Operations Research Assignment
Operations Research Assignment
Primal Problem:
subject to:
The dual variables corresponding to these constraints are \( y_1, y_2, y_3 \) respectively.
subject to:
1. Defining the problem: Identify the system or process that needs to be analysed and
determine the key variables or parameters that exhibit uncertainty.
3. Generating random samples: Randomly generate values for each uncertain variable
according to the specified probability distributions. This can be done through random number
generators or by sampling from the distribution functions.
4. Running simulations: For each random sample, run the system or process model to obtain
an outcome or result. This could involve performing calculations, simulations, or evaluating
performance measures.
5. Analyzing results: Record and analyze the outcomes obtained from the simulations. This
may include calculating summary statistics, constructing probability distributions of key
results, or identifying patterns or trends.
6. Assessing risk and uncertainty: Use the results from the simulations to evaluate the risk
and uncertainty associated with the system or process being analyzed. This can involve
calculating probabilities, confidence intervals, or sensitivity analysis.
7. Iterating and refining: Depending on the level of accuracy and insights desired, the
simulation process may need to be iterated several times. This can involve refining the
probability distributions, adjusting model parameters, or increasing the number of simulation
runs.
8. Communicating findings: Present the results and findings of the Monte Carlo simulation in
a clear and concise manner. This can involve visualizations such as charts, graphs, or tables,
as well as narratives and interpretations.
Monte Carlo simulation is widely used in various fields, including finance, engineering,
healthcare, and project management, to assess risks, optimize decision-making, and improve
understanding of complex systems. It provides a powerful tool for dealing with uncertainty
and making informed decisions in situations where analytical solutions are not feasible or
inadequate.