Portfolio Optimization With Asset-Liability Ratio
Portfolio Optimization With Asset-Liability Ratio
Complexity
Volume 2020, Article ID 1435356, 13 pages
https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/1435356
Research Article
Portfolio Optimization with Asset-Liability Ratio
Regulation Constraints
1
De-Lei Sheng and Peilong Shen2
1
School of Applied Mathematics, Shanxi University of Finance and Economics, Taiyuan 030006, China
2
School of Finance, Shanxi University of Finance and Economics, Taiyuan 030006, China
Copyright © 2020 De-Lei Sheng and Peilong Shen. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons
Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is
properly cited.
This paper considers both a top regulation bound and a bottom regulation bound imposed on the asset-liability ratio at the
regulatory time T to reduce risks of abnormal high-speed growth of asset price within a short period of time (or high investment
leverage), and to mitigate risks of low assets’ return (or a sharp fall). Applying the stochastic optimal control technique, a
Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation is derived. Then, the effective investment strategy and the minimum variance are
obtained explicitly by using the Lagrange duality method. Moreover, some numerical examples are provided to verify the ef-
fectiveness of our results.
in May 1719, to nearly 10,000 livres in February 1720, but it Financial leverage needs to be considered because it is
declined to 500 livres in September 1721. The stock prices of ubiquitous in practice, and the excessive leverage is an issue
South Sea Company soar from £128 in January, £175 in tackled in the Basel III requirements. In the narrow sense,
February, £330 in March, and £550 in May, and then, the financial leverage refers to a measure of operating large-scale
shares leaped to £1000 per share by August 1720 and finally business with less money, which is widely used in various
peaked at this level but soon it plunged and triggered an economic activities. For example, the transaction relying on
avalanche of selling. As for the most devastating stock market futures margin is commonly used in futures markets and the
crashes of the United States, such as the American stock margin rate usually varies between 5% and 15% of the total
market crash in 1929 and the American stock market crash in contract value. Only a down payment of 5% of the full
1987, all ended in a catastrophic decline after a period of contract value is required, and an investor can carry out the
drastic growth. When the China stock market crash broke out financial transaction equivalent to 20 times the amount of
in 2007, the Shanghai stock exchange composite index surged the margin. Another example is the way to invest in real
from around 2700 points to the peak value 6124 points, which estate with installment repayment, and investors only need
took only a few months. But then it went down sharply to the to pay the down payment, usually 10% to 30%, but they can
lowest value 1644 points. Another China stock market crash leverage the investment scales of the total market value.
in 2015, the Shanghai stock exchange composite index rise Quite evidently, investors generally use smaller self-owned
from around 3000 points to 5178 points on June 12, but only funds to operate businesses of great market value with fi-
in the next two months, it plunged to around 2800 points. nancial leverage. If these assets appreciate, investors can
The sustained high-speed growth of stock prices within a immediately obtain considerable investment returns.
short period of time is actually accumulating enough de- However, once the value of these assets shrinks, the losses are
structive energy which may erupt at any time. Sophisticated magnified and the corresponding leverage multiples are
investors will actively sell their risky stocks in time when the catastrophic and unbearable. Therefore, the essence of fi-
stock returns reach a certain high level, instead of blindly nancial leverage lies in magnifying the gains and losses to
pursuing much higher returns, so as to avoid the sharp drop meet the needs of investors who have insufficient funds but
before these assets are successfully sold. This high return level want to do large-scale businesses. There is a large body in the
targeted by these traders to sell assets actively is a practical top literature of financial stability which estimates systemic risk
bound used in investment management practice and deter- and explicitly takes into account excessive leverage. Related
mined by investment managers initiatively, which is actually works can be referred to the study bySilva et al. [16] and
the concrete example for the application of top investment many others.
