Round2 Stat1 Hadath Nov2022 en Solution

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2022-2021 ‫االمتحان النهائي الدورة الثانية‬

‫ باإلنجليزية‬1 ‫ احصاء‬:‫المادة‬ ‫الجامعة اللبنانية‬


‫كلية العلوم اإلقتصادية وادارة األعمال‬
‫ ساعة ونصف‬:‫الوقت‬ ‫الفرع األول‬
Problem 1: (20 points) all parts are independent
1. For a given sample of size 28 we obtain the following values:
28 28

∑ xi = 279 ; ∑ xi2 = 2945


I=1 i=1
Find the corresponding variance
∑ 𝑋2 (∑ 𝑋)2 2945 (279)2
𝑠2 = − = − = 𝟔. 𝟏𝟏 (6 pts)
𝑛−1 𝑛(𝑛−1) 27 28(27)

2. For a given population of size (N) we obtain that


∑ 𝑥𝑖2 = 7444000 , 𝑥̅ = 269 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑉(𝑥) = 𝜎 2 = 2079
Find N.
∑ 𝑛𝑖 𝑥𝑖2 7444000
𝑉(𝑥) = 𝜎 2 = ̅̅̅
𝑥 2 − 𝑥̅ 2 = −𝑥̅ 2 = −2692 = 2079
𝑛 𝑛
7444000 7444000
⇒ = 2079+2692 ⇒ 𝑛 = = 100 ⇒ 𝒏 = 𝟏𝟎𝟎 (6 pts)
𝑛 74440

3. For the following distribution, find the mode. (Hint: Assume the total frequency is n).
xi [0 ;6[ [6 ;14[ [14 ;16[ [16 ;22[ [22 ;24[ [24 ;26[
Relative
0.2 0.4 0.16 0.18 0.04 0.02
frequency

𝑓𝑖
𝑑𝑖 = 0.033 0.05 0.08 0.03 0.02 0.01
𝑎𝑖

𝑀𝑜𝑑𝑎𝑙 𝐶𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑠 [14; 16[ (ℎ𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑑𝑖 = 0.08)


∆ (0.08−0.05)
⇒ 𝑀𝑜𝑑𝑒 = 𝐿𝑖 + 𝑎𝑖 1 = 14 + 2 = 𝟏𝟒. 𝟕𝟓 (8 pts)
∆1 +∆2 (0.08−0.05)+(0.08−0.03)

Problem 2: (30points)
At a retail store, the monthly sales volume over several years was recorded and summarized as follows:
Monthly
sales
[20 ;30[ [30 ;40[ [40 ;50[ [50 ;60[ [60 ;70[ [70 ;80[ [80 ;100[
(millions
LL)
Number of
5 4 15 9 10 6 5
months
1. Calculate the mean monthly sales volume. (4pts)
2. Sketch a histogram and determine the mode graphically. (7 pts)
3. Draw the increasing cumulative frequency curve, and determine the median graphically (7pts)
4. Calculate the median. (4pts)
1
5. Find the percentage of months who volume is between 35 and 68 million LL. (4pts)
6. What is the range of sales volume for the best 10 months? (4pts)

1.
∑𝑛 𝑥 2985
𝑥̅ = 𝑖 𝑖 = = 𝟓𝟓. 𝟐𝟕 (2 pts)
𝑁 54
2.
(2 pts) for the histogram drawing the density with respect to xi
3.
(1 pt) for the cumulative curve and (3 pts) for drawing graphically Q1, Q2 and Q3
4.
(𝑛⁄2−𝑛𝑖−1 ↗) (54⁄2−24)
𝑀𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑎𝑛 𝑐𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑠 [50; 60[ ⟹ 𝑀é𝑑𝑖𝑎𝑛𝑒 = 𝐿𝑖 + 𝑎𝑖 = 50 + 10 = 𝟓𝟑. 𝟑𝟑 (2 pts)
𝑛𝑖 9
5.
1 4 34
× 4 + 15 + 9 + × 10 = 34 ⟹ = 0.6296 𝑜𝑟 𝟔𝟐. 𝟗𝟔% (2pts)
2 5 54
6.
The best 10 months are found from the highest group backwards. The highest group has 5 months in it
(frequency=5). We need 5 more months. The group before the last (70-80) has 6 months in it. We need
to find the range for the upper 5 of those.
The range ends in 80 in this group. It starts with 𝑥.
80−𝑥 5
= ; 𝑠𝑜𝑙𝑣𝑒 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑥 → 𝑥 = 71.67; (2pts)
80−70 6

Problem 3: (10 points) Assume that the heights of men in a city are normally distributed with a mean of
69.0 inches and a standard deviation of 2.8 inches. A local basketball team requires that men have heights
between 64 and 78 inches. Find the percent of local men meeting these height requirements.
64 − 69 78 − 69
𝑃(64 < 𝑋 < 78) = 𝑃 ( <𝑍< ) = 𝑃(−1.79 < 𝑍 < 3.21) = 0.9626
2.8 2.8

Problem 4: (10 points) IQ test scores are normally distributed with a mean of 100 and a standard
deviation of 15. Find the IQ score that represents the 5th percentile.
𝑧 = −1.645
𝑥 − 𝜇 𝑥 − 100
= =
𝜎 15
𝑥 = 75.325

Problem 5: (20 points) The following is part of some data analysis showing trend line calculations:

Month (t) Sales (Y) tY 𝑡2

1 65.201 65.201 1
2 61.876 123.752 4
3 59.701 179.103 9

2
4 77.686 310.744 16
5 80.364 401.82 25
6 81.836 491.016 36
7 102.345 716.415 49
8 94.215 753.72 64
9 106.141 955.269 81
10 119.76 1197.6 100
11 174.84 1923.24 121
12 127.273 1527.276 144

totals 78 1151.238 8645.156 650

Find the trend line equation.


