1 s2.0 S095965262033420X Main
1 s2.0 S095965262033420X Main
1 s2.0 S095965262033420X Main
Review
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: Large-scale EVs acceptance would certainly lead to relieving major issues, including carbon pollution,
Received 20 January 2020 petroleum dependence, and economic prosperity. However, Pakistan confronting a range of cross-
Received in revised form sectoral and multifarious impediments has recently decided to switch from ICEs to EVs with a variety
24 June 2020
of policy options for auto manufacturers, customers, and worldwide stakeholders. This paper gives a
Accepted 18 July 2020
Available online 6 August 2020
detailed overview of ongoing EVs maturation and addresses some of the main adaptation challenges and
opportunities in Pakistan. The review shows that state financial subsidies, market prices, technical
Handling editor: Prof. Jiri Jaromir Klemes malignancy, and social drawbacks are some of the most significant obstacles for EVs to join the current
market. Hence, recommendations are stipulated in compliance with the corresponding obstacles to
Keywords: encourage the competence and expansion of the EVs industry which will contribute to more secure
Electric vehicles futures. On the other hand, Pakistan’s transition to EVs offers some exciting milestones, there is a need to
GHG emission adopt a proactive and effective strategy to track the positive aspects of fast progress and optimize its
Key challenges benefits.
Market potential
© 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Pakistan case
Contents
1. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
2. EVs system modeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
2.1. Battery modeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
2.2. EM modeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
2.3. ICE modeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
2.4. PEC modeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
3. Challenges for EVs in Pakistan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
3.1. Policymaking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
3.1.1. Capital and tax subsidies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
3.1.2. Charging infrastructure policy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
3.1.3. EVs prices policy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
3.2. Research and development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
3.3. Wide-scale installation of charging infrastructure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
3.4. Grid load balancing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
3.5. Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
4. Opportunities for EVs in Pakistan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
* Corresponding author.
E-mail address: engrrafi[email protected] (R. Asghar).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.123375
0959-6526/© 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
2 R. Asghar et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 278 (2021) 123375
1. Introduction BEVs are entirely relying on the power from their battery packs
whereas the range of such vehicles is depended on its battery ca-
Country growth is ascertained owning to the purchase and pacity (Thomas, 2009). These vehicles can cover areas up to 500 km
consumption of fossil fuels for the automotive and power sectors. on a single charge and the only problem associated with charging
However, the depletion of fossil fuel resources and the emission of time which normally takes 36h for complete recharge (Yilmaz and
CO2 are coercing the countries to rummage for an alternate solu- Krein, 2013). The FEVs are often termed as HFCVs and such vehicles
tion. Researchers are constantly revolutionizing new techniques to generate the essential power from the chemical reaction of fuel
endures the future challenges and reduce the dependency of fossil cells. These vehicles have zero-emissions and employ onboard
fuels (Habib et al., 2015). In this regard, EVs are established in the hydrogen or oxygen from the air to drive the electric motors
transportation sector as an environmentally friendly and lower (Helmolt and Eberle, 2007; Mori and Hirose, 2009). The HEVs rely
toxic gas emission alternative (Asghar et al., 2020). EVs are using an on both ICE and electric motors for giving propulsion to the wheels
electric motor driven by a rechargeable battery instead of the and offer superior mileage. The central controller of the HEVs
combustion engine as in conventional vehicles (Rezaee et al., 2013). regulates the maneuver of drive-drain through a more advanced
This holds a certain advantage over conventional technologies due control algorithm (Sabri et al., 2016; Salmasi, 20070). Another EVs
to its quietness, trouble-free operation, and influence in moder- available on the road is the PHEVs that have an inimitable on-board
ating the hazardous gas emissions (Ma et al., 2012). The EVs are computer system compared to the HEVs. The PHEVs entailed large
operating with few configurations based on energy sources. EVs battery packs and facilitates the main driving force whereas; the
can be merely operated with pure battery packs, some acquired ICE just extant the range (Marchesoni and Vacca, 2007; Peng et al.,
energy from an ICE, whereas; some employed both ICE and battery 2017).
packs (Noor et al., 2017). The four categories of EVs that are widely According to an economic survey, the Pakistan transport sector
commercialized as follows: a) BEVs b) FCEVs c) HEVs d) PHEVs. The has consumed 47% of import liquid fuels whereas only 23% is used
Table 1
Proposed Li-ion battery models.
in EVs. The first rechargeable battery developed in 1859 was the et al., 2014; Awadallah and Venkatesh, 2016). Different Li-ion
Lead-Acid (Pb-Acid) that provided the initial power to the starter models shown in Table 1 are proposed to discerned the SoC at
(Ogura and Kolhe, 2017). Conversely, due to the obligation of high any given moment. The term SoC signifies the current level of
power and energy densities, the use of Pb-Acid was restricted. In charge concerning the battery capacity. Table 2 also compares
the early 2000s, Nickel-Metal Hydride (Ni-MH) remained the various parameters for the six most used battery technologies.