regulation bound in business. Thus, it confirms the real ex- However, financial markets themselves also have the
istence of the investment regulation top bound in real in- function of enlarging profits and losses. As long as investors
vestment practice. The requirement of investment regulation invest in risky assets in financial markets, they are actually
bottom bound is necessary for the pursuit of much higher using the financial market to enlarge their scale of assets,
investment returns. Only if the assets scale pursued by in- which is essentially consistent with the core meaning of
vestment is larger than liability, then it can ensure that the financial leverage in narrow sense. Therefore, in a broad
investment activities are really valuable and vigorous. sense, a financial market itself can be regarded as a financial
These kinds of investment risks of asset price collapse leverage. In other words, the financial leverage has already
resulting from the abnormally rapid rise within a limited been used by investors as long as they invest in financial
time period have extremely destructive, which may even be markets in pursuit of higher investment returns, so it is also
the real manifestation of systemic financial risks. As for necessary to consider leverage regulation even if you only
systemic financial risks, Guerra et al. [12] and Souza et al. invest in ordinary financial markets.
[13] conduct in-depth and innovative research studies and Different from the previous research on the modeling
propose a novel methodology to measure systemic risk in method of the asset-liability problem, both a bottom reg-
networks composed of financial institutions. They define the ulation bound and a top regulation bound are imposed on
bank’s probability of default and calculate this probability the asset-liability ratio to control the variation range so as to
using Merton’s method inspired by Black and Scholes [14] prevent the risks of asset price collapse resulted from an
and Merton [15]. Interestingly, the probability of default abnormal high-speed growth (such as stock market crash),
defined by Guerra et al. [12] and Souza et al. [13] can also be asset shrink, and the collapse of investment leverage. The
used to research the asset-liability management problem dynamic process of asset-liability ratio is defined as an asset
with unbearable collapse risk resulted from the abnormally process being divided by a liability process after eliminating
rapid rise of asset price within a limited time period. For the influence of inflation. A stochastic optimal control model
instance, you can take the horizon on which the entity (firm) is formulated under the framework of mean variance with
may default to be short enough and then large declines in the variance being minimized, given a determined expec-
assets or large increases in liabilities can be researched tation of asset-liability ratio at regulatory time T. Using the
similar to the probability of default calculated by Merton’s Lagrange multiplier method, the original problem is
method. However, based on different considerations, we transformed into an unconstrained optimization problem,
realize our ideas about the asset-liability management and then a Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation is
problem with unbearable investment risk using a widely established by adopting technique of stochastic control. At
used mathematical method in this paper. last, using Lagrange duality between the original problem
Complexity 3
and the unconstrained problem, the minimum variance and where μt is the expected inflation rate at time t; σ t > 0 is the
the effective investment strategy are obtained.
volatility of inflation rate; and W(t) is a standard Brownian
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. motion on the probability space (Ω, F, P).
Section 2 describes the models of asset-liability ratio and the The price process of the risk-free bond is modeled as
constrained control problem. In Section 3, a Lagrange un- B(t) � ert , where the constant r ≥ 0 represents the nominal
constrained problem is solved by technique of stochastic interest rate.
optimal control, and the results of the original problem are The inflation-linked index bond {I(t), t ≥ 0} has the same
obtained according to Lagrange duality. Meanwhile, a risk source with the price level process, and thus, it can be
special case is also solved at the end of this section. Some expressed as
interpretations of main results are presented in Section 4, t t
and numerical examples are illustrated in Section 5. At last, 1 2 ,
I(t) � exp r + μs − σ s ds + σs dW(s) (2)
Section 6 gives a conclusion of the research work. 0 2 0
⎪
⎧
⎪ dXπ (t) dB(t) dI(t) dS(t)
⎪
⎪ � π0 (t) + π1 (t) + π2 (t)
⎪
⎪ X π (t) B(t) I(t) S(t)
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎨
⎪ (4)
⎪
⎪ � r + π1 (t) μt + r − r + π 2 (t) μt − rdt + π1 (t)σ t dW(t) + π2 (t)σ t dW(t),
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎩ π
X (0) � x0 .
dL(t)
To avoid the influence of control variable on the liability � μt − μt + σ2t dt − σt dW(t)
+ σ t dW(t),
L(t)
process L(t), we also assume the liability process is governed t t
by a geometric Brownian motion as follows: 1 1
L(t) � L0 exp μs − μs + σ2s − σ 2s ds − σs dW(s)
0 2 2 0
t 1 2 t
t
L(t) � L0 exp μs − σ s ds + σ s dW(s), L0 > 0. + σ s dW(s).
