Managing Project Risk Ass
Managing Project Risk Ass
Question 1
Appraise the benefits of project risk management. Provide a critical discussion of
each benefit appraised to the case study project.
Question 2
According to Gido and Clement (2015:287), another approach to identify risks of a
project is to establish risk categories. Identify and appraise the risk categories.
Thereafter, identify and critically discuss the risks associated with each category of
the case study project.
Question 3
Use the risks identified in question 2 and compile a risk response plan for the case
study project. Record a plan for at least TEN (10) identified risks. A comprehensive
discussion is required for each risk.
Question 4
Use the common project risk response strategies and appraise the risks identified in
question 3. Explain in detail your response for each risk.
Question 1
Introduction
The BP oil spill was a catastrophic environmental disaster that occurred in 2010 when
the Deepwater Horizon oil rig exploded and sank in the Gulf of Mexico. Eleven
platform workers died, and an estimated 4 million barrels of oil spilled into the Gulf,
making it the worst environmental disaster in US history. The project risk assessment
of the BP oil spill focused on three factors: likelihood, damages, and detection.
Serious risks were those that had a high likelihood, could cause considerable
damages, and were difficult to detect. The BP oil spill was a serious risk because BP
and the industry had not kept up with the way they assessed the risk of catastrophic
damages from spills. The safety culture of BP and its contractors had flaws, and they
suffered from a culture of denial that prevented them from preventing such disasters.
The detection of problems was made much more difficult due to overconfidence and
incompetence. The BP oil spill disaster shared a management culture similar to the
one that contributed to the Columbia shuttle disaster in 2003. Preparing a risk
management plan requires project managers to think objectively about what could go
wrong and make tough trade-offs between time, money, resources, and risk.
Project risk management (PRM) is a hot topic in academic and industrial circles on a
national and worldwide scale. PRM is one of the nine key knowledge areas of project
management in the PMBOK (PMI, 2004, p.237), with the goal of "increasing the
probability and impact of positive events while decreasing the probability and impact
of negative events." Other key frameworks and best practices for project management,
such as the Association of Project Management, British Standards Institution, and
Office of Government Commerce, regard it as an essential component of project
management (Kutsch & Hall, 2010). Crawford, Pollack, and England (2006) state that
it is one of the few areas in the project management literature that has continuously
gotten significant attention in the leading project management publications.
As a result, the research topic has grown to be very broad, and many diverse issues
have been clarified. Managerial behavior (Kutsch & Hall, 2010); inclusion of
opportunities (Hillson, 2002); estimate precision (Elmaghraby, 2005); portfolio risk
management (Teller, 2013); and cross-cultural views and multi-disciplinary
methodologies (Goodwin & Strang, 2012) are examples.
In a research looking into the use and benefits of PRM tools, Raz and Michael (2001)
identified the most commonly utilized tools: those linked with successful project
management in general and effective PRM in particular. In their study, they defined
tool broadly (Raz & Michael, 2001, p.10), "including not only special purpose tools,
but also methods, practices, and processes that are likely to contribute to the
management of risks in projects." Camp (1989)'s benchmarking approach motivated
their research. Their cross-sectional study found a Person correlation of 0.36 at a level
of significance of 0.0008 between average tool score (ATS) and project management
performance (PMP). This positive relationship was understood to mean that
"respondents who come from environments conducive to better project management
performance are more likely to assign higher scores to project risk management tools"
(Raz & Michael, 2001, p.13).
Improved communication
Cost savings
Effective risk management can lead to cost savings by identifying potential risks and
taking proactive steps to mitigate them. By avoiding costly delays, rework, and other
project setbacks, project managers can ensure that the project stays within budget and
delivers value to the client. In the case study project, risk management can help the
project team identify potential cost overruns and take steps to avoid them.
Introduction
The discovery, analysis, mitigation, and planning for potential hazards that may
disrupt routine organizational or company operations is referred to as risk
management. A risk management program is a business model that examines the
relationship between risk and its subsequent impact on an organization. Furthermore,
risk management should be comprehensive enough to predict the probability of risk
occurrence and build out a mitigation plan to prevent the risk from occurring or
minimize the consequences that it may have on an organization or business.
