Aps QB Final
Aps QB Final
QUESTION BANK
Subject code : JMA1405 Subject Name : Applied Probability & Statistics
Year / Semester : II / 4 Regulation : 2021
Branch : B.E/B.Tech. AI&ML, AI&DS
CS & CS&BS
Course Objective – Cob1: To provide basic concepts of discrete, continuous random variables and
standard distributions.
Course Outcome – CO1: To understand random variables and use standard distributions in solving
real time problems.
𝑡 −1
= [1 − 3]
𝑡 𝑡 2 𝑡 𝑟
=1+ + [3] + ⋯ … … + [3] + ⋯.
3
𝑡 𝑡 2 𝑡 𝑟 𝑟!
𝑀𝑋 (𝑡) = 1 + + [3] + ⋯ … … + . + ⋯.
3 𝑟! 3𝑟
𝑡𝑟 𝑟!
Coefficient of in above expression is
𝑟! 3𝑟
𝑟!
⇒ 𝐸[𝑋 𝑟 ] = 3𝑟
1] 1! 1
Putting 𝑟 = 1; 𝐸[𝑋 = 31 = 3
2! 2
Putting 𝑟 = 2; 𝐸[𝑋 2 ] = 32 = 9
2 1 2 1
𝑉[𝑋] = 𝐸[𝑋 2 ] − {𝐸[𝑋]}2 = −( ) =
9 3 9
1
⇒ 𝜎2 = 9 [ Since standard deviation is positive square root of variance]
1
⇒𝜎=
3
Define exponential random variable and write its memory less property.
A continuous random variable X is said to follow exponential
distribution, if its probability density function is,
𝑓(𝑥) = 𝜆𝑒 −𝜆𝑥 ; 𝑥 ≥ 0
8. Memory less property K1
If X is exponentially distributed then 𝑃( 𝑋 > 𝑠 + 𝑡 ⁄𝑋 > 𝑠) = 𝑃(𝑋 >
𝑡)
for any 𝑠, 𝑡 > 0.
If 𝑋 is a normal random variable with mean 3 and variance 4, find 𝑃[𝑋 > −1].
Solution:
Given : Mean = 𝜇 = 3
Variance = 𝜎 2 = 4 ⇒ 𝜎 = 2
𝑋−𝜇 𝑋−3
Let 𝑍 = 𝜎 = 2
𝑋−𝜇 −1−𝜇
10. 𝑃(𝑋 > −1) = 𝑃( > ) K2
𝜎 𝜎
−1−3
= 𝑃( 𝑍 > 2 )
= 𝑃(𝑍 > −2 )
= 0.5 + 𝑃(0 < 𝑍 < 2)
= 0.4 + 0.4772 (Table value)
= 0.9772
Part B
𝑥 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
𝑃(𝑥) 𝑎 3𝑎 5𝑎 7𝑎 9𝑎 11𝑎 13𝑎 15𝑎 17𝑎
Also find the smallest value of 𝑥 such that 𝑃[𝑋 ≤ 𝑥] > 0.5 and the cumulative
distribution function of 𝑋.
𝑥 −2 −1 0 1 2 3
1. 𝑃(𝑥) 1/10 𝑘 2/10 2𝑘 3/10 3𝑘 K4
Also find the smallest value of 𝑥 such that 𝑃[𝑋 ≤ 𝑥] ≥ 0.36 and the cumulative
distribution function of 𝑋.
(iii) Let 𝑋 be a random variable such that 𝑃[𝑋 = −2] = 𝑃[𝑋 = −1] = 𝑃[𝑋 =
1] = 𝑃[𝑋 = 2] & 𝑃[𝑋 < 0] = 𝑃[𝑋 = 0] = 𝑃[𝑋 > 0] . Determine probability
function and distribution function of 𝑋
(i) The mileage 𝑋 in thousands of miles of a particular type of car type is a random
1 −𝑥
variable with probability function 𝑓(𝑥) = 20 𝑒 ⁄20 , 𝑥 ≥ 0. Find probability that
the tyre will have mileage (a) at most 10000 miles (b) anywhere between 16000 to
24000 miles (c) at least 30000 miles.
(ii) The quantity of bread in hundreds of kilograms that a bakery is able to sell in a
day is a random variable with density function 𝑓(𝑥) =
𝐴𝑥, 0≤𝑥<5
{𝐴(10 − 𝑥), 5 ≤ 𝑥 < 10
2. 0, 𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑤𝑖𝑠𝑒 K4
Find (a) A (b) probability that in a day sales is more than 500 kgs (c) probability
that in a day sales is less than 500 kgs (d) probability that in a day sales is between
250 and 750 kgs.
𝑥 −1 0 1 2
𝑃(𝑥) 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.2
2 ],
Find (a) 𝐸[𝑋] (b) 𝐸[𝑋 (c) 𝑉[𝑋] (d) 𝐸[2𝑋 + 1] (e) 𝑉[2𝑋 + 1]
3. (ii) A continuous random variable 𝑋 is distributed over [0,1] with density function K4
𝑎𝑥 2 + 𝑏𝑥 where 𝑎, 𝑏 are constants. Find 𝑎, 𝑏 if mean of 𝑋 is 0.5.