0 2 0
0
(5) (6)
The real liability process L(t) after eliminating inflation The asset process after eliminating the influence of in-
is defined as L(t) � L(t)/P(t). It is easy to get the following flation is defined as X π (t) � Xπ (t)/P(t); then, we get the
form of expression using Itô’s formula: following asset process according to Itô’s formula:
4 Complexity
usually selected in advance, which provides a time period of (Zπ (T), Var[Zπ (T)]) under this optimal strategy π∗ is
appropriate length, but the length may decrease if the called an efficient point. The set of all efficient points is
regulatory frequency increased. In accordance with the called the efficient frontier. Obviously, problem (10) is a
need of practice, this paper considers the asset-liability dynamic quadratic convex optimization problem, and
problem with the constraints imposed at the regulatory time thus, it has an unique solution.
T to find the optimal investment strategy, in order to reduce
the risk of abnormal high-speed growth of asset price within 3. Solutions of the Problem
a short period of time or high investment leverage and also
to lessen the risk of too low return rate or a sharp fall. Their In this section, an unconstrained optimization problem is
mathematical descriptions of the regulation constraints at derived by the Lagrange multiplier method and then, a
the regulatory time T are formulated as the following Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation is deduced to solve
inequality: the unconstrained problem. Next, solution of the original
problem is obtained according to Lagrange duality be-
α < Zπ (T) < β, (9)
tween the unconstrained problem and the original prob-
where the bottom regulation bound α ≥ 1 and the top reg- lem. At the end, solution of a special case is given for
ulation bound β are two appropriate constants satisfying the comparison.
requirement β > α. The bottom bound α should not be too
small; otherwise, it cannot cover the liability which means
the investment has failed. The top bound β should not be too 3.1. Solution of an Unconstrained Problem. For this convex
large; or else, a much larger value of β may lead to excessive optimization problem (10), the equality constraint E
leverage multiples and too much investment risks being [Zπ(T)] � α + ρ(β − α) can be eliminated by using the
pulled in the company. In practice, it is highly technical to Lagrange multiplier method, so we get a Lagrange dual
determine the values of α and β, which requires abundant problem:
2
⎪
⎧ min
⎨ π∈ EZπ (T) − (α + ρ(β − α)) + 2λEZπ (T) − (α + ρ(β − α)),
(11)
⎪
⎩
s.t. Zπ (T)satisfy(8), ρ ∈ (0, 1), for π ∈ ,
2
EZπ (T) − (α + ρ(β − α)) + 2λEZπ (T) − (α + ρ(β − α))
where λ ∈ R is a Lagrange multiplier.
2
After a simple calculation, it yields � EZπ (T) − ((α + ρ(β − α)) − λ) − λ2 .
(12)
Complexity 5
Remark 1. The link between problems (10) and (11) is To solve problem (14), a truncated form beginning at
provided by the Lagrange duality theorem, which can be time t is considered here, and the corresponding value
referred in the study by Luenberger [17] that function is defined as
2
min VarZπ (T) V(t, z) � inf E Zπ (T) − ((α + ρ(β − α)) − λ) Zπ (t)�z ,
π∈
π∈
2
� max min EZπ (T) − ((α + ρ(β − α)) − λ) − λ2 . (15)
λ∈R π∈
with the boundary condition V(T, z) � (z − ((α+
(13)
ρ(β − α)) − λ))2 .
Thus, for the fixed constants λ and u, problem (11) is The controlled infinitesimal generator for any test
equivalent to function ϕ(t, x) and any admissible control π is deduced as
2 follows:
⎪
⎧ min
⎨ π∈ EZπ (T) − ((α + ρ(β − α)) − λ)
(14) Aπ ϕ(t, x) � ϕt + xϕx r − μt − σ 2t + π1 (t) μt + r − r
⎪
⎩
s.t. Zπ (t) satisfy(8), ρ ∈ (0, 1), for π ∈ .
x2
+ π2 (t) μt − r + ϕ σ 2 + π21 (t)σ 2t + π22 (t)σ 2t ,
Therefore, in order to solve problem (11), we only need 2 xx t
to solve problem (14). Fortunately, problem (14) can be (16)
solved by using the stochastic optimal control technology.
for any real valued function ϕ(t, x) ∈ C1,2([0, T], R) and
admissible strategy π, where
C1,2 ([0, T], R) � ψ(t, x)|ψ(t, ·) is once continuously differentiable on [0, T], and ψ
(17)
(·, x) is twice continuously differentiable almost surely on R}.
