Chapter 9 - Debt Valuation
Chapter 9 - Debt Valuation
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Corporate Financial Manager
Roles:
1. Investing decision (Capital Budgeting)
• Long-term investment (projects)
2. Financing decision (Capital Structure)
• How to raise $
• Debt financing vs. Equity financing
3. Working capital management
• S-T management (CA, CL) for liquidity
• Cash, M/S, INV, A/R
• A/P, Accruals, S-T loans
4. Distribution policy
• Dividend vs. Share buyback
4
Long-Term External Financing
What:
• The firm raises money by selling securities/instruments (debts
and equity) in the financial markets
– Private financial market Private placement
– Public financial market Public offering
Long-Term External Financing
Private Placement
• What: Firm (issuer) raises money directly from investors
• How: By selling securities (debt and equity) directly to investors through a
private placement
• Investors: Must be accredited investors (wealthy with investment knowledge)
• EX: Bank, finance co., insurance co., BOT, mutual funds, provident fund,…
• Thailand: FI, firms with 100 MB INV, individuals with 10 MB INV
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PP
PP
http://bh.listedcompany.com/misc/DEBENTU
RE/20120124-BH-prospectusNo01-2011-EN.pdf
EX: Bond
PP
Prospectus
• 2017 - 2022
• R = 2.36% semi
• n = 5 yrs
PP
Ratin PP
g
Long-Term External Financing
Public Offering
• What: Firm (issuer) raises money by selling securities (debt and equity) to
general people in the public using services of investment banker (IB)
• Issuer must be qualified and meet legal requirements by laws and SEC
Investment Banker
• What: Financial intermediaries help issuer raising capital
• How: IB performs 3 functions
• 1. Advising
• 2. Underwriting
• 3. Distributing/selling
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EX: Underwriting Process of IB
• https://www.slideshare.net/thtsai77/markis-capital-seminars-intro-to-investment-banking-20130926
EX: Public Offering
• Issuer: PTTEP
• Subscription: December 3 - 6, 2012
• Agents: BBL, K, Krung Thai, SCB 14
Prospectus
PO
1999
November 7, 2001
http:www.capital.sec.or.th
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
Prospectus
PO
• https://market.sec.or.th/public/ipos/IPOSDE01.aspx?TransID=146410
Rating for Issuer
Rating for Bond
PO
PP
PO vs PP: Advantages and Disadvantages
Public Offering (PO) Private Placement (PP)
Advantages: Advantages:
• Raise big amount of $ • Faster
• High liquidity • Less rules and regulations
• Cheaper
Disadvantages:
• Not much disclosure of information
• More rules and regulations
Disadvantages:
• Costly
• Raise small amount of $
• Disclosure of information • Low liquidity
• Higher cost (interest)
• More restrictive covenants
Bond Valuation
L-T External Debt Financing
• Bank loans
• Corporate bonds
– Valuation
– Rate of return
• Coupon rate
• Current yield
• Yield to maturity
– Interest rate risk
• Type of bonds (Self reading)
Bond (Corporate Bond/Debenture)
What:
• An agreement (L-T contract) between lenders (investors, buyers,
bondholders) and borrowers (issuers, sellers)
Returns:
• Fixed
• Periodic interest (C%)
Semiannually
• Principal (PAR)
At the maturity
Claims:
• Bondholders (lenders/investors) have higher claims than stockholders
S
EX: Claim / Priority / Right / Privilege COGS
GP
Highest
Oper Exp
EBIT
(1) Debt holders / Bondholders / I
Banks / Creditors / Lenders EBT
T
(2) Equity holders / Stockholders
NI
Preferred Stocks (P/S) P/S Div
Common Stocks (C/S) NI to C/S
C/S Div
Lowest R/E
23
PAR 1,000Bht
Issuing Year
Issuer Year 000
2000
Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
Name of investors
# bond Total price paid
bought Maturity Date
May 8, 2006
INT
Yearly
Nov 8 May 8
1st 2nd
24 24
Bonds need to be rated
2016
2018
2019
PP
Rating for Issuer
Rating for Bond
Semiannually
PP
Bondholders’ Representatives
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The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
Prospectus
PO
https://market.sec.or.th/public/ipos/IPOSDE01.aspx?TransID=146410
Bond Valuation
What: The value of securities is called “intrinsic value”.
