Or - Chapter - I
Or - Chapter - I
Unit objective:
Up on the completion of this unit, the learner would be able to:
Define operations research
Describe significance of OR
Explain models and their importance
Differentiate among different categories of models
Elucidate methodology in OR
Identify application areas of OR models
Describe techniques in OR
Decision-making in today’s social and business environment has become a complex task. The
uncertainty of the future and the nature of competition and social interaction greatly increase
the difficulty of managerial decision-making. Knowledge and technology are changing rapidly,
the new problems with little or no precedents these problems and provide leadership in the
advancing global age, decision-makers can not afford to make decisions by simply applying
their personal experiences, guesswork or intuition, because the consequences of the wrong
markets, producing the wrong products, providing inappropriate services, etc., will have major,
often disastrous consequences for organizations.
Operations Research as one of the quantitative aid to decision-making, offers the decision
maker a method of evaluating every possible alternative (act or course of action) by using
various techniques to know the potential outcomes. This is not to say, however, that
management decision-making is simply about the application of operations research techniques.
In general, while solving a real-life problem, the decision-maker must examine in both from
quantitative as well as qualitative perspective. Information about the problem from both these
perspectives needs to be brought together and assessed in the context of the problem. Based on
some mixes of the two sources of information, a decision should be taken by the decision-
maker.
It is generally agreed that operations Research came is to existence as a discipline during World
War II when there was a critical need to manage scarce resources. The term “Operations
research” was coined as a result of research on military operations during this war. Since the
war involved strategic and tactical problems which were greatly complicated, to expect
adequate solutions from individual or specialists in a single discipline was unrealistic.
Therefore, group of individuals who collectively were considered specialists in mathematics,
Economics, statistics and probability theory, engineering, behavioral, and physical science were
formed as special unit within the armed forces to deal with strategic and tactical problems of
various military operations. The objective was the most effective utilization of most limited
military resources by the use of quantitative techniques.
After the war ended, scientists who had been active in the military OR groups made efforts to
apply the operations research approach to civilian problems, related to business, industry,
research and development, and even won Nobel prizes when they returned to their peacetime
disciplines.
There are three important factors behind the rapid development in the use of operations research
approach.
(i) The economic and industrial boom after World War II resulted in continuous
mechanization, automation, decentralization of operations and division of
management factors. This industrialization also resulted in complex managerial
problems, and therefore application of operations research to managerial decision-
making become popular.
(ii) Many operation researchers continued their research after war. Consequently, some
important advancement were made in various operations research techniques: linear
programming and its solution by a method known as simplex method, statistical
quality control, dynamic programming, queuing theory and inventory theory were
well developed during this time.
(iii) Analytic power was made available by high-speed computers. The use of computers
made it possible to apply many OR techniques for practical decision analysis.
? Dear learner, discuss with your colleagues about how conflicting interests arise in the
organization and how OR tries to balance these interests?
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Because of the wide scope of application of operations research, giving a precise definition is
difficult. However, a few definitions of OR are given below.
Operations research is concerned with scientifically defining how to best design and
operate man-machine systems usually requiring the allocation of scarce resources.
Apart from being lengthy, the definition given by ORSUK, has been criticized, because it
emphasizes complex problems and large systems leaving the impression that it is a highly
technical approach suitable only to large organizations. The definition of ORSA contains an
important reference to the allocation of scarce resources. The key words used in the above
definitions are scientific approach, scarce resources, system and model. The UK definition
contains no reference to optimization, while the American definition has no reference to the
word, best.
Operations Research, in the most general sense, can be characterized as the application of
scientific methods, techniques and tools, to problems involving operations of a system so as
to provide those in control of the operations with optimum solutions to the problems.
Operation research seeks the determination of the optimum course of action of a decision
problem under the restriction of limited resources. It is quite often associated almost
exclusively with the use of mathematical techniques to model and analyze decision
problems.
