AFM Volume 2 (Version 1.0)
AFM Volume 2 (Version 1.0)
Advanced
Financial
Management
Volume - II
-: Author :-
• He has also completed training in SAP (an ERP), a preferred so ware used worldwide by
most of the MNC's
• Appeared on the first page of various newspapers for his grand success in CPA and CFA
exams
• First CFA of Madhya Pradesh who cleared all the 3 levels of CFA in Year 2008
• 5 Years of prac cal experience in esteemed organiza ons at various places – Bangalore
(India), Mumbai (India), Kingston (Jamaica), San Juan (Puerto Rico) , Chicago (USA).
• Only Faculty with prac cal Interna onal exposure to most of the Financial Management
and Cost Management topics such as Deriva ves trading, Fundamental & Technical
analysis of Stock Markets, Por olio Management, Research Reports and stock
recommenda ons, Capital Budge ng, Mergers & Acquisi ons, Forex transac ons,
Standard Cos ng, Manufacturing Resources Planning, Decision Making, Transfer Pricing
etc.
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01 54 138
₹
CHAPTER - 10 CHAPTER - 11
ADVANCED INTEREST
CAPITAL RATE RISK
BUDGETING MANAGEMENT
184 243
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Car Loan
Investment Bank
BUNDLE
Marketable
Securi es
Home Loan
HNI
Hedge Fund
Personal Loan
CHAPTER - 15
FINANCIAL POLICY THEORY
& CORPORATE
STRATEGY
313 317
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SPECIAL FEATURES
• This Notes are THE BEST notes covering a wide variety as well
as quantum of questions to enable students to face exam
with confidence
• Strictly as per New Syllabus
• Logically arranged concepts
• 360o coverage of each & every topic and each & every aspect
within those topics
• Covering 700+ practical questions including Advanced level
questions
• Practical questions as per latest ICAI examination questions
trend
• Including Past examination questions
• MOST UPDATED & comprehensive notes
• A Real Treasure For Lifetime!
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DERIVATIVES
ANALYSIS
&
VALUATION
UNIT I
FORWARD & FUTURES
MARGIN REQUIREMENTS
Ques on 1
Shrikant holds following posi on in his F&O por olio:-
Purchase Future Quan t Price Contract Expiry Date
Date Contract type y Size
28/01/23 Ni y 2 17060 50 March 2023
29/01/23 Sensex 1 58600 25 Feb 2023
29/01/23 Ni y 2 17056 50 March 2023
Below are the daily EOD prices of the above Futures:-
Date Ni y March Series Sensex Feb Series
28/01 17055 -
29/01 17080 58650
30/01 17040 58300
31/01 17050 58400
01/02 17090 58700
02/02 17070 -
03/02 17080 -
Equity Index futures contract are squared up at the daily se lement price of the day on the following dates:-
1. Sensex Feb Futures on 01/02/23
2. 100 Ni y March Futures on 02/02/23
3. 100 Ni y March Futures on 03/02/23
Calculate daily mark to market margin.
What if the above contracts are closed during the day (and not at the EOD se lement price) at ₹ 58500, 17060
and 17090 respec vely.
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17-2-09 3278.00 3249.50 3257.80 You are required to determine the daily balances in
the margin account and payment on margin calls, if
18-2-09 3118.00 3091.40 3102.60
any.
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SPECULATION
ARBITRAGE
Ques on 4
Microso Inc. that historically has not paid any dividend and has no plans to do so in the future, is currently
quo ng at the NASDAQ at $25. You wish to enter into a futures contract on Microso expiring 4 months from now.
(a) If the risk free rate of return is 3% per annum con nuously compounded what do you expect the futures
price to be?
(b) If the futures contract were priced at $26, what ac on would you take?
(c) If it is priced at $25.05 will your decision change?
Ques on 5
A 3-month forward contract on a stock, which is selling at ₹ 92, is entered into at a price of ₹ 96.50. Determine
the con nuously compounded risk free rate of interest implied in this contract.
[Ans: ₹ 200]
Ques on 7 Study Material, CA Final May 2004, RTP May 2021, MTP Sep 2022
The following data relate to Anand Ltd.'s share price:
Current price per share ₹ 1,800
6 months future's price/share ₹ 1,950
Assuming it is possible to borrow money in the market for transac ons in securi es at 12% per annum, you are
required:
(i) to calculate the theore cal minimum price of a 6-months forward purchase; and
(ii) to explain arbitrate opportunity.
[Ans: (i) 1908 (ii) ₹ 42 profit]
Ques on 10
An index consists of following four stocks. The value of the index is 12000.
Stock Price Quan ty (In Crores)
A 500 10
Calculate the price of a three months futures contract
B 800 5 on this index if one month from today, A would pay ₹
C 200 5 40 per share as dividend. The risk free rate is 12% per
annum con nuously compounding.
D 1000 5
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[Ans: ₹ 126.275]
Ques on 15
Consider a 6-month Gold futures contract of 1 kg. If the spot price is ₹ 19200 per 10 grams and that it costs ₹ 30
per 10 gram for 6 month period to store gold and that the cost is incurred at the end of 2 months. If CCRFI is
12% p.a., calculate futures price.
[Ans: ₹ 20418.56]
Ques on 16
A 3-month commodity futures is available at ₹ 540 per gram. Suppose the current price of gold is ₹ 530 per
gram and that it costs ₹ 3 per gram in arrears for the 3-monthly period to store gold. (i) If the futures are rightly
priced what is the con nuously compounded risk free rate? (ii) If the rate was 8% per annum, what
ac on would follow?
[Ans: 5.24% p.a. c.c.]
Ques on 17
The spot price of Wheat is ₹ 8000 per ton. The present value of storage cost is ₹ 300 per annum. The interest
rate is 8% p.a. and convenience yield is 2% p.a. both con nuously compounded. What would be the one-year
future price if there is no arbitrage.
[Ans: ₹ 8813.27]
Ques on 18
The spot price of Copper is ₹ 25000 per ton. The one-year futures price is ₹ 27600. The interest rate is 15%. The
present value of storage cost is ₹ 1500 per annum. Compute the convenience yield assuming that the futures
are fairly priced.
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HEDGING
Ques on 19
Ramesh holds 1 lakh shares of Rama Pulp Ltd. This stock is not traded in futures, however Ramesh wants to
hedge the systema c risk in his long posi on in the cash market. This stock has a beta of 2.3 and CMP is ₹ 45.
Index is currently trading at 17400 with a lot size of 50. (i) Suggest strategy. (ii) Suppose the price in the spot
market drops by 15%, how are you protected?
Ques on 25 Study Material, RTP May 2022, (8 Marks) CA Final July 2021, MTP Sep 2022
We assume that a futures contract on the BSE index with four months maturity is used to hedge the value of
por olio over next three months. One future contract is for delivery of 50 mes the index.
Based on the above informa on calculate:
(i) Price of future contract
(ii) The gain on short futures posi on if index turns out to be 4500 in three months.
A trader is having in its por olio shares worth ₹ 85 lakhs at current price and cash ₹ 15 lakhs. The beta of share
por olio is 1.6. A er 3 months the price of shares dropped by 3.2%.
Determine:
(i) Current por olio beta
(ii) Por olio beta a er 3 months if the trader on current date goes for long posi on on ₹ 100 lakhs Ni y futures.
Ques on 27 RTP Nov 21, (5 Marks) CA Final May 2012, RTP Nov 2023
A company is long on 10 MT of copper @ 534 per kg (spot) and intends to remain so for the ensuing quarter.
The variance of change in its spot and future prices are 16% and 36% respec vely, having correla on
coefficient of 0.75. The contract size of one contract is 1,000 kgs.
Required:
(i) Calculate the Op mal Hedge Ra o for perfect hedging in Future Market.
(ii) Advice the posi on to be taken in Future Market for perfect hedging.
(iii) Determine the number and the amount of the copper futures to achieve a perfect hedge.
Mr. ZZZ, informed Mr. Careless that he has made a loss of $114,500 due to the posi on taken. Since record of
Mr. Careless was incomplete he approached you to help him to find the number of contract of Future contract
he advised Mr. ZZZ to be short to obtain a complete hedge and beta value of X Inc.
You are required to find these values.
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Ques on 29 (8 Marks) CA Final Nov 2011, RTP May 2020, RTP Nov 2021
A Por olio Manager has the following four stocks in his por olio:
Security No. of shares Market Price per share Beta
VSL 10000 50 0.9
CSL 5000 20 1.0
SML 8000 25 1.5
APL 2000 200 1.2
Required:
(i) Por olio beta
(ii) If the PM seeks to reduce the beta to 0.8, how much risk free investment should he bring in?
(iii) If the PM seeks to increase the beta to 1.2, how much risk free investment should he bring in?
Ques on 30 Study Material, (8 Marks) Exam Nov 2022, CA Final MTP Oct 2019, RTP May 21, Nov 21
MISCELLANEOUS
Ques on 31 RTP Nov 2020, RTP Nov 2013, (8 Marks) Exam May 2019, May 2023
A Rice Trader has planned to sell 22000 kg of Rice a er 3 months from now. The spot price of the Rice is ₹ 60
per kg and 3 months future on the same is trading at ₹ 59 per kg. Size of the contract is 1000 kg. The price is
expected to fall as low as ₹ 56 per kg, 3 months hence. Required:
(i) to interpret the posi on of trader in the Cash Market.
(ii) to advise the trader what posi on the trader should take in Future Market to mi gate its risk of reduced profit.
(iii) to demonstrate effec ve realized price for its sale if he decides to make use of future market and a er 3
months, spot price is ₹ 57 per kg and future contract price for closing the contract is ₹ 58 per kg.
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Ques on 33 (4 Marks) CA Final Jan 2021, CA Final May 2005, RTP May 2023
Ram buys 10,000 shares of X Ltd. at ₹ 25 and obtains a complete hedge of shor ng 400 Ni ies at ₹ 1100 each.
He closes out his posi on at the closing price of the next day at which point the share of X Ltd. has dropped 4%
and the ni y future has dropped 2.5%. What is the overall profit/ loss of this set of transac on?
Ques on 34 Study Material, (6 Marks), CA Final Nov 2013, RTP Nov 2022
Ram buys 10,000 shares of X Ltd. at a price of ₹ 22 per share whose beta value is 1.5 and sells 5,000 share of A
Ltd. at a price of ₹ 40 per share having a beta value of 2. He obtains a complete hedge by Ni y futures at ₹
1,000 each. He closes out his posi on at the closing price of the next day when the share of X Ltd. dropped by
2%, share of A Ltd. appreciated by 3% and Ni y futures dropped by 1.5%. What is the overall profit / loss to Ram?
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UNIT II
OPTIONS
Ques on 38
B Ltd.'s stock is priced at ₹ 55. It could hit ₹ 110 or ₹ 27.50 in six month's me. A 6-month call op on has an
exercise price of ₹ 65. The interest rate is 10% per annum. What is the value of the call? Use risk neutral
approach.
Ques on 41
A stock is currently trading at ₹ 200, and it may either go up to ₹ 214 or fall down to ₹ 178 in 6 months me
period. Calculate the value of the call op on with a strike price of ₹ 205 for the period if risk free rate is 5% per period.
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Ques on 43
The current price of a stock is ₹ 100. During each six month period it will either rise by 11.1% or fall by 10%. The
interest rate is 5% per six-month period. Calculate the value of a one-year European put on the stock with an
exercise price of ₹ 102.
Ques on 44
A company's stock is currently traded in the market at ₹ 80. A two year American call op on on the company's
stock with strike price of ₹ 75 is available at the market. The price of the stock in the two years me either
move up or down by 10% in each year. The risk-free interest rate is 8%.
You are required to use Two-step Binomial Model to find out the price of the two year American call op on on
the company's stock.
[Ans: 15.79]
Ques on 46 Study Material, (8 Marks) CA Final Nov 2019, Nov 2015, RTP Nov 2022, MTP Oct 2022
Mr. Dayal is interested in purchasing equity shares of ABC Ltd. which are currently selling at ₹ 600 each. He
expects that price of share may go upto ₹ 780 or may go down to ₹ 480 in three months. The chances of
occurring such varia ons are 60% and 40% respec vely. A call op on on the shares of ABC Ltd. can be
exercised at the end of three months with a strike price of ₹ 630.
(i) What combina on of share and op on should Mr. Dayal select if he wants a perfect hedge?
(ii) What should be the value of op on today (the risk free rate is 10% p.a.)?
(iii) What is the expected rate of return on the op on?
Ques on 47
In the above ques on, what would happen if the actual market price of the op on were in excess of the price
you compute? What would happen if it were less?
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DERIVATIVES
33.00
30 29.70
27.00
24.30
Using the Binomial model, calculate the current fair value of a regular call op on on CAB Stock with the
following characteris cs: X = ₹ 28, Risk Free Rate = 5 percent p.a. You should also indicate the composi on of
the implied riskless hedge por olio at the valua on date.
Ques on 49 Study Material, (8 Marks) CA Final Nov 2006, RTP May 2020
From the following data for certain stock, find the value of a call op on:
CMP ₹ 80
Exercise Price ₹ 75
Std. Devia on 0.40
Maturity period 6 months
Annual interest rate 12%
Given
Number of S.D. from Mean, (z) Area of the le or right (one tail)
0.25 0.4013
0.30 0.3821
0.55 0.2912
0.60 0.2743
0.12 x 0.50
e = 1.062 Ln 1.0667 = 0.0646
Extra Knowledge: Ques on may also give below tables instead of above [Below was not part of Original Ques on]
Cumula ve Area table Two tail area table
Number of S.D. Cumula ve Number of S.D. Area of the le
from Mean, (z) Area from Mean, (z) and right (two tail)
0.25 0.5987 0.25 0.8026
0.30 0.6179 0.30 0.7642
0.55 0.7088 0.55 0.5823
0.60 0.7257 0.60 0.5485
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MISCELLANEOUS
UNIT I
FORWARD & FUTURES
Q. 1. Shrikant holds following posi on in his....
Solu on:
Computa on of MTM G/(L) - Ni y March Series - When closed at EOD
Date Opening Buy / (Sell) Buy / (Sell) Closing EOD MTM
Qty Qty Price Qty Price G/(L)
28/1 - 100 17060 100 17055 (500)
29/1 100 100 17056 200 17080 4900
[(17080 - 17055) x 100 +
(17080 - 17056) x 100]
Computa on of MTM G/(L) Ni y March Series - When closed during the day
Date Opening Buy / (Sell) Buy / (Sell) Closing EOD MTM
Qty Qty Price Qty Price G/(L)
28/1 - 100 17060 100 17055 (500)
29/1 100 100 17056 200 17080 4900
[(17080 - 17055) x 100 +
(17080 - 17056) x 100]
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Computa on of MTM G/(L) - Sensex Feb Series - When closed at EOD
Date Opening Buy / (Sell) Buy / (Sell) Closing EOD MTM
Qty Qty Price Qty Price G/(L)
29/1 - 25 58600 25 58650 1250
30/1 25 - - 25 58300 (8750)
31/1 25 - - 25 58400 2500
1/2 25 (25) 58700 - 58700 7500
Net MTM = 2500
Computa on of MTM G/(L) Sensex Feb Series - When closed during the day
Date Opening Buy / (Sell) Buy / (Sell) Closing EOD MTM
Qty Qty Price Qty Price G/(L)
29/1 - 25 58600 25 58650 1250
30/1 25 - - 25 58300 (8750)
31/1 25 - - 25 58400 2500
1/2 25 (25) 58500 - - 2500
Net MTM = (2500)
Solu on:
(i) Contract Size (₹ 17,300 x 50 x 2) = ₹ 17,30,000
Ini al Margin (10% of 17,30,000) = ₹ 1,73,000
Maintenance Margin (80% of 1,73,000) = ₹ 1,38,400
Statement showing the daily balances in Margin A/c and margin call if any,
Day Changes in future Values (₹) Margin A/c (₹) Call Money (₹)
31/08/21 ---- 1,73,000 -
01/09/21 (₹ 17,340 - ₹ 17,300) x 50 x 2 = 4,000 1,77,000 -
02/09/21 (₹ 17,180 - ₹ 17,340) x 50 x 2 = -16,000 1,61,000 -
03/09/21 (₹ 16,990 - ₹ 17,180) x 50 x 2 = - 19,000 1,42,000 -
06/09/21 (₹ 16,900 - ₹ 16,990) x 50 x 2 = - 9,000 1,73,000 40,000
07/09/21 (₹ 17,120 - ₹ 16,900) x 50 x 2 = 22,000 1,95,000 --
Solu on:
1. Calcula on of spot price
The formula for calcula ng forward price is:
r nt
A=P 1+ ) )
n
Where A = For ward price
P = Spot Price
r = rate of interest
n = no. of compounding
t = me
Using the above formula,
208.18 = P (1 + 0.08/12)6
Or 208.18 = P x 1.0409
P = 208.18/1.0409 = 200
Hence, the spot price should be ₹ 200.
Q.7. The following data relate to Anand Ltd.'s share....
Solu on:
Anand Ltd
(i) Calcula on of theore cal minimum price of a 6 months forward contract-
Theore cal minimum price = ₹ 1,800 + (₹ 1,800 x 12/100 x 6/12) = ₹ 1,908
Solu on:
Based on the above informa on, the futures price for ACC stock on 31 December 2020 should be:
= 220 + (220 x 0.15 x 0.25) — (0.25 x ₹ 10) = 225.75
Thus, as per the ‘cost of carry’ criteria, the futures price is ₹ 225.75, which is less than the actual price of ₹ 230 on 31
March 2021. This would give rise to arbitrage opportuni es and consequently the two prices will tend to converge.
He will buy the ACC stock at ₹ 220 by borrowing the amount @ 15 % for a period of 3 months and at the same me
sell the March 2021 futures on ACC stock.
By 31st March 2021, he will receive the dividend of ₹ 2.50 per share.
On the expiry date of 31st March, he will deliver the ACC stock against the March futures contract sales.
Thus, the arbitrager earns ₹ 4.25 per share without involving any risk.
Solu on:
Future's Price = Spot + cost of carry – Dividend
ⴕ
F = 220 + 220 × (0.15 × 0.25) – 0.25** × 10 = 225.75
ⴕ Alterna vely monthly compounding can also be used.
** En re 25% dividend is payable before expiry, which is ₹2.50.
Thus, we see that futures price by calcula on is ₹225.75 which is quoted at ₹230 in the exchange.
(i) Analysis:
Fair value of Futures less than Actual futures Price:
Futures Overvalued Hence it is advised to sell. Also do Arbitraging by buying stock in the cash market.
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Step I
He will buy PQR Stock at ₹220 by borrowing at 15% for 3 months. Therefore, his ou lows are:
Cost of Stock 220.00
Add: Interest @ 15 % for 3 months i.e. 0.25 years (220 × 0.15 × 0.25) 8.25
Total Ou lows (A) 228.25
Step II
He will sell March 2000 futures at ₹ 230. Meanwhile he would receive dividend for his stock.
Hence his inflows are
Sale proceeds of March 2000 futures 230.00
Dividend received 2.50
Total inflows (B) 232.50
Inflow – Ou low = Profit earned by Arbitrageur
= 232.50 – 228.25 = 4.25
Solu on:
Working Note 1: Calcula on of present Market Cap
Stock Price No. of Shares (In Crores) M. Cap (In Crores)
A 500 10 5000
B 800 5 4000
C 200 5 1000
D 1000 5 5000
Total M. Cap = 15000
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Solu on:
Tutorial Note:
It has been inherently assumed by ICAI that Dividend yield of 6% pa is also con nuously compounded .
A = P x e t(r–y)
(3/12)(0.10 – .06)
= ₹ 14000 x e = ₹ 14000 x 1.01005 = ₹ 14,140.7
Since Actual Futures Price (14200) > Fair futures price (14140.7), therefore, Futures contract are Overvalued.
Hence , an arbitrageur should :
i) Short Index Futures Contract,
ii) Buy in spot index ETF / Index cons tuents
iii) Borrow at Risk free rates
to earn risk free arbitrage gain of ₹ 59.30
Q. 12. Consider a three-month future contract on an ETF. It is....
Solu on:
Div. Amount = ₹ 125 x 1%
= 1.25
F = S0 x ert - I
here,
I means Future value of Div.
0.08 x 3/12
= 125 x e - 1.25
0.02
= 125 x e - 1.25
= 125 x 1.02020 - 1.25
= ₹ 126.27
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Solu on:
The dura on of future contract is 4 months. The average yield during this period will be:
3% + 3% + 4% + 3%
= 3.25%
4
As per Cost to Carry model the future price will be
F = Se(rf-D)t
Where S = Spot Price
rf = Risk Free interest
D = Dividend Yield
t = Time Period
Solu on:
(i) The price of the Future Contract
Let X be the Price of Future Contract. Accordingly,
₹ 9,00,000
5=
X
X (Price of One Future Contract) = ₹ 1,80,000
₹ 1,80,000
(ii) Current Future price of the index = = 2400
75
st
Let Y be the current Ni y Index (on 1 February 2020) then
4
Accordingly, Y + Y (0.09 - 0.06) = 2400
12
2400
and Y = = 2376.24
1.01
Hence Ni y Index on 1st Febuary 2020 shall be approximately 2376.
(iii) To determine whether the market is in Contango/ Backwarda on first we shall compute Basis as follows:
Basis = Spot Price – Future Price
If Basis is nega ve the market is said to be in Contango and when it is posi ve the market is said to be
Backwarda on.
Since current Spot Price is 2400 and Ni y Index is 2376, the Basis is nega ve and hence there is Contango
Market and maximum Contango shall be 24 (2400 – 2376).
(iv) Pay off on the Future transac on shall be [(2400-2100) x 375] ₹ 112500
The Future seller gains if the Spot Price is less than Futures Contract price as posi on shall be reversed at
same Spot price. Therefore, Mr. SG has gained ₹ 1,12,500/- on the Short posi on taken.
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Solu on:
F = (S0 + S) x e
= (19200 + 29.41) x e0.12x6/12
= ₹ 20418.55
₹ 30 30 30
* PV of Storage cost = 0.12 x 2/12 = 0.02 = = 29.41
e e 1.02020
or ₹ 30 x e-0.02
= ₹ 30 x 0.98020
= ₹ 29.41
Solu on:
rt
(i) F = S0 x e + S
540 = 530 x erx3/12 + 3
537 0.25r
=e
530
1.01321 = e0.25r
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Solu on:
β x Rupee Value of Spot posi on requiring hedging
No. of index Futures to be traded =
Value of one index Futures Contract
2.3 x (₹ 45 x 10000 share)
=
17400 x 50
= 11.89 lots ~ 12 lots SHORT
(ii) Proof of Hedging
Long in Spot Short in Index Futures
₹ 45 ₹ 17400
6.52% drop in Index
Loss in spot = ₹ 45 x 15% i.e. ₹ 6.75 x 100000 share Gain in Index = ₹ 17400 x 6.52% x 50 units x 12 lots
= ₹ 675000 Loss = ₹ 680688 ~ ₹ 675000 gain
Hence Proved that Mr. Ramesh is now hedged against Systema c Risk.
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Solu on:
Sl. No. Company Trend Amount Beta Index Posi on
Name (₹) Value (₹)
(i) Right Ltd. Rise 50 Lakh 1.25 62,50,000 Short
(ii) Wrong Ltd. Depreciate 25 Lakh 0.95 22,50,000 Long
(iii) Fair Ltd. Stagnant 20 Lakh 0.75 15,00,000 Long
25,00,000 Short
Q.21. On 1st July 2021 Mr. P has made the following investment:....
Solu on:
(i) To hedge his market exposure Mr. P should take short posi on in the Ni y Futures.
1.25 × ₹ 700 × 1,000
No. of Contract of Ni y Future to be Short = =1
17,500 x 50
(ii) a. Profit or loss of Mr. P during the expiry of September 2021 Futures:
Par culars If Ni y rises by 10%
Loss on Ni y Futures (17,500 x 50 x 0.10) ₹ 87,500
Gain on Stock of ML Ltd. (1.25 x 0.10 x ₹ 7,00,000) ₹ 87,500
Net Gain/ (Loss) Nil
b. Profit or loss of Mr. P during the expiry of September 2021 Futures:
Par culars If ML Ltd. falls by 5%
Gain on Ni y Futures (17,500 x 50 x 0.05)/1.25 ₹ 35,000
Gain on Stock of ML Ltd. (0.05 x ₹ 7,00,000) ₹ 35,000
Net Gain/ (Loss) Nil
(iii) Normally it is not possible that Ni y to rise or fall by same percentage because of systema c risk i.e. Beta may
not be the same as of market.
Q.22. Mr. A has a por olio of ₹ 5 crore consis ng of equity....
Solu on:
Reduce Beta to 0.85
(a) Reduc on in beta through change in composi on of risk free securi es whose beta is zero
Thus, ₹ 3.695 crores (₹ 5 crores x 0.739) shall remain invested in por olio and remaining ₹ 1.305 crores shall be
invested in risk free securi es (say Treasury bills)
(b) Using Index Futures
Current Value of Por olio x [Desired Beta - Exis ng Beta]
No. of Contract =
Value of one Future Index Posi on
500,00,000 x (0.85 - 1.15)
= = 4.76 or say 5 contracts Short
21,000 x 150
Increase Beta to 1.45
(a) Beta shall be increased by inves ng addi onal amount in equity shares. Addi onal Amount Required may be
borrowed at Risk Free Rate.
Desired Beta = W1 x Exis ng Beta + W2 x Beta which is 0
1.45 = W1 x 1.15 + (1 – W1) x 0
W1 = 1.45/1.15 = 1.26
This can be achieved by:
(i) Holding on ₹ 5 crore worth of shares
(ii) Selling short Risk Free Securi es of ₹ 1.30 crores (0.26 X ₹ 5 crores) i.e. borrowing ₹ 1.30 crores and
using proceeds to buy ₹ 1.30 crores of addi onal shares.
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Leaders in Advanced Financial Education Across India 29
DERIVATIVES
Solu on:
Current por olio
Current Beta for share =1.6
Beta for cash =0
Current por olio beta = 0.85 x 1.6 + 0 x 0.15 = 1.36
(ii) Since the company is long posi on in Spot (Cash) Market it shall take Short Posi on in Future Market.
Solu on:
Let the number of contract in Index future be y and Beta of X Inc. be x. Then,
100,000 x 22 x X - 50,000 x 40 x 2
= -y
1,000
* Nega ve (-) sign indicates the sale (short) posi on
2,200,000x – 4,000,000 = – 1,000y
Q.29. A por olio Manager (PM) has the following four stocks in his por olio:....
Solu on:
(i)
Security No. of Shares (1) Market Price (2) (1) x (2) % to total (w) β (x) wx
VSL 10000 50 500000 0.4167 0.9 0.375
CSL 5000 20 100000 0.0833 1 0.083
SML 8000 25 200000 0.1667 1.5 0.250
APL 2000 200 400000 0.3333 1.2 0.400
1200000 1 1.108
(ii) Por olio Beta 1.108
Required Beta 0.8
It Should become (0.8 / 1.108) 72.2 % of present por olio
If ₹ 12,00,000 is 72.20%, the total por olio should be ₹ 12,00,000 × 100/72.20 or ₹ 16,62,050
Addi onal investment in zero risk should be (₹ 16,62,050 - ₹ 12,00,000) = ₹ 4,62,050
Revised Por olio will be
Security No. of Shares (1) Market Price (2) (1) x (2) % to total (w) β (x) wx
VSL 10000 50 500000 0.3008 0.9 0.271
CSL 5000 20 100000 0.0602 1 0.060
SML 8000 25 200000 0.1203 1.5 0.180
APL 2000 200 400000 0.2407 1.2 0.289
Risk Free Assset 46205 10 462050 0.2780 0 0
1662050 1 0.80
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DERIVATIVES
Solu on:
(1) Yes, the apprehension of investor is correct as the current por olio is more riskier than market as the beta
(Systema c risk) is more than 1.
Shares No. of shares Market Price (1) x (2) % to β (x) wx
(lakhs) (1) Per Share (2) (₹ lakhs) total (w)
A Ltd. 3.00 500.00 1500.00 0.30 1.40 0.42
B Ltd. 4.00 750.00 3000.00 0.60 1.20 0.72
C Ltd. 2.00 250.00 500.00 0.10 1.60 0.16
5000.00 1.00 1.30
(6) 2% rise in Ni y is accompanied by 2% x 1.30 i.e. 2.6% rise for por olio of shares
₹ Lakh
Current Value of Por olio of Shares 5000
Value of Por olio a er rise 5130
Mark-to-Market Margin paid (8125 x 0.020 x ₹ 200 x 120) 39
Value of the por olio a er rise of Ni y 5091
% change in value of por olio (5091 - 5000)/ 5000 1.82%
% rise in the value of Ni y 2%
Beta 0.91
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DERIVATIVES
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DERIVATIVES
Solu on:
Cash Outlay
= 10000 x ₹ 25 – 400 x ₹ 1,100
= ₹ 2,50,000 – ₹ 4,40,000 = - ₹ 1,90,000
Gain/ Loss
= ₹ 1,90,000 – ₹ 1,89,000 = ₹ 1,000 (Gain)
Solu on:
(b) No of the Future Contract to be obtained to get a complete hedge
1000 x ₹ 22 x 1.5 - 5000 x ₹ 40 x 2
=
₹ 1000
₹ 3,30,000 - ₹ 4,00,000
= = 70 contracts
₹ 1000
Thus, by purchasing 70 ni y future contracts to be long to obtain a complete hedge.
Cash Ou low
= 10000 × ₹ 22 – 5000 × ₹ 40 + 70 × ₹ 1,000
= ₹ 2,20,000 – ₹ 2,00,000 + ₹ 70,000
= ₹ 90,000
Gain/Loss
= ₹ 75,550 – ₹ 90, 000 = - ₹ 11,450 (Loss)
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DERIVATIVES
UNIT II
OPTIONS
CB35. The stock of Infosys is trading at ₹ 5000. Mr. A....
Solu on:
(i) Put op on (ii) ₹ 1400 (iii) 30th December
(iv) ₹ 20 (v) Mr. A (vi) Mr. B
(vii) Stock of Infosys (viii) ₹ 1500
In case of Put op on, since Share price is greater than strike price Op on Value would be zero.
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DERIVATIVES
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DERIVATIVES
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DERIVATIVES
B 72
60
A E
50 48
C
40 F
32
Using the single period model, the probability of price increase is
R - d 1.06 - 0.80 0.26
P= = = = 0.65
u -d 1.20 - 0.80 0.40
therefore the p of price decrease = 1 - 0.65 = 0.35
The two step Binominal tree showing price and pay off
D 72
B
60 22
13.49
A E
50 48
8.272 C
0
40
0 F
32 0
The value of an American call option at nodes D, E and F will be equal to the value of European option at these
nodes and accordingly the call values at nodes D, E and F will be 22, 0 and 0 using the single period binomial model
the value of call option at node B is
Cup + Cd(1 − p) 22 X 0.65+ 0 X 0.35
C= = = 13.49
R 1.06
The value of option at node ‘A’ is
13.49 x 0.65 + 0 x 0.35
= 8.272
1.06
Q.46. Mr. Dayal is interested in purchasing equity shares....
Solu on: (i) To compute perfect hedge we shall compute Hedge Ra o (∆) as follows:
C1 - C 2 150 - 0 150
∆= = = = 0.50
S1 - S2 780 - 480 300
Mr. Dayal should purchase 0.50 share for every 1 call op on.
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DERIVATIVES
d2 = 0.5820 – 0.2828
= 0.2992
Nd1 = N (0.5820) Nd2 = N (0.2992)
= 0.7197 = 0.6175
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DERIVATIVES
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DERIVATIVES
(ii) If the current price is taken as 380 the computa ons are as follows:
380 1
ln ( ) [
400
+ .05 + (.22)2 .25
2
] -0.05129 + .01855
d1 = = = -0.297636
.22 .25 .11
ln ( 380
400
) 1
+ [.05 - (.22) ] .25
2
2
-0.05129 + .00645
d2 = = = -0.407636
.22 .25 .11
E
VO = VS N(d1) - rt N(d2)
e
N(d1) = N(-0.297636) = .3830
N(d2) = N(-0.407636) = .3418
400
380 (.3830) - (.05) (.25) x (.3418)
e
400
145.54 - (.3418) = 145.54 - 135.02 = ₹ 10.52
1.012578
(iii) Value of call op on = ₹ 10.52
Current Market Value = ₹ 415
400 400
Present Value of Exercise Price = = 395.06 or = 395.03
1.0125 1.012578
Value of Put Op on can be find by using Put Call Parity rela onship as follows:
Vp = -Vs + Vc + PV (E)
Vp = -380 + 10.52 + 395.06 = 25.58
= ₹ 25.58 Ans
or -380 + 10.52 + 395.03 = 25.55
= ₹ 25.55
(iv) Since dividend is expected to be paid in two months me we have to adjust the share price and then use
Black Scholes model to value the op on:
Present Value of Dividend (using con nuous discoun ng) = Dividend x e-rt
= ₹ 10 x e-.05 x.16666
= ₹ 10 x e-.008333
= 9.917 (Please refer Exponen al Table)
Adjusted price of shares is ₹ 408 - 9.917 = ₹ 398.083
This can be used in Black Scholes model
398.083 1
ln ( 400
)[ 2
]
+ .05 + (.22)2 .25
-.00481 + .01855
d1 = = = .125
.22 .25 .11
ln ( 398.083
400
) 1
+ [.05 + (.22) ] .25
2
2
-.00481 + .00645
d2 = = = .015
.22 .25 .11
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DERIVATIVES
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DERIVATIVES
The strategy to be adopted Sell Call and Buy Put and Share. The posi on of cash flows on the strategy adopted will
be as follows:
Inflow ₹ Ou low ₹
Buying the Share — 100
Buy the Put — 2
Sell the Call 26 —
Total 26 102
Net inflow 76 —
102 102
This amount shall be borrowed for 3 months. A er the 3 months the posi on will be as follows:
0.045
Repayment of borrowings (76 x e ) ₹ 79.50
Inflow due to exercise of op on ₹ 80.00
Net Gain ₹ 0.50
Q.52. The market received rumour about ABC corpora on's e up....
Solu on:
Cost of Call and Put Op ons
= (₹ 2 per share) x (100 share call) + (₹ 1 per share) x (100 share put)
= ₹ 2 x 100 + 1 x 100
= ₹ 300
(i) Price increases to ₹ 43. Since the market price is higher than the strike price of the call, the investor will exercise it.
Ending posi on = (- ₹ 300 cost of 2 op on) + (₹ 1 per share gain on call) x 100
= - ₹ 300 + 100
Net Loss = - ₹ 200
(ii) The price of the stock falls to ₹ 36. Since the market price is lower than the strike price, the investor may not
exercise the call op on.
Ending Posi on = (- ₹ 300 cost of 2 op ons) + (₹ 4 per stock gain on put) x 100
= - ₹ 300 + 400
Gain = ₹ 100
Q.53. Mr. A purchased a 3-month call op on for 100 shares in XYZ Ltd....
Solu on:
Since the market price at the end of 3 months falls to ₹ 350 which is below the exercise price under the call op on,
the call op on will not be exercised. Only put op on becomes viable.
₹
The gain will be:
Gain per share (₹ 450 - ₹ 350) 100
Total gain per 100 shares 10,000
Cost or premium paid (₹ 30 x 100) + (₹ 5 x 100) 3,500
Net gain 6,500
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DERIVATIVES
Solu on
(i)
Contract Size (₹ 9,170 x 50) = ₹ 4,58,500
Ini al Margin (8% of 4,58,500) = ₹ 36,680
Maintenance Margin (6% of 4,58,500) = ₹ 27,510
(1) For investor taken Long posi on:
Day Change in Future value (₹) Margin A/c (₹) Call Money (₹)
0 ----- 36,680
1 (₹ 9,380 - ₹ 9,170) x 50 = 10,500 47,180
2 (₹ 9,520 - ₹ 9,380) x 50 = 7,000 54,180
3 (₹ 9,100 - ₹ 9,520) x 50 = - 21,000 33,180
4 (₹ 8,960 - ₹ 9,100) x 50 = - 7,000 36,680 10,500
5 (₹ 9,140 - ₹ 8,960) x 50 = 9,000 45,680
(2) For investor taken Short posi on:
Day Change in Future value (₹) Margin A/c (₹) Call Money (₹)
0 ----- 36,680
1 (₹ 9,170 - ₹ 9,380) x 50 = - 10,500 36,680 10,500
2 (₹ 9,380 - ₹ 9,520) x 50 = - 7,000 29,680
3 (₹ 9,520 - ₹ 9,100) x 50 = 21,000 50,680
4 (₹ 9,100 - ₹ 8,960) x 50 = 7,000 57,680
5 (₹ 8,960 - ₹ 9,140) x 50 = - 9,000 48,680
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DERIVATIVES
Substan ate your answer assuming the Fund Manager's apprehension will materialize.