commonly used battery in both HEVs and BEVs and even now some
models of HEVs are employing the modified version of this battery 2.2. EM modeling
(Iclodean et al., 2017), however, advancement in the Li-ion has
reduced the market shares of Ni-MH. During the last decades, Li-ion The EM converts electrical energy into mechanical energy for
battery has also faced safety concerns, though, with the growing generating necessary driving torque, thus its selection is critical in
consumption in the EVs, the risk of menaces is curtailing with each devising the overall system. In the course of regenerative action, it
passing day. Also, the battery technology has progressed very directed back the electrical energy to the source (Battery). Various
gradually and lithium ions continue to remain dominant for few factors, for instance, preliminary cost, design, power density, sta-
years, though with cell chemistry improvement and ongoing bility, effectiveness, and control in a harsh environment are equally
cathode/anode material manufacturing techniques, battery costs counted in preferring the credibility of EMs (Hashernnia and Asaei,
are expected to decline very soon. Alternate lithium-ion has un- 2008). Satisfying all these features in a single EM is relatively
dergone certain promising development that might soon replace challenging, nonetheless, with the progression in power electronics
lithium-ion with aluminum graphite, graphene polymer, micro- and technologies, manufacturers are persistently acclimating their
capacitor, and sodium-based solutions. On the other hand, re- motor specifications. The EM supposed to have high output torque
searchers with the collaboration of industries are also aiming to at low speed and superior over-loading capacity. Correspondingly,
advance the Li-ion battery with 450 Wh/kg in late 2016 (Bilash, the control system of EM demanded to have an unwavering
2016). For effective EV operation, an accurate SOC estimation is response and high-power density which in recent years has
useful for prolonging battery life and preventing battery loss (Xing improved from 0.025 kW/kg to 0.16 kW/kg. Currently, four types of
Table 2
Parameters of various EVs battery.
! ! !
js ¼ Ls iss þ Lm isr
s
(3)
! ! !
jr ¼ Lm iss þ Lr isr
s
(4)
The symbol s shows that the equations are specified in the
stationary reference frame. In the above equations, uk is the angular
velocity, subscript m represents the mutual inductance, and jss ; jsr
are the flux linkage (Wb-t). The EVs propulsion is indisputably
concomitant to the EM specifications, thus, the carmakers tempting
for the motor substitutions required only the desire motor and its
control circuits (Salem, 2013). On the other hand, the top EM
manufacturers including Siemens, Toshiba, ABB, Nidec Motor,
AMETEK, Franklin Electrics, General Electric, etc. with the associa-
tion of researchers have improved their motor specifications with
days passed. Table 4 depicts the modeling and application of the
four most employed EM for EV propulsion.
! !
he Cp ¼ he Y_f Cv (7)
! ! d jsr
Urs ¼ Rr , irr þ j uk Pb um jsr (2)
dt Where Y_f is volumetric flow rate (m3/s) and Cv is the calorific fuel
value (J/kg). The available torque (N.m) can be found as,
6 R. Asghar et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 278 (2021) 123375
Table 4
Electric motor models and applications.
Table 5
Modeling and comparison of different PEC.
(Chakraborty et al., DC/DC The DC/DC The DC/DC converter can be exploited in the Delta, ROHM Semiconductor, AEG Power Solutions, Pico Electronics
2019; Sakka et al., converter must integrated circuit of the below listed Inc., Artesyn, RECOM, MTM Power, Traco Power, Texas Instruments
2011) have: products:
High Reliability Cellular Phones
High Operating Laptop Computers
Temperature LED power sources
High Power Power Optimizer in the wind and solar
Efficiency plant
Low Conduction Regenerative braking of EVs
Losses EVs battery charging
Cost Effective Embedded Camera
Personal navigation device
(Feng and Yutao, DC/AC The DC/AC The DC/AC converter can be exploited in the €
Samlex, Duracell, AIMS Power, KRIEGER, Xeltronix, BESTEK,
2018; Tani et al., converter must integrated circuit of the below listed Energizer, STANLEY FATMAX, Denso, Hitachi, Toshiba, SMA America
2013) have: products:
Improved Power EV Battery Changing
Factor Computers
Simple Design Driving AC/DC motor
High Conversion The optimizer in the wind and solar plant
Efficiency DC transmission system
Rugged Control Used in UPS
Scheme Motor speed control
Low Switching Refrigerator compressor
Losses HVDC power transmission
Induction heating
(Lee and Bak, 2018; AC/AC The AC/AC The AC/AC converter can be exploited in the Schaefer, Delta, ACSOON, Sanyu, DELEXI, Sophpower, Digicom,
Hosseini et al., converter must integrated circuit of the below listed Acromag, Wago Corporation, Unitron, XP Power
2009) have: products:
Highly Compact Diesel electric propulsion
Light Weight Soft Starting of IM
Low Cost VAR Generators for PF Correction
High AC Motor Drives
Performance EVs Charging
Improved Power Static AC Switches
Factor EVs Light Control
Least Torque Industrial Heating
Ripple
(Koushki et al., 2016; AC/DC The AC/DC The AC/DC converter can be exploited in the Emerson, Eltek, MEGA Electronics, Triad Electronics, Samlex
Parvez et al., 2014) converter must integrated circuit of the below listed America, Cosel, XP Power, Quail Electronics
have: products:
High reliability Cell Phone Charger
Low Television
Electromagnetic Power Supply
Interference Used in UPS
High Operating EV battery Charging
Temperature Motor Drives
Low Leakage DC transmission system
Current
8 R. Asghar et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 278 (2021) 123375
3.1. Policymaking technology back to the country. The announcement by the regu-
latory bodies specifies that over a five-year cycle roughly 100k EVs
Clean and green power is needed around the world as FFV ex- will be purchased from different parts of the world (Electric
hausts pose environmental and health risks. EVs are indeed the Vehicles, 2019). The intention is to turn nearly 30% of vehicles
clean energy drives being launched all across the globe, however, into EVs by 2030 by adding only 1% of the general sales tax on the
Pakistan has still not rendered the same commitment to the imports of various parts which, apart from cutting the CO2 emis-
development of EVs in such precarious situations. Pakistan may sion, contribute to saving as a minimum Rs. 2 billion of fossil fuels
adopt enacting policies to encourage EV producers and consumers that otherwise burden on the state budget.