? Dear learners, would you discuss on the above definitions and define OR in your words?
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Activity
1. Operations research is an aid for the executive in making his/her decisions by
providing the needed quantitative information, based on scientific method analysis.
Dr. A. SURESH KUMAR
Discuss. BULE HORA UNIVERSITY 5
Both simple and complex systems can easily be studied by concentrating on some portion or
key features instead of concentrating on every detail of it. This approximation or abstraction,
maintaining only the essential elements of the system, which may be constructed in various
forms by establishing relationships among specified variables and parameters of the system, is
called a model. In general, models attempt to describe the essence of a situation or activity by
abstracting from reality so that the decision- maker can study the relationship among relevant
variables in isolation.
Models do not, and cannot, represent every aspect of reality because of the innumerable and
changing characteristics of the real life problems to be represented. Instead, they are limited
approximation of reality. For example, to study the flow of materials through a factory, a scaled
diagram on paper showing the factory floor, position of equipment, tools, and workers can be
constructed. It would not be necessary to give such details as the color of machines, the height
of the workers, or the temperature of the building. For a model to be effective, it must be
representative of those aspects of reality that are being investigated and have a major impact
on the decision situation.
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A model is constructed to analyze and understand the given system for the purpose of
improving its performance. The reliability of the solution obtained from a model depends on the
validity of the model in representing the system under study. A model, allows the opportunity
to examine the behavioral changes of a system without disturbing the on-going operations.
Note: The key to model building lies in abstracting only the relevant variables that affect the
criteria of the measures of performance of the given system and expressing the relationship in a
suitable form. But oversimplification of problem can lead to a poor decision. Model enrichment
is accomplished through the process of changing constants in to variables, adding variables,
relaxing linear and other assumptions, and including randomness.
a) Physical Models: These models provide a physical appearance of the real object under
study either reduced in size or scaled up. Physical models are useful only in design
problems because they are easy to observe, build, and describe. Since these models cannot
Dr. A. SURESH KUMAR BULE HORA UNIVERSITY 6
manipulated and are not very useful for prediction, problems such as portfolio analysis
selection, media selection, production scheduling, etc cannot be analyzed by physical
models.
b) Symbolic models: These models use symbols (letters, numbers) and functions to represent
variables and their relationships to describe the properties of the system.
a) Descriptive models: Descriptive models simply describe some aspects of a situation, based
on observation, survey, questionnaire results or other available data of a situation and do not
recommend anything. Example: Organizational chart, plant layout diagram, etc.
b) Predictive Models: These models indicate “If this occurs, then that follow”. They relate
dependent and independent variables and permit trying out, “what if” questions. In other
words, these models are used to predict outcomes due to a given set of alternatives for the
problem. These models do not have an objective function as a part of the model to evaluate
decision alternatives.
For example, S = a + bA +cI is a model that describes how the sales (S) of a product changes in
advertising expenditures (A) and disposal personal income (I). Here, a, b, and c are parameters
whose values must be estimated.
c) Normative (Optimization) models: These models provide the “best” or “Optimal” solution to
problems subject to certain limitations on the use of resources. These models provide
recommended courses of action. For example, in mathematical programming, models are
formulated for optimizing the given objective function, subject to restrictions on resources in
the context of the problem under consideration and non negativity of variables. These
models are also called prescriptive models, because they prescribe what the decision maker
ought to do.
a) Static Models: Static models represent a system at some specified time and do not account
for changes over time. For example, an inventory model can be developed and solved to
determine an economic order quantity for the next period assuming that the demand in
planning period would remain the same as that for today.
b) Dynamic models: In dynamic models, time is considered as one of the variables and allows
the impact of changes due to change in time. Thus, sequences of interrelated decisions over
a period of time are made to select the optimal course of action to optimize the given
objective. Dynamic programming is an example of a dynamic model.
