12-Economic Decision Making
12-Economic Decision Making
12-Economic Decision Making
In this chapter we concentrate on a set of analytical tools that are used across all
engineering disiplines for estimating the economic performance of proposed designs.
There are different perspectives that can be used to compare the costs of a set of
design alternatives.
3. B Motors will have to be rebuilt at the end of the third year at a cost of $3,000
6. Electric rates are expected to increase five percent each year over the next five years
7. A Motors are more reliable, the conveyor belts won’t have as much downtime, so annually
production output will be $500 higher than the B Motors.
Before any comparison can be made, the engineer has to decide how that comparison is going to be
made: A decision rule, or basis for making the choice, must be adopted.
Decision rules:
Lowest initial cost: “Lowest initial cost” decision rule might be preferred in situations where the
funds available for investment are restricted. (In the example “lowest initial cost” rule means that
the B motors are preferred to A motors.
Lowest Life-Cycle cost: treat all costs equally, regardless of when they accur over the expected
life of the product or project. The A Motors are preferred alternative to the “lowest life-cycle
cost”
Incremental Invesment
= Initial cost of more expensive option -
Initial cost of less expensive option
= (30,000 – 20,000) = $10,000
Simple Interest:
F : Future worth
P : Present worth
i : Annual interest
n : number of years
Future Worth:
F = P+nPi = P(1+ni)
($1000 in hand today is worth $1600 available in only 6 years at %10 simple interest)
F= $1000[1+6(0.10)]=$1600
Present Worth:
F $1600
P $1000
1 ni 1 0.6
F : Future worth
P : Present worth
i : Annual interest
n : number of years
Future Worth:
First Period : F1 P P i P (1 i )
Second Period : F2 P (1 i ) iP (1 i ) P (1 i )(1 i ) P (1 i ) 2
.
nth Period : Fn P (1 i ) n (1 i) n Single Payment compound-amount factor
(interest compounded at periods other than one year)
n : number of years
r : Nominal annual interest rate
a : Number of interest periods in one year
i : Interest rate per interest period ( i=r/a )
n
r
a
Compounding at the end of shorter
F P 1 periods, such as daily, monthly. . .
a
İlhan Konukseven ME 407 Mechanical Engineering Design 7
Engineering economy was developed to deal with sums of money at different
times in the future. A good methodology for setting up problems is to place
the money amounts on a money-time diagram. Income is placed above the line
and costs are placed below the line.
Income
Costs
Uniform Annual Series Money-time diagram
Uniform series of receipts or disbursements occuring equally at the end of each period.
Examples:
-Payment of a debt on the instalment plan
-Setting aside a sum F that will be available at the future date for replacement of
equipment
-Retirement annuity that consists of a series of equal payments instead of a lump sum
payments
F 1 i F R1 i R
n
iF R 1 i 1
n
Fn P (1 i ) n
FR
1 i 1
n
Gives sum of n uniform payments of R when the interest rate is i
i
i
RF Set aside money for paying off debt or buy/replace equipment
1 i n 1
PR
1 i 1
n
Present worth of a uniform series of payments R
i 1 i
n
i 1 i
n
RP Capital recovery: The annual payment needed to return the initial
1 i n 1 capital investment P plus interest on that investment at a rate i
over n years
i 1 i
n
R Rb (1 i )
İlhan Konukseven ME 407 Mechanical Engineering Design 10
COST COMPARISON
A typical decision is which of two courses of action is the least expensive when time value
of money is considered.
Example: Two machines each have a useful life of five years. If money is worth 10%,
which machine is more economical? Present worth Compound Interest
1
PR
1 i 1
n
F P (1 i ) n
P F
Discount all costs back to the present time: (1 i ) n
i 1 i
n
3000
1
$28,823
0 .1 1 0 .15
1 0 .1 5
PB 15,000 4000
1 0.1 1 3500 1
5
$32,793
0.11 0.15 1 0.13
We may use a common 6-year period, in which we would replace machine A three times
and replace machine B twice.