Predict the sales for the following 2 months.

totals 78 1151.238 8645.156 650


mean 6.5 95.937 720.43 54.167
𝐶𝑜𝑣𝑡𝑦 96.8395
𝑉𝑎𝑟𝑡 11.91667
Slope 8.126392 y-intercept 43.11545

Regression Line Equation: 𝑦̂ = 8.126𝑡 + 43.115


3) Prediction :

t sales
13 148.759
14 156.885

3
4
Problem 1:
1. __________________________________________________________________________
∑ 𝑋2 (∑ 𝑋)2 2945 (279)2
𝑠2 = − = − = 𝟔. 𝟏𝟏 (2 pts)
𝑛−1 𝑛(𝑛−1) 27 28(27)
2. __________________________________________________________________________
∑ 𝑛 𝑥2 7444000
𝑉(𝑥) = 𝜎 2 = ̅̅̅
𝑥 2 − 𝑥̅ 2 = 𝑖 𝑖 −𝑥̅ 2 = −2692 = 2079
𝑛 𝑛
7444000 7444000
⇒ = 2079+2692 ⇒ 𝑛 = = 100 ⇒ 𝒏 = 𝟏𝟎𝟎 (2 pts)
𝑛 74440
3. __________________________________________________________________________
xi [0 ;6[ [6 ;14[ [14 ;16[ [16 ;22[ [22 ;24[ [24 ;26[
fi 0.2 0.4 0.16 0.18 0.04 0.02
𝑓𝑖
𝑑𝑖 = 0.033 0.05 0.08 0.03 0.02 0.01
𝑎𝑖

𝑀𝑜𝑑𝑎𝑙 𝐶𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑠 [14; 16[ (ℎ𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑑𝑖 = 0.08)


∆ (0.08−0.05)
⇒ 𝑀𝑜𝑑𝑒 = 𝐿𝑖 + 𝑎𝑖 1 = 14 + 2 = 𝟏𝟒. 𝟕𝟓 (2 pts)
∆1 +∆2 (0.08−0.05)+(0.08−0.03)
4. __________________________________________________________________________
Gini measures the inequality of income (2 pts)
5. __________________________________________________________________________
G=0.105 (2 pts)
Problem 2:
7. __________________________________________________________________________
∑𝑛 𝑥 2985
𝑥̅ = 𝑖 𝑖 = = 𝟓𝟓. 𝟐𝟕 (2 pts)
𝑁 54
8. __________________________________________________________________________
(2 pts) for the histogram drawing the density with respect to xi
9. __________________________________________________________________________
(1 pt) for the cumulative curve and (3 pts) for drawing graphically Q1, Q2 and Q3
10. __________________________________________________________________________
(𝑛⁄2−𝑛𝑖−1 ↗) (54⁄2−24)
𝑀𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑎𝑛 𝑐𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑠 [50; 60[ ⟹ 𝑀é𝑑𝑖𝑎𝑛𝑒 = 𝐿𝑖 + 𝑎𝑖 = 50 + 10 = 𝟓𝟑. 𝟑𝟑 (2 pts)
𝑛𝑖 9
11. __________________________________________________________________________
𝑛
( 4 −𝑛𝑖−1 ↗) (54⁄4−9)
𝑄1 ∈ [40; 50[⟹ 𝑄1 = 𝐿𝑖 + 𝑎𝑖 = 40 + 10 = 𝟒𝟑 (2 pts)
𝑛𝑖 15
3𝑛
( 4 −𝑛𝑖−1 ↗) (3×54⁄4−33)
𝑄3 ∈ [60; 70[⟹ 𝑄3 = 𝐿𝑖 + 𝑎𝑖 = 60 + 10 = 𝟔𝟕. 𝟓 (2 pts)
𝑛𝑖 10
12. __________________________________________________________________________
1 4 34
× 4 + 15 + 9 + × 10 = 34 ⟹ = 0.6296 𝑜𝑢 𝟔𝟐. 𝟗𝟔% (2pts)
2 5 54
13. __________________________________________________________________________
𝑥−33 43−33
⇒ = ⇒ 𝒙 = 𝟑𝟓(2pts)
62−60 70−60
14. __________________________________________________________________________
The first student selected has a position 54-10=44
𝑥−70 80−70
⇒ = ⇒ 𝒙 = 𝟕𝟏. 𝟔𝟕(2pts)
44−43 49−43

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