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DERIVATIVES
Solu on:
Number of index future to be sold by the Fund Manager is:
This jus fies the answer. Further, cash is not a part of the por olio.
100 102.60
(N1)
95
(N3)
90.25
Consider a two years American call op on on the stock of ABC Ltd., with a strike price of ₹ 98. The current price
of the stock is ₹ 100. Risk free return is 5 per cent per annum with a con nuous compounding and e0.05 = 1.05127.
Assume two me periods of one year each.
Using the Binomial Model, calculate:
(i) The probability of price moving up and down;
(ii) Expected pay offs at each nodes i.e. N1, N2 and N3 (round off upto decimal points).
Solu on:
(i) Using the single period model, the probability of price moving up is
Therefore, the probability of price moving down = 1 - 0.78 = 0.22 i.e. 22%
(ii) Expected pay-off at
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Leaders in Advanced Financial Education Across India 53
FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE & RISK MANAGEMENT
FOREIGN
EXCHANGE
EXPOSURE &
RISK
MANAGEMENT
UNIT I
BASICS OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Leaders in Advanced Financial Education Across India 54
FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE & RISK MANAGEMENT
CB 3
Iden fy whether the following quotes offered by a Kolkata Bank, are in direct or indirect format, and provide
the corresponding indirect or direct quotes.
Currency ₹ Quote Type of Corresponding
Original Quote Other format Quote
CB 4
For the following informa on you are required to specify the direct or indirect format of quote, and to convert
the rates into the other format.
Place of Currency Price Rate Type of Corresponding
Quote being Original Other Format
bought or Sold Quote Quote
London Sterling Dollar 1.4300
Tokyo CHF Yen 87
Geneva UAE Dirham CHF 0.31
Singapore Malaysian SGD 0.4173
Ringgits(MYR)
[Ans: I,D,D,D ; 0.6993, 0.0115, 3.2258, 2.3964]
CB 5
INR 130-132 per OMR is a direct quote. Another direct quote is ¥/£ 141-145.
Spot :
(a) The country where the quote is made
(b) The bid, ask and spread
(c) For the Ask price
(i) Currency being bought by the bank
(ii) Currency being bought by you
(d) For the Bid price
(i) Currency being bought by the bank
(ii) Currency being bought by you
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FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE & RISK MANAGEMENT
CB 6
Consider the following INR/SGD direct quote of ICICI Mumbai: 61.50 - 61.75
CB 7
Consider the following Euro/USD direct quote: 0.7525-0.7550
(a) What is the cost of buying Euro 1,25,000?
(b) How much would you receive by selling 50,000 Euro?
(c) What is the cost of buying USD 80,000?
(d) What is your receipt if you sell USD 60,000?
CB 8
The rate quoted by a Chennai banker is ₹ 70- 72 per pound. Compute the relevant pound-per-Re rate.
CB 9
If the Bid-Ask spread on Euro is 0.80 and the middle rate is ₹ / Euro: 64.50, calculate ₹ / Euro quote?
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FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE & RISK MANAGEMENT
CB 10
If SGD/INR = 0.0299 and €/INR is 0.0148.
(a) Ascertain the quote for SGD in terms of €
CB 12
From the following quotes (i) $ 1.33 – 1.36 per € (ii) $1.43 - 1.46 per GBP, derive Bid/Ask € rates for one unit of
GBP.
CB 13
GB £s and US$ quoted by a bank in Mumbai at 75.90/95 and 48.00/10 respec vely. What is the theore cal bid
and ask rate for sterling in New York.
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FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE & RISK MANAGEMENT
CB 14
From the following quotes of a bank, determine the rate at which Yen can be purchased and sold with rupees.
(i) Rupees/Pd. Strlng : 75.40 – 70
(ii) Dollar/ Pounds : 1.563 – 65
(iii) Yen/ Dollar : 118 - 119
CB 15
An Indian shipping Co has asked you to quote your spot TT selling rate for a freight remi ance of DEM 1,50,000
to Frankfurt. Assuming Deutsche Mark is quoted in Singapore as under:
Spot USD 1 = DEM 1.6275
In interbank market US dollar is quoted as under:
Spot USD 1 = ₹ 36.2300
What rate will you quote to your customer?
[Ans: ₹ 22.26 per DEM]
CB 16
Following exchange rates are available in the London Forex market
Currency £1 =
Swedish Kroner 13.50-13.75
Euro 0.9163-0.9170
US Dollar 1.544-1.552
Assume that you have to first necessarily convert rupees into Pound Sterling, which is quoted at ₹ 73.35-55 in
Mumbai.
Compute the quantum of each of the currencies that you can buy (independent of the other), if you have a
sum of ₹ 120000. Round upto 2 decimals.
[Ans: (a) £1631.54 (b) S. Kr. 22026 (c) €1495 (d) $2519]
CB 18
Calculate the merchant rates given the following interbank rates & margins:
1) GBP 1 = ₹ 66.3250/4525
T.T. Selling rate margin 0.130%
T.T. Buying rate margin 0.030%
2) DEM 1 = ₹ 32.2525/3500
T.T. Selling rate margin 0.125%
T.T. Buying rate margin 0.025%
3) USD 1 = ₹ 44.4400/5100
T.T. Selling rate margin 0.150%
T.T. Buying rate margin 0.080%
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FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE & RISK MANAGEMENT
CB 20
AB Corp enters into a forward contract to buy USD three months from today. Similarly XY Ltd. enters into a
forward contract to sell USD three months from today. The spot rate for the dollar is 48-49 and the Forward
rate is 48.50-50.00. Suppose three months hence the dollar quotes at ₹ 48.25-50.50. What ac on will follow?
Solve:
CB 21
If Spot EUR/USD is quoted at a bid price of 1.0213 and an ask price of 1.0219. Calculate spread in terms of pips
?
Solve:
The spread is USD 0.0006 or in other words, spread is equal to 6 “pips”.
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FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE & RISK MANAGEMENT
CB 24: On July 14 the following rates are quoted by a bank as given in the Table. However a corporate
customer wants to transact in USD on October 21 . The bank has to quote a forward rate for this date.
USDINR Maturity Date Bid Rate Ask Rate
th
Spot July 14 47.0725 47.0745
1 Month August 14th 135 130
2 Month September 14th 140 133
th
3 Month October 14 160 145
th
4 Month November 14 175 155
[Ans: 47.0562 – 47.0598, Hint: Applicable Swap Points are 163.39 – 147.26]
However, later during the day, the market became vola le and the dealer in compliance with his
management's guidelines had to square - up the posi on when the quota ons were:
Spot US $ 1 INR 31.4300/4500
1 month margin 25/20
2 months margin 45/35
Spot US $ 1 EURO 1.4400/4450
1 month forward 1.4425/4490
2 months forward 1.4460/4530
What will be the gain or loss in the transac on?
Ques on 8 Study Material,(5 Marks) CA Final Nov 2016, RTP Nov 2022
On April 3, 2016, a Bank quotes the following:
Spot exchange Rate (US $ 1) INR 66.2525 - 67.5945
2 months' swap points 70 - 90
3 months' swap points 160 - 186
In a spot transac on, delivery is made a er two days.
Assume spot date as April 5, 2016.
Assume 1 Swap points = 0.0001
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FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE & RISK MANAGEMENT
UNIT II
TYPES OF RISKS & RISK MANAGEMENT
A1: DO NOTHING
Ques on 12
AA Ltd., in India exports so ware for an invoice value $100 M on 1 month credit. Spot rate is ₹ 75. 1-M Forward
rate is ₹ 76. (a) If AA Ltd decides to take no decision what would be their gain or loss if the spot rate 1-M later is
₹ 75.5? (b) How would the posi on change if AA Ltd were impor ng and not expor ng so ware?
CB 1
Decide the mode of invoicing in the following cases:
a. Mehta Diamonds Ltd. in India exports polished Diamonds. The last shipment was invoiced in Belgian
Francs. The importer, a sister concern in Antwerp, has informed that from 1 January 2017 Belgian
Francs is not a traded currency. Mehta Diamonds has to decide on invoicing either in Euro or in Rupees.
Euro is showing signs of apprecia on against all major currencies.
b. Hanung Toys Ltd., in India imports jumping monkey toys. The shipment is being organized by a Hong
Kong intermediary from Mainland China. Payment terms are 60 days. Spot Re/HKD is 7.20. While Rupee
is gaining against USD, it is deprecia ng against HK Dollar. The CIF value of shipment is HKD 210000.
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FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE & RISK MANAGEMENT
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FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE & RISK MANAGEMENT
Required:
(i) How many US dollars should a firm sell to get ₹ 25 lakhs a er 2 months?
(ii) How many Rupees is the firm required to pay to obtain US $ 2,00,000 in the spot market?
(iii) Assume the firm has US $ 69,000 in current account earning no interest. ROI on Rupee investment is 10%
p.a. should the firm encash the US $ now or 2 months later?
Ques on 18
A group of companies is controlled from the USA. This group has subsidiaries in UK, Euroland and Japan. For
convenience, these are referred to as UK, EL and JP. As on 31st March, inter-company indebtedness stood as under:
Debtor Creditor Amount (in Million)
UK EL EL 240
UK JP ¥12,000
JP EL EL 120
EL UK Sterling 75
EL JP ¥ 12,000
US Headquarters follow the mul -lateral ne ng policy, and adopt the following exchange rates: US $1 = €
0.90; Sterling 0.70; ¥ 120.
Compute and show net payments to be made by subsidiaries, a er ne ng off.
Ques on 19 Study Material, (8 Marks) CA Final May 2008, Nov 2016, Dec 2021
A company is considering hedging its foreign exchange risk. It has made a purchase on 1st January, 2008 for
which it has to make a payment of US $ 50,000 on September 30, 2008. The present exchange rate is 1 US $ = ₹
40. It can purchase forward 1 US $ at ₹ 39. The company will have to make an upfront premium of 2% of the
forward amount purchased. The cost of funds to the company is 10% per annum and the rate of Corporate tax
is 50%. Ignore taxa on. Consider the following situa ons and compute the Profit/ Loss the company will make
if it hedges its foreign exchange risk:
(i) If the exchange rate on September 30, 2008 is ₹ 42 per US $
(ii) If the exchange rate on September 30, 2008 is ₹ 38 per US $
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Ques on 22 Study Material,(8 Marks) CA Final Nov 2007, CA Final Nov 2019
Following informa on relates to AKC Ltd. which manufactures some parts of an electronics device which are
exported to USA, Japan and Europe on 90 days credit terms.
Cost and Sales Informa on:
Japan USA Europe
Variable cost per unit ₹ 225 ₹ 395 ₹ 510
Export sale price per unit Yen 650 US$ 10.23 Euro 11.99
Receipts from sale due in 90 days Yen 78,00,000 US$ 1,02,300 Euro 95,920
Foreign exchange rate informa on:
Yen/₹ US$/₹ Euro/₹
Spot Market 2.417 -2.437 0.0214 - 0.0217 0.0177 - 0.0180
3 months forward 2.397 - 2.427 0.0213 - 0.0216 0.0176 - 0.0178
3 months spot 2.423 - 2.459 0.02144 - 0.02156 0.0177 - 0.0179
Advice AKC Ltd. by calcula ng average contribu on to sales ra o whether it should hedge it's foreign currency
risk or not.
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Ques on 27
XYZ Plc is a UK based Export Company. It is now April. XYZ is due to receive in June, a sum of US$ 1,40,000 from
its customer in Los Angeles USA. Spot rate in April is $/£ 1.5865 – 85. Contract size for £s is £25,000. The
contract price is $ 1.59. Delivery dates are June, September and December. Spot rate in June is $/£ 1.6120-40. FX
Futures Sterling sale contracts are priced in June at 1.6100. Demonstrate the use of futures as a hedging tool.
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Ques on 29
A firm in Denmark exports dairy products. On June 15 2004, an order worth $ 5 million to a US super store
chain was shipped. The payment was due a er 3 months from the day of shipment. The spot DKr/$ was
6.1569 and the 3 month forward rate was 6.1625 at that me. The firm considered hedging the exposure
through futures contract. Since futures contract for Danish Kroner was not available, it considered either
futures on Swiss Franc or Swedish Kroner on IMM as both the currencies are closely related to Danish Kroner.
The spot SFr/$ rate was 1.2743 and September SFr futures were trading at $0.7875. The spot SKr/$ rate was
7.5833 and September SKr futures were trading at $0.13126 at that me.
On September 15, 2004, dollar was priced in the spot market as at SFr 1.2678, SKr 7.6166 and DKr 6.1602. In
the futures market September SFr future was priced $ 0.7891 and September SKr futures was priced at $
0.13133.
You are required to find out which hedging strategy would have been be er for the Danish firm.
(Standard size of SFr and SKr futures are 125,000 each).
For excess or balance of JY covered, the firm would use forward rate. You are required to recommend cheaper
hedging alterna ve for XYZ.
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A1 TO B12: COMPREHENSIVE
Ques on 31 CA Final RTP May 2005 (Similar), RTP Nov 2016, Nov 2022
A company in UK will need to make a payment of $ 364897 in six month's me. Following market info is available.
Forex (Indirect quote) FX Op ons
Spot $ 1.5617-1.5773
Six months forward $ 1.5455-1.5609
Exercise Price 1.70
Six months call $ 0.037 ȼ per Pound
Six months Put $ 0.096 ȼ per Pound
Contract size Assume: Pound 12500
Which alterna ve should the B Ltd. follow in order to minimize its cost of mee ng the future payment in LCs?
Explain.
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You are required to calculate the expected loss and to show how it can be hedged by a forward contract.
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Ques on 36 Study Material, Prac ce Manual, Exam May 2015, Nov 2016, May 2023, RTP May 2021
XYZ Ltd. is an export oriented business house based in Mumbai. The Company invoices in customers' currency.
Its receipt of US $ 1,00,000 is due on September 1, 2017.
Market informa on as at June 1, 2017 is:
Exchange Rates Currency Futures Contract size ₹ 4,72,000
US $/₹ US $/₹
Spot 0.02140 June 0.02126
1 Month Forward 0.02136 September 0.02118
3 Months Forward 0.02127
Ini al Margin Interest Rates in India
June ₹ 10,000 7.50%
September ₹ 15,000 8.00%
On September 1, 2017 the spot rate US $/Re. is 0.02133 and currency future rate is 0.02134.
Comment which of the following methods would be most advantageous for XYZ Ltd.
(a) Using forward contract
(b) Using currency futures
(c) Not hedging currency risks.
It may be assumed that varia on in margin would be se led on the maturity of the futures contract.
Ques on 37 Study Material, (8 Marks) CA Final Nov 2013, MTP Sep 2022
An American firm is under obliga on to pay interests of Can$ 1010000 and Can$ 705000 on 31st July and 30th
September respec vely. The Firm is risk averse and its policy is to hedge the risks involved in all foreign
currency transac ons. The Finance Manager of the firm is thinking of hedging the risk considering two
methods i.e. fixed forward or op on contracts.
It is now June 30. Following quota ons regarding rates of exchange, US$ per Can$, from firm's bank were obtained:
Spot 1 Month Forward 3 Months Forward
0.9284 - 0.9288 0.9301 0.9356
Price for a Can$ / US$ op on on a U.S. stock exchange (cents per Can$, payable on purchase of the op on,
contract size Can$ 50000) are as follows:
Strike Price Calls Puts
(US$/Can$) July Sept. July Sept.
0.93 1.56 2.56 0.88 1.75
0.94 1.02 NA NA NA
0.95 0.65 1.64 1.92 2.34
According to the sugges on of finance manager if op ons are to be used, one month op on should be bought
at a strike price of 94 cents and three month op on at a strike price of 95 cents and for the remainder
uncovered by the op ons the firm would bear the risk itself. For this, it would use forward rate as the best
es mate of spot. Transac on costs are ignored.
Recommend, which of the above two methods would be appropriate for the American firm to hedge its
foreign exchange risk on the two interest payments.
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Ques on 38 Study Material,(8 Marks) CA Final Nov 2011, RTP May 2020, RTP May 2021
Nitrogen Ltd, a UK company is in the process of nego a ng an order amoun ng to €4 million with a large
German retailer on 6 months credit. If successful, this will be the first me that Nitrogen Ltd has exported
goods into the highly compe ve German market. The following three alterna ves are being considered for
managing the transac on risk before the order finalized.
(i) Invoice the German firm in Sterling using the current exchange rate to calculate the invoice amount.
(ii) Alterna ve of invoicing the German firm in € and using a forward foreign exchange contract to hedge the
transac on risk.
(iii) Invoice the German first in € and use sufficient 6 months sterling future contracts (to the nearly whole
number) to hedge the transac on risk.
Following date is available
Spot Rate €1.1750 - €1.1770/£
6 months forward premium 0.60 - 0.55 Euro Cents
6 months future contract is currently trading at €1.1760/£
6 months future contract size is £ 62,500
Spot rate and 6 months future rate €1.1785/£
Required:
a. Calculate to the nearest £ the receipt for Nitrogen Ltd, under each of the three proposals.
b. In your opinion, which alterna ve would you consider to be the most appropriate and the reason thereof.
[Ans: £ 3398471, 3382664, 3401305]
Ques on 39 Study Material, (16 Marks) CA Final May 2007, Nov 2015, May 2019
XYZ Ltd. a US firm will need £3,00,000 in 180 days. In this connec on, the following informa on is available:
Spot rate 1 £=$2.00
180 days forward rate of £ as of today = $1.96
Interest rates are as follows: U.K US
180 days deposit rate
sol 4.5% 5%
180 days borrowing rate 5% 5.5%
A call op on on £ that expires in 180 days has an exercise price of $1.97 & a premium of $0.04
XYZ Ltd. has forecasted the spot rates 180 days hence as below:
Future rate Probability
$ 1.91 25%
$1.95 60%
$2.05 15%
Which of the following strategies would be most preferable to XYZ Ltd.?
(a) A forward contract;
(b) A money market hedge;
(c) An op on contract;
(d) No hedging. Show calcula ons in each case
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UNIT III
FATE OF FORWARD CONTRACT
Assuming that the flat charges for the cancella on is ₹ 100 and exchange margin is 0.10%, then determine the
cancella on charges payable by the customer.
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Calculate the cancella on charges, payable by the customer if exchange margin required by the bank is 0.10%
on buying and selling.
Assuming a margin 0.10% on buying and selling, determine the extension charges payable by the customer
and the new rate quoted to the customer.
[Ans: Amount payable by Bank ₹ 14875, Hint: Cancella on Rate 59.3025, New Forward Rate 59.5700]
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Ques on 47
th th
The bank had agreed on 20 February that it will sell on 20 April to the customer DEM 10,000 at ₹ 34.57. On
th
the same day bank recovered its posi on by buying forward from the market due 20 April at the rate of ₹
th
34.5550. On 20 March, the customer approaches the bank to sell DEM 10,000 under the forward contract
earlier entered into. The rates prevailing in the interbank market on this date are:
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AUTOMATIC CANCELLATION
Ques on 48
st
On 1 January, the bank enters into a forward purchase contract with an export customer for USD 1 million
st
due on 1 March at an exchange rate of ₹ 75.60 and covers its posi on in the market at ₹ 75.65.
th
The customer defaults to execute the contract on the due date. On 4 March the bank cancels the contract
unilaterally. The following were the exchange rate prevalent.
On 1 March Interbank TT rates USD 1 = ₹ 75.75 / 80
1 month forward ₹ 75.90 / 95
Merchant TT rates USD 1 = ₹ 75.67 / 90
On 4 March Interbank TT rates USD 1 = ₹ 76.10 / 15
Merchant TT rates USD 1 = ₹ 76.05 / 20
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The exchange rates for US$ in the interbank market were as below
10 September 12 September
Spot US$ 1= 66.1500/1700 65.9600/9900
Spot/September 66.2800/3200 66.1200/1800
Spot/October 66.4100/4300 66.2500/3300
Spot/November 66.5600/6100 66.4000/4900
Exchange margin was 0.1% on buying and selling. Interest on outlay of funds was 12% p. a.
MISCELLANEOUS
Ques on 51 Study Material, (8 Marks) CA Final May 2012, MTP Oct 2019
NP and Co. has imported goods for US$ 7,00,000. The amount is payable a er three months. The company has
also exported goods for US$ 4,50,000 and this amount is receivable in two months. For receivable amount a
forward contract is already taken at ₹ 48.90.
The market rates for ₹ and Dollar are as under:
Spot ₹ 48.50 / 70
Two months 25 / 30 points
Three months 40 / 45 points
The company wants to cover the risk and it has two op ons as under:
a. To cover payables in the forward market, and
b. To lag the receivables by one month and cover the risk only for the net amount. No interest for delaying the
receivables is earned. Evaluate both the op ons if the cost of Rupee Funds is 12%. Which op on is preferable?
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UNIT IV
ARBITRAGE PROSPECTS
Ques on 52
Spot Rate - $ 1.6095 / £
Interest Rates (p.a. compounded con nuously)
i$ = 8%
i£ = 3%
Ques on 56
Presently, the dollar is worth 140 yen in the spot market. The interest rate in Japan on 90 days government
securi es is 4% p.a. (a) If the interest rate parity theorem holds, and if the 3 months forward rate is 138 what is
the implied interest rate in USA? (b) if the actual interest rate is 7% p.a. in USA what ac on would follow?
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(i) Do you expect United States Dollar to be at premium or at discount in the India Forward Market;
(ii) What is the expected 6-month forward rate for United States Dollar in India, and
(iii) What is the rate of forward premium or discount?
CB 1
Bank A quotes $1 = ₹ 65.30 / 65.90
Bank B quotes $1 = ₹ 65.50 / 66.30
Check if there exist any arbitrage opportunity?
CB 2
Bank A in USA and Bank B in UK provides the following quotes:
Bank A $ / £ = 1.6250 / 1.6310
Bank B £ / $ = 0.5820 / 0.5910
Hint: First calculate implied $ / £ rates.
Ques on 62
Following are the foreign exchange rates:
$1 = ₹ 40.50 / 40.75
$1 = £ 0.60 / 0.61
£1 = ₹ 65 / 66
Iden fy the arbitrage opportunity if any from the above quotes.
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UNIT I
BASICS OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE
Q.1. On January 28, 2020 an importer customer requested....
Solu on:
On January 28, 2020 the importer customer requested to remit SGD 25 lakhs.
To consider sell rate for the bank:
US $ ₹ 45.90
Pound 1 US $ 1.7850
Pound 1 SGD 3.1575
Therefore, SGD 1 ₹ 45.90 x 1.7850
SGD 3.1575
SGD 1 ₹ 25.9482
Add: Exchange margin (0.125%) ₹ 0.0324
₹ 25.9806
On February 4, 2020 the rates are
US $ ₹ 45.97
Pound 1 US $ 1.7775
Pound 1 SGD 3.1380
Therefore, SGD 1 ₹ 45.97 x 1.7775
SGD 3.1380
SGD 1 ₹ 26.0394
Add: Exchange margin (0.125%) ₹ 0.0325
₹ 26.0719
Hence, loss to the importer
= SGD 25,00,000 (₹ 26.0719 - ₹ 25.9806) = ₹ 2,28,250
Q.5. You have following quotes from Bank A and Bank B:....
Solu on:
(i) To Buy 1 Million GBP Spot against CHF
1. First to Buy USD against CHF at the cheaper rate i.e. from Bank A.
1 USD = CHF 1.4655
2. Then to Buy GBP against USD at a cheaper rate i.e. from Bank B
1 GBP = USD 1.7650
By applying chain rule Buying rate would be
1 GBP = 1.7650 * 1.4655 CHF
1 GBP = CHF 2.5866
Amount payable CHF 2.5866 Million or CHF 25,86,600
(ii) Spot rate Bid rate GBP 1 = CHF 1.4650 * 1.7645 = CHF 2.5850
Offer rate GBP 1 = CHF 1.4655 * 1.7660 = CHF 2.5881
GBP / USD 3 months swap points are at discount
Outright 3 Months forward rate GBP 1 = USD 1.7620 / 1.7640
USD / CHF 3 months swap points are at premium
Outright 3 Months forward rate USD 1 = CHF 1.4655 / 1.4665
Hence
Outright 3 Months forward rate GBP 1 = CHF 2.5822 / 2.5869
Spot rate GBP 1 = CHF 2.5850 / 2.5881
Therefore 3-month swap points are at discount of 28/12.
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Q.6. Your forex dealer had entered into a cross currency deal....
Solu on: The amount of EURO bought by selling US$
US$ 10,00,000 * EURO 1.4400 = EURO 14,40,000
The amount of EURO sold for buying USD 10,00,000 * 1.4450 = EURO 14,45,000
Net Loss in the Transac on = EURO 5,000
To acquire EURO 5,000 from the market @
(a) USD 1 = EURO 1.4400 &
(b) USD1 = INR 31.4500
Cross Currency buying rate of EUR/INR is ₹ 31.4500 / 1.440 i.e. ₹ 21.8403
Loss in the Transac on ₹ 21.8403 * 5000 = ₹ 1,09,201.50
Alterna vely, if delivery to be affected then computa on of loss shall be as follows:
EURO to be surrendered to acquire $ 10,00,000 = EURO 14,45,000
EURO to be received a er selling $ 10,00,000 = EURO 14,40,000
Loss = EURO 5,000
To acquire EURO 5,000 from market @
US $ 1 = EURO 1.4400
US $ 1 = INR 31.45
31.45
Cross Currency = = ₹ 21.8403
1.440
Loss in Transac on (21.8403 x EURO 5,000) = ₹ 1,09,201.50
Q.7. M/s. Sky products Ltd., of Mumbai, an exporter of sea foods has submi ed
Solu on: (i) Transit and usance period is 80 days. It will be rounded off to the lower of months and @ months
forward bid rate is to be taken
₹/USD ₹ 67.8000
Add: Premium for 2 months ₹ 0.2100
₹ 68.0100
Less: Exchange margin @ 0.1% ₹ 0.0680
Bid rate for USD ₹ 67.9420
USD/EUR USD 1.0775
Add: Premium USD 0.0040
USD 1.0815
₹/EUR Rate (67.942 x 1.0815) ₹ 73.4793
Amount of Export Bill EUR 5,00,000
Less: EEFC EUR 2,50,000
EUR 2,50,000
Exchange Rate ₹ 73.4793
(ii) Cash Inflow ₹ 1,83,69,825
(iii) Interest for 80 days @ 8% ₹ 3,22,101
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Q.9. Excel Exporters are holding an Export bill in United States Dollar....
Solu ons:
(i) Rate of discount quoted by the bank
(45.20 - 45.60) x 365 x 100
= = 5.33%
45.60 x 60
(ii) Probable loss of opera ng profit:
(45.20 - 45.50) x 1,00,000 = ₹ 30,000
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UNIT II
TYPES OF RISKS & RISK MANAGEMENT
Q.10. M/s Omega Electronics Ltd. exports air condi oners....
Solu on:
(1) Profit at current exchange rates
2400 [€ 500 x S$ 51.50 - (S$ 800 x ₹ 27.25 + ₹ 1,000 + ₹ 1,500)]
2400 [₹ 25,750 - ₹ 24,300] - ₹ 34,80,000
Profit a er change in exchange rates
2400[€ 500 x ₹ 52 - (S$ 80 x ₹ 27.75 + ₹ 1000 + ₹ 1500)]
2400[₹ 26,000 - ₹ 24,700] = ₹ 31,20,000
LOSS DUE TO TRANSACTION EXPOSURE
₹ 34,80,000 - ₹ 31,20,000 = ₹ 3,60,000
(2) Profit based on new exchange rates
2400[₹ 25,000 - (800 x ₹ 27.15 + ₹ 1,000 + ₹ 1,500)]
2400[₹ 25,000 - ₹ 24,220] = ₹ 18,72,000
Profit a er change in exchange rates at the end of six months
2400[₹ 25,000 - (800 x ₹ 27.75 + ₹ 1,000 + ₹ 1,500)]
2400[₹ 25,000 - ₹ 24,700] = ₹ 7,20,000
Decline in profit due to transac on exposure
₹ 18,72,000 - ₹ 7,20,000 = ₹ 11,52,000
(b) By doing nothing AA Ltd is subjec ng itself to exchange rate risk. i.e. it will have to BUY dollars at the spot rate
prevailing on date of se lement namely ₹ 75.50. Rela ve to forward cover (₹ 76) this leads to a lower
payment and to that extent represents a GAIN. The gain is $100 M x (₹ 75.50 - 76.00) = ₹ 50 M.
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Solu on:
(i) Pay the supplier in 60 days
If the payment is made to supplier in 60 days ₹ 57.10
the applicable forward rate for 1 USD
Payment Due USD 2,000,000
Ou low in Rupees (USD 2000000 × ₹ 57.10) ₹ 114,200,000
Add: Interest on loan for 30 days@10% p.a. ₹ 9,51,667
Total Ou low in ₹ ₹ 11,51,51,667
Q.16. XYZ Ltd. has imported goods to the extent of US$ 8 Million....
Solu on:
To evaluate which op on would be be er we shall compute the ou low under each op on as follows:
(i) Pay Immediately availing discount
Par culars
Spot Rate ₹ 66.98
Amount required in US$ [US$ 8 Million (1 – 0.01)] US$ 7.92 Million
Amount required in ₹ [₹ 66.98 x US$ 7.92 Million] ₹ 53.0482 Crore
Cash Available ₹ 0.2500 Crore
Loan required ₹ 52.7982 Crore
Interest for 90 days @ 9% ₹ 1.1880 Crore
Total Ou low ₹ 53.9862 Crore
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(ii) Pay the supplier on 60th day and avail bank's loan (a er u lizing cash) for 30 days.
Par culars
Applicable Forward Rate ₹ 67.16
Amount required in [₹67.16 x US$ 8 Million] ₹ 53.7280 Crore
Loan required [₹53.7280 Crore – ₹0.25 Crore] ₹ 53.4780 Crore
Interest for 30 days @ 9% ₹ 0.4011 Crore
₹ 53.8791 Crore
Interest earned on Cash for 60 days @ 4% ₹ 0.0017 Crore
Total Ou low ₹ 53.8774 Crore
(iii) Available supplier offer of 90 days credit and u lize cash available
Par culars
Amount Payable US$ 8 Million
Interest for 30 days @ 8% US$ 0.0533 Million
Amount required in ₹ US$ 8.0533 Million
Applicable Forward Rate ₹ 68.03
Amount required in ₹ [₹ 68.03 x US$ 8.0533 Million] ₹ 54.7866 Crore
Cash Available ₹ 0.2500 Crore
Interest earned on Cash for 90 days @ 4% ₹ 0.0025 Crore
Total Ou low ₹ 54.5341 Crore
Decision: Cash ou low is least in case of Op on (ii) same should be opted for.
Q.17. The following 2-way quotes appear in the foreign exchange market....
Solu on:
(i) US $ required to get ₹ 25 lakhs a er 2 months at the Rate of ₹ 47/$
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If exchange rate is ₹ 42
Then gain (₹ 42 – 39) for USD 5000 1,50,000
Less : Hedging cost 41,925
Net gain 1,08,075
If USD = ₹ 38
Then loss (39 – 38) for USD 50000 50,000
Add: Hedging Cost 41,925
Total Loss 91,925
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Q.20. You sold Hong Kong Dollar, 1,00,00,000 value spot....
Solu on: The bank (Dealer) covers itself by buying from the market at market selling rate.
Rupee – Dollar selling rate = ₹ 42.85
Dollar – Hong Kong Dollar = HK $ 7.5880
Rupee – Hong Kong cross rate = ₹ 42.85 / 7.5880
= ₹ 5.6471
Profit / Loss to the Bank
Amount received from customer (1 crore × 5.70) ₹ 5,70,00,000
Amount paid on cover deal (1 crore × 5.6471) ₹ 5,64,71,000
Profit to Bank ₹ 5,29,000
Q.21. You, a foreign exchange dealer of your bank, are informed that....
Solu on: Amount realized on selling Danish Kroner 10,00,000 at ₹ 6.5150 per Kroner = ₹ 65,15,000.
Cover at London:
Bank buys Danish Kroner at London at the market selling rate.
Pound sterling required for the purchase (DKK 10,00,000 ÷ DKK 11.4200) = GBP 87,565.67 Bank buys locally GBP
87,565.67 for the above purchase at the market selling rate of ₹ 74.3200.
The rupee cost will be = ₹ 65,07,88
Profit (₹ 65,15,000 - ₹ 65,07,881) = ₹ 7,119
Cover at New York:
Bank buys Kroners at New York at the market selling rate.
Dollars required for the purchase of Danish Kroner (DKK10,00,000/7.5670) = USD 1,32,152.77
Bank buys locally USD 1,32,152.77 for the above purchase at the market selling rate of ₹ 49.2625.
The rupee cost will be = ₹ 65,10,176
Profit (₹ 65,15,000 - ₹ 65,10,176) = ₹ 4,824
The transac on would be covered through London which gets the maximum profit of ₹ 7,119 or lower cover cost at
London Market by (₹ 65,10,176 - ₹ 65,07,881) = ₹ 2,295
Q.22. Following informa on relates to AKC Ltd. which manufactures.....
Solu on: If foreign exchange risk is hedged Total (₹)
Sum due Yen 78,00,000 US$1,02,300 Euro 95,920
Unit input price Yen 650 US$10.23 Euro 11.99
Unit sold 12000 10000 8000
Variable cost per unit ₹ 225/- ₹ 395/- ₹ 510/-
Variable cost ₹ 27,00,000 ₹ 39,50,000 ₹ 40,80,000 ₹ 1,07,30,000
Three months forward rate for selling 2.427 0.0216 0.0178
Rupee value of receipts ₹ 32,13,844 ₹ 47,36,111 ₹ 53,88,764 ₹ 1,33,38,719
Contribu on ₹ 5,13,844 ₹ 7,86,111 ₹ 13,08,764 ₹ 26,08,719
Average contribu on to sale ra o 19.56%
If risk is not hedged
Rupee value of receipt ₹ 31,72,021 ₹ 47,44,898 ₹ 53,58,659 ₹ 1,32,75,578
Total contribu on ₹ 25,45,578
Average contribu on to sale ra o 19.17%
AKC Ltd. is advised to hedge its foreign currency exchange risk.
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Solu on:
Here we have to compare the no onal cash ou low for the forward rate of JP ¥ and the actual cash ou low
involved In rupees against forward purchase of JP ¥ for dollars in Tokyo and spot purchase of dollars in Delhi for ₹.
(A) Cash flow of forward purchasing the JP ¥
₹ /JP ¥ 6 month forward rate
Bid rate = Bid rate of US$ / Ask Rate of JP ¥ = ₹ 46/ JP ¥ 110.60 = ₹ 0.415913
Ask rate = Ask rate of US$ / Bid Rate of JP ¥ = ₹ 46.03/ JP ¥ 110 = ₹ 0.418454
Hence, ₹/JP ¥ 6 month forward rate = 0.415913/0.418454
Accordingly, if the company had purchased JP ¥ forward against rupees it would have paid = ₹ 418454.50
(B) Cash flow of forward purchasing US$ in spot market and conver ng into JP¥
Amount of US dollars to be paid on due date by purchase of JP ¥ 1 million in forward market
= JP¥ 1,000,000/ JP¥ 110 = US$ 9090.91
Cash ou lows in rupees against purchase of dollars on Dec. 31, 2009 = US$ 9090.91 x ₹ 46.26 = ₹ 420,545.50
Thus, the company paid ₹ 2,091 more in the strategy adopted by Mr. X.
Solu on:
Evalua on of MMH
Step 1: Iden fy
Ÿ The company has a foreign currency asset for $350,000.
Step 2: Create
Ÿ We must now create a liability
Step 3: Borrow
Ÿ Borrow in $ an amount which will mature in value to $ asset of Step 1
Ÿ Rate: 9% per annum or 2.25% per quarter.
Ÿ Borrowing: $ 350,000 / 1.0225 = S 342,300.
Step 4: Convert
Ÿ Sell $ and buy £.
Ÿ The relevant rate is the Ask rate, namely, 1.5905 per £.
Ÿ £ s received on conversion is (£ 342,300 /1.5905) = 215,215
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Step 5: Invest
Ÿ £ 215,215 will be invested at 5% for 3 months
Step 7: Se le
Ÿ The liability of $ 342,300 @ 2.25% per quarter matures to $ 350,000. This will be se led with the amount of $
350,000 receivable from customer.
Lead payment
Since the Euro is apprecia ng against the Pound Sterling, a lead payment may be worthwhile.