If V(t, z) ∈ C1,2([0, T] × R), then V(t, z) satisfies the which can be given more specifically as follows:
following HJB equation:
inf Aπ V(t, z) � 0, (18)
π∈
z2 z2
inf Vt + zVz r − μt − σ 2t + Vzz σ 2t + zVz π1 (t) μt + r − r + π2 (t) μt − r + Vzz π21 (t)σ 2t + π22 (t)σ 2t � 0. (19)
π∈ 2 2
For convenience, some simple notations are introduced Solving equation (19) gives the following important
as follows: theorem.
2 2
μt + r − r μt − r
δ≜ + ,
σ2t σ 2t Theorem 1. For the asset-liability management with in-
vestment regulation and eliminating inflation, the efficient
e(t− T)(δ+σ 2t )
δ + σ 2t investment strategy π∗ � (π∗0 , π∗1 , π∗2 ) corresponding to
ϱ(t) ≜ , problem (11) and problem (14) is given by
δ+ σ 2t
⎪
⎧ 1
⎪
⎪
⎪ π∗0 � 1 + δ1 − ξ βα (t),
(α + ρ(β − α)) ⎪
⎪ z
ω≜ , (20) ⎪
⎪
(1 − ϱ) ⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ μ + r − r ξ βα (t)
⎨ ∗
π1 � t 2 − 1,
e− T(δ+σ t ) δ + σ 2t
2
⎪ σ t z (21)
ϱ ≜ ϱ(0) � , ⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
δ + σ 2t ⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ μt − r ξ βα (t)
⎪
e− T(− r+δ+μt +σ t ) z0 ⎪
2 ∗
⎪ π
⎩ 2 � − 1,
ε≜ . σ 2 t
z
(1 − ϱ)
and the value function is
6 Complexity
T)(− 2
r+δ+2μt +σ 2t ) Substituting these derivatives of W(t, z) into (24), the
V(t, z) � z2 e(t−
HJB equation becomes
− 2ze(t− T)(−
r+δ+μt +σ 2t ) (22)
+((α + ρ(β − α)) − λ) ϱ(t), 2 f′ (t)z2 + g′ (t)z + h′ (t) + 2f(t)z2 + g(t)zr − μt − σ 2t
T)(
where ξ βα (t) � e(t− r− μt )
((α + ρ(β − α)) − λ). g2 (t)
+ z2 f(t)σ 2t − δf(t)z2 + g(t)z + � 0.
4f(t)
Proof. According to the first-order necessary condition of
extremum, equation (19) yields (29)
⎧
⎪
⎪ μ + r − r Vz
⎪
⎪ π ∗1 (t) � − t 2 , Equation (29) can be split into three ordinary differential
⎪
⎪ zσ t Vzz equations as follows:
⎨
⎪ (23)
⎪
⎪ f′ (t) + 2f(t) r − μt − f(t)σ 2t − δf(t) � 0,
⎪
⎪ μ − r Vz ⎪
⎧
⎪
⎪ π∗2 (t) � − t 2
⎩ . ⎪
⎪
zσ t Vzz ⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ f(T) � 1,
Plugging the above expressions of π∗1 (t) and π∗2 (t) into ⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
(19), the HJB equation becomes ⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
z2 V2 ⎪
⎪ g′ (t) + g(t) r − μt − σ 2t − δg(t) � 0,
Vt + zVz r − μt − σ 2t + Vzz σ 2t − δ z � 0. (24) ⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
2 2Vzz ⎨
⎪ (30)
Based on the boundary condition V(T, z) � ⎪ g(T) � − 2((α + ρ(β − α)) − λ),
⎪
⎪
⎪
(z − ((α + ρ(β − α)) − λ))2 , we try a conjecture ⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
W(t, z) � f(t)z2 + g(t)z + h(t), ⎪
⎪
(25) ⎪
⎪ δ g(t)2
⎪
⎪ h ′ (t) − � 0,
⎪
⎪ 4 f(t)
for equation (24), which satisfies ⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
f(T) � 1, ⎪
⎩
g(T) � − 2((α + ρ(β − α)) − λ), (26) h(T) � ((α + ρ(β − α)) − λ)2 .
