NH-02 Results

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New Hampshire CD 2 Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Joe Q7 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Biden’s job performance? If you are gender non-binary, press 3.
Approve .......................................................... 79% Woman ........................................................... 56%
Disapprove ..................................................... 12% Man................................................................. 42%
Not sure .......................................................... 9% Gender non-binary.......................................... 2%
Q2 In September there will be a primary election in Q8 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If an
your district for Congress and other important independent, press 2.
offices. Will you be voting in the Democratic
Democrat ........................................................ 65%
primary or the Republican primary, or will you
not be voting in the primary election? Independent.................................................... 35%
Democratic primary.........................................100% Q9 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
Republican primary......................................... 0%
White .............................................................. 95%
Won't be voting in the primary election........... 0%
African-American ............................................ 1%
Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Maggie Goodlander? Other............................................................... 4%
Favorable........................................................ 35% Q10 If you are 18-45 years old, press 1. If 46-65,
press 2. If older than 65, press 3.
Unfavorable .................................................... 3%
18 to 45........................................................... 33%
Not sure .......................................................... 62%
46 to 65........................................................... 40%
Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Colin Van Ostern? Older than 65 .................................................. 27%
Favorable........................................................ 27% Q11 What is the highest level of education you have
received: high school graduate or less, some
Unfavorable .................................................... 9% college but did not finish, 2-year college
Not sure .......................................................... 64% degree, 4-year college degree, or post-
graduate degree?
Q5 If the Democratic candidates for Congress in
your district were Maggie Goodlander and Colin High school graduate or less .......................... 16%
Van Ostern, and the primary election was
Some college but did not finish....................... 25%
today, who would you vote for?
2-year college degree ..................................... 10%
Maggie Goodlander ........................................ 35%
4-year college degree ..................................... 26%
Colin Van Ostern ............................................ 13%
Post-graduate degree ..................................... 23%
Not sure .......................................................... 53%
Generally speaking, would you prefer to have a Q12 Mode
Q6
US military veteran represent you in Congress, Landline .......................................................... 25%
or not?
Text ................................................................. 75%
Yes.................................................................. 21%
No ................................................................... 21%
Not sure .......................................................... 58%

July 8-9, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988


Survey of 693 likely Democratic primary voters
Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Biden Approval
Approve 79% 79% 80% 59%
Disapprove 12% 12% 11% 23%
Not sure 9% 9% 9% 18%

Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Goodlander
Favorability
Favorable 35% 35% 37% 8%
Unfavorable 3% 2% 4% 17%
Not sure 62% 63% 59% 74%

Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Van Ostern
Favorability
Favorable 27% 26% 28% 15%
Unfavorable 9% 9% 8% 17%
Not sure 64% 65% 64% 67%

July 8-9, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988


survey of 693 likely Democratic primary voters
Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Goodlander / Van
Ostern
Maggie Goodlander 35% 36% 33% 26%
Colin Van Ostern 13% 11% 16% 1%
Not sure 53% 53% 51% 73%

Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Would Prefer to Have
US Military Veteran
Represent You in
Congress Yes / No
Yes 21% 22% 19% 13%
No 21% 16% 25% 61%
Not sure 58% 62% 56% 26%

Party
Base Democrat Independent
Biden Approval
Approve 79% 83% 71%
Disapprove 12% 10% 15%
Not sure 9% 7% 14%

July 8-9, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988


survey of 693 likely Democratic primary voters
Party
Base Democrat Independent
Goodlander
Favorability
Favorable 35% 39% 29%
Unfavorable 3% 2% 5%
Not sure 62% 59% 67%

Party
Base Democrat Independent
Van Ostern
Favorability
Favorable 27% 31% 18%
Unfavorable 9% 8% 10%
Not sure 64% 60% 72%

Party
Base Democrat Independent
Goodlander / Van
Ostern
Maggie Goodlander 35% 36% 32%
Colin Van Ostern 13% 16% 7%
Not sure 53% 48% 61%

July 8-9, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988


survey of 693 likely Democratic primary voters
Party
Base Democrat Independent
Would Prefer to Have
US Military Veteran
Represent You in
Congress Yes / No
Yes 21% 22% 19%
No 21% 21% 21%
Not sure 58% 57% 61%