How to find value of bond (intrinsic value)?
• Find PV of all future cash flows that you will receive on your investment
• PV need to discount all future cash flows ($C + PAR) back to T = 0
Your future cash flows ($C + PAR)
EX: C = 6.12% yearly, n = 6
Price = ? $C $C $C $C $C $C
1
$PAR
2
0 i = 10% 1
FV
PV
(1 i)
PV = 1000/1.1 Price= =
Price ?
$909.09 PMT=$1,000
Intrinsic Value
• What: MAX price investors are willing to pay for a security
• Best estimate true value of security, based on:
• Forecast of future cash flows (CFs)
• Estimated discount rate, INT, required rate of return (rb)
Intrinsic Value Return = rb ? EX: C = 6.12% yearly, n = 6
1
1,000
2 31
To Find the Value of Security: Intrinsic Value
Value of Security (Price) = PV of Future CFs
Intrinsic Value
32
Value of Bond (Intrinsic Value): Formula
FIN2201 ($R)
1 (kb) + 2
Price (Vb) = $C (PVIFA rb, n) + PAR (PVIF rb, n)
• Price (Vb) = Value, price of bond now, T = 0
Price = ? $C $C $C $C $C
PVIFArb, n 1
$PAR
PVIFrb, n 2
33
EX: C = 6.12% yearly, n = 6
Value of Bond (Intrinsic Value)
C% = 6.12% semiannually
$R = (6.12% / 2)= 3.06%
= (3.06%)(1,000) = $30.6
34
Value of Bond (Intrinsic Value)
1 + 2
Price (Vb) = $C (PVIFA rb, n) + PAR (PVIF rb, n)
• Convert C% $C
35
Value of Bond (Intrinsic Value)
1 +
2
Price (Vb) = $C (PVIFA rb, n) + PAR (PVIF rb, n)
36
Value of Bond (Intrinsic Value)
1 + 2
Price (Vb) = $C (PVIFA rb, n) + PAR (PVIF rb, n)
• rb = Required rate of return by investors on similar INV
Bond/INV with similar quality and risk
37
Other Terms for rb
• Kb, rb, YTM, i.
• Discount rates
• Appropriate rates
• Capitalized rate
• Opportunity costs
• Required rates of returns
Value of Bond (Intrinsic Value)
1 + 2
Price (Vb) = $C (PVIFA rb, n) + PAR (PVIF rb, n)
• n = Maturity date
• Specific date that the PAR is repaid.
39
EX 1: Bond Value
• A 5-year bond offers a coupon rate of 15% per year. Investor’s
required rate is 15%. Find the bond value.
How much you are willing to pay today ?
40
EX 1: A 5-year bond offers a coupon rate of 15% per year. Investor’s
required rate is 15%. Vb = ?
1,000
? PVF = 1,000 (PVIF 15%, 5)
41
EX 1: rb = 15%, C = 15%
Price = $C
150(PVIFA n) )
(PVIFArb,15%,5 + 1,000 (PVIFrb,15%,5
PAR (PVIF n) )
rb C Vb PAR
PAR 15%
--
15% =
Premium 10% 15% >
Discount 20% 15% <
43
Price (Vb) = $C (PVIFA rb,n) + PAR (PVIF rb,n)
EX: 2
rb = 15%, C = 15%, n = 5 yrs, If 1 year has passed, n = ?
EX: rb Vb
rb =15% -- Price = 150 (PVIFA 15%,4) + 1,000 (PVIF15%,4)
1 10% 1,158
-- 1,000 = 150 (2.8550 ) + 1,000 (0.5718)
2 15% 1,000
rb =10% Price = 150 (PVIFA 10%, 4) + 1,000 (PVIF 10%, 4) 3 20% 871
44
EX: Inverse relationship between rb and Vb
EX: rb Vb
1 10% 1,158
2 15% 1,000
3 20% 871
46
C = 7% semiannually, n = 7,
EX: 3
Required return = 8%, Vb=?
• Current Yield
• Yield to Maturity
Rate of Return: Current Yield (Yc)
What:
• Annual rate of return if investors buy the bond today at the current market
price (Pb)
EX 4: Bond pays $100 coupon per year, Pb = $750, find current yield.
