Exam 2022
Exam 2022
Exam 2022
Total
Year -5 -4 -3 -2 -1
Factors
Discount factor 1.13 1.10 1.08 1.05 1.03
Maintance growth 1 1 1 1 1
Travel time 0.89 0.91 0.93 0.96 0.98
Emission Improv. 0.9191687175 0.934795 0.950686 0.966848 0.983284
Accidents 1 1 1 1 1
Increase Noise 1 1 1 1 1
State
Constuction (18,318,304.88) -3846787.9238 -3752964 -3661428 -3572125 -3485000
Scrap Value 5735863.98259744
Maintenance -1787750.21442628 0 0 0 0 0
Surpluses
Travel time 13022610.9455328 0 0 0 0 0
Emission Improv. 2741114.84699191 0 0 0 0 0
Increase Noise -2585361.84855493 0 0 0 0 0
Accidents 2007781.01004798 0 0 0 0 0
Benefits 19134258.722189
Costs - 18,318,304.88
BCR 1.04454308685857
NPV 815953.845235834
IRR(%) 2.68372707799968
%change per year Postive First Year impacts %change per year Drag year
0 Travel timeeuro/year 302,000 2.3 Drag other stuff
Emission I euro/year 72,000 1.7
Accidents euro/year 73,000 0
Increase Neuro/year -94,000 0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
1.00 0.98 0.95 0.93 0.91 0.88 0.86 0.84 0.82 0.80
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1.00 1.02 1.05 1.07 1.10 1.12 1.15 1.17 1.20 1.23
1 1.017 1.034289 1.051872 1.069754 1.08794 1.106435 1.125244 1.144373 1.163827
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
-65000 -63414.63 -61867.94 -60359 -58886.79 -57450.53 -56049.3 -54682.24 -53348.53 -52047.34
302000 301410.7 300822.6 300235.6 299649.8 299065.1 298481.6 297899.2 297317.9 296737.8
72000 71438.05 70880.48 70327.27 69778.37 69233.76 68693.4 68157.26 67625.3 67097.49
-94000 -91707.32 -89470.55 -87288.34 -85159.36 -83082.3 -81055.91 -79078.93 -77150.18 -75268.47
73000 71219.51 69482.45 67787.76 66134.4 64521.36 62947.67 61412.36 59914.5 58453.17
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
0.78 0.76 0.74 0.73 0.71 0.69 0.67 0.66 0.64 0.63
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1.26 1.28 1.31 1.34 1.37 1.41 1.44 1.47 1.51 1.54
1.183612 1.203734 1.224197 1.245009 1.266174 1.287699 1.30959 1.331853 1.354494 1.377521
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
-50777.9 -49539.41 -48331.13 -47152.32 -46002.27 -44880.26 -43785.62 -42717.68 -41675.78 -40659.3
296158.8 295580.9 295004.2 294428.6 293854.1 293280.7 292708.4 292137.3 291567.3 290998.4
66573.8 66054.2 65538.66 65027.14 64519.61 64016.04 63516.4 63020.67 62528.8 62040.77
-73432.65 -71641.61 -69894.25 -68189.52 -66526.36 -64903.76 -63320.74 -61776.34 -60269.6 -58799.61
57027.48 55636.57 54279.58 52955.69 51664.09 50403.99 49174.62 47975.24 46805.11 45663.52
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
0.61 0.60 0.58 0.57 0.55 0.54 0.53 0.51 0.50 0.49
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1.58 1.61 1.65 1.69 1.73 1.77 1.81 1.85 1.89 1.93
1.400938 1.424754 1.448975 1.473608 1.498659 1.524136 1.550047 1.576397 1.603196 1.630451
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
-39667.61 -38700.11 -37756.2 -36835.32 -35936.9 -35060.39 -34205.26 -33371 -32557.06 -31763
290430.6 289863.9 289298.3 288733.8 288170.4 287608.1 287046.9 286486.8 285927.8 285369.9
61556.55 61076.11 60599.41 60126.44 59657.16 59191.55 58729.56 58271.19 57816.39 57365.14
-57365.47 -55966.31 -54601.28 -53269.54 -51970.28 -50702.72 -49466.06 -48259.57 -47082.51 -45934.16
44549.78 43463.2 42403.12 41368.9 40359.9 39375.51 38415.13 37478.18 36564.08 35672.27
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39
0.48 0.47 0.45 0.44 0.43 0.42 0.41 0.40 0.39 0.38
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1.98 2.02 2.07 2.12 2.17 2.22 2.27 2.32 2.37 2.43
