ha; shallow tubewells, about 2.23
million ha; low-lift pumps, 0.58 million ha; deep tubewells, 0.52 million ha and traditional
and other methods, about 0.26 million ha.
13.40.2 Investment in barrages, reservoirs, pumps and canals is likely to provide adequate
access to fresh water supply in the future. The Ganges water sharing treaty has removed some
degree of uncertainty in the quantum of surface water available to south west Bangladesh
during the dry season. However, with increasing use of water by a growing population and
increasing industrial and agricultural uses, there may be a need for surface water storage and
additional ground water augmentation. In this context, reaching agreement with the upper
riparian in respect of sharing of water of other common rivers is of vital importance. Both for
intermediate and long term planning accurate assessment of surface and ground water
availability throughout the year will be necessary as only then conjunctive use could follow.
13.40.3 Proper drainage planning is also necessary for removing excess water during the wet
season. Development in drainage infrastructure, both on public and private accounts, will
have to be carefully thought out and the enabling environment created for public
participation.
13.40.4 Managing the supply of water has been addressed in piecemeal fashion in the past.
Flood management has been a top priority for decades, but an environment-friendly
mechanism for doing so is yet to be designed for protecting the interest of navigation and
fisheries. However, once the total resource picture is clear, the upcoming water management
plan will address the issue properly.
274
drainage improvement to the required direction. Necessary policy measures have been taken
to reduce the capacity gap between big and small farmers through formation of water users
groups and by providing technical support services and credit to small farmers.
13.42.2 At the end of Fourth Plan period (June '95), surface water irrigation covered an area
of 1.14 million ha. On the other hand, cumulative achievement of ground water irrigation at
the end of June '95 was 2.17 million ha as against the target of 3.02 million ha.
13.42.3 During the past plans, BWDB constructed about 8,515 km of embankment, 4,774 km
irrigation canal and 3,462 km of drainage channel to protect valuable crops, lives and
properties. It was estimated that an area of about 4,084 million ha was brought under flood
control and drainage facilities at the terminal year of the Plan period.
13.43 Fifth Five Year Plan
13.43.1 Objectives: The objectives of the Plan in the water sector stretching over the period
from 1997 to 2002 will be to:
a. alleviate poverty and generate employment opportunities;
b. ensure ecological balance;
c. promote water conservation for irrigation and other uses;
d. enhance conveyance capacity of water courses through desiltation;
e. protect towns, commercial centres, agricultural lands, etc., from erosion of inland and
border rivers;
f. promote culture fisheries in the completed projects;
g. promote optimum use of available flows of the common rivers in domestic,
agricultural, fisheries, navigation and industrial sectors;
h. fulfil the need of irrigation for achieving foodgrain self-sufficiency by ensuring year-
round sustainable irrigation through conjunctive use of surface and ground-water thus
avoiding over-extraction of sub-surface water;
i. control floods to protect crops, lives and properties and promote both HYV rice and
fish cultivation through controlled flooding;
j. prevent saline water intrusion;
k. ensure people's active participation in planning, implementation and maintenance of
water sector projects; and,
l. carry out studies on future water resources development projects.
13.43.3 Strategies: In order to achieve the Plan objectives, the following short and long
term strategies will be adopted:
a. short term strategy will lay stress on maximum utilisation of existing facilities
through command area development, effective operation and maintenance and
rehabilitation of existing projects, quick completion of carry-over projects and
balanced use of surface and ground water and desiltation of rivers and channels. In
case of new projects, an integrated basin/sub-basin planning approach will be
followed. Avoidance of conflicts between in -stream and off-stream users of water,
delineation of coastal areas for shrimp culture on a scientific basis and zoning of areas
for shrimp cultivation and paddy cultivation, development of data base and
encouraging local participation in project planning, implementation and operation and
maintenance, protection of towns, commercial centres and agricultural lands from
erosion of inland and border rivers including repair and maintenance of existing river
bank protection works will be pursued;
276
b. the long term strategy envisages major interventions. Ultimate solution to water
resource problems lies in the development and utilisation of the major river waters.
Investigations, surveys and studies must, therefore, start for a balanced long term
development utilising major river waters through a system of barrages. The recently
concluded the Ganges water sharing treaty has unveiled a new vista for a wide range
of possibilities in this direction;
c. comprehensive flood control/management measures will be undertaken to protect
lives, properties, and crops keeping in view open water fishery production needs and
requirements. Cropping patterns will be changed and improved varieties will be
introduced in the protected areas for increased foodgrain and fish production;
d. needs and programmes to sustain open water fish resources will be included in the
irrigation and flood control and drainage projects for long term development; and
e. As IWTA Master Plan for navigation is under implementation, its effectiveness will
gainfully be used in the long term water resources planning, where applicable.
13.43.4 The core strategy: The following proposed measures will carry the water resource
management strategy to the year 2010:
a. Increasing efficiency of completed projects: In the previous section, it was noted that,
in the past FCDI projects concentrated on irrigation, neglecting other competing needs
for water. In addition, these facilities, for a variety of reasons, have not been able to
perform to their optimal capacity. Given the need for irrigation expansion, it makes
good sense to try to rehabilitate these completed projects through redesign and suitable
modifications to remove, as far as practicable, their negative impact on other sectors
such as navigation, fisheries and environment. There has to be another parallel effort to
organise the beneficiaries for command area development and its long term
sustainability.
b. River bank protection and environmental upgrading
i. The havoc created by continued erosion by all the rivers in Bangladesh has been
highlighted in the previous section. Unfortunately, this problem so far has not been
systematically handled. For long, the government has been spending quite a
substantial amount on river bank protection. But its impact has been marginal for the
reason that the resources are distributed over too many projects covering innumerable
sections without completing any section. This type of piecemeal work does not lead to
any permanent solution but, more often than not, results in wastage of scarce
resources. There is a need for massive investment, and since everybody cannot be
satisfied all at once there will be need for prioritisation.
ii. Towns, river ports and markets have traditionally been developed by the side of rivers
for obvious reasons. These are the growth centres of Bangladesh and they constitute
life-line of the economy. Scarcity of resources and larger claim of agricultural needs
have so long prevented reasonable allocation for their protection. Out of 240 identified
town protection schemes, only 75 have been completed upto June 1996, 96 are at
various stages of implementation and the rest are yet to be taken up.
iii. Side by side with protection work, there is need for reasonable investment on
upgradation of environment. Water supply, improved road network, sewerage
disposal, drainage system and other municipal services will be developed fast. With
donor support, a modest beginning has been made. This will be intensified and carried
out further.
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immediate harnessing and use of main river water to augment the supply in smaller rivers and
channels.
13.44.2 Small early implementation projects implemented in the past and currently under
implementation by BWDB have created water conservation facilities by way of regulating the
post monsoon outflow of the drainage system. Development of such facilities by way of
command area development of completed projects will receive priority during the Plan
period.
13.44.3 Gravity flow, Low Lift Pump (LLP) and other methods of surface irrigation are, at
present irrigating about 1.15 million ha of land. This area is projected to increase to 1.32
million ha (about 15 per cent increase) by the terminal year of the Fifth Plan. Double lifting
will be necessary to augment water availability in secondary channels for irrigation purpose.
13.45 Flood Control and Drainage
13.45.1 During the Plan period, small flood control and drainage projects will be continued
in addition to phased implementation of specific river bank protection programmes. It is
expected that drainage programmes may extend further to cover an area of about 4.9 million
ha by the terminal year of the Plan period as against the actual coverage of 3.8 million ha
achieved by the end of the Fourth Plan. Comprehensive flood control and management
measures will be undertaken to protect lives, properties and crops keeping in view the needs
of fisheries, environmental and navigational requirements, etc. For augmenting flows of the
Gorai river and other selected rivers and canals, re-excavation of river-beds under Food for
Works Programme and also by capital dredging will be carried out during the Plan period.
13.45.2 A prioritised portfolio of strategic vulnerable location of river banks will be
identified for phased implementation of river bank protection programme. FAP studies have
so far identified a number of hard points along the Brahmaputra and the Meghna rivers. A
number of hard points along the Padma banks have also been proposed for protective works.
The protective works of other minor rivers proposed to be implemented will be studied
carefully before making any investment on these projects.
13.46 A Special Note on Construction of Ganges Barrage
13.46.1 The signing of the historic treaty on the sharing of the Ganges Water at Farakka on
December 12, 1996 between Bangladesh and India has added a new dimension to the water
management strategy.
13.46.2 Background: The Ganges has been flowing through Bangladesh from time
immemorial; the life and livelihood of its people, along with the flora and fauna, have been
shaped by this great river. The well-being of more than 40 million people in the south-
western region of the country is entirely dependent upon the Ganges. The river provides
drinking water, sustains agriculture, forestry and fisheries, helps operate a quarter of the
country's industrial activities, prevents salinity intrusion from the Bay of Bengal and plays a
determining role in maintaining the ecological balance of the country. The balance between
man and nature in the Ganges dependent area (GDA) in Bangladesh rests essentially on the
Ganges water as this is the only major source of water in the area and all other rivers receive
water directly or indirectly from it.
13.46.3 Past studies: Ever since the preparation of the Master Plan in 1964, the importance
of development of the surface water resources has been stressed time and again and the
barrage over the river Ganges in Bangladesh has been envisaged for more than three decades
279
for an overall integrated water resources development in the GDA in Bangladesh as well as
for overcoming the adverse effects of large scale diversion of the Ganges water at Farakka.
Studies conducted thus far have identified the tentative location of the barrage from the point
view of optimal water use and various other engineering and environmental considerations.
13.46.4 Objectives: The proposed Ganges barrage will be constructed at a location near
Pangsha about 64.40 km downstream of Hardinge Bridge on the Ganges River. The main
purpose of the barrage will be to supply irrigation water to the south-west region of
Bangladesh. The project will provide irrigation to an area of 1.35 million ha from the Ganges.
The net benefited area of the project will be 1.31 million ha. The time for construction of the
Ganges barrage is estimated to be about eight years and the full benefit will be achieved after
nearly 18 years.
13.46.5 Salient features: The following are the salient features of the Ganges barrage;
a. the Ganges barrage, a 1,940 metre long structure is proposed to be constructed
incorporating a road and rail bridge and gas, power and other services lines as
required to be connected to either bank by the structure;
b. a right bank main command canal, 74 km long, running south-west from the barrage
to feed water into the Gorai, the Kumar, the Nabaganga, the Chitra and the Kobadak
Rivers, with a headwork's capacity of 26,500 cusec will be one integral part of the
project ;
c. a second right bank main command canal, 43 km long, running south-east from the
barrage to feed water into the Chandana, the Old Kumar and the Sitalakhya rivers,
with a headworks capacity of 10,600 cusec will be the second integral part of the
project ;
d. a third right bank canal of 10 km long from the barrage pond near the Hardinge Bridge
to serve the area to the west of the Ganges-Kobadak Scheme with headworks capacity
of 3,000 cusec will be the third integral part of the project ;
e. irrigation development by a combination of surface water gravity supplies, low lift
pumps and shallow tubewells, which will serve an area of 100,000 ha will be the main
components of operational ambits ; and
f. drainage and flood control by embankments and sluices in low-lying areas covering
1.44 million ha within the command area will be the related objective in addition to
irrigation.
13.46.6 Benefits: On its completion, the Ganges Barrage Project will:
a. restore the basic resource (land) to its original position and safeguard it from further
degradation;
b. increase agricultural production through intensive use of modern techniques;
increase in agricultural production following the introduction of irrigation, drainage
and flood control will be from 2.20 mt/ha/year to 7.41 mt/ha/year, an increase of 5.21
mt/ha/year. The net economic benefit out of the increased agricultural production
only will be about US $1020 million a year;
c. provide the required quantum of flows through the Gorai in the dry season to check
the salinity intrusion in the south-west region of Bangladesh to maintain ecological
balance and protect environment of the region;
d. restore the natural bio-mass (including the Sunderbans) and safeguarding further
destruction;
e. safeguard the industries in the area;
f. restore livestock and fisheries resources;
280
Tubewell (HTW) is projected to decline from the estimated 2.81 million ha in 1996/97 to
1.31 million ha by the terminal year of the Plan. Continuation of policy changes in terms of
withdrawal of site restriction and subsidy, non-availability of water at required depth, etc.,
resulting in higher cost, particularly of DTW, are likely to lead to a decline in the use of these
equipment by the poor farmers. However, reduction in irrigation area through these traditional
methods is expected to be compensated by additional irrigation coverage of 2.23 million ha
under relatively new technologies of Forced Mode Tubewell (FMTW), Deep Set Tubewell
(DSTW) and Very Deep Set Shallow Tubewell (VDSSTW). It is expected that private sector
investment in irrigation development during the Fifth Five Year Plan will be about Tk.5,010
million.
13.49 Involvement of Women in Development
13.49.1 Participation of women in the development and construction of irrigation and flood
control infrastructure was found to be insignificant in the past. Presently, local women are
working along with men as construction workers in the Food for Works Programme,
embankment construction, tree plantation and other projects implemented by the Water
Development Board (BWDB). Under the Fifth Plan, steps will be taken to involve distressed
and unemployed women in such projects/programmes implemented by the BWDB. In
addition, more avenues for employment of women are expected to be created in O & M
activities of flood control projects and tree plantation and fish culture activities of BWDB
projects. It has been estimated that 0.92 million person-days of incremental employment will
be generated by the terminal year of the Fifth Plan which will include a sizable share for
women.
13.50 Private Sector Participation
13.50.1 The government is fully committed to promoting the participation of the private
sector in increasing irrigation coverage and command area development. As per existing
policy measures, sales, marketing, distribution of fertilisers, irrigation equipment, farm
machinery, etc., have been entirely transferred to the private sector.
13.50.2 It is noted that irrigation need by farmers is closely linked to rice and commodity
prices. For example, if the rice price is low, farmers will be discouraged to spend more for
irrigation to produce more agricultural commodities and as such, the expected command area
is likely to be diminished. It is, therefore, necessary to evolve mechanisms for price
stabilisation. Import of irrigation equipment and machinery will be further liberalised and
fiscal policy turned in favour of private sector's participation. At the same time, necessary
measures will also be taken to encourage efficient domestic manufacture of irrigation
equipment and farm machinery as well as maintenance spares.
13.51 Cost Recovery from Irrigation Projects
13.51.1 Presently, BWDB is collecting irrigation tax from 12 irrigation projects out of 22
completed projects as per Water Rate Irrigation Ordinance of 1963. BWDB started collection
of water rate since 1976/77. During 1995/96, the target of collection of water rate was
estimated at Tk. 25.00 million against which the amount realised was Tk. 8.77 million.
During 1996/97, the revenue collection target was estimated at Tk.30.00 million against
which the amount realised till April/97 was Tk.8.59 million. The reasons for low collection
was due to evading practices, power failure for which timely irrigation was not possible and
lack of proper legislation and punitive measures against the defaulters.
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13.51.2 Water pricing will be such as to convey the scarcity value of this resource to the
users and beneficiaries to foster their motivation in the economic and social context. The
water rate/charge will be adequate to cover the recurrent O & M cost and part of the capital
cost. The objective of pricing policies will be to improve efficiency in water use. The users
will have incentives to use only the amount of water they need and additional quantities will
entail higher cost per unit. The present system of collection of water rate from the irrigation
projects is not satisfactory due to procedural reasons and as such revenue generation from the
irrigation projects is much lower than expectations. The collection of water rate will be
initiated from all irrigation projects as soon as irrigation infrastructure/facilities are created
and the beneficiaries will be motivated to pay the price for irrigation soon after they start
getting benefits from construction of irrigation infrastructure. The water pricing for surface
and ground water irrigation will be rationalised and collection mechanism improved through
legislation and improvement of procedural practices.
13.52 Physical and Financial Programmes
13.52.1 Physical: Benchmark position of irrigation, flood control and drainage as of 1996/97
and projection for the terminal year of the Fifth Plan are provided in Table 13.14.
Table 13.14
Irrigation Flood Control and Drainage Projections During Fifth Plan
(area in million hectare)
Programme 1996/97 2001/2002
(Benchmark) (Projection)
1 2 3
I. Irrigation :
A. Surface Water Irrigation
i. Gravity Flow 0.40 0.59
ii. LLP 0.58 0.66
iii. Traditional 0.17 0.07
Sub -Total (A) : 1.15 1.32
B. Ground Water Irrigation
i. DTW 0.52 0.51
ii. STW 2.23 0.73
iii. HTW 0.05 0.07
iv. FMTW - 0.01
v. DSSTW - 2.10
vi. VDSSTW - 0.12
Sub-Total (B) : 2.81 3.54
C. Others 0.04 0.18
(Minor Irrigation)
Sub-Total (C) : 0.04 0.18
Total (A+B+C) : 4.00 5.04
II. Flood Control and Drainage 4.20 4.90
Sources : i National Minor Irrigation Census (1995-96)
ii National Minor Irrigation Development Project
iii Bangladesh Water Development Board.
13.52.2 Financial: The projection for public sector financial outlay for the development of
water resources during Fifth Plan is Tk.73,373.13 million. The detail break-up is shown in
Table 13.15. In addition, an amount of Tk.5,500 million is likely to be invested in water
resources development by the private sector.
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Table 13.15
Public Sector Financial Outlay for Development of Water
Resources for Fifth Plan (1997/98-2001/02)
( in million Taka)
Programme Financial Outlay
1. Surface Water Irrigation 12,961.00
2. Ground Water Irrigation 3,600.00
3. The Ganges Barrage 17,175.51
4. Flood Control and Drainage including River and Town Protection 34,131.00
5. Surveys, Studies and Investigation 4,640.00
6. Others (Satellite Imagery, Mapping, Char Development etc.) 865.62
Total 73,373.13
13.52.3 Private sector's investment in development of water resources is estimated at about
10 per cent of the public sector's. The nature of investment required for development of water
resources limits the scope for an enlarged role for the private sector in the continuing
situational context.
employed on receipt of certain amount of credits. The credit disbursed to various formal and
informal groups amounted to Tk. 3,019.00 million under BRDB.
13.54.3 Under LGED, the targets for construction of feeder roads seem to have been largely
exceeded. Over 3,709 km of roads were constructed against the target of 2,399 km. Similar
was the case with construction and rehabilitation of bridges and culverts. Around 42,000
metres of bridges and culverts were either constructed or rehabilitated against the target of
over 30,000 metres. Tree plantation on the slopes of the feeder roads, rural roads and
embankments were inbuilt in the construction programmes. LGED created over 112.0 million
person-days of employment against the target of 133.1 million.
13.54.4 Ministry of Land established some 384 self-reliant ideal villages to rehabilitate
17,315 landless and rootless families. Chittagong Hill Tracts Development Board undertook
some programmes for development of the hilly areas, particularly in the field of community
development. BARD, Comilla and RDA, Bogra implemented some small projects, mostly
experimental and pilot ones. The targets and achievements under the various programmes
during the Plan period are shown in Table 13.16.
Table 13.16
Targets and Achievements of Major Programmes for Rural Development and
Institutions During Fourth Plan (1990-95)
A. Production and Employment Programme (PEP)
Programme Units Targets Achievements
Formation of primary societies/group number 23,581 16,882
Enrolment of members number 529,621 777,660
Skill training number 166,695 616,800
Shares/savings million taka 159.6 449.33
Credit million taka 330.3 3,019.00
Realisation of credit million taka - 2,559.15
Small Farmers Development Programme (SFDP)
Formation of groups number 1,982 5,625
Enrolment of members number 12,145 35,597
Share/savings million taka 7.3 30.4
Disbursement of credit million taka 60.7 166.4
B. Development of Physical Infrastructure
Development of growth centres number 316 277
Development of feeder road Type -B km 2,399 3,709
Construction of bridges and culverts metre 15,039
41,987
Rehabilitation of flood/cyclone metre 15,057
damaged bridges and culverts
Rehabilitation of flood/cyclone km 2,929 2,574
damaged pucca roads
C. Irrigated Agriculture and Irrigation Management Programme (IMP)
IMP coverage (DTW) number 1,556 1,499
(LLP) number 207 156
IMP training persons 8,555 6,215
D. Other Minor Programmes
Settlement of families in Adarsha Gram number 35,140 17,315
E. Employment Generation
Infrastructural programme million person-days 133.1 112.0
Self-employment under PEP million persons 0.53 0.78
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13.54.5 The allocation for the RDI sector during the Fourth Five Year Plan was
Tk. 16,500.00 million at 1989/90 prices. In the revised ADPs during the plan period, an
allocation of Tk. 25,622.20 million was given to this sector against which an amount of Tk.
