Bouchardtalk
Bouchardtalk
Chris Hammond
March 7, 2009
Motivation: Quantile Hedging
I ν
Characterize V̄ (t, x, p) = inf{y ≥ 0 : P[Yt,x,y (T ) ≥
ν
g (Xt,x (T ))] ≥ p for some control ν}
Outline
I ν
Characterize V̄ (t, x, p) = inf{y ≥ 0 : P[Yt,x,y (T ) ≥
ν
g (Xt,x (T ))] ≥ p for some control ν}
I Reduce this to the case where p = 1 but with unbounded
controls ν
Outline
I ν
Characterize V̄ (t, x, p) = inf{y ≥ 0 : P[Yt,x,y (T ) ≥
ν
g (Xt,x (T ))] ≥ p for some control ν}
I Reduce this to the case where p = 1 but with unbounded
controls ν
I Extend existing characterization of V (t, x) = inf{y ≥ 0 :
ν (T ), Y ν
G (Xt,x t,x,y (T )) ≥ 0 for some control ν} to the case of
unbounded controls
Outline
I ν
Characterize V̄ (t, x, p) = inf{y ≥ 0 : P[Yt,x,y (T ) ≥
ν
g (Xt,x (T ))] ≥ p for some control ν}
I Reduce this to the case where p = 1 but with unbounded
controls ν
I Extend existing characterization of V (t, x) = inf{y ≥ 0 :
ν (T ), Y ν
G (Xt,x t,x,y (T )) ≥ 0 for some control ν} to the case of
unbounded controls
I Apply this to the quantile hedging problem
Problem Formulation and MANY definitions
I Let T > 0 a finite time horizon, W = {Wt : 0 ≤ t ≤ T } a
d-dimensional Brownian motion on (Ω, F, P) with F = {Ft }
the P-augmentation of the filtration generated by W
Problem Formulation and MANY definitions
I Let T > 0 a finite time horizon, W = {Wt : 0 ≤ t ≤ T } a
d-dimensional Brownian motion on (Ω, F, P) with F = {Ft }
the P-augmentation of the filtration generated by W
I Let U0 be a subset of the F-progressively measurable
processes ν which are in L2 ([0, T ]) P-almost surely and taking
values in a closed (possibly unbounded) subset U of Rd
Problem Formulation and MANY definitions
I Let T > 0 a finite time horizon, W = {Wt : 0 ≤ t ≤ T } a
d-dimensional Brownian motion on (Ω, F, P) with F = {Ft }
the P-augmentation of the filtration generated by W
I Let U0 be a subset of the F-progressively measurable
processes ν which are in L2 ([0, T ]) P-almost surely and taking
values in a closed (possibly unbounded) subset U of Rd
I For t ∈ [0, T ], z = (x, y ) ∈ Rd × R and ν ∈ U0 define
ν = (X ν , Y ν ) as the Rd × R-valued solution of the SDE:
Zt,z t,x t,z
Theorem (2.1)
V∗ is a viscosity supersolution of −∂t V∗ + F ∗ V∗ ≥ 0 on [0, T ) × X
If Assumption 2.1 holds, then V ∗ is a viscosity subsolution of
−∂t V ∗ + F∗ V ∗ ≤ 0 on [0, T ) × X
Dynamic Programming Equation
Theorem (2.1)
V∗ is a viscosity supersolution of −∂t V∗ + F ∗ V∗ ≥ 0 on [0, T ) × X
If Assumption 2.1 holds, then V ∗ is a viscosity subsolution of
−∂t V ∗ + F∗ V ∗ ≤ 0 on [0, T ) × X
Let N(x, y , q) = {r ∈ Rd : r = N u (x, y , q) for u ∈ U} and let
δ = dist(0, Nc ) − dist(0, N)
Dynamic Programming Equation
Theorem (2.1)
V∗ is a viscosity supersolution of −∂t V∗ + F ∗ V∗ ≥ 0 on [0, T ) × X
If Assumption 2.1 holds, then V ∗ is a viscosity subsolution of
−∂t V ∗ + F∗ V ∗ ≤ 0 on [0, T ) × X
Let N(x, y , q) = {r ∈ Rd : r = N u (x, y , q) for u ∈ U} and let
δ = dist(0, Nc ) − dist(0, N)
Theorem (2.2)
The function x ∈ X 7→ V∗ (T , x) is a viscosity supersolution of
min{(V∗ (T , •) − g∗ )1{F ∗ V∗ (T ,•)<∞} , δ ∗ V∗ (T , •)} ≥ 0 on X and if
Assumption 2.1 holds, x 7→ V ∗ (T , x) is a viscosity subsolution of
min{(V ∗ (T , •) − g ∗ ), δ∗ V ∗ (T , •)} ≤ 0 on X
Problem Reduction