1.658168 1.686357 1.715025 1.744181 1.773832 1.803987 1.834655 1.865844 1.897563 1.929822
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
-30988.27 -30232.46 -29495.09 -28775.69 -28073.85 -27389.12 -26721.09 -26069.36 -25433.52 -24813.19
284813.1 284257.4 283702.7 283149.2 282596.7 282045.3 281494.9 280945.7 280397.5 279850.4
56917.41 56473.18 56032.41 55595.08 55161.17 54730.64 54303.48 53879.65 53459.12 53041.88
-44813.81 -43720.79 -42654.43 -41614.08 -40599.1 -39608.88 -38642.81 -37700.3 -36780.78 -35883.69
34802.22 33953.38 33125.25 32317.32 31529.09 30760.09 30009.84 29277.89 28563.8 27867.12
40 41 42 43 44
0 0 0 0 0
Total
Year -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Factors
Discount factor 1.08 1.05 1.03 1.00 0.97 0.95 0.92
Maintance growth 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Travel time 0.96 0.97 0.99 1.00 1.01 1.03 1.04
Emission Improv. 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Accidents 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Increase Noise 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
State
Constuctio (12,655,695.64) -4330767.44 -4217579 -4107349 0 0 0 0
Scrap Valu 2515274.8355745
Maintenan -1979337.529385 0 0 0 -65000 -63301.17 -61646.74 -60035.55
Surpluses
Travel time11571634.096281 0 0 0 273000 269587 266216.7 262888.5
Emission I 1461664.6370842 0 0 0 48000 46745.48 45523.75 44333.94
Increase N -1918434.836173 0 0 0 -63000 -61353.44 -59749.92 -58188.3
Accidents 1004894.4379954 0 0 0 33000 32137.52 31297.58 30479.59
Benefits 12655695.641377
Costs - 12,655,695.64
BCR 1
NPV 1.711305231E-08
IRR(%) 2.6837270779997
Postive First Year impacts %change per year Drag year
Travel timeeuro/year 273,000 1.4 Drag other stuff
Emission I euro/year 48,000 0
Accidents euro/year 33,000 0
Increase Neuro/year -63,000 0
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
0.90 0.88 0.85 0.83 0.81 0.79 0.77 0.75 0.73 0.71
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1.06 1.07 1.09 1.10 1.12 1.13 1.15 1.17 1.18 1.20
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
-58466.47 -56938.4 -55450.26 -54001 -52589.66 -51215.18 -49876.63 -48573.06 -47303.56 -46067.25
259602 256356.5 253151.6 249986.7 246861.5 243775.3 240727.6 237718.1 234746.2 231811.5
43175.24 42046.82 40947.89 39877.68 38835.44 37820.44 36831.97 35869.34 34931.86 34018.89
-56667.5 -55186.45 -53744.1 -52339.45 -50971.52 -49639.33 -48342 -47078.51 -45848.07 -44649.79
29682.98 28907.19 28151.67 27415.9 26699.37 26001.56 25321.98 24660.17 24015.66 23387.99
14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
0.69 0.67 0.65 0.64 0.62 0.60 0.59 0.57 0.56 0.54
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1.21 1.23 1.25 1.27 1.28 1.30 1.32 1.34 1.36 1.38
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
-44863.24 -43690.7 -42548.81 -41436.76 -40353.77 -39299.09 -38272 -37271.7 -36297.58 -35348.91
228913.4 226051.6 223225.6 220434.9 217679 214957.7 212270.3 209616.6 206996 204408.2
33129.78 32263.9 31420.66 30599.45 29799.71 29020.87 28262.38 27523.72 26804.36 26103.81
-43482.83 -42346.37 -41239.61 -40161.78 -39112.12 -38089.89 -37094.38 -36124.88 -35180.73 -34261.25
22776.72 22181.43 21601.7 21037.12 20487.3 19951.85 19430.39 18922.56 18428 17946.37
24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33
0.53 0.52 0.50 0.49 0.48 0.46 0.45 0.44 0.43 0.42
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1.40 1.42 1.44 1.46 1.48 1.50 1.52 1.54 1.56 1.58
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