2
h(T) � ((α + ρ(β − α)) − λ) .
Solving these ordinary differential equations in (30)
The derivatives of this conjecture W(t, z) are given as yields
follows:
f(t) � e(t− T)(− 2r+δ+2μt +σ t ) ,
2
⎪
⎧
⎪
Wt � f′ (t)z2 + g′ (t)z + h′ (t), ⎪
⎪
⎨
(t− T)(−
r+δ+μt +σ 2t ) (31)
Wz � 2f(t)z + g(t), (27) ⎪ g(t) � − 2e
⎪
⎪
((α + ρ(β − α)) − λ),
Wzz � 2f(t). ⎪
⎩
h(t) � ((α + ρ(β − α)) − λ)2 ϱ(t).
Plugging the expressions of Wz and Wzz into (23), the
optimal strategy becomes Plugging the explicit expression of f(t) and g(t) into (28),
and using the equality π∗0 (t) + π∗1 (t) + π∗2 (t) � 1, the opti-
⎪
⎧
⎪ μ + r − r g(t)
⎪
⎪ π∗1 (t) � − t 2 z + , mal strategy is obtained as follows:
⎪
⎪ z σ 2f(t)
⎨ t
⎪ (28)
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ μt − r g(t)
⎪
⎩ π ∗2 (t) � − z + .
zσ 2t 2f(t)
⎪
⎧
⎪ ((α + ρ(β − α)) − λ)
⎪
⎪
⎪ π∗0 (t) � 1 + δ1 − e(t− T)(r− μt ) ,
⎪
⎪ z
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎨ ∗ μ + r − r μ + r − r (t− T)(r− μt )
⎪ π1 (t) � − t 2 + t 2 e ((α + ρ(β − α)) − λ), (32)
⎪
⎪ σt zσ t
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ ∗
⎪ μt − r μt − r (t− T)(r− μt )
⎪
⎩ π2 (t) � − 2 + e ((α + ρ(β − α)) − λ).
σt zσ 2t
Complexity 7
Denoting ⎧
⎪
⎪
⎪ ∗ ζ βα (t)
⎪ π � 1 − δ − 1,
ξ βα (t)≜e(t− T)(r− μt ) ((α + ρ(β − α)) − λ), (33) ⎪
⎪
⎪
0
z
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
the optimal strategy can be simplified into ⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎨ μ + r − r ζ βα (t)
⎪
⎧ 1 ⎪ π∗1 � t 2 − 1, (38)
⎪
⎪
⎪ π∗0 (t) � 1 + δ1 − ξ βα (t), ⎪
⎪
⎪ σt z
⎪
⎪ z ⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ ⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ ⎪
⎪
⎪ ⎪
⎪
⎪
⎨ ∗ μ + r − r μ + r − r β
⎪
⎪
⎪ ∗ μt − r ζ βα (t)
π 1 (t) � − t 2 + t 2 ξ α (t), ⎪
⎩ π2 � 2 z − 1,
⎪
σ zσ t (34) σt
⎪
⎪ t
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ and the optimal value function is given by
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ μt − r μ − r
⎪
VarZπ (T) � e− T(− 2r+δ+2μt +σ t ) z20 +(ω − ε)2 ϱ
∗ 2
⎪ ∗
⎩ π2 (t) � − 2 + t 2 ξ βα (t).