to enforce and embrace this emerging technology. The recom-
mended policies are as follows; 3.1.2. Charging infrastructure policy
For the expanded use of EVs in Pakistan, involving EV’s stations
3.1.1. Capital and tax subsidies in every realistic range on the highways, motorways and local
The capital outlays of the EVs are virtually double that of FFVs, roads, is an important consideration for capital expenditure in
but the running outlay is about one-third, which is a significant charging stations. The basic frameworks and social standards for
advantage over the FFVs (Tseng et al., 2013). There is currently no the physical system have been addressed in (Schroede and Traber,
clear difference between the CBU, SKD, and CKD for vehicle parts 2012), hence the need for reliable energy without any load shed-
importation. Consequently, the duties and taxes on the EVs can be ding to prevent hassles for the users. To boost governance, it is
reduced to a total of 5 percent to mitigate the cost of capital to an crucial to implement intelligent metering at each EV charging
optimal price. Hence, the government will, therefore, take action by station to better control and monitor the power level with an
providing relief on CBU imports, whereas subsequently the pro- efficient billing system. Also, to maximize the full use of charging
ducers of EVs should be completely supported in the localization stations, more options with several chargers are required at each
and importation of CKD components. Moreover, registration of EVs station, such as slow and fast charging ports with different charging
and token tax shall be reduced by the federal and local govern- rates. Users can benefit from the privileges of slow charging ports at
ments to indorse EVs as a substitute for FFVs. The GOP also needs to lower rates without rush; fast charging ports using more energy to
build and delegate industrial areas for producers of energy goods in recharge the battery and need less time completely will be helped
which permits are given on land for 5e10 years. In 2019, GOP hustled clients. An obstacle to the proliferation of charging stations
approved a tax exemption of 50% for HEVs with engine capacity of on the market involves a large investment (Schroede and Traber,
up to 1800 cc and 25% for 1800e2500 cc high-capacity cars 2012), but more stations will expand to encourage collaborations
(Vehicles, 2019). In the case of EVs, exemptions can only be between public and private corporations in this field. Also, several
established by the government’s governing bodies and assistance options still exist to determine how the total cost of investment in
can be given to the highest level to draw producers and consumers charging stations can be minimized (Barzani et al., 2014). Public-
to this efficient technology. State provides subsidies and insurance private companies in homes, offices, and malls will create the
on the purchase of EVs in most foreign countries because they have charging stations of EV to offer customers better service. Once
set a climate-change target by dwindling CO2 emissions (Kevany, sufficient EVs are available, the charging network companies can
2018). The government support can promote the sales of EVs and make little profit, although initial costs can effectively be subsi-
address the market failure that would otherwise maintain EVs level dized by government agencies. The below mentioned major legis-
remain below optimum. Financial incentives impact the transition lative and regulatory aspects need to be discussed by the state
level of EVs, and that EV exposure has a corresponding effect on (Wiederer and Philip, 2010).
consumer interests. Most of the countries have already given sub- Implementation of standards by government regulators: There are
sidies on the implementation of EVs to stimulate the consumer for no accepted specifications in the world for EV charging devices
purchase and use as highlighted in Table 6. The GOP proposed its (Teichmann et al., 2012), consequently, a standardized framework
first-ever communications strategy for taking carbon-free green is crucial for the development of a particular design and
Table 6
EVs incentive plan of various countries.