a) Deterministic Models: If all the parameters, constants and functional relationships are
assumed to be known with certainty when the decision is made, the model is said to be
deterministic. Thus, in such a case, the outcome associated with a particular course of action
is known. That is, for a specific set of input values, there is a uniquely, determined output
which represents the solution of the model under consideration of certainty. The results of
Dr. A. SURESH KUMAR BULE HORA UNIVERSITY 7
the models assume single value. Linear programming models are examples of deterministic
models.
a) Heuristic Model: These models employ some sets of rules which, though perhaps not
optimal, do facilitate solutions of problems when applied in a consistent manner.
b) Analytical Models: These models have a specific mathematical structure and thus can be
solved by known analytical or mathematical techniques. Any optimization model (which
requires maximization or minimization of an objective function) is an analytical model.
c) Simulation Models: These models have a mathematical structure but are not solved by
applying mathematical techniques to get a solution. Instead, a simulation model is essentially
a computer-assisted experimentation on a mathematical structure of a real-life problem in
order to describe and evaluate its behavior under certain assumptions over a period of time.
Simulation models are more flexible than mathematical ones and therefore, can be used to
represent a complex system which otherwise cannot be represented mathematically. These
models do not provide general solution like those of mathematical Models.
? Dear learner, do you think that the above classification of models is mutually exclusive?
Support your response with evidence.
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Models in general are used as an aid for analyzing complex problems. However, a model can
also serve other purposes as:
i) A model provides economy in representation of the realities of the system. That is, models
help decision makers to visualize a system so that he/she can understand the system’s
structure or operation in a better any. For example, it easier to represent a factory lay out on
paper than to construct it. It is cheaper to try out modifications of such systems by
rearrangement on paper.
ii) The problem can be viewed in its entirety, with all the components being considered
simultaneously.
Dr. A. SURESH KUMAR BULE HORA UNIVERSITY 8
iii) Models serve as aids to transmit ideas and visualization among people in the organization.
For example, process chart can help the management to communicate about better work
methods to workers.
iv) A model allows us to analyze and experiment in a complex situation to a degree that would
be impossible in the actual system and its environment. For example, the experimental
firing of satellite may be costly and require years of preparation.
v) Models simplify he investigation considerably and provide a powerful and flexible for
predicting the future state of the process or system.
For effective use of OR techniques, it is essential to follow some steps that are helpful for
decision-makers to make better solution. The flow diagram representing the methodology of
OR is shown as:
The first step in OR process is the identification of a problem that exists is a system
(organization). The system must be continuously and closely observed so that problems can be
identified as soon as they occur or anticipated. Problems are not always the results of crisis; but
instead frequently involve an anticipatory or planning situation. Once it has been determined
Dr. A. SURESH KUMAR BULE HORA UNIVERSITY 9
that a problem exists, the problem must be clearly and concisely defined. Because improperly
defining a problem can easily result in no solution or an inappropriate solution. Since the
existence of a problem implies that the objectives of the firm are not being met in some way,
the goals (objectives of the organization) must also be clearly defined.
? Dear learner, can you identify individual(s) who are responsible to identify problems and
problems they face while they identify these problems?
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Model formulation involves an analysis of the system under study, determining objective of the
decision-maker, and alternative course of action, etc, so as to understand and describe, in
precise terms, the problem that an organization faces.
The major steps which have to be taken in to consideration for formulating the model are:
Problem Components. The first component of the problem to be defined is the decision
maker who is not satisfied with the existing state of affairs. The interaction with the
decision maker will help the OR specialist in knowing his/her objectives. That is, either
he/she has already obtained some solution of the problem and wants to retain it, or he
wants to improve it to a higher degree. If the decision maker has conflicting multiple
objectives, he/she may be advised to rank the objectives in the order of preference;
overlapping objectives may be eliminated.
Decision environment
It is desirable to know about the resources such as managers, employees equipments, etc which
are required to carry out the policies of the organization considering the social and ecological
environment in which the organization functions. Knowledge of such factors will help in
modifying the initial set of decision-maker’s objectives.
