Rim-Kwon - AI in Statistics 2023
Rim-Kwon - AI in Statistics 2023
Rim-Kwon - AI in Statistics 2023
; Kwon, Youngsun
Conference Paper
Collecting, generating and analyzing national statistics
with AI: what benefits and costs?
Suggested Citation: Rim, Maria J.; Kwon, Youngsun (2023) : Collecting, generating and analyzing
national statistics with AI: what benefits and costs?, 32nd European Conference of the International
Telecommunications Society (ITS): "Realising the digital decade in the European Union – Easier said
than done?", Madrid, Spain, 19th - 20th June 2023, International Telecommunications Society (ITS),
Calgary
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Collecting, generating and analyzing national statistics with AI: what benefits and
costs?
Maria J. Rim*
Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, [email protected]
Youngsun Kwon
Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, [email protected]
ABSTRACT
The paper addresses the increasing adoption of digital transformation in public sector organizations, mainly focusing on its impact on
national statistical offices. The emergence of data-driven strategies powered by artificial intelligence (AI) disrupts the conventional labour-
intensive approaches of NSOs. This necessitates a delicate balance between real-time information and statistical accuracy, leading to
exploring AI applications such as machine learning in data processing. Despite its potential benefits, the cooperation between AI and
human resources requires in-depth examination to leverage their combined strengths effectively. The paper proposes an integrative review
and multi-case study approach to comprehensively contribute to a deeper understanding of the benefits and costs of AI adoption in national
statistical processes, facilitate the acceleration of digital transformation, and provide valuable insights for policymakers and practitioners
in optimizing the use of AI in collecting, generating and analyzing national statistics.
Keywords: Digital transformation, national statistics, artificial intelligence, human resources, data-driven strategy
1 INTRODUCTION
Processing raw data into information is at the core of digital transformation strategies (Klimczak & Fryczak, 2022). The
amount of data generated by the public sector, businesses and individuals is growing at a rate that could not be processed
without technological advances (Yung, Wesley et al., 2018). Moreover, the necessity of data-driving strategies at the
organizations' core has imposed the adoption of machine-intensive and automation strategies powered by artificial
intelligence (AI) technologies (Chu & Poirier, 2015; UNECE, 2021; Yung, Wesley et al., 2018). The advances in AI tools
and the more affordable cost of technologies enabling AI were expected to have more impact on the widely used AI in
organizations. Prior research shows that organizations' efforts are falling short of being engaged in core practices
supporting widespread AI adoption (Fountaine et al., 2019).
Historically, processing data into information as a core practice in an organization with national and international
official significance has been the job of statistical institutes in each country (UN, 2022). These institutions oversee
capturing, analyzing, and generating official national statistics. Unlike other government agencies, National Statistics
Offices (NSOs) are governed by the Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics (UN Statistical Commission), making
them internationally comparable. At the same time, each organization's technological development is governed by each
country's context. Understanding the differences and similarities between NSOs worldwide generates a unique perspective
for data-driving strategies in digital transformation in the public sector.
On the other hand, data-driving strategies for adopting machine-intensive and automation strategies are particularly
relevant for NSOs as their traditional, labour-intensive statistics-generating methods may face disruption from AI
technologies necessary for exponential data growth. As NSOs explore the application of machine learning in tasks such as
editing, imputation, categorization, and coding to support their conventional processes, they must carefully navigate the
trade-off between real-time information and the accuracy and reliability of their existing statistical outputs (Julien, Claude
et al., 2020).
Furthermore, contrary to the expectation of reduced labour, more qualified personnel were required, from data
preparation to algorithm testing (Chu & Poirier, 2015; Julien, Claude et al., 2020; UNECE, 2021). Therefore, a
collaboration between AI and human resources has the potential benefit to improve efficiency and reduce errors in national
statistics tasks, but the cost related to training people and data (Chu & Poirier, 2015; Julien, Claude et al., 2020; UNECE,
2021). To address these needs, we explore the theory of digital transformation by AI, the skills required for AI data
production strategies, and the effects of AI adoption through a contrast of existing knowledge and an exploratory case
study of the adoption of AI in national statistics offices.
We propose using an integrative review method combined with a multi-case study to comprehend the context in which
AI has been utilized for statistics offices. The integrative review allows for the analysis of the progression of digital
transformation and its immediate implications for practice and policy. This comprehensive approach provides a framework
for the optimal transition path from ongoing digitization to a sustainable digital transformation of NSOs. Additionally, the
multi-case study allows us to establish a foundation for developing an early-stage theory and constructing measures related
to the alternative uses of AI in data-driven strategies, as well as the skills required for human resources to collaborate with
AI in a national statistic production. We focused on the machine learning project by the UNECE High-Level Group for the
Modernisation of Official Statistics, which aims to gain insights and address the research questions related to the benefits
and costs of using AI to collect, generate, and analyze national statistics.