Theorem
For t ∈ [0, T ] and x̄ = (x, p) ∈ X̄, V̄ (t, x̄) = inf{y ∈ R+ :
ν̄ (T ), Y ν
Ḡ (X̄t,x̄ t,x,y (T )) ≥ 0 for some ν̄ ∈ Ū}
Problem Reduction
Theorem
For t ∈ [0, T ] and x̄ = (x, p) ∈ X̄, V̄ (t, x̄) = inf{y ∈ R+ :
ν̄ (T ), Y ν
Ḡ (X̄t,x̄ t,x,y (T )) ≥ 0 for some ν̄ ∈ Ū}
Proof of Theorem
Assumption 3.1
Let B ⊂ X × [0, 1] × R × Rd+1 such that N̄0 6= ∅ on B. Then for
every > 0, (x0 , p0 , y0 , q0 ) ∈ intB, ū0 ∈ N̄0 (x0 , p0 , y0 , q0 ), there
0
exists an open neighborhood B of (x0 , p0 , y0 , q0 ) and a locally
0
Lipschitz map ν̂ on B such that |ν̂(x0 , p0 , y0 , q0 ) − ū0 | ≤ and
0
ν̂(x, p, y , q) ∈ N̄0 (x, p, y , q) on B
Dynamic Programming Equation (continued)
Assumption 3.1
Let B ⊂ X × [0, 1] × R × Rd+1 such that N̄0 6= ∅ on B. Then for
every > 0, (x0 , p0 , y0 , q0 ) ∈ intB, ū0 ∈ N̄0 (x0 , p0 , y0 , q0 ), there
0
exists an open neighborhood B of (x0 , p0 , y0 , q0 ) and a locally
0
Lipschitz map ν̂ on B such that |ν̂(x0 , p0 , y0 , q0 ) − ū0 | ≤ and
0
ν̂(x, p, y , q) ∈ N̄0 (x, p, y , q) on B
Corollary 3.1
The functtion V̄∗ is a viscosity supersolution of −∂t V̄∗ + F̄ ∗ V̄∗ ≥ 0
on [0, T ) × X̄. Under the additional Assumption 3.1, V̄ ∗ is a
viscosity subsolution of min{V̄ ∗ , −∂t V̄ ∗ + F̄∗ V̄ ∗ } on [0, T ) × X̄.
Boundary Conditions
Remark
Note that V̄ (•, 1) = V and V̄ (•, 0) = 0. Since G is non-decreasing
in y , 0 ≤ V̄∗ (•, 0) ≤ V̄ ∗ (•, 1) ≤ V ∗
Boundary Conditions
Remark
Note that V̄ (•, 1) = V and V̄ (•, 0) = 0. Since G is non-decreasing
in y , 0 ≤ V̄∗ (•, 0) ≤ V̄ ∗ (•, 1) ≤ V ∗
Assumption 3.2
For all (x, y , q) ∈ X × (0, ∞) × Rd , we have N0 (x, y , q) is a proper
subset of U
Boundary Conditions
Remark
Note that V̄ (•, 1) = V and V̄ (•, 0) = 0. Since G is non-decreasing
in y , 0 ≤ V̄∗ (•, 0) ≤ V̄ ∗ (•, 1) ≤ V ∗
Assumption 3.2
For all (x, y , q) ∈ X × (0, ∞) × Rd , we have N0 (x, y , q) is a proper
subset of U
Assumption 3.3
For all compact subsets A of Rd × R × Rd × Sd , there exists
C > 0 such that F (Θ) ≤ C (1 + 2 ) for all ≥ 0 and Θ ∈ A.
Boundary Conditions (continued)
Theorem3.1
Assume the function supu∈U |σ(•, u)| is locally bounded on X and
that Assumption 3.1 holds, then (i) Under Assumption 3.2,
V̄ ∗ (•, 0) = 0 on [0, T ) × X and V̄∗ (•, 0) = 0 on [0, T ] × X (ii)
Under Assumption 3.3, V̄ ∗ (•, 1) is a viscosity supersolution of
(2.10)-(2.19) on [0, T ] × X. In particular, if Assumption 2.2 is
satisfied, then V̄ ∗ (•, 1) = V̄∗ (•, 1) = V∗ = V ∗ on [0, T ] × X
Quantile Hedging Problem
I X = (0, ∞)d
Quantile Hedging Problem
I X = (0, ∞)d
I µ(x, u) = µ(x), σ(x, u) = σ(x) with σ invertible and
supx∈X |λ(x)| < ∞ where λ = σ −1 µ
Quantile Hedging Problem
I X = (0, ∞)d
I µ(x, u) = µ(x), σ(x, u) = σ(x) with σ invertible and
supx∈X |λ(x)| < ∞ where λ = σ −1 µ
I µY (x, y , u) = uµ(x), σY (x, y , u) = σ T (x)u
Quantile Hedging Problem
I X = (0, ∞)d
I µ(x, u) = µ(x), σ(x, u) = σ(x) with σ invertible and
supx∈X |λ(x)| < ∞ where λ = σ −1 µ
I µY (x, y , u) = uµ(x), σY (x, y , u) = σ T (x)u
I G (x, y ) = y − g (x) for g Lipschitz
Quantile Hedging Problem
I X = (0, ∞)d
I µ(x, u) = µ(x), σ(x, u) = σ(x) with σ invertible and
supx∈X |λ(x)| < ∞ where λ = σ −1 µ
I µY (x, y , u) = uµ(x), σY (x, y , u) = σ T (x)u
I G (x, y ) = y − g (x) for g Lipschitz
I dXt,x (s) = µ(Xt,x (s))ds + σ(Xt,x (s))dWs where Xt,x (t) = x.