Pound Sterling cost now = € 2,50,000/1.996 = £ 1,25,251
This cost must be met by a short-term loan at a six-month interest rate of 3.05%
Pound Sterling value of loan in six months' me = £ 1,25,251 x 1.0305 = £1,29,071
Evalua on of hedges
The rela ve costs of the three hedges can be compared since they have been referenced to the same point in me,
i.e. six months in the future. The most expensive hedge is the lead payment, while the cheapest is the forward
market hedge. Using the forward market to hedge the account payable currency risk can therefore be
recommended.
Q.26. Columbus Surgicals Inc. is based in US, has recently imported....
Solu on:
£ EXPOSURE
Since Columbus has a £ receipt (£ 138,000) and payment of (£ 480,000) maturing at the same me i.e. 3 months, it
can match them against each other leaving a net liability of £ 342,000 to be hedged.
EURO RECEIPT
Amount to be hedged = Euro 590,000
Now we Convert exchange rates to home currency
Euro / US$
Spot 0.5285 - 0.5294
4 months forward 0.5118 - 0.5126
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Step 6: Closing out Futures posi on & Calcula ng G/(L) on Futures contract
Original Ac on : Buy £1 = $ 1.59 Ou low
Square - off Ac on : Sell £1 = $ 1.61 Inflow
Gain per £ = $ 0.02
Total Gain on Futures = $ 0.02 x £ 25000 x 4 contracts per £
= $ 2000 gain
*Since we need to sell $ & Buy £ in June, ∴ relevant rate is Ask Rate.
Solu on:
The company can hedge posi on by selling future contracts as it will receive amount from outside.
$4,00,000
Number of Contracts = = 400 Contracts
$1,000
Gain by trading in futures = (₹ 45 - ₹ 44.50) 4,00,000 = ₹ 2,00,000
Solu on:
1. Hedging through SFr futures
As the customer had a receivable in $, he would go long in SFr futures as it amounts to go short in USD i.e.
buy SFr futures
Standard size of SFr future is 125,000.
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Solu on:
(1) Forward Cover
3 month Forward Rate = 1/1.9726 = ₹ 0.5070/JY
Accordingly, INR required for JY 5,00,000 (5,00,000 x ₹ 0.5070) = ₹ 2,53,500
(2) Op on Cover
Decide Posi on: Customer will sell ₹ and buy Yen. Hence Put Op on contract in ₹ should be taken at EP :1 ₹ =
Yen 2.125 paying OP of 1 ₹ = Yen .098
Hence, to purchase JY 5,00,000, XYZ shall enter into a Put Op on @ JY 2.125/INR
On Expiry:
₹ 2,35,294
₹ 11,815
₹ 2,47,109
Since ou low of cash is least in case of Op on II, the same should be opted for. Further if price of INR goes above JY
2.125/INR the ou low shall further be reduced.
Note: Assuming Put Op on contract is exercised at EP.
Note: Opportunity Cost of premium paid is ignored in the absence of any informa on.
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Solu on:
(A) Forward Market
(i) Exposure = $ 364897
(ii) Forward Rate 1£ = $1.5455
(iii) Ou low (6 month later) = £ 236103
(B) Cash (Money Market)
(i) Maturity in $ a er 6 months = $ 364897
(ii) Present value of {$364897/(1 +(0.045/2))} = $ 356867
(iii) Borrow at spot to make up $356867 = £ 228512
(at 1£ = $1.5617)
(iv) Amount to be discharged including interest = £ 236510
(1 + 0.07/2)
(C) Currency op ons
(i) Number of contracts 364897/21250 = 17.17 contracts
(can be rounded off to 17 contracts)
(ii) Exposure covered through put op on 17 x 21250 = $ 361250
(iii) Balance to be covered through forward market $ 3647
(iv) Premia payable in $ (17 x 12,500 x .096) $ 20400
(v) Premia payable in £ [use spot Bid] £ 13063
($20,400/1.5617)
Put op on Forward
Exposure covered $361250 $3647
£ £ Tutorial Note:
Premia 13063 – Interest on Op ons is
17 contract exercised 212500 – not considered by ICAI
(17 x 12500) but ideally it should also
Forward contract 2360 be considered. Interest
($ 3647/1.5455) on op ons = £ 457
225563 2360
Total ou low £ 227923
Tutorial Note: Suppose Exposure amount in the above Q is given as $ 377000. It will result in $377000 /
$21250 = 17.74 ~ 18 contracts. Now it would result in excess dollars of $5500 on exercising the op on
contract. These excess $ 5500 would be sold at 6mf @ £ 1 = $ 1.5609 leading to inflow of £ 3524
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Q.32. On march 1, 2015, B Ltd. bought from a foreign firm electronic equipment....
Solu on:
Op on (A): Forward hedge
Cost at forward rate = $1,00,000 (9,00,000/9)
Cost at current spot rate = $ 90,000 (9,00,000/10)
Exchange Loss = $ 1,00,000 - $ 90,000 = $ 10,000
Tax shield on exchange loss = $10,000 x 0.40 = $ 4000
Net Cost of using forward market = $ 1,00,000 - $ 4000 = $ 96000
Op on (B): Money Market Hedge
Post tax interest rates in US and LC are 7.2% and 4.8% respec vely. Each LC deposited at 4.8% now grows into LC
1.012 in 3 months.
A Inc, should buy and invest LC 8,89,328 (9,00,000/1.012) for 3 months
Spot purchase and deposit at 4.8% (LC) 8,89,328
Payment accumulated of LC deposits to make payment to LC Supplier 9,00,000
Exchange rate for spot purchase $1 = 10 LC
Borrow US $ at 7.2% to finance spot purchased 88,932.80
Repay $ loan with interest (88,932.80 x 1.018) 90,533.59
Op on (C) No hedge
Cost at future spot Rate = $ 1,12,500 (9,00,000/8)
Cost at Current spot rate = $ 90,000 (9,00,000/10)
Exchange loss = $ 1,12,500 - $ 90,000 = $ 22,500
Tax shield on exchange loss = $ 22,500 x 0.40 = $ 9000
Net cost if not hedged = $ 1,12,500 - $ 9,000 = $ 1,03,500.
The money market hedge (Op on B) is best.
Q.33. In March, 2017, the Mul na onal Industries make the following
Solu on.
(i) Calcula on of expected spot rate for March , 2017:
$ for £ Probability Expected $/£
(1) (2) (1) × (2) = (3)
1.60 0.15 0.24
1.70 0.20 0.34
1.80 0.25 0.45
1.90 0.20 0.38
2.00 0.20 0.40
1.00 EV = 1.81
Therefore, the expected spot value of $ for £ for March 2017 would be $ 1.81.
(ii) If the six-month forward rate is $ 1.80, the expected profits of the firm can be maximised by retaining its
pounds receivable.
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Q.34. ABC Co. have taken a 6 month loan from their foreign....
Solu on:
Firstly, the interest is calculated at 3% p.a. for 6 months. That is:
USD 20,00,000 × 3/100 × 6/12 = USD 30,000
From the forward points quoted, it is seen that the second figure is less than the first, this means that the currency
is quoted at a discount.
(i) The value of the total commitment in Indian rupees is calculated as below:
Principal Amount of loan USD 20,00,000
Add: Interest USD 30,000
Amount due USD 20,30,000
Spot rate ₹ 48.5275
Forward Points (6 months) (–) 0.0700
Forward Rate ₹ 48.4575
Value of Commitment ₹ 9,83,68,725
(ii) It is seen from the forward rates that the market expecta on is that the dollar will depreciate. If the firm's
own expecta on is that the dollar will depreciate more than what the bank has quoted, it may be worthwhile
not to cover forward and keep the exposure open.
If the firm has no specific view regarding future dollar price movements, it would be be er to cover the
exposure. This would freeze the total commitment and insulate the firm from undue market fluctua ons. In
other words, it will be advisable to cut the losses at this point of me.
Given the interest rate differen als and infla on rates between India and USA, it would be unwise to expect
con nuous deprecia on of the dollar. The US Dollar is a stronger currency than the Indian Rupee based on
past trends and it would be advisable to cover the exposure.
Q.35. A company opera ng in Japan has today effected sales....
Solu on:
Spot rate of ₹ 1 against yen = 108 lakhs yen/₹ 30 lakhs = 3.6 yen
3 months forward rate of Re. 1 against yen = 3.3 yen
An cipated decline in Exchange rate = 10%.
Expected spot rate a er 3 months = 3.6 yen – 10% of 3.6 = 3.6 yen – 0.36 yen = 3.24 yen per rupee
₹ (in lakhs)
Present cost of 108 lakhs yen 30.00
Cost a er 3 months: 108 lakhs yen/ 3.24 yen 33.33
Expected exchange loss 3.33
If the expected exchange rate risk is hedged by a Forward contract:
Present cost 30.00
Cost a er 3 months if forward contract is taken 108 lakhs yen/ 3.3 yen 32.73
Expected loss 2.73
Sugges on: If the exchange rate risk is not covered with forward contract, the expected exchange loss is ₹ 3.33 lakhs. This
could be reduced to ₹ 2.73 lakhs if it is covered with Forward contract. Hence, taking forward contract is suggested.
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(ii) Proposal of op on (c) is preferable because the op on (a) & (b) produces least receipts.
Alterna ve solu on:
Assuming that 6 month forward premium is considered as discount, because generally premium is men oned in
ascending order and discount is men oned in descending order.
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Solu on:
(a) Forward contract: Dollar needed in 180 days = £3,00,000 x $ 1.96 = $5,88,000/-
(b) Money market hedge: Borrow $, convert to £, invest £, repay $ loan in 180 days
Amount in £ to be invested = 3,00,000/1.045 = £ 2,87,081
Amount of $ needed to convert into £ = 2,87,081 x 2 = $ 5,74,162
Interest and principal on $ loan a er 180 days = $5,74,162 x 1.055 = $ 6,05,741
(c) Call op on:
Expected Prem./ Exercise Total price Total price Prob. Pi pixi
Spot rate in unit Op on per unit for
180 days £3,00,000xi
1.91 0.04 No 1.95 5,85,000 0.25 1,46,250
1.95 0.04 No 1.99 5,97,000 0.60 3,58,200
2.05 0.04 Yes 2.01* 6,03,000 0.15 90,450
5,94,900
Add: Interest on Premium @ 5.5% (12,000 x 5.5%) 660
5,95,560
* ($1.97 + $0.04)
(d) No hedge op on:
Expected Future Dollar needed Prob. Pi Pi xi
spot rate Xi
1.91 5,73,000 0.25 1,43,250
1.95 5,85,000 0.60 3,51,000
2.05 6,15,000 0.15 92,250
5,86,500
The probability distribu on of outcomes for no hedge strategy appears to be most preferable because least
number of $ are needed under this op on to arrange £3,00,000.
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UNIT III
FATE OF FORWARD CONTRACT
Q. 40. On 15 January 2015 you as a banker booked a forward contract for US$ 250000....
Solu on:
It is a case of Cancella on of Forward Contract on due date, therefore, Bank will enter into opposite ac on to
Cancel the Contract.
Since Original contract is sale contract, the contract shall be cancelled at ready buying rate on the date of
cancella on as follows:
Q.41. A customer with whom the Bank had entered into 3 months....
Solu on:
The contract would be cancelled at the one-month forward sale rate of ₹ 27.52
₹
Francs bought from customer under original forward contract at: 27.25
It is sold to him on cancella on at: 27.52
Net amount payable by customer per Franc 0.27
At ₹ 0.27 per Franc, exchange difference for CHF 10,000 is ₹ 2,700.
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Q.43. Suppose you are a banker and one of your export customer….
Solu on:
Cancella on
First the original contract shall be cancelled at Spot Selling Rate as follows:
US $/₹ Spot Selling Rate ₹ 62.7200
Add: Margin @ 0.10% ₹ 0.06272
₹ 62.78272
Rounded off ₹ 62.7825
Bank buys US$ under original contract at ₹ 62.5200
Bank Sells at Spot Rate ₹ 62.7825
₹ 0.2625
Thus, total cancella on charges payable by the customer for US$ 1,00,000 is ₹ 26,250.
Rebooking
Forward US$/₹ Buying Rate ₹ 62.6400
Less: Margin @ 0.10% ₹ 0.06264
Net amount payable by customer per US$ ₹ 62.57736
Rounded off ₹ 62.5775
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Q.44. Suppose you as a banker entered into a forward purchase contract for US$ 50,000….
Solu on:
Since it is a case of extension of forward contract banker will cancel the original forward contract by taking
opposite ac on @ 5th June forward contract & will book new forward contract for 5 July i.e. extended maturity.
Here, at the me of Cancella on, relevant rate is ask rate
Interbank Spot 5 June =1$ = ₹ 59.2425
Add: margin = 0.10%
Merchant bank spot 5 June ask rate =1$ = 59.3017 ~ 59.3025
Solu on:
Bank will buy from customer at the agreed rate of ₹ 65.40. In addi on to the same if bank will charge/ pay swap
difference and interest on outlay funds.
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Q.47. The bank had agreed on 20th February that it will sell....
Solu on:
RBI
Bank Pays
Bank Buys
₹ 3,44,800
DEM in spot
to interbank
Due date
Today Early delivery
Bank 2m later
1 months
DEM
Merchant Banker agrees to Sell DEM
bank Rate: 2mf DEM 1 = ₹ 34.57 Importer pays
Early Receipt
of DEM from bank ₹ 3,45,700
by Importer [@ Originally agreed rates]
₹ Customer requests
early delivery
Importer
Importer
DEM 10000 Payable
a er 2m
Exam Presenta on
Calc of interest to be paid / recovered
Calc of Swap Difference
Amt recd. from customer ₹ 345700
Buy Spot DEM 1 = ₹ 34.4800
Less: Amt paid to interbank ₹ 344800
Sell 1mF DEM 1 = ₹ 35.255
Net inflow ₹ 900
Swap Difference = ₹ 0.775
Interest @ 12% pa for 1m ₹9
Contract DEM 10,000
Banker pays to customer
Total Swap Difference ₹ 7750
Payable
Answer: Banker will pay ₹ 7759 [₹ 7750 Pay + ₹ 9 pay] to the customer as early delivery se lement. Net amount
Importer Pays = ₹ 3,37,941 [3,45,700 - 7759]
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st
Q.48. On 1 January, the bank enters into a forward purchase....
Solu on:
RBI
Interbank
Swap Difference = ₹ 1,00,000
Exch rate $1=₹__
Interbank 2mF $1 = ₹ 75.65 Buy Spot $1 = ₹ 75.75 - 75.80 on due date+3d
Rate: Banker agrees to sell $ Sell Forward $1 = ₹ 75.90 - 75.95
Not relevant
for our purpose
Ÿ Bank Buys $ in spot &
delivers $ to honour interbank
original forward contract
Ÿ Bank sells Fwd to con nue the cover
Due date
Today +3days grace
Bank Due Date
₹
2 months
Banker agrees to buy $ Banker sells $
Merchant
2mf $ 1 = ₹ 75.60 Spot rate $1 = ₹ 76.05 - 76.20
bank Rate:
on due dt+3 days
Original ac on: Buy 2mf $1 = ₹ 75.60
Opposite ac on: Sell spot $1 = ₹ 76.20
Exchange Difference = ₹ 0.60 per $
Amount recoverable by
Bank from customer ₹ 6,00,000
Exporter
$ 1 million Receivable
a er 2m
Exam Presenta on
Calc of Exchange Difference Calc of Swap Difference Calc of interest to be recovered
Buy 2mF $1 = ₹ 75.60 Buy Spot $1 = ₹ 75.80 Amt recd. from IB ₹ 7,56,50,000
Sell Spot $1 = ₹ 76.20 Sell Fwd $1 = ₹ 75.90 Less: Amt paid to IB ₹ 7,58,00,000
Exchange Diff = ₹ 0.60 Swap Diff = ₹ 0.10 Net ou low ₹ 1,50,000
Contract $10,00,000 Contract $10,00,000 In @say 12%pa for 3days ₹ 148
Total Exchange ₹ 6,00,000 Total Swap Diff ₹ 1,00,000 Banker recovers
Diff recoverable Payable (ignore) from customer
Answer : Banker will receive ₹ 6,00,148 from the customer as automa c cancella on charges.
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(e) New Contract Rate
The contract will be extended at current rate
$/₹ Market forward selling Rate for November ₹ 66.4900
Add: Exchange Margin @ 0.10% ₹ 0.0665
₹ 66.5565
Rounded off to ₹ 66.5575
(i) Charges for Cancella on of Contract = ₹ 55,767
(ii) Charges for Execu on of Contract
Charges for Cancella on of Contract ₹ 55,767
Spot Selling US$ 50,000 on 12 September at ₹ 65.9900 + ₹ 33,02,750
0.0660 (Exchange Margin) = ₹ 66.0560 rounded to ₹ 66.0550
₹ 33,58,517
(iii) Charges for Extension of Contract
Charges for Cancella on of Contract 55767
New Forward Rate ₹ 66.5575
Q.51. NP and Co. has imported goods for US$....
Solu on: (i) To cover payable and receivable in forward market
Amount payable a er 3 months $ 7,00,000
Forward Rate ₹ 48.45
Thus Payable Amount (₹) (A) ₹ 3,39,15,000
Amount receivable a er 2 months $ 4,50,000
Forward Rate ₹ 48.90
Thus Receivable Amount (₹) (B) ₹ 2,20,05,000
Interest @ 12% p.a. for 1 month (C) ₹ 2,20,050
Net Amount Payable in (₹) (A) - (B) - (C) ₹ 1,16,89,950
(ii) Assuming that since the forward contract for receivable was already booked it shall be cancelled if we lag the
receivables. Accordingly any profit/loss on cancella on of contract shall also be calculated and adjusted as follows
Amount Payable ($) $ 7,00,000
Amount receivable a er 3 months $ 4,50,000
Note by ICAI: In the ques on it has not been
Net Amount payable $ 2,50,000 clearly men oned that whether quotes
Applicable Rate ₹ 48.45 given for 2 and 3 months (in points terms)
Amount payable in (₹) (A) ₹ 1,21,12,500 are premium points or direct quotes.
Profit on cancella on of Forward contract ₹ 2,70,000 Although above solu on is based on the
assump on that these are direct quotes, but
(46.90 – 48.30) x 4,50,000 (B) students can also consider them as premium
Thus net amount payable in (₹) (A) + (B) ₹ 1,18,42,500 points and solve the ques on accordingly.
Since net payable amount is least in case of first op on, hence the company should cover payables and
receivables in forward market.
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UNIT IV
ARBITRAGE PROSPECTS
Q.52. Spot Rate - $ 1.6095 / £....
Solu on:
Assumed = HC →$ FC → £
Spot £1 = $ 1.6095
1 + rh F1
=
1 + rf S0
e h - F1
r t
erf t S0
0.08 x 3/12
F1
= e0.03 x 0.0075 =
e 1.6095
0.02
F1
= e0.0075 =
e 1.6095
0.0125 F1
=e =
1.6095
∴ F1 = 1.6298
Solu on:
Evalua on of arbitrage opportunity
Interest Rate Differen al = Exchange Rate Differen al
Since Interest rate differen al > Exchange rate differen al, ∴ an arbitrageur should borrow in Foreign currency i.e.
AU $ & invest in home currency i.e. ₹
Steps in Arbitrage Process:
Step 1: Borrow in country from where money should flow out
Borrow AU$ 100000 *
Exam Tip
*Default assump on by ICAI is to borrow 100000 or 1mn (10,00,000) units of the currency in which
borrowing is done.
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Step 5: FV of investment
Investment ₹ 55 lakhs
Add: Interest@ 10 %pa
for 6 months ₹ 2.75 lakhs
₹ 57.75 lakhs
Solu on:
(a) No, while Ci Bank’s quote is a Direct Quote for JPY (i.e. for Japan) the Hong Kong Bank quote is a Direct
Quote for USD (i.e. for USA).
(b) Since Ci Bank quote imply USD/ JPY 0.0094 - 0.0095 and both rates exceed those offered by Hong Kong
Bank, there is an arbitrage opportunity.
Alterna vely, it can also be said that Hong Kong Bank quote imply JPY/ USD 107.53 – 111.11 and both rates
exceed quote by Ci Bank, there is an arbitrage opportunity.
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Q.56. Presently, the dollar is worth 140 yen in the spot market....
Solu on:
It has been assumed that we are based in Japan & hence given quota on becomes a direct quote for us.
Since, Actual Interest rate (7%) < Fair Interest rate (9.85%), therefore, an investor should borrow in USA & Invest in
japan to earn free arbitrage gain.
Step-1: Borrow: $ 100000
Step-2: Convert:
At spot rate
= $ 100000 x ¥ 140
= ¥ 14000000
Step-3: Invest: In Japan @ 4% p.a. for 90 days
Step-4: Forward cover: Enter into forward over $1 = ¥ 138
Step-5: FV of investment:
= ¥ 14000000 x (1 + 0.04 x 90/360)
= ¥ 14140000
Step-6: Re-convert:
At forward rate agreed earlier
= $ 101750
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Solu on:
2.50 (1 + 0.075)
Forward Rate = = Can $ 2.535 / £
(1 + 0.060)
Q.58. The following table shows interest rates for the United States ....
Solu on:
Computa on of Missing Entries in the Table: For compu ng the missing entries in the table we will use Interest
Rates Parity (IRP) theorem
(1 + rf) Sf/d
or =
(1 + rd) Ff/d
Where,
rf is the rate of interest of country F (say the foreign country)
rd is rate of interest of country D (say domes c country)
Sf/d is the spot rate between the two countries F and D and
Ff/d is the forward rate between the two countries F and D.
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(i) 3 months
1
(1) Dollar interest rate = 11 % (annually compounded)
2
1
Franc interest rate = 19 % (annually compounded)
2
0.195
= 7.05
( )
1+
1+
4
0.115
4
= 7.05
1 + 0.04875
(
1 + 0.02875
)
= Franc 7.19 per US Dollar
(2) Further Forward discount per Franc per cent per year = Interest Differen al i.e.
1 1
= 19 % - 11 % = 8%
2 2
Alterna vely, more precisely it can also be computed as follows:
Spot per Franc Rate = 1 / 7.05 = US Dollar 0.142 per Franc
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(2) Let r be the Franc interest rate (annually compounded) then as per IRP Theory:
r
7.05
( )
1+
1+
2
0.1225
2
= Franc 7.25 per Dollar
On solving the equa on, we get the value r = 18.27% i.e. Franc Interest rate (annually compounded)
7.05
( )
1+
1+
2
0.1225
2
= Franc 7.28 per Dollar
On solving the equa on we get the value of r = 19.17% i.e. Franc interest rate (annually compounded)
(iii) 1 Year
Franc interest rate = 20% (annually compounded)
Forward Franc per Dollar = 7.5200
As per Interest Rate Parity the rela onship between the two countries rate and spot rate is
1 + Franc Interest Rate
7.52 = 7.05 (
1 + Dollar Interest Rate
)
1 + Dollar Interest Rate 7.05
i.e. = =
1 + 0.20 7.52
Accordingly, the Dollar interest rate = 1.20 x 0.9374 – 1 = 1.125 – 1 = 0.125 or 12.5%
Solu on:
(i) According to Interest Rate Parity Theorem, a country whose interest rates are compara vely lower its
currency will appreciate. On the contrary, whose rates are higher will depreciate. In the present case,
USA $ will appreciate & ₹ will depreciate.
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Leaders in Advanced Financial Education Across India 125
FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE & RISK MANAGEMENT
(iii) % app/dep
Solu on:
Spot Rate = ₹ 4000000 /83312 = 48.0123
Since the nega ve Interest rate differen al is greater than forward premium there is a possibility of arbitrage
inflow into India.
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Leaders in Advanced Financial Education Across India 126
FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE & RISK MANAGEMENT
2. Convert US$ 83312 into Rupee and get the principal i.e. ₹ 40,00,000
Interest on Investments for 6 months = ₹ 4000000 x 0.06
= ₹ 240000
Total amount at the end of 6 months = ₹ (4000000 + 240000)
= ₹ 4240000
Conver ng the same at the forward rate
= ₹ 4240000 / ₹ 48.8190
= US $ 86851.43
Hence the gain is US $ (86851.43 - 86644.48) = US$ 206.95 OR
₹ 10103 i.e., ($ 206.95 x ₹ 48.8190)
Evalua on of Decision to take Covered Interest Rate Arbitrage OR Uncovered Interest Rate Arbitrage
Expected Rate spot a er 180 days
Future rate for 1 US $ (Xi) Probability (Pi) Xi Pi
₹ 48.7600 25% 12.19
₹ 48.8000 60% 29.28
₹ 48.8200 15% 7.323
48.7930
Conver ng the amount of investment and interest at the expected forward rate as follows:
= ₹ 42,40,000/ ₹ 48.7930 = US$ 86,897.71
Hence the gain is US $ (86,897.71 - 86,644.48) = US$ 253.23 OR
₹ 12,356 i.e., ($253.23 x ₹ 48.7930)
Since the expected gain is more in case of uncovered interest arbitrage the arbitrageur may go for same. However,
this gain is not certain and since it just slightly higher than the gain under Covered Interest Arbitrage therefore he
may chose not go for uncovered interest arbitrage as there as also chances of actual spot rate turning adverse.
Q.61. Following are the spot exchange rates quoted in three different forex markets…..
Solu on:
The arbitrageur can proceed as stated below to realize arbitrage gains.
(i) Buy ₹ 1 from USD 10,000,000
At Mumbai 48.3 x 10,000,000
₹ 483,000,000
To earn risk free arbitrage gains, an arbitrageur should Buy £ with ₹ under Actual Quote and Sell them
under Cross Currency Quote.
$
₹ £
Proof of Arbitrage:
Solu on:
End of Year ₹ ₹ /USD
1 47.77
2 49.61
3 51.52
4 53.50
Q.64. You as a dealer in foreign exchange have the following posi on....
Solu on.
Exchange Posi on:
Par culars Purchase Sw. Fcs. Sale Sw. Fcs.
Opening Balance Overbought 50,000
Bill on Zurich 80,000
Forward Sales – TT 60,000
Cancella on of Forward Contract 30,000
TT Sales 75,000
Dra on Zurich cancelled 30,000 --
1,60,000 1,65,000
Closing Balance Oversold 5,000 --
1,65,000 1,65,000
Cash Posi on (Nostro A/c)
Credit Debit
Opening balance credit 1,00,000 --
TT sales -- 75,000
1,00,000 75,000
Closing balance (credit) -- 25,000
1,00,000 1,00,000
The Bank has to buy spot TT Sw. Fcs. 5,000 to increase the balance in Nostro account to Sw. Fcs. 30,000.
This would bring down the oversold posi on on Sw. Fcs. as Nil.
Since the bank requires an overbought posi on of Sw. Fcs. 10,000, it has to buy forward Sw. Fcs. 10,000.
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Leaders in Advanced Financial Education Across India 129
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Solu on:
Exchange Posi on:
Par culars Purchase £ Sale £
Opening Balance Overbought 35,000 —
DD Purchased 12,500 —
Purchased a Bill on London 40,000 —
Sold forward TT — 30,000
Forward purchase contract cancelled — 15,000
TT Remi ance 37,500
Dra on London cancelled 15,000 —
1,02,500 82,500
Closing Balance Overbought — 20,000
1,02,500 1,02,500
Cash Posi on (Nostro A/c)
Credit £ Debit £
Opening balance credit 65,000 —
TT Remi ance — 37,500
65,000 37,500
Closing balance (credit) — 27,500
65,000 65,000
To maintain Cash Balance in Nostro Account at £7500 you have to sell £20000 in Spot which will bring Overbought
exchange posi on to Nil. Since bank require Overbought posi on of £7500 it has to buy the same in forward
market.
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Leaders in Advanced Financial Education Across India 130
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Solu on:
(i) Net exposure of each foreign currency in Rupees
Inflow Ou low Net Inflow Spread Net Exposure
(Millions) (Millions) (Millions) (Millions)
US $ 40 20 20 0.81 16.20
Ffr 20 8 12 0.67 8.04
U.K. £ 30 20 10 0.41 4.10
Japanese Yen 15 25 -10 -0.80 8.00
(ii) The exposure of Japanese yen posi on is being offset by a be er forward rate
Tutorial Note: It is recommended to not put much brain into this ques on. Just go through
this Q & try to remember the way it’s done.
Strategies 1 : Kuljeet a wholesaler of imported items imports toys from China to sell them in the domes c
market to retailers. Being a sole trader, he is always so much involved in the promo on of his trade in domes c
market and nego a on with foreign supplier that he never pays a en on to hedge his payable in foreign
currency and leaves his posi on unhedged.
Strategies 2: Moni, is in the business of expor ng and impor ng brasswares to USA and European countries. In
order to capture the market he invoices the customers in their home currency . Lavi enters into forward contracts
to sell the foreign exchange only if he expects some profit out of it otherwise, he leaves his posi on open.
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Leaders in Advanced Financial Education Across India 131
FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE & RISK MANAGEMENT
Strategy 3: TSC Ltd. is in the business of so ware development. The company has both receivables and
payables in foreign currency. The Treasury Manager of TSC Ltd. not only enters into forward contracts to
hedge the exposure but carries out cancella on and extension of forward contracts on regular basis to earn
profit out of the same. As a result management has started looking Treasury Department as Profit Centre.
Strategy 4: DNB Publishers Ltd. in addi on to publishing books are also in the business of impor ng and
expor ng of books. As a ma er of policy the movement company invoices the customer or receives invoice
from the supplier immediately covers its posi on in the Forward or Future market and hence never leave the
exposure open even for a single day.
Solu on:
Strategy 1 : This strategy is covered by High Risk: Low Reward category and worst as it leaves all exposures
unhedged. Although this strategy does not involve and me and effort, it carries high risk.
Strategy 2: This strategy covers Low risk: Reasonable reward category as the exposure is covered wherever
there is an cipated profit otherwise it is le .
Strategy 3: This strategy is covered by High Risk: High Reward category as to earn profit, cancella ons and
extensions are carried out. Although this strategy leads to high gains, but it is also accompanied by high risk.
Strategy 4: This strategy is covered by Low Risk: Low Reward category as company plays a very safe game.
Diagramma cally all these strategies can be depicted as follows:
High Risk
Strategy 1 Strategy 3
Low High
Reward Reward
Strategy 4 Strategy 2
Low Risk
Ques on 3 Study Material
JKL Ltd., an Indian company has an export exposure of JPY 10,000,000 receivable August 31, 2014. Japanese
Yen (JPY) is not directly quoted against Indian Rupee.
The current spot rates are:
INR/US $ = ₹ 62.22
JPY/US$ = JPY 102.34
It is es mated that Japanese Yen will depreciate to 124 level and Indian Rupee to depreciate against US $ to ₹65.
Forward rates for August 2014 are
INR/US $ = ₹ 66.50
JPY/US$ = JPY 110.35
Required:
(i) Calculate the expected loss, if the hedging is not done. How the posi on will change, if the firm takes
forward cover?
(ii) If the spot rates on August 31, 2014 are:
INR/US $ = ₹ 66.25
JPY/US$ = JPY 110.85
Is the decision to take forward cover jus fied?
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Leaders in Advanced Financial Education Across India 132
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Solu on:
Since the direct quote for ¥ and ₹ is not available it will be calculated by cross exchange rate as follows:
₹/$ x $/¥ = ₹/¥
62.22/102.34 = 0.6080
Spot rate on date of export 1¥ = ₹0.6080
Expected Rate of ¥ for August 2014 = ₹ 0.5242 (₹65/¥124)
Forward Rate of ¥ for August 2014 = ₹ 0.6026 (₹ 66.50/¥110.35)
(i) Calcula on of expected loss without hedging
Value of export at the me of export (₹ 0.6080 x ¥10,000,000) ₹ 60,80,000
Es mated payment to be received on Aug. 2014 (₹ 0.5242 x ¥10,000,000) ₹ 52,42,000
Loss ₹ 8,38,000
Hedging of loss under Forward Cover
₹ Value of export at the me of export (₹ 0.6080 x ¥10,000,000) ₹ 60,80,000
Payment to be received under Forward Cover (₹ 0.6026 x ¥10,000,000) ₹ 60,26,000
Loss ₹ 54,000
By taking forward cover loss is reduced to ₹ 54,000
(ii) Actual Rate of ¥ on August 2014 = ₹ 0.5977 (₹ 66.25/¥110.85)
Value of export at the me of export (₹ 0.6080 x ¥10,000,000) ₹ 60,80,000
Es mated Payment to be received on Aug 2014 (₹ 0.5977 x ¥10,000,000) ₹ 59,77,000
Loss ₹ 1,03,000
The decision to take forward cover is s ll jus fied.
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Leaders in Advanced Financial Education Across India 133
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Solu on:
(i) If ZX Ltd. does not take forward (Unhedged Posi on):
Expected Rate = ₹ 77 x 0.15 +₹ 71 x 0.25 + ₹ 79 x 0.20 + ₹ 74 x 0.40
= ₹ 11.55 + ₹ 17.75 + ₹ 15.80 +₹ 29.60 = ₹ 74.70
Expected Amount Payable = USD 80,000 x ₹ 74.70 = ₹ 59,76,000
(ii) If the ZX Ltd. hedge its posi on in the forward market:
Par culars Amount (₹)
If company purchases US$ 80,000 forward premium is (80000 × 74 × 1%) 59,200
Interest on ₹ 59,200 for 6 months at 10% 2,960
Total hedging cost (a) 62,160
Amount to be paid for US$ 80,000 @ ₹ 74.00 (b) 59,20,000
Total Cost (a) + (b) 59,82,160
(iii) Advise: Since cashflow is less in case of unhedged posi on company should opt for the same.
Ques on 5 (8 Marks) Exam Jan 2021, RTP May 2023
XYZ has taken a six-month loan from its foreign collaborator for USD 2 millions. Interest is payable on maturity
@ LIBOR plus 1%. The following informa on is available:
Spot Rate INR/USD 68.5275
6 months Forward rate INR/USD 68.4575
6 months LIBOR for USD 2%
6 months LIBOR for INR 6%
You are required to :
(i) Calculate Rupee requirements if forward cover is taken.
(ii) Advise the company on the forward cover.
What will be your opinion if spot rate of INR/USD is 68.4275 ?
Solu on:
(i) Rupee requirement if forward cover is taken:
6 Month Forward rate 68.4575
) )
6
Interest amount 20,00,000 x 3%* x US$ 30,000
12
Principal amount US$ 20,00,000
US$ 20,30,000
Rupee Requirement = INR 68.4575 x US$ 20,30,000 = INR 13,89,68,725
*LIBOR + 1%
(ii) Forward Rate as per Interest Rate Parity a er 6 months is expected to be:
(1.03)
= 68.5275 x = 69.8845/US$
(1.01)
The company should take forward cover because as per Interest Rate Parity, the rate a er 6 months is
expected to be higher than forward rate.
However, if spot rate is 68.4275, the expected rate as per Interest Rate Parity shall be:
(1.03)
= 68.4275 x = 69.7825/US$
(1.01)
Thus, s ll the company should take forward cover.
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Leaders in Advanced Financial Education Across India 134
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UNIT IV
ARBITRAGE PROSPECTS
Ques on 6 Study Material, CA Final RTP Nov 2013
ABN-Amro Bank, Amsterdam, wants to purchase ₹ 15 million against US$ for funding their Vostro account with
Canara Bank, New Delhi. Assuming the Inter-bank, rates of US$ is ₹ 51.3625/3700, what would be the rate Canara
Bank would quote to ABN-Amro Bank? Further, if the deal is struck, what would be the equivalent US$ amount.
Solu on:
Here Canara Bank shall buy US$ and credit ₹ to Vostro account of ABN-Amro Bank. Canara Bank's buying rate
will be based on the Inter-bank Buying Rate (as this is the rate at which Canara Bank can sell US$ in the
Interbank market)
Accordingly, the Interbank Buying Rate of US$ will be ₹ 51.3625 (lower of two) i.e (1/15.3625)= $ 0.01947/ ₹
Equivalent of US$ for ₹ 15 million at this rate will be
Mr. E entered in forward contract with banker for 90 days to sell FFr at above men oned rate.
When the ma er came for considera on before Mr. A, Accounts Manager of company, he approaches you.
You as a Forex consultant is required to comment on:
1. Whether an arbitrage opportunity exists or not.
2. Whether the ac on taken by Mr. E is correct and if bank agrees for nego a on of rate, then at what
forward rate company should sell FFr to bank.
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Leaders in Advanced Financial Education Across India 135
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Solu on:
Invoice amount in Indian Rupee = FFr 80,00,000 x ₹ 6.60
= ₹ 5,28,00,000
(i) Interest Rate in India 9% p.a.
Interest Rate in France 12% p. a
The interest rate differen al 9% – 12% = 3% (Posi ve Interest Differen al)
Since the forward discount is greater than interest rate differen al there will be arbitrage inflow into the
country (India).
