Aoi 2021 03 236
Aoi 2021 03 236
Aoi 2021 03 236
14639/0392-100X-N1412
Thyroid
SUMMARY
Objective. The incidence of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) has increased in recent
years and its treatment remains controversial. The objective of this study is to identify
clinicopathological predictive factors of tumour recurrence.
Methods. We retrospectively analysed 4,085 patients who underwent thyroidectomy for
PTC from 1996 to 2015. Patients were stratified according to American Thyroid Associa-
tion (ATA) risk categories and clinicopathological features were evaluated to identify inde-
pendent factors for recurrence.
Results. After a mean follow-up of 58.7 (range 3-256.5) months, tumour recurrence was
diagnosed in 176 (4.3%) patients, mostly in lymph nodes. Distant metastasis occurred in 18
patients (0.4%). There were 3 (0.1%) cancer-related deaths. Multivariate analysis showed
that tumour size >10 mm, multifocality, extrathyroidal extension and lymph node metas-
tasis (all, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for recurrence. Further, recurrence was
Received: January 23, 2021
identified in 1.6% of the ATA low-risk, 7.4% of the intermediate-risk and 22.7% of the
Accepted: April 16, 2021
high-risk patients (P < 0.001).
Conclusions. In PTC patients, tumour size >10 mm, multifocality, extrathyroidal extension
Correspondence
and presence of lymph node metastasis as well as the ATA recurrence staging system ef-
Andre Ywata de Carvalho
fectively predict recurrence. A.C. Camargo Cancer Center. Rua Professor Anto-
KEY WORDS: thyroid, papillary carcinoma, recurrence, survival nio Prudente, 211, 01509-010, Sao Paulo, Brazil
Tel. +55 11 2189-5172
E-mail: [email protected]
RIASSUNTO
Obiettivo. L’incidenza del carcinoma papillare tiroideo (PTC) è aumentata negli ultimi Funding
anni e il suo trattamento rimane controverso. L’obiettivo di questo studio è identificare i None.
fattori predittivi clinicopatologici di recidiva tumorale.
Metodi. Abbiamo analizzato retrospettivamente 4.085 pazienti sottoposti a tiroidectomia Conflict of interest
per PTC dal 1996 al 2015. I pazienti sono stati stratificati in base alle categorie di rischio The Authors declare no conflict of interest.
dell’American Thyroid Association (ATA) e le caratteristiche clinicopatologiche sono state
valutate per identificare fattori indipendenti di recidiva. How to cite this article: Ywata de Carvalho
Risultati. Dopo un follow-up medio di 58,7 (range, 3-256,5) mesi, la recidiva del tumore A, Kohler HF, Gomes CC, et al. Predictive fac-
è stata diagnosticata in 176 pazienti (4,3%), principalmente nei linfonodi. Metastasi a di- tors for recurrence of papillary thyroid carci-
stanza si sono verificate in 18 pazienti (0,4%). Ci sono stati 3 (0,1%) decessi correlati al noma: analysis of 4,085 patients. Acta Otorhi-
cancro. L’analisi multivariata ha mostrato che le dimensioni del tumore > 10 mm, la multi- nolaryngol Ital 2021;41:236-242. https://doi.
focalità, l’estensione extratiroidea e le metastasi linfonodali (tutti, P < 0,001) erano fattori org/10.14639/0392-100X-N1412
di rischio indipendenti per la recidiva. Inoltre, la recidiva è stata identificata nell’1,6% dei
pazienti ATA a basso rischio, nel 7,4% dei pazienti a rischio intermedio e nel 22,7% dei © Società Italiana di Otorinolaringoiatria
pazienti ad alto rischio (P < 0,001). e Chirurgia Cervico-Facciale
Conclusioni. Nei pazienti con PTC, la dimensione del tumore > 10 mm, la multifocalità,
l’estensione extratiroidea e la presenza di metastasi linfonodali, nonché il sistema di sta- OPEN ACCESS
diazione delle recidive ATA, predicono efficacemente la recidiva. This is an open access article distributed in accordance with
the CC-BY-NC-ND (Creative Commons Attribution-Non-
PAROLE CHIAVE: tiroide, carcinoma papillare, recidiva, sopravvivenza Commercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International) license. The
article can be used by giving appropriate credit and mentio-
ning the license, but only for non-commercial purposes and
only in the original version. For further information: https://
creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.en
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Table III. Univariate and multivariate cancer-recurrence logistic regression analyses of PTC patients.
