Survey of Likely Primary Election Voters

North Carolina Congressional District 10

Conducted February 14 – 15, 2024
n=420 | ±4.77%
Q1. Open Primary Selection: As you may know, in North Carolina you can choose which primary you want to
vote in on election day. Which primary do you plan on voting in for the March 2024 primaries for U.S.
Congress and other statewide and local offices?
Freq. %
The Republican primary 420 100.0%
The Democrat primary 0 0.0%
I do NOT plan to vote in the March 2024 0 0.0%
primary election
Unsure 0 0.0%
Total 420 100.0%

Q2. Vote Method: How do you plan to vote in the March 2024 Republican primary election for President and
Congress?
Freq. %
Definitely vote 253 60.2%

Probably vote 167 39.8%

Vote in-person on Election Day 198 47.1%

Definitely vote in-person on Election Day 137 32.5%
Probably vote in-person on Election Day 61 14.6%

Vote absentee by mail 9 2.2%

Definitely vote absentee by mail 6 1.4%
Probably vote absentee by mail 3 0.8%

Vote early in-person 213 50.7%

Definitely vote early in-person 110 26.2%
Probably vote early in-person 103 24.5%

Unsure 0 0.0%
Total 420 100.0%

Q3. Top Priority Federal GOP Primary: Which one of the following issues is the most important to you in the
Republican primary election for U.S. Congress?
Freq. %
Illegal immigration and border 183 43.5%
Inflation and economy 92 22.0%
National security 59 14.1%
Election integrity 25 6.0%
Crime and public safety 11 2.6%
Pro-life protections 10 2.3%
Gun rights 7 1.7%
Parental voice in education 3 0.8%
Woke corporations 2 0.6%
Unsure 27 6.4%
Total 420 100.0%

Q4. NC-10 Primary Ballot: Thinking about the March 2024 Republican primary election... If the 2024
Republican primary election for Congress was held today, and you had to vote for one of these candidates,
who would you vote for?
Freq. %
Pat Harrigan 77 18.4%
Charles Eller 6 1.5%
Diana Jimison 3 0.6%

Page 1 of 5
 Brooke McGowan 5 1.2%
Grey Mills 85 20.3%
Undecided 243 58.0%
Total 420 100.0%

Q5 - Q7. Images: For each of the following, please indicate if you have heard of the person, and if you have,
whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. If you haven’t heard of a name, choose so.
Very No
Fav Very Fav Unfav Unfav opinion NHO NET Fav
72.6% 58.0% 24.3% 19.1% 2.7% 0.4%
Donald Trump 48.2%
305 244 102 80 11 2
35.7% 11.1% 19.7% 7.8% 31.6% 13.0%
Pat Harrigan 16.0%
150 47 83 33 133 55
32.9% 12.9% 10.8% 5.3% 28.7% 27.6%
Grey Mills 22.2%
138 54 45 22 121 116

Q8. Gender
Freq. %
Female 213 50.6%
Male 207 49.4%
Total 420 100.0%

Q9. Age Range

Freq. %
Under 65 234 55.8%
18 - 49 100 23.9%
50 - 64 134 31.9%

65 and Over 186 44.2%

65 - 74 102 24.3%
75+ 84 19.9%
Total 420 100.0%

Q10. Partisanship by Registration

Freq. %
Republican 302 71.8%
Democrat 0 0.0%
Unaffiliated/Non-partisan 94 22.3%
Other 9 2.2%
Unsure 16 3.7%
Total 420 100.0%

Q11. Ideology
Freq. %
Conservative 340 80.9%
Extremely conservative 72 17.1%
Very conservative 162 38.6%
Somewhat conservative 106 25.2%

Moderate 58 13.7%

Liberal 6 1.4%

Unsure 17 4.0%
Total 420 100.0%

Page 2 of 5
Q12. Trump vs Trad GOP
Freq. %
Trump Republican 232 55.1%
Much more a Trump Republican 156 37.1%
Somewhat more a Trump Republican 76 18.0%

Traditional conservative Republican 165 39.4%

Somewhat more a traditional 89 21.2%
conservative Republican
Much more a traditional conservative 76 18.1%
Republican

Unsure 23 5.5%
Total 420 100.0%

Q13. Education Level

Freq. %
No degree 255 60.8%
Some high school 5 1.1%
High school diploma/GED 62 14.8%
Technical Certification 17 4.0%
Some college or Associate's Degree 172 40.9%

At least College 162 38.6%

Four-year undergraduate or Bachelor's 101 24.1%
Degree
Graduate degree or further 61 14.5%

Unsure 2 0.6%
Total 420 100.0%

Q14. Primary Election X of 4

Freq. %
0 of 4 0 0.0%
1 of 4 168 40.0%
2 of 4 118 28.1%
3 of 4 83 19.7%
4 of 4 51 12.2%
Total 420 100.0%

Q15. Geo - County

Freq. %
North CD10 130 31.1%
Forsyth 90 21.4%
Yadkin 41 9.7%

Central CD10 - Iredell 120 28.6%

South CD10 170 40.4%

Catawba 104 24.8%
Lincoln 65 15.6%
Total 420 100.0%

Q16. Geo - House District

Freq. %
71 15 3.6%
72 15 3.5%

Page 3 of 5
 74 30 7.1%
75 8 1.8%
77 41 9.7%
84 51 12.2%
89 62 14.7%
91 23 5.4%
95 58 13.8%
96 53 12.7%
97 65 15.6%
Total 420 100.0%

Q17. Geo - DMA

Freq. %
Charlotte 287 68.2%
Greensboro-H. Point-W. Salem 129 30.8%
Bakersfield 1 0.2%
Unknown 3 0.7%
Total 420 100.0%

Q18. Community Type

Freq. %
Suburban 258 61.5%
Urban 3 0.7%
Rural 159 37.8%
Total 420 100.0%

Q19. Income from File

Freq. %
$0-$49k 69 16.5%
$50k-$99k 207 49.4%
$100k+ 139 33.1%
Unknown 4 0.9%
Total 420 100.0%

Q20. Gender + Age

Freq. %
F 18 - 49 47 11.2%
F 50 - 64 71 16.9%
F 65 - 74 51 12.0%
F 75+ 44 10.5%
M 18 - 49 53 12.6%
M 50 - 64 63 15.0%
M 65 - 74 52 12.3%
M 75+ 40 9.4%
Total 420 100.0%

Q21. Gender + Education

Freq. %
Female At least College 81 19.3%
Female No degree 130 31.0%
Male At least College 81 19.3%
Male No degree 125 29.8%
Unsure 2 0.6%
Total 420 100.0%

Page 4 of 5
METHODOLOGY
This probabilistic survey was conducted February 14 – 15, 2024, with 420 likely primary election voters. It has a margin
of error of ±4.77%. Known registered voters were interviewed via online panel and SMS. This survey was weighted to a
likely primary election voter universe.

ABOUT THE FIRM

Cygnal is an award-winning international polling, public opinion, and predictive analytics firm that pioneered multi-mode
polling, text-to-web collection, and emotive analysis. Cygnal consistently ranks as the most accurate firm, and clients
rely on Cygnal’s ability to create intelligence for action. Its team members have worked in all 50 states and multiple
countries on more than 3,000 corporate, public affairs, and political campaigns.

Page 5 of 5