σ t zσ t
− 2e− T(− r+δ+μt +σ t ) (ω − ε)z0 − (ε − ϱω)2 ,
2
2
(α + ρ(β − α)) e− T(− r+δ+μt +σ t ) z0 ⎞
2
π∗
e− T(− 2r+δ+2μt +σ t ) z20
2
VarZ (T) � + ⎝
⎛ − ⎠
(1 − ϱ) (1 − ϱ)
2
+ ρ(β − α)) e− T(− r+δ+μt +σ t ) z0 ⎞ e− T(− r+δ+μt +σ t ) z0 ϱ(α + ρ(β − α))⎠
2 2
· ϱ − 2e − T(− ⎝(α
r+δ+μt +σ 2t ) ⎛
− ⎠ z0 − ⎝
⎛ − ⎞ .
(1 − ϱ) (1 − ϱ) (1 − ϱ) (1 − ϱ)
(46)
Substitute (45) into (21), the optimal investment strategy and the expected value of Zπ(t) corresponding to the optimal
of problem (10) is given by parameter value ρ∗ is given by
⎪ π∗ � 1 − δ1ζ β (t) − 1, z
α + ρ∗ (β − α) � 0 e− T(− r+δ+μt +σ t ) .
2
⎧
⎪ (50)
⎪
⎪
⎪ 0
⎪ z α ϱ
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ Substituting ρ∗ into (47), we can get the optimal strategy
⎪
⎨ ∗ μ + r − r μ + r − r β
π1 � − t 2 + t 2 ζ α (t), corresponding to the optimal value α + ρ∗ − α) of expecta-
⎪ (47)
⎪
⎪
σ t σt
z tion. Moreover, plugging the expression of ρ∗ into the
⎪
⎪ ∗
⎪
⎪ formula of Var[Zπ (T)], the optimal minimum variance
⎪
⎪ Var[Z π∗ ,ρ∗
(T)] can also be determined corresponding to the
⎪
⎪ μt − r μ − r
⎪
⎪ ∗
+ t 2 ζ βα (t), uniquely optimal value (z0 /ϱ)e− T(− r+δ+μt +σ t ) of the
2
⎩ π2 � − 2
σ t σt
z expectation.
where
+ ρ(β − α)) e− T(− r+δ+μt +σ t ) z0 ⎞
2
2
2 2
∗ δ⎜
− T⎛
⎜
⎜ (α + ρ(β − α)) e− T − r+δ+σ t x
0⎞
⎟
⎟ − T − r+
δ+
2
⎜
⎜(α
σt ⎛
⎜ + ρ(β − α)) e− T − r+δ+σ t x
0⎞
⎟
⎟
VarZ (T) � e ⎜ ⎝ − ⎟
⎠ − 2e
⎟ ⎜
⎝ − ⎟
⎠x
⎟ 0
1 − e− T
δ 1 − e− Tδ 1 − e− Tδ 1 − e− Tδ
(53)
2
2
r+δ+σ t
⎜e−
⎛ T −
0 − e− Tδ (α + ρ(β − α))⎞
x ⎟
⎟ T − 2r+
δ+2
2
σt 2
− ⎜
⎜
⎜
⎝ ⎟
⎟
⎠ +e
−
0,
x
− T
δ
1 − e
T) − r+ 2
2
δ+
μt + r − r − σ 2t ⎛
⎜
⎜ e(t− σt
(α + ρ(β − α)) − e− T − r+δ+σ t x
0⎞
⎟
⎟
π∗1 (t) �1− ⎜
⎜
⎝1 − ⎟
⎟
⎠,
(t− T) − 2r+
2 2
σ t e
x δ+2
σt
1 − e− Tδ
T) − r+ 2
2
δ+
μt − r ⎛
⎜
⎜ e(t− σt
(α + ρ(β − α)) − e− T − r+δ+σ t x
0⎞
⎟
⎟
π∗2 (t) � − ⎜
⎝1 −
⎜ ⎟
⎟
⎠, (54)
(t− T) − 2r+
2 2
σ t δ+2
σt − T δ
e
x 1 − e
T) − r+ 2
2
δ+
⎜
⎛ e(t− σt
(α + ρ(β − α)) − e− T − r+δ+σ t x
0⎞
⎟
π∗0 (t) � δ⎜
⎜
⎜
⎝1 −
⎟
⎟
⎟
⎠,
(t− T) − 2r+
2
e δ+2
σt − T
δ
x 1 − e
Proof. The results can be obtained by the same calculation where ζ βα (t) � e(t− T)(r− μt ) (ω − ε), ω � (α + ρ(β − α))/
(1 − ϱ), and ε � (e− T(− r+δ+μt +σ t ) z0 )/(1 − ϱ), it is easy to find
2
But the numerator ζ βα (t) of this fraction is more Table 1: Values of the parameters.