(ii) The decision taken by Mr. E was not correct because as per Interest Rate Parity Theory, forward rate for
sale should be 1 FFr = ₹ 6.65, calculated as follows:
Let F be the forward rate, then as per Interest Rate Parity theory, it should have been as follows:
Solu on:
Buy £ 62500 x 1.2806 = $ 80037.50
Sell £ 62500 x 1.2816 = $ 80100.00
Profit $ 62.50
Alterna vely, if the market comes back together before December 15, the dealer could unwind his posi on
(by simultaneously buying £ 62,500 forward and selling a futures contract. Both for delivery on December 15)
and earn the same profit of $ 62.5.
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Leaders in Advanced Financial Education Across India 136
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Solu on:
i. If Shoe Company were to hedge its foreign exchange risk, it would enter into forward contract of selling
deutsche marks 90 days forward. It would sell 50,000 deutsche marks 90 days forward. Upon delivery of
50,000 DM 90 days hence, it would receive US $ 29,412 i.e. 50,000 DM/1.70. If it were to receive US $
payment today it would receive US $ 29,240 i.e. 50,000 DM/1.71. Hence, Shoe Company will be be er
off by $ 172 if it hedges its foreign exchange risk.
ii. The deutsche mark is at a forward premium. This is because the 90 days forward rate of deutsche marks
per dollar is less than the current spot rate of deutsche marks per dollar. This implies that deutsche mark
is expected to be strengthen i.e. Fewer deutsche mark will be required to buy dollars.
iii. The interest rate parity assump on is that high interest rates on a currency are offset by forward
discount and low interest rate on a currency is offset by forward premiums.
Further, the spot and forward exchange rates move in tandem, with the link between them based on
interest differen al. The movement between two currencies to take advantage of interest rates
differen al is a major determinant of the spread between forward and spot rates.
The forward discount or premium is approximately equal to interest differen al between the currencies
i.e.
F - S 365
x = rDM - rUS$
S 90
1.70 - 1.71 365
x = rDM - rUS$
1.71 90
= -0.0237 = rDM - rUS$
Therefore, the differen al in interest rate is –2.37%, which means if interest rate parity holds, interest
rate in the US should be 2.37% higher than in Germany
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Leaders in Advanced Financial Education Across India 137
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
INTERNATIONAL
FINANCIAL
MANAGEMENT
2. Which method do you think is preferable from the parent company's point of view?
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INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Ques on 2
Following are the covered a er-tax lending and borrowing rates for three units of a Mul na onal Corpora on
located in the United States, Singapore and India.
Lending (%) Borrowing (%)
United States 4.5 5
Singapore 3.5 4
India 4.6 5.4
Currently, the Singapore and India units owe $2 million and $ 3 million, respec vely to their US parent. The
Singapore unit also has $ 1 million in receivables from its India affiliate. The ming of these payments can be
changed by up to 60 days in either direc on. If US Parent is in deficit of funds, while both the Singapore and
India subsidiaries have surplus cash available, you are required to:
a. Determine the MNC's op mal leading and lagging strategies
b. Calculate the net profit impact of these adjustments
c. Indicate the change in the MNC's op mal strategy, if the US parent has surplus cash available.
Suppose you are head of central treasury department of the group and you are required to net off inter-
company balances as far as possible and to issue instruc ons for se lement of the net balances.
For this purpose, the relevant exchange rates may be assumed in terms of £ 1 are US$ 1.415; MYR 10.215; ₹ 68.10.
What are the net payments to be made in respect of the above balances?
Ques on 4 Study Material, (8 Marks) CA Final Nov 2013, RTP Nov 2021
Your bank's London office has surplus funds to the extent of USD 5,00,000/- for a period of 3 months. The cost
of the funds to the bank is 4% p.a. It proposes to invest these funds in London, New York or Frankfurt and
obtain the best yield, without any exchange risk to the bank. The following rates of interest are available at the
three centres for investment of domes c funds there at for a period of 3 months.
London 5% p.a.
New York 8% p.a.
Frankfurt 3% p.a.
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Leaders in Advanced Financial Education Across India 139
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
The market rates in London for US dollars and Euro are as under
London on New York London on Frankfurt
Spot 1.5350/90 Spot 1.8260/90
1 month 15/18 1 month 60/55
2 month 30/35 2 month 95/90
3 month 80/85 3 month 145/140
At which centre, will the investment be made & what will be the net gain (to the nearest pound) to the bank on
the invested funds?
Ques on 5 (8 Marks) Exam Nov 2018, May 2023, MTP May 2021
st
The Treasury desk of a global bank incorporated in UK has raised GBP 400 million on 1 January, 2019. Half of
the amount will be required a er six month’s me. It is considering following two op ons:
(1) The Equity Trading desk in Japan wants to invest the en re GBP 200 million in high dividend yielding
Japanese securi es that would earn a dividend income of JPY 1,182 million. The dividends are declared
th
and paid on 29 June. Post dividend, the securi es are expected to quote at a 2% discount. The desk also
plans to earn JPY 10 million on a stock borrow lending ac vity because of this investment. The securi es
are to be sold on June 29 with a T+1 se lement and the amount remi ed back to the Treasury in London.
(2) The Fixed Income desk of US proposed to invest the amount in 6-month G-Secs that provides a return of
5% p.a.
The exchange rates are as follows:
Currency Pair 1-Jan-2019 (Spot) 30-Jun-2019 (Forward)
GBP- JPY 148.0002 150.0000
GBP- USD 1.28000 1.30331
As a treasurer, advise the bank on the best investment op on from risk perspec ve.
You may ignore taxa on.
Ques on 6 RTP
An MNC company in USA has surplus funds to the tune of $ 10 million for six months. The Finance Director of
the company is interested in inves ng in DM for higher returns. There is a Double Tax Avoidance Agreement
(DTAA) in force between USA and Germany. The company received the following informa on from Germany:
€/$ Spot 0.4040/41
6 months forward 67/65
Rate of interest for 6 months (p.a.) 5.95% – 6.15%
Withholding tax applicable for interest income 22%
Tax as per DTAA 10%
If the company invests in €, what is the gain for the company?
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Leaders in Advanced Financial Education Across India 140
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Ques on 7 Study Material, (6 Marks) CA Final Nov 2008, RTP May 2023
Sun Ltd. is planning to import an equipment from Japan at a cost of 3,400 Lakh yen. The company may avail
loans at 18 percent per annum with quarterly rests with which it can import the equipment. The company has
also an offer from Osaka branch of an India based bank extending credit of 180 days at 2 percent per annum
against opening of an irrevocable le er of credit.
Addi onal informa on:
Present exchange rate ₹ 100 = 340 yen
180 day's forward rate ₹ 100 = 345 yen
Commission charges for le er of credit at 2 percent per 12 months.
(i) Advise the company whether the offer from the foreign branch should be accepted.
(ii) Based on the present market condi on company is not interested to take the risk of currency
fluctua ons and wanted to hedge with an addi onal expenses of ₹ 30 lakhs, if so, what is your advice to
the company?
Ques on 14
A US Firm requires 450 million for 1 year. It decides to borrow pound. The spot rate today i.e. Spot rate (today)
= $2/pound
Interest rate on pounds borrowing = 12% and the US firm has decided to remain unhedged.
Find out the effec ve cost of pound borrowing in $ terms, under the following scenarios
Scenario 1 : pound appreciates by 5%
Scenario 2 : pound depreciates by 5%
Scenario 3 : $ appreciates by 5%
Scenario 4 : $ depreciates by 5%
[Ans: 17.6%, 6.4%, 6.67%, 17.9%]
Ques on 15
Tata Steel decides to go for a 5 years external commercial borrowing under the following terms:
Loan Amount $ 600 million
Term 5 years
Interest rate LIBOR + spread of 150 bps
Draw down pa ern 50% today, 50% 1 year from now
Guarantee fee & other charges 0.65%
The following table provides forecast of LIBOR:
Year LIBOR Infla on in India Infla on is US
1 6% 4% 1%
2 5.2% 4.5% .8%
3 5% 4.2% 1.3%
4 5.7% 5% 1.2%
5 6.1% 4.7% 1.4%
The Treasury Department of Tata Steel believes that ₹ will depreciate in real terms by 1% pa. Presently Spot
rate is ₹ 62/$, calculate the effec ve cost of ECB in ₹ terms.
Ques on 16 (8 Marks) CA Final May 2019
K Ltd. currently operates from 4 different buildings and wants to consolidate its opera ons into one building
which is expected to cost ₹ 90 crores. The Board of K Ltd. had approved the above plan and to fund the above cost,
agreed to avail an External Commercial Borrowing (ECB) of GBP 10 m from G Bank Ltd. on the following condi ons:
Ÿ The Loan will be availed on 1st April, 2019 with interest payable on half yearly rest.
Ÿ Average Loan Maturity life will be 3.4 years with an overall tenure of 5 years.
Ÿ Upfront Fee of 1.20%.
Ÿ Interest Cost is GBP 6 months LIBOR + Margin of 2.50%.
Ÿ The 6 month LIBOR is expected to be 1.05%.
K Ltd. also entered into a GBP-INR hedge at 1 GBP = INR 90 to cover the exposure on account of the above ECB
Loan and the cost of the hedge is coming to 4.00% p.a.
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As a Finance Manager, given the above informa on and taking 1 GBP = INR 90:
(i) Calculate the overall cost both in percentage and rupee terms on an annual basis.
(ii) What is the cost of hedging in rupee terms?
(iii) If K Ltd. wants to pursue an aggressive approach, what would be the net gain/loss for K Ltd. if the INR
depreciates/appreciates against GBP by 10% at the end of the 5 years assuming that the loan is repaid in
GBP at the end of 5 years?
Ignore me value and taxes and calculate to two decimals.
Ques on 17 Study Material, (8 Marks) CA Final Nov 2015, Nov 2022, RTP May 2020
XYZ Ltd., a company based in India, manufactures very high quality modern furniture and sells to a small
number of retail outlets in India and Nepal. It is facing tough compe on. Recent studies on marketability of
products have clearly indicated that the customer is now more interested in variety and choice rather than
exclusivity and excep onal quality. Since the cost of quality wood in India is very high, the company is
reviewing the proposal for import of woods in bulk from Nepalese supplier.
The es mate of net Indian (₹) and Nepalese Currency (NC) cash flows for this proposal is shown below:
Net Cash Flows (in millions)
Year 0 1 2 3
NC -25.000 2.600 3.800 4.100
Indian (₹) 0 2.869 4.200 4.600
The following informa on is relevant:
(i) XYZ Ltd. evaluates all investments by using a discount rate of 9% p.a. All Nepalese customers are invoiced
in NC. NC cash flows are converted to Indian (₹) at the forward rate and discounted at the Indian rate.
(ii) Infla on rates in Nepal and India are expected to be 9% and 8% p.a. respec vely. The current exchange
rate is ₹ 1 = NC 1.6
Assuming that you are the finance manager of XYZ Ltd., calculate the net present value (NPV) and modified
internal rate of return (MIRR) of the proposal.
You may use following values with respect to discount factor for ₹ 1 @ 9%.
Present Value Future Value
Year 1 0.917 1.188
Year 2 0.842 1.090
Year 3 0.772 1
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Ques on 18 Study Material, CA Final Nov 2007, RTP Nov 2022, RTP Nov 2021
A USA based company is planning to set up a so ware development unit in India. So ware developed at the
Indian unit will be bought back by the US parent at a transfer price of US$ 10 millions. The unit will remain in
existence in India for one year, the so ware is expected to get developed within this meframe.
The US based company will be subject to corporate tax of 30% and a withholding tax of 10% in India and will
not be eligible for tax credit in the USA. The so ware developed will be sold in the USA market for US$ 12.0
millions. Other es mates are as follows:
Rent for fully furnished unit with necessary hardware in India ₹ 15,00,000
Man power cost (80 so ware professionals will be working for 10 hours each day) ₹ 400 per man hour
Administra ve and other costs ₹ 12,00,000
Advise the USA company on financial viability of the project. The rupee-dollar rate is ₹ 48/$. Assume 365 days
in a year.
Ques on 20 Study Material, (10 Marks) Exam May 2014, Nov 2019, July 2021, RTP May 2023, MTP Oct 2022
A mul na onal company is planning to set up a subsidiary company in India (where hitherto it was expor ng)
in view of growing demand for its product and compe on from other MNCs. The ini al project cost
(consis ng of Plant and Machinery including installa on) is es mated to be US$ 500 million. The net working
capital requirements are es mated at US $ 50 million. The company follows straight line method of
deprecia on. Presently, the company is expor ng two million units every year at a unit price of US $ 80, its
variable cost per unit being US $ 40.
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The Chief Financial Officer has es mated the following opera ng cost and other data in respect of proposed project:
(i) Variable opera ng cost will be US $ 20 per unit of produc on;
(ii) Addi onal cash fixed cost will be US $ 30 million p.a. and project's share of allocated fixed cost will be US
$ 3 million p.a. based on principle of ability to share;
(iii) Produc on & Sales capacity of the proposed project in India will be 5 million units;
(iv) Expected useful life of the proposed plant is five years with no salvage value;
(v) Exis ng working capital investment for produc on & sale of two million units through exports was US $
15 million;
(vi) Export of the product in the coming year will decrease to 1.5 million units in case the company does not
open subsidiary company in India, in view of the presence of compe ng MNCs that are in the process of
se ng up their subsidiaries in India;
(vii) Applicable Corporate Income Tax rate is 35%, and
(viii) Required rate of return for such project is 12%.
Assuming that there will be no varia on in the exchange rate of two currencies and all profits will be repatriated,
as there will be no withholding tax, es mate Net Present Value (NPV) of the proposed project in India.
Present value Interest Factors (PVIF) @ 12% for five years are as below:
Year 1 2 3 4 5
PVIF 0.8929 0.7972 0.7118 0.6355 0.5674
The es mated cost of construc on would be Nepali Rupee (NPR) 450 crores and it would be completed in one
years me. Half of the construc on cost will be paid in the beginning and rest at the end of year. In addi on,
working capital requirement would be NPR 65 crores from the year end one. The a er tax realizable value of
fixed assets a er four years of opera on is expected to be NPR 250 crores. Under the Foreign Capital
Encouragement Policy of Nepal, company is allowed to claim 20% deprecia on allowance per year on
reducing balance basis subject to maximum capital limit of NPR 200 crore. The company can raise loan for
theme park in Nepal @ 9%.
The water park will have a maximum capacity of 20,000 visitors per day. On an average, it is expected to
achieve 70% capacity for first opera onal four years. The entry cket is expected to be NPR 220 per person. In
addi on to entry ckets revenue, the company could earn revenue from sale of food and beverages and fancy
gi items. The average sales expected to be NPR 150 per visitor for food and beverages and NPR 50 per visitor
for fancy gi items. The sales margin on food and beverages and fancy gi items is 20% and 50% respec vely.
The park would open for 360 days a year.
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The annual staffing cost would be NPR 65 crores per annum. The annual insurance cost would be NPR 5 crores.
The other running and maintenance costs are expected to be NPR 25 crores in the first year of opera on which
is expected to increase NPR 4 crores every year. The company would appor on exis ng overheads to the tune
of NPR 5 crores to the park.
All costs and receipts (excluding construc on costs, assets realizable value and other running and
maintenance costs) men oned above are at current prices (i.e. 0 point of me) which are expected to
increase by 5% per year.
The current spot rate is NPR 1.60 per ₹ . The tax rate in India is 30% and in Nepal it is 20%.
The average market return is 11% and interest rate on treasury bond is 8%. The company's current equity beta
is 0.45. The company's funding ra o for the Water Park would be 55% equity and 45% debt.
Being a tourist Place, the amusement industry in Nepal is compe ve and very different from its Indian
counterpart. The company has gathered the relevant informa on about its nearest compe tor in Nepal. The
compe tor's market value of the equity is NPR 1850 crores and the debt is NPR 510 crores and the equity beta is 1.35.
State whether Its Entertainment Ltd. should undertake Water Park project in Nepal or not.
The annual sales is expected to be 10,000 units at the rate of CN¥ 500 per unit. The price of unit is expected to
rise at the rate of infla on. Variable opera ng costs are 40 percent of sales. Fixed opera ng costs will be CN¥
22,00,000 per year and expected to rise at the rate of infla on.
The tax rate applicable in China for income and capital gain is 25 percent and as per GOI Policy no further tax
shall be payable in India. The current spot rate of CN¥ 1 is ₹ 9.50. The nominal interest rate in India and China is
12% and 10% respec vely and the interna onal parity condi ons hold.
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EBIDTA to be collected from the Toll Road is projected to be USD 33 lakhs per annum for a period of 20 years.
To encourage investment Nepalese government is offering a 15 year term loan of USD 150 lakhs at an interest
rate of 6 per cent per annum. The interest is to be paid annually. The loan will be repaid at the end of 15 year in
one tranche.
The required rate of return for the project under all equity financing is 12 per cent per annum.
You are required to advise the management on the viability of the proposal by using Adjusted Net Present
Value method.
Given
PVIFA (12%, 10) = 5.650, PVIFA (12%, 20) = 7.469, PVIFA (8% 15) = 8.559, PVIF (8%, 15) = 0.315.
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(ii) If company is not interested to take the risk of currency fluctua ons and wanted to hedge with an addi onal
expense of ₹ 30 lakhs then it can do so because even taking forward posi ons is resul ng in increased cash
ou low by the same amount.
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Solu on:
(i) Nominal rate of return to the US investor
Size of investment ($) 20,00,000
Size of investment (₹) ($ 20,00,000 x 42.50) 8,50,00,000
Sensex at T₀ 3,256
No. of units of Sensex that can be purchased at T₀ 26,105
(₹ 8,50,00,000 / 3,256)
Sensex at T₁ 3,765
Sale of Sensex (26,105 x 3,765) 9,82,85,325
US$ at T1 ₹ 43.90
Equivalent Amount in US$ 22,38,846
Gain in US$ [22,38,846 - 20,00,000] 2,38,846
Nominal rate to US investor 11.94%
(ii) Real Apprecia on/Deprecia on of Rupee
(1 + 0.05)
Real Exchange Rate (Buying) = 43.85 = 42.24
(1 + 0.09)
42.50 - 42.24
Real Apprecia on of ₹ = x 100 = 0.61%
42.50
(iii) Exchange rate if relevant purchasing power parity holds
(1 + 0.09)
Buying Rate = 42.50 = 44.12
(1 + 0.05)
(1 + 0.09)
Selling rate = 42.60 = 44.22
(1 + 0.05)
Exchange rate = 44.12 / 44.22
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Solu on:
(i) Calcula on of Overall Cost
Upfront Fee (GBP 10 M @ 1.20%) £ 1,20,000
Interest Payment (GBP 10 M x 3.55% x 3.4) £ 12,07,000
Hedging Cost (GBP 10 M x 4% x 3.4) £ 13,60,000
Total £ 26,87,000
Or £ 2.687 million
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(iii) If K Ltd. pursues an aggressive approach then Gain/Loss in INR Deprecia on/ Apprecia on shall be computed
as follows:
(a) If INR depreciates by 10%
₹ loss per GBP = 90 x 10% =₹9
Total Losses GBP10M = ₹ 90 Million
Less: Cost of Hedging = ₹ 36 Million
Net Loss = ₹ 54 Million
Solu on:
(a) Working Notes:
1) Computa on of Forward Rates
End of Year NC NC/₹
1 1.615
2 1.630
3 1.645
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Alterna vely, if it is assumed that since foreign subsidiary has paid taxes it will not pay withholding taxes then
solu on will be as under:
₹ ₹
Revenue 48,00,00,000
Less: Costs:
Rent 15,00,000
Manpower (₹ 400 x 80 x 10 x 365) 11,68,00,000
Administra ve and other costs 12,00,000 11,95,00,000
Earning before tax 36,05,00,000
Less: Tax 10,81,50,000
Earning a er tax 25,23,50,000
Repatria on amount (in rupees) 25,23,50,000
Repatria on amount (in dollars) $ 5,257,292
Advise: The cost of development so ware in India for the US based company is $4.743 million. As the USA based
Company is expected to sell the so ware in the US at $12.0 million, it is advised to develop the so ware in India.
Alterna vely, if it is assumed that first the withholding tax @ 10% is being paid and then its credit is taken in the
payment of corporate tax then solu on will be as follows:
₹ ₹
Revenue 48,00,00,000
Less: Costs:
Rent 15,00,000
Manpower (₹ 400 x 80 x 10 x 365) 11,68,00,000
Administra ve and other costs 12,00,000 11,95,00,000
Earning before tax 36,05,00,000
Less: Withholding Tax 3,60,50,000
Earning a er Withholding tax @ 10% 32,44,50,000
Less: Corpora on Tax net of Withholding Tax 7,21,00,000
Repatria on amount (in rupees) 25,23,50,000
Repatria on amount (in dollars) $ 5,257,292
Advise: The cost of development so ware in India for the US based company is $4.743 million. As the USA based
Company is expected to sell the so ware in the US at $12.0 million, it is advised to develop the so ware in India.
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Solu on:
i. Calcula on of Forward Exchange Rates
End of Year ₹ ₹/€
1 73.38
2 74.80
3 76.23
4 77.70
5 79.19
Calcula on of NPV
Year Cash Flow Year Expected Cash PV Factor P.V.
(Million) € Rate flow @ 7%
1 4.00 73.38 293.52 0.935 274.4
2 5.00 74.80 374.00 0.873 326.5
3 6.00 76.23 457.38 0.816 373.2
4 8.00 77.70 621.60 0.763 474.2
5 10.00 79.19 791.90 0.713 564.6
Total PV of Cash Inflows 2013.0
Less: Investment 22.00 72.00 1584.0
NPV 429.0
Calcula on of NPV
Year Cash flow (Million) € PV Factor at 4.98% P.V.
1 4.00 0.953 3.812
2 5.00 0.907 4.535
3 6.00 0.864 5.184
4 8.00 0.823 6.584
5 10.00 0.784 7.840
27.955
Less: Investment 22.000
NPV 5.955
Therefore, Rupee NPV of the project is = ₹ (72 x 5.955) Million
= ₹ 428.76 Million
Q.20. A mul na onal company is planning to set up a subsidiary company....
Solu on:
Financial Analysis whether to set up the manufacturing units in India or not may be carried using NPV technique as
follows:
I. Incremental Cash Ou lows
$ Million
Cost of Plant and Machinery 500.00
Working Capital 50.00
Release of exis ng Working Capital (15.00)
535.00
II. Incremental Cash Inflow a er Tax (CFAT)
(a) Generated by investment in India for 5 years
$ Million
Sales Revenue (5 Million x $80) 400.00
Less: Costs
Variable Cost (5 Million x $20) 100.00
Fixed Cost 30.00
Deprecia on ($500 Million/5) 100.00
EBIT 170.00
Taxes @35% 59.50
EAT 110.50
Add: Deprecia on 100.00
CFAT (1-5 years) 210.50
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(b) Cash flow at the end of the 5 years (Release of Working Capital) 35.00
Solu on:
Working Notes:
(1) Cash Ou low (India) (Figures in Million)
Cost of Plant & Machinery $ 40
Working Capital Requirement $4
$ 44
Cash ou low in ₹ (Millions) 2112
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Decision: Since NPV of the project is posi ve, the Indian Company should go for its decision of subsidiary in US.
Tutorial Note:
Above solu on is worked assuming that $ is apprecia ng by 3% instead of rupee deprecia on by 3%.
If Ques on is literally interpreted and Rupee is deprecia ng by 3% then Exchange rates and NPV will
change accordingly.
Solu on:
Working Notes:
1. Es mated Exchange Rates (Using PPP Theory)
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Exchange rate* 57 57.54 57.82 57.82 57.54 56.99 56.18
2. Share in sales
Year 1 2 3 4 5
Annual Units in crores 24 24 24 24 24
Price per bo le (₹) 7.50 8.50 9.50 10.50 11.50
Price fluctua ng Infla on Rate 6.00% 5.50% 5.00% 4.50% 4.00%
Inflated Price (₹) 7.95 8.97 9.98 10.97 11.96
Inflated Sales Revenue (₹ Crore) 190.80 215.28 239.52 263.38 287.04
Sales share @55% 104.94 118.40 131.74 144.80 157.87
3. Royalty Payment
Year 1 2 3 4 5
Annual Units in crores 24 24 24 24 24
Royalty in $ 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
Total Royalty ($ Crore) 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24
Exchange Rate 57.54 57.82 57.82 57.54 56.99
Total Royalty (₹ Crore) 13.81 13.88 13.88 13.81 13.68
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Decision: Since NPV of the project is nega ve, Perfect Inc. should not invest in the project.
* Es mated exchange rates have been calculated by using the following formula:
Expected spot rate = Current Spot Rate x expected difference in infla on rates
Where
E(S₁) is the expected Spot rate in me period 1
S₀ is the current spot rate (Direct Quote)
Id is the infla on in the domes c country (home country)
If is the infla on in the foreign country
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Tutorial Note
This Q has to be solved using Foreign Currency approach because conversion rate for following years
is not available nor any hint has been provided.
Working Notes:
1. Calcula on of Cost of Funds/ Discount Rate
Compe ng Company's Informa on
Equity Market Value 1850.00
Debt Market Value 510.00
Equity Beta 1.35
Assuming debt to be risk free i.e. beta is zero, the beta of compe tor is un-geared as follows:
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(ii) Assuming that inflow funds are transferred at the end of the project i.e. 2nd year
Year 0 2
Cash Flows (CN¥) -4500000.00 5472840.00
Exchange Rate (₹ / CN¥) 9.50 9.85
Cash Flows (₹) -42750000.00 53907474.00
PVF 1.00 0.797
-42750000.00 42964257.00
NPV 214257.00
Though in terms of CN¥ the NPV of the project is nega ve but in ₹ it has posi ve NPV due to weakening of ₹ in
comparison of CN¥. Thus Opus can accept the project.
Q.25. The Management of a mul na onal company TL Ltd. is engaged....
Solu on:
(i) Net Present Value (All Equity Financed) - Base NPV
Par culars Period USD Lakhs PVF @ 12% PV (USD Lakhs)
Ini al Investment 0 (250.00) 1.000 (250.000)
EBIDTA 1 to 20 33.00 7.469 246.477
Tax 1 to 20 (9.90) 7.469 (73.943)
Deprecia on 1 to 10 (25.00)
Tax Savin on Dep 1 to 10 7.50 5.650 42.375
NPV (35.091)
(ii) Present Value of Impact of Financing by Debt
Par culars Period USD Lakhs PVF @ 12% PV (USD Lakhs)
Loan 0 150.00 1.000 150.000
Interest 1 to 15 (9.00) 8.559 (77.031)
Tax Saving on Interest 1 to 15 2.70 8.559 23.109
Repayment of Principal 15 (150.00) 0.315 (47.250)
NPV 48.828
Adjusted Present Value of the Project
= Base NPV + PV of Impact of Financing
= -US$ 35.091 + US $ 48.828 lakh
= US$ 13.737 lakh
Advise: Since APV is posi ve, TL Ltd. should accept the project.
Alterna vely, if instead of PV of overall impact of Financing, the PV of impact of tax shield on Interest is
considered then APV shall be computed as follows:
= Base NPV + PV of Tax Shield on Interest
= -US$ 35.091 + US $ 23.109 lakh
= -US$ 11.982 lakh
Advise: Since APV is nega ve, TL Ltd. should not accept the project.
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Ques on 1
An Indian Company requires ₹ 40 lakhs for 3 months. It can borrow either ₹ or $ or Yen. If it borrows a foreign
currency it has to hedge itself in the foreign market. Which currency it should borrow given
₹/$ ₹/Yen
Spot Rate 45.65/85 .406/.4115
3mF 46.90/15 .4218/.4268
3 month interest rates -
On Rupee - 8%/9%
On $ - 6%/6.5%
On Yen - .4%/.5%
Solu on:
Calcula on of ₹ Ou low A er 3 months Under all three op ons
Par culars If Borrow In
₹ $ YEN
Amount to be borrowed* 40,00,000 $ 87,623.22 ¥ 98,52,216
** Since we have to buy foreign currency to repay Loan, therefore 3 month forward ask rates are relevant.
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Solu on:
$2,000,000 per month = $24,000,000 per year.
Time saved = 10 - 2 = 8 days funds are freed for other uses.
Inves ng $24,000,000 at 12% for 8 days: Yield = 24,000,000 (0.12) (8/360) = $64,000
% yield = 64,000/24,000,000 = 0.00267 or 0.267%
Since the firm saves less than 0.3% and the proposed charges is 0.5%, the services would not produce
commensurate savings. However, the new transfer me would shorten the exposure of the funds to various
risks by an average of 8 days. The firm must decide whether or not this reduc on in risk is worth the difference
between the proposed fee and the savings due to the shorter transfer me, 0.5% - 0.267% = 0.233%.
Ques on 3 Study Material, (10 Marks) CA Final May 2013
XY Limited is engaged in large retail business in India. It is contempla ng for expansion into a country of Africa
by acquiring a group of stores having the same line of opera on as that of India.
The exchange rate for the currency of the proposed African country is extremely vola le. Rate of infla on is
presently 40% a year. Infla on in India is currently 10% a year. Management of XY Limited expects these rates
likely to con nue for the foreseeable future.
Es mated projected cash flows, in real terms, in India as well as African country for the first three years of the
project are as follows:
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Cash flows in Indian ₹ (000) - 50,000 - 1,500 - 2,000 - 2,500
Cash flows in African Rands (000) - 2,00,000 + 50,000 + 70,000 + 90,000
XY Ltd. assumes the year 3 nominal cash flows will con nue to be earned each year indefinitely. It evaluates all
investments using nominal cash flows and a nominal discoun ng rate. The present exchange rate is African
Rand 6 to ₹ 1.
You are required to calculate the net present value of the proposed investment of both Indian & African
Opera on considering the following:
(i) African Rand cash flows are converted into rupees and discounted at a risk adjusted rate.
(ii) All cash flows for these projects will be discounted at a rate of 20% to reflect it's high risk.
(iii) Ignore taxa on.
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
PVIF @ 20% .833 .694 .579
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Solu on:
Calcula on of NPV
Year 0 1 2 3
Infla on factor in India 1.00 1.10 1.21 1.331
Infla on factor in Africa 1.00 1.40 1.96 2.744
Exchange Rate (as per PPPT) 6.00 7.6364 9.7190 12.3696
Cash Flows in ₹
Real - 50000 - 1500 - 2000 - 2500
Nominal (1) - 50000 - 1650 - 2420 - 3327.50
Cash Flows in African Rand
Real - 200000 50000 70000 90000
Nominal - 200000 70000 137200 246960
In Indian ₹ (2) - 33333 9167 14117 19965
Net Cash Flow in ₹ (1) + (2) - 83333 7517 11697 16637
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Solu on:
(i) Calcula on of Annual CFAT
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
Annual Sales (in units) (A) 10,00,000 10,00,000 10,00,000
US $ US $ US $
Selling price p.u. 10.00 10.00 10.00
Cost p.u. 6.00 5.70 5.55
Profit p.u. (B) 4.00 4.30 4.45
Total Profit (A x B) 40,00,000 43,00,000 44,50,000
Less: Deprecia on 10,00,000 9,00,000 8,50,000
PBT 30,00,000 34,00,000 36,00,000
Less: Tax @30% 9,00,000 10,20,000 10,80,000
PAT 21,00,000 23,80,000 25,20,000
Add: Deprecia on 10,00,000 9,00,000 8,50,000
Expected CFAT (US$) 31,00,000 32,80,000 33,70,000
US $
Value of Inflows 4,15,34,750
Less: Ini al Outlay 2,50,00,000
NPV of project 1,65,34,750
Since NPV is posi ve, project is viable.
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INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
ADVANCED
CAPITAL
BUDGETING
₹ DECISIONS
EFFECTS OF INFLATION
Calculate NPV of the project if infla on rates for revenues & costs are as follows:
Year Revenues Costs
1 10% 12%
2 9% 10%
3 8% 9%
4 7% 8%
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Statistical Techniques
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Other Techniques
Ques on 16 Study Material
X Ltd. is considering its new project with the following details:
Sr. No. Par culars Figures
1 Ini al capital cost ₹ 400 Cr.
2 Annual unit sales 5 Cr.
3 Selling price per unit ₹ 100
4 Variable cost per unit ₹ 50
5 Fixed costs per year ₹ 50 Cr.
6 Discount Rate 6%
Required:
1. Calculate the NPV of the project.
2. Compute the impact on the project’s NPV considering a 2.5 per cent adverse variance in each variable.
Which variable is having maximum effect?
Consider Life of the project as 3 years.
Σ
t=1
[CFt / (1 + i)t] - I
Where i→ Risk free interest rate, I→ ini al investment are parameters, CF = Annual Cash Flow With i = 10%, I =
₹ 1,30,000, CFt & n stochas c exogenous variables with the following distribu on will be as under:
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Required:
(i) Construct a decision tree for the proposed investment project and calculate the expected net present
value (NPV).
(ii) What net present value will the project yield, if worst outcome is realized? What is the probability of
occurrence of this NPV?
(iii) What will be the best outcome and the probability of that occurrence?
(iv) Will the project be accepted?
(Note: 10% discount factor 1 year 0.909; 2 year 0.826)
Currently, OPEC countries are delibera ng oil output and prices. If OPEC members take unanimous decision
produc on will be limited and oil prices will rise to ₹ 300 barrel in perpetuity. If the cartel breaks up,
produc on will rise and prices will fall to ₹ 100/barreI in perpetuity. This nego a on will be se led within one
year. Once the new price is established, it is expected to remain at that level (either ₹ 300/ barrel or ₹
100/barreI) in perpetuity. The corpora on es mates that an oil price rise and an oil price fall are equally likely.
You are required to advise the corpora on whether to invest immediately or wait for one year? Also calculate
the value of the op on to invest in one year period and suggest accordingly?
Required:
(a) Should you open the mine now or delay one year in the hope of a rise in the Gold price?
(b) What difference would it make to your decision if you could costlessly (but irreversibly) shut down the
mine at any stage? Show the value of abandonment op on.
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
REPLACEMENT DECISIONS
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
The directors of the company believe that the current capital structure fails to take advantage of tax benefits of
debt, and propose to finance the new project with undated perpetual debt secured on the company's assets. The
company intends to issue sufficient debt to cover the cost of capital expenditure and the a er tax cost of issue.
The current annual gross rate of interest required by the market on corporate undated debt of similar risk is
10%. The a er tax costs of issue are expected to be ₹ 10 lakhs. Company's tax rate is 30%.
You are required to calculate:
(i) The adjusted present value of the investment,
(ii) The adjusted discount rate and
(iii) Explain the circumstances under which this adjusted discount rate may be used to evaluate future
investments.
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Solu on:
Computa on of Annual Cash Flow
(i) Infla on adjusted Revenues
Year Revenues (₹) Revenues (Infla on Adjusted) (₹)
1 6,00,000 6,00,000 (1.10) = 6,60,000
2 7,00,000 7,00,000 (1.10) (1.09) = 8,39,300
3 8,00,000 8,00,000 (1.10) (1.09) (1.08) = 10,35,936
4 8,00,000 8,00,000 (1.10) (1.09) (1.08) (1.07) = 11,08,452
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Decision: Company X should buy machine A since its equivalent cash ou low is less than machine B.
The Net Present Value for Project A is (0.909 × ₹ 12,000 – ₹ 10,000) = ₹ 908
The Net Present Value for Project B is (0.909 × ₹ 16,000 – ₹ 10,000) = ₹ 4,544.
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
The present value of the expected value of cash flow at 10 per cent discount rate has been determined as follows:
ENCF1 ENCF2 ENCF3
Present Value of cash flow = 1 + 2 +
(1 + k) (1 + k) (1 + k)3
6,000 4,800 4,200
= + 2 +
(1.1) (1.1) (1.1)3
= (6,000 x 0.909) + (4,800 x 0.826) + (4,200 x 0.751)
= ₹ 12,573
Expected Net Present value = Present Value of cash flow - Ini al Investment
= ₹ 12,573 – ₹ 10,000 = ₹ 2,573.
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Project A:
2 2 2 2
Variance (σ ) = (10,000 – 14,000) × (0.1) + (12,000 – 14,000) × (0.2) + (14,000 – 14000) × (0.4) + (16,000 –
2 2
14,000) × (0.2) + (18000 – 14,000) × (0.1)
= 16,00,000 + 8,00,000 + 0 + 8,00,000 + 16,00,000 = 48,00,000
Standard Devia on (σ) = Variance(σ2 ) = 48,00,000 = 2,190.90
Project B:
2 2 2 2
Variance(σ ) = (26,000 – 18,000) × (0.1) + (22,000 – 18,000) × (0.15) + (18,000 – 18,000) × (0.5) + (14,000 –
18,000)2 × (0.15) + (10,000 – 18,000)2 × (0.1)
= 64,00,000 + 24,00,000 + 0 + 24,00,000 + 64,00,000 = 1,76,00,000
2
Standard Devia on (σ) = Variance(σ ) = 1,76,00,000 = 4195.23
Projects Coefficient of varia on Risk Expected Value
A 2190.90 Less Less
= 0.1565
14000
B 4195.23 More More
= 0.2331
18000
In project A, risk per rupee of cash flow is ₹ 0.16 while in project B, it is ₹ 0.23. Therefore, Project A is be er than Project B.
