BFD Book - Dec 2021

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Summary Notes &


Class Examples

CFAP-04
BFD
DEC 2021 EDITION

By: Ammar Ahmed

Page | 0
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
• Ammar Ahmed is a Chartered Accountant (Pakistan), Qualified in 2012, Member since 2013
(Articles from AFF)

• He obtained Gold Medals / Distinctions in 9 CA subjects including Accounting subjects, Law


subjects, Financial management subjects and I.T. / Business Management subjects at both
CA CAF and CA Final Levels

• He is a CFA Level 3 candidate and obtained highest grades in both levels 1 & 2

• He graduated the distinguished On-campus Leadership Program from Harvard Business


School

• He attended On-campus Finance & Leadership Program at LUMS and is an Alumni of LUMS

• He attended On-campus Financial Management Programs at INSEAD & London Business


School

• He has been teaching CA Final / CFAP subjects (AAFR, BFD & AARS) since 2012 with
excellent results. 3000+ students passed their respective paper and 400+ became qualified
Chartered Accountants. His students also achieved distinctions in AAFR, MAC and AARS.

• He taught CFA students from 2014 to 2017. 100+ students passed their paper and 50+
students became qualified CFAs

• He is a member of the Technical Advisory Group of the Accounting Standard’s Board and a
former member of ICAP’s Accounting Standard’s Committee and Chairman of IFRS 15
committee

• He has served more than 7 years in Industry and has worked in Senior Management / Head
of Department roles in the Financial Analysis, Financial Planning & Strategy divisions at one
of the largest Multi-national companies

Page | 1
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Chap Title Page Corresponding Chap Corresponding Chap #
# # # in Study Text in Brigham (T&P)
1 Basic Concepts of Financial 5 Chapter 2
Management
2 Cost and Value of Equity 9 Chapter 13 Chapter 7

3 Cost & Value of Debt and the WACC 13 Chapter 13 Chapter 6, 9

4 Basic Investment Appraisal 18 Chapter 5 to 8 Chapter 9, 10, 11

5 Advanced Investment Appraisal & 25 Chapter 16 Chapters 4, 5, 9, 16, 17,


WACC 25 (APV)
6 Portfolio theory and Capital Markets 33 Chapter 14 Chapter 5

7 Business Valuation 38 Chapter 17 & 18 Chapter 15, 25

8 Certain Financial Decisions 42 Chapter 9 & 11 Chapter 20

9 Currency Risk & Hedging , 47 Chapter 19 to 23


Commodity & Security derivatives
10 Interest Rate Risk & Hedging 57 Chapter 24

11 Dividend and Financing Decisions 63 Chapter 12 & 15

12 Working Capital Management 67 Chapter 29 to 32

13 Decision making under Management 74 Chapter 2 to 4


Accounting
14 Transfer Pricing 81 Chapter 28

15 Variance Analysis & Forecasting 83 Chapter 10, 25, 26,


27

Page | 2
ANALYSIS OF PAST PAPERS & QUESTIONS TO BE SOLVED IN CLASS

EXAMS DURING THE YEARS 2014 - 2021


S 14 W 14 S 15 W 15 S 16 W 16 S 17 W 17 S 18 W 18 S 19 W 19 W 20 S 21
Area
Question no.
Chap 2 5a
Chap 3
Chap 4 2, 4 1 5 4 4 2 3
Chap 5 3, 4 6 2 1 1, 3 3
Chap 6 3 4 2 5 1, 2 4
Chap 7 1 6 2 1 2 5 5 1 1 1 2 3 5
Chap 8 1 3 3 5 1
Chap 9 & 10 6 3 1 3 5 3 2 4 4 4 3
Chap 11 3, 5b 2, 5 4 2, 5 1, 4 2 5
Chap 12 5 4 3 1 2
Chap 13
Chap 14 2 4
Chap 15 4 5 5 2

S 14 W 14 S 15 W 15 S 16 W 16 S 17 W 17 S 18 W 18 S 19 W 19 W 20 S 21
Area
Marks %
Chap 2 9 1%
Chap 3 0%
Chap 4 40 16 17 14 23 25 11%
Chap 5 34 22 26 27 42 25 21 16%
Chap 6 18 17 16 17 42 21 6%
Chap 7 18 20 24 21 17 20 17 25 23 24 23 20 25 19%
Chap 8 14 17 20 16 19 6%
Chap 9 & 10 17 10 17 17 19 15 17 15 16 18 17 12%
Chap 11 33 32 15 30 49 24 22 17%
Chap 12 10 15 16 19 6 5%
Chap 13 0%
Chap 14 25 23 4%
Chap 15 17 19 20 12 3%
Questions marked in green will be solved in class
Note: Winter 2020 & Summer 2021 complete papers solved in dedicated sessions.

Page | 3
ANALYSIS OF PAST PAPERS & QUESTIONS TO BE SOLVED IN CLASS

EXAMS HELD DURING THE YEARS 2008 – 2013


S 08 W 08 S 09 W 09 S 10 W 10 S 11 W 11 S 12 W 12 S 13 W 13
Area
Question no.
Chap 2 2 6
Chap 3 2
Chap 4 4, 5 6 2 4 2 3 4 2
Chap 5 3 1, 5 3 4 1 5 1 1 1
Chap 6 1 1, 7 1 3 2 5 6
Chap 7 5 4 3 2 1 5, 6 3 4 3, 4 5
Chap 8 4 2 4 4 3 6 2 2
Chap 9 & 10 6 3 3 6 2 4 5 3 3
Chap 11 2 5 1, 5 5 1 1 4
Chap 12 5
Chap 13
Chap 14
Chap 15

S 08 W 08 S 09 W 09 S 10 W 10 S 11 W 11 S 12 W 12 S 13 W 13
Area
Marks %
Chap 2 12 13 2%
Chap 3 20 2%
Chap 4 38 15 14 16 14 17 24 15 13%
Chap 5 15 15 16 24 15 20 19 20 23 14%
Chap 6 18 25 20 13 15 19 12 10%
Chap 7 20 21 13 25 20 42 20 30 43 25 22%
Chap 8 18 17 24 20 12 17 20 20 12%
Chap 9 & 10 17 10 32 12 20 14 14 11 7 11%
Chap 11 14 17 39 23 15 18 22 12%
Chap 12 21 2%
Chap 13 0%
Chap 14 0%
Chap 15 0%

Questions marked in green will be solved in class

Page | 4
CHAPTER 1: BASIC CONCEPTS OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT

Concept of time in Finance


It doesn’t only matter how much money you get, it also matters as to when you get it.

Discounting
Present valuing monetary amounts to be received in future to account for the Time value of money

𝐶𝐹
(1 + 𝑑)𝑛

Future valuing
Compounding monetary amounts received in the past to account for Time value of money

𝐶𝐹 𝑥 (1 + 𝑑)𝑛

Time value of money


- Time value of money reflects the nominal rate of return on a sum of money if it was held sooner.
- This includes the real rate of return and inflation.
- Real rate of return comprises of the opportunity cost and risk.

1 + Nominal rate of return = (1 + Real rate of return) x (1 + inflation)

Compounding
If the discount rate or rate of return for an annual period is 20%, the return for half year will not be 10% and
return for a quarter will not be 5%. Instead it will be calculated using the formula:

1 + 𝐴𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑅𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛 = (1 + 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑟𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑙𝑦 𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛)4

1 + 𝐴𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑅𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛 = (1 + 𝐻𝑎𝑙𝑓 𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑙𝑦 𝑅𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛)2

Discounting streams of cashflows


- Finite number of constant periodic cashflows: Annuity

1 − (1 + 𝑑)−𝑛
𝐶𝐹 𝑥
𝑑

- Infinite number of constant periodic cashflows: Perpetuity

𝐶𝐹
𝑑

- Finite number of periodic cashflows with a constant growth: Annuity with growth

1 + 𝑑 −𝑛
1 − (1 + 𝑔)
1𝑠𝑡 𝐶𝐹 ×
𝑑−𝑔

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CHAPTER 1: BASIC CONCEPTS OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT

- Infinite number of periodic cashflows with a constant growth: Perpetuity with growth

1𝑠𝑡 𝐶𝐹
𝑑−𝑔

- Annuity in advance:

1 − (1 + 𝑑)−𝑛+1
𝐶𝐹 𝑥 (1 + )
𝑑

- Perpetuity in advance:

𝐶𝐹
𝐶𝐹 +
𝑑

Capital
In financial management, “capital” includes all funds available for long term investment whether debt or equity.

Value
Value means the intrinsic worth of an asset. It may be different from the price of a security quoted in the stock
market. Value of an item may vary from person to person, whereas price is the same for all.

Simplified view of Financial Management


Evaluate sources of capital → Seek Capital → Evaluate Investment options → Invest funds → Manage
Investments → Pay returns

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CHAPTER 1: BASIC CONCEPTS OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT

Example 1: Discounting
Today is 1st January 2021. Calculate the PV of following cashflows assuming that the discount rate is 10% p.a.
- Rs 10m to be received on 31-Dec-2021
- Rs 15m to be received on 31-Dec-2023
- Rs 20m to be received on 30-June-2022
- Rs 30m to be received on 30-Sep-2024

Example 2: Future valuing


Today is 1st January 2021. Calculate the PV of following cashflows assuming that the discount rate is 10% p.a.
- Rs 10m received on 31-Dec-2019
- Rs 15m received on 31-Dec-2018
- Rs 20m received on 30-June-2020
- Rs 30m received on 30-Sep-2017

Example 3: Time value of money


Mr X is engaged in the business of automobile showrooms. In his current business if he invests 10 cars into his
showroom, the profits and margins of the business are sufficient to increase the inventory to 11 cars in 1 years’
time. At the start of 2021 Mr X invested Rs 100 million in Chemical business. Chemical business is considered
10% more risky than Automobile showrooms. Inflation for 2021 is expected to be 8% pa. Calculate the return
that Mr X may seek for his investment in Chemical business.

Example 4: Compounding
Mr X is in the business of giving out loans on half yearly interest at the rate of 9.54% per half year. On 1st Jan
2021, he gave out loans worth Rs 100,000 each to two people Mr A and Mr B both for a period of 1 year.
- Mr A failed to pay the 1st half yearly interest. He repaid the complete loan together with all interest due at
the end of the year.
- Mr B paid both half yearly interests together with principal on time.

Compute the annual rate of return on each loan.

Example 5: Simple annuity


Today is 1st January 2021. Calculate the PV of following cashflows assuming that the discount rate is 10% p.a.
a) Rs 10m to be paid at the end of each Year from 2021 to 2025
b) Rs 15m to be paid at the end of each Year from 2023 to 2030
c) Rs 25m to be paid at the end of each Year from 2022 to 2027
d) Rs 7m to be paid at the end of each Quarter from Q1 2021 to Q4 2023
e) Rs 9m to be paid at the end of each Half Year from H1 2022 to H2 2026

Example 6: Annuity in advance


Today is 1st January 2021. Calculate the PV of following cashflows assuming that the discount rate is 10% p.a.
a) Rs 10m to be paid at the start of each Year from 2021 to 2025
b) Rs 15m to be paid at the start of each Year from 2023 to 2030
c) Rs 7m to be paid at the start of each Quarter from Q1 2021 to Q4 2023

Example 7: Annuity with growth


Today is 1st January 2021. Calculate the PV of following cashflows assuming that the discount rate is 10% p.a.
a) Rs 10m to be paid at the end of 2021 growing at 4% p.a. from 2022 to 2025
b) Rs 15m to be paid at the end of 2022 growing at 5% p.a. from 2023 to 2028

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CHAPTER 1: BASIC CONCEPTS OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT

c) Rs 7m to be paid at the end of Q1 2023 growing at 1% p.q. from Q2 2023 to Q4 2025

Example 8: Perpetuity
Today is 1st January 2021. Calculate the PV of following cashflows assuming that the discount rate is 10% p.a.
a) Rs 10m to be paid each year for the foreseeable future starting the end of 2021
b) Rs 15m to be paid each year for the foreseeable future starting the end of 2021 and growing at 4% p.a
c) Rs 25m to be paid each year for the foreseeable future starting the end of 2023 and growing at 5% p.a
d) Rs 5m to be paid each quarter for the foreseeable future starting the end of Q1 2022 and growing at 1% p.q
e) Rs 12m to be paid each year for the foreseeable future starting the beginning of 2021 and growing at 3% p.a

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CHAPTER 2: COST & VALUE OF EQUITY

Equilibrium share valuation model


- Value of Equity = Sum of present value of all future stream of dividends.
- This model forms the basis of the dividend valuation model.

Dividend valuation model – No growth


Po = Do
Ke

Ke = D o
Po

Cum div price = Ex div price + dividend to be paid in a few days

Dividend valuation model – Constant growth


Po = Do (1 + g)
Ke – g

Ke = Do (1 + g) + g
Po

Dividend valuation model – Variable growth


- Discount dividend for each year separately
- For years extending to infinity apply DVM with constant growth

Growth rates
1. Historic growth => Do = D-n (1+g)n [Solve for g]
2. Gordon growth => g = ROE x rate of retention

Other methods of valuing Equity


To be covered under Business valuation topic

Interim and final dividends


Interim dividends are paid out during the year with the approval of the BoD. Final dividends are paid out
annually with AGM’s approval.

CAPM
CAPM is a measure of the cost of equity. Its formula is based on the concept that the unsystematic risk can be
diversified by investing in various securities. The risk that diversified shareholder’s face is the systematic or
market risk. It assumes that all shareholders are well diversified

Ke = Rf + (Rm – Rf) βe.

Where: Rf is the return on government bonds and risk-free securities


Rm is the average market return of all listed securities (In Pakistan, take KSE 100 index)
βe is the co-efficient of systematic risk

Understanding beta:
If an investment is riskier than the average market then the βe > 1.

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CHAPTER 2: COST & VALUE OF EQUITY

If an investment is less risky than the average market then the βe < 1.
If an investment is risk free then βe = 0.

Alpha factor
Alpha is an abnormal return on an equity security. In other words, it is the return over and above the Ke
computed by CAPM.

Alpha = Actual return – Ke computed by CAPM

Exhibit 1: Beta Equity of listed companies w.r.t PSX 30-index as of 19th June 2020 (Googleable numbers)
Company Name Beta
Amreli Steels Limited 1.09
Engro Fertilizers Limited 0.54
Fauji Cement Company Limited 1.04
Fauji Fertilizer Bin Qasim Limited 1.03
Hascol Petroleum Limited 1.13
K-Electric Limited 0.99
Maple Leaf Cement Factory Limited 1.1
National Bank of Pakistan 0.9
Oil & Gas Development Company Limited 1.01
Pakistan State Oil Company Limited 1.14
Pakistan Telecommunication Company Ltd 0.66
Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Limited 1.18
Sui Southern Gas Company Limited 1.11
The Bank of Punjab 1.1
The Hub Power Company Limited 1.04

Exhibit 2: One Year T-Bills Yield - Risk free rate of interest (Googleable numbers)

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CHAPTER 2: COST & VALUE OF EQUITY

Exhibit 3: Annualized market returns of KSE 100 index (Googleable numbers)

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CHAPTER 2: COST & VALUE OF EQUITY

Example 1: Cost of Equity using DVM


Calculate the Cost of equity in the following scenarios.
a) Dividend has remained constant for many years at Rs 12 per share. The current value of each share is Rs 150.
b) The current cum div price is Rs 150. The dividend to be paid in a few days is Rs 20.

Example 2: Value of Equity using DVM


Calculate the Value of a share in the following scenarios.
a) The dividend last year was Rs 15 and for the current year is Rs 16.5. The same growth is expected to continue
in the future. Cost of equity is 15%.
b) Dividend for the current year was Rs 5 per share. Dividends are expected to increase by 10%, 12% and 15%
respectively for the next three years, and 8% per year for the foreseeable future after that. Cost of equity is
15%.

Example 3: Dividend growth rates


You are given the following information about two companies, both of which are entirely equity financed:
X Ltd Y Ltd
Number of ordinary shares of Rs 10 each (000) 150,000 200,000
Market value per share, ex div, (Rs.) 33 45
Current earnings (total) (Rs. 000) 62,858 63,952
Current dividend (total) (Rs. 000) 6,158 48,130
Average Equity invested (Rs. 000) 315,000 293,000
Dividend five years ago (total) (Rs. 000) 2,473 37,600
Estimate the Cost of Equity of both companies, using two growth models.

Example 4: Interim dividends complex example


A company declares dividend at interim intervals. During the current year, dividend of Rs 5 was declared after
2nd Quarter and dividend of Rs 7 was declared after 4th Quarter. Cost of equity of the company is 20% per
annum. Dividends paid after 2nd Quarter are expected to grow by 5% per annum and Dividends paid after 4th
Quarter are expected to grow by 8% per annum. Calculate the value of each share based on dividend valuation
method.

Example 5: Cost of Equity using CAPM


The current average market return being paid on risky investments is 15%, compared with 8% on Treasury bills.
X Co has an Equity Beta of 1.2. What is the cost of equity of X Co?

Example 6: CAPM
X Co is currently paying a return of 20% on equity investment. If the return on Govt. Gilts is currently 7% and the
average return on the KSE 100 index is 15%, what is the beta of X Co and what does this tell us about the
volatility of B’s returns compared to those of the market on average?

Example 7: Abnormal Return


In Example 5, if the actual return on shares of G co. is 20%, determine abnormal return (if any)

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CHAPTER 3: COST & VALUE OF DEBT AND THE WACC
Simple / Straight Loans
Kd = I (1 – T) / Po
Po = I (1 – T) / Kd

Redeemable Debt – Traded


Apply the IRR method:
Description Year Amount PV @ 10% (A) PV @ 20% (B)
Initial inflow (Ex-interest 0 (xxx) (xxx) (xxx)
market value)
Interest net of tax 1–N xxx xxx xxx
Redemption N xxx xxx xxx
xxx (a) (xxx) (b)

IRR = A + a (B – A) [where A is lower %; B is higher %; a is PV at A; b is PV at B]


a–b

Redeemable Debt – Non traded


If the debt is non-traded, its market value is measured by discounting the pre-tax cash flows using the pre-tax
opportunity cost of debt as discount rate (this rate is usually the Yield of alternative debt or the Gross yield of
similar debt in the economy)

Convertible debt
The same IRR approach as above is followed with exception only that redemption value of equity or the conversion
proceeds (whichever is higher) is taken.

Deep discount bonds / Zero coupon bonds


These bonds are issued at a significant discount below face value. They carry no interest. The same IRR approach
as above is followed.

Preference shares
- May be redeemable or irredeemable, cumulative or non-cumulative, participating or non-participating
- Return on preference shares is generally not deductible for tax purposes
- Computation of cost and value of redeemable preference shares is similar to calculations for debt
- Computation of cost and value of irredeemable preference shares is similar to calculations for equity

Irredeemable debt
Same computation as simple loans

Debt redeemable at Market value ruling at the day of redemption


Same computation as simple loans

Debt at floating rate of interest


- If the future forecast of KIBOR is not available, use current KIBOR
- If the future forecast of KIBOR is available, use forecasted KIBOR

Debt instruments with mid-life conversion


- If a mid-life conversion option is available, compare the PV of future cashflows of debt with the value of
converted equity to assess if mid-life conversion option would be exercised or not.

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CHAPTER 3: COST & VALUE OF DEBT AND THE WACC

Foreign debt
- Cost of capital is currency sensitive
- Use forecasted Foreign exchange rates to convert Forex into PKR
- Exchange rate could be forecasted using either the Inflation rates (Purchasing Power Parity) or Interest rates
(Interest rate parity)

PPP: Current exchange rate x (1 + inflation Pakistan) / (1 + inflation Foreign country)

IRP: Current exchange rate x (1 + interest rate Pakistan) / (1 + interest rate Foreign country)

Difference between Cost and Yield of debt


- Cost of debt is the return paid on debt by the borrower and is computed net of corporate tax
- Yield on debt is the return received on debt by the lender and is computed gross of tax

Credit rating
- A quantified assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower
- Credit rating for companies and governments is generally done by a credit rating agency such as Standard &
Poor's, Moody's or PACRA. These rating agencies are paid by the entity that is seeking a credit rating
- Credit rating agencies typically assign letter grades to indicate ratings. For example, S&P has a credit rating
scale ranging from AAA (excellent) to C and D.
- Ratings can generally be divided into two grades: Investment Grade and Speculative grade (Junk bonds)
- Individuals are generally assigned credit scores (instead of credit rating) based on their track record

Tax deductibility
- Interest is generally tax deductible
- Return on preference shares is generally not deductible for tax purposes
- Tax deductibility is irrelevant if the company is in irrecoverable tax losses or fully under the FTR regime

Debt yield curves


- Yield curves plot interest rates of bonds of equal credit rating but different maturities.
- The three key types of yield curves include normal, inverted and flat.
- Upward sloping (normal yield curves) is where longer-term bonds have higher yields than short-term ones.
- Normal curves point to economic expansion
- Downward sloping (inverted) curves point to economic recession.