-34425 -33525.31 -32649.09 -31795.78 -30964.77 -30155.48 -29367.34 -28599.8 -27852.32 -27124.38
201852.7 199329.2 196837.2 194376.4 191946.4 189546.7 187177 184837 182526.2 180244.3
25421.56 24757.15 24110.1 23479.96 22866.29 22268.66 21686.65 21119.85 20567.87 20030.31
-33365.8 -32493.76 -31644.51 -30817.45 -30012 -29227.62 -28463.73 -27719.81 -26995.33 -26289.78
17477.33 17020.54 16575.69 16142.47 15720.58 15309.71 14909.57 14519.9 14140.41 13770.84
34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43
0.41 0.40 0.39 0.38 0.37 0.36 0.35 0.34 0.33 0.32
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1.60 1.63 1.65 1.67 1.70 1.72 1.74 1.77 1.79 1.82
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
-26415.46 -25725.07 -25052.72 -24397.95 -23760.29 -23139.29 -22534.52 -21945.57 -21372 -20813.42
177990.9 175765.7 173568.4 171398.5 169255.7 167139.7 165050.1 162986.7 160949.1 158937
19506.8 18996.97 18500.47 18016.95 17546.06 17087.48 16640.88 16205.96 15782.4 15369.91
-25602.67 -24933.53 -24281.87 -23647.24 -23029.2 -22427.31 -21841.15 -21270.32 -20714.4 -20173
13410.92 13060.42 12719.07 12386.65 12062.91 11747.64 11440.6 11141.59 10850.4 10566.82
44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53
0.31 0.30 0.30 0.29 0.28 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.25
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1.84 1.87 1.90 1.92 1.95 1.98 2.00 2.03 2.06 2.09
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
-20269.45 -19739.69 -19223.77 -18721.34 -18232 -17755.54 -17291.48 -16839.55 -16399.44 -15970.82
156950 154987.8 153050.2 151136.8 149247.3 147381.5 145538.9 143719.4 141922.7 140148.4
14968.21 14577 14196.02 13824.99 13463.67 13111.78 12769.09 12435.36 12110.35 11793.84
-19645.77 -19132.31 -18632.27 -18145.3 -17671.06 -17209.21 -16759.43 -16321.41 -15894.84 -15479.41
10290.64 10021.69 9759.762 9504.683 9256.27 9014.349 8778.751 8549.311 8325.868 8108.264
54 55 56 57 58 59
0 0 0 0 0 0
Concordance Matrix
A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 London
A B C D E F G
A1 A 1.000 0.333 0.524 0.524 0.714 1.000 0.000
A2 B 0.762 1.000 1.000 1.000 0.714 0.762 0.000
A3 C 0.667 0.000 1.000 0.286 0.476 0.762 0.000
A4 D 0.667 0.714 0.905 1.000 0.714 0.667 0.000
A5 E 0.286 0.524 0.524 0.524 1.000 0.286 0.000
A6 F 0.905 0.238 0.524 0.524 0.714 1.000 0.000
London G 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Copenhage H 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Stockholm I 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Madrid J 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Discordance Matrix
A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 London
A B C D E F G
A1 A 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
A2 B 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
A3 C 1 0 0 0 1 1 0
A4 D 1 1 0 0 1 0 0
A5 E 0 1 0 1 0 0 0
A6 F 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
London G 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
Copenhage H 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
Stockholm I 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
Madrid J 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
r of times outranked 2 0 2 1 2 2 0
2 4 5 10 21
A1 4 2 5 3
A2 4 3 3 5
A3 2 2 1 4
A4 1 2 3 5
A5 5 4 3 2
A6 2 2 5 3
concordance
0.52381
1
0.904762
0.52381
0.52381
Discordance
Criteria 8
21
C* 0.7
CopenhageStockholmMadrid
H I J
0.000 0.000 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000
CopenhageStockholmMadrid
H I J
