Skin Factor Prediction
Skin Factor Prediction
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Abstract
Reservoir damage is a critical a major concern within the oil and gas sector that has the potential to have
a significant impact reduce reservoir productivity. Traditional methods of repairing formation damage are
frequently requiring a substantial amount of manual effort and consuming a considerable amount of time.
This study delves into the utilization of machine learning methods as a promising solution for predicting,
mitigating, and managing reservoir damage. The study begins with a discussion of the various elements
that lead to the occurrence of formation damage, including rock-fluid interactions, drilling operations, and
production processes. It then highlights the limitations of traditional methods and emphasizes the need for
data-driven approaches. Machine learning models such as support vector machines, regression analysis,
and neural networks are introduced as tools for analyzing large data sets derived from reservoir modeling,
wellbore data, and production history. These models identify key parameters and patterns associated with
formation damage, which helps predict potential damage. Additionally, this research paper investigates
the application of machine learning for optimizing drilling and completion strategies with the aim of
reducing the likelihood of formation damage. It addresses the incorporation of real-time data monitoring
and predictive analytics to enhance reservoir management methodologies.
The paper presents case studies and practical implementations of machine learning aimed at mitigating
formation damage. These examples illustrate the potential for enhancing reservoir performance, cutting
operational expenses, and boosting hydrocarbon production. It also outlines challenges and future directions
for research in this area, highlighting the importance of continued innovation in machine learning and data
mining methods to promote the sustainable growth of the oil and gas sector.
In conclusion, the application of machine learning for formation damage management represents a
transformative approach to address a critical challenge in the oil and gas sector. This research contributes
to the development of knowledge and practical implementation of machine learning methods to optimize
reservoir performance while minimizing the effects of reservoir damage.
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Introduction
Formation damage, a phenomenon encountered in the oil and gas industry, presents a persistent challenge
that can have profound implications for reservoir productivity and profitability (Liu & Civan, 1993).
This occurs when various factors, such as drilling operations, formation fluid interactions, and production
activities, lead to a deterioration in the formation’s ability to efficiently deliver hydrocarbons. Traditional
methods of combating formation damage are often inadequate, requiring innovative approaches to
prediction, prevention and mitigation (Kalam et al., 1997).
In recent years, the intersection of artificial intelligence and the oil and gas sector has opened up promising
Review
Diagnosing formation damage is an intricate task due to the wide array of potential issues that can arise,
demanding substantial practical experience and technical expertise. Becoming an expert in this domain
entails the ability to comprehend and retain findings from various technical publications and apply this
knowledge in a methodical manner. Recently, there have been developments in the form of programs
referred to as "Expert" or "Artificial Intelligence" (AI) systems, which can perform tasks akin to those
executed by qualified experts in specialized fields. To utilize these programs, a "knowledge base" must
initially be encoded and stored in the computer’s memory, after which the Expert System can roughly
simulate the analysis conducted by an expert (Garrouch et al., 2006; Moridis et al., 2011; Nashawi &
Malallah, 2009).
SPE-217610-MS 3
This paper (Alegre & Dougherty, 1988) presents an update on the progress of an expert system designed
for analyzing formation damage issues. The objective behind its development is to showcase the feasibility
of providing an automated formation damage advisor to the average engineer. In conclusion, it is emphasized
that employing AI for the diagnosis of formation damage represents a promising and productive application
of this technology.
Traditionally, water injection techniques in mature oil fields located in the Middle Magdalena Valley of
Colombia have had limited success. However, the study (Nunez Garcia et al., 2015) offers a comprehensive
approach to reservoir damage analysis. This approach includes damage modeling, characterization of
To assist in the identification of damage mechanisms and guide the development of drilling fluids, a user-
friendly software tool has been designed for predicting formation sensitivity and water cut. This software
provides a practical alternative to and labor-intensive laboratory tests, as it only requires the input of relevant
formation parameters. Its widespread adoption has demonstrated a high degree of reliability, with more than
85% of the predicted outcomes aligning with measured results, affirming its effectiveness.
