0% found this document useful (0 votes)
22 views

Probability

Uploaded by

restlessbe
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
22 views

Probability

Uploaded by

restlessbe
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 16

2

Konei
1 Bolalil, and{ andem evemls
r y aclen hsse Jcasulla ucoelam calbd
arcdern uperri onert 9 r a l . a c k s eult 4
Ve eocbei mer7 scaledan bulceme The sil
a l l fsssibla Dulceees an K e L M t
Tual i calla hesanpe bace h a t
sample spae . E halher
l cons
Ss e furuk sampla Apace a mam apetumoa
ano v e ulcome S
t eg ual
prebabb, a t
E e s s
PLE) nlE)
=

mls) Tolal anber ossble


biauel
nbianty Sresuli

Pelabeh and Seguey


The ermmela PLE)lt)
Rocberimeml hat sssess
duce amd coins). the dee
llSeleomes ate
lergee lguall ltely amdh
ne

2ue

2"
canmet s a
e
that h alnll,
nead anshor gpuanlly (callad
llaining
peg uancH) The gutn a euei A
4ymbea3ed FCA) a d i w e z
FCA) Nurbe baals n 2shck A ecwzs

Tolal rumber f rals


Therepu, a ce Zossec 5o limis
hoads c u 22 m i s

O-AA ser chasical


50
dpenlerhe prebabil. btrbi lly
e o d O-s
The eelaterisli beaveere peobabill ars

e
Prumber
a n e v e pogsurely loses eli
a ewert

ramden nis<
onds lo slabidze Omd g e m i a l approachu a
contamt ralue. n toms egucorCy, pretabeil
fegaoo2ca, prelalriuly
may be dhneo a s PCA) um
M
M = nlo oMals muht in A OCt

NaN
ere M umber r u a l s tni bch A eceurs
N otal imber uals

ermbe nalezi l u e e l

hearple ace hen (AUB) e_euenl hat


eiler A ve B- Bot lake blace
(2) Snlrseclen Lemls: - A A amd B are
twre
ena
enenls
e sample space, therr A nB)e h
eurt t
hat / A amd B
+ccur
(3) ulually eocclsue ewen :- Juo utmls A and
15 asampla,face a e s aid le be muluall,
Loccvsue
canmat &ecewr imullamege
(4) haustwe ectls Tiweeutl A and B
the nple space aresad be 2hauslut
AUB=S à AUB cenlens all e
sample e n
Addeler heerem2 prebrabely
eeem: A amd B ae lws veils apla
dpace S hom PCAUB) = P(A) + P(B)- P(AN)

Psen dit n A) o nlB)=; (A


nB) *8 n

PCA)
ns)
PCB)-4 PCANB) -2
nls) nCs)
Fnen the kgue t a cleas S
A
ahat CAu o)= 6-3)
n
+3+3)
PCAUB) = n (AUB
(s) (s)

nCs) nls) nS)


PCAUB) PCA) + PCe) -

P(An6)

cclusue eutn
Nt-4 A amdB aee mulua

thum PCAUB)= PCA)+ PCB)


roef:- 2A kntr Þrem aldelieFresam
PCAUB) = PA)+ PCB) -PCANB)
amd B ANB s
9nuluoll, Lcclus uwe e m s A
22ll sel. hus, nCA n 6) =o

.PCANB) = (An8) = O
n(S)
PAne) = PCA)+PG)

lendlerial sbab.blg : - he pobad:llg


e t AA,
wwmt 2whte eund B hos already occevrad,
hcondiliernal prrobalelly o A 2md i denstd
D P(P/B) B)
nB)
1) Mulllcalon heotwmm eProbrabil

Pr A amd B any re lie ewnl


such What PIA) Fo hen P(A N 8) P(A)- P
(B/A) =

S a P(n) #o, bon nlA) #6


PC6/A)n CANB)
n CA)
n (AnB)
ns) PlAnB)
nA) etn)
n Cs)

PCB/A) PCA) = PCANB)

e (1) Indepurmdert uenls '-Eenls A amd B


e s a d lo e independe ret
PCA/B) =
P(A) - PCB/a) =PCa))
S Case nde perdersl euenls, te
Calor cerer reduces le
Thesrmm A and B are we Lmdehendert evenls
such h
Such a t P(A) #o
hat , PCB) o, hn PCAn8) PCa)PCo
Pre y muli hlealen ioem,
PCA NB): Pn). P (B/A) pruvidsd PM) #ob
Simce A amdB are Lnde pon dent, e have
PB/A)Ple)
PCANB): P(A). PE)

amdar Uarealle:- Avariable Zunore Ualue


detir minad by The aut c e m e Tamadem

wp nimenl i callu a srandom wialle. t


urrclhe depurd e sample pace
a
an
ama assvmes dwenl 2ralues wrl
dufnle pribabrlly, asdig ndle _eack aralue.
ramdem vaualk may e diceli o ctmli neuR.
dsctele ranlem va'iabe wl loke orky
4g Vnlees dy e umber -of ALAuwe ms
asampe,Te esall ef a biw a de
the * mler
rening erou t n a
fage
cmile naus rande7 ratuable lake a l
can