Univariate analysis Multivariate analysis
HR (95% CI) P-value HR (95% CI) P-value
Male gender 1.79 (1.29-2.48) 0.001
Age < 55 years 1.65 (1.09-2.51) 0.018
Tumour size > 10 mm 2.91 (2.13-3.95) < 0.001 1.68 (1.21-2.33) 0.002
Multifocality 2.04 (1.51-2.74) < 0.001 1.48 (1.10-2.01) 0.01
Bilaterality 1.77 (1.30-2.42) < 0.001
Extrathyroidal extension
Yes 3.16 (2.35-4.26) < 0.001 1.57 (1.14-2.16) 0.006
Minor 1.71 (1.15-2.55) 0.008
Gross 7.65 (5.39-10.86) < 0.001
Aggressive histology 2.17 (1.28-3.69) 0.004
Lympho-vascular invasion 3.07 (1.71-5.54) < 0.001
Lymph node metastasis 6.87 (5.09-9.26) < 0.001 4.74 (3.41-6.61) < 0.001
Chronic thyroiditis 0.84 (0.61-1.16) 0.287
HR and 95% CI estimated by COX regression models.
autopsy specimens is as high as 35.6% 8 and a similar high recurrence because of removal of all potential foci in both
frequency of incidental PTC is seen in 7.2% of thyroid lobes 14. However, salvage resection is quite effective in the
glands surgically resected for benign diseases 9. In our se- few patients that recur and the surgical risks of two-stage
ries, PTC increased significantly over the years, most been procedure (lobectomy followed by completion thyroidec-
nonpalpable tumours incidentally diagnosed during neck tomy) are similar to those following bilateral thyroidec-
radiologic procedures, such as ultrasonography or comput- tomy 6.
ed tomography performed during follow-up due to other Due to a high incidence of multifocality and lymph node
cancers. metastasis in the level VI, some authors recommend a total
Studies analyzing PTC of all sizes described recurrence thyroidectomy and concomitant central lymph node dis-
rates ranging from 6.6 to 28% 3,10. In our series, we found section (CLND) in patients with clinically node negative
a low recurrence rate (4.3%), which is probably influenced (cN0) PTC to avoid reoperation or reduce locoregional
by a high percentage (62.1%) of papillary thyroid micro- recurrence 15. However, routine elective CLND might in-
carcinomas (PTMC) which are defined as carcinomas ≤ 1 crease the risk of postoperative complications, especially
cm. Recurrence was more frequently identified following permanent hypocalcaemia 16. In fact, microscopic nodal
thyroidectomy in patients with tumours >1 cm compared disease is rarely of clinical importance since it often re-
with PTMC (7.3% versus 2.5%). In a meta-analysis includ- mains quiescent or subsequent RAI administration ablates
ing 6,839 PTMC patients, Yi et al. found a recurrence rate these occult foci. Based on 2015 ATA guidelines, prophy-
of 2.8% 11, very similar to ours. As we know, PTMCs are lactic CLND must be indicated only in cN0 patients who
less aggressive 12 and most thyroid nodules < 1 cm should have advanced primary tumours (T3 or T4) 6.
not undergo fine-needle aspiration (FNA). Furthermore, Most authors 17, but not all 18, agree that post thyroidec-
most of our patients (83.9%) had asymptomatic or inciden- tomy RAI is not beneficial in reducing cancer recurrence
tal PTC which demonstrate a much lower recurrence rate or mortality in low-risk and some intermediate-risk PTC
than symptomatic or nonincidental tumours 13. patients. Since no long-term randomised trials were identi-
Another possible reason for the low recurrence rate ob- fied, conclusions are limited to observational studies. Most
served in this series is that most patients were submitted of our patients received RAI, with the purpose of destroy-
to total thyroidectomy, based on patient preference and ing foci of micrometastatic disease in intermediate-high
clinical criteria such as previous neck irradiation, hypo- risk tumours or making follow-up easier by improving the
thyroidism, familial predisposition, bilateral nodularity sensitivity of thyroglobulin.
or as a strategy to simplify follow-up. Some investigators As expected, the majority of our PTC patients had recur-
favour total thyroidectomy, as an appropriate initial treat- rence in lymph nodes: 30.1% exclusively in level VI; 42%
ment for PTC, with the advantage of providing lower local in lateral neck levels; and 17.6% in both, central and lat-
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Predictive factors for recurrence of papillary thyroid carcinoma
eral compartment nodes. Distant metastases were seen in tients presented an aggressive histology, most with diffuse
18 (10.2%) of recurrent patients: 12 had lung metastases sclerosing (1.9%), solid (1.1%) or tall cell (0.7%) variants.
