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Macro
CH-2: Thinking Like an Economist
The Economist as a Scientist The Circular Flow This diagram is a schematic representation of the organization of the economy. Decisions are made by households and Economists play two roles: firms. Households and firms interact in the markets for goods and 1. Scientists: try to explain the world services (where households are buyers and firms are sellers) and in 2. Policy advisors: try to improve it the markets for the factors of production (where firms are buyers and households are sellers). The outer set of arrows shows the flow • As scientists, economists employ the scientific method – of dollars, and the inner set of arrows shows the corresponding flow Dispassionate development and testing of theories about how the of inputs and outputs. world works The two loops of the circular-flow diagram are distinct but • Assumptions related. The inner loop represents the flows of inputs and –Simplify the complex world and make it easier to understand outputs. The households sell the use of their labor, land, Example: to study international trade, assume two countries and and capital to the firms in the markets for the factors of two goods production. The firms then use these factors to produce • Economists use models to study economic issues goods and services, which in turn are sold to households in – Highly simplified representation of a more complicated reality the markets for goods and services. The outer loop of the Examples of models: diagram represents the corresponding flow of dollars. The The model teeth at the dentist’s office households spend money to buy goods and services from A model of human anatomy from high school biology class the firms. The firms use some of the revenue from these A road map sales to pay for the factors of production, such as the • Circular-flow diagram wages of their workers. What’s left is the profit of the firm –Visual model of the economy owners, who are themselves members of households. –Shows how dollars flow through markets among households and The PPF firms Production possibilities frontier • Two decision makers –Firms and Households –A graph: combinations of output that the economy can possibly • Interacting in two markets produce – Market for goods and services –Given the available – Market for factors of production (inputs) • Factors of production and technology Example: • Two goods: computers and wheat • One resource: labor (measured in hours) • Economy has 50,000 labor hours per month available for production The PPF: What We Know So Far • Points on the PPF (like A – E): possible –Efficient: all resources are fully utilized • Points under the PPF (like F): possible – Not efficient: some resources are underutilized (e.g., workers unemployed, factories idle) • Points above the PPF (like G) – Not possible • Moving along a PPF – Involves shifting resources from the production of one good to the other • Society faces a tradeoff –Getting more of one good requires sacrificing some of the other • The slope of the PPF –The opportunity cost of one good in terms of the other The Shape of the PPF • Shape of the PPF The Economist as a Scientist –Straight line: constant opportunity cost • Microeconomics –The study of how households and firms make Previous example: the opportunity cost of 1 computer is decisions and how they interact in markets 10 tons of wheat • Macroeconomics –The study of economy-wide phenomena, including – Bowed outward: increasing opportunity cost inflation, unemployment, and economic growth As more units of a good are produced, we need to give up increasing amounts of the other good produced The Economist as Policy Adviser • Positive statements: descriptive –Attempt to describe the world as it is – Confirm or refute by examining evidence: “Minimum-wage laws cause unemployment” • Normative statements: prescriptive –Attempt to prescribe how the world should be: “The government should raise the minimum wage”
Why the PPF Might Be Bowed Outward
• The PPF is bowed outward when: – Different workers have different skills – Different opportunity costs of producing one good in terms of the other –There is some other resource, or mix of resources with varying opportunity costs • E.g., different types of land suited for different uses Why Economists Disagree • Economists often gives conflicting policy advice Economists try to address their subject with a scientist’s – Can disagree about the validity of alternative positive theories about objectivity. Like all scientists, they make appropriate the world assumptions and build simplified models to understand the – May have different values and, therefore, different normative views world around them. Two simple economic models are the about what policy should try to accomplish circular-flow diagram and the production possibilities • Yet, there are many propositions about which most economists frontier agree The field of economics is divided into two subfields: microeconomics and macroeconomics. Microeconomists study decision making by households and firms and the interactions among households and firms in the marketplace. Macroeconomists study the forces and trends that affect the economy as a whole. A positive statement is an assertion about how the world is. A normative statement is an assertion about how the world ought to be. When economists make normative statements, they are acting more as policy advisers than as scientists Economists who advise policymakers sometimes offer conflicting advice either because of differences in scientific judgments or because of differences in values. At other times, economists are united in the advice they offer, but policymakers may choose to ignore the advice because of the many forces and constraints imposed by the political process Propositions about Which Most Economists Agree (and percentage of economists who agree) circular-flow diagram - a visual model of the economy that shows how 1. A ceiling on rents reduces the quantity and quality of housing dollars flow through markets among households and firms available. (93%) production possibilities frontier - a graph that shows the combinations 2. Tariffs and import quotas usually reduce general economic of output that the economy can possibly produce given the available welfare. (93%) factors of production and the available production technology 3. The United States should not restrict employers from microeconomics - the study of how households and firms make outsourcing work to foreign countries. (90%) decisions and how they interact in markets 4. The United States should eliminate agricultural subsidies. macroeconomics - the study of economywide phenomena, including (85%) inflation, unemployment, and economic growth 5. Local and state governments should eliminate subsidies to positive statements - claims that attempt to describe the world as it is professional sports franchises (85%) normative statements - claims that attempt to prescribe how the 6. Cash payments increase the welfare of recipients to a greater world should be degree than do transfers-in kind of equal cash value. (84%) 7. A large federal budget deficit has an adverse effect on the 1. An economic model is economy. (83%) c. a simplified representation of some aspect of the economy. 8. The United States should not ban genetically modified crops. 2. The circular-flow diagram illustrates that, in markets for the factors (82%) of production, 9. A minimum wage increases unemployment among young and a. households are sellers, and firms are buyers. unskilled workers. (79%) 3. A point inside the production possibilities frontier is 10. Government subsidies on ethanol in the United States should b. feasible but not efficient. be reduced or eliminated. (78%) 4. An economy produces hot dogs and hamburgers. If a discovery of Summary the remarkable health benefits of hot dogs were to change consumers’ • Economists are scientists preferences, it would… – Make appropriate assumptions and build simplified models c. move the economy along the production possibilities frontier. – The circular-flow diagram and the production possibilities frontier 5. All of the following topics fall within the study of microeconomics • Microeconomists study decision making by households and firms and EXCEPT their interactions in the marketplace d. the influence of the government budget deficit on economic • Macroeconomists study the forces and trends that affect the growth. economy as a whole 6. Which of the following is a positive, rather than a normative, • A positive statement is an assertion about how the world is statement? • A normative statement is an assertion about how the world ought to a. Law X will reduce national income. be • As policy advisers, economists make normative statements • Economists sometimes offer conflicting advice – Differences in scientific judgments – Differences in values