• YTM is a discount rate that makes PV of future CFs ($C + PAR) equal
the current bond price in the market (Pb) that investors buy today.
51
EX 5.1: Rate of Return: Yield to Maturity (YTM)
YTM: C% = 10%, n = 5 yrs, Par = $1,000, Pb = $950 (Market price), YTM = ?
YTM
YTM==?? n Approximate Yield to Maturity (YTM)
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pb = $950 C = 100 100 100 100 100
1,000
Pb = 950
PV of Future CFs = $950
Formula:
53
53
EX 6: Rate of Return: Yield to Maturity (YTM)
C% = 15%, n = 5 years, Par = $1,000, Pb = $1,000, Find YTM = ?
Formula:
YTM = 15%
54
54
EX 7: Rate of Return: Yield to Maturity (YTM)
C% = 15%, n = 4 years, Par = $1,000, Pb = $1,000, Find YTM = ?
Formula:
55
55
EX 8: Rate of Return: Yield to Maturity (YTM)
C% = 15%, n = 4 years, Par = $1,000, Pb = $1,158.49, Find YTM = ?
Formula:
=RATE(nper, pmt, pv, [fv], [type], [guess])
=RATE(4, 150, -1,158.49, 1,000)
=RATE(B34, B36, B35, B31)
YTM = 10%
56
56
EX 9: Rate of Return: Yield to Maturity (YTM)
C% = 15%, n = 4 years, Par = $1,000, Pb = $870.61, Find YTM = ?
Formula:
57
57
Risks in Investing in Bonds
Interest Rate Risk
What:
• Risk of changes in value of securities when interest rate changes
Relationship between Interest Rate and Vb
• Negative relationship between rb and Vb
Conclusion:
• When INT rate changes, the value of securities changes
• In a negative (inverse) direction
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EX: Interest Rate Risk
Negative Relationship
n rb C% Vb PAR
EX 1 5 15% = 15% $1,000 = $1,000 PAR
EX 2 5 10% < 15% $1,158.49 > $1,000 Premium
EX 3 5 20% > 15% $870.61 < $1,000 Discount
Interest Rate Risk
Bond Price Sensitivity vs Interest Rate Risk
• Bond with shorter time to maturity, interest rate risk:
• Bond with longer time to maturity, interest rate risk:
• EX 1: C% = 10%, n = 5 yrs., rb = 8%, Par = $1,000, Vb = ?
EX 10.1a: C=10%, rb = 10%, n = 5 • EX 2: C% = 10%, n = 5 yrs., rb = 10%, Par = $1,000, Vb = ?
Find Vb =? • EX 3: C% = 10%, n = 5 yrs., rb = 12%, Par = $1,000, Vb = ?
EX 1: Rb , Vb
• Vb = $100 (PVIFA8%, 5) + $1,000 (PVIF8%, 5)
• Vb = $1,079.85
EX 2: Rb = C% , Vb = PAR
• Vb = $100 (PVIFA10%, 5) + $1,000 (PVIF10%, 5)
• Vb = $1,000
EX 3: Rb , Vb
• Vb = $100 (PVIFA12%, 5) + $1,000 (PVIF12%, 5)
• Vb = $927.9
62
• EX 1: C% = 10%, n = 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, 0 yrs., rb = 8%, Par = $1,000, Vb = ?
EX 10.1b: Find Vb at • EX 2: C% = 10%, n = 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, 0 yrs., rb = 10%, Par = $1,000, Vb = ?
different time to maturity • EX 3: C% = 10%, n = 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, 0 yrs., rb = 12%, Par = $1,000, Vb = ?
The value of the bond moves towards PAR as n moves closer to maturity:
EX 10.2:
Find Bond Price at
Different Maturities
10%
12%
64
EX 10.3: Percentage Change in Price
If interest rate (rb) changes by a certain percentage,
what will happen to the price of the bond?
8%
12%
Premium:
• 5 year: (1,079.85 – 1,000) / 1,000 = 7.99% % Change = (New – Old)÷Old
• 10 year: (1,134.20 – 1,000) / 1,000 = 13.42%
• 30 year: (1,225.16 – 1,000) / 1,000 = 22.52%
EX 1: C% = 10%, n = 5, 10, 30 yrs., rb = 8%, Vb = ?