Austria Klima: aktiv program US$4500 for EVs 2007 Purchase incentive Revised every two years
Belgium Green Vehicle Incentive US$12,200 for BEVs 2011 Income tax credit Applicable for 12 months
Canada Electric Vehicle Incentive Program US$4600 for PHEVs and US$7900 for 2010 Purchase incentive Applicable for 36 months
BEVs
China New Energy Vehicles US$7634 for PHEVs and US$9281 for 2010 Purchase incentive Target of 0.5 million by 2015
BEVs
France Bonus-Malus From US$444- US$7400 for all EVs 2007 Purchase incentive Increases every year
Germany Green Car Incentive From US$3390-US$5650 for all EVs 2016 Purchase incentive US$560 reduction every year
Ireland SEAI Grant Scheme US$6500 for both BEVs and PHEVs 2011 Purchase rebate Number of vehicles increased each
year
Italy Ecobonus Scheme US$2800 for PHEVs and US$6700 for 2019 Purchase incentive Applicable for 36 months
BEVs
Japan Green Vehicle Purchasing Promotion US$2800 for PHEVs and US$3200 for 2009 Tonnage and Acquisition of tax Applicable for 36 months
Measure BEVs credit
Sweden Super Green Car Rebate US$ 30,00 for PHEVs and USD$6000 2012 Purchase rebate Applicable for 48 months
for BEVs
Spain Efficient Vehicle Incentives Program From US$2500-US$8800 for all EVs 2012 Purchase incentive Revised after every two years
United Plugged-in Car scheme US$7600 for PEVs 2011 Purchase incentive Applicable for 36 months
Kingdom
USA Energy Improvement and Extension US$5000 for PHEVs and US$75,00 for 2009 Federal (IRS) tax credit Phase out selling 0.2 million car/
BEVs manufacturer
R. Asghar et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 278 (2021) 123375 9
configuration for EVs, besides charging network purveyors. Several on the initial purchase of the EVs (Wikipedia, 2019). In 2008, the
specifications such as SAE: J177229 and IEC: 6219630 are currently Chinese Foreign Ministry and taxation declared that when buying a
already calling for implementing charging policies for EV charging new EV, it would be possible to exempt clients from the standard
facilities in several different countries. This is known that this lack tax (Tang, 2017). In 2009, China has also introduced an 18 months
of accountability does not exist because of technical insecurities, plan to provide discounts for purchasers who bought new EVs,
but because the internationally recognized bodies do not have a which were subsequently expanded in 2010 from 735 to 2647
proper regulatory structure. GOPs that plan to evolve quickly, dollars in the scope of the class and engine capacity. Likewise, the
therefore, need to build standards and policies for themselves. US government launched an incentive to buy first PEVs of 2.5k to
Policies for selling electricity and financing EVs infrastructures: 7.5k that same year until the manufacturers sell 200k EVs (Electric
Local municipalities have a pivotal contribution to make in various Vehicles, 2018).
aspects of EV charging infrastructure, from regulation to public All suppliers and consumers accept these opportunities and
spending in charging infrastructure to offering subsidies. Though, rebates, so both China and the USA have achieved their sales ex-
the policy turmoil will have theoretically negatively affect the pectations in just a couple of years. The GOP did not take steps to
development of charging infrastructure in these areas. Government subsidize the purchase of new EVs and therefore consumers don’t
intervention of energy purchases is indeed a major policy confusion see any resources to buy EVs at such high prices. GOP has recently
if the charging service suppliers (including power utility com- declared that the importation of EVs will be paid 1 percent of the
panies) turn out to be controlled bodies. Therefore, to identify general sales tax, but such initiatives can only support the manu-
electricity selling prices and the incentives which consumers can factures and the top ranks peoples (Policy, 2019). Such policies have
get from power restored to the grid, GOP must create policies to little effect on enlightening EV adaptation in Pakistan, and the
address the above-mentioned vulnerability. This policy can be government’s goal to substitute FFVs with EVs by 2025 may not be
analogous to Section 25232 of the US assembly, whereby the CPUC accomplished by the end of the year.
asked to develop regulations for the assessment of the EVs charging For both consumers and manufacturers, the GOP must establish
infrastructures (Bill, 2019). These are the absolute greatest mea- a new strategy where monetary profits can be divided into different
sures that can be taken to draft legislation. areas. According to the MOCC that certain elements have sought to
Authorization of EV charging stations: The GOP will need to undermine the new EV policy introduced by the Federal govern-
stipulate opportunities for cheap electricity or discounts (same in ment in November 2019 (Today, 2020). These local car manufac-
China and the US) so that the financial prudence of paying network turers being active in the oversight of policy alongside its few
companies will strengthen. Eventually, different lenders can business consolidators. This is because the majority of the fuel-
finance the charging stations, including provincial and state bodies, oriented cars manufactured in Pakistan do not suit the markings.
corporate industries, or even a mixture of them all. A poll of pro- After all, they have Euro-II engines built into the vehicle. A vehicle
spective EVs customers showed that due to the shortage of costing US$ 3500 in India is forced to sell over US$ 6500 in Pakistan,
charging infrastructure, the clients refused to purchase EVs, which also eschewed the latest technology and healthy driving
whereas, absence of fast-chargers are also affected the sales (Paul, facilities. GOP will also, therefore, recognize the impact of the local
2016). Therefore, charging facilities are necessary for EVs to get car manufacturer on EV policies and reinforce them to avoid any
and a charging station is a priority at home, and the second pre- delay in the EV transition. In the first instance, the purchasers can
cedence is the accessibility at public spaces. With response to these earn mainly tax rebates and EV discounts and also include a free tax
situations, the GOP needs to approve an EVs procurement plan and on highways and reduced energy rates. Furthermore, policymakers
an authority for the recovery from EVs customers need to be must also introduce monetary incentives for producers, including
postulated. Various OEMs, particularly in China and the US, are also lowering sales tax based on the CO2 emissions as well as incentives
looking for authorities that stipulate incentives in this sector. For for EVs manufacturing and parts. According to PAMA, automotive
instance, Shenzhen providing EV purchasers grants of up to RMB specialists frequently seek to limit the imports to 30%, while Paki-
20K for vehicle insurance and charging infrastructures. Corre- stan’s local automotive authorities manufacture the remaining 70%
spondingly, Los Angeles has revealed an incentive for house (Articles, 2019). Since the EVs battery is the biggest obstacle to
charging infrastructure of up to 2k dollars for its first 5k clients. pricing, batteries are best manufactured locally in Pakistan to
Nevertheless, in Pakistan, vagueness regarding power companies reduce overall costs and the government must reduce energy rates
and federal aid policies for investment in charging infrastructures in charging stations, rendering them more convenient to the
may serve as an obstacle for foreign investors, thus, states are consumers.