The research conducted (Jiaojiao et al., 2010) has enabled the identification of the primary mechanisms
responsible for causing damage in formations characterized by low porosity and permeability. These
mechanisms typically include water sensitivity and water blockage. The study (Jiaojiao et al., 2010)
ANN is a fundamental concept in the artificial intelligence and machine learning field`s. Using layers
of interconnected nodes or "neurons," ANNs can process complex patterns, recognize relationships in data,
and make predictions or decisions.
In this study (Denney, 2007), a neural network was employed to predict the initial pressure, permeability,
and skin factor of reservoir based on data obtained from pressure build-up tests.
1. Calculation of initial reservoir pressure
ANN was used to calculate the initial reservoir pressure. This is achieved using the Matlab toolbox.
2. Permeability Calculation:
Well No. Initial pressure, MPa Initial pressure ANN, MPa Error, %
1 23 22.8988 0.44
2 15 14.934 0.26
3 25 24.89 0.12
4 30 29.868 0.09
5 29 28.8724 0.06
ANN permeability,
Well No. Permeability, millidarcy Error, %
millidarcy
3 61 60.7316 5
1 4.12 4.101872 7
It is evident from the results that there is excellent concordance between the pressure and permeability
data and the training data. Table 1 offers a comparison of the initial pressure readings, demonstrating their
substantial agreement. Table 2 presents the calculated permeability values, showcasing the neural network’s
ability to predict reservoir permeability accurately using pressure build-up data. Table 3 reports the outcomes
of skin factor calculations. Across all tables, the decreasing error values affirm that the program has been
meticulously trained and can be applied to simulate the initial pressure, permeability, and skin factor of any
reservoir effectively.
The primary source of production in the Shushufindi-Aguarico field (SSFD) located in Ecuador comes
from three stacked reservoir sands: T, U sands, and the basal Tena, as described (Rodriguez et al., 2014).
The SSFD is characterized as being undersaturated and exhibits two concurrent production mechanisms.
The initial mechanism is linked to the drive caused by gas dissolution, while second is connected to an
active bottom and lateral aquifer. This second mechanism results in relatively high recovery rates, typically
ranging between 24% and 29%, but it is also accompanied by a significant water cut in most wells, especially
those producing from the T sand.
The reservoir displays compartmentalization as a result of stratigraphic pinch out, resulting in varying
pressure regimes for each of the sands: The T sand ranges from 0.0145 to 0.0179 GPa, the U sand from
0.0096 to 0.0206 GPa, and the basal Tena sand from 0.00827 GPa. Natural reservoir pressure limits flow,
requiring artificial lift techniques (Rodriguez et al., 2014).
The main method of mechanized production at the field is an electric submersible pump (ESP), which
is used in 106 wells. There are also 5 wells utilizing hydraulic pumping, 1 well employing gas lift, and 1
well using beam pumping as alternative lift methods.
The saturation pressure of U and T sands varies from 0.0069 to 0.0073 GPa. In some cases, some wells
are operated with dynamic bottomhole pressure (Pwf) that drops below the saturation pressure, with Pwf
reaching approximately 0.0041 GPa.
Wells in the field were initially completed using 0.1397 m × 25.29 kg/m and 0.1778 m × 38.69 to 43.15
kg/m casing. However, in the past three years, wells have been completed with 0.2444 m × 69.94 to 78.87
kg/m casing and 0.1778 m × 43.15 kg/m or 38.69 kg/m liners.
The wells are configured with single bore completions, also targeting the T or U sand, or selectively
when both sands are to be produced sequentially, facilitated by a sliding door. In 2012, experiments
were conducted with concentric dual completions in four wells. However, this approach posed certain
complexities and limitations, leading to the potential for extended and risky future workover operations.
A critical aspect of production to take into account is the regulatory authority overseeing hydrocarbons
in Ecuador, ARCH, does not allow joint development of the U and T sands due to reservoir management
and oil accounting issues.
The operator, Consorcio Shushufindi (CSSFD) (Rodriguez et al., 2014), is considering intelligent
completion (IC) or compact IC to address technical and regulatory challenges. The objectives include
evaluating and testing ICs and compact ICs in the field.
