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Introduction To Statistics

Norma distribution and Probability Density Function.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
11 views14 pages

Introduction To Statistics

Norma distribution and Probability Density Function.

Uploaded by

leezama25
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Sec. 5.1 to 5.

3
Discrete rv’s Continuous rv’s
Finite/countable no. Infinite no. of outcomes
of outcomes. between any 2 values.
Can list the outcomes with Can’t list all the values.
associated probabilities.

𝑷 𝑿=𝒙 =𝟎
Equals a
𝑃 𝑋=𝑥 Can only look at:
single value
𝑃 𝑎<𝑋<𝑏
Equals a range
𝑃 𝑎≤𝑋≤𝑏
of values =𝑃 𝑎≤𝑋≤𝑏
Experiment: Number n balls from 1 to n and put them into a bag. Draw a
ball out at random. What is the prob of drawing the ball numbered 3?

Let 𝑋 = the value on the ball

n = 10: 𝑃 𝑋 = 3 = 1ൗ10 = 0.1


As n increases
the probability
n = 100: 𝑃 𝑋 = 3 = 1ൗ100 = 0.01 that 𝑋 equals a
single value
decreases
n = 1000: 𝑃 𝑋 = 3 = 1ൗ1000 = 0.001
Probability Density Function Describes the clustering
pattern of the values of
𝑓 𝑥 cont. rv X

Dips Peaks
Low High clustering
clustering

𝒙
𝑎 𝑏
Area under curve Total area under
𝑃 𝑎<𝑋<𝑏 =
between 𝑎 and 𝑏 the curve 𝑓(𝑥) = 1
Sec 5.2 – Normal distribution

PDF:
Notation:
1 −(𝑥 − 𝜇)2
𝑓 𝑥 = 𝑒𝑥𝑝 2
2𝜋𝜎 2 2𝜎 𝑿~𝑵 𝝁 ; 𝝈𝟐

𝑓𝑜𝑟 −∞<𝑥 <∞


Mean Variance
Properties
Shape:
Bell shaped
Symmetric about 𝜇

24 𝜇 32
28
Position: 𝝁 Height: 𝝈𝟐

When 𝜇 ↑ the curve shifts right When 𝜎 2 ↑ the curve flattens

When 𝜇 ↓ the curve shifts left When 𝜎 2 ↓ the curve gets taller
The 2 histograms are constructed using the same number of data points

8 to 27 12 to 23

A B
Example Consider the curves below of 4 different normal distributions:

Which curves
B is the most
peaked correspond to the
Smallest 𝜎 2 following values of 𝜎 2 ?
D is flattest
Largest 𝜎 2 𝜎 2 = 0.2 B
𝜎 2 = 0.5 A
𝜎 2 = 1.0 C
𝜎 2 = 5.0 D
Example Consider the curves below of 4 different normal distributions:

The peak of curve A lies to Curves B, C and D are


the left of that of B, C and D symmetric around the
same point

𝝁𝑨 < 𝝁𝑩 = 𝝁𝑪 = 𝝁𝑫
𝝁𝑩 = 𝝁𝑪 = 𝝁𝑫
How to find
probabilities for
𝑋~𝑁 𝜇; 𝜎 2

Method 1: Method 2:

Use the pdf to Microsoft Excel


find the area gives cumulative
Method 3: probabilities
under the
curve.
“Standardize” X
then use Z tables
2
How to standardize : 𝑋~𝑁 𝜇 ; 𝜎

The random Subtract


variable it’s mean

𝑿−𝝁
𝝈 Standard
Normal R.V.
Divide by it’s
standard
deviation 𝒁~𝑵 𝟎 ; 𝟏
Properties of 𝒁~𝑵 𝟎 ; 𝟏
𝑃 𝑍 > 0 = 0.5

𝑃 𝑍 < 0 = 0.5

Half the values are negative Half the values are positive
Due to symmetry: 𝑷 𝒁 > 𝒛 = 𝑷 𝒁 < −𝒛

𝑃 𝑍 < −1.96 = 0.025 𝑃 𝑍 > 1.96 = 0.025

0
−1.96 1.96
𝒁~𝑵 𝟎 ; 𝟏
±99.7% within 3 std dev of 𝜇
±95% within 2 std dev of 𝜇
±68% within 1 std dev of 𝜇

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