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CHAPTER 3: COST & VALUE OF DEBT AND THE WACC
Fixed income investments
- Fixed income securities are a type of debt instrument that provides returns in the form of regular, or fixed,
interest payments and repayments of the principal when the security reaches maturity.
- The instruments are issued by governments, corporations, and other entities to finance their operations.
- Management of Fixed income securities is a wide subject included in specific Financial management studies
such as CFA & Financial Engineering but are not included within the course of CA Pakistan

Weighted average cost of capital


Description Value (Ex-div, Ex-Interest) [W] Cost % [X] WX
Equity xxx x% xxx
Debt xxx x% xxx
xxx xxx

WACC = Sum of WX
Sum of W

Page | 15
CHAPTER 3: COST & VALUE OF DEBT AND THE WACC
Example 1: Simple Loan
Compute the Cost debt assuming Tax rate is 30% and loan obtained in Rs 100m.
a) Rs 10m is payable as Interest on an annual basis
b) Rs 2m is payable as Interest on a quarterly basis
c) Rs 4m is payable as Interest on a half yearly basis

Example 2: Redeemable Debt – Traded


X limited issued 5 years bonds at Rs 1000 (Par value) per bond on 1-Jan-2020. These bonds are listed in the stock
market and have a coupon rate of 10%. They will be redeemed at 3% premium. Calculate the cost of these bonds
as of 1-Jan-2021 assuming that the market price of the Bonds on this date is Rs 1020. Tax rate is 30%.

Example 3: Redeemable Debt – Non-traded


X limited issued 7 years non-traded bonds at Rs 1010 (1% above Par value) per bond on 1-Jan-2020. The bonds
have a coupon rate of 11% and will be redeemed at 2% premium. Calculate the cost of these bonds as of 1-Jan-
2022 assuming that the Gross yield on bonds of similar credit rating and maturity is 12%. Tax rate is 30%.

Example 4: Convertible debt


X limited issued 5 years bonds at Rs 1000 (Par value) per bond on 1-Jan-2020. These bonds are listed in the stock
market and have a coupon rate of 12%. On maturity they can either be redeemed at 3% premium or converted
into 10 shares per bond. X limited paid dividends of Rs 9 per share in 2020. These dividends are expected to grow
at 4% per annum for the foreseeable future. X limited’s cost of equity capital is 15%. Calculate the cost of debt of
these bonds on 1-Jan-2021 assuming that the market price of the Bonds on this date is Rs 1010. Tax rate is 30%.

Example 5: Deep discount bonds / Zero coupon bonds


X limited issued 6 years non-traded bonds at Rs 550 (45% below Par value) per bond on 1-Jan-2020. These are
zero coupon bonds and will be redeemed at Par. Calculate the cost of these bonds as of 1-Jan-2022 assuming that
the Gross yield on bonds of similar credit rating and maturity at that date is 10%. Tax rate is 30%.

Example 6: Preference shares


X limited issued 10 years 12% Redeemable Preference Shares at Rs 100 (Par value & Market value) per share on
1-Jan-2020. These are cumulative and non-traded. Calculate the cost and value of these shares as of 1-Jan-2021
assuming that the Rate of return on Preference shares of similar credit rating and maturity at that date is 13%.
Tax rate is 30%.

Example 7: Irredeemable debt


X limited issued 11% irredeemable at Rs 1000 (Par value) per bond on 1-Jan-2020. These bonds are quoted in
Stock market. Calculate the cost of these bonds as of 1-Jan-2021 assuming that the market price at that date is Rs
1020. Tax rate is 30%.

Example 8: Debt redeemable at Market value ruling at the day of redemption


X limited issued 5 years 13% Redeemable bonds at Rs 1000 (Par value) per bond on 1-Jan-2020. These bonds are
quoted in the Stock market and will be redeemed at the Market value ruling at the day of redemption. Calculate
the cost of these bonds as of 1-Jan-2021 assuming that the market price at that date is Rs 1010. Tax rate is 30%.

Example 9: Debt at floating rate of interest


X limited issued 5 years Redeemable bonds at Rs 1000 (Par value) per bond on 1-Jan-2020. These bonds carry a
floating coupon rate @ KIBOR + 1.5% and will be redeemed at 1% premium. Calculate the cost of these bonds as

Page | 16
CHAPTER 3: COST & VALUE OF DEBT AND THE WACC
of 1-Jan-2022 assuming that the Gross yield on bonds of similar credit rating and maturity at that date is KIBOR +
1%. Tax rate is 30%. KIBOR FCST for the next 3 years is as follows: Current: 8%, Yr 1: 9%, Yr 2: 9.5%, Yr 3: 10%.

Example 10: Debt instruments with mid-life conversion


X limited has in issue 10% bonds that are redeemable @ premium of 10% after 5 years. Current MV of the bonds
is Rs 105 and Par value is Rs 100. The bonds can be converted into 10 ordinary shares per 100 face value after 3
years. Current shares price of the company is Rs 9. It is expected to grow at 7% p.a. Compute the cost of debt of
the bonds assuming that comparable market debt yield at that date is 12%. Tax rate is 30%

Example 11: Foreign debt


X limited issued 10% Bonds in USA that are redeemable @ premium of 5% after 3 years. The bonds are issued at
current MV of USD 100 which is also the Par value. The current exchange rate is Rs 170 / USD 1. It is expected
that Rupee will weaken against the Dollar by 7% p.a. Tax rate is 30% in Pakistan where this interest expense
would be claimed as tax deductible expense. Compute the cost of debt of the bonds in PKR terms.

Example 12: Tax deductibility


X limited is engaged in the export business and is subject to Final tax on its Revenues @ 1%. X limited issued 5
years Redeemable bonds at Rs 1000 (Par value) per bond on 1-Jan-2020. The bonds carry Coupon rate at 11%
and will be redeemed at 2% premium. Calculate the cost of these bonds as of 1-Jan-2022 assuming that the Cum
interest market price at that date is Rs 1100. Tax rate is 30%.

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CHAPTER 4: BASIC INVESTMENT APPRAISAL
ROCE / ROI
This is also known as accounting rate of return (ARR).
ROCE = Average annual profits before interest and tax × 100%
Initial capital costs or avg. capital costs
Decision rule:
If the expected ROCE for the investment is greater than the target or hurdle rate then the project should be
accepted.

Cash flows and relevant costs


Only relevant cash flows should be considered. These are:
• future
• incremental
• cash based.

Ignore:
• sunk costs
• committed costs
• non-cash items
• allocated costs

Payback
The payback period is the time a project will take to pay back the money spent on it.

Decision rule:
• only select projects which pay back within the specified time period
• choose between options on the basis of the fastest payback

Constant annual cash flows


Payback period = initial investment
annual cash flow

Uneven cash flows


In practice, cash flows from a project are unlikely to be constant. Where cash flows are uneven, payback is
calculated by working out the cumulative cash flow over the life of the project.

Discounted pay back


It is same as payback (above), with just the difference that the cash flows taken are discounted at cost of capital.

Net present value


If we treat outflows of a project as negative and inflows as positive, NPV is the sum of the PVs of all flows that
arise as a result of the project. It assumes reinvestment at cost of capital. NPV gives impact of the project on
shareholder’s wealth.

Cashflows:
Only relevant cash flows and opportunity cost of scarce resource as discussed above are considered.

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CHAPTER 4: BASIC INVESTMENT APPRAISAL
Inflation:
• Inflation must be accounted for on a cumulative basis for each year if real cash flows are to be translated
into nominal cashflows.
• In exam, generally prefer to use nominal cashflows and discount rate.

Tax:
• Tax outflows are shown when tax is actually paid, which is usually one year in arrears.
• Tax savings on tax allowable non-cash expenses e.g. tax depreciation, tax amortisation and tax provision
for employee benefits are reduced from tax outflow.

Working capital
• Take initial WC at year 0
• Take investment as at i.e. take differential WC each year
• Recover WC as positive cashflow at the end of the project life

Discount rate
• Should reflect the gearing and financial risk of the company after project
• Should reflect business risk of the project
• Should reflect project specific cost of debt and cost of equity

Decision rule
• if the NPV is positive – the project is financially viable
• if the NPV is zero – the project breaks even
• if the NPV is negative – the project is not financially viable

IRR
The IRR represents the discount rate at which the NPV of an investment is zero. It assumes reinvestment at IRR
rate.

IRR of Perpetuity
IRR of a perpetuity = Annual inflow × 100
Initial investment

IRR of irregular cashflows


This is determined by interpolation/extrapolation formula
IRR = A + a (B – A) [where A is lower %; B is higher %; a is NPV at A; b is NPV at B]
a–b

Two IRRs
One weak point of the IRR is that there may be two IRRs if negative cashflows occur at different times in a project.
Suppose a firm is considering expenditure of Rs 1.6 million to develop a mine. The mine will produce a cash flow
of Rs 10 million at the end of Year 1. Then, at the end of Year 2, Rs 10 million must be expended to restore the
land to its original condition. The IRR for the investment can be formulized as:
NPV = -1.6 + 10/(1+IRR) – 10/(1+IRR)2

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CHAPTER 4: BASIC INVESTMENT APPRAISAL
−𝑏±√𝑏2 −4𝑎𝑐
This curvilinear function can be solved to get IRR by curvilinear equation [Formula = 2𝑎
]. When solved,
we find that NPV is 0 when IRR is 25% and also when IRR is 400%. Therefore, the IRR of the investment is both
25% and 400%.

MIRR
MIRR assumes that cash flows are reinvested at the cost of capital. Since reinvestment at the IRR is generally not
correct, the MIRR is generally a better indicator of a project’s true profitability.
Terminal value of inflows / PV of costs = (1 + MIRR)n

Targeted NPV
All cashflows other than target cashflows are discounted and then divided by annuity factor to compute equal
targeted cashflow or put into equation to compute unequal target cashflows.

Efficient market hypothesis


Weak form efficiency
All past price movements are incorporated into the share price.

Semi strong efficiency


The share price incorporates all publicly available information.

Strong form efficiency


In a strongly efficient market the share price incorporates all information, whether public or private, including
information which is as yet unpublished. Implications:
• No need for share issue discounts
• Share purchase is zero NPV transaction
• NPV is absolutely correct
• No chance of insider trading

Economic value added


EVA indicates whether the opportunity cost of shareholder’s investment in the company is positive or negative.

EVA = EBIT (1 – T) – WACC (Capital employed)

Where:
EBIT = PBT + interest expense + accounting depreciation – economic depreciation + R&D written off + Goodwill
written off.
Capital employed = Capital employed per SFP + R&D written off + Goodwill written off.

Profitability index
It is a measure of relative profitability of a project: PI = NPV or PV of inflows
Initial outlay Initial outlay
Sensitivity analysis
Brigham defines it as “Sensitivity analysis measures the percentage change in NPV that results from a given
percentage change in an input with other variables held at their expected values”. This change is calculated as:
Sensitivity margin = NPV × 100%
PV of post-tax relevant cash flows

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CHAPTER 4: BASIC INVESTMENT APPRAISAL

Expected value
When there are a number of possible outcomes for a decision and probabilities can be assigned to each, then an
EV may be calculated. The EV is the weighted average of all the possible outcomes, with the weightings based on
the probability estimates. The EV is not the most likely result. It may not even be a possible result, but instead it
finds the long-run average outcome.
The formula for calculating an EV is: EV = Σpx

Exam tip on probability questions requiring expected NPV:


➢ Identify certain and uncertain cash flows. All those cashflows with a certain probability are uncertain.
➢ Make a cumulative probability for all uncertain cashflows.
➢ Present value each possibility of the uncertain the cashflows and multiply respective possibility with this PV.
➢ Add up the PVs and then add PV of certain cashflows to them
➢ The sum total of all PVs is the Expected NPV

Scenario analysis
Begin with the base-case scenario, which uses the most likely set of input values. We then specify a worst-case
scenario (low unit sales, low sales price, high variable costs) and then a best-case scenario and then compare the
results.

Decision trees
Decision Trees are tools to help between choosing several courses of action. There two types of signs used to
make a decision tree. A square represents a decision point and a circle represents possible event occurring on
adopting a particular course of action.

Exam technique
• Work backwards. First calculate NPV at each end event point.
• Then calculate Expected NPV at each event point.
• For decision points simply take higher NPV from the off shoots.
• Finally calculate the NPV for the project as a whole.

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CHAPTER 4: BASIC INVESTMENT APPRAISAL
Example 1: ROCE
A project requires an initial investment of Rs 800,000 and then earns net cash inflows as follows:
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Cash inflows 100 200 400 400 300 200 150
In addition, at the end of the seven year project the assets initially purchased will be sold for Rs 100,000.
Determine the project’s ROCE using:
(a) initial capital invested
(b) average capital invested.

Example 2: Relevant Cashflows


A company is evaluating a proposed expenditure on an item of equipment that would cost Rs 160,000. A technical
feasibility study has been carried out by consultants, at a cost of Rs 15,000, into benefits from investing in the
equipment. It has been estimated that the equipment would have a life of four years, and annual profits would
be Rs 8,000, after deducting annual depreciation of Rs 40,000 and an annual charge of Rs 25,000 for a share of
the existing fixed cost of the company. What are the relevant cash flows for this project?

Example 3: Simple Payback


An expenditure of Rs 2 million is expected to generate net cash inflows of Rs 500,000 each year for the next seven
years. What is the payback period for the project?

Example 4: Simple payback


Calculate the payback period in years and months for the following project:
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5
Cash flow (3,100) 1,000 900 800 800 1500

Example 5: Discounted Payback


Facts are same as Example 4. The cost of capital is 10%. Calculate discounted payback period.

Example 6: NPV
An organisation is considering a capital investment in new equipment. The estimated cash flows are as follows.
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5
Rupees (240,000) 80,000 120,000 70,000 40,000 20,000
The company’s cost of capital is 9%. Calculate the NPV of the project to assess whether it should be undertaken.

Example 7: IRR
A business undertakes high risk investments and requires a minimum expected rate of return of 17% p.a. on its
investments. A proposed capital investment has the following expected cash flows:
Year 0 1 2 3 4
Rs (50,000) 18,000 25,000 20,000 10,000
Calculate the IRR and appraise the project.

Example 8: MIRR
Projects A and B have the following cash flows:
Year 0 1 2
A (Rs 1,000) Rs 1,150 Rs 100
B (Rs 1,000) Rs 100 Rs 1,300
Their cost of capital is 10%. What are the projects’ IRRs, MIRRs, and NPVs? Which project would each method
select?

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CHAPTER 4: BASIC INVESTMENT APPRAISAL

Example 9: EVA
ABC Limited’s Profit before tax is Rs 283.8 and interest expense is Rs 88.0. Tax rate is 40%. Its ROCE is 12.5% &
WACC is 15%. Calculate EVA.

Example 10: Sensitivity analysis


Bacher Co is considering investing Rs 500,000 in equipment to produce a new type of ball. Sales of the product
are expected to continue for three years, at the end of which the equipment will have a scrap value of Rs 80,000.
Sales revenue of Rs 600,000 pa will be generated at a variable cost of Rs 350,000. Annual fixed costs will increase
by Rs 40,000.
(a) Determine whether, on the basis of the estimates given, the project should be undertaken, assuming that all
cash flows occur at annual intervals and that Bacher Co has a cost of capital of 15%.
(b) Find the percentage changes required in the following estimates for the investment decision to change:
(i) initial investment (ii) scrap value (iii) selling price (iv) unit variable cost
(v) annual fixed cost (vi) sales volume (vii) cost of capital.

Example 11: Uncertainty


A firm has to choose between three mutually exclusive projects, the outcomes of which depend on the state of
the economy. The following estimates have been made:
State of the economy Recession Stable Growing
Probability 0.5 0.4 0.1
NPV NPV NPV
Project A 100 200 1,400
Project B 0 500 600
Project C 180 190 200
Determine which project should be selected on the basis of expected market values.

Example 12: Tax in NPV


X limited is considering a project which will generate annual revenue of Rs 100,000 and costs of Rs 40,000. The
project has a life of 5 years and will require initial investment in plant & machinery amounting to Rs 150,000. The
assets were purchased on 1st January and would be disposed of after 5 years for Rs 30,000. Tax rate is 30% and
tax is paid one year in arrears. Under tax laws, initial depreciation is provided at 50% and normal at 15% on
reducing balance basis. There are no taxable profits available except from the Project, however tax losses (if any)
can be carried forward for 6 years. Expectation of accrued and prepaid expenses is as follows.

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4


Accrued expenses 10,000 12,000
Prepaid expenses 5,000 7,000

Required: Evaluate if X limited should invest in the Project if its WACC is 10%.

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CHAPTER 4: BASIC INVESTMENT APPRAISAL
Example 13: Bailout payback period
A company is considering a new project requiring a capital outlay of Rs.150,000. The objective of the investment
is to bailout as soon as the initial investment is recovered. Calculate the Bail-out payback period using the following
projections.

Annual net CFs CFs from bailout


Year
PKR PKR
1 40,000 90,000
2 50,000 60,000
3 60,000 30,000
4 25,000 Nil

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CHAPTER 5: ADVANCED INVESTMENT APPRAISAL & WACC
Leverage
Financial leverage denotes the sensitivity of PBT to change in PBIT. It is affected by the amount of int. expense.
Financial leverage = PBIT .
PBT – [Pref. dividend/(1-T)]

Operating leverage denotes the sensitivity of PBIT to change in contribution/sales volume. It is affected by the
amount of fixed costs.
Operating leverage = Contribution
PBIT

Total leverage denotes the sensitivity of PBT to a change in contribution/sales volume. It is affected by both the
amount of fixed costs and interest expense.
Total leverage = Contribution or FL x OL
PBT – [Pref. dividend/(1-T)]

Traditional theory of capital structure


The relationship of WACC and Gearing levels is saucer shaped and there exists a Gearing level at which the Cost
of Capital of the Company is lowest.

Modigliani and Miller theory of capital structure – without tax


The theory illustrates that if tax affects are ignored, WACC of geared and ungeared companies would be equal. It
proposes that the returns of a company are based on its assets and not on the way these assets are financed.

Vg = Vu
KEg = KEu + D/E (KEu – KDg)
WACCg = WACCu

Modigliani and Miller theory of capital structure – with tax


If tax affects are considered, the theory proposes that WACC of geared companies would always be lower and
hence their value would be higher due to effect of tax shield (i.e. the tax savings on interest payments).

Vg = Vu + DT
KEg = KEu + (1 – T) D/E (KEu – KDg)
WACCg = WACCu [1 – DT / (D+E)]

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CHAPTER 5: ADVANCED INVESTMENT APPRAISAL & WACC
Types of M&M scenarios
- No change in total capital – ungeared to geared / geared to ungeared
- No change in total capital – geared to geared
- Change in total capital – ungeared to geared / geared to ungeared
- Change in total capital – geared to geared

Limitations of M&M
- Agency costs
- Bankruptcy costs
- Amended formula: Vg = Vu + DT – PV of Bankruptcy costs – PV of Agency costs

Comparison of alternative theories of capital structure


Theory Net effect as gearing increases Impact on WACC Optimal finance method
Traditional Theory The WACC is U-shaped. At optimal point, WACC Find and maintain
is minimised. optimum gearing ratio
M&M (no tax) Cheaper debt = Increase in Ke WACC is constant Choice of finance is
irrelevant – use any
M&M (with tax) Cheaper debt > Increase in Ke WACC falls As much debt as possible

Pureplay method of beta adjustment and the Hamada equation


Two types of beta
Βeta Asset reflects purely the systematic risk of the business.
Beta Equity reflects the systematic risk of the business area and the company’s specific gearing ratio.

Conversion of beta
ßa = ße × Ve + ßd × Vd (1 – T) .
Ve + Vd(1 – T) Ve + Vd(1 – T)

Note: First part of the formula is developed using the Hamada equation.

