Alacevich
Alacevich
Alacevich
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The Birth of Development Economics: Theories and Institutions / Michele Alacevich. - In: HISTORY OF
POLITICAL ECONOMY. - ISSN 0018-2702. - STAMPA. - 50:(2018), pp. 114-132. [10.1215/00182702-
7033884]
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Michele Alacevich*
https://doi.org/10.1215/00182702-7033884
*
Università di Bologna, Italy. Correspondence may be addressed to
[email protected]. I am grateful to Mauro Boianovsky, Marcel Boumans,
Amitava Dutt, Eric Helleiner, Stephen Meardon, Salim Rashid, Frances Stewart, two
anonymous reviewers, and all participants in the HOPE 2017 conference for their
useful comments.
1
Only in retrospect we do become aware that a birth has taken place.
Not by chance, historians of academic disciplines, even when they show a basic
agreement about the main characteristics of a field, are rarely unanimous about its
origins. Often, the debate takes the mediated form of a search for antecedents of a
certain discourse or concept that may open up new vistas on the actual origins of a
disciplinary field. This, in fact, is not a useless exercise. More than on the birth as a
discrete event, the focus is often on the sources of a concept, the geographic, political,
and intellectual milieu in which they emerged, and how they have evolved. Certainly,
this is the case for development historiography, as shown by the controversy over
whether development was born with Truman’s Point Four in 1949 or a
developmentalist agenda was already a feature of the first half of the twentieth
century. Depending on the answer to this question, different analytical propositions
can be advanced: development as Cold War international politics or as a feature of the
2
high modernist state; development as neo-colonialism or as a somehow negotiated
international political economy. Likewise, different historiographical perspectives may
be privileged: development as the history of ideologies, or of institutions and policies,
or of theories and practices, or a combination of all these elements.
Addressing the history of development from the point of view of the history of the
disciplinary field that was erected on it addresses only a subset of the question briefly
mentioned above. And yet, it offers a crucial perspective on the intellectual and
institutional scaffolding that historically supported the broader development
discourse and policies. In this sense, whatever the answer we give to the question of
the antecedents, there is a moment, which need not be a specific point in time but can
be a more or less precise period, when the gravitational force of certain ideas and
policies gains in intensity, often in correlation with a changing historical phase and
political agenda, and the borders of a new disciplinary field become apparent. The
focus of this article will be on this transitional period, which I place in the 1940s and
early 1950s, when the idea of development became the focus of a new academic field.
The idea per se was not new, and, as Eric Helleiner shows in his contribution to this
volume, had been already discussed and refined in very modern ways in the first half
of the century. And yet, it was in the 1940s and 1950s that, for the first time, it was
institutionalized in the new academic field of development economics.
In order to pursue this analysis, one must refer to the conspicuous concept of
hegemony.1 As I will argue, it is not possible to explain the birth of development
economics as a distinct academic field without considering the changing hegemonic
balance at the global level during the years of World War II and immediately
afterwards. Not by chance, historians of development in the US, area recent sub-
branch of historians of foreign relations, and they often find job positions under the
1 For a recent discussion of the history and different national declensions of the idea of
hegemony, see Anderson 2017.
3
new label of “US in the World”. Development economics was born as part of the
international political projection of the United States after the end of World War II.2
And yet, this US-centric view, fundamental though as it is, is not a sufficient
explanation. To understand the emergence of a development discourse after World
War II, one needs also to consider the changing hegemonic role of Great Britain at
about the same time, in relation, as is obvious, to the demise of the British empire and
the birth of a number of new and eager-to-develop countries, but also in relation to the
British plans—no less delusional than those of maintaining the overseas territories—
to develop a hegemonic role in central and eastern Europe in the immediate aftermath
of the war.
4
Shifting the focus to more recent times, historians of development and modernization
have offered important examples of the birth of the “developmentalist” or “high
modernist” state in the first half of the twentieth century (Scott 1998). The Tennessee
Valley Authority, whose influence would loom large on post-war development plans all
around the world—though often more at a rhetorical than practical level—was
established in 1933 by the Roosevelt administration to foster development in a deeply
underdeveloped region of the United States through the implementation of multi-
purpose, multi-year plans (Ekbladh 2010; Gilman 2003). On the other side of the
ideological divide, the Soviet Union was committed to loosening the chains of
underdevelopment and low productivity through massive industrialization and capital
accumulation via low consumption (Kotkin 1995; Engerman 2003). The list could
easily be longer.
