Trend Analysis of NEW
Trend Analysis of NEW
Trend Analysis of NEW
Journal of Emerging
© Scholarlink Trends
Research in Economics
Institute Journals,and Management
2017 Sciences (JETEMS) 8(1):62-74 (ISSN: 2141-7016)
(ISSN: 2141-7024)
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INTRODUCTION
Earnings are a central part of financial statements that offer a robust and parsimonious measure of earnings
help a large number of stakeholders or users of quality (Sloan, 1996; and Richardson, Sloan, Soliman&
accounting information to evaluate firm performance. Tuna 2001).
Shareholders use the reported financial information to
measure managers‟ performance, deciding Ohlson and Feltham (1995) defined earnings quality as
compensation plans and assessing the future of the the investor‟s ability to predict future abnormal earnings
company. Reported financial information influences the depending on recent data. According to Sloan (1996)
investors‟ capital allocation decisions (Xu, Taylor & and Dechow and Dichev (2002) earnings of high quality
Dugan 2007). Earnings serve as a key determinant of are those that "are backed by past, present, or future
dividend policy, investment decision as well as a core cash flows". Penman and Zhang (2002) and Dechow
measure of a firm's performance, an effective criterion and Schrand (2004), defined it as earnings of high-
in stock pricing and eventually an instrument utilized to quality those that "are persistent and hence the best
make predictions (Mohammady 2012). predictor of future long-run sustainable earnings". That
is, a high earnings quality shows the usefulness of profit
Earnings quality is the honest expression of the reported information for decision making by the users and also it
profit. It is the ability of the present earnings to provide is more adjusted with economic profit (Ahmadpoor and
a real picture about the company and its ability to Ahamdi, 2008).
survive in the future. Chasteen, Flaherty and O'Connor
(1992) opined that the quality of earnings refers to how Today, the incidence of earnings manipulation activities
closely income is correlated with cash flows, that is, the by management is perceived to have consequently
higher the correlation, the higher the earnings quality. shaken the trust and confidence of investors in the
Prior research related earnings quality to the level of financial reporting system and earnings quality emerges
earnings management because of the difficulties in as an important factor in determining the validity and
measuring earnings quality and established that firms reliability of reported figures. The reliance of external
use accounting accruals to manage earnings (Healy users on reported earnings as a fundamental variable for
1985; Jones 1991; DeFond and Park 1997) and accruals
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Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences (JETEMS) 8(1):62-74 (ISSN: 2141-7016)
making decisions, made earnings quality a matter of components to the income series, which reduce earnings
great concern. quality as captured by persistence, in order to decrease
time-series variability and increase predictability. Leuz,
Having considered the centrality of earnings quality in Nanda, and Wysocki (2003) shared the same view by
literature, it was apparent that further efforts should be their assertion that artificially smoothed earnings are not
made to explore the yearly reports of company‟ representatively realistic to the reporting entity's
chairman vis a vis the pattern of earnings quality of business model and its economic environment.
listed companies over time. This aspect appeared to
have been neglected by researchers so far in the Watts (2003a, 2003b) argued that those earnings that are
available literature. The need to investigate the trend of derived under conservative accounting rules or the
earnings reported among the listed companies in Nigeria conservative application of relevant rules" are of high
therefore becomes critical. In addition,past studies in quality. Schipper and Vincent (2003) considered
Nigeria focused on non-financial firms (Shehu 2011; earnings to be the main profitability indicator as well as
Shehu and Abubakar 2012; Adeniyi and Mieseigha the main source of financial information in capital
2013; Okolie, Izedonmi and Enofe 2013; Okolie 2014; markets. They focused on decision usefulness and
Omoye and Eriki 2014; Musa and Shehu (2014) while economic income to express a definition of earnings
this study focused on both financial and non-financial quality as proximity degree of accounting earnings to
listed companies. The rest of the paper is divided into Hicksian earnings. Hicksian earning is an amount that is
four sections. Section two focused on literature review consumed during a period so that the welfare at the end
while methodology is discussed in section three. Results period in comparison to the beginning of period is not
and discussions are contained in section four while changed. They argued that earnings of high quality are
section five focused on the conclusion of the paper. those that "predict future earnings better".