The problem arises only when there are several courses of action available for a solution. An
exhaustive list of course of action can be prepared in process of going through the above steps
of formulating the problem. Courses of action which are not feasible with respect to objectives
and resources may be ruled out.
Measure of effectiveness
After the problem is clearly defined and understood, the next step is to collect required data and
then formulate a mathematical model. Model construction consists of hypothesizing
Dr. A. SURESH KUMAR BULE HORA UNIVERSITY 10
relationships between variables subject to and not subject to control by decision-maker. Certain
basic components required in every decision problem model are:
o Controllable (decision) Variables - These are the issues or factors in the problem whose
values are to be determined (in the form of numerical values) by solving the model. The
possible values assigned to these variables are called decision alternatives (strategies or
courses of actions). Example, in LPP the number of units produced is a decision
variable.
o Uncontrollable variable. These are the factors whose numerical value depends up on the
external environment prevailing around the organization. The values of these variables
are not under the control of the decision-maker and are also termed as state of nature.
Objective function.
Constraints or Limitations
These are the restrictions on the values of the decision variables. These restrictions can arise
due to limited resources such as space, money, manpower, material, etc. The constraints may be
in the form of equations or inequalities.
Functional relationships
In a decision problem, the decision variables in the objective function and in the constraints are
connected by a specific functional relationship. A general decision problem model might take
the form:
A model is referred to as a linear model if all functional relationships among decision variables
X1, X2, Xn in f(x) and g(x) are of a linear form. But if one or more of the relationships are non –
linear, the model is said to be a non-linear model.
This involves obtaining the numerical values of decision variables. Obtaining these values
depends on the specific form or type, of mathematical models. Solving the model requires the
use of various mathematical tools and numerical procedures. In genera, there are two categories
of methods used for solving an OR model.
Optimization model. These models yield the best value for the decision variables both
for unconstrained and constrained problems. In constrained problems, these values
simultaneously satisfy all of the constraints and provide an optimal or acceptable value
for the objective function or measure of effectiveness. The solution so obtained is called
the optimal solution to the Problem.
Heuristic Model. These methods yield values of the variables that satisfy all the
constraints, but not necessarily provide optimal solution. However, these values provide
an acceptable value of the objective function.
Heuristic Methods are sometimes described as “rules of thumb” which work. These
methods are used when obtaining optimal solution is either very time consuming or the
model is complex.
Some times difficulties in problem solving arise due to lack of an appropriate methodology
for it and psychological perceptions on the part of the problem solver. The major difficulties
in problem solving:
(i) Failure to recognize the existence of a problem (iii) Failure to use all available
information
- Some people tend to personalize problems - The problem-solver fails to seek out
information
- Problems arise in context which people have
had no experience.
Dr. A. SURESH KUMAR BULE HORA UNIVERSITY 12
ii)Failure to define the correct problem iv) Failure to recognize or question
assumptions.
- One situation may contain many intertwined
problems. - it is assumed that there is a
solution to every problem
- Obvious problems are often symptoms of much
deeper problems. - Rigid thinking blocks ones view
point.
- The inability to identify accurately what is going
on can lead to inaccurate problem identification.
After solving the mathematical model, it is important to review the solution carefully to see
that values make sense and that the resulting decisions can be implemented. Some of the
reasons for validating the solution are:
(i) The mathematical model may not have enumerated all the limitations of the problem
under consideration.
(ii) Certain aspect of the problem may have been overlooked, omitted or simplified,
(iii) The data may have been incorrect estimated or recorded, perhaps when entered in to
the computer.
The decision-maker has not only to identify good decision alternatives but also to select
alternatives that are capable of being implemented. It is important to ensure that any solution
implemented is continually reviewed and updated in the light of a changing environment.