Heinz W. Arndt (1987) mentioned Sun Yat-sen’s analysis of the opportunities for the
international development of China in the 1920s, in which Sun Yat-sen discussed with
impressive lucidity the role of industrialization, its influence on the broader
transformation of a society’s habits and culture, the potentially positive role of foreign
capitals for such an enterprise, and even the importance of managing these flows of
capital through an international agency that would avoid the negative effects of
bilateral economic agreements. As Helleiner has noted (2014, and his article in the
present volume), Sun Yat-sen’s message arrived directly at the Bretton Woods
conference of 1944 via the Chinese delegation, where not one but two (in principle,
three) international organizations were established with the aim of governing the
post-war economic landscape.3 Of these organizations, the International Bank for
Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), more commonly known as the World Bank,
although initially meant to help war-torn European countries reconstruct after the
3 For a broader analysis of the pre-World War II origins of the development discourse,
see Helleiner 2014.
5
war, quickly shifted its mission to the broader issue of development, in Europe as well
as in other continents.
Sun Yat-sen’s argument was particularly modern, insofar as it articulated one of the
main rationales for the establishment of an international economic order based on the
global spread of development. According to him, development was a major foundation
of a lasting future peace. Without uncritically embracing all the manifestations of
western capitalism, Sun Yat-sen considered national development based on
international cooperation a crucial element for building a web of mutually
advantageous economic relations that would make war meaningless. Indeed, Sun Yat-
sen was not alone in considering international economic collaboration, as well as the
development of backward regions, as a key to the establishment of international
peaceful relations. This argument was repeated in endless variations during and after
World War II in Europe, at the Bretton Woods conference, and afterwards.
And yet, despite the fact that “development” was not a new concept and that it
conveyed a rather uncontentious meaning, what became standard development
discourse in the post-war period did not have the same traction in the inter-war years.
Moreover, whereas Sun Yat-sen’s analysis is rightly presented as a particularly
important instance of development prehistory, in fact his thought did not influence the
birth of the discipline in the post-war years. Why, then, did development economics
emerge in the years following World War II and not, for example, in the inter-war
years?
Obviously the two periods are historically very different. One element, however, seems
particularly important, that is, the existence, in the transition between the war and the
post-war period, of two hegemonic powers—one, Great Britain, declining, the other,
the United States, rising—that had an active interest in the development issue as a tool
of international relations. It should be clear from the outset that I am not arguing that
6
the presence of a hegemonic power was a sufficient condition. The demise of the
colonial empires and the Cold War confrontation were also fundamental ingredients
for the widespread emergence of the development discourse in the post-war years. In
any case—and despite the fact that development economists have at times shown a
certain impatience with the concept of pre-requisites of development—it is safe to say
that development economics as a disciplinary field received a crucial impulse from
(failed) British attempts at maintaining their pre-war global hegemonic role, and the
concomitant rise of the United States as the new hegemon in the post-war period.
The situation was different in the inter-war period. As is well known, after World War
I, the United States retreated from Wilsonian positions and refused to take upon itself
any explicitly leading role at the international level. The European colonial powers
were experiencing increasingly difficult situations in their empires. Moreover, the
1929 crisis hit the entire western world. As for the Soviet Union, having remained
untouched by the crisis, it was committed to build “Socialism in one country”.
As we will see below, international relations circles in the United Kingdom were
convinced, during World War II, that it was possible for Britain to acquire a hegemonic
role in post-war, de-Nazified central and eastern Europe. And though that vision had
more than a small grain of delusional thinking, the efforts that Britain put into
developing its hegemonic role for guiding the post-war reconstruction and
development of eastern European countries had a direct and important influence on
the birth of development economics. In other words, if the British political project
never actually took off, its intellectual legacy remained important. A hegemonic vision,
though not realized in practice, exerted an important influence on development
thinking nonetheless.
7
organizations that people like Sun Yat-sen, who died prematurely in 1925, could not
have.