complicated. 2 The one multiplier ((α + ρ(β − α))−
μ � 0.08 r � 0.01 σ � 0.2 α�1 β�7 z0 � 3 z�5
z0 e− T(− r+δ+μ+σ t ) ) is a difference between the expected value
(α + ρ(β − α)) of Z(T) and the converted value r � 0.05 T � 6 μ � 0.15 σ � 0.6 μ � 0.03 σ � 0.1 ρ � 0.5
e− T(− r+δ+μt +σ t ) z0 of the initial value z0, which characterizes
2
(π1)∗
both will be negative. Since π ∗0 (t) � 1 − π∗1 (t) − π∗2 (t), it
indicates that π∗0 (t) � 1 + δ(1 − (1/z)ζ βα (t)) can be deter- 0.4
mined as long as the investment shares of risky assets have
been determined, so the adjustment of risk-free asset is 0.2
usually passive. If the relative rate ζ βα (t)/z is greater than 1,
the investment shares on risk-free asset can be ensured
within a much better range between 0 and 1. These ob- 1 2 3 4 5 6
servations can serve as an important reference for deter- t
mining both the top regulation bound β and the bottom α=1
regulation bound α. α = 1.8
α = 2.6
Figure 1: Values of π∗1 change with t for different bottom bound α.
5. Numerical Examples
This section discusses the variation tendency of optimal
strategies π∗1 and π∗2 varying with some important parame- π∗2 changes with α when top bound β fixed
ters, mainly focusing on the current value z of asset-liability
ratio, the top regulation bound β, the bottom regulation 0.20
bound α, and the parameter ρ. The values of parameters are
given in Table 1; unless otherwise specified, other values for
0.15
the same variable can be consulted from the corresponding
graphic legend.
(π2)∗
π∗1 changes with β when bottom bound α fixed π∗1 changes with t for different z
0.8 0.8
0.6 0.6
(π1)∗
(π1)∗
0.4 0.4
0.2 0.2
1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
t t
β=6 z=4
β=7 z=5
β=8 z=6
Figure 3: Values of π∗1 change with t for different top bound β. Figure 5: Values of π∗1 change with t for different current asset-
liability ratio z.
π∗2 changes with β when bottom bound α fixed noted that advanced statistical analysis and maturely
0.4 practical experience of personnel are essential and of great
advantage for determining an exact value of α or β.
Assuming that both top regulation bound β and bottom
0.3 regulation bound α are determined, the impact of asset-li-
ability ratio z at time t on investment strategy can be ob-
served in Figures 5 and 6. If the current asset-liability ratio z
(π2)∗
π∗2 changes with t for different z π∗2 changes with t for different ρ
0.25
0.4
0.20
0.3
0.15
(π2)∗
(π2)∗
0.2
0.10
0.05 0.1
1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
t t
z=3 ρ = 0.4
z=4 ρ = 0.6
z=5 ρ = 0.8
Figure 6: Values of π∗2 change with t for different current asset- Figure 8: Values of π∗2 change with t for different ρ.
liability ratio z.
Data Availability
π∗1 changes with t for different ρ The data used to support the findings of this study are
available from the corresponding author upon request.
0.8
Conflicts of Interest
0.6
The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.
(π1)∗
0.4
Acknowledgments
This research was supported by China Postdoctoral Science
0.2
Foundation funded project (Grant no. 2017M611192),
Youth Science Fund of Shanxi University of Finance and
Economics (Grant no. QN-2017019), and Youth Science
1 2 3 4 5 6 Foundation of National Natural Science Fund (Grant no.
t 11801179).
ρ = 0.4
ρ = 0.5
ρ = 0.6 References
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Complexity 13