relevance (timely accounting recognition of economic Table 1: Population and Sample Size
phenomena); reliability (reducing measurement errors) SECTOR Population Sample Size
and comparability (assessing financial reporting quality Agric/Agro-Allied 5 5
Conglomerates 8 7
among firms). This definition poses operational and Breweries 7 3
empirical challenge for researchers since the stated Food/Beverages 14 5
characteristics are neither mutually exclusive nor Industrial Products 5 2
necessarily compatible and cannot be separately Health Care 10 5
measured (Barker and Iman 2008). Printing & Paper Product 6 2
Building Materials 13 5
IT Services 7 2
According to Dechow, Ge and Schrand (2010), higher Financial Institution 55 15
quality earnings more faithfully represent the features of Energy Equipment,
the firm‟s fundamental earnings process that are Petroleum & Petrol Products 14 6
relevant to a specific decision made by a specific Household Durables 4 4
Packaging & Containers 6 1
decision-maker. They identify the proxy for earnings
Chemicals 1 1
quality under the following categories: (i) statistical Tools & Machines 3 1
properties of earnings which are composed of Construction 10 1
persistence and accruals, earnings smoothness, Services 12 NIL
asymmetric timeliness and timely loss recognition as Alternative Securities 8 NIL
well as the benchmarking, in which the distance of Natural Resources 3 NIL
Electrical Services 3 NIL
earnings from a benchmark is viewed as a measure of its TOTAL 194 65
quality (e.g., small profits) ; (ii) investor responsiveness Source: Nigerian Stock Exchange 2013
to earnings includes papers that use an earnings Measurement of Earnings Quality
response coefficient (ERC) as a measure of earnings
informativeness or earnings quality ; and (iii) external There is no standard ratio to define what is
indicators of financial reporting quality which also considered good, strong, or poor quality
includes: Accounting and Auditing Enforcement earnings. Ratio is best used therefore as a
Releases (AAERs) restatements, and internal control relative measurement between companies. Using
procedure deficiencies reported under SOX. the statement of financial position approach, earnings
quality was measured as the change in net operating
METHODOLOGY assets over a period. Francis and Wang (2008) used
The list of quoted companies on the first and second signed discretionary accruals as the (inverse) measure of
tiers of Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) in the Factbook earnings quality. Suleiman (2014) employed negative
2013 contained 194 firms Secondary data was sourced accrual measure in estimating accounting conservatism.
for this study from the audited Annual Reports and
Accounts of the 65 sampled firms and from the Nigerian The accrual method has been used extensively in
Stock Exchange factbooks. The firms comprised 15 earnings quality research as it not only captures the
financial and 50 non-financial firms purposively effect of accruals management but also the effect of
selected on the basis of continuity in transaction and some of the earnings quality techniques, such as
availability of complete data during the study period. changes in accounting estimates and manipulating
The financial companies comprise of money deposit recognition timing. Earnings have a cash flow
banks and insurance companies. Table 1 contained the component and an accrual component. Reported
details of the sample size for the study Data were earnings can be disaggregated into cash flow and
analysed using content analysis, mean, percentages, accruals using the statement of financial position
graphs and tables. approach or the cash flow statement approach.