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
CopenhageStockholmMadrid
H I J Nr of times outranking
IncomparaIncomparaIncomparable 2
IncomparaIncomparaIncomparable 5
IncomparaIncomparaIncomparable 0
IncomparaIncomparaIncomparable 1
IncomparaIncomparaIncomparable 0
IncomparaIncomparaIncomparable 1
IncomparaIncomparaIncomparable 0
Incomparable IncomparaIncomparable 0
Incomparable Incomparable 0
IncomparaIncomparable 0
0 0 0
61 23 9 100 100 6
42 19 100 39 0 0
100 29 91 0 10 85
4 0 37 87 83 100
73 17 0 23 62 41
0 100 81 65 8 22
340
40 70 90 15 25 100
0.117647 0.205882 0.264706 0.044118 0.073529 0.294118
9460 0.105504
12595 0.140467
22970 0.256176
16870 0.188145
10105 0.112697
17665 0.197011
89665
A1 A2 A3 A4 A5
A1 1.00 2.00 1.00 6.00 3.00
A2 0.50 1.00 0.33 1.00 2.00
A3 1.00 3.00 1.00 2.00 3
A4 0.17 1.00 0.50 1.00 7
A5 0.333333 0.5 0.333333 0.142857 1
A1 A2 A3 A4 A5
geometric norm 0.34642 0.135806 0.301576 0.151889 0.064309
2.047673 0.34642 A1 0.34642 0.271612 0.301576 0.911334 0.192926
0.802742 0.135806 A2 0.17321 0.135806 0.100525 0.151889 0.128617
1.782602 0.301576 A3 0.34642 0.407418 0.301576 0.303778 0.192926
0.897808 0.151889 A4 0.057737 0.135806 0.150788 0.151889 0.45016
0.380125 0.064309 A5 0.115473 0.067903 0.100525 0.021698 0.064309
Sum Ratio
C1) Biodiversity and Nature C2) Regional economic development and regeneration
C2) Regional economic development and regenerationC3) Project footprint
C3) Project footprint C1) Biodiversity and Nature
C4) Prestige and Image C5) Community disruption and disruption blight
C5) Community disruption and disruption blight C4) Prestige and Image
Base Scenario
GRADATION SCORES TRANSFORMATION
C1 C2 C3 C4 C5
Criterion C1 0 -2 4 1 0.5
comparis C2 2 0 6 2 1
on C3 -4 -6 0 0.25 0.125
C4
C5
GEO MEAN NORM
64 8 80.81272
4 1.189207 12.01288
2 0.5 5.050795
1 0.210224 2.123598
9.899431
8 0.840896 10.13999
64 4 48.2342
32 3.363586 40.55997
1 0.088388 1.065835
8.29287
4 11.31371 75.96439
0.015625 0.044194 0.296736 Intensity of
0.25 0.707107 4.747774
1 2.828427 18.9911 Definition Explanation
14.89344 1 Same Neither of the two alt
preferable over the other
GEO MEAN NORM 3 Weak One alternative is pre
the other
4 8 64.29865 5 Clear One alternative is pre
0.0625 0.353553 2.841626 the other
0.015625 0.088388 0.710406 7 Strong One alternative is pr
1 4 32.14932 the other
12.44194 9 Very Strong One alternative
over the other
2, 4, 6, 8 Compromise Can b
regeneration evaluation
Reciprocals of
above
0 If activity i has one of the abo
numbers assigned to it when
activity j, then j has the recipr
when compared with i
GEO MEAN A comparison mandated by c
smaller element
4 1.259921 0.307692 SC1 2.57645
8 2.519842 0.615385 SC3 0.618863
1 0.31498 0.076923 SC9 0.339694
SC18 1.846272
SUM 4.094743
importance
Definition Explanation
1 Same Neither of the two alternatives is
preferable over the other
3 Weak One alternative is preferred slightly over
Reciprocals of
If activity i has one of the above nonzero
numbers assigned to it when compared with
activity j, then j has the reciprocal value
when compared with i
A comparison mandated by choosing the
smaller element
0.47878
0.115003
0.063125
0.343092
0.09 0
0.23 0.4375
0.41 1
0.27 0.5625
CBA A1 A2 A3
Benefits 200 180 150
Costs 150 190 130
BCR 1.33 0.95 1.15
MCDA% 40
VF scores A1 A2 A3 CalibrationWeights
C1 33 100 0 33 0.3
C2 100 77 0 100 0.45
C3 0 36 100 0 0.05
C4 45 0 100 45 0.2
Calibration 133.33
Shadow Prices
p1 0.63
p2 0.94
p3 0.10
p4 0.42
1 C1 0.5208
4 C2 0.0625
3 C3 0.1458
2 C4 0.2708
10
0.181443
0.320175
0.222265
0.273309
0