Q.8. Shivam Ltd. is considering two mutually exclusive projects....
Solu on:
(i) Statement showing computa on of expected net present value of Projects A and B:
Project A Project B
NPV Probability Expected NPV Probability Expected
Es mates (₹) Value Es mates Value
15,000 0.2 3,000 15,000 0.1 1,500
12,000 0.3 3,600 12,000 0.4 4,800
6,000 0.3 1,800 6,000 0.4 2,400
3,000 0.2 600 3,000 0.1 300
1.0 EV = 9,000 1.0 EV = 9,000
Project B
P X (X – EV) P (X - EV)²
0.1 15,000 6,000 36,00,000
0.4 12,000 3,000 36,00,000
0.4 6,000 - 3,000 36,00,000
0.1 3,000 - 6,000 36,00,000
Variance = 1,44,00,000
Standard Devia on of Project A = 1,44,00,000 = ₹ 3,795
(iii) Computa on of profitability of each project
Profitability index = Discount cash inflow / Ini al outlay
9,000 + 36,000 45,000
In case of Project A : PI = = = 1.25
36,000 36,000
9,000 + 30,000 39,000
In case of Project B : PI = = = 1.30
30,000 30,000
(iv) Measurement of risk is made by the possible varia on of outcomes around the expected value and the
decision will be taken in view of the varia on in the expected value where two projects have the same
expected value, the decision will be the project which has smaller varia on in expected value. In the
selec on of one of the two projects A and B, Project B is preferable because the possible profit which may
occur is subject to less varia on (or dispersion). Much higher risk is lying with project A.
Q.9. Skylark Airways is planning to acquire a light....
Solu on:
(i) Expected NPV (₹ in lakhs)
Year I Year 2 Year 3
CFAT P CF × P CFAT P CF × P CFAT P CF × P
14 0.1 1.4 15 0.1 1.5 18 0.2 3.6
18 0.2 3.6 20 0.3 6.0 25 0.5 12.5
25 0.4 10.0 32 0.4 12.8 35 0.2 7.0
40 0.3 12.0 45 0.2 9 48 0.1 4.8
x or CF 27.0 x or CF 29.3 x or CF 27.9
M= Σ (1 + r) Mi
i=0
-1
σ = Σ (1 + r) σ
2 -2i 2
i
i=0
Hence
Project X
Year
1 (30 - 48.5)2 0.30 + (50 - 48.5)2 0.40 + (65 - 48.5)2 0.30 = 185.25 = 13.61
(30 - 41.5) 0.30 + (40 - 41.5) 0.40 + (55 - 41.5) 0.30 = 95.25 = 9.76
2 2 2
2
(30 - 38.5) 0.30 + (40 - 38.5) 0.40 + (45 - 38.5) 0.30 = 35.25 = 5.94
2 2 2
3
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Analysis: Project Y is less risky as its Standard Devia on is less than Project X.
NPV= 39,922
(ii) ENPV of the worst case
1,00,000 x 3.790 = ₹ 3,79,000 (Students may have 3.791 also the values will change accordingly)
20,000 x 0.621 = ₹ 12,420/-
ENPV = (-) 4,00,000 + 3,79,000 + 12,420 = (-) ₹ 8,580/-
ENPV of the best case
ENPV = (-) 4,00,000 + 1,20,000 x 3.790 + 60,000 x 0.621 = ₹ 92,060/-.
(iii) (a) Required probability = 0.3
5
(b) Required probability = (0.3) = 0.00243
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
(iv) The base case NPV = (-) 4,00,000 + (1,10,000 x 3.79) + (50,000 x 0.621)
= ₹ 47,950/-
ENPV = 0.30 x (-) 8580 + 0.5 x 47950 + 92060 x 0.20 = ₹ 39,813/-
Therefore,
σΕNPV = 0.3 (− 8580 - 39,813)2 + 0.5 (47950 −39813)2+ 0.2 (92,060 − 39,813)2 = ₹ 35,800/-
(ii) The three projects can now be evaluated at 19%, 15% and 13% discount rate as follows:
Project P-I
Annual Inflows ₹ 6,00,000
PVAF (19 %, 4) 2.639
PV of Inflows (₹ 6,00,000 x 2.639) ₹ 15,83,400
Less: Cost of Investment ₹ 15,00,000
Net Present Value ₹ 83,400
Project P-II
Year Cash Inflow (₹) PVF (15%,n) PV (₹)
1 6,00,000 0.870 5,22,000
2 4,00,000 0.756 3,02,400
3 5,00,000 0.658 3,29,000
4 2,00,000 0.572 1,14,400
Total Present Value 12,67,800
Less: Cost of Investment 11,00,000
Net Present Value 1,67,800
Project P-III
Year Cash Inflow (₹) PVF (15%,n) PV (₹)
1 4,00,000 0.885 3,54,000
2 6,00,000 0.783 4,69,800
3 8,00,000 0.693 5,54,400
4 12,00,000 0.613 7,35,600
Total Present Value 21,13,800
Less: Cost of Investment 19,00,000
Net Present Value 2,13,800
Project P-III has highest NPV. So, it should be accepted by the firm
Q.15. The Tex le Manufacturing Company....
Solu on: (i) Statement Showing the Net Present Value of Project M
Year Cash Flow C.E. Adjusted Cash flow (₹ ) Present value Total Present value (₹)
end (₹) (a) (b) (c) = (a) x (b) factor at 6% (d) (e) = (c) x (d)
1 4,50,000 0.8 3,60,000 0.943 3,39,480
2 5,00,000 0.7 3,50,000 0.890 3,11,500
3 5,00,000 0.5 2,50,000 0.840 2,10,000
8,60,980
Less: Ini al Investment 8,50,000
Net Present Value 10,980
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
NPV 22,605
If ini al project cost is varied adversely by 10%*
NPV (Revised) (₹ 1,42,605 - ₹ 1,32,000) ₹ 10,605
Change in NPV (₹ 22,605 – ₹ 10,605)/ ₹ 22,605 i.e. 53.08 %
If annual cash inflow is varied adversely by 10%*
Revised annual inflow ₹ 40,500
NPV (Revised) (₹ 40,500 x 3.169) – (₹ 1,20,000) (+) ₹ 8,345
Change in NPV (₹ 22,605 – ₹ 8,345) / ₹ 22,605 63.08 %
If cost of capital is varied adversely by 10%*
NPV (Revised) (₹ 45,000 x 3.103) – ₹ 1,20,000 (+) ₹ 19,635
Change in NPV (₹ 22,605 – ₹ 19,635) / ₹ 22,605 13.14 %
Conclusion: Project is most sensi ve to ‘annual cash inflow’.
*Note: Students may please note that they may assume any other percentage rate other than 10 % say 15%,
20 % 25 % etc.
Q.18. XYZ Ltd. is considering a project for which....
Solu on:
Calcula on of NPV
20,000 x 20 30,000 x 20 30,000 x 20
NPV = - ₹ 1,00,000 + + +
1.1 1.21 1.331
= - 10,00,000 + 3,63,636 + 4,95,868 + 4,50,789
= 13,10,293 – 10,00,000
= ₹ 3,10,293/-
Measurement of sensi vity is as follows:
(a) Sales Price:-
Let the sale price/Unit be S so that the project would break even with 0 NPV.
20,000 x (S - 40) 30,000 x (S - 40) 30,000 (S - 40)
∴1,00,000 = + +
1.1 1.21 1.331
S – 40 = 10,00,000/65,514
S – 40 = ₹ 15.26
S = ₹ 55.26 which represents a fall of (60-55.26)/60
Or 0.079 or 7.9%
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Alterna ve Method
10,00,000 x 20
= ₹ 15.26
13,10,293
S= ₹ 40 + ₹ 15.26
= ₹ 55.26
Alterna ve Solu on
If sale Price decreased by say 10%, then NPV (at Sale Price of ₹ 60 – ₹ 6 = ₹ 54)
20000 x 14 30000 x 14 30000 x 14
NPV = - ₹ 1,00,000 + + +
(1.1)1 (1.1)2 (1.1)3
(d) Since PV of inflows remains at ₹ 13,10,293 the ini al outlay must also be the same.
∴Percentage rise = 3,10,293/10,00,000 x 100 = 31.03%.
Alterna ve Solu on
If ini al outlay increased by say 10%. The new NPV will be as follows:
20000 x 20 30000 x 20 30000 x 20
NPV = - 11,00,000 + + +
(1.1)1 (1.1)2 (1.1)3
= -11,00,000 + 3,63,636 + 4,95,868 + 4,50,789 = 2,10,293
3,10,293 - 2,10,293
NPV decrease (%) = x 100 = 32.22%
3,10,293
(e) Present value for 1st two years.
= - 10,00,000 + 4,00,000 x 0.909 + 6,00,000 x 0.826
= - 10,00,000 + 3,63,600 + 4,95,600
= - 10,00,000 + 8,59,200
= - 1,40,800
∴The project needs to run for some part of the third year so that the present value of return is ₹ 1,40,800. It
can be computed as follows:
(i) 30,000 units x ₹ 20 x 0.751 = ₹ 4,50,600
₹ 4 50,600
(ii) Per day Produc on in (₹) assuming a year of 360 days = = ₹ 1252
360
₹ 1,40,800
(iii) Days needed to recover ₹ 1,40,800 = = 112
₹1,252
Thus, if the project runs for 2 years and 112 days then break even would be achieved represen ng a
(3 - 2.311)
fall of x 100 = 22.97%.
3
Q.19. Red Ltd. is considering a project with the....
Solu on:
P.V. of Cash Flows
Year 1 Running Cost ₹ 4,000 x 0.917 = (₹ 3,668)
Savings ₹ 12,000 x 0.917 = ₹ 11,004
Year 2 Running Cost ₹ 5,000 x 0.842 = (₹ 4,210)
Savings ₹ 14,000 x 0.842 = ₹ 11,788
₹ 14,914
Year 0 Less: P.V. of Cash Ou low ₹ 10,000 x 1 ₹ 10,000
NPV ₹ 4,914
Sensi vity Analysis
(i) Increase of Plant Value by ₹ 4,914
4,914
∴ x 100 = 49.14%
10,000
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Hence, savings factor is the most sensi ve to affect the acceptability of the project as in comparison of other
two factors a slight % change in this fact shall more affect the NPV than others.
Alterna ve Solu on
P.V. of Cash Flows
Year 1 Running Cost ₹ 4,000 x 0.917 = (₹ 3,668)
Savings ₹ 12,000 x 0.917 = ₹ 11,004
Year 2 Running Cost ₹ 5,000 x 0.842 = (₹4,210)
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
For random numbers, we can begin from any-where taking at random from the table and read any pair of adjacent
columns, column/row wise. For the first simula on run we need two digit random numbers (1) For Annual Cash
Flow (2) For Project Life. The numbers are 53 & 97 and corresponding value of Annual Cash Flow and Project Life
are ₹ 3,000 and 9 years respec vely.
Simula on Results
Annual Cash Flow Project Life
Run Random Corres. Value of Random No. Corres. Value PVAF @ NPV (1) x (2)
No. Annual Cash Flow (1) of Project Life 10% (2) – 1,30,000
1 53 30,000 97 9 5.759 42,770
2 66 35,000 99 10 6.145 85,075
3 30 25,000 81 7 4.868 (8,300)
4 19 20,000 09 4 3.170 (66,600)
5 31 25,000 67 6 4.355 (21,125)
6 81 35,000 70 7 4.868 40,380
7 38 30,000 75 7 4.868 16,040
8 48 30,000 83 7 4.868 16,040
9 90 40,000 33 5 3.791 21,640
10 58 30,000 52 6 4.355 650
Q.24. A firm has an investment proposal, requiring....
Solu on:
(i) The decision tree diagram is presented in the chart, iden fying various paths and outcomes, and the
computa on of various paths/outcomes and NPV of each path are presented in the following tables:
Joint probability
Path No. Year 1 x year 2
24,000 1 .08
60,000 6 0.06
1.00
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
The Net Present Value (NPV) of each path at 10% discount rate is given below:
Path Year 1 Cash Flows (₹) Year 2 Cash Flows (₹) Total Cash Cash Inflows NPV
Inflows (PV) (₹) (₹) (₹)
1 50,000 x .909 = 45,450 24,000 x .826 = 19,824 65,274 80,000 (-) 14,726
2 45,450 32,000 x .826 = 26,432 71,882 80,000 (-) 8,118
3 45,450 44,000 x .826 = 36,344 81,794 80,000 1,794
4 60,000 x .909 = 54,540 40,000 x .826 = 33,040 87,580 80,000 7,580
5 54,540 50,000 x .826 = 41,300 95,840 80,000 15,840
6 54,540 60,000 x .826 = 49,560 1,04,100 80,000 24,100
Statement showing Expected Net Present Value
₹
z NPV (₹) Joint Probability Expected NPV
1 -14,726 0.08 -1,178.0
2 -8,118 0.12 -974.16
3 1,794 0.20 358.80
4 7,580 0.24 1,819.20
5 15,840 0.30 4,752.00
6 24,100 0.06 1,446.00
6,223.76
(ii) If the worst outcome is realized the project will yield NPV of – ₹ 14,726. The probability of occurrence of this
NPV is 8% and a loss of ₹ 1,178 (path 1).
(iii) The best outcome will be path 6 when the NPV is at ₹ 24,100. The probability of occurrence of this NPV is 6%
and a expected profit of ₹ 1,446.
(iv) The project should be accepted because the expected NPV is posi ve at ₹ 6,223.76 based on joint probability.
Project B
Cash flow (in ₹) Probability U lity U lity value
-10,000 0.10 -60 -6
-4,000 0.15 -3 -0.45
15,000 0.40 40 16
5,000 0.25 20 5
10,000 0.10 30 3
17.55
Project B should be selected as its expected u lity is more.
Q.26. L & R Limited wishes to develop new virus-cleaner....
Solu on:
Decision tree diagram is given below:
Invest 20L
Success 0.5 Income 4L perpetuity
C
Not to Invest
)
0,000 B Invest 12L
t (2,4
Tes Failure 0.5 Income 1L perpetuity
A D
No Not to Invest
Tes
t
Evalua on
At Decision Point C: The choice is between inves ng ₹ 20 lacs for a perpetual benefit of ₹ 4 lacs and not to invest.
The preferred choice is to invest, since the capitalized value of benefit of ₹ 4 lacs (at 10%) adjusted for the
investment of ₹ 20 lacs, yields a net benefit of ₹ 20 lacs.
At Decision Point D: The choice is between inves ng ₹ 12 lacs, for a similar perpetual benefit of ₹ 1 lac. and not to
invest. Here the invested amount is greater than capitalized value of benefit at ₹ 10 lacs. There is a nega ve benefit
of ₹ 2 lacs. Therefore, it would not be prudent to invest.
At Outcome Point B: Evalua on of EMV is as under (₹ in lacs).
Outcome Amount (₹) Probability Result (₹)
Success 20.00 0.50 10.00
Failure 0.00 0.50 00.00
Net result 10.00
EMV at B is, therefore, ₹ 10 lacs.
At A: Decision is to be taken based on preferences between two alterna ves. The first is to test, by inves ng ₹
2,40,000 and reap a benefit of ₹ 10 lacs. The second is not to test, and thereby losing the opportunity of a possible gain.
The preferred choice is, therefore, inves ng a sum of ₹ 2,40,000 and undertaking the test.
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
0. Oil
i l dollars il dollars
gO gO
P = ing
i n n
25
d d i
Fin = 0.5 2
d
Fin = 0.
Fin
P P
00 to
00 pto
fe o
00 pt
60 ill up
P=
t
t
et
fee
fee
20 rill u
40 ill u
P = ry
0.5
P=
Dr
Dr
Dr
D
0.8
y
0.2
D
Dr
5
y
D1 D2 D3
6 Million of
Do
Do
dollars
dr not
no
Do drill
ill
td
no
rill
4 Million of 5 Million of
dollars dollars
There are three decision points in the tree indicated by D1 , D2 and D3 .
Using rolling back technique, we shall take the decision at decision point D3 first and then use it to arrive decision at
a decisions point D2 and then use it to arrive decision at a decision point D1.
Statement showing the evalua on of decision at Decision point D3
Decision Event Probability P.V. of Oil (if found) Expected P.V. of Oil (if
(Millions of dollars) found) (Millions of dollars)
1. Drill upto Finding Oil 0.25 +2 0.50
6,000 feet Dry 0.75 -6 -4.50
(Refer to working note) -4.00
2. Do not drill -5.00
Since the Expected P.V. of Oil (if found) on drilling upto 6,000 feet – 4 millions of dollar is greater than the cost of not
drilling –5 millions of dollars. Therefore, Big Oil should drill upto 6,000 feet.
Statement showing evalua on of decision at decision Point D2
Decision Event Probability P.V. of Oil (if found) Expected P.V. of Oil (if
(Millions of dollars) found) (Millions of dollars)
1. Drill upto Finding Oil 0.2 4 0.6
4,000 feet Dry 0.8 -4 -3.2
(Refer to working note) -2.4
2. Do not drill -4
Since the Expected P.V. of Oil (if found) on drilling upto 4,000 feet – 2.4 millions of dollar is greater than the cost of
not drilling –4 millions of dollars. Therefore, Big Oil should drill upto 4,000 feet.
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Since the Expected P.V. of Oil (if found) on drilling upto 2,000 feet is 1.8 million of dollars (posi ve), Big Oil should
drill upto 2,000 feet.
Working Notes
Let x be the event of not finding oil at 2,000 feets and y be the event of not finding oil at 4,000 feet and z be the
event of not finding oil at 6,000 feets.
We know that,
P (x ᴖ y) = P (x) x P (y/x)
Where, P (X ᴖ y) is the joint probability of not finding oil at 2,000 feets and 4,000 feets, P(x) is the probability of not
finding oil at 2,000 feets and P (y/x) is the probability of not finding oil at 4,000 feets, if the event x has already
occurred.
P (x ᴖ y) = 1 - Cumula ve probability of finding oil at 4,000 feet
= 1 - 0.6 = 0.4
P(x) = 1 - Probability of finding oil at 2,000 feets
= 1 - 0.5 = 0.5
P (x ᴖ y) 0.4
Hence, P (y/x) = = = 0.8
P(x) 0.5
Therefore, probability of finding oil between 2,000 feets to 4,000 feets = 1 - 0.8 = 0.2 we know that,
where, P (x ᴖ y ᴖ z) is the joint probability of not finding oil at 2,000 feets, 4,000 feets and 6,000 feets, P(x) and
P(y/x) are as explained earlier and P(z/x ᴖ y) is the probability of not finding oil at 6,000 feets if the event x and y has
already occurred.
Therefore, probability of finding oil between 4,000 feets to 6,000 feets = 1 – 0.75 = 0.25
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
(ii) Assume that we delay one year un l t = 1, and open the mine if the price is ₹ 5,500.
At that point :
3
(1,000) x (5,500 - 4,600)
NPV = - ₹ 10,00,000 +
t=1
Σ (1.10)
t ₹ 12,38,167
It the price at t1 reaches ₹ 5,500, then expected price for all future periods is ₹ 5,500.
As already stated mine should not be opened if the price is less than or equal to ₹ 5,000 per ounce.
If the price at t1 reaches ₹ 4,500, then expected price for all future periods is ₹ 4,500. In that situa on
we should not open the mine.
(b) Suppose we open the mine at t = 0, when the price is Rs. 5,000. At t = 2, there is a 0.25 probability that the
price will be Rs. 4,000. Then since the price at t = 3 cannot rise above the extrac on cost, the mine should be
closed. If we open the mine at t = 0, when the price was Rs. 5,000 with the closing op on the NPV will be :
2
(5,000 - 4,600) x 1,000
NPV = - ₹ 10,00,000 +
t=1
Σ (1.10)t
.125 x [1,900 + 900 + 900 + 900 - 100 - 100] x 1,000]
+
(1.10)3
= ₹ 1,07,438
Therefore, the NPV with the abandonment op on is ₹ 1,07,438.
The value of the abandonment op on is:
0.25 × 1,000 × (600)/ (1.10)3 = ₹ 1,12,697
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
The NPV of strategy (2), that to open the mine at t = 1, when price rises to ₹ 5,500 per ounce, even without
abandonment op on, is higher than op on 1. Therefore, the strategy (2) is preferable.
Under strategy 2, the mine should be closed if the price reaches ₹ 4,500 at t = 3, because the expected profit is
(₹ 4,500) – 4,600) × 1,000 = - ₹ 1,00,000.
Note: Students may also assume that the price of the gold remains at ₹ 5,000 to solve the ques on.
Q.30. Ramesh owns a plot of land on which he intends....
Solu on:
Presently 10 units apartments shall yield a profit of ₹ 200 lakh (₹ 800 lakhs - ₹ 600 lakhs) and 15 unit apartment will
yield a profit of ₹ 175 lakh (₹ 1200 lakhs -₹ 1025 lakhs). Thus 10 units apartment is the best alterna ve if Ramesh
has to construct now.
To determine the value of vacant plot we shall use Binomial Model (Risk Neutral Method) of op on valua on as
follows:
₹ 91 lakhs + ₹ 7 lakhs = ₹ 98 lakhs
p
₹ 80 Lakhs
1-p
₹ 75 lakhs + ₹ 7 lakhs = ₹ 82 lakhs
Alterna vely student can calculate these values as follows (Sale Value + Rent):
If market is buoyant then possible outcome = ₹ 91 lakh + ₹ 7 lakh = ₹ 98 lakhs
It market is sluggish then possible outcome ₹ 75 lakh +₹ 7 lakh = ₹ 82 lakhs
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Let p be the probability of buoyant condi on then with the given risk-free rate Of interest of 10% the following
condi on should be sa sfied:
[(p x ₹ 98 lakhs) + (1 - p) x ₹ 82 lakhs]
₹ 80 lakhs =
1.10
3
p = i.e. 0.375
8
Thus 1 - p = 0.625
Since the current value of vacant land is more than profit from 10 units apartments now the land should be kept
vacant.
Q.31. A Company named Roby’s cube decided to....
Solu on:
Step I. Net cash ou low (assumed at current me) [Present values of cost]:
a. (Book value of old system – market value of old system) x Tax Rate
= Tax payable/savings from sale
= [(₹ 25,000 – 5 × ₹ 2,500) – ₹ 5,000] × 0.30 = ₹ 7,500 × 0.30
= ₹ 2,250
b. Cost of new system – [Tax payable/savings from sale + Market value of old system] = Net cash ou low
Or, ₹ 50,000 – [₹ 2,250 + ₹ 5,000] = ₹ 42,750
Step II. Es mated change in cash flows per year if replacement decision is implemented.
Change in cash flow = [(Change in sales ± Change in opera ng costs)-Change in deprecia on)] (1 - tax rate) +
Change in deprecia on
= [₹ 1,00,000 × 0.1 + ₹ 5,000 – (₹ 49,000/5 – ₹ 25,000/10)] (1 - 0.30) + (₹ 49,000/5 – ₹ 25000/10)]
= ₹ 12,690
Step III. Present value of benefits = Present value of yearly cash flows + Present value of es mated salvage of new
system
= ₹ 12,690 × PVIFA (10%, 5) + ₹ 1,000 × PVIF (10%, 5)
= ₹ 48,723
Step IV. Net present value = Present value of benefits - Present value of costs
= ₹ 48,723 – ₹ 42,750
= ₹ 5,973
Step V. Decision rule: Since NPV is posi ve we should accept the proposal to replace the machine.
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Note: Alterna vely, Answer can also be computed by excluding ini al ou low as there will be no change in final
decision.
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Alterna vely, op mal replacement period can also be computed using the following table:
Scenario Year Cash Flow PV @ 15% PV
Replace Immediately 0 (40,000) 1 (40,000)
1 to 4 28,600 2.855 81,652
41,652
Replace a er 1 year 1 10,000 0.870 8,696
1 (25,000) 0.870 (21,739)
2 to 4 28,600 1.985 56,783
43,739
Replace a er 2 years 1 10,000 0.870 8,696
2 20,000 0.756 15,123
2 (15,000) 0.756 (11,342)
3 and 4 28,600 1.229 35,157
47,633
Replace a er 3 years 1 10,000 0.870 8,696
2 20,000 0.756 15,123
3 30,000 0.658 19,725
3 (10,000) 0.658 (6,575)
4 28,600 0.572 16,352
53,321
Replace a er 4 years 1 10,000 0.870 8,696
2 20,000 0.756 15,123
3 30,000 0.658 19,725
4 40,000 0.572 22,870
66,414
Q.37. Company Y is opera ng an elderly machine that....
Solu on:
Statement showing present value of cash inflow of new machine when it replaces elderly machine now
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Timing Decision
Replace Now
Current Realizable Value ₹ 80,000
NPV of New Machine ₹ 48,880
Total NPV ₹ 1,28,880
Replace a er 1 Year
Cash Inflow for Year 1 ₹ 40000
Realisable Value of Old Machine ₹ 70000
NPV of New Machine ₹ 48,880
Total NPV a er 1 Year ₹ 1,58,880
PV of Total NPV (158880/1.1) ₹ 1,44,436
Advise: Since Total NPV is higher in case of Replacement a er one year Machine should be replaced a er 1 year.
Q.38. XYZ Ltd. is presently all equity financed. The directors....
Solu on:
(a) (i) Calcula on of Adjusted Present Value of Investment (APV)
Adjusted PV = Base Case PV + PV of financing decisions associated with the project
Base Case NPV for the project:
(-) ₹ 270 lakhs + (₹ 42 lakhs / 0.14) = (-) ₹ 270 lakhs + ₹ 300 lakhs
= ₹ 30
Issue costs = ₹ 10 lakhs
Thus, the amount to be raised = ₹ 270 lakhs + ₹ 10 lakhs
= ₹ 280 lakhs
Annual tax relief on interest payment = ₹ 280 x 0.1 x 0.3
= ₹ 8.4 lakhs in perpetuity
The value of tax relief in perpetuity = ₹ 8.4 lakhs / 0.1
= ₹ 84 lakhs
Therefore, APV = Base case PV – Issue Costs + PV of Tax Relief on debt interest = ₹ 30 lakhs – ₹ 10 lakhs +
84 lakhs = ₹ 104 lakhs
Applicable tax rate is 35%. Assume cost of capital to be 14% (a er tax). The infla on rates for revenues and
costs are as under:
Year Revenues % Costs %
1 9 10
2 8 9
3 6 7
PVF at 14%, for 3 years =0.877, 0.769 and 0.675
Show amount to the nearest rupee in calcula ons.
You are required to calculate net present value of the project.
Solu on:
(i) Infla on adjusted Revenues
Year Revenues (₹) Revenues (Infla on Adjusted) (₹)
1 10,00,000 10,00,000 (1.09) = 10,90,000
2 13,00,000 13,00,000(1.09) (1.08) = 15,30,360
3 14,00,000 14,00,000 (1.09 (1.08) (1.06) = 17,46,965
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Solu on:
Calcula on of Expected Value for Project A and Project B
Project A Project B
Possible
Cash Flow Probability Expected Cash Flow Probability Expected
Event
(₹) Value (₹) (₹) Value (₹)
A 8,000 0.10 800 24,000 0.10 2,400
B 10,000 0.20 2,000 20,000 0.15 3,000
C 12,000 0.40 4,800 16,000 0.50 8,000
D 14,000 0.20 2,800 12,000 0.15 1,800
E 16,000 0.10 1,600 8,000 0.10 800
ENCF 12,000 16,000
Project A:
2 2 2 2
Variance (σ ) = (8,000 – 12,000) × (0.1) + (10,000 – 12,000) × (0.2) + (12,000 – 12000) × (0.4) + (14,000 –
12,000)2 × (0.2) + (16000 – 12,000)2 × (0.1)
= 16,00,000 + 8,00,000 + 0 + 8,00,000 + 16,00,000 = 48,00,000
2
Standard Devia on (σ) = Variance(σ ) = 48,00,000 = 2,190.90
Project B:
Variance(σ2) = (24,000 – 16,000)2 x (0.1) + (20,000 – 16,000)2 x (0.15) + (16,000 – 16,000)2 x (0.5) + (12,000 –
2 2
16,000) x (0.15) + (8,000 – 16,000) x (0.1)
= 64,00,000 + 24,00,000 + 0 + 24,00,000 + 64,00,000 = 1,76,00,000
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Solu on:
Project A
Expected Net Cash flow (ENCF)
0.3 (6,00,000) + 0.4 (4,00,000) + 0.3 (2,00,000) = 4,00,000
σ2= 0.3 (6,00,000– 4,00,000)2 + 0.4 (4,00,000 – 4,00,000)2 + 0.3 (2,00,000 – 4,00,000)2
σ = 24,00,00,00,000
σ = 1,54,919.33
Present Value of Expected Cash Inflows = 4,00,000 × 4.100 = 16,40,000
NPV = 16,40,000 – 5,00,000 = 11,40,000
Project B
ENCF = 0.3 (5,00,000) + 0.4 (4,00,000) + 0.3 (3,00,000) = 4,00,000
2 2 2 2
σ =0.3 (5,00,000 – 4,00,000) + 0.4 (4,00,000 – 4,00,000) + 0.3 (3,00,000 – 4,00,000)
σ = 6,00,00,00,000
σ = 77,459.66
Present Value of Expected Cash Inflows = 4,00,000 × 4.100 = 16,40,000
NPV = 16,40,000 – 5,00,000 = 11,40,000
Recommenda on: NPV in both projects being the same, the project should be decided on the basis of
standard devia on and hence project ‘B’ should be accepted having lower standard devia on, means less risky.
Ques on 4 Study Material
KLM Ltd., is considering taking up one of the two projects-Project-K and Project-S. Both the projects having
same life require equal investment of ₹ 80 lakhs each. Both are es mated to have almost the same yield. As
the company is new to this type of business, the cash flow arising from the projects cannot be es mated with
certainty. An a empt was therefore, made to use probability to analyse the pa ern of cash flow from other
projects during the first yearof opera ons. This pa ern is likely to con nue during the life of these projects.
The results of the analysis are as follows:
Project K Project S
Cash Flow (in ₹) Probability Cash Flow (in ₹) Probability
11 0.10 09 0.10
13 0.20 13 0.25
15 0.40 17 0.30
17 0.20 21 0.25
19 0.10 25 0.10
Required:
(i) Calculate variance, standard devia on and co-efficient of variance for both the projects.
(ii) Which of the two projects is riskier?
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Solu on:
Calcula on of Variance and Standard Devia on
Project K
Expected Net Cash Flow
= (0.10 x 11) + (0.20 x13) + (0.40 x 15) + (0.20 x 17) + (0.10 x 19)
= 1.1 + 2.6 + 6 + 3.4 + 1.9 = 15
2 2 2 2 2 2
σ = 0.10 (11 – 15) + 0.20 (13 – 15 ) + 0.40 (15 – 15) + 0.20 (17 – 15 ) + 0.10 (19 – 15 )
= 1.6 + 0.8 + 0 + 0.8 + 1.6 = 4.8
σ = 4.8 = 2.19
Project S
Expected Net Cash Flow
= (0.10 X 9) + (0.25 X 13) + (0.30 X 17) + (0.25 X 21) + (0.10 X 25)
= 0.9 + 3.25 + 5.1 + 5.25 + 2.5 = 17
σ2= 0.1 (9 – 17 )2 + 0.25 (13 – 17 )2+ 0.30 (17 – 17 )2 + 0.25 (21 – 17 )2+ 0.10 (25 – 17)2
= 6.4 + 4 + 0 + 4 + 6.4 = 20.8
σ = 20.8 = 4.56
The project life is 5 years and the desired rate of return is 20%. The es mated terminal values for the project
assets under the three probability alterna ves, respec vely, are ₹ 0, 20,000 and 30,000.
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Solu on: The expected cash flows of the project are as follows:
Year Pr = 0.1 Pr = 0.7 Pr = 0.2 Total
₹ ₹ ₹ ₹
0 -10,000 -70,000 -20,000 -1,00,000
1 2,000 21,000 8,000 31,000
2 2,000 21,000 8,000 31,000
3 2,000 21,000 8,000 31,000
4 2,000 21,000 8,000 31,000
5 2,000 21,000 8,000 31,000
5 0 14,000 6,000 20,000
(i) NPV based on expected cash flows would be as follows:
₹ 31,000 ₹ 31,000 ₹ 31,000 ₹ 31,000 ₹ 31,000 ₹ 20,000
= - ₹ 1,00,000 + 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 +
(1 + 0.20) (1 + 0.20) (1 + 0.20) (1 + 0.20) (1 + 0.20) (1 + 0.20)5
= - ₹ 1,00,000 + ₹ 25,833.33 + ₹ 21,527.78 + ₹ 17,939.81 + ₹ 14,949.85+ ₹ 12,458.20 + ₹ 8,037.55
NPV = ₹ 746.52
(ii) For the worst case, the cash flows from the cash flow column farthest on the le are used to calculate NPV
₹ 20,000 ₹ 20,000 ₹ 20,000 ₹ 20,000 ₹ 20,000
= - ₹ 1,00,000 + 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 +
(1 + 0.20) (1 + 0.20) (1 + 0.20) (1 + 0.20) (1 + 0.20)5
= - ₹ 100,000 + ₹ 16,666.67 + ₹ 13,888.89 + ₹ 11,574.07 + ₹ 9,645.06+ ₹ 8037.76
NPV = - ₹ 40,187.76
For the best case, the cash flows from the cash flow column farthest on the right are used to calculated NPV
₹ 40,000 ₹ 40,000 ₹ 40,000 ₹ 40,000 ₹40 ,000 ₹ 30,000
= - ₹ 1,00,000 + 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 +
(1 + 0.20) (1 + 0.20) (1 + 0.20) (1 + 0.20) (1 + 0.20) (1 + 0.20)5
= - ₹ 1,00,000 + ₹ 33,333.33 + ₹ 27,777.78 + ₹ 23,148.15 + ₹ 19,290.12 + ₹ 16,075.10 + ₹ 12,056.33
NPV = ₹ 31,680.81
(iii) If the cash flows are perfectly dependent, then the low cash flow in the first year will mean a low cash
flow in every year. Thus, the possibility of the worst case occurring is the probability of ge ng ₹ 20,000
net cash flow in year 1 is 10%.
Ques on 6 Study Material
An enterprise is inves ng ₹ 100 lakhs in a project. The risk-free rate of return is 7%. Risk premium expected by
the Management is 7%. The life of the project is 5 years. Following are the cash flows that are es mated over
the life of the project:
Year Cash flows (₹ in lakhs)
1 25
2 60
3 75
4 80 Calculate Net Present Value of the project based on Risk free rate
5 65 and also on the basis of Risks adjusted discount rate.
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ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Solu on:
The Present Value of the Cash Flows for all the years by discoun ng the cash flow at 7% is calculated as below:
Year Cash flows (₹ in lakhs) Discoun ng Factor @ 7% Present value of Cash Flows (₹ In Lakhs)
1 25 0.935 23.38
2 60 0.873 52.38
3 75 0.816 61.20
4 80 0.763 61.04
5 65 0.713 46.35
Total of Present value of Cash flows 244.34
Less: Ini al investment 100.00
Net Present Value (NPV) 144.34
Now, when the risk-free rate is 7% and the risk premium expected by the Management is 7%, then risk
adjusted discount rate is 7% + 7% = 14%.
Discoun ng the above cash flows using the Risk Adjusted Discount Rate would be as below:
Year Cash flows (₹ in lakhs) Discoun ng Factor @14% Present value of Cash Flows (₹ In Lakhs)
1 25 0.877 21.93
2 60 0.769 46.14
3 75 0.675 50.63
4 80 0.592 47.36
5 65 0.519 33.74
Total of Present value of Cash flows 199.79
Less: Ini al investment 100.00
Net Present Value (NPV) 99.79
Ques on 7 Study Material
If Investment proposal costs ₹ 45,00,000 and risk free rate is 5%, calculate net present value under certainty
equivalent technique.
Year Expected cash flow (₹) Certainty Equivalent coefficient
1 10,00,000 0.90
2 15,00,000 0.85
3 20,00,000 0.82
4 25,00,000 0.78
Solu on:
10,00,000 x (0.90) 15,00,000 x (0.85) 20,00,000 x (0.82) 25,00,000 x (0.78)
NPV = + + + - 45,00,000
(1.05) (1.05)2 (1.05)3 (1.05)4
= ₹ 5,34,570
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INTEREST RATES RISK MANAGEMENT
INTEREST
RATE RISK
MANAGEMENT
UNIT I
SWAPS
CB 1
Anil wants to setup an industry at Pithampur for a total cost of ₹ 1 crore. State Bank of India has quoted him an
interest rate of PLR + 2%. However, Anil expects interest rates to rise in the future and hence wants to borrow
at fixed interest rate.