This happened irrespective of the fact that the end of World War II marked Britain’s
loss of primacy on the global stage. In a very practical sense, this happened, at least in
part, as a consequence of the demise of their (and the French, and the Dutch) colonial
empires, when the increasingly redundant colonial apparatus reconverted to the
bureaucracy of international development agencies (see, e.g., Hodge 2007). The post-
war end of Europe’s global primacy, and the restructuring of the international system
around the pivot of the United States, also passed through the shift from the imperial
concept of the civilizing mission to the new idea of international development (Cooper
and Packard 1997).
The Cold War confrontation made it possible for the new development framework to
find a steady and conspicuous flow of resources in bilateral and multilateral aid
policies. And yet, the reference to hegemonic states must not obfuscate the importance
that networks of scholars and practitioners had in giving shape to that set of theories,
experiences, and analyses that filled development economics with contents. Those
networks often trespassed the divide between “advanced” and less developed
countries, and at times also the West-East ideological divide. Once born, moreover,
development economics evolved in a somewhat serendipitous way. It was
marginalized and expelled from places where it had initially found a propitious
medium—most prominently, as I will discuss below, the World Bank. And it would
often prosper in a continuing tension between independent research and highly
politicized environments.
The shift in power that occurred between Britain and the United States during World
War II is an important passage in the story of the birth of development economics. If
Britain had lost the momentum for any regional (let alone global) hegemonic role, its
8
efforts at imagining the post-war reconstruction of central and eastern Europe are
important elements for the subsequent history of development, for many ideas first
conceived for the eastern European region directly migrated into, and were actually
considered fundamental building blocks of, the newly born discipline of development
economics in the post-war years. The institutional home for this study in post-war
reconstruction and development was the Royal Institute for International Affairs, also
known as Chatham House.
Chatham House was born out of the disappointment of a number British foreign
officers and government advisors with the position held by the British delegation at
the Paris Peace conference, and especially for the reparations clause that burdened
Germany with a formidable war debt towards the victorious countries. The people
who founded Chatham House considered British foreign policy irrational, uninformed,
and dangerous for long-term European stability, and they saw a major problem in the
continuing economic conflicts among countries which had barely survived the largest
slaughterhouse of recorded history. John Maynard Keynes, arguably the most
perceptive representative of the British delegation at the Paris conference, left in
outrage and went public with a famous essay, The Economic Consequences of the Peace
(1920), in which he warned against the dangers that loomed ahead. The deliberate and
punitive impoverishment of Central Europe was, according to Keynes, a suicidal policy
for the entire continent, and the focus on territorial and political borders distracted the
attention from the true bone of contention, whose solution was the only way to bring
peace and security to Europe: the economic issue. If war, as von Clausewitz’s dictum
goes, is the continuation of politics by other means, it was also clear to Chatham House
scholars that international economic relations could become the continuation of war
by other means, or worse, be just an interlude between wars.
Cassandra’s predictions are usually very precise, and those of Keynes’s were no
exception. The Weimar Republic had a troubled life, Hitler seized power in 1933, the
many small countries born out of the dissolution of the Central Empires always
9
remained fragile entities, international conferences proved completely inconclusive,
and by early September 1939 World War II had begun.
That two world wars began on the eastern European front was not the result of
chance. Eastern Europe had long been the major target of German expansionism, the
only area that could satisfy Germany’s claim to a larger Lebensraum (“living space”).
On this specific issue, the Nazis were merely the last representatives of a nationalist
tradition that dated back at least to the mid-nineteenth century, although the building
of a Nazi European Empire centred on eastern Europe was a major element of their
long-term strategy (see Mazower 2008).
But German European imperialism was only part of the story. In fact, eastern Europe
was considered a strategic area also by other powers, Great Britain in particular. As
British geographer Halford Mackinder had been arguing since 1904, commanding
eastern Europe was the strategic “pivot” to expand one country’s hegemony first to the
Eurasian continent and then to the entire world (Mackinder 1904). Imperial views,
apparently, share a certain family resemblance.
4 “Proposal for a Private Members’ Study Group”, July 14th, 1939, p. 2, 9/18a, Chatham
House Archives.
