2024 Global Pyaments - Commerce & Payment Trends Report
2024 Global Pyaments - Commerce & Payment Trends Report
2024 Global Pyaments - Commerce & Payment Trends Report
24
Commerce
and Payment
Trends Report
Five trends to watch
Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
EXECUTIVE INSIGHT Transformation and adaptation have always been at the improvements in the payment process are also driving
heart of business, and that’s especially true now. An un- greater exposure to bad actors. As we build new
predictable global economy has forced many leaders into enhancements, we need to think about making the entire
action. And with the rapid advance of new technologies, commerce and payment process even more secure.
those who get out in front of major trends are in the best
position to benefit from them. These trends form the center of this year’s report. We
have spoken with leading industry experts and conducted
In commerce, businesses of all sizes have experienced a global market research study among businesses and
a year of disruption and rapid change. Most notably, issuers to identify five key trends that we believe will make
generative AI is catalyzing transformation and innovation. a major impact in the coming year. These are:
Already, many businesses are deploying generative AI to
rapidly improve customer service and support, enhance • Generative AI
Cameron Bready security and fraud detection, and support the integrations • Embedded payments
President, Chief Executive Officer, critical to making payments efficient and powerful. • Security and fraud prevention
Global Payments Without a doubt, generative AI represents one of the • Live commerce
most impactful trends we have seen in decades. • Next-gen digital experiences
This and other trends present new opportunities to Each of these trends reflects a move toward making each
rethink and reinvent the entire payment and consumer transaction—whether in person or online—simpler, more
experience at the business level. Whether it’s embedded secure and seamless. And all of it is informed by data that
payments, behavioral biometrics or gamification of makes transactions more personalized.
payments, businesses are on an ongoing journey of
innovation and creating fresh experiences for consumers. Consumer needs and expectations are driving these
The result is less friction and more engagement, and the trends. Businesses that want to lead the competition
expectation that businesses will keep raising their game. need to understand these trends and find ways to apply
them to their own strategies. That kind of proactive
Of course, that expectation is not just for new ways of approach will put every organization in a position to stay
handling and processing payments. Some relate to the out front, meeting consumers where they want to go next.
basics. Take the issue of security and fighting fraud.
Businesses can’t afford to sit on the sidelines. The Read on to discover how to take your business to
technologies and digitalization that drive so many of the the next level.
2
In 2023, the global economy was flashing And it’s none too soon. Consumer
red in key markets as high inflation and expectations are changing. The bar is
interest rates persisted. But that hasn’t higher. People want seamless buying
disrupted the transformation we are experiences. And consumers want
seeing in commerce and payments. protection from increasingly
sophisticated fraudsters.
That transformation was catalyzed by the
introduction of generative AI, a technology How do you meet expectations and
with significant implications for the global balance priorities in the year ahead?
economy. With AI and several other Our 2024 Commerce and Payment
major trends years in the making, global Trends Report highlights five top trends
commerce is poised for massive that every leader needs to understand
innovation and creativity across every and appreciate to propel business growth.
stage of the consumer’s buying journey.
Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
TRENDS OVERVIEW
TREND 1 TREND 4
TREND 2 TREND 5
TREND 3
Security and
fraud prevention
Rise to meet
fresh challenges
4
Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
For this report, we held in-depth discussions with innovation leaders, technologists and
industry experts from leading financial institutions, businesses and payment networks.
We also surveyed 541 global professionals immersed in advancing commerce. What
they shared with us suggests that whatever direction the global economy may take,
businesses of all sizes are taking the initiative to remove friction from the payment
process, deploy the latest technologies to reduce fraud, and deepen their relationship
with consumers with each transaction. This report highlights insights from payment
experts across the globe—Europe, North America and Asia Pacific—who are tracking
the latest innovations and trends in payments and commerce.
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
TREND 1
Artificial
intelligence
takes center stage
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
“It’s not very often in one’s lifetime that a technology like this comes along with such
a wide variety of use cases,” says Vanessa Colella, head of innovation and digital
partnerships at Visa.
But which applications of AI make the most sense? That’s a question business leaders
are busy trying to answer.
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
61%
es: Forty-nine percent of small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) are enthusiastic
versus 80% of large and multinational enterprises.
• Forty-seven percent of businesses and 37% of issuers indicate this trend is extremely
of companies are important to their business in 2024.
enthusiastic about AI • Among businesses, the top three expected applications for AI are customer service
(43%), fraud detection (43%) and marketing (40%).
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
SPOTLIGHT
AI’s impact on customer service
McKinsey estimates that technology handles roughly half of customer contacts already.