Earnings quality has been used in numerous empirical Using the statement of financial position approach,
studies to show trends over time in line with the earnings quality was measured as the change in net
objective of standard setters to evaluate changes in operating assets over a period (CFA, 2014). A net
financial accounting standards with a view to improving operating asset (NOA) is the difference in operating
as well as making comparison. Other usefulness of assets and operating liabilities. The formula is given as:
earnings quality trend include among others, EQ = NOAt – NOAt-1 .1
determining the effect of earnings quality on the cost of Where:
capital, keeping pace with the recent changes in auditing NOA = Operating Assets (OA) – Operating liabilities (OL)
as well as corporate governance in general. OA = Total assets minus cash equivalents and marketable
securities
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Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences (JETEMS) 8(1):62-74 (ISSN: 2141-7016)
ENERGY EQUIP,PET&
PETROL PRODUCTS 6.57469 1.814693 -2.03769 -4.34985 2.403145 4.30642 -9.13259 3.292759 0.358947402
HOUSEHOLD
DURABLES 0.201345 0.865612 -0.40383 0.589109 0.116418 0.186849 0.711331 0.069942 0.292097413
PACKAGING & CONT. 0.095584 -0.03133 0.126457 0.015874 0.006015 -0.06475 -0.03381 -0.01432 0.012465196
CHEMICALS 0.054504 0.045534 -0.02437 0.075915 0.000404 -0.00205 0.114952 0.014597 0.034935031
TOOLS & MACHINES 0.11238 0.111416 -0.14704 -0.09152 0.173932 -0.08968 -0.0456 0.446685 0.058821679
CONSTRUCTION 0.029168 -0.0339 -0.04544 0.101562 0.066062 -0.02667 -0.02968 0.058005 0.014889653
AVERAGE MEAN 0.333275 0.192797 0.28239 -0.38818 0.0805 0.220974 -0.43594 0.860504 0.143290347
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Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences (JETEMS) 8(1):62-74 (ISSN: 2141-7016)
Figure 1: Trend of Earnings Quality (EQ) of Nigerian Listed Companies during 2006-2013
Source: Author’s Computation, 2016
and food beverages had the least average earnings
The results of the trend analysis of earnings quality in quality. It is worthy of note here, that although, the
table 2 with graphical representation in figure 1 showed financial sector had the lowest accrual ratio, the sector
that building materials sector had the best average was majorly comprised of banks in which the accrual
earnings quality performance. The next to it was IT characteristics are different from the non-financial firms
Services sector, followed by packaging and containers, which on the hand were composed of manufacturing
construction, chemical, Printing &/Paper Production, companies with common accrual features. The basis for
tools and machines, Breweries while agric/agro-allied comparison of firms in the financial sector would be
best among firms within the sector.
Table 3 presented the percentage changes in accrual of the trend were provided by Table 2 as well as the
ratio of the companies in the study over the period of percentage change of the accrual ratio provided in Table
eight years under study, i. e 2006 to 2013. The analysis 3. The figure revealed a decline in earnings quality in
was based on the sectors included in the sample. years 2007, 2011 and 2012 only. For the companies in
Agriculture / Agro allied sector returned percentage this sector, earnings quality was on the increase in years
decrease of about 27% in its accrual ratio for the five 2008, 2009, 2010 and 2013. The implications of this
companies taken together between years 2006 and 2007. pattern would include the fact that the companies under
There was a percentage increase of about 114% between conglomerate are healthy in their business and market
2007 and 2008 as well as 114% percentage increase operation and most likely the effectiveness of the audit
between 2008 and 2009. Whereas, the subsequent committee activities as required by regulations. The
period witnessed a very sharp decline of about 404% in periods of higher earnings quality for some of the
its accrual ratio, while the trend was averagely reversed companies might be due to low cost of capital as found
during the period of 2010 and 2011 by about 232% by Francis,Lafond, Olsson and Schipper(2004).
change increase. Between 2011 and 2012, the
percentage change in the ratio returned about 109% EQ
increase while it resulted in about 158% between 2012
and 2013.
EQ
Figure 3: Trend Analysis of Earnings Quality (EQ) in
Conglomerate Sector between 2006 and 2013
Source: Author’s Computation, 2016.
the set of companies in the sample declined between The results of the accrual ratio as computed on the
2006 and 2007as shown by the percentage increase of companies in the industrial products sector in figure 6
about 281. However, the sector showed a consistent showed a fluctuation in the trend between 2006 and
improvement in its quality of earnings between 2007 2007, and 2007 and 2008. There was marginal increase
and 2008, 2008 and 2009, 2009 and 2010. The sector in accrual ratio of about 8% between 2008 and 2009.
showed a decline in the earnings quality in year 2012 The increase in the ratio was more between 2009 and
while in 2013, the decline was spurious. This raised a 2010 with about 117% than the preceding period. The
concern on the financial health of the sector in the most fluctuating showed a negative decline ratio of about
recent year of the period under study. This pattern of 294% between 2010 and 2011 while in 2012, an
trend of the earnings quality might be due to increase of about 163% between 2011 and 2012 with a
inconsistent use of accounting methods leading to further negative reduction in the ratio by a percentage
unsustainable reported quality of earnings as seen in the change of about 33% in 2013.
period under investigation.