Discount: EX 2: C% = 10%, n = 5, 10, 30 yrs., rb = 10%, Vb = ?
• 5 year: (927.90 – 1,000) / 1,000 = -7.21% EX 3: C% = 10%, n = 5, 10, 30 yrs., rb = 12%, Vb = ?
• 10 year: (887.00 – 1,000) / 1,000 = -11.30%
• 30 year: (838.90 – 1,000) / 1,000 = -16.11%
65
EX 10.4: Bond Price Sensitivity
8%
66
Other Types of Bonds
Type of Bonds (Self Reading)
• 1. Coupon payment:
– Fixed rate bond, Variable rate bond, Zero coupon bond
• 2. Collateral:
– Secured bond vs. Unsecured bond
• 3. Priority of claim
– Secured bond, Debenture, Subordinated debenture
• 4. Default risk:
– Investment grade bond vs. Non-investment grade bond
• 5. Embedded option:
– Callable bond, Convertible bond
• 6. Principal payment:
– Non-amortizing bond vs. Amortizing bond
68
EX: Fixed Rate, Unsecured,
unsubordinated Bond
http://bh.listedcompany.com/misc/DEBENTURE/20120124-BH-prospectusNo01-2011-EN.pdf
EX: Unsecured Bond
PP
PAR 1,000Bht EX: Secured Bond
Issuing Year
Issuer Year 000
2000
Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
Name of investors
# bond Total price paid
bought
Mat = 2006
INT
Yearly
1st 2nd
71
71
EX: Convertible and Secured Bond
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EX: Convertible Bond
• http://investor.bumrungrad.com/factsheet.html
EX: Convertible Bond
• http://investor.bumrungrad.com/news.html/id/159494/group/newsroom_set
EX: Convertible + Secured Bond
• http://investor.bumrungrad.com/factsheet.html
EX: Convertible and Secured Bond
http://bh.listedcompany.com/misc/DEBENTURE/20120124-BH-prospectusNo01-2011-EN.pdf
EX: Convertible
Bond
• https://i.pinimg.com/originals/6d/64/33/6d64334d8547d2074e6c9efa0a1e6048.jpg
EX : Callable Bond
Type of Bond:
• Debenture
• Registered Bond
• Senior Bond
• Unsecured Bond
• Callable Bond
Type of Bond:
• Debenture
• Registered Bond
• Senior Bond
• Unsecured Bond
Ratin
g
EX: Subordinate
Debenture
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Debenture Bond
Unsecured +
General Creditors
Senior Bond
Unsecured +
Subordinate
Debenture
(Junior Bond)
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Conclusion: Priority Claim on Assets
Debt Holders
Highest Right
Lowest Right
Exercise 1
Exercise 1: Q1
Below is the given information about ABC Bond:
Coupon rate (C%) = 8% per annum, paid quarterly
Par = $1,000
Original maturity 10 years
Issued 4 years ago
Market’s required yield to maturity (required rate of return) (rb) = 12%
Current market price (Pb) = $820
1.1 Calculate the intrinsic value of the bond.
1.2 Indicate if the bond is par, premium, or discount bond. Why?
1.3 Indicate if the bond is fairly-priced, underpriced, overpriced. Why?
1.4 Should you buy or sell the bond? Why?
1.5 Calculate approximate yield to maturity of the bond.
1.6 Calculate current yield.
1.7 If the required rate of return remains constant at 12%, calculate the intrinsic value of the
bond a year later. Explain why the bond value changes that way.
Exercise 1: Q1
Below is the given information about ABC Bond:
Coupon rate (C%) = 8% per annum, paid quarterly
Par = $1,000
Original maturity 10 years
Issued 4 years ago
Market’s required yield to maturity (required rate of return) (rb) = 12%
Current market price (Pb) = $820
1.1 Calculate the intrinsic value of the bond. • Rb , Vb
• Vb = $C(PVIFArb, n) + Par(PVIFrb, n) • C% $C paid quarterly
• = $20 (PVIFA12%/4, 6*4) + 1,000(PVIF3%, 24) • $C = (8%/4)($1,000) = $20 per quarter
• = $20 (16.9355) + 1,000 (0.4919) • rb = 12% / 4 = 3%
• = 338.71 + 491.9 • n = 6 * 4 = 24 periods
• = $830.61
Exercise 1: Q1
Below is the given information about ABC Bond:
Coupon rate (C%) = 8% per annum, paid quarterly
Par = $1,000
Original maturity 10 years
Issued 4 years ago
Market’s required yield to maturity (required rate of return) (rb) = 12%
Current market price (Pb) = $820
1.2 Indicate if the bond is par, premium, or discount bond. Why?
• Vb = $830.61
• Vb (830.61) < PAR (1,000)
• Discount
• rb (12%) > C% (8%)
Exercise 1: Q1
Below is the given information about ABC Bond:
Coupon rate (C%) = 8% per annum, paid quarterly
Par = $1,000
Original maturity 10 years
Issued 4 years ago
Market’s required yield to maturity (required rate of return) (rb) = 12%
Current market price (Pb) = $820
1.3 Indicate if the bond is fairly-priced, underpriced, overpriced. Why?
• Underpriced / Undervalued
• Pb (820) < Vb (830.61)
Exercise 1: Q1
Below is the given information about ABC Bond:
Coupon rate (C%) = 8% per annum, paid quarterly
Par = $1,000
Original maturity 10 years
Issued 4 years ago
Market’s required yield to maturity (required rate of return) (rb) = 12%
Current market price (Pb) = $820
1.4 Should you buy or sell the bond? Why?
• Buy
• Cheaper
• You are willing to pay at $830.61 (Max price), but the market price is cheaper at only
$820.
Exercise 1: Q1
Below is the given information about ABC Bond:
Coupon rate (C%) = 8% per annum, paid quarterly
Par = $1,000
Original maturity 10 years
Issued 4 years ago
Market’s required yield to maturity (required rate of return) (rb) = 12%
Current market price (Pb) = $820
1.5 Calculate approximate yield to maturity of the bond.
80 + (1,000 – 820) / 6
(1,000 + 820) / 2
110 = 12.09%
910
Exercise 1: Q1
Yc = Annual rate of return if investors buy the bond
today at the current market price (Pb)
Yc = $C / Pb Yc = $C / Pb
• C = $20 • C = 8% * $1,000 = $80
• Pb = $820 • Pb = $820
• Yc = $20 / $820 = 2.44% • Yc = $80 / $820 = 9.76%
• Yc = 2.44% * 4 = 9.76%
• C% $C paid quarterly
• 3.1 What should be the price of bond if required rate of return is 14%?
• rb: , Bond price:
• C% $C = (11%/2)(1,000)= 55 per 6 months
• rb = 14% / 2 = 7%
• n =8*2 = 16 periods
• 55 (PVIFA 14%/2, 8*2) + 1,000 (PVIF 7%, 16)
• 55 (9.4466) +1,000 (0.3387)
• 519.56 + 338.7
• 858.26
3. AAA Bond with 1,000 par paying an annual coupon rate of 11%
semiannually for the remaining 8 years. Its current price is 900.
112.5 = 11.84%
950
3. AAA Bond with 1,000 par paying an annual coupon rate of 11%
semiannually for the remaining 8 years. Its current price is 900.
• At $800, Pb , (< Max Price), Return , (> rb 12%) , Buy , Cheap , Undervalued
• At $1,000, Pb , (> Max Price), Return , (< rb 12%) , Not buy , Expensive ,Overvalued
, Sell
4. In January 2003, a 10-year bond was issued paying a 6% coupon
rate semiannually if the required rate of return is 12%
• $C = 60 per year
• $C = $30
• Pb = 800 • Pb = $800
• Yc = 60 / 800 = 7.5% • Yc = $30 / $800 = 3.75%
• Buy at lower price • Need to adjust to annual return
• Return (7.5%) > C% (6%) • Yc = 3.75% * 2 = 7.5%
4. In January 2003, a 10-year bond was issued paying a 6% coupon rate
semiannually if the required rate of return is 12%
• 4.4 If investors buy the bond at the market price of 800, do they have
capital gain or loss?
• Capital Gain
• P < PAR
4. In January 2003, a 10-year bond was issued paying a 6% coupon rate
semiannually if the required rate of return is 12%
60 + (1,000 – 800) / 4
(1,000 + 800) / 2
110 = 12.22%
900