Exam steps
• Take Be of industry. Ungear Be using industry gearing % and tax % to convert to beta asset of the industry.
• Use this beta asset and regear using gearing % and tax % for the project to get beta equity of the project
• This beta equity is then used in CAPM.

Adjusted present value (APV)


The APV technique separates the financing decision from the investment decision i.e. it calculates the effect of
various financing and investment options separately. It should be used in exam when:
• the company is venturing into new business plus there is some issue cost / subsidised loan; or
• the question requires to use APV

V Operations = V Unlevered + V Tax Shield

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CHAPTER 5: ADVANCED INVESTMENT APPRAISAL & WACC
Investment decision:
Base case NPV xxx
Financing decision:
PV of issue costs xxx
PV of tax shield on debt xxx
PV of subsidised loan benefit xxx
APV xxx

Base case NPV


• The discount rate for base case NPV is computed by putting beta asset into the CAPM formula.
• This beta asset is computed by using beta equity and gearing of new industry.
• Simply discount all operating and investment cash flows at the above mentioned discount rate.

Issue costs
• Issue costs are calculated at gross.
• Tax effects are taken on debt issue costs only
• Any discount on issue of shares for project is ignored

Tax shield on debt


• For bullet repayment: Tax shield = Amount of debt x Kd % x tax % x Relevant Annuity Factor at Rf or Kd
• If Subsidised Loan is also taken then:
Normal loan (Amount of debt x Kd % x tax %) xxx
Subsidised loan (Amount of debt x actual subsidised loan % x tax %) xxx
xxx
• PV of above is calculated at Rf / Kd (pre-tax). Rf can be taken because the tax benefit is receivable from FBR
(Govt.) and is thus normally risk free
• If the loan is irredeemable, take interest and tax shield only for the term of the project
• If tax is payable in arrears, discount tax effects by one year delay
• If repayments will be made in intervals (balloon repayment):
Step 1
Find the amount of the repayment as follows:
Annual amount = (Amount of the loan/Relevant annuity factor)
Step 2
Compute the annual interest charge by making a repayment schedule and compute the tax shield on this
interest charge.

Subsidised loan
• It is quite often the case that govt. etc issues subsidised loans for development oriented projects.
• Benefit of a subsidised loan with bullet repayment = Loan amount x (Kd – Subsidised loan cost %) x (1 – tax
rate %) x Relevant Annuity factor at Rf / Kd (pre-tax).
• If the loan is irredeemable, benefit only for the term of the project is considered
• If tax is payable in arrears, discount tax effects by one year delay
• If the subsidized loan is to be repaid in instalments, the benefit of subsidised loan is given to be computed in
ACCA books as:
Annual repayment = Loan amount (including issue costs)
Annuity factor at actual loan %
PV of loan subsidy = [Loan amount – (Annual repayment x annuity factor at Kd %)] x (1 – tax rate %)

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CHAPTER 5: ADVANCED INVESTMENT APPRAISAL & WACC
• The above method is slightly faulty and better approach is to make two tables and compare.

International investment decisions


International investment decisions are similar to normal investment decisions with differences only in the
conversion of foreign exchange rates and application of risk commensurate discount rates and techniques.

Technicalities in Cashflows
- Future exchange rates are estimated using the PPP or IRP
- Tax treaties and impact of local vs foreign taxes
- Restriction on dividend repatriation and repatriation taxes
- Transfer pricing between local and foreign entity

Technicalities in Discount rate


- CAPM is adjusted by Country risk premium to compute Ke
- Kd for any debt obtained in Foreign country is calculated using method taught in Chapter 3

Monte Carlo Simulation


• Sensitivity analysis considered the effect of changing one variable at a time.
• Monte Carlo simulation improves on this by looking at the impact of many variables changing at the
same time.
• Using mathematical modelling it produces a distribution of the possible outcomes from the project.
• The probability of different outcomes can then be calculated.

There are three stages:


(1) Specify major variables. For example:

Market details:
– Market size – Selling price – Market growth rate – Market share

Investment costs:
– Investment required – Residual value of investment

Operating costs:
– Variable costs – Fixed costs – Taxation – Useful life of plant.

(2) Specify the relationships between variables to calculate an NPV. For example:
Sales revenue = market size × market share × selling price.
Net cash flow = sales revenue - (variable costs + fixed costs + taxation), etc.

(3) Simulate the environment:


- Assign random numbers to represent the probability distribution for each variable
- Draw a random number for each variable
- Select the value of each variable corresponding with the selected random number and compute an NPV.
- Repeat the process many times to create a probability distribution of returns.

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CHAPTER 5: ADVANCED INVESTMENT APPRAISAL & WACC
The results of a simulation exercise will be a probability distribution of NPVs.

Instead of choosing between expected values, decision makers can now take the dispersion of outcomes and the
expected return into account.

The probability of the project having for example, a positive NPV, or an NPV above a particular amount, can
then be calculated.

Merits of simulation
- It includes all possible outcomes in the decision-making process.
- It is a relatively easily understood technique.
- It has a wide variety of applications (inventory control, component replacement, corporate models, etc).

Drawbacks of simulation
- Models can become extremely complex and the time and costs involved in their construction can be more th
an is gained from the improved decisions.
- Probability distributions may be difficult to formulate.

Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT)


• CAPM is a single-factor model
• APT specifies that many factors are required to the equilibrium risk / return relationship rather than just one
• APT can include any number of risk factors, so the required return could be a function of two, three, four, or
more factors.
• Although the APT model is widely discussed in academic literature, practical usage to date has been limited.

Ke = Rf + (R1 – Rf) β1 + (R2 – Rf) β2 + (R3 – Rf) β3 + . . . . . . . .

Advantages of APT
• Permits several economic factors to influence individual stock returns
• Does not assume that all investors hold the market portfolio (a CAPM requirement not met in practice)

Disadvantages of APT
Difficult to implement since APT does not tell what factors influence returns and does not indicate how many
factors should appear in the model.

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CHAPTER 5: ADVANCED INVESTMENT APPRAISAL & WACC
Example 1: Leverage
ABC co. currently has a contribution of Rs 100,000. Its fixed costs are 40,000 and interest expense is 20,000. It
proposes to change its business dimensions and reduce its fixed costs to 30,000 while increasing gearing and
interest expense to 30,000. Determine whether the company’s new business dimension would have a higher or
lower leverage.

Example 2: M&M
ABC co. is entirely equity financed. Its cost of equity is 15% and market value of equity is Rs. 100,000. It proposes
to change its capital structure by obtaining debt amounting to Rs 30,000 and repaying existing equity. The cost of
this debt is 10%. Tax rate is 30%. Calculate the new WACC and value of the company.

Example 3: Pure play


Hubbard, an all equity financed food manufacturing firm, is about to embark upon a major diversification in the
consumer electronics industry. Its current equity beta is 1.2, whilst the average equity ß of electronics firms is 1.6.
Gearing in the electronics industry averages 30% debt, 70% equity.

Corporate debt is considered to be risk free.


Rm = 25%, Rf = 10%, corporation tax rate = 30%

What would be a suitable discount rate for the new investment if Hubbard were to be financed in each of the
following ways?
(a) Entirely by equity.
(b) By 30% debt and 70% equity.
(c) By 40% debt and 60% equity.

Example 4: APV
A company operating in the insurance industry is considering whether to diversify by investing in a project in the
transport industry. The company has a gearing ratio of 30% debt and 70% equity, and its equity beta is 0.90. Its
debt capital is risk-free. The transport industry has an average equity beta of 1.30, and firms in the transport
industry on average have a gearing ratio of 40% debt to 60% equity. The risk free rate of return is 5% and the
expected market return is 8%. Tax is paid in arrears at 30%. The cashflows of the project will be:
Year 0: (Rs 600,000)
Year 1 – 3: Rs 250,000
Calculate Base case NPV.

Example 5: APV
The investment in above example would be financed by Rs 400,000 new equity and Rs 200,000 new debt. Issue
costs are 5% for equity and 2% for debt. The risk free rate is 5%. Tax is paid in arrears at 30%.
Calculate PV of issue costs.

Example 6: APV
The finance required for a planned investment is $2m (net of issue costs). Issue costs are 3%. And the finance
raised will also have to cover the issue costs. What are the issue costs and what sum will need to be raised
altogether?

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CHAPTER 5: ADVANCED INVESTMENT APPRAISAL & WACC
Example 7: APV
Rs 400,000 is to be borrowed for 3 years and repaid in equal instalments. The risk-free rate is 10% and all debt is
assumed to be risk free. Calculate the present value of the tax relief on the debt interest if the tax rate is 30%.
Assume that tax is delayed 1 year.

Example 8: APV
ABC Limited plans to invest in electricity production unit. To encourage ABC, the Govt. of Pakistan has issued a
loan at 5%. Market cost of debt is 10%. The loan amount to Rs 180,000 with 2% issue costs. The project term is 5
years. Calculate the PV of loan subsidy assuming:
(a) No repayment is made over 5 years
(b) Annual repayment is made over 5 years

Example 8: APV
Rounding plc is a company currently engaged in the manufacture of baby equipment. It wishes to diversify into
the manufacture of snowboards. The company’s equity beta is 1.27 and is current debt to equity ratio is 25:75,
however the company’s gearing ratio will change as a result of the new project.
Firms involved in snowboard manufacture have an average equity beta of 1.19 and an average debt to equity
ratio of 30:70.

Assume that the debt is risk free, that the risk free rate is 10% and that the expected return from the market
portfolio is 16%. The new project will involve the purchase of new machinery for a cost of $800,000 (net of issue
costs), which will produce annual cash inflows of $450,000 for 3 years. At the end of this time it will have no
scrap value. Corporation tax is payable in the same year at a rate of 33%. The machine will attract writing down
allowances of 25% pa on a reducing balance basis, with a balancing allowance at the end of the project life when
the machine is scrapped.

The financing details:


The new investment will be financed as follows:
Debentures (redeemable in three years’ time): 40%
Rights issue of equity: 60%

The issue costs are 4% on the gross equity issued and 2% on the gross debt issued. Estimate the adjusted
present value of the project.

Example 9: International investment appraisal


ABC Limited, a Pakistani company, invested in an oil extraction unit in USA. Following information is relevant to
the investment in current price terms:
• Initial capital investment is $ 100M with a project life of 4 years and no residual value.
• Annual pre-tax net cash inflows in year 1 would amount to $30 and would then grow (real) at 8% per
annum.
• There are foreign exchange restrictions in USA and the cash can only be repatriated at end of project.
However surplus cash may be invested in saving deposits @ 5% per annum.
• The investment was funded through local equity costing 15% p.a. and by issuing 6% TFCs of $100 each in
USA. The TFCs were issued at par (current market value) and are redeemable after 4 years at $105 each.
• ABC Limited maintains a debt equity ratio of 40:60 for all projects.

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CHAPTER 5: ADVANCED INVESTMENT APPRAISAL & WACC
• Corporate tax rate in Pakistan is 35% whereas tax rate in USA is 30%. There is a double tax treaty between
the countries. Tax depreciation is allowed on straight line basis in USA. Interest income and expense is
declared / claimed in USA Tax Returns. Interest income is taxed @ 20% in USA.
• Inflation rate in the USA is 4% and in Pakistan is 10% per annum.
• Current exchange rate is PKR 100 = USD 1.
Required: Calculate Net Present Value of the Project in PKR

Example 10: APT


Return on shares of ABC Limited depends on three risk factors: inflation, industrial production, and the degree
of taxation of dividends. Following other information is available:
a) Risk-free rate is 8%
b) Required rate of return is 13% on a portfolio with unit sensitivity to inflation and zero sensitivity to industrial
production and degree of taxation of dividends (Called Portfolio 1)
c) Required return is 10% on a portfolio with unit sensitivity to industrial production and zero sensitivity to
inflation and degree of taxation of dividends (Called Portfolio 2)
d) Required return is 9% on a portfolio with unit sensitivity to the degree of taxation of dividends and zero
sensitivity to inflation and industrial production (Called Portfolio 3)
e) ABC Limited’s share has following sensitivities (betas)
• 0.9 to Portfolio 1
• 1.2 to Portfolio 2
• 0.7 to Portfolio 3

Required: Compute the required return on ABC’s shares in accordance with the APT model.

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CHAPTER 6: PORTFOLIO THEORY & CAPITAL MARKETS
Return
Return = capital gain + dividend
value at year start

Risk
• Risk is the variability of returns of the investment
• Risk is measured by SD = √∑ Probability (Return – Avg. return)2

Portfolio
• Risk is eliminated by making a portfolio (combination of investments having a co-relation of less than +1)
• This increases the return and / or decreases the risk and gives better result than individual securities

Return of a portfolio
Return of a portfolio = %XRX + %YRY

Risk of a portfolio
Risk of a portfolio = √(%𝑋 . 𝑆𝐷𝑋)2 + (%𝑌 . 𝑆𝐷𝑌)2 + 2 (%𝑋 . 𝑆𝐷𝑋)(%𝑌 . 𝑆𝐷𝑌)𝐶𝑜 − 𝑟𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑋𝑌

Co-varianceXY = ∑ Probability (ReturnX – Avg. returnX) (ReturnY – Avg. returnY)

Co-relationXY = Co-varianceXY
SDX SDY

If co-relation is +1, risk = (%X .SDX) + (%Y .SDY)

Indifference curves
Every investor has a different risk attitude and corresponding return requirement. But all investors require higher
return for higher risk.

a
B

These are investor’s satisfaction curves. The investor is indifferent between different points at a curve. This is
called an “Indifference curve” (IDC). However, IDC A is preferable to IDC B.

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CHAPTER 6: PORTFOLIO THEORY & CAPITAL MARKETS
Attitude to risk
Different cashflows may have different utility to an investor. An investor may be risk averse, risk seeking or risk
neutral. Their IDCs are as follows:

Risk averse

Neutral

Risk seeker

Efficient frontier line


If we draw a tangent over all the best IDCs, we can find the efficient frontier area.

Capital market line


• By mixing risky and risk free securities, we can obtain the Capital market line (CML) as follows:

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CHAPTER 6: PORTFOLIO THEORY & CAPITAL MARKETS
• Portfolio theory assumes that all investors have same expectations. This means that all investors will want to
invest in portfolio M. Therefore, nobody would wish to hold any other security. Hence, M would include all
listed securities. This portfolio of all listed securities is called market portfolio.
• The equation of capital market line = Rf + (Rm – Rf) x SD of portfolio .
SD of Market portfolio

Beta Equity
Beta Equity of security X = Covariance of X returns with market returns
Variance of market returns

Sharpe ratio
= RX – Rf
SDX

Reward-to-volatility ratio or Treynor ratio


= RX – Rf
BetaX

Beta Debt
- Beta Debt can be computed using the above formula for Beta Equity and placing Covariance of Returns of
the debt with market returns in the numerator.
- However, more frequently Beta Debt is computed using CAPM equation:
Pre-tax Yield on Debt = Rf + (Rm – Rf) Beta Debt

Stock Market Indices


- A stock market index is a measurement of the value of a section of the stock market and is calculated from
the prices of selected shares.
- It is a tool used by investors to describe the market and to compare the return on specific investments Stock
- KSE-100 index is the most generally used benchmark index in Pakistan. KSE-30 & KMI-30 indices are also
sometimes used
- Stock indices could be broadly categorized into Total return index (takes into account both Capital gains &
Dividends) and Capital appreciation index (takes into account only Capital gains)
- Stock indices could also be categorized based on how cross holdings are treated i.e. Full capitalization index
(ignores cross-holdings) and Free float index (Eliminates effect of cross-holdings)
- KSE-100 index is a Free Float Total Return index. Its value is referenced to the November 1991 when it was
started with a base of 2000 points.

Calculating Market Return


Rm = (Closing value of KSE 100 index / Opening value of KSE 100 index) – 1
In times when the market is abnormally negative (e.g. COVID impact), long-term Annualized returns can be
considered as Rm.

Page | 35
CHAPTER 6: PORTFOLIO THEORY & CAPITAL MARKETS
Example 1: Return
Investment Value at start of year Value at end of year Dividend
A 1000 900 300
B 800 1200 200
C 700 1000 250
Evaluate which of the above securities provided the highest return during the year?

Example 2: Risk & Return


Two investments have following possible returns:
Investment 1 Probability 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.3
Return 10% 30% 40% -20%
Investment 2 Probability 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
Return 10% 20% 30% 0%
Evaluate which investment is more risky?

Example 3: Covariance & Correlation


Calculate the co-variance and co-relation of the investments in example 2. Use the P given for investment 1.

Example 4: Risk & Return


Security Mix Risk Return
A 60% 4% 8%
B 40% 8% 16%

Determine the risk and return of the portfolio if the co-relation between the returns of A and B is:
(a) 0.9 (b) 0.5 (c) – 0.2

Example 5: Beta
A share has SD of 15% and a co-relation of 0.72 with market returns. The SD of the market is 21%. Find Beta?

Example 6: Sharpe ratio


Return of a share is 15%. Risk free return is 10%. Its variance of returns is 6.25%. Find its Sharpe ratio.

Example 7: Treynor ratio


Return of a security is 20% and its systematic risk is 1.2. Return on 1 year T-Bills is 12%. Compute reward-to-
volatility ratio or Treynor measure of the security.

Example 8: Three securities risk – Matrix Approach


Given below is the information relating to the risk and return of a portfolio of three securities:
Security X Security Y Security Z
Market value 1000 1500 2500
Standard deviation 8% 10% 11%
Co-relation with X 1 0.1 -0.2
Co-relation with Y 0.1 1 0.9
Co-relation with Z -0.2 0.9 1

Required: Estimate the risk of the portfolio as a whole.

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CHAPTER 6: PORTFOLIO THEORY & CAPITAL MARKETS
Solution with Matrix approach:

X Y Z Total
X %X. SDX. %X. SDX. %X. SDX. %Y. SDY. %X. SDX. %Z. SDZ.
Correlation XX Correlation XY Correlation XZ
Y %X. SDX. %Y. SDY. %Y. SDY. %Y. SDY. %Y. SDY. %Z. SDZ.
Correlation XY Correlation YY Correlation YZ
Z %X. SDX. %Z. SDZ. %Y. SDY. %Z. SDZ. %Z. SDZ. %Z. SDZ.
Correlation XZ Correlation YZ Correlation ZZ
Total

Putting the values

X Y Z Total
X 20% x 8 x 20% x 8 x 1 20% x 8 x 30% x 10 x 0.1 20% x 8 x 50% x 11 x -0.2
= 2.56 = 0.48 = -1.76 1.28
Y 0.48 30% x 10 x 30% x 10 x 1 30% x 10 x 50% x 11 x 0.9
=9 = 14.85 24.33
Z -1.76 14.85 50% x 11 x 50% x 11 x 1
= 30.25 43.34
Total 68.95

Variance = 68.95

SD = 8.3 %

Page | 37
CHAPTER 7: BUSINESS VALUATION
Purpose of valuation
- To establish terms of takeovers and mergers, etc.
- To value companies entering the stock market
- For tax purposes (e.g. capital gains tax)

Main approaches to business valuation


- Asset based – based on the tangible assets owned by the company.
- Dividends based – DVM
- Cashflow based – Free cashflows to Firm or Free cashflows to Equity
- Multiples method – Earnings, Revenue, Customers or EBITDA multiples
- Yield benchmarks – Dividend or Earnings

Asset-based measures
Book values
• It’s based on historic cost value

NRV – for non-going concerns


• NRV of assets less amount of liabilities
• It gives the minimum price acceptable to the owners
• It ignores goodwill

Replacement cost – going concern


• Replacement cost of assets less amount of liabilities
• It gives the maximum price to be paid by the buyers
• It ignores goodwill

DVM
Po = Do (1 + g)
Ke – g

Free cashflow method (FCF method)


Cash, that is not retained and reinvested in the business, is called free cash flow. It is of two types:
• FCF for firm
• FCF for equity

FCF for firm


• Revenue inflows – expenses outflows – tax outflows – capital expenditure + residual value of assets sold +/-
working capital changes
• These are FCF for firm and represent returns to both shareholders and creditors
• Discount the above FCFs at WACC to determine the value of the Company as a whole.
• This value is calculated as follows:
➢ FCFo (No growth to perpetuity)
WACC
➢ FCFo (1 + g) (constant growth to perpetuity)
WACC – g

Page | 38
CHAPTER 7: BUSINESS VALUATION
FCF for equity
• FCF for firm (computed as above) – interest payments – principal repayment.
• These are FCF for equity and represent returns to shareholders only.
• Discount the above FCFs at Ke to determine value of equity.
• This value is calculated as follows:
➢ FCFo (No growth to perpetuity)
Ke
➢ FCFo (1 + g) (constant growth to perpetuity)
Ke – g

Multiples Method
Value of company = Benchmark number (e.g. Earnings or Revenue) x Industry Multiple (e.g. 5x, 7x etc.)