Sunil is a customer of ICICI Bank and wants to borrow the same amount, however at floa ng interest rate.
While ICICI Bank expects interest rate to go lower in the near future and hence willing to lend only at fixed
interest rate of 15% p.a.
Both Anil and Sunil approaches you to help them in arranging swap deal. Suggest strategy that could help both
of them meet their requirements and show calcula ons assuming PLR rate of 13%, 12%, 10%, 13.5%, and 15%
respec vely at the beginning of year 1 to 5.
CB 2
Indore Municipal Corpora on has surplus funds of ₹ 100 crores that it wants to invest in floa ng rate bonds for
5 years. Even a er rigorous search for high quality floa ng bonds, IMC is unable to find any floa ng rate bonds
in the market but successfully found fixed rate bonds yielding 12% p.a.
Mr. Kailash has already an investment of ₹ 100 crore in floa ng rate bonds yielding PLR + 7% which he wants to
convert into fixed income investments.
Explain how swap can help IMC and Mr. Kailash to achieve their respec ve goals.
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INTEREST RATES RISK MANAGEMENT
CB 3
Ramesh and Suresh have been offered following interest rates by the Bank for a loan amount of ₹ 1 crore.
Fixed Floa ng
Ramesh 6% PLR + 2%
Suresh 7% PLR + 1%
Ramesh wants to borrow at floa ng rate and Suresh wants to borrow at fixed rates. Design a swap
arrangement assuming that you will charge a total commission of 0.5% p.a. and the net benefits would be
shared in the ra o of 2:1 by Ramesh and Suresh respec vely.
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INTEREST RATES RISK MANAGEMENT
Ques on 2
Alpha and Beta Companies can borrow for a five-year term at the following rates:
Alpha Beta
Moody's credit ra ng Aa Baa
Fixed-rate borrowing cost 10.5% 12.0%
Floa ng-rate borrowing cost LIBOR LIBOR + 1%
a. Calculate the quality spread differen al (QSD).
b. Develop an interest rate swap in which both Alpha and Beta have an equal cost savings in their
borrowing costs. Assume Alpha desires floa ng-rate debt and Beta desires fixed-rate debt. No swap
bank is involved in this transac on.
Ques on 3
Do previous problem once again, this me assuming more realis cally that a swap bank is involved as an
intermediary. Assume the swap bank is quo ng five-year dollar interest rate swaps at 10.7% - 10.8% against
LIBOR flat.
Ques on 4 Study Material, (8 Marks) Exam Nov 2008, July 2021, RTP May 2023, MTP May 2021
Suppose a dealer quotes “All-in-Cost” for a generic swap at 8% against six months Libor flat. If the no onal
principal amount of swap is ₹ 5,00,000 :-
(i) Calculate semi-annual fixed payment
(ii) Find the first floa ng rate payment for (i) above, if the six-month period from the effec ve date of swap to the
se lement date comprises 181 days and that the corresponding Libor was 6% on the effec ve date of swap.
(iii) In (ii) above, if the se lement is on 'NET' basis, how much the fixed rate payer would pay to the floa ng
rate payer? Generic swap is based on 30/360 days.
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Given a three year swap rate of 8%, suggest the method by which the bank should achieve fixed rate funding.
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IB an investment bank has arranged for Euroloan to swap into a fixed interest payment of 6.5% on no onal
amount of loan for its variable interest income. If Euroloan agrees to this, what amount of interest is received
and given in the first month? Further, assume that PLR increased by 200 bp.
You are required to determine the net payment to be received/ paid if Sensex turns out to be 21,860, 21,780,
22,080 and 21,960 at the end of each quarter.
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UNIT II
INTEREST RATE DERIVATIVES
Ques on 12 (8 Marks) CA Final May 2010
Consider the following data for Government securi es:
Face Value (₹) Interest rate Maturity (Year) Current Price (₹)
1,00,000 0% 1 91,000
1,00,000 10.5% 2 99,000
1,00,000 11.0% 3 99,500
1,00,000 11.5% 4 99,900
Calculate the forward interest rates.
Assume that the term structure of interest rate will remain the same.
You are required to
(i) Calculate the implied one year forward rates
(ii) Expected Yield to Maturity and prices of one year and two year Zero Coupon Bonds at the end of the first
year.
Ques on 14
Calculate value of a three year 10% coupon bond given ₁f₀= 10%; ₁f₁ = 11%; ₁f₂ = 12%.
[Ans: 977.18]
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Ques on 16 RTP Nov 2014, RTP Nov 2019, RTP Nov 2020
Two companies ABC Ltd. and XYZ Ltd. approach the DEF Bank for FRA (Forward Rate Agreement). They want to
borrow a sum of ₹ 100 crores a er 2 years for a period of 1 year. Bank has calculated Yield Curve of both
companies as follows:
Year XYZ Ltd. ABC Ltd.*
1 3.86 4.12
2 4.20 5.48
3 4.48 5.78
*The difference in yield curve is due to the lower credit ra ng of ABC Ltd. compared to XYZ Ltd.
(i) You are required to calculate the rate of interest DEF Bank would quote under 2V3 FRA, using the
company's yield informa on as quoted above.
(ii) Suppose bank offers Interest Rate Guarantee for a premium of 0.1% of the amount of loan, you are
required to calculate the interest payable by XYZ Ltd. if interest in 2 years turns out to be
a. 4.50%
b. 5.50%
Ques on 17 Study Material, (8 Marks) CA Final May 2013, CA Final Nov 19, MTP Oct 2022
M/s Parker & Co. is contempla ng to borrow an amount of ₹ 60 crores for a period of 3 months in the coming 6
months me from now. The current rate of interest is 9% p.a. but it may go up in 6 months me. The company
wants to hedge itself against the likely increase in interest rate.
The Company's Bankers quoted an FRA (Forward Rate Agreement) at 9.30% p.a.
What will be the effect of FRA and actual rate of interest cost to the company, if the actual rate of interest a er
6 months happens to be (i) 9.60% p.a. and (ii) 8.80% p.a.?
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It is expected that firm shall borrow a sum of €50 million for the en re period of slack season in about 3
months.
3 month €50,000 future contract maturing in a period of 3 months is quoted at 94.15 (5.85%).
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Ques on 22 Study Material, (5 Marks) CA Final May 2013, MTP Oct 2019, RTP Nov 2022
XYZ Limited borrows £ 15 Million of six months LIBOR + 10.00% for a period of 24 months. The company
an cipates a rise in LIBOR, hence it proposes to buy a Cap Op on from its Bankers at the strike rate of 8.00%.
The lump sum premium is 1.00% for the en re reset periods and the fixed rate of interest is 7.00% per annum.
The actual posi on of LIBOR during the forthcoming reset period is as under:-
Reset Period LIBOR
1 9.00%
2 9.50%
3 10.00%
You are required to show how far interest rate risk is hedged through Cap Op on.
For calcula on, work out figures at each stage up to four decimal points and amount nearest to £. It should be
part of working notes.
MPD is interested in an Interest rate Collar Strategy of selling a Floor and buying a cap.
MPD buys the 3 years cap and sell 3 years Floor as per the following details on July 1, 2018:
Principal Amount ₹ 50 Million
Strike Rate 5% for Floor & 8% for Cap
Reference Rate 6 months LIBOR
Premium NIL, since premium paid for cap = premium received for Floor
The Reset dates & Interest rates p.a., on that dates are:
Reset Date 31/12/2018 30/06/2019 31/12/2019 30/06/2020 31/12/2020 30/06/2021
LIBOR (%) 7.00 8.00 6.00 4.75 4.25 5.25
Using the above data, you are required to determine:
(i) Effec ve Interest paid out at each six reset dates, (Round off to the nearest rupee)
(ii) Average overall effec ve rate of interest p.a. (round off to 2 decimals)
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UNIT I
SWAPS
CB 1. Anil wants to setup an industry at Pithampur for a total cost of ₹ 1 crore. State....
Solu on:
Solu on:
IMC & Mr. Kailash should enter into swap arrangement with each other where IMC should agree to pay Fixed
Interest to Mr. Kailash and in return Mr. Kailash should agree to pay Floa ng Interest to IMC. Such a strategy would
convert fixed rate asset into floa ng rate asset for IMC & vice versa for Mr. Kailash consequently mee ng their
respec ve goals.
Investment Fixed in Fixed in @12% Mr. Floa ng Investment
IMC
House @12% p.a. Floa ng PLR + 7% Kailash PLR + 7% House
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CB 3. Ramesh and Suresh have been offered following....
Solu on:
₹ Fixed @6%
Fixed @6%
Fixed rate (assumed) Floa ng
Ramesh (assumed) Suresh
@6% Floa ng i.e.
PLR + 1% Floa ng PLR +1%
Financial
[WN # 2] IntermediaryPLR + 0.5%
Q.2. Alpha and Beta Companies can borrow for a five-year term....
Solu on:
a. The QSD = (12.0% - 10.5%) minus (LIBOR + 1% - LIBOR) = .5%.
b. Alpha needs to issue fixed-rate debt at 10.5% and Beta needs to issue floa ng rate-debt at LIBOR + 1%. Alpha
needs to pay LIBOR to Beta. Beta needs to pay 10.75% to Alpha. If this is done, Alpha's floa ng-rate all-in-cost
is: 10.5% + LIBOR - 10.75% = LIBOR - .25%, a .25% savings over issuing floa ng-rate debt on its own. Beta's
fixed-rate all-in-cost is: LIBOR+ 1% + 10.75% - LIBOR = 11.75%, a .25% savings over issuing fixed-rate debt.
Solu on:
Alpha will issue fixed-rate debt at 10.5% and Beta will issue floa ng rate-debt at LIBOR + 1%. Alpha will receive
10.7% from the swap bank and pay it LIBOR. Beta will pay 10.8% to the swap bank and receive from it LIBOR. If this
is done, Alpha's floa ng-rate all-in-cost is: 10.5% + LIBOR -10.7% = LIBOR - .20%, a .20% savings over issuing
floa ng-rate debt on its own. Beta's fixed-rate all-in-cost is: LIBOR+ 1% + 10.8% - LIBOR = 11.8%, a .20% savings
over issuing fixed-rate debt.
Solu on:
(i) The discount bond prices are as follows:
Term Rate Discount Bond Price
90 days 7.00 B₀(90) = 1/(1 + 0.07(90/360)) = 0.9828
180 days 7.25 B₀(180) = 1/(1 + 0.0725(180/360)) = 0.9650
270 days 7.45 B₀(270) = 1/(1 + 0.0745(270/360)) = 0.9471
360 days 7.55 B₀(360) = 1/(1 + 0.0755(360/360)) = 0.9298
(ii) The first net payment is based on a fixed rate of 7.34 percent and a floa ng rate of 7 percent:
Fixed payment: € 35,00,000(0.0734)(90/360) = € 64,225
Floa ng payment: € 35,00,000(0.07)(90/360) = € 61,250
The net is that the party paying fixed makes a payment of € 2,975
Solu on:
Opportunity gain of A Inc under currency Receipt Payment Net
swap
Interest to be remi ed to B. Inc in $ ¥21,60,000
2,00,000 x 9% = $18,000
Converted into ($18,000 x ¥ 120)
Interest to be received from B. Inc in $ ¥14,40,000 -
converted into ¥ (6 x $2,00,000 x 120)
Interest payable on ¥ loan - ¥12,00,000
¥14,40,000 ¥33,60,000
Net Payment
¥19,20,000 -
¥33,60,000 ¥33,60,000
$ equivalent paid ¥19,20,000 x(1/¥120) $16,000
Interest payable without swap in $ $18,000
Opportunity gain in $ $2,000
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Alterna ve Solu on
Cash Flows of A Inc
(i) At the me of exchange of principal amount
Transac ons Cash Flows
Borrowings $2,00,000 x ¥120 + ¥240,00,000
Swap - ¥240,00,000
Swap +$2,00,000
Net Amount + $ 2,00,000
A Inc. used $2,00,000 at the net cost of borrowing of $16,000 i.e. 8%. If it had not opted for swap agreement
the borrowing cost would have been 9%. Thus there is saving of 1%.
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Solu on:
(a) The following swap arrangements can be entered by Drilldip.
i. Swap a US$ loan today at an agreed rate with any party to obtain Indian Rupees (₹) to make ini al
investment.
ii. A er one year swap back the Indian Rupees with US$ at the agreed rate. In such case the company is
exposed only on the profit earned from the project.
Decision: Since the net receipt is higher in swap op on the company should opt for the same
Q.10. Euroloan Bank....
Solu on:
Euroloan earns = €25,000,000 x 0.055/12 = €114,583.33
Solu on:
(₹ Crore)
Qtrs. Sensex Return TMC will pay TMC will get Net TMC will get
0 21,600 - -
1 21,860 1.2037* 4.8148** 4.6000*** - 0.2148
2 21,780 - 0.3660 - 1.4640 4.6000 6.0640
3 22,080 1.3774 5.5096 4.6000 - 0.9096
4 21,960 - 0.5435 - 2.1740 4.6000 6.7740
UNIT II
INTEREST RATE DERIVATIVES
Q.12. Consider the following data for Government securi es....
Solu on:
To get forward Interest rates, begin with the One-year Government Security
₹ 91,000 = ₹ 1,00,000 / (1 + r)
r = 0.099
Next consider the two year Government Security
₹ 99,000 = (₹ 10,500/1.099) + {₹ 1,10,500/(1.099) (1+r)}
r = 0.124
Then consider the three year Government Security
₹ 99,500 = (₹ 11,000/1.099) + {(₹ 11,000/(1.099) (1.124)} + {₹ 1,11,000/(1.099) (1.124) (1+r)}
r = 0.115
Finally consider the four year Government Security
₹ 99,900 = (₹ 11,500/1.099) + {(₹ 11,500/(1.099) (1.124))} + {₹ 11,500/(1.099) (1.124) (1.115)} + {₹
1,11,500/(1.099) (1.124) (1.115) (1+ r)}
r = 0.128
Q.13. Following are the yields on Zero Coupon Bonds (ZCB) having a face value....
Solu on:
(i) Calcula on of Forward Rates
Maturity YTM (%) PVIF Face value Price Forward rate
1 10 0.909 1,000 909.09
2 11 0.812 1,000 811.62 0.1201 i.e. 12.01%
3 12 0.712 1,000 711.78 0.1403 i.e. 14.03%
(ii) Calcula on of Expected Prices and YTM
Maturity Forward rate Face value Price YTM
2 0.1201 1,000 1,000 0.1201 i.e. 12.01%
= 892.78
(1 + 0.1201)
3 0.1403 1.000 1,000 0.1302* i.e. 13.02%
(1 + 0.1201) (1 + 0.1403)
= 782.93
1,000
* ) 782.93)- 1 = 0.1302
(b) The se lement amount shall be calculated by using the following formula:
Where,
N = No onal Principal Amount
RR = Reference Rate
Accordingly: FR = Agreed upon Forward Rate
Dtm = FRA period specified in days.
(b) Since firm is a borrower it will like to off-set interest cost by profit on Future Contract. Accordingly, if interest
rate rises it will gain hence it should sell interest rate futures.
Solu on:
First of all we shall calculate premium payable to bank as follows:
Where,
P = Premium
A = Principal Amount
rp = Rate of Premium
i = Fixed Rate of Interest
t = Time
0.01
= x £ 15,000,000
1
]
(1 / 0.035) -
0.035 x 1.035
4 ]
0.01
or x £ 15,000,000
(0.966 + 0.933 + 0.901 + 0.871)
0.01 150,000
= x £ 15,000,000 = £ 40,595 or = £ 40,861
1 3.671
](28.5714) - 0.04016]
Please note above solu on has been worked out on the basis of four decimal points at each stage. Now we see the
net payment received from bank
Reset Addi onal interest Amount Premium Net Amt.
Period due to rise in received paid to received
interest rate from bank bank from bank
1 £ 75,000 £ 75,000 £ 40,861 £ 34,139
2 £ 112,500 £ 112,500 £ 40,861 £ 71,639
3 £ 150,000 £ 150,000 £ 40,861 £ 109,139
TOTAL £ 337,500 £ 337,500 £122,583 £ 214,917
Thus, from above it can be seen that interest rate risk amount of £ 337,500 reduced by £ 214,917 by using of Cap
op on.
Note: It may be possible that student may compute upto three decimal points or may use different basis. In such
case their answer is likely to be different.
*Alterna vely if premium paid is considered as £ 40595, then above figure of £ 214917 shall be changed to £
215715.
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Solu on:
(i) The pay-off of each leg shall be computed as follows:
Cap Receipt
Max {0, [No onal principal x (LIBOR on Reset date - Cap Strike Rate) x (No. of days in se lement period/ 365)}
Floor Pay-off
Max {0, [No onal principal x (Floor Strike Rate - LIBOR on Reset date) x (No. of days in se lement period/
365)}
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Solu on:
(a) Swap Posi on
Fixed Rate Floa ng Rate
A Ltd. 6.25% MIBOR + 0.75%
B Ltd. 7.25% MIBOR + 1.25%
Difference 1.00% 0.50%
Solu on:
Company A has a compara ve advantage in the Canadian dollar fixed-rate market. Company B has a
compara ve advantage in the U.S. dollar floa ng-rate market. (This may be because of their tax posi ons.)
However, company A wants to borrow in the U.S. dollar floa ng-rate market and company B wants to borrow
in the Canadian dollar fixed-rate market. This gives rise to the swap opportunity.
The differen al between the U.S. dollar floa ng rates is 0.5% per annum, and the differen al between the
Canadian dollar fixed rates is 1.5% per annum. The difference between the differen als is 1% per annum. The
total poten al gain to all par es from the swap is therefore 1% per annum, or 100 basis points. If the financial
intermediary requires 50 basis points, each of A and B can be made 25 basis points be er off. Thus a swap can
be designed so that it provides A with U.S. dollars at LIBOR + 0.25% per annum, and B with Canadian dollars at
6.25% per annum. The swap is shown in Figure below
C$: 5% C$: 6.25%
C$: 5% Company Financial Company
A Ins tu on B US$: LIBOR + 1%
US$: LIBOR + 0.25% US$: LIBOR + 1%
Principal payments flow in the opposite direc on to the arrows at the start of the life of the swap and in the
same direc on as the arrows at the end of the life of the swap. The financial ins tu on would be exposed to
some foreign exchange risk which could be hedged using forward contracts.
Ques on 3 RTP Nov 2015
NoBank offers a variety of services to both individuals as well as corporate customers. NoBank generates
funds for lending by accep ng deposits from customers who are paid interest at PLR which keeps on changing.
NoBank is also in the business of ac ng as intermediary for interest rate swaps. Since it is difficult to iden fy
matching client, NoBank acts counterparty to any party of swap.
Sleepless approaches NoBank who have already have ₹ 50 crore outstanding and paying interest @PLR + 80bp
p.a. The dura on of loan le is 4 years. Since Sleepless is expec ng increase in PLR in coming year, he asked
NoBank for arrangement of interest rate swap that will give a fixed rate of interest.
As per the terms of agreement of swap NoBank will borrow ₹ 50 crore from Sleepless at PLR + 80bp per annum
and will lend ₹ 50 crore to Sleepless at fixed rate of 10% p.a. The se lement shall be made of the net amount
due from each other. For this services NoBank will charge commission @ 0.2% p.a. of the loan amount. The
present PLR is 8.2%.
You as a financial consultant of NoBank have been asked to carry out scenario analysis of this arrangement.
Three possible scenarios of interest rates expected to remain in coming 4 years are as follows:
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Scenario 1 10.25 10.50 10.75 11.00
Scenario 2 8.75 8.85 8.85 8.85
Scenario 3 7.20 7.40 7.60 7.70
Assuming that cost of capital is 10%, whether this arrangement should be accepted or not.
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Solu on:
Interest and Commission due from Sleepless = ₹ 50 crore (0.10 + 0.002) = ₹ 5.10 crore
Scenario 3
Year PLR Sum due to Sleepless Net Sum Due (₹ Crore) (₹ Crore)
1 7.20 50 (7.20 + 0.8)% = 4.00 5.10 - 4.00 = 1.10 0.909 0.9999
2 7.40 50 (7.40 + 0.8)% = 4.10 5.10 - 4.10 = 1.00 0.826 0.826
3 7.60 50 (7.60 + 0.8)% = 4.20 5.10 - 4.20 = 0.90 0.751 0.6759
4 7.70 50 (7.70 + 0.8)% = 4.25 5.10 - 4.25 = 0.85 0.683 0.58055
3.08235
Decision: Since the NPV of the proposal is posi ve in Scenario 2 (Best Case) and Scenario 3 (Most likely Case)
the proposal of swap can be accepted. However, if management of NoBank is of strong opinion that PLR are
likely to be more than 10% in the years to come then it can reconsider its decision.
Ques on 4
Company A is a AAA-rated firm desiring to issue five-year FRNs. It finds that it can issue FRNs at six-month
LIBOR + .125 percent or at three-month LIBOR + .125 percent. Given its asset structure, three-month LIBOR is
the preferred index. Company B is an A-rated firm that also desires to issue five-year FRNs. It finds it can issue
at six-month LIBOR + 1.0 percent or at three-month LIBOR + .625 percent. Given its asset structure, six-month
LIBOR is the preferred index. Assume a no onal principal of $15,000,000. Determine the QSD and set up a
floa ng-for-floa ng rate swap where the swap bank receives .125 percent and the two counterpar es share
the remaining savings equally.
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Solu on:
The quality spread differen al is [(Six-month LIBOR + 1.0 percent) minus (Six-month LIBOR + .125 percent)
.875 percent minus [(Three-month LIBOR + .625 percent) minus (Three-month LIBOR + .125 percent) .50
percent, which equals .375 percent. If the swap bank receives .125 percent, each counterparty is to save .125
percent. To effect the swap, Company A would issue FRNs indexed to six-month LIBOR and Company B would
issue FRNs indexed three-month LIBOR. Company B might make semi-annual payments of six-month LIBOR +
.125 percent to the swap bank, which would pass all of it through to Company A. Company A, in turn, might
make quarterly payments of three-month LIBOR to the swap bank, which would pass through three-month
LIBOR - .125 percent to Company B. On an annualized basis, Company B will remit to the swap bank six-month
LIBOR + .125 percent and pay three-month LIBOR + .625 percent on its FRNs. It will receive three-month LIBOR
- .125 percent from the swap bank. This arrangement results in an all-in cost of six-month LIBOR + .825
percent, which is a rate .125 percent below the FRNs indexed to six-month LIBOR + 1.0 percent Company B
could issue on its own. Company A will remit three-month LIBOR to the swap bank and pay six-month LIBOR +
.125 percent on its FRNs. It will receive six-month LIBOR + .125 percent from the swap bank. This arrangement
results in an all-in cost of three-month LIBOR for Company A, which is .125 percent less than the FRNs indexed
to three-month LIBOR + .125 percent it could issue on its own. The arrangements with the two counterpar es
net the swap bank .125 percent per annum, received quarterly.
Ques on 5 CA Final Nov 2010, MTP March 2021
An Indian company obtains the following quotes (₹/$)
Spot 35.90 / 36.10
3 - Months forward rate 36.00 / 36.25
6 - Months forward rate 36.10 / 36.40
The company needs $ funds for six months. Determine whether the company should borrow in $ or ₹.
Interest rates are:
3 - Months interest rate: ₹: 12%; $: 6%
6 - Months interest rate: ₹: 11.50%; $: 5.5%
Also determine what should be the rate of interest a er 3-months to make the company indifferent between
3-months borrowing and 6-months borrowing in the case of:
i. Rupee borrowing
ii. Dollar borrowing
Note: For the Purpose of calcula on you can take the units of dollar and rupee as 100 each.
Solu on:
i. If company borrows in $ then ou low would be as follows:
Let company borrow $ 100 $ 100.00
Add: Interest for 6 months @ 5.5% $ 2.75
Amount Repayable a er 6 months $ 102.75
Applicable 6 month forward rate 36.40
Amount of Cash ou low in Indian Rupees $ 3,740.10
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If company borrows equivalent amount in Indian Rupee, then ou low would be as follows:
Equivalent ₹ amount (₹ 36.10 x 100) ₹ 3,610.00
Add: Interest @ 11.50% ₹ 207.58
₹ 3817.58
Since cash ou low is more in ₹ borrowing then borrowing should be made in $.
ii.
a. Let 'ir' be the interest rate of ₹ borrowing that makes indifferent between 3 months borrowings
and 6 months borrowing then
(1 + 0.03) (1 + ir) = (1 + 0.0575)
ir = 2.67% or 10.68% (on annualized basis)
b. Let 'id' be the interest rate of $ borrowing a er 3 months to make indifference between 3 months
borrowings and 6 months borrowings. Then,
(1 + 0.015) (1 + id) = (1 + 0.0275)
id = 1.232% or 4.93% (on annualized basis)
Ques on 6 CA Final Nov 2008
The following is the Yield structure of AAA rated debenture:
Period Yield (%)
3 months 8.5%
6 months 9.25
1 year 10.50
2 year 11.25
3 years and above 12.00
(i) Based on the expecta on theory calculate the implicit one–year forward rates in year 2 and year 3.
(ii) If the interest rate increases by 50 basis points, what will be the percentage change in the price of the
bond having a maturity of 5 years? Assume that the bond is fairly priced at the moment at ₹ 1,000.
Solu on:
(i) Implicit rates for year 2 and year 3
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(ii) If fairly priced at ₹ 1000 and rate of interest increases to 12.5% the percentage change will be as follows:
Tutorial Note:
ICAI implicitly assumed that it’s a Zero Coupon Bond.
Both Companies are in need of ₹ 2,50,00,000 for a period of 5 years. The interest rates on the floa ng rate
loans are reset annually. The current PLR for various period maturi es are as follows:
Maturity (Years) PLR (%)
1 2.75
2 3.00
3 3.20
4 3.30
5 3.375
DEF Ltd. has bought an interest rate Cap at 5.625% at an upfront premium payment of 0.25%.
(a) You are required to exhibit how these two companies can reduce their borrowing cost by adop ng swap
assuming that gains resul ng from swap shall be share equally among them.
(b) Further calculate cost of funding to these two companies assuming that expecta on theory holds good
for the 4 years.
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Solu on:
(a) The swap agreement will be as follows:
(i) ABC Ltd. will borrow at floa ng rate of PLR + 2% and shall lend it to DEF Ltd. at PLR + 2% and shall
borrow from DEF Ltd. at Fixed Rate of 4.25%.
(ii) DEF Ltd. shall borrow at 5% and lend it to ABC Ltd. at 4.25% and shall borrow from ABC Ltd at
floa ng rate of PLR + 2%.
Thus net result will be as follows:
Cost to ABC Ltd. = PLR + 2% – (PLR + 2%) + 4.25% = 4.25%
Cost to DEF Ltd = 5% – 4.25% + PLR + 2% = PLR + 2.75%
(b) Effec ve Cost of Borrowing for ABC will be 4.25% irrespec ve of Δ PLR because it has fixed rate
borrowing.
Suppose if theory of expecta ons hold good, the cost of fund to DEF Ltd. will be as follows:
Year Expected Annual PLR Rate Loading Effec ve Effec ve rate
Rate under Cap
1 2.75% 2.75% 5.50% 5.50%
2 (1.03² - 1.0275) – 1 = 3.25% 2.75% 6.00% 5.625%
3 (1.032³ - 1.03²) – 1 = 3.60% 2.75% 6.35% 5.625%
4 (1.033⁴ - 1.032³) – 1 = 3.60% 2.75% 6.35% 5.625%
1/4
Effec ve Cost = [(1.055) (1.05625)³] - 1 = 5.60%
Ques on 8 Study Material, (8 Marks) CA Final Nov 2017, RTP May 2022
A tex le manufacturer has taken floa ng interest rate loan of ₹ 40,00,000 on 1 April, 2012. The rate of
interest at the incep on of loan is 8.5% p.a. interest is to be paid every year on 31 March, and the dura on of
loan is four years.
(i) Suppose in the month of October 2012, the Central bank of the country releases following projec ons
about the interest rates likely to prevail in future.
Date Rate of Interest
31 March, 2013 8.75%
31 March 2014 10%
31 March 2015 10.5%
31 March 2016 7.75%
Show how borrower can hedge the risk arising out of expected rise in the rate of interest when he wants
to peg his interest cost at 8.50% p.a.
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INTEREST RATES RISK MANAGEMENT
(ii) Assume that the premium nego ated by both the par es is 0.75% to be paid on 1 October, 2012 and
the actual rate of interest on the respec ve due dates happens to be as follows:
Date Rate of Interest
31 March, 2013 10.2%
31 March 2014 11.5%
31 March 2015 9.25%
31 March 2016 8.25%
Show how the se lement will be executed on the respec ve interest due dates.
Solu on:
As borrower does not want to pay more than 8.5% p.a., on this loan where the rate of interest is likely to rise
beyond this, hence, he has hedge the risk by entering into an agreement to buy interest rate caps with the
following parameters:
• No onal Principal: ₹ 40,00,000
• Strike rate: 8.5% p.a.
• Reference rate: the rate of interest applicable to this loan
• Calcula on and se lement date: 31 March every year
• Dura on of the caps: ll 31 March 2016
• Premium for caps: nego able between both the par es
To purchase the caps this borrower is required to pay the premium upfront at the me of buying caps. The
payment of such premium will en tle him with right to receive the compensa on from the seller of the caps as
soon as the rate of interest on this loan rises above 8.5%. The compensa on will be at the rate of the
difference between the rate of none of the cases the cost of this loan will rise above 8.5% calculated on ₹
40,00,000. This implies that in none of the cases the cost of this loan will rise above 8.5%. This hedging benefit
is received at the respec ve interest due dates at the cost of premium to be paid only once.
The premium to be paid on 1st October 2012 is 30,000 (₹ 40,00,000 x 0.75/100). The payment of this premium
will en tle the buyer of the caps to receive the compensa on from the seller of the caps whereas the buyer
will not have obliga on. The compensa on received by the buyer of caps will be as follows:
On 31st March 2013
The buyer of the caps will receive the compensa on at the rate of 1.70% (10.20 - 8.50) to be calculated on ₹
40,00,000, the amount of compensa on will be ₹ 68000 (40,00,000 x 1.70/100)
On 31 March 2014
The buyer of the caps will receive the compensa on at the rate of 3.00% (11.50 — 8.50) to be calculated on ₹
40,00,000, the amount of compensa on will be ₹ 120000 (40,00,000 x 3.00/100).
On 31 March 2015
The buyer of the caps will receive the compensa on at the rate of 0.75% (9.25 - 8.50) to be calculated on ₹
40,00,000, the amount of compensa on will be ₹ 30,000 (40,00,000 x 0.75/100).
On 31 March 2016
The buyer of the caps will not receive the compensa on as the actual rate of interest is 8.25% whereas strike
rate of caps is 8.5%. Hence, his interest liability shall not exceed 8.50%.
Thus, by paying the premium upfront buyer of the caps gets the compensa on on the respec ve interest due
dates without any obliga ons.
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
TECHNICAL
ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis is a method of share price movements based on a study of price graphs or charts on the
assump on that share price trends are repe ve, that since investor psychology follows a certain pa ern,
what is seen to have happened before’ is likely to be repeated.
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
2. Elliot Wave Theory: Mr Ralph defined price movements in terms of waves. The markets exhibited
certain repeated pa erns or waves. Wave is a movement of the market price from one change in the
direc on to the next change in the same direc on resul ng from buying and selling impulses
emerging from the demand and supply pressures on the market.
5
The Basic Pa ern
ve
direc onal movements, which are separated or corrected by
Wa
3
wave 2 & 4, termed as correc ve movements.
W
e3
av
e4
av
1
W
Wa
4
1
ve
Correc ve
e
av
2
5 b
W
eb
Wa
2
e
(Numbered) Phase
Wav
v
ve
Wa
Phase 3
Wa
Wav
e3
Complete Cycle: As shown in right-side figure five-
ve c
a
Wav
e4
wave impulses is following by a threewave correc on 1
Wav
c
(a,b & c) to form a complete cycle of eight waves 4
1 e
e
Wav
2
2
One complete cycle consists of waves made up of two dis nct phases, bullish and bearish. On
comple on of full one cycle i.e. termina on of 8 waves movement, the fresh cycle starts with similar
impulses arising out of market trading.
3. Random Walk Theory: The behaviour of stock market prices is unpredictable and that there is no
rela onship between the present prices of the shares and their future prices. Prices on the stock
exchange behave exactly the way a drunk would behave while walking in a blind lane, i.e., up and
down , with an unsteady way going in any direc on he likes, bending on the side once and on the other
side the second me.
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
(iii) Japanese Candles ck Chart: It shows - Opening, Closing,
Highest and Lowest Prices informa on. The lowest and High Price
Shadow Doji Candle
highest prices are indicated by ver cal bar and opening Close Price Open Price
and closing prices are shown in the form of rectangle
Body
placed between this bar.
Green / White Color candle denotes Bullishness Open Price Close Price
Shadow
Red / Black Color candle denotes Bearishness Low Price
Doji Candle denotes Indecision
Period Price 30 (iv) Point and Figure Chart: Point and figure charts
1 24 29
are more complex than line or bar charts. They
are used to detect reversals in a trend. For
2 26 28
plo ng a point and figure chart, we have to first
3 27 27 X
decide the box size and the reversal criterion.
4 26 26 X
5 28 25 X 0 The box size is the value of each box on the chart,
6 27 24 X 0
for example each box could be ` 1,` 2 or ` 0.50.
7 26 23 0 The reversal criterion is the box size, the more
8 25 22 sensi ve would the chart be to price change.
9 26 The reversal criterion is the number of boxes
10 23 required to be retraced to record prices in the
next column in the opposite direc on.
Market Indicators
(i) Breadth Index: It is an index that covers all securi es traded. It is computed by dividing the net
advances or declines in the market by the number of issues traded.
If breadth index supports the movement of the Index, this is considered sign of technical strength and
if it does not support the averages, it is a sign of technical weakness i.e. a sign that the market will
move in the opposite direc on.
(ii) Volume of Transac ons: provides useful clues on how the market would behave in the near future.
A rising index/price with increasing volume would signal buy behaviour because the situa on reflects
an unsa sfied demand in the market.
Similarly, a falling market with increasing volume signals a bear market and the prices would be
expected to fall further.
(iii) Confidence Index: it reveals how willing the investors are to take a chance in the market.
It is the ra o of high-grade bond yields to low-grade bond yields.
A rising confidence index is expected to precede a rising stock market, and a fall in the index is
expected to precede a drop in stock prices.
A fall in the confidence index represents the fact that low-grade bond yields are rising faster or falling
more slowly than high grade yields.
(iv) Rela ve Strength Analysis: The rela ve strength concept suggests that the prices of some securi es
rise rela vely faster in a bull market or decline more slowly in a bear market than other securi es i.e.
some securi es exhibit rela ve strength. Investors will earn higher returns by inves ng in securi es
which have demonstrated rela ve strength in the past.
(v) Odd - Lot Theory: This theory is a contrary - opinion theory. It assumes that the average person is
usually wrong and that a wise course of ac on is to pursue strategies contrary to popular opinion.
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
(b) Wedge: A wedge is formed when the tops (resistance levels) and bo oms (support levels) change in
opposite direc on (that is, if the tops, are decreasing then the bo oms are increasing and vice versa),
or when they are changing in the same direc on at different rates over me.
Bullish Bearish
Channel Channel Falling Wedge Resistance
Uptrend
Rising Wedge
Support
Horizontal Uptrend
Channel
(c) Head and Shoulders: It is a distorted drawing of a human form, with a large lump (for head) in the
middle of two smaller humps (for shoulders). This pa ern indicates a reversal of price trend. The
neckline of the pa ern is formed by joining points where the head and the shoulders meet. The price
movement a er the forma on of the second shoulder is crucial. If the price goes below the neckline,
then a drop in price is indicated, with the drop expected to be equal to the distance between the top
of the head and the neckline. (i) HEAD & SHOULDERS REVERSAL PATTERN
(uptrend to downtrend )
(i) Head and Shoulder Top Pa ern: Such forma on HEAD
represents bearish development. If the price falls
LEFT SHOULDER RIGHT SHOULDER
below the neck line (line drawn tangen ally to the le
and right shoulders) a price decline is expected. Hence
it's a signal to sell. NECKLIN
E
(d) Triangle or Coil Forma on: This forma on represents a pa ern of uncertainty and is difficult to
predict which way the price will break out.