Generative AI could handle another quarter. A customer service “bot” powered by generative AI
could use details provided by a customer to resolve simple issues immediately, retrieve important
information for a customer success representative and recommend next steps. Productivity at
customer service centers, McKinsey estimates, could rise by 30% to 45%.2
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
“Generative AI is self-learning and offers improved predictive capabilities over time,” says
Sacchi. “It’s a feedback loop that continuously validates results and feeds them into the
model. The model keeps refining itself to produce better results. The generative aspect
of it is what is new.”
Enhancing operational efficiencies for clients. API integrations for businesses are often
rigorous and time-intensive. “A point of friction for a lot of companies in their integrations
is taking the time to build APIs to capture and push all the necessary information,” says
Adam Mitchell, EVP of product, technology and enablement at Global Payments.
“Generative AI’s ability to streamline and automate software development will lead to
more integrations like shopping carts, CRMs and email marketing tools.”
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
Managing fraud and risk. Generative AI opens the door to better fraud detection.4
Right now, fraud detection systems have too few “genuine” or strong fraud cases to
analyze and learn from. With generative AI, you could produce synthetic examples of
fraud based on the patterns established by actual cases.5 These sequences would,
in turn, help improve fraud-detecting systems. Generative AI is like a coach to an athlete
who needs to train for rare but critical game situations.
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
BUSINESS TAKEAWAY
While generative AI first wowed audiences are powerful, and when thoughtfully applied
by generating poems, essays and even to key business functions, AI can boost team
websites from the simplest prompts, its full productivity and potentially transform the
impact will be felt as companies turn their way your customers experience your brand
power on business use cases. and business.
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
TREND 2
Embedded
payments:
Make them work
for your business
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
“Just as life on Earth seemed to suddenly burst on the scene, we’re going to see
a Cambrian explosion of embedded payments,” says Vanessa Colella, global head of
innovation and digital partnerships at Visa. “It’s the confluence of three elements:
consumer behavior, new technologies and industries eager to integrate that technology.”
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
“The technology is there,” says Luc Teboul, partner, transaction banking engineering
at Goldman Sachs, where he focuses on digital first corporate cash management and
payments. “We have a lot of financial engineering around the flow of funds, and we
make the client’s life easier by bringing payments into one place.”
Paul Martin
American Express, VP, Global Emerging Payments and Strategy
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
Mass momentum
Industry experts predict embedded payments will gain even more momentum in 2024
and beyond. As businesses recognize how embedded payments can drive repeat sales,
promote better cash management, enable seamless reconciliation and reduce payment
error,10 we expect their interest to rise even further.
Some high-profile use cases are driving awareness of the trend and its power.
Starbucks’ loyalty app, which allows customers to load funds, earn rewards and
pre-order drinks, held more than $1.8 billion in deposits as of the second quarter of
2023. By this calculation, that makes Starbucks bigger than 90% of individual US
banks by deposit size.11
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
• A recent study from Ptolemus Consulting Group says the connected vehicle
$600b
payments market could reach $600 billion by 2030.13
“Anything that removes friction is beneficial,” says Latha Youngren, chief marketing
officer, Tripleseat, an event management platform for hotels, restaurants and special
of com-
market size of connected venues. “When you take a flight now, they have your credit card information associated
with your seat, so you can order a drink and they just bring it to you, and there’s literally
vehicle commerce by 2030 no issue about payment.”
Mark Smith, head of payments and market development at Amazon Web Services,
says the challenge is taking huge data repositories and turning them into growth
opportunities: “It’s about mining that data to find the new product or business
opportunity to set them apart from their competitors.”
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
BUSINESS TAKEAWAY
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
TREND 3
Security and
fraud prevention
rise to meet
fresh challenges
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
62%
times globally, equating to about 22 billion exposed records.18 The US has been particularly
hard hit. In 2022, more than 422 million US individuals19 and their personal records were
exposed, considering that many individuals are victims of multiple compromises. Among
credit card users, 44% reported two or more fraudulent charges in 2022.20
of businesses say
of com
Though threats can come from many sources, consumers and policymakers expect
reducing payment fraud companies to take the lead in protecting their privacy and sensitive data—and business
is an urgent concern leaders know it.
• Fifty-five percent of total businesses rank “security of customer data” as the most
important trend going into 2024.
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
Such security measures and solutions aim to envelop the consumer at every touchpoint
of the buying journey, using data and various scoring mechanisms.
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
“The most prevalent use case for AI we’re seeing from customers is around fraud
prevention and credit extension—being able to make quick decisions and continually
train and develop AI machine learning models to make the right decisions based on
the customer,” says AWS’ Smith. “We’ve got some really savvy fintechs and established
companies that are updating their fraud prevention platforms right now.”