only, 4 had bone metastases only, and 2 had lung and bone We found that histological variants of PTC were associated
metastases. Of note, all 3 cancer-related deaths were asso- with a more aggressive behaviour than the classic form and
ciated to progression of lung metastases. we agree with other authors 24 that patients with these vari-
Several clinicopathologic factors have been described ants should be treated intensively with total thyroidectomy
in literature to predict recurrence of PTC 19: age, gender and postoperative RAI, regardless of status of the regional
male, tumour diameter >1 cm, aggressive histological vari- lymph nodes.
ants, multifocality, capsular invasion or absence of tumour The 2017 TNM (tumor, node, metastasis) staging system
capsule, extrathyroidal extension, lymph node metastases, from American Joint Cancer Committee/Union Interna-
proportion of metastasised and removed nodes at first op- tionale Contre le Cancer (AJCC/UICC) is adequately used
eration > 0.5, extranodal extension, vascular invasion, mu- to predict disease-specific mortality 25. Since death is un-
tated BRAF and TERT and non-incidental diagnosis. In a common following management of PTC patients, we also
review of 5,768 PTC patients, Ito et al. found recurrence use the American Thyroid Association (ATA) clinicopatho-
and cancer-specific death rates of 9.6% and 1%, respective- logic staging system to provide initial estimates of risk of
ly. Age older than 55 years, male gender, tumour size > 2 recurrence and thus improve clinical decision making. In
cm, extrathyroidal extension and clinical node metastasis our cancer center, the relatively high proportion of low-risk
were independent predictors of recurrence 20. Additionally, (66.7%) or intermediate-risk (28.1%) patients probably re-
in a meta-analysis including 7,048 PTMC patients, Guo et flects the great number of PTMC incidentally discovered.
al. found that male gender, extrathyroidal extension, lymph Recurrence was identified in 1.6% of the low-risk, 7.4% of
node metastasis, distant metastasis, tumour size greater the intermediate-risk and 22.7% of the high-risk patients
than 2 cm and subtotal thyroidectomy were independent (P < 0.001). Consistent with previous publications, our
risk factors for recurrence. data confirm that the risk of recurrence can be effectively
Our univariate analysis showed that, except for chronic predicted based on ATA staging system.
lymphocytic thyroiditis, all clinicopathologic factors ana- Some limitations of this retrospective study are mainly re-
lysed were associated with a risk of cancer recurrence. On lated to selection bias. Recommendations on treatment and
multivariate analyses tumour size > 10 mm, multifocality, intensity and frequency of follow-up visits and tests varied
extrathyroidal extension and mainly presence of lymph from patient to patient based on individual surgeons and pa-
node metastasis pathologically confirmed were indepen- tient preferences and not on an institutional protocol. This
dently associated with relapse of disease. Patients with would lead to an increased diagnose of recurrent disease in
lymph node metastases had almost 5 times greater risk of intermediate to high-risk patients than the less rigorous test-
relapse than pN0 patients. These findings can be explained ing paradigm often used in low-risk patients. Furthermore,
by the strong association between most of the clinical and important prognostic variables included in the updated ver-
pathological features analysed and the development of re- sion of the 2015 ATA risk stratification system, such as the
gional metastases. Accordingly, previous meta-analyses re- number and dimension of lymph node metastases, were not
vealed that central lymph node metastasis in PTC patients assessed in this study. Finally, a median follow-up period of
are associated with male gender, younger age (< 45 years), 58.7 months may be too short as some patients with a less
larger tumour size, multifocality, extrathyroidal exten- aggressive disease may manifest clinically significant recur-
sion and lympho-vascular invasion, but not with chronic rence many years following initial therapy.
lymphocytic thyroiditis 21. In effect, Qu et al. found that In summary, our data confirm that some clinicopathologi-
lymphocytic thyroiditis resulted in decreased risk of lymph cal factors such as tumour size > 10 mm, multifocality, ex-
node metastasis 22. Additionally, So et al. in a systematic trathyroidal extension and mainly presence of lymph node
review of 18,741 patients, found that level VI lymph node metastasis at diagnosis, as well as ATA recurrence stag-
metastases were the most important predictive factor for ing system, effectively predicts recurrence, thus providing
involvement of lymph nodes in the lateral compartment 23. valuable information that can help to individualise clinical
Thus, the presence of lymph node metastases at initial di- management and follow-up for PTC patients.
agnosis is the best predictive factor for the risk of locore-
gional recurrence in PTC patients.
Many histological variants of PTC have been described
Acknowledgements
based on histological differences, mainly the characteris- This work was supported by the A. C. Camargo Cancer
tics of tumour cell nuclei. In our series, only 164 (4%) pa- Center, Fundação Antonio Prudente, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
241
A. Ywata de Carvalho et al.
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