. Stati typi, Nodde 28, es ieee eistlond Brfeunttd sles, > Vee tin ykalistis aso dio Apt tuk branch of otabid tics And Aided fOr onnlyzting and Grlenpeatig data - ? Co Qloveiperie Stabiitie $- ae BOupte. Stab tees; dt BW ubeol-y Aummartie ard discribe Lem. iy {eal ofa | Aalaset. “oh b Ts ckatlstes frelusles meadusion suelr ab | Vattieue, shendard deviation , mAwomols muelfacy | : * He proulaes any to Ogartce and pressedcdata in a and fofoymalic aril bulb t Lelesctifey pallor sch toe igh and (ay anon phe dete. , © HEU used toda Omsludtons nd make Leeoltitiy, | the dakar population badd ay, done : shad . WE elu making estingty _ x waking prudiions willy te demic, Pee ont | + dba ubed 4 male. dettilors Jam. peliChes avd Baad cling Abpuit population basco tr ‘dample data. | Inoluslone> Bat, discs nd Srfearottal shalistics Ont finporbank troll fp aralftg dota fn mang pels) fneludlea, bibles ad Alt an. : 4) , olusesl ve prowilos a date | Mole eke tal atc puta took f predlfilfon’? absut 1 Ladegote fopelabion, Mahal re dail. i ded. i i d gy(Hipp Reticeen. Qadir and Soavibiel Stallion fr a Aah AR te helps te organtehaond [dt aliausto mr cooly tala A prt ard make Ph and, Cn ra ~ @» iP Di atad.b exjlahy Bu ha t BF cecunence Gow ae hl a “st dnp Jebathy Lu, aie te (> %® PORSON DISTRIBUTION -& rape prchabiliby (19 ty dimall that the feortlion has a Alpnikftans value for wag dmall mo. occurence (4) Show the distribudton of walt com be, imal ig. 4 Pelpaory detain?a. m6 : Peebakud Rls Peewee. xD doid Jo-haue a fephson A distur Yoondonn ved 7 i ie ub Portier, if haa @ Probab ibdy Hass te Ov Y ‘tf ee SCL) = POR) = De ‘ky Whew £5 Nudbor af oceeUenAL 22> Culor's Muboe 1 Padoal fusion D> PortiPue Roat remake avd 2, Agua ty the Cxpecled Value X and abrody jt vrdane, ark ee | Probl Rize MDabiy s | on Whoa Coldulott tle ‘ Hi ois fa 4 ; {40.23.4560 6 apa 1 ea candy Be a a AZ| | ) : Rad) '@ Becaum Te antiga exert tHE 4 Ore ovtfion food SG Per bod yeans r= 4 -A a 5. foe P (kevefow plied ay oe kf [ kl | : upoyears)= Ne _ 4%—* pt P(k=0 urd tovo-fiord Lal Ky op | : PUk=Lovrltnofiped ie soo yaurs)= ake tent a k] 4 = — i. ~ 2 = 101268 PU b=? owt tot ain doncyeans) = Prablion Os Pho mmo, of pastfols Cnrsttvel bot decerd, by Handory Hadlloacte ower das a Prisbor clfalut beclion. ceil, = 4, Coltulath £0 Pebability y % PAS kL Met tent a 2 oa -[0-184 oe 8 Lisblema Basted on Poison DaPoution ¢- y @ ©), POT=4) aval xa22 SUM het Ks dal 2 ee Pion dab, Huw PUY =0) =? PUt=4) = 2 P&=2)=7FCk)= P (=k) = te Gde18-~ pl¥s0) => oo je ——— Cyfitn) | P(x20) = ue = od = 0-048 PX) 27 ket ae Gior6- 1 rods Het = £xC028) = 0, 30 =2) & k=2, Amt PO=2) > yr —-* te ¥lo-048) A He = 46 X(0-018)_ 9, 24 2 at Patan Ow a pox tfoular Alot, Volto eruption oacurs 400 years ov owtiape. Caltrlatirthe prota te oi 4 Ond 2 Volta Aaeplioiy | te deo eo Bae, the falbton, Model 14 ‘trent otal Formule Plk)= P(xsk)= ae kson Medel. =? i Leaedi- pryae Yes AU Caso G4 tases? forkee Cienyr>= 4 for every son years (¥ ma POE” PFI) > Pyso)= 1 y0et e- OFF a = 01360 e 24g % [pto= ose | Lodi for kek PWO= POI 7 Pret) = He aot Ostnee 9 at) tho ee HIK)z 4 2 ogg ote fk) = P Ox k)=2 P(x=2) = Net get 2) aBoblunds Suppose a cerdiin Hare liacase accursed | cwerage Sima Lw 2 peopel * 400,000 thal Ah fhe Pobabddy that Ana wandomly choot groub a 5000 eeple Wave WELL be no tases A Atscese? Seen el HB= POI = Bak a L “Tee Probability of homily no Cadys of Che dincads 165 + (k= boc = P10) = vb ig 01 keo yd means> he |00,000, FES KS= 100 = igo ~dop = 100 -400 th A Hie Seon 1 Murer toe Pobahill of haha wo cases ah cthy Ahacase Jno pump of so usp soopaatr 3 Problenr t8-AA (allover fete ar, average Bealls | minute. oshats £4 the Li te Da tmaloly | chosen 2-ralecte Sileual , the cald conker wll sent, SCallee feeitue abliast Soluctons Lut ¥ Le theno-F calls, be Call , dn Q d-minute rhrwal . % : Ceeley Aecslig “Tho Khas a Prism © disbttutiry tue moans 4 NFex3 =6 2 feel TIM Probabildy % nececitre alttast 5 alls £45 | | P(xes) = do P(ax5) = * Pero trteprana spies ae a oFNO Pormuta for foiaton ishTbaLin=> — Cet) PHk)= plrek) = xe kf { Px=e et 96 6,0 Coe. = £ = 0-695 L zi 60. 