strongly suggested to issue such policies for promoting EVs
adaptions. 3.2. Research and development
3.1.3. EVs prices policy The EV sector will be given a boost via the regulatory framework
Monetary incentives, like tax discount or excise duty, have and the promotion of R&D opportunities. In the first step, a coun-
become an important strategy for reducing the initial prices of EVs try’s main resource, manpower, with tremendous knowledge of
and encourage technological developments. Amid such possible technologies in the field of EV has to be impeccable, and subse-
benefits, the upfront costs of EVs in Pakistan are substantially quently, to encourage the business of growing infrastructures, this
higher in comparison to FFVs with the same engine capacity, which awareness must be applied. At present, students of engineering
suggests that different customers are not willing to be paid to build universities are unable to adapt to new technologies and rely on
a huge marketplace (Hidrue et al., 2011). Also, because of battery older modules, thwart them from becoming aware of modern so-
technology constraints and increased battery prices, EVs are quite ciety. Therefore, foreign EVs bursaries need to be granted and the
expensive and a deterrent to price optimization. The cost analysis of technical targets for batteries, electrical transmission systems, and
some of the automobiles manufactured or imported into Pakistan is light-weighting systems for research industries, organizations, and
shown in Table 7. The statistics confirm that in Pakistan the price of corporate sectors should be explicitly stated. In the United States,
EVs is somehow over twice the cost of other types, the greatest innovations in technologies involve study and developments on
obstacle to EVs transmission technologies. The majority of states various EV parts are specified. The government initiated the project
had already granted incentives in the shape of duty exemption or and brought together local companies, research labs. and certain
10 R. Asghar et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 278 (2021) 123375
Table 7
Cost comparison of various vehicles in Pakistan.
Brand Model Type Battery Type Output Power (hp) Mileage (Km/L) Cost (million Pkr)
universities selected for or submitting bids. Similarly, various with domestic industries and government institutions, the GOP
technologies need to be standardized to facilitate innovations: the faces acute challenges as the local companies are outsourcing their
SAE has established two different hydrogen fuel cell standards: the automation projects from third parties, generally external manu-
SAE J2601 and the SAE-J2799 (Ponticel, 2014). Japan centered its facturers. Hence, to highlight EVs technology and encourage citi-
attention on battery technology and expanded innovation in zen’s awareness about EVs through diverse initiatives, the state
lithium-ion and fuel cells, through creating a joint development needs to join small-medium sized industries with public in-
center for government, industry, and institutions in 2015. Germany stitutions. Through this cooperation of institutions and industries,
has established an Innovation Enhancement framework under students can conduct realistic development projects that will
which four Ministers (Ministry of Infrastructure, Education, advance the industrial process and automation systems. In
Transport, and the environment) have designated to govern EV response, regardless of the use of higher training costs, domestic
innovations under a partnership with leading industries and civil industries will be able to take advantage of relatively low auto-
organizations (Zhang et al., 2014). The GOP should also continue to mation costs and will continue to enhance their R & D in the future.
fund the R&D in EVs for subsequent years and take the competitive The local industries can also assist the government economy by
edge of knowledge and acquaintance by foreign companies exporting quality products through technology transfer. Thus,
including China, the US, and Germany. At present, in coordination strategies must be formulated to enhance R&D to support student
work on EV engineering and to realizing awareness in collaboration generate good revenue on the market. The GOP aims to introduce
with car manufacturers and institutions. Fig. 6 provides the details 30 percent of vehicles on road as EVs, thus helping service pro-
of R&D requirements for EVs adaptation in Pakistan. viders and pouring additional money into the EVs industry to raise
more revenues. Besides, in every 9 km2 area in the major cities and
3.3. Wide-scale installation of charging infrastructure every 20 km on all motorways, the government is constructing fast-
charge stations. Hence, more electricity will penetrate the market,
Adapting EVs to the country may not be the greatest challenge, but it takes time, so the key question is when and how quickly
but to broaden it out of low to high scales. If customers accepted consumers switch to EVs. This depends mainly on state policies and
EVs with adopters but it is almost difficult to charge due to the developments in product adjustment as well as technological
massive shortage of charging capacity, public support will be ut- advancement.
terly reversed (Deventer et al., 2015). Thus, one of the main con- Charging Choice: Another significant factor in the charging
cerns is the installation of charging stations all over the places, infrastructure is how long a given battery would take the load,
subsequently, mammoth financing is needed to implement this which would perceptibly depend on the form of chargers used and
technology. Two forms of charging infrastructure, including long- the initial charge of the battery (Lokesh and Min, 2017). The ar-
distance (town-town) and subway (within the town) networks, chitecture of EVs charging station where every charging station has
are primarily required. The long-distance infrastructures required three options: slow, fast, and rapid charger, thus, the users are
charging stations mounted on highways and motorways and the therefore charged based on the charging options they choose. The
feasible length must not exceed every 100 km to reduce EV’s range specifications and the battery charge times needed for each charger
anxiety. Subway networks have stations in shopping areas, petrol are provided in Table 8. To verify the viability of constructing an EV-
pumps, train stations, and residential areas. Together with the charge station, the location where the charging station will be built
deployment of its charging point, significant resources are needed has to be upgraded according to the standard specifications of the
for the above-mentioned massive deployment of EVs in- charger as well as a practical assessment of stations, buildings, and
frastructures. Since the public-private collaborations are the pri- residences.