In the following, section 2) provides the theoretical background of digital transformation, AI and data-driven strategies
in NSOs by conducting an integrative review; section 3) describes fifteen machine learning cases in NSOs using the
theoretical background found in the previous section. Finally, section 4) concludes by synthesizing the findings and
propositions that can be tested in future research.
2
combines systematic techniques with the flexibility of including different types of research, experimental or no
experimental, qualitative or quantitative (Torraco, 2005, 2016). Furthermore, it provides a holistic point of view for the
research concepts (Torraco, 2005, 2016).
Drawing inspiration from Torraco's (2005, 2016) and Whittemore and Knafl's (2005) approach, this paper will employ
the following phases of the integrative review: (1) define the concept of digital transformation and artificial intelligence to
provide the scope and the boundaries of the review, (2) search the literature, including the techniques for determining
relevant primary sources, (3) select and classify the relevant literature and display the results of this review.
3
case of NSOs, this means identifying the key factors that link AI trends to the needs of stakeholders. While AI has thus far
been used in NSOs to support data-driven strategies (i.e. digitalization), true digital transformation requires discovering
new roles and creating new value (PARIS21, 2022).
Digitalization generally denotes integrating digital technology as a tool in the operational process. Therefore, AI tools
are related to the increased digitalization of the organization and are less dependent on the industry. For example, an image
recognition AI tool can diagnose the health industry (Wirtz et al., 2021) and estimate crop yields in statistics-related
industries (Chu & Poirier, 2015). Conversely, digital transformation signifies a shift in business operations where the core
of the business model revolves around a continuous culture of digital innovation (Saldanha, 2019). Consequently, digital
transformation is a more industry-dependent concept than digitalization because business model varies by industry, so its
definition is preferable to take from articles related to statistical production:
Digital transformation is to produce action-oriented knowledge for sectoral experts and decision-makers
through improved collection, processing, aggregation and contextualization of raw data into statistical
information ( PARIS21, 2022, p. 29)
Digital transformation aims to…looking holistically at the processes at stake within the institution. A digital
transformation is a fundamental change in the way statistics are produced (Paris21, 2022, p. 27).
From this definition, changes in the technology available to produce action-oriented knowledge affect the expectations
of statistical users from the public, private, and civil society (UN, 2022). In this regard, Mergel et al. (2019) point out that
increasingly more users expect high-quality statistics, more detail and more immediate. The traditional production of
statistics contemplates improving computer systems to evolve according to users' needs (UN, 2003); however, because AI
competes at the core of the purpose of statistical offices, this new technology is changing the entire landscape of NSOs
(MacFeely, 2016). Leveraging the potential of information technologies can drive innovation of new products and
processes (UN, 2022), but it must be aligned with the business model of NSOs for its sustainable digital transformation.
4
Table 1: AI+ Digital transformation: Topics and selected papers.
Lastly, extensive research was conducted on the latest publications from statistical offices and international
organizations to address the topic of AI and Digital Transformation comprehensively applied to NSOs. This step was
prompted primarily by the impact of COVID-19, which has led many NSOs to initiate their digitization and digitalization
strategies. A few NSOs from developed countries have also ventured into digital transformation strategies. As a result, this
integrative review includes an additional four articles from organizations closely associated with NSOs Digital
Transformation of National Statistical Offices (PARIS21, 2022), Handbook on Management and Organization of National
Statistical Systems (UN, 2022), Handbook on Methodology of Modern Business Statistics (Karlberg, 2017), Machine
Learning for Official Statistics (UNECE, 2021).
5
analytics, and advanced analytics (Dąbrowska et al., 2022). Even if it is not clear if the development of the country and the
positive impact on the labour market is the cause or effect of a successful digital transformation, the initial awareness of
the use of AI in NSO must include a careful analysis of the country context in terms of data, workflow, people and their
respective laws.