Quantile Hedging Problem
I X = (0, ∞)d
I µ(x, u) = µ(x), σ(x, u) = σ(x) with σ invertible and
supx∈X |λ(x)| < ∞ where λ = σ −1 µ
I µY (x, y , u) = uµ(x), σY (x, y , u) = σ T (x)u
I G (x, y ) = y − g (x) for g Lipschitz
I dXt,x (s) = µ(Xt,x (s))ds + σ(Xt,x (s))dWs where Xt,x (t) = x.
ν
Rs
I Yt,x,y (s) = y + t νr dXt,x (r )
Quantile Hedging Problem
I X = (0, ∞)d
I µ(x, u) = µ(x), σ(x, u) = σ(x) with σ invertible and
supx∈X |λ(x)| < ∞ where λ = σ −1 µ
I µY (x, y , u) = uµ(x), σY (x, y , u) = σ T (x)u
I G (x, y ) = y − g (x) for g Lipschitz
I dXt,x (s) = µ(Xt,x (s))ds + σ(Xt,x (s))dWs where Xt,x (t) = x.
ν
Rs
I Yt,x,y (s) = y + t νr dXt,x (r )
I V (t, x) = EQt,x [g (Xt,x (T ))], where Qt,x is the P-equivalent
Martingale measure
R defined by 2
−1 T
dQt,x RT
dP = exp( 2 t |λ(Xt,x (s))| ds − t λ(Xt,x (s))dWs )
Quantile Hedging Problem
I X = (0, ∞)d
I µ(x, u) = µ(x), σ(x, u) = σ(x) with σ invertible and
supx∈X |λ(x)| < ∞ where λ = σ −1 µ
I µY (x, y , u) = uµ(x), σY (x, y , u) = σ T (x)u
I G (x, y ) = y − g (x) for g Lipschitz
I dXt,x (s) = µ(Xt,x (s))ds + σ(Xt,x (s))dWs where Xt,x (t) = x.
ν
Rs
I Yt,x,y (s) = y + t νr dXt,x (r )
I V (t, x) = EQt,x [g (Xt,x (T ))], where Qt,x is the P-equivalent
Martingale measure
R defined by 2
−1 T
dQt,x RT
dP = exp( 2 t |λ(Xt,x (s))| ds − t λ(Xt,x (s))dWs )
R•
I Define W Qt,x = W + t λ(Xt,x (s))ds, the Qt,x -Brownian
motion defined on [t, T ]
Quantile Hedging Problem
DPE
By Corollary 3.1, Theorem 3.1 and (i) of Proposition 3.2, one has
that V̄∗ is a viscosity supersolution on [0, T ) × X̄ of
0 ≤ −∂t V̄∗ + F̄ ∗ V̄∗ = −∂t V̄∗ − 21 Tr(σσ T Dxx V̄∗ ) −
infα∈Rd −α(Dp V̄∗ )T σ −1 µ + Tr(σαDxp V̄∗ ) + 21 |α|2 Dpp V̄∗
Quantile Hedging Problem
DPE
By Corollary 3.1, Theorem 3.1 and (i) of Proposition 3.2, one has
that V̄∗ is a viscosity supersolution on [0, T ) × X̄ of
0 ≤ −∂t V̄∗ + F̄ ∗ V̄∗ = −∂t V̄∗ − 21 Tr(σσ T Dxx V̄∗ ) −
infα∈Rd −α(Dp V̄∗ )T σ −1 µ + Tr(σαDxp V̄∗ ) + 21 |α|2 Dpp V̄∗
Boundary Conditions
V̄∗ (•, 1) = V and V̄∗ (•, 0) = 0 on [0, T ] × X, V̄∗ (T , x, p) ≥ pg (x)
on X × [0, 1]. We define V̄∗ (•, p) = 0 for p < 0 and V̄∗ (•, p) = ∞
for p > 1.
Quantile Hedging Problem
DPE
By Corollary 3.1, Theorem 3.1 and (i) of Proposition 3.2, one has
that V̄∗ is a viscosity supersolution on [0, T ) × X̄ of
0 ≤ −∂t V̄∗ + F̄ ∗ V̄∗ = −∂t V̄∗ − 21 Tr(σσ T Dxx V̄∗ ) −
infα∈Rd −α(Dp V̄∗ )T σ −1 µ + Tr(σαDxp V̄∗ ) + 21 |α|2 Dpp V̄∗
Boundary Conditions
V̄∗ (•, 1) = V and V̄∗ (•, 0) = 0 on [0, T ] × X, V̄∗ (T , x, p) ≥ pg (x)
on X × [0, 1]. We define V̄∗ (•, p) = 0 for p < 0 and V̄∗ (•, p) = ∞
for p > 1.