21,823.5 million was utilised. ADP allocations and expenditures incurred during the period
are shown in Table 13.17.
Table 13.17
Revised ADP Allocations and Expenditures for Rural Development and Institutions
During Fourth Plan (at current prices)
(in million Taka)
RDI Agencies Revised ADP Allocations Expenditure
1. BRDB 2,845.97 2,460.00
2. BARD 133.45 75.20
3. RDA 21.78 17.60
4. Co-operatives 578.41 123.70
5. Ministry of Land 937.40 509.60
6. LGED 20,028.37 17,682.90
7. NILG 3.64 3.60
8. Ministry of Relief 112.04 108.70
9. Special Affairs Division 646.14 537.20
10. Ministry of Finance (Ag. Bank) 10.00 -
11. Ministry of Agriculture 5.00 5.00
12. Planning Division 300.00 300.00
Total 25,622.20 21,823.50
13.54.6 Performances during 1995/96 and 1996/97: All the three major programme
components, i.e., production and employment programme, infrastructural development
programme and irrigation related infrastructure were under implementation during 1995/96
and 1996/97. Under the production and employment programmes, employment for 0.39
million persons was created. These were mostly self-employed members of the various formal
and informal groups. Under the infrastructure construction programme, some 2,856 km of
metalled roads were constructed in addition to 20,800 metres of bridges and culverts. Apart
from these, 163 growth centres were developed by constructing sheds, internal roads and
lanes in the hats and bazars. An amount of Tk. 17,689.9 million was provided in the Revised
ADPs for 1995/96 and 1996/97.
13.55 Fifth Five Year Plan (1997-2002)
13.55.1 Objectives: The following are the objectives of the Fifth Five Year Plan for the RDI
Sector:
a. reduction of poverty in the rural areas;
b. productive employment generation in the rural areas;
c. self-employment creation for the rural poor ;
d. development of rural infrastructure; and
e. development of small and landless farmers.
13.55.2 Strategies: The elements of the strategy for achievement of the above objectives
will include, among others, the following:
a. provision of skill training mostly for self-employment in non-farm sectors;
b. formal and informal group formation and group development for co-operative
activities;
c. resource mobilisation through individual/group savings;
286
13.56.4 Women in development: Since women are the most disadvantaged group in the
society and the victims of extreme poverty, special attention will be given to reduction of
poverty among women. In appropriate cases, separate programmes for the women will be
taken up.
13.56.5 Environment protection: Environmental concern is an important element in any
programme of rural development. RDI programme will have elements of environment
protection, environment conservation and re-generation, social mobilisation and input supply.
Environment -friendly activities will remain in-built in all programmes of rural development.
13.57 Programmes
13.57.1 Poverty alleviation will be one of the major concerns of the RDI programmes during
the Plan period, and conscious and deliberate attempts will be made to substantially reduce
poverty, particularly of the hard-core rural poor. The programmes will include the following:
287
a. Production and employment programme: Under this programme various projects will
be undertaken for skill training, awareness creation, human resource development and
empowerment of the poor. Credits will be disbursed for undertaking income generation and
for self-employment activities. There will be separate projects for rehabilitation of the
landless and assetless people, particularly women. Specific projects will be undertaken for
the bittaheens and the people of the special areas. Poverty alleviation programmes will be
designed and suited to the need and creativity of the people and be financed with local
resources as far as possible.
b. Rural infrastructure development programme: Under the rural infrastructure
development programme, projects will be taken up for development of growth centres and
growth centre connecting roads, bridges and culverts on the one hand and small-scale
irrigation and flood control related infrastructure projects on the other. Road maintenance
programmes, mostly rural roads, will be implemented through the rural destitute women and
eventually they will accumulate savings to undertake income generating activities by
themselves.
13.58 Projections for development of RDI in the public sector during the Fifth Plan are
shown in Table 13.18.
Table 13.18
Projection for Development of RDI in Public Sector During Fifth Plan
13.59.3 Against this backdrop, effective implementation of the ongoing land reform activities
including Adarsha Gram, Khas Land distribution, ideal village programmes and providing
rights to bargadars will get priority in the Fifth Plan period. Further, improving land records,
distribution of appropriate land titles and speedy settlement of disputes on land will create
opportunities for small farmers to avail of credit facilities.
13.60 Area Development Approach
13.60.1 Rural Development during the Fifth Five Year Plan will be undertaken following
Area Development Approach which is commonly understood as comprehensive development
or integrated multi-sectoral development. This approach conforms to the over all national
sectoral development strategy. Under the Area Development Approach, programme for the
total development of a particular geographical area covering development activities in various
fields such as education, human resources, family planning, agriculture, water resources,
infrastructure, housing, etc. will be undertaken. Projects will be drawn up by the concerned
sectors and will be integrated and co-ordinated at some convenient administrative units.
Considering the complexity of integration and efficiency at the operational level, one at
administrative district, for example, may be considered as the point of co-ordination and
integration of the projects which conform with the rural development strategy, presently being
pursued under the RDI Sector.
13.60.2 Under the Area Development Approach, there will be one area development
programme covering the projects of different sectors which will be co-ordinated at the
district level for which appropriate mechanism will be developed as soon as the new local
government structure becomes operational. The area development programme will essentially
involve the local government authorities and will be co-ordinated by such authorities at the
district level. The programmes of all development agencies including government,
parastatals, NGOs and private organisations will be co-ordinated with a view to avoiding both
duplication of efforts and unbalanced allocation of resources. The area development
programme drawn for the comprehensive and multi-sectoral development of the entire
geographical area of a particular district will be decomposed at the upazila level and further
down to union parishad.
13.61 Financial Outlay During Fifth Plan
13.61.1 An amount of Tk.87,002.48 million has been projected for the development of RDI
in the Public Sector. The programme wise breakup of the outlay is shown in Table 13.19.
Table 13.19
Public Sector Financial Outlay for Development of RDI During Fifth Plan
(in million Taka)
Programme Financial Outlay
Production and employment programme (PEP) 20,000.00
Infrastructural development programme 56,000.00
(including irrigation related infrastructure)
Other programmes 11,002.48
(including special programmes and action research)
Total 87,002.48
13.62 Given the nature of social investment, private investment for rural development and
institutions will be very limited. Some investment outside the public sector will be based on
savings mobilised and institutional investment by NGOs. A tentative amount of Tk. 2,000
million is likely to be invested for the development of RDI in the private sector during the
289
Plan period. The return against such investment is expected to be more per unit than what is
projected to be in the public sector.
CHAPTER XIV
INDUSTRIES
14.1 Introduction
14.1.1 Manufacturing combines human ingenuity - science, technology and innovations with
natural endowments of a nation. The fountain of the wealth of today's developed nations
receives the perennial flow from trade in manufactures which lie at the back of their highly
remunerative employment, high level of income and the high standard of living. This is why
international trade is dominated by manufactures which accounted for around 75 per cent of
the world merchandise exports of US$ 4,880 billion in 1995. Primary products comprised the
rest in which the shares of food, fuel, minerals and metals and agricultural raw materials were
9.1 per cent, 7.1 per cent, 6.3 per cent and 2.8 per cent, respectively. It is, therefore, no
wonder that the demolition of the tariff wall against trade in manufactures had been at the top
of the agenda of all multilateral and plurilateral trade negotiations conducted under the
auspices of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), the predecessor institution
of the present World Trade Organisation (WTO), and that the developed countries, who are
the greatest beneficiaries of trade in manufactures, have brought down the tariffs on
manufactured goods traded amongst themselves to a level as low as 4 per cent only.
14.1.2 Failure of most of the developing economies, excepting the newly industrialised
countries, to generate adequate purchasing power in their respective domestic market led
them to look for purchasing power outside the national boundaries and pursue the export-led
growth strategy. The bulk of exports from these countries, however, still comprises of
primary commodities and historically, world prices of primary commodities have been
volatile, unstable and least rewarding. Besides, these countries, more often than not, suffer
from adverse terms of trade. As a result, trade has been neither a source of resource flow nor
an 'engine of growth' for these countries. These stark realities, combined with the
overwhelming weight of manufactures in the global export trade, make the success of the
export-led development strategy contingent on the development of a viable manufacturing
sector.
14.2 Past Industrial Development
14.2.1 Bangladesh is a late starter in the process of industrialisation. Before liberation, some
simple process industries like jute, textiles and sugar mills, two pulp and paper mills, a small
urea fertiliser plant, a cement factory, a 'mini' steel making plant with imbalanced
downstream rolling facilities for making mild steel bars, sheets and plates, a few
pharmaceutical units with capacities for formulation, bottling and packaging and several
minor dockyards and light engineering workshops comprised the industrial base of the
country. After liberation, within the overall objective of attaining a self-reliant economy, the
First Five Year Plan (1973-78) of the country adopted an import-substitution strategy for
industrialisation with emphasis on domestic production of basic needs and investment goods.
However, with the unfortunate change in the government that was brought about in August
1975 a perceptible shift in the self-reliant economic goals and objectives occurred, making
the country increasingly dependent on foreign aid and aid-financed imports covering all types
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14.2.5 The crucial and logical transformation of the Bangladesh economy that is needed for
an accelerated pace of industrialisation, is yet to take place. Over the last quarter of a century,
the economy of Bangladesh has gone through a slow and rather erratic structural
transformation. It defied the classical relationship between the structural composition of an
economy and its stage of development. The share of her agricultural sector, though dropped
from about 58 per cent in 1972 to about 33 per cent in 1995, the share of the manufacturing
sector limped from 9.0 per cent in 1973 to a mere 11.4 per cent in 1994/95. The services
sector, on the other hand, jumped from 26 per cent to about 48 per cent over the same period.
To bring about a visible improvement in the quality of life of the people, the pivotal role that
the manufacturing sector has to play in the desired transformation of the economy, still
remains to be displayed.
14.2.6 The sector's share in GDP for some selected years, including benchmark years of the
past Plans, and its growth over the periods under discussion are shown in the Table 14.1.
Table 14.1
Manufacturing Sector's Share in GDP and Past Growth Rates
(at constant prices)
Year Share in GDP Period Annual Compound
(per cent) Growth Rate Over
Period (per cent)
1972/73 9.00 1973 - 1978 7.35
1979/80 11.22 1978 - 1980 6.21
1984/85 9.86 1973 - 1980 7.02
1989/90 9.91 1980 - 1985 0.93
1994/95 11.36 1985 - 1990 4.22
1995/96 11.37 1990 - 1995 7.00
1996/97 11.08 1995/96 5.33
1996/97 3.31
Source: BBS
14.2.7 Despite its potential for growth, the manufacturing sector in the past failed to meet
expectations. In 1994/95 this sector achieved a growth rate of 8.6 per cent compared to 7.2
per cent in 1989/90. Over the period from 1990/91 to 1995/96, the manufacturing sector grew
at an average annual rate of 6.3 per cent and there have been fluctuations also. The first year
of the Fourth Plan registered the lowest growth rate (2.39 per cent), while the highest growth
rate (9.1 percent) was achieved during the year 1992/93. The growth rates during 1995/96 and
1996/97 were 5.3 per cent and 3.3 per cent, respectively. Among the industrial sub-sectors,
ready-made garments (RMG) and pharmaceuticals recorded the highest growth performances
(greater than 10 percent), while growth rates of jute and cotton textiles declined.
14.2.8 The total investment during the period 1990/91-1994/95 stood at Tk.131,457 million,
at current prices, in which the share of the private sector was 85.89 per cent, including foreign
direct investment (FDI) of 10.54 per cent. Investment in the years 1995/96 and 1996/97 stood
at Tk.34,919 million and Tk.34,513 million, in which the share of the private sector was 95
per cent and 97 per cent, respectively. Major portion of the investment went into fertiliser
and pharmaceuticals as well as export production. Ready-made garments and knitwears
jointly accounted for over 70 per cent of the total investment in the manufacturing sector.
Details of year wise total investment as well as agency wise public sector expenditure in the
manufacturing sector for the period under review are given in Tables 14.2 and 14.3.
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Table 14.2
Investment in Manufacturing Sector1
(at current prices)
(in million Taka)
Year 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 Total
Total Investment 23415 22699 24319 25825 35199 34919 34513 200889
Public Sector Investment 8331 3338 1240 2273 2227 1718 1082 20209
Private Sector Investment 15084 19361 23079 23552 32972 33201 33431 180680
Domestic Private 12579 17927 21248 20595 19053 16346 15003 122751
Investment
Foreign Direct 1568 428 894 1367 12392 15555 15506 47710
Investment
Investment in the EPZs 937 1006 937 1590 1527 1300 2922 10219
Percentage Share
Public Sector 35.58 14.71 5.10 8.80 6.33 4.92 3.14 10.06
Private Sector 64.42 85.29 94.90 91.20 93.67 95.08 96.86 89.94
Domestic Private Sector 53.72 78.98 87.37 79.75 54.13 46.81 43.47 61.10
Foreign Direct Investment 6.70 1.88 3.68 5.29 35.20 44.55 44.93 23.75
Investment in the EPZs 4.00 4.43 3.85 6.16 4.34 3.72 8.46 5.09
Table 14.3
ADP Expenditures by Major Ministries and Parastatals During Fourth Plan Period
(1990-95), 1995/96 and 1996/97
(in million current Taka)
Sl. Name of Agencies 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 Total 1995/96 1996/97
No. 1990-95
01. Bangladesh Chemical 7,694.47 2,575.94 465.939 1,046.41 851.927 12,634.69 666.40 105.811
Industries Corporation. (92.36) (77.15) (0.38) (46.04) (38.22) (72.89) (38.79) (9.78)
02. Bangladesh Steel & 16.20 24.70 - - - 40.90 2.50 -
Engineering Corporation (0.18) (0.15)
(0.19) (0.74)
03. Bangladesh Textile - - - 35.00 43.58 78.58 76.50 60.00
Mills Corporation. (1.54) (1.69) (0.45) (4.45) (5.54)
04. Bangladesh Jute Mills 57.77 - - - - 57.77 4.00 -
Corporation (BJMC) (0.69) (0.33) (0.23)
05. Bangladesh Sugar & 189.25 74.90 214.70 301.22 107.13 887.20 68.00 20.10
Food Industries (2.27) (2.24) (17.32) (13.25) (4.81) (5.08) (3.96) (1.86)
Corporation (BSFIC)
06. Bangladesh Forest - - - - - - - -
Industries Development
Corporation (BFIDC)
07. Bangladesh Small & 178.50 312.80 217.30 333.80 349.30 1391.70 287.50 118.40
Cottage Industries Corp. (2.14) (9.37) (0.18) (14.69) (15.69) (8.03) (16.73) (10.94)
08. Bangladesh Handloom 92.50 37.40 20.00 10.35 180.40 340.65 22.15 35.10
Board. (1.11) (1.12) (0.02) (0.46) (8.10) (1.97) (1.29) (3.24)
continued to next page
1
Private sector investment figure has been taken from GED, Planning Commission (Table- 1.8, Chapter -1). Investment in EPZs has been Collected from BEPZA. Foreign Direct
Investment has been estimated to be 40% of registered FDI with Board of Investment and it is based upon a survey conducted by BOI in 1993/94. Domestic private sector investment has
been derived as residuary after deducting investment in EPZ and FDI.
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14.2.9 Over the same period, manufactured exports grew at an average rate of 16 per cent per
annum, reflecting a significant rise in the sector's share in the country's total export earnings,
from 67 per cent in 1989/90 to 84 per cent 1996/97. In terms of value, export on account of
manufactures increased over the period by US$ 2,554 million, from US$ 1,150 million in
1989/90 to US$ 3,704 million in 1996/97. Share of the ready-made garments and knitwear
was the largest (about 67 per cent) in this increase.
14.2.10 The share of the manufacturing sector in country's total employment is 7.4 per cent
only. It provides employment to about 3.63 million people (of ages 15 years and over) in
which the share of the private sector is just over 95 per cent. Women folk accounts for some
37 per cent of the sector's employment. About 62 per cent of this employment is in the rural
area in which the share of women is about 39 per cent. Informal sector accounts for about 52
per cent of the sector's total employment. The large, medium and small industries account for
one-third of this employment while cottage industries employ one-third and the remaining
one-third is in the handloom sub-sector.
14.2.11 Production of major consumer goods, however, remained low partly due to closure
of a large number of medium and small manufacturing industries and partly due to the
depressed demand for domestic manufactured goods in the context of liberalisation of
imports. In their place, non-traditional exports such as garments and frozen food have become
important sources of industrial growth. In recent years, major source of industrial growth has
been textiles, with ready-made garments manufacture expanding from an insignificant level in
the early 1980’s to the present position of the country's leading export earner. Leather exports
have also grown modestly.
14.3 Objectives and Strategies for Industrialisation
14.3.1 The government has clearly enunciated its industrialisation objectives and strategies.
These are: industrial development with emphasis on optimum utilisation of indigenous
endowments, promotion of employment and catalysing the growth of production and exports.
14.3.2 In the above context, the specific objective of the industries sector during the Fifth
Plan will be to bring about a structural change in the economy to make it conducive to
accelerated growth of overall GDP and to face boldly the challenge of a free market economy
in the twenty first century. This will be brought about, within the overall context of poverty
alleviation, through maximisation of its contribution to:
a. Gross Domestic Product : The sector will not only contribute to the growth of the
total value added directly but also will facilitate the growth of overall economy
indirectly through forward and backward linkages.
b. Balance of Payments : This will be strengthened through efficient import substitution
and export orientation. The key aspect of this will be to attain international
competitiveness through efficient allocation and use of resources and enhancement of
total factor productivity.
c. Strengthening of Technological Base : This will be achieved through building of
indigenous capacity in science and technology as well as enhanced access to the
frontier of international technology shelf by way of adoption and adaptation. Such
access to modern technology will be both an end as well as a means to industrial
development during the Fifth Plan.
d. Generation of Productive Employment and Poverty Alleviation : Skill
development will be a hallmark of the Fifth Plan in order to exploit the country's
comparative advantage in the international market. At the same time, development of
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self employment with particular focus on the poor and the disadvantaged especially
women, will be a major thrust of the industrial development during the Fifth Plan. As
such entrepreneurship development with easy access to complementary resources and
inputs will receive high priority.
14.3.3 For modernisation and expansion of the sector, necessary steps will be taken to gear
up production and distribution system for supplying necessary inputs to the sector. Practical
steps will be taken for skill development of people engaged in various vocations. Principles
of free market economy will be pursued and all assistance and encouragement will be given to
the private entrepreneurs. All laws, regulations and procedures related to industries, trade and
investment will be reformed and simplified. For balanced industrial growth and spatial
dispersal, appropriate policies will be designed and implemented for establishing industries at
District and Thana levels. For the unemployed youth, employment opportunities will be
created through the establishment of labour-intensive medium, small and cottage industries.
Efficiency and productivity of the parastatals will be improved by bringing about radical
change in their operation and management so as to enable them to be competitive and
commercially viable. While pursuing the free-trade policy, adequate measures will be taken to
remedy the imbalance between the import and export trade as well as to prevent unfair trade
practices. Necessary reforms of the economy will be implemented at a faster pace. Specific
strategies to achieve the overall objectives of the Fifth Plan will be to:
a. promote the private sector as the main agent for industrial development, while at the
same time undertaking public investment in some strategic industries as well as in
those areas where the private sector is not forthcoming; public-private joint ventures
will particularly be encouraged in all areas as may be expedient for industrial growth;
b. strengthen the enabling policies and remove all distortions to the extent possible in
order to achieve efficient operation of the market and at the same time uphold the
interest of the consumers;
c. undertake massive efforts to develop efficiency culture in all walks of life particularly
in industrial premises; particular attention will be given to improve the efficiency of
the public sector;
d. pursue and accelerate the process of privatisation of state-owned enterprises in an
efficient manner;
e. encourage domestic and foreign investment for overall industrial development;
f. develop export-oriented, export-linkage and efficient import-substitution industries;
g. promote diversification of markets as well as products; such efforts will include, but
not limited to, marketing assistance to the exporters and implementation of
appropriate package of incentives including flexible exchange rate;
h. exploit the opportunities opened up by the General Agreement on Trade in Services of
WTO, and to develop, with an eye to the export market, those service sectors in which
Bangladesh enjoys comparative advantage;
i. develop data base at the frontiers of international technology shelf and disseminate the
same to the users in both private and public sectors; in particular, modern technologies
will be required in areas such as electronics, biotechnology, cybernetics (both hard
and software); R&D facilities will be developed in these and other modern technology
areas. To facilitate this, research in basic science will be encouraged;
j. develop skill, extend vocational training;
k. develop entrepreneurship in general, particularly in rural areas through extensive
training, both formal and informal and easy availability of complementary resources
and inputs;
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14.4.10 Chemicals and Gas-based Industries : Bangladesh has a sizable demand for
chemical products to meet local needs in industries such as food and agro-processing,
pharmaceuticals, tanneries, cosmetics, paints and varnishes, printing, packaging and textile
processing. At present, most chemicals are imported. There is also vast potential for gas-
based down stream linkage industries and petro-chemical industries.