PE Multiples method
PE Ratio = Price per share / EPS
Value of company = Total earnings × Suitable PE ratio

Yield Benchmarks
Value of company = Benchmark number (e.g. Earnings or Dividend) ÷ Industry Yield (e.g. 15%, 20% etc.)

Earnings yield
Earnings yield = EPS / Price per share
Value of company = Total earnings / Suitable earnings yield

Dividend yield
Dividend yield = DPS / Price per share
Value of company = Total dividends / Suitable dividend yield

Types of Questions in Exam


- Value of a business
- Bid price
- Maximum price
- Share exchange ratio to acquire a company
- Value post Merger
- Value post Demerger
- Benefits or Synergies resulting from an Acquisition / Merger / Demerger
- Venture capitalist
- Foreign acquisition
- IPO pricing
- Impact of market efficiency
- Choosing between acquirees
- Other matters to consider in an acquisition

Page | 39
CHAPTER 7: BUSINESS VALUATION
Past paper analysis:

Attempt Q# Type Technique Solution


Summer 2009 4 Choosing between acquirees FCF, DVM To be solved in class
Winter 2009 3 Valuation FCF My solution available
Summer 2010 2 Merger FCF, PE To be solved in class
Winter 2010 1 Merger PE To be solved in class
Summer 2011 5 Venture capitalist FCF, PE Refer ICAP solution
Summer 2011 6 How to finance acquisition PE My solution available
Winter 2011 3 Valuation FCF, PE My solution available
Summer 2012 4 Valuation with CF gap FCF My solution available
Winter 2012 3 Merger PE My solution available
Winter 2012 4 Demerger FCF My solution available
Summer 2013 5 Merger DVM My solution available
Summer 2014 1 Foreign acquisition FCF To be solved in class
Winter 2014 6 Matters to consider FCF, PE To be solved in class
Summer 2015 2 Valuation FCF, PE Refer ICAP solution
Winter 2015 1 Valuation FCF Refer ICAP solution
Summer 2016 2 Valuation & share exchange ratio PE To be solved in class
Winter 2016 5 Impact of market type + Matters to consider FCF To be solved in class
Summer 2017 5 IPO pricing FCF To be solved in class
Summer 2018 1 Valuation & synergies FCF Refer ICAP solution
Winter 2018 1 Demerger FCF To be solved in class
Summer 2019 1 Valuation & share exchange ratio FCF Refer ICAP solution
Winter 2019 2 Valuation & Other matters FCF To be solved in class
Notes Venture capitalist example FCF, PE To be solved in class

Page | 40
CHAPTER 7: BUSINESS VALUATION
Example 1: Venture Capitalist

Mr. Aay, a famous scientist, has started a Robotics Manufacturing Unit in Pakistan. However, due to financial
difficulties, he has approached Bee Investment Limited [a venture capitalist] to buy & finance the project on the
following terms.
a) Bee would purchase 100% capital and would immediately repay existing O/D facility of PKR 50M. There is no
other debt.
b) After 5 years, Bee would exit the venture in the following manner:
• 20% of the shares would be purchased by Mr. Aay at a discount of 10% on market price.
• 80% of the shares would be offered to the public under IPO. IPO costs of PKR 5M would be borne by Bee.
c) Mr. Aay would remain the CEO of the Unit but would take no remuneration.
d) During the time before exiting, Bee would finance any cash deficit arising in the business on yearly basis. In
case of surplus cash availability during any particular year, 50% of the amount would be paid out as dividend
to Bee.

Other Relevant information is given below.


a) Cash revenues in Year 1 would be PKR 100M and would then grow at 30% in nominal terms.
b) Cash costs excluding depreciation for Year 1 would be PKR 120M and would have a nominal growth of 5% per
annum.
c) Depreciation in Year 1 would be PKR 30M and would then grow @ 10% for additional capex.
d) Incremental working capital of PKR 10M would be required in Year 1 which would then remain steady.
e) Capex investment for Year 1 would be PKR 40M and would then grow at 10% per annum.
f) WACC of Bee Limited adjusted for risks of this project is 20%.
g) Tax rate is 30%. Tax losses cannot be carried forward. Tax depreciation is approximately equal to accounting
depreciation. Capital gains are exempt from tax whereas dividend is taxed @ 10% under final tax regime.
h) After five years the unit's shares are expected to trade at nine times of its earnings.

Required: Calculate the maximum price that Bee Limited would be willing to pay to acquire the unit.

Page | 41
CHAPTER 8: CERTAIN FINANCIAL DECISIONS
Lease versus buy
Concept
• Once the decision is made to acquire an asset, a decision still needs to be made as to how to finance it.
• The choices that we will consider are either to lease or buy the asset.
• The NPVs of the financing cash flows for both options are found and compared.
• The finance decision is considered separately from the investment decision.
• The operating costs and revenues from the investment will be common in each case.
• Only the relevant cash flows arising as a result of the type of finance are included in the NPV calculation.

Leasing
The relevant cash flows are:
• the lease payments
• tax relief on the lease payments
• other cashflows differing from the buying alternative

Buying
The relevant cash flows would be:
• the purchase cost
• any residual value
• any associated tax implications due to tax depreciation
• other cashflows differing from the leasing alternative
Do not include the interest payments or the tax relief on them, as this is dealt with via the discount rate.

Discount rate
• Opportunity cost of funds used to finance the buying are used as Discount rate
• Normally in a question these funds come from a loan so post tax Kd is usually used as a discount rate
• If those funds come from Equity or Current business funds, Ke or WACC, may respectively used

Other considerations
• Who receives the residual value in the lease agreement?
• Any restrictions associated with the leased equipment, e.g. leases may restrict a firm’s borrowing capacity.
• Any additional benefits associated with lease agreement, e.g. maintenance or other support services.

Asset replacement decisions


Concept
• Once an asset has been acquired, it is quite likely that the asset will need to be replaced periodically.
• Where there are different replacement options, we must compare the possible replacement strategies.
• A problem arises where equivalent assets available are likely to last for different lengths of time
• The decision we are concerned with here is – how often should the asset be replaced?

Equivalent Annual Cashflows (EAC)


• The EAC method assumes assets will be replaced in perpetuity or at least into the foreseeable future
• To deal with the different timescales, the NPV of each option is converted into an annuity or an EAC.
• The EAC is the equal annual cash flow to which a series of uneven cash flows is equivalent in PV terms.
• Cash inflows from trading are ignored since they will be similar regardless of the replacement decision.
• Calculate the NPV of each strategy or replacement cycle

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CHAPTER 8: CERTAIN FINANCIAL DECISIONS
• Calculate the EAC for each strategy
• Choose the strategy with the lowest EAC.
• EAC uses real cashflows and real discount rate. It cannot be applied using nominal cashflows.
• The formula used for EAC is: EAC = PV of costs .
Annuity factor (AF)

Lowest common multiple method


• This method can be used as an alternative to EAC
• This method is especially used when there is the cashflows of the project are subject to different levels of
inflation. In this case EAC cannot be applied.
• The LCM of the alternative lives is taken and both projects are evaluated over that period
• E.g. if there are 2 alternative replacement cycles of 2 years and 3 years, both projects are evaluated on NPV
basis over 6 years (LCM of 2 and 3)

Capital rationing
Shareholder wealth is maximized if a company undertakes all possible positive NPV projects. Capital rationing
occurs where there are insufficient funds to do so. There are two causes of this:

Hard capital rationing Soft capital rationing


An absolute limit on the amount of finance available is A company may impose its own rationing on capital.
imposed by the lending institutions. Reasons: This is contrary to the rational view of shareholder
• Industry-wide factors limiting funds. wealth maximization. Reasons:
• Company specific factors, such as: • Limited management skills available.
– poor track record • Desire to maximize return of a limited range of
– lack of asset security investments.
– poor management team. • Limited exposure to external finance.

Divisible projects
• If a project is divisible, any fraction of the project may be undertaken
• Returns from the project are expected to be generated in exact proportion to the amount of investment
• Calculate the PI for each project
• The profitability index (PI) = NPV .
Investment
• Rank the projects according to their PI
• Allocate funds according to the projects’ rankings until they are used up.

Indivisible projects – trial and error


• If a project is indivisible it must be done in its entirety or not at all.
• Where projects cannot be done in part, the optimal combination can only be found by trial and error.

Mutually exclusive projects


• Sometimes the taking on of projects will preclude the taking on of another, e.g. they may both require use of
the same asset.
• In these circumstances, each combination of investments is tried to identify which earns the higher level of
returns.

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CHAPTER 8: CERTAIN FINANCIAL DECISIONS
Linear programming and Shadow price concept
Linear programming is performed to identify best strategy in cases where more than one constraint applies. It is
applied in following steps.

Step 1: Create an objective function


Step 2: Determine constraint equations
Step 3: Determine points from these equations and make graph
Step 4: Determine feasible region on graph
Step 5: Calculate result of objective function on each corner point of feasible region and determine best mix

Slack: The amount of constrained resource left after producing in the best mix.

Critical resource: It is the resource which is fully consumed at best mix i.e. its slack = zero

Shadow price / Dual value: Additional benefit that can be earned after adding one further unit of critical resource.
It gives the premium that may be paid for this further unit of critical resource.

Use in multi period capital rationing:


• Linear programming can be used in multi period capital rationing (not in ICAP course).
• In this case the objective function is NPV or PV of dividends.
• The linear programming equations reflect the amount of investment required to be made in each project and
the returns from it in succeeding years.
• The shadow price obtained is the additional NPV that may be generated from investing Rs 1 further cash.

Page | 44
CHAPTER 8: CERTAIN FINANCIAL DECISIONS
Example 1: Lease vs Buy
A firm has decided to acquire a new machine to neutralize the toxic waste produced by its refining plant. The
machine would cost Rs 6.4 million and would have an economic life of five years. Tax depreciation is provided at
25% pa. Taxation at 30% is payable on operating cash flows, one year in arrears. The firm intends to finance the
new plant by means of a five year fixed interest loan at a pretax cost of 11.4% pa, principal repayable in five years’
time. As an alternative, a leasing company has proposed a finance lease over five years at Rs 1.42 million pa
payable in advance. Scrap value of the machine under each financing alternative will be zero. Evaluate the two
options for acquiring the machine and advise the company on the best alternative.

Example 2: Lease vs Buy


A small loss-making company is considering the use of a new type of forklift truck. It is considering leasing as an
alternative to purchase. The truck can be leased for a four-year period, the lease payments being Rs 500,000 per
annum payable in advance. Maintenance and servicing needs are covered by the leasing agreement.

The truck could be purchased for Rs 1,200,000. At the end of four years the company has been guaranteed a
trade-in price of Rs 200,000. The service and maintenance costs under a suppliers maintenance contract will be
Rs 100,000 per annum, payable at the end of each year. The truck would be depreciated both for tax and
internal accounting purposes on the straight line basis over four years.

The company could borrow money from a bank at a nominal interest rate of 12% per annum. The company's
weighted average before tax cost of capital is 20%, and its weighted average after tax cost, 16%. If the truck is
purchased outright, the funds would be financed using bank loan.

The corporation tax rate is 30%, but the company has not paid any tax for the last two years. It is anticipated
that the company will not pay any tax for the next two years because of trading losses. However, large profits
will be earned during year 2. The company will then continue to earn profits for a number of years. Accumulated
losses can be carried forward for tax purposes. The amount of profits in year 2 are expected to be well in excess
of the accumulated losses. Tax is paid one year after the date of reporting profits.

Required: Which is the less expensive alternative, to purchase or to lease the forklift truck?

Example 3: Lease vs Buy


Drifter Ltd has, for a number of years, rented a photocopying machine from Delroy Ltd. A representative of
Delroy Ltd has recently suggested to the finance director of Drifter Ltd that the company may prefer to lease or
buy the existing photocopying machine in preference to continuing the rental agreement, and has provided the
following cost information.

Rent. The annual rental charge will be Rs 500,000 for next year payable in advance, and includes servicing the
machine. In addition, the charge per photocopy made will be Rs 2.15 payable annually in arrears.

Lease. Under the terms of the proposed lease, three lease payments of Rs 250,000 would be due, one at the
beginning of each of the next three years. At the end of the third year, Drifter Ltd would be entitled to purchase
the photocopying machine for a nominal amount of Rs 10,000. The annual servicing charge would be Rs 60,000,
both during and after the lease period, payable annually in arrears. The servicing charge would include the cost
of the first 50,000 photocopies each year. The charge for each additional copy would be Rs 0.55.

Purchase. The machine could be purchased at the start of next year for Rs 650,000, payable at the beginning of
the year. Annual servicing charges and costs of additional copies would be as for the leasing alternative.

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CHAPTER 8: CERTAIN FINANCIAL DECISIONS
The finance director of Drifter Ltd expects that all costs except lease payments will increase in the future at an
annual compound rate of 5%. Whichever alternative is selected, the company will continue to insure the
photocopying machine. The premium for next year is expected Co be Rs 15,000. The finance director estimates
that the remaining useful life of the machine is 5 years at the end of which time it will have no scrap or resale
value. The company presently makes about 80,000 photocopies per annum and this level is expected to
continue over the next five years.

Drifter Ltd obtains corporation tax relief at 30% on its costs one year after the costs arise. A 100% first-year tax
allowance is available on photocopying machinery. Drifter Ltd has a money cost of capital, net of tax, of 10% per
annum.
You are required to: Prepare calculations for the finance director of Drifter Ltd showing whether the photocopying
machine should be rented, leased or purchased

Example 4: Linear programming


Aay Limited produces two types of benches (X and Y) which requires a special type of wood (costs Rs 100 per
KG) and highly skilled labour (costs Rs 80 per hour). There is a limited availability of such labour and wood and
only 10,000 KGs of wood and 7,000 hours of such labour are available. The Company feels that Bench Y is an
important market and at a minimum 1000 units of Y must be produce. Following information is relevant:

Bench X Bench Y
Sale price per unit of bench Rs 1000 Rs 1100
Wood required per unit 2 KGs 3 KGs
Labor required per unit 5 Hours 4 Hours

Required: Compute the best mix of production.

Example 5: Multi-period capital rationing


Bee Limited has two capital projects (X and Y) each of which has a life of 2 years. The projects are divisible but
can be started only now. However, there is a limited availability of funds currently and for the next year. WACC
is 10%. Project cashflows and availability of funds is as follows:

Year 0 Year 1 Year 2


Project X (10,000) (2,000) 20,000
Project Y (8,000) (3,000) 18,000
Funds available 50,000 15,000 N/A

Required: Compute the best mix of production.

Page | 46
CHAPTER 9: CURRENCY RISK, COMMODITY RISK & HEDGING
Exchange rates
It is the price of one currency relative to another currency

Quotes
• The exchange rate may be expressed as a direct quote or an indirect quote.
• Direct quote is the number of domestic currency units needed to buy one unit of foreign currency. E.g. Rs
170/$1.
• The indirect quote the number of foreign currency units needed to buy one unit of domestic currency.
$0.00588/Rs 1.

Spot rate
• Spot rate is the exchange rate on currency for immediate delivery
• The Rs to $ spot rate may be quoted as follows: Rs 170 - Rs 170.5 (Direct) or $ 0.00588 - $ 0.00586 (Indirect).
• In direct quote, the first rate is bid price (buying rate) and the second is the offer price (selling rate).
• In indirect quote, vice versa.

Foreign exchange risk


Firms may be exposed to three types of foreign exchange risk:

Transaction risk
• The risk of an exchange rate changing between the transaction date and the subsequent settlement date.
• Associated with exports/imports.

Economic risk
• Risk of long-term effects of changes in exchange rates on the value of a company (PV of future cash flows).
• Looks at how changes in exchange rates affect competitiveness, directly or indirectly.
• Reduced by geographic diversification.

As an example, Is a Pakistani company, which is not engaged in any form of foreign trade and therefore not
involved in any transactions denominated in a foreign currency, exposed to currency risk?

The answer is YES! One of the Pakistani firm’s competitors could be foreign (e.g. Bangladeshi), or could import its
product from another country. Hence if, for example, the PKR strengthened against the BKT, the Pakistani firm’s
competitors would gain an advantage; they could charge a lower price for their product and therefore potentially
take market share from the Pakistani company but still receive the same value in BKT.

Translation risk
• Risk of changes in exchange rates and its effect on the translated value of foreign assets and liabilities (e.g.
foreign subsidiaries).
• Gains/losses usually unrealised so many firms do not hedge.

Hedging strategies
Invoice in home currency
• Insist that all foreign customers pay in your home currency and that your company pays for all imports in your
home currency.
• The rate risk has not gone away; it has just been passed onto the customer.

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CHAPTER 9: CURRENCY RISK, COMMODITY RISK & HEDGING
• It is achievable if you are in a monopoly position, however in a competitive environment this is an unrealistic
approach.

Leading and lagging


• If an importer (payment) expects that the currency it is due to pay will depreciate, it may attempt to delay
payment. This may be achieved by agreement or by exceeding credit terms.
• If an exporter (receipt) expects that the currency it is due to receive will depreciate over the next three months
it may try to obtain payment immediately. This may be achieved by offering a discount for immediate payment.
• The problem lies in guessing which way the exchange rate will move.

Matching
• When a company has receipts and payments in the same foreign currency due at the same time, it can simply
match them against each other.
• It is then only necessary to deal on the forex markets for the unmatched portion of the total transactions.

Decide to do nothing?
• The company would ‘win some, lose some’.
• Theory suggests that, in the long run, gains and losses net off to leave a similar result to that if hedged.
• In the short run, however, losses may be significant.
• One additional advantage of this policy is the savings in transaction and administrative costs.

Forward contracts
Characteristics
• The forward market is where you can buy and sell a currency, at a future date for a predetermined rate
• The forward exchange rates are quoted at a premium or at discount from the spot rates.
• For direct quotes: Add premium; Less discount
• For indirect quotes: Less premium; Add discount

Advantages
• It is over the counter (OTC) – tailor made and so can be matched exactly to the future sums involved.
• Simple and easy to understand.

Disadvantages
• Binding contract for delivery, even if commercial circumstances change – e.g. a customer is late paying.
• Eliminates exposure to upside as well as downside movements.

Money market hedges


For payment
• There is a liability in forex, set up an asset in forex by converting borrowed local currency to forex and
depositing in a bank account.
• Required forex deposit = Payment in forex / (1 + interest on deposit in forex)
• Convert the forex deposit amount into local currency = forex amount x selling rate
• Liability/Cost in local currency = Local currency required x (1 + interest on borrowing in local currency)

For receipt
• There is an asset in forex, set up a liability by borrowing in forex and converting to Rupee today.

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CHAPTER 9: CURRENCY RISK, COMMODITY RISK & HEDGING
• Required forex borrowing = Receipt in forex / (1 + interest on borrowing in forex)
• Convert the forex borrowed into local currency = forex amount x buying rate
• Receipt in local currency = Local currency x (1 + interest on deposit in local currency)

Implications
• Interest rate parity implies that a money market hedge should give the same result as a forward contract.
• Money market hedges may be feasible for currencies where forward contracts are not available.
• This approach has obvious cash flow implications which may prevent a company from using this method, e.g. if
a company has a considerable overdraft it may be impossible for it to borrow funds now.

Futures contracts
For receipt
• Step 1: Choose the first contract to expiry after the conversion date.
• Step 2: Calculate the currency requirement in contract currency units (Use current spot rate if required).
• Step 3: Divide by the contract size to determine number of contracts.
• Step 4: Sell forex futures or buy local currency futures
• Step 5: Close the position by taking inverse action once the exposure period is over.
• Step 6: Calculate the difference in buying and selling rates. Difference = Sale price - Buy price
• Step 7: Calculate profit/loss = Difference x no. of contracts x value of each contract
• Step 8: Add/(less) the profit/(loss) to the receipt.