mary solution to this problem, therefore, the initial infrastructure
should be financed by a policy that promotes public-private part- 3.4. Grid load balancing
nerships. The key determinants for the EV infrastructure are;
Range anxiety: The concern about the range is the suspicion that Another major challenge for EVs adaptation is the grid-level
customers will be unable to charge off on highways. This is a psy- balance of power, as a large number of EVs charges needed enor-
chological condition that every user is aware of as completely mous power. Since electricity can’t be stored in large quantities,
draining off of a battery may be evil during a long drive with no matching power demand and supply in the network, therefore,
charging station nearby. The charging stations need to be installed plays a key role in achieving the promise of reliability for EVs
at optimum distances on highways and some of them will not be consumers. The PNNL has investigated that the current U.S. elec-
utilized mostly, but still, it will give minimize the range anxiety of tricity grid could accommodate 73 percent of PHEVs charges while
consumers. A poll of the group of researchers with range concern annual energy consumption of more than 910 billion kWh, repre-
showed that the fears of distance and the ability to charge, the first senting nearly 24 percent of total energy output, will be required
concern for the buying of EVs (Evarts, 2013). The US legislation for charging more vehicles. Similarly, rapid charging stations have
reacts to the consumer apprehension, offering the highest support also a significant influence on the grid distribution system due to
for U.S. road authorship programs for the public EVs charging high energy demands, i.e. more than twice the average household
points (Anxiety, 2019). load. Concerning the challenges of grid viability, several severe is-
Degree of convenience charging: The level of comfort shows the sues must be addressed when charging EVs on the grid. The use of
extent to which an EV is charging commercially compared to home coal or thermal-based plant to charge EVs will likely raise the CO2
charging. When a car uses the home charge station more than the emissions and reduces the impact of energy transitions. A survey
commercial charging station, the low level of convenience will be indicated that coal-powered EVs will increase GHG by 17%e27%
shown. Less investment will be needed for such an approach as compared with diesel and gasoline ICEVs (Hawkins et al., 2013).
most users will utilize their home charging stations. The high level Hence, the framework of the energy sector will also be updated to
of convenience charging requires more use of commercial charging achieve the target of complete reductions in GHG emissions by the
points than domestic filling stations, and in this particular instance, current consumption of electricity. Moreover, the grid’s energy and
enormous investments in charging infrastructure are necessary to consumption disparities devastate the grid, transformer, and sub-
neutralize the need of consumers. A study revealed that, whether stations capability and can lead to serious problems of power
charging stations are installed at their office or travel destinations, quality, increase in harmonics, transformer losses, line heating, and
71.7 percent of respondents were more inclined to take EVs (Krupa reactive power consumption. Thus, to get the benefit of the EVs
et al., 2014). transitions, the GOP has to increased power capacity from renew-
Adaptation rate: The level of adjustment demonstrates how able energy resources and implements coordinate charging at
many EVs are now on the road and use the charging points. The every highways and motorway station. Pakistan has a fragile power
facts show that whenever profitability and the use of any com- distribution network that is subjected to different climate com-
modity accelerates, investors are drawn to raise more money to plaints such as a shortage of electricity sustained with long-
Table 8
Charger types and its specifications.
Types Power (kW) Voltage (V) Battery 10e20(kWh) Battery 20e50(kWh) Battery 50e75(kWh)
Slow Less than 7 220 (AC) 4h 4h 40 min
Fast 7 to 22 400 (AC) 11 h 6h 1h
Rapid More then 43 400 (AC) þ DC 21 h 8h 2h
12 R. Asghar et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 278 (2021) 123375
standing failure, the poor conductive material and weak grid cost of upgrading building resources is very critical and this chal-
infrastructure (Asghar, 2018). Consequently, the sudden and un- lenge can be neutralized by governments and private stakeholders.
expected penetration of the EVs into Pakistan requires considerable Technical advice and understanding by users and non-users are a
attention in the reconstruction and management of the power medium-term challenge of moderate priority and low priority is
system network. The federal government approved the draft policy attached to ownership of EV ownerships. Incentive policy and
in November 2019 (Ministry of Industries an, 2016) for the rebate programs, which will lead to large-scale use of EVs adoption,
deployment of 30% EVs in the country which is estimated to be should be addressed both by federal and provincial governments.