10
attitude towards eastern Europe reappeared in a particularly visible way in
negotiations with the other allied powers at the 1943 Teheran conference.5
The chairmanship of the Economic Group at Chatham House was entrusted to a very
competent yet still rather obscure Polish economist from University College, London,
Paul N. Rosenstein-Rodan, who summarized the framework of the Chatham House
research in a 1943 article titled “Problems of Industrialisation of Eastern and South-
Eastern Europe”.6 Rosenstein-Rodan’s article reassembled elements of the economic
debate of the inter-war period in an original way, de facto defining a number of
theoretical and policy issues that would become the core of the new discipline of
development economics in the post-war years. Jagdish Bhagwati defined it “the most
beautiful piece of creative writing on development” (Bhagwati 2000, p. 38), and its
influence was so widespread that many scholars consider it the birth certificate of
development economics. Rosenstein-Rodan’s article defined what would become
orthodox development economics in the 1950s, and even opponents of his approach
defined their position in direct conversation with his analysis (e.g., Hirschman 1981).
5 See for example the Tripartite Political Meeting, December 1, 1943, in FRUS 1961, pp.
596-604.
6 Rosenstein-Rodan later claimed that his 1943 article and the research on which it
was based dealt with eastern and south-eastern Europe only because the scholars who
were in London during the war were mainly from that area, but that the main interest
was, from the very inception of the research, to study problems of underdevelopment
in general (see, for example, Paul Rosenstein-Rodan, oral history interview, August 14,
1961, Fonds 01, Columbia University Project; WB IBRD/IDA 44 Oral Histories; World
Bank Group Archives). The Chatham House archival documents, however, clearly show
that the first reason for the study—which began in 1941-42—was strictly about
central and eastern European postwar reconstruction and development. Only later, the
study was rebranded as just one case study in underdevelopment.
11
Rosenstein-Rodan’s thesis (1943) is sufficiently known to make it possible to mention
here only the most important elements. First, Rosenstein-Rodan emphasized the
presence in the region of a huge agrarian overpopulation with zero or close to zero
marginal productivity. Second, he discussed the institutional and cultural elements
that made it difficult for a backward region to industrialize, such as the lack of training
of first generation industrial workers. Third, he underscored the economies and
diseconomies of scale and complementarities among different industrial sectors that
would make it difficult for single entrepreneurs to establish new factories without
coordination with other productive activities. He also noticed the complementarities
on the side of the demand, implying how the passage from an agrarian to an industrial
economy means a parallel shift from a non-monetary to a monetary economy. Fourth,
he stressed the need for a regional planning organization to overcome coordination
problems and diseconomies of scale. In sum, unlike a Manchester-style small-scale, low
capital, dispersed, bottom-up industrialization, Rosenstein-Rodan and his group
deemed it necessary a planned, large scale, capital intensive industrial effort. Nowhere
in the article one can find the term “big-push”, and yet Rosenstein-Rodan 1943
publication is usually credited with having introduced it in the economics literature (in
the same way Simon Kuznets’s 1955 article is credited for having introduced the
“inverted-U” in economic distribution literature, despite the fact that Kuznets not only
does not chart any inverted-U, but does not even mention it).
The influences to Rosenstein-Rodan’s article are many and important. Surely, the
Keynesian revolution carried an important weight. As Hirschman later wrote, its
influence was due perhaps more to having shown that the ice of monoeconomics could
be broken than to any specific contents (Hirschman 1981). The focus on the demand
side and the role of stimulus delegated to governmental agency had, however, a
Keynesian flavour. Also of Keynesian origins was the concept, implied in the discussion
of agrarian overpopulation, of disguised unemployment. However, the Keynesian
version of this concept, famously proposed by Joan Robinson in 1936, dealt with an
altogether different concept of disguised unemployment from that referred to by
12
Rosenstein-Rodan. Robinson observed how, in periods of crisis, workers who lost their
jobs were forced to accept jobs with far lower qualifications. The higher productivity of
those workers was thus hidden by their new employment, for which they were
overqualified. Rosenstein-Rodan, on the contrary, observed a population which was
simply too large for the land that fed it. In principle, no overqualification was involved.