Understanding the many types of risks and their potential consequences (risk
classification) is therefore critical to the complex risk management program because it
allows firms to stay risk tolerant and cushion themselves from potential loss.
Internal risks are internal dangers and causes that arise within an organization and can
be handled effectively by the organization. Technological, human resource, and
physical risks are examples of internal risks. These risks are eliminated via a set of
internal controls that businesses use to reduce hazards within the organization and
ensure the smooth functioning of activities.
External risks arise from outside the organization and, unlike internal risks, are not
under the organization's control. Natural hazards, political risks, and legislative risks
are among them.
Economic risks are those that have a negative impact on a country's economic
stability and thus have a negative impact on business/organizational operations.
Inflation, deflation, and more government taxation are examples.
The BP Deepwater Horizon oil spill, which occurred in April 2010, was the worst
environmental disaster in US history, with an estimated 4 million barrels of oil
spilling into the Gulf of Mexico. The spill occurred when the oil rig caught fire and
collapsed, causing the drill pipe to fracture and oil to start gushing through the broken
pipe. BP attempted to close the relief valves, but the flow continued, and the company
minimized the extent of the problem at first.
The risk assessment of the BP oil spill focused on three factors: likelihood, damages,
and detection. A serious risk would be one whose likelihood is high, damages could
be considerable, and it would be difficult to detect the early stages of an incident.
However, the oil industry has not kept up with the way it assesses the risk of
catastrophic damages from spills. The safety culture is flawed, and the industry
suffers from a culture of denial, accepting that their industry is risky and accidents are
inevitable, thereby denying their part in preventing such disasters.
The challenge of detection was raised as BP ignored the signs that something was
wrong through overconfidence and incompetence, making it much more difficult to
detect problems and properly manage and control the project. The Columbia shuttle
disaster in 2003 shared a management culture not unlike the one that contributed to
the BP oil spill disaster. People did not spend enough time thinking about what could
go wrong, and both events highlighted the importance of risk management and the
need to make tough trade-offs between time, money, resources, and risk.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the BP oil spill was a tragic event that highlighted the importance of
proper risk assessment and management. It demonstrated the need for companies to
take a proactive approach to risk management, constantly assessing the likelihood of
risks, the potential damages, and the difficulty of detecting problems. It also
highlighted the need to create a safety culture that encourages people to think about
what could go wrong and take proactive steps to prevent disasters from occurring.
Question 3
Introduction
Mitigation: The project team will work with the relevant authorities to expedite the
approval process. The project manager will also allocate additional resources to help
expedite the approval process. The project schedule will be adjusted to allow for
potential delays, and the project team will work closely with the relevant authorities to
ensure all requirements are met.
Mitigation: The project team will review the requirements with the stakeholders and
evaluate the potential impact of any changes. Any changes to the scope will be
documented and approved by the project sponsor before being implemented. The
project team will also work to manage stakeholder expectations to minimize changes
to the scope.
Risk: Inaccurate cost estimates.
Mitigation: The project team will engage subject matter experts to help develop
accurate cost estimates. The team will also review historical data and benchmark
against similar projects to ensure that the estimates are reasonable. The project
manager will track and report any cost variances to the project sponsor for review and
approval.
Mitigation: The project team will provide training and mentorship to less experienced
team members to ensure they are equipped with the necessary skills to deliver their
tasks. The project manager will also engage consultants with relevant experience to
augment the team's skills.
Mitigation: The project team will review the weather forecast regularly and adjust the
schedule accordingly. The project manager will also allocate additional resources to
help expedite activities that may be affected by adverse weather conditions.
Mitigation: The project team will review the project budget regularly to identify
potential cost savings. The team will also work to optimize resource utilization and
identify any cost overruns early to avoid compromising the project's success. The
project sponsor will be kept informed of any budgetary issues and approve any
changes to the budget.
Mitigation: The project team will work with equipment vendors to ensure that all
equipment is properly maintained and serviced. The team will also develop a
contingency plan in case of equipment failure, which may include renting or leasing
alternative equipment to keep the project on track.