14.4.11 Garments Linkage Industries : To meet the challenge of time all out efforts will be
made to develop garments-linkage industries and adequate promotional support will be
provided in the Fifth Plan period.
14.4.12 Grameen Check and Dhaka Check : Handloom industry at present shares 61 per
cent of the total cloth production of the country, meeting 36 per cent of the local demand.
About 52 million metres of different types of cloth in the form of saree, lungi, bed sheet,
curtain, shirting, grey cloth, etc. in intricate designs and texture are woven in handlooms.
RMG-industries export a large quantity of handloom fabrics, in the form of different sorts of
dresses and costumes. Different types, design and colourful match of check fabrics are used
in making these dresses and costumes. Currently, Bangladesh imports about 120 million
metres of check fabrics from neighbouring countries in order to meet the demand for check
fabrics for the garment industries. It is expected that demand for check fabrics will exceed
300 million metres by the end of the Fifth Plan period. The same quality check fabrics can be
produced in Bangladesh. Indeed, it is already being produced in the country by Grameen
Uddog - a subsidiary organisation of Grameen Bank. Grameen Bank has succeeded in
penetrating into the international market by exporting this item and also in generating sizable
employment for the handloom weavers. At present, Bangladesh Handloom Board has given
special attention for boosting up production of check fabrics. For easy identification,
Bangladesh Hand Loom Board also developed Dhaka Check similar to Grameen Check. To
fulfil the future demand for check fabrics about 125 thousand handlooms will be engaged
exclusively for production of check fabrics generating employment opportunity for some 365
thousand people.
14.4.13 Hotel and Tourism Industries : With growing international interest in travelling
through Asia, tourism has taken roots in Bangladesh. Attractive places like Sylhet’s tea
gardens, water-falls at Baralekha, sea-beaches of the Cox’s Bazar and Kuakata provide
attractive scenery and seclusion for the tourists. A glimpse of the Royal Bengal Tiger might
be exciting on a trip to the Sundarbans, the largest mangrove forest in the world with unique
bio-diversity. Historical relics and monuments, ancient mosques, Buddhist monasteries,
Hindu temples, and other landmarks are witnesses to the country’s glorious past. Most of all,
in its tribal areas, Bangladesh harbours a history and culture which is still untouched by much
of the changes occurring elsewhere. To cater to the increasing need of services in this sector,
additional hotels and tourists resort facilities in the Cox’s Bazar, Dhaka, Chittagong and
elsewhere will be developed and necessary support services will be provided in terms of
physical infrastructure and utility services.
14.5 Policy Issues
14.5.1 Achieving an average annual economic growth rate of about 7 per cent during the
Fifth Plan period depends heavily on considerably faster growth in manufacturing, energy and
services sectors. Amongst these, the share of the manufacturing sector is projected to rise
from 9.28 per cent of GDP in 1996/97 to 12.70 per cent in the year 2002. Such a rise is
expected to occur mainly through private sector investments. With 96 per cent of the total
manufacturing sector outlay earmarked for investment by the private sector, the Fifth Plan
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relies heavily on the private entrepreneurs-both local and foreign for investment in
industries. Generally, the public sector will be more visible through policy and institutional
support rather than investment in the industries sector through the ADPs. The public sector
inputs will be provided mainly through right policies, institutional and infrastructural support,
legal reforms and good governance. The public sector investment will be limited only to the
BMREs of strategic and essential industries such as jute, steel, chemical, fertiliser, paper,
newsprint, etc. The government does not intend to invest in new industrial capacity creation
except in such areas where the private sector will not be forthcoming. Divestiture of existing
industrial units will be accelerated. Private enterprises and joint ventures in Export Processing
Zones will be encouraged. Special economic zones will also be set up.
14.5.2 Bangladesh enjoys Most Favoured Nation (MFN) status with the leading economies
of the world. Besides, the country is a signatory to MIGA and International Centre for
Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID). The Export Promotion Bureau (EPB) is
facilitating country’s exports in every possible manner. Fiscal and monetary policies have
been tuned to faster growth in the manufacturing, export and services sectors. Bangladesh
also enjoys GSP facilities. However, as the MFN tariffs will progressively be lowered in
pursuance of the relevant WTO Agreements leading to increasing erosion in the margin of
preference, the benefits out of the GSP schemes will soon become insignificant and the
comparative edge of Bangladesh over others will disappear.
i. Industrial Policy
14.5.3 The policy environment surrounding the private sector started improving with the
liberalisation of the industrial policy in July, 1974 and subsequent introduction of a series of
promotional measures. These included virtual elimination of the investment ceiling, extended
tax holidays, concessional rate of import duty on machinery, curtailing the reserved list of
industries for public sector investments, introduction of a free list of industries for which no
prior approval is required, enactment of a law for promotion and protection of foreign private
investment, activation of the National Stock Exchange, and revival of the Investment
Corporation of Bangladesh for underwriting public issues of shares and for providing bridge
finance to private industrial units, etc. Perhaps, the most salutory effect had been the
government decision for progressive disinvestment of the industrial units which, following
Independence, had to be taken over by the government for management. During the period
1973-80, a total of 199 industrial units were disinvested by the government at a total sales
price of Tk.115.8 million.
14.5.4 The industrial policy of 1982 was revised in 1986 providing further relaxation and
changes in which all industries, except seven strategic industries, were opened up for private
investment. No approval for investment was then required if the investors imported
machinery and equipment using their own resources and/or through Secondary Exchange
Market (SEM) provided imported raw-materials constituted less than 50 percent of total
requirement. The public sector enterprises were intended to be converted into public limited
companies in order to make up to 49 per cent of their shares available for pubic subscriptions
and to facilitate their operation in a competitive market. They were given operational
autonomy in pricing, procurement, etc. Under the Revised Industrial Policy (RIP) a large
number of fiscal and other incentives were also introduced/expanded in order to promote
rapid industrial development of the country. A number of import bans and quota restrictions
were relaxed to promote industrial efficiency. During the Third Five Year Plan there was
considerable investment in power loom and ready-made garments industry. The export of
ready-made garments increased substantially.
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14.5.5 The industrial policy of 1991 which was formulated in the light of promoting a
competitive market economy and which was further revised in 1992 laid down basic
strategies required for industrial development of the country. All industries have now been
opened up for private investment, both local and foreign, except a selected few related to
national security like arms and ammunition, nuclear energy, minting and security printing,
mechanised extraction in the reserved forests and the railways. Under the policy, the
government has been pursuing privatisation of selected public sector enterprises. A number of
public sector units have already been privatised or downsized/closed down and others slated
for privatisation. Main policy objectives under the Industrial Policy are to:
a. develop industrial sector in order to increase its contribution to gross domestic
product, income, resource mobilisation and employment;
b. expand industries by putting more emphasis on development of the private sector and
in this respect to make the role of the government more promotional rather than
regulatory;
c. encourage domestic and foreign investment in overall industrial development;
d. develop export-oriented, export-linkage and efficient import-substitution industries;
e. especially encourage the development of small and cottage industries;
f. expedite development of the labour intensive industries through acquisition and
improvement of appropriate technology;
g. attain self-sufficiency in essential consumer goods through efficient and cost-effective
production;
h. encourage development of agro-based and agro-support industries;
i. encourage development of industries based on indigenous raw-materials and
indigenous technology;
j. encourage balanced industrial growth in different regions of the country;
k. encourage investment in the intermediate and basic industries;
l. limit the role of the government generally to establishing strategic and heavy
industries and to improve efficiency of the public sector;
m. put special emphasis on the increase of productivity in industries and to ensure
optimum utilisation of the existing industrial capacities;
n. create possible opportunities for revitalising and rehabilitating sick industries;
o. make effective arrangements for improving standards and controlling quality of
products; and
p. take appropriate measures for preventing environmental pollution and maintaining
ecological balance.
ii. Fiscal and Monetary Policies for Industrialisation
14.5.6 Some important changes were made in the monetary management including interest
rates to revive economic activities by increasing the flow of credit to the productive sectors
of the economy including trade and industry. New interest rate bands were refixed for loans
and advances by reducing floor and ceiling by different degrees effective from December 1,
1991. In order to make interest rate more market oriented and competitive, interest rate bands
for all lending categories except agriculture, jute and jute goods exports, other export and
small and cottage industries, were withdrawn and in these cases banks were given freedom to
determine their own interest rates effective from April, 1992. In April, 1994 interest rate
bands for priority sectors such as agriculture, export and small and cottage industries were
fixed within 10-14 per cent, 8-10 per cent and 9-12 per cent respectively. The policy of
liberalisation of interest rate, which was introduced for moving towards market oriented
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j. Provision will be made for accelerated depreciation allowance, in lieu of tax holiday, if
entrepreneurs so opt for; and
k. Special financial incentives for small and cottage industries, particularly those located in
the backward areas, will be provided.
iii. Sick Industries
14.5.8 A large number of industries, over years, have turned into sick ones. The main reasons
for their sickness may be enumerated in terms of :
a. depreciation of Taka in relation to dollar or yen or pound in which loan capital was
obtained for setting up the relevant industries; this resulted in sizable increase in taka-
burden of the repayable loan capital;
b. technological obsolescence of the process or the product;
c. withdrawal or lowering of protective tariff wall;
d. management inefficiency;
e. inadequate working capital support by the banking system; and
f. pilferages by the sponsors, in collusion with the personnel of the lending bank or
financial institution.
14.5.9 In the Fifth Plan period concrete steps will be afoot to remove the relevant causes of
sickness. Ways and means will be found out to draw up realistic schemes for getting out of
sickness through joint effort of owners, management, labour and the funding agencies, i.e. all
the stakeholders.
iv. Some Specific Promotional Measures
14.5.10 In recent years, considerable reforms and positive changes have been brought about to
promote the manufacturing, trade and services sectors. Tariff rates have been considerably
lowered and rationalised generally in line with the trade liberalisation approach pursued by
the government. The Board of Investment (BOI) is playing a positive role in facilitating
private investment with focus on foreign direct investment (FDI). Some of the fiscal and other
specific incentives that the government is offering to attract private investments, in general,
and foreign direct investments, in particular, include but not limited to the following:
a. Cent per cent ownership of enterprises by expatriates;
b. Generous tax holiday for 5 to 7 years, depending on the industrial subsectors, and
10 years for all types of units established in the export processing zones; tax
holiday for power generation plant will be 15 years;
c. No import duty on capital machinery for 100 per cent export-oriented industries;
for other industries, import duty on machinery and spares will be levied at the rate
of 7.5 per cent ad valorem only;
d. Facilities for easy repatriation of profits, invested capital, royalties, technical fees
etc. for foreign investors;
e. Exemption of taxes on wages/salaries of expatriates working in industries as well
as on royalties and technical fees;
f. Bilateral arrangements with different countries concerned for avoiding double
taxation;
g. Granting of citizenship to foreign investors who will invest in Bangladesh at least
US$ 500,000 or to those expatriates who will deposit at least US$ 1 million in a
non-repatriable account with a recognised financial institution, and granting of
permanent residentship to those foreign nationals who will invest at least US$
100,000 in Bangladesh;
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cost production areas, Bangladesh with its hard working, intelligent, and cheap labour force,
should not miss the opportunity of making the best use of its EPZs to attract foreign direct
investments. In order to attract foreign investment, besides development of infrastructure and
support services, such as warehouses, communication network, gas and water supply,
electricity, telephone and modern electronic links, etc. the government will also continue to
provide the following incentives:
a. income tax exemption for ten years and proportional income tax rebate between 30
and 100 per cent on export earning after this period;
b. duty free import of raw-materials, machinery, construction materials and other
materials used in manufacturing process;
c. income tax exemption on salaries for foreign executives and technicians for three
years;
d. tax exemption on interest on foreign loans;
e. tax exemption on royalties, technical know-how and technical assistance fees;
f. tax exemption on the profits on account of transfer of shares by foreign companies;
g. permitting export linkage inputs to be imported through back-to-back L/Cs by
recognised export-oriented/export-linkage industries which will be provided with
necessary bonded warehouse facilities, even if they are located outside the EPZ areas;
and
h. offshore banking facilities.
14.5.16 b. Board of Investment (BOI) : In order to boost up and promote private
investment during the Fifth Plan, the Board of Investment will continue to perform its
following mandated functions:
a. promotion of investment;
b. providing facilities for capital investment and rapid industrialisation;
c. registration of industrial projects, foreign loan agreements, royalty, technical know-
how and technical assistance agreement wherever required;
d. providing assistance to provide infrastructural facilities for industries;
e. issuing work permits to expatriate personnel working in the private sector industrial
enterprises;
f. providing import facilities to industrial units in the private sector;
g. approval of the payment of royalty, technical know-how and technical assistance fee
to foreign nationals/organisations beyond the prescribed limits; and
h. recommendations for acquisition and allotment of land in the industrial areas/estates
for industrial purpose.
14.5.17 The government has recently embarked upon a policy initiative for private
participation in areas of infrastructure development and provision of utility services. Already
a few economic sectors such as gas exploration and exploitation, power generation and
telecommunication have been opened up for local and foreign private investment. Some
projects in the areas of ports and shipping as well as roads and highways have already been
identified by the concerned ministries/agencies for implementation by the private sector. In
the Plan period, public sector areas of operation will be progressively reduced and private
investors will be induced to take up the place.
14.5.18 One key element for the success of export-led growth is the availability of abundant
skilled manpower. Skill development at all levels, therefore, will be given top priority in the
Plan period. Environment will be created to attract more private entrepreneurs in the field of
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training, research and development. In order to boost-up the private sector, the following
additional measures will be taken:
a. higher level of investment will be encouraged in manufacturing, infrastructure and
service industries by the private sector;
b. the existing list of reserved sectors will be reviewed to further widen the areas for
private sector investment; and
c. the pace of privatisation or denationalisation process will be accelerated.
14.5.19 c. Privatisation Board : The Privatisation Board was established by a resolution of
the government in March, 1993. It is entrusted with the overall responsibilities of privatising
state-owned enterprises (SOE) identified for privatisation. Ministries having state-owned
enterprises under their control have set up privatisation cells for assisting the Privatisation
Board in identifying, preparing, processing, implementing and monitoring SOEs for
privatisation. The process of privatisation till the end of 1996 was not very satisfactory.
During the Fifth Plan, the Privatisation Board will be reinvigorated to hasten the process of
privatisation of industrial, commercial and state owned enterprises. With this end in view the
Privatisation Board will take-up the following measures to:
a. develop selection criteria, prepare list of enterprise for sale/transfer, and subsequently
implement or arrange for the transfer of such enterprises to the private sector;
b. determine the priority and sequencing of such privatisation, including a detailed work
plan and time table for the various enterprises proposed to be transferred;
c. identify the optimal methods such as public offering, private placement, sale of assets,
management contracts, leasing or management/employee buy outs by which the process
of privatisation will be implemented in particular cases;
d. co-ordinate among and recommend to the Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Jute,
Ministry of Textiles and other relevant ministries and agencies steps which may be
necessary for the successful privatisation of the enterprises, such as revaluation of the
enterprises, restructuring of debt in accordance with sound financial principle,
retrenchment of redundant workers, closure of obsolete facilities of the enterprises;
e. formulate policies for and advise the government with regard to private sector
development, investment and participation in previously reserved sectors such as
telecommunications, energy and power etc.;
f. organise public information campaign about the merits and benefits of privatisation; and
g. undertake any other activities connected with privatisation.
14.5.20 With a view to attracting private buyers, capital restructuring has been carried out in
several manufacturing units like jute mills under the Bangladesh Jute Mills Corporation.
Overdue loans of both private and government sector jute mills have been restructured
through waiving one-third and rescheduling the remaining two-third. Around 39,000 workers
were released from the jute sector between June 1990 and June 1995 under the normal
‘severance benefit scheme’. Four jute mills have been closed down and one mill has been
downsized. The Bangladesh Jute Corporation which was previously dealing in trade of raw
jute was wound up, but its assets are yet to be disposed off. Non performing loans of the
Nationalised Commercial Banks (NCB), due to public sector manufacturing corporations like
the Bangladesh Textile Mills Corporation (BTMC), the Bangladesh Jute Mills Corporation
(BJMC) etc. have been settled and process is under way for settling overdue loans of other
public sector manufacturing units. Collection of debt service liabilities (DSL) and settlement
of arrear dues among corporations have also been strengthened. Sale of 21 public
manufacturing sector units have so far been finalised. The process has been stalled due to
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growth target. To prevent unfair trade practices, in particular, circumvention of domestic and
foreign laws, rules and regulations, these bodies will be encouraged to put in place
appropriate code of conduct for their members to observe. With this end in view necessary
promotional and support services will be provided to FBCCI and other chambers to improve
their institutional capability so that they can discharge their functions for promotion of trade,
investment and industry.
14.5.26 e. Export Promotion Bureau : In the wake of the establishment of the World Trade
Organisation to administer GATT 1994, GATS (General Agreement on Trade in Services)
and TRIPS (Trade Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights) under an integrated
Dispute Settlement Mechanism, the Bangladesh Export Promotion Bureau (EPB) will have to
play a dynamic role to achieve the following objectives: (i) to identify obligations of the
government to the business and industrial community of the country, to customers abroad as
well as under contracts, agreements, arrangements, conventions, etc. of WTO and other
relevant international/regional organisations and take all necessary steps towards meeting
these obligations; (ii) to remove existing regulatory constraints; (iii) to provide policy support
comparable with those of other competing countries; (iv) to provide improved services for
export promotion activities; (v) to provide access to supportive infrastructure services; (vi) to
improve entrepreneural and managerial capabilities through human resources development
and (vii) to implement export development programme to help expand and diversify the range
of exportable products. Towards the fulfilment of the above objectives, EPB will be required
to be revamped in conjunction with effective private sector co-operation and collaboration,
including establishment of a joint institute of foreign trade involving representatives of both
public and private sectors.
14.5.27 f. Bangladesh Tariff Commission (BTC) : The Tariff Commission will carryout in-
depth studies and formulate policies for further tariff rationalisation, liberalisation of the
import regime and evolving an incentive structure for strengthening the domestic production
and export base. It will review, on a continuing basis, the tariffs on imported inputs - raw
materials and intermediate inputs - as well as on capital goods. While rationalising the tariff
structure, adequate attention will be given to ensure that inputs for any domestic product are
not subjected to rates of duties and taxes higher than those on competing finished imports
and that the domestic industries do not suffer loss because of dumping on the one hand and
denial of access to foreign market on the other. The BTC will establish effective co-
ordination with the National Board of Revenue (NBR), the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics
(BBS), the Bangladesh Bank (BB), the Ministry of Planning/Planning Commission and the
Ministry of Commerce for establishment of a rational and dynamic tariff structure consistent
with existing government policy of pursuing free market economy. For discharging its
functions more effectively, BTC will build up its capacity further through necessary
strengthening and upgradation as well as human resources development.
14.5.28 g. Bangladesh Standard Testing Institute : Standardisation is the gateway to trade
and industrialisation. A well conceived standardisation programme lays the foundation for
growth of domestic production, protection of consumer interest through ensuring requisite
product quality and progressive assimilation of imported technology through adoption and
adaptation. Standardisation of products as well as of inputs minimises wastage of resources
and ensures compatibility of manufacturing processes and practices. In view of these factors,
during the Fifth Plan period, the performance of the Bangladesh Standard Testing Institute
will be reviewed and effective measures will be introduced to enhance its functional
capability through necessary expansion and modernisation. Some vital components of
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modernising the Institute will be strengthening its methodology, quality control and testing
sections and induction of sufficient number of quality professionals into it.