As Joseph Love has noticed (1996), this analysis of an unskilled excessive agrarian
population was typical of economic analyses of central European (and especially
Roumanian) economists of the inter-war period. In sum, Rosenstein-Rodan applied a
concept of disguised unemployment that was conceptually different from the
Keynesian concept. Whereas the Keynesian concept stemmed out of an economics of
the crisis, Rosenstein-Rodan’s concept stemmed out of an economics of backwardness.
Other important influences were, obviously, Allyn Young’s analysis of increasing
returns, but also the less immediately development-related microeconomic research
that Rosenstein-Rodan pursued in late-1920s Vienna, especially his analysis of the
process by which equilibrium is reached through series of adjustments, and cases of
increasing disequilibrium.
The Soviet takeover of eastern Europe made the British effort useless. The Chatham
House group dissolved, but their experience was not wasted. Michael Kalecki, Kurt
Mandelbaum, E. F. Schumacher, all prominent development economists in the postwar
years, all worked in close relation to Chatham House. Paul Rosenstein-Rodan, in
particular, joined the newly established IBRD, which, in 1946-47, was virtually entirely
focused on the reconstruction of the European economy.
Interestingly, the Bank initially paid great attention to the balance of payments
problems of client countries, and disbursed a small number of loans that had the
primary goal of providing European countries with much needed hard currency for
imports. It is worth noticing the character of these loans here, because they indirectly
point to a number of relevant issues of the early post-war period. First, the Bank was
doing a job that in theory was part of the mandate of the International Monetary Fund
(IMF). As contemporary observers noted, however, the Bank had a much more
13
effective start, whereas the IMF found itself harnessed by problems of currencies
inconvertibility and multiple exchange rates (Kindleberger 1951).
Second, the Bank had nowhere near the resources to provide a lasting solution to the
major problem of those years, that is, the dollar shortage. If in 1947 the Bank loaned to
European countries approximately $400million, the Marshall Plan brought to Europe
an average of 3 to 4 billion dollars per year. The Bank was thus soon marginalized as
the primary recovery organization in Europe. And yet, this overlap with the Marshall
Plan was nonetheless useful. A third point to be noted is that the Bank, while shifting
its focus from reconstruction to development goals, incorporated some important
elements of the Marshall Plan experience as well as of its early loans. Development
plans were in those years calibrated against the exchange reserves of European
countries. European countries that focused on labour intensive development plans
such as land reclamation, irrigation schemes, and dam constructions, financed them in
local currency, whereas the Bank supported the impact that domestic development
plans had on the balance of payments. Replicating a crucial element of the structure of
the Marshall Plan, the Bank loaned dollars to a country, which opened a counterpart
fund in domestic currency and put aside the hard currency to increase its exchange
reserves.
This was an effective if unorthodox approach by the Bank. Despite the limitations of its
Articles of Agreement, in fact, the Bank was able to provide member countries with
much needed financial resources. It is also worth noticing that the next time the Bank
shifted its focus away from making loans for specific projects to supporting
macroeconomic fundamentals, in the 1980s with the Structural Adjustment Loans, the
results were much poorer both in terms of final results for the borrowing country and
reputational loss for the Bank.
The connection to the British plans for the development of eastern Europe emerges
not only from similar analyses of the causes of economic backwardness (agrarian
overpopulation and very low productivity) and similar solutions (industrialization). It
14
was also the result of early instances of a network of scholars that would be later
remembered as “pioneers” of the discipline. Paul Rosenstein-Rodan, by then in the
Economic Department at the Bank, became the Bank’s principal negotiator for a series
of loans to Italy. The resulting agreement provided for a domestic plan of development
very much along the lines of the plans for eastern Europe, only this time the excessive
agrarian population was that of the Italian South, described by an external observer as
“one of the poorest and most over-populated of the countries of Western Europe” (Duff
[1947] 1955, p. 409). In the Cold War scenario that in those years was quickly re-
shaping international relations, the poverty of Southern Italy and its possibly explosive
social and political conditions became a matter of foreign policy for the Western camp
and especially its leading superpower, the United States. As the State Department
argued with specific reference to Italy, “the economic well-being of a country is a
primary factor in its internal stability and peaceful relations with other states”.7 In the
months approaching the Italian 1947 political elections, another officer at the State
Department proposed a “mixture of flattery, moral encouragement and considerable
material aid” to “prevent Italy going communist”.8 A World Bank report of August 1948
echoed these recommendations. Without external aid, it concluded, it would be
difficult to carry out “an economic program sufficiently comprehensive to eliminate
entirely the threat of political extremism in the predictable future”.9
7 “The Treatment of Italy,” CAC document 248, August 31, 1944, cited in Harper 1986,
p. 8.