For payment
• Step 1: Choose the first contract to expiry after the conversion date.
• Step 2: Calculate the currency requirement in contract currency units (Use current spot rate if required).
• Step 3: Divide by the contract size to determine number of contracts.
• Step 4: Buy forex futures or sell local currency futures
• Step 5: Close the position by taking inverse action once the exposure period is over.
• Step 6: Calculate the difference in buying and selling rates. Difference = Sale price - Buy price
• Step 7: Calculate profit/loss = Difference x no. of contracts x value of each contract
• Step 8: Less/(add) the profit/(loss) to the payment.

Effective lock-in rate for futures


Sometimes spot or future rates at time of settlement are not provided in question. In such cases effective lock-in
rate for the futures = future price today + expected settlement date basis

Forex swaps
• In a forex swap, the parties agree to swap equivalent amounts of currency for a period and then reswap them
at the end of the period at an agreed swap rate.
• The swap rate and amount of currency is agreed between the parties in advance. Thus it is called a ‘fixed
rate/fixed rate’ swap.
• The main objectives of a forex swap is to hedge against forex risk for a long period.

Illustration
Suppose that ABC Limited, a Pakistani construction company, wins a contract to construct a bridge in Argentina.
The bridge will require an initial investment now, and will be sold to the Argentinean Government in one year’s
time. The Government will pay in pesos. The problem is the company’s exposure to currency risk. They know how
much will be received in one year’s time in pesos but not in Rupees as the exchange rate changes daily.

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CHAPTER 9: CURRENCY RISK, COMMODITY RISK & HEDGING

The Company can enter into a forex swap. Instead of taking out a loan in pesos it can:
(a) Swap Rupees today for the pesos required to cover the initial investment, at an agreed swap rate.
(b) Take out a loan in Rupees today to buy the pesos.
(c) In one year’s time arrange to swap back the pesos obtained in (a) for Rupees at the same swap rate.

Currency swaps
Characteristics
• A currency swap allows the two counterparties to swap interest rate commitments on borrowings in different
currencies.
• In effect a currency swap has two elements:
– An exchange of principal in different currencies, which are swapped back at the original spot rate – just like a
forex swap.
– An exchange of interest rates – the timing of these depends on the individual contract.
• The swap of interest rates could be ‘fixed for fixed’ or ‘fixed for variable’.

Illustration
Warne Co is an Australian firm looking to expand in Germany and is thus looking to raise €24 million. It can borrow
at the following fixed rates: A$ 7.0%, € 5.6%. Euroports Inc is a French company looking to acquire an Australian
firm and is looking to borrow A$40 million. It can borrow at the following rates: A$ 7.2%, € 5.5%.
The current spot rate is A$1 = €0.6. Show how the currency swap would work in the circumstances described,
assuming the swap is only for one year and that interest is paid at the end of the year concerned.
Now
• Australian company borrows A$40m at 7.0% from bank and French company borrows €24m at 5.5% from
Bank.
• Then, the companies exchange principals. Australian company pays A$40m to French company and receives
€24m from it.

At end of year
• Australian company pays A$2.8m interest to bank and French company pays €1.32m interest to its bank.
• Then, the companies exchange interest. Australian company pays €1.32m to French company and receives
A$2.8m.
• Finally the companies swap back principal. Australian company pays €24m to French company and receives
A$40m from it

Calculation
Interest costs Warne Co Euroports Inc
Without swap €1.344m (24 × 5.6%) A$2.88m (40×7.2%)
With swap €1.320m (as above) A$2.80m (as above)
Saving €24,000 A$80,000

Currency options
Characteristics
• A currency option is a right, but not an obligation, to buy or sell currency at an exercise price on a future date.
• If there is a favourable movement in rates the company will allow the option to lapse.
• A call option gives the holder the right to buy the underlying currency.

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CHAPTER 9: CURRENCY RISK, COMMODITY RISK & HEDGING
• A put option gives the holder the right to sell the underlying currency.
• Options are more expensive than the forward contracts and futures.
• A European option can only be exercised on the expiry date whilst an American option can be exercised at any
time up to the expiry date.
• Two types of currency options are available:
– Cash options contracting for delivery of the underlying currency.
– Options on currency futures (Double derivative)

OTC options and Exchange traded options


• Currency options can be bought OTC or on major exchanges.
• Like forward contracts, the OTC options are tailor made to fit a company’s precise requirements.
• Exchange traded options are bought and sold on exchanges.

A typical pricing schedule for the US$/€ currency option on the Philadelphia exchange is as follows.

Here, the options are for a contract size of €125,000 and prices (both strike price and premia) are quoted in US$
(cents) per €1. So to buy a call option on €125,000 with an expiry date of July and at a strike price of €1 = $1.17
would cost 1.55 cents per euro, or $1,937.50. Similarly, the premium on a June put at a strike price of 11,500 (€1
= $1.15) would cost 0.64 cents per euro, or $800.

• The decision as to which exercise price to choose will depend on cost, risk exposure and expectations. If you
have to choose in the exam then one approach is to consider the cost implications only for calculation purposes.

Using the above schedule in example 5, the lowest net cost of each option will be given as follows:

The lowest cost would involve using call options with a strike price of 115.

Calculations
Step 1: Determine the type of contract – call or put
Step 2: Determine number of contracts.
Step 3: Decide on the exercise price, if necessary.
Step 4: Buy calls/puts option contracts as required –
Step 5: Determine option premium – usually payable upfront. Include the opportunity cost of funds, i.e. assume
the company will have to borrow the cost of the options between now and conversion date.
Step 6: On the settlement date compare the option price with the prevailing spot to determine whether the option
would be exercised or allowed to lapse.

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CHAPTER 9: CURRENCY RISK, COMMODITY RISK & HEDGING
Step 7: Determine net cash flows.

Bilateral and multilateral netting and matching agreements

Calculations
Step 1: Convert all currency flows to a common (‘base’) currency using spot rates
Step 2: Clear the overlap of any bilateral indebtedness.
Step 3: Convert back into original currencies.
Step 4: Use the simplified figures for:
A Settlement
B Setting up appropriate hedging tools

Currency Swaptions
• Swaptions are Options to swap.
• These are hybrid derivative products that integrate the benefits of swaps and options.
• Currency swaptions are rare in practice
• The purchaser of a currency swaption has the right, but not the obligation, to enter into a currency
swap at some future date on terms agreed today.
• An up-front premium is payable.
• Some of the more complex swaptions used in practice include Cross-currency Bermudan swaptions which
have an embedded option in a cross currency swap. However such complex instruments are not in syllabus.

Commodity forwards and futures


Just like currency forwards and futures, these contracts are also available in many commodities such as gold, oil,
cotton, wheat, maize etc.

Security forwards and futures


Forwards and futures are also available for securities such as shares and bonds. Although options for securities
are more common but the forwards and futures for securities have similar theoretical and calculation properties
as for currency risk.

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CHAPTER 9: CURRENCY RISK, COMMODITY RISK & HEDGING
Example 1: Forward
An Australian firm has just bought some machinery from a US supplier for US$250,000 with payment due in 3
months’ time. Exchange rates are quoted as follows:
A$1 = US$ Spot 0.7785 - 0.7891 Three months forward 0.21 - 0.18 cents premium
Determine the amount payable if a forward contract is used.
Solution: AUD 321,999

Example 2: Forward & Money Market


Marcus is based in France has recently imported raw materials from the USA invoiced for US$240,000, payable in
three months’ time. In addition, it has also exported finished goods to Japan and Australia. The Japanese customer
has been invoiced for US$69,000, payable in three months’ time, and the Australian customer has been invoiced
for A$295,000, payable in four months’ time. Current spot and forward rates are as follows:
US$/Euro Euro/A$
Spot: 0.9830 – 0.9850 Spot: 1.8890 – 1.8920
3 months forward: 0.9520 – 0.9545 4 months forward: 1.9510 – 1.9540
Current money market rates (pa) are as follows:
US$: 10.0% – 12.0%
A$: 14.0% – 16.0%
Euro: 11.5% – 13.0%
Show how the company can hedge its exposure to FX risk using:
(a) The forward markets
(b) The money markets

Solution:
(a) Payment: €179,622 ; Receipt: €575,545
(b) Payment: €175,230 ; Receipt: €549,139

Example 3: Futures
It is 15 October and a treasurer has identified the need to convert euros into dollars to pay a US supplier $12
million on 20 November. The treasurer has decided to use December Euro futures contracts to hedge with the
following details:
• Contract size €200,000.
• Prices given in US$ per Euro
• Tick size $0.0001 or $20 per contract.
He opens a position on 15 October and closes it on 20 November. Spot and relevant futures prices are as follows:
Date Spot Futures price
15 October 1.3300 1.3350
20 November 1.3190 1.3240
Calculate the financial position using the hedge described.
Solution: Euro 9,022,745

Example 4: Futures
It is 4 May and the treasurer of a Swiss company has identified a net receipt of US$2 million on 10 June. The
treasurer has decided to use June US dollar – Swiss Franc futures contracts to hedge with the following details:
• New York Board of Trade (NYBOT) options and futures exchange.
• Contract size $200,000
• Prices given in Swiss francs per US dollar

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CHAPTER 9: CURRENCY RISK, COMMODITY RISK & HEDGING
• Tick size CHF 0.0001 or CHF20 per contract
She opens a position on 4 May and closes it on 10 June. Spot and relevant futures prices are as follows:
Date Spot Futures price
4 May 1.2160 1.2200
10 June 1.2750 1.2760
Calculate the financial position using the hedge described.
Solution: SFr 2,438,000

Example 5: Forex Swap


Assume that a US Company makes an Investment in Argentina. The investment will require an initial outlay of
100m pesos and will be sold for 200m pesos in two years’ time. The currency spot rate is 20 Pesos/$, and the
Government of Argentina has offered a forex swap at 20 Pesos/$. The US Company cannot borrow Pesos directly
and there is no Forward market available. The estimated spot rate in two year’s time is 40 pesos/$. WACC is 15%.
Determine whether the US Company should hedge its exposure using the forex swap.
Solution: NPV without swap: (Rs 1.22 million) NPV with swap: Rs 0.67 million

Example 6: Currency Swap


Wa Inc is a Japanese firm looking to expand in the USA and is looking to raise $20 million at a variable interest
rate. It has been quoted the following rates: $ 5.5%, ¥ 1.2%. McGregor Inc is an American company looking to
refinance a ¥2,400m loan at a fixed rate. It can borrow at the following rates: $ 5%, ¥ 1.5%. The current spot rate
is $1 = ¥120. Work out the interest savings to the Companies, assuming the swap is only for one year and that
interest is paid at the end of the year concerned.
Solution: Japanese = $ 0.1m; American = Yen 7.2m

Example 7: Currency Options


Pongo plc is a UK based import export company. It has an invoice, which it is due to pay on 30 June, in respect of
$350,000. The company wishes to hedge its exposure to FX risk using FX options with an exercise price of $1.50.
The current $/£ spot rate is 1.5190 – 1.5230. On LIFFE contract size is £25,000.
Exercise price ($/£) June contracts
Calls Puts
1.50 6.80 12.40
Option premiums are given in cents per pound.
Assume that it is now the 31 March and that UK £ interest rates are 12%. Calculate the cash flows in respect to
the payment if the spot rate is: 1.4810 – 1.4850 on the 30 June

Example 8a
Pongo plc is a UK based import export company. It has an invoice, which it is due to pay on 30 June, in respect of
$350,000. The company wishes to hedge its exposure to FX risk using FX options with an exercise price of $1.50.
The current $/£ spot rate is 1.5190 – 1.5230. On LIFFE contract size is £25,000.
Exercise price ($/£) June contracts
Calls Puts
1.50 6.80 12.40
Option premiums are given in cents per pound.
Assume that it is now the 31 March and that UK £ interest rates are 12%. Calculate the cash flows in respect to
the payment if the spot rate is: 1.4810 – 1.4850 on the 30 June

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CHAPTER 9: CURRENCY RISK, COMMODITY RISK & HEDGING
Example 8b
Using the circumstances described in the above example, suppose Pongo plc is also due to receive $275,000 from
a US customer on 30 September. LIFFE quotes for September option contracts are as follows:
Exercise price ($/£) September contracts
Calls Puts
1.50 8.00 13.40
Calculate the cash flows in respect to the receipt if the spot rate is 1.5250 – 1.5285 on the 30 September.

Example 9: Multi-lateral netting


A, B, and C are three companies within the same US group. D is a company outside of the group. The following
liabilities have been identified for the forthcoming year:

Midmarket spot rates are $1 = £0.50; $1 = €0.75; $1 = CHF1.25. Establish the net external indebtedness that would
require external hedging and the net intra-group settlement required.

Example 10: Currency Swaptions


Aay Limited, a mining company based in USA wishes to hedge its foreign exchange risk, which will arise on an
investment in Chile.

The investment will be made after 1 year and will cost 800m Escudos and then yield an amount of 1500m Escudos
after a further 2 years. Aay cannot borrow Escudos directly and is therefore considering two possible hedging
techniques:
• Entering into a 3 years forward contract for 1200m escudos at 30 Escudos / USD. The forward processing fee
is Escudos 0.1m and is payable upfront.
• Entering into a Currency Swaption with a one year maturity allowing the option for a 2 years swap for the
800m escudos initial investment at 20 Escudos / USD. The swaption premium is 0.5% of contract value and is
payable upfront in Escudos.

The currency spot rate is 20 Escudos / USD and WACC of Aay is 10%. Inflation in the USA is 5% and in Chile is 25%.
Using Purchasing Power Parity theory, determine whether Aay should hedge its exposure using a forward contract
or a Currency swaption.

Example 11: Commodity Forwards


Aay Limited is bread manufacturer and wheat is an important raw material. Fearing the risk of increase in wheat
prices, Aay entered into a 6 months forward contract to buy 1000 tons of wheat for Rs 10,000 per ton. Calculate
the saving / loss resulting from the use of forward if the spot wheat prices were as follows:
1-January-2016 (Today) Rs 9,500 per maund
30-June-2016 Rs 11,000 per maund

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CHAPTER 9: CURRENCY RISK, COMMODITY RISK & HEDGING

Example 12: Commodity Futures


Bee Limited is a cotton wholesaler and has received an order for delivery of 5200 maunds of cotton on 30-April-
2016. The price of cotton today (1-January-2016) is Rs 6,200 per maund. Bee wants to hedge its risk of potential
loss due to fluctuation in cotton prices. Cotton futures with the following specifications are available:
Maturity Price Contract size Processing fee Margin Required
March 2016 Rs 6000 per maund 500 maunds Rs 100 per contract 30% of contract
June 2016 Rs 5800 per maund 500 maunds value
September 2016 Rs 5600 per maund 500 maunds

Calculate the effectiveness of using futures hedge if on 30th April the spot rate is Rs 5,500 per maund and the
futures price is Rs. 5,400 per maund. Bee Limited’s WACC is 15%.

Example 13: Security Forwards


Mr. Aay entered into a 6 months forward to purchase 10,000 shares of a Telecom for Rs 100 per share. Calculate
the saving / loss resulting from the use of forward if the share prices were as follows:
1-January-2016 (Today) Rs 90 per share
30-June-2016 Rs 110 per share

Example 14: Security Futures


Bee Limited expects to have spare funds amounting to Rs 100 million for investment traded debt securities in 4
months’ time. However, it feels that the stock market is on a rise and traded securities will increase in value. It
accordingly hedges its risk using 6 months’ June Futures on long term bonds with a standard contract size of 1000
bonds of Rs 100 each. Following relevant information is available.

Date Spot Price June Future price


1-January-2016 (today) Rs 105 per bond Rs 107 per bond
30-April-2016 Rs 110 per bond Rs 111 per bond
30-June-2016 Rs 115 per bond Rs 115 per bond

Calculate the effectiveness of using futures hedge.

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CHAPTER 10: INTEREST RATE RISK & HEDGING
Interest rate risk
Firms are exposed to interest rate movements in two ways:
• The cost of existing borrowings may be variable. This risk can be eliminated by using fixed rate products.
• There may be a need for future borrowings/deposits. Interest rates may change before such borrowing/deposit.
• The second type of risk is our focus.

Forward rate agreements


Concept
• An FRA is an agreement on interest rates relating to a notional loan or deposit. The loan or deposit is for a stated
period, such as two months, three months, six months and so on, starting at a specified time in the future.
• In the terminology of the markets, an FRA on a notional three month loan/deposit starting in five months time
is called a ‘5–8 FRA’ (or ‘5v8 FRA’).
• When an FRA reaches its settlement date (usually the start of the notional loan or deposit period), the buyer
and seller must settle the contract.
• The FRA is a totally separate contractual agreement from the loan itself and could be arranged with a completely
different bank.
• The firm will borrow at the market interest rate on the required date.
• Separately the firm will buy FRA from a bank and receive compensation if rates rise.

Borrowing
1. Buy FRA (pay FRA, receive KIBOR)
2. Select relevant FRA
3. Calculate saving = Principal x (KIBOR @ settlement - FRA rate) x m/12 x 1 .
1 + (KIBOR x m/12)
4. Effective borrowing rate = Actual interest - Saving
Loan
Lending
1. Sell FRA (pay KIBOR, receive FRA)
2. Select relevant FRA
3. Calculate saving = Principal x (FRA rate - KIBOR @ settlement) x m/12 x 1 .
1 + (KIBOR x m/12)
4. Effective deposit rate = Actual interest + Saving
Deposit

Interest rate futures (IRFs)


Concept
These are standardised exchange traded forward contracts on a notional deposit of a standard amount of
principal, starting on the contract’s final settlement date.

Underlying assets
The underlying of an IRF is a debenture.
• Selling futures thus equates to issuing debentures and hence borrowing money.
• Buying futures equates to buying debentures or depositing funds.

Futures price
Interest rate futures prices are stated as (100 – the expected market reference rate), so a price of 95.5 would
imply an interest rate of 4.5%.

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CHAPTER 10: INTEREST RATE RISK & HEDGING
Borrowing
1. Sell IRFs (Thus at settlement close position by buying IRF)
2. Select IRF with maturity right after start of borrowing period
3. Calculate no of contracts = Loan amount / Contract value x Term of loan / Term of contract
4. Gain = no of contracts x contract value x contract term/12 x change in interest %
5. Deduct gain from actual interest cost
6. Calculate effective interest rate

Lending
1. Buy IRFs (Thus at settlement close position by selling IRF)
2. Select IRF with maturity right after start of lending period
3. Calculate no of contracts = Deposit amount / Contract value x Term of deposit / Term of contract
4. Gain = no of contracts x contract value x contract term/12 x change in interest %
5. Add gain to actual interest income
6. Calculate effective interest rate

Interest rate swaps

Concept
An interest rate swap is an agreement whereby the parties agree to swap a floating stream of interest payments
for a fixed stream of interest payments and via versa. There is no exchange of principal

Swaps can be used to hedge against an adverse movement in interest rates. Say a company has a $200m floating
loan and the treasurer believes that interest rates are likely to rise over the next five years. He could enter into a
five year swap with a counter party to swap into a fixed rate of interest for the next five years. From year six
onwards, the company will once again pay a floating rate of interest.

Total gain
Total arbitrage gain = Diff in fixed rate risk premium - Diff in floating rate risk premium

Hedging
Step 1: Identify the type of loan with the biggest difference in rates.
Step 2: Identify the party that can borrow this type of loan the cheapest
Step 3: Write the actual rates and target rate first.
Step 4: Make fixed party pay KIBOR / KIBOR
Step 5: Remaining would be balancing
Step 6: Calculate the net cost and savings:
Interest payable on loan (%)
Swap - receive %
Swap - pay (%)
Net cost (%)

Saving in Rupees = ‘Interest saved (1-T)’ minus ‘Arrangement fee (1-T)’

Swaps through banks


In practice a bank normally arranges the swap and will quote the following:
• The ‘ask rate’ at which the bank is willing to receive a fixed interest cash flow stream in exchange for paying
KIBOR.

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CHAPTER 10: INTEREST RATE RISK & HEDGING
• The ‘bid rate’ that they are willing to pay in exchange for receiving KIBOR.
• The difference between these gives the bank’s profit margin.
• Its method is same as above direct swap except that variable party pays ask rate and fixed party pays bid rate.

