Case Study Probability
Case Study Probability
2024
Date: ________________
CASE STUDY 1: -
Three friends A, B and C are playing a dice game. The numbers rolled up by them in their first three chances were noted and
given by A = {1, 5}, B = {2, 4, 5} and C = {1, 2, 5} as A reaches the cell 'SKIP YOUR NEXT TURN' in second throw.
2. P(B I C) =
$ ! !
(a) # (b) !$ (c) % (d) 0
3. P(A ∩ B I C) =
! ! ! !
(a) " (b) $ (c) !$ (d) #
4. P(A I C) =
! $
(a) & (b) 1 (c) # (d) 𝑛𝑜𝑛𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑠𝑒
5. P(A ∪ B| C) =
! $
(a) 0 (b) $ (c) # (d) 1
Ans = (b, a, d, c, d)
CASE STUDY 2: -
In a play zone, Aastha is playing crane game. It has 12 blue balls, 8 red balls. 10 yellow balls and 5 green balls. If Aastha draws
two balls one after the other without replacement, then answer the following questions.
1. What is the probability that the first ball is blue and the second ball is green?
' !$ " !'
(a) !!% (b) !!% (c) !!% (d) !!%
2. What is the probability that the first ball is yellow and the second ball is red?
!" ( $&
(a) !!% (b) !!% (c) !!% (d) None of these
4. What is the probability that the first ball is green and the second ball is not yellow?
!) " !$
(a) !!% (b) (' (c) !!% (d) None of these
5. What is the probability that both the balls are not blue?
" !$ !' $'#
(a) '%' (b) (' (c) !* (d) '%'
Ans = (c, b, a, c, d)
CASE STUDY 3: -
Ajay enrolled himself in an online practice test portal provided by his school for better practice. Out of 5 questions in a set-
I, he was able to solve 4 of them and got stuck in the one which is as shown below.
If A and B are independent events, P(A) = 0.6 and P(B) = 0.8, then answer the following questions
1. P(A ∩ B) =
(a) 0.2 (b) 0.9 (c) 0.48 (d) 0.6
2. P(A ∪ B) =
(a) 0.92 (b) 0.08 (c) 0.48 (d) 0.64
3. P(B I A) =
(a) 0.14 (b) 0.2 (c) 0.6 (d) 0.8
4. P(A I B) =
(a) 0.6 (b) 0.9 (c) 0.19 (d) 0.11
CASE STUDY 4: -
A doctor is to visit a patient. From the past experience, it is known that the probabilities that he will come by cab, metro,
bike or by other means of transport are respectively 0.3, 0.2, 0.1 and 0.4. The probabilities that he will be late are 0.25, 0.3,
0.35 and 0.1. if he comes by cab, metro, bike and other means of transport respectively.
2. When the doctor arrives late, what is the probability that he comes by cab?
& ! ' $
(a) $! (b) * (c) !& (d) $!
3. When the doctor arrives late, what is the probability that he comes by bike?
' & ' !
(a) $! (b) * (c) " (d) "
4. When the doctor arrives late, what is the probability that he comes by other means of transport?
" ' & $
(a) * (b) !& (c) $! (d) *
CASE STUDY 5: -
Suman was doing a project on a school survey, on the average number of hours spent on study by students selected at
random. At the end of survey, Suman prepared the following report related to the data. Let X denotes the average number
of hours spent on study by students. The probability that X can take the values x, has the following form, where k is some
unknown constant.
0.2, 𝑖𝑓 𝑥 = 0
𝑘𝑥, 𝑖𝑓 𝑥 = 1 𝑜𝑟 2
P (X = x) = )
𝑘(6 − 𝑥), 𝑖𝑓 𝑥 = 3 𝑜𝑟 4
0, 𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑤𝑖𝑠𝑒
2. What is the probability that the average study lime of students is not more than 1 hour?
(a) 0.4 (b) 0.3 (c) 0.5 (d) 0.1
3. What is the probability that the average study time of students is at least 3 hours?
(a) 0.5 (b) 0.9 (c) 0.8 (d) 0.1
4. What is the probability that the average study time of students is exactly 2 hours?
(a) 0.4 (b) 0.5 (c) 0.7 (d) 0.2
CASE STUDY 6: -
On a holiday, a father gave a puzzle from a newspaper to his son Ravi and his daughter Priya. The probability of solving this
! !
specific puzzle independently by Rayi and Priya are 𝑎𝑛𝑑 .