14.5.29 h. Bangladesh Institute of Management : In the Fifth Plan period, BIM will
conduct research on management development and will impart training on socio-economic
and other functional areas of management. The main objectives of the institute will be to : (i)
upgrade the existing centre to a self-sustained higher institute of training , research and
learning, (ii) train and develop managers at all levels of the economy, (iii) assist, develop and
maintain higher productivity in business and industry through adoption of technological and
engineering innovation and services, (iv) give consultancy services for solving management
and related problems faced by various sectors of the economy, and (v) carry out research in
different fields of management, economics and business. Activities and courses will be
designed and implemented to support private sector industrial and business units.
14.5.30 i. Bangladesh Industrial Technical Assistance Centre (BITAC) : The Bangladesh
Industrial and Technical Assistance Centre (BITAC) has been providing technical and
advisory services to the entrepreneurs. Presently BITAC Dhaka, Chittagong, Chandpur and
Khulna are in operation. During the Fifth Plan the performance of existing centres will be
duly evaluated and new centres will be established keeping in view the needs of the industrial
areas. BITAC will assist the private sector entrepreneurs, particularly the small entrepreneurs,
to solve their technical problems as well as in adopting/adapting new technologies in their
production practices.
14.5.31 j. National Productivity Organisation (NPO) : The National Productivity
Organisation (NPO) was established in 1989 under the Ministry of Industries. The
institutional capability of this organisation will be further developed to create productivity
consciousness and awareness to the people for launching productivity as a national objective
to be pursued by a national movement in the country, undertake programme for human
resource development for productivity improvement, build productivity infrastructure and
convert industrial enterprises into an efficient and profitable organisation, work as a catalyst
to promote plant-level productivity through consultancy services, conduct survey, study and
research work on productivity, and assist the government in formulating productivity policy.
14.5.32 One of the major issues in the industrialisation of a country is to use trade and
industrial policies in a co-ordinated manner so as to accelerate the pace of industrialisation.
This was done in Japan and the Newly Industrialised Countries. For this purpose, a Trade and
Industrial Policy Co-ordination Council will be set up during the Fifth Plan period.
14.5.33 Other General Measures : Other major institutional supports to the growth of
private enterprises and industrialisation by the private sector will have to come through
reforms in under-performing public administration, backlogged judiciary, costly banking
system and also from reduction in transaction costs in getting services from the public
utilities. These are monumental works and will be undertaken for completion with
determination. As a general principle the government will support institution of the civil
society, and rule of law and the private sector to help build constituencies that will in turn
support accountable, responsible and responsive and performing public institution. Of the
public utilities, power will be the major determinant of industrial investment. Concrete
programmes in both private and public sectors have been drawn up to meet this need.
14.6 Development Programmes and Targets
14.6.1 Textiles and Clothing Sub-sector : Domestic supply of fabrics from the existing
capacity was 1,129 million metres in 1995/96, including 200 million metres for the RMG
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industry. Corresponding estimates for 1996/97 are 1,163 and 210 million metres respectively,
while the supply from the existing mills in the terminal year (2001/2002) of the Fifth Plan is
projected at 1,348 million metres, including 268 million metres for the RMG industries. On
the other hand, the total demand for fabrics in the year 2001/2002 is projected to be 5,265
million metres, including 3,228 million metres for export. Consequently, the total demand-
supply gap of fabrics will increase from 2,633 million metres in 1996/97 to 3,917 million
metres in the year 2001/2002, out of which 2,960 million metres will be on account of RMG
industries, unless more fabric manufacturing capacities are established, in the mean time, as
backward linkage industries. The actual and estimated/projected demand for and supply of
fabrics for the local and export market for the years 1995/96, 1996/97 and 2001/2002 and the
corresponding supply-demand gaps are shown in Table 14.4.
Table 14.4
Demand-Supply Gap of Fabrics : 1997-2002
(in million metres)
Sl. Fabrics Actual Benchmark 2001/ 2002
No. 1995/96 (Estimated) (Projected)
1996/97
i. Demand for Fabrics 3,520 3,796 5,265
a. For domestic consumption 1,520 1,596 2,037
b. For export (for RMG and other forms of export) 2,000 2,200 3,228
ii. Supply of Fabrics From Existing Facilities 1,129 1,163 1,348
a. For domestic consumption 929 953 1,080
b. For export 200 210 268
iii. Demand-Supply Gap of Fabrics 2,391 2,633 3,917
a. On account of domestic consumption 591 643 957
b. On account of export 1,800 1,990 2,960
14.6.2 The excess demand for yarn over the local production in 1995/96 was 390 million kg.
which is expected to increase to 639 million kg. in 2001/2002. About 67 per cent of this total
demand will be for cotton yarn, while the rest 33 per cent will be on account of yarn from
man-made fibres. The projected demand for yarn by 2001/2002 and the demand-supply gap of
all types of yarn for the same years are given in Table 14.5.
Table 14.5
Demand-Supply Gap of Yarn: 1996-2002
(in million kg.)
Particulars 1995/96 1996/97 2001/2002
Actual Estimated Projected
Demand of yarn 503 542 752
Production of yarn 113 113 113
Demand-Supply Gap 390 429 639
14.6.3 The demand-supply gaps of raw cotton and man-made fibres were 369 million kg. and
169 million kg. respectively in 1995/96 which are projected to reach 555 million kg. and 254
million kg. respectively by 2001/2002 assuming wastage for raw cotton at the rate of 10 per
cent and for man-made fibres at the rate of 3 per cent. The existing and projected requirement,
domestic production, and demand gaps of raw cotton and man-made fibres are shown in
Table-14.6.
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Table 14.6
Demand-Supply Gap of Raw Cotton and Man-made Fibres : 1996-2002
(in million kg.)
Items of Raw Materials 1995/96 1996/97 2001/2002 (Projected)
(Benchmark)
a. Raw-Cotton
Demand 374 403 560
Production 5 5 5
Demand Gap 369 398 555
b. Man-made fibres
Demand 171 184 256
Production 2 2 2
Demand Gap 169 182 254
14.6.4 With a view to progressively increasing domestic production of yarn and cloth the
Fifth Plan envisages to overcome the shortage of manpower through human resource
development, creation of an investment friendly environment, reforming the textile sector
through fine tuning of policy objectives, creation of new capacity in spinning and weaving
and BMRE of un-economic units in the private sector and some selected public sector mills.
The private sector will be at the cutting edge of investment and technological advancement
keeping in view the global and domestic opportunities. The following strategies will be
pursued for the overall development of the textiles and clothing sub-sector:
a. New capacity will be created to cater to the needs of the export-oriented RMG
industries as well as the domestic markets. To this end market response will determine
the nature of investment to allow horizontal and vertical expansion. Investment fund
will be sought from domestic banking sources, joint-ventures, foreign direct investment
and relocation of units by foreign entrepreneurs either independently or through joint
venture arrangement with local sponsors;
b. BMRE of the old and uneconomic existing units in the private sector and in selected
cases in the public sector will be undertaken to ensure their financial and commercial
viability through increased productivity;
c. The existing specialised textile mills and power looms will be organised into groups on
area basis and around 200 looms in each area will be taken as a package for intra and
inter-unit balancing;
d. Till adequate domestic supply capacity is created, grey fabrics will be allowed to be
imported under extended bonded warehousing facilities for dyeing and finishing
locally; and
e. Tariffs on all imported inputs for the textiles and clothing subsector will be rationalised
on a continuing basis; raw cotton and synthetic chips/fibre will be treated at par while
levying duties and taxes on them.
14.6.5 Handlooms : The growth of the traditional sector comprising handlooms and
sericulture will promote rural employment, import-substitution and export industries. The
handloom industry plays an important role in the economy of Bangladesh. Next to agriculture,
it is the second largest source of rural employment and income. About 5 million people are
directly or indirectly engaged in this industry. The Handloom Census 1990 recorded
1,027,407 weavers in the country and 501,834 handlooms out of which 317,026 were
operable. Handlooms produce some 757 million yards of cloth. Monthly demand of yarn for
handloom is 12.7 million kg. Fixed capital and credit demand per loom was Tk.10,008 and
Tk.8,904, respectively. The Handloom Board has undertaken different programmes/projects
for implementation in order to improve the handloom industry to a satisfactory level in
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producing quality products. To address the problems of the handloom industry, well identified
strategies will be undertaken during the Fifth Plan period.
14.6.6 The strategies for development of handloom sub-sector will include:
a. strengthening of the Bangladesh Handloom Board (BHB) to perform promotional
activities for boosting up production at competitive prices;
b. revitalisation of idle looms and linking up demand sources through organising the
supply sources of handloom products;
c. improvement of loom technology and changing of traditional handlooms into power
looms in phases;
d. activating the institutional credit sources for financing the working capital
requirements of the handloom weavers and mobilising banking institutions to meet
their credit needs as well as to do profitable banking business;
e. ensuring availability of yarn, dyes and chemicals at competitive prices to the
handloom weavers and to make appropriate arrangements for marketing their products
locally;
f. establishment of export-linkages through more concerted efforts to market handloom
products abroad and also to feed the export-oriented RMG industry by encouraging
non-traditional product base to produce handloom woven shirting, suiting and
furnishing fabrics of upgraded quality;
g. improvement of technology of handloom through research and adaptation;
h. reaping the productive potential of handloom weavers through re-organisation of co-
operative societies as well as through development of skill and improvement of
designs; and
i. promotion of export of Grameen Check and Dhaka Check to overseas markets.
14.6.7 Sericulture: Sericulture is an important sector which can play an important role in
generating employment and alleviation of poverty. About 8-9 hundred thousand families are
engaged in this occupation directly or indirectly. It is not a primary occupation in Bangladesh.
It is more or less a subsidiary occupation providing part time jobs for women at family level.
This sub-sector is labour intensive and its value addition is high. But it is lagging behind due
to some problems, such as scarcity of disease free layings, lack of capital or loan, traditional
technology of rearing and reeling, low quality of cocoons, poor marketing facilities, shortage
of trained and skilled manpower and slow expansion of mulberry cultivation. As sericulture
farmers are unskilled and they do not have appropriate rearing house, about 25 per cent to 30
per cent disease-free layings and cocoons are damaged in the rearing process. This in turn
makes sericulture farming uneconomic. Farmers lose their interest and leave the occupation.
There is a strong need for increasing the number of skilled bosnis (small sericulture farmer)
and skilled reelers. Therefore, the Fifth Plan envisages to set up chaki rearing-cum-
minifiliature centres where intensive training will be imparted for development of skilled
bosnis and reelers.
14.6.8 The strategies for development of the sericulture sector will include:
a. restructuring and strengthening of sericulture activities to perform research and
provide extension services, supply disease free layings, disseminate high yielding
variety of mulberry cultivation and silk worm rearing technology and help increase of
income of silk farmers through qualitative and quantitative improvement of products;
b. encouragement of NGOs for greater participation in different stages of production and
marketing activities;
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c. ensuring access of bosnis (small sericulture farmers) to various inputs and facilities
conducive to production of quality cocoons through adopting appropriate policy
measures;
d. extension of mulberry plantation, production of cocoons, and local marketing of silk
products of bosnis and large farmers by a combination of efforts by entities involved
in sericulture sub-sector;
e. development of export-linkage to market sericulture products abroad and to feed the
export-oriented RMG industry;
f. improvement of technology in the silk sector and design of silk products; and
g. setting-up chaki rearing cum minifiliature centres where intensive training will be
given for development of skilled bosnis and reelers.
14.6.9 To over come the problems of this sub-sector the Fifth Plan envisages to undertake the
following programmes to promote:
a. expansion of mulberry plantation in all possible places;
b. expansion of extension services;
c. production of quality cocoon;
d. new reeling technology for improvement of quality silk yarn;
e. marketing and credit;
f. establishment of chaki rearing and minifiliature centre (CRC) under the zonal or
regional offices of Bangladesh Sericulture Board (BSB); and
g. strengthening Bangladesh Sericulture Research and Training Institute (BSRTI) to
enhance the skill of manpower engaged in sericulture farming and silk reeling.
14.6.10 In order to bring about sustainable development of the silk sector, the Fifth Plan
seeks to undertake a long term multi-faceted programme for introducing improved technology
through strengthening institutional arrangement and policy improvements. This programme
envisages establishment of a non-profit private sector institution- Bangladesh Silk
Foundation. It will be established to provide necessary support and training activities in silk
sector as well as to co-ordinate the efforts and initiatives of the NGOs and private
entrepreneurs. The main objective of Bangladesh Silk Foundation will be to assist in
increasing the income of small scale silk producers, most of whom are poor women, through
introducing improved technology and to develop institutional and policy support for
sustainable development of silk and sericulture sub-sector. During the Plan period
Bangladesh Silk Foundation will undertake programmes to (a) enhance productivity of silk
worm through dissemination of improved technology and undertaking adaptive research
through BSRTI, (b) develop Germ Plasm Maintenance Centre, (c) improve management of
grainages, (d) disseminate silk worm rearing and reeling technologies to the farmers, NGOs,
rearers and reelers, and (e) undertake product development, design improvement and market
promotion of silk yarn and fabrics. These programmes envisage to enhance the volume of
production of silk yarn from the present level of 29 tons in 1996-97 to 181 tons by 2002 and
to raise silk farmers’ income and create employment opportunities. Besides, appropriate steps
will be taken towards rationalisation of tariff rate on the imported silk yarn to enable local
production stand the competition of imported silk yarn.
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14.6.11 Other strategies for overall development of the textile sub-sector will be as under:
a. For development of human resources for the textile sector, the existing training
institutions under the Ministry of Textiles (MOT), Department of Textiles (DOT),
Bangladesh Handloom Board (BHB) and Bangladesh Sericulture Board (BSB) will be
strengthened and some new training facilities will be created- to stay with time,
additional trade courses will be designed and offered to the trainees;
b. A central testing and quality control laboratory will be established in the public sector
to serve both the public and private sector units;
c. The facilities being created in the National Institute of Textile Training Research and
Design (NITTRAD) will be utilised for product testing and adoption of market
sensitive design enabling sophisticated marketing and merchandising high value added
garments in the process of transforming fashion business into an economically viable
proposition;
d. Dependence on imported machinery and spares will be reduced through transfer,
adoption and adaptation of technology and development of cost-effective indigenous
technology;
e. Currently women's participation in the export-oriented RMG industry of Bangladesh is
more than 85 percent of total employment; but in other modern textile sub-sectors, it is
very negligible compared to 50-60 per cent in developed countries; keeping in view the
national objective of poverty alleviation of the socially disadvantaged groups
particularly distressed women, adequate measures will be taken for greater
participation of women labour force in the modern textile sector.
14.6.12 Projected Productions: The projected production of fabrics has been estimated at
3,651 million metres out of which fabrics for domestic consumption will be 2,037 million
metres. If the projected production is achieved, per capita consumption of cloth will be 15.37
metres in 2001/2002.The estimated production for yarn and fabrics during the Fifth Plan
period is shown in Table 14.7.
Table 14.7
Projected Production of Yarn and Fabrics 1997-2002
Textile Products Benchmark Projections
(estimated) 1996/97 2001/2002
Yarn production1 (million kg.) 113 522
Fabric for domestic consumption (million metres) 953 2037
Fabric for RMG production 210 1614
Total fabrics 2 production (million metres) 1163 3651
Population (million) 123.8 132.50
Per capita demand for fabrics (metres) 12.9 3 15.37
Notes :
1
Of total yarn requirement for projected production of fabrics, 100 per cent will be produced by 2001-2002.
2
Cent per cent of domestic fabric requirement and 50 per cent RMG fabric requirement will be domestically
met by 2001/2002.
3
Demand for domestic market in 1996/97 is estimated at 1596 million metres.
14.6.13 Fabrics from the modern sub-sector (which includes composite textile mills,
specialised textiles and power looms and knitting and hosiery units), handloom, sericulture
and others (tents, soft luggages, gloves, socks, tarpaulins, inter-linings, under-garments,
umbrella-cloth etc.) is projected to increase from 564 million metres in 1996/97 to 2953
million metres in 2001/2002. The benchmark production and projected production in these
sub-sectors during the Fifth Plan period are given in Table 14.8.
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Table 14.8
Projected Production of Fabrics During 1997-2002
(in million metres)
Textile Sub-sectors Benchmark (estimated) 1996/97 Projected Production
(2001/2002)
Modern Sector 564 2,953
Handloom 595 690
Sericulture and others 4 8
Total 1,163 3,651
14.6.14 While fabric production in handloom is assumed to grow at an annual compound
growth rate of about 3 per cent, in sericulture it is assumed to grow at the rate of about 15 per
cent per annum, that in modern sub-sector at the annual rate of 39 per cent during 1997-2002.
The overall annual growth rate of fabrics in the textile sub-sector is envisaged to be 25.7 per
cent during 1997-2002. A comprehensive programme for the creation of new capacity in
spinning, weaving, dyeing and finishing and export-oriented garments will be launched in
order to attain self-reliance in fabric for domestic market by the year 2002 and to meet 50 per
cent of the fabric requirements of export-oriented RMG industries. Table 14.9 shows the
number of units proposed to be set up during the Fifth Plan.
Table 14.9
Number of New Units Proposed to be Established in Different Subsectors
During Fifth Plan
Sub-sectors 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 1997-2002
Spinning 42 42 42 42 45 213
(Each unit of 25,000 Spindles)
Weaving 46 46 46 46 46 230
(Each unit of 120 Shuttleless Loom)
Dyeing and finishing 49 49 49 49 53 249
(Each unit of 10 million metres per annum)
RMG 153 153 153 153 153 765
(Each unit of 0.6 million pieces per annum)
14.6.15 Employment Generation in the Textile Sub sector: In the textile sub-sector it is
estimated that a total of 1,779,560 persons will be employed during the Plan period, of which
8,40,760 will be in the public sector and 938,800 will be in the private sector. In the private
sector 130,800 persons will be employed in spinning, 46,000 in weaving and knitting,
373,500 in dyeing and finishing, 382,500 in RMG, 6,000 in specialised textiles and 6,000 in
miscellaneous industries. In the public sector 1,500 persons in BTMC, 3,260 in Department
of Textiles, 670,000 in sericulture and 166,000 in handloom will be employed.
14.6.16 Jute Industries: Jute is a vital sector of the economy from agricultural, industrial
and commercial points of view. About 5 million bales of raw jute is produced in the country
every year of which about 1.5 to 2 million bales are exported, 3 million bales are consumed
by local mills and about 0.5 million bales are used for domestic consumption and kept as
carry over stocks. About 50 per cent of world import demand for jute goods (approx. 0.90
million metric ton) annually is met by Bangladesh. Jute is the third biggest export earner
(Tk.15,960 million annually) of the country.
14.6.17 As this sector provides large scale employment and earns substantial foreign
exchange, the government continued to provide hidden subsidies and financial assistance to
jute mills from the very beginning. Consequently the sector's debts to the banks stood at about
Tk. 40 billion in 1993 when the government launched Jute Sector Reforms Programme
(JSRP) with financial and technical assistance from IDA. The Programme envisaged to create
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effects. New techniques for retting of jute will be explored. The government policy on
banning the production of polythene bags as substitutes for jute bags will be enforced
and towards this end, polythene bag factories may be converted into jute bag
manufacturing factories. Setting up of more polythene industries in the country will not
be allowed. To reduce the acreage under jute and at the same time maintain a higher
volume of supply for its diversified end uses, including use of green jute for pulp
making and thus to ease the burden on insufficient forest resources of the country,
efforts will be made to produce jute throughout the year through necessary
augmentation of soil nutrition.
h. Social Safety-net Programme: Programmes will be undertaken to provide
retrenchment benefits and retraining for self employment to support affected workers.
i. Planning and Implementation of Development Programmes Through Local Level
Institutions: With the introduction of proposed institutional structure at Zilla, Thana
and Union levels, small and cottage industries planning activities could be included in
the functions of such local government bodies. During the Fifth Plan, BSCIC will
provide necessary services for industrial development including industry based on jute
and will maintain effective liaison with the development programmes of such
institutions. The process of interaction between BSCIC and the local level institutions
will ensure effective local level participation in such industrial planning and
development. Moreover, the NGOs who have emerged as a new force for development
in the rural areas are expected to play an effective role in the skill development of the
poor and disadvantaged groups through motivation and training and help them in
producing varieties of industrial goods including jute goods.
j. Employment Generation and Poverty Alleviation: The jute and jute manufacturing
sub-sector has immense potential for employment generation and poverty alleviation in
Bangladesh. Jute production, jute industry and trade and the related services employ
about 10 per cent of our labour force and jute industry is the second largest industrial
employer after textiles. The new and diversified use of jute plants and fibres for pulp
and paper, textile yarn blended with cotton and wool, geotextiles, jute reinforced plastic
materials, luggages, shopping bags, handicrafts, accessories, etc. will open new horizon
for employment opportunities. The women will find job opportunities in the rural areas
by utilising finer jute yarn in cottage industries. In the agricultural sector, increased
yield per unit area will bring down the production cost of jute which will help growers
to alleviate their economic hardship by raising their income.