Generative AI has also given businesses the power to identify and defend against
attacks in real time.
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
“Generative AI, as well as machine learning, has the ability for more real-time processing
than anything we could do in our back office,” says Weiler.
Fraudsters, however, use this same technology in increasingly sophisticated ways, such
as in phishing attempts and bulk email attacks. And while rules and practices on using AI
responsibly are being written every day, those don’t matter to criminals.
The underlying message: It’s a spy vs. spy world where the tools get sharper, the stakes
get higher, and businesses can’t afford to sit on the sidelines.
SPOTLIGHT
Using neural networks to fight fraud
As with any criminal act, digital fraud is often pursued in a coordinated way by groups of
individuals. But finding these bad actors is challenging. They often hide behind multiple digital
identities and use sophisticated software to cover their tracks. Amazon Neptune, a graph
database solution, can create a fraud graph that stores and maps the relationships between
multiple people. Using email addresses and accounts, phone numbers, favored POS locations
and other information that fraud networks might share, a fraud graph can quickly map out a
connected but complex network, helping organizations (and law enforcement) home in on the
criminals behind some of the most coordinated and damaging digital attacks.21
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
7%
But even without regulatory action, businesses are actively fighting fraud using tools
developed in recent years.
Multifactor authentication (MFA): Asking consumers to use more than one form of
more businesses are
of com
considering MFA in 2024 most automated cyber-attacks,22 bulk phishing attempts and even three-quarters of
targeted attacks.23 However, it may require a customer to key in a code sent to their
email or perhaps answer a secret question.
• Seven percent more businesses are considering introducing MFA in 2024 than those
who introduced it in the past 12 months.
Encryption: By encrypting information while it’s transferred from one system or device to
another, businesses can prevent fraudsters from accessing data or corrupting files. If the
data is intercepted in transit, it is scrambled and unusable. The card data is decrypted only
once it reaches the merchant provider so the transaction can be processed.
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
As technology evolves, we see even more advanced solutions for fighting fraud,
including tools that use multiple data streams to identify and prevent fraud.
SPOTLIGHT
Discover Commerce Xchange
Discover has a powerful ability to reduce fraud and resolve potential customer chargebacks through its
Discover Commerce Xchange (DCX).24 This platform combines operational and business data to provide
customers more specific information about where their recent purchases were made. For some customers,
that information is more recognizable than, say, a business address or a parent company’s name. “That
reduces overall call volume and confusion among cardholders. They will better recognize their own
transactions this way,” says Discover’s Weiler.
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
BUSINESS TAKEAWAY
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
TREND 4
Live commerce
makes an
impression,
and the sale
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
26%
With only a camera, a mic, a streaming platform and broadband, businesses of any size can
reach new customers. A Chinese livestreamer sold $650,000 of beef jerky in livestreamed
events, multiplying sales by 30 in just two years.27
of businesses already
of com
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
• Expect more investments in online infrastructure to make this happen. Three of every
four businesses say they’re actively contemplating expanding or refining their online
channels in 2024.
• In 2022, about $500 billion in goods were sold through livestreaming, an eightfold
increase since 2019.31
• Live commerce accounted for 32% of purchases via digital commerce channels in a
six-month period, according to a 2023 report by the marketing intelligence company
WARC and Google. The study looked at 16 countries spanning Africa, Asia, Australia,
Europe and North America.32
- W
ith Asia leading the way, live commerce is attracting more interest. In our survey,
35% of respondents in Asia said they are considering introducing live commerce,
with 23% percent in North America and 15% in Europe saying the same.
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
Billions of eyes
The momentum behind live commerce shows no signs of letting up. TikTok recently
partnered with live-selling software provider CommentSold to enable live-selling
integrations with TikTok Shop.33 The company has even gotten into the logistics
business to support these live-commerce ambitions, opening fulfillment centers in
the US and the UK.34,35
Now comes augmented reality (AR) technology, which could allow customers to try
out products virtually before buying.
“We are seeing edge cases where the digital and physical worlds overlap,” says Guido
Sacchi, SEVP and chief information officer at Global Payments. “The consumer might see
a digital good, but it can ultimately become a physical product available for purchase.”
