Chapter I Handout
Chapter I Handout
CHAPTER ONE
OPERATIONS RESEARCH – AN OVERVIEW
1.1 The origin and Development of operations research
The term Operations Research, was first coined in 1940 by McClosky and Trefthen in a
small town, Bowdsey, of the United Kingdom. This new science came into existence in military
context. Its concept was derived from the fact that “Unity is strength”. Why unity is strength?
Because, when there is calamity to the nation, citizens of all shades join their opinions together
to do their might to solve the problem. How this came to be proved? It was proved during World
War II.
Two blocks took part in the Second World War, namely, Axes power and Allied power.
Axes forces include Nazi German, Italy and Japan, in one block. Contrarily, the allied forces
included America, Great Britain and Russia. During World War II, there was a natural calamity
to Great Britain from Nazi German Forces. Superior weapons and strategy of Germans became a
real threat to Allied Forces. Consequently, Allied Forces were threatened on land, sea and air
using superior weapons such as submarines, U-boats and air crafts. Being challenged by this
serious situation, the Government of Great Britain appealed to the people and requested talents
from all walks of life to join together and find a solution to the problem in order to overcome the
threatening situation. Based on an appeal made by Government of Great Britain, military
management called on scientists from various disciplines and organized them into teams to assist
in solving strategic and tactical problems, i.e., to discuss, evolve and suggest ways and means to
improve the execution of various military projects. Accordingly, scientists reported to the
military management and they were grouped into various teams and each team is given strategic
problem to come up with the possible solution. These combined efforts produced fantastic
results. By their joint efforts, experience and deliberations, they suggested certain approaches
that showed remarkable progress. Based on suggestions provided by teams of scientists, Allied
forces defeated Axes forces.
This signaled to the birth of Operations Research as a separate discipline. This new
approach to systematic and scientific study of operations of the systems was called the
Operations Research or Operational Research (abbreviated as O.R.)
The use of O.R. to improve decision-making has become almost universal today. However,
this remarkable achievement of O.R. is not totally free from shortcomings. Certain shortcomings
result from lack of awareness on the part of managers about their roles, while others result due to
avoidance of the behavioral and organizational issues which are a part of every successful
application.
Opportunities of O.R.
1. Using O.R. approach, the decision-maker can determine a solution to his routine or repetitive
problem. For obtaining solution of such type of problems, it is necessary to build a model so
that future solution can be obtained using the model thus freeing managers to concentrate on
more pressing matters.
2. O.R. requires business managers to be quite explicit about their objective, their assumptions
and the way of visualizing the constraints.
3. While using O.R. approach, a manager has to consider very carefully all those variables
which influence his decisions and the way these variables in a problem interact with each
other. He then selects a decision which is best for the organization as whole.
4. O.R. approach allows a decision-maker to solve a complex problem involving multiple
variables much more quickly than if he had to compute them using traditional methods.
Some times it may not be possible to solve such complex problems without using O.R.
methods.
5. Using O.R. approach, a decision-maker can examine a situation from various angles by
simulating the model which he has constructed for the real problem. He can change various
conditions under which decisions are being made, and examine the effect of these changes
through appropriate experiments on the model, to determine the best or optimal solution for
the problem under consideration. All these experiments can be carried out without causing
any series damage to the existing system or incurring excessive cost.
Shortcomings of O.R.
1) There are certain problems which a decision-maker may have to solve only once.
Constructing a complex O.R. model for solving such problems is often too expensive when
compared with the cost of other less sophisticated approaches available to solve them.
2) Sometimes O.R. specialists become too much enamored with the model they have built and
forget the fact that their model does not represent the “real world problem” in which
decisions have to be made.
3) Sometimes the basic data are subject to frequent changes. In such cases, modification of O.R.
models is a costly affair.
4) Many O.R. models are so complex that they cannot be solved without the use of computer.
Also, the solutions obtained from these models are difficult to explain to managers and hence
fail to gain their support and confidence.
5) Magnitude of computation involved, lack of consideration for non-quantifiable factors and
psychological issues involved in implementation are some of the other shortcomings of O.R.
The approximation or abstraction, maintaining only the essential elements of the system,
which may be constructed with various forms by establishing relationships among
specified variables and parameters of the system, is called a model.
A model is constructed to analyze and understand the given system for the purpose of
improving its performance. The reliability of the solution obtained from a model
depends on the validity of the model in representing the system under study.
There are many ways to classify models. Classification schemes can also provide a useful
frame of reference for modelers. There are five classification schemes for models.
The models provide a physical appearance of the real object under study either reduced in
size or scaled up. Physical models are useful only in design problems because they
are easy to observe, build and describe.
The chief merit of an iconic model is that it is concrete and specific. It resembles visually
the thing it represents and therefore, there are likely to be fewer problems in translating
any “findings” from the model into the real-life situation. However, the disadvantage of
such models is that they often do not lead themselves to manipulation for experimental
purpose.
Use symbols (letters, numbers) and functions to represent variables and their
relationships to describe the properties of the system. These models are also used to
represent relationships which can be represented in a physical form.
ii. Mathematical models: - involve the use of mathematical symbols, letters, numbers
and mathematical operations (+, –, ÷, ×) to represent relationships among
variables of the system to describe its properties or behaviors.
Example: P = 2L + 2W
b) Predictive models: - these models indicate “if these occurs then what will follow”.
They relate dependent and independent variables and permit trying out “what if
questions’. Used to predict the outcomes due to a given set of alternatives for the
problem.
c) Normative (optimization) models: - provide the best or optimal solution to
problems subject to certain limitations on the use of resources. Are also called
prescriptive models because they provide what the decision maker out to do.
3. Classification based on time reference
a. Static models: - static models represent a system at some specified time and do
not account for changes over time.
b. Dynamic models; - time is considered as one of the variables and allows the
impact of changes due to change in time. Thus the sequence of interrelated
decisions over a period of time is made to select the optimal course of action to
optimize the given objective.
If all the parameters, constants and functional relationships are assumed to be known with
certainty when the decision is made, the model is said to be deterministic. Thus, in such
case, the outcome associated with a particular course of action is known. That is for a
specific set of input values, there is a uniquely determined output which represents the
solution of the model under considerations of certainty. The results of the models assume
single value.
Models in which at least one parameter or decision variable is a random variable are
called probabilistic (or stochastic) models. Since at least one decision variable is random,
Example: insurance against risk of fire, accidents, sickness, where the pattern of events
is studied in the form of probability distribution.
a. Heuristic models: These models employ some set of rules which, though
perhaps not optimal, do facilitate solution of problems when applied in a
consistent manner.
b. Analytical models: it has specific analytical structure and thus can be solved
by known analytical or mathematical techniques. Any optimization model
(which requires maximization or minimization of an objective function) is an
analytical model.
c. Simulation model: it has a mathematical structure but is not solved by
applying mathematical techniques to get a solution. Instead it is computer
assisted experimentation on a mathematical structure of a real life problem. It
is more flexible than a mathematical model and helps to represent complex
systems which otherwise can’t be represented by mathematically.
Review Questions
1. Model building is the essence of the operations research approach? Discuss.
2. What is meant by a mathematical model of a real situation? Discuss the importance of
models in the solution of O.R. problems.
3. What is the purpose of a mathematical model? How does a model achieve this purpose?
Consider in your answer the concept that a model is an abstraction of reality.
4. Explain how and why operations research methods have been valuable in aiding
executive decisions?