& '
CASE STUDY 7: -
A card is lost from a pack of 52 cards. From the remaining cards two cards are drawn at random.
2. The probability of drawing two diamonds, given that a card of heart is missing, is
$" $$ !% $#
(a) &$' (b) &$' (c) &$' (d) &$'
4. All of a sudden, missing card is found and then two cards are drawn simultaneously without replacement. Probability
that both drawn cards are king is
! ! ! $
(a) '$ (b) $$! (c) !$! (d) $$!
5. If two cards are drawn from a well shuffled pack of 52 cards, one by one with replacement, then probability of getting
not a king in 1st and 2nd draw is
!&& !$ "&
(a) !"% (b) !"% (c) !"% (d) none of these
Ans = (b, a, b, b, a)
CASE STUDY 8: -
One day, a sangeet Mahotsav is to be organized in an open area of Rajasthan. In recent years, it has rained only 6 days each
year. Also, it is given that when it actually rains. the weatherman correctly forecasts rain 80% of the lime. When it doesn't
rain, he incorrectly forecasts rain 20% of the time. If leap year is considered, then answer the following questions.
4. The probability that it will rain on the chosen day, if weatherman predict rain for that day, is
(a) 0.0625 (b) 0.0725 (c) 0.0825 (d) 0.0925
5. The probability that it will not rain on the chosen day, if weatherman predict rain for that day, is
(a) 0.94 (b) 0.84 (c) 0.74 (d) 0.64
Ans = (d, c, c, a, a)
CASE STUDY 9: -
In a family there are four children. All of them have to work in their family business to earn their livelihood at the age of 18.
2. Probability that all children are boys, if two elder children are boys, is
(a) 1/4 (b) 3/4 (c) 1/2 (d) none of these
3. Find the probability that two middle children are boys, if it is given that eldest child is a girl.
(a) 0 (b) 3/4 (c) 1/4 (d) none of these
4. Find the probability that all children are boys, if it is given that at most one of the children is a girl.
(a) O (b) 1/5 (c) 2/5 (d) 4/5
5. Find the probability that all children are boys, if it is given that at least three of the children are boys.
(a) 1/5 (b) 2/5 (c) 3/5 (d) 4/5
Ans = (d, a, c, b, a)
2. Teacher ask Mivaan, what is the probability that both tickets drawn by Aadya shows odd number?
(a) 1/50 (b) 2/49 (c) 12/49 (d) 5/49
3. Teacher ask Deepak, what is the probability that tickets drawn by Mivaan, shows a multiple of 4 on one ticket and a
multiple 5 on other ticket?
(a) 14/245 (b) 16/245 (c) 24/245 (d) None of these
4. Teacher ask Archit what is the probability that tickets are drawn by Deepak, shows a prime number on one ticket and a
multiple of 4 on other ticket?
5. Teacher ask Aadya, what is the probability that tickets drawn by Vrinda, shows an even number on first ticket and an odd
number on second ticket?