8 Walter (Red) Dowling to H. Freeman (Doc) Matthews, November 21, 1946, cited in
Harper 1986, p. 109.
9 “Italian Economic Report,” IBRD, Loan Department, August 31, 1948, Report L-48,
World Bank Group Archives.
15
example, worked on Italy for the Marshall Plan administration and wrote extensively
on the development of the Italian economy. Alexander Gerschenkron, Richard Eckaus,
and Albert Hirschman are other prominent cases in point. In sum, the Italian South
became a standard case study for social scientists interested in the structures of social
and economic backwardness and in the ways to overcome them, kindling, as was the
formula in those times, a process of self-sustained growth. To read the list of scholars
who visited Italy in the early 1950s is like reading a Who’s Who of development
studies.10
Obviously, Italy was neither the only nor the first cradle of development studies,
though it was an important one, both because of the sub-national character of its
underdevelopment problem (the North was economically much more developed, and
the central government institutions were culturally sophisticated) that made
underdevelopment appear quickly solvable, and because it worked as a necessary link
for earlier British plans to be put in practice and to become part of the larger
development discourse. We can still agree on the second point. As for the first one,
Southern Italy is now a case study of stubbornly unsolvable backwardness.
If economists and social scientists visited Italy and other areas in the world to study
the problem of underdevelopment, it was also because there were institutions that
needed their services, commissioned them reports, and paid for their trips. We have
already mentioned the World Bank and the IMF. The United Nations became also a
centre of international research, although uneven both in terms of organization of the
research effort and results. At the UN Headquarters, the work of Dudley Seers and
Michael Kalecki was very important, and obviously one must not forget here the work
10 For a more in-depth discussion of the Italian case in the global development
discourse, see Alacevich 2018.
16
of the UN regional commission for Latin America, CEPAL (see Joseph Love, this
volume).
Early development economics, thus prospered best in the space that opened up
between government and the academy. A number of academic think-tanks and
governmental or regional development agencies mushroomed all around the world. In
the US, the Center for International Studies (Cenis) at MIT quickly became an
important powerhouse of development theories and policies, and the major
propagators of modernization theory (See Gilman’s paper in this volume). In the US,
Yale, Harvard, and Stanford, just to mention some of the most renowned universities,
each had centers for development studies. Abroad, one can mention the Indian
Statistical Institute, the Italian Svimez, and the Brazilian Sudene.
17
The development profession
As Gunnar Myrdal wrote, it was the sphere of politics that cued to the reorientation of
economic research toward the problem of underdevelopment (Myrdal 1968). The
development question entered academia, attracting funds for the establishment of
research centres and the ears of attentive politicians who needed informed opinions
on matters of international relations, and a new academic field was born. New
publishing outlets appeared that focused on development studies and development
economics, career opportunities opened up, research was systematized in a canon, and
from the mid-1950s courses began to appear in a number of universities. John K.
Galbraith had a seminar in development at Harvard, soon followed by Edward Mason,
while at Stanford new courses in development were initiated by Paul Baran and Hollis
Chenery (Chenery 1992). Galbraith summarized the growing interest in the
development issue in a personal memo of the mid-1950s:
The subject matter of this field distinguishes itself most sharply by its
application to comparatively primitive economies. Virtually all of our
other course work is concerned with the sophisticated economic
society in which markets and factor markets reflect modern forms of
organization. The problems of price and wage determination, resource
allocation, and perhaps particularly of capital formation, all reflect the
existence of highly developed institutions. The undeveloped countries
do not have such institutions or they are partial or primitive. As a
result, problems take on a distinctive form . . .