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The initiative has made significant progress (Rodriguez et al., 2014) in gathering information on candidate
wells, including architectural requirements, conceptual modeling for production assessment, operating
philosophy, application advantages and disadvantages, and international precedents. Furthermore, technical
presentations were delivered to management at different organizational levels. These presentations aimed
to elucidate the technical justification and advantages of adopting flash completions as a means to enhance
production, exploit reserves, and minimize reservoir damage stemming from factors like well interventions
such as recompletions.
Early discussions (Rodriguez et al., 2014) with regulators led to approval of a pilot trial involving the
modeling (Kalam et al., 1997). Below, Table 4 shows a list of methods used in the articles. Table 5 shows
the advantages and disadvantages of the methods used.
Source Method
Table 5—Advantages and disadvantages of artificial intelligence methods that have been and can be used for forecasting
Conclusion
In conclusion, the review article offers an extensive survey of the utilization of machine learning methods
in tackling formation damage issues within the oil and gas sector. Reservoir damage remains a serious
problem, potentially hampering hydrocarbon production, increasing operating costs and reducing reservoir
life. Traditional methods have limitations in their ability to accurately predict and mitigate formation
damage, making the integration of machine learning an interesting and promising area of progress. Through
a thorough examination of existing literature and case studies, it is clear that machine learning has the
potential to revolutionize the approach to reservoir damage. Machine learning models such as support vector
machines, regression analysis and neural networks demonstrated their effectiveness in analyzing large and
complex data sets, identifying hidden patterns, and accurately predicting formation damage risks. Moreover,
machine learning models can be employed to optimize drilling and completion strategies, leading to more
efficient operations and reduced formation damage incidents.
The successful applications of machine learning discussed in this review highlight the substantial
benefits it can bring to the oil and gas industry. These benefits include improved reservoir management
practices, enhanced hydrocarbon recovery rates, and significant cost savings. Furthermore, the integration
of real-time data monitoring and predictive analytics can provide operators with valuable insights into
reservoir behavior, enabling them to proactively address potential formation damage issues. However, it
is important to acknowledge that challenges remain. Data quality, accessibility, and privacy concerns must
be carefully considered when implementing machine learning solutions. Additionally, ongoing research
and development efforts are essential to refine existing algorithms, develop new ones, and adapt machine
learning methods to evolving reservoir conditions.
In summary, a literature review demonstrates that machine learning has emerged as a powerful tool
for mitigating and managing formation damage within the oil and gas sector. Its potential to transform
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reservoir management, optimize drilling practices, and improve hydrocarbon recovery rates cannot be
understated. As we look to the future, continued collaboration between data scientists, engineers, and
industry professionals will be crucial in harnessing the full potential of machine learning to ensure the
sustainability and profitability of oil and gas reservoirs. By embracing this technological advancement, the
industry is poised to overcome one of its most persistent challenges and usher in a new era of efficient and
data-driven reservoir management.
References
Nnamdi, D. N., & Adelaja, V. O. (2019). Dynamic Production Forecasting using Artificial Neural Networks customized
to historical well Key Flow Indicators. In SPE Nigeria Annual International Conference and Exhibition (p.
D033S027R004). https://doi.org/10.2118/198756-MS
Nunez Garcia, W., Kleber, M., Polo, R., Franco, C. A., Escobar, M. A., Sierra, A., & Arango, M. (2015). Comprehensive
Methodology to Identify, Quantify and Eliminate the Formation Damage Mechanisms, Succesfully Applied for the first
Time by the Operator in a Colombian Mature Field; Including formation Damage Modeling, Well Candidate Selection,
Stimulation T. In SPE Latin American and Caribbean Petroleum Engineering Conference (p. D021S015R003). https://
doi.org/10.2118/177090-MS
Rodriguez, J. C., Dutan, J., Serrano, G., Sandoval, L. M., Arevalo, J. C., & Suter, A. (2014). Compact Intelligent
Completion: A Game Change for Shushufindi Field. In SPE Latin America and Caribbean Petroleum Engineering