The cost flow over time is converted to an equivalent annual cost or benefit. This method
works well when the alternatives have different time periods.
i 1 i
n
i
RP RF
1 i n 1 1 i n 1
Capital recovery Aside money for
replace equipment
0.11 0.1
20
0.11 0.1
35
1
RB 18,000 3000 3000 $4,855
1 0.135 1 1 0.135 1
Machine B has the lowest annual cost and is the most economical
This is a special case present worth analysis for a project that exists in perpetuity (n=).
The concept is originally developed for use with public works, such as dums and water-works,
that have long lives and provide services that must be maintained indefinitely.
i 1 i
n
i 1 i
0.11 0.1
10
K 20,000
1 0.1 1
10
1000 600
$48,540
0.11 0.1 0.11 0.1
1 0.1 1 1 0.1 1
0.11 0.1 0.11 0.1
15 15
K 6,000
1 0.1 1
15
500
1 1 0.115 1 4,800 $55,733
0.11 0.1 1 0.115 0.11 0.1 0.11 0.1
An engineering design is not complete until the cost to build the design or manufacture
the product is known.
This Section emphasis on how cost estimates can be made early in the design process.
CATEGORIES OF COSTS
A concept that provides a rough estimate of the investment cost for a new product is
the turn over ratio:
annual sales
Turnover
total investment
Variable costs are depend on the rate or volume of production and fixed costs do not.
The determination of the production lot size to eceed the break-even point and produce
a profit is an important consideration
Manufacturing organization , to remain competetive, must make its products at the minimum
cost with the required quality and function of the product
Types of Costs
Fixed Costs Indirect Costs (Overhead Costs) Direct Costs
Machines Material (water, light, heating....) Man work for producing the product
Equipment and tooling Plant running men Material required for the production
(used for production & Production planning & control staff
Require certain investment) R&D staff
Overheads = All the costs of running the factory – Cost of direct Labour and direct material
2. Office overheads: Wages of all office staff, postal, legal expenses, depreciaition of
office equipment
3. Sales overheads: Wages of all sales staff, advertising, sales commissions etc.
Direct Costs
Direct costs are attribute directly to the manufacture of a product.
1. Direct Material Cost: includes all the waste which has been cut away from the original
bar, casting etc.
2. Direct Labour: the time spent in manufacturing the product by the direct shop floor
worker and the wage rate.
Cn = Ci - C s
Net investment on Total monetary Old machine
the new machinery investment Realisable value
(initial cost) (Salvage value)
The difference between the market and the book values of any machinery or equipment is
called sunk cost
S = (Cs – Cr) - B
Book Value
Sunk cost Old machine Old machine Shown by
Realisable value Cost of removal depreciation accounts
(Salvage value)
S <= 0 loss from the sale of the old machine
S > 0 Profit from the sale of the old machine
Net investment on
the new machinery Cn = Ci – S = Ci - (Cs – Cr) + B
A company must lay aside enough money each year to accumulate a fund to replace the
equipment.
Important aspect: depreciation can be deducted from gross profits as a cost of doing
business
Straight Line Depreciaition: Simplest form of depreciation is taken linearly over the years
If the new machine has a certain critical life 6 years, the rate of depreciation receeds
according to the reverse order of the use (6,5,4,3,2,1)
D
n J 1 C C
Depreciaition at the end of J years:
1 2 .. n
n s
2 n J 1
D C n C s
n( n 1)
2 1 2 .. n J
The book value is: B Cs C n C s
nn 1
Cn Cs 19,900YTL 1,200YTL
D D2
8
2,337.5TL
n
B2 C n 2 D2
B2 19,900YTL 2 2,337.5TL 15,225TL
D
n J 1 C C 2 n J 1 C C
1 2 .. n n( n 1)
n s n s
2 8 2 1
D2 19,900 1,200 3,636 TL
8 (8 1)
2 1 2 .. n J 2 1 2 .. 6
B Cs C n C s B2 1,200 19,900 1,200 12,108 TL
nn 1 8 8 1
The invested money to purchase machinery and equipment can either be borrowed from a
bank for which an interest is to be paid, or the money invested to the machinery can be
loaned to a bank from which interest can be earned. Hense the interest is the natural
part of the cost of the product as fixed charges.