900k units by 2030. The policy further outlines an expansion in Clients and manufacturers alike should be taken into account by
renewable energy output including wind, solar, biomass, and hy- the policies and deciding the factors that affect the adaptation of
dropower, to minimize CO2 by 2030, in line with the Paris Agree- EVs technology.
ment. The overall energy prerequisites estimated in (Arshad and In addition to the governmental domain, alliances can be crucial
Ullah, 2019) to meet the EVs charges will be 1 GW and, conse- in tackling certain obstacles, especially educational and awareness
quently, by the end of 2030, a total of 15 GW of electricity will be initiatives that need not include monetary subsidies or rewards,
produced from renewable energy sources, which will not only such as large financial investments. Enhanced education and
satisfy domestic demand for electricity but also be utilized in awareness can promote the purchasing of EVs profitably, firstly,
charge stations for EVs. evaluation of EVs is carried out, thus bringing the effectiveness of
EVs to the interest of users. This can include day-to-day financial
3.5. Summary benefits (fuel-saving, lubricating), low maintenance costs, flexi-
bility, convenience, security, and a regenerative braking system.
Certain considerations, including future regulations, subsidies, Secondly, awareness of the effects of GHG emissions, air and noise
charging prices, reliability, and security, and forms of charging are pollution, and global warming may lead to an increase in EV
equally valuable for the widespread adoption of EVs. Therefore, an attitudes.
analysis must be carried out to understand the characteristics and
variables associated with the decision of a consumer to purchase an 4. Opportunities for EVs in Pakistan
EV and how customers judge the differences across range issues,
charging preferences, and their preferred place. Table 9 provides The use of EV has made things easier to upgrade automobiles
detail of the key challenges in adapting EVs to Pakistan. All the and their related systems, like the power system, while at the same
barriers are prioritized based on their need at long, medium, and time viewing EVs as the future of transportation. Charging network
short term. The main obstacles are the financial and technical and battery technology have also been improved, which minimize
barriers in Pakistan, since enormous investment is necessary to the charging time and increase the efficiency of EVs technology. As
adapt EVs from its very early stage, and the additional burdens on a consequence, increasing numbers of suppliers, state agencies,
national network and local infrastructure also create technical stakeholders, and city planners are agreed that EVs adaptations will
hurdles. Regional charging points, office buildings, and residences surely deliver better outcomes to both business and the customers.
have structural constraints and all these changes require huge re- Some of the opportunities associated with EV adaptations for
sources, which are also financial and technological barriers. The Pakistan are provided below:
Table 9
Barriers to EVs adaption in Pakistan.
Financial
Subsidies to customers and industries Financial National/Provincial High
Capital cost of EVs charging infrastructure and deployment Financial National/Provincial High
Purchase of Land for charging stations Financial National/Provincial Medium
Cost of Land Lease Financial National/Provincial Low
Cost on station upgradation like building, fuel stations, and homes Financial/Technical Provincial Government High
Cost on required energy generation Financial/Technical Federal Government Medium
Cost of regular maintenance of charging stations Financial/Technical National/Provincial Government High
Technical
Acquiring technical skills Technical Federal Government High
Grid to station interface Technical Federal Government High
Charging system compatibility to utility Technical/Awareness Provincial Government/Local High
Buildings, homes and fuel station limitations Technical/Awareness Provincial Government/Local Medium
Administrative
Governance and marketing Educational/Awareness/Regulatory Federal Government High
Multiple venue constraints Awareness/Regulatory Federal Government Low
Safety and security reliance Awareness/Regulatory Federal Government Medium
Public Acceptability
Higher cost perception Educational/Awareness Provincial Government/Local High
Reliability concern Educational/Awareness Provincial Government/Local High
Ownership of EVs installations Technical/Financial/Regulatory Provincial Government/Local Low
No support from EV non-users Awareness/Educational Provincial Government/Local Medium
Less understanding of EV Technology Awareness/Educational Provincial Government/Local Low
Regulatory
Lack of policies Regulatory Federal Government High
Public guidance Educational/Regulatory Federal/Provincial Government Medium
Research and development Regulatory/Technical Federal/Provincial Government Medium
R. Asghar et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 278 (2021) 123375 13
Table 10
Pakistan employment analysis according to NERL.
Year Population (mn) Unemployment (%) NREL Analysis Unemployment after NREL Analysis
Fig. 8. Oil and petroleum demand in Pakistan (Rehman and Deyuan, 2018).
the EVs emit 29 and 20 percent lower GHG emissions than gasoline ranging production chain will also grow across the entire
and diesel vehicles. Similarly, the life cycle assessment also includes competitive line in many industries, including transportation,
battery source charging, and it is estimated that the use of coal or retail, IT, telecommunications, energy, chemical, and mining. Amid
thermal power stations to charge EVs will increase carbon emis- GOP’s declaration, the Chinese company BYD signed a contract with
sions and reduce the impact of energy transitions. EVs emission will Toyota for the development of EVs in Pakistan, which is also one of
be 12% fewer than ICE vehicles if the vehicles are powered by No. 1 manufacturing companies in global sales (Ahmed, 2019). In
natural gas, whereas coal-based energy sources will be more likely another report, several Chinese car manufacturers, including Hao-
to raise emission levels of GHG by 17e27%. Recently, the GOP has hong, Weifang Shandong, Shanghai Shenlong Bus, and the Wuxi
approved an EV strategy aimed at dealing with the consequences of Shengbao EV, signed MOUs to bring EVs into the country with local
GHG emissions and providing all customers with cost-effective Pakistani companies (Auto News and Chinese electr, 2018). Also, the
mobility. The primary objective is to shift 30 percent of all vehi- CPEC is an interweaving move into Pakistan’s industrial sectors
cles, in specific cars and rickshaws from ICE to EVs by 2025, thereby which have shown a strong interest in the involvement of more
reducing GHG emissions in the future. Nonetheless, such targets foreign companies in the automotive and manufacturing industries.