(e) Flags and Pennants Form: This from signifies a phase a er which the previous price trend is likely to
con nue. Minimum Price
Movement
Trend Resumes
Breakout
Base/Pole
Prior Uptrend
TRIANGLE OR COIL
(f) Double Top Form: This form represents a bearish development, signals that price is expected to fall.
(g) Double Bo om Form: This form represents bullish development signalling price is expected to rise.
(h) Gap: A gap is the difference between the opening price on a trading day
and the closing price of the previous trading day. The wider the gap the
stronger the signal for a con nua on of the observed trend.
Evalua on of Technical Analysis
Argument in favour of Technical Analysis :
(a) Under influence of crowd psychology trend persist for some me. Tools of technical analysis help in
iden fying these trends early and help in investment decision making.
(b) Shi in demand and supply are gradual rather than instantaneous. Technical analysis helps in
detec ng this shi rather early and hence provides clues to future price movements.
(c) Fundamental informa on about a company is observed and assimilated by the market over a period
of me. Hence price movement tends to con nue more or less in same direc on ll the informa on is
fully assimilated in the stock price.
Arguments against Technical Analysis:
(a) Most technical analysts are not able to offer a convincing explana on for the tools employed by them.
(b) Empirical evidence in support of random walk hypothesis cast its shadow over the usefulness of
technical analysis.
(c) By the me an up trend and down trend may have been signalled by technical analysis it may already
have taken place.
(d) Ul mately technical analysis must be self defea ng proposi on. With more and more people
employing it, the value of such analysis tends to decline.
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
The random movement of stock prices suggests that stock market is irra onal. Randomness and
irra onality are two different things, if investors are ra onal and compe ve, price changes are bound to be
random.
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Ques on 1
Given below are the stock price of Infosys Ltd. and Wipro during a month in the year. As an investor, employ
rela ve strength and plot it. Decide which stock would you buy.
Days of trading Infosys Wipro
during the month
3 2615.00 3650.35
4 2770.00 3942.35
5 2933.00 4257.70
6 3167.60 4484.40
7 3217.50 4500.05
10 3224.00 4293.00
11 3204.00 4297.50
12 3205.00 4050.00
13 3204.60 4125.05
14 3200.00 4107.00
17 3094.00 3985.30
18 3196.00 4071.00
19 3184.50 4020.60
20 3192.10 4075.00
21 3170.00 4080.00
24 3210.00 4040.00
25 3210.00 4150.00
26 3230.00 4072.00
27 3200.00 4030.00
28 3179.00 3998.00
31 3255.00 4092.20
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Solu on:
An RS line is computed by dividing one price by another. A rising line indicates that
Infosys stock is performing be er as compared to Wipro's.
Days Infosys Wipro Rela ve Strength
(1) (2) (3) (4) = (2)/(3)
3 2615 3650.35 0.71637
4 2770 3942.35 0.702627
5 2933 4257.70 0.702962
6 3167.6 4484.4 0.70636
7 3217.5 4500.05 0.714992
10 3224 4293 0.75099
11 3204 4297.5 0.74555
12 3205 4050 0.791358
13 3204.6 4125.05 0.776863
14 3200 4107 0.779158
17 3094 3985.3 0.776353
18 3196 4071 0.785065
19 3184.5 4020.6 0.792046
20 3192.1 4075 0.783337
21 3170 4080 0.776961
24 3210 4040 0.794554
25 3210 4150 0.773494
26 3230 4072 0.793222
27 3200 4030 0.794045
28 3179 3998 0.795148
31 3255 4092.2 0.795416
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Solu on:
(i) Value of Exponent for 15 days EMA
2
= = 0.125
n+1
Solu on:
Date 1 2 3 4 5 EMA
Sensex EMA for Previous day 1-2 3 × 0.062 (2 + 4)
6 14522 15000 (478) (29.636) 14970.364
7 14925 14970.364 (45.364) (2.812) 14967.55
10 15222 14967.55 254.45 15.776 14983.32
11 16000 14983.32 1016.68 63.034 15046.354
12 16400 15046.354 1353.646 83.926 15130.28
13 17000 15130.28 1869.72 115.922 15246.202
17 18000 15246.202 2753.798 170.735 15416.937
Conclusion – The market is bullish. The market is likely to remain bullish for short term to medium term if other
factors remain the same. On the basis of this indicator (EMA) the investors/brokers can take long posi on.
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Solu on:
Date Closing Sensex Sign of Price Charge Total of sign of price changes (r) = 8
No of Posi ve changes = n₁ = 11
1.10.17 2800
No. of Nega ve changes = n₂ = 8
3.10.17 2780 -
4.10.17 2795 +
5.10.17 2830 +
8.10.17 2760 -
9.10.17 2790 +
10.10.17 2880 +
11.10.17 2960 +
12.10.17 2990 +
15.10.17 3200 +
16.10.17 3300 +
17.10.17 3450 +
19.10.17 3360 -
22.10.17 3290 -
23.10.17 3360 +
24.10.17 3340 -
25.10.17 3290 -
29.10.17 3240 -
30.10.17 3140 -
31.10.17 3260 +
Since too few runs in the case would indicate that the movement of prices is not random. We employ a two- tailed
test the randomness of prices.
Test at 5% level of significance at 18 degrees of freedom using t- table
The lower limit
= µ – t × ˄ σ r =10.26 – 2.101 × 2.06 = 5.932
Upper limit
= µ + t × ˄ r σ =10.26 + 2.101 × 2.06 = 14.588
At 10% level of significance at 18 degrees of freedom
Lower limit
= 10.26 – 1.734 × 2.06 = 6.688
Upper limit
= 10.26 + 1.734 × 2.06 = 13.832
As seen r lies between these limits. Hence, the market exhibits weak form of efficiency.
*For a sample of size n, the t distribu on will have n-1 degrees of freedom.
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
X Y X² Y² XY
- 19.16 34.36 367.11 1180.61 - 658.34
- 2.90 43.39 8.41 1882.69 - 125.83
- 48.52 - 45.11 2354.19 2034.91 2188.74
- 12.48 14.61 155.75 213.45 - 182.33
- 30.18 26.6 910.83 707.56 - 802.79
-9.77 4.57 95.45 20.88 - 44.65
4.1 - 10.28 16.81 105.68 - 42.15
- 33.11 -17.35 1096.27 301.02 574.46
- 42.94 17.29 1843.84 298.94 - 742.43
∑X = -194.96 ∑Y = 68.08 ∑X² = -6848.66 ∑Y² = -6745.74 ∑XY = -164.68
X = - 21.66 Y = 7.56
There is moderate degree of correla on between the returns of two periods hence it can be concluded that
the market does not show the weak form of efficiency.
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START UP FINANCE
START-UP
FINANCE
Startup financing means some ini al infusion of money needed to turn an idea into reality.
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START UP FINANCE
Pitch Presenta on
Pitch deck presenta on is a brief presenta on made either during face to face mee ngs or online mee ngs
using PowerPoint to investors explaining about the prospects of the company and why they should invest
How to approach a pitch presenta on:
(i) Introduc on: give a brief account of yourself, milestones achieved etc. Use this opportunity to get
investors interested in your company.
(ii) Team: Introduce the people behind the scenes who will make the product or service successful.
Investors are not only pu ng money towards the idea but they are also inves ng in the team. If
applicable, then highlight that the team has worked together in the past and achieved significant results.
(iii) Problem: explain the problem you are going to solve. Investors should be convinced that the newly
introduced product or service will solve the problem.
(iv) Solu on: DESCRIBE how the company is planning to solve the problem. For instance, when Flipkart first
started e-commerce in India payment through credit card was rare. So they introduced cash on delivery.
(v) Marke ng/Sales: Communicate the Market size of the product. This can include profiles of target
customers, how the promoter is planning to a ract the customers.
(vi) Projec ons or Milestones: It is difficult for a startup but an educated guess can be made. Projected
financial statements gives idea about where is the business heading? whether making profit or loss?
Financial projec ons include three basic documents
• Income statement: shows how much money business will generate.
• Cash flow statement: depict how much cash will be coming and how it will be u lized.
• Balance sheet: shows overall finances including assets, liabili es and equity.
(vii) Compe on: highlight
- as to how the products or services are different from their compe tors.
- If compe tors have been acquired, give their complete details
(viii) Business Model: is a wide term deno ng core aspects of a business including purpose, business
process, target customers, offerings, strategies, infrastructure, organiza onal structures, sourcing,
trading prac ces, and opera onal processes and policies including culture.
A business model is the way in which a company generates revenue and makes a profit.
It is be er to
- show a list of the various revenue streams and a meline for each of them,
- how to price the product and what does the compe tor charge
- discuss the cost of customer acquisi on, life me value of the customer and strategy to retain
customers.
(ix) Financing: If already raised money, talk about
- how much money has been raised,
- who invested and
- what they did about it.
If pitching to raise capital, then list
- how much looking to raise and
- how intend to use the funds.
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START UP FINANCE
Unicorn
A Unicorn is a privately held start-up company which has achieved a valua on US$ 1 billion. This term was
coined by venture capitalist Aileen Lee, first me in 2013. Unicorn, a mythical animal represents the
sta s cal rarity of successful ventures.
However, it is important to note that in case the valua on of any start-up slips below US$ 1 billion it can lose its
status of ‘Unicorn’. Hence a start-up may be Unicorn at one point of me and may not be at another point of me.
The next milestone for a Unicorn to achieve is to become a Decacorn, i.e., a company which has a ained a
valua on of more than US$ 10 billion.
Modes of Financing for Startups
(i) Bootstrapping
means build a company from personal finances or from the opera ng revenues of the new company.
It leads to cau ous approach & curb wasteful expenditures towards marke ng, offices and
equipment.
Methods to bootstrap:
(a) Trade Credit: Ini ally suppliers are reluctant to give trade credit. The way out is to prepare a well-cra ed
financial plan and pay a visit to the supplier's office. Communica on skills are important here.
The trick is to get the goods shipped, and sell them before one has to pay for them. It reduces the
working capital requirements.
(b) Factoring: is a financing method where accounts receivable is sold to a commercial finance
company. The factor now assumes the task of collec ng the receivables.
Merits -
- reduce costs associated with maintaining accounts receivable such as bookkeeping, collec ons
and credit verifica ons.
- frees up money ed up in receivables especially when selling to businesses/ government who
long delays the payment.
(c) Leasing
take the equipment on lease rather than purchasing it.
Benefits-
- reduce the capital cost
- claim tax exemp on on lease rentals
- making smaller payments retain the ability to walk away from the equipment at the end of the
lease term.
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START UP FINANCE
Unified Structure: When domes c investors are expected to par cipate in the fund, a unified
structure is used.
Overseas investors pool their assets in an offshore vehicle that invests in a locally managed trust.
Domes c investors directly contribute to the trust.
Trust then makes the local por olio investments.
Off shore structure Unified Structure
P1 P2 P3
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START UP FINANCE
Stages of Funding for VC - Risk in each stage is different. An indica ve Risk matrix is given below:
Period
Financial (Funds Risk
Ac vity to be financed
Stage locked in Percep on
years)
Seed 7-10 Extreme Low level financing for suppor ng a concept or idea or R&D for
Money product development
Start 5-9 Very High Early stage firms that need funding for expenses associated with
Up marke ng, ini alizing prototypes opera ons or product
development.
First 3-7 High Funds to start commercial marke ng produc on and sales
Stage
Second 3-5 Sufficient Expand market and growing Working capital for early stage
Stage ly High companies that are selling product, but not yet turning in a profit.
Third 1-3 Medium Also called Mezzanine financing, this is Market expansion,
Stage acquisi on & product development money for profit making
company
Fourth 1-3 Low Also called bridge financing, it is intended to facilita ng public
Stage issue
VC Investment Process
The en re VC Investment process can be segregated into the following steps:
1. Deal Origina on: VC gets deals directly or through intermediaries such as prac cing Chartered
Accountants.
VC indicates in advance about
ü Sector focus
ü Stages of business focus
ü Promoter focus
ü Turnover focus
Here the Company looking for VC funding provides Investment Memorandum which contains a detailed
business plan which consists of business model, financial plan, tenta ve valua on and exit plan.
2. Screening: is generally carried out by a commi ee consis ng of senior level people of the VC.
3. Due Diligence: VC would now carry out due diligence in order to verify the veracity of the documents
taken. This is generally handled by external bodies, mainly renowned consultants. The fees of due
diligence could be paid by the VC or may be shared between the VC and the company.
4. Deal Structuring: The deal is structured in such a way that both par es win. In many cases, the
conver ble structure is brought in to ensure that the promoter retains the right to buy back the share.
Besides, VC may put a condi on that promoter has also to sell part of its stake along with the VC. Such
a clause is called tag- along clause.
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START UP FINANCE
5. Post Investment Ac vity: VC nominates its nominee in the board of the company to ensure that
Company adheres to certain guidelines like strong MIS, strong budge ng system, strong corporate
governance, professional management and achievement of milestones. If milestone has not been
met the company has to give explana on to the VC.
6. Exit plan: Mainly, exit happens in two ways:
(i) 'Sell to third party(ies)': This sale can be in the form of IPO or Private Placement to other VCs.
(ii) Promoter would give a buy back commitment at a pre agreed rate (generally between IRR of 18%
to 25%). In many deals, the promoter buyback is the first refusal method adopted i.e. the
promoter would get the first right of buyback.
Startup India Ini a ve
(4 Marks) CA Final Nov 2019, RTP Nov 2023
Startup India scheme was ini ated by the Government of India on 16th of January, 2016.
An en ty shall be considered as a Startup:
v Upto a period of 10 years from the date of incorpora on/ registra on. It could be incorporated as either
a Private Limited Company or a Registered Partnership Firm or a Limited Liability Partnership in India.
v Turnover for any of the financial years has not exceeded ` 100 crores, and
v Working towards innova on, development or improvement of products or processes or services, or if
it is a scalable business model with a high poten al of employment genera on or wealth crea on.
Provided that an en ty formed by spli ng up or reconstruc on of an exis ng business shall not be
considered a ‘Startup’.
Apart from the support from government, other reasons for major boost & sustainable environment for
start-ups are :
(i) The Pool of Talent - big pool of talent in india, millions of students gradua ng every year.
(ii) Cost Effec ve Workforce - compared to other countries, the cost of se ng up and running a business
is compara vely lower.
(iii) Increasing use of the Internet - affordable telecom services, reach to rural areas.
(iv) Technology - makes business processes quick, simple and efficient. Increasingly working in ar ficial
intelligence and block chain technologies .
(v) Variety of Funding Op ons Available - bank borrowings, angel investors, venture capitalists, seed
funding stage investors, FDI etc.
Succession Planning in Business
Meaning of Succession Planning
Succession planning is the process of iden fying the cri cal posi ons within an organiza on and developing
ac on plans for individuals to assume those posi ons. A succession plan iden fies future need of people
with the skills and poten al to perform leadership roles. Succession planning is an important priority for
family owned businesses as most of them are managed by a non-family leader even though the ownership
lies with the family. Taking a holis c view of current and future goals, this type of prepara on ensures that
the right people are available for the right jobs today and in the years to come. It can also provide a liquidity
event, which enables the transfer of ownership in a going concern to rising employees. Succession planning
is a good way for companies to ensure that businesses are fully prepared to promote and advance all
employees—not just those who are at the management or execu ve levels.
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Challenges
In context of Start-up following challenges are faced in implemen ng Succession Planning.
(1) Founder mindset might be different than the corporate mindset – The way founder’s brains arewired
is different from the way that a tradi onal corporate manager thinks, and this puts off seasoned
corporate leaders from joining even matured start-ups.
(2) Premature for startups to implement business succession - Certain startups are at early growth stage
and too much of processes would lead to growth slow-down and hence they are not in a current stage
for implemen ng business succession planning.
(3) Founders are the face of startups – One cannot imagine a startup without a founder who ini ated the
idea and executed it and in his/ her absence succession planning can become difficult.
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Ques on 1
A Venture Capital Unit approaches a Venture Capital Fund for funding to the tune of ₹ 500 crores in order to test a
niche technology. The me horizon is 5 years. The following table provides the condi onal probability of failure.
Years 1 2 3 4 5
Probability 30% 26% 22% 16% 15%
Note: Condi onal probability of failure for the n year refers to the probability of failing in the n year given
success ll n-1 year. There will be terminal cash flow of ₹ 16000 crores, if the project is successful. If required
rate of return is 32% p.a., calculate expected NPV to check the viability of this venture.
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Ven Cap, a European venture capitalist firm has shown its interest to finance the proposed buy-out. Distress
Ltd. is interested to sell the division for 180 crore and Mr. Smith is of opinion that an addi onal amount of 85
crore shall be required to make this division viable. The expected financing pa ern shall be as follows:
Source Mode Amount (Crore)
Management Equity Shares of 10 each 60.00
Ven Cap VC Equity Shares of 10 each 22.50
9% Debentures with a ached warrant of 100 each 22.50
8% Loan 160.00
Total 265.00
The warrants can be exercised any me a er 4 years from now for 10 equity shares @120 per share.
The loan is repayable in one go at the end of 8 year. The debentures are repayable in equal annual
installment consis ng of both principal and interest amount over a period of 6 years.
Mr. Smith is of view that the proposed dividend shall not be kept more than 12.5% of distributable profit for
the first 4 years. The forecasted EBIT a er the proposed buyout is as follows:
Year 2013-14 2014-15 2014-15 2016-17
EBIT (crore) 48 57 68 82
Applicable tax rate is 35% and it is expected that it shall remain unchanged at least for 5-6 years. In order to
a ract Ven Cap, Mr. Smith stated that book value of equity shall increase by 20% during above 4 years.
Although, Ven Cap has shown their interest in investment but are doub ul about the projec ons of growth in
the value as per projec ons of Mr. Smith. Further Ven Cap also demanded that warrants should be conver ble
in 18 shares instead of 10 as proposed by Mr. Smith.
You are required to determine whether or not the book value of equity is expected to grow by 20% per year.
Further if you have been appointed by Mr. Smith as advisor then whether you would suggest to accept the
demand of Ven Cap of 18 shares instead of 10 or not.
Ques on 5
X is a small so ware company that is providing a niche data control and tes ng service having 60 employees
and some steady contracts, which generates an EBIDTA of ₹ 100 Lacs per year. A Venture Capitalist (VC)
convinces the managing director of the company to sell off the majority stake to him - valued at a premium of
100% per share over the Book Value plus one me goodwill payoff of ₹ 50 Lacs, using an Income Based
Valua on approach. Thus the total considera on comes out ₹ 250 Lacs.
Next, the VC ropes a banker to pump in ₹ 200 Lacs @18% interest with principle repayable linearly in 6 years
for the acquisi on-cum-expansion as well as to do brand marke ng, thereby making the company a visible
player in the market. The gap of ₹ 50 Lacs is his contribu on as promoter equity towards securi es premium.
Since the core opera ons team is not dismantled, the company easily achieves an approximate 20% average
growth in each of the next 3 years.
At the end of the third year, the VC puts the company on the 'Sale Block' and is able to garner interest of a
leading MNC in the same. Assume if the exit mul ple that the VC looks is at 7 mes the EBDAT. Calculate the
value of en ty ?
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(2) Post money Valua on of VCF = ₹ 240 crores x PVF @25%, 3rd year
= ₹ 122.88 crores
iii. Now we shall compute the net present value of the project
The present value of cash inflow a er 6 years
(Rs.600 Crore × PVIF 20%) ₹ 201 Crore
Less:- Present value of Cash ou low ₹ 45 Crore
₹ 156 Crore
Net Present Value of project if it fails - ₹ 45 Crores
And expected NPV = (0.255)(156) + (0.745)(-45) ₹ 6.255 Crores
In the beginning of 2013-14 equity was ₹ 82.5000 crore which has been grown to ₹ 194.7785 over a period of 4
1/4
years. In such case the compounded growth rate shall be as follows: (194.7785/82.5000) -1 = 23.96%
This growth rate is slightly higher than 20% as projected by Mr. Smith.
If the condi on of Ven Cap for 18 shares is accepted the expected share holding a er 4 years shall be as follows:
No. of shares held by Management 6.00 crore
No. of shares held by Ven Cap at the star ng stage 2.25 crore
No. of shares held by Ven Cap a er 4 years 4.05 crore
Total holding of VC 6.30 crore
Thus, it is likely that Mr. Smith may not accept this condi on of Ven Cap as this may result in losing their majority
ownership and control to Ven Cap. Mr. Smith may accept their condi on if management has further opportunity to
increase share ownership through other forms.
Solu on:
The en ty value is hypothe cally can be worked out as under -
(in ₹ Lacs)
Y₀ Y₁ Y₂ Y₃
EBIDTA 100.00 120.00 144.00 178.00
Less: Interest# 36.00 30.00 24.00 18.00
EBDTA 64.00 90.00 120.00 160.00
Less: Taxes @ 30% 19.20 27.00 36.00 48.00
EBDAT 44.80 63.00 84.00 112.00
Mul ple 7
Capitalized Value at end of Y3 784
Less: Debt (100)
Equity Value 684
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SECURITIZATION
Car Loan
Investment Bank
Home Loan
BUNDLE
Marketable
Securi es SECURITIZATION
HNI
Hedge Fund
Personal Loan
The reserve Bank of India defines Securi za on as “transac ons where credit risks in assets are
redistributed by repackaging them into tradable securi es”.
Features of Securi za on
Crea on of Financial Instruments: Process of crea on of addi onal financial product of securi es in market
backed by collaterals.
Bundling and Unbundling: When all the assets are combined in one pool it is bundling and when these are
broken into instruments of fixed denomina on it is unbundling.
Tool of Risk Management: If assets are securi zed on non-recourse basis, then the risk of default is shi ed.
Structured Finance: Financial instruments are tailor structured to meet the risk return trade of profile of
investor.
Tranching: Por olio of different receivable or loan or asset are split into several parts based on risk and
return they carry called 'Tranche'.
Homogeneity: Under each tranche the securi es are issued of homogenous nature and even meant for
small investors.
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Benefits of Securi za on
From the angle of Originator (en ty which sells assets collec vely to Special Purpose Vehicle)
(i) Off – Balance Sheet Financing: When loan/receivables are securi zed it release a por on of capital
ed up in these assets resul ng in off Balance Sheet financing leading to improved liquidity posi on
which helps expanding the business of the company.
(ii) More specializa on in main business: By transferring the assets the en ty could concentrate more on
core business as servicing of loan is transferred to SPV.
(iii) Helps to improve financial ra os: Helps to manage Capital –To-Weighted Asset Ra o effec vely.
(iv) Reduced borrowing Cost: Since securi zed papers are rated due to credit enhancement even they can
also be issued at reduced rate resul ng in reduced cost of borrowings.
From the angle of Investor
1. Diversifica on of Risk: Purchase of securi es backed by different types of assets provides the
diversifica on of por olio resul ng in reduc on of risk.
2. Regulatory requirement: Acquisi on of asset backed belonging to a par cular industry say micro
industry helps banks to meet regulatory requirement of investment of fund in industry specific.
3. Protec on against default: In case of recourse arrangement if there is any default by any third party
then originator shall make good the least amount. Moreover, there can be insurance arrangement for
compensa on for any such default.
Par cipants in Securi za on
Primary Participants
(a) Originator / Securi zer: It is an en ty which sells the assets lying in its books and receives the funds
generated through the sale of such assets, transferring legal as well as beneficial interest to SPV.
(b) Special Purpose Vehicle: is created for the purpose of execu ng the deal. It holds the legal
tle of the assets. It could be in form of a company, a firm, a society or a trust.
The main objec ve of SPV is to remove the asset from the Balance Sheet of Originator. SPV makes an
upfront payment to the originator. Further, it also issues the securi es (called Asset Based Securi es
or Mortgage Based Securi es) to the investors.
(c) The Investors: Investors are the buyers of securi zed papers which may be an individual, an
ins tu onal investor such as mutual funds, provident funds, insurance companies, mutual funds,
Financial Ins tu ons etc.
Since, they acquire a par cipa ng in the total pool of assets/receivable, they receive their money back
in the form of interest and principal as per the terms agreed.
Secondary Par cipants
(a) Obligors: owe money to the firm and are assets in the Balance Sheet of Originator. The amount due
from the obligor is transferred to SPV and hence they form the basis of securi za on process and their
credit standing is of paramount importance in the whole process.
(b) Ra ng Agency: Securi za on is based on the pools of assets rather than the originators, the assets have to
be assessed in terms of its credit quality and credit support available. Ra ng agency assesses the following:
• Strength of the Cash Flow. • Credit quality of securi es.
• Mechanism to ensure mely payment • Liquidity support.
of interest and principle repayment. • Strength of legal framework.
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(c) Receiving and Paying agent (RPA): Also, called Servicer or Administrator, it collects the payment due
from obligor(s) and passes it to SPV. It also follow up with defaul ng borrower and if required ini ate
appropriate legal ac on against them.
(d) Agent or Trustee: Trustees are appointed to oversee that all par es to the deal perform in the true
spirit of terms of agreement. Normally, it takes care of interest of investors who acquires the securi es.
(e) Credit Enhancer: Since investors in securi zed instruments are directly exposed to performance of
the underlying they require credit ra ng of issued securi es which also empowers marketability of
the securi es.
Originator itself or a third party say a bank may provide this addi onal context called
Credit Enhancer. While originator provides his comfort in the form of over collateraliza on or cash
collateral, the third party provides it in form of le er of credit or surety bonds.
(f) Structurer: It brings together the originator, investors, credit enhancers and other par es to the deal
of securi za on. Normally, these are investment bankers who ensures that deal meets all legal,
regulatory, accoun ng and tax laws requirements.
Mechanism of Securi za on
Crea on of Pool of Assets: The process of securi za on begins with crea on of pool of assets by segrega on
of assets backed by similar type of mortgages in terms of interest rate, risk, maturity and concentra on units.
Transfer to SPV: Once assets have been pooled, they are transferred to Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV)
especially created for this purpose.
Sale of Securi zed Papers: SPV designs the instruments based on nature of interest, risk, tenure etc. based
on pool of assets. These instruments can be Pass Through Security or Pay Through Cer ficates.
Administra on of assets: The administra on of assets is subcontracted back to originator which collects
principal and interest from underlying assets and transfer it to SPV, which works as a conduct.
Recourse to Originator: Performance of securi zed papers depends on the performance of underlying
assets and unless specified in case of default they go back to originator from SPV.
Repayment of funds: SPV will repay the funds in form of interest and principal that arises from the assets pooled.
Credit Ra ng to Instruments: Some me before the sale of securi zed instruments credit ra ng can be done
to assess the risk of the issuer.
The mechanism of Securi es is shown below in diagramma c form.
Credit Enhancer Originator/ Servicer
3 5 1
2 Receives
Provides Credit Loan
Transfer of Assets Fund
Enhancement sale
Trustee 7 S.P.V.
Principal and Interest 4
Minus Servicing Fees 6
8 Revenues from
Disbur Debt Securi es
Reven se
ues to s
Invest
ors Investors
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In order to further enhance the investor base in securi zed debts, SEBI allowed FPIs to invest in securi zed
debt of unlisted companies upto a certain limit.
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Securi za on Instruments
On the basis of different maturity characteris cs, the securi zed instruments can be divided into foll 3 categories:
1. Pass Through Cer ficates (PTCs): As the tle suggests originator (seller of the assets) transfers the
en re receipt of cash in form of interest or principal repayment from the assets sold. Thus, these
securi es represent direct claim of the investors on all the assets that has been securi zed through SPV.
Since all cash flows are transferred the investors carry propor onal beneficial interest in the asset
held in the trust by SPV.
It should be noted that since it is a direct route any prepayment of principal is also propor onately
distributed among the securi es holders. Further, due to these characteris cs on comple on of
securi za on by the final payment of assets, all the securi es are terminated simultaneously.
Skewness of cash flows occurs in early stage if principals are repaid before the scheduled me.
2. Pay Through Security (PTS): In PTS, SPV debt securi es backed by the assets and hence it can
restructure different tranches from varying maturi es of receivables.
In other words, this structure permits desynchroniza on of servicing of securi es issued’ from cash
flow genera ng from the asset. Further, this structure also permits the SPV to reinvest surplus funds.
In case of early re rement of receivables surplus cash can be used for short term yield.
3. Stripped Securi es: Stripped Securi es are created by dividing the cash flows associated with
underlying securi es into two or more new securi es. Those two securi es are as follows:
(i) Interest Only (IO) Securi es
(ii) Principle Only (PO) Securi es
Accordingly, the holder of IO securi es receives only interest while PO security holder receives only
principal.
In case yield to maturity in market rises, PO price tends to fall as borrower prefers to postpone the
payment on cheaper loans. Whereas if interest rate in market falls, the borrower tends to repay the
loans as they prefer to borrow fresh at lower rate of interest.
In contrast, value of IO's securi es increases when interest rate goes up in the market as more interest
is calculated on borrowings.
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Risks in Securi za on
In a securi za on transac on, investors are exposed to several risks at each stage of the transac on. The
various types of risks in any securi za on transac on are as follows:
Legal risks
Since in the Indian context it is a recently developed concept there is an absence of conclusive judicial
precedent or explicit statutory provisions on securi za on transac ons. As a result, any dispute over the
legal ownership of the assets is likely to result in uncertainty regarding investor pay-outs from the pool cash
flow.
Market risks
Market risks represent risks external to the transac on and include market-related factors that impact the
performance of the transac on. Some of these risks are as follows:
(a) Macroeconomic risks: The performance of the underlying loan contracts depends on macroeconomic
factors, such as industry downturns or adverse price movements of the underlying assets. For
example, in the transporta on industry a con nuous decline in industrial produc on may lead to a
downtrend in the use of services of the Commercial Vehicles (CVs) adversely impac ng the cash flow
of CVs operators. This in turn, may impact repayments on CV loans. Similarly, a fall in the prices of the
CVs may increase chances of default as the borrower may wilfully default the loan and let the finance
company repossess and sell the underlying vehicle instead of retaining it and con nuing to pay
instalments on me.
(b) Prepayment risks: A change in the market interest rate represents a difficult situa on for investors
because it is a combina on of prepayment risk and vola le interest rates. With a reduc on in interest
rates generally prepayment of retail loans increases, resul ng in reinvestment risk for investors
because investors may receive their monies ahead of schedule and may not be able to reinvest the
amount at the same yield.
(c) Interest rate risks: This risk is prominent where the loans in the pool are based on a floa ng rate and
investor pay-outs are based on a fixed rate or vice versa. It results in an interest rate mismatch and can
lead to a situa on where the pool cash inflow, even at 100% collec on efficiency, is not sufficient to
meet investor pay-outs. Interest rate swaps can be used to hedge this type of risk to some extent.
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Tokeniza on
Before we discuss the concept of Tokeniza on it is necessary to understand the concept of Blockchain.
Blockchain, some mes referred to as Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) is a shared, peer-to- peer, and
decentralized open ledger of transac ons system with no trusted third par es in between. This ledger
database has every entry as permanent as it is an append-only database which cannot be changed or
altered. All transac ons are fully irreversible with any change in the transac on being recorded as a new
transac on. The decentralised network refers to the network which is not controlled by any bank,
corpora on, or government. A block chain generally uses a chain of blocks, with each block represen ng the
digital informa on stored in public database (“the chain”).
A simple analogy for understanding blockchain technology is a Google Doc. When we create a document
and share it with a group of people, the document is distributed instead of copied or transferred. This
creates a decentralized distribu on chain that gives everyone access to the document at the same me. No
one is locked out awai ng changes from another party, while all modifica ons to the document are being
recorded in real- me, making changes completely transparent. Following figure represents the working of
any Blockchain transac on.
Transac on is complete.
(d) Travel Industry: Blockchain can be applied in money transac ons and in storing important documents
like passports/other iden fica on cards, reserva ons and managing travel insurance, loyalty, and
rewards thus, changing the working of travel and hospitality industry.
(e) Economic Forecasts: Blockchain makes possible the financial and economic forecasts based on
decentralized predic on markets, decentralized vo ng, and stock trading, thus enabling the
organiza ons to plan and shape their businesses.
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FINANCIAL POLICY & CORPORATE STRATEGY
FINANCIAL
POLICY &
CORPORATE
STRATEGY
2. Business Unit Level Strategy: Strategic business unit (SBO) may be any profit centre that can be
planned independently. The strategic issues are about
(i) prac cal coordina on of opera ng units and
(ii) developing and sustaining a compe ve advantage for the products and services that are produced.
3. Func onal Level Strategy: The func onal level is the level of the opera ng divisions and departments.
The strategic issues at this level are related to func onal business processes and value chain.
Func onal level strategies in R&D, opera ons, manufacturing, marke ng, finance, and human
resources involve the development and coordina on of resources through which business unit level
strategies can be executed effec vely and efficiently. The func onal units translate higher level
strategies into discrete ac on plans they must accomplish for the strategy to succeed.
Financial Planning
Is a systema c approach whereby the financial planner helps the customer to maximize his exis ng
financial resources by u lizing financial tools to achieve his financial goals.
There are 3 major components of Financial planning:
ü Financial Resources (FR) ü Financial Tools (FT) ü Financial Goals (FG)
Outcomes of the financial planning for the evalua on of the corporate performance are :
Financial objec ves: are to be decided at the very outset so that rest of the decisions can be taken
accordingly. The objec ves need to be consistent with the corporate mission and corporate objec ves.
Financial decision-making: helps in analyzing the financial problems that are being faced by the corporate
and accordingly deciding the course of ac on to be taken by it.
Financial measures: eg. ra o analysis, analysis of cash flow statement are used to evaluate the performance
of the Company. The selec on of these measures again depends upon the Corporate objec ves.
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FINANCIAL POLICY & CORPORATE STRATEGY
THEORY
(of Practical
chapters)
Deriva ves
Assump ons of Black - Scholes Model
The following assump ons accompany the model: 5. Stock price movement is similar to a random walk
1. European Op ons are considered 6. Stock returns are normally distributed over a
2. No transac on costs period of me, and
3. Short term interest rates are known and constant 7. The variance of the return is constant over the
4. Stocks do not pay dividend life of an Op on.
Contango & Backwarda on
Contango means “Future Price > Spot Price” {Normal market scenario}
Backwarda on means “Future Price < Spot Price” {Possible only if there are factors other than the cost of
carry eg Dividends}
Op on Greeks
The Greeks are a collec on of sta s cal values (expressed as percentages) that give the investor a be er
overall view of how a stock has been performing.
Delta - It is the degree to which an op on price will move given a small change in the underlying stock price.
For example, op on price (with a delta of 0.5) will move half a rupee for every full rupee movement in the
underlying stock.
A deeply out-of-the-money call will have a delta very close to zero; a deeply in-the-money call will have a
delta very close to 1.
The formula for a delta of a European call on a non-dividend paying stock is:
Delta = N (d1) {see Black-Scholes formula for how to calculate d1}
Call Deltas are posi ve; Put Deltas are nega ve. The delta is o en called the Hedge Ra o.
Gamma - It measures how fast the Delta changes for small changes in the underlying stock price i.e. the
Delta of the Delta.
Theta - The change in op on price given a one day decrease in me to expira on. It is a measure of me decay.
Rho - The change in op on price given a one percentage point change in the risk-free interest rate. For example,
a Rho of .060 indicates the op on's theore cal value will increase by .060 if the interest rate is decreased by 1.0.
Vega - Vega indicates an absolute change in op on value for a one percent change in vola lity. For example,
a Vega of .090 indicates an absolute change in the op on's theore cal value will increase by .090 if the
vola lity percentage is increased by 1.0.
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THEORY
Exo c Op ons
Exo c op ons are the classes of op on contracts with structure, exercisability and features different from
plain vanilla op ons i.e. American and European style op ons.
Exo c Vs. Tradi onal Op on
a. An exo c op on can vary in terms of pay off and me of exercise.
b. These op ons are more complex than vanilla op ons.
c. Mostly Exo c op ons are traded in OTC market.
Types of Exo c Op ons
(a) Chooser Op ons: This op on provides a right to the buyer of op on a er a specified period of me to
decide whether purchased op on is a call op on or put op on. It is to be noted that the decision can
be made within a specified period prior to the expira on of contracts.
(b) Compound Op ons: Also called split fee op on or ‘op on on op on’. As the name suggests this op on
provides a right or choice not an obliga on to buy another op on at specific price on the expiry of first
maturity date. Thus, it can be said in this op on the underlying is an op on. Further the payoff
depends on the strike price of second op on.
(c) Barrier op ons: Though it is similar to plain vanilla call and put op ons, but unique feature of this
op on is that contract will become ac vated only if the price of the underlying reaches a certain price
during a predetermined period.
(d) Binary Op ons: Also known as ‘Digital Op on’, this op on contract guarantees the pay -off based on
the happening of a specific event. If the event has occurred, the pay-off shall be predecided amount
and if event it has not occurred then there will be no pay -off.