Likewise to the interest on investment on machinery and physical facilities, taxes are to
be paid to the State at a certain rate of the value of assets, the physical facilities must
be insured against any type of risk or damage (fire, theft, natural hazards...) The rate
of taxes and the insurances are determined by State and insurance companies
respectively.
The yearly taxes and insurances are paid on the book value of machinery and physical
facilities.
Property taxes: Based on the value of the property owned by the corporation
(land, buildings, equipment, inventory)
Sales taxes: Imposed on sales of products. Usually paid by customer.
Excise taxes: Imposed on the manufacture of certain products like tobacco and
alcohol. Usually passed on the customer.
Income taxes: Imposed on corporate profits or personel income.
Direct Method:
If the contribution of overhead charges on to the cost of unit product is proportional to the
direct material used or produced (continuous production, stell bars and strips, . . ) this
method is most suitable.
H = The total overheads per year in YTL.
Rdm = Overhead rate in TL. per TL. of direct material,
Cdm = Total direct material expenses in TL. per year,
H
Rdm TL / TL of direct material
C dm
Rdm = Overhead rate in TL. per Kg. of direct material,
W = Total weight of direct material in Kg. per year,
H
Rdm TL / Kg. of direct material
W
İlhan Konukseven ME 407 Mechanical Engineering Design 29
Example:
A brass mill is producing 2000 tons of various shapes and sized milled brass
per year. The total overheads are 4,000 TL/year. Calculate the overhead
rate, if the production of 20mm round bars is 500 tons/year, calculate the
overhead contribution to 20 mm round bars.
Solution:
C tot C dm Rdm C dm C dl
Total cost of Total direct Total direct Total direct
production material expenses material labour expenses
N = N1 + N2 + .... +Nn : the total number of products of all types per year
H
Rp TL / piece
N 1 N 2 .. N n
C tot / piece R p / p C dm / p C dl / p TL/piece
This method assumes that the overhead expenses in production are proportional
to direct labour cost. It is simple and provides accurate results where the labour
is main productive element and the wages are fairly uniform.
A good example to this method is the watch making (electronics) industry where
all the people are fully skilled, the material cost is small and there is fair
amount of automation.
H
Rdl TL / piece
C dl ( tot )
Overhead rate
The cost of unit product:
In this method it is assumed that the overhead expenses are proportional to the
number of man-hours directly consumed on manufacturing each item.
H H
Rdlh TL / piece
T1 T2 ... Tn T
Large manufacturing enterprises are occupied in production of large diversity and variety of
products in different departments or production units.
Each production unit or department makes different contribution to the earnings of the
company.
In some cases, only one of the methods mentioned before can be sufficient for effective
distribution of overheads. But at many cases and instances, the combination of more than
one method may solve the problem.
a) Direct material
b) Direct Labour
a) Direct Material
To produce one final product requires man-power (Tm). This can be called the
work content of the product and is calculated by various work study methods. It
involves estimating the loading, unloading, approach and withdrawal times;
machining, forming, assembly times and so on.
The direct labour rating varies with the quality of workmanship at different
stages of the work.
Tm N
a) The time of maintenance of different machines at different level must be correct and
appropriate.
b) The stock of maintenance material and spare parts must be at appropriate level neither
to starve the maintenance, nor to put the extra un-warranted financial burden on
production.
a) Daily routine maintenance. Daily, weekly or periodic cleaning and changing the oil and
greasing
b) The change of parts which are worn or liable to failure (without waiting them to fail)
This is called preventive maintenance.
c) Repairs machinery when failure occurs expectedly or unexpectedly. This will of course,
cause the production to stop. Dangereous, particularly in flow type of production.
When a machinery is new, the maintenance charges are low. But, as the machinery and
parts of it wear off, the replacement and keep-up expenses start increasing, and hence
the maintenance charges increase due to both labor and material.
The maintenance expenses of any facility increases with the time of use.
If the increase taken linear with the time, the maintenance charges at any year can be
formulated in the following equation;
Time in years
M J M 0 rm J TL
Maintenance
Expenses at year J Initial (fixed) Rate of increase
Maintenance of Maintenance
Expenses Expenses