Race
African-
Base White American Other
Biden Approval
Approve 79% 79% 52% 84%
Disapprove 12% 12% 13% 11%
Not sure 9% 9% 36% 6%

Race
African-
Base White American Other
Goodlander
Favorability
Favorable 35% 35% 22% 38%
Unfavorable 3% 3% 5% 4%
Not sure 62% 62% 73% 59%

July 8-9, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988


survey of 693 likely Democratic primary voters
Race
African-
Base White American Other
Van Ostern
Favorability
Favorable 27% 28% 18% 7%
Unfavorable 9% 8% - 25%
Not sure 64% 64% 82% 68%

Race
African-
Base White American Other
Goodlander / Van
Ostern
Maggie Goodlander 35% 34% 57% 41%
Colin Van Ostern 13% 13% 5% 1%
Not sure 53% 53% 38% 58%

Race
African-
Base White American Other
Would Prefer to Have
US Military Veteran
Represent You in
Congress Yes / No
Yes 21% 21% 15% 7%
No 21% 21% 63% 18%
Not sure 58% 58% 23% 75%

July 8-9, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988


survey of 693 likely Democratic primary voters
Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Biden Approval
Approve 79% 60% 85% 92%
Disapprove 12% 24% 8% 4%
Not sure 9% 16% 7% 4%

Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Goodlander
Favorability
Favorable 35% 25% 39% 43%
Unfavorable 3% 4% 2% 3%
Not sure 62% 71% 59% 54%

Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Van Ostern
Favorability
Favorable 27% 22% 27% 31%
Unfavorable 9% 9% 9% 8%
Not sure 64% 68% 64% 60%

July 8-9, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988


survey of 693 likely Democratic primary voters
Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Goodlander / Van
Ostern
Maggie Goodlander 35% 27% 37% 42%
Colin Van Ostern 13% 13% 12% 13%
Not sure 53% 60% 52% 45%

Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Would Prefer to Have
US Military Veteran
Represent You in
Congress Yes / No
Yes 21% 20% 18% 25%
No 21% 28% 19% 16%
Not sure 58% 52% 63% 59%

Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Biden Approval
Approve 79% 85% 76% 85% 77% 77%
Disapprove 12% 6% 9% 13% 16% 15%
Not sure 9% 10% 15% 3% 8% 8%

July 8-9, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988


survey of 693 likely Democratic primary voters
Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Goodlander
Favorability
Favorable 35% 34% 38% 38% 30% 39%
Unfavorable 3% 1% 3% - 5% 3%
Not sure 62% 65% 59% 62% 65% 58%

Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Van Ostern
Favorability
Favorable 27% 20% 28% 9% 28% 36%
Unfavorable 9% 8% 10% 8% 8% 10%
Not sure 64% 72% 62% 83% 64% 55%

Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Goodlander / Van
Ostern
Maggie Goodlander 35% 37% 43% 36% 29% 31%
Colin Van Ostern 13% 12% 8% 14% 16% 14%
Not sure 53% 52% 49% 50% 55% 56%

July 8-9, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988


survey of 693 likely Democratic primary voters
Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Would Prefer to Have
US Military Veteran
Represent You in
Congress Yes / No
Yes 21% 23% 28% 21% 16% 16%
No 21% 13% 16% 26% 26% 24%
Not sure 58% 64% 56% 53% 57% 61%

Mode
Base Landline Text
Biden Approval
Approve 79% 91% 75%
Disapprove 12% 5% 14%
Not sure 9% 4% 11%

Mode
Base Landline Text
Goodlander
Favorability
Favorable 35% 38% 34%
Unfavorable 3% 5% 3%
Not sure 62% 57% 63%

July 8-9, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988


survey of 693 likely Democratic primary voters
Mode
Base Landline Text
Van Ostern
Favorability
Favorable 27% 28% 26%
Unfavorable 9% 13% 8%
Not sure 64% 59% 66%

Mode
Base Landline Text
Goodlander / Van
Ostern
Maggie Goodlander 35% 40% 33%
Colin Van Ostern 13% 15% 12%
Not sure 53% 45% 55%

Mode
Base Landline Text
Would Prefer to Have
US Military Veteran
Represent You in
Congress Yes / No
Yes 21% 34% 16%
No 21% 19% 22%
Not sure 58% 47% 62%

July 8-9, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988


survey of 693 likely Democratic primary voters

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