4 6 = 6X00028 =O 149 ( ae 6» PO=2)= eS? = ©26 _ E* B py oc2S=0 0444 ab “a pucsy er. 8° aL pora= 8A" om Sot 4 Ff 6 3 v0.05 = 008tt — 6 roo = 0:1342 Hwee POC D=S) = 4-[b-oorsy +0149) +G.0un4) + loons) 6-01 P(x20) £ PO1) 4 P(X=2) 4+ POY=3) + POR Herren, rhe probabilfy of cette alliast 5 Us ty aeminut filowel 2° OHH. eS)heblem F¢ “fhe Wiese ber Mh Ceslomerwhooutir Plaga Atove per org fellovud a Pinson AGH bilten ust, | a Meow Of. what Lrfue probabil 4 that oF ractly 2 Cartons wiley ote, the Lime tna Selutions - Us fq 1 Febsson pebab tts Mans feunction = ea Fle) = PCr=a) = BD r Cin fe 2 da4F teen hows? Yo, HR) PU) = 42 ot <9 x e Wren) 2 ONES Flenee, phe Probability that of ereethy 2 Cte) ull eorter typ, bose, in 4 given hour, 25 04460 —— | oe |Telly the be tabidity fs Ptlon reat Cp ioy ILhe, Probability Jor obsercty og peaton, elacayca-n be eat mehel fom cle nating Of; pevwtfele dlaroy and Lhe appitalion, of foimon Adectif toy. Lhe hunber Of Petters Cry) Gan be mrotolod bey abe eo. Le t/a? N= Noe] —@ Mee Ve fo —33 aS CAS be be yen the i he Pecbabilty that Cord Proton willl eos Ln aryca, Ue, eyportioeatal btared Jor Proton, decay wes-tendor taker “because, of Be dmpUaiong of the rand’ Uniifitelion, Ue Lowrr bound farce Aipeltme 2s now prafecled Zo by ow 2 os of foe 7 *N called ab “cueay Contlant: “ands d0 dmall hones the, teporenticl Con be Seepridiedid by the fret tw stems aibie eepornttial derues s~ | Jee nae | 4emelne nacind) HEP — > Cromble t Para, punall kdnnple, the, ebsowvilion foto docay £3 Lefinttasfnal, buck Aupbote wt conbidorthe volume oF “The no df protory un sthetir wl us Atported, Boston Univedihy Ao be $5 10%? Rooboms: For ome yeast, of sbdoualin, Abe nor of epfected Proton Deen is bhen > N= Np- Noa i (oO N-Np =—Nort aia = a” means osee Mo-Nye (4-5 x10 patent) x (1 fear) Hyon | “th teabios, ° byork ts covered by | <1 About £0%b pf thy atoq amend LE ols . a ae we take {ual te be te norntinal | photo —detictar 4 felony of dotecttim tury Hut ebteruiliny of. prbton Leeay ven por yoor based On 40° qos Lif inne caw be epfredlesl: 7 Further io tonditlng proton eta haut hoo doen, | \- ‘Thera, Potroonr df provides a conmentente mitars for | Maing Lhe EmplicaLiony of, Fe cubtance of PUBL, Observations. PIE n=S, observa per Year Us the means, then thre | Potvin Aisbiduton jvc RUS ud that che probably for Le ebsewalion, 4 dscag > bw =e pid = Be? (diary =3 omdkeo) kl ol (ete ie Lod Je probated, Uifbrane of Ad Year Ts ov Lane: en At eg HR a mA“NORMAL DISTREBUTDON & BELL CURVES & ge) es, >In Ghali , he Mosel diiibudigncs clso Called Gaussian disbibutton” and A iu phe wort Algniiteads, Coilfnous bsobabildi, dithibuditn 4 > Sometimy this cbistridubon, aldo Called “BELL CURVE and Ahis dEDiibution comes wit a purfeetty dgmaneDuical tafe Symunebs teed Mnabe % biptbuttin froleates that tw didbution audvertin be Hutdled in tn vatollle do produce tivo eoual hala: > "Worymmebric shape ocerrs cohen one hall 6f He obswalins en tacle dle 6 EDL Cwe. ny atghash pot onthe ovwe (COtHe dsp pte ball, ‘pe b probable event in a dort data Mode and Mealien Srtlhis Gta), nytily all Ce sdoaees or dMDrBrudec onan poss AY deuseunsatl Alebing CLU WY On Cathy ond. eee, ¥ You callin Ae boll. cu debcrbed. by iit Standotd pein oy- _ lll + NORMAL DES TRDBUTTON FokMULA *t Pegs) | [te Pubability duntity {uation Of normal @o Gaussian bOsttabsttin [tH alvew by ¢ | ——S Soo= et) | lhe, > Vrvable 4p Aw Qeulalion Sh Send duulation J anode of bod (Standart Denton ?5) pied mhsonbonc son valuasadig wii nd. Cfven. by Empletial Forres aot denichon op > te wilt of Boll awe Z alescret 48 fui, HGardedpeubation, (SDP). es 5 “ho Sharrdarcd deulatton 2 @ meaturenent a quantify the veld ability of date dishosslnv,, Sn a Act Sf. given uabuioh around the pita» plans [he Supp to all date pints tates Phe wc WELL be found ob Doe LGphust fouct | on Bell Curve + Peal Ufpbonpla of Komal OUAthiion ss Qinpt > teetegat of pode low, enh @ aig Ase s- fin sling of ler al a good enemnbb 9, normal bfabtbaliin @ Tavig Alon. @ DA Scores © Mecduwmsd Err0r.. : —E Norra oleh buone NiORNAL DIS TRDBUTION PROBLEM ge) | Rebteme Cabtatate, the probability density ferelry ef ntial Afatedbetein, wslag cthe. followieg data. “ =3,tetand « >2) | Solution Givens Sone Mean) auet Cetin | normal dinted buihios >MOnITE- CARLO He 29 ‘t MONTE CARLO METHOD % AC The Monte Quo method ts a, tuthnhyue thal. rules hander, lamba dn dole, +papolems. ee , on enh Fes Example $~ BgbPndvon ofthe value of mathumahtal constant TU abing Mardom nuyrrbors, 7 Monte conte method ya/ 7 ben “patton a Wid? teads to fpltons a. patitleabah- CO dk defies a demain of jotslble opts - CC Guat dnpudd Janrd vim a pirobabl Ainufhcon our te aed, i “4 (2 Pfam a avterunilatetic Compuctshion on input - (4) Appregait we seu lt, Exctimeting st value, using Month-Carto Stimulation 8, Combis a. Aquat uiitirdtals tf lengtie 2A. Aieon 64 the Chucle. = Seley TA dhon the natio Las Ralf tom cate Mas of Spain fi | AK Stile = x 4 Ssqiuve, a a NY] AX Sede Sopuwe * ecDraws mang Ratt Kandimly sluctd, norte npaatesS ess? Pee = Boats blind te ch Squeaks nuijoin die Aquane Alrer ar 4X Sefele Sa yove TVs AX Sefete ps fot weBlbunicthe Cirle Saguae felt itimithenqunrg 3 Ab More and more pafett jure the Ayorl hab bun diavon, the appuotimdtion, Will oecere -bettve and better. SOuulations— T= 4 Rolnd withthe Chole, fof ~ vutlet the Aglare, { Tl = 4e2,_... 45 SBA 4% 664. £ AL B45 TW 2000, S44 BldCoe wa tivo fnportaut’ conttdonations 3 ~ © S$ Aw pects ae nat Luatferralip atthe biti ther He | Abptextmilonuil be poor - © Save ase many parts 0, % the appuertnation Li goal placed ay poor +4 only a fou peunts ate Kandomly fla the wholt dquasy. On average, thy ap pier fakin slr $00.04 as more fonts at flaceel. © ste Mande Canto mubhod, Simulation ts a mathemati Lethrbgue Brak pruclicts porsible avchornes of | Uneribauin event» : B) Combuttr brcgtiam subs thcs mothocl, 2 emalyze baked Ow a chatee of actor “ Seatiitin Ls am Tipohbant 40l4 because iA Alps to surety | HAL auntal And! ond pattnus . Ln a plan data act.” > Setuteet an be bel 56 Analysing dateand dba a DF Sk Com be hed : f sid p keels ead jae Jee eee —— Seae Na Geel Babie chin e Melfi Middle Vale Mode! “The Value had, mast oflen (1120) Fat 4 “naan, 28 Meant i aw im en wee tthe ar Blog by the x - Te tepeae =\¢ a pt slic? eg olddata Vutec. QB-F =24 Standard Qeulelidre— 95. ir bie wae ahi hth mrad vabiictien sot values. inoee id Lndieats he BAe Noles — do be tse, doting, A la 8 fafa ok 14 las on ied oer wilde Hange- E:" ccm ilaieal tear, | [= Fes > theVadauee raweaun hak drdicrbs tov nach dake dtattr around dhe Mean, Oufjoroner tation Duadptiver and. chperuckiol Stati Oesauptive Sefcrerttal. © Orgarigert, & Aurmi Oui Scope olauba 4D decker using nuuburd hs make an Li ao @ one hidars 5 % ake tes ~Bar Gecipts © ies ppobabrrlaty to detonate Hiplaprams PieCheslt fe by rn he Con. be thal The tonlusions we mate ae epbrect. a 4