Lecture Notes
Lecture Notes
Lecture Notes
Week 3 - 1 Week 3 - 2
In = P i n Fn = P(1 + i n)
P - present value
• Compound interest approach
- equivalent value of an amount of money at time 0
In = i Fn-1 Fn = Fn-1 (1 + i)
F - future value
$1,000 loan over 2 years - interest rate 7% per annum - equivalent value of an amount of money at time n
Simple Interest Compound Interest
Example 1: $1,000 loan at 6% compounded annually. If the
F2 = $1,000 [1+ 0.07(2)] F1 = 1,000 (1+0.07) loan is to be repaid after 5 years, how much will be
= $1,140.00 = 1,070 owed?
F2= 1,070 (1+0.07) F = P (1+i)n
=$1,144.90 = $1,000 (1 + 0.06)5
OR F2 = 1,000 (1.07)(1.07) = $1,000 (1.3382)
= 1,000 (1.07)2 = $1,338.20
= $1,144.90 Example 2: How much must be deposited today in order to
For Compound Interest at Year n accumulate $2,000 in two years in a savings account?
Fn = P(1 + i)n
P = F (1 + i) -n
• assume compound interest unless otherwise stated $2,000
=
(1 + 0.06) 2
= $1,780
Week 3 - 3 Week 3 - 4
Future Value Factor Present Value Factor
Week 3 - 5
N.B. Discrete versus continuous compounding factors. Week 3 - 6
A1 A2 A n -1 An
P = A0 + + + ... + +
(1 + i) (1 + i) 2 (1 + i) n -1 (1 + i) n
P = A0 +A1(1+i)-1 +A2 (1+i)-2 +...+Ak (1+i)-k +...
$3,000 $3,000 + An-1(1+i)-(n-1) +An (1+i)-n
n
$2,000 = A0 + ∑Ak (1+i)-k
k=1
$1,000 n
i = 10%
where
$5,000
(P|F i,k) = Present Value Factor
A1 A2 A3 A4
P = A0 + + + +
(1 + i) (1 + i) 2 (1 + i) 3 (1 + i) 4
1000 3000 2000 3000
= -5000 + + + +
1.1 (11. ) 2 (11
. ) 3 (11
. )4
= $1,939.90
Week 3 - 7 Week 3 - 8
Series of Cash Flows Series of Cash Flows
$1,000 = ∑A
k =0
k (1 + i) n-k
n
∑A
0
= k (F|Pi,n - k)
1 2 3 4 k =0
i = 10%
$5,000 where
Opportunity Cost?
Week 3 - 9 Week 3 - 10
$1,000 $2,000
0 $1,000
0
1 2 3 4
1 2 3 4
i = 10%
i = 10%
F = $2,840.50
P = $1,939.90
$5,000 $5,000
Week 3 - 11 Week 3 - 12
Tuition Payment Strategy
Optimal Tuition Payment Strategy
July 1 Aug 1 Sept 1 Oct 1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1
– Rate charged - 1.5% per month compounded 1 PV|July 1 = $8,668 Payment (January)
=> 19.56% per annum! 2 PV|July 1 = 5,634(P|F 0.25%,2) + (3,034 + S/C)(P|F 0.25%,6)
Payment(January) = 3,034(F|P 1.5%,3) = $3,173
What is the optimal payment strategy is consistent with PV|July 1 = 5,634(P|F 0.25%,2)+ 3,034(F|P 1.5%,3)(P|F 0.25%,6)
money having a “time value?” = 5,634(0.9950) + 3,034(1.0457)(0.9851) = $8,731
3 PV|July 1 = 5,634(P|F 0.25%,2) + 3,034(P|F 0.25%,3)
= 5,634(0.9950) + 3,034(0.9925)
2009-2010
= $8,617
Fee schedule
Week 3 - 13 Week 3 - 14
...
These savings are created by the time value of money at
1 2 n-2 n-1 n
0.25% per month.
July 1 8,617 22 -- 8,639 P = A(1 + i) -1 +A(1 + i) -2 + ... +A(1 + i) -(n -1) + A(1 + i) -n
n
Aug 1 8,639 22 -- 8,660 = ∑ A(1 + i) -k
Week 3 - 15 Week 3 - 16
Deferred Annuity Funding
Uniform Series of Cash Flows
Suppose that the first withdrawal will not occur until three
- Annuity Funding years after the deposit. How much must be deposited to
receive the five annual $2,000 payments.
• Annuity funding
$2000 $2000 $2000 $2000 $2000
$2,000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5
P?
⎡ (1 + i) n − 1⎤
P = A⎢ n ⎥
But we know that at Year 2 $8200.40 will be sufficient to
⎣ i(1 + i) ⎦ generate 5 payments of $2,000.
P = A (P | A i, n) $8200.40
Example: An individual wishes to deposit a single sum of
money into a savings account so that five annual with-
drawals of $2,000 can be made. The first withdrawal is
to occur a year after the deposit and the rate of interest is 0
7%.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
⎡ (1 + i) n - 1⎤
P = A⎢ n ⎥
= A(P | A i, n) P?
⎣ i(1 + i) ⎦
⎡ (1.07) − 1 ⎤
5 Therefore, we must discount the single sum of $8200.40
= 2000 ⎢ 5⎥
= 2000 (P | A 7,5)
⎣ 0.07(1.07) ⎦ back to Year 0.