14.6.22 Chemical Industry: In the Fifth Plan, the objectives of the chemical sub-sector will
be as follows:
a. to increase the contribution of chemical industries sub-sector (fertiliser, paper,
newsprint, etc.) to GDP;
b. to meet the needs of the country in respect of fertiliser, paper, news print, etc.;
c. to identify and exploit the comparative advantages of the economy in different sub-
sectors and to direct public sector investment in those desirable sectors where private
investment is still shy;
d. to identify and give emphasis on thrust sectors;
e. to develop human resources for efficient management and operation of enterprises;
f. to develop a sound technological base in the country; and
g. to provide facilities and services to attract private investment, including foreign direct
investment.
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14.6.23 In order to achieve the objectives and targets set for the chemical industries sub-
sector, the following strategies will be pursued for accelerating the contributions of this sub-
sector towards a self sustained economy:
a. Public sector dominance in this sub-sector will be gradually reduced and the private
sector will be encouraged to set up new industries either alone or jointly with the
public sector. All the sub-sectors under chemical sector are open to the private sector.
But the private sector has not come forward to take up the challenge except
participating in a joint venture with a foreign company (KAFCO). The investment
size, technological complexities and the mandatory price structure may be attributed
as main reasons standing in the way of private sector participation in the fertiliser
sector, particularly in urea manufacturing. A private company has recently come to set
up a joint venture SSP fertiliser with BCIC. There are great prospects for participation
by private sector in all areas of chemical sector. Necessary technical support such as
project analysis, project preparation, demand and supply analysis, sourcing and
pricing of machinery, market information, etc. will be provided to the private sector in
setting up joint ventures and/or new enterprises in the private sector.
b. Excess manpower in the corporations/enterprises will be rationalised to economise
revenue expenditure. At the same time necessary power/authority will be delegated to
the corporations/enterprises and they will be made accountable for failure and
rewarded for success.
c. One of the major problems and impediments to the growth of this sub-sector is the
dearth of finance, technical know-how and skilled manpower. In this context, besides
local currency support through ADP, the following source of financing will be
vigorously explored:
i. alternate sources of financing for projects from the capital market will be
explored. BCIC will be given freedom in exploring and arranging alternate sources
of finance outside the country;
ii. more emphasis will be given on building projects on BOT/BOO/BOOT model; the
public sector will identify viable projects, process them for approval and
implementation; after implementation they will operate the projects for some time
and subsequently transfer them to private entrepreneurs; and
iii. local currency financing, inter-alia, public subscriptions of shares through the
capital market will be explored; joint venture companies, with participation of
BCIC, will be encouraged to issue shares/debentures.
d. In case of sick industries, viability where possible will be restored inter-alia, through
screening out inefficient manpower and replacing them by efficient, dependable,
sincere and committed manpower. Necessary training, both local and foreign, will be
imparted for building up efficient management for restoring their viability. Technical
support in the form of studies, equipment and machinery will be provided to put the
industries/enterprises on a viable footing. All stakeholders - owners, management,
labour and the concerned lending institution will be asked to bear out rehabilitation.
14.6.24 Projected production for some major chemical products during the Fifth Plan are as
follows:
a. Urea Fertiliser: Bangladesh is a major producer of Urea Fertiliser in the region having
6(six) factories with annual installed capacity of 2,500 thousand metric tons of urea. In
1995/96 BCIC produced 2,134 thousand metric tons of urea. According to the projection
made by BCIC the actual demand of urea fertiliser during 1995/96 was approximately
320
2,300 thousand metric tons. The projected urea production was 2,110 thousand metric tons.
The demand of urea is rising by 10 per cent per annum. In 1996/97 the government has taken
action to import 200 thousand metric tons of urea to meet the local demand. A recent study
indicated that future demand of urea will further increase as shown in the Table 14.10 .
Table 14.10
Demand Projection of Urea Fertiliser (1997-2002)
(in million metric ton)
Year Urea Demand Local Production Net Import Requirement
1996/97 Benchmark 2.40 2.05 0.35
1997/98 2.45 2.10 0.35
1998/99 2.67 2.10 0.57
1999/00 2.92 2.10 0.82
2000/01 3.19 2.49 0.70
2001/02 3.49 2.55 0.94
This leaves room for setting up more urea fertiliser factories in the country. For this
purpose NGFF will be replaced by Shahjalal Fertiliser Co. Ltd. increasing annual
production capacity from 106,000 metric tons to 330,000 metric tons and another new
urea fertiliser factory will be set up in northern/southern part of the country by the year
1999/2000. There is a plan to increase capacity of urea production in JFCL and
ammonia production in CUFL by 1999/2000 to 2000/2001.
b. TSP: The present annual demand of TSP in the country is about 700 thousand metric
tons. TSP Complex produces about 150 thousand metric tons of TSP/SSP (TSP-
50,000 metric tons and SSP 100,000 metric tons). The rest of the demand is met
through import. In order to meet a big chunk of the demand the annual production
capacity of TSP Complex will be increased to 275 thousand metric tons (TSP-75,000
metric tons and SSP-200 thousand metric tons) through balancing and full capacity
utilisation. There is a plan for setting up a three hundred thousand metric ton SSP
Factory by a foreign sponsor in collaboration with BCIC. There is also a plan for
setting up a DAP factory with a capacity of 360 thousand metric tons in the country.
c. Paper: The present demand for writing and printing paper is 80,000 metric tons. The
demand for various grades of paper has been increasing. In 1995/96 BCIC produced
41,889 metric tons of paper and the rest of the demand was met from the supplies of
private sector and import. The projected production of paper in 1996/97 is 44,000
metric tons. The growth rate of demand for different grades of paper has been
assumed to be 6 per cent to 10 per cent. In order to cater to the future demand the
present capacity of producing paper and pulp in public sector including joint ventures
will be increased through BMRE of the existing mills and setting up of new mills
preferably under joint venture/private sector.
d. Newsprint: The demand for newsprint has increased rapidly during the last few years
because of its use as writing paper and the government policy of cherishing the
freedom of the press. The present demand for newsprint is about 60,000 metric tons
per annum. The lone newsprint producer in the country, Khulna Newsprint Mill
(KNM) having installed capacity of 48,000 metric tons per annum is no longer in a
position to meet the domestic demand. In 1994/95 and 1995/96 KNM produced
43,061 and 40,479 metric tons newsprint respectively. A large quantity of newsprint is
being imported into the country to meet the short-fall. To meet the demand for
newsprint BCIC will undertake BMRE of KNM in the Fifth Plan period.
321
e. Cement: The present annual demand for cement in the country is 0.28 million metric
tons. In 1994/95 and 1995/96 BCIC produced 0.147 million and 0.153 million metric
tons cement respectively. The only integrated plant Chhatak Cement Factory having a
capacity of 0.233 million metric tons is under BCIC. There are about 6-7 cement mills
in the private sector and based on imported clinker.
14.6.25 Under chemical industries sub-sector the major programmes/projects will include
inter alia Shahjalal Fertiliser Factory, capacity increase of urea in Jamuna Fertiliser Factory,
capacity increase of amonia in Chittagong Fertiliser Factory, Di-Amonium Phosphate Plant
(DAP) at CUFL, setting up of a paper machine in SPPM, BMRE of Karnaphully Paper Mills,
BMR of Khulna Newsprint Mill (KNM) and one Urea Fertiliser Factory in the northern or
the southern zone. Projected production for different chemical products is summarised in the
Table 14.11.
Table 14.11
Projected Production for Chemical Industries
(in metric ton)
Items 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002
Urea 2,049,810 2,150,000 2,150,000 2,150,000 2,330,000 2,363,000
TSP/SSP/DAP 104,181 150,000 176,000 209,000 220,000 220,000
Newsprint 23,903 45,000 45,000 45,000 45,000 45,000
Paper 23,239 45,000 45,000 53,400 72,600 79,200
Cement 107,300 150,000 186,000 221,000 221,000 233,000
Source : BCIC
14.6.26 Sugar Industry: Objectives of the sub-sector during the Fifth Plan is to increase
the contribution of sugar sector to GDP, create new job opportunities specially in rural areas
and reduce sugar import by increasing the domestic sugar production.
14.6.27 In the current industrial policy additional investment in sugar industry by the public
sector has been discouraged and the private sector has been given preference with various
incentives. But so far, response from the private sector in sugar industry has been
disappointing. So the public sector will continue to play some role. BMRE programmes of
existing sugar mills will continue to be implemented for their progressive unloading to the
private sector.
14.6.28 Dry and low rain-fall belt in the north, north-west and western regions of Bangladesh
comprising the greater districts of Rajshahi, Dinajpur, Bogra, Rangpur, Pabna, Kushtia,
Jessore and Faridpur are considered as the best sugarcane growing areas of the country. In
fact, almost all of the existing sugar mills are located in these regions where sugarcane has
emerged as the main cash crop over the years. There is ample scope for capacity expansion of
some existing sugar mills as well as establishment of new sugar mills in different locations of
the cane growing regions.
14.6.29 Demand for sugar in the country is estimated to be about 371 thousand tons in
1996/97 for a population of 123.8 million based on per capita sugar consumption of 3.0 kg. a
year. Assuming the consumption rate remains constant, demand for sugar will increase to
about 400 thousand tons in 2001/2002 for an estimated population of 132.5 million. If per
capita sugar consumption increases due to growing urbanisation and change of food habit,
total demand of sugar will increase further. Against this demand, total sugar production
capacity of the 15 operating sugar mills is now 215 thousand tons per annum based on total
322
cane crushing capacity of 21,044 tons per day, 120 effective crushing days and 8.5 per cent
sugar recovery. However, depending on the availability and quality of sugarcane, actual sugar
production may vary from 200 thousand tons to 225 thousand tons per annum. Thus, at
present there is an annual deficit of about 150 thousand tons of sugar which is met through
import at the cost of Tk.2,500 million in hard earned foreign currency. The deficit will
increase nearly to 200 thousand tons in 2001/2002, unless additional sugar production
capacity is created at suitable locations of cane growing regions of the country.
14.6.30 Estimated demand, domestic production and import of sugar up to 2002 are given
in the Table 14.12.
Table 14.12
Estimated Demand for Production and Import of Sugar
Year Population Demand @ 3.0 kg. Local Production Deficit/ Import
(million) (million ton) (million ton) (million ton)
1996/97 123.80 0.37 0.14 0.23
2001/2002 132.50 0.40 0.200-0.23 0.17-0.20
mills. This will increase the cane crushing capacity by another 6,000 TCD. On completion of
the development programme proposed above, total cane crushing capacity of the country will
increase from 21,044 TCD in 1996/97 to 35,294 TCD and sugar production capacity will
increase from 215 thousand tons to nearly 400 thousand tons per annum by 2001/2002. This
will help reduce sugar import. In addition, the proposed three new sugar mills will create
direct employment opportunity for 3,225 persons (1,075 persons in each) and will also bring
about benefits to a large number of people including marginal farmers in areas surrounding
the mills.
14.7.4 Besides the sugar mills, there is a bright prospect for setting up an export oriented
molasses-based distillery having a capacity of 5-6 million litres per annum. This project may
be set up as a joint venture with foreign entrepreneurs who will ensure export of the same.
This will increase the value-addition of molasses which is obtained as a by-product from the
sugar mills and will also create job opportunity for about 200 persons.
14.7.5 Steel and Engineering: The engineering industries produce investment goods which
determine the technological capability and consequently the production level and efficiency
of an economy. The engineering industries are also suppliers of important consumer durables.
This is particularly so in the electrical and transport equipment industries. In the developed
economies, the growth of the subsector generally exceeds that of the manufacturing as a
whole. In the developing economies, on the other hand, the sub-sector lags behind.
14.7.6 Bangladesh has a 'mini' steel plant at Chittagong which has been out of operation for
quite sometime. Its engineering base is very weak despite the fact that the country has a
machine tools factory, a diesel engine manufacturing plant as well as a plant for
manufacturing general electrical equipment. The performance of the sector has not been
satisfactory for various reasons though this is the basic sub-sector for industrial development.
During the first four years of the Fourth Plan (1990-95), the production volume of this sub-
sector showed downward trend because of the low capacity utilisation, low productivity, lack
of investment fund in the public sector, major constraints in the private sector consisting of
demand constraints, inefficient operation of existing units both in the private and public
sectors, dearth of skilled and trained personnel, inadequate R&D, inadequate infrastructures,
inconsistent tariff policies etc.
14.7.7 Under the current industrial policy, the growth of this sub-sector has come to depend
on private sector initiative. In pursuance of the government's privatisation policies, BSEC is
endeavouring to increase the efficiency of the enterprises under its control. Proposals for
financial re-structuring of some of the enterprises are under consideration by the government.
In the meantime BSEC has already issued public shares to the extent of 49 per cent in four of
its enterprises. Again, the remaining 51 per cent shares (held by the government) of the two
enterprises out of the above mentioned four enterprises have been earmarked for sale to the
public. Dhaka Steel Works Ltd. along with two other enterprises (i.e. Quality Iron & Prantik
Traders Ltd.) is under the process of handing over to one of the previous Bangladeshi
shareholders. Besides, seven more enterprises namely, Bangladesh Machine Tools Factory
(BMTF), Bangladesh Diesel Plant, Bangladesh Blade Factory, Bangladesh Can Co. Ltd.
General Electric Mfg. Co. Ltd., Mehar Industries (B) Ltd. and Chittagong Steel Mills Ltd. are
earmarked for outright sale. However, the disinvestment of SOEs is a continuous process and
to be implemented in phases. Keeping in view the importance and prospect of steel,
engineering, ship-building, electrical will be and electronic products, the objectives for the
Fifth Plan of the steel and engineering sub-sector will be to:
324
a. support the agricultural sector with the ultimate objective of transforming the age-old
agricultural practice into a semi-mechanised one;
b. supply capital goods and spares to various sectors of the economy, e.g., agriculture,
power, gas, natural resources, transport, communication, construction as well as
manufacturing sector itself;
c. substantially reduce dependence on import of machinery and essential spares and
components for jute, textile, sugar mills and electronic industries, thereby improving
the balance of payments of the country;
d. strengthen and diversify the existing export structure through production and export of
engineering goods;
e. maximise capacity utilisation of the existing capital intensive industries through
necessary balancing, modernisation, replacement and expansion;
f. provide linkage, through sub-contracting, to light engineering industries throughout
the country and thus create gainful employment opportunities with special emphasis
on rural employment through promotion and development of industries in rural areas;
g. create employment opportunities through development of skills in major sectors like
steel, engineering, ship-building and electronics;
h. accelerate transfer of appropriate technology through establishment of project design
and engineering company and thereby reducing dependence on expatriate
consultants/experts with regard to undertaking feasibility study, project design,
engineering services, etc.; and
i. accelerate research and development activities for consolidating the industrial base as
well as for the development of indigenous technology.
14.7.8 The general development strategies for the steel and engineering sub-sector as a whole
are outlined as follows:
a. consolidation and effective utilisation of existing capacities will be achieved through
planned capacity expansion, product diversification, BMREs and introduction of
additional working shifts;
b. with a view to improving the balance of payments position, reducing dependence on
imports and promoting self reliance, necessary programmes will be undertaken to
diversify the industrial base and to set up import substitute industries for the
progressive manufacture of agricultural equipment, jute textile, sugar, electrical
machinery and equipment as well as their spares and accessories;
c. measures will be taken to develop viable products which are high technology based
and require venture capital for which private investment is not forth coming;
d. a significant feature of the strategy for industrial development in general and for steel
and engineering industries in particular will be to set up projects under joint-venture
with the reputed local/foreign manufacturer mainly to create strong export base and
thereby to improve country’s balance of payments position;
e. new capacity will be created in the areas of steel making, electrical cables and
conductors and basic electronic components manufacturing; and
f. viability of sick projects like Bangladesh Machine Tools Factory, Bangladesh Diesel
Plant and other projects will be restored through improvement of management
capability of the enterprises and also through phasing out of inefficient manpower for
progressive transfer to the private sector.
325
14.8.4 Small and Cottage Industries: Small and cottage industries occupy a unique
position in the economy of Bangladesh. Its contribution to poverty alleviation cannot be
underestimated. During the Fourth Plan, against the projection of 0.4 million employment
generation, 0.35 million job opportunities were created. The contribution of the sub-sector to
the GDP is about 5 per cent. The SCI sector now employs 5 million people directly and
indirectly which accounts for 82 per cent of the total industrial labour force. The agriculture
sector is not likely to provide the required employment opportunity in the long run. The
establishment of large scale industry to offer large scale employment is not considered to be a
feasible option at the moment because of resource constraint. It is, therefore, imperative to
develop means outside the agricultural sector for creation of employment opportunities. The
SCI is an area where large scale employment opportunities exist. Compared to large and
medium industries, the SCI has some inherent advantages; these are:
a. lower capital investment;
326
14.8.7 In view of the objectives and strategies set forth the following projections have been
made for the SCI sector in the Fifth Plan:
a. to increase the SCI sector’s contribution to GDP from 5 per cent to 7.5 per cent; and
b. to create employment opportunities for 0.478 million people.
14.8.8 Programmes: In order to achieve the above objectives a comprehensive programme
for development of small and cottage industries has been proposed. This programme can be
classified into two types - public sector programme and private sector programme. An outlay
of Tk.1,089.89 million has been envisaged for the public sector, while Tk. 125,246.97 million
is earmarked for private sector investment. Of this, credit requirement has been estimated at
Tk.12,800 million including a foreign exchange component of Tk.6,144.4 million during the
Fifth Plan period for setting up small and cottage industries in the private sector.
a. Public Sector Programme: In the public sector a number of projects will be
implemented during the Plan period through investment of Tk.1,089.89 million. Out of
these investment projects, 12 are spill-over projects and the rest will be new projects.
Under technical assistance one project is a spill-over project. Public sector programme
aims at providing infrastructure facilities including common facilities, dyes and
chemicals, credit facilities, training to the entrepreneurs, extension services and
research, market promotion and also self employment facilities for the people. Besides,
some new projects such as development of salt industry in Khulna-Satkhira region,
Women Entrepreneurship Development (4th phase), Skill Development Centre at
Gopalgonj will be established during the Plan period. Bangladesh Small and Cottage
Industries Corporation (BSCIC) has been constantly monitoring the utilisation position
of developed industrial plots in the existing industrial estates. It also takes appropriate
measures to expedite allotment process whenever there is a genuine need. Construction
of any new industrial estate will be undertaken only in response to a clearly
demonstrated demand for it.
b. Private Sector Programme: In the private sector a programme of Tk.125,246.97
million is proposed for investment. The objective of the private sector programme is to
encourage establishment of small and cottage industries in various important areas.
These are: agricultural tools and equipment, affixation pumps, motors and other
equipment, fertiliser and insecticides, dyes and chemicals, leather and rubber products,
rural transport and transportation equipment, sports good and toys, food, fruits and
vegetables, preservation and processing of semi-intensive shrimp culture, fish, poultry
and cattle feed, cotton spinning, textiles, handloom, hosiery and silk products, machine
tools, electrical and electronics equipment and goods, spares and accessories,
intermediate products, dairy supplies and services etc. Also priority will be given to the
development of rural, cottage and handicrafts industries.
14.9 Benchmark Production and Terminal Year Projection for Major Manufactures
14.9.1 Benchmark production of major manufactures and projection of production for the
terminal year of the Fifth Plan are presented in Table 14.14.