(a) 15/98 (b) 25/98 (c) 35/98 (d) none of these
Ans = (b, c, c, d, b)
2. If the wife is watching television, the probability that husband is also watching television, is
(a) 2/11 (b) 7/11 (c) 5/11 (d) 8/11
3. The probability that both husband and wife are watching television during prime lime, is
(a) 0.21 (b) 0.5 (c) 0.3 (d) 0.4
4. The probability that the wife is watching television during prime time, is
(a) 0.24 (b) 0.33 (c) 0.3 (d) 0.4
5. If the wife is watching television, then the probability that husband is not watching television, is
(a) 2/11 (b) 4/11 (c) 1/11 (d) 5/11
Ans = (b, b, a, b, b)
2. The probability that India losing the third match, if India has already loose the first two matches is
(a) 0.2 (b) 0.3 (c) 0.4 (d) 0.7
3. The probability that India losing the first two matches .is
(a) 0.12 (b) 0.28 (c) 0.42 (d) 0.01
5. The probability that India winning exactly one of the first three matches is
(a) 0.205 (b) 0.21 (c) 0.408 (d) 0.312
Ans = (c, d, b, d, c)
4. The value of ab + bc + ac is
(a) 0.1 (b) 0.6 (c) 0.5 (d) 0.3
5. The value of a + b + c is
(a) 1 (b) 1.5 (c) 1.6 (d) 1.4
Ans = (b, c, a, b, a)
If E1, E2, E3 be the events that the balls drawn from box I, box II and box III respectively and E be the event that balls drawn
are one white and one red, then answer the following questions.
1. Probability of occurrence of event E given that the balls drawn are from box I, is
! $ # !
(a) (b) (c) (d)
% " ' *
2. Probability of occurrence of event E, given that the balls drawn are from box II, is
! ! # #
(a) (b) (c) (d)
# & & '
3. Probability of occurrence of event E, given that balls drawn are from box III. is
! # ! &
(a) (b) (c) (d)
!$ !! " !!
5. Suppose Nisha is selected by the manager and told her about two posts I and II for which selection is
! !
independent. If the probability of selection for post I is and for post II is , then the probability that Nisha is
" '
selected for at least one post, is
! $ # !
(a) # (b) # (c) ( (d) $
Ans = (c, d, d, a, a)
2. The probability that the selected student has failed in Mathematics, if it is known that he has failed in Economics, is
$$ !$ ! #
(a) $'
(b) $' (c) $ (d) $'
3. The probability that the selected student has passed in at least one of the two subjects, is
! ! #
(a) & (b) $ (c) & (d) none of these
4. The probability that the selected student has failed in at least one of the two subjects, is
# $$ $ &#
(a) ' (b) $' (c) ' (d) !))
5. The probability that the selected student bas passed in Mathematics, if it is known that he has failed in Economics, is
$ # ! !
(a) ' (b) & (c) # (d) $
Ans = (d, c, c, a, d)
2. Find the probability that mother is at right end, given that son and daughter are together.
! ! !
(a) $ (b) # (c) & (d) 0
3. Find the probability that father and mother are in the middle, given that son is at right end.
! ! ! $
(a) & (b) $ (c) # (d) #
4. Find the probability that father and son are standing together, given that mother and daughter are standing together.
! $
(a) 0 (b) 1 (c) $ (d) #
5. Find the probability that father and mother are on either of the ends, given that son is at second position from the right
end.
! $ ! $
(a) # (b) # (c) & (d) '
Ans = (a, b, c, d, a)
4. P(X = Y) is equal to
(a) 11/100 (b) 1/3 (c) 29/100 (d) 1/2
5. P(X + Y = 8) is equal to
(a) 0 (b) 5/12 (c) 13/36 (d) 7/12
Ans = (a, d, d, c, a)
2. The probability that Sonia processed the form and committed an error is
(a) 0.005 (b) 0.006 (c) 0.008 (d) 0.68
4. The manager of the company wants to do a quality check. During inspection he selects a form at random from the days
output of processed forms. If the form selected at random has an error, the probability that the form is NOT processed
by Vinay is
#) $) !*
(a) 1 (b) &* (c) &* (d) &*
5. Let A be the event of committing an error, in processing the form and let E1 E2 and E3 be the events that that Vinay, Sonia
and Iqbal processed the form. The value of ∑#+,! 𝑃(𝐸+ |𝐴) is
(a) 0 (b) 0.03 (c) 0.06 (d) 1
Ans = (b, c, b, d, d)