For a mathematical model to be useful, the degree to which it actually represents the system or
problem being modeled must be established. If during validation, the solution cannot be
implemented, one needs to (a) identify constraint that were omitted during the original problem
formulation or (b) find if some of the original constraints were incorrect and need to be
modified. In all such cases, one must return to the model formulation step and carefully make
the appropriate modifications to represent more accurately the given problem. A model must be
applicable for a reasonable time period and should be updated from time to time, taking in to
consideration the past, present, and future aspects of the problem.
A solution that works but is quite expensive compared to the potential savings from its
application should not be considered successful. Also a solution that is well within the budget
but which does not accomplish the objective is not successful either. The following are features
of good solution:
Technically appropriate. The solution should work technically; meet the constraints and
operate in the problem environment.
Reliable. The solution must be useful for a reasonable period of time under the
conditions for which it was designed.
Economically viable. The economic value should be more that what it costs to develop
and should be seen as wise investment in hiring OR talents.
There is no unique set of problems which can be solved by using OR models or techniques.
Some OR models or techniques include:
Allocation Models
Allocation models are used to allocate resources to activate in such a way that some measure of
effectiveness (objective function) is optimized. Mathematical programming is the broad term of
OR techniques used to solve allocation problems.
If the measure of effectiveness such as profit, cost, etc., is represented as a linear function of
several variables and if limitations of resources (constraints) can be expressed as a system of
linear inequalities or equalities, the allocation problem is classified as linear programming
problems.
But, if the objective unction of any or all constraints can not be expressed as a system of linear
equalities or inequalities, the allocation problem is classified as a non-linear programming
problem.
When the solution values or decision variables for the problem are restricted to being integer
values, the problem is classified as an integer programming. The problem having multiple,
conflicting and incommensurable objective function (goals) subject to linear constraints is
called goal programming. If decision variables in the linear programming problem depend on
chance, such a problem is called is called a stochastic programming problem.
Inventory Model
Inventory Models deal with the problem of determination of how much to order at a point in
time and when to place an order. The main objective is to minimize the sum of three conflicting
inventory costs: the Cost of holding or carrying extra inventory, the cost of shortage or delay in
delivery of items when it is needed, a cost of ordering or set-up.
Linear programming models Probability Certain Demand Net work flow Dynamic Programming
Graphic Analysis Decision Analysis Uncertain Demand CPM/PERT Break-even Analysis
Simplex Method Game Theory Non-linear programming
Post optimality Markov Analysis
Transportation and assignmentQueuing
Integer linear programming Simulation
Goal Linear Programming Forecasting
Source: Taylor, 1990, Introduction to Management Science, 3rd edition, Brown Publisher
Note: This classification is loose as many of the techniques cross over between
classifications. Example, Net work, inventory models can be either deterministic or
probabilistic.
Summary
Management science is the application of a scientific approach to solving
management problems in order to help managers make better decisions.
Management science encompasses a logical, systematic approach to problem solving,
which closely parallels what is known as scientific method for attacking problems
and includes generally recognized ordered set of steps including: Observation,
definition of problems, model construction, model solution, solution testing,
implementation of solution results.
A management science model is an abstract representation of an existing problem
situation.
• Management science techniques roughly can be categorized as: Linear mathematical
programming, probabilistic techniques, inventory techniques, and network techniques,
other linear and nonlinear techniques.
Activity
1. Discuss what the management science approach to problem solving encompasses?
2. Explain what a model is and how it is used in management science?
3. The ultimate test of a manager who uses management science techniques is the
ability to transfer knowledge in this material in to the business world. What does it
mean?
4. Suppose you are being interviewed by the manger of the commercial firm for a job in
a research department which deals with the application of quantitative techniques.
Explain the scope and purpose of quantitative technique and its usefulness to the firm.
Give some examples of the applications of quantitative techniques in industry.
Dr. A. SURESH KUMAR BULE HORA UNIVERSITY 17
5. Management science is an ongoing process. Why do you think is the reason?
6. Distinguish between model results that recommend a decision and model results that
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