18
Thus it seems fairly clear that there is an important and separate field
of study here.11
Finally, those few institutes that were based in less developed countries were also
often directed and populated by officers of newly independent countries who had
studied in the metropole, and hosted scholars who had studied in US and British
universities and who belonged to the same, rather small, network of people. But
brevity here is the enemy of clarity. It is not my intention to convey the message that
this was a malicious scheme by hegemonic countries. Rather, clearly, the diffusion of
knowledge and of a canon spread from certain centres toward a large periphery.
19
The theoretical core
One fundamental element of the birth and of the early theorizing of development
economics was the practice in the field that many of its “pioneers” experienced. In
other words, there was a loop between practices in the field and the search for policy
solution, the systematization of broader observations into theories, and the application
of theories again in the field. The case of Hirschman, in this sense, is paradigmatic, as
he moved to a less developed country (Colombia) as a development expert indicated
by the World Bank, in fact—as he noticed—with no experience of development issues.
As I argued elsewhere, however, observing those opposed theories applied in the field
is highly instructive, as in practice they were much closer than in theory. The dialectic
between opposing theories, in other words, depended not in small part on the locus of
confrontation—the field or the world of publications, the territory of policy-making or
the territory of intellectual diatribe. The geometry of the debate, in a sense, changed as
12 For analyses based on a balanced growth approach, see, for example, Rosenstein-
Rodan 1943; Nurkse 1952; 1953; Nath 1962; and Dagnino-Pastore 1963. The most
important works supporting an unbalanced growth approach are Hirschman 1958;
and Streeten 1959. For assessments of the controversy, see Little 1982 and Chenery
and Srinivasan 1988.
20
a consequence of its being grounded in theory or in practice, although its protagonists
admitted it only with difficulty (or not at all).
Leaving aside the heated theoretical controversies that animated early development
economics, and the discrepancies that one can observe between theory and practice, it
is possible to summarize early development economics as being characterized by an
emphasis on economies of scale, complementarities, and discontinuities. External
economies were not new in economics; they appeared prominently in Alfred
Marshall’s work, for instance (Marshall 1920 [1890]). Yet, early development
economists lamented, explicitly or implicitly, that they had remained separated from
mainstream analysis. Ragnar Nurkse, for example, studied the apparently inescapable
condition of low-productivity of less developed economies as a result of indivisibilities
and complementarities impossible to be overcome without a manifold increase in
investments. Rosenstein-Rodan insisted that, on the demand side, industries had a
crucial complementary role for mutually establishing a market large enough to make
production efficient and convenient (see, for example, Rosenstein-Rodan 1943, 1953,
1984). As Nurkse highlighted, bottlenecks on the demand side could be overcome “in
the case of a more or less synchronized application of capital to a wide range of
different industries. Here the result is an overall enlargement of the market and hence
an escape from the deadlock” (Nurkse 1952, p. 572).
21
The crisis of development economics
The brief sketch presented here cannot do justice to the richness, inventiveness, and
passion of early development economists. Its only goal was to offer a few elements to
understand how the discipline came to light in the early post-war years. Development
economics grew quickly for a number of years, and this account may perhaps find a
natural endpoint in the pause that it experienced in the early 1960s, when many
pioneers perceived a sense of crisis. Grand theoretical debates such as the balanced vs
unbalanced growth diatribe had not provided convincing solutions to the problem of
underdevelopment, and which policies had worked and which had not remained
unclear. Development organizations, both multilateral and bilateral, did not even have
an established evaluation function, and would be unable, if requested, to provide
reliable information on the effectiveness of their development projects, except for a
very narrow yardstick of financial return. Only in the 1970s would this situation
change.
As Hirschman suggested, it was time to leave grand theories behind, and study the
development process in detail, in its historical unfolding and in its projects (Hirschman
1963; 1967; 1968). In the 1970s, a new phase opened up, which invited a broader
reconsideration of what the goals of development should be—or, as Paul Streeten
(1981) aptly titled a book on basic needs, on putting First Things First—but also left
the still young discipline open to harsh criticisms, according to which the structural
approach that the early generation of development economists had privileged had
ultimately proven to be a failure (e.g., Little, Scitovsky, and Scott, 1970). Henceforth,
development economics would increasingly lose its disciplinary autonomy, and in time
it would be reabsorbed by mainstream economics as one of its applied branches.13
22
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