can add value to certain sustainability objectives, but a zero- Therefore, the opportunity for Pakistan in the EVs revolution to
emission network must, therefore, be equally considered in the extend its existing industrial system is immense and efficient fac-
long-term stratagem. The zero-emission system prevents major tories are often to be funded by research institutes and tax in-
health consequences, eliminates global warming, and above all centives to further grow high-tech manufacturing. Besides
reduces the climate change expenditures. The government must, encouraging universities to disseminate information about indus-
therefore, also concentrate on improving ICE emission technologies trialization, a partnership between government, business,
during the transition to EVs and perform a comprehensive analysis academia, and non-commercial research institutions are necessary
of EV emissions from various sectors, including the source of bat- to grow technologically advanced industries in scarce resources.
tery charge, raw material processing, and recycling. The automobile industry has also an obligation, through rapidly
changing production capability, to stand up to Pakistan’s global
4.3. Industrial development opportunity economic growth rivalry. With such industries, there is an abun-
dance of resources that can dramatically change the refining ca-
The industry is considered as the basis for a country’s economic pacity since the Ford motor turned in the largest production facility
growth, contributing to emerging technologies, reduces inflation in just 56 days (Medema, 2019). The move from ICE to EVs would
and unemployment, and increases export trades. Countries sup- not only strengthen Pakistan’s economic structure through the
ported by advanced manufacturing facilities, high-tech innovation, expansion of different markets; they will also provide cost-
and natural resources are at the forefront of the export chain. In effectiveness for car manufacturers as many models have similar
recent decades, China has witnessed unprecedented growth, battery packs and EM.
removing barriers to a central economic slowdown, transforming it
into a global hub for manufacturing and export (Silver, 2019). 5. Conclusions
Correspondingly, Germany is growing its manufacturing capability
in the modern globalized world and is introducing Industry 4.0, a The challenges of rapid decarbonization, as demonstrated in
strategy that makes the region, the main customer and supplier of Paris Accord, is extremely essential to minimize carbon footprint to
advanced manufacturing technology. Pakistan’s industrial sector below 1.5 C worldwide, considering how quick electrifying mass
after services also makes the second-largest contribution to the transit can help mitigate climate change. It is generally accepted
domestic economy that rose 5.80 percent by 2018, compared to because we have not progressed sufficiently individually at the
5.43 percent previous year (Fatiama, 2019). Among the varied in- moment and the countries are not optimistic enough to achieve the
dustrial sectors, one of the fastest-growing sectors of Pakistan with Paris objective. Hence, to minimize CO2 emissions to gain potential
7.2 percent CAGR in the Asia-Pacific region is the automotive sector, benefits of rapid developments in EVs and to optimize these ad-
which is expected to grow up to 11.42 billion dollars by 2025 vantages, it is necessary to pursue a realistic and efficient strategy.
(Automotive and Transportati, 2019). Despite the reduction in sales This study presents a brief overview of current EVs development
in recent years, the auto industry as a result of various tariffs and and addresses several major challenges and prospects for adapta-
charges has contributed 12 billion rupees to GDP and 30 billion tion. The progression of the automobile industry is connected to the
rupees to the domestic treasuries. Nonetheless, the Pakistan auto- government’s policy: various policies lead to different mechanisms
motive industry primarily relies on ICE vehicles where old models and industries’ performance; subsidies, for instance, affect indus-
have been running the roads for decades, whereas in developing trial growth. Consequently, such incentives policies should be
countries zero-emission technology has been adapted. Several therefore interpreted as interconnected correlational chains where
developing countries, such as Norway, declared that sales of FFV the state does not consider the economic advantages but also takes
would be shut down completely by 2025 compared with similar into account the effects of manufacturing and product innovations.
schemes for 2030 in the Netherlands (Arshad and Ullah, 2019). In The technical challenges, market knowledge, and expertise in
those countries, the transportation and automotive industries have measuring and assessing the economic pros and cons of EVs and
carried out an emerging technology strategy with substantial ICEs represent another critical consideration in developing coun-
economic and technological growth opportunities. The inclusion of tries. Thus, the government needs to consolidate industries and
EVs on the road network in Pakistan will produce a new market, institutions to promote awareness of EVs through various initia-
create a variety of jobs, and play a major role in the development of tives and bursary scholarships for other countries.
the industrial sector. Before the introduction of EVs, advancements In developing countries, challenges of EVs implementation are
were solely related to products, but now manufacturers have becoming more and more apparent, and a marginally decreased life
experienced significant production improvements and efficient cycle cost and more battery price cuts will be an important part of
technology frameworks. Since EVs adopt different approaches to legitimate ICE competitiveness over the next five years. Reduced
manufacturing, the whole production chain begins to be reoriented costs through several research activities will help include large-
thus for both old and new rivals, there will be tremendous oppor- scale EV systems that offer a range of rentable opportunities,
tunities. Apart from the emerging new technologies, a wide- including market growth, sustainable environmental development,
16 R. Asghar et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 278 (2021) 123375
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