1
A random variable 𝑋 has probability function 𝑃[𝑋 = 𝑥] = 2𝑥 , 𝑥 = 1,2,3,4, ….
4. K4
Find its MGF and hence mean, variance.
(i) Define binomial random variable. Find moment generating function and hence
mean and variance.
(ii) A man takes a step forward with probability 0.4 and a step backward with
probability 0.6. Find the probability that at the end of 11 steps he is one step away
from the starting point.
5. (iii) Out of 800 families with 4 children each, how many families would be expected K4
to have (a) 2 boys, 2 girls (b) at least 1 boy (c) at most 2 girls (d) children of both
gender.
(iv) Assume that half the population in a locality are vegetarians. If 100
investigators take 10 individuals to see whether they are vegetarians, how many
investigators are expected to report 3 or less were vegetarians.
(i) Define Poisson random variable. Find moment generating function and hence
mean and variance
(ii) If 𝑋 is a Poisson random variable such that 𝑃[𝑋 = 2] = 9𝑃[𝑋 = 4] + 90𝑃[𝑋 =
6] find its mean.
(iv) It is known from past experiences that in a certain factory, there are on an
average 4 industrial accidents in a year. Find the probability that in a given year,
there will be (a) less than 3 accidents (b) no accidents (c) more than half the average
number of accidents.
(i) Define uniform distribution. Find moment generating function, 𝑟 𝑡ℎ moment
about origin and hence find mean, variance.
7. (ii) If X is uniformly distributed over ( 0,10), find the probability that (a) 𝑃(𝑋 <
2),
(b) 𝑃(𝑋 > 8) (c) 𝑃(3 < 𝑋 < 9).
(i) Define exponential random variable. Find moment generating function and
hence mean and variance.
(ii) State and prove memoryless property of exponential random variable.
(iii) The amount of time that a watch will run without having to be reset is a random
variable having an exponential distribution with mean 120 days. Find the
probability that such a watch will (a) have to be reset in less than 24 days (b) not
have to be reset in at least 180 days
8. (iv) The length of a shower on a tropical island during rainy season has an K4
exponential distribution with parameter 2, time being measured in minutes. What
is the probability that a shower will last more than 3 minutes? If a shower has
already lasted for 2 minutes what is the probability that it will last for at least one
more minute?
(iv) Assume that the mean height of soldiers is 68.22 inches with standard deviation
of 10.8 inches. How many soldiers in a regiment of 1000, would you expect to be
over 6 feet tall, assuming normal distribution.
Course Objective – Cob2: To introduce two dimensional random variables, correlation and
regression.
Course Outcome – CO2: To use joint density functions to perform correlation and regression analysis.
X 0 1 2
Y
1 3k 5k 7k
5. K2
2 6k 8k 10k
3 9k 11k 13k
∑ ∑
W.K.T 𝑖 𝑗 𝑃(𝑥𝑖 , 𝑦𝑗 ) = 1
3𝑘 + 5𝑘 + 7𝑘 + 6𝑘 + 8𝑘 + 10𝑘 + 9𝑘 + 11𝑘 + 13𝑘 = 1
72𝑘 = 1
1
𝑘=
72
Part B
𝑌 1 2 3 4 5 6
𝑋
0 0 0 1/32 2/32 2/32 3/32
1 1/16 1/16 1/8 1/8 1/8 1/8
2 1/32 1/32 1/64 1/64 0 2/64
(i) Find correlation coefficient for (𝑋, 𝑌) whose joint distribution is as given
below.
𝑋
−1 1
𝑌
0 1/8 3/8
1 2/8 2/8
4. (ii) The following table gives the joint distribution of a two-dimensional K4
random variable(𝑋, 𝑌). Find 𝐸[𝑋], 𝐸[𝑌]& 𝐸[𝑋𝑌]. Are 𝑋 & 𝑌 correlated, if so
find correlation coefficient.
𝑋
0 1 2 3
𝑌
2 1/8 1/8 1/8 1/8
3 1/16 1/8 0 1/16
4 1/16 0 1/8 1/16
(i) The joint probability density function of a two-dimensional random
𝑥 + 𝑦, 0 < 𝑥, 𝑦 < 1
variable (𝑋, 𝑌) is given by 𝑓(𝑥, 𝑦) = { . Find the
0, 𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑤𝑖𝑠𝑒
correlation coefficient between 𝑋 & 𝑌
5.
(ii) If the joint density function of a two-dimensional random variable(𝑋, 𝑌) is
2 , 0<𝑥<𝑦<1
given by 𝑓(𝑥, 𝑦) = { , find the correlation coefficient
0, 𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑤𝑖𝑠𝑒
between 𝑋 & 𝑌
(i) Given the joint probability density function of a two-dimensional random
variable(𝑋, 𝑌) to be 𝑓(𝑥, 𝑦) = 𝑥𝑒 −𝑥(𝑦+1) , 𝑥 ≥ 0, 𝑦 ≥ 0, find the regression
curve of 𝑌 on 𝑋.