328
Table 14.14
Projected Production of Major Industrial Output During
Fifth Plan Period
Items Unit 1996/97 2001/2002
(Base Year) (Terminal Year)
Urea 000 M.T. 2,049.81 2,363.00
T.S.P/S.S.P 000 M.T. 104.18 220.00
Paper, Pulp and Newsprint 000 M.T. 70.00 124.20
Cement 000 M.T. 107.30 233.00
Yarn Production Million KG 113.00 522.00
Cotton Yarn Million KG 75.71 349.74
T.C.& Others Million KG 37.29 172.26
Fabrics Production Million Metre 1,163.00 3,651.00
Cotton Cloth Million Metre 779.21 2,446.17
T.C. & Others Million Metre 383.79 1,204.83
Fabrics for Garments Million Metre 210.00 1,614.00
Cotton Fabrics Million Metre 140.70 1,081.38
T.C. & Others Million Metre 69.30 538.62
Jute Textiles 000 M.T. 435.00 500.00
Hessian 000 M.T. 139.20 160.00
Sacking 000 M.T. 252.30 290.00
C.B.C. 000 M.T. 43.50 50.00
Sugar Million M.T. 0.14 0.23
Spirit 000 Litre 2,500.00 4,000.00
Bus, Truck & Car Nos. 1200 1350
Motor Cycle Nos. 7000 8000
Diesel Engine Nos. 750 4000
Steel Ingot 000 M.T. 21.90 75.00
Table 14.15
Public Sector Investment Outlay for Fifth Plan
(at 1996/97 prices)
(in million Taka)
Agency/sub-sector Spill-over New Projects Total Investment
projects
A. Investment Amount Amount Amount %
Bangladesh Chemical Ind. Corpn. 1,040.00 3,883.37 4,923.37 41.75
Bangladesh Steel & Engg. Ind. Corpn. 150.00 212.00 362.00 3.07
Patent, Design & Trademark - 4.00 4.00 0.03
National Productivity Organisation (NPO) - 6.70 6.70 0.06
Bangladesh Sugar & Food Ind. Corpn. - 297.00 297.00 2.52
BEPZA 500.00 560.48 1,060.48 8.99
BFIDC - 6.26 6.26 0.05
Bangladesh Small & Cottage Ind. Corp. 1,000.00 89.89 1,089.89 9.24
BITAC - 31.79 31.79 0.27
BFDC (Bangladesh Film Dev. Corpn.) - 6.26 6.26 0.05
BIM 10.00 4.85 14.85 0.13
Department of Printing & Stationery 20.00 15.67 35.67 0.30
BJMC 30.00 121.20 151.20 1.28
Department of Jute 150.00 31.30 181.30 1.54
Bangladesh Jute Research Institute - 40.58 40.58 0.34
BTMC 150.00 138.76 288.76 2.45
BHB (Bangladesh Handloom Board) 500.00 34.85 534.85 4.54
Bangladesh Sericulture Board 27.00 58.10 85.10 0.72
Department of Textiles 1,060.00 255.00 1315.00 11.15
Sub-total (A) : 4,637.00 5,798.06 10,435.06 88.48
B. Other Outlay: 115.80 1,242.84 1358.64 11.52
Total (A+B) 4,752.80 7,040.90 11,793.70 100
Table 14.16
Private Sector Investment Outlay During Fifth Plan Period
(at 1996/97 prices)
(in million Taka)
Sl. Sub-sector/Group Outlay
No. Large & Med. Small Cottage Total
Allocation % Allocation % Allocation % Allocation %
1. Food & Allied Industies. 11,544.07 6.65 16,461.44 14.12 1,274.55 14.71 29,280.06 9.80
2. Textile Products. 51,199.23 29.50 40,302.55 34.57 2,463.32 28.43 93,965.10 31.45
3. Jute Products and Allied Industries. 1,903.11 1.10 641.20 0.55 84.92 0.98 2,629.23 0.88
4. Forest Products and other Agro-based 3,804.97 2.19 2,867.93 2.46 1,274.55 14.71 7,947.45 2.66
Industries.
5. Paper, Board, Printing & Publishing 7,673.89 4.42 4,196.97 3.60 169.82 1.96 12,040.68 4.03
and Paper Converting & Packaging.
6. Tannery, Leather and Rubber Products 9,502.85 5.53 3,427.52 2.94 424.56 4.90 13,444.93 4.50
7. Chemical, Pharmaceutical & Allied 40,332.93 23.24 13,162.16 11.29 254.74 2.94 53,749.83 17.99
Industries.
8. Glass, Ceramic & other Non-metallic 5,129.52 2.96 1,014.27 0.87 339.65 3.92 6,483.44 2.17
Mineral Products.
9. Engineering, Electrical & Electronics 14,403.36 8.30 15,890.19 13.63 2,123.67 24.51 32,417.22 10.85
Industries.
10. Service Industries (Warehousing, 15,354.75 8.85 11,564.98 9.92 - - 26,919.73 9.01
Transportation, Construction, etc.)
11. Trade & Industries Promotion: 209.14 0.12 - - - - 209.14 0.07
12. Misc. Industries 12,381.37 7.14 7,053.24 6.05 254.74 2.94 19,689.35 6.59
Total 173,529.19 100 116,582.45 100 8,664.52 100 298,776.16 100
and finishing, export-oriented RMG sub-sector and other textile industry is estimated at
Tk.93,965.10 million and shown in the Table 14.17.
Table 14.17
Projected Investment in Private Sector Textile Industry During Fifth Plan Period
(in million Taka)
Textile Sub-sector 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 1997-02
A. New Capacity Creation
Spinning 9,105.55 9,195.25 9,305.10 9,129.80 8,913.57 45,649.27
Weaving 5,625.10 5,205.35 4,923.20 4,712.20 4,410.52 24,876.37
Dyeing & Finishing 2,712.85 2,203.15 2,512.85 2,610.15 3,056.03 13,695.03
RMG 776.33 785.25 809.25 710.40 623.00 3,704.23
Others * 717.35 718.55 683.85 732.10 588.35 3,440.20
Total (A) 18,937.18 18,707.55 18,234.25 17,894.65 17,591.47 91,365.10
B. BMRE
10 Textile Mills 200.00 150.00 - - - 350.00
Specialised Textiles 350.00 325.00 325.00 325.00 325.00 1,650.00
Total (B) : 550.00 475.00 325.00 325.00 325.00 2,000.00
C. Handloom & Sericulture
Handloom 120.00 120.00 120.00 120.00 120.00 600.00
Total (C) : 120.00 120.00 120.00 120.00 120.00 600.00
Total (A+B+C) 19,607.18 19,302.55 18,679.25 18,339.65 18,036.47 93,965.10
14.11.3 At present there are 31 textile mills in the public sector. Most of them are very old
and technically out-dated to produce good quality yarn and grey fabrics. All the public sector
textile mills are running at loss due to some inherent problems like low capacity utilisation,
irregular repair and maintenance, lack of managerial efficiency, excess manpower, high cost
of production, etc. Thus replacement of machinery to increase production and meet needs for
the export quality fabrics is essential for increased value addition and employment generation
for RMG.
14.11.4 Investment Outlay for Jute Industry: In order to achieve the objectives and goals
of the Fifth Five Year Plan for jute manufacturing industries under the purview of the
Ministry of Jute, an investment outlay of Tk.3,064.57 million at 1996/97 prices has been
provided for; of this Tk.435.34 million has been projected for the public sector and
Tk.2,629.23 million for the private sector. Agency wise financial outlay for public and private
sectors in jute industry including spill-over and new programmes has been shown in
Table14.19.
Table 14.19
Projected Outlay of Jute Industry During Fifth Plan Period
(in million Taka)
Agency On-going New Total Jute Industry
Projects Projects/Programmes
Amount Amount Amount
A. Public Sector
1. Ministry of Jute 56.00 6.26 62.26
2. Bangladesh Jute Mills Corporation 30.00 121.20 151.20
3. Department of Jute 150.00 31.30 181.30
4. Bangladesh Jute Research Institute - 40.58 40.58
Sub-Total (A) 236.00 199.34 435.34
B. PRIVATE SECTOR
1. Bangladesh Jute Mills Association - 1,200.00 1,200.00
2. Bangladesh Jute Spinners Association - 717.77 717.77
Sub-total (B) - 1,917.77 1,917.77
C. Small & Cottage Industries. - 711.46 711.46
Total (A+B+C) 236.00 2,828.57 3,064.57
14.13 Investment and Employment Target of EPZs: During the Fifth Plan
implementation of the policy packages will be closely reviewed and monitored and necessary
support services will be provided to attract investors with the ultimate objective of generating
more employment opportunities in EPZ areas and also to boost up export. The projections
that have been made for the Fifth Plan, with this end in view, are shown in Table 14.21.
Table 14.21
Expected Investment and Employment in EPZs by 2001/2002
Zones No. of Investment Employment Yearly Export
Industries (million US (nos.) (million US dollar)
dollar)
Chittagong EPZ 110 350 50,000 600
Dhaka EPZ 90 300 40,000 500
Gazipur EPZ 150 400 60,000 700
Mongla EPZ 100 300 40,000 500
North Bengal EPZ 90 300 40,000 700
Total 540 1,650 230,000 3,000
Source : Bangladesh Export Promotion Zone Authority (BEPZA)
14.13.1 At the end of Fifth Plan 540 industrial units with a total investment of $ 1,650
million are expected to be established and 230,000 jobs are expected to be created. The yearly
expected export at the terminal year of the Plan is estimated to be $ 3 billion.
14.14 Investment Outlay: An outlay of Tk. 1060.48 million including Tk. 500.00 million
for spill over projects and Tk. 560.48 million for new projects has been provided in the Fifth
Plan for the EPZ sub-sector.
14.15 Trade and Export Promotion: Within the broad framework of the export
development strategy, the main objectives of the export sub-sector are as follows :
a. to develop marketability of exportables through product diversification and
quality improvement;
b. to establish backward linkage with export oriented industries and service sectors
towards utilisation of more local materials;
c. to attract increased number of entrepreneurs for setting up of export oriented
industries and encourage them through incentive packages;
d. to expand and consolidate existing markets and also create new markets for
Bangladeshi exportables; and
e. to further narrow down the gap between export earning and import expenditure
through achievement of export targets.
14.15.1 In order to achieve the aforementioned objectives, the following strategies will be
pursued:
a. remove procedural and regulatory bottlenecks incompatible with the promotion
of exports;
b. provide progressive policy support comparable with those in other competing
countries to enable Bangladeshi exporters to be on a sound footing in
international trade;
c. strengthen and improve institutional framework for providing better services to
the exporters and the export oriented industries;
d. improve supportive infrastructure services to improve efficiency and for smooth
functioning of export related activities;
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14.16.1 Development of industries in the Fifth Plan will be a challenge for the private sector.
If this challenge is successfully met, in the Fifth Plan period, the private enterprise will be the
trail blazer in lifting the economy from the syndrome of poverty and unemployment in the
next two plan periods.
334
335
CHAPTER XV
ENERGY
15.1 Introduction
15.1.1 Energy is essential for promoting living standards. It is a pre-requisite for economic
growth and technological progress. In Bangladesh, per capita generation of electricity in 1995
was only 92 kwh which is lower in comparison to that in neighbouring countries. In view of
the prevailing low generation and consumption of energy, efforts should be made to develop
this sector in such a way that the needs of all sectors can be met adequately, efficiently and
economically.
15.1.2 Electricity demand grew at an average rate of 11 per cent per annum during 1972-94;
per capita generation increased from 15.6 kwh in 1973 to 92 kwh in 1995. Notwithstanding,
the progress made to date, only about 15 per cent population have access to electricity.
15.2 Review of Past Development
15.2.1 During the War of Liberation, power installations suffered extensive damage. As a
result, at the worst case, peak demand dropped to 30 MW from the pre-liberation level of 225
MW (1970). So, after independence the immediate problem was rehabilitation of power
supply. By the end of 1972-73, a rehabilitation and development programme was undertaken
in the First Five Year Plan (1973-78). However, because of the shortage of fund the
programme was carried over to the Two Year Plan (1978-80). Several projects, initiated
before the Liberation War were completed and a number of new projects were undertaken
during the periods. As a result, installed generation capacity increased to 822 MW from 545
MW, while the peak demand rose to 462 MW from 222 MW.
Table 15.1
Power Development During 1972-96
(year ending June)
Items 1972 1973 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 1996
Installed Capacity (MW) 550 608 752 822 1,141 2,352 2,908 2,908
Effective Generation (MW) 469 455 557 625 1,018 1,834 2,133 2,105
Maximum Demand (MW) 183 222 396 462 887 1,509 1,970 2,087
230 kV Transmission Line (Km) - - - - 179 250 419 419
132 kV Transmission Line (Km) 828 828 1,395 1596 1,971 2,235 2,469 3,017
66 kV Transmission Line (Km) 167 167 167 167 167 167 167 167
Distribution Line(Km) (33 kv & below) 9,010 9,686 17,003 20,256 34,796 69,731 103,540 121,817
No. of Consumers 254,584 277,884 403,518 529,660 848,152 1,670,137 2,766,765 3,090,829
Per Capita Generation (kwh) 15.6 22.9 27 46 70 92 95
15.2.2 To reduce the gap between demand and generation capacity, the Second Plan (1980-
85) undertook a rapid expansion programme. The most important achievement during this
period was the construction of the East-West electrical inter-connector which enabled the
transfer of gas-based low cost power from the east to the west. Five power generation plants
having a total installed capacity of 330 MW were completed during this period. But
generation capacity still lagged behind the demand. The main constraint to the expansion of
power supply was shortfall of resources coupled with a huge system loss and a slow response
to tariff adjustment against rising fuel cost. By the end of the Second Plan, the system loss
stood at 37.5 per cent. An investment programme of Tk. 14,370 million at 1979/80 prices was
undertaken. The actual investment was Tk. 20,970 million at current prices. The Second Plan
also pursued a policy of substituting imported fuel by natural gas. A significant progress was
made in this direction. By the end of 1984/85, total number of electricity consumers stood at
about 964,000 compared with 522,000 in 1979/80. Table 15.1 shows the progress of power
development in the country during 1972-96.
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Table 15.2
Targets and Achievements of Power Sector During Fourth Plan
measures brought some improvement, but not up to the expectation. The system loss of
BPDB, REB and DESA came down to 22.54 per cent, 15.04 per cent and 30.00 per cent
respectively in June 1995. These figures are based on generation/purchase and sale of energy
by individual entities. In June 1995, BPDB's gross generation was 10,806 million units and
sale was 8,371 million units. Purchase and sale by DESA in the same period were 4,162 and
2,913 million units respectively, and by REB 1,199 and 1,018 million units respectively. This
warrants considerable improvement in this area.
15.5.5 System imbalance : System balance could not be ensured during the Fourth Plan.
Because of non-availability of loan from development partners, the on-going projects
suffered. No new power projects (except those under suppliers’ credit) could also be started
and the scheduled rehabilitation programme of some existing power stations could not be
undertaken. The expansion and distribution system as envisaged in the original Plan
document also slowed down. Some surplus generation capacity could not be utilised fruitfully
due to bottlenecks in the grid-stations/sub-stations and shortage of gas supply.
15.5.6 System reliability : Five Power stations with a total generation capacity of 581 MW
were put into operation during the Plan period. A few units were also put into operation after
rehabilitation in the terminal year. Still there was shortage of generation capacity.
Consequently, load-shedding was resorted to. The annual load-shedding duration ranged
from 113 hours in 1991 to 763 hours in 1995. The total load-shedding over the Plan period
was 2,844 hours (6.49 per cent of total duration of the Plan period), i.e., on an average about
24 days per year. The reason for load shed of DESA was tremendous load growth in the
industrial and commercial sectors. As a result, the system reliability during the Plan period
was not satisfactory.
15.6 Power Sector Reforms
15.6.1 An inter-ministerial working group was constituted on the 3rd February, 1993 to
review the necessity and feasibility of private investment (along with public sector) in the
power sector. It transpired to the working group that mere private investment in power
generation is not the solution for the power sector to come out of the whole gamut of
problems and deficiencies in the sector. Given the magnitude of the inefficiencies and the
sector's large capital requirement, the working group felt that there was a need to undertake
basic reforms to address fundamental problems in the sector. The working group reviewed
operational, structural and other deficiencies of the sector, examined various options with
regard to reforms and emphasised the necessity for private investment and participation on an
equal footing in the power sector and finally recommended the reform programme to be
undertaken.
15.6.2 Institutional issues : Power generation and its supply have remained a state
monopoly. The government owns, operates and regulates the power sector entities. This has
sometimes resulted in overlapping and undemarcated responsibilities with lack of
accountability in terms of sector entities, operational performance and service standards. As a
result, the performance of the utilities remained far from satisfactory.
15.6.3 The responsibilities for generation, transmission and a large part of distribution of
electricity are integrated and vested in the same authority. This makes it difficult to identify
the areas of poor performance. All policy decisions/approvals involving planning and
installation of additional plants, recruitment of personnel, pay and allowances, major
procurement and rehabilitation are taken by the administrative ministry. Both BPDB and
339
DESA carryout execution. Opening up generation for the private sector, keeping transmission
and distribution facilities in the public sector does not really attract private investment.
15.6.4 Management issues : Major impediments to BPDB's and DESA's efficient operations
include lack of management and commercial independence and an unclear definition of the
corporate structure and responsibilities.
15.6.5 Lack of accountability and discipline among the employees of BPDB and DESA are
major constraints. Rivalry of trade unions affiliated to different political parties makes the
environment even more difficult in BPDB and DESA. Incentive/punishment schemes have
been introduced in both the entities to improve the situation but the results remain yet to be
seen and marked.
15.6.6 The performance of management of PBS(REB) has been better. This can be partly
attributed to transparent operating procedures that were designed before the formation of the
organisation. There is no labour union in REB/PBSs. There is no incentive for good
performance and also no punishment for the poor performers as the PBS is based on
cooperatives.
15.6.7 Financial and economic issues : The present tariff level is low in relation to the
financial requirements of the operating entities. BPDB's present average tariff is only about
61 per cent of the long run marginal cost (LRMC). Further, both PDB and DESA provide
implicit subsidies to the PBSs through a bulk supply tariff which is about 52 per cent of
LRMC. All these adversely affect the financial viability of the utilities. Some categories of
consumers enjoy low tariff at the cost of those in the productive sector.
15.6.8 Since the power supplying entities have turned to be financially non-profitable
because of inadequate tariffs, high system loss and low collections, investment from own
resources as well as from the development partners has become insignificant. The fund
requirements in the power sector are large but there are competing demands on government
resources constraining public investment in this sector. During the Fourth Plan period, the
estimated investment need was Tk. 69 billion at 1990 constant prices, against which the
allocation was only Tk. 45 billion. The investment requirement in power sector (both public
and private) during the Fifth Plan period is estimated at Tk. 117.36 billion at 1996/97
constant prices.
15.6.9 Technical issues : Power supply is constrained by shortage in generation capacity and
inadequate transmission and distribution system. The problem has been compounded by the
shortage of gas supply. As a result, BPDB has to shed loads during peak hours through out
the country.
15.6.10 REB was created to extend distribution of electricity to the rural areas through PBSs.
However, in absence of a clear-cut demarcation of service areas, problems have arisen in the
transfer of 33/11 kv sub-station lines and consumers from BPDB and DESA to the PBSs.
Further, in areas served by PBSs, there are still 'pockets' of urban centres that are still served
by BPDB/DESA.
15.7 Operational Performance During 1995/96 and 1996/97
15.7.1 During the period of July ’95 to June ’97 no new generation capacity was added to the
system, that is the installed capacity remained at 2908 MW, the same as of 1994/95. The
Barisal- Patuakhali 132 kv line (37 km) was energised during this period. A total of 2366 km
distribution line (33 kv, 11 kv & below ) was added to the system raising the length of the
340
portions of the utility's assets (e.g., a generating plant, a portion of the distribution network,
etc.). It is essential that regardless of ownership (public or private), the utility has complete,
detailed and up-to-date information on the cost of owning and operating the various parts of
its business. No reform is possible without the establishment of separate cost centres for all
identifiable and separable parts of the utility.
15.9.2 Unbundling : Once a decision is taken on the establishment of the cost centres, the
next set of options to look at will be the structure of the utility (also known as unbundling).