bessele vales u e an r y vatalle


nIwal 24 any v
ureler ng e neastw vernt heghweigh

l possible valuis ra dam vaual


Zhe
a
aleng
l carespsnderrg p'uevalrrliles (wlL
SUm e allrelablihes
peung undiy) ei callca
e relrallely olisbablier t h e zamder
ualte
a Aanclerm va'ualle lakng 2 l a s
, Xa, * 3 , . n 2wll peraldlhes (sa
Kuch

brelralll, dislu bul8n X may e quwn as


X 3
6)
rebablely p ) hat a diserile
tamdle ariaba X kaku ber veryample peinta
The sample spacs S
1h e alladThe brolalekiliy
mass funclien
s prolaliley dilulleere
funclee re amde aualle

Som al

(1) Suvrele andem v a t a l


male malc 2xpeclalie Ve
Mean rale (
uls
Combral value e 2retualle aluul 2etiuch
vwuvus Values wte ds bribeld
XLs a Jcanterm vaiale lakirng 2luus,,*2
wed rolallhes b., s, s prs
.
aapeclavely Therr the miam eamde
vriabe guei by E(X) z.
whvre , : *I
a)Lont nous szandem a t u a l t

Fen a colinauu varablez he prslabillt,


thot t toks vralues ai a rarge promz l
tdz
Pa-f) rhore lG) i e
prslalrl denslG)
e miar valu 3 6 gwen
P3) 3
unlig ral beu

Vaniamce Ds persLeN
LErelims
a varualla
2wllxespect ta
mam value. ThL divalen a ariab
prom l ma a l u *
vakue Jhe meam tthus
dewraluer 2utuld ke

mian
Jhus
divralle dss mst
hole us

The 74cessay vpermaler Calat h


0840e naleos a vualle ew.A.t. l mam
valus) cam e a n e l ly diloring
callld U uame a
poa relt
dipisucEn It dclie murs
e scallung zamdEm a u a l

:(-)
Sn a di oreli vawiable
* s z = z PCx) (Ar)2
J a cenünsus vwuiatk
* Pa). =)*.de
W: slanclard devralien (ahe calles"reol maam
9 a r e deuralien) gwen y e s9roe ro
h e vauale
[ -(a)*7a

Binemial Biibulen
samnpla apaca S eolaur
Sr a BmDell ual, e
eocac Lws ilcemes
eoeplrmerd ewhera csim4
ate
Zl us criiee an

ossed uvrg, ealherhrad'r a l ht e


aAbearanca k a d be ripresenld a s
pretab,
and a t v Zail be 9 In ollowrng kabl, zu
conside e a r o u s 0ulcems fen a umbae
ceuns are Wesed The s r h columm hoas prsbleleg
dussregatdang he r d e r heads lails, and
cnsidoe -nly he mibee cwvsr cas
Number Pvssibl
ulcems
Aebebl
()
H,T 2

2 HH,HTT
TH, TT
99
HHR, HHT ,39
HTH, THH

HTT, THT

TTH, TT

cslumn
larly, h eremns n e olh 22

iliuali will
Zssued h
Thereora,csmg 7
au

e symbslized by4+9)
2 72-2

9+f4+nln-)
+
2
bmemal lUicwtemm
J u l l s amalo9, 2vil celumr
he hibu'bulen g e wohe uu
callid r o n e a l disbebulwn

Sn general, cers Lder he case 2 &us


ecberi monli havmg uly we sossible bulcemis &04
A amd A wh prrobabiliis amd q respeclwey. 1
Thore be n uals, A secwrdtimus and A G c w
(n-) ms
The
The taals a e l a l a i e a l l u m d e p o r d o r t . -
n

rebabilly the aleue eventwrl ba gun ly p


imas a m d
I3l, a silualien im uhek A esult
a

A habbuns (n - ) Zmes cam dcewe im C Uau


Theraore, ke xeguirad prolbabelaly is p 9

wr =-4) be probrbell, ailu


each u a l .

a n alu onerrual Bistubaler


n genural, 7he meam ralue a vaalbll
en y ( ) = 2 n Pn),
Jor a bmemual dsrlatben h i becemas
o (Tr-)

-)

JBit

Thus, amiy ecs Cn-)


.

oc! (n-)!
.

a P)

as + =I
Thue ual
Cohgasfe h a . e derolprx mian 2nluek

clunliers landara dUrolln


Thise uclu ale y d nalor
baler ha ecen05,
eCn-x)

c l(n-x)
-

(n-x)
a)

el (n-a) -

( n -)

x!-)
n

t)r)-()6-9
0-1
) n p+9)