6. (ii) The joint probability density function of a two-dimensional random K4
𝑥+𝑦
variable(𝑋, 𝑌) is 𝑓(𝑥, 𝑦) = 3 , 0 < 𝑥 < 1, 0 < 𝑦 < 2. Find the regression
equations of 𝑋 on 𝑌 and 𝑌 on 𝑋.
Course Objective – Cob3: To acquaint students with statistical testing of hypothesis and its
applications.
Course Outcome – CO3: To apply hypothesis testing for making statistical inferences in large and
small sample real life problems
Bloom’s Taxonomy Level: K1, K2, K3, K4
Part A
Part B
(i) Two independent samples of 8 and 7 items respectively had the following values.
Sample 1 9 11 13 11 15 9 12 14
Sample 2 10 12 10 14 9 8 10 K4
7. Do the population variances differ significantly at 5% level of significance?
(ii) Two random samples from two populations gave the following observations.
Sample I 20 16 26 27 23 22 18 24 25 19
Sample II 17 23 32 25 22 24 28 18 31 33 20 27
Test whether the two populations have the same variance at 1% level of
significance.
(i) The following data gives the number of accidents that occur in a junction during
the working days of a week. Test whether the accidents are uniformly distributed
over the week.
(ii) Theory predicts that the proportion of rice cultivation in 4 zones A, B, C and D
is 9:3:3:1. In an experiment, out of 1600 tons of rice, 882, 313, 287 and 118 tons
were from the 4 zones respectively. Does the experiment support theory?
(i) A total number of 3759 individuals were interviewed in a public opinion survey
on the proposal of conduction centre and state elections simultaneously. Of them,
1872 were men and the rest were women. 2257 individuals were in favour of the
proposal, 917 were opposed to it. 243 men were undecided and 442 women were
opposed to the proposal. Is there any association between gender and opinion?
(ii) Out of 1660 candidates who appeared for a competitive examination, 422 were
successful. Out of these 256 attended coaching classes and 150 of them came out
successful. Examine whether coaching and success are associated.
9. K4
(iii) A survey of music listener’s preference under various age groups is given
below. Is music preference influenced by age?
Age group
19 – 25 26 – 35 Above 36
Music preference Carnatic music 80 60 90
Film music 210 325 44
Folk music 16 45 135
The following data shows defective articles produced by 4 machines. Does the data
indicate significant difference in the performance of the machines?
Machine A B C D
10. Production K4
1 1 2 3
time (in hours)
Number of
12 30 63 98
defectives
Unit IV
ESTIMATION THEORY
Course Objective – Cob4: To develop the ability to apply the concepts of Estimation theory in
problems.
Course Outcome – CO4: To use theory of estimation in practical applications and problem solving.
Part A
Part B
𝑋 1 2 3 4 6 8
Y 2.4 3 3.6 4 5 6
13. K3
(ii) Fit a straight line to the following data:
𝑋 0 1 2 3 4
𝑌 1 1.8 3.3 4.5 6.3
(i) Fit a parabola of second degree to the following data:
𝑋 0 1 2 3 4
𝑌 1 1.8 1.3 2.5 6.3
14. (ii) Fit a parabola of second degree to the following data: K4
𝑋 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
𝑌 2 6 7 8 10 11 11 10 9
Unit V
Course Objective – Cob5: To develop the ability to apply the concepts of Correlation & Regression
in problems.
Course Outcome – CO5: To understand the methods of finding the Correlation values between
variables and use Regression analysis for predicting values of variables.
Bloom’s Taxonomy Level: K1, K2, K3, K4
Part A
2 2 )(1 2 )
10. 1 − 𝑅1.23 = (1 − 𝑟12 − 𝑟13.2 K2
2 2) 𝑟13
⇒ 1 − 𝑅1.23 = (1 − 𝑟12 [1 − ( )2 ] using (2)
2 )
√(1−𝑟12
2 2 2
⇒ 1 − 𝑅1.23 = 1 − 𝑟12 − 𝑟13
2 2 2
⇒ −𝑅1.23 = −𝑟12 − 𝑟13
2 2 2
⇒ 𝑅1.23 = 𝑟12 + 𝑟13 .
Part B
2. From the data relating to the yield of dry bark (𝑋1), height (𝑋2) and girth (𝑋3) K4
for 18 cinchona plants, the following correlation coefficients are obtained 𝑟12
= 0.97, 𝑟13 =0.82 & 𝑟23 = 0.62. Find p artial correlation coefficient 𝑟12.3 &
Multiple correlation coefficient 𝑅1.23
2 2 2
Show that 1 − 𝑅1.23 = (1 − 𝑟12 )(1 − 𝑟13.2 ) and deduce that
(i) 𝑋1 is uncorrelated with any other variables (i.e)., 𝑟12 = 𝑟13 = 0, 𝑖𝑓 𝑅1.23 = 0.
3. 2 (1−𝜌)(1+2𝜌) K4
(ii) 1 − 𝑅1.23 = , provided all the coefficients of zero order are equal to
(1+𝜌)
𝜌. (16)