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    WPAi ND Senate Memo 240928

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    Rob Port
    WPAi ND Senate Memo 240928

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    WPAi ND Senate Memo 240928

    Uploaded by

    Rob Port
    57 views1 page
    WPAi ND Senate Memo 240928

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    WPAi ND Senate Memo 240928

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    57 views1 page

    WPAi ND Senate Memo 240928

    Uploaded by

    Rob Port
    WPAi ND Senate Memo 240928

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    of 1

    TO: INTERESTED PARTIES

    FROM: CHRIS WILSON AND CONOR MAGUIRE


    SUBJECT: CRAMER LEADS OVER CHRISTIANSEN AMONG KEY DEMOGRAPHICS
    DATE: SEPTEMBER 28, 2024
    Recent polling data conducted by WPA Intelligence between September 22 -24, 2024, reveals that
    Kevin Cramer holds a decisive lead over his opponent, Katrina Christiansen, in the upcoming
    Senate race among likely voters in North Dakota. Cramer's advantage is not only evident overall
    but is also pronounced across various key demographics.

    Key Findings:
    Cramer leads with 60% of likely voters, while
    Christiansen trails at 31%, with 9% stil l
    undecided.
    • Cramer leads among both men (66%) and
    women (54%), showcasing broad gender-
    based support.
    • He maintains a competitive edge with
    Independents/Other at 44% against 43%
    of Christiansen.
    • The strongest age demographic for
    Cramer is the 55-64 age group, where he
    captures 80% support.
    • Cramer also leads among Women 18-54
    with 46% against 40% for Katrina.
    • Cramer holds a 67% lead among those with less than a college education and maintains a
    strong 49% among college graduates.

    The data indicates Kevin Cramer is well-positioned heading into the final stretch of the campaign,
    with his strongest support coming from Republicans, older voters, and men. The momentum is
    clearly on his side, giving him a substantial lead over Katrina Christiansen. With 9% of voters still
    undecided, the Cramer campaign has a clear opportunity to consolidate its advantage and ensure a
    decisive victory.

    WPAi conducted a poll of n=521 Likely Voters in North Dakota. Data was collected by a
    combination of live telephone interviews to landlines and cell phones between September 22-24,
    2024. The sample was selected from the North Dakota voter file using Probability Proportionate to
    Size (PPS) sampling from a recent turnout model and was stratified by geography, age, educational
    attainment, gender, and vote history to ensure a representative sample. The survey has a margin
    of error of ±4.4% at the 95% confidence level.

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