The utilities can be restructured (or unbundled) along functional lines with generation,
transmission and distribution being operated by separate entities. For example, BPDB can be
restructured into separate entities - one handling generation, another operating the
transmission system, and a separate and independent company responsible only for
distribution. This has recently been introduced in the UK. Only in high state of development,
this system can work. Alternatively, distribution can be handled by four zones within the
BPDB while DESA and REB/PBSs can continue to operate the distribution system in their
respective areas. In this event, rationalisation of distribution entities will be needed. PBSs
may operate as they are doing now under their area boards. A further alternative will be to
separate the generation and transmission functions from distribution and operated by a single
company (eg; Thailand). The principal advantage of restructuring along functional lines will
be in appraising cost of generation, transmission and distribution separately which can be
reflected in contracts between the functional entities. In addition, if the power sector is
structured around functional areas, it will attract private capital to one or more of these
functions where the expected returns will be high or the risks relatively low. For instance,
while the private entrepreneurs may not like to invest in the existing utilities as a whole, they
may wish to invest in new generation facilities. It is assumed, however, that an enabling
investment environment which includes a detailed and transparent legal and regulatory
framework will be in place to encourage and attract private investment. Investments by the
private sector will allow the government to divert funds to meet other socially pressing
objectives.
15.9.3 Following the decision to establish cost/profit centres and restructuring the entities
along functional lines, the logical next step will be to corporatise the new entities. For each
new functional entity, a company can be formed as a public limited company with a clear
demarcation of the roles and responsibilities of the government (ownership), the board of
directors (policy and monitoring), and the management of the company (operations). The
board members should be appointed for fixed terms (with a possibility for renewal). Some of
the Board members, including the chairman, should be from the private sector and
compensated properly in accordance with private sector practices. The board should appoint
the senior managers of the company and delegate to them full managerial autonomy for their
day-to-day operations. Through performance contracts, the board (and through them the
managers) should be held accountable for efficient operations.
15.9.4 Corporatisation is normally a preparatory step for increased private participation.
While there are many ways to achieve this, the most common one can be through the sale of
shares in the company. The advantage of this, at least from the government's standpoint, is
that while the government continues to retain control of the companies, private capital is
mobilised to support the government's development objectives for the sector. However, in
order to attract private capital in this manner, it is essential that a capital market exists and
that these companies are properly managed and earn a reasonable return on their investments.
Another frequently used method for increasing private participation is to contract out specific
342
activities of the utility to private entrepreneurs or to offer long-term franchises to manage and
operate some portions of the utility's assets.
15.9.5 With successful corporatisation and gradual increase in private participation, the final
step to be considered in the reform process is the full privatisation. For an existing utility, this
will mean an outright sale of its assets. For expansion of the system, this can take several
forms such as build-own-operate (BOO) scheme, hire/purchase agreements, etc.
15.9.6 An important point to consider, prior to starting the reform process, is the need to
create an appropriate and transparent regulatory system. It should preferably be in place prior
to the unbundling exercise so that the system grows along with the implementation of the
reform process, while facilitating the same.
15.10 Recommended Reform Programme
15.10.1 In order to overcome the constraints encountered in the viable/desirable operation of
the power sector and to achieve the objectives enumerated above, various options to reforms
can be considered. Options for reform will be concentrated on the following areas:
15.10.2 Restructuring of DESA : The corporatised entity should be endowed with
appropriate management and financial autonomy and commercial independence so that
accountability and monitoring of performance can be ensured and improved.
15.10.3 The new company should have its own terms and conditions of employment and
have the right to select employees. The present employees of DESA who do not get employed
in this restructured company should be provided with appropriate severance package.
15.10.4 Restructuring of BPDB : BPDB should be restructured along the functional lines.
In the first phase, the functions of generation and transmission should be separated from those
of distribution of electricity and two separate corporatised entities, one for carrying out
generation and transmission functions and the other for carrying out distribution functions in
those areas that are now being served by BPDB, should be established. These two (new)
public limited companies should be formed under the existing Company Act and the
ownership should remain with the government. These new companies will have the same
features as those of the company to be created out of DESA as described above. In the longer
term, generation and transmission functions may also be needed to be separated.
15.10.5 Rural electrification : The rural electrification programme through the co-
operatives has been fairly successful and, therefore, should continue without changing the
structure. However, its area of operation should be rationalised with that of the proposed
distribution companies so that duplication of investment can be avoided, services can be
improved and the utilities may become viable. The recent government decisions on the
demarcation of service areas of BPDB, REB and DESA should be reviewed and the following
criteria may be considered for rationalisation of distribution areas:
a. The supply area should be continuous and one utility should not have pockets of
supply areas within another utility, so that optimum utilisation of distribution
facilities may be ensured and manpower for operation and maintenance may be
reduced.
b. The supply area should be of sufficient size to facilitate planning of efficient
distribution network.
c. The utilities/distribution units should have a good consumer mix.
343
15.10.6 Regulatory framework and change of laws : With the present undifferentiated role
of the government as owner, operator and regulator, there is a little regulation with respect to
sector entities performance standards and service codes. On the other hand, the tariffs are not
adequately related to economic and financial requirements. Recommendations have been
made to separate the operation on commercial basis and to attract private investment. In order
that the consumers are ensured of an adequate supply of electricity at a reasonable cost, the
operational safety is ensured and the power utilities remain economically and financially
viable, an independent regulatory body should be established. To begin with, the regulatory
body may be attached with the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (MEMR). The
regulatory tasks should include, among others, the following :
a. framing of rules and codes of practice for operation and maintenance;
b. establishment of performance standards and uniform system of accounts;
c. approval of construction standards for safe installation;
d. approval of tariffs;
e. ensuring enforcement of industry standards, public safety, as set forth under (a),
(b) and (c) as well as demand management; and
f. issuing exclusive service franchises to the distribution companies, either public
or private, and license to private generators.
This will require the existing laws creating the BPDB and DESA as well as the Electricity Act
to be amended.
15.10.7 Tariff regulation : Tariffs are inadequately related to economic and financial
criteria. BPDB/DESA are financially burdened with the cost of providing subsidised
electricity supply to PBSs, the size of lifeline block is excessive, and their tariff adjustment
process is ad hoc and non-transparent.
15.10.8 To support the development of a viable and self-sustaining power industry in
Bangladesh, tariff setting needs to be rationalised, which can be achieved by having a
regulatory body with the clear terms of reference. This regulatory body (initially attached to
MEMR) will set tariffs in accord with explicit economic and financial criteria. Specifically,
the following aspects will need to be addressed :
a. Tariffs : In view of the possible formation of separate generation, transmission and
distribution companies, a tariff study should be carried out on long run marginal cost
basis to find out the cost of supply at different voltage levels, at various geographical
locations and consumer classes. The tariff study will also design the structure
including retail tariffs considering social aspects but avoiding distortion as much as
possible. The size of the present lifeline block is too large. It should be either reduced
to restrict its application to poor consumers or totally abolished.
b. Transparency : To improve financial discipline, transparency in financial relations
and to measure the true financial relationships between the generation/ transmission/
distribution companies, subsidies between various categories of utility companies
should be made more explicit. Eventually, any such subsidy to PBSs or for meeting
public service obligations, if justified, should be funded by the government.
c. Indexation : To reduce uncertainty and ensure predictability, the regulatory body may
consider indexed rate regulation. One major advantage of indexed regulation is that,
after the initial or base prices are established, adjustments occur virtually
automatically in accordance with some defined index (e.g., fuel prices, currency
values, discounted inflation rate, etc.) that have been approved by the regulatory body.
344
15.10.9 Private participation : In view of the large capital requirement in the power sector
and limitations of government fund, private sector investment will be necessary for rapid
development of the power sector. In order to attract private sector participation, actions on the
following fronts should be taken:
a. Generation : Specific power generation projects identified at the national level
will be offered for private investment. Competitive tenders on the basis of Build-
Own-Operate (BOO) or Build, Operate and Transfer (BOT) will be invited. The
government may also negotiate with the private parties who will express interest in
investing in generation projects.
b. Distribution : The government will invite private parties, including co-operative
societies of the utility sector employees, to participate in the distribution of power
in one or more localities on an experimental basis. In doing so, careful evaluation
of various proven modalities for participation (e.g., franchise, contract, etc.) will
have to be made.
c. Contracting of services : The government will consider contracting out some
functions currently performed by BPDB and DESA, particularly meter reading,
billing and collections.
d. Wheeling arrangement : The electricity generated by private generators may be
supplied to the grid system of the Generation and Transmission Company on
agreed terms and conditions. The private/public generators may also sell directly to
large consumers through the transmission and distribution facilities of other
distribution companies provided the facilities are adequate and the commercial
terms and conditions of such wheeling arrangements are acceptable to all
concerned.
15.10.10 Some of the steps already initiated/implemented towards privatisation and reform
programmes are briefly outlined below:
a. Implementation of power sector reform : Power sector reform programmes are
being implemented. Some of the proposed reform programmes have already been
initiated by the utilities. Power Cell has already prepared the Private Sector Power
Generation Policy of Bangladesh which was approved by the government. The Cell
has also prepared standard security package document, that is, Implementation
Agreement (IA), Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) and Fuel Supply Agreement
(FSA) for Independent Power Projects. A study on re-structuring of the power
sector has also been completed and a final report with recommendation of reforms
proposed to be undertaken has been prepared. A new tariff structure based on long
run marginal cost of supply in the restructured electricity industry has been
proposed to be implemented.
b. Power grid company of Bangladesh : PGCB, a subsidiary company under BPDB
has been set up. Initially, it will build, own and operate the Comilla-Meghnaghat-
Rampura and Meghnaghat-Haripur 230 kV transmission line and related grid
substations. In course of time, all transmission assets of BPDB will be transferred
to PGCB.
c. Dhaka electric supply company : DESC, a new distribution company has been
set up under Dhaka Electric Supply Authority. DESC will own and operate assets
for the distribution network initially at Mirpur and in course of time all of DESA's
distribution assets will be transferred to DESC.
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projected peak demand, generation capability and reserve margin up to FY 2002 are shown in
the Table 15.4.
Table 15.4
Projected Maximum Demand for Power During Fifth Plan
Year Maximum Generation Firm Reserve Reserve Margin as
Demand Capability Capacity Margin per cent of Max.
(MW) (MW) (MW) (MW) Demand (%)
1997/1998 2806 2813 2352 7 -
1998/1999 3109 3464 2983 355 11.42
1999/2000 3447 4342 3681 895 25.96
2000/2001 3736 5156 4196 1420 38.00
2001/2002 4051 5739 4779 1688 41.67
15.17.2 This projected maximum demand of 4051 MW will call for total generating
capability of 5739 MW including reserve margin of 1688 MW by 2001/2002. A total of 3319
MW generation capacity is planned to be added to the system raising the installed capacity to
5875 MW. This will need an investment of around Tk. 100,000 million which can only be
possible if the private sector power investors participate in power generation. Following
completion of 8 projects already undertaken by the public sector ( SL. 1-5, Table 15.5),
capacity addition in the public sector during the Plan period will be 1389 MW only. This will
leave a capacity gap of 1930 MW. This gap is expected to be filled up by private sector/ joint
venture investments. In case, the private sector does not come forward in time, alternative
ways and means will be devised in the shortest possible time to meet the anticipated demand.
Table 15.5
Projected Capacity Addition to Power Generation During Fifth Plan
Sl. Name of the Power Plant Fuel Capacity Expected date
No. MW of
commissioning
A PUBLIC SECTOR
1. 210 MW Ghorasal Thermal Power Station Extension (6th Gas 210 March, 1998
unit)
2. 210 MW Siddhirganj Thermal Power Station Gas 210 March, 2000
3. 109 MW Haripur Combined Cycle Power Plant Gas 109 March, 2000
4. 60 MW Shahjibazar Gas Turbine Gas 60 FY 2000
5. 210MW Chittagong Thermal Power Station (2nd unit) Gas 210 September
1997
6. Sylhet 90 MW Combined Cycle Power Plant ( 2nd unit) Gas 90 FY 2001
7. Barapukuria 300 MW Coal Based Thermal Power Station Coal 300 FY 2001-2002
8. East Zone 2×100 MW Gas Turbine Gas 200 FY 2001-2002
Sub total : A 1389
B. PRIVATE SECTOR/ JT. VENTURE
1. 4×100 MW Barge Mounted Power Plant Oil/Gas 400 FY 1999
2. Mymensingh 60 MW Gas Turbine Gas 60 FY 1999
3. 100 MW Baghabari Gas Turbine Oil/Gas 100 FY 2000
4. Meghnaghat 450 MW Combined Cycle Power Station Gas 450 FY 2001
5. Haripur 360 MW Combined Cycle Power Station Gas 360 FY 2000
6. 210 MW Khulna Thermal Power Station F. Oil/Gas 210 FY 2002
7. 350 MW Power plants in west zone Gas 350 FY 2000-2002
Sub total : B 1930
Grand total : (A+B) 3319
350
15.18.4 Like the transmission sub-sector, thrust has been given to the distribution sub-sector
in the Fifth Plan. Importance has been given to town distribution projects as well as the rural
electrification projects. The secondary town distribution projects aim at meeting the fast
growing demand in the urban areas, improving reliability and quality of supply and reducing
system loss. In the distribution programme 7 on-going projects and 3 new projects of BPDB,
11 on-going and 7 new projects of REB, and 5 on-going and 2 new projects of DESA have
been included in the Plan period.
15.18.5 The physical programme for the Fifth Plan aims at achieving a transmission line of
1408 km under BPDB and 66 km under DESA, and distribution line of 5,377 km under
BPDB, 50,000 km under REB and 3714 km under DESA. The details of physical projections
are shown in Table 15.7.
Table 15.7
Summary of Physical Projections for Power Sector During Fifth Plan Period
Agency Particulars Bench Mark Projection (1998-2002)
Position (Additional) Cumulative
(1996/97) Position
BPDB Capability (MW) 2,148 3,319 5,739 *
Transmission line (km)
230 kv 419 627 1,046
132 kv 2,506 781 3,287
Substation capacity (MVA) 6,505 1,940 8,445
Distribution line (kv) 33 kv and 37,059 5,377 42,436
below
Consumer connection (No.) 1,250,000 3,00,000 1,550,000
Table 15.8
Agency-wise Public Sector Financial Outlay For Power Development
(at 1996/97 prices)
( in million Taka)
Name of Agency Local Currency Project Aid Total
A: Spill over projects
BPDB 7290 17648 24938
REB 2891 6505 9396
DESA 3466 5080 8546
Sub-total 13647 29233 42880
B: New projects
BPDB 7555 17683 25238
REB 6731 8410 15141
DESA 2153 2949 5102
Sub-total 16439 29042 45481
Total (A+B) 30086 58275 88361
15.19.2 In addition to ADP financing, resources will be raised through bonds to finance
implementation of projects by PDB, DESA and REB.
15.19.3 The private sector is also expected to make substantial investment (to the tune of Tk.
29,000.00 million) both in generation and distribution of power during the Fifth Plan period.
Of this amount, about 80 per cent is expected to be in generation and 20 per cent in
transmission and distribution.
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CHAPTER XVI
16.1 Introduction
16.1.1 Indigenous energy resources consist of known reserves of natural gas, limited hydro-
electric power and traditional fuels coming from fuelwood, crop residuals and animal dung.
About 55 per cent of the country's overall energy supply is in the form of traditional fuels
with the balance being met by natural gas (24 per cent), imported oil and coal (19 per cent)
and hydro-electricity (2 per cent).
16.1.2 The present per-capita consumption of non-renewable energy resources in Bangladesh
is about 64 Kilogram of Oil Equivalent (KGOE) which is one of the lowest in the world. Per-
capita energy use in KGOE is 123 in Sri Lanka, 236 in India and 267 in Pakistan. Of the total
non-renewable energy consumption, about 60 per cent is derived at present from indigenous
resources and the rest is met from imported petroleum and coal. Moreover, the entire reserves
of exploitable indigenous primary energy resources are located in the east zone, thereby
resulting in a gap in energy supply between the east and west zones. Mining of newly found
coal in the west zone is expected to start by the turn of the century which will help reduce the
gap partially. Of the various natural resources available, natural gas in particular :
a. supplies primary commercial energy for electricity generation to accelerate the pace of
agricultural and industrial development and reduces the kitchen drudgery at the level
of individual households;
b. helps in narrowing the deficit in the balance of payments by reducing import bill for
oil, coal, etc.;
c. mobilises resources for the national exchequer; and
d. provides raw materials for the production of urea fertiliser and fuel for electricity
generation.
16.1.3 The development of the oil and gas sector is vital for further strengthening of the
national economy. Expansion of the energy sector since the 1980's is mainly attributed to
increased natural gas production. Currently, natural gas accounts for about 70 per cent of the
commercial energy consumption compared to about 35 per cent in 1980. The development of
Bangladesh's natural gas resources has also contributed to the reduction in deforestation and
to an increase in tax revenue for the government through the levies on gas sales. During
1985-1992, gas production increased at an average annual rate of about 10 per cent. It is
estimated that minimum growth rate of about 10 per cent per annum in gas production will be
required to meet the average GDP growth target of 7 per cent per annum during the Fifth
Plan period. However, the existing gas infrastructure has limited capacity and needs to be
expanded as per requirement. Additional investment is, therefore, required to enable
Bangladesh to utilise its available gas reserves and to increase exploration activities for new
gas and oil fields. For further long-term gas supply commitments, particularly for the planned
power plants, the government is encouraging private sector participation in the oil and gas
exploration activities through the Production Sharing Contract (PSC) with the International
Oil Companies.
354
Patharia well was spudded in 1989. The well was designed to be drilled down to a depth of
5,000 metres. However, due to several changes in casing points and hole deviation, it could
reach only down to 3,438 metres. Then the drilling was terminated for deterioration of casing
due to frequent reaming, slow drilling rate and risk factor in continuation of drilling.
16.2.6 Oil : Exploration activities carried out so far could not discover any significant oil
deposit. The only oil deposit so far discovered in the country is in Haripur which produced a
total of about 0.65 million barrels of crude oil till 1994. The oil production has since ceased
because of reduction of pressure and influx of water in the oil zone. Comprehensive
exploration efforts need to be mounted in this field.
16.2.7 Coal : Discovery of coal dates back to late fifties, when an exploratory oil well was
drilled through coal beds in Bogra. Subsequent explorations resulted in the discovery of the
Jamalgonj coal deposit at a depth of about 1,000 metres from the ground level and having an
estimated reserve of more than 1,000 million tons of coal. Feasibility studies have indicated
that the development of this deposit is not yet feasible under the prevailing international
market price. However, with the increase in gas price, these deposits may become
competitive. After evaluation of a detailed geological and geophysical survey, Geological
Survey of Bangladesh (GSB) identified 13 locations in the region of greater Rangpur and
Dinajpur districts as the prospective basins for coal exploration. Exploratory wells were
drilled in 5 basins out of which high quality bituminous coal deposits were found in 3 basins.
In addition, BHP, a foreign company, also discovered a coal reserve in one basin. In 1984/85,
Geological Survey of Bangladesh located another coal deposit at Khalashpir (Pirgonj) of
Rangpur district at a shallower depth (150 metres), with an estimated reserve of 450 million
tons of coal. This deposit requires to be appraised in respect of its potential.
16.2.8 Besides, minable coal deposit was also discovered in Barapukuria area of Parbatipur,
Dinajpur at a reasonably shallow depth (240 metres) with an estimated reserve of about 300
million tons. Based on this, a project for construction of an underground mine has been
undertaken at an estimated investment of Tk. 8,873.60 million to produce an annual output of
1 million tons commencing from 2000/01. Recently, another coal deposit has been discovered
by Geological Survey of Bangladesh in Dighirpara area of Dinajpur district covering an area
of about 15 sq. km. As only one well has been drilled, the actual deposit of coal could not yet
be determined.
16.2.9 The GSB has planned to conduct comprehensive exploration activities by the year
2000 in the following seven basins :
a. Badargonj-II (Rangpur)
b. Basudevpur (Rangpur)
c. Barapukuria-I (Dinajpur)
d. Barapukuria-II (Dinajpur)
e. Daudpur (Dinajpur)
f. Dongapara (Dinajpur)
g. Shamnagar (Dinajpur).
16.2.10 Peat : Deposits of peat occur at shallow depths in different low lying areas of
Bangladesh. According to the Geological Survey of Bangladesh, the reserve of dry peat is
about 170 million tons. The major deposits are in greater districts of Faridpur (150 million
tons), Khulna (8 million tons) and Sylhet (13 million tons). Peat requires drying before
making briquettes for use as fuel. A pilot project for extraction of peat and making briquettes
356
was implemented by Petrobangla, but the results were not encouraging and extraction was
assessed as economically not viable. However, in future, this resource may be viable as and
when prices of other fuels rise.