At the organizational level, AI impacts differently at different stages of adoption. Generally, an organization can be
classified based on its maturity in three stages: sensing-perceiving, adopting a reacting, and envisioning (Elia & Margherita,
2022). In addition, it is crucial to identify key dimensions of the organization related to cognition (decisions at the
management level), routine (the place of employees) or organizational forms (culture) that will affect the way the
organization goes through the digital transformation by evolutive or transformative, responding or shaping the ecosystem
(Volberda et al., 2021). Unlike other technologies, AI has particular requirements that add the need to define roles and
responsibilities between humans and artificial intelligence (Sandkuhl & Rittelmeyer, 2022). Unfortunately, for the sake of
generalization, authors referring to this level of analysis have opted for a case study. Still, as we demonstrate in the
following section, the stages of maturation can also be used to analyze AI adoption in NSO.
At the individual level, various factors associated with digital transformation encompass perceptions and attitudes
towards new technology, skills and training, workplace dynamics, and adaptability. The Handbook of Management of
NSO (UN, 2022) emphasizes the importance of understanding the necessary skills for present and future needs and critical
principles like data access, exchange capabilities, innovative production methods, and continuity. Hence, IT management
should foster agile, flexible, and collaborative workplaces (UN, 2022). Analyzing factors at the individual level, such as
leadership models, human resources management, and integration with working groups, becomes crucial (Trenerry et al.,
2021). Managers need to differentiate between simple decision-making, which is more likely to be replaced by AI, and
skills related to complex decision-making, knowledge, and handling pressure, which will be more likely to be augmented
by AI (Giraud et al., 2022). Lastly, top management support and organizational readiness are as critical as establishing
trust between employees and AI (Giraud et al., 2022).
Proposition 1: Given each country's context in terms of economic development (data-driven technologies), workflow
(labour productivity), and people (aggregated employment), the benefits and costs of AI adoption are conditional on the
presence of the following factors at each stage of adoption maturity: Skills and training, Workplace dynamic, Adaptability,
Collaboration, Complexity of decision solved by AI.
6
clear evidence of what factor can accelerate the process, but the readiness of a country's infrastructure is a good starting
point for encouraging all industries (including those related to data processing) to move towards the pace of digital
transformation.
At the organizational level, two examples were found related to the impact of AI in the public sector. The case study
in Norwegian municipalities shows that employees' good reception tools were related to citizens' consultation and
system/data quality integration (Mikalef et al., 2019). These two are among the most crucial factors to advance in AI uses
in the public sector (Mikalef et al., 2019). In the case of expert consultation in organizations from Spain's public
administration, Sobrino-Garcia (2021) evaluated the insufficient legislation to make AI safer to avoid negative societal
impacts in opacity, legal uncertainty, biases, or personal data protection.
Other authors see AI adoption that may add value to organizational activities, boundaries and goals (Holmström,
2022), either in the present or future. Business model organizations can be affected quickly by changes in the process or
artefacts coming from external pressure (Mergel et al., 2019). Conversely, internal pressure has more impact in the long
term if it involves changes in the organizational culture, competencies, and mindset (Mergel et al., 2019).
At the individual level, Ahn and Chen (2022) conducted a study examining the understanding and perceptions of
government employees regarding various AI technologies, including their long-term societal impact, relationship with
human workers, and appropriate functions within the government. Adding to this analysis, Fedorets et al. (2022) explored
the direct and indirect effects of technological exposure on job quality, considering changes in the workplace, working
hours, autonomy, and stress levels. Furthermore, Kolade and Owoseni (2022) discovered that the percentage of German
employees at risk of automation decreased from 47% to 15% when analyzing tasks rather than occupations. Lastly, in
addition to employee engagement with AI, one notable difference between AI-related technologies and other ICT tools is
the increasing involvement of stakeholders in the adoption process, enhancing the value of final services and products. The
significance of networks becomes crucial due to internal skill and budget constraints (van Noordt & Misuraca, 2022).
Proposition 2: Given each country's context in terms of ICT measurements, Government R&D, Appropriability strategy,
Information source strategy, and R&D cooperation, the benefits and costs of AI adoption are more likely to transform the
business model if the following factors are considered: Citizen consultation, System/Data quality integration, Internal
legislation by inducing a business model project including Job Quality, Automation, and Stakeholders involvement
analysis.
The following table summarizes the key factors mentioned in the selected papers.
7
Table 2: Key factors from the selected papers (continued).
(Elia & Margherita, 2022; Sandkuhl & Rittelmeyer, (Mergel et al., 2019; Mikalef et al., 2019; Sobrino-
2022; Volberda et al., 2021) García, 2021)
(Giraud et al., 2022; Trenerry et al., 2021; UN, 2022) (Ahn & Chen, 2022; Fedorets et al., 2022; Kolade &
Owoseni, 2022; van Noordt & Misuraca, 2022)
We propose a multiple case study to explore, with concrete examples, how the benefits, costs and subsequent success of
adopting artificial intelligence (AI) to collect, generate or analyze data in National Statistical Offices (NSOs) were affected
by the factors and relationships obtained in the above literature review. Using case study methodology, we focus on
understanding the dynamics within a single setting by combining different sources of information such as archives and
observations (Eisenhardt, 1989).