Options on IRFs

Borrowing
1. Buy on option to sell IRFs (Put option)
2. Select option with maturity right after start of borrowing period
3. Select the exercise price with lowest payment i.e. loan interest plus cost is the lowest
4. Calculate no of contracts = Loan amount / Contract value x Term of loan / Term of contract
5. Calculate premium = % pa x m/12 x no of contracts x contract value
6. Decide whether to exercise or lapse the option

7. Gain = no of contracts x contract value x contract term/12 x diff in interest %


(E.g. if you have a put option at 91 and the market rate is 90, you can sell a thing worth 90 for 91, you make a gain
of 1%)
8. Deduct gain and add option premium to actual interest cost
9. Calculate effective interest rate

Lending
1. Buy on option to buy IRFs (Call option)
2. Select option with maturity right after start of lending period
3. Select the exercise price with highest receipt i.e. deposit interest minus cost is the highest
4. Calculate no of contracts = Deposit amount / Contract value x Term of deposit / Term of contract
5. Calculate premium = % pa x m/12 x no of contracts x contract value
6. Decide whether to exercise or lapse the option
7. Gain = no of contracts x contract value x contract term/12 x diff in interest %
(E.g. if you have a call option at 91 and the market rate is 92, you can buy a thing worth 92 for 91, you make a gain
of 1%)
8. Add gain and deduct option premium from actual interest income
9. Calculate effective interest rate

Interest Rate Swaptions


These are options to enter an interest rate swap or currency swap. A company could purchase such an instrument,
which gives the right, but not the obligation to enter into a swap arrangement within a predetermined period.
The premium paid to the bank would be relatively high in cases where there was a general expectation of volatile
interest rate or exchange rate movements.

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CHAPTER 10: INTEREST RATE RISK & HEDGING
Example 1: FRA
Enfield Inc’s financial projections show an expected cash deficit in two months time of $8m, which will last for
approximately three months. It is now the 1st November 2006. The treasurer is concerned that interest rates may
rise before the 1st January 2007. Protection is thus required for two months. The treasurer can lock into an interest
rate today for a future loan. The company takes out a loan as normal, i.e. the rate it pays is the going market rate
at the date the loan is taken out. It will then receive or pay compensation under the separate forward rate
agreement to return to the locked in rate. Suppose a 2 – 5 FRA at 5.00 – 4.70 is agreed. The agreement starts in
2 months time and ends in 5 months time. The FRA is quoted as interest rates for borrowing and lending – the
borrowing rate is always the highest. Calculate the interest payable if in two months’ time the market rate is (a)
7% or (b) 4%.

Example 2: FRA
ARF Co. needs to borrow $10 million in six month’s time for a period of six months. To avoid adverse interest rate
movements it buys a 6v12 FRA for which the fixed rate is 5.74%. If the reference interest rate is 5% at the start of
the loan, calculate the settlement payment on the FRA.

Example 3: IRF
Global Inc wishes to borrow €9,000,000 for one month starting in 5 weeks’ time. Euribor is currently 3% and the
treasurer of Global decides to fix the rate by selling IRFs at 96.90. The market rate subsequently rises by 25 basis
points to 3.25%. As soon as the loan is agreed, the treasurer closes out Global’s position by buying a matching
number of contracts at 96.65.
(a) Calculate the number of contracts required (Note: one 3month contract is for €1,000,000)
(b) Demonstrate that, in this case, the gain on the futures contracts exactly matches the extra interest on the loan.

Example 4: IRF
A company is going to borrow £2,000,000 in two month’s time for a period of three months. It fears that the
current interest rate will rise from its current level of 5%. It is decided to use £500,000 3month interest rate futures
to hedge the position. The current price is 94.90. In two months time the interest rates have risen to 7% and the
futures price is 92.90. Calculate the cash flow that results from the profit or loss on the futures.

Example 5: Swaps
Company A wishes to raise $10m and to pay interest at a floating rate, as it would like to be able to take advantage
of any fall in interest rates. It can borrow for one year at a fixed rate of 10% or at a floating rate of 1% above
KIBOR. Company B also wishes to raise $10m. They would prefer to issue fixed rate debt because they want
certainty about their future interest payments, but can only borrow for one year at 13% fixed or KIBOR + 2%
floating, as it has a lower credit rating than company A.. Calculate the effective swap rate for each company –
assume savings are split equally.

Example 6: Swaps
Company X wishes to raise $50m. They would prefer to issue fixed rate debt and can borrow for one year at 6%
fixed or KIBOR + 80 points. Company Y also wishes to raise $50m and to pay interest at a floating rate. It can
borrow for one year at a fixed rate of 5% or at KIBOR + 50 points. Calculate the effective swap rate for each
company – assume savings are split equally.

Example 7: Swaps via Bank


Co A currently has a 12month loan at a fixed rate of 5% but would like to swap to variable. It can currently borrow
at a variable rate of KIBOR + 12 basis points. Co B has a 12 month loan at a variable rate of KIBOR + 15 basis points
but, due to fears over interest rate rises, would like to swap to a fixed rate. It can currently borrow at 5.12% fixed.

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CHAPTER 10: INTEREST RATE RISK & HEDGING
The bank is currently quoting 12 month swap rates of 4.90 (bid) and 4.95 (ask). Show how the swap via the
intermediary would work.

Example 8: Swaps via Bank


Company A has a 12 month loan at a variable rate of KIBOR + 50 basis points but, due to fears over interest rate
rises, would like to swap to a fixed rate. It can currently borrow at 5.40% fixed. Company B currently has a 12
month loan at a fixed rate of 4.85% but would like to swap to variable. It can currently borrow at a variable rate
of KIBOR + 65 basis points. The bank is currently quoting 12 month swap rates of 4.50 (bid) and 4.52 (ask). Show
how the swap via the intermediary would work.

Example 9A: Options on Interest rate futures


Today is 1 Jan. You wish to borrow Rs 1000 million on 31 March for 8 months. You can borrow at KIBOR+1% and
wish to hedge using Options on IRFs with the following specifications.
Strike price Calls (Premium %) Put (Premium %)
March June March June
91.75 0.120 0.195 0.085 0.180
92.00 0.015 0.075 0.255 0.335
92.25 0.005 0.030 0.480 0.555

IRFs have a term of 6 months and contract size of Rs 50m. Show how a hedge using Options on Interest rate
futures would work using KIBOR rates and Interest Rate Future prices given below:
Date KIBOR March maturity future June maturity future
1-Jan 7.00% 92.00 91.00
31-Mar 8.50% 91.00 90.50

Example 9B: Options on Interest rate futures


Today is 1 Jan. You wish to deposit Rs 2000 million on 30 June for 7 months. You can deposit at KIBOR-1% and
wish to hedge using Options on IRFs with the following specifications.
Strike price Calls (Premium %) Put (Premium %)
March June March June
93.75 0.120 0.195 0.085 0.180
94.00 0.015 0.075 0.255 0.335
94.25 0.005 0.030 0.480 0.555

IRFs have a term of 6 months and contract size of Rs 50m. Show how a hedge using Options on Interest rate
futures would work using KIBOR rates and Interest Rate Future prices given below:
Date KIBOR March maturity future June maturity future
1-Jan 7.00% 92.00 91.00
30-June 8.50% 91.00 90.50

Example 10: Interest Rate Swaptions


Noswis plc borrowed two million Euros in four year floating rate notes funds nine months ago at an interest rate
EURIBOR plus 1%, in an attempt to reduce the level of interest paid on its loans. At that time EURIBOR was 6%.
Unfortunately EURIBOR interest rates have increased since that time to 7.2%. The company wishes to protect
itself from further interest rate volatility, but does not wish to lose the benefit of possible interest reductions that
might occur in a few months’ time. An adviser has suggested the use of a six month Euro swaption at 8.5% with a

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CHAPTER 10: INTEREST RATE RISK & HEDGING
premium of €50,000, commencing in three months’ time and with a maturity date the same as the floating rate
Euro loan. Explain what is meant by a swaption, and illustrate under what circumstances this proposed swaption
would benefit Noswis. The time value of money may be ignored.

Solution
The swaption offers a swap from floating to fixed rate for the remaining 3 years of the loan. The fixed rate is 0.3%
above the current floating rate payable by Noswis. The premium payable of €50,000 is 2.5% of the total value of
the loan or 0.83% per year over the remaining 3 year period. If interest rates rise during the next nine months
by more than 0.3% the swaption is likely to be exercised. For the swaption to be beneficial to Noswis, the
average floating rate payable by Noswis without the swap over the three year period would have to exceed
9.33% (8.2% + 0.3% + 0.83%).

Example 11: Interest Rate Swaptions


X limited has obtained a 2 year loan of Rs 10 million at a variable rate of KIBOR + 0.5%. KIBOR is currently 9%. X
limited expects KIBOR to remain steady over the next year but fears that it will increase next year and accordingly
would like to swap to a fixed rate after 1 year. Bee Bank has presented an offer for a 12 months interest rate
Swaption at an upfront premium of Rs 50,000. The Swaption is exercisable after 1 year to a fixed rate of 9.6%.
Ignoring the time value of money calculate the savings or loss from the Swaption assuming that KIBOR is 10% after
1 year.

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CHAPTER 11: DIVIDEND & FINANCING DECISIONS
Dividend irrelevancy theory
In an efficient market, dividend irrelevancy theory suggests that, provided all retained earnings are invested in
positive NPV projects, existing shareholders will be indifferent about the pattern of dividend pay-outs. But there
are certain points against dividend irrelevance:
• Reductions in dividend can convey ‘bad news’ to shareholders (dividend signalling).
• Changes in dividend policy, particularly reductions, may conflict with investor liquidity requirements
• Changes in dividend policy may upset investor tax planning
• Companies attract a certain clientele of shareholders precisely because of their preference between income
and growth (Clientele effect)

Practical influences on dividend policy


• levels of profitability
• inflation
• growth
• control
• tax
• liquidity/cash
• other sources of finance.

Types of dividend policy


• Stable dividend policy
• Constant pay-out ratio
• Zero dividend policy
• Residual dividend policy [Residual Free cashflows for equity]

Managing Finance out of Dividend


Where an exam question seeks to find out a continuing external financing for a project, the external funding
requirement should be offset by Retained profits

Theoretical ex-right price


It is the price of the shares after the issue of right shares:
MV of old shares + cash from new shares
Total no of shares in issue

Value of a right
‘Ex-right price’ minus ‘issue price’

Comparison of Financing Options


Different financing options are best compared using an investment appraisal technique that clearly reflects the
impacts of financing such as the Adjusted Present Value. Further the effects of movement in capital structure can
be calculated using M&M technique or the Pure play method.

However, there can be other basis for evaluation of different financing options given below.

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CHAPTER 11: DIVIDEND & FINANCING DECISIONS
Comparison of Financing Cost
The financing side will usually have no impact on operating cash flows of the project. This means that the cashflows
will remain the same and thus the alternative providing a lower cost (discount rate) will yield the highest NPV.
There can be more than one ways of doing of comparing the financing costs:

a) Comparison of alternatives that do not impact current capital cost:


Only the costs of new capital alternatives are compared, and the one with lowest cost is selected. Same is
done if all alternatives have the same impact on current capital cost.

b) Comparison of alternatives that have different impacts on current capital cost:


Revised WACC is computed taking into account each option. If not sure what to do, this is the safer option for
exam.

Comparison of outflows
Where the period of calculation is limited by the question, for example the data is available for only 2 years or the
examiner has asked to restrict computation to 1 year, the cash outflows under each alternative are compared.
Again, there can be more than one ways of doing so depending on the question:

a) Comparison of debt alternatives with similar principal repayment cycle:


Sum of Principal, interest (net of tax), issue costs (net of tax) and ancillary fees / charges (net of tax) is
compared under each alternative.

b) Comparison of debt versus equity:


Sum of interest (net of tax), issue costs (net of tax) and ancillary fees / charges (net of tax) is compared under
each alternative. Principal repayment is ignored.

c) Comparison of debt alternative with differing repayment cycles


Sum of interest (net of tax), issue costs (net of tax) and ancillary fees / charges (net of tax) is compared under
each alternative. Here again, Principal repayment is ignored.

Comparison of market value or shareholder benefit using Dividend or Earnings based techniques
As discussed above, different financing options generally do not impact operating cashflows. It follows therefore
that once WACC under different alternatives is calculated it does not make sense to compute an NPV. Since NPV
if calculated using the same cashflows for each scenario, it would be best at the lowest rate.

However, market value or shareholder value under different alternatives could be different if Dividend or Earning
based techniques are used. In this case you could use:
a) DVM to account for differing dividends and thus giving different Ke under each option; or
b) PE based valuation to reflect different earnings and PE under different alternatives.

Shareholder benefit is computed by:


Revised value of equity – Original value of equity – Equity injected by shareholders (if any)

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CHAPTER 11: DIVIDEND & FINANCING DECISIONS
Example 1: Dividend irrelevancy
X limited has in issue 5 million shares having market value of Rs 50 each. The dividend proposed for the current
year is Rs 5 per share. The company can invest cash surpluses at 10% pa at the same level of risk as current
operations. Compute the effect on shareholder’s wealth of the following options:
(a) continuing with the current dividend
(b) retaining an extra Rs 10 million and investing it at 10%
(c) paying out normal dividend and raising an additional Rs 10 million for investment at 10% by right issue

Example 2: Winter 2011Q1: Dividend irrelevancy


(a) Briefly discuss the Dividend Irrelevance Theory developed by Miller and Modigliani (MM). State three
arguments against the validity of this theory. (05 marks)

(b) Al-Ghazali Pakistan Limited (AGPL) is a listed company whose shares are currently traded at Rs. 80 per share.
AGPL’s Board has approved a proposal to invest Rs. 600 million in a project which is expected to commence on 31
December 2012. There are no internal funds available for this investment and the company would have to finance
the project from the profit for the year ending 31 December 2012 and through right issue. AGPL has a share capital
consisting of 20 million shares of Rs. 10 each and its profit for the year ending 31 December 2012 is projected at
Rs. 250 million. The annual return on 1-year treasury bills, the standard deviation of returns on AGPL’s shares and
the estimated correlation of returns with market returns are 7.5%, 8% and 0.8 respectively. The current market
return is 12.9% with a standard deviation of 5%.
Required:
Using MM Theory of Dividend Irrelevance, estimate the price of AGPL’s shares as at 31 December 2012, if the
company declares:
(i) 20% dividend
(ii) Nil dividend (05 marks)

(c) Justify the MM Theory of Dividend Irrelevance, based on your computation in (b) above. (05 marks)

Example 3: Financing out of Retained profits


Sales 100,000
Profit Margin 30%
Dividend pay-out % 60%

Additional WC of 10,000 and additional capex of 20,000 is required to increase sales by 50%. Calculate how much
debt financing is required for increasing sales as proposed.

Example 4: Financing out of Retained profits

Sales 100,000
PBT Margin 40%
Tax 30%
Dividend pay-out % 50%
Normal accrued expenses 10,000
Normal prepaid expenses 5,000
Normal working capital 15,000 [Excluding accruals prepayments]
Normal yearly capex 30,000

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CHAPTER 11: DIVIDEND & FINANCING DECISIONS
Additional WC of 10,000 and additional capex of 20,000 is required to increase sales by 50% next year. In addition,
accruals and prepayments will each grow by 10%. Calculate how much additional debt financing would be required
next year to fulfil financing needs assuming that the normal working capital and capex needs would not change.

Example 5: Theoretical Ex right price


ABC has 1 million shares in issue having a market value of Rs 20 per share. A one for four right issues at Rs 15 per
share has been made. Determine the ex-right price and the value of a right.

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CHAPTER 12: WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
WORKING CAPITAL

Net working capital


Net working capital is current assets less its current liabilities. Key current assets include cash, inventory (RM, WIP,
FG), accounts receivable and short-term investments. Key current liabilities include trade accounts payable, tax
payable, dividend payable and short-term loans.

Objectives of working capital management


• Liquidity
• Profitability

Working capital investment and funding strategies


• Aggressive
• Conservative
• Moderate

Cash cycle
Cash cycle = Inventory turnover period + Debtors receivable period – Payables payment period

Working capital ratios


Working capital ratios help indicate the WC position. Common ratios include:
• Current ratio
• Quick ratio or acid test ratio
• Accounts receivable payment period
• Inventory turnover period further broken down into:
o Raw materials inventory holding period
o Inventory conversion period
o Inventory turnover period [Finished Goods]
• Accounts payable payment period
• Revenue to Working Capital ratio

Over-capitalisation
If there are excessive inventories, accounts receivable and cash, and very few accounts payable, there will be an
over-investment in current assets and the company will be over-capitalised.

Overtrading
Overtrading happens when a business tries to do too much too quickly with too little long-term capital. Symptoms
include rapid increase in sales with high volume of current assets financed by short term capital.

INVENTORY MANAGEMENT
Inventories are managed by balancing the costs of inventory shortages against those of inventory holding.
Relevant costs of inventory to be considered include holding cost, ordering cost and shortage costs.

Economic order quantity


EOQ = √ (2COD/CH)

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CHAPTER 12: WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
Inventory levels
• Re-order level = maximum usage x maximum lead time
• Maximum inventory level = re-order level + re-order quantity – (minimum usage x minimum lead time)
• Buffer safety inventory = re-order level – (average usage x average lead time)
• Average inventory = buffer safety inventory + re - order amount / 2

Just-in-time (JIT) procurement


A policy of obtaining goods from suppliers at the latest possible time to convert and deliver right on time to
customer and thus reduce inventory

ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLES MANAGEMENT


Accounts receivables are managed at level which gives the least costly balance between cost of credit (interest /
opportunity cost) and the contribution from customers. Under modern methods receivables are kept at optimum
minimum level through efficient collection process & credit periods, digitized payment channels, sale of claim
portfolios, factoring, invoice discounting etc.

Credit control policy


Financial factors to be considered when a policy for credit control is formulated include:
• Costs of debt collection.
• Amount of extra capital required to finance an extension of total credit
• Cost of additional finance required for any increase in the volume of accounts receivable
• Effects on profit / contribution: Higher sales, higher bad debts, higher profits

Assessing creditworthiness
The main points to note are as follows.
• New customers should give two good references, including one from a bank.
• Credit ratings might be checked through a credit rating agency.
• A new customer's credit limit should be fixed at a low level and only increased later
• For large value customers, a file should be maintained of available financial information
• Send a member of staff to visit the customer concerned

Early settlement discounts


May be employed to shorten credit periods and reduce the investment in accounts receivable. Percentage cost of
early settlement discount = [100 / (100 – d)] 365 / T – 1

Bad debt risk


The higher sales resulting from easier credit terms should be sufficiently to cover bad debts and additional
investment necessary to achieve the higher sales.

Factoring
Factoring is an arrangement to have debts collected by a factor company, which advances a proportion of the
money it is due to collect.

Invoice discounting
Invoice discounting is the sale of trade debts at a discount. Invoice discounting enables the company from which
the debts are purchased to raise working capital.

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CHAPTER 12: WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT

ACCOUNTS PAYABLES MANAGEMENT


Effective management of trade accounts payable involves seeking extended credit terms whilst maintaining good
relations with suppliers. These are kept at maximum optimum levels through vendor financing, modern
procurement strategies (e.g. turn-key), modern payment terms (e.g. pay by use), reverse factoring etc.

Cost of lost early payment discounts


The cost of lost cash discounts can be calculated by comparing the saving from the discount with the opportunity
cost of investing the cash used. The cost of lost cash discounts can also be estimated by the formula:

Percentage cost of early settlement discount = [100 / (100 – d)] 365 / T – 1

CASH MANAGEMENT
Organisations hold cash for the transaction, precautionary or a speculative motive.

Cash forecasts
Cash forecasts show the expected receipts and payments during a forecast period and are a vital management
control tool.

Baumol Model
Similar to EOQ model, but here the procured asset is Cash and not inventory
EOQ = √ (2COD/CH)

The Miller-Orr model


Return point = Lower limit + (1/3 x spread)
Spread = 3 x (3 / 4 x transaction costs x variance of cashflows / interest rate) 1/3

Short-term investments
Temporary surpluses of cash can be invested keeping in mind liquidity, profitability and safety.
• Deposits with a financial institution
• Invested in longer term traded debt instruments
• Invested in shares of listed companies
• Money market lending
• Government securities (PIBs T-bills etc.)