= 2000 [4.1002] = $8200.40 $8200.40
P = = $8,200.40 (P|F 7%,2)
(1.07) 2
Therefore, if $8,200.40 is deposited into the fund, then five = $7,162.55
annual withdrawals can be made. Only $7,162.55 must be deposited. Deferring the withdrawal
for two years reduces the deposit required by $1,037.85.
Week 3 - 17 Week 3 - 18
Applications of the
Uniform Series of Cash Flows Sinking Fund - College Education Planning
A A A A A $30,000
...
1 2 n-2 n-1 n
P F Sept. A Sept.
1990 2009
Present Value Factor, Annuity P = A (P|A i,n) • Funding a college education over 20 years
Capital Recovery Factor A = P (A|P i,n) • Need to estimate in September 1990
Future Value Factor, Annuity F = A (F|A i,n) – cost of education ($30,000)
Sinking Fund Factor A = F (A|F i,n) – average interest rate over 20 years (7%)
A = F (A|F i,n)
= 30000 (A|F 7,20)
= 30000 (0.0244)
= $732 per year
Week 3 - 19 Week 3 - 20
College Education Planning
Multiple Compounding Periods in a Year
- Four Annual Installments
• Not all interest rates are stipulated as annual compounding
rates
$7,500
$1,000 Loan - 8% Interest Compounded Quarterly
=> 2% per 3-month period for 4 interest periods
F = P (F|P 2,4)
Sept Sept
2 2 = $1000 (1.0824)
0 0 = $1,082.40
0 1
9 2
Equivalent to
F = P (F|P 8.24,1)
= $1000 (1.0824)
= $1,082.40
27,182
A = [7500 + 7500 (P|A 7,3)] (A|F 7,20) Q1 1,000.00 20.00 1,020.00
Week 3 - 21 Week 3 - 22
UofT Tuition
ieff = (1 + i )12 − 1
r = .08 r/m = .02 4
“Service Charge”
⎛ 0.08 ⎞
m=4 1.5% per month = ⎜1 + ⎟ −1
ieff = (1+0.015)12 - 1 ⎝ 4 ⎠
ieff = (F|P 2,4) - 1 = (F|P 1.5,12) - 1
= 1.0824 - 1 = 8.24% → ieff = 19.56%
vs. 18% nominal rate
⇒ (1 + i )12 = (1.02) 4
• Discrete compounding
(1 + i )3 = 1.02
• In the limit (m → ∞) continuous compounding ∴ i = (1.02)1/ 3 − 1 = 0.0066227
– optional topic (Section 3.6)
– always use the discrete compounding i = 0.66227%
tables in Appendix A.
Week 3 - 23 Week 3 - 24
Interest Earned: Three Monthly Deposits of $10,000 Interest Earned: Three Monthly Deposits of $10,000
Week 3 - 25 Week 3 - 26
25% (0.11) ⎧ A k =1
Ak = ⎨
2 4 6 8 10 Years ⎩ k −1(1 + j)
A k = 2,..., n
Week 3 - 27 Week 3 - 28
Gradient Series of Cash Flows
Gradient Series of Cash Flows
(n-1)G
(n-2)G
Computer Maintenance Service Agreement (five years)
2G $5,000 per year service fee
G $600 annual escalation factor
0 ...
1 2 3 n-1 n
What is the Present Value Cost at a 6% Interest Rate?
End of period
6,800
A k = ( k − 1)G k = 1,..., n
n 7,400
P = ∑A
k =1
k (1 + i) − k
n i = 6%
= G ∑ ( k - 1)(1 + i) - k n=5
k =1
⎡1 − (1 + ni)(1 + i) − n ⎤
PV (EOY 0) = A (P|A 6,5) + G (P|G 6,5)
P = G⎢ ⎥
⎣ i2 ⎦
= 5,000(4.2124) + 600(7.9345)
= $25,822.70
Gradient Series, Present Value Factor
P = G (P|G i,n)
Week 3 - 29 Week 3 - 30
An-1
A3 P = A1 (P|A1 i,j,n)
A2
A1
0 ...
A stockholder owns 1,000 shares of XYZ Company and
1 2 3 n-1 n intends to own these shares for 10 years.
End of period
j = % change in cash flow
The shareholder expects next year’s dividend on a share to be
P $2.50. The expected annual growth in dividends is 4%.
• Each successive cash flow increases by a fixed
percentage equal to j What is the present value of the future dividend stream if
A k = A k −1 (1 + j) k = 2,..., n money has a time value of 5%?
A k = A 1 (1 + j) k −1 k = 1,..., n
P = A1 (P|A1 5,4,10)
n = 1,000 (2.50) (9.1258)
P= ∑ A (1 + j)
k =1
1
k −1
(1 + i) − k = $22,814.50
⎧ ⎡1 − (1 + j)n (1 + i)− n ⎤
⎪⎪A1 ⎢ ⎥ i≠ j
P=⎨ ⎣ i− j ⎦
⎪ nA1 i= j
⎪⎩1 + i
Week 3 - 31 Week 3 - 32
Geometric Series - Stock Purchase Evaluation
3.56
3.42
3.29
3.16
2.92
3.04 A1 = 2.50
2.81
2.60
2.70 j = 4%
2.50
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
“Dividend Stream” An = A1(1+j)n-1
Week 3 - 33