Assignment04 Math 215
Assignment04 Math 215
Assignment 4
Overview
Total marks: / 92
This assignment covers content from Unit 4 of the course. It assesses your knowledge of sampling
distributions that refer to probability distributions of sample statistics, such as the sample mean and sample
proportion, and your ability to use sampling distributions in estimation and in hypothesis testing about
population means and population proportions.
Instructions
• Show all your work and justify all of your answers and conclusions, except for the True/False
questions.
• Keep your work to 4 decimals, unless otherwise stated.
• Note: Finishing a test of hypotheses with a statement like “reject H 0” or “do not reject H 0” will be
insufficient for full marks. You must also provide a written concluding statement in the context of the
problem itself. For example, if you are testing hypotheses about the effectiveness of a medical
treatment, you must conclude with a statement like, “we can conclude that the treatment is effective” or
“we cannot conclude that the treatment is effective.”
(9 total marks)
1. The duration of long-distance telephone calls is normally distributed with a mean of µ = 18 minutes
and a standard deviation of σ = 12 minutes. If a random sample of 64 telephone calls is used to reflect
on the population of all long-distance calls, what is the probability that the sample mean call duration:
(3 marks)
a. will be more than 14 minutes?
(6 marks)
b. will be either less than 15 minutes or more than 20.5 minutes?
(4 marks)
b. more than 0.10?
(1 mark)
c. Which of the following would produce a confidence interval with a larger margin of error than the
90% confidence interval? Clearly circle only one response.
A. Sampling only 5 households instead of 10, because 5 are easier to manage.
B. Sampling 5 households rather than 10, because a smaller sample size will result in a larger
margin of error.
C. Sampling 20 households rather than 10, because a larger sample size will result in a larger
margin of error.
D. Computing an 85% confidence interval rather than a 90% confidence interval, because a larger
confidence interval will result in a larger margin of error.
(1 mark)
c. Which of the following is a property of the sampling distribution of the sample mean, x ? Clearly
circle one response only.
A. If you increase your sample size, the sample mean, x , will always get closer to the population
mean, µ .
B. The standard deviation of the sample mean is generally larger than the standard deviation from
the original population, σ .
C. The mean of the sampling distribution of x is µ ,the population mean.
D. The sampling error will account, in part, for errors that occur in the collection, recording and
tabulation of the data.
(7 marks)
a. Construct a 92.5% confidence interval for the population proportion of females with an engineering
major.
(1 mark)
b. Suppose that we took a second sample and calculated that this sample had a 90% confidence
interval of 0.19 to 0.35. Which of these is a valid interpretation of this confidence interval? Clearly
circle only one response.
A. There is a 90% probability that a randomly selected student has a 0.19 to 0.35 probability of
being female.
B. We are 90% confident that the mean proportion of being female in our sample is between 0.19
and 0.35.
C. We are 90% confident that 19 to 35% of female students will chose an engineering major.
D. We are 90% confident that the population mean proportion of females is between 0.19 and 0.35.
(4 marks)
b. Assuming that the results of the preliminary sample are not available, what is the most conservative
estimate of the sample size that would limit the margin of error to within 0.05 of the population
proportion for a 98% confidence interval?
(2 marks)
b. Would you reject the null hypothesis α = 0.01? What would be your conclusion, explained within
the context of the test?
(1 mark)
c. How strong is the evidence against H 0? (Hint: Refer to Unit 4, Section 7, in the Study Guide).