Exam Stats
Exam Stats
Exam Stats
STATISTICS
2hours 30minutes
Additional materials:
Calculators may be used.
TIME 2 hours 30 minutes
INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
Answer all questions.
1. (a) State the conditions under which the Poisson distribution may be used as an approximation to
the Binomial distribution [1]
(b) Belts are manufactured in a factory. It has been found over a long period of time that on average, 1
defective belt is produced in every 100. The belts are packed in cartons of 50. Assuming that the
process is working normally, determine to 3 decimal places, the probability that in 5 cartons there will
be no defective belt. [3]
2. A box contains three fuses, one good and two defective. Two fuses are drawn in sequence without
replacement. Calculate the probability that
(a) the second fuse drawn is defective, [3]
(b) the second fuse drawn is defective if the first is defective. [3]
3. The stem and leaf diagram below shows the pocket money received by a group of girls in the year
1980
stem Leaf
0 50 50 50 75
1 00 00 00 50 75
2 00 00 00 50 50
3 00 25 30 75
4 50
5 50
4. A school selects 55% of its lower sixth pupils from its own O level pupils and the remainder comes
from other schools. It is established that 90% of accepted A-level students who did their O-level
outside the school pass their A-level studies, and that 70% of those who did their O-level studies at
the school pass their A-level studies. A pupil is selected at random fro the recent A-level graduate of
the school. Find the probability that the pupil
i) passes A-level studies. [4]
ii) did O-level outside the school, given that the pupil passes A-level studies. [2]
5. A fairly constructed die has three of its sides numbered 0 each, two sides numbered 3 and one side
numbered 6. A boy pays $5 in order to toss the die twice and win the amount equal to the product of
the product of the two scores shown on the die. Let Y be the random variable “the product of the two
scores shown.”
i) Construct a probability distribution table for Y. [3]
ii) Find the expected value of Y and hence write down the expected profit or loss in a single game.
Comment on the fairness of the game. [4]
6. A library contains a very large number of books of which 60% are fiction and the remainder are
non-fiction.
a) Determine correct to three decimal places, the probability that a random collection of 6 books from
the library contains 5 or more fiction books. [3]
b) Using a suitable approximation determine the probability that a random collection of 200 books
from the library contains exactly 80 non-fiction books. [5]
7. A company in Gweru uses two machines, A and B, to manufacture steel rods whose lengths are
normally distributed. The table below gives the distribution of the steel rods from the two machines.
8. Let X be the number of claims for severe medical condition requiring hospitalisation received by a
medical insurance company in a year. Such medical conditions are estimated to affect 1 in 1 000 of
the population in a year.
a) Given that the medical company receives n claims in a year, State the distribution of X. [1]
b) This medical insurance company deals with two manufacturing companies A and B with 500 and
750 employees respectively. Find the probability that the number of claims received from
i) company A is 2 or more. [5]
ii) both companies is 2. [3]
11. The heights of 100 plants in a garden measured to the nearest centimetre are summarized in the
following table.
5. Three flower vendors X, Y and Z have equal chances of selling their flowers. X has 80 red
and 20 white flowers, Y has 30 red and 40 white flowers and Z has 10 red and 60 white
flowers. On Valentine’s day, Kudzai wants to buy a flower.
(a) Find the probability that she picks a red flower. [3]
(b) Given that she bought a red flower, find the probability that it came from Y. [3]