16.2.11 Hardrock and Limestone : Hardrock was discovered by GSB in Madhyapara area
of Dinajpur District in 1964 at a depth of 285 metres from surface. An agreement was signed
with North Korea in 1993 for the opening of an underground hardrock mine with a target
production of 1.6 million tons per annum. The hardrock mine is expected to come into
operation by the year 2000/01. Madhyapara hardrock will be used for river training , heavy
construction work, railway ballast, highway, etc. The granite slabs excavated from this mine
can also be used as polished tiles and pavings. Presently these are imported. Considerable
import substitution and increased revenue earning may, therefore, be expected from this rock.
Limestone has been found at Joypurhat and some other places of Sylhet district. The
production of sub-surface limestone of Joypurhat is yet to materialise.
important developments during the period were the activation of Bakhrabad gas field to
supply gas to Chittagong area and connection of this field with the Titas system by a new
transmission line near Dhaka. Transmission system was expanded by 307 km altogether
which enabled gas supply to rise from 44.5 BCF in 1979/80 to 94.6 BCF in 1984/85. The
share of gas in commercial energy rose from 37 per cent in 1979/80 to 56 per cent in 1984/85.
At the end of the Plan period, 240,000 customers were given gas connection against the target
of 258,000 customers which raised the total gas connection to 359,400 customers in the year
1984/85.
16.3.5 The country continued to be entirely dependent on imported POL. The total quantum
of POL product consumed during the Second Plan was 6.8 million tons at an average rate of
about 1.4 million tons per year. Of this, about 70 per cent was derived from imported crude
oil refined at the Eastern Refinery Ltd. (ERL) and the rest, the middle distillates like diesel
and kerosene were imported. ERL also set up an LPG recovery plant with a designed capacity
of 17,000 tons per annum. Production of LPG was 7,000 tons in the year 1984/85. At the end
of the period, the economics of ERL were upset by the fall in world oil price. As spot
purchases of POL products became cheaper, refining of crude through ERL was reduced to
below 1 million tons against its capacity of 1.5 million tons. Moreover, naphtha was exported
at a cheap price when some middle distillates were being imported at a higher cost. So a study
was undertaken for ascertaining the feasibility of secondary conversion of some of the ERL
products into more needed middle distillates. The drop in world prices, however, helped BPC
to improve its financial position as the domestic prices of POL products remained unchanged
and BPC was able to make up its past losses.
16.3.6 During this period, about 1,025 sq. km of geological mapping, 2,560 sq. km of
geological surveys, 1,520 km of drilling and 3,000 geochemical analyses were completed. A
new shallow depth coal deposit at Dinajpur was discovered as a result of geological survey
during this period.
16.3.7 An amount of Tk.6,150 million (at 1979/80 prices) was allocated to the sector in the
Plan while the actual expenditure amounted to Tk. 9,550 million. The excess expenditure
was met from Petrobangla's own resources.
Third Five Year Plan (1985-90)
16.3.8 The Third Plan envisaged to maximise the use of natural gas to reduce pressure from
fuel import bill, explore the major gas fields to assess the proven reserves, conduct
exploration for oil and gas, construct transmission and distribution lines to provide additional
gas to various customers, improve product-mix of Eastern Refinery and conduct survey for
mineral discoveries. In order to achieve these objectives, the Plan set a target to drill 18
development/appraisal wells and 5 exploration wells for hydrocarbon and construct 3,760 km
of transmission and distribution lines. It was planned that the oil consumption would be
contained within 1.6 million tons in 1989/90. GSB envisaged to continue extensive
geological mapping and survey works including drilling of 6 more boreholes to delineate the
Barapukuria coal deposit during the Plan period .
16.3.9 During the Third Plan, 16 out of 18 planned development/appraisal wells were drilled,
2,700 km transmission and distribution lines out of planned 3,760 kms were constructed and
only 2 out of 5 exploration wells were completed. During the Plan period, additional gas
connections were given to 165,600 customers as against the target of 160,000. Gas supply
was raised from 94.6 BCF in 1984/85 to 165 BCF in 1989/90. Oil consumption and hence the
358
import bill could not be contained on account of underestimation in demand projections and
lagging behind of the expected substitution of diesel and kerosene through rural
electrification and other programmes. The addition of a secondary conversion plant to Eastern
Refinery could not even be initiated. Physical activities of GSB were almost completed
which included drilling of 6 boreholes for coal exploration. Training courses to 500
professionals and technicians of BOGMC, GSB etc. were provided by Bangladesh Petroleum
Institute under the Plan . The discovery of oil in sylhet gas field in December, 1986 and the
discovery of a large coal field at Khalashpir, Rangpur at a depth of 250 meters in April, 1989
were two remarkable achievements during the Plan period.
16.3.10 Out of the total allocation of Tk. 13,150 million, the amount utilised was about Tk.
12,000 million during the Plan period in the public sector. Besides the public sector, Tk.
1,250 million was spent for hydrocarbon exploration by two IOCs.
that the total figured at 7,950 km. Concomitant with the growth of the network, customer
connections also grew rapidly. The Plan envisaged an addition of 195,000 new connections to
bring the total to 600,000. Actual number of connection to customers reached 631,710 by the
end of the Plan period.
16.3.17 Development Projects : During the Plan period, a total of 16 projects were
completed, of which 10 were investment projects and 6 were technical assistance projects.
These projects together created employment opportunity for about 800 persons during
implementation and about 650 persons during operation. The oil and gas sub-sector
contributed Tk. 36,000 million to the government in the form of CD/VAT, corporate tax,
dividend, etc. during the Plan period.
16.3.18 Plan Allocation : Against a Plan allocation of Tk.23,980 million the actual
utilisation was Tk. 15,320 million which was about 64 per cent of the Plan allocation and 80
per cent of RADP allocation.
on various aspects of exploration, production and development of oil and gas fields, safety
and management. BPI also sent abroad 7 of its professionals on short courses and on the job
training (4 to 8 weeks) and 3 of its professionals on long term courses including post
graduation. It also procured books, a number of training aides and class room tools to
facilitate its training activities. BPI was allocated Tk. 154.60 million out of which Tk. 113.90
million (73.69 per cent) was utilised.
16.3.24 Sectoral Allocation and Utilisation During Fourth Plan : A total of Tk. 30,250.00
million at current prices was allocated to the oil, gas and mineral resources sector, out of
which Tk. 22,800 million was released through RADP. The actual utilisation was Tk.
18,936.30 million during the Plan period which was 62.6 per cent of the Plan allocation and
83 per cent of RADP allocation.
16.4 Performance During 1995/96 and 1996/97
16.4.1 The OGNR sector is highly important in determining the growth prospect of the
economy. Over the two year period, the major objectives in this sector were to ensure a
reliable and uninterrupted supply of commercial energy, mostly natural gas. During this
period, emphasis was given on the development of the private sector in the oil and gas
exploration activities mainly through Production Sharing Contract (PSC). Activities
undertaken during this period related to the seismic survey, exploration, expansion of gas
transmission and distribution network, development of coal and hardrock mine, etc. During
this period, 564 Lkm of seismic survey was conducted and 2 exploration wells were drilled by
BAPEX. Both exploration wells (Shahbazpur and Saldanadi) led to discovery of gas. During
1995/96, 15 km transmission pipelines and 575 km distribution and other pipelines were
constructed. During 1996/97 fiscal year, 326 km distribution and other pipelines were laid
until December,1996. The Ashugonj-Bakhrabad pipeline (30" dia 59 km) connecting Surma
basin production area and Bakhrabad franchise area was completed. Gas production during
1995/96 reached 265 BCF increasing from 247 BCF in 1994/95. Production of the same was
261 BCF in 1996/97. Remarkable achievement of these two years were the discovery of three
new gas fields among which two were on-shore and one off-shore. The off-shore field was
discovered by one international oil company under PSC and two on-shore fields were
discovered by BAPEX.
16.4.2 An allocation of Tk. 4,534.90 million was provided through ADP for 43 projects of the
sector in 1995/96. Actual expenditure during the year was Tk.4,080 million. In 1996/97
Tk.4,858.20 million was allocated to 37 development projects of the sector.
16.5 An Overview (1973-1996)
Oil and Gas Exploration
16.5.1 During the period 1973-96, drilling of 24 exploratory wells including 7 off-shore wells
was completed. Individual depth of wells varied from 1,560 metre to 4,977 metre. The
number of wells drilled by national organisations were 14, while ten wells were drilled by the
foreign companies. National organisations discovered 7 gas fields, and one oil field. Foreign
companies discovered 2 gas fields including one in the off-shore area. It may be stated that oil
and gas exploration activities had been very limited. Only one well per year, on an average,
was drilled in the last 23 years.
16.5.2 As far as gas fields are concerned, the exploration/discovery ratio in Bangladesh till
now is 3:1 i. e. 17 gas fields were discovered out of 54 exploration wells since 1910, which is
361
one of the highest in the world. Reserves were estimated at 22.90 TCF of which 13.60 TCF
are recoverable. Out of 17 discovered gas fields, 8 were brought into production. It is
important to note that almost all the exploration activities were undertaken in the shelf area in
the north eastern part of Bangladesh .
16.5.3 To expedite petroleum exploration, a new Model Production Sharing Contract (PSC)
was formulated in 1988. In 1989, the area of the country was divided into 23 blocks of which
17 blocks including 6 off-shore blocks were offered to the international oil companies (IOCs)
for competitive bidding. In 1993, the government announced a new petroleum policy to seek
participation of IOCs in hydrocarbon exploration and production through PSC.
exploration and drilling company, two production companies, three distribution companies
and one liquid natural gas company. In 1993, the government approved the establishment of
the Gas Transmission Company Ltd. (GTCL) to operate the national gas grid.
16.6.2 Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation : BPC was set up in 1976 with the objective of
importing, refining and marketing of petroleum oil and lubricant products. It operates through
seven subsidiary companies.
16.6.3 Geological Survey of Bangladesh : GSB, the national geoscientific organisation,
established in 1962, is responsible for geological, geophysical, geochemical mapping and
drilling activities related to finding out solid mineral resources in the country. It evaluates the
known mineral resources, conducts studies, renders advisory services and supplies relevant
information regarding hydrogeology, engineering geology, urban and environmental geology,
etc.
16.6.4 Bangladesh Petroleum Institute : BPI was established in 1992 as a research and
training institute with the objective of imparting training to professionals and technicians in
the oil and gas sector and carrying out research works.
16.6.5 Hydrocarbon Unit : A hydrocarbon unit was established in 1994 in the Ministry of
Energy and Mineral Resources to perform the activities relating to state control over
government owned corporations and companies, monitoring exploration/production licences,
approval of PSCs, monitoring crude oil refining, petroleum products distribution policy,
fixing of price of petroleum products, preparation of budgets, all administrative matters and
control of financial matters.
16.7 Major Constraints
16.7.1 The gas sector in Bangladesh is wholly dominated by Petrobangla. The sector has a
large potential for increased contribution to the country's economic growth. However, a
number of constraints restrict the appropriate development of the sector. The country is
dependent on foreign aid. Lack of necessary capital is limiting the development of the sector.
Exploration, gas field development, transmission and distribution activities are highly
technical and capital intensive activities. The problem of the sector is accentuated by the
dependence on expatriate consultants. In spite of providing a large number of short and long-
term training, both local and foreign, to a number of technical, professional and
administrative personnel in different fields of gas sector activities in the last one decade,
substitution of foreign consultants by the local consultants has not been effective in sectoral
planning, designing and implementation of programmes/projects. Also, there has been
inadequate transfer of technology through technical assistance projects. The deficiency in the
development of manpower has also been caused by inappropriate selection of trainee
clientele. These have to be overcome through appropriate sectoral manpower planning.
Considerable delays in project implementation occur due to the following :
a. too many stages of approval at different levels for appointment of consultants/
contractors and procuring machinery/equipment/materials both within the government
and the development partners;
b. imposition of too many conditionalities by the donors at different stages of credit
negotiation, signing of agreement and effectiveness of credit; and
c. change in the scope of works and linking the implementation of priority projects with
the conditionalities of low priority projects.
363
j. extraction of hardrock and other solid minerals including thorium, uranium and beach
sand minerals will be geared up;
k. special incentive package for oil and gas exploration in the west zone will be given;
l. efforts will be made to encourage establishment of privately owned and managed
distribution companies for marketing of natural gas available from transmission
pipelines to unserved urban centres;
m. measures will be taken to establish a regulatory authority which will be manned by
competent persons for licensing energy utilities, setting prices and consideration of
related issues;
n. environmental impact assessment will be made mandatory for energy development
projects;
o. dependence on external assistance will be reduced gradually by internal financing to
the extent possible;
p. a comprehensive programme of training linked with career development of
professionals will be implemented;
q. research and development activities will be increased for productivity and cost-
effective advances in the energy sector;
r. geological and geophysical activities will be geared up;
s. measures will be taken to provide tax incentives to those entrepreneurs who will come
forward to set up natural gas based industries; and
t. international oil companies with whom PSCs have been signed for exploration of oil
and gas will be encouraged to invest downstream in power generation activities,
fertiliser factories, petro-chemical complex, etc.
16.9 National Programmes
16.9.1 The demand for primary commercial energy is expected to increase from 10 million
ton oil equivalent (MTOE) in 1997 to 15 MTOE by 2002 showing an average growth rate of
8.57 per cent. At this growth rate, per capita primary commercial energy consumption will
rise from 81 KGOE in 1996/97 to 109 KGOE in 2001/02. This increased demand will mostly
be met by indigenous natural gas raising its share to 70 per cent of the total primary
commercial energy consumption. The peak demand of natural gas is expected to increase
from 1,100 MMCFD in 1996/97 to about 1,700 MMCFD in 2001/02 and average demand
from 900 MMCFD in 1996/97 to about 1,360 MMCFD in 2001/02 giving an annual average
growth rate of about 10 per cent. Endeavours will be made to put coal to use so that partial
energy demand can be met from this alternate indigenous resource. To augment gas supply,
both intensive and extensive exploration for hydrocarbon will be carried out aiming at adding
new reserves during the period 1997-2002 in both public and private sectors and under PSCs.
16.9.2 To contain the import of oil more or less at the present level, all efforts will be made to
substitute this with indigenous natural gas and coal to the extent possible and extract LPG
from natural gas to reduce the import of kerosene. The import of diesel and kerosene will be
further reduced by expanding rural electrification programme for irrigation and lighting. In
spite of all these efforts, the import of POL is estimated to grow at an average rate of 9 per
cent annually. It is expected that the consumption of POL in 2001/02 will be about 3.49
million tons compared with the consumption of 2.38 million tons in 1996/97.
determine the extent and potential of existing gas fields. It is expected that a total of 3,000
lkm of seismic survey and about 1,200 lkm of geological survey will be undertaken during
this period. At the same time, programme of drilling 7 exploration wells will be implemented
during the Plan period in the public sector. For exploration of hydrocarbon, in the private
sector, particularly the multinational companies will be encouraged to invest under PSCs.
16.10.2 Production/appraisal wells : Drilling of production wells in Rashidpur/Habiganj
gas fields and drilling of appraisal-cum development and workover wells in Titas fields have
been planned for 1997-2002. The major work in this respect will include the drilling of
appraisal and production wells in Saldanadi and Shahbajpur (2+2=4), Rashidpur (4 wells),
Habiganj (4 wells), Titas (3 wells), and workover of about 10 wells together with the drilling
and establishment of 480 MMCFD process plant.
16.10.3 Transmission and distribution line : A number of on-going lines will be completed
and new ones taken up during 1997-2002. The major ones will include Monohardi-
Narshingdi-Shiddhirgonj pipeline (59 km), Rashidpur-Ashugonj loop line (82 km),
Beanibazar-Kailashtilla pipeline (23 km) and pipeline over Bangabandhu Bridge and on the
west bank (80 km). In total, more than 350 km of transmission line is expected to be
completed. Besides, about 2,000 lkm distribution line will be constructed in three franchise
areas to supply gas to users.
16.10.4 Coal : At the present rate of growth in energy demand, partial energy demand
mostly for thermal power plants beyond 2000 will be met by coal. Development of the
Barapukuria coal mine is under implementation projecting a production of 1 million tons of
coal per year from 2000 for 65 years. In addition, Khalashpir (Rangpur) coal deposit is being
studied for possible extraction. Studies will also be undertaken to extract coal bed methane
from the Jamalgonj coal deposit.
16.10.5 Hardrock : The present annual demand of hardrock is 1.5 million tons. The
hardrock project is projected to yield of 1.65 million tons per annum.
16.10.6 Development of LPG / NGL : Necessary arrangements will be made for production
of LPG/NGL from the wet gas fields of Sylhet region. It is expected that about 125,000 tons
of additional LPG/NGL/ condensate will be produced annually by the end of the Plan period.
16.10.7 Major programmes of petrobangla : The following will be the major programmes
of Petrobangla in the Fifth Plan period :
In addition to these, contingent on negotiations with the relevant oil exploration companies,
additional exploration may be undertaken.
16.10.8 Bangladesh petroleum corporation : BPC's main activities will be concentrated on
the completion of BMRE of the existing refinery, construction of lighterage and dolphin
jetties, second crude oil distribution unit at ERL, Mongla Oil Installation and LPG import,
storage, receiving, bottling and distribution facilities. In addition, a second refinery will be set
up during the Plan period to meet the rising demand for POL products.
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16.10.10 Gas Demand Forecast and Other Proposals : Gas demand forecast and other
proposals for 1997-2002 period are given in Tables 16.1, 16.2 and 16.3 . Gas demand forecast
for power generation and fertiliser production has been made on the basis of already
committed projects and future demand estimated from power sector master plan (PSMP).
Demand forecast for other sectors has been estimated considering historical trend of
consumption (around 10 per cent per annum) by the sectors over the last ten years.
Table 16.1
Gas Demand Forecast During 1997-2002
Items 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002
(Benchmark)
Peak demand (MMCFD) 1100 1240 1380 1470 1550 1700
Average demand (MMCFD) 900 1000 1120 1200 1250 1360
Annual production capacity (BCF) 292 350 495 506 500 500
Annual gas supply (BCF) 285 350 410 438 455 495
Source : Petrobangla.
16.10.11 As stipulated in the energy policy, gas supply will be required to be limited to a
maximum of 1,000 MMCFD or 365 BCF/Year provided significant increase in the natural
gas reserve does not take place. If remarkable addition to reserve occurs, the situation may
significantly improve in the coming years and the production capacity shown above may well
be attainable. It is expected that from 1998/99 there will be no supply constraint and gas
supply will be based on available demand.
Table 16.2
Customer-wise Average Gas Demand During 1997-2002
(in MMCFD)
Sector 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/01 2001/02
Power * 540 638 680 712 766
Fertiliser 280 285 305 305 305
Domestic 70 79 84 92 102
Commercial 17 17 18 21 24
Industrial + B.F+ T.E* 95 101 113 120 163
Total 1002 1120 1200 1250 1360
(365 BCF) (410 BCF) (438 BCF) (455 BCF) (495 BCF)
Source : PSMP/GSMP * Brick Fields + Tea Estates
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Table 16.3
Field-wise Appraisal/Production Wells During 1997-2002
Table 16.4
Public Sector Outlay for Development of Oil Gas and Natural Resources in Fifth Plan
(in million Taka)
Agency Allocation
Petrobangla 19,990.60
BPC 5,978.70
GSB 70.30
Total 26,039.60
368
Table 16.5
Projected Physical Attainments in Oil Gas and Natural Resources in Fifth Plan
Sl. Description Base Year Proposed Addition Remark
No. 1996/97 2001/02
1. Peak Demand for Gas (mmcfd) 1,100 1,700 --
2. Annual Supply of Natural Gas 285 365/400 115 Subject to gas reserve
(bcf)
3. Customer (Nos) 650,000 790,000 140,000 --
4. Exploration wells for Hydrocarbon 55 77-82 22-27 Subject to new PSC
operations
5. Production wells (Operation) 36 64 28 Both Public & PSC
6. Transmission lines (km) 1,600 1,975 375 --
7. Distribution lines (km) 8,000 10,000 2,000 --
8. Geological & seismic survey (lkm) 7,000 7,000 3000 public sector,
4000 in PSC
9. Production of Cond/NGL (tons/yr) 50,000 175,000 125,000 Jalalabad, Beanibazar
& Kailashtila fields to
be commissioned
10. Production of Coal (100,000 tons) nil 10 10 --
11. Production of LPG (tons/yr) nil 15,000 15,000 NGL plant needed to
be commissioned