(u o]

al cdil balor
)

Sandard durcaher

Srln rooci maler


n nee n! = n (n-)n-).... . 4) 3 ) ) )
dr ! = lnn + ln (n-) mlr-2) + +r h +r
+m 2 t+ n
hs elleuvug ligure a lel e n 7 aga
e a a under The stibhed cwwe u ln

2 45 7
cutue ard

large, e sebbe
when n vy
Fe4nuooh cuue
ecome ndas le rquiskele
Then , T2can be eurned ly enlegrakri i

nnn t
we c a n rezlict

wh
ulor: 11

small (ie ) , z)
aj c 71) U) f vey

lssing he alov cerdillers id u apfrea m


Vc lwrns in lremual dibu bulen
the
nce, n! n (n-1).- -- (n -+1)

(72-)

Exppamdh 2U

nq n 1-lrp lnp
oerrua olazibul+em beceres
PCa) = n
PCa)CP ! (n-)|

(n -zt) L*
b(7-*
(n-) . .

cohyre m =n
Pa)
S
3 x312 Jhs s
Poissen o l i l l a l u e

32

an Poessem o e i b e i l e r n

PO)
ruedioi =

y olel
meam

2 (2-1)

( )
= p
2
Varuanuce, a Pocss v e dibubulen
2
3t d >ruler VauLame
2

m P

2c )

= eC-)

o-2)

-2)

+m

3ut 2

Vanamea

-z2 Slandarsl dercaluer

NemaL ( yaussa)Dieulreuliern

paramelve te and l
mal Vubndee, w

(x)
O

() Jhe raph t ait


Cywe. uen hlos e cwwe ts y vn milbac
The mta
man

Man h e miapovnt
(2) Jo nvvmal diibubuhem meam = madan made.
(3) The mumal cwwwe vctinal nf rily 2 e t
he - aeis
ouchamg
(4) The ewwe g closur amal clswe e
mos
-aris as it
owayrem e meam

() The oal a e a
unclvr he cwwe s lakem as "" The
mean duinds hui arua imlo 2qral
(6) The ales.
brebalilil pueperdenal ls e aea
()
6rube3 -u knnon as stöndard
(8) r a amdoncl nwemal aualle mRar =
0_ amd
andarrd devralee isI
() Abua umdee he cwwe
awa
m - te 0 t O.5 amd The
em 0 to o
alse O. 5
amd slardard devrali8
Meam a Nomal 2sri bule
Meam
-4(
t 2

Mepn-
leam
et t) a l t
tow24y)e"t'at

TT
O
77 (

aua cc
Normal Diabuhn
A)
ott= -

T 4 lt t 2/2ust
26

+o + 2
t
T 2tdt
erj
t a t
+ 26/
NTT

uamce
Slandavaderalen
(1
be
Morkelf, m
roblem, os solved hy c v l a v e la m
slalis as drurhatd alarls rom a

test e teps Vee 9


a slzeotSere
husleps
ard 2
s a m s hmgl
lackeward. tol zi 9k he
e are

prwcadeng A5
a m as cenpletely mdependert e he
a t the ebuunkeard oflii d
ahat i he ralabill, d r u t n a l e r m 2ukhuh
v l l eeach his
taerN stops
a dislance frerr e lamp post
random ds plocomenls (g
parlicle aundergoeng hysicalslual
olerr)
a
2onul Zalis
Breruar dumkarads
ovemmemli
Pala le a
A u c c s L U n e

osidee a palice umdirga. Tre dmerse)ahi

dsplacemenis eack hngh L um


rebabibil4 that afb N esuch duipla cermerol
7m.l wtue is m an
ahislarec
arb cle wll Ae at
a

degir? e reghl
ausbacerenlá
t he bR
e
amd lept be aml 2 apecluwel
N = ntN2
The met iplacamal (sa4) he
m.l (n,- ) l = -7.)) l = 2r-N)l

ht relabibihat aliblaeernar.Z i s e
be
ns, i frobalill, hat dipla cerert i i l i
agh; q
andr, lë
The prebal.z n, sltps
bo e rujlt
h umber dihnct osiillas ti N

Thuu, he prnbalil , daiplacervrorls t e


rught amd n2

mn
Iovut,-72
ama n,= N +m
hu he robatillg hal arti ch will b
alir N diplaceoxensl gwee l
N
N

( N2 )
h e neomalizng censlar

Takrig kog arulhn


br Ponl) =r e + ln N!-Nr 2 nN4) -

on ( )
i n g s mula, we get
n Pm.) nc + N&N -N -

N n 2

()(Nt+(N)
()+ )
Plm. 2)=n e +N r N -

Ki N Lr2
-

N+ nN t N
- ( N - ) n (n-g

.n Plm) = lnc +N rAl lm 2 N


-

nN-
n P m L) = n EN
N +m)

N+m N-9
PCm)= NEL 2 )
N+m

You might also like