In 2023, Vice Media announced a content partnership with the game-streaming platform
Twitch. The collaboration incorporates live shopping and ecommerce opportunities.36
Twitch offers a significant market opportunity for live commerce. Its users log two billion
minutes of video watched every day, equivalent to eight years of videos each month.37
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
Walmart has launched live commerce with a series of events headlined by entertainers
and beauty influencers. Some of the events have a DIY component. For instance, sports
fans can tune into an event and learn how to whip up snacks for game day. Expectant
parents can watch live-commerce events to learn how to prepare for the arrival of their
newborn, with products available for purchase. Walmart is promoting the sessions to
generate the anticipatory buzz of a movie premiere–complete with trailers.39
SPOTLIGHT
China: Live commerce trailblazer
According to McKinsey, 57% of live-commerce sellers in China have used the shopping format
for more than three years. That compares with 5% to 7% of live-commerce sellers in Europe, Latin
America and the United States. China is also the leader among frequent live shoppers, with 87%
of consumers tuning in to a live-shopping event at least once per month. Again, other regions lag
China. In Latin America, 64% of individuals surveyed were frequent live shoppers. In Europe, 52%
reported attending a live-shopping event at least once per month. Among respondents in the US,
43% were frequent attendees.40
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
BUSINESS TAKEAWAY
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
TREND 5
Next-gen digital
experiences
—quick,
convenient, fun
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
$10testimated of com
Technologies that amplify a company’s ability to serve the market—such as mobile
points of sale—are not only creating new opportunities for growth, they’re also creating
memorable moments and new dimensions of engagement with the consumer so they
want to come back to the site, the store and the brand.
global transaction value • Thirty-six percent of businesses introduced cashierless checkout over the past year,
of contactless 44% are using it now, and 21% are considering using it in 2024.
payments by 2027 • Tap-to-pay will be the most important payment method for hotel organizations
in 2024 (65% of hospitality/accommodation businesses say they plan to prioritize
this payment method).
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
Gamification of payments: For years, businesses have added games and contests to
their platforms to give customers reasons for coming back. But now, we are seeing new
examples of gamification of payments to motivate and reward customers. Using game
mechanics can encourage people to pay for purchases, subscriptions or donations by
making the experience more engaging and enjoyable. Gamifying payments can also
build loyalty by encouraging and rewarding repeat purchases.
SPOTLIGHT
Gamification drives engagement
Paytm is bringing payment gamification to India. First, the company provided 10%
discounts to consumers who used the Paytm wallet to make a payment. Once Paytm
had built a large-enough base of customers, the company shifted its customers to
a game—every fifth and tenth customer now get cash back. For the customers, the
incentive is to engage more often because they are rewarded with more chances to
win a discount.46
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
enter the store by using Amazon One’s palm payment, the store’s app or your
payment card on your way in the door. A combination of cameras, shelf sensors
and AI technology is then used to track items “purchased”. When you’re ready to go,
simply walk out—and your payment is processed seamlessly in the background.
SPOTLIGHT
No lines, no waiting with autonomous checkout
At the American Express Shop at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, shoppers can walk in, scan
their Amex card, help themselves to the merchandise and food and beverages they want,
and then their cards are automatically billed for the items they take. The average basket
size is approximately 5% larger, the conversion rate is 80%, and the average amount of
time spent shopping is six to seven times less than at traditional concession stands.
Meanwhile, Amex shoppers are rewarded for using their card in a way that they value most:
No lines, no waiting and no missing the action.48
SPOTLIGHT
Added convenience—through autonomous checkout
7-Eleven has rolled out largely automated convenience stores in Taiwan using a
combination of Internet of Things, smart shelves with AI technologies such as
weight sensors, infrared-light curtains and ID confirmation. These tools capture how
a consumer moves through the store, puts items in a cart and walks out w hile the
transaction happens in the background.49 Other convenience stores, including Tesco,
Circle K and Hudson are experimenting as well with autonomous checkout stores.50
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
BUSINESS TAKEAWAY
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
As this report shows, we are seeing many of these technologies deployed more broadly as
early adopters demonstrate their effectiveness in driving engagement and reducing friction.
It’s an important lesson. Technology doesn’t always make a big leap like generative AI. But as
trends build momentum, they become powerful drivers of value, as contactless payments and
live commerce demonstrate. The question isn’t whether these trends matter: It’s whether they
matter enough to you to invest in them right now.
That’s why understanding these trends is essential. Businesses of every size will need to
prioritize which opportunities command their investment and focus. With careful study and
the right support, leaders throughout our industry will know when and how to grasp these
opportunities and win.
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
METHODOLOGY
Silvana Hernandez
Mastercard, EVP product and engineering
Dannell Mastrean
TSYS, EVP strategic accounts
Adam Mitchell
Global Payments, EVP product, technology and enablement
Mark Smith
Amazon Web Services, head of payments and market development
Guido Sacchi
Global Payments, SEVP and chief information officer
Luc Teboul
Goldman Sachs, partner, transaction banking engineering
Kate Weiler
Discover Global Network, director payment risk services
Latha Youngren
Tripleseat, CMO
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
SOURCES
1. McKinsey & Company, June 2023. The economic potential 18. Security Magazine, February 2022. Over 22 billion records 35. Technode, August 2023. TikTok continues Amazon-life
of generative AI: The next productivity frontier. exposed in 2021. push into commerce with fulfillment services in the UK.