(e) Asian Op ons: These are the op on contracts whose pay off are determined by the average of the
prices of the underlying over a predetermined period during the life me of the op on.
(f) Bermuda Op on: It is somewhat a compromise between a European and American op ons. Contrary
to American op on where it can be exercised at any point of me, the exercise of this op on is
restricted to certain dates or on expira on like European op on.
(g) Basket Op ons: In this type of contracts the value of op on instead of one underlying depends on the
value of a por olio i.e., a basket. Generally, this value is computed based on the weighted average of
underlying cons tu ng the basket.
(h) Spread Op ons: As the name suggests the payoff of these type of op ons depend on difference
between prices of two underlying.
(i) Look back op ons: Unlike other type of op ons whose exercise prices are pre-decided, in this op on
on maturity date the holder of the op on is given a choice to choose a most favourable strike price
depending on the minimum and maximum price of an underlying achieved during the life me of op on.
Credit Deriva ves
Credit Deriva ves is summa on of two terms, Credit + Deriva ves. As we know that deriva ve implies
value deriving from an underlying, and this underlying can be anything we discussed earlier i.e. stock,
share, currency, interest etc.
Ini ally started in 1996, due to the need of the banking ins tu ons to hedge their exposure of lending
por olios today it is one of the popular structured financial products.
Plainly speaking the financial products are subject to following two types of risks:
(a) Market Risk: Due to adverse movement of the stock market, interest rates and foreign exchange rates.
(b) Credit Risk: Also called counter party or default risk, this risk involves non-fulfilment of obliga on by
the counter party.
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While, financial deriva ves can be used to hedge the market risk, credit deriva ves emerged out to
mi gate the credit risk. Accordingly, the credit deriva ve is a mechanism whereby the risk is transferred
from the risk averse investor to those who wish to assume the risk.
Although there are number of credit deriva ve products but in this chapter, we shall discuss two types of
credit Deriva ves ‘Collateralised Debt Obliga on’ and ‘Credit Default Swap’.
Collateralized Debt Obliga ons (CDOS)
While in securi za on the securi es issued by SPV are backed by the loans and receivables the CDOs are
backed by pool of bonds, asset backed securi es, REITs, and other CDOs. Accordingly, it covers both
Collateralized Bond Obliga ons (CBOs) and Collateralized Loan Obliga ons (CLOs).
Types of CDOs
The various types of CDOs are as follows:
(a) Cash Flow Collateralized Debt Obliga ons (Cash CDOs): Cash CDO is CDO which is backed by cash market
debt or securi es which normally have low risk weight. This structure mainly relies on the collateral’s risk
weight and collateral’s ability to generate sufficient cash to pay off the securi es issued by SPV.
(b) Synthe c Collateralized Debt Obliga ons: It is similar to Cash Flow CDOs but with the difference that
instead of transferring ownerships of collateral to SPV (a separate legal en ty), synthe c CDOs are
structured in such a manner that credit risk is transferred by the originator without actual transfer of assets.
Normally the structure resembles the hedge funds where in the value of por olio of CDO is dependent upon
the value of collateralized instruments and market value of CDOs depends on the por olio manager’s ability to
generate adequate cash and mee ng the cash flow obliga ons (principal and interest) in mely manner.
While in cash CDO the collateral assets are moved away from Balance Sheet, in synthe c CDO there is no
actual transfer of assets instead economic effect is transferred.
This effect of transfer economic risk is achieved by crea ng provision for Credit Default Swap (CDS) or by
issue of Credit Linked Notes (CLN), a form of liability.
Accordingly, this structure is mainly used to hedge the risk rather than balance sheet funding. Further, for
banks, this structure also allows the customer’s rela ons to be unaffected. This was started mainly by banks
who want to hedge the credit risk but not interested in taking administra ve burden of sale of assets
through securi za on.
Technically, speaking synthe c CDO obtain regulatory capital relief benefits vis-à-vis cash CDOs. Further,
they are more popular in European market due to the reason of less legal documenta on requirements.
Synthe c CDOs can also be categorized as follows:
(i) Unfunded: - It will be comprised only CDs.
(ii) Fully Funded: - It will be through issue of Credit Linked Notes (CLN).
(iii) Par ally Funded: - It will be par ally through issue of CLN and par ally through CDs.
(c) Arbitrage CDOs: Basically, in Arbitrage CDOs, the issuer captures the spread between the return
realized collateral underlying the CDO and cost of borrowing to purchase these collaterals. In addi on
to this issuer also collects the fee for the management of CDOs. This arbitrage arises due to acquisi on
of rela vely high yielding securi es with large spread from open market.
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Pitch Presenta
Credit Default Swaps
on (CDSs)
It is a combina on of following 3 words:
Credit : Loan given
Default : Non payment
Swap : Exchange of Liability or Risk
Accordingly, CDS can be defined as an insurance (not in stricter sense) against the risk of default on a debt
which may be debentures, bonds etc.
Under this arrangement, one party (called buyer) needing protec on against the default pays a periodic
premium to another party (called seller), who in turn assumes the default risk. Hence, in case default takes
place then there will be se lement and in case no default takes place no cash flow will accrue to the buyer
alike op on contract and agreement is terminated. Although it resembles the op ons but since element of
choice is not there it more resembles the swap arrangements.
Amount of premium mainly depends on the price of underlying and especially when the credit risk is more.
Main Features of CDS
The main features of CDS are as follows:
(a) CDS is a non-standardized private contract between the buyer and seller. Therefore, it is covered in the
category of Forward Contracts.
(b) They are normally not traded on any exchange and hence remains free from the regula ons of
Governing Body.
(c) The Interna onal Swap and Deriva ve Associa on (ISAD) publishes the guidelines and general rules
used normally to carry out CDS contracts.
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(d) CDS can be purchased from third party to protect itself from default of borrowers.
(e) Similarly, an individual investor who is buying bonds from a company can purchase CDS to protect his
investment from insolvency of that company. Thus, this increases the level of confidence of investor in
Bonds purchased.
(f) The cost or premium of CDS has a posi ve rela onship with risk a ached with loans. Therefore, higher
the risk a ached to Bonds or loans, higher will be premium or cost of CDS.
(g) If an investor buys a CDS without being exposed to credit risk of the underlying bond issuer, it is called
“naked CDS”.
Uses/Purpose of Credit Default Swap
(a) Hedging- Main purpose of using CDS is to neutralize or reduce a risk to which CDS is exposed to. Thus,
by buying CDS, risk can be passed on to CDS seller or writer.
(b) Arbitrage- It involves buying a CDS and entering into an asset swap. For example, a fixed coupon
payment of a bond is swapped against a floa ng interest stream.
(c) Specula on- CDS can also be used to make profit by exploi ng price changes. For example, a CDS
writer assumed risk of default, will gain from contract if credit risk does not materialize during the
tenure of contract or if compensa on received exceeds poten al payout.
Par es to CDS
In a CDS at least three par es are involved which are as follows:
i. The ini al borrowers - It is also called a ‘reference en ty’, which are owing a loan or bond obliga on.
ii. Buyer - It is also called ‘investor’ i.e. the buyer of protec on. The buyer will make regular payment to
the seller for the protec on from default or credit event of reference en ty.
iii. Seller - It is also called ‘writer’ of the CDS and makes payment to buyer in the event of credit event of
reference en ty. It receives a regular pay off from the buyer of CDS.
Example
Suppose BB Corp. buys CDS from SS Bank for the Bonds amoun ng $ 10 million of Danger Corp. In such case,
the BB Corp. will become the buyer, SS Bank becomes seller and Danger Corp. becomes the reference en ty.
BB Corp. will make regular payment to SS Bank of the premium and if Danger Corp. defaults on its debts, the
BB Corp. will receive one me payment and CDS contract is terminated.
Se lement of CDS
Broadly, following are main ways of se lement of CDS.
(i) Physical Se lement – This is the tradi onal method of se lement. It involves the delivery of Bonds or
debts of the reference en ty by the buyer to the seller and seller pays the buyer the par value.
For example, as men oned above suppose Danger Corp. defaults then SS Bank will pay $ 10 Million to
BB Corp. and BB Corp will deliver $10 Million face value of Bonds to SS Bank.
(ii) Cash Se lement- Under this arrangement seller pays the buyer the difference between par value and
the market price of a debt (whatever may be the market value) of the reference en ty. Con nuing the
above example suppose, the market value of Bonds is 30%, as market is of belief that bond holder will
receive 30% of the money owed in case company goes into liquida on. Thus, the SS Bank shall pay BB
Corp. $ 10 Million - $3 million (100% - 30%) = $ 7 Million.
To make Cash se lement even more transparent, the credit event auc on was developed. Credit
event auc on set a price for all market par cipants that choose to cash se lement.
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(b) Commodity-for-Interest Swaps: They are similar to the equity swap in which a total return on the
commodity in ques on is exchanged for some money market rate (plus or minus a spread).
Valuing Commodity Swaps
In pricing commodity swaps, we can think of the swap as a strip of forwards, each priced at incep on with
zero market value (in a present value sense). Thinking of a swap as a strip of at-the-money forwards is also a
useful and intui ve way of interpre ng interest rate swaps or equity swaps
Commodity swaps are characterized by some peculiari es. These include the following factors for which
we must account:
(i) The cost of hedging;
(ii) The ins tu onal structure of the par cular commodity market in ques on;
(iii) The liquidity of the underlying commodity market;
(iv) Seasonality and its effects on the underlying commodity market;
(v) The variability of the futures bid/offer spread;
(vi) Brokerage fees; and
(vii) Credit risk, capital costs and administra ve costs.
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Some of these factors must be extended to the pricing and hedging of interest rate swaps, currency swaps
and equity swaps as well. The idiosyncra c nature of the commodity markets refers to the limited number
of par cipants in these markets (naturally begging ques ons of liquidity and market informa on), the
unique factors driving these markets, the inter-rela ons with cognate markets and the individual
par cipants in these markets.
Weather deriva ves represent an alterna ve tool to the usual insurance contract by which firms and
individuals can protect themselves against losing out because of unforeseen weather events. Many factors
differen ate weather deriva ves from insurance contracts. The main difference is due to the type of
coverage provided by the two instruments. Insurance provides protec on to extreme, low probability
weather events, such as earthquakes, hurricanes and floods, etc. Instead, deriva ves can also be used to
protect the holder from all types of risks, including uncertainty in normal condi ons that are much more
likely to occur. This is very important for industries closely related to weather condi ons for which less
drama c events can also generate huge losses.
Like other deriva ves a Weather deriva ve is a contract between a buyer and a seller wherein the seller of a
weather deriva ve receives a premium from a buyer with the understanding that the seller will provide a
monetary amount in case the buyer suffers any financial loss due to adverse weather condi ons. In case no
adverse weather condi on occurs, then the seller makes a profit through the premium received.
Pricing a weather deriva ve is quite challenging as it cannot be stored and following issues are involved: -
v Data: - The reliability of data is a big challenge as the availability of data quite differs from one country to
another and even agency to agency within a country.
v Forecas ng of weather: - Though various models can be used to make short term and longterm
predic ons about evolving weather condi ons but it is difficult to predict the future weather behaviour
as it is governed by various dynamic factors. Generally, forecasts address seasonal levels but not the
daily levels of temperature.
v Temperature Modelling: - Temperature is one of the important underlying for weather deriva ves. The
temperature normally remains quite constant across different months in a year. Hence, there is no such
Model that can claim perfec on and universality.
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Since electricity spot prices in India, are generally vola le, due to smaller market size and other various
dynamic factors such as change in fuel supply posi ons, weather condi ons, transmission conges on,
varia on in RE genera on, and other physical a ributes of produc on and distribu on there is a need for
hedging instruments that reduces price risk exposures for market par cipants i.e., generators, buyers and
load serving en es.
Electricity deriva ve contracts linked with spot electricity prices as underlying helps market par cipants to
hedge from price risk varia ons. This will help the buyer to pay a fixed price irrespec ve of varia on in spot
electricity prices as varia ons are absorbed by deriva ve instruments.
Like other deriva ves the vanilla forms of electricity deriva ves are:
(i) forwards,
(ii) futures, and
(iii) swaps.
Not only that being traded either on the exchanges or over the counters, these power contracts play the
primary roles in offering future price discovery and price certainty to generators, distribu ng companies
and other buyers.
Electricity Forwards
Electricity Forward contracts represent the obliga on to buy or sell a fixed amount of electricity at a pre-
specified contract price, known as the forward price, at a certain me in the future (called maturity or
expira on me). Electricity forwards are custom-tailored supply contracts between a buyer and a seller,
where the buyer is obligated to take power and the seller is obligated to supply. The payoff of a forward
contract promising to deliver one unit of electricity at price F at a future me T is: Payoff of a Forward
Contract = (ST - F); where ST is the electricity spot price at me T.
Although the payoff func on appears to be similar as pay-off in case of any financial forwards, electricity
forwards differ from other financial and commodity forward contracts in the sense that the underlying
electricity is a different commodity at different mes. The se lement price ST is usually calculated based on
the average price of electricity over the delivery period at the maturity day “T”.
Electricity Futures
Electricity Futures are contracts for the delivery of a certain quan ty of electricity at a specified price and a
specified me in the future, sellers can sell a propor on of their produc on in the future market, while
consumers can buy a specific amount of the power they need.
Electricity futures contracts are standardized contracts in terms of trading loca ons, transac on
requirements and se lement procedures. The apparent difference between the specifica ons of electricity
futures and those of forwards is the quan ty of power to be delivered. The delivery quan ty specified in
electricity futures contracts is o en significantly smaller than that in forward contracts.
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Electricity futures are exclusively traded on the organized exchanges and Electricity forwards are usually
traded over the counter. As a result, the electricity futures prices are more transparent than forward prices
being reflec ve of higher market consensus. Most electricity futures contracts are se led by financial
payments rather than physical delivery resul ng in lowering of the transac on costs. In addi on, credit risks
and monitoring costs in trading futures are much lower than those in trading forwards since exchanges
implement strict margin requirements to ensure the financial performance of all trading par es. The fact
that the gains and losses of Electricity Futures are paid out daily, as opposed to forward contract being
cumulated and paid out in a lump sum at maturity me thus reduces the credit risks. Overall, as compared
to Electricity Forwards, the advantages of Electricity Futures lie in market consensus, price transparency,
trading liquidity, and reduced transac on and monitoring costs though there are limita ons of various basis
risks associated with the rigidity in futures specifica on and the limited transac on quan es specified in
the contracts.
Electricity Swap
Electricity Swaps are financial contracts that enable their holders to pay a fixed price for underlying
electricity, regardless of the floa ng electricity price, or vice versa, over the contracted me. They are
typically established for a fixed quan ty of power referenced to a variable spot price at either a generator’s
or a consumer’s loca on. Electricity Swaps are widely used in providing short-to-medium term price
certainty for up to a couple of years. Similar to financial swaps, Electricity Swap can be considered as a strip
of electricity forwards with mul ple se lement dates and iden cal forward prices for each se lement.
Another variant of Electricity Swap is Electricity Loca onal Basis Swaps wherein a holder of an electricity
swap agrees to either pay or receive the difference between a specified futures contract price and another
loca onal spot price of interest for a fixed constant cash flow at the me of the transac on. These swaps are
used to lock-in a fixed price at a geographic loca on that is different from the delivery point of a futures
contract and hence are effec ve financial instruments for hedging the risk-based on the price difference
between power prices at two different physical loca ons.
Lessons from Deriva ve Mishaps
Following are some of the important lessons can be learnt from Deriva ve Mishaps.
1. Don’t buy any deriva ve product that you don’t understand
This is an important lesson for non-financial corpora on not to undertake a trade or deriva ve product that
they do not understand or has no financial background.
The best way to avoid such loss (say, due to mis-guidance) is to value the instrument in house because
outside persons can misguide the corpora on about the poten al dangers.
2. Due diligence before making Treasury Department as a Profit Centre
Though the main objec ve of establishing a Treasury Department is to reduce financing costs and manage
risk op mally. But it has been seen that though ini ally Treasury Department made limited profits from
treasury ac vi es later started taking more risks in an cipa on of higher profit. The best way to avoid this
situa on is to avoid linking the treasurer’s salary with the profit he made for the organiza on.
3. Specify the Risk Limits
Proper monitoring is a prerequisite for the trader to ensure that he/she should switch from arbitrageur to
speculator. Baring Bank’s case is a leading example for the bankruptcy of same bank as employees trading
posi ons remained unmonitored and unques onable by the management.
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The best way to avoid the situa on of overtrading is to limit the sizes posi ons that can be taken by a trader,
and it should be accurately reported from risk perspec ve. The management should ensure that the limits
specified should be strictly obeyed and even daily reports of various posi ons taken by each trader (though
a star performer) should be obtained and scru nized before the things goes out of control.
To ensure that these three offices work independently it is essen al that role and func ons of each office
should be clearly defined and followed.
To avoid this situa on, it is essen al that clear cut risk limits should be defined. Further before entering into
any trading strategy proper risk analysis should be carried out and if proposed strategy is crossing the limits
of Risk Appe te of the company it should be avoided.
To counter this type of unpredictable situa on it is necessary that VAR analysis should always be followed by
Scenario Analysis because as tendency a human being normally can an cipate two to three scenarios. It will
be be er to refer the data of at least 10 to 20 years to an cipate a Black Swan event.
Further even Simula on Test can be applied to analyze the results in various possible situa ons.
SWIFT uses common language for financial transac ons and uses a centralized data processing system. It is
important to note that SWIFT is only a standardized communica on system and not a transac on
se lement system.
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The SWIFT connects various financial ins tu ons in more than 200 countries. The SWIFT plays an important
role in Foreign Exchange dealings because of the following reasons:
Ÿ In addi on to valida on statements and documenta on it is a form of quick se lement as messaging
takes place within seconds.
Ÿ Because of security and reliability helps to reduce Opera onal Risk.
Ÿ Since it enables its customers to standardise transac on it brings opera onal efficiencies and reduced costs.
Ÿ It also ensures full backup and recovery system.
Ÿ Acts as a catalyst that brings financial agencies to work together in a collabora ve manner for mutual interest.
The Payment Gateway func ons in essence as an “encrypted” channel, which securely passes transac on
details from the buyer’s Personal Computer (PC)/ Mobile Phone or Tablet to banks for authoriza on and
approval. It involves the transfer of data in an encrypted manner from entry point to the Point of Sale (POS)/
and a er approval from banker of Debit/ Credit Cards it completes the transac on/ order along with
verifica on vide a reference number
Despite so many benefits there are some challenges that are hampering the growth of payment gateways such as:
(a) Payments may not happen at all simply because the customer may not have an account with the banks
suppor ng the payment gateway.
(b) Some payment gateways have only limited number of banks.
(c) There are problems of reliability, delivery, and limited payment avenues and general lack of trust
among customers, and doubts about the service provider.
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Similar to domes c payment gateways there are Interna onal Payment Gateways that offers global/mul -
currency payments, as well as an interface with mul ple languages. Chances of customer conversion
increases when a prospec ve customer sees the price of a product or service in their currency. Interna onal
Payment Gateways let merchants offer their interna onal customers the ability to pay in the currency they
know best – their own. These Payment gateways not only accelerate but also make interna onal payments
and transac ons easy. Customers can easily benchmark prices if it is quoted in their own currency. If
anybody travels to the US or China or the UK or any other country, any expenditure is preceded by a
conversion to the Indian rupee.
Advantages of FCCBs
(i) flexibility to convert the bond into equity at a price or redeem the bond at the end of a specified period
(ii) delayed dilu on of equity allows company to avoid any current dilu on in EPS that a further
issuance of equity would cause.
(iii) easily marketable as investors enjoys op on of conversion into equity if resul ng to capital
apprecia on. Further investor is assured of a minimum fixed interest earnings.
An ADR is generally created by the deposit of the securi es of a Non-United States company with a
custodian bank in the country of incorpora on of the issuing company. The custodian bank informs
the depository in the United States that the ADRs can be issued. ADRs are United States dollar denominated
and are traded in the same way as are the securi es of United States companies. The ADR holder is en tled
to the same rights and advantages as owners of the underlying securi es in the home country
(3) Global Depository Receipts (GDRs) - The Depository Receipts issued outside USA are called as GDR’s.
These are o en listed on Luxemberg stock exchange.
Thus, these centers provide flexibility in currency trading, insurance, banking and other financial services.
This flexible regime a racts foreign investors which is of poten al benefit not only to the stakeholders but
as well as for the country hos ng IFC itself.
Benefits of IFC
There are numberless direct and indirect benefits of se ng up IFC but some major benefits emana ng from
establishing IFC are as follows:
(i) Opportunity for qualified professionals working outside India come here and prac ce their
profession.
(ii) A pla orm for qualified and talented professionals to pursue global opportuni es without leaving
their homeland.
(iii) Stops Brain Drain from India.
(iv) Bringing back those financial services transac ons presently carried out abroad by overseas financial
ins tu ons/en es or branches or subsidiaries of Indian Financial Market.
(v) Trading of complicated financial deriva ve can be started from India.
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Since foreign investors normally remain hesitant to get registered in India, GIFT city provides them a
separate jurisdic on where it is easy to do business because of relaxed tax and other laws.
Accordingly, Government of India opera onalized Interna onal Financial Services Centre (IFSC) at GIFT
Mul Services SEZ in April 2015. The Union Budget 2016 provided compe ve tax regime for the IFSC at GIFT SEZ.
With the objec ve of achieving sustainable growth and achieving above cited objec ve India has
established its first Interna onal Exchange – India INX, a wholly owned subsidiary of Bombay Stock
Exchange on 9/1/2017. The India INX has stated trading in Index, currency, commodity and equity
deriva ves.
On 5th June, 2017, Na onal Stock Exchange (NSE) the compe tor of Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) also
launched its trading at GIFT. Ini ally, it started trading in deriva ve products in equity, currency, interest rate
futures and commodi es.
GIFT IFSC provides very compe ve cost of opera ons with very compe ve tax regime, single window
clearance; relax company law provisions, interna onal arbitra on centre with overa ll facilita on of doing
business. GIFT IFSC is now moving toward unified regulatory mechanism.
GIFT City is a new Financial & Technology Gateway of India for the World. To be interna onalized, exchange
controls cannot apply. So, FEMA is not applicable at GIFT city.
Hence, with all these development more and more financial ins tu ons are se ng business units in GIFT as
they will pay reduced taxes as valid for special economic zones and can easily offer foreign currency loans to
Indian Companies abroad and foreign firm.
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Sovereign Funds
A Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF) is a state-owned investment fund comprised of money generated by the
government. This money generally derived by Government from country's own surplus reserves. SWFs
provide a benefit for a country's economy and its ci zens. Since it is created by the Government the legal
basis on which these are created varies from Government to Government. The legal basis for a sovereign
wealth fund can be Cons tu ve Law, Fiscal Law, Cons tu on, Company Law or any Other Laws and
Regula ons.
Generally, SWFs are created for a targeted purpose though some countries have created SWFs like venture
capital for the private sector. Some of the common objec ves of a sovereign wealth fund are as follows: -
Ÿ Protec on & Stabiliza on of the budget and economy from excess vola lity in revenues/exports
Ÿ Diversify from non-renewable commodity exports
Ÿ Earn be er returns than returns on foreign exchange reserves
Ÿ Assist monetary authori es dissipate unwanted liquidity
Ÿ Increase savings for future genera ons
Ÿ Fund social and economic development
Ÿ Ensuring Sustainable long term capital growth for target countries
Ÿ Poli cal strategy
Like any other type of investment funds, SWFs can have their own objec ves, risk tolerances, terms, and
liquidity concerns etc. While some funds prefer returns over liquidity and some may prefer viceversa.
Depending on the assets and objec ves, sovereign wealth funds’ risk management can range from very
conserva ve to a high tolerance for risk. Tradi onal classifica ons of SWFs include:
ü Stabiliza on funds
ü Savings or future genera on funds
ü Public benefit pension reserve funds
ü Reserve investment funds
ü Strategic Development Sovereign Wealth Funds (SDSWF)
A nega ve gap indicates that banks have more RSLs than RSAs. The Gap is used as a measure of interest
rate sensi vity.
Posi ve or Nega ve Gap is mul plied by the assumed interest rate changes to derive the Earnings at Risk
(EaR).
The periodic gap analysis indicates the interest rate risk exposure of banks over dis nct maturi es and
suggests magnitude of por olio changes necessary to alter the risk profile.
Problems with Gap Report:
(i) The Gap report quan fies only the me difference between re-pricing dates of assets and
liabili es but fails to measure the impactof basis and embedded op on risks.
(ii) The Gap report also fails to measure the en re impact of a change in interest rate (Gap report
assumes that all assets and liabili es are matured or re-priced simultaneously) within a given
me-band and effect of changes in interest rates on the economic or market value of assets,
liabili es and off-balance sheet posi on.
(iii) It also does not take into account any differences in the ming of payments that might occur as a
result of changes in interest rate environment.
(iv) Further, the assump on of parallel shi in yield curves seldom happen in the financial market.
(v) The Gap report also fails to capture variability in non-interest revenue and expenses, a poten ally
important source of risk to current income.
2. Basis Risk: The risk that the interest rate of different assets, liabili es and off-balance sheet items may
change in different magnitude is termed as basis risk. For example while assets may be benchmarked to
Fixed Rate of Interest, liabili es may be benchmarked to floa ng rate of interest.
3. Embedded Op on Risk: Significant changes in market interest rates encourage prepayment of cash
credit/demand loans/term loans and exercise of call/put op ons on bonds/debentures and/or
premature withdrawal of term deposits before their stated maturi es. The faster and higher the
magnitude of changes in interest rate, the greater will be the embedded op on risk to the banks' NII.
Banks should endeavour to s pulate appropriate penal es based on opportunity costs.
4. Yield Curve Risk: (non-parallel shi in yield curve) In case the banks use two different instruments
maturing at different me horizon for pricing their assets and liabili es, any non-parallel movements in
yield curves would affect the NII.
5. Price Risk: (Parallel shi in yield curve) In the financial market, bond prices and yields are inversely
related. Price risk occurs when assets are sold before their stated maturi es.
Banks which have an ac ve Bond trading book should, therefore, formulate policies to limit the por olio
size, holding period, dura on, defeasance period, stop loss limits, marking to market, etc.
6. Reinvestment Risk: Uncertainty with regard to interest rate at which the future cash flows could be
reinvested is called reinvestment risk.
7. Net Interest Posi on Risk: Where banks have more earning assets than paying liabili es, interest rate
risk arises when the market interest rates adjust downwards. Thus, banks with posi ve net interest
posi ons will experience a reduc on in NII as the market interest rate declines and increases when
interest rate rises.
Thus, large float is a natural hedge against the varia ons in interest rates.
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Benchmark Rates
Benchmark interest is an interest rate that forms the basis for determina on of other interest rates. These
rates are also known as ‘Reference Rates’. These rates are very important in any economy and banking
system and especially in financial transac ons as they not only form the basis of financial contracts such as
bank overdra s, loans, mortgages but are also used in other complex financial transac ons.
The benchmark rates are widely used in deriva ve transac ons such as Forward, Future, Op on Contract
and especially Swap Contracts. The Benchmark rate also forms the basis for floa ng rate loans. Generally
based on rela ve credit ra ng of the concerned en es basis points (BPs) are added over and above the
benchmark rate for any financial transac on loan or issuance of Bonds etc.
Now ques on arises who decides these Benchmark rates, the answer is that the rates are decided by an
independent body a er considering various factors.
In financial transac ons both domes c as well as interna onal benchmark rates are used.
One of the most popular benchmark rates in interna onal financial market was LIBOR (London Interbank
Offered Rate). However, a er news of manipula ons by some banks in 2012, it was finally decided in 2017
that it would cease to exist. Accordingly, with the beginning of 1st January 2022, to enter into contracts
companies are required to use Alterna ve Reference Rates (ARRs).
ARRs are different from LIBOR because of the following reasons :-
(i) While ARRs are based on actual overnight transac ons either secured or unsecured, LIBOR is
unsecured without any collateral and mainly relies on the judgment of the panel banks to a great extent.
(ii) ARRs are also considered to be near risk free rates with no term premium.
Now ques on arises which ARR shall be used for benchmarks rate i.e., what is the alterna ve to LIBOR. The
answer lies in the fact that contrary to single LIBOR for different currencies, the ARRs shall have different
names, regulator, and nature. In addi on to that, these will be referred on the basis of geographical referred
loca ons of different currencies. :
The different ARRs are as follows:
Region Rate Regulator Nature
USA Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) Federal Reserve Bank of New York Secured
UK Sterling Overnight Index Average (SONIA) Bank of England Unsecured
Europe Euro-Short-Term Rate (€STER) European Central Bank Unsecured
Japan Tokyo Overnight Average Rate (TONAR) Bank of Japan Unsecured
Switzerland Swiss Average Rate Overnight (SARON) SIX (Swiss Stock Exchange) Secured
In India though there are many benchmark interest rates such as Repo Rate, Prime Lending Rate, MCLR
(Marginal Cost of Lending Rate) etc. but most of the common benchmark rates are MIBOR (Mumbai
Interbank Offered Rate) and MIBID (Mumbai Interbank Bid Rate). While MIBOR is that interest rate at which
bank will charge from borrower, the MIBID is that rate at which bank would like to borrow from other bank.
These two rates are used in majority of deriva ve deals such as Interest Rate Swaps, Forward rate
Agreement, Floa ng Rate Debentures etc.
Further it is also important to note that not only benchmark rates are used in various types of financial
transac ons as discussed above but they also form the basis for valua on of various financial instruments
especially the Bonds and Debentures.
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Best Faculty in India for SFM & SCMPE (COST) 335
THEORY
x -x
Table 1: Natural logs, e and e Values
-x -x
X In e e X In e e
0.01 -4.60517 1.01005 0.99005 0.29 -1.23787 1.33643 0.74826
0.02 -3.91202 1.02020 0.98020 0.30 -1.20397 1.34986 0.74082
0.03 -3.50666 1.03045 0.97045 0.31 -1.17118 1.36343 0.73345
0.04 -3.21888 1.04081 0.96079 0.32 -1.13943 1.37713 0.72615
0.05 -2.99573 1.05127 0.95123 0.33 -1.10866 1.39097 0.71892
0.06 -2.81341 1.06184 0.9416 0.34 -1.07881 1.40495 0.71177
0.07 -2.65926 1.07251 0.93239 0.35 -1.04982 1.41907 0.70469
0.08 -2.52573 1.08329 0.92312 0.36 -1.02165 1.43333 0.69768
0.09 -2.40795 1.09417 0.91303 0.37 -0.99425 1.44773 0.69073
0.10 -2.30259 1.10517 0.90484 0.38 -0.96758 1.46228 0.68386
0.11 -2.20728 1.11628 0.89583 0.39 -0.94161 1.47698 0.67706
0.12 -2.12026 1.12750 0.88692 0.40 -0.91629 1.49182 0.67032
0.13 -2.04022 1.13883 0.87810 0.41 -0.89160 1.50682 0.66365
0.14 -1.9661 1.15027 0.86936 0.42 -0.86750 1.52196 0.65705
0.15 -1.89712 1.16183 0.86071 0.43 -0.84397 1.53726 0.65051
0.16 -1.83258 1.17351 0.85214 0.44 -0.82098 1.55271 0.64404
0.17 -1.77196 1.18530 0.84366 0.45 -0.79851 1.56831 0.63763
0.18 -1.71480 1.19722 0.83527 0.46 -0.77653 1.58407 0.63128
0.19 -1.66073 1.20925 0.82696 0.47 -0.75502 1.59999 0.62500
0.20 -1.60944 1.22140 0.81873 0.48 -0.73397 1.61607 0.61878
0.21 -1.56065 1.23368 0.81058 0.49 -0.71335 1.63232 0.61263
0.22 -1.15143 1.24608 0.80252 0.50 -0.69315 1.64872 0.60653
0.23 -1.46968 1.25860 0.79453 0.51 -0.67334 1.66529 0.60050
0.24 -1.42712 1.27125 0.78663 0.52 -0.65393 1.68203 0.59452
0.25 -1.38629 1.28403 0.77880 0.53 -0.63448 1.69893 0.58861
0.26 -1.34707 1.29693 0.77105 0.54 -0.61619 1.71601 0.58275
0.27 -1.30933 1.30996 0.76338 0.55 -0.59784 1.73325 0.57695
0.28 -1.27297 1.32313 0.75578 0.56 -0.57982 1.75067 0.57121
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Best Faculty in India for SFM & SCMPE (COST) 336
THEORY
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Best Faculty in India for SFM & SCMPE (COST) 337
Table 2: The values in this Table give areas between mean µ and z
THEORY
z 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09
0.0 .0000 .0040 .0080 .0120 .0160 .0199 .0239 .0279 .0319 .0359
0.1 .0398 .0438 .0478 .0517 .0557 .0596 .0636 .0675 .0714 .0753
0.2 .0793 .0832 .0871 .0910 .0948 .0987 .1026 .1064 .1103 .1141
0.3 .1179 .1217 .1255 .1293 .1331 .1368 .1406 .1443 .1480 .1517
0.4 .1554 .1591 .1628 .1664 .1700 .1736 .1772 .1808 .1844 .1879
0.5 .1915 .1950 .1985 .2019 .2054 .2088 .2123 .2157 .2190 .2224
0.6 .2257 .2291 .2324 .2357 .2389 .2422 .2454 .2486 .2517 .2549
0.7 .2580 .2611 .2642 .2673 .2703 .2734 .2764 .2794 .2823 .2852
0.8 .2881 .2910 .2939 .2967 .2995 .3023 .3051 .3078 .3106 .3133
0.9 .3159 .3186 .3212 .3238 .3264 .3289 .3315 .3340 .3365 .3389
1.0 .3413 .3438 .3461 .3485 .3508 .3531 .3554 .3577 .3599 .3621
1.1 .3643 .3665 .3686 .3708 .3729 .3749 .3770 .3790 .3810 .3830
1.2 .3849 .3869 .3888 .3907 .3925 .3944 .3962 .3980 .3997 .4015
1.3 .4032 .4049 .4066 4082 .4099 .4115 .4131 .4147 .4162 .4177
1.4 .4192 .4207 .4222 .4236 .4251 .4265 .4265 .4292 .4306 .4319
1.5 .4332 .4345 .4357 .4370 .4382 .4394 .4406 .4418 .4429 .4441
1.6 .4452 .4463 .4474 .4484 .4495 .4505 .4515 .4525 .4535 .4545
1.7 .4554 .4564 .4573 .4582 .4591 .4599 .4608 .4616 .4625 .4633
1.8 .4641 .4649 .4656 .4664 .4671 .4678 .4686 .4693 .4699 .4706
1.9 .4713 .4719 .4726 .4732 .4738 .4744 .4750 .4756 .4761 .4767
2.0 .4772 .4778 .4783 .4788 .4793 .4798 .4803 .4808 .4812 .4817
2.1 .4821 .4826 .4830 .4834 .4838 .4842 .4846 .4850 .4854 .4857
2.2 .4861 .4864 .4868 .4871 .4875 .4878 .4881 .4884 .4887 .4890
2.3 .4893 .4896 .4898 .4901 .4904 .4906 .4909 .4911 .4913 .4916
2.4 .4918 .4920 .4922 .4925 .4927 .4929 .4931 .4932 .4934 .4936
2.5 .4938 .4940 .4941 .4943 .4945 .4946 .4948 .4949 .4951 .4952
2.6 .4953 .4955 .4956 .4957 .4958 .4960 .4961 .4962 .4963 .4964
2.7 .4965 .4966 .4967 .4968 .4969 .4970 .4971 .4972 .4973 .4974
2.8 .4974 .4975 .4976 .4977 .4977 .4978 .4979 .4979 .4980 .4981
2.9 .4981 .4982 .4982 .4983 .4984 .4984 .4985 .4985 .4986 .4986
3.0 .4987 .4987 .4987 .4988 .4988 .4989 .4989 .4989 .4990 .4990
3.1 .4990 .4491 .4991 .4991 .4992 .4992 .4992 .4992 .4993 .4993
3.2 .4993 .4993 .4994 .4994 .4994 .4994 .4994 .4995 .4995 .4995
3.3 .4995 .4995 .4995 .4996 .4996 .4996 .4996 .4996 .4996 .4997
3.4 .4997 .4997 .4997 .4997 .4997 .4997 .4997 .4997 .4997 .4998
3.5 .4998 .4998 .4998 .4998 .4998 .4998 .4998 .4998 .4998 .4998
3.6 .4998 .4998 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999
3.7 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999
3.8 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999 .4999
3.9 .5000 .5000 .5000 .5000 .5000 .5000 .5000 .5000 .5000 .5000
CA, CFA (USA), CPA (USA) PRAVEEN KHATOD - Best Faculty in India for SFM & SCMPE (COST)