CALCULATING TOTAL WORKING CAPITAL REQUIREMENT IN EXAM QUESTIONS


• Prepare P&L first using the information in the Question for both As is and Revised scenarios
• Translate P&L into Balance Sheet Working capital numbers using number of days

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CHAPTER 12: WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
Example 1: WC cycle
Wines Co buys raw materials from suppliers that allow Wines 2.5 months credit. The raw materials remain in
inventory for one month, and it takes Wines 2 months to produce the goods. The goods are sold within a couple
of days of production being completed and customers take on average 1.5 months to pay. Calculate Wines's cash
operating cycle.

Example 2: EOQ
The demand for a commodity is 40,000 units a year, at a steady rate. It costs $20 to place an order, and 40c to
hold a unit for a year. Find the order size to minimise inventory costs, the number of orders placed each year, the
length of the inventory cycle and the total costs of holding inventory for the year

Example 3: Inventory Management


A company has an inventory management policy which involves ordering 50,000 units when the inventory level
falls to 15,000 units. Forecast demand to meet production requirements during the next year is 310,000 units.
You should assume a 50-week year and that demand is constant throughout the year. Orders are received two
weeks after being placed with the supplier. What is the average inventory level?

Example 4: Inventory Management


The annual demand for an item of inventory is 125 units. The item costs $200 a unit to purchase, the holding cost
for one unit for one year is 15% of the unit cost and ordering costs are $300 an order. The supplier offers a 3%
discount for orders of 60 units or more, and a discount of 5% for orders of 90 units or more. What is the cost-
minimising order size?

Example 5: Receivables Management


Russian Beard Co is considering a change of credit policy which will result in an increase in the average collection
period from one to two months. The relaxation in credit is expected to produce an increase in sales in each year
amounting to 25% of the current sales volume.
Selling price per unit $10
Variable cost per unit $8.50
Current annual sales $2,400,000

The required rate of return on investments is 20%. Assume that the 25% increase in sales would result in additional
inventories of $100,000 and additional accounts payable of $20,000. Advise the company on whether or not to
extend the credit period offered to customers, if:
(a) All customers take the longer credit of two months
(b) Existing customers do not change their payment habits, and only the new customers take a full two months
credit

Example 6: Receivables Management


Lowe and Price Co has annual credit sales of $12,000,000, and three months are allowed for payment. The
company decides to offer a 2% discount for payments made within ten days of the invoice being sent, and to
reduce the maximum time allowed for payment to two months. It is estimated that 50% of customers will take
the discount. If the company requires a 20% return on investments, what will be the effect of the discount?
Assume that the volume of sales will be unaffected by the discount.

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CHAPTER 12: WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
Example 7: Receivables Management
A company offers its goods to customers on 30 days' credit, subject to satisfactory trade references. It also offers
a 2% discount if payment is made within ten days of the date of the invoice. Calculate the cost to the company of
offering the discount, assuming a 365 day year.

Example 8: Receivables Management


Grabbit Quick Co achieves current annual sales of $1,800,000. The cost of sales is 80% of this amount, but bad
debts average 1% of total sales, and the annual profit is as follows.
Sales 1,800,000
Less: cost of sales 1,440,000
Less: bad debts 18,000
Profit 342,000

The current debt collection period is one month, and the management consider that if credit terms were eased
(option A), the effects would be as follows.
Present policy Option A
Additional sales (%) – 25%
Average collection period 1 month 2 months
Bad debts (% of sales) 1% 3%

The company requires a 20% return on its investments. The costs of sales are 75% variable and 25% fixed. Assume
there would be no increase in fixed costs from the extra revenue; and that there would be no increase in average
inventories or accounts payable. Which is the preferable policy, Option A or the present one?

Example 9: Receivables Management


A company makes annual credit sales of $1,500,000. Credit terms are 30 days, but its debt administration has
been poor and the average collection period has been 45 days with 0.5% of sales resulting in bad debts which are
written off. A factor would take on the task of debt administration and credit checking, at an annual fee of 2.5%
of credit sales. The company would save $30,000 a year in administration costs. The payment period would be 30
days. The factor would also provide an advance of 80% of invoiced debts at an interest rate of 14% (3% over the
current base rate). The company can obtain an overdraft facility to finance its accounts receivable at a rate of
2.5% over base rate. Should the factor's services be accepted? Assume a constant monthly turnover.

Example 10: Payables Management


X Co has been offered credit terms from its major supplier of 2/10, net 45. That is, a cash discount of 2% will be
given if payment is made within ten days of the invoice, and payments must be made within 45 days of the invoice.
The company has the choice of paying 98c per $1 on day 10 (to pay before day 10 would be unnecessary), or to
invest the 98c for an additional 35 days and eventually pay the supplier $1 per $1. The decision as to whether the
discount should be accepted depends on the opportunity cost of investing 98c for 35 days. What should the
company do?

Example 11: Cash Management


From the following information which relates to George and Zola Co you are required to prepare a month by
month cash flow forecast for the second half of 20X5 and to append such brief comments as you consider might
be helpful to management.
(a) The company's only product, a vest, sells at $40 and has a variable cost of $26 made up of material $20, labour
$4 and overhead $2.
(b) Fixed costs of $6,000 per month are paid on the 28th of each month.

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CHAPTER 12: WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
(c) Quantities sold/to be sold on credit
May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 2,600
(d) Production quantities
May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
1,200 1,400 1,600 2,000 2,400 2,600 2,400 2,200
(e) Cash sales at a discount of 5% are expected to average 100 units a month.
(f) Customers settle their accounts by the end of the second month following sale.
(g) Suppliers of material are paid two months after the material is used in production.
(h) Wages are paid in the same month as they are incurred.
(i) 70% of the variable overhead is paid in the month of production, the remainder in the following month.
(j) Corporation tax of $18,000 is to be paid in October.
(k) A new delivery vehicle was bought in June. It cost $8,000 and is to be paid for in August. The old vehicle was
sold for $600, the buyer undertaking to pay in July.
(l) The company is expected to be $3,000 overdrawn at the bank at 30 June 20X5.
(m) No increases or decreases in raw materials, work in progress or finished goods are planned over the period.
(n) No price increases or cost increases are expected in the period.

Example 12: Cash Management


Finder Co faces a fixed cost of $4,000 to obtain new funds. There is a requirement for $24,000 of cash over each
period of one year for the foreseeable future. The interest cost of new funds is 12% per annum; the interest rate
earned on short-term securities is 9% per annum. How much finance should Finder raise at a time?

Example 13: Cash Management


The following data applies to a company.
1. The minimum cash balance is $8,000.
2. The variance of daily cash flows is 4,000,000, equivalent to a standard deviation of $2,000 per day.
3. The transaction cost for buying or selling securities is $50. The interest rate is 0.025 per cent per day.
You are required to formulate a decision rule using the Miller-Orr model.

Example 14: Working Capital Requirement


The following data relate to Corn Co, a manufacturing company.
Revenue for the year $1,500,000
Costs as percentages of sales %
Direct materials 30
Direct labour 25
Variable overheads 10
Fixed overheads 15
Selling and distribution 5

On average:
(a) Accounts receivable take 2.5 months before payment
(b) Raw materials are in inventory for three months
(c) Work-in-progress represents two months’ worth of half produced goods
(d) Finished goods represent one month's production
(e) Credit is taken as follows:
(i) Direct materials 2 months
(ii) Direct labour 1 week

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CHAPTER 12: WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
(iii) Variable overheads 1 month
(iv) Fixed overheads 1 month
(v) Selling and distribution 0.5 months
Work-in-progress and finished goods are valued at material, labour and variable expense cost.

Compute the working capital requirement of Corn Co assuming the labour force is paid for 50 working weeks a
year

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CHAPTER 13: DECISION MAKING - MANAGEMENT ACCOUNTING
Relevant costing
Relevant costs are future cash flows arising as a direct consequence of a decision.
• Relevant costs are future costs
• Relevant costs are cash flows
• Relevant costs are incremental costs

Machinery user costs


Depreciation is not a relevant cost however using machinery may involve incremental costs including hire charges
and any fall in resale value of owned assets, through use.

Labour
If the labour has an alternative use the relevant costs are the variable costs of the labour and plus the contribution
forgone.

Materials

Opportunity costs
Benefit sacrificed by choosing one opportunity rather than the next best alternative.

Make or buy decisions


The relevant costs are the differential costs between the two options.

Outsourcing
The relevant costs/revenues are the differential costs between the two options.

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CHAPTER 13: DECISION MAKING - MANAGEMENT ACCOUNTING
Pricing for special orders
Special orders may arise when a business has a regular source of income but also has some spare capacity or when
a business has no regular source of income and does one-off projects.

A minimum price for a special order covers the incremental costs of producing and selling the item and the
opportunity costs of the resources consumed in making and selling the item.

Further processing decisions


A product should be processed further if sale value minus further processing costs is greater than current sales
value. A joint product should be processed further past the split-off point if sale value minus post-separation
(further processing) costs is greater than sales value at split-off point.

Decision with limiting factors


A limiting factor is any factor that is in scarce supply and that stops the organisation from expanding its activities
further. If resources are limiting factors, contribution will be maximised by earning the biggest possible
contribution per unit of limiting factor.

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CHAPTER 13: DECISION MAKING - MANAGEMENT ACCOUNTING
Example 1: Relevant costing
Bronty Co is considering whether to undertake some contract work for a customer. The machinery required for
the contract would be as follows.
(a) A special cutting machine will have to be hired for three months for the work (the length of the contract). Hire
charges for this machine are $75 per month, with a minimum hire charge of $300.
(b) All other machinery required in the production for the contract has already been purchased by the organisation
on hire purchase terms. The monthly hire purchase payments for this machinery are $500. This consists of $450
for capital repayment and $50 as an interest charge. The last hire purchase payment is to be made in two months’
time. The cash price of this machinery was $9,000 two years ago. It is being depreciated on a straight line basis at
the rate of $200 per month. However, it still has a useful life which will enable it to be operated for another 36
months. The machinery is highly specialised and is unlikely to be required for other, more profitable jobs over the
period during which the contract work would be carried out. Although there is no immediate market for selling
this machine, it is expected that a customer might be found in the future. It is further estimated that the machine
would lose $200 in its eventual sale value if it is used for the contract work.
What is the relevant cost of machinery for the contract?

Example 2: Relevant costing


O' Reilly Co has been approached by a customer who would like a special job to be done for him, and who is willing
to pay $22,000 for it. The job would require the following materials:

(a) Material B is used regularly by O ' Reilly Ltd, and if units of B are required for this job, they would need to be
replaced to meet other production demand.
(b) Materials C and D are in inventory as the result of previous over-buying, and they have a restricted use. No
other use could be found for material C, but the units of material D could be used in another job as substitute for
300 units of material E, which currently costs $5 per unit (of which the company has no units in inventory at the
moment).
What are the relevant costs of material, in deciding whether or not to accept the contract?

Example 3: Relevant costing


An information technology consultancy firm has been asked to do an urgent job by a client, for which a price of
$2,500 has been offered. The job would require the following.
(a) 30 hours' work from one member of staff, who is paid on an hourly basis, at a rate of $20 per hour, but who
would normally be employed on work for clients where the charge-out rate is $45 per hour. No other member of
staff is able to do the member of staff in question's work.
(b) The use of 5 hours of mainframe computer time, which the firm normally charges out to external users at a
rate of $50 per hour. Mainframe computer time is currently used 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.
(c) Supplies and incidental expenses of $200.
Required: Find relevant cost or opportunity cost of the job.

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CHAPTER 13: DECISION MAKING - MANAGEMENT ACCOUNTING
Example 4: Make or Buy decisions
Shellfish Co makes four components, W, X, Y and Z, for which costs in the forthcoming year are expected to be as
follows.

A sub-contractor has offered to supply units of W, X, Y and Z for $12, $21, $10 and $14 respectively. Should
Shellfish make or buy the components?

Example 6: Pricing for special orders


Ennerdale has been asked to quote a price for a one-off contract. The following information is available:

The contract requires 3,000 kg of material K, which is a material used regularly by the company in other
production. The company has 2,000 kg of material K currently in stock which had been purchased last month for
a total cost of $19,600. Since then the price per kilogram for material K has increased by 5%. The contract also
requires 200 kg of material L. There are 250 kg of material L in stock which are not required for normal production.
This material originally cost a total of $3,125. If not used on this contract, the stock of material L would be sold for
$11 per kg.

The contract requires 800 hours of skilled labour. Skilled labour is paid $9.50 per hour. There is a shortage of
skilled labour and all the available skilled labour is fully employed in the company in the manufacture of product
P. The following information relates to product P:

$ per unit
Selling price 100
Skilled labour costs 38
Other variable costs 22

Required: Prepare on a relevant cost basis, the lowest cost estimate that could be used as the basis for a quotation.

Example 7: Further processing decisions


The Poison Chemical Company produces two joint products, Alash and Pottum from the same process. Joint
processing costs of $150,000 are incurred up to split-off point, when 100,000 units of Alash and 50,000 units of
Pottum are produced. The selling prices at split-off point are $1.25 per unit for Alash and $2.00 per unit for Pottum.
The units of Alash could be processed further to produce 60,000 units of a new chemical, Alashplus, but at an
extra fixed cost of $20,000 and variable cost of 30c per unit of input. The selling price of Alashplus would be $3.25
per unit. Should the company sell Alash or Alashplus?

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CHAPTER 13: DECISION MAKING - MANAGEMENT ACCOUNTING
Example 8: Further processing decisions
A company produces 3 products A, B and C from Processes A, B and C respectively. All processes take input from
Process X. Other relevant information is as follows.
A B C Total
Output volume (KGs) 10,000 15,000 13,000 38,000
Normal loss @ 50% conversion stage 5% of input 3% of input 4% of input
Sales price per KG 4,500 5,000 5,500
Variable cost of conversion per completed unit (PKR) 2,100 2,200 2,500
Other variable production costs* 200,000
Other fixed production costs* 150,000
* Allocated to process A, B and C based on output volume of each process

The output of Process X can be sold at PKR 3000 per KG at a direct cost to sell of PKR 500 per KG. Lost units from
any of the processes can be sold at PKR 2000. There is no loss in Process X.

Required: Suggest the optimal production plan for the company.

Example 9: Limiting factor decisions


Sausage makes two products, the Mash and the Sauce. Unit variable costs are as follows.

The sales price per unit is $14 per Mash and $11 per Sauce. During July the available direct labour is limited to
8,000 hours. Sales demand in July is expected to be as follows.
Mash 3,000 units
Sauce 5,000 units
Required: Determine the production budget that will maximise profit, assuming that fixed costs per month are
$20,000 and that there is no opening inventory of finished goods or work in progress.

Example 10: Limiting factor decisions


Lucky manufactures and sells three products, X, Y and Z, for which budgeted sales demand, unit selling prices and
unit variable costs are as follows.

The organisation has existing inventory of 250 units of X and 200 units of Z, which it is quite willing to use up to
meet sales demand. All three products use the same direct materials and the same type of direct labour. In the
next year, the available supply of materials will be restricted to $4,800 (at cost) and the available supply of labour
to $6,600 (at cost).
Required: Determine what product mix and sales mix would maximise the organisation's profits in the next year.

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CHAPTER 13: DECISION MAKING - MANAGEMENT ACCOUNTING
Example 11: Limiting factor decisions
MM manufactures three components, S, A and T using the same machines for each. The budget for the next year
calls for the production and assembly of 4,000 of each component. The variable production cost per unit of the
final product is as follows.

Only 24,000 hours of machine time will be available during the year, and a sub-contractor has quoted the following
unit prices for supplying components: S $29; A $40; T $34.
Required: Advise MM

Example 12: Limiting factor decisions


Brunel manufactures plastic-covered steel fencing in two qualities, standard and heavy gauge. Both products pass
through the same processes, involving steel-forming and plastic bonding. Standard gauge fencing sells at $18 a
roll and heavy gauge fencing at $24 a roll. Variable costs per roll are $16 and $21 respectively. There is an unlimited
market for the standard gauge, but demand for the heavy gauge is limited to 1,300 rolls a year. Factory operations
are limited to 2,400 hours a year in each of the two production processes.
Processing hours per roll
Gauge Steel-forming Plastic-bonding
Standard 0.6 0.4
Heavy 0.8 1.2

What is the production mix which will maximise total contribution and what would be the total contribution?

Example 13: Limiting factor decisions


Claire Speke has undertaken a contract to supply a customer with at least 260 units in total of two products, X and
Y, during the next month. At least 50% of the total output must be units of X. The products are each made by two
grades of labour, as follows.

Although additional labour can be made available at short notice, the company wishes to make use of 1,200 hours
of Grade A labour and 800 hours of Grade B labour which has already been assigned to working on the contract
next month. The total variable cost per unit is $120 for X and $100 for Y.
Claire Speke wishes to minimise expenditure on the contract next month. How much of X and Y should be supplied
in order to meet the terms of the contract?

Example 14: Limiting factor decisions


An organisation manufactures plastic-covered steel fencing in two qualities: standard and heavy gauge. Both
products pass through the same processes involving steel forming and plastic bonding. The standard gauge sells

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CHAPTER 13: DECISION MAKING - MANAGEMENT ACCOUNTING
at $15 a roll and the heavy gauge at $20 a roll. There is an unlimited market for the standard gauge but outlets for
the heavy gauge are limited to 13,000 rolls a year. The factory operations of each process are limited to 2,400
hours a year. Other relevant data is given below.

Required: Calculate the allocation of resources and hence the production mix which will maximise total
contribution

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CHAPTER 14: TRANSFER PRICING
Transfer Price
A transfer price is the price at which goods or services are transferred from one department to another or from
one member of a group to another. Transfer prices are a way of promoting divisional autonomy without
prejudicing the measurement of divisional performance or discouraging overall corporate profit maximisation.

Transfer Pricing Ideals


• TP should provide a return to the supplying division and a cost to the receiving division.
• TP should be set at fair commercial price.
• TP should maximize company profits.

General rules
• Minimum: Supplying division's Marginal cost + Opportunity cost. Opportunity cost is higher of the following:
a) Maximum contribution forgone by supplying division by not selling goods externally
b) Maximum contribution forgone by supplying division in not using the same for next best alternative
• Maximum: Lowest market price at which the receiving division could purchase the goods or services
externally, less any internal cost savings in packaging and delivery.

Transfer prices based on market price


If there is an external market for the item being transferred and no alternative, more profitable use for the
facilities in that division, the transfer price = the market price.

Transfer prices based on full cost


Full cost (including fixed overheads absorbed) incurred by the supplying division in making the 'intermediate'
product is charged to the receiving division.

Transfer price at variable cost


Charging variable cost (marginal cost) that has been incurred by the supplying division to the receiving division

Optimal transfer price


Unit variable costs and unit selling Unit variable costs and unit selling
prices are constant prices are not constant
Perfect external market External market price less savings in Ideal transfer price will be established
price exists selling costs by computing the output and sales
quantities that will optimise the profits
Perfect external market Standard variable cost + Opportunity of the company or group as a whole.
price does not exist cost of production

Handling exam questions


• Identify the Division that controls the overall production and output to external customers. That is the division
that has both the Internal + External selling options.
• To identify the best decision for the Company as a whole, ignore inter-departmental pricing and suggest to
sell the products that deliver the highest CM for the Company in totality
• Impose the same decision on all divisions.

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CHAPTER 14: TRANSFER PRICING
Example 1: Fair inter-division transfer price
The Sole Division makes rubber soles for both football boots and work boots and sells these soles to other boot
manufacturers. The Boot division manufactures leather uppers for football boots and attaches these uppers to
rubber soles. During its first year the Boot Division purchased its rubber soles from outside suppliers so as not to
disrupt the operations of the Sole Division. Strike management now wants the Sole Division to provide at least
some of the soles used by the Boot Division. The table below shows the contribution margin for each division
when the Boot Division purchases from an outside supplier.

What would be a fair transfer price if the Sole Division sold 10,000 soles to the Boot Division?

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CHAPTER 15: VARIANCE ANALYSIS
BASIC STANDARD COSTING:

Standard costing is used when entity produces standard units of product or service that are identical to all other
similar units produced. Standard costing is most suited to mass production and repetitive assembly work.