We follow two simplified steps based on Eisenhardt (1989): 1) Initial definition of research settings, 2) Analyzing the
cases by developing an early-stage theory and constructing measures related to the alternative uses of AI in data-driven
strategies, as well as the skills required for human resources to collaborate with AI in a national statistic production.
8
From the list of ML projects on the official page of HLG-MOS, fifteen cases were selected among those who presented
the report between 2020 and 20211. Information referencing uses, skills and effects on workers, accuracy, reliability and
timely were extracted. Projects that do not contain complete information regarding the goal, cost, benefits, and current and
future steps were excluded.
The 15 cases were organized by AI tool for classification and coding (cases 1-6, 11 and 13), editing and imputation
(cases 7-9, and 15), and imagery (cases 10, 12, and 14); and by three stages of development: exploratory (cases 1-4, 7 and
14), proof of concept (cases 5, 6, 8, 9, 12, 13, and 15), and in production (cases 10 and 11). Only projects "in production"
were considered successfully developed. Finally, cases aiming to complement or improve the performance of existing
procedures (cases 1-11) were more frequent than those introducing new services (cases 12-15).
1
See the list of selected case studies Annex 2
9
services. The new services examples are related to predicting during non-census years (case 14) or exploitation on a new
source of data such as register-based (case 15) or web-scaping (case 13), or imagery (case 12). The key factors mentioned
in these projects are related to external consultation and storage infrastructure.
Cases from 12 to 15 show evidence for Preposition 2. The benefits related to transforming the business model were
the exploration of new sources of raw data to generate new values that complement the existing statistics during non-survey
periods. The consultation with stakeholders ensures that the added value is evaluated and considered by specific users who
refine the business model to incorporate the new system into production, satisfying specific needs. However, since the
projects are not yet in production, a complete evaluation of the impact on the business model is impossible.
Table 3 summarizes the benefits and costs mentioned in the 15 cases. Overall successful cases reported significant
benefits for using ML in NSO, even when it comes to improvements to existing production.
Time reduction
infrastructure
Collaboration
In production
Manual work
New product
Exploratory
involvement
Stakeholder
Simplicity
reduction
Cases
Generate
Analyze
Storage
process
Project
Collect
1 X X X B C C
2 X X X B B
3 X X X B B B
4 X X X B
5 X X X B B B
6 X X X B C
7 X X X B C
8 X X X B B
9 X X X B
10 X X X B B B B B B C
11 X X X B B B B B
12 X X X B C
13 X X X B
14 X X X B C
15 X X X B
10
4 CONCLUSION
We proposed in this paper to combine an integrative review of digital transformation and artificial intelligence (AI) with
the study of machine learning cases applied in National Statistics Offices (NSO) in different countries. In prior works,
authors perceive AI as a novel tool capable of impacting an organization's existing conditions and context, mentioning the
importance of identifying the new skills and training demand, the impact in the workplace, and collaboration. However, in
this study, we found that in most cases of machine learning uses in AI, these factors affect the awareness stage, and the AI
projects remain in exploratory or proof of concept stages for at least a year. Moreover, for a project to successfully undergo
production, it is necessary to address a solid business model project, involve stakeholders, and integrate the system/data
quality team to validate the AI tool.
On the other hand, although our study attempted to include as many cases as possible, our research has the limitation
of considering cases in countries whose development is higher than average so that developing countries could include as
main factors issues related to infrastructure, which in our analysis did not play a significant role. Nevertheless, we
mentioned factors at the country and organizational level that could be used to conduct a broader study that includes a
more significant number of countries.
Finally, we provided a new point of view on the place of AI in NSO that are traditionally intensive in human resources.
In addition, we contribute to a deeper understanding of the benefits and costs of AI adoption in national statistical processes
by introducing factors that provide valuable insights for policymakers and practitioners in optimizing the use of AI and
human resources in the public sector.