Mitigation: The project team will develop a comprehensive risk management plan that
includes identifying, assessing, and monitoring risks throughout the project's
lifecycle. The team will also establish contingency plans to address potential risks and
ensure that all stakeholders are informed of any potential impacts.
Mitigation: The project team will establish quality standards and processes to ensure
that all deliverables meet the required quality criteria. The team will also conduct
regular quality reviews and testing to identify and address any quality issues early.
Conclusion
In conclusion, developing a risk response plan is critical to the success of any project.
It helps in mitigating potential risks that may affect the project's success. The above
risk response plan provides a comprehensive approach to addressing ten of the
identified risks in the case study project. The project team should continuously review
and update the risk response plan as necessary to ensure that it remains relevant
throughout the project's lifecycle.
Question 4
Introduction
Risk response strategies are implemented to mitigate, transfer, avoid, or accept the
risks identified in a project. Here are the risk response strategies that are commonly
used in project management:
Avoid: In this strategy, the project team takes actions to eliminate the risk altogether.
This is done by either changing the project plan or removing certain aspects of the
project.
Mitigate: This strategy involves taking actions to reduce the likelihood or impact of
the risk.
Transfer: In this strategy, the risk is transferred to another party, such as an insurance
company or a subcontractor.
Accept: This strategy involves accepting the risk and developing contingency plans to
manage the consequences if it occurs.
Technical risk: The risk of technology failing during the project can be mitigated by
implementing thorough testing and quality assurance procedures to ensure that the
technology is reliable. Additionally, contingency plans can be developed in case of
technology failure, including having backup systems in place.
Schedule risk: The risk of project delays due to scheduling issues can be mitigated by
developing a detailed project schedule with clear timelines and milestones,
monitoring progress closely, and adjusting the schedule as necessary. Additionally,
contingency plans can be developed in case of schedule delays, including allocating
additional resources or revising the project scope.
Cost risk: The risk of project cost overruns can be mitigated by developing a detailed
budget and monitoring project expenses closely. Additionally, contingency plans can
be developed in case of cost overruns, including revising the project scope or
obtaining additional funding.
Stakeholder risk: The risk of stakeholders not being satisfied with the project
outcomes can be mitigated by engaging with stakeholders throughout the project,
gathering feedback and addressing concerns promptly. Additionally, contingency
plans can be developed in case of stakeholder dissatisfaction, including revising the
project scope or offering additional incentives.
Resource risk: The risk of not having enough resources to complete the project can be
mitigated by developing a detailed resource plan that identifies the necessary
resources and allocating them accordingly. Additionally, contingency plans can be
developed in case of resource shortages, including revising the project schedule or
outsourcing certain tasks.
Legal risk: The risk of legal issues arising during the project can be mitigated by
conducting thorough legal research and ensuring compliance with relevant laws and
regulations. Additionally, contingency plans can be developed in case of legal issues,
including obtaining legal advice or revising the project plan.
Quality risk: The risk of project outcomes not meeting quality standards can be
mitigated by implementing thorough quality assurance procedures, such as conducting
regular audits and inspections. Additionally, contingency plans can be developed in
case of quality issues, including revising the project plan or implementing additional
quality controls.
Scope risk: The risk of project scope creep can be mitigated by developing a detailed
project scope statement and monitoring project progress closely to ensure that the
project stays on track. Additionally, contingency plans can be developed in case of
scope changes, including revising the project schedule or budget.
Environmental risk: The risk of environmental issues arising during the project can be
mitigated by conducting thorough environmental impact assessments and ensuring
compliance with relevant regulations. Additionally, contingency plans can be
developed in case of environmental issues, including revising the project plan or
obtaining additional resources.
Conclusion
Crawford, L., Pollack, J., & England, D. (2006). Uncovering the trends in project
management: Journal emphases over the last 10 years. International Journal of Project
Management, 24(2), 175-184.
Hillson, D., & Simon, P. (2012). Practical risk management: the ATOM
methodology: the ATOM methodology. Management Concepts.
Kutsch, E., & Hall, M. (2010). Deliberate ignorance in project risk management.
International Journal of Project Management, 28(3), 245-255.
Raz, T., & Michael, E. (2001). Use and benefits of tools for project risk management.
International Journal of Project Management, 19(1), 9-17.