USES: Pre-determined estimated unit cost used for stock valuation & control. It may be used both in absorption
costing & marginal costing. Also used for performance measurement and control reporting

TYPES OF STANDARDS:

Basic:

► Unchanged over a period of time


► Standards are compared with actual cost and if there is a gradual improvement in performance over
time, there is an indicator of improving trends in reported variances.
Ideal:

► Assume perfect operating conditions


► No allowance for wastage, labor inefficiency or machine breakdowns
► This standard is not achievable
Attainable:

► Assume efficient but not perfect operating conditions


► These are set at a higher level of efficiency than current performance therefore motivates the staff
► An allowance for wastages is also taken into account
Current:

► Based on current working conditions


► Don’t provide any incentive for improvement

DIRECT MATERIAL VARIANCES:

The material total variance is the difference between what the output actually cost and what it
should have cost, in terms of material. It can be divided into the following two sub-variances:

► The material price variance is the difference between what the material did cost and what it
should have cost.
FORMULA: (Actual Price per unit – Standard price per unit) Actual Quantity

► The material usage variance is the difference between the standard cost of the material that should
have been used and the standard cost of the material that was used.
FORMULA: (Actual Quantity used – standard quantity used for actual production) Standard price per
unit

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CHAPTER 15: VARIANCE ANALYSIS
Example 1:
A unit of product A123 has a standard cost of five liters of material A at $3 per liter. In a particular
month, 2000 units of product A123 were manufactured. They used 10,400 liters of material A, costing
$33,600.

Solution:
TOTAL MATERIAL VARIANCE:
Standard cost for Actual production (2000 x 15) 30,000
Actual cost 33,600
Variance 3,600 Adverse

The variance is adverse as the material actual cost is higher than budgeted.

MATERIAL PRICE VARIANCE:

(3 – 3.24) 10400 2,400 Adverse

MATERIAL USAGE VARIANCE:

(10,400 – 10,000) 3 1,200 Adverse

The material usage variance is adverse because more material is used than expected, and this has added
to costs.

MATERIAL USAGE VARIANCE WITH WASTAGE:

The standard may take into account the effect of normal loss.

Example 2:

A company makes a standard product. Each finished product contains 450g of raw material and there is an
expected loss of 5% of material input. Standard cost is $4 per kg.

Actual results:

6000 units were produced and 3240 kgs of raw material has been consumed.

Solution:

The standard cost of material allowing for normal wastage of 5% is 450g * 100/95 = 500g

500g at 0.004 per g or 0.5 kilo at $4 per kilo = $2 is standard

((3240 – (6000*0.5)) 4 960 A

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CHAPTER 15: VARIANCE ANALYSIS
POSSIBLE CAUSES OF MATERIAL VARIANCES:

Material Price Variance Material Usage Variance


Actual prices higher or lower than standard Inefficient usage of material, wastage more than
standard (Abnormal losses through pilferage)
Price inflation not taken into account while Inexperienced workforce resulting in more
setting standard material usage and wastage
Bulk purchase discounts resulting in favorable Poor or better quality of material procured
price variance resulting in different usage
Emergency procurement resulting in purchasing Better quality control procedures in production
at high prices (favorable material usage)
Inefficient purchasing without asking two or more Errors in allocating material to jobs at the time of
suppliers setting standards
Use of substitute material having higher or lower Purchase of inferior materials or change in quality
price of materials
Changes in quality or specifications of material Improper maintenance of machinery leading to
procured excessive usage of material

DIRECT LABOUR VARIANCES:

The total cost variance for direct labour is difference between the standard and actual labour cost for
the units produced. It is divided in further three variances.

► Direct Labour Rate Variance: This is the difference between the actual cost of the direct labour ( hours
paid for) and what the hours should have cost (the actual hours at standard rate)
FORMULA: (Actual rate – standard rate) Actual Hours paid for

► Direct labour efficiency variance: This is the difference between the actual hours worked and the
standard hours required to make the quantity of units produced
FORMULA: (Actual hours worked – standard hours for actual production) standard rate per hour

FAVORABLE: Where labour has taken less hours than required as per standard to make the required units. And
variance is adverse where labour has taken more hours to complete the task.

Example 2: A company produces and sells one product only, the Thing, the standard cost for one unit being as
follows.

Standard: Direct wages – 5 hours at $6 per hour


During April the actual results is as follows;
Direct wages 4,200 hours worked for $24,150

Solution:
Labour rate variance
4,200 hours should have cost (× $6) 25,200

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CHAPTER 15: VARIANCE ANALYSIS
but did cost 24,150
Rate variance 1,050 (F)

Labour efficiency variance


800 units should have taken (× 5 hrs) 4,000 hrs
but did take 4,200 hrs
Efficiency variance in hours 200 (A)
× standard rate per hour × $6
Efficiency variance in $ $1,200 (A)

LABOUR VARIANCES WITH IDLE TIME:


This idle time variance arises due to difference between hours worked for and hours paid for (often in
production a company pays for more hours than worked. The difference is idle time)

Unexpected Idle Time:


Idle time might be unexpected for example a machine might break down and operation have to be ceased until
repaired. Labour will be paid during this time and due to excessive hours being used labour efficiency will be
effected. In order to avoid the effect on labour efficiency variance, idle time variance is worked out which will
always be ADVERSE.

Expected Idle Time:


Idle time might be part of production process. For example a production process might involve some process of
heating and labours have to wait for some time for product to cool down.

This idle time variance may be favorable (where idle time is less than expected) or may be adverse (where idle
time is more than expected)

Example 3:
Product X: Standard:
Standard time per unit is 1.8 hours @ $15
Actual results:
Output 1000 units
Hours paid 1950
Hours worked 1910
Labour cost $27,300

Solution:
Idle time variance (1950 – 1910) 15 600 A
Labour Efficiency ratio (1800 – 1910) 15 1650 A

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CHAPTER 15: VARIANCE ANALYSIS
POSSIBLE CAUSES OF LABOUR VARIANCES:

Labour Rate Variance Labour Efficiency Variance


The grade of labour used was different from the Due to high labour turnover, learning curve effect
grade of labour in the standard rate cannot be achieved and labour consumed more
hours to complete task
Effect of inflation (wage rate) has not been taken Relatively new and in experienced workforce
into account while setting the standard might have resulted in lower efficiency
Higher wages paid on account of overtime for Quality of supervision might not be good or bad
urgent work resulting in favorable or adverse efficiency
variance
Use of workers at a rate of pay lower than New incentive scheme resulting in better
standard motivation of employees and favorable efficiency

VARIABLE OVERHEAD VARIANCES:

The variable production overhead total variance is the difference between what the output should
have cost and what it did cost, in terms of variable production overhead.

It can be divided into two sub-variances.


► The variable production overhead expenditure variance is the difference between the amount of variable
production overhead that should have been incurred in the actual hours actively worked, and the actual
amount of variable production overhead incurred.

FORMULA: (Actual rate per hour – standard rate per hour) Actual hours worked
Important to note: The formula is same as that of labour rate except that in labour rate variance actual
hours paid are taken instead of actual hours worked.

► The variable production overhead efficiency variance is the difference between the standard cost of the
hours that should have been worked for the number of units actually produced, and the standard cost of the
actual number of hours worked.

FORMULA: (Actual Hours worked – standard hours for actual production) standard rate of variable overhead
per unit

POSSIBLE CAUSES OF VARIABLE OVERHEAD VARIANCES:

The cause of variable overhead efficiency variance is same as that of the labour efficiency variance.

Variable overhead expenditure can be caused due to following reasons:

• Efficient or inefficient spending on overhead cost of items


• Problem in setting standards.

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CHAPTER 15: VARIANCE ANALYSIS
FIXED OVERHEAD VARIANCES:

Fixed production overhead total variance is the difference between fixed production overhead
incurred and fixed production overhead absorbed. In other words, it is the under– or over absorbed
fixed production overhead. It is further subdivided:

► Fixed production overhead expenditure variance is the difference between the budgeted fixed production
overhead expenditure and actual fixed production overhead expenditure.
► Fixed production overhead volume variance is the difference between actual and budgeted
production/volume multiplied by the standard absorption rate per unit.
► Fixed production overhead volume efficiency variance is the difference between the number of hours that
actual production should have taken, and the number of hours actually taken (that is, worked) multiplied by
the standard absorption rate per hour.
► Fixed production overhead volume capacity variance is the difference between budgeted hours of work
and the actual hours worked, multiplied by the standard absorption rate per hour.

Point to note: If actual hours are greater than budgeted, there is an increase in capacity. More products can be
produced and this will increase profit therefore this is a favorable variance.

The Efficiency Variance is same in hours as the efficiency variance for labour and variable production overhead.
However, it is valued at the fixed production overhead rate per hour.

The Capacity Variance is an hours worked variance. It is difference between budgeted hours and actual hours
worked and it is priced at the fixed production overhead rate per hour.

Total Fixed
Overhead Cost
Variance

Volume Expenditure
Variance Variance

Efficiency Capacity
Variance Variance

EXAMPLE:
A company produces and sells one product only, AMX.
Standard cost - Fixed production overhead $50

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CHAPTER 15: VARIANCE ANALYSIS
The fixed overhead included in the standard cost is based on an expected monthly output of 900 units.
Fixed production overhead is absorbed on the basis of direct labour hours.
During April the actual Fixed production overhead $47,000.
Find all fixed overhead variances.

Solution:
Fixed overhead expenditure variance $

Budgeted expenditure ($50 × 900) 45,000


Actual expenditure 47,000
Expenditure variance 2,000 (A)

Fixed overhead volume variance


Budgeted production at standard rate (900 × $50) 45,000
Actual production at standard rate (800 × $50) 40,000
Volume variance 5,000 (A)

Fixed overhead volume efficiency variance


800 units should have taken (× 5 hrs) 4,000 hrs
but did take 4,200 hrs
Volume efficiency variance in hours 200 (A)
× standard absorption rate per hour × $10
Volume efficiency variance $2,000 (A)

Fixed overhead volume capacity variance


Budgeted hours 4,500 hrs
Actual hours 4,200 hrs
Volume capacity variance in hours 300 (A)
× standard absorption rate per hour ($50 ÷ 5) × $10 $3,000 (A)

SALES VARIANCES:

Sale variances are used to reconcile actual profit with budgeted profit and give an indication to management to
assess performance.

There are two sales variances:

► Sales Price Variance: The sales price variance measures the effect on expected profit of a selling price
different to the standard selling price. It is calculated as the difference between what the sales revenue
should have been for the actual quantity sold, and what it was.
Formula : (Actual selling price – standard selling price) Actual Qty Sold

► Sales Volume Variance: The sales volume variance measures the increase or decrease in expected profit as a
result of the sales volume being higher or lower than budgeted. It is calculated as the difference between
the budgeted sales volume and the actual sales volume multiplied by the standard profit per unit.
Formula : (Actual qty sold – standard qty sold) Standard Margin per unit*

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CHAPTER 15: VARIANCE ANALYSIS
*We use standard margin in case of marginal costing. Where absorption costing is used it will be replaced by
standard profit per unit.

Example:
A company budgets to sell 7,000 units of product ABC. The standard sales price is $ 50 per unit and standard
cost is $ 42.
Actual sales were 7,200 units, which sold for $351,400.

Solution:
Sales Price Variance:
7,000 units at $50 360,000
7,200 did sell for 351,400
Variance 8,600 A
Adverse as actual sales revenue was less than the expected revenue.

Sales Volume Variance:


Actual Qty sold 7,200
Budgeted Qty sold 7,000
Sales volume variance in units 200 units
Standard profit (50-42)
Variance (200 * $8) 1,600 F

Favorable because actual sales exceeded the budgeted sales.

POSSIBLE CAUSES OF SALES VARIANCES:

Sales Price Variance Sales Volume Variance


New competitor in market causing the reduction Effective or ineffective advertisement campaigns
in prices to stay competitive
Weak demand causing reduction in the sales Improvement in product design, delivery services,
prices or strong demand causing increase in the terms of service etc. resulting in increased volume
sale price of sales
General Inflation in the market Major new customer in the market or loss of major
customer of the market
Customers attracted by high / low price

Material Mix and Material Yield Variance:

Where standard costing is used for products which contain two or more items of direct material, the material
usage is further subdivided into two variances:

► Material Mix Variance: The material mix variance measures how much of the total usage variance is
attributable to the fact that the actual combination or mixture of material that was used was more
expensive or less expensive than the standard mixture for the material.
o The material mix variance indicates the effect on profits of having an actual material mix that is
different from standard mix.

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CHAPTER 15: VARIANCE ANALYSIS
o Favorable: Where the actual mix of materials used is cheaper than the standard mix.

► Material Yield Variance: It is the difference between the actual yield from a given input and the yield
that the actual input should have given in standard terms.
o This variance indicates the effects on costs of the total material input yielding more or less
output than expected.

A mix variance and yield variance are only appropriate in the following situations:
► Where proportions of materials in a mix are changeable and controllable;
► Where the usage variance of individual materials is of limited value because of the variability of the
mix, and a combined yield variance for all the materials together is more helpful for control.
In particular, sales mix variances are only of use if there is some kind of link between the products in question.
► Complementary products, such as pancake mix and lemon juice
► Substitute products, such as branded and 'own-label' goods
► Same products, different sizes
► Products produced within a limiting factor environment

NOTE: It would be totally inappropriate to calculate a mix variance where the materials in the 'mix' are discrete
items. A chair, for example, might consist of wood, covering material, stuffing and glue. These materials are
separate components, and it would not be possible to think in terms of controlling the proportions of each
material in the final product. The usage of each material must be controlled separately.

FACTORS TO CONSIDER WHILE CHANGING MIX:


Analysis of material usage variance into material mix and material yield components is worthwhile if
management have control of choosing an optimum mix.
A favorable material mix may be offset by an adverse yield variance and total cost per unit may increase.
Also a cheaper mix may result in a cheaper product leading to high sales return and loss of repeat business.

Sales Mix and Sales Quantity Variance:

If a company sells more than one product, it is possible to analyze the overall sales volume variance into a sales
mix variance and a sales quantity variance.
► The sales mix variance occurs when the proportions of the various products sold are different from
those in the budget.
► The sales quantity variance shows the difference in contribution/profit because of a change in sales
volume from the budgeted volume of sales.

NOTE: It is calculated in the same manner as the material mix and yield variance. The only difference is as
follows:
The sales mix variance is calculated as the difference between the actual quantity sold in the standard mix and
the actual quantity sold in the actual mix, valued at standard profit margin per unit.*

The sales quantity variance is calculated as the difference between the actual sales volume in the budgeted
proportions and the budgeted sales volumes, multiplied by the standard profit margin.*

* Where an organization uses standard marginal costing instead of standard absorption costing then
standard contribution rather than standard profit margin is used in the calculations.

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CHAPTER 15: VARIANCE ANALYSIS
Planning and Operational Variances:

A planning and operational approach to variance analysis divides the total variance into those variances which
have arisen because of inaccurate planning or faulty standards (planning variances) and those variances which
have been caused by adverse or favorable operational performance, compared with a standard which has been
revised in hindsight (operational variances).

► Planning variance: A planning variance (or revision variance) compares an original standard with a
revised standard that should or would have been used if planners had known in advance what was going
to happen.
► Operational Variance: An operational variance (or operating variance) compares an actual result with
the revised standard.

Original Revised Actual


Standard Standard Results

Planning Variance Operational Variance


Substitute actual results Substitute original standard
by revised standard by revised standard

S
Planning variance is uncontrollable variance in the sense that control action by management cannot eliminate
weaknesses in planning. Planning variances arise because the original standard and revised more realistic
standards are different and have nothing to do with operational performance. In most cases, it is unlikely that
anything could be done about planning variances: they are not controllable by operational managers but by
senior management.

Operational variance may be controllable variances. By comparing actual results with more realistic revised
standards provide management with useful control information.

Advantages of using planning and operational Disadvantages of using planning and operational
variances variances
Managers are only held accountable for the Managers will be tempted to manipulate the
operational variances, this lead to more realistic results of standards by revising the standards and
performance evaluation. classify most of the variances as being caused due
to planning errors instead of operational
performance
Planning variances can be used to update standard It takes time and efforts to prepare revised
costs and revise budgets. standards and make revised budgets accordingly.
Provide more realistic information to control
operational variance.

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CHAPTER 15: VARIANCE ANALYSIS
Market Size and Market Share Variances:
Sales volume variance can be analyzed in the following manner:
► the planning variance for sales volume is called a market size variance
► the operational variance for sales volume is called a market share variance

However these variances are calculated without revising the sales budget. This is because of the fact that the
sales budget is based on estimates;
► There will be an estimate of market size and estimated amount of sales in the market segment which
can turn out differently later on
► Within the market size, the entity budget will specify the market share captured

Market Size Variance


Market size variance is the effect on sales volume if the actual size of the market is:
► Larger than expected (favorable market variance)
► Smaller than expected (adverse market variance)
It is called planning variance as the market size cannot be controlled by the entity.

Market Share Variances:


Market share variance is calculated by taking into account the actual market size and comparing the expected
sales if the budgeted market share had been achieved and actual sales.

It is called operational sales volume variance as this aspect can be controlled by the entity.

Example:
A company set the following sales budget:
Total size of market 200,000 units
Expected market share 25%
Standard contribution per unit $40

At the end of the year it was estimated that the actual size of the market during the year had been 260,000
units.
Actual sales in the year were 61,000 units.

Solution:
Market size variance :
Total budgeted market size 200,000
Actual market size 260,000
Difference 60,000
Budgeted market share 25%

Market size variance (In units) 15,000 F


Standard contribution per unit $40
Market size variance $600,000 F

Market share variance:


Budgeted sales if market share achieved 65,000
Actual sales 61,000
Standard contribution $40

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CHAPTER 15: VARIANCE ANALYSIS
Market share variance 160,000 A

Total sales volume variance 440,000 F

Operating Statements:
An operating statement is a regular report for management which compares actual costs and revenues with
budgeted figures and shows variances.
The common format is one which reconciles budgeted profit to actual profit. Sales variances are reported first,
and the total of the budgeted profit and the two sales variances results in a figure for 'actual sales minus the
standard cost of sales'. The cost variances are then reported, and an actual profit calculated.

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CHAPTER 15: VARIANCE ANALYSIS
Example 1: Basic variance analysis
Following data relates to ABC Limited for the Month of January 2022.
Calculate basic variances under Absorption Costing system.

Actual Standard
Production & Sales (Units) 11,000 10,000
Selling price (Rs) 1,450 1,500

Material Actual Standard


Purchases (KGs) 47,000
Usage per unit (KGs) 4.20 4.00
Cost per unit (Rs per KG) 23.90 25.00

Labour Actual Standard


Hours worked per unit 1.45 1.50
Hours paid per unit 1.55 1.50
Cost per hour (Rs) 411 400

Overheads Actual Standard


Variable OH per hours worked (Rs) 144.5 150.0
Fixed OH per hour worked (Rs) 98.0 100.0

Example 2: Planning & Operating variances


Following data relates to A Limited for Jan 2022. Calculate variances using Marginal Costing.

Standard Revised standard Actual


Production & Sales (Units) 10,000 N/A 11,000
Selling price (Rs) 1,500 1,480 1,450

Material Standard Revised standard Actual


Usage per unit (KGs) 4.00 4.05 4.20
Cost per unit (Rs) 25.00 24.50 23.90

Labour Standard Revised standard Actual


Hours worked per unit 1.50 1.52 1.45
Hours paid per unit 1.50 1.52 1.55
Cost per hour (Rs) 400 425 411

Overheads Standard Revised standard Actual


Variable OH per hours worked (Rs) 150.0 146.0 144.5

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CHAPTER 15: VARIANCE ANALYSIS
Example 3: Sales mix & yield variances, market share and market size variances
Following data relates to B Limited for the month of Jan 2022. Calculate sales variances.

Budgeted sales Actual sales Budgeted sales Actual sales


Product
Units Units PKR PKR
A 15,000 17,000 1,500,000 1,870,000
B 25,000 32,000 3,000,000 3,680,000
C 10,000 8,000 1,500,000 1,160,000

Budgeted
Budgeted profit Actual profit Actual market sales
Product market sales
PKR PKR Units
Units
A 300,000 400,000 100,000 110,000
B 700,000 750,000 150,000 145,000
C 500,000 450,000 200,000 130,000

Example 4: Material mix & yield variances


Following data relates to ABC Limited for the month of Jan 2022. Actual production
was 10,300 units against a budget of 10,000 units. Calculate Material variances.

Budgeted Usage Actual Usage Budgeted Price Actual Price per


Product
per unit (Kg) per unit (Kg) per Kg Kg
X 10 12 1,000 1,050
Y 15 14 1,200 1,100
Z 15 16 2,500 2,400

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