11
Annex 1: Phases of the business process model, digitalization and digital transformation
12
Annex 2: Detail of the cases analyzed in the program UNECE High-Level Group for the Modernization of Official Statistics (HLG-MOS)
CASE COUNTRY, TITLE AUTHOR GOAL AI TYPE STATE FUTURE
YEAR
1 Mexico Occupation and Economic activity coding using natural José Alejandro Ruiz (Upgrade) Classification Exploratory Expand the
(2020) language processing Sánchez, Jael Pérez Complementing and coding dataset,
Sánchez, Adrián Pastor current process incorporate into
the workflow
process
2 Iceland Automatic coding of occupation and industry in social Anton Örn Karlsson (Upgrade) Classification Exploratory Test other ML
(2020) statistical surveys Complementing and coding tools
current process
3 Serbia ML pilot study – coding textually described data on Nevena Pavlovic, Sinisa (Upgrade) Classification Exploratory Test other ML
(2020) economic activity collected from Labour Force Survey Cimbaljevic, Branko Complementing and coding tools
Josipovic, Dusica Zecevic current process
4 United Automatic coding of standard industrial and occupational Thanasis Anthopoulos, (Upgrade) Classification Exploratory Evaluation
Kingdom classifications Data Science for public Complementing and coding
(2021) goods, Data science current process
campus
5 Norway Standard Industrial Code Classification by Using Machine Thivyesh Ahilathasan, (Upgrade) Classification PoC Test, new tools
(2020) Learning Tatsiana Pekarskaya Complementing and coding
current process
6 Poland ECOICOP clasiffication Marta Kruczek-Szepel, (Upgrade) Classification PoC Test, new tools
(2020) Krystyna Piątkowska Complementing and coding
current process
7 Poland Multiple imputation through machine learning in a survey Sebastian Wójcik, (Upgrade) Edit and Exploratory Test, new tools
(2021) of sport clubs Agnieszka Giemza Complementing imputation
current process
8 Germany Machine learning for imputation Florian Dumpert (Upgrade) Edit and PoC Evaluation
(2020) Complementing imputation
current process
9 United Editing of LCF (Living Cost and Food) Survey Income Claus Sthamer (Upgrade) Edit and PoC Exploratory
Kingdom data with Machine Learning Complementing imputation
(2020) current process
CASE COUNTRY, TITLE AUTHOR GOAL AI TYPE STATE FUTURE
YEAR
10 Australia An ML application to automate an existing manual process Daniel Merkas and Debbie (Upgrade) Imagery Production Improve quality
(2020) through the use of aerial imagery. Numerous areas Goodwin Complementing
throughout the ABS will benefit from the development of current process
this ML application.
11 Canada Industry and occupation coding Isaac Ross and Justin J. (Upgrade) Classification Production Integrate QC
(2020) Evans Complementing and coding solution into our
current process, systems, try other
fast ML tools
12 Switzerland Arealstatistik Deep Learning (ADELE) Claudio Facchinetti (New) methods Imagery PoC Validation
(2020) and/or new data improve
sources
13 Brazil Apply ML techniques to classification and aggregation of Vladimir G. (New) New data Classification PoC Exploratory
(2020) web scraped price data Miranda,Lincoln T. da source web and coding
Silva scraping
14 Mexico ML application to use satellite data in combination with Abel Coronado; Jimena (New) Prediction Imagery Exploratory Evaluation
(2020) census data to produce new information Juárez; Ricardo Bucio during non-census
years
15 Italy Imputation of the variable "Attained Level of Education" in Fabrizio De Fausti, Marco (New) Register Edit and PoC Test other ML
(2020) Base Register of Individuals Di Zio, Romina Filippini, based imputation tools
Simona Toti, Diego
Zardetto
14
Diagram 1: AI uses in NSOs and key factors for adopting AI tools in statistical production
Own elaboration based on reports from HLG-MOS projects: 1: Ruiz Sánchez, Pérez Sánchez, and Pastor (Mexico, 2020), 2: Karlsson (Iceland, 2020), 3: Pavlovic, Cimbaljevic,
Josipovic, Zecevic (Serbia, 2020), 4: Anthopoulos (UK, 2021), 5: Ahilathasan, Pekarskaya (Norway, 2020), 6: Kruczek-Szepel, Piątkowska (Poland, 2020), 7: Wójcik, Giemza
(Poland, 2021), 8: Dumpert (Germany, 2020), 9: Sthamer (UK, 2020), 10: Merkas and Goodwin (Australia, 2020), 11: Ross and Evans (Canada, 2020), 12: Facchinetti (Switzerland,
2020), 13: Miranda, da Silva (Brazil, 2020), 14: Coronado, Juárez, Bucio (Mexico, 2020), 15: De Fausti, Di Zio, Filippini, Toti, Zardetto (Italy, 2020)
15
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