2. McKinsey & Company, June 2023. The economic potential 19. Identity Theft Resource Center, January 2023. 2022 data 36. ModernRetail, February 2023. Live shopping promises
of generative AI: The next productivity frontier. breach report. stronger brand-consumer connections in 2023.
3. Computer Weekly, July 2023. How generative AI fuels 20. Dataprot, July 2023. Credit card fraud statistics: What are 37. MarketSplash, September 2023. A deep dive into Twitch:
customer experience programmes. the odds? 100+ statistics for 2023.
4. Fintech Magazine, May 2023. Will generative AI usher in a 21. AWS, Fraud graphs on AWS. 38. Street Fight, July 2023. Amazon leans into livestream
new era for fraud detection? shopping to promote Prime Day deals.
22. Cybersecurity infrastructure and security agency, More than
5. Fintech Magazine, May 2023. Will generative AI usher in a a password. 39. Walmart, Live.
new era for fraud detection?
23. Zippia, February 2023. 17 essential multi-factor authentication 40. McKinsey & Company, July 2023. Ready for prime time?
6. Amazon, September 2023. How generative AI helped train statistics. The state of live commerce.
Amazon AI to recognize your palm.
24. Discover, Enable solutions to enhance customer experience. 41. TotalRetail, January 2023. A new threat for retailers: The rise
7. Fintech Weekly, April 2023. The growing foothold of of the synthetic shopper.
embedded payments. 25. Android Police, November 2022. Everything you need to know
about livestream shopping. 42. Exploding Topics, April 2023. Worldwide daily social media
8. PYMNTS, August 2023. Visa’s PayFac strategy eyes usage (New 2023 data).
embedded payments’ potential in blue and red oceans. 26. Forrester, November 2016. What’s new for 2016 Singles’ Day:
Live streaming, VR and AR. 43. University of Maryland, September 2017. Do social media
9. Fintech Weekly, April 2023. The growing foothold of users do more online shopping?
embedded payments. 27. The New York Times, April 2023. The shining promise and
dashed dreams of China’s live shopping craze. 44. B2BPay, September 2021. Gamification in payments.
10. Transcard, August 2021. 6 ways payees benefit from
mbedded payment solutions. 28. CNBC, June 2023. Livestream shopping booms as small 45. Juniper Research, December 2022. Contactless payments:
businesses strike gold on social media. Key opportunities, emerging trends and market forecasts
11. Financial Times, May 2023. Starbucks: Wake up and smell 2022-2027.
the deposits. 29. Dynamic Yield, The average shopping card abandonment
rate globally is 71.61%. 46. B2B Payments, September 2021. Gamification in payments.
12. FXCintelligence, September 2023. Mercedes pay+: Turning
the car into a payments device. 30. Fit Small Business, September 2023. 37 shopping cart 47. AWS, August 2022. Elevate your retail experience with Just
abandonment statistics to know for 2023. Walk Out technology.
13. Ptolemus Consulting Group, March 2023. Connected vehicle
payment global study. 31. The New York Times, April 2023. The shining promise and 48. ChaseDesign, March 2023. The American Express shop
dashed dreams of China’s live shopping craze. creating an autonomous checkout experience.
14. Payments Hub, May 2023. Benefits of embedded payments.
32. WARC, 2023. Retail’s balancing act. 49. PRnewswire, July 2023. ITRI and 7-Eleven introduce new
15. LexisNexis Risk Solutions, The true cost of fraud. unmanned “X-STORE Y”.
33. The Paypers, August 2023. CommentSold partners
16. Payments Dive, December 2021. Card industry faces $400B with TikTok. 50. PYMNTS, August 2023. 7-Eleven Australia taps frictionless
in fraud losses over next decade, Nilson says. checkout as shoppers demand convenience.
34. Technode, June 2023. TikTok forges US warehouse
17. Card Not Present, August 2022. Each 1% of fraud loss actually partnership to enhance e-commerce operations: report.
costs merchants 3.75%, says report.
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Global Payments 2024 Commerce and Payment Trends Report
About us
©2023 Global Payments Inc. All rights reserved. All other trademarks, product names, and
logos identified or mentioned herein are the property of their respective owners. (011/2023)
Innovation that delivers.
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