EQ
EQ
struggle to manage the financial health of this sector positive impact leverage, liquidity and firm growth
from crumbling in the face of market turbulence. The wield on earnings quality
pattern of the earnings was represented graphically by
figure 7. The significant variations in the earnings EQ
quality of health sector might be due to firm-specific
factors such as lines of business, unfavourable market
condition. This might also be due to accounting
manipulation.
EQ
profitable. This might account for the competitive Despite the volatility and uncertainties that
advantage and the good quality of earnings reported by characterised the entire economy and especially, those
the sector. in the manufacturing industries, information and
technology sector had improved earnings in most of the
EQ periods under investigation. The good earning quality
pattern as found in this study, might be due to the
vigorous expansion of the operations to several sectors
barring certain unforeseen circumstances and
government policies.
EQ
Year
Figure 12: Trend Analysis of Earnings Quality (EQ) in
Energy Equipment, Petroleum and Petrol Product Sector
between 2006 and 2013
Source: Author’s Computation, 2016.
The accrual ratio for chemical sector for the study financial statements which is an indication of future
period ranged between -0.002 and 0.015. Although, the danger in the sector.
ratio presented a fluctuating pattern, the trend revealed
only marginal changes both upward and downward as EQ
presented in Table 2 as well as the graphical
representation in figure 15. The specific years in which
the earnings quality of the companies in this sector
decline were 2009 and 2012. This trend is attested by
the comments of both the management and chairman of
the sampled company which were to attributed to
unfavourable operation environment ranging from legal,
illegal and political constraints during periods under
study.
EQ
EQ
2010. There was further appreciation between 2010 and Bricker, R., Previts, G., Robinson, T., & Young, S.
2011. The improvement persisted until 2011 and 2012 (1995). Financial Analyst Assessment of
while between 2012 and 2013, accrual ratio increased Company Earnings Quality, Journal of
by about 8%. Accounting, Auditing & Finance, 10 (3), 541-
554.
CONCLUSION Chasteen, L., G., Flaherty, R., E., & O'Connor, M., C.
The results of the trend analysis of earnings quality (4th ed) (1992). Intermediate Accounting, New
showed that IT Services sector (0.00097) had the best York: McGraw Hill.
average earnings quality performance, followed by De Angelo, L.E. (1986). Accounting Numbers as
packaging and containers (0.01246), construction Market Valuation Substitutes: A Study of
(0.0148), chemical (0.0349), while agric/agro-allied Management Buyouts of Public Stockholders.
(0.614) and food beverages (1.027) had the least The Accounting Review, 61(3) 400-420.
average earnings quality. The study focused only on Dechow, P.M., &Dichev, I. D. (2002). The Quality of
companieslisted on the floor of Nigerian Stock Accounting and Earnings: The Role of
Exchange, while unquoted companies were excluded. Accrual Estimation Errors. The Accounting
At the same time, the number of companies in each Review 77, 35-59.
sampled sector was uneven as a result of the fact that Dechow, P., W. Ge, & C. Schrand. (2010).
only companies which remained in operation during the Understanding Earnings Quality: A Review
study periods with complete data were considered. of the Proxies, their determinants and
Consequences. Journal of Accounting and
The study concluded that stock market participants Economics 50, 344-401.
could perform more excellently by analysing the Dechow, P., &Schrand, C., (2004). Earnings Quality.
earning quality trends of various listed companies as a The Research Foundation of CFA Institute.
further measure to strengthening their evaluations as DeFond, M. L., & Park, C. (1997). Smoothing Income
well as enhancing the bases of making economic in Anticipation of Future Earnings. Journal of
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on measures that contribute to improving the quality of Evidence from the Field. Journal of Accounting
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shareholders and other direct and indirect stakeholders Francis, J, Lafond, R., Olsson, M. P. &Schipper, K.
without engaging in unscrupulous activities. (2004). Cost of Capital and Earnings Attribute,
The Accounting Review, 79(4) 969-1010.
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