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Risk Criteria

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Connderigabaet
S-IL-225 do2 2,-MR4Rtrn
253L
2541 SCGujta
Q. No. |9.
Investment staff abank is considering four investments proposals for a client being shares,
bonds, realestate and saving certificates, These investrments will be for one year. The past data
regarding the four propgsals are given below:
[AJShares: There is/hance that shares will decline by 10%, 30% chance that it will remain
stable and 45% chance that their value will increase by 15%. Shares under consideration do not
pay any dividend.
[B] Bonds: There is 40% chance to increase its, value by5%( of face value)and 60% chances of
remaining stable they will yield 12%.
(C] Real Estate: This proposal has a 20% chance of increasing 30% in value, 25% chance of
increasing 20% in value, 40% chance of increasing 10% in value, 10% chances of remaining
stable and 5% chance of losing 5% of its value.
(D]Savings Certificate: This certificate yields 8.5% with certainty.
Using expected monetary value (EMV) criterion chooses the alternative with the highest
expected value.

o30X/tot o45xl|5 |EMV


So EMv% A>o3.5x9o t =loyi25|
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t 44o t (o00t
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